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Ferramenta de Gerenciamento de Riscos em Projetos

verso 6.5

Dados Comuns do Projeto:


Projeto:
Cliente:
Gerente Responsvel:
Data Anlise:
Resp. Reviso:
Data ltima Reviso:
Foco da Anlise:
Valor Base do Projeto:
Novo Valor Base do Projeto:

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL
2/17/2012
gilberto
2/21/2012

Anlise de Custos
8,200,000.00
8,200,000.00

Sistema Gerencial:
Processo de Identificao
dos Riscos:
Responsveis pelo
Acompanhamento:

fabian

Contexto do Projeto:
Campos de Input

Apesar de conterem formulas, podem ser alterados pelo usurio.

Matriz auxiliar na determinao da probabilidade (P) de ocorrncia do risco


Descrio
Ordinal
Valor
Muito Baixa
10.0% Rara. Ocorre somente em circunstncias
Baixa
30.0% Improvvel. Pode ocorre em algum momento.
Mdia
50.0% Possvel. Deve ocorrer em algum momento.
Alta
70.0% Provvel. Vai ocorrer na maioria das circunstncias.
Muito Alta
90.0% Quase certa. Ocorre em quase todas as
Matriz auxiliar na determinao do impacto (I) do risco sobre o projeto
Categoria de Objetivos do Projeto
Impacto
Valor
Qualidade
Custo
Cronograma
Escopo
GERAL
Diminuio
Consequncias
Degradao quase
Aumento
Deslocamento
quase
so tratadas
Muito Baixo
0.05
imperceptvel da insignificante insignificante
imperceptvel com operaes
qualidade.
de custo
no cronograma
do escopo.
de rotina
reas de pouca Consequncias
Apenas aplicaes
Deslocamento
Aumento de
importncia do no ameaam
Baixo
0.1
mais exigentes so
no cronograma
objetivos do
custo < 5%
escopo so
afetadas.
< 5%
projeto
afetadas
Consequncias
Reduo de
reas
no ameaam o
Deslocamento
qualidade requer a Aumento de
importantes do
projeto mas
Mdio
0.2
no cronograma
aprovao do
custo <5 - 10%
escopo so
este vai sofrer
<5 - 10%
cliente
afetadas
alteraes

Alto

0.4

Reduo da
qualidade
inaceitvel para o
cliente.

Muito Alto

0.8

Produto final do
projeto no
utilizvel.

Aumento de
custo < 10 20%
Aumento de
custo > 20%

Reduo do
Consequncias
Deslocamento
escopo
ameaam o
no cronograma
inaceitvel para
projeto
< 10 - 20%
o cliente
Consequncias
Deslocamento Produto final do ameaam o
no cronograma
projeto
projeto e a
> 20%
inadequado.
organizao

Matriz de vulnerabilidade auxiliar (P x I) para a determinao dos patamares de graduao dos riscos (Calculada automaticamente pelo
Impacto
Ameaas
Oportunid
Probabilidade
0.05
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.05
0.09
0.18
0.36
0.72
0.72
0.7
0.04
0.07
0.14
0.28
0.56
0.56
0.5
0.03
0.05
0.10
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.3
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.12
0.24
0.24
0.1
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.08
0.08
Alguns exemplos de categorias de causas de riscos

lculada automaticamente pelo sistema)

0.4
0.36
0.28
0.20
0.12
0.04

Oportunidades
0.2
0.18
0.14
0.10
0.06
0.02

0.1
0.09
0.07
0.05
0.03
0.01

0.05
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01

Lista de Riscos - Ameaas - Anlise inicial antes da resposta


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:
No.
1
2
3
4

Data
Identif.
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012

2/17/2012 comercial

2/17/2012 comercial

2/17/2012 externo

2/17/2012

9
10
11

Categoria
tecnico
gerencial
gerencial
gerencial

Evento de Ameaa
ProbabiIncluindo Causa Raiz e Efeito
lidade (%)
Exigncia de qualificao especifica para desempenhar o
50%
Absenteismo causando atraso no cronograma
10%
Rotatividade causando mudanas inesperadas na equipe
10%
Definio de responsabilidades por etapa de divulgao do produto
10%
O produto pode nao ser atraente para o consumidor causando
30%
dificuldades na comercializao
Preo mais caro do que o consumidor est disposto a pagar
30%
podendo causar altos estoques
Dificuldade de atrair investimentos para a divulgao reduzindo o
30%
potencial do produto

organizacio
Falta de recursos para divulgao pode acarretar em atrasos
nal
Falta de equipamentos para divulgao dificultando o evento
2/17/2012 gerencial
de lanamento do produto
Gastos elevados com divulgao excedendo o valor orado
2/17/2012 externo

12

2/17/2012 comercial

13

2/17/2012 comercial

14
15
16
17
18

2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012

20

2/17/2012 gerencial

21
50
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


Anlise Qualitativa
UFAM
RAQUEL
Risco Geral das Ameaas do Projeto:
0.09

comercial
comercial
comercial
tecnico
tecnico

Propaganda no similar a essncia do produto gerando


desinteresse no pblico-alvo
Atraso do evento de lanamento gerando impacto negativo na
imagem da empresa
Atraso do evento de lanamento podendo gerar despesas no
Atraso do evento de lanamento alterando o cronograma inicial
Atraso do evento de lanamento retardando os possveis lucros
Empresa promotora contratada no atender s expectativas
Problemas relativos s instalaes do local do evento podendo
Ausncia do garoto propaganda no evento, levando no
realizao do evento

Custo

Cronograma

Escopo

Qualidade

Impacto
Qualitativo
0.8
0.1
0.1
0.2

PXI

Rank

0.4
0.05
0.05
0.1

0.05
0.1
0.1

0.4

0.8
0.05
0.1
0.2

0.40
0.01
0.01
0.02

1
11
11
9

0.8

0.24

0.2

0.06

0.00

0.2

0.2

0.04

0.4

0.4

0.12

0.4

0.4
0

0.04
0.00

0.05

0.05

0.01

13

0.8
0.2

0.2

20%

0.05

30%

0.1

10%

0.4

10%

0.05

10%

0.8

0.8

0.4

0.8

0.08

10%
10%
10%
10%
10%

0.2
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05

0.2
0.05
0.05

0.1

0.2
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05

0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01

9
13
13
13
13

30%

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.06

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Probabilidade:

Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade:

Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise de Sensibilidade

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Anlise Quantitativa

2/17/2012
Sensibilidade:

100%

$1

$410,000,000

Impacto
Ajustado
$820,000,000
$0
$0
$0

Valor
Esperado
$410,000,000
$0
$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0

$0
$0

$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

TOTAL:
Impacto
Quantitativo
$820,000,000
$0
$0
$0

Prioridade
1

Matriz de Vulnerabilidade (Ameaas 1 a 15)


1

Probabilidade

0.8

13

0.6

0.4

10

0.2

14
4

3
2
15
12
0

6
0%

20%

40%
Impacto

60%

80%

100%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Lista de Riscos - Oportunidades - Anlise inicial antes da resposta


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:
No.
7
8
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


Anlise Qualitativa
UFAM
RAQUEL
Risco Geral das Oportunidades:
0.21

Evento de Oportunidade
Data
Categoria
Incluindo Causa Raiz e Efeito
Identif.
Disponibilzar tcnicos para resolver eventuais problemas
2/17/2012 tecnico
Analisar todo o planejamento
2/17/2012 gerencial

Probabilidade (%)
50%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Custo

Cronograma

Escopo

Qualidade

0.2
0.4

0.2
0.4

0.1

0.1
0.2

Impacto
Qualitativo
0.2
0.4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

PXI

Rank

0.10
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2
1

44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

194
195
196
197
198
199
200
Probabilidade:

Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade:

Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise de Sensibilidade

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Anlise Quantitativa 2/17/2012


Sensibilidade:
TOTAL:
Impacto
(input)
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
Impacto
Ajustado
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

100%

$0
Valor
Esperado
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Prioridade

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Valor Monetrio Esperado do Projeto (VME) - Inicial (Pr-Resposta)


2/17/2012
Projeto: Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em
redes sociais
Sensibilidade:
- CONECTUS
Ameaas:
Cliente: UFAM
100%
Oportunidades:
Resp: RAQUEL
100%
Anlise de Custos
Valor Base do Projeto
Riscos - Ameaas
Riscos - Oportunidades
VME do Projeto com Riscos
VME - Melhor Caso (s oportunidades)
VME - Pior Caso (s ameaas)

Valores
$8,200,000
$410,000,000
$0
$418,200,000
$8,200,000
$8,200,001

Variao
100.00%
5000.00%
0.00%
5000.00%
0.00%
0.00%

Observao
sem Riscos
Valor Monetrio Esperado
Valor Monetrio Esperado

Totais
Oportunidades
Ameaas

$0
$1

Respostas aos Riscos - Conteno/ Preveno e Contingncia - AMEAAS


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

Probabilidade /Impacto devem se


alterados se uma ao
/ preveno for tomada

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL

Valores Totais nas Respostas de AMEAAS

2/17/2012
OBS: Opotunidades na pasta Resposta-Oport

$410,000,000

$0
Deve reduzir a probabilidade e/ou o impacto

AMEAAS

Evento
Descrio da Ameaa
1
tecnico
Exigncia de qualificao especifica para
2
gerencial
Absenteismo causando atraso no cronograma
3
gerencial
Rotatividade causando mudanas inesperadas na equipe
4
gerencial
Definio de responsabilidades por etapa de divulgao
comercial
O produto pode nao ser atraente para o consumidor
5
causando dificuldades na comercializao
2/17/2012 comercial
Preo mais caro do que o consumidor est disposto a
6
pagar podendo causar altos estoques
7 2/17/2012 externo
Dificuldade de atrair investimentos para a divulgao
2/17/2012 organizacion Falta de recursos para divulgao pode acarretar em
8
al
atrasos
2/17/2012 gerencial
Falta de equipamentos para divulgao dificultando o
9
evento de lanamento do produto
10 2/17/2012 externo
Gastos elevados com divulgao excedendo o valor
11
2/17/2012 comercial
Propaganda no similar a essncia do produto gerando
12
desinteresse no pblico-alvo
2/17/2012 comercial
Atraso do evento de lanamento gerando impacto
negativo na imagem da empresa
13

No.

14
15
16
17
18
20
21
50
24
25
26
27
28
29

Data
Identif.
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012

2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012
2/17/2012

Categoria

comercial
comercial
comercial
tecnico
tecnico
gerencial

Atraso do evento de lanamento podendo gerar


Atraso do evento de lanamento alterando o cronograma
Atraso do evento de lanamento retardando os possveis
Empresa promotora contratada no atender s
Problemas relativos s instalaes do local do evento
Ausncia do garoto propaganda no evento, levando
no realizao do evento

Ateno! Atualizar P / I conforme

CONTENO/ PREVENO (Antes que o risco ocorra)

Dados antes da Resposta

Valor
RESPOSTA
Esperado
$410,000,000 realizar treinamentos
$0
$0
$0

Estratgia
Mitigar

Custo da
ProbabiResposta lidade (%)
50%
$0
10%
$0
10%
$0
10%
$0

$0 Realizar pesquisa de mercado

$0

30%

$0 Realizar pesquisa de mercado

$0

30%

$0

$0

30%

$0

$0

20%

$0

30%

$0
$0

10%
0%

$0

10%

$0

10%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

10%
10%
10%
10%
10%

$0

30%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Manter as informaes
$0
atualizadas junnto ao setor
$0
$0
Firmar contratos com todos os
fornecedores, estipulando multas
$0
elevadas para os atrasos mais
crticos
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
Contratar outro garoto
$0
propraganda para ficar de reserva

30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Probabilidade /Impacto devem ser


alterados se uma ao de conteno
/ preveno for tomada

Tipos de reao
Aceitar Ativa
Aceitar Passiva
Mitigar

na pasta Resposta-Oport

$820,000,000

$410,000,000

$0

Transferir

Ateno! Atualizar P / I conforme a resposta

Evitar

CONTINGNCIA (Para usar depois que o risco ocorreu - se necessrio)

NOVOS
Impacto
$820,000,000
$0
$0
$0

Valor
Esperado
$410,000,000
$0
$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
0

$0
$0

$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0

$0

$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

RESPOSTA

Custo da
Contingncia
$0
$0
$0
$0

Observao

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Respostas aos Riscos - Aes para as OPORTUNIDADES


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL

Valores Totais nas Respostas de OPORTUNIDADES

OPORTUNIDADES
No.
7
8
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44

$0

Dados antes da Resposta

Evento
Data
Categoria
Descrio da Oportunidade
Identif.
Disponibilzar tcnicos para resolver eventuais problemas
2/17/2012 tecnico
Analisar todo o planejamento
2/17/2012 gerencial

Valor
Esperado
$0
$0

45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154

155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

em redes sociais - CONECTUS


2/17/2012
OBS: Ameacas na pasta Resposta-Ameacas

Probabilidade /Impacto
devem ser alterados se
uma resposta

$0
Deve aumentar a probabilidade e/ou o impacto

$0
Ateno! Atualizar P / I conforme a resposta

MELHORIA / ALAVANCAGEM (antes que o risco ocorra)


RESPOSTA

Estratgia

Custo da
ProbabiResposta lidade (%)
$0
50%
$0
50%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%
$0
0%

NOVOS
Impacto
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Probabilidade /Impacto
devem ser alterados se
uma resposta for dada
$0

$0

izar P / I conforme a resposta

APROVEITAMENTO (Depois que o risco ocorreu)


Valor
Esperado
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

RESPOSTA

Custo do
Aproveitamento
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Observao

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Tipos de reao
Aceitar
Explorar
Compartilhar
Melhorar

Valor Monetrio Esperado do Projeto - Aps as respostas


Sensibilidade
Projeto: Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface2/17/2012
em redes sociais
- CONECTUS
Ameaas:
100%
Cliente: UFAM
Oportunidades:
100%
Resp: RAQUEL
Aps as respostas
Antes das Respostas
Anlise de Custos
Valor Base do Projeto - Original
Custo das Respostas - Ameaas
Custo das Respostas - Oportunidades
Novo Valor Base do Projeto
Riscos - Ameaas
Riscos - Oportunidades
VME do Projeto com Riscos
VME - Melhor Caso
VME - Pior Caso

Valores

TOTAIS

Valor Total

Ameaas
Oportunidades

Variao

$8,200,000
$0
$0
$8,200,000
$410,000,000
$0
$418,200,000
$8,200,000
$828,200,000

100%

Observao
Sem Riscos

Valores Originais
$8,200,000

Variao
100%

$410,000,000
$0
$418,200,000
$8,200,000
$8,200,001

5000%
0%
5000.00%
0.00%
0.00%

% em relao ao valor
original do projeto

0.00%
5000.00%
0.00%
5000.00%
0.00%
10000.00%

Com os custos das Respostas


VME Ameaas (final)
VME Oportunidades (final)

$820,000,000 se todas as ameaas acontecerem, j utilizando as respostas s ameaas.


$0 se todas as oportunidades acontecerem, j utilizando as respostas s oportunidades.

Contingncia

$0

0.00%

Somatrio dos custos das aes de Contingncia

Reserva Gerencial

$0
$0

0.00%

Entrar com o Valor Desejado (normalmente menor que os usuais 10%)

Total das Reservas

$0

0.00%

Para usar durante o Projeto

Valores Esperados com Reservas


VME do Projeto com Riscos
VME - Melhor Caso
VME - Pior Caso

Valores

$418,200,000
$8,200,000
$828,200,000

Variao

5000.00% Valor final do custo ou do resultado do projeto


0.00%
Inclui as reservas de contingncia e gerencial
10000.00%

CONCLUSO - entrar com o texto referente a suas concluses e alteraes no plano de gerenciamento e nos documentos do projeto

Lista Final de Ameaas (Ps-Resposta, para acompanhar durante o Projeto)


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Ameaas


No.
Data
Categoria Evento de Ameaa
Descrio da Ameaa
Identif.
Exigncia de qualificao especifica para desempenhar o projeto
1
2/17/2012 tecnico
2
2/17/2012 gerencial Absenteismo causando atraso no cronograma
3
2/17/2012 gerencial Rotatividade causando mudanas inesperadas na equipe
4
2/17/2012 gerencial Definio de responsabilidades por etapa de divulgao do
5
2/17/2012 comercial O produto pode nao ser atraente para o consumidor causando
6
2/17/2012 comercial Preo mais caro do que o consumidor est disposto a pagar
Dificuldade de atrair investimentos para a divulgao reduzindo o
7
2/17/2012 externo
organizaci
Falta de recursos para divulgao pode acarretar em atrasos
8
2/17/2012
onal
9
2/17/2012 gerencial Falta de equipamentos para divulgao dificultando o evento de
Gastos elevados com divulgao excedendo o valor orado
10
2/17/2012 externo
0
11
1/0/1900 0
12
2/17/2012 comercial Propaganda no similar a essncia do produto gerando
13
2/17/2012 comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento gerando impacto negativo na
14
2/17/2012 comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento podendo gerar despesas no
15
2/17/2012 comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento alterando o cronograma inicial
16
2/17/2012 comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento retardando os possveis lucros
Empresa promotora contratada no atender s expectativas
17
2/17/2012 tecnico
Problemas relativos s instalaes do local do evento podendo
18
2/17/2012 tecnico
20
2/17/2012 gerencial Ausncia do garoto propaganda no evento, levando no
0
21
1/0/1900 0
0
50
1/0/1900 0
0
24
1/0/1900 0
0
25
1/0/1900 0
0
26
1/0/1900 0
0
27
1/0/1900 0
0
28
1/0/1900 0
0
29
1/0/1900 0
0
30
1/0/1900 0
0
31
1/0/1900 0
0
32
1/0/1900 0
0
33
1/0/1900 0
0
34
1/0/1900 0
0
35
1/0/1900 0
0
36
1/0/1900 0
0
37
1/0/1900 0
0
38
1/0/1900 0
0
39
1/0/1900 0
0
40
1/0/1900 0
0
41
1/0/1900 0
0
42
1/0/1900 0
0
43
1/0/1900 0

2/17/2012

Impacto
(input)
$820,000,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$820,000,000
Impacto
Ajustado
$820,000,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$410,000,000
Valor
Esperado
$410,000,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

20%

$0

$0

$0

30%
10%
0%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
30%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Probabilidade (%)
50%
10%
10%
10%
30%
30%
30%

Prioridade
1

44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93

1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143

1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193

1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

194
195
196
197
198
199
200

1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900
1/0/1900

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Probabilidade:

Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade:

Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Lista Final de Oportunidades (Ps-Resposta, para acompanhar durante o Projeto)


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL

TOTAL - Valor Esperado das Oportunidades


No.
Data
Categoria Evento de Oportunidade
Descrio da Oportunidade
Identif.
Disponibilzar tcnicos para resolver eventuais problemas
7 17/02/12 tecnico
Analisar todo o planejamento
8 17/02/12 gerencial
0
3 00/01/00 0
0
4 00/01/00 0
0
5 00/01/00 0
0
6 00/01/00 0
0
7 00/01/00 0
0
8 00/01/00 0
0
9 00/01/00 0
0
10 00/01/00 0
0
11 00/01/00 0
0
12 00/01/00 0
0
13 00/01/00 0
0
14 00/01/00 0
0
15 00/01/00 0
0
16 00/01/00 0
0
17 00/01/00 0
0
18 00/01/00 0
0
19 00/01/00 0
0
20 00/01/00 0
0
21 00/01/00 0
0
22 00/01/00 0
0
23 00/01/00 0
0
24 00/01/00 0
0
25 00/01/00 0
0
26 00/01/00 0
0
27 00/01/00 0
0
28 00/01/00 0
0
29 00/01/00 0
0
30 00/01/00 0
0
31 00/01/00 0
0
32 00/01/00 0
0
33 00/01/00 0
0
34 00/01/00 0
0
35 00/01/00 0
0
36 00/01/00 0
0
37 00/01/00 0
0
38 00/01/00 0
0
39 00/01/00 0
0
40 00/01/00 0
0
41 00/01/00 0
0
42 00/01/00 0

2/17/2012

$0
Probabilidade (%)
50%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Impacto
(input)

Impacto
Ajustado
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
Valor
Esperado

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Prioridade
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Probabilidade:

Chance de Ocorrncia do Risco (%)

Sensibilidade:

Percentual de variao sobre a Quantificao (probabilidade e Impacto) do Risco - ferramenta de anlise

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Controle das AMEAAS


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
#REF!
20
21
#REF!
50
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45

2/17/2012
#REF!

Dados do Planejamento

AMEAAS
No.

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL
#REF!

Data
Identif.
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
00/01/00
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
17/02/12
#REF!
17/02/12
00/01/00
#REF!
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

Categoria Evento de Ameaa


Descrio da Ameaa
Exigncia de qualificao especifica para desempenhar o
tecnico
gerencial Absenteismo causando atraso no cronograma
gerencial Rotatividade causando mudanas inesperadas na equipe
gerencial Definio de responsabilidades por etapa de divulgao do
comercial O produto pode nao ser atraente para o consumidor causando
comercial Preo mais caro do que o consumidor est disposto a pagar
Dificuldade de atrair investimentos para a divulgao reduzindo
externo
organizaci Falta de recursos para divulgao pode acarretar em atrasos
gerencial Falta de equipamentos para divulgao dificultando o evento de
Gastos elevados com divulgao excedendo o valor orado
externo
0
0
comercial Propaganda no similar a essncia do produto gerando
comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento gerando impacto negativo na
comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento podendo gerar despesas no
comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento alterando o cronograma inicial
comercial Atraso do evento de lanamento retardando os possveis lucros
Empresa promotora contratada no atender s expectativas
tecnico
Problemas relativos s instalaes do local do evento podendo
tecnico
#REF!
#REF!
gerencial Ausncia do garoto propaganda no evento, levando no
0
0
#REF!
#REF!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Valor
Esperado
$410,000,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
#REF!
$0
$0
#REF!
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Resposta
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
#REF!
0
0
#REF!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Estratgia

Custo REAL Responsvel


Resposta
Acomp.
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
#REF!
$0
$0
#REF!
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Responsvel
Resposta

46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
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$0
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0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
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00/01/00
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00/01/00
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00/01/00
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00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
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0

0
0
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0
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$0
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0
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$0
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$0
$0
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$0

154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
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00/01/00
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00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0

$0
$0
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$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
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0
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0

$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0

Tipos de reao
Contingencia
Contorno

$0
Data
Valor
Ocorrncia Ocorrncia
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0

Observao

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
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$0

$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Controle das OPORTUNIDADES


Projeto:
Cliente:
Resp:

7
8
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45

2/17/2012
R$ 0

Dados do Planejamento

OPORT.
No.

Campanha de lanamento do mini-system com interface em redes sociais - CONECTUS


UFAM
RAQUEL
R$ 0

Data
Identif.
17/02/12
17/02/12
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

Categoria Evento de Oportunidade


Descrio da Oportunidade
Disponibilzar tcnicos para resolver eventuais problemas
tecnico
gerencial Analisar todo o planejamento
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Resposta

Valor
Esperado
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Estratgia

Custo REAL Responsvel


Resposta
Acomp.
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Responsvel
Resposta

46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
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00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0

$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
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$0
$0
$0
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$0
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$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
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0
0
0
0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200

00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00
00/01/00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Tipos de reao
Contingencia
Contorno

$0
Data
Valor
Ocorrncia Ocorrncia
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

Observao

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0

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