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/e$ho posto !om#r!ios algumas horas a$tes da vela de 4 horas perto (ue a!io$alos e
vou !o$ti$uar a fa,-lo' se possvel) e$do um m#todo de $ego!ia%&o de te$d-$!ia
pode haver perodos em (ue $&o h" !om#r!ios aprese$tarse' mas # !omum ver 5 ou
mais opera%es por sema$a) a parte traseira e dia$teira (ue prova este provou ser
re$t"vel mas muito depe$de de sua parada e alvo assim (ue eu $&o darei $meros
e.atos da ta.a da batida a(ui !omo eu (uero testar !ompletame$te todas as op%es
primeirame$te e a seguir eu atuali,arei este primeiro bor$e !om s estatsti!as)
Os Indicadores
s velas Hei8e$ shi s&o velas de ;pre%o m#dio;) Eles s&o !al!ulados usa$do uma m#dia
m<vel e mudar de !or de a!ordo !om essa m#dia) abertura' alta' bai.a e fe!har estas
velas represe$tam !oisas ligeirame$te difere$tes para velas $ormais ea melhor ma$eira
de obter uma se$sa%&o para eles # !olo!"los em seu gr"fi!o e ver !omo eles olham) e
vo!- tiver metatrader vo!- pode ir para um gr"fi!o de li$ha e' em seguida' defi$ir o
gr"fi!o de li$ha para ;$e$hum; $as propriedades do gr"fi!o e (ue se livrar da li$ha
dei.a$dolhe uma tela em bra$!o agrad"vel para !olo!ar suas velas H) *bserve !omo
as velas podem =s ve,es fi!ar uma !or por um lo$go perodo de tempo' !e$te$as de
pips em um gr"fi!o de 4 horas) >apturar e segurar estas te$d-$!ias lo$gas pode ser
muito re$t"vel' mas # !laro (ue $em sempre # t& o f"!il !omo tudo isso?
* 100 sma est" l" para a@udar a visuali,ar a te$d-$!ia) >omo uma regra b"si!a se o
pre%o est" a!ima da ma a te$d-$!ia # para !ima e s< (ueremos !omprar e abai.o #
para bai.o e s< (ueremos ve$der)
O Método Básico
Eu estarei afi.a$do lotes e lotes dos gr"fi!os mas !omo um esbo%o geral vo!- (uer ver
a movime$ta%&o m#dia moverse lisame$te em uma dire%&o por um perodo de tempo
!om o pre%o (ue fa, o movime$to !l"ssi!o do ,igue,ague para !ima ou para bai.o a
p"gi$a) Em uma te$d-$!ia de alta vo!- (uer ver um movime$to para !ima seguido por
um de!l$io suave $os pre%os sig$ifi!ados por velas de H verde seguido de
vermelho) Aua$do a vela H vira de volta para o verde e os sto!hasti!s fa,er uma boa
!ru, suave para o fu$do da @a$ela sto!hs' em seguida' aguarde a vela de 4 horas para
fe!har e abrir o seu !om#r!io lo$go) Em uma te $d-$!ia de bai.a vo!- (uer ver o
oposto) >omo eu digo' muitos gr"fi!os a seguir)
>omo me$!io$ado a!ima' h" algum debate sobre a melhor !ombi$a%&o de stop loss e
target para usar para !apturar o m".imo de lu!ro desses si$ais)
1B E$trar $o !om#r!io !om uma perda de 50 pip stop) Ca$te$ha o !om#r!io aberto at#
(ue as velas H volte !o$tra a te$d-$!ia de mover a perda de stop por tr"s do !om#r!io
!omo ele se move)
2B E$trar $a $ego!ia%&o !om uma perda de stop de 50 pip e um lu!ro de 50 pip pegar
move$do a perda de stop para D1 pip depois de D25 pips # ati$gido)
3B E$trar $o !om#r!io !om uma perda de 50 pip stop e ter metade do lu!ro em D25
pips move$do o resta$te para (uebrar mesmo $esse po$to e arrasta$do a perda stop
!omo o !om#r!io progride)
/e$ho !erte,a (ue e.istem outras !ombi$a%es (ue podemos te$tar e vou atuali,ar este
primeiro post = medida (ue ava$%amos)
H" mais (ue eu $&o !o$sigo lembrar agora' mas todos os a!ima me a@udou de uma
forma ou de outra' e$t&o eu re!ome$do l-los)
(ui est&o 3 $eg<!ios lu!rativos em uma fileira $o eur!ad) *bserve a m#dia m<vel
move$dose suaveme$te) +m pullba!8 basta$te bom em !ada o!asi&o seguido pelas
velas de ashi hei8e$ muda$do de !or e um bom sto!h bom !ru,ar $a dire%&o da
te$d-$!ia)
Imagem anexa (clique para ampliar)
Msto # euraud) +ma hist<ria semelha$te) *bserve (ue mesmo (ue a te$d-$!ia est"
abra$da$do estes !om#r!ios todos o!orrem $a mesma resist-$!ia hori,o$tal)
Imagem anexa (clique para ampliar)
+sd!hf a(ui)
bpusd)
s te$d-$!ias podem durar muito tempo $o fore.) em sempre # f"!il dete!tar esses
!om#r!ios = medida (ue eles o!orrem e eu vou fa,er este o ltimo gr"fi!o por
e$(ua$to' pois # muito f"!il de dete!tar estes $o passado) as pr<.imas sema$as'
espero mostrar algu$s bo$s e lu!rativos $eg<!ios !hamados bem a$tes (ue eles
a!o$te%am e vo!- logo ter" a id#ia)
Swing trading with hei!en ashi
and stochs
Hugh Briss
I started a thread a good while ago regarding a similar method of trading to this
but the core system has evolved slightly as these things tend to and so I have
decided to create a new home for people following this method.
The basic method is decepvely simple but protable. It uses very few indicators
and is trend following in nature. I like to use 4 hour charts but other people are
using other meframes successfully. lso there is a healthy debate about the
most protable stop loss and target combinaon which will be forward tested
live in the thread.
I have been posng trades a few hours before the 4 hour candle close that
triggers them and I will connue to do so if possible. Being a trend trading
method there can be periods when no trades present themselves but it is usual
to see ! or more trades per week. In back and forward tesng this has proven to
be protable but a lot depends on your stop and target so I won"t give e#act
strike rate gures here as I want to thoroughly test all the opons rst and then I
will update this rst post with the stats.
The Indicators
Heiken shi candles are +average price+ candles. They are calculated using a
moving average and change colour according to that average. The open( high(
low and close of these candles represent slightly di,erent things to normal
candles and the best way to get a feel for them is to put them on your chart and
see how they look. If you have metatrader you can go to a line chart and then
set line chart to +none+ in the chart properes and that gets rid of the line
leaving you a nice blank screen to put your H candles on. -oce how the
candles can somemes stay one colour for a long period of me( hundreds of
pips on a 4 hour chart. atching and holding on to these long trends can be very
protable but of course it is not always as easy as all that/
The $%% sma is there to help visualise the trend. s a basic rule of thumb if the
price is above the ma the trend is up and we only want to buy and below is
down and we only want to sell.
The stochascs give us informaon about the strength of the pullback in the
trend. I nd stochascs to be the best momentum based oscillator to help
visualise turns in the trend and they work very well with H candles.
I will be posng lots and lots of charts but as a general outline you want to see
the moving average moving smoothly in one direcon for a period of me with
the price making the classic 0ig 0ag movement up or down the page. In an
uptrend you want to see a move up followed by a smooth decline in prices
signied by green H candles followed by red. 1hen the H candle turns back
to green and the stochascs make a nice smooth cross towards the bo2om of
the stochs window then wait for the 4 hour candle to close and open your long
trade. In a downtrend you want to see the opposite. 3ike I say( lots of charts to
follow.
s menoned above there is some debate over the best stop loss and target
combinaon to use to capture the most prot from these signals.
$ 5nter the trade with a !% pip stop loss. Hold the trade open unl the H
candles turn back against the trend moving the stop loss behind the trade as it
moves.
6 5nter the trade with a !% pip stop loss and a !% pip take prot moving the
stop loss to 7$ pip a8er 76! pips is reached.
) 5nter the trade with a !% pip stop loss and take half prot at 76! pips moving
the remainder to break even at that point and trailing the stop loss as the trade
progresses.
I"m sure there are other combinaons that we can try and I will update this rst
post as we go along.
There are more that I can"t remember right now but all of the above helped me
in one way or another so I recommend reading them.
Here are ) protable trades in a row on eurcad. -oce the moving average
moving down smoothly. fairly smooth pullback on each occasion followed by
the heiken ashi candles changing colour and a nice smooth stoch cross in the
direcon of the trend.
Hugh Briss
ommercial :ember Aoined :ay 6%$$ )(%%C @osts
This is euraud. similar story. -oce that even though the trend is slowing
down these trades all occur at the same hori0ontal resistance.
Hugh Briss
ommercial :ember Aoined :ay 6%$$ )(%%C @osts
Dsdchf here.
Hugh Briss
ommercial :ember Aoined :ay 6%$$ )(%%C @osts
>bpusd.
Atached Image (click o enlarge)
@ost E
Fuote
?eb )( 6%$6 EG%%pm
Hugh Briss
ommercial :ember Aoined :ay 6%$$ )(%%C @osts
Trends can last a long me in fore#. It"s not always easy to spot these trades as
they occur and I"ll make this the last chart for now as it"s too easy to spot these
in the past. ver the ne#t few weeks I hope to show some good( protable
trades called well before they happen and you"ll soon get the idea.
Atached Image (click o enlarge)