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Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154

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Energy Research & Social Science


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Original research article

Towards a sociology of energy and globalization: Interconnectedness,


capital, and knowledge in the Brazilian solar photovoltaic industry
Luiz Enrique Vieira de Souza a,∗ , Alina Mikhailovna Gilmanova Cavalcante b
a
School of Electrical Engineering—Beijing Jiaotong University, Nr. 3 Shangyuancun, Haidian District, Beijing, China
b
Institute of Philosophy and Human Sciences—University of Campinas, R. Cora Coralina 100, Cidade Universitária Zeferino Vaz, Campinas, CEP 13083-896,
São Paulo, Brazil

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Brazil has enormous silicon reserves and solar irradiance levels, but the participation of solar energy in its
Received 27 January 2016 electricity mix was inexpressive until recently. However, the current policies of the Brazilian government
Received in revised form 8 July 2016 have been responsible for an increasing deployment of photovoltaic (PV) systems and thus provided more
Accepted 16 July 2016
favorable conditions for the emergence of a national PV industry. This article analyzes the development of
the Brazilian PV sector in its “interconnectedness” with the global renewable energy market and therefore
Keywords:
is presented as a contribution for the energy studies, as well as an empirical case for the “sociology of
Photovoltaic energy
globalization”. The Chinese policies for photovoltaic energy are taken as parameter for the discussion of
Brazil
China
the Brazilian experience in order to highlight the growing importance of renewable energy investments in
Renewable energy industry emerging economies and the decisive role played by the national States in pushing forward the renewable
Sociology of globalization energy industry as a strategic sector for their privileged insertion in the competitive global order.
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction tion was restricted to only 5 MW. In Brazil, PV energy was usually
deployed in remote areas without access to the transmission lines,
Mainly due to the contribution of sugar cane products (7.3%) and but even if we consider the capacity of 30 MW registered in 2011
hydropower (65.2%), the share of renewable sources accounts for for off-grid systems, the total participation of PV was still very
74.6% of the Brazilian electricity mix, thus placing the country above modest. The main reason for that was associated to the fact that
the international renewable energy (RE) average [1]. However, in other renewable energy technologies presented lower costs than
the field of solar energy the country performed poorly until 2013, PV. Therefore, PV was not listed in the PROINFA (Incentive Program
when the on-grid installed capacity for photovoltaic (PV) genera- for Alternative Sources of Electricity, decree n. 5025, 2004), which
established minimum deployment targets and a complementary
tariff for small scale hydropower stations, wind power and other
plants fueled by biomass in order to compensate the disadvantages
Abbreviations: ANEEL, National Agency of Electric Energy; BNDES, National of such technologies in relation to the more competitive prices of
Bank for Socioeconomic Development; CDB, China Development Bank; CNY, Chi- the electricity generated by conventional power plants.
nese Yuan; CO2 , carbon dioxide; EU, European Union; FCO, Midwest Development In spite of that, Brazil is currently undergoing a major turning
Fund; FDI, Foreign Direct Investments; FDNE, Northeast Development Fund; FIT,
feed in tariff; FYP, Five-Year Plan; GW, gigawatt; GWh, gigawatt-hour; IEA, Interna-
point in its policies for solar energy. The government assigned the
tional Energy Agency; kWh, kilowatt-hour; LCOE, levelized costs of electricity; MW, PV industry as a strategic sector and also established a set of mea-
megawatt; NDRC, National Development Reform Commission; PADIS, Program for sures to promote more investments in this area. The institution of
the Technological Development Support of the Semiconductor Industry; PRODEEM, the net metering system enabled the independent generators to
Program for Energy Development of States and Municipalities; ProGD, Development
feed the grid with their exceeding electricity, using it as a battery,
Program for Distributed Power Generation; PROINFA, Incentive Program for Alter-
native Sources of Electricity; PV, photovoltaic; R&D, Research and Developmen; RE, and compensate with the same amount of electricity in the periods
renewable energy; SWH, solar water heater; WTO, World Trade Organization. when solar irradiance is not enough to supply their consumption.
∗ Corresponding author. Permanent address: Center for Environmental Studies Besides, the National Agency of Electric Energy (ANEEL) has pro-
and Research—University of Campinas, Núcleo de Estudos e Pesquisas Ambientais moted several exclusive auctions for solar energy. As a result, the
(NEPAM), Rua dos Flamboyants 155, Cidade Universitária Zeferino Vaz, Campinas,
registered number of small generators rose from 189 in June 2014
CEP 13083-866, São Paulo, Brazil.
E-mail addresses: lenriquesol@yahoo.com.br (L.E.V. de Souza), to 1232 in October 2015, and the stakeholders in the PV industry
alinthik@yandex.ru (A.M.G. Cavalcante). estimate that 3.5 GW of solar energy might be deployed in the next

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2016.07.004
2214-6296/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
146 L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154

four years [2]. Moreover, the government provided the auction win- the current Brazilian solar policies are embedded. In line with the
ners with low interest rate loans on condition that they purchase “methodological cosmopolitanism” required by the object of this
local assembled PV panels. This local content rule incentivized the research, the present article aims to contribute for the investiga-
establishment of PV factories, although with uncompetitive prices tions on renewable energy deployment in emerging economies and
comparing with the imported Chinese PV panels. also investigate the emergence of the Brazilian PV industry as an
Consequently, the purpose of this article is to analyze the emer- empirical case for the social studies of globalization [4].
gence of the PV industry in Brazil and the importance of the The sociology of globalization has largely emphasized that an
measures implemented by the government to boost the national important set of phenomena—climate changes, migrations, finance
PV market. Nevertheless, a comprehensive view on this process can market, identity—can no longer be understood in reference to the
only be achieved if the Brazilian scenario is analytically situated in analytical framework of the national States [4–7]. Local transfor-
the framework of the global energy markets. First of all, because the mations are due to more complex causal chains that cannot be
discourse of climate changes to which the deployment of renew- circumscribed within national territories—and the more compact
able energies is associated, constitutes an international narrative. dimension of the global instances that followed the technological
Secondly, the energy market is highly globalized, as the research innovations in the transport and communication infrastructures
and development of RE technologies and the manufacturing value- has reconfigured the idea of national sovereignty in the sense that
chain of energy equipment are geographically distributed in several changes in the local contexts might be associated with processes
countries [3]. Finally, we argue in this article that national States that are not completely under the legislation of national authorities.
seek to promote the internal development of the renewable energy The emergence of the PV industry in Brazil will be thus analyzed
industry because they consider this sector fundamentally strategic in consonance with the principles of “methodological cosmopoli-
for the good positioning of their respective economies in the global tanism”, such as developed by Ülrich Beck [7–9]. This theory is
market. relevant because it radically questions the division between the
There is a tendency to take the existence of global energy “inside” and the “outside” of social phenomena in relation to
markets as a given, a function of the power of transnational corpo- their national borders. In the field of energy studies, it is espe-
rations and the guidelines of national energy agencies. Nonetheless, cially important because it offers an alternative reference for the
a sociological inquiry needs to go beyond givens and attributes and widespread research pattern that defines the problems of inves-
examine the making of these conditions, as well as the dynamic tigation by focusing on the deployment of a certain technology
rules according to which the involved actors design their strategies in a given country (e.g. the prospects of nuclear power in France,
[4]. Hence, our research is situated in the intersection of energy hydropower in China, wind power in Argentina). In short, one can
studies and the sociology of globalization: We will shed some light hardly provide comprehensive studies on national energy policies,
on the global circuits for capital, knowledge, investment and trade unless they are presented in connection to the dynamics of the
in the PV industry and thoroughly discuss the initiatives of the global energy markets in which they are embedded [10]. That is
Brazilian government to insert the country in the transnational PV why, rather than insulating the emerging Brazilian PV industry
production chain. from the international arena, we will focus on the process by which
Because China represents the gravitational center of the global the Brazilian government is developing measures to contribute for
PV manufacture, it will be taken as a reference for the analy- the endogenization of the global dynamics in the national solar
sis of the Brazilian case. However, rather than merely comparing industry.
these countries’ policies for the solar sector, we intend to high- Thus, we will consciously avoid treating the nation State as a
light the worldwide interconnectedness of production and markets closed unit, as well as any sort of rigid conception of the “global”
that constitutes the basis for the local development of the Brazil- and the “local” as dualistic analytical categories. The theoretical
ian industry. In other words, the concept of “interconnectedness” divergences with the “methodological nationalism” do not imply,
aims to clarify those international links that function as causal however, any underestimation of the actions taken by national gov-
implications for determining the dynamic contexts in which the ernments to place their countries in a favorable position within the
national States and energy enterprises define their plans. We will competitive world economy. Rather, we demonstrate that national
also demonstrate that in a globalized economy the interconnected States played a decisive role in enabling the capabilities for global
features of the PV sector must be dialectic identified as both coop- operation and coordination of the renewable energy market and
eration and competition. Brazil is favored by the international were also responsible for the policies that internalized the specific
research and development of solar panels, and its industry will rules of the globalized PV market in national energy planning with
initially begin as an element of a transnational chain of the PV man- the purpose of strengthening the local manufacturers and their
ufacture, but the telos underlying the governmental solar policies competitive insertion in the international arena.
was conceived according to the goal of progressively upgrading the In regard to our methodological approach, we based the argu-
Brazilian participation in the global RE markets. On the theoretical ments developed throughout this article both on primary and
level, this article investigates the emergence of the Brazilian PV secondary data. The secondary data were obtained in scientific
industry in order to shed some light on how nation States are pro- articles on the perspectives of PV energy in Brazil and China.
moting the local renewable energy industry in the context of global The existing literature raised a number of questions, though,
interconnectedness and competitiveness. that demanded the gathering of original information. Hence,
our primary data consist of five semi-structured interviews con-
ducted along 2015: In China, we interviewed Shi Jingli, an energy
2. Theoretical framework and methodological approach researcher from the Center for Renewable Energy Development and
Research Institute/National Development and Reform Commission.
The evidence of globalizing dynamics in the energy sector In Brazil, we interviewed the director Carlos Mattar and regulation
demands a corresponding theoretical view. It means that instead of specialist Daniel Vieira from the distributed generation department
following the mainstream approach in energy studies—according at ANEEL, Professor Rafael Shayani from the University of Brasilia,
to which the “nation State” is regarded as a closed unit and the as well as two representatives of the PV manufacture company:
energy policies analyzed in the context of its limited territorial Thatiane Roberto from Globo Brasil and Abdias Pontes from Mina-
jurisdiction—we intend to highlight the transboundary flows of sol, both listed in the BNDES (National Bank for Socioeconomic
capital and know-how in the renewable energy sector in which Development) catalogues of local manufactures. We also requested
L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154 147

Fig. 1. Cumulative global PV deployment and c-Si module selling prices, 2000–2014.
Source: [15].

interviews with representatives from BYD, S4 and Pure Energy, but installed capacity of solar PV from 1 GW in 2000 to 180 GW in 2014
since the requests were not replied, data about these enterprises provoked the decline of the PV module cost due to the increase in
were collected from their respective websites. the volume of production. The second element in this causal chain is
the concentration of PV facilities in China. Indeed, the Chinese gov-
3. The scaling-up and reduction costs of photovoltaic ernment has stressed the relevance of its RE industry at least since
manufacture in the north Atlantic-East Asia axis 1987, when it set up special interest-free loans for the promotion
of solar energy [14].
In 2008, China reached the worldwide peak of solar panels More generally, the accession of China to the World Trade Organi-
export, and out of the 26,000 MW shipped, nothing less than 90% zation in 2001 has also contributed for increasing the Foreign Direct
were destined to Europe and North America [11]. On the demand Investments (FDI) in the energy field and facilitating the transfer-
side, the main explanation for the considerable increase in the ence of some key renewable energy technologies along with the
purchase of solar equipment was the approval of supportive laws purchase of production equipment [16]. Siemens Solar, Sayo, Sharp,
for renewable technologies in European countries aiming at the SEC, among other international companies, promptly grasped the
accomplishment of their respective CO2 reduction targets. Ger- business opportunity and started manufacturing solar panels in
man, Spain and Italy were in the avant-garde of this process and, the Chinese territory—and the volume of capital flows grew to
even though the specific regulations followed different strategies in such extent that, in 2009, China had attracted about one third of
each country, they consisted basically in providing financial incen- the global FDI in the PV industry. Meanwhile, a new generation
tives so that renewables could overcome their cost disadvantages of Chinese solar companies was grounded and their aggressive
in relation to the conventional technologies. recruitment strategies complemented the technological learning
In Germany, the Renewable Energy Law (2000) offered large from the previous commercial exchange with foreign companies.
subsidies and government loans for RE producers, besides institut- According to Tour et al. [3], some highly skilled executives from the
ing the obligation for electric utilities to purchase all the electricity Chinese diaspora built the pioneer PV firms and managed to fill the
generated by alternative sources. These measures were responsible leading positions within their enterprises with other Chinese engi-
for increasing the German solar power generation from 64 kWh in neers and executives who, like themselves, had previously received
2000 to 28,060 GWh in 2012. The USA followed a different path and foreign training.
presented varied policies according to the legal framework of each These processes were in consonance with the governmental
State. The Investment Tax Credit (ITC), for instance, encouraged mid- to long-term economic goal of gradually restructuring the
investments in solar energy by reducing the tax liability for indi- country’s position in the international division of labour (NDRC,
viduals or businesses willing to acquire solar technologies. Along 2012). China would be supposed to abandon its condition of “fac-
with fiscal incentives, power purchase agreements and residential tory of the world” to assume the historic opportunity of presenting
solar leases also contributed for the United States to reach a PV itself as a major technology and innovation hub in East Asia. In other
cumulative capacity of 7.2 GW in 2012 [12]. words, it would imply moving the emphasis of its industrial policies
Therefore, the political interventions of some Northern coun- from the pollution intensive manufacture of low value-added prod-
tries appear as the first causal element for the observed reduction in ucts towards the scaling-up of high value-added renewable energy
the levelized costs of PV electricity (LCOE)—per-kilowatt hour cost equipment and other low-carbon technologies [17]. Therefore, the
of building and operating a generating plant over an assumed finan- central government identified the PV industry as a key element
cial life and duty cycle [13]. The “visible hand” of some developed in this strategy and included solar panels in the Catalog of Chi-
nations created incentives that pushed up the additional demand nese High-Technology Products for Export (2006), commercializing
for solar energy and the prices of PV panels decreased substantially them at preferential rates.
in the course of a few years (see Fig. 1). The growth in cumulative
148 L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154

The easy access to finance is certainly one of the reasons why policies succeeded in displacing the more cosmopolitan envi-
China became such an auspicious place for the development of the ronmental concerns. On the Chinese side, they exacerbated the
PV industry. However, another decisive factor for the competitive- “overcapacity crisis” in the PV sector, which by its turn made it clear
ness of the Chinese solar panels in international markets is the that the renewable energy policies designed by the Chinese cen-
inexpensive price of the electricity consumed by local industries. tral authorities had been driven by the “growth imperative” rather
The PV value-chain is energy intensive, and electricity consump- than by the “green imperative” [25]. Before the commercial restric-
tion is responsible for about 35% of the costs of polycrystalline tions in the overseas markets, China exported more than 90% of its
silicon [18,19]. In this sense, the low prices enabled by the large solar panels, while domestic PV deployment was not particularly
predominance of coal-fired thermal plants in the Chinese energy relevant.
mix provided a major contribution for the reduction costs of locally In face of this scenario, the next section discusses how the
produced solar panels [20]. Of course the reduction of costs derived Chinese government managed to prevent its national PV sector
from the gains in scale and learning curve are in the core of the mar- from breaking down. We will show that new incentive policies for
ket hegemony of Chinese-made solar panels, but such factors were domestic deployment were issued and, as a consequence of that,
actually enabled by the comparatively low prices of the electric- the installed capacity experienced an exponential growth in the
ity consumed by local industries. Thus, the environmental paradox country. We will also argue that, even though such policies were
of the local PV industry is becoming competitive due to the price responsible for increasing the participation of solar energy in the
advantages of coal power. In other words, the advantages of PV Chinese energy mix, they were not fully efficient in coping with
deployment in terms of reducing greenhouse gases emissions are the “oversupply” in the PV sector. This pushed the solar industry
diminished when the solar panels are produced with electricity once again to foreign markets and, since the “overcapacity crisis”
from highly pollutant coal plants, but competitiveness in the world contributed for a further reduction in the prices of solar cells, China
market is measured by prices and not by life-cycle assessment cri- could turn its production and commercialization strategies towards
teria. Southern countries, among which Brazil is also included.
However, the decisions from Northern countries to interpose
commercial barriers against Chinese solar panels were not based
on any life-cycle assessment consideration. Rather, it was an ini-
tiative to protect their respective national industries against the 4. Strategies for coping with “overcapacity”: domestic
cheaper prices of made-in-China solar cells. Indeed, the Chinese deployment and diversification of the Chinese photovoltaic
PV sector succeeded in following the “go global” directive pre- market
sented in the 10th FYP. Suntech, Trina Solar, Solarfun, Yingli, JA
Solar and China Sunergy were listed either in the Nasdaq or in the The restrictions imposed by Northern countries do not config-
New York Stock Exchange, enabling the attraction of international ure any peculiarity of the PV field; rather, they exemplified one of
capital, enhancing its international public image and highlighting the patterns in the trade relations between North-Atlantic coun-
these enterprises’ international competitiveness. All these factors tries and China. Neither the United States nor the European Union
together helped Chinese companies to increase the volume of pro- remains among the ninety-seven nations who had granted China
duction, while some European or North American companies were “Market Economy Status” until 2009. North-Atlantic countries are,
going bankrupt. Some of those who managed to escape bankruptcy actually, those responsible for a large part of the dozens of anti-
were merging with their Chinese competitors, like the example dumping investigations and countervailing duties faced by China
of KSL Kutler (Germany), which was partially acquired by Suntech every year in the World Trade Organization [26]. According to the
Power in 2008 [21]. The statistics of International Energy Agency terms of its accession to the WTO, China will automatically be qual-
(IEA) [18] testifies this process showing that about one quarter of ified as “Market Economy Status” in 2016. This assured promotion
the 88,000 existing jobs in the German PV industry in 2012 has helps us to understand the non-confrontational approach adopted
since been lost—either because the companies were driven off the by Beijing towards the accusations of “unfair trade”.
market or because they moved to East Asia in order to catch up the However, it is important to have in mind that the PV industry
competitiveness trend. generates employment and income in more than 300 out of 600 Chi-
The competition with Chinese manufacturers had been severely nese cities, accounting for 1.6 million employees in 2014 [27]. Total
aggravated by the economic crisis of 2008. Fiscal concerns pushed production value for the manufacturing side of the sector exceeded
Germany and Spain to review the Feed in Tariff (FIT) mecha- 200 billion Yuan (approx. US$31.5 billion) for the first three quar-
nisms, under which the system generators receive the fix amount ters of 2015 [28]. Therefore, the potential negative impacts in terms
that added to the electricity price or generation cost. Many coun- of job and social stability have led the central government to com-
tries reduced the FIT payments, while the British government pensate the vertical drops in the total value of PV exports with
announced that it would cut 50% of the subsidies given to the solar massive programs for domestic deployment [29]. Previously, only a
industry [22]. In order to avoid the collapse of native PV manufac- small fraction of the production output was destined for the gener-
turers, the European Commission approved in 2013 anti-dumping ation of electricity within the Chinese territory—usually in remote
duties on imports of solar panels of 47% on Chinese solar goods rural areas where the installation of solar panels was more cost-
in response to the complaints of dumping posed by the Germany- effective than the extension of the grid lines: “Brightness Program”
based SolarWorld [23]. Something similar had taken place in the (1996) and “Township Electrification Program” (2002) [30].
USA in the previous year, when the US Department of Commerce This scenario has drastically changed since 2008, when PV
imposed anti-dumping tax rates of 18.3%–249.9% on Chinese solar solar capacity in China consisted of merely 140 MW. The cen-
cells, besides a final countervailing tax rate of 14.7%–15.9% [24]. tral government issued a set of measures destined to relieve the
These protectionist interventions revealed a double contradic- PV industry from its setbacks in the international market. The
tion. On the side of Northern countries, it highlighted that the real China Development Bank (CDB) gave 250 billion CNY (Chinese
obstacles for the achievement of a new energy paradigm go far Yuan) of extension credit to the sector and opened a line of credit
beyond the argument that blames the higher prices of the electricity of US$ 30 billion for Chinese solar cell and module manufac-
generated by renewables. It suffices to say that Chinese PV prod- turers [17]. Along with the subsidized loans, the State was also
ucts were 30% cheaper than US solar panels before the approval responsible for the further acceleration of the demand through
of the anti-dumping tax rates, but strictly nationalist industry ambitious solar programs—“Golden Sun Program” and “Rooftop
L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154 149

Fig. 2. Global Horizontal Irradiance in Brazil.


Source: [39].

Subsidy Program”—and the implementation of a nationwide FIT for the authorities [31]. Besides, the provinces located in the west of
PV electricity [24]. the Gobi desert—Qinghai, Ningxia, Gansu, Xinjiang—concentrate an
The incentives resulted in exponential growth of the PV installed important proportion of the country’s solar plants, but they are very
capacity. The initial target set in the “12th FYP for Renewable Energy distant from the biggest cities and the insufficient grid coverage is
Development in China” was 5 GW, but in 2012 the national statistics a barrier for transmitting the large surplus of PV electricity to the
had already registered 8 GW of cumulative installation. Hence, the main consumption centers [32].
deployment goals for the period were rediscussed and increased In other words, the large-scale deployment of solar energy in
several times, until the government finally set up the purpose of China was enabled by a set of measures taken by the central gov-
reaching 35 GW by the end of 2015. In interview with the authors, ernment to compensate the adverse scenario in North-Atlantic
a professor from the Center for Renewable Energy Development markets after 2008 and create demand for the PV industry in face of
Energy Research Institute (NDRC) informed that the target had been its overcapacity crisis. On the one hand, these subsidies constituted
achieved six months before the schedule and that policy-makers the turning point for domestic deployment and thus contributed for
were considering doubling this number in 2017. In case such trade further reductions in the costs of solar panels. On the other hand,
is confirmed, China will rank not only as the main PV manufacturer, such policies followed an erratic pattern, inflating the “overcapacity
but also as the hugest market for solar panels worldwide [31]. crisis”, instead of successfully managing it [17]. The crisis is partic-
However, the increment in PV installations also presented some ularly acute in the downstream sectors of the PV value-chain in
deficiencies and exacerbated the structural overcapacity of the virtue of their comparatively lower technological and investment
Chinese PV industry. In the past, the main problems were associ- entrance requisites—and the consequences are seen as some enter-
ated to the lack of supervision on PV systems. As we mentioned prises suspend the production entirely, while others operate with
above, the government sought to use solar panels for provid- a capacity utilization of only 20–30% [33].
ing electricity to millions of people living in remote areas of the The further accelerated growth of the Chinese PV sector has
impoverished Western and Northwestern provinces, but it did implied that many producers registered very low or even negative
not offer training programs to qualify the local workforce for an balances. According to the government’s strategy, the resolution
adequate maintenance of those systems. More recently, the large- of the overcapacity crisis will necessarily push several manufac-
scale deployment of solar panels was not accompanied by an turers into bankruptcy, but at the same time will qualify the
equivalent increase in the use of solar electricity, for in provinces remaining ones for a more competitive position in the international
like Xinjiang nearly half of the electricity output was curtailed in market. On the global level, this strategy also implies the diversi-
September 2015. The reason for the “idle capacity” of PV plants is fication of Chinese exports towards Southern countries. Although
associated with the reluctance from grid companies to purchase the Japanese share increased six-fold between 2011 and 2013, thus
an amount of solar electricity above the quotas determined by becoming the main importer of Chinese solar goods, the declining
150 L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154

Fig. 3. Share of renewable and non-renewable energy sources in the Brazilian energy mix.
Source: [42].

prices have reoriented the international flows of PV equipment, of the access to electricity. Solar energy was included as part of the
augmenting the portion of developing countries from 6% to 23% in program both in its PV and solar water heater (SWH) variants and
the same interval [34]. in different types of applications, such as lightening, water heating
The destinies of Chinese solar panels are mostly concentrated and water bumping.
in East and Southern Asia, but Africa and Latin America have also However, the cost-effectiveness ratio that provided the initial
gained importance. Taiwan, Vietnam and Indonesia developed local impulse for the deployment of solar energy in the country was also
factories that have close interactions with Chinese producers and responsible for excluding PV technology from the PROINFA. While
became part of a regional value-chain. They manufacture solar com- in the first case the installation of solar systems disobliged the gov-
ponents that will be assembled in China and from there reexported ernment from building transmission lines, in the second case the
to dozens of countries. Due to the implementation of “feed-in tar- price of PV electricity was considered disadvantageous in compari-
iffs”, South Africa imported US$ 456 million out of the US$ 531 son to small hydro power plants, biomass and wind energy. Hence,
million PV cells and modules shipped to Africa in 2013, but other the lack of incentive policies has created a situation in which—in
countries like Nigeria, Ghana and Kenya were gained by the Chinese spite of Brazilian’s huge solar resources (see Fig. 2)—PV energy
solar market as well [34]. barely provides any contribution to the national energy mix [37,38].
Latin America still occupies a peripheral position in the inter- From the sustainability standpoint, promoting the further diver-
national flows of solar investments. In the total balance of Chinese sification of the Brazilian energy supply through PV deployment
FDI to the Brazilian electricity market, only one project is related to would not only be convenient in face of the recent “carbonization
the PV sector—US$ 50 million are announced to be invested by BYD trend” of the country’s power sector (see Fig. 3), but also due to
to establish PV manufacture facilities. Chile is the forerunner of PV the seasonal complementary nature of solar and hydropower [40].
energy in the region, while Mexico appears as a strategic partner The remaining potential for large-scale hydropower is located in
for the potential role that this country can play as a pivotal basis the Amazon basin, turning it into a politically controversial issue
for Chinese exports to the United States [2]. Due to zero tariffs for because of the ecological impacts of flooding parts of the rain forest
solar cells import established in Mexico, the Chinese manufactur- and the social impacts resulting from the relocation of traditional
ers install their production and assembly of solar panels and then populations. Besides, one must consider that the current change
export the final product to Americas with zero tariffs [35]. Brazil in climate patterns has caused severe droughts in the Southeast
figures only at the 27th position in relation to Chinese PV exports region, where a considerable portion of the operating hydropower
to developing countries, but it may also be considered strategic to units are located. This has affected the power supply and the energy
the PV market due to its huge solar resources and silicon reserves. shortages are being compensated with coal- and gas-fired plants
In the next section, we will focus on the emergence of the Brazilian [41]. Finally, the participation of RE in the Brazilian electricity mix is
PV industry as a result of the policies implemented by the federal considerably higher than the international average, which implies
government to increase the share of solar electricity in its energy that the production of solar panels in Brazil would result in lower
mix and to position the country among the global players of the PV emissions of greenhouse gases than in China. However, as we state
sector. below, a major problem for the Brazilian PV industry might be the
expensive costs of electricity and taxes, meaning that local solar
5. Brazilian policies on solar energy: catalyzing the internal panels might be less competitive in the world-market in spite of its
demand as a primary step for “going global” more environmentally beneficial life-cycle assessment.
The domestic solar PV industry in Brazil is still fairly undevel-
Similarly as in China, the first PV systems in Brazil were installed oped, with actors missing along many stages of the value chain.
as part of the guidelines to provide access to electricity in remote Despite the ample availability of silicon, no solar cell manufactur-
areas. In 1994, the national government created the PRODEEM (Pro- ers exist yet. There are some big companies like RIMA or Minasligas
gram for Energy Development of States and Municipalities), which that are leaders in the silicon metal market and have the technical
was intended to promote energy services for communities distant conditions to produce solar grade silicon. However, the commercial
from the conventional grid, mainly in the North and Northeast production would be possible only with the reduction of electricity
regions [36]. The program “Light for All” (decree 4.873, 11.11.2003) prices for the industrial sector (as it is an electricity intensive pro-
might be seen as a development of PRODEEM, but its goals are more cess) or subsidies in order to scale up the production to the export
ambitious in the sense that it aims at the complete universalization
L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154 151

level [43]. Otherwise, the solar cells produced in Brazil will not be of the Brazilian PV sector is intrinsically global in the view of a) the
able to compete with the Chinese ones. transnational flow of components to be assembled as a final “solar
Moreover, Brazil lacks to date an adequate industrial policy that good”; b) the potential interest of foreign investors, since compa-
could promote a competitive PV manufacture and local produc- nies from different countries are investigating the possibilities to
ers face a much higher tax burden than in other countries. While establish solar factories in Brazil and c) the domestic deployment
the wind sector enjoys tax exemption for its components (towers, of PV energy as a necessary step for scaling up the production in
blades and some of the electrical components), PV raw materials order to make the Brazilian industry an international player in the
and fabrication equipment face from 40% to 60% taxes, mostly due PV sector.
to ICMS tax (value-added tax on sales and services). The Brazilian As a matter of fact, the Brazilian industry is represented only at
government had a tax incentive program PADIS (Program for the the extremes of the PV value chain. The fabrication of solar panels
Technological Development Support of the Semiconductor Indus- is a quite verticalized process—and besides the above mentioned
try) for the semiconductor industry that ended in May 2015. The RIMAS and Minasligas, which supply a large volume of metallurgical
program permitted the reduction of certain federal taxes in order grade silicon—the national production consists basically of module
to encourage the production of microelectronic goods. Nonethe- manufacturers (e.g. Tecnometal and Globo Brasil). That means that
less, the PADIS could provide tax exemption for only 20% of inputs the local companies at the downstream level of the PV value chain
and machinery of the solar industry, like PV panels and solar cells are responsible for assembling the components—polycrystalline
[44]. silicon, ingot, wafers, solar cells—imported from other countries
In spite of that, the Brazilian government has recently estab- [40]. In its infancy, the Brazilian industry is situated in a periph-
lished the objective of promoting a “turning point” in its policies eral position of the existing international PV circuits of research,
for the development of the PV sector. In 2014, ANEEL carried out production and market. According to the government’s strategy,
the first exclusive auction for solar energy with the sale of almost the acceleration of the national demand and the clauses of local
900 MW and guaranteed price for twenty years [45]. This approach content for public financing are going to support the spreading of
was reinforced in November 2015 with a new exclusive auction in the Brazilian industry towards all segments of PV production and
which 1115 MW of PV generation were negotiated at the average compensate its current underdevelopment.
price of BRL 297.75/MWh (US$ 78) [46]. Thus, the reservation of The global interconnectedness of the Brazilian PV industry is
a certain quota for solar energy was successful in overcoming the also remarkable in what concerns the building up of its infrastruc-
competition between PV and other RE technologies, as well as in ture. Inasmuch as Brazil represents a huge potential market for PV
providing the investors with signals that the government will play energy, foreign companies from North-Atlantic and Asiatic coun-
an important role in creating a massive demand for solar cells and tries are currently evaluating different investment approaches that
modules. The perspective is that at least 3.5 GW of PV electricity would enable them to take their profit shares in the Brazilian mar-
will be deployed in Brazil until 2021 [47]. ket. One possible path is taking part in solar auctions with projects
Another important similarity with the Chinese case is that the developed in cooperation with Brazilian stakeholders. That is what
Brazilian government intends to use the public financial sector happened, for instance, when Canadian Solar won three solar PV
as a tool to boost the national PV industry. More specifically, projects totaling 144 MW in the state of Minas Gerais in partner-
the National Bank for Socioeconomic Development (BNDES) will ship with Brazilian PV developer Solatio [50]. Another modality
concede loans at preferential rates for the projects in which the of “global investment” was exemplified by the Chinese industrial
local content clauses—also known as nationalization factor—are group BYD that recently announced the intention of expending US$
observed. Indeed, the strategy consists of a roadmap for reverting 50 million for setting up a manufacturing facility in Campinas [51].
the underdevelopment of the Brazilian PV industry so that national The German Solar-Cluster is pointing out to a similar direction, con-
manufacturers can progress to all stages of the PV production chain sidering the feasibility for the establishment of a PV manufacturing
and consolidate a relative autonomy in the sector [48]. plant with annual capacity of 680 MW in the state of Paraná [52].
According to the “Progressive Nationalization Plan”, the condi- Pure Energy—the filial of Italian holding aRegran, declared a very
tions for being benefited by the financial incentives given by the ambitious plan not only of building a factory to produce PV pan-
BNDES in the period between 2014 and 2017 require that the mod- els, but also to construct a pilot PV and concentrated solar power
ules should be assembled in Brazil and its frame must be sourced plants [53]. Furthermore, one must also consider the links with
within the country. It is also expected that the electrical compo- foreign capital through the import of the equipment and the corre-
nents and the support of the system will be locally manufactured. sponding technology transfer for the manufacture of solar panels
From 2018 to 2019, the junction box and the inverter must be added (interview with Abdias Pontes, representative of Minasol). Although
to the previous list. From 2020 onwards, the national production of Globo Brasil is a company founded exclusively with national capital,
solar cells is also a requisite for public financing, completing thus its machineries were imported from China and Switzerland, among
the evolution of the Brazilian industry to all stages of the PV produc- other countries [54].
tion chain. In order to accelerate this process, those manufacturers Finally, it must be highlighted that in the very core of the incen-
who add locally the items not yet required by the schedule will tives given by the Brazilian government lies the objective of pushing
receive a bonus, if they are sourced in Brazil [49]. forward the competitiveness of the national PV industry so that it
The Brazilian government expects a gradual increase of the local might catch up with its international competitors and “go global”.
content in the PV value chain during the next few years. Hence, The reason for that is the current rate of expansion of PV sys-
the national features of the emergence of the PV industry in Brazil tems worldwide. Solar panels have been deployed much faster than
are noticeable both in regard to the importance of the State inter- expected and the total global capacity overtook 180 GW in early
ventions in creating a set of new rules destined to promote the 2014. According to the IEA [18], PV energy might achieve 4600 GW
increase of PV energy through the compensation of its current of installed capacity and respond for 16% of the world consumption
higher levelized costs of electricity, as well as in the stimulus for the of electricity by 2050. Although a latecomer in this field, Brazilian
progressive upgrading of local manufacturers along the PV value recent energy policies aim at reproducing the successful experi-
chain. However, another remarkable characteristic of this process is ences of biomass and wind energy and turn the country into one of
its “global interconnectedness”. Even though the reasons underly- the international poles of the solar industry.
ing the incentives given by the Brazilian government are associated In this sense, the Brazilian experience in the manufacture of
to the interest of promoting the national economy, the formation wind turbines presents a valuable example for the comprehension
152 L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154

of the direction pursued by the solar policies. In August 2012, Brazil respective synergies between domestic and global markets. While
had already surpassed the milestone of 2 GW of wind generation the Chinese PV sector emerged as a result of the demand from
with perspectives for the further development of 7 GW and 16 GW North Atlantic countries and only in a second moment turned its
by 2016 and 2020, respectively. The domestic escalation was a con- production flows towards internal deployment, the Brazilian expe-
sequence of the national incentives given by PROINFA and resulted rience is based on a set of measures to explore the huge domestic
in a large volume of exports of wind turbines. In 2013, more than potential for solar generation as a platform for the development
a dozen local manufacturers were employing high qualified work- of the national industry as one of the international poles for the
ers and supplying wind turbines for the domestic, as well as for the production of solar goods.
Argentinian, North American and European markets [55]. However,
the Brazilian policies were focused on creating a market for wind
energy, missing out on technology policies and the stimulation of
technology learning that seems to repeat with PV technology [56]. 6. Conclusion
Along with the exclusive solar auctions, the regulation of net
metering systems seems to be a far-reaching measure announced The purpose of this article was to investigate the emergence
by the Brazilian government to enlarge the contribution of PV of the PV industry in Brazil within the theoretical framework
electricity in the national energy mix and thus catalyze the local of “methodological cosmopolitanism” [9]. For a comprehensive
PV industry. In the Brazilian case, net metering systems tend understanding of the phenomenon analyzed, an approach that
to be particularly effective for the distributed generation of PV encompasses the global dynamics of the renewable energy mar-
power—small scale technologies to produce electricity close to the ket has proven to be more enlightening than a narrow insulation
end users of power—because of the high electricity prices charged of the national energy policies and their effects on the local solar
in the residential and commercial sectors of urban centers. In manufactures. Hence, we focused on the globally interconnected
2012, residential tariffs averaged 0.17 D /(kWh), reaching as high aspects of the rising Brazilian PV sector and the transboundary
as 0.27 D /(kWh) in Belo Horizonte, compared to 0.15 D /(kWh) in causalities that impelled the State to create incentive mechanisms
the European Union [57]. for the development of this strategic industry.
In Brazil, residential tariffs vary according to the consumption We demonstrated that the interventions of national States were
level, and the more expensive tariffs are paid by the higher income the leading factor in the creation of an international PV mar-
dwellings in order to subsidize the energy supply to the lower ket. In Europe, the German and Spanish governments approved
income dwellings [42]. Actually, 67% of the residential consumer “feed-in tariffs” for PV electricity and this mechanism contributed
units are not included in the social category benefited by subsidized for an exponential increase in the demand for solar panels. In
tariffs, and the possibility of exchanging the exceeding PV electric- China, the central authorities designated the renewable energy
ity with the grid provided by the net metering systems has created a industry as one of the priority economic sectors, which caused
scenario in which PV distributed generation already achieved parity the accelerated growth of the PV companies under the influence
price with grid companies in some Brazilian big cities. Grid parity of preferential loans, on the one hand, and the massive demand
price is a stage of development of the PV technology, at which it is from North Atlantic countries, on the other hand. Furthermore, the
competitive with conventional electricity sources [58]. PV installa- State institutions assumed the task of safeguarding the interests of
tions will become even more advantageous in the following years their respective national solar industries. Northern governments
due to the combination of a) rising of the average electricity con- imposed protectionist measures against the more competitive
sumption in the residential and commercial sectors, b) building up Chinese companies, while China reacted to the vertical drop in
costs of long distance transmission lines and c) higher participation international sales with large scale programs for domestic deploy-
of gas-fired plants tends to create further pressures in the electricity ment of PV energy.
price [41]. This process resulted in substantial reduction costs of solar
A further step into the creation of incentives for the large-scale goods, allowing Southern countries to participate in the PV mar-
production of national solar panels was the recent announcement ket in spite of their tighter financial constraints. In this context,
of the “Development Program for Distributed Power Generation” the Brazilian government also reoriented its conservative approach
(ProGD). The Ministry of Mines and Energy predicts an invest- towards solar energy, announcing exclusive auctions for PV gen-
ments of BRL 100 billion (US$26 billions) for distributed generation eration that mitigated the concurrence between solar and other
projects until 2030 [59,60]: due to the work that will be done by RE technologies. In view of the constantly increasing electricity
various working groups in charge to resolve financial, regulation prices, the government also established a net metering system
and many other barriers for distributed generation. Solar energy is in order to anticipate grid parity—turning PV installations into a
intended to be one of the main focuses of the program inasmuch as cost-effective possibility for distributed generation, which might
PV systems occupies 90% of distributed power generation in Brazil explore the huge potentials of the Brazilian market and thus boost
and could be easily installed on the rooftops of public buildings the production of local solar industries [61]. In line with this pur-
such as hospitals, schools and universities. pose, the amount of BRL 100 billion that is expected to be invested
However, the current political and economic situation brings due to the results of ProGD program is another favorable indication
uncertainty for the PV market: The interest rates are increasing, for the massive deployment of solar distributed systems in Brazil.
the devaluation of Brazilian Real is continuing and many devel- The Brazilian PV sector emerges in a global context in which
opers who won the previous solar auction could not deliver the Asia is the gravitational center of the PV industry. However, the
PV plants at the winning price anymore. Only around 25% from current situation has also opened development opportunities for
the total amount of PV installed capacity contracted on the first other emerging economies. South-South trade is the most dynamic
auction has been delivered, mostly due to speculation on the mar- segment of the international trading system and environmental
ket because some developers win the auction planning to sell the goods—products to measure, prevent, limit, minimize or correct
projects to the potential investors [59]. environmental damages—became an important component of this
In case the national energy policies succeed in turning the coun- growth [34]. This is also valid for the case of the PV market, for
try into an international center for the manufacture of solar panels, the Chinese hegemony in this field is not entirely contradictory
Brazil will have followed the inverse path that characterized the with a geographic dispersal of solar manufactures. Actually, the PV
global emergence of the Chinese PV industry in what regards their industry is still in its consolidation phase and there is a window of
L.E.V. de Souza, A.M.G. Cavalcante / Energy Research & Social Science 21 (2016) 145–154 153

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