Rápido e Devagar - Duas Formas de Pensar - Kahneman-Daniel

Thinking, Fast and Slow
Biology Letters Biology Letters Mind Sights
Science Science
Science
Science The American Psychologist
The American Psychological Association
Thinking, fast and slow

Em memória de Amos Tversky
grosso modo
availability heuristic
K
K
K L N R V
Science
Science
intuitive expertise
The Black Swan
A lógica do cisne negro
bias
tendency inclination
propensity prone tend trend
biased/unbiased
Rule of thumb
Social science
gamble bet
Sistema 1
Sistema 2
a
pay attention
O gorila invisível
maiúscula minúscula
não
sabe
ver
ilusões
cognitivas
sonhem
Scientific American
O gorila invisível
K
timing
Attention and Effort

task sets
f
Baseline
task switching
fluxo flow
optimal
experience
cognitivamente ocupadas
esgotamento do ego ego depletion

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
mais baixa
Rationality and the
Reflective Mind
racionalidade inteligência
fluxo
bananas vômito
associativamente coerente.
Investigação sobre o
entendimento humano
PRIMING
efeito de priming priming effect
priming
priming
acha ele isso

amarelo instantaneamente
Flórida, esquecido, careca,
grisalho ruga
priming
velho
priming
esquecido velho solitário

priming
The Far Side

PRIMINGS
priming
priming
priming
alto um salário mesa pagar

pagar um alto salário primings
priming
priming
primings
priming
a seu respeito
priming
priming
pence
pence
Strangers to Ourselves
PRIMING
prime
conforto cognitivo cognitive ease
tensão cognitiva cognitive strain

ilusão
pastness’
porque você o verá mais claramente

gira
ilusões de veracidade truth illusions
efeito de mera
exposição mere exposure effect
kadirga saricik biwonjni nansoma iktitaf.

queijo
céu
sonho bola livro
dive, light, rocket sonho bola livro
priming
mar
Cottage
Dive
menos
algo cimento
normas
A lógica do cisne negro
batedor de carteira
pontos turísticos
víamos
impressões
intencional
você
The Atlantic
O que nos faz felizes
descrer
whitefish eats candy
a dinca is a flame
viés de confirmação
confirmation bias
estratégia de teste de positivo (positive test strategy

bank
stubborn
decorrelate error
A sabedoria das multidões

pool
Primazia do Existir
corrupta cruel
não
what you see is all there
is
overconfidence
framing effects
base-rate neglect
j umping to conclusions
bank
avaliações básicas basic assessments
mental shotgun
avaliação básica
heurística de julgamento
task
set
variáveis tipo soma sum-
like variables
Exxon Valdez
mais
equiparação matching
bacamarte mental
intensity matching
physique du rôle
substituição
heurística
heureca
A arte de resolver problemas

Pergunta-Alvo Pergunta Heurística
heurística do afeto affect heuristic
New York Times
hot hand
efeito de ancoragem
Science
priming
PRIMING
priming
sol praia geada esqui
priming
priming
priming
priming
priming
heurística da disponibilidade
viés de disponibilidade
não
cascata de
disponibilidade availability cascade
The
Killing Ground
probability neglect
taxa-base base rate
representatividade
democracia beleza
Moneyball
New York Times
New York Times

sempre
deve
falácia
falácia da conjunção
plausíveis
avaliação
conjunta
avaliação isolada
deve
menos é mais
deve
probabilidade
A
L
frequency representation
Taxas-base estatísticas
Taxas-base causais
Estereotipar
regressão à média
Edge
e
Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
não
escores-Z
coeficiente de correlação
Judgment in Managerial Decision Making
Scholastic Aptitude Test Grade Point Average
Fontes do poder
grade point average

inteligente brilhante criativo instruído culto erudito sábio apaixonado
perfeccionista
grade point average

unbiased
A lógica do cisne negro falácia narrativa
sabia
saber
saber
Saber
intuição premonição
viés retrospectivo hindsight bias
impeachment
viés de
resultado outcome bias
Washington Post
a
posteriori
The Halo Effect
Feitas para durar
Feitas para durar
Feitas para durar
In Search of Excellence
Fortune
ilusão de validade
ilusão de
habilidade
A Random Walk Down Wall Street

smart money
traders
traders
traders
A lógica cisne negro
Expert Political Judgement: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
status quo
The New York Times

Clinical vs. Statistical Prediction: A
Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence
previsões clínicas
estatísticas
priming
input
Checklist
New York Times
down
input
paper Fontes de
poder
Blink: a decisão num piscar de olhos
kouros
kouros
recognition-primed decision
’ Twas brillig, and the slithy toves
Did gyre and gimble in the wabe:
All mimsy were the borogoves,
And the mome raths outgrabe
zero-validity environment
viés
inside view
outside view
visão de dentro
alguma coisa
previsão de linha de base baseline prediction

previsão de
linha de base
visão de fora
falácia do planejamento
prognóstico com base na classe de referência reference class forecasting
sunk-cost fallacy
private equity títulos de alto risco
hubris hypothesis
wishful thinking
ilusão de controle
above-average effect
competition neglect
Superconfiança
on the other hand

antemortem
PRÉ-MORTEM
pré-mortem
Psicologia
matemática
simple gambles
Econometrica
Econometrica
Science
framing effects
prospect theory
mudança
pontos de referência
seguro pior
ponto de referência
status quo
avessas à perda
status quo
não
status quo
status quo
status quo
efeito dotação
endowment effect
ter
abrir mão
ter
ter
putt par
birdie
guerra crime
paz amor
vômito
status
quo
par
par
birdie par bogey

par
putt bogey
putt birdie
par putt birdie foregone

gain
putt par bogey
putt birdie putts
putt
putt par birdie
par bogey birdie
putt birdies
par
putts
birdie bogey
putts
putts par
birdie
STATUS QUO
status quo
American
Economic Review
Putt birdie par
expectation principle
efeito de
possibilidade possibility effect
efeito de certeza certainty effect
princípio de expectativa
deve
não
padrão quádruplo fourfold pattern
não
têm
número
denominator
neglect
querem
escolha partindo da
experiência choice from experience escolhas partindo da
descrição choices from description
domina
narrow framing
broad framing
depois de multiplicar cada perda por um fator de 2
enquadramento amplo
política de
risco
putt bogey
birdie
efeito de disposição disposition effect
enquadramento estreito
sunk-cost fallacy
aversão à perda acentuada enhanced loss
aversion
American Economic Review
hipótese de avaliabilidade evaluability hypothesis
significado
significado
perdas custos
delimitadas pelo quadro
delimitadas pela realidade
Choice and Consequence
Science
Nudge: o, empurrão
para a escolha certa
utilidade
Introdução aos princípios da moral e da legislação
dor
prazer
utilidade
utilidade
experimentada experienced utility
wantability utilidade de decisão

decision utility
peak-end rule
duration neglect
duration-weighted
não
eu experiencial experiencing self
eu recordativo remembering self
cold-pressor
La Traviata
La Traviata
inesquecível
escolhem por
lembrança
fluxo
dream team
U-index unpleasant state
previsão
afetiva affective forecasting
ilusão de foco focusing illusion
Quando
quando pensa sobre ele

miswanting28
miswanting
felicidade
miswanting
miswanting
racional
priming
Irracional
Liberdade de escolher
A Theory of Rational Addiction

Nudge
Nudge
Nudge
premortem
Amos Tversky e Daniel Kahneman
Insensibilidade à probabilidade de resultados

a priori
a priori
a priori
a priori
a priori
a priori
a priori
Insensibilidade a tamanho amostral
a posteriori
a posteriori
a priori
a posteriori a posteriori
Concepções errôneas da possibilidade Misconceptions of chance
chance expectation
Insensibilidade à previsibilidade
A ilusão de validade
grade point average
Concepções errôneas de regressão
X Y
X X k Y
Y k
Vieses devido à recuperabilidade das ocorrências
Vieses devidos à efetividade de um aj uste de busca

r r
r road r
car
r k
pensamento amor porta água
porta
Vieses de imaginabilidade
k k
k
k k k
k k k
Correlação ilusória
Aj uste insuficiente
Vieses na avaliação de eventos conj untivos e disj untivos

Ancoragem na avaliação das distribuições de probabilidade subj etiva
X
X
X
X X
X X
X X
X X
X X
X X
wishful thinking
a priori
Psychological Review
Cognitive Psychology
Formal Representation of Human Judgment
Psychological Bulletin
Cognitive
Psychology
Memory &
Cognition
Journal of
Abnormal Psychology
Journal of Abnormal Psychology
Organizational Behavior & Human Performance

Organizational Behavior & Human
Performance
British Journal of Psychology
Acta Psychologica
Journal of the American Statistical Association
The Foundations of Statistics

International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences
Science
Daniel Kahneman e Amos Tversky
RESUMO: Discutimos os determinantes cognitivo e psicofísico da escolha em contextos arriscados e sem risco. A
psicofísica do valor induz aversão ao risco no domínio dos ganhos e atração pelo risco no domínio das perdas. A
psicofísica do acaso induz o peso exagerado de coisas seguras e de eventos improváveis, relativamente a eventos de
probabilidade moderada. Problemas de decisão podem ser descritos ou enquadrados de múltiplas formas que dão
origem a diferentes preferências, contrariamente ao critério de invariância da escolha racional. O processo de
contabilidade mental, em que as pessoas organizam os resultados das transações, explica parte das anomalias do
comportamento do consumidor. Em particular, a aceitabilidade de uma opção pode depender de um resultado negativo
ser avaliado como uma despesa ou como um prej uízo incompensado. A relação entre valores de decisão e valores de
experiência é discutida.
R
R R
aversão à perda
N
N
N
N
category-boundary effect
N
p p
p
N
grosso modo
N
status quo
status quo
S T
S T S T
S T S T
dead-loss effect
Expected Utility Hypotheses and the Allais Paradox.
Econometrica
Adaptation Level Theory: A Symposium

Psychology and Language
Medical Decision
Making
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition
Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior

Decision Sciences
Waterfowl and Wetlands: Toward Bioeconomic Analysis
Journal of Risk and Insurance

Econometrica
Judgment
Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Quarterly Journal of Economics

Bell Journal of Economics
New
England Journal of Medicine
Management Science
Quarterly Journal of
Economics
The Foundation of Statistics
Probability and Statistics for Business Decisions
Journal of Risk and
Insurance
New Directions for Methodology of Social and Behavioral Science: Question
Framing and Response Consistency
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Marketing Science
Conflicting Obj ectives
in Decisions
Science
Theory of Games and Economic Behavior
American Psychologist
Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences
European Review of Social Psychology

Theory & Psychology
Journal of Experimental Psychology:

Applied
Psychological Science
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
Moonwalking with Einstein: The

Art and Science of Remembering
The Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert

Performance
Sources of Power
In Two Minds Dual Processes and Beyond
Annual Review of Psychology
Behavioral and Brain

Sciences
The Illusion of Conscious Will
Current Directions in Psychological Science
Without
Conscience The Disturbing World of the Psychopaths Among Us
Snakes in Suits When Psychopaths Go to Work
Nature Reviews: Neuroscience

Your Memory: A User ’s Guide
Theoretical Issues in Ergonomics
Science
Journal
of Neuroscience
Scientific American
subj ect
participant
participant
subj ect
Journal of
Experimental Psychology
Science
Working Memory
Cognitive Brain Research

Cerebral Cortex
Science
Journal of Experimental Psychology —
General
Effortless Attention
PNAS
Cognitive Processing

Science
Trends in Cognitive Sciences
Working Memory

Journal of
Applied Psychology
Human Factors
Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience
Journal of Consumer Research
British Journal of Social Psychology

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin


Personality and Social Psychology Review
PNAS
Journal of Economic Perspectives
Rationality and the Reflective Mind

Advances in Experimental Social Psychology

Science
PNAS
Memory & Cognition
Science

Cognition and Emotion
Basic and Applied Social Psychology
PNAS
Science

Science
Biology Letters
Strangers to Ourselves
fluência fluency
Personality and
Social Psychology Review
Journal of Memory and Language
fallback
Canadian Journal of Behavioural

Science
Applied Cognitive Psychology
Judgment and Decision
Making Journal
Journal of Experimental Psychology — General

PNAS
Journal of
Finance
Social Science Research Network Working Paper

Psychonomic Science
Behavioral Biology
Current Directions in Psychological Science
Journal of
Experimental Psychology General
Positivity: Groundbreaking Research Reveals How to Embrace the Hidden Strength of Positive
Emotions, Overcome Negativity e Thrive
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
Current Directions in
Journal of Experimental Social
Psychology
The Perception of Causality
Cognition
American Journal of Psychology
Atlantic

Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychol
The Wisdom of Crowds A sabedoria das multidões
Journal of Behavioral
Decision Making
Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience
Social Cognition
Science
PNAS
Journal of Nonverbal Behavior
American Journal of Political Science
Contingent Valuation: A Critical Assessment
Psychophysics Introduction to Its Perceptual, Neural, and Social Prospect

Journal of Experimental
Psychology — Human Learning and Memory
Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart
poderiam
Cognition
European Journal of Social Psychology
Public Opinion Quarterly
priming
Journal of Behavioral Decision

Making
Phi Delta
Kappan Teaching Statistics: A Bag
of Tricks
Journal of Abnormal and
Social Psychology
intuição
Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications
Journal of Behavioral Decision

Making
Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology
Bulletin
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

Journal of Marketing Research

Journal of Legal
Studies
Judicature
Journal of Personality and Social

Psychology
Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology Review
Social Cognition
Journal of Personality and
Social Psychology
European Journal of
Social Psychology
Journal of
Retailing
Journal of Experimental Social
Psychology
European Journal of Social Psychology
Descartes’ Error: Emotion, Reason, and the Human Brain
Philosophical Transactions:
Biological Sciences
Heuristics
and Biases
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis
The Perception of Risk
Stanford Law Review
CERCLA
60 Minutes
Judgment in Managerial Decision Making
British Journal of Psychology
Social Cognition
Bully for Brontosaurus
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Cognition
Progress in Social Psychology
Journal of Personality and Social

Psychology
Journal of Personality
and Social Psychology
Francis Galton: Pioneer of Heredity and Biometry

original score standard score
mean standard deviation
American Scientist
The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game

Fortune
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance

Law and Human Behavior

University of Chicago
Law Review
New Yorker
Legacy of Ashes: The History of the CIA
Economist
Research in Organizational
Behavior
Quarterly
Journal of Economics
The Halo Effect Financial Times The

Wall Street Journal The Halo Effect: … and the Eight Other Business Delusions That Deceive
Managers
Journal of Management Inquiry
Built to Last: Successful Habits of Visionary Companies
insider trading
Journal of Business
Review of Financial Studies
Quarterly Review of
Economics and Finance
The Halo Effect
working paper
Journal of Finance
Quarterly

Common Sense on Mutual Funds: New Imperatives for the Intelligent Investor
Journal of Finance
Journal of Business

Expert Political Judgment: How Good is It? How Can We Know?
Journal of Personality Assessment
Journal of Accounting
Research
Acta Psychologica
JAMA
working paper
Psychological Assessment
Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics

Current Researches in Anesthesia
and Analgesia
Anesthesiology
The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right
Sources of Power
kouros
kouros
fresh
Intuition: Its Powers and Perils
Psychological Inquiry
Moonwalking with Einstein
insider view
outsider view
Management Science
Harvard Business Review
Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment
How Doctors Think
Management Science
Journal of the American Planning Association

Remodeling
Proj ect Management Journal
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision

Processes
Behavior Genetics Aging with Grace: What the

Nun Study Teaches Us About Leading Longer, Healthier e More Meaningful Lives
Proceedings of the Royal Society B

Journal of Financial Economics
Journal of Business Venturing
Journal of Business Venturing
Academy of Management Journal

Management Science
Journal of
Business Venturing
Management Science
Economic Journal
Journal of Experimental
Social Psychology
Journal of Business
Journal
of Financial Economics
Management Science
American Journal of
Medicine
American Journal of Medicine
Sloan Management Review
Mathematical Psychology: An Elementary Introduction

Science Psychophysics
Journal of Marketing Research

PNAS
Econometrica
Operations
Research
Economic Journal
Journal of Experimental Psychology — General
Organizational Behavior and Human

Decision Processes

Journal of Economic Behavior &
Organization
working paper
Milken Institute Review A Journal of Economic Policy

Neuron
Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society B
Quantitative Finance
Journal of Regulatory Economics

Marketing
Science
Journal of Marketing
Research Choices,
Values, and Frames
Quarterly
American Economic
Review
Journal of Public Policy & Marketing

Journal of Public Economics
Science
PNAS
The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life
Cognition & Emotion
Personality and Social

Psychology Review
Review of
General Psychology
Journal of Theoretical Biology

Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes
Animal Behavior: An Evolutionary Approach
working paper
The American Economic Review
Annual Review of Economics

Science
Osgoode Hall
Law Review Northwestern
University Law Review
Journal of Neuroscience
RAND Journal of Economics
Journal of Risk
and Insurance Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices under
Uncertainty
Northwestern University Law Review
Southern California Law Review
Michigan Law Review

University of Chicago Law Review
Yale Law Journal

Descartes’ Error
Journal
of Personality and Social Psychology
Applied Cognitive Psychology
Law and Human Behavior
Judgment and Decision Making

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Journal of Finance Journal of

Finance
Management Science
Journal of Consumer Psychology
Causation in the Law

Judgment Under Uncertainty Heuristics and Biases

What
Might Have Been: The Social Psychology of Counterfactual Thinking

Journal of Consumer
Research
Journal of Financial Economics
Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, University of Nottingham,

Discussion Paper Series
Virginia Law Review
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

The Laws of Fear: Beyond the Precautionary Principle
Administrative Science Quarterly
Choices, Values, and Frames

Journal of
Experimental Psychology
Journal of Experimental Psychology
The Construction of Preference
American
Economic Review
The Construction of Preference
Isis
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Stanford Law
Review
Science
New England Journal of Medicine
Choice and Consequence

Science
Science
Mathematical Psychics
Quarterly
Choices, Values, and Frames
Pain
American Journal of Psychology

Well-Being:
The Foundations of Hedonic Psychology
Judgment and Decision

Making
Psychological
Science
ecological momentary assessment
Well-
Being
Science
Measuring the Subj ective Well-Being of Nations: National Accounts of Time Use and Well-Being
Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B
Well-Being
The Shape of the River Long-Term Consequences of
Considering Race in College and University Admissions
Journal of Happiness Studies
paper
Using Calendar and Diary Methods in Life Events Research

Health Psychology
Journal of Public Economics
Feeling and Thinking: The
Role of Affect in Social Cognition
Economic
Journal
Happiness:
Lessons from a New Science
The
Politics of Happiness: What Government Can Learn from the New Research on Well-Being
Well-Being for Public Policy
Measuring the Subj ective Well-Being of Nations:
National Account of Time Use and Well-Being
Report of the Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social
Progress Measuring Subj ective Well-being for Public Policy:
Recommendations on Measures
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
Journal of Political Economics

Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth e Happiness
The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right

Harvard Business Review
Research in Organizational Behavior

Rápido e Devagar - Duas Formas de Pensar - Kahneman-Daniel

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Thinking, Fast and Slow

Biology Letters Biology Letters Mind Sights

Thinking, fast and slow

Attention and Effort

esgotamento do ego ego depletion

acha ele isso

esquecido velho solitário

The Far Side

alto um salário mesa pagar

tensão cognitiva cognitive strain

porque você o verá mais claramente

kadirga saricik biwonjni nansoma iktitaf.

whitefish eats candy

estratégia de teste de positivo (positive test strategy

A sabedoria das multidões

A arte de resolver problemas

sol praia geada esqui

New York Times

New York Times

grade point average

grade point average

Feitas para durar

Feitas para durar

A Random Walk Down Wall Street

The New York Times

previsão de linha de base baseline prediction

on the other hand

birdie par bogey

par putt birdie foregone

efeito de certeza certainty effect

wantability utilidade de decisão

quando pensa sobre ele

A Theory of Rational Addiction

Insensibilidade à probabilidade de resultados

Concepções errôneas da possibilidade Misconceptions of chance

grade point average

Concepções errôneas de regressão

Vieses devidos à efetividade de um aj uste de busca

pensamento amor porta água

Vieses na avaliação de eventos conj untivos e disj untivos

Formal Representation of Human Judgment

Organizational Behavior & Human Performance

British Journal of Psychology

The Foundations of Statistics

Adaptation Level Theory: A Symposium

Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior

Waterfowl and Wetlands: Toward Bioeconomic Analysis

Journal of Risk and Insurance

Quarterly Journal of Economics

European Review of Social Psychology

Journal of Experimental Psychology:

Moonwalking with Einstein: The

The Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert

In Two Minds Dual Processes and Beyond

Annual Review of Psychology

Behavioral and Brain

Current Directions in Psychological Science

Nature Reviews: Neuroscience

Attention and Effort

Cognitive Brain Research

Annual Review of Psychology

Trends in Cognitive Sciences