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Summary
Background COVID-19 vaccines have proven highly effective among individuals without a previous SARS-CoV-2 Lancet Infect Dis 2022
infection, but their effectiveness in preventing symptomatic infection and severe outcomes among individuals with Published Online
previous infection is less clear. We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of four COVID-19 vaccines against symptomatic March 31, 2022
https://doi.org/10.1016/
infection, hospitalisation, and death for individuals with laboratory-confirmed previous SARS-CoV-2 infection.
S1473-3099(22)00140-2
See Online/Comment
Methods Using national COVID-19 notification, hospitalisation, and vaccination datasets from Brazil, we did a test- https://doi.org/10.1016/
negative, case-control study to assess the effectiveness of four vaccines (CoronaVac [Sinovac], ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 S1473-3099(22)00207-9
[AstraZeneca], Ad26.COV2.S [Janssen], and BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNtech]) for individuals with laboratory-confirmed *Contributed equally
previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. We matched cases with RT-PCR positive, symptomatic COVID-19 with up to ten †Contributed equally
controls with negative RT-PCR tests who presented with symptomatic illnesses, restricting both groups to tests done Instituto Gonçalo Moniz
at least 90 days after an initial infection. We used multivariable conditional logistic regression to compare the odds of (T Cerqueira-Silva MD,
test positivity and the odds of hospitalisation or death due to COVID-19, according to vaccination status and time Prof V S Boaventura MD,
V de Araújo Oliveira MD,
since first or second dose of vaccines.
Prof A I Ko MD,
Prof M Barral-Netto MD) and
Findings Between Feb 24, 2020, and Nov 11, 2021, we identified 213 457 individuals who had a subsequent, symptomatic Center for Data and Knowledge
illness with RT-PCR testing done at least 90 days after their initial SARS-CoV-2 infection and after the vaccination Integration for Health
(V de Araújo Oliveira,
programme started. Among these, 30 910 (14·5%) had a positive RT-PCR test consistent with reinfection, and we
J Bertoldo Júnior MSc,
matched 22 566 of these cases with 145 055 negative RT-PCR tests from 68 426 individuals as controls. Among Prof M L Barreto MD,
individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic infection 14 or more days Prof M Barral-Netto), Fiocruz,
from vaccine series completion was 39·4% (95% CI 36·1–42·6) for CoronaVac, 56·0% (51·4–60·2) for ChAdOx1 Salvador, BA, Brazil; Faculdade
de Medicina (T Cerqueira-Silva,
nCoV-19, 44·0% (31·5–54·2) for Ad26.COV2.S, and 64·8% (54·9–72·4) for BNT162b2. For the two-dose vaccine
Prof V S Boaventura,
series (CoronaVac, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and BNT162b2), effectiveness against symptomatic infection was significantly V de Araújo Oliveira,
greater after the second dose than after the first dose. Effectiveness against hospitalisation or death 14 or more days Prof M Barral-Netto) and
from vaccine series completion was 81·3% (75·3–85·8) for CoronaVac, 89·9% (83·5–93·8) for ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, Instituto de Saúde Coletiva
(J Bertoldo Júnior,
57·7% (–2·6 to 82·5) for Ad26.COV2.S, and 89·7% (54·3–97·7) for BNT162b2. Prof M L Barreto), Universidade
Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA,
Interpretation All four vaccines conferred additional protection against symptomatic infections and severe outcomes Brazil; Division of Infectious
among individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. The provision of a full vaccine series to individuals after Diseases and Geographic
Medicine, Stanford University,
recovery from COVID-19 might reduce morbidity and mortality. Stanford, CA, USA
(J R Andrews MD); Barcelona
Funding Brazilian National Research Council, Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Institute for Global Health,
de Janeiro, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, JBS, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, Barcelona, Spain
(O T Ranzani PhD); Pulmonary
and Generalitat de Catalunya. Division, Heart Institute,
Hospital das Clínicas, Faculdade
Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. de Medicina, São Paulo, SP,
Brazil (O T Ranzani);
Department of Infectious
Introduction introduced into national vaccination programmes.3,4 Disease Epidemiology
As of March 11, 2022, over 450 million confirmed cases Coverage of COVID-19 vaccination has varied across (E S Paixão PhD) and
of COVID-19 have been reported since the start of populations due to inequalities in access and public Department of Medical
the pandemic,1 and the true cumulative incidence hesitancy. Additionally, public debate has emerged Statistics (Prof N Pearce PhD),
London School of Hygiene &
has probably been several times greater.2 Within a about the need for vaccination among people who have Tropical Medicine, London, UK;
year of the identification of SARS-CoV-2, multiple had a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection5 and, if so, Diretoria de Tecnologia da
vaccines were developed, found to be highly efficacious whether a single dose is sufficient.6,7 The emergence of Informação, Universidade
Federal de Ouro Preto, Ouro
among seronegative individuals in clinical trials, and more transmissible variants with enhanced immune
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Brazil’s national COVID-19 immunisation programme symptomatic individuals. We did not attempt to
commenced on Jan 18, 2021. Rollout plans were ascertain causality between SARS-CoV-2 infection and
determined at the state and local level; health-care hospitalisation or death as this information was not
workers and older individuals were the first groups to be available. Instead, we defined hospitalisation or death
eligible, with age criteria for eligibility decreasing over related to COVID-19 using a commonly used, temporally
time. Four vaccines have been offered in immunisation defined surveillance case definition for COVID-19-
programmes in Brazil: CoronaVac, provided as a two- related outcomes: a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test
dose series with a 4-week interval between doses; accompanied by hospital admission or death occurring
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, provided as a two-dose series with a within 28 days of the sample collection date. For the
12-week interval between doses that was subsequently analysis of hospitalisation or death, we selected matched
reduced to 8 weeks in some states; Ad26.COV2.S, sets from the overall matched dataset in which cases
provided as a single dose series; and BNT162b2, provided were positive tests from patients admitted to hospital or
as a two-dose series with an initial 12-week interval that who died, and we fitted the model described to each
was subsequently reduced to 3 weeks in some states. subset. For severe outcomes, controls thus represented
Brazil’s national guidelines recommend that individuals negative tests from patients in ambulatory or hospital
who were previously infected be vaccinated 4 weeks or settings who had RT-PCR testing, to reflect the population
more after infection, and this recommendation did not at risk for that outcome. We did not require controls for
change during the study period. the severe outcomes analysis to be negative tests from
patients admitted to hospital or who died, as the goal was
Eligibility and selection of cases and controls to estimate overall effectiveness against severe outcomes.
Inclusion criteria for this study included age 18 years We matched one case to a maximum of ten controls, with
or older, previous SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by replacement, by date of RT-PCR testing (±10 days), age
RT-PCR or rapid antigen test, and a second exam (±5 years), sex, and municipality of residence. Individuals
(RT-PCR test) fulfilling the following criteria: being who were selected as cases could also serve as controls if
associated with an event of acute respiratory symptomatic they had negative tests that were collected more than
illness and occurring within 10 days of symptom 7 days before their positive test.
onset, being done at least 90 days after the
individual’s first positive test, and occurring after the Statistical analyses
vaccination programme began in Brazil (Jan 18, 2021). We calculated standardised differences for demographic
We included individuals whose first infection occurred characteristics of matched cases and controls, considering
between Feb 24, 2020, and Aug 13, 2021, and with a a difference higher than 0·1 for variables not included in
subsequent RT-PCR test being done between Jan 18, 2021, the exact match to be significant;26,27 for exact matched
and Nov 11, 2021. variables, no differences exist within each stratum of
We excluded individuals for whom data were in- the analysis. The primary exposure of interest was
complete on age, sex, location of residence, vaccination vaccination status, which was categorised by vaccine and
status, or testing status or dates; those who received according to the vaccination status of the individual at
different vaccines for their first and second dose; those the time of RT-PCR test collection as unvaccinated,
whose time interval between the first and second doses 0–13 days after the first dose, 14 days or more after the
was less than 14 days; and those vaccinated before the first dose, 0–13 days after the second dose, or 14 days or
first infection or less than 14 days after the first infection. more after the second dose. Post-second dose status is
For tests, we excluded negative tests that were followed not applicable to Ad26.COV2.S. We considered vaccine
by a positive test within 7 days (to avoid misclassification effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection
of cases as controls), tests done after the second positive and against COVID-19-related hospitalisation or death
test, tests for which the individual’s symptom onset date among individuals with previous confirmed SARS-CoV-2
occurred after notification of the suspected case in the infection 14 days or more after vaccine series completion
surveillance system (to exclude individuals without (two doses for CoronaVac, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and
symptoms at the time of testing), tests done in individuals BNT162b2 and one dose for Ad26.COV2.S) to be
without symptoms, and tests done after a third vaccine the primary estimands of interest. We considered
dose, as this analysis was not powered to examine effectiveness in the 6 days after the first vaccine dose to
effectiveness of third doses. In some cases, more than be an indicator of bias, because we expected protection to
one negative test from one individual was available for be minimal during this time and substantial differences
matching, and we included these as candidates for in risk could reflect residual confounding between the
matching if they met the described eligibility criteria. vaccinated and unvaccinated populations.28
We matched cases, defined as positive SARS-CoV-2 We estimated vaccine effectiveness (1–odds ratio) using
RT-PCR tests from previously infected, sympto matic conditional logistic regression, accounting for the
individuals, with controls, defined as negative matched design, with vaccination status (including
SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR tests from previously infected, number of doses and time period since dose) as the
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A
400 000
Weekly COVID-19
300 000
cases
200 000
100 000
B
40 000
Weekly hospitalisation
30 000
or death
20 000
10 000
C
763 1046 1860 2683 4973 7731 7835 10 872 10 664 10 58910 912 6979 2941
100 Variant
Non VOC or VOI
75 Gamma
Variant (%)
Delta
50 Other
25
D
100 Vaccine
Ad26.COV2.S
75 BNT162b2
first dose (%)
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19
Rollout of
50 CoronaVac
25
E
100
75
second dose (%)
Rollout of
50
25
0
Feb, 2020 May, 2020 Aug, 2020 Nov, 2020 Feb, 2021 May, 2021 Aug, 2021 Nov, 2021
Figure 1: Temporal trends in COVID-19 cases, hospitalisation or deaths, variants, and vaccination coverage from national databases in Brazil
Weekly numbers of symptomatic COVID-19 cases (A); COVID-19-associated hospitalisations or deaths reported in national databases (B); monthly proportions of
variants among sequenced SARS-CoV-2 samples, with the number of sequenced viruses shown above each bar (C); and cumulative proportion of the population
older than 11 years who received a first (D) or second (E) dose of each vaccine. VOC=variant of concern. VOI=variant of interest.
predictor and adjusting for the number of reported infection. For severe outcomes, age (as a continuous
chronic comorbidities (diabetes, cardiovascular disease, variable) was also included due to anticipated residual
obesity, chronic kidney disease, and immunosupression, confounding and observed improved model fit and
categorised as none, one, and at least two), pregnancy, Bayesian Information Criterion.
postpartum period, self-reported race, days elapsed We did subgroup analyses in which we assessed
between the first positive test and the second test (as a vaccine effectiveness by age (18–49 years vs ≥50 years),
restricted cubic spline), and whether the individual was time since vaccine series completion (14–90 days vs
admitted to hospital during their first SARS-CoV-2 >90 days; to assess for possible waning), and time from
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Table: Characteristics, vaccination status, and outcomes of individuals eligible for and matched into case-control sets
nCoV-19, and BNT162b2) all showed a significant significantly greater 14 days or more after two doses than
increase in protection from 14 days or more after the first 14 days or more after one dose for CoronaVac (p<0·0001)
dose to 14 days or more after the second dose. For and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (p<0·0001), whereas for
CoronaVac, effectiveness was twice as high in the period BNT162b2, the increase was not significant (p=0·091).
of 14 days or more after the second dose compared with We found no evidence of protection for all four vaccines
that in 14 days or more after the first (p<0·0001). Only against COVID-19-related hospitalisation or death within
CoronaVac showed protection (21·0%, 2·3–36·1) against 6 days of the first dose (appendix p 4).
symptomatic infection within 6 days of the first dose, For the primary estimands of vaccine effectiveness
which we used as a test of bias (appendix p 4). against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and against
From 14 days after completion of the vaccine series, COVID-19-related hospitalisation or death 14 days or
effectiveness against COVID-19-related hospitalisation or more after vaccine series completion, we found no
death was 81·3% (75·3–85·8) for CoronaVac, 89·9% differences between age groups (≥50 years vs 18–49 years;
(83·5–93·8) for ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, 57·7% (–2·6 to 82·5) appendix p 5). For three of the vaccines, we saw
for Ad26.COV2.S, and 89·7% (54·3–97·7) for BNT162b2 a non-significant increase in effectiveness against
(figure 4). Effectiveness 14 days or more after a single symptomatic infection for vaccination given more than
dose was lowest for CoronaVac (35·3%, 7·9–54·5). 180 days after previous infection compared with
Effectiveness against hospitalisation or death was 91–180 days, whereas we observed a significant increase
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–25 0 25 50 75 100
Figure 3: Effectiveness of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, CoronaVac, and Ad26.COV2.S vaccines against symptomatic COVID-19 among individuals with
previous SARS-CoV-2 infection
–25 0 25 50 75 100
Figure 4: Effectiveness of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, CoronaVac, and Ad26.COV2.S vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalisation or death among
individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection
*95% CI could not be estimated owing to zero events in this group.
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for BNT162b2 (35·3% vs 70·7%, p=0·011; appendix p 5). of protection against symptomatic infection found for
We found no differences in effectiveness against ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (56·0%) and BNT162b2 (64·8%) in this
symptomatic infection when comparing the periods of study. Our analysis also adds new estimates on effectiveness
14–90 days and more than 90 days after vaccine series of the CoronaVac and Ad26.COV2.S vaccines among
completion. For hospitalisation and death, effectiveness individuals who were previously infected, finding that
of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was greater at more than 90 days these vaccines provide more modest levels of protection
after completion compared with that at 14–90 days against symptomatic infection, consistent with their lower
(95·1% vs 86·6%; p=0·007), whereas effectiveness was effectiveness in naive populations.21,34 Concerns have been
lower for CoronaVac at more than 90 days than at raised about less robust and durable neutralising antibody
14–90 days (74·4% vs 86·6%, p=0·012; appendix p 5). responses in individuals naive to SARS-CoV-2 who have
received CoronaVac compared with other vaccines.35 We
Discussion found that two doses of CoronaVac provided high levels of
In this nationwide, population-based study among indiv- protection against severe outcomes (81·3%, 95% CI
iduals with confirmed previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, we 75·3–85·8). As CoronaVac is among the most widely used
observed a high degree of additional protection of vaccines in the world, these findings have broad
four vaccines against symptomatic COVID-19 and severe implications for many national programmes.19
outcomes. For the three vaccines with two doses To our knowledge, only one previous study reported
(CoronaVac, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and BNT162b2), vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-related
additional protection against symptomatic infection was hospitalisation or death among individuals who were
observed after the second dose, reaching 39% to 65%, and previously infected; with just 75 outcomes and three
protection against hospitalisation or death exceeded 80% vaccines evaluated, the power of that study was limited
14 days or more after the second dose. These results for assessing vaccine and dose-specific effectiveness,
support vaccination, including the full vaccine series, but estimates ranged from 58% (BNT162b2) to
among individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. 68% (mRNA-1273), with no significant protection from
Public debate has occurred about whether individuals Ad26.COV2.S.18 We found that protection against these
who were previously infected need to be vaccinated, due severe outcomes, from 14 days after the second dose, was
to substantial immunity conferred by SARS-CoV-2 greater than 80% for the three two-dose vaccines
infection.5 Additionally, in view of data showing robust (CoronaVac, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and BNT162b2). These
immune responses after a first vaccine dose in individuals results are consistent with recent data showing that
who were previously infected, some have argued that individuals who were previously infected have even
two doses are not necessary.6,7 Indeed, several countries greater increases in T-cell and B-cell responses after
recommend that a single vaccine dose is sufficient for vaccination than those without previous infection.36 This
individuals who were previously infected.29–31 We found high degree of hybrid immunity, from infections and
that a second dose of CoronaVac, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and vaccination, might explain why Brazil, despite having
BNT162b2 provided significant additional protection similar vaccination coverage as the USA and many
against symptomatic infections and severe disease. A European countries, did not have a similar increase in
recent study has shown that IgG antibodies to the hospitalisations and deaths in the period in which the
receptor binding domain in individuals who recovered delta (B.1.617.2) variant become dominant.
from COVID-19 declined to about 35% of their individual Effectiveness against severe outcomes was
level by 9 months.32 Additionally, repeated antigen lower (57·7%) for the single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine
exposures were observed to increase antibody diversity, than for the vaccines given in two-dose series, although
which might improve protection against emergent the confidence limits were wide. The Ad26.COV2.S
variants.32 Taken together, these findings might help vaccine was used in a more focal rollout from June to
explain the additional benefits of a second vaccine dose July, 2021, and far fewer individuals received this vaccine
among individuals who were previously infected, despite compared with the others, such that we had modest
robust immune responses to the first dose.33 power to characterise the effectiveness of this vaccine
The results of this analysis are consistent with studies against severe outcomes. Brazil’s Ministry of Health now
reporting that individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 recommends that individuals who received this vaccine
infection who received ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and BNT162b2 receive a second dose after 60 days.
had a lower risk of symptomatic COVID-19 than those who We focused our analyses on individuals who were
were previously infected and unvaccinated.12,13,15,16 Direct previously infected to address the question of whether
comparison with vaccine effectiveness estimates from and to what extent vaccines confer additional protection
these studies is challenged by differences in design, with against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes. We
most studies reporting risk in comparison with individuals did not compare against individuals without a previous
who were unvaccinated and without a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection because their risk of exposure might be
infection. However, inferred protection from those studies different, which could lead to biased estimates in this
ranged from 40% to 94%, consistent with the magnitude population-based study. Additionally, the misclassification
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of individuals who were previously infected as not having distribution during the study period could alter
been previously infected is a substantial risk, due to effectiveness by time since vaccination. We did not have
incomplete surveillance and asymptomatic infections; individual-level data on variants, which precluded
restricting vaccine effectiveness analysis to individuals assessment of variant-specific vaccine effectiveness.
with PCR-confirmed previous infection avoids this bias. Different types and collection methods for RT-PCR tests
Although much discussion has occurred concerning the are used throughout the country, which might have
relative protection conferred by infection-derived and varying accuracy, and specific information about these
vaccine-derived immunity, from a medical and public characteristics are not recorded in the national data-
health standpoint, the crucial question is understanding bases. We used a matched, test-negative design with
whether individuals with previous infection would multivariable regression to reduce non-vaccine-related
benefit from vaccination. This study suggests that differences between cases and controls; however,
individuals infected before vaccination benefit from unmeasured differences could exist that lead to
strong protection against severe outcomes with all four confounding.37 In particular, there were differences in the
vaccines studied. allocation of specific vaccines that might have been
A major difficulty with observational studies of vaccine associated with unmeasured risk of COVID-19 or
effectiveness is the risk of confounding, whereby severe outcomes, which should prompt caution in the
differences in the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations comparison of vaccine effectiveness between vaccines.
are associated with the risk of a COVID-19 diagnosis. The This study included individuals who presented to
matched, test-negative design has been recommended by health facilities and underwent diagnostic testing who
WHO to mitigate risk of confounding introduced by care- might differ from individuals who did not seek
seeking and diagnostic access; nevertheless, residual medical care and might not be generalisable to that
confounding might occur. We used vaccine effectiveness population. Finally, our study was unable to address the
in the 6 days after the first dose as a bias indicator, in that important question of when vaccines should be given to
differences during this period before vaccine-conferred individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. To avoid
protection is expected could indicate confounding.28 We misclassification of reinfections, we only considered
only observed significant effectiveness in this time tests done at least 90 days after the initial infection.
interval for one vaccine (CoronaVac) and one outcome The accelerated development of effective vaccines
(symptomatic infection); over the 7–13-day time window, against COVID-19 has been a remarkable scientific
no effectiveness for this vaccine was observed achievement but, as of March 11, 2022, 37·4% of the
(appendix p 4). Whether the effectiveness observed over world’s population has yet to receive a first dose, and a
days 0–6 reflects bias or chance among the eight bias substantial proportion of these individuals have already
indicator tests (4 vaccines with 2 outcomes each) is unclear, been infected with SARS-CoV-2.1 The results of this study
but the absence of effects in the 7–13-day window might provide evidence for the benefits of vaccination among
point away from systematic differences in recipients of individuals who have already been infected with
CoronaVac regarding SARS-CoV-2 risk. For BNT162b2, we SARS-CoV-2, with all four studied vaccines conferring
found modest protection in the 7–13-day window substantial reductions in hospitalisation and death due
(appendix p 4). In clinical trials of BNT162b2, efficacy was to COVID-19. Ensuring vaccine access to individuals
apparent from approximately 11 days after the first dose.3 with previous infection might be particularly important
Given the rapid and robust immune responses after first amid reports of the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant, which
vaccination among individuals who were previously suggest that immunity conferred by previous infection is
infected, we believe these findings are consistent with reduced.9,10,38 The expanded, equitable rollout of vaccines
early vaccine-conferred immunity. for all individuals remains crucial for mitigating the
This study has several limitations. First, we were not continued threat posed by SARS-CoV-2.
powered to assess vaccine effectiveness by age groups. Contributors
We compared effectiveness in individuals older and JRA, JC, and MB-N conceived the idea for the study. All authors
younger than 50 years and did not observe major contributed to the study design. TC-S, JRA, and OTR developed the
statistical analysis plan and wrote the code for statistical analyses.
differences. The mean age of our study population was TC-S, VdAO, JBJ, and MB-N had access to the raw data, and TC-S and
36 years, with 75% younger than 45 years; these findings MB-N verified the underlying data. TC-S, MB-N, VdAO, and MLB
might not generalise to older populations. Second, there organised the data linkage. All authors contributed to interpretation of the
were differences in the timing of introduction and study findings. JRA and TC-S drafted the manuscript. All authors critically
revised the manuscript and approved the final version for submission.
eligibility for each of the vaccines. This should prompt
some caution in the comparison of effectiveness between Declaration of interests
MB-N reports grants from the Fazer o Bem Faz Bem programme from
vaccines, as the calendar period and median duration JBS. AIK reports grants from Bristol Myers Squibb, Regeneron, and
from second dose differed somewhat between vaccines. Serimmune; and grants and personal fees from Tata Medical Devices,
For example, if effectiveness wanes over time, vaccines outside the submitted work. VdAO, VSB, MLB, JC, and MB-N are
used earlier would have lower effectiveness than employees of Fiocruz, a federal public institution, which manufactures
Vaxzevria (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine) in Brazil through a full technology
those introduced later. Additionally, changes in variant
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transfer agreement with AstraZeneca. Fiocruz allocates all its 13 Gazit S, Shlezinger R, Perez G, et al. Comparing SARS-CoV-2
manufactured products to the Ministry of Health for public health use. natural immunity to vaccine-induced immunity: reinfections
All other authors declare no competing interests. versus breakthrough infections. medRxiv 2021; published online
Aug 25. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.08.24.21262415 (preprint).
Data sharing 14 Abu-Raddad LJ, Chemaitelly H, Ayoub HH, et al. Association of
One of the study coordinators (MB-N) signed a term of responsibility on prior SARS-CoV-2 infection with risk of breakthrough infection
using each database made available by the Brazilian Ministry of Health. following mRNA vaccination in Qatar. JAMA 2021; 326: 1930–39.
Each member of the research team signed a term of confidentiality 15 Hall V, Foulkes S, Insalata F, et al. Effectiveness and durability of
before accessing the data. Data were manipulated in a secure computing protection against future SARS-CoV-2 infection conferred by
environment, ensuring protection against data leakage. The Brazilian COVID-19 vaccination and previous infection; findings from the
National Commission in Research Ethics approved the research protocol UK SIREN prospective cohort study of healthcare workers
(CONEP approval number 4.921.308). Our agreement with the Ministry March 2020 to September 2021. medRxiv 2021; published online
of Health for accessing the databases patently denies authorisation of Dec 1. http://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.29.2126700
access to a third party. Any request for assessing the databases must be 6v1 (preprint).
addressed to the Brazilian Ministry of Health. We used anonymised 16 Pouwels KB, Pritchard E, Matthews PC, et al. Effect of delta variant
secondary data following the Brazilian Personal Data Protection General on viral burden and vaccine effectiveness against new SARS-CoV-2
Law, but they are vulnerable to re-identification by third parties as they infections in the UK. Nat Med 2021; 27: 2127–35.
contain dates of relevant health events regarding the same person. To 17 Monge S, Olmedo C, Alejos B, Lapeña MF, Sierra MJ, Limia A.
protect the research participants’ privacy, the approved research protocol Direct and indirect effectiveness of mRNA vaccination against
severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in long-term care
authorises only the dissemination of aggregated data, such as the ones
facilities, Spain. Emerg Infect Dis 2021; 27: 2595–603.
presented here.
18 Levin-Rector A, Firestein L, McGibbon E, et al. Reduced odds of
Acknowledgments SARS-CoV-2 reinfection after vaccination among New York City
This study was partly supported by a donation from the adults, June–August 2021. medRxiv 2021; published online Dec 11.
Fazer o Bem Faz Bem programme from JBS. GLW, MLB, JC, and MB-N http://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.09.21267203v1
are research fellows from the Brazilian National Research Council. (preprint).
GLW acknowledges the Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à 19 Mallapaty S. China’s COVID vaccines have been crucial—now
Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (E-26/210.180/2020). JC is immunity is waning. Nature 2021; 598: 398–99.
supported by the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Edital COVID-19—resposta 20 WHO. Enhancing response to omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant:
rápida 48111668950485). OTR is funded by a Sara Borrell fellowship technical brief and priority actions for member states. 2022.
(CD19/00110) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III. OTR acknowledges https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/2022-01-
07-global-technical-brief-and-priority-action-on-omicron---corr2.pdf
support from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through
?sfvrsn=918b09d_23&download=true (accessed Jan 18, 2022).
the Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa 2019–2023 programme and from
21 Ranzani OT, Hitchings MDT, Dorion M, et al. Effectiveness of the
the Generalitat de Catalunya through the Centres de Recerca de
CoronaVac vaccine in older adults during a gamma variant
Catalunya programme. associated epidemic of COVID-19 in Brazil: test negative
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Articles
Summary
Background A major challenge of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is to better define “protective thresholds” to guide the
global response. We aimed to characterize the longitudinal dynamics of the antibody responses in naturally infected eBioMedicine 2022;78:
103972
individuals in Chile and compared them to humoral responses induced after immunization with CoronaVac-based
Published online xxx
on an inactivated whole virus -or the BNT162b2- based on mRNA-vaccines. We also contrasted them with the respec- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.
tive effectiveness and efficacy data available for both vaccines. ebiom.2022.103972
Methods We determined and compared the longitudinal neutralizing (nAb) and anti-nucleocapsid (anti-N) antibody
responses of 74 COVID-19 individuals (37 outpatient and 37 hospitalized) during the acute disease and convales-
cence. We also assessed the antibody boosting of 36 of these individuals who were immunized after convalescence
with either the CoronaVac (n = 30) or the BNT162b2 (n = 6) vaccines. Antibody titres were also measured for 50
naÿve individuals immunized with two doses of CoronaVac (n = 35) or BNT162b2 (n = 15) vaccines. The neutralizing
level after vaccination was compared to those of convalescent individuals and the predicted efficacy was estimated.
Findings SARS-CoV-2 infection induced robust nAb and anti-N antibody responses lasting >9 months, but showing
a rapid nAb decay. After convalescence, nAb titres were significantly boosted by vaccination with CoronaVac or
BNT162b2. In naÿve individuals, the calculated mean titre induced by two doses of CoronaVac or BNT162b2 was
0¢2 times and 5.2 times, respectively, that of convalescent individuals, which has been proposed as threshold of pro-
tection. CoronaVac induced no or only modest anti-N antibody responses. Using two proposed logistic models, the
predicted efficacy of BNT162b2 was estimated at 97%, in close agreement with phase 3 efficacy studies, while for
CoronaVac it was »50% corresponding to the lowest range of clinical trials and below the real-life data from Chile
(from February 2 through May 1, 2021 during the predominant circulation of the Gamma variant), where the esti-
mated vaccine effectiveness to prevent COVID-19 was 62¢864¢6%.
*Corresponding author at: Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases and Immunology, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universi-
dad Cat�olica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
**Corresponding author at: Laboratorio de Virolog�ıa Molecular, Fundaci�on Ciencia & Vida, Av. Za~
nartu 1482, Santiago, Chile
E-mail addresses: ntischler@cienciavida.org (N.D. Tischler), rmedinai@uc.cl (R.A. Medina).
1
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Articles
Interpretation The decay of nAbs titres in previously infected individuals over time indicates that vaccination is
needed to boost humoral memory responses. Immunization of naÿve individuals with two doses of CoronaVac
induced nAbs titres that were significantly lower to that of convalescent patients, and similar to vaccination with one
dose of BTN162b2. The real life effectiveness for CoronaVac in Chile was higher than estimated; indicating that
lower titres and additional cellular immune responses induced by CoronaVac might afford protection in a highly
immunized population. Nevertheless, the lower nAb titre induced by two doses of CoronaVac as compared to the
BTN162b2 vaccine in naÿve individuals, highlights the need of booster immunizations over time to maintain protec-
tive levels of antibody, particularly with the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants.
Funding FONDECYT 1161971, 1212023, 1181799, FONDECYT Postdoctorado 3190706 and 3190648, ANID Becas/
Doctorado Nacional 21212258, PIA ACT 1408, CONICYT REDES180170, Centro Ciencia & Vida, FB210008, Finan-
ciamiento Basal para Centros Cientıficos y Tecnologicos de Excelencia grants from the Agencia Nacional de Inves-
tigacion y Desarrollo (ANID) of Chile; NIH-NIAD grants U19AI135972, R01AI132633 and contracts
HHSN272201400008C and 75N93019C00051; the JPB Foundation, the Open Philanthropy Project grant 2020-
215611 (5384); and by anonymous donors. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, deci-
sion to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Copyright 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Keywords: COVID-19; Serological response; Neutralizing antibody persistence; SARS-CoV-2 vaccines; Vaccination
boost
Articles
the acute phase have been described, many studies vary contrast them with the respective effectiveness and
considerably in the methods used.1 Increasing evidence efficacy data available for both vaccines.
suggest that infected individuals can mount long-term
SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific nAbs that can remain detect-
able for up to 11 months.25 However, a “threshold” of
Methods
nAb titres related with protective activity remains to be
defined.6 This definition is of particular importance Study population and clinical metadata
where vaccine doses are sparse and for less studied vac- The individuals included in the study are part of the
cines that are being used widely in middle- and low- CHILE COVID-19 cohort, which was established in
income countries. late February of 2020, as part of a CEIRS Cross-Centre
As of June 2021, the World Health Organization project funded by the NIH-NIAID, to study the natural
(WHO) has authorized the emergency use of six vac- history of SARS-CoV-2 in the Southern Hemisphere
cines, which are now also considered for distribution (Supplementary Figure 1). Of a total of 168 participants
through the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Vac- (n = 81 outpatients and n = 87 hospitalized), 74 individ-
cines Global Access (COVAX) program (https://www. uals with a confirmed diagnosis for SARS-CoV-2 infec-
who.int/initiatives/act-accelerator/covax). Limited infor- tion were recruited prospectively between March 5 and
mation is currently available on the longevity of the October 22, 2020, and were selected for longitudinal
humoral response after vaccination7 or natural infec- convalescent serology analyses if they had 2 or more
tion, and whether a vaccination boost is required for samples during 12 months since onset of symptoms.
previously infected individuals, including when this Given that convalescent samples were obtained prior
should be recommended, particularly in the context of to the appearance of virus variants, in this study we
new variants of concern.810 Of the authorized vaccines, assessed antibody titres against the Wuhan-like virus
limited data is available on the induction of nAbs by the strain. Due to the rapid vaccination campaign in Chile,
inactivated virus CoronaVac vaccine (Sinovac Life Scien- 36 of these 74 participants were immunized with 1 or
ces Co., LTD, Beijing, China), which has been used 2 doses of either the CoronaVac or BNT162b2 vaccines
widely in over 50 countries in the developing world, during the follow up period within 127398 days
such as Brazil, Chile, Indonesia and Turkey, with a (4.213.3 months) since onset of symptoms (Supple-
reported efficacy in protection against symptomatic mentary Figure 2 and Supplementary Table 1). Hence,
COVID-19 ranging from 50 to 84%.11 In general, there they were re-consented and followed up for an addi-
is limited information on the correlates of protection tional time period (31126 days). Extensive metadata is
and the relationship between nAbs levels and the effi- collected at each visit and samples are clearly identified
cacy against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection when as being part of the convalescent period or post-vacci-
immunized with any of the available vaccines.12,13 To nation period. No samples taken after vaccination
provide a framework to implement improved global vac- were included in the longitudinal (persistent) analyses
cination strategies, it is imperative to establish corre- (Figures 1 and 2). The post-vaccination samples are
lates of protection that are evaluated and compared only included in (Figures 3 and 4). We also enrolled
simultaneously across different vaccine formulations and healthy individuals (n = 50) who were recruited as con-
dose schedules.14 Hence, additional longitudinal data are trols and received two doses of the CoronaVac
needed to characterize the medium- and long-term nAb (n = n = 35; Sinovac Life Sciences Co., LTD, Beijing,
dynamics, as well as the CD4+ T cells and CD8+ T China) or BNT162b2 (n = 15; Pfizer Manufacturing Bel-
immune response15 and the Fc- effector functions,16 gium NV, Puurs, Belgium) vaccines at time intervals of
starting from the acute phase of disease of patients with 28 or 21 days, respectively. The analysis were per-
mild and moderate/severe outcome. It is also important formed considering two major groups of individuals,
to determine and compare their memory responses upon hospitalized and outpatients: Hospitalized individuals
immunization with the different vaccines currently in (n = 37) were either severe patients (n = 14), defined as
use (e.g. inactivated versus mRNA vaccines). those who developed pneumonia with one of the fol-
In this study we aimed to analyse the longitudinal lowing three conditions: (1) acute respiratory failure
neutralizing and anti-nucleocapsid (anti-N) antibody that required invasive mechanical ventilation or a
responses after natural infection in convalescent high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) with prone position,
COVID-19 individuals, including analyses of the tem- (2) septic shock or (3) multiple organ dysfunction;
poral induction and decay dynamics of these humoral moderate cases (n = 23) consisted of inpatients with
responses. Using these data as a framework, we then pneumonia without these conditions. Outpatients
compared these titres to those of naÿve individuals vac- (n = 37) were individuals that had mild symptoms of
cinated with the CoronaVac vaccine or the BNT162b2 COVID-19 but did not meet the criteria mentioned
vaccine based on spike protein-encoding messenger above. Peripheral blood samples, nasopharyngeal
RNA (BioNTech/Pfizer), which we then used to swabs and sputum samples were collected between 2
Articles
Figure 1. Longitudinal dynamics of neutralizing and anti-N antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection from outpatient and hospi-
talized individuals. a,b. The half-maximum inhibitory concentration (IC50) of sera was determined by microneutralization assay of
recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus carrying SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (rVSV-SARS2-S). a. Neutralizing antibody (nAb) titres (log10
IC50) from n = 30 outpatients (116 samples; grey circles) and n = 35 hospitalized (112 samples; red circles) at 2 to 37 days post-symp-
tom onset. c. Longitudinal nAb titres (log10 IC50) from n = 36 outpatients (85 samples) and n = 31 hospitalized (58 samples) taken
from day 23 (outpatients) or day 25 (hospitalized) until day 414 post-symptom onset. c,d. The end-point titres of anti-N IgG were
determined by ELISA using a recombinant SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein. Samples and time points are the same as those in A
and B. a-c. The second order polynomial (quadratic) curve fitting was used to establish the days at which peak titres occurred
(Ymax). bd. Continuous decay fit is shown with the red and gray line for the corresponding patient group. Every data point repre-
sents results from two technical replicates.
and 437 days after the onset of symptoms. For naÿve was developed in the Khoury et al study. We also used
individuals, samples were collected 12 days prior to our own data (Figure 1a,b) that showed that some indi-
vaccination and between 10 and 30 days after the first viduals have high levels of nAb during week 1
dose but prior to the second dose and 631 days after (Figure 1b). We performed initial analyses considering
the second dose. For previously infected individuals, convalescent titres obtained in our study using time
samples were collected at time intervals corresponding ranges of 1037, 1428 and 1421 days, which
to weeks 1, 2, 3, 4, and months 3, 6, 9 and 1214 showed no significant differences (Supplementary
months after onset of symptoms as shown in Figs. 1 Figure 3). With this context and for broad comparisons,
and 2. Demographic data for all patients and controls, we adopted a more dogmatic approach and used neu-
obtained through a clinical questionnaire, are shown tralizing data from 14 to 28 days post onset of symp-
in Table 1. toms as the period at which robust nAbs are generated
For comparing seroconversion titres and correlates upon natural infection.
of protection, we used the same approach of Khoury
et al.12 considered as a robust approach to associate Plasma and serum collection
nAbs and protection. Hence, took in to account the Peripheral blood was collected in both plasma separat-
time ranges of seven vaccine studies (e.g. of the ing (EDTA/purple top) and serum separating (red top)
mRNA-1273, NVX-CoV2373, BNT162b2, rAd26-S tubes and was processed by centrifugation at 2000 £ g
+rAd5-S, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, Ad26.COV2.S and Coro- for 5 min. Limited volume of plasma and serum sam-
naVac vaccines) for determining neutralization titres. ples were aliquoted and stored at 80 °C. Serum sam-
This time range was 1060 days, or not specified, ples were heated at 56 °C for 1 h before use to eliminate
from which the neutralization and protection model the risk of any potential residual virus.
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Figure 2. Comparison of neutralizing and anti-N antibody responses after SARS-CoV-2 infection of outpatient and hospitalized indi-
viduals over a 12 months period. a. nAb IC50 titres were determined by microneutralization assay of recombinant vesicular stomati-
tis virus carrying SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (rVSV-SARS2-S). b. End-point titres of anti-N IgG were determined by ELISA using a
recombinant SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein. a-b. Samples were obtained for n = 37 outpatients (172 samples; grey circles) and
n = 37 hospitalized (139 samples; red circles) grouped by weeks (W) or months (M) post-symptom onset (serum samples from:
1W = 17 days; 2W = 814 days; 3W = 1521 days; 4W = 2245 days; 3M = 46135 days; 6M = 136225 days;
9M = 226315 days and 12-14M = 316414 days). The bars indicate geometric mean titres (GMT) with 95% confidence intervals.
GMTs are indicated above each data set. Dashed line represents the limit of detection (LOD) of each assay. Statistical analyses shown
at the indicated time points were performed between nAb titres of outpatient and hospitalized using the unpaired two-tailed Mann-
Whitney test (*P < 0¢05; **P < 0¢01; **P < 0¢001; ****P < 0¢0001; ns, non-significant). Every data point represents results from two
technical replicates.
SARS-CoV-2 spike and nucleocapsid ELISAs PBS with 0.1% Tween 20 (PBST) for 1 h. Serial dilu-
Overnight, 96-well plates (Immulon 4 HBX; Thermo tions of serum and antibody samples previously inacti-
Fisher Scientific #3355) were coated at 4 °C with 50 mL vated by heating at 56 °C for 1 h, were diluted starting
per well of a 2 mg/mL solution recombinant SARS-CoV- 1:50 for spike and 1:30 for nucleocapsid SARS-CoV-2
2 spike or nucleocapsid (GenScript #Z03488) proteins, proteins were prepared and 100 mL of each dilution was
as previously described.3,17,18 The next morning, the added to the plates for 2 h at room temperature. For pri-
plates were blocked with 3% non-fat milk prepared in mary antibody detection a 1:3,000 dilution of goat anti-
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Figure 3. Longitudinal neutralizing and anti-N antibody titres to SARS-CoV-2 in previously infected before and after CoronaVac or
BNT162b2 vaccination. nAb titres (IC50) obtained using a rVSV-SARS2-S microneutralization assay and end-point titres of anti-N IgG
were determined by ELISA using a recombinant SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein for vaccinated previously infected outpatients
(a-b; 20 participants) or vaccinated hospitalized patients (c-d; 16 participants) at different time points grouped by weeks (W) or
months (M) post-symptom onset (serum samples from: 1W = 1-7 days; 2W = 8-14 days; 3W = 15-21 days; 4W = 22-45 days;
3M = 46-135 days; 6M = 136-225 days; 9M = 226-315 days and 12M = 316-405 days/12-15M = 316-495). The arrows indicate time of
vaccination post-onset of symptoms (see Supplementary Table 1 for specific days of vaccination and sample collections). Circles,
non-vaccinated; squares, vaccinated with CoronaVac; triangles, vaccinated with BNT162b2. Conv: convalescent; Vacc: vaccine; 0:
indicates pre-vaccination samples; 1: first dose; 2: second dose. Dashed line indicates the limit of detection (LOD) of the microneu-
tralization assay. Every data point represents results from two technical replicates.
human IgGhorseradish peroxidase (HRP) conjugated donors never exposed to SARS-CoV-2. All data represent
secondary antibody (Thermo Fisher Scientific # SA1- results from two technical replicates.
36011, RRID:AB_1075961) was added to each well for
1 h and SIGMAFAST OPD (o-phenylenediamine dihy-
drochloride; SigmaAldrich #P9187) was used as sub- SARS-CoV-2 microneutralization assay
strate. After 10 min the reaction was stopped by the This assay was performed as previously described.21
addition 3 M hydrochloric acid and the optical density at Briefly, Vero E6 cells (ATCC #CRL-1586, RRID:
490 nm (OD490) was measured using a Synergy 4 CVCL_0574) were seeded at a density of 20,000 cells
(BioTek) plate reader. In some cases, end-point titres per well in a 96-well cell culture plate in complete
were calculated, with the end-point titre being the last Dulbecco’s Modified Eagle Medium (cDMEM, Gibco
dilution before reactivity dropped below an OD490 of Thermo Fisher Scientific #11995040). The following
<0.11. CR3022, a human monoclonal antibody reactive day, heat-inactivated serum samples (dilution of 1:10)
to the RBD of both SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2,19,20 were serially diluted threefold and 80 mL of each serum
was used as control. Negative and positive controls were dilution were mixed with 80 mL of the authentic SARS-
used to standardize each assay and normalize across CoV-2 (USA-WA1/2020; GenBank: #MT020880)
experiments. The limit of detection (LOD) was defined diluted to a concentration of 100 TCID50 (50% tissue
as 1:50 for spike and 1:30 for nucleocapsid. Limit of sen- culture infectious dose) and then added to a 96-well cell
sitivity (LOS) for the nucleocapsid assay was established culture plate and allowed to incubate for 1 h at room
on the basis of the maximal serum reactivity of unin- temperature. After removing the cell culture media, the
fected subjects using samples from 16 pre-pandemic Vero E6 cells were incubated with 120 mL of the virus-
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Figure 4. Neutralizing and anti-N antibody titres to SARS-CoV-2 in previously infected and naïve individuals before and after Corona-
Vac or BNT162b2 vaccination. nAb (b) and anti-N IgG (c) titres from 20 outpatient (42 samples) or 16 hospitalized (33 samples) indi-
viduals immunized with one or two doses of CoronaVac (30 participants) or one or two doses of BNT162b2 (6 participants) vaccines.
nAb (b) and anti-N IgG (d) titres from naïve individuals after the first and second dose of CoronaVac (35 participants) or BNT162b2
(15 participants) vaccines, compared to nAb titres from convalescent patients (samples taken between days 10 and 28 from 28 out-
patients (49 samples) and 34 hospitalized (58 samples) participants) and previously infected individuals (31 participants) before (31
samples) or after receiving two doses (25 samples) of the CoronaVac vaccine. Black lines represent the geometric mean titres (c) or
end-point titres (d) and bars show the 95% confidence intervals. Statistics were performed using unpaired two-tailed Mann-Whitney
test ((*P < 0¢05; **P < 0¢01; ***P < 0¢001; ****P < 0¢0001; ns, non-significant), excluding non-seroconverted data determined as out-
liers. Circles, non-vaccinated; squares, vaccinated with CoronaVac; triangles, vaccinated with BNT162b2. Conv: convalescent; Vacc:
vaccine; 0: indicates pre-vaccination samples; 1: first dose; 2: second dose. Dashed line indicates the limit of detection (LOD) of the
microneutralization assay and dotted line represents the limit of sensitivity (LOS) of ELISA. Every data point represents results from
two technical replicates.
serum mixture at 37 °C for 1 h. The virus-serum mixture blank wells plus three standard deviations established
was then removed from the cells and 100 mL of each for each plate was used to calculate the microneutraliza-
corresponding serum dilution and 100 mL of 1 £ MEM tion titre. Microneutralization assays were performed in
containing 1% fetal bovine serum (FBS, Corning # 35- a facility with a biosafety level of 3 at the Icahn School of
010-CV) was added to the cells. After 48 h at 37 °C, the Medicine at Mount Sinai. Each data point represents
cells were fixed with 10% paraformaldehyde (Polyscien- results obtained from two technical replicates.
ces # 04018-1) for 24 h at 4 °C, permeabilized with PBS
containing 0¢1% Triton X-100 (Sigma-Aldrich # X100)
and the plates were and blocked with 3% milk (Ameri- rVSV SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (rVSV-SARS2-S)
can Bio # AB1010901000) in PBST. For detecting viral microneutralization assay
infection, a primary mAb 1C7 (anti-SARS nucleoprotein To determine the nAb titres of patient sera, we used a
antibody generated in-house) was used at a 1:1,000 dilu- previously described the replication-competent recombi-
tion and subsequently detected with a 1:3,000 dilution nant vesicular stomatitis virus carrying the SARS-COV-
of a goat anti-mouse IgGHRP (Rockland #KCB002, 2 spike protein and coding for an enhanced green fluo-
RRID:AB_10703407), and incubation with SIGMA- rescent protein (eGFP).22 This recombinant virus has
FAST OPD (Sigma-Aldrich) as described above. A cut- been shown to correlate well when compared to neutral-
off value of the average of the optical density values of ization of convalescent serum with the authentic SARS-
Articles
Outpatients Hospitalized P value CoronaVac BNT162b2 P value Vaccinated Vaccinated p value
(n = 37) (n = 37) (Outpatients (n = 35) (n = 15) (CoronaVac previously naïve participant (previously
vs. Hospitalized) vs. BNT162b2) infected (n = 50) infected
(n = 36) vs. naïve)
Characteristics
Male, n (%) 17 (45.9) 25 (67.6) 0.0998 11 (31.4) 3 (20) 0.5067 14 (38.9) 14 (28) 0.3531
Age, mean (range) 37 (14-66) 51 (16-83) 0.0004 36 (21-80) 34 (15-53) 0.6981 44 (17-83) 35 (15-80) 0.0308
>60 years, n (%) 5 (13.5) 12 (32.4) 0.0956 1 (2.9) 0 >0.9999 8 (22.2) 1 (2) 0.0025
Symptoms
Respiratory
Cough, n (%) 27 (73) 31 (83.8) 0.3975 NA NA NA 30 (83.3) NA NA
Table 1: Demographic and baseline characteristics of COVID-19 patients and vaccinated controls.
Abbreviation: BMI, Body mass index; NA, Not applicable.
* Metabolic conditions include insulin resistance, prediabetes, type 1/2 diabetes, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and obstructive sleep apnea;
** Allergy considered self-reported allergic rhinitis (by seasonal, perennial/year-round, or episodic allergens) and food allergy. [Fisher's exact test; Mann Whitney test].
Articles
CoV-2, allows for rapid quantification, it enters cells laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection or that had
through pathways of SARS-CoV-2, and does not require been vaccinated during the study period were invited to
high biosafety containment. Briefly, Vero E6 cells participate in the study. Categorical variables were
(ATCC # CRL-1586, RRID:CVCL_0574) grown in 1X expressed as numbers or percentages. Association
MEM (Gibco #11095-080) supplemented with 10% FBS between categorical variables was examined with Chi-
(Gibco, #16000-044) were transfected with plasmid squared or Fisher’s exact test. Continuous variables
pCEP4-myc-ACE2 (Addgene catalog # 141185) and sta- were expressed in mean, geometric mean and range
ble clones were selected by hygromycin (Invitrogen and compared with unpaired two-tailed Mann-Whitney
#10687010) (400 mg/mL). To assay nAb titres, serial test. Correlation was evaluated calculating the Pearson
dilutions of serum samples were incubated with rVSV- correlation coefficient. GraphPad Prism 8 was used for
SARS2-S for 1 h at 37 °C. The serum-virus inoculum statistical analysis: *P < 0¢05; **P < 0¢01;
was added to Vero E6 hACE2 cells seeded the day before ***P < 0¢001; ****P < 0¢0001. We evaluated for
in optical bottom 96-well plates (Thermo Scientific potential cofounding effects on vaccinated individuals
#165305) at 80% confluence and adsorbed for 2 h at 37 ° by first performing univariate analysis (Fisher’s exact
C. Next, the mixture was replaced by culture media and test) on all the demographics and clinical features. We
infection allowed to proceed for 20 h at 37 °C, 5% CO2 then performed logistic regression with all the demo-
and 80% humidity. The cells were then fixed with 4% graphic variable and comorbidities. Variables that were
formaldehyde (Pierce #28906) and stained in with 40 ,6- found to be significant were used to perform a multivar-
diamidino-2-phenylindole (DAPI) 300 nM (Invitrogen iate analysis, where the variables age and sex were
#D1306). Viral infectivity was quantified by automated included as common potential cofounder variables
enumeration of GFP-positive cells (normalizing against affecting immune responses. Relevant multivariate
cells stained with DAPI) using a Cytation5 automated analyses were plotted as crude and adjusted odds ratio
fluorescence microscope (BioTek) and segmentation (OR) for vaccine responder capacity.
algorithms applied from the ImageJ program. Alterna-
tively, total GFP fluorescence per well was acquired
using the Cytation5 fluorescence lector (wavelength for Ethics
DAPI 360 nm for absorption, 460 nm for emission and Patient clinical and epidemiological data, along with
for GFP, 485 nm for absorption, 526 nm for emission) their clinical specimens were collected after informed
and normalized against DAPI fluorescence. The half- written consent was obtained under protocols 16-066
maximum inhibitory concentration (IC50) of the sera, and 200829003, which were reviewed and approved by
were calculated from data obtained with two technical the Scientific Ethics Committee for Health Sciences
replicates using non-linear regression analysis and the (CECSaludUC, by its Spanish acronym) at Pontificia
curve fitting was done using second-order polynomial Universidad Cat olica de Chile (PUC).
(quadratic); and linear regression models (using log10
IC50 transformed data) were done with GraphPad Role of funders
Prism 5 software. The funders of this work had no role in the study
design, management, data collection, data analysis,
interpretation of the data nor the preparation, review, or
Statistical analysis approval of this manuscript and decision to submit the
We used a convenience sampling approach and manuscript for publication.
included n = 37 outpatients and n = 37 hospitalized
SARS-CoV-2 individuals from a total pool of 168
recruited individuals representative of the population of Results
the Metropolitan region of the country. Of the 74
infected individuals, we included all those that were vac- Longitudinal antibody titres induced by natural SARS-
cinated through the national COVID-19 immunization CoV-2 infections
campaign during the longitudinal follow up period, and To understand the long-term dynamics of antibody
hence, there were no a priori criteria for selecting these induction and decay after natural SARS-Cov-2 infection,
individuals. A convenience sampling of uninfected indi- we prospectively enrolled 74 individuals (overall mean
viduals (n = 50) that were voluntarily vaccinated through age: 44 years [range 1483, >60 23%]), of whom 37
the national COVID-19 immunization campaign, were were outpatient (mild disease mean age: 37 years [range
also invited to participate in the study. The samples 1466]) and 37 were hospitalized (moderate [n = 23]
were assigned an anonymous code and all serological and severe disease [n = 14], mean age: 51 years [range
analyses were performed by scientists that were blinded 1683]) with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 quantitative RT-
in regards to the subject’s clinical condition and time of PCR test. These individuals were followed longitudi-
sample collection. Our study did not have any a priori nally for up to 13¢6 months from the onset of symptoms
exclusion criteria and hence all individuals with a (demographic and baseline characteristics of the
Articles
patients are summarized in Table 1; convalescent sam- limit of sensitivity (LOS) for the assay, which suggest a
ples were collected between 2 and 414 days after the potential previous exposure to seasonal coronaviruses
onset of symptoms). that have shown to induce cross-reactive anti-N anti-
To analyse humoral responses longitudinally, to bodies (e.g. HKU1 or OC43 strains).6 None of the indi-
determine nAb titres we used a microneutralization viduals in the study had evidence of re-infections.
assay based on a recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus Taken together, while the nAb and anti-N IgG titres
carrying a SARS-CoV-2 spike protein,22 that showed remained higher in the hospitalized patients, these
strong correlation (Pearson’s r=0.80, R2 = 0.65, individuals had a more pronounced decrease over
p < 0.001) with authentic SARS-CoV-2 microneutrali- time. Nonetheless, despite this decrease in titres in
zation (Supplementary Figure 4a,b), and evaluated the both study groups, all individuals showed long-lasting
induction of anti-N IgG antibodies by ELISA. Regard- responses of circulating nAbs 913.6 months after
less of disease severity and age, infected individuals natural infection.
developed robust nAb and anti-N IgG responses dur-
ing the first month. The nAb responses declined over
time but were sustained for up to 13.6 months Antibody responses in previously-infected individuals
(Figure 1a,b), whereas the anti-N IgG titres were detect- after vaccination
able at least for 9 months (Figure 1c,d). We performed Thirty-six of the previously infected individuals (mean
kinetic analyses with samples from 65 individuals that age: 44 years [range 1783]) included in our longitudi-
were sampled weekly during the first month from nally cohort were immunized during the study period
symptom onset (Figure 1a,c; Supplementary Figure 4c, (Figure 3), while 38 individuals were not immunised
d). In agreement with previous reports,23,24 hospital- (Supplementary Figure 5). Thus, we analysed the nAb
ized individuals had significantly higher neutralization and anti-N IgG response in these previously infected
titres as compared to outpatients; with peak average individuals after immunization with the two main vac-
nAb responses at day 25 and at day 23 post-symptom cines used in Chile; the CoronaVac (Sinovac) or the
onset, respectively (Figure 1a and Supplementary BNT162b2 (BioNTech/Pfizer) vaccines. The previously
Figure 4c,d). Similarly, the anti-N IgG titres peaked on infected individuals were vaccinated between 4.2 and
days 23 for the hospitalized and day 22 for the outpa- 13.3 months (average 9.7 months, Supplementary
tient individuals (Figure 1c). We included long-term Figure 2 and Supplementary Table 1) after the onset of
longitudinal samples for 67 participants, which symptoms for both, the outpatient (20 participants,
included samples from 58 individuals that were also Figure 3a,b) and hospitalized groups (16 participants,
analysed during the first month (Figure 1a) and per- Figure 3c,d). Except for three cases, all the previously
formed nAb and anti-N IgG titre time decay analysis infected participants showed an increase in the nAb titres
starting from the respective peak average responses after receiving one or two doses of the vaccines, suggest-
(Figure 1a,b). Fitting our nAb data to a continuous ing a significant induction of B cell memory response
decay model, estimated a half time of 147 days (95% months after onset of symptoms. Strikingly, the only
CI = 68.7322.5 days) for outpatients and 112 days three individuals (age range 2963 years) that lacked an
(95% CI = 76.7208.1 days) for hospitalized individu- induction of nAbs responses were obese (3/10 obese par-
als (Figure 1b). For the anti-N IgG levels, the decay ticipants), including an outpatient (Figure 3a, light green
model for hospitalized individuals was 118 days (95% patient) or two hospitalized participants (Figure 3c, grey
CI = 81219.9 days) and for outpatients 600 days and cyan patients). For these individuals we only had a
(95% CI = 203.8635.6 days, Figure 1d). We then also previous sample 5.6 to 10.7 months prior to vaccination
compared longitudinally the antibody titres between (Figure 3ac), and hence no clear conclusions can be
hospitalized and outpatient individuals. Hospitalized drawn about the trajectory of their nAb titres. Notewor-
individuals had significantly higher titres of nAbs at thy, one of these participants had a marked decrease in
weeks 24 and at 39 months. However, between nAb titre after two doses of the vaccine (IC50 563.9 to
week four and month nine, the nAb GMT decrease of 31.0; Figure 3c, cyan patient). Univariate analysis of obe-
hospitalized individuals was 15 times compared to sity as a cofounding factor for responding to vaccination
three times for outpatients (Figure 2a). A similar trend in the previously infected group showed statistical signifi-
was observed when we assessed the anti-N IgG titres, cance (Table 1). Unexpectedly, regardless of the time of
which were significantly induced and remained higher vaccination or severity anti-N IgG were only modestly
in hospitalized individuals as compared to outpatients boosted and in only in some previously infected patients
for the first 3 months since onset of symptoms upon immunization with the CoronaVac vaccine
(Figure 2b). However, these antibodies in the hospital- (Figure 3bd).
ized group showed no significant differences to those To establish statistical comparisons of the antibodies
observed for outpatients after 6 months. Noteworthy, induced by immunization in previously infected indi-
in some individuals we detected basal levels of anti-N viduals with these two widely used vaccines, we grouped
IgGs, above the limit of detection (LOD) but below the the nAbs and anti-N IgG titres before and after being
Articles
vaccinated with CoronaVac or BNT162b2, and related Induction of antibody responses in naïve individuals
them to antibody titres which these patients had through vaccination
reached during convalescence (Figure 4a,b). Given that To compare the antibody titres of previously infected
there is yet no clear definition of the time frame in individuals at convalescence and after vaccination to
which protective nAb titres during convalescence those of healthy naÿve (SARS-CoV-2 seronegative) indi-
should be considered, we took the peak maximal titres viduals immunized with one and two doses of either
from our own data and its longitudinal decay, as well as vaccine representing similar demographic characteristic
the normalized data reported by Khoury et al.12 No sta- (CoronaVac, 35 participants, mean age: 36 years [range
tistical differences were observed when we considered 2180] or BNT162b2, 15 participants, mean age:
days ranges from 14 to 21, 14 to 28 and 10 to 37 since 34 years [range 1553]; Figure 4c,d, Table 1), we deter-
the initiation of symptoms (Supplementary Figure 3). mined the overall GMT antibody titre of both groups;
Hence, we included the more dogmatic seroconversion outpatients (OP) and hospitalized (HP) individuals. For
data for the first 14-28 days post-infection for outpa- a broader point of comparison and to establish signifi-
tients and hospitalized individuals (outpatients cant differences among all groups, in our analyses we
GMT = 681.2 [95% CI = 430.71077 GMT]; hospital- also included the combined 14-28 day convalescent anti-
ized GMT = 3232 [95% CI = 19845,266 GMT]; body titres from all previously infected individuals
Figure 4ac). There were only 7 samples available from (Total, Figure 4c,d) representing the broad diversity of
previously infected individuals vaccinated with one dose nAbs after natural infection (1428 days
of CoronaVac, therefore analysis of additional samples GMT = 1596.9).
would be needed to further evaluate the boosting capac- The induction of nAbs in naÿve individuals vacci-
ity of a single dose. After the second dose of the Corona- nated with CoronaVac (one dose GMT = 21.9; two doses
Vac vaccine in previously infected individuals, the GMT = 311.9) were lower to those of the combined titres
average nAb increase since the pre-vaccine time point of convalescent patients (Figure 4c). These lower levels
was 12 times among outpatients (pre-vaccine were highly significant when we compared to those of
GMT = 174 [95% CI = 81.2372 GMT], second dose hospitalized individuals (GTM = 3232.2) and to a lesser
GMT = 2057.3 [95% CI = 987.74,285 GMT]) and five extent when compared to the outpatient group
times among hospitalized (pre-vaccine GMT=700.8 (GTM=681.2). Overall, this indicated that the nAb levels
[95% CI=171.92,856.8 GMT], second dose induced by CoronaVac were significantly lower to those
GMT = 2113.6 [95% CI = 412.910,018.7 GMT]; generated after natural infection (Figure 4c), likely due
Figure 4a). When compared to the 1428 day conva- to the high levels of viral replication in infected individ-
lescent titre, the pre-vaccination titres (Vacc Dose 0) of uals.24 In addition, three out of 35 individuals immu-
outpatients and hospitalized individuals were signifi- nized with CoronaVac did not seroconvert. Naÿve
cantly lower. However, only the previously infected out- individuals vaccinated with BNT162b had similar nAb
patients group immunized with two doses of titres after one dose (GMT = 465.7), but much higher
CoronaVac generated a significant increase in titre, titres after two doses (GMT = 8387.5) as compared to
which re-established them to levels comparable to the convalescent patients. This also indicated that one dose
convalescent titres (Figure 4a). In general, hospitalized of the BNT162b vaccines induces similar nAb levels
individuals had sustained higher antibody levels at the than immunization with two doses of CoronaVac. On
time of vaccination, however; while immunization with the other hand, individuals with two doses of the
CoronaVac generated a measurable nAb titre increase BNT162b vaccine reached levels that were significantly
in most of these individuals, the overall level of induc- higher to those of the convalescent outpatients and hos-
tion was not significant (Figure 4a). pitalized combined, being most similar to those titres
When we assessed the induction of anti-N IgG of observed in the hospitalized group at convalescence or
these previously infected individuals after immuniza- after these individuals were immunized with two doses
tion with CoronaVac, surprisingly there was no increase of CoronaVac (Figure 4c). When we evaluated the
in titre in the outpatients as compared to their conva- induction of anti-N IgG through immunization with
lescent levels, and only a modest increase in titres was CoronaVac in naÿve individuals, there were only a few
observed in the hospitalized group (Figure 4b), suggest- individuals that had a detectable increase in titres after
ing that this inactivated virus vaccine is a poor inducer the second dose (Figure 4d). The overall anti-N IgG
of anti-N antibodies. There were only 6 cases of previ- titres in vaccinees were significantly lower as compared
ously infected individuals that were immunized with to the combined or hospitalized convalescent titre but
BNT162b2 (3 outpatient and 3 hospitalized) and there- similar to that induced in convalescent outpatients after
fore we had insufficient statistical power to perform any natural infection. As expected, no variation in anti-N
further analyses. Nonetheless, as previously reported, titres was observed in individuals immunized with the
the general pattern in these individuals showed an BNT162b vaccine.
induction in their nAbs (Figure 4a)25 and as expected Since three naÿve individuals did not respond to
no increases in anti-N IgGs were observed (Figure 4b). immunization, we assessed for potential cofounding
Articles
factors affecting vaccine response. There were no demo- the decay of nAbs titres after infection seen over time in
graphic or clinical variables associated with either sero- our study and reported by other groups,3,12,28 suggests
convertion or lack of antibody induction in the naÿve that booster immunization strategies of previously
immunized group. We further analyzed all the vaccinee infected individuals should be considered and might be
data, by including the previously infected and naÿve-vac- required to control the pandemic and prevent re-infec-
cinated participants together, two variables associated tion with new variants of concern (VOC) in subsequent
with a lack of vaccine response, age and obesity (Supple- years.
mental Table 2). Remarkably, logistic regression and Our longitudinal data indicates that infected individ-
multivariate analyses confirmed obesity as an underly- uals generated robust nAb and anti-N IgG titres. Inter-
ing comorbidity affecting vaccine response (Supplemen- estingly, hospitalized individuals had significantly
tal Figure 6). higher titres when evaluated longitudinally throughout
the study period, which is likely due to sustained higher
viral loads observed in these individuals.24 There was a
Neutralizing levels induced by CoronaVac and more pronounced decay of both antibody titres in the
BNT162b2 vaccines and estimates of predictive hospitalized population as compared to the outpatient
efficacy group. Of note, individuals in the hospitalized group
To assess the association of the nAbs titres from our were »14 years older, which might explain the faster
study to the reported protection by the CoronaVac and decay in this group (Figure 1 and Table 1). While nAbs
BNT162b2 vaccines, we used the logistic models of were significantly boosted with two doses of CoronaVac
Khoury et al.12 and Earle et al.13. In these models, the in the previously infected group, surprisingly there was
nAbs titres of the different studies were normalized to no or only moderate induction of anti-N IgG in any of
the mean convalescent titres of the same study, and the previously infected individuals (Figs. 3 and 4). Simi-
compared against the corresponding protective efficacy larly, there was poor induction of anti-N antibodies after
reported from the phase 3 clinical trials. Hence, to ana- vaccination of naÿve individuals with CoronaVac, overall
lyse our data with these models, we calculated the mean confirming that this vaccine is a poor inducer of anti-
neutralization level induced by the vaccines as a fold body responses against this protein.3234 This is impor-
comparison to the combined convalescent titres of indi- tant to note, given that the protection afforded by
viduals at 14-28 days post-symptom onset CoronaVac is most likely due to the induction of nAbs
(GMT = 1597). The mean titre induced by two doses of responses, and additional immune mechanisms such
CoronaVac was 0¢2 times that of convalescent individu- as Fc-effector functions and T-cell immunity, which
als, whereas two doses of the BNT162b vaccine resulted contribute to improve disease outcome.15,16
in 5.25 times, representing a highly significant differ- The correlates of protection against SARS-CoV-2 are
ence in the neutralization levels induced by both vac- currently unknown. However, current evidence of re-
cines. By extrapolating these data to the mathematical infections with the same virus variant remains limit-
models, the estimated predicted efficacy for CoronaVac ed.7,3537 However this is a situation that continues to
was »50% and for BNT162b was »97%, suggesting evolve given the emergence of VOCs such as Gamma,
that our independent data confirms the difference in and Delta, which have shown significant reduction in
predictive protection reported previously for both cross-reactive neutralizing titre, and have generated
vaccines.26,27 increased rates of re-infection in some regions of the
world,3840 a scenario that remains to be fully evaluated
with the new VOC, Omicron. To further strengthen
Discussion models for protective correlates, additional comparative
We found long-lasting nAb titres that persist for at least analyses of nAb titres of vaccinated individuals and bet-
13.6 months after the onset of symptoms in both, outpa- ter-defined standards for convalescent sera that incorpo-
tient and hospitalized individuals. This is in agreement rate titre variations due to disease severity and decay
with the detection of SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific long- over time are needed. The current study provides a
lived bone marrow plasma cells 7-8 months post-symp- unique dataset and a direct comparison of longitudinal
tom onset.28 Our cohort study provides empirical data convalescent nAb titres to those of individuals immu-
showing that long-lasting nAb responses induced nized with two different vaccine formulations approved
through natural infection can be significantly boosted by the WHO and are currently being widely used. These
after immunization with CoronaVac or BNT162b2 vac- comparative data is of crucial value to establish the rela-
cines, when administered up to 13.3 months since the tionship between neutralization level and efficacy
onset of COVID-19 symptoms, suggesting that infection against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, as recently
induces a robust B-cell memory response. Such proposed.12,13
responses have been well characterized in infected The calculated mean GMT induced by vaccination of
individuals28,29 and are also critical for the durability of naÿve individuals with CoronaVac and BNT162b2 were
protection in vaccinated individuals.30,31 Importantly, 0.2 and 5.5 times, respectively, that of convalescent titres
Articles
at 1428 days post-symptom onset. This suggests that investigations. Of note, our analyses revealed that obe-
the antibody response in previously uninfected individ- sity was a risk factor affecting seroconversion after
uals vaccinated with CoronaVac was significantly lower immunization (Table 1 and Supplemental Figure 6 and
compared to individuals who have recovered from Supplemental Table 2). Obesity has been reported to be
SARS-CoV-2 infection.2,3,41 As shown, more severe indi- a comorbidity associated with an increased risk of devel-
viduals had higher antibody titres, which other studies oping severe COVID-19,46,47 and increased body mass
have been associated with increased replication and dis- index (BMI) has been associated with decreased IgG lev-
ease burden.24 Although lower titres are seen in Coro- els.48 Hence, further studies to monitor the induction
navac vaccinated individuals, as compared to natural and decay of nAbs after vaccination in this population
infected individuals, this data indicates that immuniza- are needed.
tion by this vaccine affords protection from COVID-19, Our study has some limitations. Firstly, it is a small
as shown in recent vaccine effectiveness studies in longitudinal cohort representing a limited number of
Chile.42 The BNT162b2 vaccine induced titres that were individuals tested out of the population diagnosed with
higher and more similar to the titre of hospitalized con- COVID-19 in Chile during the study period. Moreover,
valescent patients. Based on these titres, the predicted it is currently uncertain how these results compare to
efficacy by the mathematical model of Khoury et al. and the overall antibody levels induced by the CoronaVac
Earle et al. suggested a »50% protection from symp- and BTN162b2 vaccines in the general population, and
tomatic disease for CoronaVac and 97% for BNT162b2. hence, a larger study would be needed to draw further
While this predicted efficacy coincide well with the conclusions. In addition, we used a convenience sam-
reported phase 3 trial of 95% for BNT162b2,43 for the pling approach to rapidly recruit naÿve vaccinated indi-
CoronaVac vaccine the 50% prediction is lower com- viduals. While the overall demographics of this group
pared to clinical data showing protection of 5084% was highly similar to the previously infected immu-
depending on the geographic location.11 Interestingly in nized group, the average age of the naÿve group was
our study, we determined nAb in sera collected from 9 years younger. Given that age is a known factor affect-
vaccinated individuals at 2030 days post first dose and ing vaccination response (Supplemental Figure 6), fur-
at 1319 days after the second dose since immuniza- ther assessment of the effect of age, obesity and other
tion. The large real-life effectiveness data reported from comorbidities in vaccines response in the general popu-
Chile for BNT162b2 was 92.6% and for CoronaVac was lation are warranted. In addition, at the time of this
62.864.6%,42 which considered a similar timing post study Chile had vaccinated >75% of its population,
vaccination to evaluate effectiveness (e.g. those individu- mainly with CoronaVac (https://deis.minsal.cl/), and
als who were partially immunized [�14 days after saw a drastic reduction of COVID-19 cases (epidemio-
receipt of the first vaccine dose and before receipt of the logical weeks 2431), even while the predominant circu-
second dose], and those who were fully immunized lating variants were Gamma (P.1 VOC; at 75%
[�14 days after receipt of the second dose] allowing us frequency) and Lambda (C.37 variant of interest; at 20%
to compare both parallel results. In contrast, in the frequency) (https://vigilancia.ispch.gob.cl/app/varco
CoronaVac clinical trial from Turkey, which represented vid). Noteworthy, in South America and Chile, there
a smaller sample size and included a large number of seemed to be distinct dynamics (apparently delayed) of
elderly individuals, among other differences, the the introduction of the Delta VOC as compared to other
reported protection was as high as 84%.44 While the countries in the Northern Hemisphere. Thus, our data
prediction models correlated fairly well with the suggest that the immunity (humoral and B cell mem-
observed efficacy for most vaccines, Khoury et al. ory) induced by immunization with CoronaVac in the
reported a less optimal correlation for the CoronaVac general population was capable of reducing the circula-
vaccine as these data points were towards the lower end tion of the SARS-CoV-2 strains including two recently
of the logistic model. Hence, additional data such as the emerged variants. However, this data also suggest that a
data provided from this study along side with real life larger proportion of the population would need to be
efficacy data, may strengthen such models. Our study immunized with CoronaVac to have an impact in the
indeed suggests that lower nAb titres might still afford circulation of the virus and afford community level
protection from disease. Moreover, approximately 10% immunity, as compared to other vaccines. In fact, Chile
of the individuals vaccinated with CoronaVac did not has now (epidemiological week 9, 2022) reached >93%
seroconvert, which has also been reported by others.45 of its population vaccinated, and saw a very small peak
This is in line with the notion that even lower nAb titres of the Delta VOC in mid-November (epidemiological
can be sufficient to protect from severe disease.12 week 47) and a large peak of the Omicron VOC, but
Hence, additional cellular immune responses, such as with reduced hospitalizations and severe cases. None-
T-cell immunity and Fc-effector mechanisms might theless, Chile has also used other vaccines (Ad5-nCoV;
also contribute significantly to protection. Thus, addi- Cansino, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19; AstraZeneca) and started
tional assessment of the correlates of protection induced to offer booster doses of BNT162b and ChAdOx1 nCoV-
by this and other vaccines warrants further 19 in mid-August (epidemiological week 33, 2021) to all
Articles
Acknowledgements
We would like to thanks Luis A. Diaz for excellent clini-
Contributors
cal assistance during the study period, Zandra Segovia
NAM and TGS collected and analyzed data, made fig-
for assistance in patient recruitment and follow-ups and
ures and tables, interpreted data, and wrote the paper.
to all individuals that selflessly participated in this
CPR, EFS, JL, MJA, LIA, EP, and SS processed samples,
study. We also express our deepest gratitude to all the
performed experiments, analyzed data, and revised the
individuals that participated in this study. Work in the
paper. GV, ES, AM, CG, AR, recruited patients, col-
Tischler Laboratory was partially funded by FONDECYT
lected clinical metadata, and revised the paper. RJ, KC,
1181799 and Centro Ciencia & Vida, FB210008, Finan-
DH, MED, generated rVSV viral stocks, analyzed data
ciamiento Basal para Centros Cientıficos y Tecnologicos
and revised the paper. FK analyzed serological data,
de Excelencia grants from the Agencia Nacional de
advised on data interpretation, and provided funding for
Investigacion y Desarrollo (ANID) of Chile. Work in the
the study and revised the paper. NT designed the study,
Medina Laboratory was based on protocols and the
collected, analyzed, and interpreted data, provided fund-
study set-up used for influenza virus established in part
ing for the study, and wrote the paper. RAM conceived
with the support of the PIA ACT 1408, FONDECYT
the longitudinal cohort design, recruited patients; col-
1161971, 1212023, and CONICYT REDES180170 grants
lected, analyzed, and interpreted data, provided funding
from ANID of Chile, the FLUOMICS Consortium
for the study, and wrote the paper. Data was verified by
(NIH-NIAD grant U19AI135972) and the Center for
NAM, TGS. NT and RAM and made the decision to sub-
Research on Influenza Pathogenesis (CRIP), an NIAID
mit this manuscript. All authors read and approved the
Center of Excellence for Influenza Research and Sur-
final version of the manuscript.
veillance (CEIRS, contract # HHSN272201400008C)
to RAM and FK. Additionally, work in the Krammer lab-
Data sharing oratory was partially funded by the NIAID Collaborative
The individual-level data used in this study are sensitive Influenza Vaccine Innovation Centers (CIVIC) contract
and cannot be publicly shared. The data sets generated 75N93019C00051, by the generous support of the JPB
and that support the findings of this study are available Foundation and the Open Philanthropy Project
from the corresponding authors on reasonable request. (research grant 2020-215611 (5384); and by anonymous
Articles
donors. Work in the Chandran laboratory was partially PubMed PMID: 34890538. PMCID: PMC8651253 from the Pan
supported by NIH grant R01AI132633. CPR and JL con- American Health Organization. Epub 2021/12/11.
11 WHO S. SAGE Working Group on COVID-19 Vaccines - Evidence
ducted this work as part of their Postdoctoral grants Assessment: Sinovac/CoronaVac COVID-19 Vaccine. World Health
FONDECYT 3190706 and 3190648, respectively. MJA Organization; 2021. https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-
source/immunization/sage/2021/april/5_sage29apr2021_critical-
and ES conducted this work as part of their Ph.D. The- evidence_sinovac.pdf.
sis, under Programa de Doctorado en Ciencias Biol ogi- 12 Khoury DS, Cromer D, Reynaldi A, et al. Neutralizing antibody lev-
cas menci on Genetica Molecular y Microbiologıa, els are highly predictive of immune protection from symptomatic
SARS-CoV-2 infection. Nat Med. 2021:1205–1211. PubMed PMID:
Facultad de Ciencias Biol ogicas, Pontificia Universidad 34002089. Epub 2021/05/19.
Catolica de Chile. MJA was funded by the ANID Becas/ 13 Earle KA, Ambrosino DM, Fiore-Gartland A, et al. Evidence for
Doctorado Nacional 21212258 scholarship and ES was antibody as a protective correlate for COVID-19 vaccines. Vaccine.
2021;39(32):4423–4428. PubMed PMID: 34210573. PMCID:
funded by a scholarship from Vicerrectorıa de Inves- PMC8142841. Epub 2021/07/03.
tigaci
on de la Escuela de Graduados, Pontificia Univer- 14 WHO RD. COVID-19 Vaccines WHO Meeting on Correlates of Protec-
tion - R&DBlueprint. World Health Organization; 2021. https://cdn.
sidad Cat olica de Chile. The funders had no role in who.int/media/docs/default-source/blue-print/final-agenda-immu-
study design, data collection and analysis, decision to nobridging.pdf?sfvrsn=8e074908_17.
publish, or preparation of the manuscript. 15 Sette A, Crotty S. Adaptive immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-
19. Cell. 2021;184(4):861–880. PubMed PMID: 33497610. PMCID:
PMC7803150 Epitogenesis, Gilead, and Avalia. S.C. is a consultant
for Avalia. LJI has filed for patent protection for various aspects of
T cell epitope and vaccine design work. Epub 2021/01/27.
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Vaccine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vaccine
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Objectives: We evaluated the antibody response, natural killer cell response and B cell phenotypes in
Received 20 November 2021 healthcare workers (HCW) who are vaccinated with two doses of CoronaVac with or without documented
Received in revised form 25 February 2022 SARS-CoV-2 infection and unvaccinated HCWs with SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Accepted 1 March 2022
Methods: HCWs were divided into four groups: vaccine only (VO), vaccine after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Available online 18 March 2022
(VAI), SARS-CoV-2 infection only (IO), and SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccine (IAV). Anti-SARS-CoV-2
spike protein (Anti-S) antibodies were measured by Elecsys Anti–SARS–CoV–2 S ELISA kit. Memory B cells
Keywords:
(CD19+CD27+), plasmablast B cells (CD19+CD138+) and long-lived plasma cells (LLPC; CD138+CD19-) were
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2 infection
measured by flow cytometry in 74 patients. Interferon gamma (IFN-c) release by natural killer (NK) cells
Whole virion inactivated vaccine were measured by NKVue Test (NKMAX, Republic of Korea) in 76 patients. RT-PCR was performed with
CoronaVac Bio-speedy COVID-19 qPCR detection kit, Version 2 (Bioexen LTD, Istanbul, Turkey).
IFN-gamma Results: The Anti-S antibodies were detectable in all HCWs (n: 224). The median Anti-S titers (BAU/mL)
Anti-spike antibody was significantly higher in VAI (620 25–75% 373–1341) compared to VO (136, 25–75% 85–283) and IO
(111, 25–75% 54–413, p < 0.01). VAI group had significantly lower percentage of plasmablasts (2.9; 0–
8.7) compared to VO (6.8; 3.5–12.0) and IO (9.9; 4.7–47.5, p < 0.01) (n:74). Percentage of LLPCs in groups
VO, VAI and IO was similar. There was no difference of IFN-c levels between the study groups (n: 76).
Conclusion: The antibody response was similar between uninfected vaccinated HCWs and unvaccinated
HCWs who had natural infection. HCWs who had two doses of CoronaVac either before or after the nat-
ural SARS-CoV-2 infection elicited significantly higher antibody responses compared to uninfected vacci-
nated HCWs. The lower percentages of plasmablasts in the VAI group may indicate their migration to
lymph nodes and initiation of the germinal center reaction phase. IFN-c response did not differ among
the groups.
2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
⇑ Corresponding author at: Fevzi Cakmak Mah Muhsinyazicioglu Cad No: 10
Marmara University Pendik Hospital, 34899 Istanbul, Turkey. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
E-mail addresses: huseyin.bilgin@marmara.edu.tr (H. Bilgin), goncahaklar@ outbreak caused by a novel human coronavirus had started in late
marmara.edu.tr (G. Haklar), ondersirikci@marmara.edu.tr (O. Sirikci), emel.demiralp@ December 2019, which has later turned into a global pandemic [1].
memorial.com.tr (E. Eksioglu Demiralp).
1 Despite several public health precautions, the outbreak is still ongo-
These authors contributed equally as second authors.
2
Joined senior authors. ing. As there are no antivirals to treat the SARS-CoV-2 infection, fast
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.03.001
0264-410X/ 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
CD45-FITC / CD27-PE / CD19-PerCP-Cy.5.5 (Becton Dickinson Inc, The median days from the second dose of vaccine to blood col-
San Jose, CA, USA). Following the incubation of 5x105 cells per tube lection were 46 (41–47), 44 (42–46), and 109 (104–109) in groups
with adequate amount of antibodies as recommended by manufac- VO, VAI, and IAV, respectively. The median days from COVID-19
turer for 20 minutes at room temperature in the dark, cells were diagnosis was 167 (135–333), 162 (125–296) and 52 (48–59) in
washed and were immediately acquired and then analyzed using groups VAI, IO, and IAV, respectively. A detailed explanation of
Diva software on a FACSCanto II (Becton Dickinson Inc, San Jose, intervals from infection and vaccination to blood collection is pre-
CA, USA). Debris was excluded by using a gate that included all sented in Fig. 1.
WBCs in the forward and side scatter plot or by using CD45/SSC The most common adverse events were fatigue (22/164), myal-
plot. Lymphocytes were gated according to their forward and side gia (14/164), and pain at injection site (10/164). The participants
scatter characteristics. CD138+CD19+ (plasmocytoid B cells); declared that the adverse events regressed within 48 h. Analysis
CD138+CD19- (long lived plasma cells, LLPC); CD27+CD19+ (mem- of adverse events revealed that there was no significant difference
ory B cells) populations were evaluated as percentages. among groups. VO group reported 23/75 (30.7%), VAI group had
18/53 (34.0%) and IAV group had 12/36 (33.3%) adverse events fol-
3.3. NK activation by IFN-c measurement lowing any of the doses. Pairwise comparison showed significant
decrease of adverse event frequency after the second dose (25.6%
IFN-c secretion by NK cells upon overnight activation by a vs 17.7%, p = 0.04). The most common adverse events observed
specific NK activator was determined (NKVue Test, NKMAX, and the severity of all were similar to the findings in clinical phase
Republic of Korea). Briefly, peripheral venous blood samples were trials.
taken into special tubes which include NK stimulator (patented
product) provided by the manufacturer. Tubes were directly incu- 4.1. Antibody response
bated at 37 C, 5% in a humidified CO2 incubator during night. Next
day, tubes were centrifuged at 2000 rpm for 15 minutes. Then, IFN- Anti-S antibody concentrations (BAU/mL) of VO (136; 85–283)
c levels were measured in the supernatants of the tubes by using and IO (111; 54–413) groups were comparably elevated and were
an IFN-c ELISA kit provided by the manufacturer. The reference not significantly different (p = 0.62) from each other, whereas,
values for the NKVue test are > 500 pg/mL for normal, between Anti-S antibodies were significantly higher in VAI group (620;
200 and 500 pg/mL for borderline and < 200 pg/mL for low IFN-c 373–1341) compared to VO and IO groups (p < 0.01). Strikingly,
response. the IAV group had the highest antibody levels (6146; 2426–
11137), but this data was not compared statistically because the
3.4. RT_PCR for SARS-CoV-2 duration from the 2nd dose of vaccine to blood sampling did not
match other groups’ intervals (Fig. 2A).
Viral RNA was extracted from respiratory samples by using Bio-
speedy viral nucleic acid buffer (Bioexen LTD, Istanbul, Turkey) 4.2. Memory B cells, plasmablasts and long-lived plasma cells
and RT-PCR was performed with Bio-speedy SARS CoV-2 RT- qPCR
detection kit, Version 2 (Bioexen LTD, Istanbul, Turkey) using pri- B Lymphocyte percentages, memory B cells (CD19+CD27+), plas-
mers and probes targeting the nucleocapsid (N) and ORF-1ab gene mablasts (CD19+CD138+) and LLPC (CD138+CD19-) were evaluated
regions found in all SARS-CoV-2 and Human RNase P gene for the in a total of 74 patients across groups (27 in VO; 24 in VAI; 23 in
routine screening in a Biorad CFX-96 System (Biorad Laboratories IO). No difference was observed in the percentage of B cells
INC., California, United States) B.1.1.7 detection for SARS CoV- (CD19+) among VAI (7.5; 0–12.4), VO (8.5; 7–12.0), and IO
2B.1.1.7 (UK) variant: Bio-speedy SARS CoV-2 + VOC202012/01 (9.3;7.3–12.0) groups (Fig. 2B).
RT-qPCR kit V1.0 (Bioexen LTD, Istanbul, Turkey) were used. VAI group had significantly lower percentage of CD19+138+
(2.9; 0–8.7) compared to VO (6.8; 3.5–12.0) and IO (9.9; 4.7–
3.5. Statistics: 47.5) (Figure-2C) and lower percentage of CD19+27+ cells (13.5;
0–22.5) compared to VO (19.2; 15.0–26.6) and IO (18.9; 8.0–
Descriptive analyses were presented as frequency and percent- 24.0) (p < 0.01) (Fig. 2D). There was no difference in the percentage
ages, continuous values were expressed as [median (25th-75th of LLPC among groups (1.2 (0.7–1.7) in VO, 1.5 (07.-2.5) in IO and,
percentiles)]. Categorical variables were compared with chi- 1.0 (0.2–2.1) in VAI groups) (Fig. 2E).
square or Fisher’s exact test. Paired proportions were compared
with McNemar’s test. Continuous variables between groups were 4.3. IFN- c release by NK cells
compared with Mann-Whitney U test.
The VAI group would have higher antibody levels when com- NK cell response measured by IFN- c release (pg/mL) upon
pared to VO and IO groups was the main hypothesis of the study. stimulation was analyzed in 76 patients (9 in VO, 18 in VAI, 26
Although there is a fourth group (IAV), this group was not included in IO and 23 in IAV group). The levels of interferon releasing
in the main hypothesis testing since the time elapsed from vacci- response of NK cells of VO (276; 133–717), IO (412; 160–819),
nation to blood collection was not comparable to other groups. A and VAI (414; 130–1105) groups were not different (Fig. 2F).
secondary analysis was done comparing the VAI and IAV groups.
The analyses were performed with SPSS software version 23.0. 5. Discussion
Table 1
Descriptive characteristics of the study groups.
Abbreviations: VO; Vaccine Only, VAI; Vaccine After Infection, IO; Infection Only, IAV; Infection After Vaccination, NA; not applicable.
response elicited with CoronaVac 4–6 weeks after the 2nd dose of vide better neutralizing activity which in the end results in better
vaccination was comparable to the antibody concentrations protection against infection [33,34]. Both the VO and the IO groups’
obtained after natural infection in 4–10 months’ time frame (25– anti-S antibody levels were high enough to assume the presence of
75 percentile) in our IO cohort. Rus et al. had determined that a neutralizing antibodies in our cohorts.
cut off of 133 BAU/mL for the Elecsys Anti–SARS–CoV–2 S kit to The VAI group, whose infection to sampling and vaccination to
predict the presence of neutralizing antibodies [30]. In a recent sampling times were matched to IO and VO groups respectively,
article, one of the conclusions Gilbert et.al have reached was that had significantly higher anti-S antibody response, with a median
the subgroups with neutralization titer 10 IU50/ml or with anti- of approximately 4–5 times than of IO and VO groups’. Similarly,
spike IgG 33 BAU/ml, have about 75–85% reduction in COVID-19 Buonfrate et al had studied anti spike and anti- RBD IgG in 1935
risk compared to being unvaccinated [31]. Bergwerk et al. have HCWs and had reported that median antibody levels were signifi-
showed that the neutralizing antibody titers were also correlated cantly higher in individuals with past SARS-CoV-2 infection and
with IgG antibody titers [32], and higher antibody titers can pro- were later vaccinated with Pfizer/Biontech [35]. Soysal et al. had
2622
Fig. 2. Anti-S antibody concentrations (A), B cell percentages (B-E), and IFN- c levels (F) measured in VO, IO, and VAI groups. Median values are noted above the box&whiskers
plots. VO: Vaccine only, IO: infection only, VAI: infection after vaccination, IAV: infection after vaccination, NK: Natural killer, IFN- c: interferon gamma.
investigated the immunogenicity of the CoronaVac in previously response and the level of antibody response may depend on the
naturally infected HCWs and in line with our results, they showed interval between encounters.
that median antibody titers were significantly higher in previously We can suggest that either before or after infection, or without
infected HCWs (1220 AU/mL, range: 202–10328 AU/mL) compared an encounter with Sars Cov2, CoronaVac vaccine can induce con-
to uninfected HCWs (913 AU/ml, range: 2.8–15547 AU/mL, siderable amount of antibody response. This data suggests that
p = 0.032). Yalçın et al, also has reported one log higher anti spike booster shots may not be necessary or can be delayed in people
IgG levels in previously infected HCW’s after single dose of Corona- who are infected and vaccinated. The relatively lower antibody
Vac. The antibody levels were higher 28 days after the second dose levels in IO and VO groups may suggest that priority should be
of CoronaVac in previously infected HCWs compared to uninfected given to those groups for a third booster dose. However, third
HCWs (mean 1280 AU/mL vs 899 AU/mL, p < 0.001) [36]. The high booster administration decision for such patients should depend
antibody levels in VAI group suggests that the CoronaVac can boost on robust controlled trial results [39].
the antibody response primed by natural infection. Our finding was Eksioğlu-Demiralp et al. had previously shown that B lympho-
in-line with these researchers’ data showing that vaccination with cyte counts and percentages were decreased in patients who had
either Pfizer/Biontech or CoronaVac vaccinations after natural active COVID-19 [40]. We found that, unlike active infection, B
infection exhibited a powerful booster effect and produced a signif- lymphocyte (CD19+) percentages were all within normal limits
icantly increased antibody response, which may be critical because with no difference among groups. This shows that the changes
Bergwerk et al have showed that HCWs with lower antibody titers observed in B lymphocyte counts are a result of disease pathology,
are prone to re-infection with SARS-CoV-2 [32]. In several studies, and the immunity acquired via natural infection or vaccination do
previously infected HCWs elicited a higher antibody response com- not trigger related processes unless there is active disease.
pared to uninfected vaccinated and naturally infected individuals. One important marker in the assessment of humoral immunity
Whether this difference translates to higher protection from infec- evoked by either natural infections or through vaccination is the
tion needs further evaluation [9,37,38]. memory B (CD19+CD27+) lymphocytes [41]. The percentage of
We observed that antibody levels of IAV group 6–8 weeks after memory B cells evoked through vaccination (VO) or natural infec-
the infection and 12 weeks after the vaccine was more than one log tion (IO) did not differ, and although the percentages observed in
higher compared to VAI group (Fig. 2A). These two groups both had VAI group was found to be statistically lower than the VO group,
three encounters with the virus, either as vaccine or as natural all three groups were within refence ranges [42]. Since all three
infection. This group’s data couldn’t be statistically compared, groups were within normal limits and the distribution of data in
since the times from the 2nd dose of vaccine to blood sampling VAI group was wider, we did not attribute a clinical significance
were not matching other groups’ intervals, but nevertheless, the to the difference in the VAI group.
difference among levels were striking. The antibody response that The plasmablasts as plasma cell precursors, and LLPC are
increases rapidly a month after natural infection (or vaccination, responsible for antibody production. We observed the presence
similarly) starts to decrease slowly in the following months. The of plasmablasts (CD19+CD138+) in the peripheral blood in IO, VO,
interval between first encounter with the virus (vaccination in and VAI groups. The plasmablast percentages were comparable in
IAV group) and blood sampling was much shorter than the VAI IO and VO groups, but significantly decreased in the VAI group.
groups, which might at least partly be the cause for the high anti- The lower percentages of memory B cells and plasmablasts in the
body concentrations in IAV group [17]. These findings suggest that VAI group suggest that these cells might have migrated to lymph
encountering with the virus for a third time boosts the antibody nodes from peripheral blood and have entered the germinal center
2623
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2625
To cite this article: Gulsum Iclal Bayhan & Rahmet Guner (2022): Effectiveness of CoronaVac
in preventing COVID-19 in healthcare workers, Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, DOI:
10.1080/21645515.2021.2020017
RESEARCH PAPER
Department of Pediatric Infectious Disease Ankara City Hospital, Children’s Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Yildirim Beyazit University, Ankara, Turkey;
a
Department of Infectious Disease and Clinical Microbiology, Ankara City Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Yildirim Beyazit University, Ankara, Turkey
b
CONTACT Gulsum Iclal Bayhan gibayhan@ybu.edu.tr Department of Pediatric Infectious Disease, Ankara City Hospital, Children’s Hospital, Universiteler
mahallesi, Ankara, Turkey
© 2022 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/),
which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.
The current study aimed to investigate the protective effect (11) history of hospitalization during the COVID-19 infection;
of the CoronaVac vaccine in HCWs in Turkey, a country (12) history of intensive care unit stay during the COVID-19
where CoronaVac is widely used. Our study was carried out infection.
7.5 months after the first vaccination with CoronaVac in Cases with COVID-19 infection ≥14 days after the vaccina-
Turkey and aims to provide information about the long-term tion were considered breakthrough cases. Those who experi-
protective effects of this vaccine. enced COVID-19 before vaccination or those who were not
vaccinated and experienced COVID-19 were compared with
the breakthrough cases in terms of demographic and clinical
Materials and methods features. The rate of past COVID-19 infection in subjects who
were and were not vaccinated was also compared. Ethics com-
The study was conducted between 27 July and
mittee approval was obtained for this study (Approval number
16 August 2021, 7.5 months after COVID-19 vaccination
E2-21-709).
was started, on HCWs working at Ankara City Hospital,
a health campus with a capacity of 3810 beds and consisting
of 8 separate hospitals. The questionnaire was sent to all
Results
employees in the form of a survey link by using a telephone
application. In total, 628 healthcare workers volunteered to A total of 628 subjects, consisting of 158 (25.2%) males and 470
participate in the study. Each volunteer could complete the (74.8%) females, volunteered to complete the questionnaire.
questionnaire only once. The mean age of the volunteers was 35.5 ± 8.9 years (4 subjects
The questionnaire consisted of 12 questions on the follow- were aged ≥60 years). There were 432 (68.8%) subjects who had
ing topics: (1) demographic characteristics (age, gender, pro- worked or continued to work in units that cared for COVID-19
fession); (2) history of or current work in units that care for patients. A total of 536 volunteers had been vaccinated and 92
COVID-19 patients (inpatient service, intensive care, emer- (14.6%) had not been vaccinated against COVID-19 with
gency room, outpatient clinic); (3) whether vaccinated with 2 CoronaVac. Of the 92 unvaccinated subjects, only one had
doses of CoronaVac (Sinovac®); (4) whether a third dose of the been vaccinated with two doses of BioNTech in June 2021.
COVID-19 vaccine had been administered; (5) which vaccine This healthcare worker was excluded because she was fully
had been used for the third dose, if any (CoronaVac vs. vaccinated, and the total number of unvaccinated personnel
BioNTech); (6) whether there was a history of a COVID-19 was found to be 91 (14.5%). A third dose had been adminis-
infection (confirmed by SARS-CoV-2 PCR); (7) whether this tered to 355 subjects; this was BioNTech in 302 (85.1%) and
infection was before or after the CoronaVac vaccination; (8) if CoronaVac in 53 (14.9%) (Figure 1).
the infection was after the vaccination, whether it was after the There were a history of COVID-19 infection in 234 (37.2%)
1st dose or the 2nd dose or the 3rd dose, if any; (9) the time subjects and 188 (35%) had been vaccinated and 46 (50%) not
between being vaccinated and the COVID-19 infection, if any, vaccinated. The rate experiencing COVID-19 disease was sig-
in the post-vaccine period; (10) which of the four clinical nificantly lower in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated volun-
pictures of COVID-19 infection had been present (asympto- teers (p = .017). Among the subjects who had a history of
matic; only loss of taste and smell; flu-like picture with coryza COVID-19 disease and vaccination, 146 (77.7%) had the
and/or coughing and/or nasal discharge and/or bone-joint COVID-19 infection before the CoronaVac vaccination, and
pain; physician-diagnosed lower respiratory tract infection; 42 (22.3%) afterward. Of the latter 42 subjects, 38 (90.2%) had
Figure 2. Vaccination history of HCWs who had experienced the COVID-19 infection.
experienced the COVID-19 infection after the second dose and doses of vaccination with BioNTech were excluded, the rate of
4 (9.8) after the third dose (Figure 2). In the group that experi- breakthrough cases was found to be 7% (38/536). The compar-
enced COVID-19 infection after the third dose, 3 (75%) were ison of the demographic and clinical characteristics of the
vaccinated with BioNTech and 1 with CoronaVac; of these four HCWs with breakthrough infection and the HCWs with
HCWs, 1 HCW had received the third dose of CoronaVac COVID-19 infection before vaccination or HCWs who were
vaccine experienced COVID-19 infection one month after the not vaccinated and experienced COVID-19 infection is shown
last dose of CoronaVac. Among the other three HCWs who had in Table 1.
received the BioNTech vaccine, one experienced COVID-19 The rate of vaccination with the third dose lower in
7 days after the third dose while the other two had the disease those who had COVID-19 after vaccination (12, 31.6%)
one month afterward. than those who had COVID-19 before vaccination (83,
The median interval from the second vaccine dose to the 54.8%) (p = .008). None of the HCW with COVID-19
COVID-19 diagnosis was two months (min. 7 days-max history in the study group required ICU admission during
6 months). One HCW had COVID-19 seven days after COVID-19. According to hospital records, a pharmacist
receiving second dose of the CoronaVac vaccine. After this working in our hospital died before the vaccination started,
subject and 3 subject who experienced COVID-19 after third there were no other HCW who died.
Table 1. The comparison of HCWs who experienced COVID-19 after two doses of the CoronaVac vaccine with HCWs who did not vaccinated and experienced COVID-19
or experienced COVID-19 before two doses of the CoronaVac vaccine as regards the demographic features and COVID-19 clinical picture, hospitalization during COVID-
19, and vaccination with the third dose.
COVID-19 before vaccination or COVID-19 in COVID-19 after
unvaccinated n: 192 vaccination n: 38 p
Age (mean ± SD) 34.8 ± 9.4 36.6 ± 7.4 .20
Gender (female percentage) n (%) 102 (69.8) 30 (78.9) .34
Occupation n (%)
● Doctor 70 (36.5) 13 (34.2) .98
● Nurse-midwife-healthcare technician 51 (26.5) 10 (26.3)
● Secretary, administration or maintenance worker, pharmacist, language thera- 71 (37.0) 15 (39.5)
pist, child development specialist
Working at COVID-19 clinics 138 (71.9) 27 (71) .15
Clinical picture of COVID-19
● Asymptomatic 18 (9.4) 4 (10.5) .86
● Taste and smell loss only 23 (12) 6 (15.8)
● Influenza-like illness 118 (61.5) 20 (52.6)
● Pneumonia 33 (17.1) 8 (21.1)
Hospitalization during COVID-19 20 (10.4) 4 (10.5 .93
clinical presentations was due to a difference in the co- 4. Souza WM, Amorim MR, Sesti-Costa R, Coimbra LD, Brunetti NS,
morbidity distribution between the groups. Another limita- Toledo-Teixeira DA, de Souza GF, Muraro SP, Parise PL,
tion of our study is that it did not cover the period when the Barbosa PP, et al. Neutralisation of SARS-CoV-2 lineage P.1 by
antibodies elicited through natural SARS-CoV-2 infection or vac-
delta variant was predominant in Turkey. About half of our cination with an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine: an immunolo-
study group had been vaccinated with a single dose of gical study. Lancet Microbe. 2021 July 8;2:e527–e535. doi:10.1016/
BioNTech six months after CoronaVac vaccination. Our S2666-5247(21)00129-4.
study period covered approximately 2 months after 5. Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, Paredes F, Fontecilla T, Jara G,
BioNTech vaccination. A third dose of vaccination with Pizarro A, Acevedo J, Leo K, Leon F, et al. Effectiveness of an
inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in Chile. N Engl J Med 285 . 2021
BioNTech possibly compensated for the decreased effective- :875–884.
ness of CoronaVac 6 months after vaccination. This was 6. Duerr R, Dimartino D, Marier C, Zappile P, Wang G, Lighter J,
another limitation of our study. Elbel B, Troxel AB, Heguy A. Dominance of alpha and Iota variants
In conclusion, CoronaVac is protective against SARS-CoV in SARS-CoV-2 vaccine breakthrough infections in New York City.
-2 infection. Further research is needed on the protection J Clin Invest. 2021 Aug 10;131:152702. doi:10.1172/JCI152702.
7. Bergwerk M, Gonen T, Lustig Y, Amit S, Lipsitch M, Cohen C,
provided by CoronaVac in the elderly and those with co-
Mandelboim M, Gal Levin E, Rubin C, Indenbaum V, et al. Covid-
morbid conditions and against emerging variants, in addition 19 breakthrough infections in vaccinated health care workers.
to how long this protection lasts. N Engl J Med. 2021 July 28;385:1474–84. doi:10.1056/
NEJMoa2109072.
8. Hitchings MDT, Ranzani OT, Torres MSS, de Oliveira SB,
Almiron M, Said R, Borg R, Schulz WL, de Oliveira RD, Da
Disclosure statement
Silva PV, et al. Effectiveness of CoronaVac among healthcare work-
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s). ers in the setting of high SARS-CoV-2 Gamma variant transmis-
sion in Manaus, Brazil: a test-negative case-control study. Lancet
Reg Health Am. 2021 Sept;1:100025. doi:10.1016/j.
lana.2021.100025.
Funding 9. [accessed 2021 Sept 16]. https://www.dw.com/tr/delta-varyant%
C4%B1-t%C3%BCrkiyede-ne-kadar-yayg%C4%B1n/a-57984629 .
The author(s) reported there is no funding associated with the work 10. [accessed 2021 Sept 16]. https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/koronavirus/kor
featured in this article. onavirus-bilim-kurulu-uyesi-korukluoglu-agustosta-vakalarin-
yuzde-80i-delta-varyanti-olacak/2298422 .
11. Luo CH, Morris CP, Sachithanandham J, Amadi A, Gaston D,
ORCID Li M, Swanson NJ, Schwartz M, Klein EY, Pekosz A, et al.
Infection with the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant is associated with
Gulsum Iclal Bayhan http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1423-4348 higher infectious virus loads compared to the alpha variant in
Rahmet Guner http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1029-1185 both unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals. medRxiv. 2021
Aug 20;8(15):21262077. doi:10.1101/2021.08.15.21262077.
(Preprint).
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and safety of an inactivated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine Srisaowakarn C, Laopanupong T, Ludowyke N, Phuphuakrat A,
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1.5. CoronaVac protegeu contra 80% das mortes por Covid-19 na Indonésia
40 Abstract
41 Background: Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine has been included in the national COVID-19
42 vaccination program in Indonesia since January 2021. The study aims to estimate the
43 effectiveness of CoronaVac vaccine in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalization, and
44 death in adult population aged 18 years in Bali, Indonesia.
45 Methods: Test-negative, case control study was conducted by linking SARS-CoV-2 laboratory
46 records, COVID-19 vaccination, and health administrative data for the period of January 13 to
47 June 30, 2021, among adults aged 18 years in Bali. Case-subjects were defined as individuals
48 who had a positive RT-PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 during the period; they were matched with
49 controls based on age, sex, district of residence, presence of comorbidities and week of testing.
50 Conditional and multivariable logistic regression was performed to estimate adjusted vaccine
51 effectiveness.
52 Results:
53 Total 109,050 RT-PCR test results were retrieved during the January 13 to June 30, 2021
54 (Figure 1). Of which, 14,168 subjects were eligible for inclusion in the study. Total 5518
55 matched pairs were analyzed. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory-
56 confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was 14.5% (95% confidence interval -11 to 34.2) at 0-13
57 days after the first dose; 66.7% (58.1 to 73.5%) at 14 days after the second dose. Adjusted VE
58 in preventing hospitalization and COVID-19-associated death was 71.1% (62.9% to 77.6%)
59 and 87.4% (65.1% to 95.4%) at 14 days after receiving the second dose, respectively.
60 Conclusions: Two-dose of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine showed high effectiveness against
61 laboratory confirmed COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and death associated with COVID-
62 19 among adults aged 18 years.
63
64 Keywords: inactivated vaccine, COVID-19, effectiveness, test-negative, Indonesia
65
66 Introduction
67 Indonesia rolled-out the first phase of mass vaccination program on January 13th, 2021, using
68 the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 CoronaVac vaccine (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China). In
69 the first phase, mass COVID-19 vaccination was targeting healthcare workers and general
70 population including adults and elderly. A phase 1/2 clinical trial in China indicated that
71 CoronaVac was tolerable, with acceptable safety and immunogenicity, and therefore supported
72 the conduct of a phase 3 clinical trial in three countries including Indonesia.1 The efficacy of
73 CoronaVac varied among the countries, ranging from 50.7% to 84% against SARS-CoV-2
74 infection.2-4 In Indonesia, two doses of CoronaVac vaccine had an efficacy of 65.3% against
75 COVID-19 illness after 14 days of injection; this supported the approval of emergency use
76 authorization (EUA) by the Indonesia National Agency of Drug and Food Control (NADFC).
2,5
77
78 Evidence regarding its effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalization, and death
79 in the “real world” conditions have been reported in number of countries such as Chile, Turkey,
80 and Brazil.6,7 However, studies suggest that inactivated COVID-19 vaccine VE varies from
81 region to region. In Indonesia, where inactivated vaccine has been given to the population, study
82 on evaluating inactivated vaccine performance in preventing infection and severe outcomes still
83 limited especially in adults aged 18 years. The objective of this study was to estimate vaccine
84 effectiveness (VE) of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine against COVID-19 infection,
85 hospitalization, and COVID-19-related death among adult aged 18 years in Bali.
86
87 Methods
88 Setting and design
89 Bali is a one of the popular tropical islands in Indonesia, with a total land area of 5780 km2
90 and population of more than 4.3 million.8 Mass COVID-19 vaccination using inactivated
91 SARS-CoV-2 (CoronaVac) was initiated by the Ministry of Health of Indonesia on January
92 13, 2021, across Indonesia, including in Bali. As of July 31, 2021, COVID-19 vaccines have
93 been given to 2.8 million (41.9%) of the targeted Balinese population. About 2.2 million
94 people aged 18 years had received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccines (Supplementary
95 Figure S1); 1.2 million (43.1%) had received at least one dose of inactivated CoronaVac
96 vaccine.9 The observation was conducted during January 13 to June 30, 2021. During the
97 study period, the incidence of COVID-19 was increased during January-February and
98 followed with a declining trend from March to June 2021. There was a sharp increase in
99 incidence in July due to B.1.617.2 (Delta) variants (Supplementary Figure S2, Figure S3).
100 We conducted a record-based retrospective, test-negative, matched case control (1:1) study
101 to evaluate the effectiveness of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine in preventing laboratory
102 confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, among adults (aged 18 years) during January to June
103 2021. This test negative design was chosen due to several reasons. First, accessibility to
104 individual data who were laboratory-tested for SARS-CoV-2 was feasible through the
105 national surveillance system; second, it was cost-effective and allowed for faster results; and
106 lastly, the design could better control for potential biases, including healthcare seeking
107 behavior and access to COVID-19 testing.10
108
109 Data sources
110 We linked individual health electronic databases including SARS-CoV-2 reverse-transcription
111 polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test results from the national laboratory testing database
112 (New All Record), COVID-19 vaccination registry, and hospitalization claims, managed by the
113 Ministry of Health of Indonesia, using unique national citizen identification number. Data with
114 foreign identification number and driving license number were excluded. We also checked the
115 consistency in identification number, name, date of birth and sex between these databases.
116 Confirmatory SARS-CoV-2 PCR test was performed on naso and/or oropharyngeal swab
117 specimens in COVID-19 reference laboratories.11
118
119 Selection of cases and matched controls
120 Cases were adults aged 18 years identified as those who had at least one COVID-19-like
121 symptom (fever with body temperature documented at ≥38°C, chills, cough, shortness of
122 breath, fatigue or malaise, sore throat, headache, runny nose, congestion, muscle aches, nausea
123 or vomiting, diarrhea, abdominal pain, altered sense of smell or taste) and were tested RT-PCR
124 positive for SARS-CoV-2, between January 13 to June 30, 2021; were not confirmed as positive
125 for SARS COV2 in the last 90 days (about 3 months) before the index date; and those who did
126 not receive any COVID-19 vaccines other than CoronaVac before sample collection. Controls
127 were defined as those who had negative RT-PCR test results during the same period,
128 irrespective for symptoms; and who did not receive any COVID-19 vaccines other than
129 CoronaVac before sample collection. Cases and control were matched based on age, sex, district
130 of residence and week of sample collection/testing.
131
165 Thirty four percent (n=4863) had received full vaccination; 42.5% (n=6016) had not received
166 vaccine. Those who receiving positive RT-PCR test results were appeared much older, males,
167 had at least one comorbidity and unvaccinated.
168 Among the case subjects, about 40% of subjects having comorbidities. Based on vaccination
169 status, 453 (16.4%) had received two doses of CoronaVac vaccine. Nineteen percent (n=535)
170 case subjects had received the first dose of CoronaVac vaccine and about two-third (n=1771)
171 were unvaccinated. While among the control subjects, half of the subjects (n=1485/2759) were
172 unvaccinated. Twenty four percent had received two doses of CoronaVac vaccine.
173
174 Vaccine effectiveness
175 After adjusting for covariates, compared to unvaccinated adults, two-dose of CoronaVac
176 improved protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection (VE: 66.7%; 95%CI: 58.1-73.5%) at 14
177 days after the second dose. Partial vaccination with CoronaVac was not significantly associated
178 with a reduced risk of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (VE: 14.5%; 95%CI: -11
179 to 34.2) at 0-13 days after the first dose. CoronaVac VE against COVID-19 infection was
180 reduced with increasing age; 66.6% to 84.2% in adults aged 18-49 years vs. 57.7% to 78.7% in
181 adults aged 50 years (Supplementary Table S1).
182 The adjusted VE in preventing COVID-19-related hospitalization and death was 71.1%
183 (95%CI: 62.9%-77.6%) and 87.4% (95%CI: 65.1%-95.4%), respectively, at 14 days after the
184 second dose (Table 3). Partial vaccination was less protective against COVID-19-related
185 hospitalization and death among people aged 18 and older (Supplementary Table S2). Vaccine
186 effectiveness against hospitalization was higher 79.4% (95%CI: 70-85.9%) in group of people
187 aged 50 years relative to people aged 18-49 years (65.8%; 95%CI:49.1-77%). Death due to
188 COVID-19 was not significantly associated with full vaccination in people aged 18-49 years
189 (VE:65.7%, 95%CI: -99.5% to 94.1%). This result could be happened due to an effect of small
190 sample size and small number of events (mortality). Among older population, vaccine
191 effectiveness was 90.6% (95%CI:61.5-97.7%) in preventing death due to COVID-19.
192 To address potential issues related to the small sample size and rare event or outcome, we
193 conducted an additional analysis using study population (n=14,168) (Supplementary Table S3,
194 Table S4). Overall, the vaccine effectiveness was 65.4% (95%CI: 59.5-70.4%) in preventing
195 COVID-19 infection; 78.1% (95%CI: 73.6-81.9%) in preventing hospitalization; and 93.9%
196 (95%CI: 85-97.6%) in preventing COVID-19-related death in adults aged 18 years or older at
197 14-days after second dose. The effectiveness against both hospitalization and death due to
198 COVID-19 was higher in that population aged 50 years or older (71.9% and 83.1%,
199 respectively) compared to group of people aged 18-49 years (88.7% and 94.1%, respectively)
200 (Supplementary Table S4).
201
202 Discussion
203 High proportion of inactivated vaccine of CoronaVac have been used in national COVID-19
204 vaccination program in Indonesia. So far, this is the first health record-based observational
205 study on assessing ‘real-world’ COVID-19 vaccine performance against laboratory-confirmed
206 SARS-CoV-2 symptomatic infection, hospitalization, and death in Indonesian population. The
207 study showed that complete regimen of CoronaVac vaccine appeared to be protective against
208 COVID-19 infection about 66.7% (58.1-73.5%) among Balinese adults aged 18 years, which
209 is consistent with the results of phase III trial.5 Yet, the effectiveness was reduced by age.
210 Furthermore, vaccination with CoronaVac vaccine was highly effective in preventing COVID-
211 19-associated hospitalizations and death. This demonstrates that CoronaVac vaccination could
212 reduce the risk of development severe COVID-19, especially in older population.
213 Our ‘real world’ estimated VE against symptomatic COVID-19 infection was consistent with
214 that randomized controlled trials of vaccine efficacy in Indonesia (65.3%; 95%CI: 20%-85.1%).
2
215 Yet, it was lower than that of vaccine efficacy reported in Turkey (83.5%; 95% CI: 65.4%-
216 92.1%)3 and higher than that efficacy reported from Brazil (51%; 95%CI: 36%-62%) at 14 days
217 after the second vaccination.13 Chilean cohort VE study involving general population aged 16
218 years old also demonstrated the VE was 65.9% (95%CI: 65.2%-66.6%) against COVID-19
219 infection. While a TND case control study in Brazil demonstrated that two dose regimens of
220 CoronaVac was effective in reducing risk of symptomatic COVID-19 (46.8%; 95%CI: 38.7%
221 to 53.8%) at ≥14 days after the second dose among older population aged 70 years.7
222 Our study showed that inactivated CoronaVac vaccine was also effective in preventing
223 hospitalization and COVID-19-associated death. We estimated that CoronaVac vaccine was
224 71.1% for the prevention of hospitalization and 87.4% for the prevention of COVID-19-related
225 death. None has reported CoronaVac VE estimates against these two outcomes in Indonesia.
226 Our VE estimates are dissimilar to estimates that have been reported elsewhere. A cohort study
227 in Chile among adults aged 16 years showed that CoronaVac vaccine was 87.5% (95% CI,
228 86.7 to 88.2) effective against hospitalization and 86.3% (95% CI, 84.5 to 87.9) effective
229 against COVID-19–related death.6,14 While a TND study in Brazil among elderly aged 70 years
230 or older, CoronaVac was effective against COVID-19-related hospitalization (55.5%; 95%CI:
231 46.5% to 62.9%) and death (61.2%, 95%CI: 48.9% to 70.5%) at ≥14 days after the second dose,
232 respectively.7 This discrepancy might be due to several factors including variation in study
233 population and design (e.g., targeted age group, sample size) and difference in risk of
234 transmission or epidemiological setting (e.g., a TND study in Brazil was conducted when P.1
235 or Gamma variant was predominant).
236 The strengths of this study are that: i) we used comprehensive health administrative database
237 including individual laboratory test results, vaccination data and hospitalizations which include
238 information on date of sample collection, type of vaccine, date of vaccination, date of hospital
239 admission and underlying conditions; (ii) the subjects were chosen based on a standard
240 laboratory confirmation for SARS-CoV-2 results. Thus, biases due to misclassification from
241 infection or vaccination status were implausible. These findings are important to fill the gap in
242 our knowledge regarding the performance of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine in the real-world.
243 However, our study has limitations. First, while we attempted to make a robust approach by
244 adjusting for number of potential confounding factors, including age, sex, geography, week of
245 testing (sample collection) and presence of comorbidities, there might be still unmeasured
246 confounding factors that biased the VE estimates (e.g., behavioral risk factors, type of variants).
247 Second, this study was retrieved data from January to June 2021, which was just before the
248 peak of Delta variants (B.1.617.2) outbreaks. Hence, the VE estimates presented here is likely
249 reflected vaccine performance before Delta and Omicron becoming predominant variant in the
250 community. VE of CoronaVac against Delta and Omicron-related infection and severity might
251 be different. Studies elsewhere have reported the effects of Delta variants on the COVID-19
252 vaccines performance.15,16 Further research is required to evaluate the effectiveness of
253 CoronaVac against the circulating VOCs.
254
255
256 Conclusions
257 The two-dose regimens of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine was effective in preventing COVID-
258 19 infection, hospitalizations for COVID-19 and COVID-19-related death in adults aged 18
259 years or older. Full vaccination was significantly reduced the risk of severe outcomes especially
260 among 50 years or older.
261
262 Author contributions
263 Study conceptualization: AS, PWD, RR (Ririn Ramadhany), MH. Methodology: AS, RA, RR
264 (Ririn Ramadhany), MH, AH, EHF, PWD. Formal analysis: AS, RA, PWD, MH. Project
265 administration: AS, RA, RR (Rustika Rustika), TT, AA, KS, IWW. Data collection: AS, RA,
266 EHF, AA, KS, ILI, IWW, PWD. Validation: AS, RA, PWD, AS, RR (Ririn Ramadhany), ILI,
267 AA, RR (Rustika Rustika), KK, TT. Funding: AS, TT, MH. Writing (original draft): AS, PWD.
268 Writing (review and editing): all authors.
269
270 Ethic statement
271 The protocol of the study was approved by the Health Research Ethics Committee, National
272 Institute of Health Research and Development, Ministry of Health, Indonesia (LB.
273 02.01/2/KE.533/2021). The study was considered exempt from informed consent. No human
274 health risks were identified.
275
276 Conflict of interest
277 The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Anton Suryatma, Raras Anasi, Miko
278 Hananto, Asep Hermawan, Ririn Ramadhany, Irene Lorinda Indalao, Agustiningsih
279 Agustiningsih, Ely Hujjatul Fikriyah, Teti Tejayanti, Rustika Rustika, Kristina Lumban Tobing
280 and Pandji Wibawa Dhewantara are full-time researcher at the National Institute of Health
281 Research and Development, Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Ketut Suarjaya and I Wayan
282 Widia are full-time employees of Provincial Health Office in Bali. None of us received shares
283 or any kind monetary compensation linked to the distribution of CoronaVac in Indonesia or
284 have any share or financial interests in Sinovac Life Sciences or parent companies.
285
286 Data availability statement
287 The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are protected by the Ministry of
288 Health of Indonesia and are unsuitable for public sharing. Interested parties can apply for the
289 data by contacting the data center of the Ministry of Health of Indonesia. All data generated or
290 analyzed during this study are included in this published article (and its Supplementary
291 information files). Aggregate data on vaccination and COVID-19 incidence are publicly
292 available at https://vaksin.kemkes.go.id/#/vaccines
293
294 Funding
295 This study was funded by the National Institute of Health Research and Development, Ministry
296 of Health, Indonesia. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis,
297 decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The views expressed in this publication
298 are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Ministry of Health of Indonesia.
299
300 Acknowledgement
301 We would like to thank Dr. Anas Ma’ruf and team at the Center of Health Data and Information
302 of Ministry of Health Indonesia, and Mr. Made Darmawan and Mr. Akbar Antony Siregar at
303 the National COVID-19 Control and Economic Recovery Committee (KPC-PEN) for their
304 assistance and support in collating the data. We would also like to thank the Director of
305 Provincial Health Office of Bali and team for their support in the implementation of this study
306 and permission to access COVID-19 surveillance data.
307
308
309 References
310 1. Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an
311 inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in healthy adults aged 18-59 years: a randomised,
312 double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. The Lancet Infectious
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320 4. Palacios R, Patiño EG, de Oliveira Piorelli R, et al. Double-Blind, Randomized,
321 Placebo-Controlled Phase III Clinical Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of
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325 5. Fadlyana E, Rusmil K, Tarigan R, et al. A phase III, observer-blind, randomized,
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327 inactivated vaccine in healthy adults aged 18-59 years: An interim analysis in Indonesia.
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331 Salud;2021.
332 7. Ranzani OT, Hitchings MDT, Dorion M, et al. Effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine
333 in older adults during a gamma variant associated epidemic of covid-19 in Brazil: test
334 negative case-control study. BMJ (Clinical research ed). 2021;374:n2015.
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336 Bureau of Statistics of Bali; 2021.
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338 https://vaksin.kemkes.go.id/#/vaccines. Accessed 3 August 2021, 2021.
339 10. Patel MK, Bergeri I, Bresee JS, et al. Evaluation of post-introduction COVID-19
340 vaccine effectiveness: Summary of interim guidance of the World Health Organization.
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342 11. Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Guidelines on COVID-19 Prevention and Control, 5th
343 revision Jakarta: Ministry of Health of Indonesia; 2020.
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344 12. Orenstein WA, Bernier RH, Dondero TJ, et al. Field evaluation of vaccine efficacy. Bull
345 World Health Organ. 1985;63(6):1055-1068.
346 13. World Health Organization. Interim recommendations for use of the inactivated
347 COVID-19 vaccine, CoronaVac, developed by Sinovac (Interim Guidance 24 May
348 2021). Geneva: World Health Organization; 2021.
349 14. Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2
350 Vaccine in Chile. New England Journal of Medicine. 2021;385(10):875-884.
351 15. Lopez Bernal J, Andrews N, Gower C, et al. Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against
352 the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant. N Engl J Med. 2021;385(7):585-594.
353 16. Li X-N, Huang Y, Wang W, et al. Effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines
354 against the Delta variant infection in Guangzhou: a test-negative case-control real-world
355 study. Emerg Microbes Infect. 2021;10(1):1751-1759.
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344 12. Orenstein WA, Bernier RH, Dondero TJ, et al. Field evaluation of vaccine efficacy. Bull
345 World Health Organ. 1985;63(6):1055-1068.
346 13. World Health Organization. Interim recommendations for use of the inactivated
347 COVID-19 vaccine, CoronaVac, developed by Sinovac (Interim Guidance 24 May
348 2021). Geneva: World Health Organization; 2021.
349 14. Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2
350 Vaccine in Chile. New England Journal of Medicine. 2021;385(10):875-884.
351 15. Lopez Bernal J, Andrews N, Gower C, et al. Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against
352 the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant. N Engl J Med. 2021;385(7):585-594.
353 16. Li X-N, Huang Y, Wang W, et al. Effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines
354 against the Delta variant infection in Guangzhou: a test-negative case-control real-world
355 study. Emerg Microbes Infect. 2021;10(1):1751-1759.
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389 Figure 1. Flowchart for case and control selection
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395 Table 1. Characteristics of the adults aged 18 years eligible in the study and case-control
396 pairs included in the analysis
397
Characteristics Total Eligible study population Matched pairs
Positive Negative Cases Controls
SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 (n=2759) (n=2759)
(n=2886) (n=11,282)
Age, years, median (IQR) 50 (31-65) 61 (45-69) 46 (30-64) 61 (45-69) 60 (41-70)
Age group, n (%)
18-49 y 6969 (49.2) 853 (29.6) 6116 (54.2) 847 (30.7) 847 (30.7)
50 y 7199 (50.8) 2033 (70.4) 5166 (45.8) 1912 (69.3) 1912 (69.3)
Sex
Male 7676 (54.2) 1730 (59.9) 5946 (52.7) 1648 (59.7) 1648 (59.7)
Female 6492 (45.8) 1156 (40.1) 5336 (47.3) 1111 (40.3) 1111 (40.3)
District of residence, n (%)
Jembrana 564 (4) 87 (3) 477 (4.2) 75 (2.7) 75 (2.7)
Tabanan 1500 (10.6) 233 (8.1) 1267 (11.2) 233 (8.5) 233 (8.5)
Badung 2031 (14.3) 474 (16.4) 1557 (13.8) 465 (16.7) 456 (16.7)
Gianyar 1573 (11.1) 408 (14.1) 1165 (10.3) 363 (13.2) 363 (13.2)
Klungkung 554 (3.9) 79 (2.7) 475 (4.2) 73 (2.7) 73 (2.7)
Bangli 803 (5.7) 222 (7.7) 581 (5.2) 202 (7.3) 202 (7.3)
Karangasem 916 (6.5) 144 (5) 772 (6.8) 138 (5) 138 (5)
Buleleng 1968 (13.9) 353 (12.2) 1615 (14.3) 343 (12.4) 343 (12.4)
Denpasar 4259 (30.1) 886 (30.7) 3373 (29.9) 867 (31.4) 867 (31.4)
Reported No. of comorbidities,
n (%)
No 12,158 (85.8) 1698 (58.8) 10,460 (92.7) 1636 (59.3) 2473 (89.6)
Yes 2010 (14.2) 1188 (41.2) 822 (7.3) 1123 (40.7) 286 (10.4)
Vaccination status, n (%)
Unvaccinated 6016 (42.5) 1867 (64.7) 4149 (36.8) 1771 (64.2) 1469 (53.3)
1st dose (0-13 days) 1001 (7.1) 222 (7.7) 779 (6.9) 216 (7.8) 193 (7)
1st dose (14 days) 1408 (9.9) 340 (11.8) 1068 (9.5) 319 (11.6) 272 (9.9)
2nd dose (0-13 days) 880 (6.2) 77 (2.7) 803 (7.1) 74 (2.7) 158 (5.7)
2nd dose (14 days) 4863 (34.3) 380 (13.2) 4483 (39.7) 379 (13.7) 667 (24.2)
398
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416
13
14
Artigo perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
0-13 days after 124 (5) 285 (9.4) 28.3 (5.3-45.7) 10 (2.1) 399 (7.9) 53.9 (10-76.3)
1st dose
14 days after 218 (8.8) 373 (12.3) 34.1 (16.4-48.1) 15 (3.1) 576 (11.4) 58.6 (28.3-76.1)
1st dose
0-13 days after 50 (2) 182 (6) 61.2 (42.6-73.7) 3 (0.6) 229 (4.6) 76 (22.9-92.5)
2nd dose
14 days after 166 (6.7) 880 (29) 71.1 (62.9-77.6) 4 (0.8) 1042 (20.7) 87.4 (65.1-95.4)
2nd dose
463 Abbreviations: VE, vaccine effectiveness; CI, confidence interval
464 *Adjusted by age (as continuous), sex, presence of comorbidities and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, week of
465 testing, district of residence
466
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483
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498
15
16
Artigo perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
525 Table S2. CoronaVac vaccine effectiveness in preventing hospitalization and death due to
526 COVID-19 in adults (aged 18 years), by age group, in Bali, Indonesia (n=5518)
527
Vaccination Hospitalization Death
VE* VE*
status No Yes No
Yes (n=2490) % (95%CI) % (95%CI)
(n=3028) (n=482) (n=5036)
Age group: 18-
49 years
(n=1694)
Unvaccinated 123 219 Ref 11 331 Ref
0-13 days after 53 202 34.5 (-1-57.5) 0 255 NA
1st dose
14 days after 65 210 32.9 (-1.9-55.8) 1 274 78.7 (-84.6-97.6)
1st dose
0-13 days after 16 102 64.9 (32.7-81.7) 1 117 51.3 (-330-94.5)
2nd dose
14 days after 99 605 65.8 (49.1-77) 2 702 65.7 (-99.5-94.1)
2nd dose
Age group:
50 years
(n=3824)
Unvaccinated 1809 1089 Ref 439 2459 Ref
0-13 days after 71 83 14.1 (-28.1- 10 144 35.7 (-26.1-67.3)
1st dose 42.4)
14 days after 153 163 34.7 (11.2-51.9) 14 302 57.2 (24.7-75.7)
1st dose
0-13 days after 34 80 55.1 (26.5-72.6) 2 112 78.9 (12.7-94.9)
2nd dose
14 days after 67 275 79.4 (70-85.9) 2 340 90.6 (61.5-97.7)
2nd dose
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
17
18
Artigo perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
590 Table S4. CoronaVac vaccine effectiveness in preventing hospitalization and death due to
591 COVID-19 in adults (aged 18 years), by age group, in Bali, Indonesia based on the study
592 population (n = 14,168)
593
Vaccination Hospitalization Death
VE* VE*
status No Yes No
Yes (n=3718) % (95%CI) % (95%CI)
(n=10,450) (n=482) (n=5036)
Age group: 18-
49 years
(n=1694)
Unvaccinated 187 689 Ref 14 862 Ref
0-13 days after 73 691 36 (8.2-55.4) 0 764 NA
1st dose
14 days after 109 749 35.8 (9.3-54.5) 1 857 88 (1.6-98.5)
1st dose
0-13 days after 26 659 75.3 (59.4-85) 1 684 73.6 (-117.7-
2nd dose 96.8)
14 days after 178 3608 71.9 (61.6-79.5) 2 3784 88.7 (36.5-98)
2nd dose
Age group:
50 years
(n=3824)
Unvaccinated 2654 2486 Ref 560 4580 Ref
0-13 days after 85 152 12.9 (-22.6- 10 227 44.4 (-7.7-71.2)
1st dose 38.1)
14 days after 227 323 26.6 (6.4-42.5) 18 532 57.8 (30.9-74.3)
1st dose
0-13 days after 49 146 48 (21.8-65.4) 2 193 83.9 (34.1-96.1)
2nd dose
14 days after 130 947 83.1 (77.9-87.1) 3 1077 94.1 (81.4-98.1)
2nd dose
594 *Based on adjusted multivariable logistic regression, accounting for age (continuous), sex, district of
595 residence, week of testing, presence of comorbidities, and prior infection.
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
19
611
612
613 Figure S1. COVID-19 vaccination coverage in adults 18 years (any type of vaccines) during
614 January 13 to June 30, 2021, in Bali, Indonesia (Data source: Ministry of Health of Indonesia).
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622 Figure S2. Trends in COVID-19 incidence in Bali over the period of study (Data source: Ministry
623 of Health of Indonesia).
624
625
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629
20
630
631
632 Figure S3. Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) in samples examined during
633 January to July 2021 in Bali, Indonesia. Variant proportions are estimated against total sequences of
634 collected samples of each month. Total samples are varied for each month. Data are subject to change
635 over time and will be updated as more data become available. Variant proportions may not represent
636 national estimates. Analysis is based on data submitted by Indonesia Genomic Laboratory
637 Surveillance Network as of 22 September 2021 (Data source: Ministry of Health of Indonesia).
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21
Uma pesquisa publicada na revista Tro- de 2020, quando foram reportados 327
pical Diseases, Travel Medicine and casos”, apontam os pesquisadores no
Vaccines apontou que a CoronaVac, artigo. A taxa de mortalidade também
vacina do Butantan e da farmacêutica foi reduzida de 2,2% para 0,22% na com-
chinesa Sinovac, foi 99,9% efetiva para paração entre os dois períodos.
evitar casos graves da Covid-19 em uma
população da região amazônica da Além disso, quando foi atingido o pico de
Colômbia, além de oferecer proteção de indivíduos imunizados, houve redução de
94,3% contra casos leves da doença. 72% nos casos de Covid-19 no município.
Os cientistas destacam que os casos na
O estudo descritivo observacional foi população vacinada de Mitú podem ser
conduzido entre fevereiro e agosto de atribuídos à alta circulação da variante
2021 no município de Mitú, em Vaupés, gama na época. No entanto, o estudo
com 7.849 indivíduos acima de 18 anos mostra que a CoronaVac foi capaz de
imunizados com a CoronaVac – o equi- controlar a gravidade dos casos e a mor-
valente a 99% da população. O local foi talidade relacionadas a essa cepa.
priorizado na campanha de vacinação
devido à proximidade com o estado O imunizante do Butantan e da Sino-
brasileiro do Amazonas, onde surgiu a vac representa 40% das vacinas contra
variante gama (P.1) do SARS-CoV-2. Covid-19 utilizadas na Colômbia e já teve
mais de 1,8 bilhão de doses aplicadas
As análises mostraram que, após a imu- em todo o mundo. No Brasil, foram 100
nização, 5,7% dos vacinados tiveram milhões de doses.
Covid-19 e apenas 0,1% precisaram de
hospitalização. “Essa plataforma vacinal consiste no vírus
SARS-CoV-2 inativado e já teve segu-
Nos infectados com menos de 60 anos rança, efetividade e imunogenicidade
(406), 405 desenvolveram sintomas leves comprovadas. A estratégia também foi
e apenas um teve sintomas moderados. Já usada com sucesso em Serrana, no Bra-
nos indivíduos idosos (41), 40 apresentaram sil”, informa o artigo, referindo-se aos
infecção leve e um teve a doença grave. resultados do Projeto S, estudo clínico de
efetividade conduzido pelo Butantan no
Queda de casos município do interior de São Paulo.
e de mortalidade
Em maio de 2021, houve um novo pico Publicado em: 15/01/2022
de 200 casos de Covid-19 em Mitú. “Essa
onda foi muito menor do que a de agosto
Abstract
Introduction: Currently, more than 4.5 billion doses of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines have been applied worldwide.
However, some developing countries are still a long way from achieving herd immunity through vaccination. In
some territories, such as the Colombian Amazon, mass immunization strategies have been implemented with the
CoronaVac® vaccine. Due to its proximity to Brazil, where one of the variants of interest of SARS-CoV-2 circulates.
Objective: To determine the effectiveness of the CoronaVac® vaccine in a population of the Colombian Amazon.
Methods: Between February 24, 2021, and August 10, 2021, a descriptive observational study was carried out in
which a population of individuals over 18 years of age immunized with two doses of the CoronaVac® vaccine was
evaluated. The study site was in the municipality of Mitú, Vaupés, in southeastern Colombia, a region located in the
Amazon bordering Brazil. Results. 99% of the urban population of the Mitú municipality were vaccinated with
CoronaVac®. To date, 5.7% of vaccinated individuals have become ill, and only 0.1% of these require hospitalization.
One death was attributable to COVID-19 has been reported among vaccinated individuals, and the vaccine has
shown 94.3% effectiveness against mild disease and 99.9% against severe infection.
Conclusions: The herd immunity achieved through mass vaccination in this population has made it possible to
reduce the rate of complicated cases and mortality from COVID-19 in this region of the Colombian Amazon.
Highlights:
CoronaVac® has shown 94.3% effectiveness against mild disease and 99.9% against severe infection in this
indigenous population.
CoronaVac® reduces the mortality rate from 2.2% in 2020 to 0.22% in 2021.
The herd immunity was achieved through mass vaccination in this region of the Colombian Amazon.
Keywords: COVID-19 vaccines, Prevention, Post-exposure, Prophylaxis, Public health, Mass vaccination
* Correspondence: smattar@correo.unicordoba.edu.co
1
Universidad de Córdoba, Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas del Trópico,
Montería, Colombia
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
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Fig. 1 The geographic location of the municipality of Mitu. This figure showed that Mitu is located in the southeast of Colombia on the border
with Brazil
the age range, under 60 years there were 406 infections, Vaccination effectiveness in the different forms of the
of these 405 (99.8%) were mild infections and one (0.2%) severity of COVID-19
with moderate severity, and in those over 60 years, there Regarding the vaccine’s effectiveness, it was observed
were 41, of these 40 (97.6%) were mild infections and that it was 94.3% to prevent mild forms and 99.9% for
one (2.4%) was severe, and this individual died as a dir- the case of moderate and severe forms. Besides, the vac-
ect consequence of COVID-19 (Table 3). cine was 99.9% effective in preventing cases of death at-
In May 2021, in Mitu, a new peak of SARS-CoV-2 was tributed to SARS-CoV-2 has been reported among the
observed with 200 cases. This increase is much lower vaccinated group (Table 4).
than the August 2020 peak, where 327 were reported. In
addition, it can be observed that between April–May Discussion
2021, the highest peak of individuals who completed The vaccine demonstrated a significant of 94.3% efficacy
their CoronaVac® vaccination reduced COVID-19 cases in clinical trials for preventing SARS-CoV-2 infections
by 72% in June (Fig. 2). On the other hand, when com- in different stages of severity. With this efficacy, herd
paring the fatality rate, it was 2.2% before vaccination immunity may have been achieved through mass vaccin-
and 0.22% in the immunized population (Table 4). ation in this population. This vaccine’s effectiveness
Table 1 Characteristic of the individuals vaccinated with two Table 3 Severity of COVID-19 in population vaccinated
doses in Mitu municipality according to age range < 60 years vs > 60 years
Characteristic of the individuals vaccinated (%) Severity of COVID-19 according to age range (%)
Sex < 60 years N = 406
Female 3530 (45) Mild 405 (99.8)
Male 4319 (55) Moderate 1 (0.2)
Median age in years (range) 38 (18–95) Severe 0
Individuals < 60 years 6644 (84.6) > 60 years N = 41
Individuals > 60 years 1205 (15.4) Mild 40 (97.6)
Ethnicity Moderate 0
Indigenous 4745 (60.4) Severe + deceased 1 (2.4)
Afro-Colombian 156 (2)
Other 2948 (37.6)
individuals vaccinated with CoronaVac® [12]. However,
Pregnant women vaccinated our results in the older than 60 years show differences
Yes 8 (0.1) with what was published in Brazilian older adults by
Total of people with two doses 7849 (99.9) Ranzani et al. [13], who found protection of 49.4%. The
vaccine’s reduction could be explained because 83% of
their cases were infected with the P.1 variant of SARS-
study in a predominantly indigenous population is simi- CoV-2.
lar in size to the phase III studies conducted in Turkey Furthermore, it is essential to analyze the course of in-
and Brazil, in which between 7000 and 13,000 partici- fection over time and the impact of vaccination against
pants were evaluated [11]. SARS-CoV-2. In April 2021, the third wave of COVID-
SARS-CoV-2 infections among those vaccinated were 19 cases began in Colombia. However, the incidence was
mild, and their management was ambulatory. In much lower than observed in the first peak of the pan-
addition, it has been seen that vaccination with the im- demic between April and June 2020. The new cases pre-
munogen from the pharmaceutical company Sinovac has sented in 2021 in the vaccinated population could be
prevented the appearance of complicated infections and due to the Brazilian variant P.1 of SARS-CoV-2 [14].
fatal outcomes [12]. These findings are consistent with However, the morbidity and mortality of this new vari-
those reported by phase III studies carried out in Brazil, ant seem to be controlled with the CoronaVac® vaccine.
where it was shown that this vaccine reduces the risk of Regarding the effectiveness of this vaccine, it was ob-
hospitalization and death between 84 to 100% of served that it was 94.3% against mild disease and 99.9%
against severe infection in this population. Our findings
Table 2 Characterization of the SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals are similar to Turkey’s phase III study for CoronaVac®,
post-vaccinated in which efficacy of 91% was observed. In contrast to
Characteristic of the individuals infected (%)
studies in Brazil and Chile, which reported low overall
efficacy of 50.38 and 65%, respectively. However, it is es-
Female 230 (51.5)
sential to highlight that this vaccine reduced 90% of the
Male 217 (48.5)
proportion of hospitalization in an intensive care unit
Test used for SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic (ICU) and 86%mortality from SARS-CoV-2 [15, 16] in
Antigen 268 (60) the Chilean population. The epidemiological moments
RT-qPCR 179 (40) of vaccination must also be taken into account. For ex-
Severity of COVID-19 ample, Chile began vaccination with a low viral trans-
Mild 445 (99.6)
mission different from the epidemiological scenario
studied in Brazil. When the transmission is lower, there
Moderate 1 (0.2)
is less chance that vaccination will fail [17]. Our study is
Severe 1 (0.2) similar to perform in the small city of Serrana, Brazil,
Type of treatment that vaccinated using CoronaVac®. In Serrana, 95% of
Ambulatory care 445 (99.6) the city’s adult population was vaccinated, a reduction of
Hospitalized 2 (0.4) 80% in symptomatic cases and hospitalizations dropped
by 86% and mortality by 95% [5].
Deceased by COVID-19 1 (0.2)
So far, SARS-CoV-2 is a virus that is efficiently trans-
Total of people infected with COVID-19 447 (5.7)
mitted and quickly infects the unvaccinated population.
Fig. 2 Characterization of COVID-19 cases in Mitu municipality. This figure showed a first peak or wave of cases of COVID-19 in August 2020, with
a significant drop of cases in November 2020. The vaccination in this municipality started in February 2021 and a second wave was observed
between April–May 2021, the highest peak of individuals who completed their CoronaVac® vaccination reduced COVID-19 cases by 72% in June
Due to the lack of genotypic information for the Mitú cause few breakthrough infections with an increase in
municipality, we do not know if the P1 variant (Brazil) the number of cases at a given epidemiological moment.
managed to spread or if the action of the vaccine con- It is also necessary to know if the CoronaVac® will pro-
tained it. On the other hand, one of the limitations of tect against the new delta strain in Colombia. It will be a
this work could be in a possible under-registration of real challenge for the vaccine in a couple of months
the mild infections registered in this vaccine population, when it is believed that Delta could be predominant in
since it was not possible due to the type of study that Colombia. Public health must continue long-term sur-
was proposed to carry out a strict follow-up by RT- veillance to measure the effect of vaccination in the
qPCR to this population cluster. studied population. It is unknown if the vaccine’s im-
The primary outcome of this study was to evaluate the munity will be maintained over time and if a booster of
effectiveness of CoronaVac® in reducing mortality and this immunogen is needed in the short or medium term.
severe illness due to SARS-CoV-2. On the other hand, There is still a long way to walk on this exciting research
one of the limitations of this work could be in a possible topic that will be key to controlling and mitigating the
under-registration of the mild infections registered in pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2.
this vaccine population, since it was not possible due to
Abbreviations
the type of study that was proposed to carry out a strict COVID-19: Coronavirus Disease 2019; WHO: World Health Organization;
follow-up by RT- qPCR to this population cluster. ICU: Intensive Care Unit
Finally, we can infer that to date, herd immunity has
Acknowledgments
been achieved through mass vaccination in this popula- To Ministerio de Ciencia Tecnología e Innovación, Colombia (MINCIENCIAS),
tion, which has impacted the reduction of complicated Secretary of Health of Mitu, Vaupes.
cases and the mortality rate from COVID-19. However,
Authors’ contributions
pediatric populations remain unvaccinated, which could Study design, SM, HM; Data collection, HM, JMR, SG, Methodology, RR, KG,
BG. Data analysis, curation and interpretation, HSC, SM; Writing / Drafting,
HSC, SM; Critical revision of the article, LHP, CG, JM, BG, RR. All authors have
Table 4 Effectiveness of the Coronavac vaccine read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Effectiveness of CoronaVac
Funding
Prevent mild forms 94.3% Any organization did not fund our project.
Prevent moderate forms 99.9%
Availability of data and materials
Prevent severe forms 99.9% The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made
available by the authors, without undue reservation, to any qualified
Prevent deaths 99.9%
researcher.
Mortality rate pre-vaccination* 2.2%
Declarations
Mortality rate post-vaccination in individuals fully vaccinated 0.22%
*Data obtained from DANE Ethical approval and consent to participate
Colombia. (https://www.dane.gov.co/files/investigaciones/poblacion/ The research was carried out following the international ethical standards
defunciones-covid19/boletin-defunciones-covid-2020-02mar-2021-17ene.pdf) given by the WHO and the Pan American Health Organization, supported by
the Declaration of Helsinki, and national legislation, resolution number 15. He Q, Mao Q, Zhang J, Bian L, Gao F, Wang J, et al. COVID-19 vaccines:
008430 of 1993 of the Ministry of Health of Colombia that regulates the current understanding on immunogenicity, safety, and further
studies in health. Furthermore, this work was endorsed by the ethics considerations. Front Immunol. 2021;12:669339. https://doi.org/10.3389/
committee of the Tropic Biological Research Institute. fimmu.2021.669339.
16. Ministerio de Salud-Chile. Reporte COVID-19: Vacuna CoronaVac tiene un
Consent for publication 90,3% de efectividad para prevenir el ingreso a UCI [Internet]. 2021.
Not applicable. Available from: https://www.minsal.cl/reporte-covid-19-vacuna-coronavac-
tiene-un-903-de-efectividad-para-prevenir-el-ingreso-a-uci/
17. Urwicz T. Asesor del Ministerio de Salud de Chile: “El virus se adaptó para
Competing interests
transmitirse rápidamente” [Internet]. 2021. Available from: https://www.elpa
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
is.com.uy/informacion/salud/asesor-ministerio-salud-chile-virus-adapto-tra
nsmitirse-rapidamente.html?utm_source=EPD&utm_medium=Push&utm_ca
Author details
1 mpaign=Notificaciones#pk_campaign=MASwpn&pk_kwd=%22El+virus+
Universidad de Córdoba, Instituto de Investigaciones Biológicas del Trópico,
se+adapt%C3%B3+para+transmitirse+r%C3%A1pidamente%22.
Montería, Colombia. 2Instituto Colombiano de Medicina Tropical-Universidad
CES, Medellín, Colombia. 3Secretaria de Salud del Vaupés, Mitú, Colombia.
Publisher’s Note
Received: 7 June 2021 Accepted: 2 November 2021 Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in
published maps and institutional affiliations.
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&Drs. Marcos Carvalho Borges and Ricardo Palacios contributed equally to this article
Abstract
Background:
A stepped-wedge trial is an approach for assessing vaccine effectiveness in the real world. By
the end of the study, all participants could receive the intervention, eliminating the ethical
Methods:
community Covid-19 epidemic using a stepped-wedge randomized trial. The city was
separated into 25 subareas, divided into four groups, and randomized to receive CoronaVac in
a two-dose scheme with a four-week interval. Intervention was initiated in each group with a
one-week interval. The primary endpoint was the incidence of symptomatic cases in fully
Findings:
received the first dose of the study vaccine, corresponding to 81·3% of the adults and 60·9%
of the urban population. Among fully immunized individuals, the vaccine effectiveness was
80·5 (95% CI, 75·1 to 84·7) for preventing symptomatic Covid-19 cases, 95% (95% CI, 86·9
to 98·1) and 94·9% (95% CI, 76·4 to 98·9) for preventing Covid-19-related hospitalizations
and deaths, respectively. There was a significant indirect protective effect in unvaccinated
people when 52% of the adult population was fully vaccinated. The Gamma variant was
Interpretation:
CoronaVac effectively prevented symptomatic Covid-19 cases and protected against severe
disease and death during Gamma variant circulation. Unvaccinated individuals benefited from
Funding
burden in modern times in loss of lives, people living with sequelae, and increased poverty.1
infection, is associated with a broad spectrum of clinical manifestations ranging from mild
symptoms to death.2,3
Among the measures to control disease’s devastating effects, vaccines have been
proposed as a cornerstone to curb the number of cases and viral transmission. In December
2020, the first vaccine was approved in the United Kingdom,4 and in mid-January 2021, two
phase 3 trials have limitations and do not demonstrate vaccine effectiveness, such as reduction
effectiveness in real world is challenging but highly relevant, especially in vaccine scarcity
conditions.
In the 1980s, the stepped-wedge trial design was proposed to assess the effectiveness
immunization.9 More recently, this study design was proposed as an ethical approach for
assessing vaccine effectiveness during the Ebola emergency, but it was never carried out
The lack of a placebo group in stepped-wedge trials allows all participants to receive
the intervention at the end of the study, eliminating the ethical dilemma of placebo, especially
during a pandemic. Since the intervention occurs at different periods, group comparisons can
be made between, as well as a broad analysis before and after intervention. In contrast to mass
vaccination, the indirect protective effect of vaccination also can be assessed in a stepped-
Methods
municipalities of the Regional Health Department XIII in the State of São Paulo in Brazil.
Each day, a quarter of the population commute to nearby cities, such as Ribeirão Preto,
The estimated population for 2020 was 44,434 inhabitants, according to the Statistical
Website of the State of São Paulo (populacao.seade.gov.br), which was based on an official
and compulsory census conducted in 2010 (Table 1). Adults aged 18 years and over residing
in the city were eligible for the study. A list of all inclusion and exclusion criteria are
First, the city administration, Housing and Urban Development Company, Serrana
State Hospital, the Butantan Institute, and local workers created a city participatory mapping
and the urban region was divided into 25 subareas, according to the land use.13 Next, the 25
urban subareas were reassembled in four color-coded groups (Green, Yellow, Gray and Blue),
balancing population among groups and avoiding contiguous areas coded with the same color
(Figure S1). The subareas were reassembled into the groups by an investigator (RP) who was
not involved in the mapping nor had links with the city.
Randomization
The study was presented to the community on February 6, 2021 in a public venue with
support from local authorities and leaders. During the event, intervention order for the groups
was determined in a public draw. The randomized order was Green, Yellow, Gray, and Blue.
Vaccination occurred in each color-coded group with one-week intervals (Figure 1).
Procedures
Eight public schools were adapted as study subsites where potential participants were
assessed for eligibility, including confirmation of residential address and if the area was
suitable for recruitment at that week, and were consented. All participants had blood drawn to
Participants were vaccinated with CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, PRC),
an inactivated Covid-19 vaccine, in a two-dose scheme with four-week interval, from a single
lot (#202009004). Participants who missed vaccination were rescheduled within one week.
Vaccination subsites were open from Wednesday to Sunday between February 14 and April
11, 2021.
All participants stayed for half-hour after vaccination under medical supervision.
Participants were advised to seek medical attention at local healthcare units, which reported
all cases of adverse events within seven days after immunization. During the study period,
vaccination was allowed by the National Immunization Program, which definition is provided
in the appendix.
Since September 2020, there has been enhanced case surveillance for Covid-19 cases
in Serrana. Any person with one or more symptoms (cough, fever, muscle pain, headache,
nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, dysgeusia, anosmia, dyspnea, coryza, nasal congestion, sore
throat, or fatigue) for at least two days had access to any of the local healthcare units of the
municipality and was tested for free for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR nasal swab. Results were
available the next working day. Positive samples for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period
were analyzed and sequenced for variant detection. The study surveillance started the day
after randomization (epidemiological week 6). The case initial date considered for analysis
was the day of the beginning of symptoms. Patients were followed for 28 days or until
reactions.
All cases reported by the Serrana health authorities or from other cities in public
health surveillance systems (e-SUS and SIVEP-Gripe) as residing in Serrana were included in
the analysis. Those systems also were used to collect information from cases residing in other
Outcomes
The primary analysis units were the color-coded groups, which were used for
(Figure 1). The adult population (18 years or older) residing in each corresponding group was
invited to join the study in the corresponding week. Only urban areas were considered for the
study analysis, corresponding to 91·4% of the population (44,183); however, the study
involved three study periods for each color-coded group: Control period, before vaccination;
Transition period, from first vaccination up to six weeks later; and Intervention period,
starting six weeks after initial dose (when participants are expected have two weeks or more
The primary endpoint was the incidence of symptomatic Covid-19 cases in fully
variants.
Statistical analysis
Information from study participants and case and safety surveillance were cross-
checked to determine the area and status regarding the intervention. To calculate vaccine
effectiveness, case incidence was first determined using a mixed Poisson regression model to
verify weekly changes in incidence rate ratios (IRR). Let 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 be the number of Covid-19 cases
in the group 𝑖𝑖 (𝑖𝑖 = 1,2,3,4) during the epidemiological week 𝑗𝑗 (𝑗𝑗 = 6, ... ,19).
Here, 𝜇𝜇 is the baseline rate, 𝛼𝛼𝑖𝑖~𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝜎𝜎𝛼𝛼2) is a random effect for the group 𝑖𝑖 , 𝑋𝑋𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 represents the
the treatment variable according to vaccination status, where the epidemiological weeks 6 and
7 were assumed as reference, so that θ represents the gradual effect of the intervention.
The overall effectiveness was estimated by comparing the case incidence for the entire
urban population in the control vs. the intervention period, as 100×(1–IRR) and 95% CIs for
vaccine effectiveness estimated as 100×(1–upper or lower bounds of 95% CI for IRR), where:
and the 95%CI for IRR was calculated as, 𝑒𝑒{𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼) ± 1·96 × 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆(𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼))} with the standard error
for 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼):
1 1
𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆(𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼)) = + .
𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
The direct vaccine effectiveness (dVE) was calculated by comparing the incidence
density between fully vaccinated and unvaccinated participants during intervention period as
follows:
Indirect protective effect was determined combining two parameters. First, it was
determined the epidemiological week when a significant and persistent decrease in case
incidence occurred for the entire population. Second, the epidemiological week when an
anticipated effect was observed in a color-coded group, i.e., when a significant reduction in the
case incidence occurred before the sixth week after the second vaccine dose. After defining the
epidemiological week that indirect protective effect occurred, the respective vaccine coverage
was defined.
The cumulative incidence for Covid-19-related hospitalization and death for Serrana
and the other nearby municipalities from Regional Health Department XIII was calculated
supporting activities of the Instituto Butantan, a public health research institution of the
Government of São Paulo State, and by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP, grant
2020/10127-1). The vaccine manufacturer, Sinovac Life Sciences, had no role in the study but
Results
Between Feb 14, 2021, and April 11, 2021, 28,656 individuals gave written informed
consent and were enrolled in the study, 908 were excluded before vaccination mainly due to
system diseases and alcohol or drug abuse, and 27,748 participants received the first vaccine
dose. Also, 342 individuals were excluded from the study analysis because they lived in rural
areas. Thus, 27,406 residents in urban areas received the first dose, corresponding to 82·9% of
the adults and 62% of the estimated urban populations. Only 515 (1·9%) participants did not
receive the second dose mainly due to Covid-19-related symptoms, treatment with
immunosuppressive therapy, and pregnancy. Thus, 81·3% of the adults and 60·9% of the
The participant distribution by gender was comparable (50·4% female), and 16% of
the participants were 60 years or older. Before vaccination antibodies against nucleocapsid
respectively. The baseline details per color-coded group are summarized in Table 1.
The number of symptomatic Covid-19 cases detected during the study period was
1,447. Of these, 149 resulted in hospitalization or death. In cases with reported symptoms
between epidemiological weeks 6 and 19, there were 37 fatalities. The cumulative incidence
The overall vaccine effectiveness for the whole population, including vaccinated and
unvaccinated people, was 48·1% (95% CI, 39·2 to 55·7) for preventing symptomatic Covid-
19 cases and 48·1% (95% CI, 13·2 to 69·0) for preventing disease-related hospitalization or
death. Overall vaccine effectiveness according to study period and age is shown in Figure S3.
Among fully immunized individuals, the direct vaccine effectiveness was 80·5 (95% CI, 75·1
to 84·7) for preventing symptomatic Covid-19 and 95% (95% CI, 86·9 to 98·1) and 94·9%
(95% CI, 76·4 to 98·9) for preventing Covid-related hospitalization and death, respectively
(Table 2). A significant direct vaccine effectiveness in the elderly has been shown in Table 2.
Out of the 1,447 reported Covid-19 cases, 361 (24·9%) samples were completely
sequenced during the study period. The Gamma variant accounted for 92% to 100% of the
circulating lineage between epidemiological weeks 10 and 19. Moreover, other lineages were
also detected, demonstrating the replacement of the ancestral lineage (Figure S4).
week 10 when the Blue group received the first dose (1·59, p<0·001). This tendency was
was observed in epidemiological week 13, when the adult population coverage reached 52%.
Notably, the maximum decrease in case incidence occurred by week 15 (0·25, p<0·001),
which corresponds to one week after Blue group received the second dose, and remained low
until the end of the experimental period (Figure 2 and Table S2).
Concerning hospitalization and death, the peak number of cases occurred in week 10
(2·00, p=0·02), and a maximum decrease was found on week 15 (0·17, p=0·02). For the
remainder of the study, the hospitalization and death case numbers remained low and
insignificant due to the small sample size (Figure 2 and Table S2).
Assessments of the IRRs for the symptomatic Covid-19 cases of each group were
performed in a chronological sequence (Figure 2). The Green group, vaccinated between
weeks 7 and 11, exhibited a significant decrease in the IRR, beginning at week 14 (0·32,
p<0·001). In the Yellow group, vaccinated between weeks 8 and 12, a reduction in the IRR
was detected at week 14 (0·35, p=0·046). The Gray group, vaccinated on weeks 9 and 13,
displayed significant attenuation of the IRR at week 15 (0·30, p=0·049). In the Blue group,
vaccinated between weeks 10 and 14, the IRR reduction was detected as early as at week 13
(0·15, p<0·001), one week earlier than the previous group, demonstrating the indirect
protective effect of vaccination. The model cannot be adjusted for hospitalizations and deaths
hospitalization and death in Serrana overlapped with other cities in the region. However, this
scenario changed during epidemiological week 13 when the incidence in Serrana was
deterred, whereas in other cities in the region it remained high (Figure 3).
Discussion
In the context of a public health emergency, this is the first study to demonstrate how
a vaccine can change the course of an ongoing epidemic in a region with no other significant
symptomatic Covid-19 cases and disease-related hospitalization and death in adults and
Notably, our study demonstrated a direct vaccine effectiveness of 80·5 (95% CI, 75·1
to 84·7) for symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection when the Gamma variant was predominant.
A Chilean study reported vaccine effectiveness of 65·9% for symptomatic Covid-19 and
87·5% and 86·3% for disease-related hospitalization and death, respectively, using
out that in Chile the population was vaccinated over four months, whereas in Serrana the
immunization was performed in two months. Since the stepped-wedge strategy produced
results consistent with data obtained from a larger study, it should be considered a practical
approach for assessing and predicting the real-world performance of new vaccines.
workers in Manaus, Brazil, CoronaVac effectiveness was found to be 49·6% (95% CI, 11·3 to
71·4) after the first dose and 36·8% (95% CI, -54·9 to 74·2) after the second dose against
study design differences and higher viral exposure. Our results reinforce the importance of
high-income countries, using the BNT162b2 messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine (Pfizer–
efficacy ranging from 50·7% in Brazil to 83·5% in Turkey,5,6 up to now, this is the first
CoronaVac is known to have good efficacy in two weeks after complete immunization
and, like other Covid-19 vaccines, does not trigger sterilizing immunity. Herein, we reported
effect. Furthermore, the overall Covid-19 incidence was deterred in Serrana, in contrast with
the persistent increase of cases in nearby cities. We also observed in the Intervention period a
reversal in the increased trend of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 cases among children (Figure
The indirect benefits of other vaccines have already been demonstrated and
calculated.19 Concerning Covid-19 vaccines, mechanisms for indirect effects, such as reduced
viral load in respiratory fluids and faster viral clearance, have been proposed.20 The results of
our study found clear indication of indirect protective effects on the unvaccinated population,
but the direct vaccine effect is far more important and all efforts should keep focusing on
Of note, vaccination acceptance was high in all study areas, and the distribution of the
stepped-wedge vaccination groups was uniform in the territory. This homogeneity is critical
since an unbalanced distribution of vaccination coverage can lead to one or more highly
transmissible foci and prevent broader disease control. This study cannot ascertain a
minimum immunization level to control the disease throughout the entire territory. However,
our results demonstrated that when 52% of the whole population was fully vaccinated,
indirect protective effects were observed, suggesting that this might be the minimum level of
reduced access to health systems. The ideal vaccination coverage might vary according to
Unfortunately, this study did not assess if mask use, social distancing and other control
measures changed during and after the experimental period. However, it should be pointed
out that Serrana authorities did not promote Covid-19 sanitary measures different from the
Like the present study, stepped-wedge clinical trials can provide information about
strongly encourage the inclusion of demonstration studies into the clinical development plan
of new vaccines to ease their introduction at a larger scale.21 In the current case, early results
obtained in this trial were vital for boosting CoronaVac's credibility in a scenario of
and state authorities, and community leaders was critical for making this study possible, and it
was reflected in the high vaccine acceptance. The role of community leaders in promoting the
Our study has limitations. First, due to the relatively short follow-up, we cannot
extrapolate data for late outcomes, such as the duration of the vaccine protection. Second, as
the number of severe patients was quite low, the statistical model for the indirect effect could
not be adjusted for hospitalizations and deaths per group. Finally, if the rate of infection was
trending down in Serrana, the calculated effectiveness could be biased. However, as the study
period was relatively short and the case incidence in the nearby cities increased during the
study period and in the following months, this stepped-wedge potential bias is unlikely to
Covid-19 vaccine effectiveness. Even in a scenario with new SARS-CoV-2 variant and in
areas where very high transmission occurred, the direct and indirect effects of CoronaVac
were remarkable. All the approved Covid-19 vaccines are expected to trigger collective
Nonetheless, our study provided a proof-of-concept for Covid-19 control through vaccination.
Contributors
RP conceived this study. MCB, HAB, MTRPC, EGP, APB, GGP, GJV, NNF, PMMG, RH,
ROP, and DC contributed to the trial design and protocol. MCB is the principal investigator,
performed research, and coordinated the study. RP and MCB drafted the manuscript. GGP,
GJV, NNF, PMMG, and RH coordinated the study. MCB, BMC, GGP, GJV, GRM, NNF,
PMMG, and RH were involved in the acquisition of data. MCB, RP, HAB, MTRPC, EGP,
BMC, GRM, GJV, JPS, NNF, PMMG, RH, ROP, SCSV, SKH, BALF, RTC, DC contributed
to the analysis and interpretation of the data. MCB, RP, HAB, MTRPC, EGP, BMC, GJV,
NNF, PMMG, ROP, SCSV, SKH, BALF, RTC, DC edited the manuscript. HAB and EGP did
the statistical analysis. All authors critically reviewed the manuscript and approved the final
version. All authors had full access to all data in the studies and had final responsibility for
Data sharing
Anonymous participant data will be available upon completion of clinical trials and
publication of the results of the completed study upon request to the corresponding author.
Proposals will be reviewed and approved by the sponsor, researcher, and staff on the basis of
scientific merit and absence of competing interests. After the proposal has been approved,
data can only be shared through a secure online platform after a data access and a
Declaration of interests
Butantan Institute during the conduct of this study. RP, MTRPC, APB, JPS, and ROP were
employees of Butantan Institute during the conduct of this study. HAB, EGP, GGP, SCSV
and DC are employees of Butantan Institute. All other authors declare no competing interests
Acknowledgments
This study was only possible thanks to the extraordinary commitment of people linked to
several organizations. Instituto Butantan staff left their families and worked full-time in
Serrana during the immunization period to monitor, coordinate and support the vaccination
centers (Andressa Freitas da Silva, Andressa Gabriela Moura de Oliveira, Arlete Sandra de
Jesus, Auricélia Quirino Sousa, Ayla Sol Agassi Guimarães, Bruna Colli Moreira, Elis Regina
Alves Pinto, Fábia Luzia Cestari, Gabrielle Maria Cordeiro Mongs, Juliana Araujo, Juliana
Cassano Carvalhal, Juliana Souza Nakandakare, Lucimar Pereira de Souza, Patricia Teraza
Bastos Pereira, Quetura Oliveira Silva, Renan Moreira dos Santos, Renata Carina dos Santos
Giacon, Sharon Guedes Ferreira, Vanessa Evelin Jesus Vilches Sant´anna). Such dedication
was vital for the study’s success. The authors are in debt to Juliana Araújo and her team in
Human Resources, Romulo Xavier de Souza and his Central Warehouse team and Vivian
Retz and her Communication team at Butantan for their active involvement in the study since
the very beginning. Other Instituto Butantan departments provided invaluable support to the
study, and we are very grateful to the Administrative, Logistics, Laboratory, and Computer
Service Centre staff (Julio Cesar Ciqueira Catani, Cláudia Anania Santos da Silva, Gabriela
Mauric Frossard Ribeiro, Kilmary Lincolins de Oliveira Sequeira, Richard Rodrigues dos
Santos, Gabriela Ribeiro, Alex Ranieri Jerônimo Lima). The Serrana State Hospital was the
foundation for this study and we thank all the staff, especially Eduardo Lopes Seixas,
Anderson Mendonça Jabur, Cassia Fernanda Sales de Lima Dias, Bruno Belmonte Marinelli
Diagonal staff was the basis of our in-depth knowledge of the Serrana territory (Ricardo de
emphasize and recognize the availability to provide help from the Municipal and State
authorities, particularly in the Health and Education areas. We want to underscore the
engagement of Serrana mayors, Leonardo Caressato Capitelli and Valerio Galante, and Health
Secretaries, Leila Gusmão and José Carlos Moura, and the local officers. Moreover, the
commitment of community and religious leaders to promote the study in the population was
outstanding. Finally, we want to praise the people of Serrana who embraced the study and
joined with the research team to resolve the scientific aims of Projeto S.
References
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vaccine. Can J Microbiol 2021; 67(3): 189-212.
21. Palacios R. Forgotten, but not forgiven: facing immunization challenges in the 21 (st)
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Figure legends
Figure 1. Study design and vaccine uptake in the population of Serrana, Brazil, 2021.
The panel (a) shows the study periods and time of intervention for each step/group. The
Control Period is shown in white. The Transition Period is shown with a diagonal pattern. The
Intervention Period is in solid colors. V1: 1st dose of vaccine. V2: 2nd dose of vaccine. A: is
the cut-off for analysis. The panel (b) shows the vaccine uptake per dose and age group and
overall population.
Figure 2. Vaccina coverage and incidence rate ratios for the entire population (a) and for each
color-coded groups (b-e) for symptomatic Covid-19 cases, Serrana, Brazil, 2021.
epidemiological weeks 6 and 19 in Serrana and other cities in the region with over 30,000
inhabitants, 2021.
Characteristics Overall Green Group Yellow Group Grey Group Blue Group
Estimated population
Total Urban Population (n, %) 44,183 (100) 10,716 (24·3) 10,399 (23·5) 9,918 (22·4) 13,150 (29·8)
Total Adults (n, %) 33,074 (74·9) 8,026 (74·9) 7,835 (75·3) 7,323 (73·8) 9,890 (75·2)
0-17yr (n, %) 11,109 (25·1) 2,690 (25·1) 2,564 (24·7) 2,595 (26·2) 3,260 (24·8)
18-59yr (n, %) 28,104 (63·6) 6,704 (62·6) 6,586 (63·3) 6,319 (63·7) 8,495 (64·6)
60yr 4,970 (11·2) 1,322 (12·3) 1,249 (12·0) 1,004 (10·1) 1,395 (10·6)
Total Urban Population (n, %) 27,406 (62·0) 6,764 (63·1) 6,203 (59·6) 6,026 (60·8) 8,413 (64·0)
Total Adults (n, %) 27,406 (82·9) 6,764 (84·3) 6,203 (79·2) 6,026 (82·3) 8,413 (85·1)
18-59yr (n, %) 23,041 (82·0) 5,549 (82·8) 5,166 (78·4) 5,091 (80·6) 7,235 (85·2)
60yr 4,365 (87·8) 1,215 (91·9) 1,037 (83·0) 935 (93·1) 1,178 (84·4)
Fully vaccinated
Total Urban Population (n, %) 26,891 (60·9) 6,647 (62·0) 6,084 (58·5) 5,897 (59·5) 8,263 (62·8)
Total Adults (n, %) 26,891 (81·3) 6,647 (82·8) 6,084 (77·7) 5,897 (80·5) 8,263 (83·5)
18-59yr (n, %) 22,580 (80·3) 5,447 (81·3) 5,057 (76·8) 4,976 (78·7) 7,100 (83·6)
60yr 4,311 (86·7) 1,200 (90·8) 1,027 (82·2) 921 (91·7) 1,163 (83·4)
Gender
Female (n, %) 13,541 (50·4) 3,344 (50·3) 3,122 (51·3) 2,959 (50·2) 4,116 (49·8)
Baseline seroconversion
RBD-reactive IgG (n, %) 6,605 (24·6) 1,398 (21·0) 1,427 (23·5) 1,647 (27·9) 2,133 (25·8)
Serology IGT (Reactive) (n, %) 6,345 (23·6) 1,341 (20·2) 1,374 (22·6) 1,578 (26·8) 2,052 (24·8)
Comorbidities
Diabetes (n, %) 2,172 (8·2) 574 (8·7) 522 (8·7) 494 (8·5) 582 (7·2)
Dyslipidemia (n, %) 1,352 (5·1) 337 (5·1) 338 (5·6) 268 (4·7) 409 (5·0)
Hypertension (n, %) 5,449 (20·5) 1,449 (22·1) 1,314 (21·8) 1,141 (19·7) 1,545 (18·9)
Failure to complete vaccination (n, %) 515 (1·9) 117 (1·7) 119 (1·9) 129 (2·1) 150 (1·8)
Table 2. Effectiveness of CoronaVac vaccine in preventing Covid-19 outcomes in Serrana, Brazil, 2021.
Effectiveness 95% CI
Overall effectiveness*
Direct effectiveness**
* Overall effectiveness was estimated by comparing the case incidence in the control and intervention
** Direct vaccine effectiveness was calculated by comparing case incidence between fully vaccinated
Control period, before vaccination; Intervention period, starting six weeks after initial dose (when
participants are expected have two weeks or more after full vaccination scheme) to epidemiological
week 19.
Ahmet Soysal, Erdem Gönüllü, Nalan Karabayır, Servet Alan, Serkan Atıcı,
İsmail Yıldız, Havva Engin, Mahmut Çivilibal & Metin Karaböcüoğlu
To cite this article: Ahmet Soysal, Erdem Gönüllü, Nalan Karabayır, Servet Alan, Serkan
Atıcı, İsmail Yıldız, Havva Engin, Mahmut Çivilibal & Metin Karaböcüoğlu (2021): Comparison
of immunogenicity and reactogenicity of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in
previously SARS-CoV-2 infected and uninfected health care workers, Human Vaccines &
Immunotherapeutics, DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2021.1953344
Original Article
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Article history: This study aimed to calculate the seroconversion rate and IgG antibody dynamic range of the CoronaVac vac-
Received 6 July 2021 cine in healthcare workers (HCWs) after immunization. Serum samples from 133 HCWs from Southern Brazil
Revised in revised form 12 November 2021 were collected 1 day before (Day 0) and +10, +20, +40, + 60, +110 days after administering the vaccine’s first
Accepted 14 November 2021
dose. Immunoglobulin G (IgG) was quantified using immunoassays for anti-N-protein (nucleocapsid) anti-
Available online 19 November 2021
bodies (Abbott, Sligo, Ireland) and for anti-S1 (spike) protein antibodies (Euroimmun, Lu € beck, Germany).
Seroconversion by day 40 occurred in 129 (97%) HCWs for the S1 protein, and in 69 (51.87%) HCWs for the N
Keywords:
protein. An absence of IgG antibodies (by both methodologies), occurred in 2 (1.5%) HCWs undergoing semi-
Vaccine
Immunization
annual rituximab administration, and also in another 2 (1.5%) HCWs with no apparent reason. This study
Public health showed that CoronaVac has a high seroconversion rate when evaluated in an HCW population.
Immunoglobulin G © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
CoronaVac
Pandemic
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2021.115597
0732-8893/© 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
2 L. Bochnia-Bueno et al. / Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease 102 (2022) 115597
virus as a component of the vaccine (Golob et al., 2021; Kumar et al., sorted according to the presence of comorbidities into 2 divisions:
2021). In phase I/II studies, this vaccine was safe, tolerable, presented immunosuppressed (n = 9) or not (n = 124) (Fig. 1; Table 1). The immu-
high immunogenicity, and had uncommon adverse reactions. A simi- nosuppressed group consisted in participants who presented comor-
lar response was observed for both tested concentrations (3 mg and bidity associated with compromised humoral or cellular immune
6 mg), and 97% of seroconversion occurred in the participants with response or those who used immunosuppressive drugs, such as HIV
18 to 59 ages (Padoan et al., 2021). In phase III trials, carried out with infection, use of chemotherapy or steroids (prednisone at a dose of
health care workers, this vaccine presented 50.7%, 83.7%, and 100% 20 mg/day or equivalent).
efficacy against symptomatic disease, cases requiring assistance, and
severe cases, respectively (Zhang et al., 2021a, 2021b). Phase III also
tested some serum samples against the B.1.1.28, gamma (P.1), and 2.2. Seroconversion evaluation
zeta (P.2) variants, showing great antibody response (Palacios et al.,
2021). Semi-quantitative assays were performed to detect anti-SARS-
As the vaccine has been administered to people with different CoV-2 IgG. For all serum samples, assays used the Chemiluminescent
ethnicities, comorbidities, and ages, the results of pre-approval clini- Microparticle Immunoassay (CMIA) Architect-I System for anti-
cal trials for its use may not perfectly reflect the response to the vac- nucleocapsid protein (anti-N) IgG (Abbott, Sligo, Ireland). Addition-
cine. Thus, vaccine response analyses, either by seroconversion or by ally, for serum samples from days 0, +40 and +110, assays used the
neutralizing antibody titration, are essential to assess the possible Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) for IgG anti-S1 spike-
impacts of this immunization on the population and must be moni- protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) (Euroimmun, Lu € beck, Ger-
tored so that the humoral response time can be defined. In this con- many).
text, this study aimed to identify the seroconversion rate and Samples were tested in duplicate, following the manufacturer’s
antibody dynamic range after vaccination with SARS-CoV-2 (Corona- instructions. Results with a variation coefficient greater than 15.0%
Vac) in healthcare workers (HCWs) 40 days after its application. were repeated.
2. Methods
2.3. Statistical analysis
2.1. Participants
According to the distribution of seroconversion at day +40, the
In total, 170 participants were recruited at the Complexo Hospital category variables were evaluated using Pearson’s chi-squared
de Clínicas, UFPR, Clinical Laboratory, Curitiba, Brazil, during the vac- test with Yates’ continuity correction. The age variable was evalu-
cination of HCWs in this city. The Institutional Ethical Committee ated using the Wilcoxon signed rank sum test with continuity
approved the study (CAAE: 31687620.2.0000.0096), and all partici- correction. Samples paired over time were evaluated using the
pants signed their consent. Friedman ANOVA test (as implemented in the rstatix package),
The inclusion criteria were as follows: answering the question- followed by the Wilcoxon signed rank test as a post hoc pairwise
naire, being vaccinated with 2 doses of CoronaVac, and providing comparison. For samples without multiple observations over
serum samples. Fourteen participants were excluded because they time, the Wilcoxon signed rank test was used. All statistical anal-
did not complete the questionnaire. In addition, 7 participants took yses were performed using R (R Core Team). P values less than
another vaccine, 1 participant did not have the second dose, and 15 0.05 were considered significant.
participants did not provide a sample on days 0 (previous vaccina-
tion) or +40 (post-vaccination) (Fig. 1).
Serum samples of 133 healthcare workers included in this study 3. Results
were collected on days 0 (previous first dose application), +10, +20,
+40, +60, and +110 after the first dose. On day 0 and +40, 133 serum 3.1. Seroconversion to S1 protein
samples were analyzed, and on day +10, +20, +60 and +110, 123, 119,
114 and 132 serum samples were analyzed, respectively. All samples Robust production of anti-S1-protein IgG was observed by day
were stored at 20 °C until analysis. +40 in 129 (97%) HCW participants by the index test result. Although
The participants were divided into 2 groups based on day 0 serol- the reactive (Fig. 2D) and nonreactive (Fig. 2B) groups had different
ogy according to anti-spike-1 (anti-S1) immunoglobulin G (IgG) average index values for S1-protein IgG on day 0 (P < 0.0001), on day
(Dutta et al., 2020, Fergie and Srivastava, 2021, Zeng et al., 2020): +40, the average index between the groups was not significantly dif-
reactive (n = 16) and nonreactive (n = 117). The participants were also ferent (P = 0.3704).
Fig. 1. Participants included and excluded in the study and division of groups for analysis. Comorbidities (immunosuppressive) included: Immunosuppressive drugs use, Crohn’s
disease, bariatric surgery, HIV and Diabetes.
L. Bochnia-Bueno et al. / Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease 102 (2022) 115597 3
Table 1
Demographics characteristics of participants included in the study for each respective group.a
3.2. Seroconversion to N protein A significant difference was also observed in the average index for
this antibody between the reactive (Fig. 2C) and nonreactive groups
Distributing the data in the division of groups is possible to (Fig. 2A): day 0 (P < 0.0001) and day +40 (P = 0.0657).
observe no significant production of the anti-N-protein IgG in nonre-
active group participants 10 days after the first vaccine dose 3.3. Combined response
(P = 0.5027; Fig. 2A), and although there was a statistical difference in
the sample on day +20 (P < 0.0001), there was no apparent serocon- In the nonreactive group, better-developed antibody responses
version at that time. By contrast, there was a marked increase in were observed for N and S1 proteins (P < 0.0001; Fig. 2A, B), while in
N-protein IgG levels in 69 (51.87%) participants on day +40 (Fig. 2A). the reactive group, the antibody response showed a significant
Fig. 2. Antibody rates in the S1-protein IgG seroconverted/not seroconverted groups at day 0. Boxplot graph presents median (line dividing the box), interquartile range (box), maxi-
mum value (line above the box), and minimum value (line below the box). The line connecting the boxes represents the trend of the data. The dotted line represents the days of the
vaccine application (2 doses). (A) N-protein IgG evaluation in S1-antibody nonreactive participants at day 0. (B) S1-protein IgG evaluation in S1-protein IgG nonreactive participants at
day 0. (C) N-protein IgG evaluation in S1-protein IgG reactive participants at day 0. (D) IgG anti-S1 protein evaluation in anti-S1 protein IgG reactive participants at day 0.
4 L. Bochnia-Bueno et al. / Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease 102 (2022) 115597
Fig. 3. Antibody rates for participants with and without immunosuppression. White boxes indicate nonimmunosuppressed participants. Gray boxes indicate immunosuppressed
participants. (A) S1-protein IgG evaluation. (B) N-protein IgG evaluation.
difference (P < 0.0001) only for antibodies against S1 protein 3.4. Antibodies level range
(Fig. 2D), increasing the level of circulating humoral response. No sig-
nificant changes were observed in IgG anti-N protein analysis for the Overall, it is observed that the antibody index showed a decrease
reactive group at days +10, +20, and +40 (P = 0.2231). The antibody in the comparison between days +40 vs +110. However, this antibody
index for IgG anti-N and anti-S1 presented at day +40 approximated index in this last sample collection is still significantly higher when
mean of 2.0 and 6.0, respectively. comparing days 0 vs +110 (all P < 0.0001) for both participants with-
Comorbidities were reported by some HCWs, including out (Fig. 2A and 2B) and those with (Fig. 2C and 2D) immunity before
Crohn’s disease, prior bariatric surgery, HIV+, or diabetes. In gen- vaccination.
eral, the participants with comorbidities responded to the vac-
cine similarly to participants without any comorbidities (Fig. 3).
However, 2 cases in the immunosuppressed group did not 4. Discussion
undergo seroconversion. Furthermore, 2 other HCWs (not in the
immunosuppressed group) did not seroconvert by day +40; both The seroconversion rate of 97% for the anti-S1 IgG observed in
had no apparent cause. These 4 HCWs without seroconversion HCWs is important data and corroborates the results of phase I/II tri-
were re-evaluated at +60 and +110 days. One participant pre- als of CoronaVac vaccine (Zhang et al., 2021a). However, it should be
sented seroconversion of the S1 protein in a sample of +60 days noted that the necessary antibody titers for protection are not
(Fig. 4). entirely known. Furthermore, in the clinical trials carried out previ-
In the anti-S1 reactive group on day 0, 6 (37.50%) participants did ously to vaccine registration, the primary outcome was disease sever-
not have a previous SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis, possibly due to asymp- ity, so it cannot be affirmed so far whether seroconversion or
tomatic infection. Furthermore, in the anti-S1 nonreactive group, 7 antibody titers are associated with protection from infection.
(5.98%) participants had symptoms suggestive of SARS-CoV-2 (fever, Several mutations in the RBD region of the S1 protein have been
dry cough, tiredness, loss of taste or smell, aches and pains, headache, shown, giving rise to the viral variants of concern, as previously
sore throat, nasal congestion, red eyes, diarrhea, or a skin rash) described: gamma (P.1), zeta (P.2), beta (B.1.351), alpha (B.1.1.7), and
(WHO, 2021), although we did not have information about nasopha- B.1.325 (Claro et al., 2021, Sabino et al., 2021, Tegally et al., 2021).
ryngeal RT-PCR or immunological rapid-test detection. Demographic Such mutations confer the potential for the virus to escape the
data according to immunologic response and comorbidities, are humoral immune response produced due to the disease or to viral
shown in Table 1. vectors or mRNA vaccines (Garcia-beltran et al., 2021). Thus, studies
Fig. 4. Antibody rates for participants without seroconversion on day +40. Purple and green lines represent the participants with Rituximab treatment. The dotted line represents
the days of the vaccine application (2 doses). (A) N-protein IgG evaluation. (B) S1-protein IgG evaluation (color version of figure is available online).
L. Bochnia-Bueno et al. / Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease 102 (2022) 115597 5
that evaluate vaccine efficacy against these new strains are valuable needed to determine humoral protection remains unknown. How-
(Madhi et al., 2021). ever, it has been observed that about 6 months after completing the
Seroconversion rates observed for anti-N protein IgG could be vaccination schedule, vaccinated individuals begin to show suscepti-
valuable with the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants, considering the bility to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
lower mutation levels in this protein (Dutta et al., 2020), compared to The immune response developed by vaccination depends not just
the high mutation levels in the S1 protein (Fergie and Srivas- on antibodies but primarily on neutralizing antibodies (Kurosaki et al.,
tava, 2021). Thus, seroconversion of N-protein antibodies may be an 2015). Both natural infection and vaccination act on the immune sys-
alternative for the vaccine industry to produce efficient vaccines for tem in complex ways, stimulating the production of nonneutralizing
circulating strains, including those that may arise in the future. How- antibodies (with their specific actions) and TCD4+ and TCD8+ T cells,
ever, more studies are needed to understand the impact of antibodies which also act to protect against COVID-19, as shown by Tarke et al.,
against other viral proteins in the protection against infection. 2021. That study evaluated the immune response to the SARS-CoV-2
In this study, there was no difference in the analysis for the anti-N variants and showed that cellular immunity-unlike the humoral
protein IgG in the reactive group, possibly due to the antibody levels response, is little affected by the virus variants. In addition to the spe-
present at day 0 in this group; the vaccine has not interfered in the cific immune response, innate immunity is another essential protec-
humoral response; the group remained at the same average index. A tion mechanism against infections (Kurosaki et al., 2015).
total of 5.98% of the participants without seroconversion reported The present study has some limitations: the humoral immunity
they had been previously infected by SARS-CoV-2. All of them pre- was studied semi-quantitatively, there was no quantification and
sented seroconversion after the complete vaccination. Moreover, titration of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, and no testing for neutraliz-
whether the person had experienced the disease or not, the levels of ing antibodies. The total number of participants was small, and
antibodies at day +40 post-vaccine were the same. This finding agrees immunosuppressed comorbidities were low in number and had
with Krammer et al., 2021 in a study of individuals with and without diverse etiologies. More studies are needed to elucidate the vaccine
previous COVID-19, given the mRNA vaccine. This same response response in these specific groups. However, this is the first study to
level implies the same antigen concentration, showing no difference evaluate the dynamics of IgG anti-N and anti-S1 production after
in individual antibody response regardless of the previous infection. CoronaVac immunization in the community.
Higher index of anti-S1 antibodies were observed in comparison The results of seroconversion have shown the importance of 2
to the response of anti-N antibodies, corroborating what was exposed doses for this vaccine as, until the second dose was applied, there
by Jiang et al., 2020. The Khoury et al., 2021 determination can be was no change in the production of N-protein IgG, as previously
used to estimate the level of neutralizing antibodies; for a 50% pro- described by Zhang et al., 2021 in phase I/II tests for this vaccine,
tection caused by neutralizing antibodies, approximately 20% of the with the antibody response detectable just 14 days after the second
antibody levels observed in the ELISA assays correspond to this level dose. The second dose is important for several types of vaccines,
of protection. And for 50% protection in severe cases, only 3% of anti- including mRNA vaccines, as described by Do €rschug et al., 2021,
body levels observed in ELISA assays correspond to such protection resulting in a significant increase in antibody levels. Therefore, with
in severe cases (Khoury et al., 2021). Therefore, it is possible to esti- SARS-CoV-2, there would be no difference at this point.
mate the index of neutralizing antibodies in this study. In conclusion, significant antibody production was observed
In participants with immunosuppressive treatment (n = 2), the 40 days after the first CoronaVac dose in the large majority of study
absence of the antibody response was probably due to rituximab hav- participants, independent of comorbidities. The anti-N protein and
ing been administered approximately 1 month before the vaccine. In anti-S1 protein antibody responses of participants without prior
this situation, as described by Kado et al., 2016, there is a significant B SARS-CoV-2 infection were comparable with those of the previously
lymphocytes decrease. Consequently, there is no production of anti- infected group, in which the immune response was maintained or
bodies until the B lymphocytes recover in 6 to 24 months. In such optimized, with no decrease in levels.
cases, the response must be evaluated after the repletion time, and
re-vaccination considered with medical and clinical endorsement. Acknowledgments
Two other participants did not seroconvert on day +40. One of these
had late-response seroconversion on day +60. No explanation was We would like to thank all participants who agreed to participate
found for the other case, and more studies are needed to understand in this study, those involved in the collection and storage of samples,
what interfered with the immune response. and the Immunochemistry Laboratory section of Complexo Hospital
As with the humoral response developed by other inactivated de Clínicas, UFPR, and CAPES.
virus vaccines (Gresset-Bourgeois et al., 2017) and other vaccines for
SARS-CoV-2 (Bayart et al., 2021), the dynamics of antibodies pro- Funding
duced by CoronaVac in this study shows a peak in the antibody index
followed by a sharp drop in that index. It is expected that even with This work was supported by the PROPLAN/Federal University of
these lower levels, memory B lymphocytes persist for a faster Parana
�, Curitiba-Parana�, Brazil; FINEP, Funder of Studies and Projects,
humoral response in cases of reinfection, resulting in less viral activ- Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation, Brazil Institutional Net-
ity and minor damage to the host (Kurosaki et al., 2015). This lowest work, Project: Laboratories for Diagnostic Tests for COVID-19 (grant
observed index has not yet been evaluated to verify whether the number 0494/20).
remaining humoral response is likely to generate a protective
response against an infection. Declaration of competing interest
The antibodies anti-SARS-CoV-2 produced by vaccine induction
showed a significant decrease in the period of 3 to 6 months in other The authors declare that there is no conflict.
studies (Bayart et al., 2021, Yigit et al., 2021), as well as in this one,
the need for a dose boosting has been recommended. Previous Authors’ contributions
reports have already shown that the heterologous or homologous
booster dose for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (Ho et al., 2021), including LBB: data collection, data analysis and interpretation, drafting the
CoronaVac (Keskin et al., 2021), have a surprising effect in the short article, final approval. SMA: data analysis and interpretation, drafting
term, even increasing the rate of effectiveness against the variants of the article, critical revision, final approval. SMR: data analysis and
concern (Yue et al., 2021). However, the antibody concentration interpretation, drafting the article, critical revision, final approval.
6 L. Bochnia-Bueno et al. / Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease 102 (2022) 115597
DA: data analysis and interpretation, drafting the article, critical revi- Krammer F, Srivastava K, Alshammary H, Amoako AA, Awawda MH, Beach KF, et al.
sion, final approval. LLMA: data collection, drafting the article, final Antibody responses in seropositive persons after a single dose of SARS-CoV-2
mRNA vaccine. N Engl J Med 2021;384(14):1372–4.
approval. SC: data collection, final approval. MBN: conception, data Kumar SU, Priya NM, Priyanka SRN, Nikita K, Thirumal JD. A review of novel coronavi-
analysis and interpretation, drafting the article, critical revision, final rus disease (COVID ‑ 19): based on genomic structure, phylogeny, current shreds
approval, funding acquisition. of evidence, candidate vaccines, and drug repurposing. 3 Biotech 2021;11:198.
doi: 10.1007/s13205-021-02749-0.
Kurosaki T, Kometani K, Ise W. Memory B cells. Nat Rev Immunol 2015;15:149–59. doi:
Supplementary materials 10.1038/nri3802.
Madhi SA, Baillie V, Cutland CL, Voysey M, Koen AL, Fairlie L, et al. Efficacy of the ChA-
dOx1 nCoV-19 covid-19 vaccine against the B.1.351 variant. N Engl J Med
Supplementary material associated with this article can be found 2021;384(20):1885–98.
in the online version at doi:10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2021.115597. Murray MJ, McIntosh M, Atkinson C, Mahungu T, Wright E, Chatterton W, et al. Valida-
tion of a commercially available indirect assay for SARS-CoV-2 neutralising anti-
bodies using a pseudotyped virus assay. J Infect 2021;82(5):170–7.
Padoan A, Bonfante F, Cosma C, Di Chiara C, Sciacovelli L, Pagliari M, et al. Analytical
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Correspondence to:
Prof Qun Zheng, Experimental Center for Basic Medical Teaching, School of Basic
zhengqun@ccmu.edu.cn
or
Prof Jiang Wu, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, No.16, Hepingli
wj81732@hotmail.com
Summary
Background Understanding immune memory to COVID-19 vaccines is critical for the
design and optimal vaccination schedule for curbing the COVID-19 pandemic. Here,
we assessed the persistence of humoral and cellular immune responses for 12 months
after two-dose CoronaVac.
Methods Participants aged 18–59 years received two doses of 3 μg CoronaVac 14 days
apart, and blood samples were collected before vaccination (baseline) and at 1, 3, 6,
and 12 months after the second shot. Humoral responses of specific antibodies and
neutralising antibodies were measured by using chemiluminescent immunoassay and
wild-type SARS-CoV-2 microneutralisation assay, respectively. Cellular responses
were measured by immunospot-based and intracellular cytokine staining assays. This
trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05072496.
Findings Total 150 participants were enrolled, and 136 of them completed the study
through the 12-month endpoint. At 1 month after vaccination, binding and neutralising
antibodies emerged rapidly, the seropositive rate of binding antibodies and
seroconversion rate of neutralizing antibodies was 99% and 50%, respectively. From 3
to 12 months, the binding and neutralizing antibodies declined slightly overtime. At 12
months, the binding and neutralizing antibodies were still detectable and significantly
higher than the baseline. IFN-γ and IL-2 secretion specifically induced by RBD
persisted at high levels until 6 months, and could be observed at 12 months, while the
levels of IL-5 and Granzyme B were hardly detected, demonstrating a Th1-biased
response. Besides, specific CD4+ TCM, CD4+ TEM, CD8+ TEM and CD8+ TE cells were
all detectable and functional up to 12 months after the second dose, as the cells produced
IFN-γ, IL-2, and GzmB in response to stimulation of SARS-CoV-2 RBD.
Interpretation CoronaVac not only induced durable binding and neutralising antibody
responses, but also SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ and CD8+ memory T cells for up to 12
months.
Funding Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission
Research in context
Evidence before this study
We searched PubMed for clinical trials published from the inception of the database to
Oct 8, 2021, with the search terms “SARS-CoV-2”, “vaccine”, and “immune
persistence”; no language restrictions were applied. We initially identified 206
references but this number decreased to 11 when we included the term “clinical trial”.
Of these references, 3 of which report human clinical trials of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
In the first study, six healthcare workers who contracted SARS-CoV-2 received the
BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, and had markedly higher neutralizing
antibodies than those infected naturally. In the second study, 54 participants with HIV
received two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and there is no difference in magnitude or
persistence of SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific humoral or cellular responses compared
with participants without HIV. In the third study, the titrate of SARS-CoV-2 spike-
specific IgG at day 320 after receiving a single dose of AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 declined
to less than a third of the peak level, although the levels remained higher than the
baseline. In the same study, a third injection boosted antibodies to a level that correlated
with high efficacy after the second dose and boosted T-cell responses as well.
Methods
Study design, participants and collection of samples
The prospective cohort study was performed to evaluate the immunogenicity of an
inactivated COVID-19 vaccine (CoronaVac, Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China)
in adults aged 18–59 years and followed up for 12 months after two vaccinations.
This trial was run at Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC), China.
Participants who were healthy, non-pregnant adults 18-59 years of age were recruited
from staff at Beijing CDC and Huairou District CDC (Beijng, China). All participants
Procedures
CoronaVac, an inactivated vaccine containing whole-virion SARS-CoV-2, was
developed by Sinovac Life Sciences (Beijing, China), and has been approved in 40
countries for emergency use as of Sep 15, 2021.4,7 Using a 2-dose regimen, the
participants received CoronaVac intramuscularly on day 0 and day 14, respectively.
Blood samples were collected from participants on the day 0 before vaccination
(baseline) and at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after the second shot for analysing
immunogenicity of vaccination.
Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were isolated from whole blood samples
before vaccination and at month 1, 3, 6, and 12 post-vaccination. Enzyme-linked
immunospot (ELISpot) assays (Cellular Technology Limited, OH, USA) were used to
evaluate cellular immune responses through measuring expression of interferon (IFN)
γ, interleukin-2 (IL-2), IL-5 by PBMS stimulated with RBD according to
manufacturer’s standard protocol. All measurements were subtracted by the
unstimulated control values, while the subtracted values were corrected to zero. In
addition, Flow cytometry (BD FACSLyric™, CA, USA) was employed to analyze
proportions of the CD4+ memory T-cell and CD8+ memory T-cell subsets. Furthermore,
intracellular production of IFN-γ, IL-2, and Granzyme B (GrzB) by T cells stimulated
with RBD was also analyzed using flow cytometry as previously described. 9,10 The
data were analysed with FlowJo software (Ashland, OR, USA).
Outcomes
Overall objectives were to assess the durability of the SARS-CoV-2-specific immune
responses after CoronaVac vaccination as two intramuscular doses 14 days apart for up
to 12 months. The humoral immunogenicity outcomes include the titres of RBD-
specific IgG antibodies and neutralising antibodies against live SARS-CoV-2 at
baseline and 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after the second shot of the vaccination. The positive
cutoff value for RBD-specific IgG antibodies was defined as the sample cutoff (S/CO)
value ≥1.0. Seroconversion of neutralising antibodies was defined as a titer of 8 or
higher for neutralizing antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2. The cellular immune response
outcomes include ELISpot assays for measuring secretion of IFN-γ, IL-2, IL-5, and
GrzB by PBMS. The results are expressed as the number of spot-forming cells (SFCs)
per 1,000,000 cells. In the meanwhile, the proportion of memory T-cell responses was
also measured by ICS assays across as the above time points of the blood collection.
Statistical analysis
Results
Total 150 participants were enrolled this study. Among them, 145 participants received
two dose of the investigational product, and 136 participants completed the scheduled
visits 12 months after the second shot. Baseline demographic characteristics of the
participants at enrolment were shown in figure1.
SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific IFN-γ, IL-2, IL-5, and GrzB ELISpot responses were
assessed at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months after the second vaccination in PBMCs of all
participants (figure 3). IFN-γ responses were elicited in participants with a peak
Memory T-cell subsets, expression of IFN-γ, IL-2, and GrzB were ananlyzed by uisng
ICS assays to evaluate the SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific memory T cells in a subset of
participants (N=119, in whom sufficient PBMC were available) (figure 4). The
percentage of RBD-specific CD4+ T central memory (TCM) cells was significantly
higher at 1 month (11·78%%) after the second vaccination than that of the baseline,
repsenting 76% (86/113) of participants with detectable RBD-specific CD4+ TCM cells.
Then, the fraction of RBD-specific CD4+ TCM cells slightly but significantly increased
(15·25%) as compared with those of 1 month, declined until 6 months (1.97%), and
stabilized towards 12 months (1·24%) after the second vaccination (figure 4).
Coversingly, the percentages of subjects with detectable circulating SARS-CoV-2
RBD-specific CD4+ TCM cells were 86% (95 of 110), 59% (64 of 108), and 56% (65 of
117) at 3, 6, and 12 months after the second vaccination, respectively. In the meanwhile,
the specific CD8+ effector memory (TEM) responses were also noted. A considerable
fraction of RBD-specific CD8+ TEM cells was observed at 1 month (9·48%), then the
fraction of specific CD8+ TEM peaked at 3 months (12·14%),and thereafter dropped
over time (6 months 5·73% and 12 months 0·89%). The proportion of subjects with
detectable circulating SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific CD8+ effector memory (TEM) cells
As known, memory T cells, once they meet same antigen(s), can rapidly express a wide
variety of cytokines to engage, recruit, or activate innate cells or other adaptive
lymphocytes. To assess functionality of the SARS-CoV-2-specific memory CD4+ and
CD8+ T cell responses, we further measured intracellular cytokines expressed by these
cells in response to SARS-CoV-2 RBD stimulation (figure 4). IFN-γ cytokine-
producing memory CD4+ T and CD8+ T cells exhibited similar kinetics, in which IFN-
γ production started at 1 month, reached the peak at 3 or 6 months, and thereafter
dropped over time (figure 4). It has been well known that GzmB is a type of cytotoxic
granules produced by NK cells and activated CTLs.11 As expected, the GzmB
production by specific memory CD4+ T and CD8+ T cells increased rapidly at 1 month
after the second vaccination, and maintained a high percentage to 3 months, and then
gradually decreased. Interestingly, the fraction of CD4+ TCM, CD4+ TEM, CD8+ TEM,
and CD8+ TEcells producing IL-2 continued to rise from 1 to 6 months after the second
dose and maintained at a high level throughout the entire follow-up period (until 12
months). As shown in Fig4, the SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ TcM, CD4+ TEM, and CD8+
TEM, and CD8+ TE cells were all functional up to 12 months after the second dose, as
the cells produced IFN-γ, IL-2, and GzmB in response to SARS-CoV-2-specific RBD.
Therefore, CoronaVac is not only albe to elicit durable SARS-CoV-2-specific memory
CD4+T cells, but also SARS-CoV-2-specific memory CD8+ T cells.
Dicussion
In the present study, we monitored the status of 12-month durability of humoral and
cellular immune responses in 145 individuals who received two doses of CoronaVac (3
Although recent work has much focused on antibody responses, memory CD8+ T cells
play cruitical role in defencing virus infection through killing virus-infected cells and
expressing relevant cytokines and cytolytic molecules.17 In addition, CD8+ T-cell
responses may also contribute to protection, particularly in the setting of waning or
borderline antibody responses,18 or potentially against viral variants that are partially
resistant to antibodies.19 Previous studies on SARS and Middle East respiratory
syndrome (MERS) have shown that the increases in specific antibodies are
temporaryly, and that antibody levels decline quickly in patients after recovery, whereas
the specific CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell responses play an essential role in the control of
SARS and MERS.20,21 Besides, some studies have shown that the reduction in the
number of T cells is related to poor clinical outcomes and immune pathogenesis, while
adequate T cell counts and appropriate effector function are associated with patients
having mild disease symptoms or successful rehabilitation.22 Grifoni et al. have reporte
that circulating SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cells are 100% and 70%
respectively in a small group of COVID-19 convalescent patients (n=20).23 a In
addition, another study has shown that the percentages of CD4+ and CD8+ T cells
Previous reports on the development of SARS and the Middle East respiratory
syndrome (MERS) vaccine candidates have shown that there are some raised concerns
related to antibody-dependant enhancement (ADE) and induction of Th2 responses.25-
27 In contrast, our data showed that profile of cytokine secretion was prodeminately
Th1 (IFN-γ and IL-2) produced by BPBC stimulated with SARS-CoV-2 RBD
compared to baseline of participants received CoronaVac, while concentrations of Th2
cytokine IL-5 were hardly detectable. Similarly, phenotyping by flow cytometry
demonstrated that substantial IFN-γ- and IL-2-producing cells mainly were CD4+ and
CD8+ T cells. Herein, subjects vaccinated with CoronaVac seemed to have predominant
Th1 responses, but little to no Th2 cytokines. These results are consistent with a
previous animal study,28 and further proves the safety of CoronaVac.
However, it is notable that there are some limitations. First, because the participants
involved in the study aged 18 to 59 years, the generalizability to those at risk for SARS-
Contributors
All authors had full access to all data in the studies and had final responsibility for the
decision to submit for publication. WZ, QL, PZ, QZ, and JW designed the study. QZ
and JW worked as coprincipal investigators of this study. ML and LZ did the statistical
analysis. WZ drafted the manuscript. QZ and JW critically reviewed and revised the
manuscript. JL and SB led and participated in the site work, including the recruitment,
follow-up, and data collection. WC, MC, SZ, SB, YW, and JW were responsible for
laboratory analyses.
Declaration of interests
The authors declare that no competing interests exist.
Data sharing
We support sharing of the individual participant data. The individual participant data
that underlie the results reported in this Article will be made available when the study
is complete. Researchers who provide a scientifically sound proposal will be allowed
access to the individual participant data. Proposals should be directed to the
corresponding authors. These proposals will be reviewed and approved by the funder,
investigator, and collaborators on the basis of scientific merit. To gain access, data
requesters will need to sign a data access agreement.
Acknowledgments
This study was supported by the Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission
(Z211100002521014). The authors would like to thank all the participants who
volunteered for this study. We also wish to thank Prof Ying Sun (Capital Medical
University School) for critical reading of this manuscript.
Reference
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19: background document to the WHO interim recommendations for use of the inactivated
vaccines at different vaccination intervals. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2021; 17(10): 3310-3.
11. Hiroyasu S, Zeglinski MR, Zhao H, et al. Granzyme B inhibition reduces disease severity in
12. Widge AT, Rouphael NG, Jackson LA, et al. Durability of Responses after SARS-CoV-2
13. Doria-Rose N, Suthar MS, Makowski M, et al. Antibody Persistence through 6 Months after
the Second Dose of mRNA-1273 Vaccine for Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2021; 384(23): 2259-61.
14. Shrotri M, Navaratnam AMD, Nguyen V, et al. Spike-antibody waning after second dose of
15. Flaxman A, Marchevsky NG, Jenkin D, et al. Reactogenicity and immunogenicity after a late
second dose or a third dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in the UK: a substudy of two randomised
16. Chen X, Chen Z, Azman AS, et al. Comprehensive mapping of neutralizing antibodies against
17. Rodda LB, Netland J, Shehata L, et al. Functional SARS-CoV-2-Specific Immune Memory
18. McMahan K, Yu J, Mercado NB, et al. Correlates of protection against SARS-CoV-2 in rhesus
20. Sahin U, Muik A, Derhovanessian E, et al. COVID-19 vaccine BNT162b1 elicits human
21. Channappanavar R, Fett C, Zhao J, Meyerholz DK, Perlman S. Virus-specific memory CD8 T
cells provide substantial protection from lethal severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus
22. Chen G, Wu D, Guo W, et al. Clinical and immunological features of severe and moderate
23. Grifoni A, Weiskopf D, Ramirez SI, et al. Targets of T Cell Responses to SARS-CoV-2
Coronavirus in Humans with COVID-19 Disease and Unexposed Individuals. Cell 2020; 181(7):
1489-501 e15.
24. Braun J, Loyal L, Frentsch M, et al. SARS-CoV-2-reactive T cells in healthy donors and
25. Lurie N, Saville M, Hatchett R, Halton J. Developing Covid-19 Vaccines at Pandemic Speed.
26. Yong CY, Ong HK, Yeap SK, Ho KL, Tan WS. Recent Advances in the Vaccine Development
Against Middle East Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus. Front Microbiol 2019; 10: 1781.
27. Peeples L. News Feature: Avoiding pitfalls in the pursuit of a COVID-19 vaccine. Proc Natl
28. Gao Q, Bao L, Mao H, et al. Development of an inactivated vaccine candidate for SARS-
(C)
Binding IgG
100
Neutralizing Antibody
Percentage (%)
75
50
25
0
1 3 6 12
Time (month)
4000 220
600
120
Spots per 106 cells
3000
450 20
20
2000 300 15
10
1000 150
5
0 0 0
0 1 3 6 12 0 1 3 6 12 0 1 3 6 12
Time (month) Time (month) Time (month)
Vaccine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vaccine
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Background: The WHO declared COVID-19 a pandemic on March 11th, 2020. This serious outbreak and
Received 21 May 2021 the precipitously increasing numbers of deaths worldwide necessitated the urgent need to develop an
Received in revised form 8 September 2021 effective severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine. The development of
Accepted 21 September 2021
COVID-19 vaccines has moved quickly. In this study, we assessed the efficacy, safety, and immunogenic-
Available online 24 September 2021
ity of an inactivated (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine.
Methods: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy,
Keywords:
immunogenicity, and safety of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and its lot-to-lot consistency. A total
Adults
Efficacy
of 1620 healthy adults aged 18–59 years were randomly assigned to receive 2 injections of the trial vac-
Safety cine or placebo on a day 0 and 14 schedule. This article was based on an interim report completed within
Immunogenicity 3 months following the last dose of study vaccine. The interim analysis includes safety and immunogenic-
SARS-CoV-2 Inactivated Vaccine ity data for 540 participants in the immunogenicity subset and an efficacy analysis of the 1620 subjects.
For the safety evaluation, solicited and unsolicited adverse events were collected after the first and sec-
ond vaccination within 14 and 28 days, respectively. Blood samples were collected for an antibody assay
before and 14 days following the second dose.
Results: Most of the adverse reactions were in the solicited category and were mild in severity. Pain at the
injection site was the most frequently reported symptom. Antibody IgG titer determined by enzyme-
linked immunosorbent assay was 97.48% for the seroconversion rate. Using a neutralization assay, the
seroconversion rate was 87.15%. The efficacy in preventing symptomatic confirmed cases of COVID-19
occurring at least 14 days after the second dose of vaccine using an incidence rate was 65.30%.
Conclusions: From the 3-month interim analysis, the vaccine exhibited a 65.30% efficacy at preventing
COVID-19 illness with favorable safety and immunogenicity profiles.
2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
1. Introduction
Abbreviations: COVID-19, Coronavirus Disease 2019; ELISA, Enzyme Link
Immunoassay; GMT, Geometric Mean Titer; IgG, Immunoglobulin G; rRT-PCR,
Real-time Reverse Transcriptase-PCR; SARS, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome; The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has inflicted
WHO, World Health Organization. catastrophic damage to public health, economic, and social stabil-
⇑ Corresponding author.
ity worldwide [1]. In December 2019, a series of pneumonia cases
E-mail addresses: eddy.fadlyana@unpad.ac.id (E. Fadlyana), y.sofiatin@unpad.ac.
of unknown origin emerged in Wuhan, Hubei, China, with clinical a
id (Y. Sofiatin), rini.mulia@biofarma.co.id (R.M. Sari), lilis.setyaningsih@biofarma.
co.id (L. Setyaningsih), fikrianti.surachman@biofarma.co.id (F. Surachman), novi- presentation resembling viral pneumonia. The outbreak began in
lia@biofarma.co.id (N.S. Bachtiar), imam.megantara@unpad.ac.id (I. Megantara), early November or December and the number of cases quickly
huyl@sinovac.com (Y. Hu), gaoq@sinovac.com (Q. Gao).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.09.052
0264-410X/ 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
rose. As of May 2020, >80,000 cases were confirmed in China, SARS-CoV-2, women who are lactating, pregnant or planning to
including healthcare workers, which resulted in>4,000 deaths become pregnant during the study period, serious chronic diseases
[2–5]. The virus is airborne, highly transmissible between humans, (serious cardiovascular disease, uncontrolled hypertension and
and has a long and insidious incubation period. The outbreak diabetes, liver and kidney disease, malignant tumors, or any condi-
rapidly escalated out of China and throughout the world, pushing tion which according to the investigator may interfere with the
the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a pandemic on assessment of the trial objectives), uncontrolled coagulopathy or
March 11th, 2020 [6]. As of December 20th, 2020, the number of blood disorders, history of asthma, history of allergy to vaccines
COVID-19 cases was>75 million with over 1.6 million deaths or vaccine ingredients, history of confirmed or suspected immuno-
occurring globally [7]. Based on a WHO report, by January 20th, suppressive or immunodeficient state, or received in the previous
2021, there were 939,948 confirmed cases of COVID-19 4 weeks a treatment likely to alter the immune response [intra-
with 26,857 deaths in Indonesia [8]. venous immunoglobulins, blood-derived products, or long-term
Currently, there is no effective treatment available for coron- corticosteroid therapy (>2 weeks)], history of uncontrolled epi-
avirus infection. Vaccination is crucial for blocking the rapid spread lepsy or other progressive neurological disorders, and having
of deadly infectious diseases, such as the highly contagious COVID- received any vaccination within 1 month before or after adminis-
19, especially when effective treatments or cures are not available tration of the study vaccine.
[9]. Significant efforts have been focused on the development of After being informed about the study and signing an informed
vaccines and therapeutic drugs. Over the past decade, the scientific consent form, the medical history of the subjects was evaluated,
community and the vaccine industry have been asked to respond and they were provided a physical exam. The blinded investigator
urgently to epidemics including H1N1 influenza, Ebola, Zika, and team evaluated the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Eligible
most recently, SARS-CoV-2 [10]. The WHO is currently preparing subjects were randomly assigned at a ratio of 1:1 into two
a comprehensive analysis of vaccine and therapeutic drug candi- study arms to receive either 3 lg/0.5 mL dose of inactivated
dates that may be effective against SARS-CoV-2 and will use an SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or placebo on day 0 and 14. The randomiza-
evidence-based framework to transparently select the most tion list was generated automatically using the website, www.
promising therapeutic and vaccine candidates to evaluate in the sealedenvelope.com, and the vaccinated arms were grouped into
clinic [11]. Multiple SARS-CoV-2 vaccines types, such as DNA- three different batch numbers (batch 1/batch 2/batch 3) of
based and RNA-based formulations, recombinant subunit- SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. The subjects were randomized and vacci-
containing viral epitopes, adenovirus-based vectors, and purified nated per treatment group by an unblinded team. The alphabetical
inactivated virus are under development. Purified inactivated code remained confidential and maintained by the unblinded team
viruses have been traditionally used for vaccine development and and was not to be opened until the end of the study.
have been found to be safe and effective for preventing many viral The study protocol, subject information sheet and consent
diseases including influenza and polio [12–14]. forms, and the subject’s diary card was approved by the Research
As of January 25th, 2021, there are 64 vaccines in human Ethics Committee of Universitas Padjadjaran (Ethical Approval
clinical trials and 20 have reached the final stages of testing. At No. 669/UN6.KEP/EC/2020) and Indonesian Regulatory Authorities.
least 173 preclinical vaccines are under active investigation in ani- This trial was conducted in accordance with ICH Good Clinical
mals [15].The preclinical study results of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Practice guidelines, the Declaration of Helsinki, and local regula-
Vaccine (Vero Cell), developed by Sinovac Life Sciences Co. Ltd. tory requirements. The clinical trial was registered at clinicaltrials.-
indicate that the vaccine provided partial or complete protection gov with entry number NCT04508075 and in the Indonesian
in macaques from severe interstitial pneumonia after a SARS- Clinical Research Registry (INA-WXFM0YX).
CoV-2 challenge without observable antibody dependent enhance-
ment [16]. A phase I/II clinical trial has been conducted in China 2.2. Study vaccine
since April 2020. The preliminary results indicate a favorable safety
and immunogenicity profile with a two-dose vaccine schedule. No The study vaccine, developed by Sinovac Life Sciences Co., Ltd.,
significant changes in inflammatory factors were observed indicat- was an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 whole virion vaccine with alu-
ing a small risk of immunopathology induced by the SARS-CoV-2 minum hydroxide as an adjuvant. The study vaccine was manufac-
vaccine [17]. tured by inoculating novel coronavirus (CZ02 Strain) into African
In this article, we report the efficacy of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 green monkey kidney cells (Vero Cell). The virus was successfully
vaccine in preventing COVID-19 including safety and immuno- incubated, harvested, inactivated using b-propiolactone, concen-
genicity data based on the phase III trial collected during a trated, purified, and adsorbed by aluminum hydroxide. The bulk
3-month period after the second injection in 18–59 year-old sub- vaccine was then formulated with phosphate-buffered saline and
jects in Indonesia. This data set and trial results form the basis of sodium chloride as the inactivated final product. A dosage of
an application for emergency use authorization in Indonesia. 3 lg/0.5 mL was selected for this study. Three batches of study vac-
cine were used (20200308, 20200412, and 20200419). The placebo
contained water for injection packaged in ampoules (0.5 mL/dose)
2. Materials and methods and manufactured by PT Bio Farma. The study vaccine was admin-
istered intramuscularly into the left deltoid region by an unblinded
2.1. Study design and population investigator. The vaccine was stored at + 2℃ to + 8℃.
This study was an observer-blinded, randomized, placebo- 2.3. Surveillance for COVID-19 and efficacy assessment
controlled two arm with parallel groups, prospective intervention,
phase III study that began in August 2020 in Bandung, Indonesia to The primary outcome of the study was to assess the efficacy of
evaluate the efficacy, immunogenicity, and safety of an inactivated two doses of the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in preventing
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and its lot-to-lot consistency. The main exclu- COVID-19 cases compared with placebo. The primary efficacy end-
sion criteria included evolving mild, moderate, or severe illness, point was incidence of laboratory confirmed-symptomatic
especially infectious disease or fever (body temperature 37.5℃) COVID-19 cases starting at 14 days following the second dose.
, patients with serious chronic diseases, positive result from a COVID-19 case defined according to the case definition of the
nasopharyngeal swab RT-PCR test, reactive IgG and IgM for national guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of COVID-19
6521
in Indonesia [18]. Subjects were surveilled for COVID-19 disease graded as mild (pain at injection site when touched), moderate
after the first dose of vaccine by a combination of active and pas- (pain with movements), and severe (significant pain at rest). Red-
sive surveillance. The surveillance team performed monthly con- ness, induration, and swelling intensity were measured using a
tact (by phone or text message) to actively collect information plastic bangle and categorized as mild (<5 cm), moderate (5–
from subjects whether they have any symptoms suggesting 10 cm), and severe (>10 cm). Fever was graded as mild (38.0–
COVID-19 disease or admitted to hospital for any reason. Any sub- 38.4C), moderate (38.5–38.9C), and severe (39.0C). Fatigue,
ject who has at least one specific symptoms (cough, taste or smell myalgia, and unsolicited events were graded as mild (no interfer-
disorders, or dyspnea) or has two or more non-specific symptoms ence with activity), moderate (some interference with activity
(fever, chills, sore throat, fatigue, nasal congestion or runny nose, not requiring medical intervention), and severe (prevents daily
body pain, muscle pain, headache, nausea, vomiting, or diarrhea) activity, requires medical intervention).
for at least two consecutive days was scheduled to have nasopha- Any serious adverse events were reported up to 6 months after
ryngeal swab sample taken for SARS-CoV-2 rRT-PCR test. Subjects the second dose. Diary card was reviewed by the blinded investiga-
were also regularly reminded to report if they have any of the tor at 14 days following the first injection, 14, and 28 days after the
above symptoms. second injection. The safety data were reviewed by a Data Safety
The rRT-PCR was performed by the Central Laboratory of Monitoring Board (DSMB) and analyzed in the intention-to-treat
Universitas Padjadjaran. Nasopharyngeal samples were processed population using SPSS software.
in a dedicated BSL-2 laboratory with BSL-3 practices under a certi-
fied Class II Biological Safety Cabinet. Once a clinical sample was
2.6. Sample size determination and statistical analysis
treated with lysis buffer for RNA extraction, the samples then
moved to a less restrictive environment to complete the RNA
The study was powered for efficacy analysis. Sample size was
extraction and real-time RT-PCR. A 140 ll aliquot of the specimen
determined based on 95% confidence interval and 80% power.
was added to 560 ll of lysis buffer (Qiagen Viral Mini kit). RNA
Assuming that 2% of the population would develop COVID-19
extraction was done based on the manufacturer’s protocol and
infection in the placebo arm, a minimum of 810 subjects in each
immediately processed for RT-PCR. The remaining nucleic acid
vaccinated and placebo group would provide 80% power to reject
was stored at –80℃ for sequence analysis.
the null hypothesis of no difference if the true efficacy was 60%
The real-time reverse transcriptase-PCR (rRT-PCR) reagent kit
with a 5% dropout rate. In this study, the total cohort was 1620
from ABT (Beijing Applied Bioscience Technology) and the Multiple
subjects with 810 subjects in the vaccinated group and 810 sub-
Real-Time PCR Kit for Detection of 2019-nCoV were used. The
jects in the placebo group.
results were analyzed by software provided by the manufacturer
Vaccine efficacy (VE) will be estimated by (1 - RR) 100, where
of the Light Cycler (Roche). Comparative viral load was calculated
RR (relative risk) is calculated as the incidence in the vaccinated
using the CT (Cycle Threshold) values of consecutive specimens.
group divided by the incidence in the placebo group per person-
The incidence of suspected COVID-19 cases within 14 days to
years.
6 months after the second dose of immunization was analyzed to
To analyze the immunogenicity, GMTs comparation between
determine efficacy.
vaccine and placebo group was calculated after logarithmic trans-
formation using t-test or ANOVA (F-test). Serum immune response
2.4. Immunogenicity assessment
proportions (seropositive rate, seroconversion) and vaccine lot-to-
lot comparison was calculated using Chi-square test. The incidence
To assess the immune response, 4 mL blood samples were col-
rates of solicited and unsolicited adverse events between both
lected from 540 subjects before the first injection (Day 0) and
groups were analyzed using Chi-square test. A p-value of<0.05
14 days after the second injection. The ability of the antibodies pre-
was considered to be significant.
sent in the blood sample to bind to the receptor binding domain
(RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 was assessed blindly using an enzyme-
linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) at the Clinical Trial Labora- 3. Results
tory of Bio Farma. The ELISA titers were determined by end point
dilution and calculated using GraphPad Prism version 8.4.3 soft- 3.1. Study population
ware [19–21]. The antibody increment and GMT 14 days post-
last immunization were evaluated. ELISA seropositive antibody Between August 11, 2020, and October 21, 2020, a total of 1819
IgG titer was defined as titer > 200 and seroconversion was defined participants were screened and 199 subjects were excluded due to
as a four-fold increase of anti-RBD antibody IgG titer (ELISA) at not meeting the inclusion criteria or meeting one of the exclusion
14 days after two doses of vaccine compared with the baseline. criteria. From 1620 subjects randomized in the study, there were
The neutralization of antibody (NAb) assay was also conducted at 17 subjects that withdrawn from the study prior to the second
the National Intitute of Health Reasearch & Development. A four- dose [Fig. 1]. The first 540 participants were included in the
fold increase in antibody titer compared with the baseline value immunogenicity subset group.
was considered as the measure of seroconversion. Seropositivity There were 1046 male participants (64.57%) and 574 female
was defined as detected antibody 1:4. The immunogenicity data participants (35.43%). The participants were come from various
were analyzed in the per protocol population using SPSS software. age distribution from 18 to 59 years with average 35.5 ± 11.2 years
Pre-vaccination titer levels for subjects with zero titer were old. Among the subset immunogenicity subjects, there were 314
assigned a value of 200 for ELISA and 2 to enable GMT and titer male participants (58.15%) and 226 female participants (41.85%)
increment calculations. with an average age of 35.82 years ± 11.4 years old. The details
of the demographic data are provided in Table 1.
2.5. Safety assessment All study vaccines were administered according to the random-
ization list. Treatment compliance was defined as receiving both
Subjects were given diary cards to record solicited adverse doses of vaccine/placebo within the specified time period. For the
events (local pain, redness, swelling, induration, fever, myalgia, 540 participants in the immunogenicity subset, 10 subjects with-
and malaise) and unsolicited adverse events occurring within drew prior to the second dose vaccination and not included in
30 min, 7 days, and 8–28 days following each dose. Pain was the immunogenicity analysis. Meanwhile, 1 subject withdrew after
6522
Table 1 Table 2
Demographic Data. Treatment Compliance in Immunogenicity Subset Group.
Table 3
Summary of Primary Efficacy Endpoint.
Vaccine Placebo
Endpoint No. of Mean follow- Incidence rate No. of Mean follow- Incidence rate Vaccine
cases up days (per 100 cases up days (per Efficacy (%)
person years) 100person
years)
Symptomatic confirmed laboratory cases COVID-19 starting 7 80.78 18 72.08 65.30%
14 days after second injection
3.904 11.25
Severe 0 0 0 0
Critical 0 0 0 0 –
Death 0 0 0 0
number of subjects at risk adjusted by time (person years). The titer < 1:8 to a titer 1:8; or a 4-fold increase from baseline if
vaccine showed 65.3% efficacy in preventing symptomatic the titer at baseline 1:8. After the full schedule of vaccine admin-
COVID-19. istration, the seropositive rate of SARS-CoV-2 antibody using the
neutralization assay in the vaccine group at 14 days was signifi-
3.3. Immunogenicity cantly different compared with that of the placebo group. The sero-
conversion rate 14 days after the second injection in the vaccine
3.3.1. Antibody IgG titer by ELISA group was 87.15% with no seroconversion in the placebo group.
The seropositive rate of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody in the vaccine There was a 7.88-fold increase of antibody neutralization GMT at
group at 14 days after the second injection was 99.74%. The 14 days after the second injection. The neutralization antibody
seropositive rate in the vaccine group increased significantly com- results are presented in Table 4.
pared with the placebo group. The seroconversion rate at 14 days
after the second injection in the vaccine group was 97.48% which
was significantly different compared with a 0.75% seroconversion 3.3.3. Lot-to-lot consistency
rate in the placebo group. There was a 23.5-fold increase of IgG Another objective of the study was to evaluate the consistency
antibody GMT at 14 days after the second injection in the vaccine of 3 batches of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. The IgG antibody
group, whereas there was no significant increase of GMT in the pla- seropositive rate for the three batches of vaccine (batch numbers
cebo group. The results of the IgG analysis using ELISA are pre- 20200308, 20200412, and 20200419) were 100%, 99.25%, and
sented in Table 4. 100%, respectively, whereas the seroconversion rates were
96.18%, 97.76%, and 98.48%, respectively for the 14 day time point
3.3.2. Neutralization antibody after the second vaccination. The GMT of the three batches was
Neutralization antibody seropositive was defined as a 5093.78, 5421.63, and 5032.34, respectively, for the 14 day time
titer 1:4 and seroconversion was defined as a change from a point after the second injection.
Table 4
Antibody Titer between the Vaccine and Placebo Groups.
*) The comparison results after logarithmic transformation. **) Chi-square test; ***) t-test.
V1 = before injection;
V3 = 14 days after second injection;
IgG seropositive = titer > 200; seroconversion = four-fold increasing anti-RBD antibody IgG titer compare to baseline 14 days after the second dose.
Antibody neutralization seropositive = titer 1:4; seroconversion = a change from seronegative (titer < 1:8) to seropositive (titer 1:8); or a 4-fold increase from baseline
titers if titer at baseline 1:8.
6524
We compared the proportion of participants with seropositive mild adverse events in the vaccine and placebo groups was 54.3%
and seroconversion between the 3 batches of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. and 46.7%, respectively. After the second injection, the percentage
The results indicated that there was no significantly different pro- of mild adverse events in the vaccine and placebo groups were
portion between the 3 vaccine batches as shown in Table 5. 47.9% and 42.9%, respectively. There was a significant difference
After the full schedule of vaccine, the seropositive rate of SARS- in the distribution of severe adverse reactions after the second
CoV-2 antibody as determined by the neutralization assay for dose between the vaccine and placebo groups, with a higher pro-
batch numbers 20200308, 20200412, and 20,200,419 at 14 days portion in the placebo group. Moderate adverse reactions after
after the second injection was above 94%. The seroconversion rate the first dose in the vaccine groups were significantly higher than
for each vaccine batch at 14 days after the second injection was the placebo group.
90.08%, 88.81%, and 82.58%, respectively. There was an increase Of the 1620 subjects enrolled to the study, there were nine seri-
of 7 to 8-fold for neutralization antibody GMT in all batches at ous adverse events (SAE) that occurred in all subjects with a clas-
14 days following the second injection. sification not related to vaccine products (five SAEs). One SAE was
very unlikely and three SAEs were reported as less likely to be
3.4. Safety related to the vaccine product as assessed by the DSMB.
Table 5
Comparison of Antibody Titer in Different Vaccine Batches.
Batch
Batch Batch Batch
Antibody Time Point Parameter p-value**
20200308 20200412 20200419
(n = 131) (n = 134) (n = 132)
IgG (ELISA) V1 Seropositive rate n(%) 14 (10.70) 16 (11.94) 14 (10.61) 0.927**)
(95% CI) (6.47–17.14) (7.48–18.52) (6.42–17.02)
GMT*) 215.16 223.40 222.26 0.384***)
(95% CI) (205.70–225.05) (208.36–239.52) (209.08–236.27)
Median 200.00 200.00 200.00
V3 Seropositive rate n (%) 131 (1 0 0) 133 (99.25) 132 (1 0 0) 0.374**)
(95% CI) (97.15–100) (95.89–99.87) (97.17–100)
Seroconversion n (%) 126 (96.18) 131 (97.76) 130 (98.48) 0.476**)
(95% CI) (92.38–98.36) (93.62–99.24) (94.64–99.58)
GMT*) 5093.78 5421.63 5032.34
(95% CI) (4369.78–5937.59) (4656.29–6312.77) (4314.30–5869.76) 0.898***)
Median 5105.05 5787.62 5302.40
Neutralization Antibody V1 Seropositive rate n(%) 0 0 0 –
(95% CI) (0–2.85) (0–2.94) (0–2.91)
GMT*) 2.00 2.00 2.00 –
(95% CI) – – –
Median – – –
V3 Seropositive rate n (%) 126 (96.18) 127 (94.78) 127 (96.21) 0.803**)
(95% CI) (91.38–98.36) (89.61–97.45) (91.44–98.37)
Seroconversion n (%) 118 (90.08) 119 (88.81) 109 (82.58) 0.150**)
(95% CI) (83.76–94.11) (82.35–93.10) (75.21–88.10)
GMT*) 15.97 16.59 14.75 0.470***)
(95% CI) (14.03–18.18) (14.47–19.02) (12.78–17.02)
Median 16.00 16.00 16.00
*) The comparison results after logarithmic transformation. **) Chi-square test; ***) ANOVA (F-test).
V1 = before injection.
V3 = 14 days after second injection.
IgG seropositive = titer > 200; seroconversion = four-fold increasing anti-RBD antibody IgG titer compare to baseline 14 days after the second dose.
Antibody neutralization seropositive = titer 1:4; seroconversion = a change from titer < 1:8 to titer 1:8; or a 4-fold increase from baseline titers if titer 1:8 14 days after
the second dose.
6525
Fig. 2. Adverse Events occurring after the First and Second Vaccine Injection.
A phase III study for the study vaccine was also conducted in reduction in cases among vaccinated subjects in a double-blind
Brazil, Turkey, and Chile. Each country has a specific study design placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial. VE is measured by
depending on its pandemic situation, but the main design is simi- calculating the risk of disease among vaccinated and unvaccinated
lar. Efficacy data from other countries may support the registration subjects and determining the percent reduction in risk of disease
in each country. Based on the interim result, vaccine efficacy in relative to the unvaccinated group. The greater the percent reduc-
Brazil and Turkey was 50.65% and 83.5%, respectively [22,23]. Vac- tion of illness in the vaccinated group, the higher the VE [26–28].
cine effectiveness study was conducted in Chile with result of In this study, the most common adverse events were pain at the
65.9% [24]. The variability of efficacy result between the countries site of injection and myalgia which were reported in vaccine and
may reflect variance in study characteristics such as population, placebo recipients and with a significantly higher proportion of
testing rate/capture of milder case, and force of infection [22]. participants in the vaccinated group compared with the placebo
The efficacy results in this study were higher compared with group. Most adverse events were mild or moderate in severity. In
that of the same study in Brazil. The Brazilian study showed that the vaccine group, fever was reported in 2.5% of the participants
after 14 days following vaccination with 2 doses of vaccine using after the first dose and 1.8% after the second dose of vaccine. No
a 0 and 14 day schedule, the efficacy rate against COVID-19 was significant differences in proportion between the vaccine and pla-
50.65% for all cases, 83.70% for cases requiring medical treatment, cebo group were observed. Overall, reactogenicity events were
and 100.00% for hospitalized, severe, and fatal cases. This may be mild and resolved within a couple of days after onset. These results
the result of Brazil having a high-risk population, particularly indicate that the vaccine was well-tolerated. The occurrence of
health care workers, thus leading to a higher COVID-19 infection fever following vaccination with SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine
rate. In contrast, the Indonesian study used the general population was lower compared with other COVID-19 vaccine candidates,
with a smaller occupational exposure to COVID-19 infection such as the novel chimpanzee adenovirus vector vaccine, ChAdOx1
[22,25]. nCoV-19 viral-vector vaccines (18% in participants without parac-
Efficacy is one of the key indices to evaluate a vaccine. It mea- etamol), or RNA vaccines (16% in younger vaccine recipients and by
sures the effect of vaccination by calculating the proportionate 11% of older recipients reported after the second dose) [29,30].
6526
The immune response based on the seropositive and Ciumbuleuit, Puskesmas Sukapakir, Klinik Kesehatan UNPAD, for
seroconversion rate of SARS-CoV-2 antibody IgG titer using ELISA their support.
at 14 days after the second injection were 99.74% and 97.48%, We would also like to thank our Sub-Investigators, Susi Susa-
respectively. The IgG antibody GMT before injection and 14 days nah, Prayudi Santoso, Rudi Wicaksana, Yovita Hartantri, Hen-
after the second injection were 220.27 and 5181.19, respectively. darsyah S., Viramitha Kusnandi Rusmil, Reni Ghrahani, Mia
The seroconversion rate of RBD-specific IgG in this study were sim- Milanti Dewi, Akbar Tirtosudiro, Riyadi, Yudith Ermaya, Fina Mei-
ilar to that of the phase II study which was 97% [GMT 1094.3 (95% lyana Andriyani for their valuable contribution to the study.
CI 936.7–1278.4)] at 14 days following the second dose [17].
The immune response based on the seropositive and serocon-
Appendix A. Supplementary data
version rate of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody using the neu-
tralization assay in the vaccine group at 14 days after the second
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at
injection were 95.72% and 87.15%, respectively. The neutralization
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.09.052.
antibody GMT was 15.76 at 14 days after the second injection. The
study vaccine phase I/II clinical trials conducted in China in April
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Background. The development of effective vaccines against coronavirus disease 2019 is a global priority. CoronaVac is an inacti-
vated severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine with promising safety and immunogenicity profiles.
This article reports safety and immunogenicity results obtained for healthy Chilean adults aged ≥18 years in a phase 3 clinical trial.
Methods. Volunteers randomly received 2 doses of CoronaVac or placebo, separated by 2 weeks. A total of 434 volunteers were
enrolled, 397 aged 18–59 years and 37 aged ≥60 years. Solicited and unsolicited adverse reactions were registered from all volun-
teers. Blood samples were obtained from a subset of volunteers and analyzed for humoral and cellular measures of immunogenicity.
Results. The primary adverse reaction in the 434 volunteers was pain at the injection site, with a higher incidence in the vaccine
than in the placebo arm. Adverse reactions observed were mostly mild and local. No severe adverse events were reported. The humoral
evaluation was performed on 81 volunteers. Seroconversion rates for specific anti-S1-receptor binding domain (RBD) immunoglob-
ulin G (IgG) were 82.22% and 84.44% in the 18–59 year age group and 62.69% and 70.37% in the ≥60 year age group, 2 and 4 weeks
after the second dose, respectively. A significant increase in circulating neutralizing antibodies was detected 2 and 4 weeks after the
second dose. The cellular evaluation was performed on 47 volunteers. We detected a significant induction of T-cell responses charac-
terized by the secretion of interferon-γ (IFN-γ) upon stimulation with Mega Pools of peptides from SARS-CoV-2.
Conclusions. Immunization with CoronaVac in a 0–14 schedule in Chilean adults aged ≥18 years is safe, induces anti-S1-RBD
IgG with neutralizing capacity, activates T cells, and promotes the secretion of IFN-γ upon stimulation with SARS-CoV-2 antigens.
Keywords. CoronaVac; phase 3 clinical trial; SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; vaccines.
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS- described in December 2019 in Wuhan, China, and it is the
CoV-2) is the emerging pathogen responsible for corona- source of an ongoing pandemic, which by September 2021
virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) [1–3]. This virus was first has resulted in almost 221 million infection cases and more
than 4.5 million deaths worldwide [4]. International efforts
are focused on generating vaccines to counteract COVID-19.
Received 26 April 2021; editorial decision 11 September 2021; published online 19 September
2021. Epidemiological studies show that individuals aged ≥60 years
a
S. M. B. and A. M. K. contributed equally to this work. and those with chronic conditions are more susceptible to se-
Correspondence: A. M. Kalergis, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Libertador
Bernardo O’Higgins Nº 340, Santiago 8331010, Santiago, Chile (akalergis@bio.puc.cl). vere disease, frequently resulting in death [5, 6]. More than
Clinical Infectious Diseases® 2021;XX(XX):1–13 294 vaccines are under development, with 37 undergoing
© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society phase 3 or 4 clinical trials and 10 approved for emergency
of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab823 use [7]. Although many different vaccine platforms are being
used and explored, most of them rely on a single viral compo- indicate that CoronaVac is safe and immunogenic in healthy
nent, the full-length Spike (S) protein or the receptor binding Chilean adults.
domain (RBD) of the S protein [7, 8]. Whole virus inactivated
platforms are a mature technology widely used against dif- MATERIALS AND METHODS
ferent viruses, and they can be easily stored and shipped at Study Design, Randomization, and Volunteers
4ºC for several years, which is a significant advantage for de- This clinical trial (clinicaltrials.gov NCT04651790) was con-
veloping countries [9, 10]. Whole inactivated vaccines carry ducted in Chile at 8 different sites. The study protocol was
a wider diversity of antigens that are more prone to be con- performed according to the current Tripartite Guidelines for
served than the S protein in circulating variants, as is the case Good Clinical Practices, the Declaration of Helsinki [15],
for the nucleocapsid (N) protein that has shown to promote and local regulations. The trial protocol was reviewed and
18–59 y ≥ 60 y Total
Characteristic (n = 397) (n = 37) (n = 434) P Value
Age, mean ± standard deviation 38.2 ± 9.7 64.0 ± 4.3 40.4 ± 11.8
Inoculation .482
Vaccine, n (%) 245 (61.7) 25 (67.6) 270 (62.2)
Placebo, n (%) 152 (38.3) 12 (32.4) 164 (37.8)
Sex .039
Female, n (%) 251 (63.2) 17 (45.9) 268 (61.8)
Male, n (%) 146 (36.8) 20 (54.1) 166 (38.2)
Ethnicity .152
White, n (%) 370 (93.2) 37 (100.0) 407 (93.8)
Other, n (%) 27 (6.8) 0 (0.0) 27 (6.2)
Placebo
Adverse Reaction Placebo (n = 164) Vaccine (n = 270) P Value (n = 80)a Vaccine (n = 239) P Value Placebo (n = 80) Vaccine (n = 239) P Value
Local reactions
Pain, n (%)b 39 (23.8) 117 (43.3) <.001 16 (20.0) 73 (30.5) .069 32 (40.0) 133 (55.6) .015
Artigo
<60 y 37 (24.3) 113 (46.1) <.001 15 (20.8) 68 (31.8) .077 30 (41.7) 125 (58.4) .014
≥60 y 2 (16.7) 4 (16.0) .999 1 (12.5) 5 (20.0) .999 2 (25.0) 8 (32.0) .999
Induration (%) 1 (0.6) 8 (3.0) .163 0 (0.0) 15 (6.3) .015 0 (0.0) 21 (8.8) .006
<60 y 1 (0.7) 7 (2.9) .161 0 (0.0) 13 (6.1) .043 0 (0.0) 18 (8.4) .009
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 1 (4.0) .999 0 (0.0) 2 (8.0) .999 0 (0.0) 3 (12.0) .56
Placebo
Adverse Reaction Placebo (n = 164) Vaccine (n = 270) P Value (n = 80)a Vaccine (n = 239) P Value Placebo (n = 80) Vaccine (n = 239) P Value
<60 y 10 (6.6) 16 (6.5) .985 2 (2.8) 3 (1.4) .603 5 (6.9) 14 (6.5) .999
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 2 (8.0) .999 1 (12.5) 0 (0.0) .242 1 (12.5) 2 (8.0) .999
Pruritus (%) 2 (1.2) 10 (3.7) .225 0 (0.0) 4 (1.7) .575 1 (1.3) 14 (5.9) .127
<60 y 2 (1.3) 9 (3.7) .217 0 (0.0) 4 (1.9) .575 1 (1.4) 13 (6.1) .202
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 1 (4.0) .999 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 1 (4.0) .999
Exanthema (%) 1 (0.6) 7 (2.6) .268 0 (0.0) 1 (0.4) .999 1 (1.3) 8 (3.3) .459
<60 y 1 (0.7) 7 (2.9) .161 0 (0.0) 1 (0.5) .999 1 (1.4) 8 (3.7) .458
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) …
Allergy (%) 1 (0.6) 6 (2.2) .262 0 (0.0) 3 (1.3) .575 0 (0.0) 8 (3.3) .209
<60 y 0 (0.0) 5 (2.0) .161 0 (0.0) 2 (0.9) .999 0 (0.0) 4 (1.9) .575
≥60 y 1 (8.3) 1 (4.0) .999 0 (0.0) 1 (4.0) .999 0 (0.0) 1 (4.0) .999
Vomiting (%) 3 (1.8) 1 (0.4) .154 0 (0.0) 4 (1.7) .575 0 (0.0) 4 (1.7) .575
<60 y 3 (2.0) 1 (0.4) .159 0 (0.0) 4 (1.9) .575 0 (0.0) 4 (1.9) .575
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) …
Fever (>37.8ºC) (%) 1 (0.6) 1 (0.4) .999 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 1 (1.3) 1 (0.4) .439
<60 y 1 (0.7) 1 (0.4) .999 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 1 (1.4) 1 (0.5) .441
≥60 y 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) … 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) …
Data in the table were reported within 7 days after any of the 2 doses. Sample sizes: placebo < 60 first dose: n = 152; placebo < 60 second dose: n = 72; vaccine < 60 first dose: n = 245; vaccine < 60 second dose: n = 214; placebo ≥ 60 first dose: n = 12;
placebo ≥ 60 second dose: n = 8; vaccine ≥ 60 first dose: n = 25; vaccine ≥ 60 years second dose: n = 25.
a
As of February 24, 2021, only 80 volunteers from the placebo arm had received their second dose.
b
Percentages were calculated from the total number of volunteers in each group.
Table 3. Seroconversion Rates and Geometric Median Units (GMU) of Circulating Antibodies Against SARS-CoV-2 Proteins
Antibodies Detected Group Indicators Second Dose Second Dose + 2 wk Second Dose + 4 wk
Anti-S1-RBD IgG (WHO A.U./mL) Total vaccine Seroconversion n/N 23/72 54/72 57/72
(%) (31.94) (75.00) (79.17)
GMU 19.60 76.50 72.43
(95% CI) (15.24–25.22) (57.67–101.5) (56.96–92.11)
18–59 years Seroconversion n/N 18/45 37/45 38/45
(%) (40.00) (82.22) (84.44)
GMU 25.33 103.33 99.40
evaluation was performed on serum samples from 81 volun- included in this analysis) and breakthrough cases are shown in
teers, 53 of whom were aged 18–59 years, and 28 of whom were Table S5.
aged ≥60 years. The data are shown in international WHO ar- To evaluate the neutralizing capacities of circulating anti-
bitrary units. Increased levels of anti-S1-RBD circulating anti- bodies, sVNTs (Figure 3A and 3B), pVNTs (Figure 3C and 3D),
bodies were detected at all times evaluated after the first dose for and cVNTs for the D614G variant (Figure 3E and 3F) were per-
both age groups (Figure 2A and 2B). These changes were also formed. This additional humoral evaluation was performed on
detected in fold change analyses normalized to preimmune sam- serum samples from the same 81 volunteers, 53 of whom were
ples (Figure S1A and S1B). These results suggest that immuniza- aged 18–59 years, and 28 of whom were aged ≥60 years. Both
tion with CoronaVac induces a significant production of S1-RBD sVNTs and cVNTs showed a significant increase in the neutral-
specific IgG after vaccination with a 0–14 schedule. A modest in- izing (or surrogate neutralizing) capacities of circulating anti-
crease in IgG specific against the N protein was detected (Figure bodies against SARS-CoV-2 2 and 4 weeks after the second dose.
2C and 2D), with fold change analyses showing similar results to This could also be detected in fold change analyses (Figures S3
those for the international WHO arbitrary units (Figure S1C and and S4). The geometric mean titers and seropositivity rates for
S1D). We confirmed that doses of CoronaVac contain signifi- the sVNT, pVNT, and cVNT can be found in Table 4. These
cant amounts of the N protein (Figure S2). Seroconversion rates results suggest that immunization with CoronaVac in a 0–14
for S1-RBD and N protein specific IgG can be found in Table 3. schedule promotes anti-S1-RBD IgG with neutralizing capaci-
Results obtained for seropositive volunteers at enrollment (not ties in both age groups.
Immunization With CoronaVac Induces IFN-γ-Producing T cells Specific nonstatistically significant increase in SFCs for IFN-γ (Figure
for SARS-CoV-2 Antigens in Chilean Adults 4E and 4G). There was a subtle fold increase of SFCs for IFN-γ
To evaluate the cellular immune response elicited upon vacci- in volunteers stimulated with these 9- to 11-mer MPs (Figure
nation with CoronaVac, the specific T-cell responses induced S5). No changes were detected for the placebo group (Figure
upon stimulation of PBMCs with MPs of 15-mer peptides S6). These results suggest that immunization with CoronaVac
derived from the S protein of SARS-CoV-2 (MP-S) and the induces a T-cell response polarized toward a Th1 immune
remaining proteins of this virus (MP-R) were evaluated by profile, as the secretion of interleukin-4 by T cells was mainly
ELISPOT in a total of 47 volunteers. Representative images of undetected (Figure S7). As a positive control, PBMCs from
spot forming cells (SFCs) are shown (Figure 4A). We observed volunteers were stimulated with an MP of peptides derived
an increase in the number of SFCs for IFN-γ 2 and 4 weeks from cytomegalovirus (Figure S8).
after the second dose (Figure 4D). Individual data from these The expression of AIMs upon stimulation of PBMCs with
MP also resulted in partial increases in SFC numbers (Figure these MPs was evaluated by flow cytometry. Because MP-S
4B and 4C). Similar trends were observed with fold change and MP-R were initially determined in silico to stimulate
analyses (Figure S5). The specific T-cell responses against MPs CD4+ T cells optimally, the expression of AIMs was assessed
of 9- to 11-mer peptides from the whole proteome of SARS- on these cells for 43 volunteers. The gating strategy is shown in
CoV-2 (MP-CD8A and MP-CD8B) were also evaluated in 27 Figure 5A, and stimulation with MP-S and consolidated data
volunteers. Stimulation with these MPs resulted in a modest from both MP-S + R resulted in increased expression of AIMs
Table 4. Seropositivity Rates and GMTs of Circulating Neutralizing Antibodies Against SARS-CoV-2 Proteins
(Figure 5B and 5D). No changes were detected when stimu- the expression of AIMs was evaluated on these cells for 21 vo-
lating with MP-R alone (Figure 5C). Because MP-CD8A and lunteers. Modest increases in the expression of AIMs were de-
MP-CD8B were determined in silico to stimulate CD8+ T cells, tected for both MP-CD8A and MP-CD8B (Figure 5E and 5F).
No changes were detected for the placebo group (Figure S9). both vaccination schedules reported higher seropositivity in
Stimulation with cytomegalovirus and Concanavalin A con- individuals from the 0–28 schedule [22]. These results are
firmed the capacity of these cells to express AIMs (Figure S10). consistent with published data from subjects vaccinated with
Although more volunteers must be evaluated, ELISPOT and messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines, in which higher efficacy
flow cytometry results suggest that stimulation with these MPs has been reported with longer intervals between doses [23,
induces a cellular immune response in volunteers immunized 24]. Therefore, a different immunization schedule consid-
with CoronaVac. ering a booster 4 weeks after the first dose instead of 2 weeks
is being tested.
DISCUSSION
This study has relevant limitations that must be addressed,
This study is a preliminary analysis of a phase 3 clinical trial such as the reduced samples size evaluated for the immuno-
performed in Chile with CoronaVac, an inactivated SARS- genicity profile. Also, although the high immunogenicity de-
CoV-2 vaccine. We found that 2 doses of CoronaVac, in a scribed here is encouraging, efficacy and death prevention data
0–14 schedule, were safe and capable of inducing a humoral will be needed to guide the use of this vaccine in clinical and
and cellular immune response in both age groups evaluated public health settings [13, 14, 20]. It is also important to note
(18–59 and ≥60 years), which is in line with the phase 3 trial that further analyses are required to evaluate the relevance of
conducted in Turkey using the same vaccination schedule this vaccine on emerging circulating variants.
[21]. However, other studies using CoronaVac support the Adverse reactions observed were primarily mild and local,
idea that a vaccination schedule with each dose separated by which coincides with previous reports with this vaccine. No
4 weeks (0–28) induces better immune responses and shows SAEs were reported for either the vaccine or placebo arm. We
a better efficacy profile [13]. A phase 2 trial conducted in detected differences between the age groups in local and sys-
China with CoronaVac compared both vaccination schedules temic AEs, being more frequent in the 18–59 age group than in
and reported better immunogenicity in subjects vaccinated the ≥60 age group.
with a 0–28 schedule [13]. A recent study evaluating immune Seroconversion rates for S1-RBD-specific IgG and seropos-
responses 6 months after the second dose in volunteers from itivity of neutralizing antibodies in this study are consistent
with the data reported in the phase 2 trial conducted in China suggesting that the enhanced secretion of antibodies against the
for the same immunization schedule, dose, and age [13]. The S protein by CoronaVac, rather than against the N protein, may
geometric median unit values obtained for anti-S1-RBD and be playing a role in the protective response.
anti-N antibodies in this study are somewhat lower than those This is the first time a characterization of the cellular re-
described for the BNT162b2 (490.17 and 34.40 after the second sponse against proteins other than the S protein of SARS-
dose, respectively) and the mRNA-1273 (659.91 and 37.03 after CoV-2 has been reported in humans immunized with
the second dose, respectively) vaccines when using the same in- CoronaVac. Unlike previous studies [13], we detected a robust
ternational WHO units [25]. Possible differences in these values T-cell response upon stimulation of PBMCs with MPs of pep-
may be linked to a higher production of antibodies against a tides from S (MP-S). We also evaluated the response elicited
single antigen by mRNA vaccines compared with inactivated upon stimulation with 2 MPs of peptides designed to stim-
vaccines, which aim to induce a polyclonal response against sev- ulate a CD8+ T-cell response. Although more volunteers are
eral viral proteins [26]. The low production of anti-N antibodies required to raise more robust conclusions, the results suggest
compared with IgG induced against the S1-RBD is not related that the CD8+ immune response detected in vaccinated volun-
to the absence of the N protein in CoronaVac. Previous reports teers is not as robust as the CD4+ response. Because increased
indicate that humans naturally infected with SARS-CoV-2 de- numbers of IFN-γ secreting cells and reduced amounts of
velop antibody responses mainly against the S and N proteins, interleukin-4 secreting cells align with a well-balanced Th1
in somewhat similar levels [12]. However, immunization studies immune response that could lead to virus clearance, immuni-
of mice, rats, and nonhuman primates with CoronaVac showed zation with CoronaVac shows promising capacities of inducing
that antibodies induced mainly were directed against the S pro- an antiviral response in the host. This IFN-γ response has also
tein and the S1-RBD, with a reduced number of antibodies been sought and observed in other vaccines against SARS-
against the N protein [12]. This is in line with our findings, CoV-2, such as the BNT162b1 designed by BioNTech [27] and
the recombinant adenovirus type-5 vectored COVID-19 vac- and Immunotherapy, ANID—Millennium Science Initiative Program
ICN09_016 (former P09/016-F) supports S. M. B., K.A., P. A. G., and A. M.
cine designed by CanSino [28].
K.; NIH contracts and 75N9301900065 awarded to A. S. and D. W.; The
In summary, immunization with CoronaVac is safe and in- Innovation Fund for Competitiveness FIC-R 2017 (BIP Code: 30488811–0)
duces robust humoral and cellular responses, characterized supports S. M. B., P. A. G., and A. M. K.; FONDECYT grants Nº 1190156
by increased antibody titers against the S1-RBD with neutral- awarded to R. S. R. and Nº 1180798 awarded to F. V. E.; SINOVAC Life
Science Co contributed to this study with the investigational vaccine and
izing capacities and the production of T cells specific for several placebo, and experimental reagents.
SARS-CoV-2 antigens and were characterized by the secretion Potential conflicts of interest. Z. G. and M. W. are SINOVAC employees
of Th1 cytokines. and contributed to the conceptualization of the study (clinical protocol and
electronic case report form design) and did not participate in the analysis
or interpretation of the data presented in the manuscript. P. M. V. reports
Supplementary Data
12. Gao Q, Bao L, Mao H, et al. Development of an inactivated vaccine candidate for 21. Tanriover MD, Doğanay HL, Akova M, et al. Efficacy and safety of an inacti-
SARS-CoV-2. Science 2020; 369:77–81. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih. vated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac): interim results of a dou-
gov/pubmed/32376603. ble-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial in Turkey. Lancet 2021;
13. Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an 398:213–22. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34246358.
inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in healthy adults aged 18-59 years: a ran- 22. Pan H, Wu Q, Zeng G, et al. Immunogenicity and safety of a third dose,
domised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet and immune persistence of CoronaVac vaccine in healthy adults aged
Infect Dis 2021; 21:181–92. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/ 18-59 years: interim results from a double-blind, randomized, placebo-
pubmed/33217362. controlled phase 2 clinical trial. medRxiv 2021; 2021.07.23.21261026.
14. Wu Z, Hu Y, Xu M, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an inactivated Available at: http://medrxiv.org/content/early/2021/07/25/2021.07.23.21261026.
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in healthy adults aged 60 years and older: a abstract.
randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet 23. Voysey M, Costa Clemens SA, Madhi SA, et al. Single-dose administration and
Infect Dis 2021; Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33548194. the influence of the timing of the booster dose on immunogenicity and efficacy
15. World Medical Association. World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki: of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine: a pooled analysis of four random-
ethical principles for medical research involving human subjects. JAMA 2013; ised trials. Lancet 2021; 397:881–91. Available at: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/
ciation of the key role that immunological memory plays kits and pseudovirus-based neutralization assay. Anti-S
in durable protective immunity after infections or vac- IgG and NAbs were still detectable in 95.5% (42 of 44) and
cinations, even with lower antibody titers4,5. Inactivated 93.2% (41 of 44) serum samples, respectively, at
vaccines as a conventional vaccine development have 12 months PSO (Fig. 1a). Correlation between anti-S IgG
been shown to be effective among other viruses6. It has levels and Nab titers (r = 0.64, p = 5.8e−21) was shown
raised concern about the impact of prior infection by over the study period (Supplementary Fig. S2a). Never-
SARS-CoV-2 on the immune response induced by theless, during the 12-month follow-up visit in the
inactivated vaccines. For these reasons, we examined the COVID-19 recovery cohort, anti-S IgG/IgM/IgA and
humoral immunity in convalescent patients for NAb titers represented a sustained decline (Fig. 1a, Sup-
12 months postsymptom onset (PSO) and evaluated the plementary Fig. S2b, c). For the neutralizing antibodies,
immune response elicited by an inactivated vaccine in median of NAb titers decreased from 631 at Month 1 to
naive or COVID-19 recovered individuals. 604 at Month 3, to 134 at Month 8 and to 84 at Month 12.
170 blood samples from a follow-up cohort of 85 For the IgG antibodies, the median of signal-to-cutoff
COVID-19 patients were collected over a 12-month per- ratio (S/CO) dropped from 28.6 at Month 1 to 27.7 at
iod PSO (Supplementary Fig. S1a). Participants with Month 3, 11.5 at Month 8 and 7.2 at Month 12. At Month
57.6% male and 42.4% female aged from 3 to 84 (median: 12, the levels of specific antibodies were much lower than
the levels at Month 1 (82.8%, 96.4%, and 89.4% decrease
for IgG, IgM, and IgA antibodies, respectively). In addi-
Correspondence: Kai Wang (wangkai@cqmu.edu.cn) or
tion, a longitudinal study was observed among nine par-
Ni Tang (nitang@cqmu.edu.cn) or Ai-long Huang (ahuang@cqmu.edu.cn)
1
Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology for Infectious Diseases (Ministry of ticipants provided samples at all follow-up time points. In
Education), Institute for Viral Hepatitis, Department of Infectious Diseases, the spite of a general decline in humoral immune response,
Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
2 the dynamic changes showed significant variation
Yong-Chuan Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article between anti-S IgG/IgM/IgA antibodies and NAbs
These authors contributed equally: Pai Peng, Hai-jun Deng, Jie Hu
(Supplementary Fig. S2d–g). Both IgM and IgA levels in 7 (ELISA) and enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot assay
of 9 individuals reached peak at 1 month PSO and fell (ELISpot). As expected, specific anti-S, anti-S1 fragment
below the positive threshold thereafter. By contrast, IgG of spike glycoprotein (anti-S1) IgG and the number of
and NAbs decreased slowly and remains 100% (9/9) and anti-S IgG antibody-secreting cells presented higher levels
78% (7/9) positive at 12 months PSO. in SARS-CoV-2 experienced group than the naive group
Blood samples from two vaccination cohorts were col- (Fig. 1e, f).
lected pre-vaccination (day 0, the day before the first dose of Our findings demonstrated that anti-S IgG, IgM, IgA
vaccine) and 7, 21, 35 days after the first dose of vaccine and NAb titers declined gradually over 1 year in patients
(Supplementary Fig. S1b). The evaluation of immunological infected with SARS-CoV-2. Even though antibody
memory induced by the inactivated vaccine was performed response of most participants remained detectable, the
by detection of specific antibodies and antibody-secreting drop of more than 80% were shown in anti-S IgG, IgM,
memory B cells among participants. NAbs were detective IgA, and NAb titers. To evaluate the duration of protec-
only in COVID-19 recovered group within 7 days after the tive immunity against SARS-CoV-2, further surveillance is
first dose of vaccine (median of NAb titers 36 on Day 0; 77 needed. Moreover, our results suggest that immunological
on Day 7; 95 on Day 21; and 108 on Day 35) (Fig. 1b). The memory mediated by an inactivated vaccine could recall
median NAbs titer was 56 in the naive group 35 days after higher response of IgG and NAb in COVID-19 recovered
the first dose of vaccine. Due to the previous presence of individuals with low NAb titers than in naive persons at
SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies, the majority of COVID-19 12 months PSO. After infection, SARS-CoV-2 specific
recovered individuals had detectable IgG from pre- memory B cells secreting antibody increased significantly
vaccination to post-vaccination (median S/CO value in COVID-19 recovered individuals compared to healthy
before vaccination, 3.68; and 10.59, 27.33, and 47.74 on Day controls. It should be pointed out that maybe due to the
7, 21, and 35 after vaccination, respectively) (Fig. 1c). In the cross-activity between SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal cor-
naive group, anti-S IgG was detected with lower values than onaviruses, SARS-CoV-2 S and S1-specific antibodies
COVID-19 recovered individuals over 35 days after the first secreted by memory B cells were detected at baseline in
dose of vaccine (median S/CO value before vaccination, naive persons7.
0.10; and 0.57, 0.83, and 10.81 on Day 7, 21, and 35 after the Compared to our data, rapid immune response elicited
first dose of vaccine, respectively). IgG levels of COVID-19 by a single mRNA vaccine dose was showed in several
recovered individuals were 4.4 times that of naive indivi- SARS-CoV-2 recovery cohorts vaccinated by mRNA-
duals at Day 35 (median S/CO value, 47.74 vs 10.81). based vaccines8–11. Further investigation is needed to
Interestingly, IgM titers increased over time in naive group, answer the necessity of vaccination for SARS-CoV-2
while no substantial changes displayed in COVID-19 experienced individuals, and to answer whether the
recovered group (Fig. 1d). Furthermore, IgA of both immune response provides effective protection from
groups remained at a low level, even staying below the reinfection in this special group, especially for SARS-
positive threshold (Supplementary Fig. S3). CoV-2 variants.
To further understand higher humoral response in The main limitation of this study is the small sample size
COVID-19 recovered individuals after vaccination, SARS- and relatively short period for the observation of vaccina-
CoV-2 specific memory B cells differentiated from per- tion cohorts. Even though our data provided a hint about
ipheral blood mononuclear cells of 5 SARS-CoV-2 the role of memory B cell response in humoral response
experienced and naive individuals before vaccination after vaccination or reinfection, a deeper investigation car-
were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay ried out by flow cytometry will be needed. An inactivated
virus vaccine including all components of SARS-CoV-2 J.C., Q.X.L., X.Y.W. and B.Z.L. participated in resources; J.J.X., T.T.L., A.S.J.
might provide the distinct benefit to boost T-cell response participated in methodology and resources; K. Wang., N.T. and A.L.H.
participated in conceptualization, formal analysis, funding acquisition, project
against other SARS-CoV-2 proteins, but T-cell immunity administration, supervision, validation and writing-review and editing.
was not investigated in our study.
Our results reveal the durability of immunological Conflict of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
response 1 year after natural SARS-CoV-2 infection and the
benefit from inactivated vaccines for COVID-19 recovered Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in
individuals. It provides more information about immuno-
published maps and institutional affiliations.
logical characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccines,
thus will contribute to the development of vaccines and the Supplementary information The online version contains supplementary
new strategies of vaccination. material available at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41421-021-00311-z.
Assim como já havia sido confirmado ria dos efeitos adversos foi de grau 1 e
pelos ensaios clínicos de fase 3 condu- ocorreu até sete dias após a injeção.
zidos ao longo de 2020 no Brasil para A incidência total foi baixa (18,9%), e o
avaliar a eficácia da CoronaVac, vacina principal sintoma foi fadiga.
do Butantan e da farmacêutica chinesa
Sinovac contra a Covid-19, um estudo “Nossos resultados mostram que a Coro-
da Universidade Hacettepe, com sede naVac tem boa eficácia contra infecção
em Ancara, na Turquia, mostrou que sintomática por SARS-CoV-2 e Covid-19
o imunizante é 83,5% eficaz contra o grave com um perfil de segurança muito
SARS-CoV-2, além de ser seguro e bem bom em uma população de 18 a 59 anos”,
tolerado pelo organismo. A pesquisa foi afirmaram os autores do artigo. “A tole-
publicada na revista científica The Lan- rabilidade da CoronaVac neste estudo
cet e na Biblioteca Nacional de Medicina foi excelente e a incidência de eventos
dos Estados Unidos, a maior biblioteca adversos foi baixa.”
médica do mundo.
Participaram do estudo voluntários de
O estudo de fase 3, randomizado e diferentes grupos de risco e ocupação,
duplo-cego, contou com a participação tornando os resultados bem próximos
de 10.218 pessoas e foi feito entre 14 de ao contexto do mundo real. Receberam
setembro de 2020 e 5 de janeiro de 2021. a vacina 6.646 pessoas, sendo que 3.568
Os voluntários foram avaliados sete, 14 e voluntários tomaram placebo (substân-
28 dias depois de tomar cada uma das cia ou tratamento sem um princípio ativo,
duas doses. Durante o acompanhamento como uma injeção de soro fisiológico).
médio de 43 dias, nove casos sintomáticos Do total de participantes, 57,8% eram
de Covid-19 foram confirmados no grupo homens e 42,24% mulheres, todos entre
que tomou a vacina e 32 casos foram 18 e 59 anos. Desse grupo, 3.675 pessoas
relatados no grupo que tomou placebo. eram profissionais de saúde e 1.463 eram
A CoronaVac preveniu hospitalizações em obesos. E entre todos os participantes,
todos os voluntários, na comparação com 6.217 tinham algum tipo de comorbidade
os seis do grupo placebo. Não houve mor- – a maioria relatou ter hipertensão.
tes nem no grupo que tomou a vacina e
nem no grupo placebo. O ensaio clínico de fase 3 realizado no
Brasil pelo Butantan envolveu 16 centros
Além disso, a CoronaVac induziu anticor- de pesquisa científica em sete estados
pos em 89,7% dos participantes. Destes, e no Distrito Federal. O teste duplo cego
92% também produziram níveis protetores envolveu 12,5 mil profissionais de saúde, e
de anticorpos neutralizantes pelo menos obteve 62,3% de eficácia global em casos
14 dias após a segunda dose da vacina. leves, moderados ou graves, num espaço
de 21 dias ou mais entre as duas doses.
O artigo destaca ainda que a vacina
mostrou um perfil de segurança satis-
fatório, sem eventos adversos de grau
4 durante o período do estudo. A maio- Publicado em: 8/07/2021
Articles
Summary
Background CoronaVac, an inactivated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, has been shown to be well tolerated with a Lancet 2021; 398: 213–22
good safety profile in individuals aged 18 years and older in phase 1/2 trials, and provided a good humoral response Published Online
against SARS-CoV-2. We present the interim efficacy and safety results of a phase 3 clinical trial of CoronaVac July 8, 2021
https://doi.org/10.1016/
in Turkey.
S0140-6736(21)01429-X
See Comment page 186
Methods This was a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial. Volunteers aged 18–59 years with no
*Contributed equally
history of COVID-19 and with negative PCR and antibody test results for SARS-CoV-2 were enrolled at 24 centres in
†Members of the CoronaVac
Turkey. Exclusion criteria included (but were not limited to) immunosuppressive therapy (including steroids) within Study Group and all participating
the past 6 months, bleeding disorders, asplenia, and receipt of any blood products or immunoglobulins within the sites are listed in the appendix
past 3 months. The K1 cohort consisted of health-care workers (randomised in a 1:1 ratio), and individuals other than (pp 15–16)
health-care workers were also recruited into the K2 cohort (randomised in a 2:1 ratio) using an interactive web Department of Internal
response system. The study vaccine was 3 μg inactivated SARS-CoV-2 virion adsorbed to aluminium hydroxide in Medicine
(Prof M D Tanriover MD),
a 0·5 mL aqueous suspension. Participants received either vaccine or placebo (consisting of all vaccine components Department of Infectious
except inactivated virus) intramuscularly on days 0 and 14. The primary efficacy outcome was the prevention of Diseases and Clinical
PCR-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 at least 14 days after the second dose in the per protocol population. Safety Microbiology
analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04582344) (Prof M Akova MD,
Prof S Unal MD), and
and is active but no longer recruiting. Department of Medical
Microbiology (H Gür MSc),
Findings Among 11 303 volunteers screened between Sept 14, 2020, and Jan 5, 2021, 10 218 were randomly allocated. Hacettepe University School of
After exclusion of four participants from the vaccine group because of protocol deviations, the intention-to-treat Medicine, Ankara, Turkey;
Hacettepe University Vaccine
group consisted of 10 214 participants (6646 [65·1%] in the vaccine group and 3568 [34·9%] in the placebo group) and Institute, Ankara, Turkey
the per protocol group consisted of 10 029 participants (6559 [65·4%] and 3470 [34·6%]) who received two doses of (Prof M D Tanriover,
vaccine or placebo. During a median follow-up period of 43 days (IQR 36–48), nine cases of PCR-confirmed Prof M Akova, Prof S Unal);
symptomatic COVID-19 were reported in the vaccine group (31·7 cases [14·6–59·3] per 1000 person-years) and Department of
Gastroenterology, Turkish
32 cases were reported in the placebo group (192·3 cases [135·7–261·1] per 1000 person-years) 14 days or more after Republic Ministry of Health,
the second dose, yielding a vaccine efficacy of 83·5% (95% CI 65·4–92·1; p<0·0001). The frequencies of any adverse İstanbul Provincial Health
events were 1259 (18·9%) in the vaccine group and 603 (16·9%) in the placebo group (p=0·0108) with no fatalities Directorate, University of
or grade 4 adverse events. The most common systemic adverse event was fatigue (546 [8·2%] participants in the Health Sciences İstanbul
Ümraniye Training and
vaccine group and 248 [7·0%] the placebo group, p=0·0228). Injection-site pain was the most frequent local adverse Research Hospital, İstanbul,
event (157 [2·4%] in the vaccine group and 40 [1·1%] in the placebo group, p<0·0001). Turkey (Prof H L Doğanay MD);
Department of Infectious
Diseases and Clinical
Interpretation CoronaVac has high efficacy against PCR-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 with a good safety and
Microbiology, Ankara Yıldırım
tolerability profile. Beyazıt University, Ankara City
Hospital, Ankara, Turkey
Funding Turkish Health Institutes Association. (Prof H R Güner MD);
Department of Infectious
Diseases and Clinical
Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Microbiology, Ankara
University School of Medicine,
Introduction which are already in phase 4 trials. Although the basic Ankara, Turkey
(Prof A Azap MD); Department
The COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect individuals cultivation techniques using Vero cells and inactivation
of Infectious Diseases and
and populations, magnifying socioeconomic and health strategies are similar, inactivated vaccines differ in Clinical Microbiology, Kocaeli
inequalities globally.1–4 Vaccination is a crucial measure the isolated virion strains and the adjuvants used.5,6 University School of Medicine,
in breaking the transmission chain of SARS-CoV-2 The potential advantages of inactivated vaccines are Kocaeli, Turkey
(Prof S Akhan MD); Department
infections. Among several vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, non-replicability in the host, non-transmissibility, and
of Infectious Diseases, Turkish
13 in clinical development are inactivated vaccines, two of the induction of a broad range of humoral and cellular
Articles
Articles
including but not confined to COVID-19 areas, and was (Vero cells). The inactivation process is done by adding Research Centre, Adana, Turkey
launched to closely observe the safety of the vaccine β-propiolactone in the virus harvest fluid at a ratio (Prof Y Taşova MD); Department
of Infectious Diseases and
before proceeding with the community. K2 included of 1:4000 and inactivating at 2–8°C for 12–24 h. One dose Clinical Microbiology, Marmara
subjects representing the community in addition to of COVID-19 vaccine contains 3 μg of SARS-CoV-2 University School of Medicine,
health-care workers included in K1. virion in a 0·5 mL aqueous suspension for injection İstanbul, Turkey
During the study, the Ministry of Health gave an with 0·45 mg/mL of aluminium. The placebo contained (Prof V Korten MD); Department
of Infectious Diseases and
emergency use authorisation for CoronaVac on all ingredients except the inactivated virus, in prefilled Clinical Microbiology,
Jan 13, 2021, and started an immediate vaccination syringes. The injections were given in two doses, 14 days Karadeniz Technical University
programme initially for health-care workers and later for apart, intramuscularly in the deltoid muscle. As the School of Medicine, Trabzon,
the public, prioritising older adults (aged ≥65 years). placebo and study vaccine looked exactly the same, Turkey (Prof G Yılmaz MD);
Department of Infectious
Although recruitment of volunteers was ongoing at this they were administered by staff masked to group Diseases and Clinical
time, to comply with the principles of the Declaration of allocation. Details of the procedures on visit dates and Microbiology, Dicle University
Helsinki regarding using a placebo for human subjects the pharmacological properties of the investigational School of Medicine, Diyarbakır,
in medical research, the ethics committee suggested product are provided in the appendix (pp 1–2). Turkey (Prof M K Çelen MD);
Department of Chest Diseases,
discontinuing the masking and injection of participants Symptom-based active surveillance was done to detect Turkish Republic Ministry of
in the placebo group. Consequently, the placebo recipients participants with symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 Health, İstanbul Provincial
were offered vaccines, first in K1 and later in K2. during follow-up (appendix pp 3–4). Anyone with at least Health Directorate, University
one of the following symptoms for 2 days or more of Health Sciences İstanbul
The study protocol was approved by the clinical
Yedikule Chest Diseases and
research ethics board of Hacettepe University (approval underwent PCR testing: fever or chills; cough; dyspnoea; Thoracic Surgery Training and
number 2020/10-26, July 16, 2020). The entire study fatigue; muscle or body pain; headache; new loss of sense Research Hospital, İstanbul,
protocol was published previously and is available on the of smell or change in taste; sore throat; nasal congestion Turkey (Prof S Altın MD);
Department of Infectious
Hacettepe University Vaccine Institute website.10 Signed or rhinorrhoea; nausea or vomiting; and diarrhoea. Cases
Diseases and Clinical
informed consent was obtained from participants before of SARS-CoV-2 infection were classified according to the Microbiology, Turkish Republic
screening. scale of clinical progression proposed by WHO.11 Clinical Ministry of Health, Kayseri City
outcomes were assessed in a blinded manner. Training and Research Hospital,
Kayseri, Turkey (Prof İ Çelik MD);
Randomisation and masking Sampling for immunogenicity analyses was planned in
Department of Infectious
Randomisation into vaccine and placebo groups was a subgroup of volunteers selected sequentially. As the Diseases and Clinical
done on day 0, at a 1:1 ratio in K1 and a 2:1 ratio in K2, immunogenicity and T-cell response analyses are Microbiology, İnönü University
using an interactive web response system (Omega-CRO, ongoing, we only report the initial results of the anti- Turgut Özal Health Centre,
Malatya, Turkey
Ankara, Turkey). Participants and practitioners were RBD antibody tests and neutralising antibody assays
(Prof Y Bayındır MD);
masked to the group allocation. The masking was gathered at least 14 days after the second dose of vaccine Department of Infectious
removed in the event of a medical emergency requiring or placebo. Virus neutralisation assays were done in an Diseases and Clinical
acute intervention, upon the responsible investigator’s in-house microtitre plate, as described by Hanifehnezhad Microbiology, Gaziantep
University Şahinbey Research
approval and the data and safety monitoring board’s and colleagues.12 Five-fold diluted serum samples, and Application Centre,
knowledge. starting from 1:5, were mixed with an equal volume of Gaziantep, Turkey
100 median tissue culture infectious dose of SARS-CoV-2 (Prof İ Karaoğlan MD);
Procedures Ank1 isolate (1:10 000) in quadruplicate and incubated for Department of Chest Diseases,
Turkish Republic Ministry of
Oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained 1 h at 37°C for neutralisation. The serum–virus mixtures Health, Ankara Provincial
from all participants for baseline PCR testing with a were subsequently inoculated onto 90% confluent Health Directorate, Ankara
Bio-Speedy Direct RT-qPCR SARS-CoV-2 detection Vero E6 cells grown in 96-well plates. The assay was Keçiören Sanatorium, Atatürk
kit (Bioeksen, Istanbul, Turkey) on a Bio-Rad CFX96 evaluated via inverted microscope when a 100% cytopathic Chest Diseases and Thoracic
Surgery Training and Research
Touch platform (Hercules, CA, USA), and serum total effect was observed in the virus control wells. Reciprocals Hospital, Ankara, Turkey
SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing was done. The ADVIA of serum dilutions inhibiting at least 50% of virus (Prof A Yılmaz MD); Department
Centaur COV2T assay (Siemens Healthcare Diag- infectivity were expressed as mean antibody titre (SN50). of Virology, Ankara University
nostics, Erlangen, Germany), a fully automated one-step Faculty of Veterinary Medicine,
Ankara, Turkey
antigen sandwich immunoassay using acridinium ester Outcomes (Prof A Özkul DVM)
chemiluminescence technology, was used to detect total The primary outcome was the incidence of symptomatic Correspondence to:
antibodies (IgG and IgM) against the SARS-CoV-2 spike COVID-19 cases confirmed by RT-PCR at least 14 days Prof Murat Akova, Department
protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) in serum after the second dose of vaccination, assessed in the per of Infectious Diseases and
samples. This assay is semiquantitative and has a lower protocol population. Secondary outcomes were the Clinical Microbiology,
Hacettepe University School of
detection threshold value (1 sample-to-cutoff ratio). All incidence of symptomatic COVID-19 cases confirmed by Medicine, Hacettepe Mahallesi,
PCR and serum antibody tests were done at two central RT-PCR at least 14 days after the first dose (assessed in all Ankara, 06230, Turkey
laboratories. participants who received at least one dose); incidence of makova@hacettepe.edu.tr
The study vaccine is an inactivated whole-virion hospitalisation or mortality at least 14 days after the See Online for appendix
vaccine with aluminium hydroxide as the adjuvant, second dose; the incidence of COVID-19 cases confirmed
prepared with a novel coronavirus (CZ02 strain) by RT-PCR at least 14 days after the second dose; the
inoculated in African green monkey kidney cells seroconversion rate, seropositivity rate, geometric mean
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titre or geometric mean increase in neutralising antibody dose) to either the date of unmasking or date of
and IgG 14 days and 28 days after each dose; the incidence an RT-PCR-confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 was
of adverse reactions from the day of first vaccination to ascertained for each participant and summed to calculate
28 days after the second dose; the incidence of adverse the total person-years without the disease. Total person-
reactions and adverse events within 7 days after each years were divided by the number of participants
dose; and the incidence of serious adverse events from diagnosed with COVID-19 to ascertain the vaccine
the first vaccination to 1 year after the second dose efficacy in intervention and placebo groups.
(appendix pp 5–7). Participants were questioned about all adverse events
For evaluating the efficacy of CoronaVac, COVID-19-free during all visits and through automated phone calls via
person-years were calculated for both study groups. an interactive voice response system (appendix pp 3–4).
Accordingly, the time from the anticipated date of Predefined symptoms (solicited events) and other
prevention (14 days after the administration of the second unspecified symptoms (unsolicited events) reported by
the participants were recorded. All adverse events were
assessed by study investigators for severity and causality.
11 303 individuals screened Any adverse event assessed by study investigators as
1085 not randomised possibly, probably, or definitely related to a study product
596 seropositive or PCR positive for SARS-CoV-2
438 withdrew informed consent was defined as an adverse reaction. All safety data, until
24 did not meet inclusion criteria the date of unmasking and data cutoff, were recorded
8 had COVID-19 symptoms
8 excluded by study investigators
and analysed in the current report. Further safety data
4 had uncontrolled hypertension are still being obtained in an open-label follow-up study.
3 had close contact with COVID-19
2 lost to follow-up
2 pregnant Statistical analysis
10 218 randomly allocated For K1, the estimated sample size in both study groups
was 588, based on assumptions that the risk of infection
with SARS-CoV-2 would be 5% for the placebo group and
2% for the vaccine group. Considering a 10% dropout rate
6650 received first dose of vaccine (day 0) 3568 received first dose of placebo (day 0) and 5% baseline seropositivity or RT-PCR positivity, it
was calculated that 680 subjects would be screened in
87 did not receive second dose 98 did not receive second dose both groups of K1. Total sample sizes were calculated as
60 positive for SARS-CoV-2 45 unmasked before the second dose 7545 for the vaccine group and 3773 for the placebo group
11 withdrew consent 35 positive for SARS-CoV-2
4 vaccinated by Turkish Ministry of 9 withdrew consent
in order to be able to detect a minimum clinically
Health after unmasking 4 received incorrect injection significant difference of 1% (with estimated incidence
4 withdrew because of adverse 2 lost to follow-up rates of 1% for the vaccine group and 2% for the placebo
events 1 withdrawn because of adverse
2 had protocol violations events group) in a two-sided hypothesis testing design with
2 had serious adverse events 1 withdrawn by study investigator 95% CIs. With the addition of a 10% dropout rate and
2 pregnant 1 pregnant
1 received incorrect injection
5% seropositivity or RT-PCR positivity at baseline, the
1 missed appointment total sample size was determined to be 13 000 participants,
of whom 1360 would be in K1 and 11 640 in K2.
The initial study protocol indicated that if the efficacy
6563 received second dose of vaccine (day 14) 3470 received second dose of placebo (day 14)
of the vaccine could be demonstrated with an interim
analysis done with 40 confirmed cases of COVID-19,
4 excluded from all analyses because of masking would be removed and participants in the
protocol deviations* placebo group would be offered CoronaVac. Because
the study was initiated with health-care workers at high
6559 included in per protocol population 3470 included in per protocol population risk, it was estimated that 5% of the placebo group
(efficacy analyses) (efficacy analyses) (29 participants) and 2% of the vaccine group
981 included in receptor-binding 432 included in receptor-binding
domain-specific total antibody domain-specific total antibody (11 participants) would have to be infected to demonstrate
analysis analysis a clinical efficacy of 60%. If those rates could not be
387 included in neutralising antibody
analysis
obtained in K1, enrolment would begin for K2. The
enrolment rate remained very low for K1 and, after an
interim safety analysis on Nov 18, 2020, the data and
6646 included in intention-to-treat 3568 included in intention-to-treat safety monitoring board decided to start enrolment into
population (safety analyses) population (safety analyses)
K2. Although the prespecified number of COVID-19
cases for the interim efficacy analysis was 40, as the
Figure 1: Trial profile
incidence throughout Turkey increased rapidly, the
*Four participants in the vaccine group received two doses of the study product; however, because they were older
than 59 years on the day of randomisation, they were excluded from all safety and efficacy analyses due to protocol Ministry of Health asked for a preliminary analysis to be
violation. able to grant an emergency use authorisation for
CoronaVac. Therefore, a non-predefined interim analysis Omega-CRO (Ankara, Turkey) acted as the contract
was done on Dec 24, 2020, with 29 cases, which showed research organisation representing TUSEB and con-
an efficacy above 60%. Afterwards, as community tributed to correspondence between investigators, the
vaccination commenced, study participants were ethics committee, and the Ministry of Health; monitoring,
unmasked starting with K1 in blocks. The masked site management, storage, and distribution of the
follow-up of those participants continued until their consumables; developing electronic case report forms,
code was unmasked, and 41 COVID-19 cases were the interactive web response system, and the interactive
attained by the time all of the codes were unmasked and voice response system; and data management, statistical
the prespecified interim analyses for efficacy and safety analyses, and overall project management. Sinovac Life
were done. Therefore, the cutoff date for inclusion in Sciences provided the investigational products and
the analyses of the primary efficacy outcome and the reviewed the data and final manuscript before submission;
secondary efficacy outcomes was the unmasking date of however, the authors retained editorial control.
each participant in both groups. The follow-up period
was defined as the period (days) from the randomisation Results
date to the unmasking date. The data lock date was 11 303 volunteers were screened for eligibility, and
March 16, 2021. Safety data in the CoronaVac intention- 10 218 were randomly allocated (6650 [65·1%] to the
to-treat group were gathered in an unmasked manner vaccine group and 3568 [34·9%] to the placebo group)
after the unmasking date, and an extended safety between Sept 15, 2020, and Jan 6, 2021 (figure 1). After
analysis until the data lock date is also presented. administration of the first dose and before receiving the
All analyses were done using SPSS for Windows second dose, 87 participants in the study group and 98 in
(version 25.0). Descriptive analyses were presented using the placebo group were excluded. After receiving two doses,
mean and SD for continuous variables and frequency
and percentage for categorical variables. 95% CI was
presented for efficacy, calculated as events per COVID-19- Vaccine group Placebo group
(n=6646) (n=3568)
free person-years (ie, the sum of RT-PCR-confirmed
COVID-19 cases divided by the sum of time from vaccine Age, years
protection to diagnosis or unmasking). Median (IQR) 45 (37–51) 45 (37–51)
Time to diagnosis of COVID-19 from the time of 18–44 3259 (49·0%) 1764 (49·4%)
anticipated vaccine protection in both groups was 45–59 3387 (51·0%) 1804 (50·6%)
presented with Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Safety Sex
analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population. Female 2831 (42·6%) 1476 (41·4%)
Because the study product is an inactivated vaccine, Male 3815 (57·4%) 2092 (58·6%)
a single dose was not expected to be as efficacious Body-mass index*, kg/m²
as two doses, and the primary efficacy analysis was Median (IQR) 25·7 (23·2–28·4) 25·7 (23·2–28·4)
therefore done in the per protocol population (defined as <25 2592 (42·5%) 1372 (41·9%)
participants who received two doses of vaccine or placebo 25–30 2536 (41·6%) 1414 (43·1%)
in accordance with group allocation. To compare adverse ≥30 971 (15·9%) 492 (15·0%)
events between the study groups, the χ² test was used Study cohort†
when the χ² condition was met; otherwise, Fisher’s exact K1 458 (6·9%) 461 (12·9%)
test was used. A Mantel-Haenszel test of trend was used K2 6188 (93·1%) 3107 (87·1%)
in the analysis of the positive anti-RBD antibody results Health-care worker 2297 (34·6%) 1378 (38·6%)
among age groups within both sexes. A log-rank test was Comorbidities present‡
used for the comparison of follow-up duration between Hypertension 483 (11·8%) 249 (11·6%)
the treatment groups. The independent data and safety Cardiovascular disease other than hypertension 104 (2·6%) 46 (2·1%)
monitoring board monitored the quality of evidence, Chronic respiratory disease 118 (2·9%) 63 (2·9%)
adverse events, revisions in line with the current Diabetes 199 (4·9%) 97 (4·5%)
literature, individual privacy, and data reliability from Malignancy 36 (0·9%) 14 (0·7%)
the planning stage to the end of the study. Autoimmune or autoinflammatory disease 34 (0·8%) 23 (1·1%)
This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov
Data are median (IQR) or n (%). *Data were available for 6099 participants in the vaccine group and 3278 in the
(NCT04582344). placebo group. †919 health-care workers were enrolled into the K1 cohort (1:1 vaccine-to-placebo randomisation
ratio), of whom 667 were enrolled before Nov 18, 2020, at which point an interim safety analysis without unmasking
Role of the funding source revealed that the vaccine had a good safety profile and K2 was initiated; 252 volunteers were further recruited into K1
until Jan 4, 2021, after which the enrolment was solely into K2 (2:1 vaccine-to-placebo randomisation ratio).
The Turkish Health Institutes Association (TUSEB)
‡Data were available for 4076 participants in the vaccine group and 2141 in the placebo group; participants with a
provided the funding for this study; approved the final medical history of malignancy or autoimmune or autoinflammatory disease did not have active disease at the time of
protocol, final manuscript, and the decision to submit for enrolment and were not on immunosuppressive treatment.
publication, but had no role in data collection, data
Table: Characteristics of study participants
analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report.
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four (0·1%) participants in the vaccine group were recruitment, randomisation, and follow-up procedures
excluded from all analyses because of protocol deviations were completed in 24 study centres (appendix p 8).
(being older than 59 years on the day of randomisation). The main characteristics of the participants are shown
Finally, 10 214 participants (6646 [65·1%] assigned to the in the table. The median age of the participants was
vaccine group and 3568 [34·9%] assigned to the placebo 45 years (IQR 37–51), and 5191 (50·8%) were older
group) formed the intention-to-treat population, and than 45 years. 5907 (57·8%) participants were male,
10 029 participants who received two doses of CoronaVac 4307 (42·2%) were female, 3675 (36·0%) were health-
(6559 [65·4%] participants) or placebo (3470 [34·6%] care workers, and 1463 (15·6%) were obese (body mass
participants) formed the per protocol population. On the index ≥30 kg/m²). Among 6217 participants with
date of data cutoff, 10 214 participants in the intention- comorbidity data reported, hypertension was the most
to-treat population had reached a median 90 days prevalent condition (732 [11·8%] participants).
(IQR 82–102) of follow-up after the first dose. All 150 cases of COVID-19 were observed among
10 214 participants from the date of randomisation
to the date of unmasking (median follow-up 43 days
A [IQR 36-48], incidence rate 122·5 cases [95% CI
6 First Second 14 days after Vaccine group 104·7–142·2] per 1000 person-years). In the per protocol
dose dose second dose Placebo group
5 population (n=10 029), 41 cases of symptomatic COVID-19
Cumulative event rate (%)
100 4·4
90
RBD-specific total antibody positivity status (%)
80
70
60
85·7 85·7 86·0 89·7
94·3 91·2
50 100·0 97·7 96·8
95·6
40
30
20
10
14·3 14·3 14·0 10·3
0·0 5·7 2·3 3·2 8·8
0
Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Vaccine group Placebo group
(n=36) (n=53) (n=88) (n=93) (n=148) (n=223) (n=119) (n=221) (n=981) (n=432)
Age 18–29 years Age 30–39 years Age 40–49 years Age 50–59 years Overall
Figure 3: Seropositivity of RBD-specific total antibodies in the vaccine and placebo groups 14 days after the second dose, by age and sex
The participants with positive RBD-specific antibodies in the placebo group neither reported any symptoms during the follow-up nor had a laboratory confirmed
diagnosis of COVID-19, probably representing cases with asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. RBD=receptor-binding domain.
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A B
100·0 Vaccine group 100·0
Placebo group
25·0 3·0
p=0·0108 p<0·0001
p=0·0039 p=0·0263
2·5 2·36
20·0 18·9
17·3 17·7
Participants (%)
16·9
16·0 2·0
15·1
15·0
1·5
10·0 1·12
p<0·0001 1·0
C
100·0
10·0 p=0·0228
9·0 8·22
8·0
6·95
7·0
Participants (%)
5·91 5·94
6·0 p=0·0071
5·0
4·02
4·0 p=0·0217
2·97
3·0 2·47
1·77 1·81 p=0·0008
2·0 1·46 1·59 1·65
1·0 0·75 0·67 0·71 0·69
0·50
0·20 0·26 0·22 0·11 0·17 0·08 0·03
0
Fatigue Headache Myalgia Chill Fever Diarrhoea Cough Arthralgia Nausea Vomiting Rash Allergic
reaction
symptomatic COVID-19 (83·5% relative to placebo) and SARS-CoV-2 infection in rhesus monkeys, induced
COVID-19-related hospitalisation (100%) at least 14 days T-helper-1 cell-skewed immune responses with elevated
after the second dose. Efficacy in subgroups was not a IgG2a/IgG1 ratios, and increased levels of SARS-CoV-2-
secondary outcome and the trial was not designed or specific IFNγ+CD4+ T-lymphocyte responses.15,16 A phase 1
powered to analyse the efficacy of the vaccine with regard trial also revealed moderate seroconversion rates that
to demographic variables and risk factors. Such analyses persisted for up to 3 months after the second dose.17,18 The
will require further trials designed accordingly. Anti- immune response elucidated with inactivated vaccines is
RBD antibodies developed in 89·7% of volunteers in a not confined just to the spike protein but rather to other
subset of our study sample, and 92·0% of those who SARS-CoV-2 proteins—the matrix proteins, envelope
were seropositive also produced protective levels of proteins, and nucleoprotein—which theoretically could
neutralising antibodies at least 14 days after the second be reflected as a vast array of immunogenic responses.6,7
dose of vaccine. Voss and colleagues19 showed that, in people previously
Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidates have infected with SARS-CoV-2, the plasma IgG response
shown promising results in preclinical trials.13-15 Gao and against SARS-CoV-2 was oligoclonal and more than
colleagues13 showed that, in mice, rats, and rhesus 80% of spike protein IgG antibodies were directed
monkeys, 6 µg CoronaVac induced SARS-CoV-2-specific towards non-RBD epitopes in the spike protein. This
neutralising antibodies that effectively neutralised finding indicates that non-RBD-directed antibodies
ten representative SARS-CoV-2 strains and provided might have a role in protection against SARS-CoV-2
complete protection against SARS-CoV-2 challenge in infection.
non-human primates. BBV152 (manufactured by Bharat Phase 1/2 trials of CoronaVac in volunteers aged
Biotech), another inactivated vaccine, generated a quick 18–59 years and older than 60 years showed that the
and robust immune response with no histopathological vaccine doses and schedules investigated (3 µg or 6 µg,
changes in the lungs upon SARS-CoV-2 challenge in applied 14 days or 28 days apart) all had similar safety and
animal studies, provided adequate protection against immunogenicity profiles.20,21 Considering the production
capacity and emergent need for vaccines, the 3 μg dose of This study also has several limitations. First, the
CoronaVac has been suggested for efficacy assessment.20 median follow-up period after randomisation to the date
Palacios and colleagues22 reported an overall efficacy of of unmasking was 43 days (IQR 36–48), which is a very
CoronaVac against symptomatic COVID-19 of 50·7% short duration of follow-up. It is not possible to comment
(95% CI 36·0–62·0) 14 days or more after the second dose; on the long-term protective effects of the two-dose
however, the efficacy in preventing the need for assistance immunisation schedule with this interim analysis.
(defined as a score ≥3 on the WHO Clinical Progression Second, one should bear in mind that the study
Scale) was 83·7% (58·0–93·7) and efficacy against population consisted of relatively young (median age
moderate and severe cases was 100% (56·4–100·0). In 45 years [37–51]) and healthy individuals with a low
a subset of participants, neutralising antibody assays prevalence of chronic diseases, and the overall event rate
showed that there were no significant differences in the was very low. Therefore, the generalisability of the
frequency of seroconversion or geometric mean titres findings of this interim analysis needs to be evaluated
of neutralising antibodies against the B.1.128 variant cautiously. In particular, the number of patients
compared with those against the P.1 and P.2 variants. The hospitalised with COVID-19 was quite low and the study
study cohort only included health-care workers actively population consisted of individuals at relatively low risk
working with COVID-19 patients, and a PCR-positive of severe or critical COVID-19, restricting our ability to
case with local symptoms (such as sore throat, nasal make generalised conclusions about severe disease.
congestion, or rhinorrhoea) was considered as a failure Third, the study used a 14-day interval immunisation
of the vaccine, thus indicating that the vaccine might scheme, whereas the community immunisation was
confer lower protection against asymptomatic or mildly with a 28-day interval. It has been claimed that, although
symptomatic cases. The interim report of the phase 3 trial 28-day immunisation schemes elucidated better immu-
in Chile with a subset of 434 health-care workers, including nogenicity after the second dose, longer intervals
those aged 60 years or older, revealed high seroconversion between the two doses are correlated with a higher
rates for specific anti-S1-RBD IgG and neutralising probability of contracting COVID-19 before getting fully
antibodies, along with a robust T-cell response.23 The immunised and a great chance of emergence of mutant
interim phase 3 results of other COVID-19 vaccines variants that can replicate in the setting of suboptimal
have shown efficacies ranging from 62·1% to 95%.24–28 levels of neutralising antibodies.29 As our results pertain
Higher and more rapidly established efficacies were to the data before the emergence of variants of concern,
observed with mRNA-based vaccines.25,26 Considering the we cannot comment on the efficacy of CoronaVac on the
immunogenic mechanisms of inactivated vaccines, prevention of infection with mutant viruses. Although
because one dose is not expected to be as efficacious as one of the prespecified outcomes was seroconversion,
two doses, we did not expect to and could not show an we have avoided using this term in our reporting of
early protective effect after the first dose, in contrast to the results because the immunoassay we used was a
findings with mRNA vaccines. semiquantitative assay. In fact, all of the participants
The tolerability of CoronaVac in this study was excellent were seronegative at the time of screening; therefore, the
and the incidence of adverse events, most of which were seropositivity 14 days after the second dose of vaccine
solicited systemic events, was low. The majority of the would indicate seroconversion. However, we could not
adverse events were grade 1 and occurred within 7 days exclude the possibility that some samples with antibody
after the injection. No grade 4 adverse events were levels below a sample-to-cutoff ratio of 1 might have very
observed and there was only one adverse event (an low concentrations of established antibodies. The current
allergic reaction) that required hospitalisation. report neither involves data on the sequential serum
The targeted sample size could not be reached because neutralising antibody titres nor the magnitude of T-cell
CoronaVac was granted emergency use authorisation responses or the duration of protectivity. However, a
by the Turkish Ministry of Health while the study study setting has been established to analyse the
recruitment was ongoing, and an immediate vaccination proliferation and functional capacity of CD4+ and CD8+
programme was initiated for health-care workers and T cells, and the results of an initial study in a group of
later for the general public in Turkey. To comply with COVID-19 survivors have been reported by Tavukcuoglu
ethical standards, recruitment was closed earlier than and colleagues.30 This setting is now being used to
planned and the placebo recipients were offered vaccines, analyse the samples from selected participants of this
depending on their vaccination priority. trial to show the functional capacity of T cells induced by
The strengths of this study include the low dropout CoronaVac to reinvigorate antiviral immunity against
rate, reflecting the good tolerability of the vaccine. SARS-CoV-2.
Additionally, the participants were from different risk In summary, our results show that CoronaVac has good
groups and occupations, rendering the results of the efficacy against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and
study more generalisable to the real-world context. severe COVID-19 (ie, that requiring hospitalisation),
Additionally, active symptom surveillance was pursued to along with a very good safety profile in a population aged
detect COVID-19 cases. 18–59 years. Because this analysis included a very short
Articles
follow-up period before the emergence of viral variants 11 WHO Working Group on the Clinical Characterisation and
and included a young and low-risk population, further Management of COVID-19 infection. A minimal common outcome
measure set for COVID-19 clinical research. Lancet Infect Dis 2020;
data are needed on the performance of CoronaVac to 20: e192–97.
demonstrate the efficacy of the vaccine against the 12 Hanifehnezhad A, Kehribar EŞ, Öztop S, et al. Characterization of
variants of concern and the duration of protection, and to local SARS-CoV-2 isolates and pathogenicity in IFNAR–/– mice.
Heliyon 2020; 6: e05116.
assess the safety and efficacy in older adult populations, 13 Gao Q, Bao L, Mao H, et al. Development of an inactivated vaccine
adolescents, and children, and individuals with specific candidate for SARS-CoV-2. Science 2020; 369: 77–81.
chronic diseases. 14 Wang H, Zhang Y, Huang B, et al. Development of an inactivated
vaccine candidate, BBIBP-CorV, with potent protection against
Contributors SARS-CoV-2. Cell 2020; 182: 713–21.e9.
The principal investigators, SU and MA, conceptualised and coordinated 15 Mohandas S, Yadav PD, Shete-Aich A, et al. Immunogenicity and
the study. SU, MA, MDT, and HLD drafted the manuscript. SU, MA, protective efficacy of BBV152, whole virion inactivated SARS-CoV-2
MDT, and HLD accessed and verified the data and contributed to the vaccine candidates in the Syrian hamster model. iScience 2021;
analysis and interpretation of the data. SU, MA, MDT, and HLD edited 24: 102054.
the manuscript. All authors were involved in organisation, coordination, 16 Ganneru B, Jogdand H, Daram VK, et al. Th1 skewed immune
conduct, and technical support of the study; collected data; critically response of whole virion inactivated SARS CoV 2 vaccine and its
reviewed the manuscript and approved the final version; had full access safety evaluation. iScience 2021; 24: 102298.
to all data in the studies, and had final responsibility for the decision to 17 Ella R, Vadrevu KM, Jogdand H, et al. Safety and immunogenicity
submit for publication. of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, BBV152: a double-blind,
randomised, phase 1 trial. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21: 637–46.
Declaration of interests
18 Ella R, Reddy S, Jogdand H, et al. Safety and immunogenicity of an
We declare no competing interests. inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, BBV152: interim results from a
Data sharing double-blind, randomised, multicentre, phase 2 trial, and 3-month
Anonymous participant data will be available upon completion of the follow-up of a double-blind, randomised phase 1 trial.
clinical trial and publication of the completed study results upon request Lancet Infect Dis 2021; published online March 8. https://doi.org/
10.1016/s1473-3099(21)00070-0.
to the corresponding author. Proposals will be reviewed and approved by
the sponsor, researchers, and staff, on the basis of scientific merit and 19 Voss WN, Hou YJ, Johnson NV, et al. Prevalent, protective, and
convergent IgG recognition of SARS-CoV-2 non-RBD spike
absence of competing interests. Once the proposal has been approved,
epitopes. Science 2021; 372: 1108–12.
data can be transferred through a secure online platform after signing a
20 Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, et al. Safety, tolerability, and
data access agreement and a confidentiality agreement.
immunogenicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in healthy
Acknowledgments adults aged 18–59 years: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-
We are grateful to all participants who volunteered to be part of this study controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21: 181–92.
and to all members of the clinical research teams of the participating 21 Wu Z, Hu Y, Xu M, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of
sites. We thank TUSEB for funding the study and Omega-CRO for the an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in healthy adults
statistical analyses and production of figures, and providing the study aged 60 years and older: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-
protocol. We also thank the members of the data and safety monitoring controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21: 803–12.
board for their contributions in the safe execution of this study. 22 Palacios R, Batista AP, Albuquerque CSN, et al. Efficacy and safety
of a COVID-19 inactivated vaccine in healthcare professionals in
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10665/338199 (accessed June 30, 2021). 25 Baden LR, El Sahly HM, Essink B, et al. Efficacy and safety of the
4 Dorn AV, Cooney RE, Sabin ML. COVID-19 exacerbating mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. N Engl J Med 2021; 384: 403–16.
inequalities in the US. Lancet 2020; 395: 1243–44. 26 Polack FP, Thomas SJ, Kitchin N, et al. Safety and efficacy of the
5 Yan ZP, Yang M, Lai CL. COVID-19 vaccines: a review of the safety BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med 2020;
and efficacy of current clinical trials. Pharmaceuticals (Basel) 2021; 383: 2603–15.
14: 406. 27 Voysey M, Clemens SAC, Madhi SA, et al. Safety and efficacy of the
6 Iversen PL, Bavari S. Inactivated COVID-19 vaccines to make a ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2:
global impact. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21: 746–48. an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil,
7 Krammer F. SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in development. Nature 2020; South Africa, and the UK. Lancet 2021; 397: 99–111.
586: 516–27. 28 Sadoff J, Gray G, Vandebosch A, et al. Safety and efficacy of single-
8 Awadasseid A, Wu Y, Tanaka Y, Zhang W. Current advances in the dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine against COVID-19. N Engl J Med 2021;
development of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. Int J Biol Sci 2021; 17: 8–19. 384: 2187–201.
9 McGill COVID19 Vaccine Tracker Team. Sinovac: CoronaVac. 29 Saad-Roy CM, Morris SE, Metcalf CJE, et al. Epidemiological and
https://covid19.trackvaccines.org/vaccines/7/ (accessed evolutionary considerations of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing regimes.
April 28, 2021). Science 2021; 372: 363–70.
10 Akova M, Unal S. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled 30 Tavukcuoglu E, Horzum U, Cagkan Inkaya A, Unal S, Esendagli G.
phase III clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Functional responsiveness of memory T cells from COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (inactivated, Vero cell): a structured summary patients. Cell Immunol 2021; 365: 104363.
of a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial. Trials 2021;
22: 276.
ͳ Article
ed
ʹ Title Efficacy and safety of a COVID-19 inactivated vaccine in healthcare
Ͷ
iew
ͷ Ricardo Palacios, MD, PhD 1*
v
ͺ Elizabeth González Patiño, PhD 1
re
ͻ Joane do Prado Santos, BTech 1
ͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ed
ʹ Gang Zeng, PhD 17
iew
ͷ Maurício Lacerda Nogueira, MD, PhD 19
v
ͺ
re
ͻ 1. Clinical Trials and Pharmacovigilance Center, Instituto Butantan, São Paulo,
ͳͲ Brazil.
er
ͳͳ 2. Emilio Ribas Institute of Infectious Diseases. Secretary of Health of Sao Paulo
ͳ 5. Center for Tropical Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Brasilia, Brasília,
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ͳͻ 6. Universidade Municipal de São Caetano do Sul, São Caetano do Sul, SP, Brazil
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ʹͲ 7.Instituto Israelita de Ensino e Pesquisa Albert Einstein, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
ʹͳ 8. School of Medical Science and Hospital of Clinics, State University of Campinas –
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ʹ͵ 9. Department of Internal Medicine, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of Sao
ʹͶ
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ʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ed
ʹ Pelotas. Pelotas, RS, Brazil
͵ 11. Department of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Julio Müller School
iew
ͷ 12. Research Institute of Cancer Hospital, Barretos, SP, Brazil
v
ͺ 14. Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio
re
ͻ de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
ͳʹ 16. Virology Laboratory, Development and Innovation Center (CDI) Instituto
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ͳͶ 17. Sinovac Biotech Co., Ltd, Haidian District, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
ͳ Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil
ͳ 19. aculdade de Medicina de São José do Rio Preto (FAMERP), São José de Rio
tn
ͳͻ 20. Department of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases, Clinicas Hospital, School of
rin
ʹͳ
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ʹͶ
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11-3723-2121
ʹͷ
͵
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Abstract
ed
ʹ Background
͵ Vaccines are urgently needed to tackle the unprecedented morbidity and mortality of
iew
Ͷ COVID-19. Administration of inactivated viruses are the common and mature
v
re
Methods
ͳͲ Participants received two doses of vaccine (3 μg in 0.5 mL) vaccine or placebo at day
pe
ͳͳ 0 and 14. The primary efficacy endpoint was the number of symptomatic COVID-19
ͳʹ cases confirmed by RT-PCR 14 days after the second dose of the vaccine. Prevention
ͳ͵ of disease severity was a major secondary efficacy endpoint, and adverse events
ot
ͳͶ incidence up to seven days after immunization was the primary safety outcome. The
ͳ Findings
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ͳ Between July 21 and Dec 16, 2020, 12 396 participants were enrolled and received at
ͳͺ least one vaccine or placebo dose. There were 9,823 participants who received the
ͳͻ two doses and were followed for at least 14 days and had, therefore, reached the final
ep
ʹͲ efficacy analysis. There were 253 confirmed COVID-19 cases in the cohort: 85 cases
ʹͳ (11.0/100 person-year) among 4,953 participants in the vaccine group, and 168 cases
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ʹʹ (22·3/100 person-year) among 4,870 participants in the placebo group. The primary
ʹ͵ efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 was 50·7% (95%CI 36·0-62·0). The
Ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ secondary efficacy against cases requiring assistance (score ≥3) and moderate and
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ʹ severe cases (score ≥4) were 83·7% (95%CI 58·0-93.7) and 100% (95%CI 56·4-
͵ 100.0) respectively. All 6 cases of severe COVID-19 occurred in the placebo group.
Ͷ The incidence of adverse reactions, which was mainly pain at the administration site,
iew
ͷ was higher in the vaccine group (77·1%) than in the placebo group (66·4%). There
were 67 serious adverse events reported by 64 participants and all were determined to
v
ͺ neutralizing antibody assays showed similar seroconversion and geometric mean titres
re
ͻ against B.1.128, P.1, and P.2 variants.
ͳͲ Interpretation
er
ͳͳ A phase 3 clinical trial conducted in healthcare professionals in Brazil demonstrated
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ͳʹ that the inactivated CoronaVac vaccine has a good safety profile and is efficacious
ͳ͵ against any symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections and highly protective against
ͳͷ
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ͳ Funding: Fundação Butantan, Instituto Butantan, and São Paulo Research Foundation
ͳͺ
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ͳͻ
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ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Introduction
ed
ʹ Three coronaviruses (SARS-CoV-1, MERS, and SARS-CoV-2) have been identified
͵ as the cause of severe acute respiratory disease in humans this century. An inactivated
Ͷ vaccine was developed for the first of these diseases, SARS, but its development was
iew
ͷ discontinued in phase I clinical trial because the transmission receded. 1 After the
emergence of COVID-19, the same group updated this development using a SARS-
CoV-2 strain isolated in January 2020. The new product, later named CoronaVac
v
ͺ (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China), had promising performance in non-clinical
re
ͻ studies, as shown by the reduction of disease in non-human primate challenge
ͳͲ experiments.2 Safety and immunogenicity results in phase I/II clinical trials, in
er
ͳͳ younger 3 and older adults 4, prompted the conduction of this phase III clinical trial.
ͳʹ
pe
ͳ͵ Our study focused on healthcare professionals directly caring for or in close contact
ͳͶ with COVID-19 patients. The obtention of results in a timely fashion is significant
ͳͷ for vaccine development in a pandemic of such proportion and a a major common
ot
ͳ challenge for all COVID-19 vaccine developers. Brazil has been one of the countries
ͳ most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and overall incidence rates have reached
tn
ͳͺ high levels, especially in healthcare professionals caring for COVID-19 patients.
ͳͻ Therefore, a focus on the latter group was proposed to provide a rapid means to
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ʹͲ determine the potential efficacy of a vaccine candidate.5 This population has been
ʹͳ shown to have higher incidence of disease in epidemiological surveys 6,7 and could, in
ep
ʹʹ principle, adhere better to study case surveillance. Therefore, the objective of the
ʹ͵ present phase III clinical trial was to assess the efficacy and safety of an inactivated
ʹͶ
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ cases and a high degree of adherence to the protocol were expected to rapidly meet
ed
ʹ the research objectives and eventual Emergency Use Authorization for CoronaVac.
͵
Ͷ Methods
iew
ͷ Study design and participants
clinical trial to assess the safety and efficacy of a two-dose schedule of an inactivated
v
ͺ COVID-19 vaccine (CoronaVac, Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China) containing
re
ͻ aluminium hydroxide adjuvant in healthcare professionals ddirectly dealing with
ͳͲ COVID-19 patients. Volunteers were recruited in sixteen clinical sites in Brazil, with
er
ͳͳ 1:1 allocation ratio between vaccine and placebo. Initially, the study included only
ͳʹ participants aged 18-59 years without previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. After phase
pe
ͳ͵ I/II data in the elderly population became available,4 those with 60 years of age or
ͳͶ above were also enrolled, and a study amendment dropped any restriction of prior
ͳͷ infection. The primary efficacy objective considered the whole study population
ot
ͳ regardless of age group and previous infection. The sample size for efficacy was
ͳ calculated considering an attack rate of 2.5% and one interim analysis. The required
tn
ͳͺ number of cases was 61 for the interim analysis and 151 for the primary outcome
ͳͻ analysis with estimated recruitment of 13,060 participants. The primary safety
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ʹͲ objective was incidence of adverse events by age group with up to 11800 participants
ʹͳ in the 18-59 years group and up to 1260 in the group of 60 years or older.
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ʹʹ
ʹͶ
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professionals caring for COVID-19 patients and had to agree to participate by signing
ʹͷ the informed consent form. The main exclusion criteria were pregnant or lactating
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ women, unstable chronic disease, previous use of any COVID-19 vaccines, and acute
ed
ʹ disease symptoms including COVID-19 in the previous 72 hours. The full protocol
Ͷ The study complied with ICH Good Clinical Practices and Brazilian ethical and
iew
ͷ regulatory guidelines, and was approved by the Brazilian National Research Ethics
v
ͺ ClinicalTrials.gov platform (NCT0445659).
re
ͻ
ͳʹ years, and 60 years or older. Vaccine and placebo were randomized at a 1:1 ratio and
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ͳ͵ all sites accessed the same randomization lists through an IWRS provided by Cenduit
ͳͶ (Durham, NC, USA). Study vaccines and placebos were provided in prefilled syringes
ͳͷ with similar characteristics. An unblinded pharmacist at each clinical site prepared the
ot
ͳ vaccine or placebo. The pharmacist only received a coded request for an experimental
ͳ product and delivered the randomized product without any contact with the study
tn
ͳͻ research staff. Participants and all other study staff as well as monitors, lab
rin
ʹͲ technicians, and data management team remained unaware of the product allocation.
ʹͳ
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ʹʹ Procedures
ʹ͵ CoronaVac is an inactivated vaccine candidate against COVID-19 derived from the
ʹͶ
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CN02 strain of SARS-CoV-2 grown in African green monkey kidney cells (Vero
ʹͷ cells). At the end of the incubation period, the virus was harvested, inactivated with β-
ͺ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ed
ʹ The placebo was aluminium hydroxide diluent with no virus. Both the vaccine and
iew
ͷ following the two-dose schedule of 0,14 (+14) days. The selected vaccine doses have
macaques.2
v
ͺ This study was carried out in 16 clinical research centres in Brazil. All participants
re
ͻ who provided the informed consent were enrolled after baseline assessment of
ͳͲ inclusion and exclusion criteria, medical history, physical examination, vital signs,
er
ͳͳ pregnant test, and blood tests. At screening, blood samples and a throat swab were
ͳͶ each site and then administered by nurses in a blinded fashion. After vaccination,
ͳͷ safety evaluation was conducted by investigators who were unaware of treatment
ot
ͳ assignments onsite for 60 minutes. Follow-up contacts were allocated to each
ͳ participant to verify the occurrence of adverse events and COVID-19 symptoms.
tn
ͳͻ discretion of the study team and the participant informed the team about the means of
rin
ʹͲ contact they preferred. Contacts were made between the third and fifth day after each
ʹͳ vaccination and thereafter every week for the first 13 weeks after vaccination and
ep
ʹʹ every two weeks for the remainder of the study. Once fever or other symptoms related
ʹ͵ to COVID-19 was reported, the participants were asked to seek assistance from the
ʹͶ
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study team to collect a throat swab to diagnose COVID-19. All possible cases were
ͻ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ followed up to the resolution of all symptoms and the duration and severity of each of
ed
ʹ the signs and symptoms documented.
͵ An independent data and safety monitoring committee was established prior to the
Ͷ study initiation. Safety data were assessed and reviewed by the committee to ensure
iew
ͷ safety.
Outcomes
v
ͺ The primary endpoint was the efficacy of CoronaVac against confirmed symptomatic
re
ͻ COVID-19 with onset at least 14 days after the second injection in the per protocol
ͳͲ population. All the cases were judged by a blind independent clinical endpoint
er
ͳͳ adjudication committee. Confirmed COVID-19 cases were defined as: 1) at least two
ͳʹ consecutive days with one or more specific symptoms (cough, newly developed taste
pe
ͳ͵ or smell disorders, shortness of breath or dyspnea); or 2) with two or more non-
ͳͶ specific symptoms (fever [axillary temperature ≥37·5℃], chills, sore throat, fatigue,
ͳͷ nasal congestion or runny nose, body pain, muscle pain, headache, nausea or
ot
ͳ CoV-2 nucleic acid in respiratory swab by RT-PCR. A case definition based on the
tn
ͳͺ U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) criteria was also used as a sensitivity
ͳͻ analysis.9. Following the latter criteria, a positive case was considered as anyone who
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ʹͲ presented at least one of the following symptoms for two days or more, with a
ʹͳ positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR result: fever or chills, cough, shortness of breath or
ep
ʹʹ difficulty in breathing, fatigue, muscle or body pain, headache, sore throat, nasal
ʹ͵ congestion or runny nose, nausea or vomiting, and diarrhoea. The primary efficacy
ʹͶ
Pr
was also evaluated in distinct subgroups, including age groups, race, and ethnic group,
ͳͲ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ between two doses (<21 days or ≥21 days), and severity of COVID-19 according to
ed
ʹ WHO Clinical Progression Scale.10 A modified intention-to treat analysis was also
͵ performed to verify the exploratory aim of evaluating the efficacy after a single dose.
Ͷ All the cases included for efficacy analysis had symptoms initiating up to December
iew
ͷ 16, 2020.
The primary safety endpoint was incidence of adverse reactions within 7 days after
injection. The safety profile was assessed based on the safety set (SS), consisting of
v
ͺ all the participants who received at least one dose vaccination. The events included in
re
ͻ this analysis were those initiating up to December 16, 2020 and corresponded to a
ͳͶ wild-type variants: B.1.128 (SARS-CoV-2 / human / BRA / SP02 / 2020 strain
ͳ 38019 strain) in 96-well plates containing 5E+04 cells / mL of Vero cells (ATCC
ͳ CCL-81). All procedures related to VNT were performed in a level 3 biosafety
tn
ͳͺ laboratory, from the Institute of Biomedical Sciences of the University of São Paulo,
ʹͲ
ʹʹ The primary efficacy analysis of was a -modified per protocol analysis calculated
ʹ͵ with all virologically confirmed cases of COVID-19 occurring in the period from the
ʹͶ
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beginning of vaccination to two weeks after the second dose, using Cox proportional
ʹͷ hazards regression model. This model calculates the estimated vaccine efficacy (1 -
ͳͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ hazard ratio), and the Wald test based on the Cox model compared to the p-values
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ʹ described above, and 95% confidence interval according to the appropriate alpha level
͵ was similarly transformed and presented. Cumulative incidence charts were also
Ͷ created with this model. The hypothesis test of the primary efficacy endpoint in the
iew
ͷ per protocol population was based on the on each analysis’ alpha spent levels and
was set to be triggered upon collection of at least 61 primary endpoint cases. The
v
ͺ safety analysis included all participants who received at least one dose of CoronaVac
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ͻ or placebo. For neutralization assays, seroconversion was defined as a person with a
ͳͲ post-vaccination titre ≥20 with a baseline negative result. The Geometric Mean Titres
er
ͳͳ (GMT) were also calculated for those that seroconverted in each group. The Pearson
ͳʹ Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was adopted for the analysis of categorical
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ͳ͵ outcomes. The 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) of categorical outcomes were
ͳͶ computed with the Clopper-Pearson method. Hypothesis testing was two-sided and P-
ͳ
ͳͺ Employees of Fundação Butantan and Instituto Butantan participated in the study
ͳͻ design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, and the report writing. Those
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ʹͲ organizations are non-profit. All the authors have full access to all the data in the
ʹͳ study and the corresponding authors had final responsibility for the decision to submit
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ʹ͵
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ͳʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Results
ed
ʹ From July 21 to December 16, 2020, 12,842 participants were screened, and 12,408
iew
Ͷ least one dose of CoronaVac or placebo (Figure 1), 6,195 in the vaccine group and
Among those 12,396 participants, 5·1% were elderly participants aged 60 years or
v
older, 64·2% were female, and most participants self-identified themselves as white
re
ͺ (75·3%). More than half of the participants (55·9%) had underlying diseases, 22·5%
ͻ of them were obese (BMI ≥30 kg/m²). The average age and BMI of participants were
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ͳͲ 39·5 years and 26·8 kg/m2, respectively (Table 1).
ͳͳ All 12,396 participants were involved in the safety set (SS) and monitored for adverse
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ͳʹ events from the beginning of vaccination up until 12 months after the first dose
ͳ͵ vaccination. By the cut-off date, the incidence of adverse events and adverse reactions
ͳͶ were 78·8% and 71·7%, respectively, by the cut-off date (Appendix p6). Generally,
ot
ͳͷ the vaccine group reported more adverse reactions than the placebo group (77·1% vs.
tn
ͳ 66·4%; p<0001), and most adverse reactions were solicited (73·1% vs. 60·0%,
ͳͺ Among solicited adverse reactions, the incidence of local adverse reactions was
ͳͻ 61·5% in the vaccine group, and this was higher than the 34·6% in the placebo group
ʹͲ
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(p<0·0001). Local adverse reactions were mainly driven by pain at the injection site
ʹͳ (60·3% vs. 32·5%, p<0·0001). All solicited local reactions were more frequently in
ʹʹ the vaccine group, and the incidences were less than 6% in the vaccine group, except
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ʹ͵ pain at the injection site (Figure 2B). Systemic adverse reactions were similar in the
ʹͶ vaccine and placebo groups (48·4% vs. 47·6%, p=0·3882), including headache and
ͳ͵
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ fatigue, the most common systemic symptom collected in this trial. Myalgia was more
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ʹ frequent in the vaccine group (11·7% vs. 10·5%, p=0·0257). Fever (≥37.8°C) was
͵ rare and only reported by 0·2% and 0·1% (p=0·2666) participants in the vaccine and
Ͷ placebo groups, respectively (Figure 2C). Unsolicited ARs were reported by 36·8% in
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ͷ the vaccine and 35·8% in the placebo groups (p=0·2177, Figure 2A). Only tremor,
period) showed higher incidence in the vaccine group. No difference was found for
v
ͺ other unsolicited symptoms (Appendix p7-10).
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ͻ In this study, 67 serious adverse events were reported by 64 participants, 33 in the
ͳͲ vaccine group and 31 in the placebo group (Appendix p20-23). The overall incidence
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ͳͳ of SAE was 0·5%. All SAEs were determined as unrelated to the vaccine. Two deaths
ͳʹ were reported in this trial: one case of cardiopulmonary arrest (placebo group), and
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ͳ͵ one case of medication overdose (vaccine group); all of them unrelated to the vaccine.
ͳͶ One additional death due to COVID-19 (placebo group) occurred as outcome on an
ͳͷ
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ͳ Among 9,823 participants in the per protocol analysis, 253 cases of symptomatic
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ͳ COVID-19 were reported during the primary efficacy analysis period (Table 2). There
ͳͺ were 85 cases (11.0/100 person-year) among 4,953 participants in the vaccine group,
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ͳͻ and 168 cases (22·3/100 person-year) among 4,870 participants in the placebo group.
ʹͲ The efficacy to prevent symptomatic COVID-19 was 50·7% (95%CI 35·9-62·0).
ep
ʹͳ Considering the α spending in the interim analysis, the corrected efficacy was 50.7%
ʹʹ (95.4%CI 35·7-62·2). Sensitivity analysis of primary efficacy was conducted based
ʹ͵ on other case definitions, and the efficacy results ranged from 51·2% to 54·1%
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ͳͶ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ A key secondary endpoint was to evaluate the efficacy to prevent COVID-19 disease
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ʹ at different clinical severities. There were 35 cases scored 3 and above, 10 cases
͵ scored 4 and above, 6 severe cases (including one fatal case) reported among the 9823
Ͷ participants. For cases scored 3 and above, 5 cases were in the vaccine group, 30 were
iew
ͷ in the placebo group, resulting in a vaccine efficacy of 83·7% (95%CI 58·0-93·7). All
cases scored 4 and above were in the placebo group, resulting in 100% vaccine
v
re
ͺ Subgroup analyses were also conducted by the interval between two doses, the
ͳͲ Participants with two doses interval of fewer than 21 days showed similar efficacy
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ͳͳ (49·1%; 95%CI 33·0-61·4) as the primary efficacy analysis. For the small portion of
ͳʹ participants who received two doses of vaccine or placebo with an interval of 21 days
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ͳ͵ or more, the efficacy was calculated at 62·3% (95%CI 13·9-83·5). The efficacy was
ͳͷ
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(Unexposed: 50·5%; Exposed: 49·5%), and between other age groups (18 to 59 years:
ͳ 50·7%; ≥60 years: 51·1%). For participants with underlying diseases, a total of 130
tn
ͳ cases were reported in this population, resulting in 48·9% efficacy (95%CI 26·6-
ͳͺ 64·5). For participants with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and obesity, the efficacy
ͳͻ
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was 39·5% (95%CI -66·4-78·0), 48·6% (95%CI -115·3-87·7) and 74·9% (95%CI
ʹͳ reported 4 cases, of which 1 in the vaccine group and 3 in the placebo group, resulted
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ʹ͵ After the first dose or 14 days after the first dose, secondary efficacy endpoints were
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ʹͶ analysed using the intention-to-treat (ITT) approach. Among the 12,396 participants,
ͳͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ 378 cases were reported after the first dose, of which 126 were in the vaccine group
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ʹ and 252 were in the placebo group, resulting in an efficacy of 50·8% (95%CI 39·0-
͵ 60·3) after the first dose, similar to the calculated efficacy with the complete
Ͷ vaccination schedule. For 14 days after the first dose, 313 cases were collected among
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ͷ 11,431 participants, 94 were in the vaccine group and 219 were in the placebo group,
v
One hundred and nine participants had samples processed for neutralization assay
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ͺ before vaccination and two weeks after the second dose. Six of them had positive pre-
ͻ vaccination samples (four for the vaccine and two for the placebo groups) and were
ͳͲ not included in the seroconversion assessment. Two of four vaccinated participants
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ͳͳ with previous antibody titres had a 4-fold increase or higher for all tested variants.
ͳʹ Three participants (5.2%) out of 58 in the placebo arm seroconverted for the variant
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ͳ͵ B.1.1.28, but not to the other variants. Thirty-two (71.1%; GMT 64.4) of the 45
ͳͶ participants vaccine arm seroconverted for B.1.1.28, 31 (68.9%; GMT 46.8) for P.1,
ͳͷ
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and 36 (80.0% GMT 45.8) for P.2. There were no significant differences in GMT
ͳ against the B.1.128 variant as compared to P.1 GMT (p=0.34) and P.2 GMT (p=0.72).
tn
ͳͺ aged 18 to 59 years, 21 had seroconversion for B.1.1.28, 17 of 22 (77.3%; GMT 60.9)
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ͳͻ for P.1 and 21 of 22 (95.5%; GMT 50.4)) for P.2. Of the 23 samples analysed from
ʹͲ participants aged 60 years or more, 11 (47.8%; GMT 58.1) evidenced seroconversion
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ʹͳ for B.1.1.28, 14 (60.9%; GMT 34.5) for P.1, and 15 (65.2%; GMT 40.0) for P.2.
ʹʹ When the different age groups are compared, there were significant in seroconversion
ʹ͵ rates for B.1.1.28 (p<0.001) and P.2 (p=0,022) variants, but not for the P.1 variant
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ʹͶ (p=0.337). The differences in GMT between age groups were not significantly
ͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ different for the B.1.1.28 variant (p=0.086) nor the P.2 variant (p=0.174) but was
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ʹ different for the P.1. variant (p=0.029).
͵
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Ͷ Discussion
v
community exposure. Using a smaller sample size compared to other large Phase III
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ͺ clinical trials with vaccine candidates, we were able to demonstrate that this vaccine
ͳͲ COVID-19 started at 50.7% and became more extensive as disease severity increased.
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ͳͳ Of note, the case definition and professional profile of the study population allowed
ͳʹ highly sensitive surveillance and the study was able to detect even the mildest cases of
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ͳ͵ COVID-19. The conditions of this trial should be considered when the results are
ͳͶ extrapolated to other populations or comparisons with other trials are suggested.
ͳͷ
ot
The vaccine performance met the requirements for Emergency Use Authorization in
ͳ 32 countries and regions allowing a fast response to an ongoing public health
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ͳ emergency at a speed similar to other vaccine candidates receiving heavy subsidies
ͳͻ
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One of the factors that might have affected the study’s overall efficacy was the
ʹͲ interval between two doses of 14 days. Although there were a limited number of
ʹͳ participants in this study having doses with an interval of 21 days or higher, there was
ep
ʹʹ a trend to higher efficacy. Furthermore, previous neutralization data in adults were
ʹ͵ lower with a 14-days interval3 , and, in this study, participants aged 60 years or more
Pr
ʹͶ had a lower response than adults with the same 14-days schedule. These results
ʹͷ contrast with previous studies where the immune responses in adults and elderly
ͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ populations with a 28-days interval schedule were comparable 3,4. Taken together,
ed
ʹ these data suggests that it is advisable to encourage longer intervals between doses,
͵ i.e., 28 days, in the vaccine implementation. The study cannot make a clear
Ͷ assumption of efficacy with a single dose due to the limited number of outcomes and
iew
ͷ the odds of having more participants infected around the time of first injection in the
vaccine arm (Figure 3). However, it must be noticed that the efficacy of CoronaVac
was already present after the second week of the first dose.
v
ͺ The study was not designed to provide subgroup efficacy analysis by previous SARS-
re
ͻ CoV-2 exposure, age group, or underlying medical conditions. Nonetheless, the
ͳͲ efficacy found in participants with obesity is promising because this condition has
er
ͳͳ been associated with lower immune response in other inactivated vaccines.11
ͳʹ There is international concern that the emergency of SARS-CoV-2 variants may alter
pe
ͳ͵ vaccine efficacy. Two variants haveemerged in Brazil after this trial started, the so-
ͳͶ called P.2 and P.1 Out of them, only the P.2 variant was circulating on the study
ͳͷ centres during the period covered by this analysis. Although these variants have
ot
ͳ several mutations that are key to the function of many antibodies, there was a
ͳ consistent neutralization of all these variants by serum of participants given the
tn
ͳͺ inactivated vaccine. This is expected as the vaccine contains the whole virus.
ͳͻ The observed safety and tolerability profiles were outstanding. As it was observed
rin
ʹͲ with other COVID-19 vaccines, no vaccine-enhanced disease effect was documented,
ʹͳ besides post-implementation surveillance is advisable.12 Local pain was the most
ep
ʹʹ frequent adverse reaction. Differences in adverse event rates between experimental
ʹ͵ and control products became an issue in several COVID-19 vaccine developments, as
ʹͶ
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ͳͺ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Since CoronaVac showed similar reactogenicity to placebo, such concern was not an
ed
ʹ issue in this trial.
͵ This pivotal trial for CoronaVac was able to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of a
Ͷ new COVID-19 vaccine with one of the most efficient approaches among first-wave
iew
ͷ developers maintaining the highest standards in science and ethics. After the results of
this study were initially released on January 12, 2021, Butantan have delivered 38,2
million doses to the Brazilian Public Health System and Sinovac distributed
v
ͺ additional 180 million doses in around 30 low-and-middle-income countries up to
re
ͻ April 07, 2021. The deployment rate of this vaccine was higher and more opportune
ͳͲ for those countries than other initiatives 13 demonstrating the success of the Sinovac-
er
ͳͳ Butantan co-development and confirming that the use of traditional inactivated virus
ͳʹ vaccine strategies cannot be ruled out as a platform of rapid public health response to
pe
ͳͶ
ͳͷ
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Acknowledgments
ed
ʹ First and foremost, we would like to thank the colleagues who volunteer to participate
͵ in this trial. Not only for the scientific contribution but for also staying at the
Ͷ frontlines caring for COVID-19 patients and their families and friends. The technical
iew
ͷ assistance of Jorge Flores, Christopher Gast and Chistian F. Ocklenhouse from PATH
was key to make this study possible. We are very grateful to the members of the Data
Safety Monitoring Board and the Clinical Endpoint Adjudication Committee that
v
ͺ generously gave their knowledge, experience, and wise advice to the study at no cost.
re
ͻ The PROFISCOV study group is in debt for all extraordinary efforts made by our
ͳͲ colleagues Dimas Tadeu Covas, Rui Curi, Reinaldo Noboru Sato, Raul Machado
er
ͳͳ Neto, Paulo Luis Capelotto, Tiago Tadeu Rocca, Cristiano Gonçalves Pereira,
ͳʹ Gilberto Guedes de Padua, Ricardo Haddad, Natália Lamesa Ambrósio, Luiz Rogério
pe
ͳ͵ Perilli, and Fernanda Aparecida Orsi Castilho from Instituto Butantan and Fundação
ͳͶ Butantan to support this study. Sandra Yi O Cho and Bruno Antônio de Oliveira, from
ͳͷ the Regulatory Affairs Area at Butantan, deserve our special gratitude for being the
ot
ͳ most constant fellows of the clinical research team. The vendors in a clinical trial
ͳ have a critical role and we were lucky to have the most dedicated staff from IQVIA
tn
ͳͺ (Eduardo Tedeschi, Fernanda Nobrega, Renata Toledo, Tatiana Kasteckas, Guilherme
ͳͻ Knorst, Nicolas Rodovalho, and colleagues), Allports (José Luiz Vaz Monteiro) and
rin
ʹͲ WorldCourier. We were able to move ahead with the extenuating journeys required
ʹͳ for this study just because we have the care and the patience of our loved ones.
ep
ʹʹ
ʹ͵
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ References
ed
ʹ 1 Lin J-T, Zhang J-S, Su N, et al. Safety and immunogenicity from a phase I trial
iew
ͷ 2 Gao Q, Bao L, Mao H, et al. Development of an inactivated vaccine candidate
v
ͺ inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in healthy adults aged 18-59 years: a
re
ͻ randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet
ͳͶ trial. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; published online Feb 3. DOI:10.1016/S1473-
ͳͷ 3099(20)30987-7.
ot
ͳ 5 Cyranoski D. China’s coronavirus vaccines are leaping ahead - but face
ʹͲ Designated Hospital of Wuhan in China. Clin Infect Dis 2020; 71: 2218–21.
ʹͳ 7 Pessa Valente E, Cruz Vaz da Costa Damásio L, Luz LS, da Silva Pereira MF,
ep
ʹʹ Lazzerini M. COVID-19 among health workers in Brazil: The silent wave. J
ʹͶ
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ʹͳ
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ed
ʹ COVID-19 (Inactivated) Vaccine Manufactured by Sinovac - PROFISCOV: A
iew
ͷ Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19 Guidance for
v
ͺ COVID-19 infection. A minimal common outcome measure set for COVID-19
re
ͻ clinical research. Lancet Infect Dis 2020; 20: e192–7.
ͳͲ 11 Dhakal S, Klein SL. Host Factors Impact Vaccine Efficacy: Implications for
er
ͳͳ Seasonal and Universal Influenza Vaccine Programs. J Virol 2019; 93.
ͳʹ DOI:10.1128/JVI.00797-19.
pe
ͳ͵ 12 Munoz FM, Cramer JP, Dekker CL, et al. Vaccine-associated enhanced
ͳͶ disease: Case definition and guidelines for data collection, analysis, and
ͳͷ presentation of immunization safety data. Vaccine 2021; published online Feb
ot
ͳ 13 COVAX. COVAX reaches over 100 economies, 42 days after first
tn
ͳͻ reaches-over-100-economies-42-days-after-first-international-delivery
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ʹͳ
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Figure legends
ed
ʹ Figure 1: Study Profile.
͵ All participants enrolled from Jul. 21 to Dec. 16, 2020, were shown in the diagram.
Ͷ
v iew
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ͷ
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ʹ͵
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ed
ʹ Reactions.
͵ The percentage of participants who had adverse reactions after any administration of
Ͷ vaccine or placebo was shown. (A) The overview of the percentage of participants who
iew
ͷ had any adverse reactions; (B) The percentage of participants who had local solicited
adverse reactions by different symptoms; (C) The percentage of participants who had
v
ͺ
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ͻ
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ͳͲ
ͳͳ
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ʹͶ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Figure 3. Efficacy of vaccine against COVID-19 cases after the 1st dose and the
ed
ʹ Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence curves
Ͷ after the 1st dose of vaccination. (B) The number of cases collected, incidence density,
iew
ͷ and efficacy of 14 days after the 1st dose and 2nd dose. Analysis was based on the
A
v
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ͺ
ͻ
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ͳͲ B
person-year)
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ͳ Tables
ed
ʹ Table 1: Baseline characteristics of participants who received at least one dose of
͵ vaccine or placebo
iew
Vaccine Placebo Total
Age Group
v
18~59 years 5879 (94·9%) 5885 (94·9%) 11764
re
(94·9%)
Ethnic
tn
American
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or Alaska Native
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ed
(N=6195) (N=6201) (N=12396)
iew
Cardiovascular 792 (12·8%) 773 (12·5%) 1565 (12·6%)
disease
v
Diabetes 218 (3·5%) 197 (3·2%) 415 (3·4%)
re
Obesity 1386 (22·4%) 1403 (22·6%) 2789 (22·5%)
ʹ
͵
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ʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
ͳ Table 2. Efficacy against COVID-19 cases 14 days after the 2nd dose
ed
Total Vaccine Placebo Vaccine Efficacy
No. of (95%CI)
n/N(incidence n/N(incidence
iew
cases
density) density per 100
person-year)
v
Overall 253 85/4953(11·0) 168/4870(22·3 50·7 (35·9, 62·0)
re
[1]
)
Severity
er
Score 3 and 35 5/4953(0·7) 30/4870 (4·1) 83·7(58·0, 93·7)
above
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Interval between
two doses
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)
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ed
No. of (95%CI)
n/N(incidence n/N(incidence
cases
density) density per 100
iew
person-year)
Exposure to
v
SARS-Cov-2 pre-
re
vaccination
87·4)
Age group
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(22·8)
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Underlying
Disease
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ʹͻ
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ed
No. of (95%CI)
n/N(incidence n/N(incidence
cases
density) density per 100
iew
person-year)
v
disease
re
Diabetes 8 3/175(11·2) 5/159(21·1) 48·6(-115·3, 87·7)
4 96.47)
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ͳ [1]
The efficacy corrected based on the α spending in the interim analysis was 50.7%
͵ [2]
Calculated based on Poisson regression model
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Table 1-1. Data set division of each protocol violation
v
Efficacy Evaluation Safety Evaluation
No. Protocol Violations
PPS ITT mITT SS SS1 SS2
r e
1 Not vaccinated after randomisation N N N N N N
r
3 Withdraw before 14 days after the second dose vaccination N Y N NA NA NA
e
4 Received 3 doses vaccination N Y Y Y Y Y
e
5 Participated in any COVID-19 vaccine clinical trial or vaccinated COVID-19 vaccine in the past N Y Y NA NA NA
p
6 Received the second dose vaccination beyond the window period N Y Y Y Y Y
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7 Received wrong vaccine* N Y Y NA NA NA
o
8 The time of data analysis was before 14 days after the second dose vaccination N Y N NA NA NA
n
9 PCR positive between the first dose vaccination to the 14 days after the second dose vaccination N Y Y NA NA NA
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10 Diagnosed COVID-19 between the first dose vaccination to the 14 days after the second dose vaccination N Y Y NA NA NA
in
*Details see Table 1-2.
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No. of subject Wrong dose vaccination No. of vaccine Date of wrong dose vaccination Describe of protocol violation
v
111451 1 111454 2020/8/6
e
111577 2 111571 2020/8/25
r
112384 1 112386 2020/8/20
r
112538 2 114579 2020/9/4
e
112828 2 111828 2020/9/8
e
113046 2 113007 2020/9/9
p
115170 2 115191 2020/9/23
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115191 2 115170 2020/9/23
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116737 2 wrong arm** 2020/10/1 Due to the error of the unblinded pharmacist, subject 116737 was
assigned the wrong vaccine in V2.
116811 1 wrong arm** 2020/9/18 Due to the error of the unblinded pharmacist, subject 116811 was
assigned the wrong vaccine in V1.
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116881 1 wrong arm** 2020/9/18 Due to lack of supervision, the unblinded pharmacist assigned the
wrong vaccine to subject 116881 in V1.
117927 2 118063 2020/10/9
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118339 1 wrong arm** 2020/9/26 Due to the error of the unblinded staff, an error occurred in the
allocation of vaccine to subject 118339. Date of occurrence of PD:
2020-09-26
r
119167 2 119538 2020/10/20
119278 1 wrong arm** 2020/10/3 Due to the absence of double review, subject 119278 was assigned
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the wrong vaccine in V1.
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d
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120579 1 Unknown** 2020/10/19 The unblinded monitor confirmed that subject 120579 was
vaccinated on October 19, 2020, but the IWRS indicated that this
v
assignment did not occur on that day. Therefore, it is unknown
which vaccine the subject has been assigned.
e
*From the protocol deviation list provided by the monitor
r
**In the overall and corresponding dose safety analysis, from a conservative perspective, subjects with “wrong arm” and “unknown” are analyzed by vaccine group.
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Table 2. Information of study sites
v
Code. Study Site Address Principal Investigator
e
SAO06 Instituto de Infectologia Emílio Ribas Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil, 01246-900 Luiz Carlos Pereira Júnior, MD, PhD
r
CWB01 Hospital das Clínicas da Universidade Federal do Paraná Curitiba, PR, Brazil, 80060-900 Sonia Mara Raboni, MD, PhD
r
POA01 Hospital São Lucas da Pontificia Universidade Catolica do Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil, 90619-900 Fabiano Ramos, MD, PhD
ee
Rio Grande do Sul
BHZ01 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil, 30750-140 Mauro Martins Teixeira, MD, PhD
BSB01 Universidade de Brasília Brasilia, DF, Brazil, 71691-082 Gustavo Adolfo Sierra Romero, MD, PhD
tp
SCS01 Universidade Municipal de São Caetano do Sul São Caetano do Sul, SP, Brazil, 09521-160 Fábio Eudes Leal, MD, PhD
SAO06 Instituto Israelita de Ensino e Pesquisa Albert Einstein Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil, 05652-900 Luis Fernando Aranha Camargo, MD, PhD
no
VCP01 Hospital das Clínicas da UNICAMP Campinas, SP, Brazil, 13083-888 Francisco Hideo Aoki, MD, PhD
RAO01 Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Ribeirao Preto, SP, Brazil, 14015-069 Eduardo Barbosa Coelho, MD, PhD
Preto da Universidade de São Paulo
t
SAO01 Centro de Pesquisas Clínicas do Instituto Central do Hospital Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil, 05403-000 Esper Georges Kallás, MD,PhD
das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de
ri n
São Paulo
PET01 Universidade Federal de Pelotas, Faculdade de Medicina. Pelotas, RS, Brasil, 96030-002 Danise Senna Oliveira, MD, PhD
Departamento de Clínica Médica
p
SJP01 Faculdade de Medicina de São José do Rio Preto - FAMERP São José Do Rio Preto, SP, Brazil, 15090-000 Maurício Lacerda Nogueira, MD, PhD
CWB01 Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso, Faculdade de Ciências Cuiabá, MT – Brasil, 78048-902 Cor Jesus Fernandes Fontes, MD, PhD
e
Médicas, Hospital Univeristário Júlio Müller.
r
BAT01 Hospital de Amor Barretos, SP, Brazil 14780-000 Gecilmara Cristina Salviato Pileggi, MD, PhD
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CGR01 Hospital Universitário Maria Aparecida Pedrossian, Campo Grande, MS, Brazil, 79080-190 Ana Lúcia Lyrio de Oliveira, MD, PhD
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul
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RIO01 Instituto de Infectologia Evandro Chagas - Fiocruz Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, 21710-232
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André Machado de Siqueira, MD, PhD
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Table 3-1. Overview of adverse events in subjects after vaccination
v
Vaccine group Placebo group Total
re
Category (N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396) P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
er
Total AEs 29041 5096(82·2%) 25619 4670(75·4%) 54660 9766(78·8%) <0·0001
AEs related to vaccine 21162 4782(77·1%) 17270 4111(66·4%) 38432 8893(71·7%) <0·0001
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Solicited AEs 14949 4536(73·1%) 11119 3714(60·0%) 26068 8250(66·6%) <0·0001
ot
Systemic AEs 14164 3625(58·5%) 14056 3525(56·9%) 28220 7150(57·7%) 0·0842
n
AEs within 60 min 611 460(7·4%) 525 413(6·7%) 1136 873(7·0%) 0·1064
t
AEs within 0-7 days 16583 4613(74·4%) 12625 3823(61·7%) 29208 8436(68·1%) <0·0001
AEs in 8-28 days 4046 1619(26·1%) 4132 1615(26·1%) 8178 3234(26·1%) 0·9837
in
Grade 1 Adverse Event 17693 4652(75·0%) 13889 3901(63·0%) 31582 8553(69·0%) <0·0001
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Grade 2 Adverse Event 3306 1648(26·6%) 3158 1546(25·0%) 6464 3194(25·8%) 0·042
Grade 3 Adverse Event 144 98(1·6%) 205 128(2·1%) 349 226(1·8%) 0·0441
r e
AEs unrelated to vaccine 7813 2398(38·7%) 8295 2442(39·4%) 16108 4840(39·0%) 0·3869
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Table 3-2. Adverse reactions reported within 28 days after whole-schedule vaccination
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i e
Vaccine group Placebo group Total
(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396) P value
Category
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
e
Total adverse reactions 21162 4782(77·1%) 17270 4111(66·4%) 38432 8893(71·7%) <0·0001
r
Solicited adverse reactions 14949 4536(73·1%) 11119 3714(60·0%) 26068 8250(66·6%) <0·0001
r
Local adverse reactions 6767 3815(61·5%) 3074 2143(34·6%) 9841 5958(48·1%) <0·0001
e
Vaccination site pain 5508 3742(60·3%) 2555 2014(32·5%) 8063 5756(46·4%) <0·0001
e
Swelling 434 359(5·8%) 147 130(2·1%) 581 489(3·9%) <0·0001
p
Pruritus 306 263(4·2%) 207 181(2·9%) 513 444(3·6%) <0·0001
t
Redness 264 241(3·9%) 93 89(1·4%) 357 330(2·7%) <0·0001
o
Induration 255 235(3·8%) 72 67(1·1%) 327 302(2·4%) <0·0001
n
Systemic adverse reactions 8182 2999(48·4%) 8045 2947(47·6%) 16227 5946(48·0%) 0·3882
t
Headache 3034 2128(34·3%) 3098 2157(34·8%) 6132 4285(34·6%) 0·5583
in
Fatigue 1209 989(16·0%) 1164 922(14·9%) 2373 1911(15·4%) 0·1059
r
Myalgia 879 727(11·7%) 771 648(10·5%) 1650 1375(11·1%) 0·0257
p
Nausea 573 490(7·9%) 629 522(8·4%) 1202 1012(8·2%) 0·2939
e
Diarrhea 576 492(7·9%) 576 501(8·1%) 1152 993(8·0%) 0·7659
r
Arthralgia 411 353(5·7%) 369 321(5·2%) 780 674(5·4%) 0·2195
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Cough 392 343(5·5%) 369 322(5·2%) 761 665(5·4%) 0·4254
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(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396) P value
i
Category
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
v
(%) (%) (%)
Chills 359 309(5·0%) 350 313(5·1%) 709 622(5·0%) 0·8693
r e
Pruritus 315 263(4·2%) 266 225(3·6%) 581 488(3·9%) 0·0874
r
Vomiting 64 61(1·0%) 66 61(1·0%) 130 122(1·0%) 1·0000
e
Hypersensitivity 66 58(0·9%) 68 58(0·9%) 134 116(0·9%) 1·0000
e
Rash 53 49(0·8%) 47 42(0·7%) 100 91(0·7%) 0·5281
p
Fever 10 9(0·2%) 4 4(0·1%) 14 13(0·1%) 0·2666
ot
Unsolicited adverse reactions 6213 2284(36·8%) 6151 2215(35·8%) 12364 4499(36·3%) 0·2177
tn
Complex local pain syndrome 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
rin
Vaccination site pain 133 124(2·0%) 70 65(1·1%) 203 189(1·5%) <0·0001
ep
Vaccination site swelling 16 15(0·2%) 6 6(0·1%) 22 21(0·2%) 0·0781
r
Vaccination site induration 18 17(0·3%) 3 3(0·1%) 21 20(0·2%) 0·0026
P
Vaccination site warmth 10 10(0·2%) 5 5(0·1%) 15 15(0·1%) 0·3015
͵ͺ
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(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396) P value
i
Category
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
v
(%) (%) (%)
Oedema peripheral 4 4(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 5 5(0·0%) 0·3749
r e
Intestinal angina 5 5(0·1%) 3 3(0·1%) 8 8(0·1%) 0·7265
r
Gastritis 4 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·6874
ee
Abdominal pain lower 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
tp
disease
Muscular weakness 5 5(0·1%) 3 3(0·1%) 8 8(0·1%) 0·7265
o
Ecchymosis 5 5(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 7 7(0·1%) 0·4530
n
Petechiae 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
t
Alopecia 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
in
Sinusitis 7 7(0·1%) 4 4(0·1%) 11 11(0·1%) 0·5486
r
Flushing 39 37(0·6%) 20 18(0·3%) 59 55(0·4%) 0·0142
p
Hyperaemia 13 13(0·2%) 10 8(0·1%) 23 21(0·2%) 0·3829
re
Hypoacusis 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
P
Anxiety disorder 5 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 7 6(0·1%) 0·6874
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(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396) P value
Category
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
v
(%) (%) (%)
Tachycardia 7 7(0·1%) 4 4(0·1%) 11 11(0·1%) 0·5486
r e
Palpitations 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
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Table 3-3. Adverse reactions reported within 14 days after first dose vaccination
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
(N=6196) (N=6200) (N=12396)
v
Category P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
e
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
r
Total adverse reactions 11658 4058(65·5%) 9964 3438(55·5%) 21622 7496(60·5%) <0·0001
r
Local adverse reactions
e
Vaccination site pain 2890 2750(44·4%) 1442 1387(22·4%) 4332 4137(33·4%) <0·0001
e
Induration 90 88(1·4%) 35 34(0·6%) 125 122(1·0%) <0·0001
p
Swelling 185 162(2·6%) 77 72(1·2%) 262 234(2·0%) <0·0001
t
Redness 97 95(1·5%) 52 48(0·8%) 149 143(1·2%) <0·0001
no
Pruritus 154 147(2·4%) 133 126(2·0%) 287 273(2·2%) 0·1993
t
Rash 5 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 7 6(0·1%) 0·4529
n
Systemic adverse reactions
i
Fever 8 7(0·1%) 8 8(0·1%) 16 15(0·1%) 1·0000
r
Hypersensitivity 53 47(0·8%) 50 44(0·7%) 103 91(0·7%) 0·7537
p
Rash 42 36(0·6%) 32 30(0·5%) 74 66(0·5%) 0·4625
r e
Diarrhea 502 451(7·3%) 512 454(7·3%) 1014 905(7·3%) 0·9450
P Ͷͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=6196) (N=6200) (N=12396)
Category P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
e
Vomiting 48 47(0·8%) 51 49(0·8%) 99 96(0·8%) 0·9185
r
Nausea 464 423(6·8%) 521 445(7·2%) 985 868(7·0%) 0·4599
r
Myalgia 686 604(9·8%) 631 545(8·8%) 1317 1149(9·3%) 0·0677
e
Headache 2615 1944(31·4%) 2726 1996(32·2%) 5341 3940(31·8%) 0·3348
e
Cough 380 337(5·4%) 364 318(5·1%) 744 655(5·3%) 0·4458
p
Fatigue 1016 860(13·9%) 943 798(12·9%) 1959 1658(13·4%) 0·1018
t
Arthralgia 331 293(4·7%) 308 276(4·5%) 639 569(4·6%) 0·4659
o
Chills 274 252(4·1%) 285 266(4·3%) 559 518(4·2%) 0·5596
n
Pruritus 243 213(3·4%) 226 194(3·1%) 469 407(3·3%) 0·3387
t
Oedema 8 8(0·1%) 3 3(0·1%) 11 11(0·1%) 0·1457
in
Chest pain 7 7(0·1%) 4 4(0·1%) 11 11(0·1%) 0·3873
r
Warm at the vaccination site 6 6(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 8 8(0·1%) 0·1794
p
Rash at the vaccination site 5 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 7 6(0·1%) 0·4529
e
Tremor 8 8(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 9 9(0·1%) 0·0214
r
Paraesthesia oral 5 5(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·1248
P
Lower abdominal pain 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6248
Ͷʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=6196) (N=6200) (N=12396)
Category P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
re
Gastritis 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6248
r
Muscle spasms 4 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·4529
e
Muscular weakness 3 3(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 4 4(0·0%) 0·3748
e
Hyperhidrosis 12 12(0·2%) 7 7(0·1%) 19 19(0·2%) 0·2627
p
Ecchymosis 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6248
t
Alopecia 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6248
o
Oral herpes 16 16(0·3%) 10 9(0·2%) 26 25(0·2%) 0·1681
n
Rhinitis 5 5(0·1%) 3 3(0·1%) 8 8(0·1%) 0·5075
t
Conjunctivitis 4 4(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·4529
in
Sinusitis 4 4(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 5 5(0·0%) 0·2185
r
Amygdalitis 2 2(0·0%) 2 1(0·0%) 4 3(0·0%) 0·6248
p
Flushing 18 18(0·3%) 13 12(0·2%) 31 30(0·2%) 0·2803
e
Palpitation 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6248
P r Ͷ͵
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Table 3-4. Adverse reactions reported within 28 days after second-dose vaccination
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
(N=5453) (N=5481) (N=10934)
v
Category P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
e
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
r
Total adverse reactions 9481 3294(60·1%) 7329 2418(44·3%) 16810 5712(52·2%) <0·0001
r
Local adverse reactions
ee
Vaccination site pain 2746 2520(46·0%) 1188 1079(19·8%) 3934 3599(32·9%) <0·0001
p
Swelling 265 235(4·3%) 76 70(1·3%) 341 305(2·8%) <0·0001
t
Redness 186 174(3·2%) 51 51(0·9%) 237 225(2·1%) <0·0001
o
Pruritus 174 154(2·9%) 109 89(1·6%) 283 243(2·2%) <0·0001
Sclerosis at the vaccination
tn
2 2(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 0·5000
site
Epidermis exfoliation at the
1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
vaccination site
Pustules at the vaccination
rin
1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
site
Systemic adverse reactions
ep
Fever 3 3(0·1%) 4 4(0·1%) 7 7(0·1%) 0·7258
r
Rash 25 25(0·5%) 25 23(0·4%) 50 48(0·4%) 0·8852
P
Diarrhea 335 300(5·5%) 340 296(5·4%) 675 596(5·5%) 0·9329
ͶͶ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=5453) (N=5481) (N=10934)
Category P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
re
Appetite impaired 126 110(2·0%) 143 131(2·4%) 269 241(2·2%) 0·1714
r
Nausea 304 263(4·8%) 311 266(4·9%) 615 529(4·8%) 0·8586
e
Myalgia 526 439(8·0%) 478 403(7·4%) 1004 842(7·7%) 0·2365
e
Headache 1957 1354(24·7%) 1922 1317(24·2%) 3879 2671(24·4%) 0·5044
p
Cough 283 247(4·5%) 282 245(4·5%) 565 492(4·5%) 1·0000
ot
Fatigue 593 496(9·1%) 636 538(9·9%) 1229 1034(9·5%) 0·1504
tn
Chills 185 164(3·0%) 200 186(3·4%) 385 350(3·2%) 0·232
in
Oedema 6 6(0·1%) 3 3(0·1%) 9 9(0·1%) 0·5076
Complex local pain
r
2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
syndrome
p
Intestinal angina 3 3(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 4 4(0·0%) 0·6249
e
Gastritis 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
r
Pain in limb 29 25(0·5%) 18 15(0·3%) 47 40(0·4%) 0·1532
P
Neck pain 11 11(0·2%) 5 5(0·1%) 16 16(0·2%) 0·2098
Ͷͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=5453) (N=5481) (N=10934)
Category P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
e
Dyspnea 19 18(0·3%) 10 10(0·2%) 29 28(0·3%) 0·1844
r
Rhinallergosis 8 8(0·2%) 5 5(0·1%) 13 13(0·1%) 0·5808
r
Erythema 36 35(0·6%) 25 23(0·4%) 61 58(0·5%) 0·1470
e
Ecchymosis 3 3(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 4 4(0·0%) 0·6249
e
Skin warm 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
p
Pharyngitis 2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
t
Flushing 21 20(0·4%) 7 7(0·1%) 28 27(0·3%) 0·0190
o
Hyperaemia 6 6(0·1%) 5 4(0·1%) 11 10(0·1%) 0·7538
n
Eye irritation 4 4(0·1%) 3 2(0·0%) 7 6(0·1%) 0·6874
t
Anxiety disorder 5 4(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 6 5(0·1%) 0·3749
in
Tachycardia 5 5(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 7 7(0·1%) 0·4530
p r
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P Ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
(N=3447) (N=3478) (N=6925)
v
Concomitant disease P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
e
Cardiovascular disease 2553 560/794(70·5%) 2083 480/771(62·3%) 4636 1040/1565(66·5%)
r
0·0006
Diabetes 802 150/219(68·5%) 554 123/196(62·8%) 1356 273/415(65·8%) 0·2543
r
Obesity 5147 1058/1388(76·2%) 4171 933/1401(66·6%) 9318 1991/2789(71·4%) <0·0001
e
Chronic lung disease 7 4/5(80·0%) 2 1/4(25·0%) 9 5/9(55·6%) 0·2063
e
Malignant disease 85 19/27(70·4%) 87 18/25(72·0%) 172 37/52(71·2%) 1·0000
t p
n o
in t
p r
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P Ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
(N=3447) (N=3478) (N=6925)
v
Category P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) events (%)
e
Total adverse reactions 12974 2701(78·4%) 10961 2413(69·4%) 23935 5114(73·9%) <0·0001
r
Solicited adverse reactions 9046 2562(74·3%) 6962 2176(62·6%) 16008 4738(68·4%) <0·0001
r
Local adverse reactions 3935 2134(61·9%) 1836 1235(35·5%) 5771 3369(48·7%) <0·0001
e
Vaccination site pain 3143 2096(60·8%) 1512 1156(33·2%) 4655 3252(47·0%) <0·0001
e
Swelling 277 225(6·5%) 96 84(2·4%) 373 309(4·5%) <0·0001
p
Redness 156 141(4·1%) 55 52(1·5%) 211 193(2·8%) <0·0001
t
Induration 162 147(4·3%) 43 38(1·1%) 205 185(2·7%) <0·0001
o
Vaccination site pruritus 197 163(4·7%) 130 113(3·3%) 327 276(4·0%) 0·0017
n
Systemic adverse reactions 5111 1764(51·2%) 5126 1761(50·6%) 10237 3525(50·9%) 0·6653
t
Headache 1813 1241(36·0%) 1927 1297(37·3%) 3740 2538(36·7%) 0·2725
ir n
Fatigue 784 620(18·0%) 752 588(16·9%) 1536 1208(17·5%) 0·2414
p
Nausea 343 294(8·5%) 410 337(9·7%) 753 631(9·1%) 0·0950
e
Diarrhea 370 312(9·1%) 352 306(8·8%) 722 618(8·9%) 0·7360
r
Arthralgia 270 225(6·5%) 255 221(6·4%) 525 446(6·4%) 0·7693
P
Pruritus 210 167(4·8%) 174 145(4·2%) 384 312(4·5%) 0·1829
Ͷͺ
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(N=3447) (N=3478) (N=6925)
Category P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events
v
(%) (%) events (%)
Cough 263 226(6·6%) 236 202(5·8%) 499 428(6·2%) 0·2121
e
rr
Chills 233 197(5·7%) 216 189(5·4%) 449 386(5·6%) 0·6374
ee
Hypersensitivity 47 41(1·2%) 50 40(1·2%) 97 81(1·2%) 0·9113
p
Fever 5 5(0·2%) 1 1(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·1232
t
Unsolicited adverse reactions 3928 1396(40·5%) 3999 1364(39·2%) 7927 2760(39·9%) 0·2802
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Table 4. Serious Adverse Events by System Organ Class/Preferred Term
Vaccine group Placebo group Total
re
(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396)
SAE P value
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
r
(%) (%) (%)
Overall SAE 34 33(0·5%) 33 31(0·5%) 67 64(0·5%) 0·9004
e
Infection and infestations 13 13(0·2%) 14 13(0·2%) 27 26(0·2%) 1·0000
e
COVID-19 2 2(0·0%) 9 9(0·2%) 11 11(0·1%) 0·0384
p
Appendicitis 5 5(0·1%) 1 1(0·0%) 6 6(0·1%) 0·2186
t
Pyelonephritis 2 2(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 4 4(0·0%) 1·0000
o
Severe acute respiratory
0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
syndrome (SARS)
n
Vestibular neuronitis 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
t
Urinary tract infection 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
rin
Diverticulitis 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
ep
Nasal abscess 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
Injury, poisoning and
4 4(0·1%) 5 5(0·1%) 9 9(0·1%) 0·7537
procedural complications
r
Road traffic accident 1 1(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6247
P
Limb injury 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
ͷͲ
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396)
SAE P value
ev
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
rr
Foot fracture 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
ee
Fracture 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
tp
Psychiatric disorders 3 3(0·1%) 2 2(0·0%) 5 5(0·0%) 1·0000
no
Bipolar disorder 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
t
Alcohol abuse 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
n
Pregnancy, puerperium and
1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·1%) 4 4(0·0%) 0·3746
i
perinatal conditions
r
Abortion 1 1(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·6247
p
Foetal death 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
General disorders and
re
3 3(0·1%) 0 0(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·2499
administration site conditions
Systemic inflammatory
1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
response syndrome
P
Death 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
ͷͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396)
SAE P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
r e
Chest pain 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
Musculoskeletal and
2 2(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 1·0000
r
connective tissue disorders
Arthralgia 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
e
Intervertebral disc disorder 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
e
Intervertebral disc protrusion 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
p
Respiratory, thoracic and
3 3(0·1%) 0 0(0·0%) 3 3(0·0%) 0·2499
mediastinal disorders
t
Dyspnea 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
o
Asthma 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
n
Acute pulmonary oedema 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
t
Nervous system disorders 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 1·0000
in
Syncope 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
pr
Transient ischaemic attack 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
re
Nephrolithiasis 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
P
Gastrointestinal disorders 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 1·0000
ͷʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine group Placebo group Total
i
(N=6202) (N=6194) (N=12396)
SAE P value
v
No. of subjects No. of subjects No. of subjects
No. of events No. of events No. of events
(%) (%) (%)
re
Abdominal pain 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
er
Vascular disorders 2 2(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 2 2(0·0%) 0·5000
pe
Hypertension 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
Metabolism and nutrition
0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
disorders
ot
Hypokalaemia 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
tn
Cardio-respiratory arrest 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
Reproductive system and
0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
breast disorders
rin
Endometriosis 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
Skin and subcutaneous tissue
1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
disorders
p
Rash 1 1(0·0%) 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1·0000
e
Hepatobiliary disorders 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
r
Cholelithiasis 0 0(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 1 1(0·0%) 0·4997
P ͷ͵
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Table 5-1. Efficacy analysis by case definitions
v
Vaccine Placebo
re
Case definition Total No. of cases Vaccine Efficacy (95%CI)
n/N(incidence densityper
n/N(incidence density)
100 person-year)
r
Case definition 1 253 85/4953(11·0) 168/4870(22·3) 50·7 (35·9, 62·0)
e
Case definition 2 261 87/4953(11·1) 174/4870(22·8) 51·2(36·9, 62·3)
e
Case definition 3 250 80/4953(10·4) 170/4870(22·7) 54·1 (40·1, 64·8)
p
Case definition 4 243 79/4953(10·5) 164/4870(22·2) 53·0(38·6, 64·1)
o t
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine Placebo
Follow-up time (after
v
Total No. of cases Vaccine Efficacy (95%CI)
first-dose vaccination) n/N(incidence densityper
n/N(incidence density)
e
100 person-year)
r
Within 14 days 63 32/6195(11·4) 31/6201(11·0) -3·3(-4·8, -1·9)
r
Within 28 days 104 38/6195(5·7) 66/6201(9·8) 42·5(32·9,50·7)
e
Within 42 days 158 48/6195(8·1) 110/6201(18·5) 56·5(49·6,62·5)
e
Within 56 days 221 63/6195(7·6) 158/6201(19·1) 60·4(56·5,63·9)
p
Within 84 days 326 104/6195(8·2) 222/6201(17·7) 53·7(52·7,54·7)
t
Within 98 days 357 116/6195(8·4) 241/6201(17·6) 52·5(51·9,53·1)
o
ͳͶǦʹͺͳȗ ͳͺ ͳȀͷͲͻȋͳȉ͵Ȍ ͳȀͷͻȋʹͳȉȌ ͻͶȉͲȋͷͷȉͳǡͻͻȉʹȌ
n
ȗ Ǥ
in t
p r
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P ͷͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Vaccine Placebo
Exposure to SARS-
v
Total No. of cases Vaccine Efficacy (95%CI)
Cov-2 pre-vaccination n/N(incidence densityper
n/N(incidence density)
e
100 person-year)
r
Unexposed
r
Score 2 and above 200 67/3637(13·3) 133/3587(26·8) 50·5(33·6, 63·1)
e
Score 3 and above 27 2/3637(0·4) 25/3587(4·5) 92·1(66·7, 98·1)
e
Score 4 and above 10 0/3637(0·0) 10/3587(1·8) 100·0(56·0, 100·0)
p
Exposed
ot
Score 2 and above 9 3/401(5·9) 6/408(11·7) 49·5(-101·8, 87·4)
n
Score 4 and above 0 0/401(0·0) 0/408(0·0) NE
t
Severe 0 0/401(0·0) 0/408(0·0) NE
r in
e p
P r ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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w e
Instituto Butantan, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
v i e
r e
Clinical Trials and Pharmacovigilance Centre
Ricardo Palacios, Mônica Tilli Reis Pessoa Conde, Roberta de Oliveira Piorelli, Elizabeth González Patiño, Hugo Alberto Brango García, Joane
r
do Prado Santos, Rodrigo Piske Finotto, Ana Paula Batista, Camila Santos Nascimento Albuquerque, Flávia Marilia Cestari Magalhães, Carolina
e
de Moura Albino, Rafaela Fernandes Silva, Paloma Bomfim, Luiz Henrique Moraes Caetano de Camargo, Mirian Nascimento
e
Quality Control Laboratory
p
Patrícia Dos Santos Carneiro Matheus Trovão de Queiroz, Rubia Galvão Claudio
o t
Development and Innovation Center
n
Viviane Fongaro Botosso, Soraia Attie Calil Jorge, Fabyano Bruno Leal, Renato Mancini Astray
t
Scientific Development Center
in
Sandra Coccuzzo Sampaio Vessoni, Mauricio Cesar Ando, Guilherme Rabelo Coelho, Monique da Rocha Queiroz Lima
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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School of Medicine. São Paulo, SP, Brazil
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Clinical Research Center II and Research Medical Laboratory – LIM 60, Department of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases, Clinicas Hospital
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Esper Kallás , Amanda Caroline Ribeiro Sales, Amanda Nazareth Lara, Angela Carvalho Freitas, Angela Naomi Atomiya, Bárbara Labella
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Henriques, Camila Rodrigues, Camila Sunaitis Donini, Danielle Rodrigues Alves, Elizabeth de Faria, Fábio De Rose Ghilardi, Joana Ramos
Deheinzelin, Jorge Salomão Moreira, Juliana Ishimine da Silva, Karine Armond Bittencourt de Castro, Leon Capovilla, Livia Zignago Moreira
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dos Santos, Luara Teófilo Pignati, Luiz Gonzaga Francisco de Assis Barros D'Elia Zanella, Mariana Maria Rocha Santos de Souza, Marília
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Bordignon Antonio, Marjorie Marini Rapozo, Michel Silvio Duailibi, Natacha regina de Moraes Cerchiari, Patricia Rocha de Figueiredo, Pedro
Henrique Fonseca Moreira de Figueiredo, Raphaella Goulart de Souza Vieira, Renata Pissuto Pinheiro, Ricardo de Paula Vasconcelos, Rosário
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Quiroga Ferrufino, Simone de Barros Tenore, Tatiana Fiscina de Santana, Zelinda Bartolomei Nakagawa, Elaine Cristina Bau, Lilian Ferrari,
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Denivalda da Silva Gomes Araújo, Gabriela de Castro Keller, Ketlin Kauane Cordeiro Santos, Rosângela Vitória Soares Silva, Beatriz Sales
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Mourão, Taynan Ferreira Rocha, Carlota Miranda Paredes, Carolina Cardona Siqueira Lobo, Taís Vargas Freire Martins Lúcio, Athos
Nascimento Souza, Elenn Soares Ferreira, Gabriel Lopes Borba, Neivaldo Fiorin, Thiago Evaristo Tavares Luzzi, Denise Sales Mourão, Ederson
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Santo Xavier, Nailson de Jesus Ramos das Virgens, Thiago Antonio do Nascimento, Bruna Samanta da Silva Moreira, Karine Milani da Silva
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Dias, Leandro Concolato Miranda, Mary Helen Oliveira Morais, Priscilla Almeida Souza, Rayana Silva Paes, Geovanna Guarnier Cardin Farias,
Gustavo Coutinho Rezende, Rosimeire Aparecida da Silva Zabotto, Verônica dos Anjos Souza da Silva, Ana Paula da Silva Barros, Clemildes
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Vieira de Almeida, Gislayne Aparecida de Lima Marcelino, Jéssica Aparecida Soares, Josélia Bezerra dos Santos, Márcia Alves de São Pedro,
Maria Esmelindra Monteiro de Moraes, Helena Tomoko Iwashita Tomiyama, Alberto Hiroyuki Tomiyama, Aline Tatiane Lumertz dos Anjos,
Andrea Niquirilo, Claudia Satiko Tomiyama, Elisabeth Alves Pereira, Eric Silvestre, Maria Angelica Alcalá Neves, Raissa Reis Silva, Yasmine
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Perez Levy Ribeiro, Maria Cândida de Souza Dantas, Issler Moraes da Silva,Renan Fernandes Carvalho
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Institute of Tropical Medicine (IMT-SP)
Ester Cerdeira Sabino, Maria Cássia Mendes Correa, Anderson de Paula, Tania Regina Tozetto Mendoza, Mariana Severo, Jaqueline Goes de
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Jesus, Flávia Sales, Erika Manuli, Darlan da Silva Cândido, Ingra Morales
ͷͺ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Laboratory of Clinical and Molecular Virology, Department of Microbiology, Institute of Biomedical Science. São Paulo, SP, Brazil
e
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Edison Luiz Durigon, Danielle Bruna Leal de Oliveira, Erika Donizette Candido, Guilherme Pereira Scagion
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Department of Internal Medicine, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brazil
r e
Eduardo Barbosa Coelho, Silvia Caroline Santana Moura Carvalho, Bárbara Cristina Santana Mello, Fábio André Dias, Marina Silva Campos,
Juliana Rezende, Marilda Aparecida Ribas, Soraya Regina Abu Jamra, Daniela Aparecida Lorencini, Simone Aparecida Mattos Garcia, Onildo
r
Passafaro, Ariane Teixeira Vicente, Diogo Henrique Martins, Ana Carolina Conchon Costa, Fabiana Alves Rodrigues Druzili, Carolina Leite
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Freitas, Luciana Mara Cangemi, Aila Mabla Azarias de Castro, Diego Lorencini, Leila Cristina Franco dos Santos, Janaina de Andrade Pereira,
Taiz Francine Brasil da Silva, Ramaiane Aparecida Pugnolli, Ana Rayza Palaretti, Ana Claudia Aparecida Rodrigues, Camila Pereira, Jessica
e
Merighe Godoi, José Fernando Aguiar, Nathalia Ziegler Oliveira, Ana Carolina Andrade Emerenciano, Barbara Marques Coutinho, Andrea
p
Moreira de Freitas, Fernanda Munari Meneguim, Bianca Rizzotto Ferreira, Luan Lucas Reis da Costa, Gabriel Bazo, Fabio da Veiga Ued,
Tatiane de Paula Rosa, Daiana Cristina Lorencini Aguiar, Gabriela Gimenes Faustino Ilana, Amanda Hereman Malavasi, Mayara Gomes Brito,
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Lucas Braz Barbosa Coelho
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Emilio Ribas Institute of Infectious Diseases, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
t
Luiz Carlos Pereira Junior, Ana Paula Rocha Veiga, Guilherme Assis dos Anjos, Alexandre de Almeida, Najara Ataide de Lima Nascimento,
ir n
Diogenes Coelho Junior, Gabriela Prandi Caetano, Ana Carla Carvalho de Mello e Silva, Rafael Affini Martins, Natália Mercedes Cabral Amdi,
Cinthya Mayumi Ozawa, Magna Magalhaes Siva, Anna Karina Queiroz Mostachio, Katia Sayama Tsutui, Ana Paula Augusto dos Santos,
Alessandra Moreti dos Santos, Marcia Aparecida dos Santos Gouveia, Lilian Mathias Moreira, Léia Dias Barbosa, Margarete Rodrigues de
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Carvalho, Mirian Ishi, Mariana Takahashi Ferreira Costa, Nelson Alberto Freitas Guanez, Odijoselia Ferreira de Sá, Virginia Barbosa Leite,
Luciana Elizabete Cunha, Ivan Máximo da Silva, Vinicius Silva Araújo, Marian Romero Soares Rodrigues, Adriano Samoel Batista de Souza
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Nascimento, Marco Aurélio Conceição, Catia Dionisio dos Santos, Luciana Aparecida Pereira, Alessandra de Fatima Margarida, Debora Carla
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dos Santos, Andréia Aparecida Hermann, Ana Kesia de Souza Lima, Nailda Dantas Nunes Leal, Sergio Luiz de Lara Campos, Mariane Pereira,
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Caroline Franco Zanotti, Paloma Martins Vieira, Paloma Priscila Rocha Aronca, Denis Jose Fumagali, Alpetras Martins Maciel, Thais Monteiro
Nunes Pereira, Milton Tadeu da Silva, Bruno Tenório de Oliveira, Maria Elena Ana Correa da Silva, Margarete Leme, Mercia Rocha Moreira,
ͷͻ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Silvia Garcia, Vlaudeflide dos Santos, Maria Elizabete Mendes Alves dos Santos, Bianca Carolina Ferreira, Sonia Silva Ferreira, Leticia Kadiri
i e
da Silva, Neide Aparecida Leite dos Santos, Fernanda Lima Arruda, Vilma Aparecida Adami, Claudia Solange da Silva
v
Faculdade de Medicina de São José do Rio Preto (FAMERP), São José de Rio Preto, SP, Brazil
r e
Mauricio Lacerda Nogueira, Cassia Fernanda Estofolete, Karen Sanmartin Rogovsky, Samuel Noah Scamardi, Camilo Alberto Correa de
Vasconcellos Dias, Altaís Helena Camargos Robles, Ingrid Emily Alencar Bento, Bruna Basaglia, Elis Regina da Silva Ferreira, Danatielle
r
Mega Ferreira, Eliane Aparecida Fávaro Pereira, Ana Maria Dias de Sousa Marconi, Talita Garcia Lopes Viçoso, Bethania Cirqueira de Oliveira,
e
Hellen Carla Padovani, Theo Rodrigues da Silva, Elissandra Josepha Eugenia Machado Batista, Francielli Regini Carvalho de Faria, Carla
Gabriela de Lima Mattos, Kamilla Amaral David Rocha, Rafael Alves da Silva, Bárbara Boreli Almeida, Marini Lino Brancini, Solange de
e
Fátima Vargas Scaranaro, Marilia Mazzi Moraes, Lorena Fernanda da Silva, Debora Rodrigues de Brito, Victor Miranda Hernandes, Sonia
p
Aparecida Miranda, Debora Rodrigues de Brito, Andresa Lopes dos Santos, Henrique Munhoz Moya Gimenes, Silvio Orlando Isso, Perpetua
t
Pereira Dias Fernandes, Eduarda Veronezi Claro, Raphaely Rodrigues Obara, Erica Seixas Floriano, Gislaine Celestino Dutra da Silva
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School of Medical Science and Hospital of Clinics, State University of Campinas – UNICAMP, Campinas, SP, Brazil
n
Francisco Hideo Aoki, Mariangela Resende, Adriane Maira Delicio Abati, Paulo Afonso Martins Abati, Diego Cassola Pronunciato, Alisson
t
Aliel Vigano Pugliesi, Letícia Pisoni Zanaga, Eduardo Hiroshi Tikazawa, Marcelo Gustavo Lopes, Giovana Cury Queiroz, Anna Kim, Maria
in
Helena Pavan, Alex Bento de Carvalho, Ehideé Isabel Gómez La-Rotta, Fernanda Sucasas Frison, Edite Kazue Taninaga, Inajara de Cassia
Guerreiro, Leila Tassia Pagamicce, Cleusa Gimenes dos Santos, Sofia Domingues Barthman, Maria Silvia Kroll, Elisangela Aparecida Ramos
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Domingos, Rosilene Balbina de Souza, Liene Gomes Magossi, Hamilton Bertan, Lara Paro Dias, Mayra Carvalho Ribeiro, Mariane Galvão
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Roberto Tavares, Mariana Vieira Morau, Rafael Nishimoto, João Kleber Novais Pereira, Regina Helena Dahas de Carvalho, Kely Carolyne
Alves de Sousa, Nanci Michele Saita, Maria Valéria de Omena AThyde, Cristina Medeiros da Silva Aguilar, Valéria Galdino, Robson Pereira da
r e
Silva, Luisa Lazarini Rubio, Elisandra Valéria Negrison Calixto, Manoel Vicente Carminitti Feiteiro, Vagner Oliveira Duarte, Ronald Jorge
Menghini dos Santos, Rosangela Aparecida dos Santos, Eliana Ferreira Paes, Ingrid Rocha Franco de Lima, Edilene Menezes Sabino, Marcos
P
Roberto Guimarães, Karina Dias Teixeira Vieira, Diogo Rodrigues Machado, Maxlei Silveira Marini, Graciela Amaral, Fabio Augusto
Ͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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w e
Cavaglieri Feiteiro, Elaine Cristina Paixão de Oliveira, Talita Lobato de Souza, Vanessa Alcântara de Carvalho, Edjane de Oliveira Marinho
i e
Feiteiro, Victor Rodrigues Olivato, Letícia Pinheiro de Mattos, Francisca Pontes Santinoni, Jessica do Nascimento, Mariana de Campos, Natalie
de Oliveira Alves
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r
Universidade Municipal de São Caetano do Sul, São Caetano do Sul, SP, Brazil
Fabio Eudes Leal, Aline Lopes de Almeida, Maria Laura Mariano de Matos, Letícia Cleto Duarte Sugiyama, Gabriela Mora Santos, Cristiane
r
Alves da Silva Ferraz, Caroline Machado Nunes, Leticia Reis Lopes, Amarilys Luiza Druziani, Marine Antunes Pires, Gabriela Júlio Fernandes
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Viana, Fernanda de Almeida Euclides, Sônia Yoo Im, Suzane Pereira da Silva, Claudia Cristina Ferreira Ramos, Carolina de Oliveira Silva,
Giovana Ferreira Pinheiro, Isabelle Moiano Roseira Galo, Carina Vitória Paradas Dias, Livia Mirella Mengar, Nicole Gallone Rizzo, Renata
e
Nunes Achar Fuji, Andrea de Barros Coscelli Ferraz, Michelle Cirilo, Andreia Inacio Avelino, Vanessa Vieira Hornink, Cristina Antonia de
p
Jesus Catalã, Selma Arnold da Silva, Erika Regina Manuli, Milena Borges, Eric Boragan Gugliano, Milena Pereira Canavesi Caetano, Yara
t
Chinaglia, Fernando Monteiro de Sá Luiz, Raquel da Silva Terezam, Giselia Sabino Cruz, Luma Ramirez de Carvalho, Ranilson José da Silva,
Edvaldo Alves, Giovana Lourenço Munhoz, Luiza Caroline Rinaldi, Carla Cristina Munhoz, Maria José Barzan, Stella Maris Pereira Sobrinho
o
Rodrigues, Bárbara Suéllen Guimarães Marin Ferreira, Tainaira da Silva Gramalio, Carla Andrea Ciarineli, Bruna Fornazieri Piotto, Kimberley
n
Yaunde da Silva Matos
t
Instituto Israelita de Ensino e Pesquisa Albert Einstein, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
in
Luis Fernando Aranha Camargo, Carolina Devite Bittante, Telma Priscila Lovizio Raduan, Mariana Silva Soares, Maria Clara Pimentel Lopes,
r
João roberto Resende Fernandes, Kamilla Ferreira de Moraes, Ariane Teixeira Vicente, Ericka Constantinov Oliveira, Aleksandra Cristina
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Mussi, Cristiane Okada, Bruna Camargo Gonçalves, Roberta Carolina Haddad, Caroline dos Reis Pedroso, Mariza Kogake Nocamatsu, Elke
Ferreira Salim, Tarsila Gomes Feijão de Oliveira, Elaine de Jesus Santos, Bruna Camargo Gonçalves, Daniela Regina Gusmão Ferreira, Luciane
r e
dos Santos Vieira Alves, Hannah Maureen Garcia Mota, Mariana Gabriela Rodrigues, Gisele Alves Pinheiro, Luiza Blumer Ribeiro, Isabel
Cristina dos Santos, Regiane Mendes Brandão, Ariana Silva de Lima Teixeira, José Carlos da Silva, Rosana Soares Gomes, Fernanda Oliveira
P
Marcelino da Silva, Giselia Martins Dantas Silva, Aparecida Sampaio Sousa, July do Nascimento Alves, Thais Helena Costa Petrin, Daniela
ͳ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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Boschetti, Amanda Tarratacada Guimarães, Danilo Souza Vanglerini, Juliana Alves de Lima, Letícia de Mello Soares, Julia Alves de Lima,
i e
Adriana Guilherme, Lorena Silva Brasil, Felipe Rodrigues Nogueira Silva, Diana Freire de Brito, Rebeca Cezário Freire de Araújo, Sandra
Rodrigues Rocha, Lucas Soares Cardoso dos Santos, Raquel Fidelis Teixeira Bonfim da Silva, Jeane Silva Menezes, Talita Santos Martins
v
Vaglerini, Danielle Santana de Oliveira
r e
Research Institute of Cancer Hospital, Hospital de Amor, Barretos, SP, Brazil
r
Gecilmara Cristina Salviato Pileggi, Paulo Tarso Oliveira, Raquel Aparecida Reis Teixeira, Luis Guilherme de Freitas Rodrigues, Guilherme
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Corraleiro Martins, Maria Luisa Corcoll Spina, Laila Genoefa Bortot, Renan Cesar Zanon Teixeira, Isabela Silva Pasqua, Janaina Zambon de
Oliveira, Juliana Doblas Massaro, Julia Anelli Roncador, Karla de Picoli Alexandre, Daniel Aquilino Oliveira, Tais Vaz, Izabella da Silva
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Oliveira, Nathalia Martines Tunissiolli, Silvania Rodrigues dos Santos, Cristiane Lima do Carmo, Maicon Fernando Zanon da Silva, Felipe
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Alexandre Machado, João José Mandu Confetti, Fernanda Amâncio da Silva Giroli, Isabela Haddad Peron, Carla Roberta M. B. de Sousa,
t
Joviany Talita da Silva, Camila Rodrigues Marques Fornazier, Stefani Regina da Costa Lopes, Aline Larissa Virginio da Silva, Beatriz da Silva
Ventura, Layane Cristina dos Santos Vaz, Thiago Jose Donizete Simão, Thais Kapp Gonçalves
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Centro de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento de Fármacos, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG,
t
Brazil
in
Mauro Martins Teixeira, Astaruth Guimarães Froede, Alexandre Moraes Periard, Tallyne Tayna Barros Lana, Marina Neves Zerbini de Faria,
Último Libânio da Costa, Carolina Morais Milan de Oliveira, Gabriela Carvalho Abreu, Erickson Ferreira Gontijo, Lisia Maria Esper, Angela
r
Vieira Serufo, Fátima Maria Caldeira Brant Costa, Josiane Pinto Moreira Vaz, Rosângela Santos Pereira, Vitor Magno Cardoso Rocha, Rafael
p
Leite Ribeiro dos Santos, Tarciana Batista Teixeira, Marlene do Rozario Silva, Miriam Siqueira Araújo, Luana Patrícia Gonçalves Silva, Josiane
Lino dos Santos Frattari, Tatiana Dias Calábria Santos, Thais de Menezes Noronha, Alessandro Ferreira de Macedo, Ana Rosa Rodrigues Silva,
r e
Daniela Cristina de Oliveira Pontes, Jucelina Gonçalves de Oliveira, Lorena Augusta Coelho de Mattos, Priscila Sena Lopes, Maria Cecília da
Silva Ferreira, Tânia Mara Gomes de Pinho, Amanda Lino dos Santos, Diego Wagner Tarquino, Luciana Mara Costa Moreira, Bruno Vinicius
P
Santos Valiate, Raquel Patrocinio Simoes, Letícia Soldati da Silva, Déborah Caroline Salgado Stoupa, Phillip Diego Carajá, Ilma Marçal de
ʹ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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w e
Souza, Patricia Candida Messias Santana, Lorrayne Madaline Costa Tarquinio, Renata de Jesus Oliveira, Eva Eunice de Fátima Nascimento,
i e
Girlane Santos de Oliveira, Amanda Mara Gomes de Pinho, Gislene Moreira
v
Department of Infectious Diseases, Hospital de Clínicas, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil
r e
Sonia Mara Raboni, Cristiane Secco Rosário, Débora Carla Chong e Silva, Giovanni Luis Breda, Andrea Maciel de Oliveira Rossoni, Maria
Cristina Vilatore Assef, Susane Edinger Pereira, Tony Tannous Tahan, Betina Mendez Alcântara Gabardo, Carlos Antônio Riedi, Cleverson
r
Alex Leitão, Débora Silva Carmo, Fabricio Salles Rosa Solak, Juliana Mayumi Kamimura Murata, Leniza Costa Lima Lichtvan, Tyane de
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Almeida Pinto Jardim, Tiago Hessel Tormen, Elessandra Souza Bitencourt, Maria Gabriela Mendes Pereira da Costa, Aline de Fátima Bonetti,
Joelize Claudiane Stanoga Denk, Gisele Weissheimer, Luciana Michele Mello, Natália Fracaro Lombardi Asinelli, Ana Beatriz Guedes Ribeiro,
e
Antônio Eduardo Matoso Mendes, Juliane Carlotto, Mayara Caroline Barbieri, Simone Gomes de Souza, Tânia Maria Araújo, Vivian Carnier
p
Jorge, Inajara Rotta, Gisele de Paula e Silva Carneiro Mendes de Souza, Indianara Rotta, Irene de Morais, Klezia Morais da Silva Belletti, Juracy
t
Anisio da Silva Neta, Valquiria Daniele Casanova Antunes, Sabrina Karim Mota Ribeiro, Meuryely Euleny Macedo da Silva, Alice dos Santos
Almeida, Patricia Aline dos Santos Pançolin, Ester Silvino da Costa Paris, Larissa Izabelle Machado, Genilberta de Meireles Biscarde, Jean
o
Pierre Guinapo Franco Marques, Jennifer de Souza Anhaia, Maria Aparecida Pereira da Silva, Rosangela Aparecida de Almeida de Fitz, Simone
n
Albertoni Souza, Simone Pereira Leal, Tiago Rodrigues de Souza, Vilmara Aparecida Salles Machado, Patricia Proença Santana, Atila Brizola
Ribas, Bárbara Kathleen Gonçalves Poletto, Alexandre Paim Mendes, Daniel Barros Teixeira Leite, Eduarda Sampaio Lazzarotto, Erika Leticia
t
da Rocha, Ione da Silva Santos Mocelin, Jaqueline Fiamoncini, Guilherme Paim Mendes, Larissa de Souza Ferreira, Maria Regina de Mattos,
in
Liriane Aparecida Pedroso Vaz, Mariana Likoski Pereira, Nildson Eduardo Pinheiro Souto Junior, Lucienne Dronneau, Rosangela Salete Ribeiro
dos Santos, Rosangela de Fátima Prestes, Vinicius Lemos Brito, Vilmara Heimoski Teixeira, Thays Fischer, Laura Holtman Ferreira, Suzana
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Beatriz Borsato Crissi, Andressa Zabudowski Schroeder, Leonardo Filipetto Ferrari, Guilherme Stapasolla Vargas Garcia, Barbara Kawano
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Raposo, Gustavo Osmarin Tosti, José Marcio Camargo Junior, Meire de Souza Vieira, Letícia Mari Tashima, Carolina Ayumi Ichi, Micaela
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Hedeke Paim Mendes, Isadora Heimoski Escobar, Alberto Memari Pavanelli, Daniel Balaban, Fernanda Panacioni, Isabella Chapieski, Luana
r
Francine Anad, Eduardo Mendonça Soares, Luiza Moschetta Zimmermann, Isabela Cristine Torres, Jessica Castro da Silva
P ͵
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
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w
Infectious Diseases Service, Hospital São Lucas da Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
e
i e
Fabiano Ramos, Clarissa Tabajara Moura, Ingridy Cortes da Silveira, Cindy Johan Jara Hernandez, Hilda Janneth Monroy Hernandez, Jae En
v
Chung, Daniel Fernando Arias Betancur, Luciana Zani Viegas da Silva, Ana Carolina Müller Beheregaray, Gabriel Bottin Marques, Débora
Wilke Franco, Amabile Ribeiro de Oliveira, João Pedro Volkmann Amaral, Michelle Stump Viegas, Gabriel Azambuja Athaydes, Deise do
e
Nascimento de Freitas, Andressa de Oliveira, Leydy Yhoana Quevedo Diaz, Leonardo Ferraz de Bittencourt, Hernando Salles Rosa, Laura
r
Trevisan, Isabelli Guasso, Daiane Monteiro Marques, Kelli Regina Brand dos Santos, Alice de Lima Alves, Caroline Cavalheiro Biazussi, Thays
r
Maiato Pereira, Aline Nunes Leal, Roseli Andreia Borges da Costa, Allan Pereira, Rafaella Ruiz do Couto, Luiz Airton Rocha de Freitas, Bruna
Isabel Silveira Costa, Larissa Rafaela de Lima Sanches, Fernanda Paula Polaczinski Pich, Mariana Horn Scherer, Thamiris Carvalho Vargas,
e
Mariana Horn Scherer, Rodrigo Volf dos Santos, Rodrigo Flores Fraga, Tasiana Aylen Cervellera Simonetti, Otávio Freitas de Moraes
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Ogrizek,Michelle dos Santos Leite, Janaina Moraes de Araujo, Carine Padilha de Oliveira, Karla Durante, Renata de Araujo Montechiaro,
Elisandra Simonetti Cervellera, Bianca Luisa Rodrigues Lopes, Krislayne da Silva Rosa
t p
Internal Medicine Department. School of Medicine, Universidade Federal de Pelotas. Pelotas, RS, Brazil
o
Danise Senna Oliveira, Adrienne Sassi de Oliveira, Bruna Gazoni de Souza, Carolina Avila Vianna, Daniel Brito de Araujo, Paulo Orlando
n
Alves Monteiro, Susane Müller Klug Passos, Luciane Maria Alves Monteiro, Clara Camacho dos Reis, Eduardo Coelho Machado, Carla
t
Vandame da Silva, Cristofer Magro, Lorena Zaine Matos Martinho, Caren Laís Seehaber Friedrich dos Santos, Giulya da Silva Ribeiro, Rodrigo
de Almeida Vaucher, Bianca Machado de Ávila, Luana Bonow Wachholz, Bruna Quintana Nizoli, Fernanda Severo Sabedra Sousa, Maura
in
Geovana Farias Soares, Aline Machado Carvalho, Daniela Nunes Schaun de Siqueira, Leandro Rodrigues de Rodrigues, Fabiana Kommling
r
Seixas, Thaís Larré Oliveira, Bruna Silveira Pacheco, Tiago Vieiras Collares, William Borges Domingues, Adriane Geppert, Samuel Silva dos
Santos, Marcia Bandeira da Luz Baladão, Charles Ramalho Ioost, Gilda Nara Oliveira Barros da Silva Marcos Dinael Klug Stifft, Tatiane
p
Jacobsen Rodrigues, Tatiana Vieira Macedo, Camila Bonemann Bender, Mariana Gállio Fronza, Marcelo de Lima, Vanessa Gali, Isadora André
e
Rosa Lopes, Paola Oteiro de Faria, Mariana de Oliveira Martins, Marcela Bihalva da Silva, Rita Oliveira dos Santos
P r Ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
d
Center for Tropical Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Brasilia, Brasília, DF, Brazil
w e
i e
Gustavo Adolfo Sierra Romero, Edison Tostes Farias, Alexandre Anderson de Sousa Munhoz Soares, Veronica Cristina de Melo Rocha, Renata
v
Maria de Castro Martins, Rafael Gobbato Brandão Cavalcanti, Camila Rodrigues Ribeiro, Amanda Moreira Parente, Larissa Fernanda Santos
Silva, Eduarda Jacinto Bauer, Isabela Roberta Chaves Nunes, Marcia Andrea Seibert Campara, Elizabete Cristina Iseke Bispo, Gyselle Alanna
e
Mota, Larissa Santos Soares, Viviane da Silva Machado, Barbara Manuella Cardoso Sodré Alves, Clarisse de Mendonça Brito, Matheus Eça de
r
Oliveira Felipe, Jacqueline Pereira Oliveira, Patricia Matias Pinheiro, Torlane Renne Dias Rodrigues, Naiara Daris dos Santos, Luciana Franca
r
de Meneses, Fernando de Oliveira Garcia, Cleuza Feliciana de Oliveira, Renata Santos Souza de Amorim, Claudio Lopes Valentim, Lidiane da
Silva Queiroz, Sandra Ribeiro Barbosa, Joyce Martins Xavier, Talita Barreto Figueredo, Fabiana Canavieira Araújo, Kaline de Oliveira
e
Medeiros, Leidiane Aparecida Torres da Silva, Suzana Cardoso Mesquita, Patricia Pereira Pires de Sousa, Fernanda dos Santos Lopes, Alceu
e
Sluzala, Camila Ferreira de Moura, Gabrielle Kefrem Alves Gomes, Sandra Maria Ferreira, Adriana Pereira Campos, Marcia Veloso Machado
de Mendonça, Roberta Gonçalves da Silva, Juliette Cardoso de Santana, Luciene Valeria Salgado Costa Vasconcelos, Carolina Liane de Macedo
p
Eloi, Jaqueline Martins Xavier
o t
Department of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Julio Müller School Hospital, Federal University of Mato Grosso, Cuiaba, MT, Brazil
n
Cor Jesus Fernandes Fontes, Tiago Rodrigues Viana, Rafael Estevanovich Bertoldi Torres, Larissa Botelho Pedrini, William Kleyton de Melo
t
Aguiar, Willian Benedito de Proença Junior, Caroline Reyes, Iury Jocemar Alves, Grasiela Panchoni Menolli, Thiago Ribeiro Nunes
Domingues, Pedro de Carvalho Ferreira, Laressa Pereira Sari,,Fábio José da Silva, Gisiene Silva da Luz Moreira, Renata Ito de Araújo, Fabio
in
Alexandre Leal dos Santos, Ruberlei Godinho de Oliveira, Alessandra Emanuelle Cunha Rodrigues, Edna Maria dos Santos, Rosane Christine
r
Hahn, Antônio Gonçalves de Araújo Junior, Maria Luiza Ortiz Nunes da Cunha, Kleythiane Regina Oliveira Costa, Edvania Oliveira
Vasconcelos, Juliana Lelis de Almeida, Maria Aparecida Cordeiro de Jesus, Laura de Sousa Dias, Nágisla Maria Benta de Miranda Monteiro,
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Marly Lopes Soares Monteiro, Ana Lucia Maria Ribeiro,,Jakeline Oliveira da Silva, Rosana Jesuina da Silva, Armando José Guevara Patino,
e
Thaís Maciel Carlos, Palloma Stefany Silva Café, Raimundo Jose da Silva,,Cristina Alves Pereira dos Reis, Igor Gonçalves Baicere,,Fábio Assis
r
de Campos Junior, Emanuelle Soares Camolesi, Pedro Augusto Uecker Paixão,Camila Neves Silva, Hélio Carlos Rocha de Carvalho
Junior,Welliton Batista de Morais, Laís Maria de Assis e Silva
P ͷ
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
d
Hospital Universitário Maria Aparecida Pedrossian, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul
w e
i e
Ana Lúcia Lyrio de Oliveira, Rivaldo Venâncio da Cunha, Déborah Lemes Nogueira, Iêda Maria Rodrigues Vilela Demirdjian, Keila Ventura
v
Soares, Leonardo Martinez Lourenço de Oliveira, Matheus Baptista Passos, Michaela de Oliveira Tognni, Susan Gomez Chambi, Izilyanne
Lucas Hoscher Romanholi, Fernanda Paes Reis, Izadora Bonfim, Lethicia Farias Marcino, Lívia Alves da Silva, Thays Cristina Ferreira Ramos,
e
Wagner de Souza Fernandes, Alessandra Moura da Silva, Cristiane de Sena Silva,Ione Maria Lobo dos Santos, Luiz José Gonçalves,Marcos
r
Geronimo da Silva, Maria Aparecida dos Santos Eloy,Carlos Alberto Martins da Rocha, Naiara Valera Versage, Patricia Matos Coelho Vila
r
Real, Rafael Ovando Fraiha, Debora Martins Cardoso, Jaciara de Souza Correa, Helena Pereira Vargas, Marcos Antonio Sebastião, Suelen Kelee
Amarilha Gimenes
e e
Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
p
André Machado de Siqueira, Ellen Fraga Won Randow Falcão, Carolina Pereira Carvalho Lucas, Christiane Fialho Gonsalves, Guilherme Téo
t
Pinto Santoro, Tatiana Fukui da Silveira, Marcelle Alaluna Freitas e Silva, Laura Santos Oliveira, Bianca Silveira Moreira, Eliesier da Silva
o
Souza Filho, Marina Barreto Alvarenga, Claudia Roberto da Silva, Camila Rosas Neves, Thainá do Couto Nabarro Fraga, Camila Arantes
Ferreira Brecht D'Oliveira, Lua Kaihe Varjão de Oliveira Cerqueira, ,Caroline Loureiro Hildebrant,,Fabrício da Silva Rangoni, Darlizy
n
Rodrigues Santos, Katia Lucia da Silva Scherz, Karine Carrilho Santos, Vanessa da Silva Porto, Tábatha de Souza Vasconcelos, Cíntia Ferreira
t
Gonçalves, Daniele dos Santos Silva Fernandes, Christiane Berger, Francielle Mayer Guimarães, Marcos Vinícius Souza de Almeida, Katia
Regina de Oliveira Azevedo Rocha, Thays Basilio Oliveira, Ana Carolina Almeida Fortes, Katharina Ferreira Araújo, Barbara de Azevedo
in
Scangarelli, Ana Carolina Castro de Jesus
p r
Sinovac Biotech Co., Ltd, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
e
Gang Zeng, Qianqian Xin, Weining Meng
P r
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3822780
2. Combate as variantes
do coronavírus
2.1. CoronaVac eleva imunidade contra variantes de quem já teve
Covid-19, mostra estudo chinês
Xinrong Zhou, Lin Cheng, Haiyan Wang, Xuejiao Liao, Miao Wang, Lanlan
Wei, Shuo Song, Bing Zhou, Zhenghua Ma, Huimin Guo, Xiangyang Ge, Bin Ju
& Zheng Zhang
To cite this article: Xinrong Zhou, Lin Cheng, Haiyan Wang, Xuejiao Liao, Miao Wang, Lanlan
Wei, Shuo Song, Bing Zhou, Zhenghua Ma, Huimin Guo, Xiangyang Ge, Bin Ju & Zheng Zhang
(2022) The SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine enhances the broad neutralization against variants
in individuals recovered from COVID-19 up to one year, Emerging Microbes & Infections, 11:1,
753-756, DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2043728
LETTER
Since the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 onset [8]. However, the neutralizing activities of the
(COVID-19) in December 2019 [1], the continuously convalescent plasma were gradually decreased,
emerging severe acute respiratory syndrome corona- especially after one year of recovery [9], suggesting a
virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants have been identified risk of re-infection of SARS-CoV-2 variants.
and reported in different regions and countries world- Indeed, several studies have reported that break-
wide, such as Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma through infections occurred in some vaccine recipi-
(P.1), Delta (B.1.617.2), Omicron (B.1.1.529), Kappa ents, indicating that there is a strong correlation
(B.1.617.1), Eta (B.1.525), and Iota (B.1.526) [2,3]. between the immune protection and the value of
SARS-CoV-2 variants have contributed to several nAbs [10]. Therefore, it is very important to monitor
waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, whose transmissi- the longitudinal dynamics of plasma nAbs against
bility and infectivity are much higher than the original the emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants continuously.
wild-type (WT) virus. More seriously, these variants The antibody responses to the mRNA and viral vector
largely escaped the neutralization by convalescent vaccines have been evaluated in individuals who pre-
and vaccine-elicited plasma and monoclonal neutra- viously infected with SARS-CoV-2 [11]. It is found
lizing antibodies (nAbs), greatly hindering the devel- that the high levels of nAbs against both the WT
opment of effective measures to prevent and control virus and variants were initialized by one or two
the virus infection. doses of vaccines [12]. However, the antibody
Vaccination has long been a crucial measure to pro- response to SARS-CoV-2 variants boosted by the inac-
tect human against the infection of pathogens and can tivated vaccine in convalescent individuals is still
establish solid immune barriers in populations. Cur- unknown and the level of enhancement and the
rently, various kinds of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines includ- broad spectrum in neutralizing activity remain elusive.
ing inactivated vaccine (Sinopharm, Sinovac), DNA In this study, we monitored the longitudinal
vaccine (Inovio), mRNA vaccine (Pfizer/BioNTech, dynamics of plasma IgG, IgA, and IgM binding to
Moderna), adenovirus vector vaccine (AstraZeneca/ the SARS-CoV-2 WT receptor binding domain
Oxford, Johnson & Johnson, Cansino), and protein (RBD) in 22 of convalescent COVID-19 individuals
vaccine (Novavax, Zhifei), showed good efficacy and who received at least one dose of inactivated vaccine
therefore were adopted by various countries for popu- (Figure S1A, Table S1). The levels of RBD-specific
lation immunization [4–7]. For the individuals pre- antibodies gradually declined with time over. Then
viously infected with SARS-CoV-2, it is debated we evaluated the changes of plasma antibodies after
whether they should be vaccinated or not. Indeed, the inoculation of the inactivated vaccine. The fol-
the natural virus infection could induce robust anti- low-up period was divided into three phases including
body responses in COVID-19 patients which could the early stage of recovery (median time: one month),
be maintained after 7 months since the symptom late stage of recovery (median time: one year, i.e.
before vaccination), and post vaccination (Figure To further evaluate the neutralizing activities of
S1B). The geometric mean values of RBD-specific plasma against SARS-CoV-2 variants, we constructed
IgG, IgA, and IgM decreased to 23.7%, 34.4%, and seven kinds of pseudoviruses based on the HIV-1
29.1%, respectively in the late stage of recovery (Figure backbone, including WT (Wuhan reference strain),
S1C). After the vaccination with inactivated vaccine, Alpha, Beta, Delta, Kappa, Eta, and Iota variants
the levels of IgG had 3.9-fold increase as compared (Figure S2), and then performed the pseudovirus-neu-
with those before vaccination, and reached the similar tralization assay. The diverse mutations in the region
levels with those in the early stage of recovery. By con- of spike protein contributed to their distinct neutraliz-
trast, the boosted vaccination failed to induce a recal- ing resistance. As shown in Figure 1(a), Figure S3, and
ling IgA or IgM response, suggesting that virus- Table S2, although the convalescent plasma showed
specific IgG may play a more important role in the effective neutralizing activities in the early stage of
long-term antibody protection. recovery, their geometric mean titers (GMTs) of
Figure 1. Neutralizing activities against WT SARS-CoV-2 and variants in convalescent individuals received the inactivated vaccine.
(a) Plasma neutralizing activities against each SARS-CoV-2 strain in three follow-up time points were measured and shown in the
values of 50% inhibition dilution (ID50). (b) The broad spectrum of plasma nAbs in three follow-up time points. The GMT of nAbs
against each variant was compared to that against WT, respectively. The positive rates of nAbs were marked at the bottom of each
column. (c) The durability of broadly nAbs post the boosted vaccination. Paired plasma samples were collected from five individ-
uals at Week 2 (n = 4) or Week 4 (n = 1) and Month 3 post vaccination and then tested the neutralizing activities against WT SARS-
CoV-2 and variants. “-” represents decreased neutralization activity, “+” represents increased neutralization activity. The paired t
test is performed here. “****” means P < .0001, “***” means P < .001, “**” means P < .01, “*” means P < .05, “ns” means not sig-
nificant. The GMT, fold-change, and significance of difference were labeled on the top. The limit of detection was 1:20 dilution. The
data below the limit was set to 20 for visualization.
nAbs were largely decreased in the late stage of recov- convalescent donors after 12 months post infection
ery, especially against various SARS-CoV-2 variants. in Wuhan, China, and found that the levels of plasma
After the boosted vaccination with inactivated vaccine, IgG and nAbs significantly declined with time [9].
the neutralizing activities of plasma against the WT Combined with our study, these results emphasized
and six mutated viruses we tested were significantly the risk of reinfection with SARS-CoV-2 variants in
increased 6.9-fold to 17.3-fold as compared with convalescent COVID-19 individuals recovered more
those before vaccination, whose levels were compati- than one year. Since the different vaccines have diverse
ble to those in the early stage of recovery. immunogenicity, the effectiveness of all being applied
To better evaluate the broadness of plasma nAbs SARS-CoV-2 vaccines should be comprehensively
in different stages of follow-up, we rearranged these evaluated. Lucas et al had analyzed the immune
neutralization results by different time periods to response to SARS-CoV-2 in the cohorts of previously
directly compare their neutralizing values against infected (recovered) or uninfected (naive) individuals
SARS-CoV-2 variants. As shown in Figure 1(b), the who received the mRNA vaccine. The results showed
plasma collected in the early stage of recovery had that individuals in both groups obtained neutraliz-
high levels of nAbs against both WT SARS-CoV-2 ation capacity against all tested variants. Moreover,
and variants, whose GMTs ranged from 176 to 630 plasma samples from previously infected individuals
and neutralizing antibody positive rates were 100% exhibited better neutralizing activities than those
in all seven tested viruses. Along with the time from uninfected donors generally. After the vacci-
over, the levels of nAbs were significantly decreased nation with mRNA vaccine, the high levels of nAbs
after one year. Especially, most of plasma samples could persist about 4–6 months, and were then
lost their neutralizing activities against SARS-CoV- reduced over time because of the waning immunity
2 variants, and the positive rates of nAbs had also [14]. In addition, similar immune responses were
been dropped to 9.1% to 77.3%. Among them, a also observed in the population who previously
total of 22 individuals accepted at least one dose of infected with SARS-CoV-2 and then received one
inactivated vaccine and contributed their blood dose of Ad26.COV2.S vaccine or the replicating pox-
samples. The levels of nAbs were remarkably virus vector-based RBD vaccine, suggesting that the
increased as compared with those before vaccination boosted vaccination could bring a solid immune pro-
and rapidly raised to the similar levels in the early tection to the convalescent individuals. However, it
stage of recovery. Meanwhile, the positive rates of lacks the report about the antibody responses in con-
nAbs against SARS-CoV-2 variants were also valescent individuals after the boosted vaccination
increased to 90.9% to 100%. Thus, we clearly demon- with the inactivated vaccine. Our results here demon-
strated that the vaccination with inactivated vaccine strated that the vaccination with inactivated vaccine
rapidly enhanced the neutralizing activities against was also effective in enhancing the levels of nAbs in
the SARS-CoV-2 variants in individuals who have convalescent individuals, especially against the emer-
recovered from COVID-19 up to one year. ging SARS-CoV-2 variants. Importantly, according
Finally, we also explored the durability of neutraliz- to a recent research report, the titers of nAbs were
ing antibody response elicited by the boosted vacci- positive correlation with immune efficacy against
nation in these convalescent individuals. We have COVID-19. The vaccinators with ID50 values of 10,
obtained serial plasma samples from five individuals 100, and 1000 owned 78%, 91%, and 96% immune
(donor 2, 11, 16, 19 and 20) at Week 2 or Week 4 efficacy, respectively, after 4 weeks inoculated with
and Month 3 post vaccination. As shown in Figure 1 mRNA vaccine [15], suggesting that the convalescent
(c) and Figure S4, the levels of nAbs were slightly patients obtained high immune efficacy in the early
decreased with time, but dropped more obviously stage of recovery and post the vaccination with inacti-
against the variants including Delta, Kappa, Eta, and vated vaccine in this study.
Beta. These results suggested that it is very important In conclusion, we evaluated the plasma neutraliz-
to monitor the levels of nAbs against the emerging ation against various SARS-CoV-2 variants in the con-
SARS-CoV-2 variants in the convalescent COVID-19 valescent individuals who received the inactivated
individuals. vaccine. These results showed that the levels of broadly
Compared with several previous studies, the results nAbs were significantly decreased in the convalescent
described here were rational and novel. Xiang et al individuals after one year since they recovered from
detected the levels of nAbs against Beta variant in con- COVID-19, suggesting the high risk of reinfection of
valescent patients one year after infection, and found various emerging variants. The vaccination with inac-
that those individuals who effectively neutralized the tivated vaccine potentially improved the plasma neu-
WT virus displayed limited neutralizing activities tralizing activities against the WT SARS-CoV-2 and
against Beta variant (diminished to 22.6%) [13]. Fur- variants, which could even last for 3 months post vac-
thermore, Li et al detected the RBD-specific antibody cination. This study for the first time demonstrated
responses in 1782 plasma samples from 869 that the inactivated vaccine potentially induced the
neutralizing activity against the emerging SARS-CoV- [3] Zhang L, Li Q, Liang Z, et al. The significant immune
2 variants in the convalescent individuals, which could escape of pseudotyped SARS-CoV-2 variant omicron.
minimize the risk of breakthrough infections in future. Emerg Microbes Infect. 2022;11:1–5.
[4] Jara A, Undurraga EA, Gonzalez C, et al. Effectiveness
of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in Chile. N
Engl J Med. 2021;385:875–884.
Acknowledgments [5] Voysey M, Clemens S, Madhi SA, et al. Safety and
We thank all participants who recovered from COVID-19 efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine
and all of the healthy providers from Shenzhen Third (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis
People’s Hospital for the work they have done. of four randomized controlled trials in Brazil, South
Africa, and the UK. Lancet. 2021;397:99–111.
[6] Xia S, Zhang Y, Wang Y, et al. Safety and immuno-
genicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine,
Disclosure statement BBIBP-CorV: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s). controlled, phase 1/2 trial. Lancet Infect Dis.
2021;21:39–51.
[7] Subbarao K. The success of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and
challenges ahead. Cell Host Microbe. 2021;29:1111–
Funding
1123.
This study was supported by the National Science Fund [8] Ju B, Zhang Q, Ge J, et al. Human neutralizing anti-
for Distinguished Young Scholars (82025022), the bodies elicited by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Nature.
National Natural Science Foundation of China (82002140, 2020;584:115–119.
82171752, 82101861), the Guangdong Basic and Applied [9] Li C, Yu D, Liang H, et al. Twelve-month specific IgG
Basic Research Foundation (2021B1515020034, response to SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain
2019A1515011197, 2021A1515011009, 2020A1515110656), among COVID-19 convalescent plasma donors in
and the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program wuhan. Nat Commun. 2021;12:4846.
(RCYX20200714114700046, JSGG20200207155251653, [10] Vignier N, Berot V, Bonnave N, et al. Breakthrough
JCYJ20210324131606018, JSGG20200807171401008, infections of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma variant in fully
KQTD20200909113758004, JCYJ20190809115617365). vaccinated gold miners, French guiana, 2021. Emerg
Infect Dis. 2021;27:2673–2676.
[11] Keeton R, Richardson S, Moyo-Gwete T, et al. Prior
Data availability statements infection with SARS-CoV-2 boosts and broadens
Ad26.COV2.S immunogenicity in a variant-depen-
We are happy to share reagents and information in dent manner. Cell Host Microbe. 2021;29:1611–1619.
this study upon request. [12] Urbanowicz RA, Tsoleridis T, Jackson HJ, et al. Two
doses of the SARS-CoV-2 BNT162b2 vaccine enhance
antibody responses to variants in individuals with
prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Sci Transl Med.
ORCID 2021;13:j847.
Lin Cheng http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8066-527X [13] Xiang T, Liang B, Fang Y, et al. Declining levels of neu-
tralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in convales-
cent COVID-19 patients one year post symptom
onset. Front Immunol. 2021;12:708523.
References
[14] Lucas C, Vogels CBF, Yildirim I, et al. Impact of circu-
[1] Zhu N, Zhang D, Wang W, et al. A novel coronavirus lating SARS-CoV-2 variants on mRNA vaccine-
from patients with pneumonia in China, 2019. N Engl induced immunity. Nature. 2021;600(7889):523–529.
J Med. 2020;382:727–733. [15] Gilbert PB, Montefiori DC, McDermott AB, et al.
[2] Mlcochova P, Kemp S, Dhar MS, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Immune correlates analysis of the mRNA-1273
B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication and immune eva- COVID-19 vaccine efficacy clinical trial. Science.
sion. Nature. 2021;599:114–119. 2021: eab3435.
Xinrong Zhou, Lin Cheng, Haiyan Wang, Xuejiao Liao, Miao Wang, Lanlan
Wei, Shuo Song, Bing Zhou, Zhenghua Ma, Huimin Guo, Xiangyang Ge, Bin Ju
& Zheng Zhang
To cite this article: Xinrong Zhou, Lin Cheng, Haiyan Wang, Xuejiao Liao, Miao Wang, Lanlan
Wei, Shuo Song, Bing Zhou, Zhenghua Ma, Huimin Guo, Xiangyang Ge, Bin Ju & Zheng Zhang
(2022) The SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine enhances the broad neutralization against variants
in individuals recovered from COVID-19 up to one year, Emerging Microbes & Infections, 11:1,
753-756, DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2043728
26 Chile, Santiago, Chile. 7Center for Infectious Disease and Vaccine Research, La
29 California, San Diego (UCSD), La Jolla, CA 92037, USA. 9Sinovac Biotech, Beijing,
30 China. 10
Departamento de Farmacia, Facultad de Química y de Farmacia,
34
35 #
These authors contributed equally to this work.
36
37 *Corresponding authors.
38 Keywords:
40 Booster dose.
41
42 Abstract
45 neutralizing antibodies and specific T cells two- and four-weeks after two doses of
46 CoronaVac®, but the levels of neutralizing antibodies are reduced at six to eight
47 months after two doses. Here we report the effect of a booster dose of CoronaVac®
49 (VOC) Delta and Omicron in adults participating in a phase 3 clinical trial in Chile.
51 interval received a booster dose of the same vaccine between twenty-four and
52 thirty weeks after the 2nd dose. Four weeks after the booster dose, neutralizing
54 cell activation against VOC Delta and Omicron were detected at four weeks after
56 antibodies at four weeks after the booster dose. We also observed an increase in
57 CD4+ T cells numbers over time, reaching a peak at four weeks after the booster
59 induced by the booster showed activity against VOC Delta and Omicron.
60 Interpretation: Our results show that a booster dose of CoronaVac® increases the
63 effective protection.
64
65 Background
71 Sinovac Life Sciences Co., Ltd. (Beijing, China) and is among the current vaccines
73 2019 (COVID-19) and one of the most used vaccines worldwide1,2. Phase I/II
74 clinical trials in China demonstrated that this vaccine induces cellular and humoral
76 Chile has described an increase in the levels of IgG and neutralizing antibodies in
77 adults aged 18-59 years and ³ 60 years two- and four-weeks after the second dose
78 of CoronaVac® 56
. In addition, this vaccination promotes the activation of a T cell
80 5
(two-weeks interval), being an effective vaccine to prevent COVID-19 7,8. In Chile,
81 93.7% of the target population has received a first vaccine dose, and 91.4% were
88 13–17
. For these reasons, the use of booster doses was approved in Chile in August
89 2021 in Chile for high-risk populations and adults at five months after
92 increase from 56% to 80% fourteen days after the application of the booster dose
93 19
. Notably, a previous study performed in adults aged 18-59 years old
94 demonstrated that a booster dose of CoronaVac®, applied six months after the first
95 dose to individuals that previously received two doses of this vaccine, increased
96 the levels of antibodies 3-5-fold as compared to the levels observed four weeks
98 levels of neutralizing antibodies and specific T cells against SARS-CoV-2 and its
99 activity against VOC Delta and Omicron in adults ≥18 years old that participated in
100 the phase 3 clinical trial carried out in Chile, who were vaccinated in a 0-28-days
101 vaccination schedule and received a booster dose five months after the second
102 dose.
103
106 Blood samples were obtained from volunteers recruited in the clinical trial
108 November 2020. The Institutional Scientific Ethical Committee of Health Sciences
109 reviewed and approved the study protocol at the Pontificia Universidad Católica de
110 Chile (#200708006). Trial execution was approved by the Chilean Public Health
111 Institute (#24204/20) and was conducted according to the current Tripartite
113 regulations. Informed consent was obtained from all volunteers upon enrollment.
115 CoV-2 inactivated along with alum adjuvant) in a four-week interval (0-28-day
116 immunization schedule) and then a booster dose five months after the second
117 dose. A complete inclusion and exclusion criteria list have been reported 5. On
118 November 11th, 2021, one hundred and eighty-six volunteers in the immunogenicity
119 branch received the booster dose. The antibody and cell mediated immune
120 responses were evaluated volunteers that had completed all their previous visits in
121 one of the centers of the study (Figure 1A). Blood samples were obtained from all
122 the volunteers before administration of the first dose (pre-immune), two, four, and
123 twenty weeks (or five months) after the second dose, and four weeks after the
125 Procedures
126 The presence of antibodies against RBD with neutralizing capacities were
127 measured in sera from seventy-seven volunteers that had completed all their study
128 visits, including one month after the booster dose of CoronaVac®. The neutralizing
131 serially diluted starting at a 4-fold dilution until reaching a 512-fold dilution. Assays
132 were performed according to the instructions of the manufacturer and as reported
133 previously 5. Neutralizing antibody titers were determined as the last fold dilution in
134 which the interaction between hACE2 and RBD was inhibited by 30% or more.
135 Samples with a percentage of inhibition ≤30% at the lowest dilution (1:4) were
137 when its titer was higher than the pre-immune titer. The percentage of inhibition
138 was determined as: 100 * [OD450nm value of negative control - OD450nm value of
139 sample] / [OD450nm of negative control]. A standard curve was used to plot the
140 neutralization response in the samples as international units (IU) using the WHO
141 International Standard for SARS-CoV-2 antibody (NIBSC code 20/136), which was
143 using a sigmoidal curve model with a logarithm transformation of the concentration,
144 and the final concentration for each sample was the average of the product of the
145 interpolated IU from the standard curve and the sample dilution factor required to
146 reach the OD450 value that falls within the linear range determined for each
147 sample. Samples with undetermined concentration at the lowest dilution tested
148 (1:4) were assigned to the lower limit of quantification (16.4 IU). The Geometric
149 Mean Units (GMU) and titers (GMT) were represented in Figure 2 and
151 visits.
154 Briefly, Vero E6 cells were infected with a SARS-CoV-2 strain obtained by viral
156 Neutralization assays were carried out by the reduction of cytopathic effect (CPE)
157 in Vero E6 cells (ATCC CRL-1586). The titer of neutralizing antibodies was defined
158 as the highest serum dilution that neutralized virus infection, at which the CPE was
159 absent as compared with the virus control wells (cells with CPE). Vero E6 cells
160 were seeded in 96-well plates (4×104 cells/well). For neutralization assays, 100 µL
161 of 33782CL-SARS-CoV-2 (at a dose of 100 TCID50) were incubated with serial
162 dilutions of heat-inactivated sera samples (dilutions of 1:4, 1:8, 1:16, 1:32, 1:64,
163 1:128, 1:256, and 1:512) from participants for 1h at 37 °C. Cytopathic effect on
166 assess the capacity of the antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 VOC in samples from
168 reported 14
, a HIV-1 backbone expressing firefly luciferase as a reporter gene and
169 pseudotyped with the SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoproteins (HIV-1-SΔ19) from from
170 lineage B.1 (D614G) or variants Delta (T19R, del157/158, L452R, T478K, D614G,
171 P681R, D950N) and Omicron (A67V, ∆H69-V70, T95I, Y145D, ∆G142 -V143-
172 Y144, ∆N211, EPE 213-214, G339D, S371L, S373P, S375F, K417N, N440K,
173 G446S, S477N, T478K, E484A, Q493R, G496S, Q498R, N501Y, T547K, D614G,
174 H655Y, N679K, P681H, N764K, N865K, Q954H, N969K, L981F) was prepared as
175 previously described 22. Serum samples were two-fold diluted starting at 1:10 or 1:4
176 and the estimation of the ID80 was obtained using a 4-parameter nonlinear
177 regression curve fit measured as the percent of neutralization determined by the
178 difference in average relative light units (RLU) between test samples and
179 pseudotyped virus controls. Also, cVNT assays were performed to assess the
180 capacity of the antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in samples from
182 ELISPOT and flow cytometry assays were performed to evaluate the cellular
184 (Figure 1A), stimulating PBMCs with four Mega Pools (MPs) of peptides derived
186 (MP-S), the remaining proteins of the viral particle (excluding S protein peptides)
187 (MP-R), and shorter peptides from the whole proteome of SARS-CoV-2 (MP-CD8-
189 stimulated with three Mega Pools (MP) of VOC, provided by La Jolla Institute for
191 B1.617.2 MP 4326 (Delta variant), and SARS-CoV-2 B1.1.529 MP 4359 (Omicron
192 variant) 14
were used to evaluate T cell activation at four weeks after the booster
193 dose. Positive and negative controls were held for each assay. The number of Spot
194 Forming Cells (SFC) for interferon gamma (IFN-g) were determined by ELISPOT
195 and the expression of Activation-Induced Markers (AIM) by T cells was evaluated
196 by flow cytometry. Assays were performed according to the instructions of the
197 manufacturer and as reported previously 5. Further details on the ELISPOT assay,
198 antibodies used for flow cytometry, and the respective protocols can be found in
200 Interleukin 2 (IL-2) and IFN-g secretion were evaluated in the supernatants
202 peptides derived from the Spike protein of VOC, using a Luminex 200 xMap
203 multiplex system (Luminex Corporation, Austin, TX). The limit of detection for the
204 cytokine measured ranged from 4.2 to 13,390 pg/mL, according to manufacturer’s
206 Information.
207
211 posteriori multiple tests to compare between the booster dose and the other visits.
212 Analyses were performed over the base 10 logarithms of the data for neutralizing
213 antibody by sVNT, cVNT and pVNT. Cellular immune responses were analyzed by
214 a Friedman test for repeated measures for ELISPOT and flow cytometry for the
215 comparisons between booster dose and the other visits. Secretion of cytokines
216 were compared between the secretion induced by the WT strain against the VOC
217 Delta and Omicron by repeated measures ANOVA. The significance level was set
218 at 0.05 for all the analyses. All data were analyzed with GraphPad Prism 9.0.1.
219
220 Results
223 One hundred and eighty-six volunteers from the immunogenicity branch that
224 received a booster dose of the CoronaVac® were included in this study. The first
225 dose of the vaccine was inoculated from January to March of 2021, and the second
226 dose was inoculated 28 days after the first one. The neutralizing capacity of serum
227 antibodies was evaluated in seventy-seven and sixty-two volunteers by sVNT and
228 cVNT, respectively, at the five different time-points indicated in Figure 1B.
230 neutralizing capacity in the total population evaluated, tested by sVNT and cVNT,
231 is reached at two weeks after the second dose (GMU 168.0, 95% CI=19.5-34.2
232 and GMT, 95% CI=) and four weeks after the second dose (GMU 124.8, 95%
233 CI=96.3-161.7 and GMT 13.5, 95% CI=9.6-19.2). However, this neutralizing
234 capacity significantly decreased twenty weeks after the second dose (GMU 39.0,
235 95% CI=32.4-47.0 and GMT 8.3, 95% CI=9.6-19.2), which is in line with previous
236 reports where the immunity against SARS-CoV-2 wanes six months after infection
238 antibodies increased even more than the one reported two weeks after the second
239 dose (GMU 499.0, 95% CI=370.6-673.0 and GMT 89.5 ± 64.0-125.2). Overall, we
240 observed that four weeks after the booster dose the neutralizing capacity increased
241 more than 12-fold (sVNT) and 10-fold (cVNT) as compared to the response at
242 twenty weeks after the second dose, and almost 3-fold as compared to two weeks
244 In adults 18-59 years old, the neutralizing capacity of circulating antibodies
245 tested by sVNT and cVNT (Figures 2B and E, respectively) reached its maximum
246 four weeks after the booster dose (GMU 918.8, 95% CI=623.4-1354 and 176.9,
247 95% CI=111.7-280.1) increasing more than 18- and 12-fold as compared to five
248 months after the second dose (GMU 48.9, 95% CI=37.6-63.5 and GMT 14.2, 95%
249 CI=7.1-28.4) and more than 4-fold as compared to two weeks after the second
250 dose (GMU 220.2, 95% CI=150.7-321.7 and GMT 17.5, 95% CI=9.8-31.3)
251 (Figures 2B and E). The seropositivity rate in this group reached 100% at four
252 weeks after the booster dose (Table 2). On the other hand, 53.2% of the total
253 volunteers analyzed here were adults ≥60 years. In this group, the same tendency
254 was observed, as seen in Figure 2C and F, observing an increase in the level of
255 neutralizing antibodies evaluated by both techniques of more than 9-fold at four
256 weeks after the booster dose (GMU 300.5, 95% CI=203.5-443.6 and GMT 47.3,
257 95% CI=32.1-69.5) as compared to the response observed twenty weeks after the
258 second dose (GMU 32.4, 95% CI=25.1-41.8 and GMT 5.0, 95% CI=3.5-7.0).
259 Equivalent to the 18-59 years old group, the seropositivity rate in this age group
260 reached 100% four weeks after the booster dose (Table 2). The seropositivity rate
261 achieved at four weeks after the booster dose was the highest when compared
262 with the other visits in this study in the total vaccinated group and in both groups
263 analyzed.
264
268 evaluated in 40 volunteers. We observed that CD4+ T cell activation was increased
269 twenty weeks after the second dose as compared to the other time points in both
270 age groups, suggesting that CoronaVac® can stimulate CD4+ T cell responses that
271 are sustained over time (Figure 3A-C). Importantly, we observed a significantly
272 further increase in CD4+ T cell activation in both age groups following the booster
273 dose, as compared to the pre-immune sample and samples obtained at two and
274 four weeks after the second dose (Figure 3A-C). However, this difference was not
275 significant as compared to the sample obtained twenty weeks after the second
276 dose (Figure 3A-C). Moreover, we did not observe a significant increase in the
277 expression of AIM by CD8+ T cells following the booster dose as compared to any
278 other time point, suggesting that specific CD8+ T cell responses induced by
279 CoronaVac® are not detected with the current methodologies, even after a third
280 dose (Supp. Figure 2A and C). Accordingly, we observed an increase in IFN-g
282 ELISPOT at four weeks after the booster dose for both groups, as compared to the
283 pre-immune sample (Figure 3D-F). As in the case of flow cytometry, we did not
284 observe significant increase of IFN-g+ SFCs upon stimulation with CD8 MPs at any
285 time point (Supp. Figure 2). These results suggest that although humoral
286 responses decrease over time following vaccination with CoronaVac®, CD4+ T cell
288 the booster dose promotes a small increase both IFN-g production and CD4+ T cell
289 activation that is not significantly different as compared to the levels observed 20
291
294 As we observed that the neutralization capacity and the T cell responses
295 increased significantly with the booster dose and knowing that vaccinated
297 evaluate the neutralizing capacities of antibodies in the serum from thirty booster-
299 against two variants of concern of SARS-CoV-2, comparing with the level obtained
300 for the D614G SARS-CoV-2 variant (B.1 lineage, Figure 4A-B). We observed that
301 the titers of antibodies with neutralizing capacities against Delta and Omicron
302 variant show a significant reduction as compared to the levels achieved for the
303 D61G variant (D614G: GMT 241.8, CI=155.7-375.6, Delta: 159.2, CI=99.1-256.0
304 and Omicron: GMT 50.7, CI=30.4-84.8), with a reduction of 1.5 for Delta and 4.8
305 for Omicron (Figure 4A). However, when we compared the changes in
306 seropositivity for Delta and Omicron (Figure 4B), we observed a 93% and 76.7%,
307 respectively, following the booster dose (Table 3). Neutralization assays against
308 Delta variant with a cVNT in a different group of nineteen volunteers also show that
309 antibodies induced four weeks after the booster dose have reduced capacity to
310 neutralize this VOC (Supp Figure 4A), although the seropositivity rate observed is
312 The cellular responses for VOC following a booster dose of CoronaVac®
313 were also evaluated in thirty volunteers using MPs of peptides derived from the
314 Spike protein of Delta and Omicron variants. We observed equivalent numbers of
315 AIM by CD4+ T cells after four weeks of the booster dose upon stimulation with MP-
316 S of SARS-CoV-2 WT, Delta, or Omicron variant (Figure 5A), with no significant
317 differences between the response against the MP-S of the variants as compared to
318 the MP-S of the WT strain. IFN-g secreting T cells were also analyzed in these
319 samples and no differences were observed (Figure 5B). We also quantified the
320 production of different cytokines in the supernatant of PBMCs stimulated with the
321 MP-s of WT, Delta, and Omicron variants, observing that at four weeks after the
322 booster dose the stimulated cells secrete equivalent levels of IL-2 and IFN-g
323 (Figure Supp 3). These results suggest that although the humoral response
325 lower as compared to the humoral response against the D614G strain, the cellular
326 responses against SARS-CoV-2 VOC is equivalent to the responses elicited by the
328
329 Discussion
330 In this report we evaluated the humoral and cellular immune response
331 generated four weeks after the application of a booster dose of inactivated
332 CoronaVac® vaccine in a cohort of volunteers enrolled in the phase 3 clinical trial
333 held in Chile. The data reported here showed that although there was an adequate
334 humoral response after two doses of CoronaVac®, with a 65.9% of effectiveness in
335 preventing COVID-19 8, both the sVNT and cVNT assays showed a decrease in
337 twenty weeks after the second dose (Figure 2). Due to this decrease in
340 responses12,26. The evaluation of the immune response reported here shows that
341 after the booster dose, the neutralizing titers and seroconversion rates increase in
342 the whole group, to a higher extent than two weeks after the second dose, where
343 the peak in neutralization was previously observed, which is in line with the
344 observed by Clemens et al.,15 . Also, we observed a steady activation of the CD4+
345 T cells and secretion of IFN-g during the time-points evaluated (Figure 3).
346 Since the neutralizing antibody titers correlated with protection against
347 SARS-CoV-2 infection 10, these results likely imply a better outcome and protection
348 against COVID-19, as reported in previous studies performed in Israel that showed
349 a decrease in the transmission and the disease severity disease by this virus
350 twelve or more days after booster inoculation. In Chile, the effectiveness and
351 prevention in hospitalization increased when assessed fourteen days after the
353 CoronaVac®, showed that an additional dose result in good neutralization capacity
354 against parental SARS-CoV-2 and against Delta variant four weeks after the
355 booster dose, generating a long-lasting humoral response, which was due to an
357 Adults ≥60 years old produced lower levels of antibodies with neutralizing
358 capacities than the whole group during this study, which was also described
359 previously (Figure 2C and F) 5. This result is in line with previous data reported for
360 a population vaccinated in Chile 6, among hospital workers who received two
362 sense, our results are equivalent to those described in a phase I/II of the clinical
363 trial performed with CoronaVac® in China, showing that the neutralizing antibody
364 titers in this group decreased at five months after the second dose and that a
365 booster dose is required 6-8 months after the first vaccination to rapidly increase
367 In the case of the T cell response (Figure 3), other studies have shown that
368 Pfizer BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 induce durable CD4+ T cell activation and
370 elucidated whether expression of AIM by CD4+ T cells and cytokine production
371 further increase following a booster dose with these vaccines 31,32
. Here, we
372 observed that the activation of CD4+ T cells and IFN-g production stays increased
373 up to twenty weeks after the second dose, and after the booster dose both
374 parameters increased in the 18-59 years old group and was maintained at the
375 levels observed twenty weeks after the second dose in adults ≥60 years old. In
376 contrast to BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 vaccines, CoronaVac® delivers not only
377 the Spike protein upon immunization but also other viral antigens, which may
378 explain why vaccinated individuals still display AIM+ CD4+ T cells five months after
380 When the neutralization capacity analyzed by pVNT of the VOC Delta and
381 Omicron was evaluated four weeks after the booster dose, we observed
383 (lineage B.1), which does not exhibit mutations in the RBD of the S1 protein
384 (Figure 4 and table 3). We previously reported that CoronaVac® is able to induce
385 neutralization against the Delta variant at 4 weeks after the second dose, although
387 significant increase in the neutralizing capacity after a booster dose with
388 CoronaVac® for the Delta variant, as compared to the levels observed in volunteers
390 enhanced neutralization against the variants Delta after the booster dose using
391 pVNT (Figure 4A), the seropositivity against Delta variant is almost 100% (Figure
392 4B)33. Here, we also show that a booster dose induces neutralization against the
393 variant Omicron, which has rapidly spread worldwide and is the predominant
394 circulating variant to date 34. The high number of mutations described in the RBD of
395 this variant has been associated with increased evasion of neutralizing responses
398 lower to the observed against the D614G variant, we observed a seropositivity of
399 76.7% following the booster, suggesting some degree of protection in most of the
400 vaccinees. In this sense, it has been reported that a heterologous schedule of
401 vaccination may induce a higher neutralization ability and a better neutralization
403 heterologous vaccination with CoronaVac® and a booster dose of Pfizer BNT162b2
404 showed a good neutralization titer against VOC Delta and Omicron, with respect to
406 homologous booster schedules after the vaccination with CoronaVac®, shows an
407 increase in neutralization against the VOC Delta and Omicron15. There are
408 discrepancies between the results in neutralization titers, which can be attributed to
409 the neutralization assays performed and/or the study population; however,
410 important booster responses are observed in these studies, and seropositivity
411 reached after the booster dose of CoronaVac® against VOC are also similar 16.
412 In the case of the cellular response, this is the first report to characterize
413 CD4+ T cell responses following a booster dose of CoronaVac® against the
414 Omicron variant of SARS-CoV2. Previous studies using the same MP from VOC
415 evaluated here have shown that CD4+ T cells respond to VOC in a similar extent
416 as compared to the ancestral strain in individuals vaccinated with CoronaVac® 14,37
417 and mRNA vaccines, which has been explained by the high conservation of T cell
418 epitopes. In this sense, the booster dose of CoronaVac® induces the expression of
419 CD4+ T cell activation markers and secretion of IFN-g and IL-2 against the VOC
420 Delta and Omicron, which is comparable to the response generated against the
421 WT strain (Figure 5). In line with this, a recent study has shown that T cell
422 responses against the ancestral strain are cross-reactive against the Omicron
424 BNT162b2 38, supporting the idea that the induction of T cell responses against the
426 Our report shows that the booster dose of CoronaVac® in a 0-28 days
427 schedule induces antibodies with neutralizing capacities, which are higher than the
428 levels observed at 2- and 4-weeks after the second dose, generating an increased
429 humoral response even in adults ≥60 years old. Besides this, our results suggest
430 that a third dose of CoronaVac® supports CD4+ T cell activation, which may confer
431 either protection or enhanced immune responses against the virus and prevent
433 humoral and cellular immune response promoted by a booster dose of CoronaVac
434 shows activity against Delta and Omicron variants and probably results in better
436
437 Limitations
438 This study presents several limitations, such as the reduced sample size for
439 the assays and the absence of data for neutralization against Omicron variant with
440 a conventional viral neutralization test. The assessment of total antibody response
441 against Spike proteins and other SARS-CoV-2 proteins would also add additional
442 information about the humoral immune response against SARS-CoV-2 after the
443 booster dose. Due to the limit of quantification of the technique, samples with
444 undetermined concentration at the lowest dilution tested (1:4) were assigned the
445 lower limit of quantification (16.4 IU) and other neutralization assays.
446
447 Funding
450 Chile and SINOVAC Biotech. NIH NIAID, under Contract 75N93021C00016,
451 supports AS and Contract 75N9301900065 supports AS, AG and DW. The
452 National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the Fondo
454 and Nº 1211547 supports RSR and FVE, respectively. The Millennium Institute on
456 ICN09_016 (former P09/016-F) supports RSR, VFE, SMB, KA, PAG and AMK; The
457 Innovation Fund for Competitiveness FIC-R 2017 (BIP Code: 30488811-0)
461 conceptualization of the study (clinical protocol and eCRF design) and did not
462 participate in the analysis or interpretation of the data presented in the manuscript.
464 CellCarta, OxfordImmunotech and Avalia. La Jolla Institute for Immunology (LJI)
465 has filed for patent protection for various aspects of T cell epitope and vaccine
467
468 Acknowledgments
469 We would like to thank the support of the Ministry of Health, Government of Chile;
471 The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of Chile, and the Chilean Public Health
472 Institute (ISP). We also would like to thank Rami Scharf, Jessica White, Jorge
473 Flores and Miren Iturriza-Gomara from PATH for their support on experimental
474 design and discussion. Alex Cabrera and Sergio Bustos from the Flow Cytometry
476 for support with flow cytometry. We also thank the Vice Presidency of Research
477 (VRI), the Direction of Technology Transfer and Development (DTD), the Legal
478 Affairs Department (DAJ) of the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. We are
479 also grateful to the Administrative Directions of the School of Biological Sciences
480 and the School of Medicine of the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile for their
481 administrative support. We would also like to thank the members of the
482 independent data safety monitoring committee (members in the SA) for their
483 oversight, and the subjects enrolled in the study for their participation and
484 commitment to this trial. This project has been funded in whole or in part with
485 Federal funds from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases,
486 National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, under
487 Contract No. Contract No. 75N9301900065 to A.S, A.G. and D.W.
488
489 Note: Members of the CoronaVac03CL Study Group are listed in the
491
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658
659
661
662 Figure 1: Study profile, enrolled volunteers, and cohort included in the study
663 by November 11th, 2021. A. From the one hundred and eighty-six vaccinated
664 individuals that received the booster dose, seventy-seven volunteers that received
666 vaccination), were selected from the center assigned for the immunogenicity study.
667 Seventy-seven volunteers were tested for neutralizing antibodies by sVNT, sixty-
668 two were selected to analyze neutralizing antibodies by cVNT and forty were
669 selected to analyze cellular immunity. Analyses for immunity against SARS-CoV-2
670 variants were performed in 30 volunteers for sVNT, pVNT and T cells assays. B.
671 Timeline of 0–28 days schedule of vaccination and booster dose immunization.
673
675 between the S1-RBD and hACE2 and in live SARS-CoV-2 in volunteers that
676 received the booster dose of CoronaVac®. A-C. Inhibiting antibodies were
678 Viral Neutralization Test (sVNT), which quantifies the interaction between S1-RBD
679 and hACE2 on ELISA plates. Results were obtained from a total of seventy-seven
680 volunteers (A), thirty-six of them were adults between 18-59 years old (B), and
681 forty-one of them were ≥ 60 years old (C). Data is represented as WHO arbitrary
682 units/mL, the numbers above each set of individual data points show the
683 Geometric Mean Units (GMU), the error bars indicate the 95% CI, and the number
684 at the right represents the fold increase of the GMU four weeks after the third dose
685 as compared with the respective times after administration of the second dose. D-
687 booster dose of CoronaVac® twenty weeks after the second dose, using a
688 conventional Viral Neutralization Test (cVNT), which quantifies the reduction of
689 cytopathic effect (CPE) in Vero E6 cells infected with SARS-CoV-2. Results were
690 obtained from 62 volunteers (D), 30 of them were adults between 18-59 years old
691 (E), and 32 of them were ≥ 60 years old (F). Data are expressed as the reciprocal
692 of the highest serum dilution preventing 100% cytopathic effect, the numbers
693 above each set of individual data points show the Geometric Mean Titer (GMT),
694 the error bars indicate the 95% CI, and the number at the right represents the fold
695 increase of the GMU the third dose + 4 weeks as compared with the respective
696 times after administration of the second dose. CI were not adjusted for multiplicity
697 and should not be used for inference. A repeated measures One-Way ANOVA test
698 assessed statistical differences to compare all times against 3rd dose + four weeks.
699 ****p<0.0001.
700
702 cells and in the number of IFN-g-secreting cells specific for SARS-CoV-2 after
703 a booster dose of CoronaVac®. A-C. AIM+ CD4+ T cells were quantified in
704 peripheral blood mononuclear cells of volunteers that received a booster dose of
705 CoronaVac® twenty weeks after the second dose by flow cytometry, upon
706 stimulation with mega-pools of peptides derived from SARS-CoV-2 proteins. The
707 percentage of activated AIM+ CD4+ T cells (OX40+, CD137+) were determined upon
708 stimulation for 24h with MP-S+R in samples obtained at pre-immune, two weeks
709 after the second dose, four weeks after the second dose, twenty weeks the second
710 dose, and four weeks after the booster dose. Data from flow cytometry was
711 normalized against DMSO and analyzed separately by a Friedman test against the
712 booster dose. Results were obtained from a total of forty volunteers (A), twenty-
713 one were of them were adults between 18-59 years old (B), and nineteen of them
714 were ≥ 60 years old (C). Changes in the secretion of IFN-g were quantified as the
715 number of Spot Forming Cells (SFCs) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells of
716 volunteers that received a booster dose of CoronaVac® 20 weeks after the second
717 dose. D-F. Data was obtained upon stimulation with MP-S+R for 48h in samples
718 obtained at pre-immune, two weeks after the second dose, four weeks after the
719 second dose, twenty weeks the second dose, and four weeks after the booster
720 dose. Results were obtained from a total of 40 volunteers (D), 21 were of them
721 were adults between 18-59 years old (E), and 19 of them were ≥ 60 years old (F).
722 Data from ELISPOT were analyzed separately by Friedman test against the
724
726 CoV-2 variants in volunteers that received the booster dose of CoronaVac®.
727 A. Neutralizing antibodies were detected in the serum of thirty volunteers, four
728 weeks after the booster dose of CoronaVac®, using a pseudotyped virus
729 neutralization test (pVNT). Data are expressed as the reciprocal of the highest
730 dilution preventing 80% of the infection (ID80). Numbers above the bars show the
731 Mean, and the error bars indicate the 95% CI. The number at the right represents
732 the fold decrease of the GMT four weeks after the booster dose as compared with
733 the response of D614G B. Seropositivity rate of neutralizing antibodies is shown for
734 each time point analyzed. Numbers above the bars show the percentage of
735 seropositivity rate in the respective graphs. Numbers above the bars show the
737 One-Way ANOVA test assessed statistical differences of the GMT to compare
738 each variant against D614G. *p<0.05; ***p < 0.001; ****p<0.0001
739
740
743 CD4+ T cells specific for the Spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 variants. A.
744 Changes in the secretion of IFN-g, determined as the number of Spot Forming
745 Cells (SFCs) were determined. Data was obtained upon stimulation of PBMC with
746 MP-S of variant of concern of SARS-CoV-2 for 48h in samples obtained four weeks
747 after the booster dose. Data shown represent mean + 95%CI. Data from thirty
748 volunteers were analyzed at four weeks after the booster dose to compare among
749 the MP-S of the variant of concern. Data from ELISPOT were analyzed separately
750 by Friedman test against the WT MP-S. No significant differences were obtained.
751 B. AIM+ CD4+ T cells were quantified in peripheral blood mononuclear cells of thirty
752 volunteers four weeks after that received a booster dose of CoronaVac® by flow
753 cytometry, upon stimulation with mega-pools of peptides derived from proteins of
754 variant of concern of SARS-CoV-2. The percentage of activated AIM+ CD4+ T cells
755 (OX40+, CD137+) were determined upon stimulation for 24h with MP-S+R in
756 samples obtained four weeks after the booster dose. Data shown represent mean
757 + 95%CI. Data from flow cytometry was normalized against DMSO. No significant
759
760 Table
Female sex 41 11 8 1 6 6 3 7
N (%) (53.2) (14.3) (10.4) (1.3) (7.8) (7.8) (3.9) (9.1)
3 6 2 3 2
18-59 years old 18 (23.4) 0 0
(3.9) (7.8) (2.6) (3.9) (2.6)
8 2 1 4 3 3 5
≥60 years old 23 (30.0)
(10.4) (2.6) (1.3) (5.2) (3.9) (3.9) (6.5)
11 8 3 11 1 1
Male sex N (%) 36 (46.8) 0
(14.3) (10.4) (3.9) (14.3) (1.3) (1.3)
17 4 4 2 4
18-59 years old 0 0 0
(22.0) (5.2) (5.2) (2.6) (5.2)
7( 4 1 7 1 1
≥60 years old 19 (24.6) 0
9.1) (5.2) (1.3) (9.1) (1.3) (1.3)
765 Arterial hypertension: AHT; Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: COPD; Mellitus diabetes: MD;
766 Hypothyroidism: HT; Allergic rhinitis: AR
767
768 Table 2: Seropositivity rates, Geometric Mean Titer (GMT), and Geometric
769 Mean Units (GMU) of circulating neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2
770 RBD.
2nd dose 2nd dose 2nd dose 3rd dose
Age
Methodology Indicators +2 +4 + 20 +4
group
weeks weeks weeks weeks
Seropositivity
72/77 73/77 38/77 75/77
n/N
(%) 93.5 94.8 49.4 97.4
Total GMU 168.0 124.8 39.0 499.4
Vaccine 126.8- 96.3- 370.6-
95% CI 32.4-47.0
222.5 161.7 673.0
GMT 25.8 16.6 3.5 53.0
95% CI 19.5-34.2 13.1-21.0 3.0-4.1 40.8-68.8
Seropositivity
35/36 36/36 24/36 36/36
n/N
(%) 97.2 97.2 66.7 100
GMU 220.2 155.0 48.9 918.8
sVNT 18-59
150.7- 108.0- 623.4-
95% CI 37.6-63.5
321.7 222.6 1354
GMT 33.3 19.1 4.3 82.8
59.7-
95% CI 23.4-47.3 14.0-26.1 3.4-5.4
114.8
Seropositivity
38/41 39/42 15/42 40/42
n/N
(%) 90.5 92.9 35.7 95.2
≥60 GMU 134.1 104.1 32.4 300.5
89.2- 71.8- 203.5-
95% CI 25.1-41.8
201.6 151.0 443.6
GMT 20.8 14.7 2.4 36.5
95% CI 13.6-31.9 10.3-21.0 2.4-3.5 25.3-52.7
Seropositivity
49/62 51/62 44/62 62/72
n/N
Total (%) 79.0 82.3 71.0 100
Vaccine
GMT 12.8 13.5 8.3 89.5
cVNT 64.0-
95% CI 8.8-18.5 9.6-19.2 5.6-12.2
125.2
Seropositivity
25/30 27/30 23/30 30/30
18-59 n/N
(%) 83.3 90.0 76.7 100
771 sVNT: Surrogate Virus Neutralization; cVNT: Conventional Virus Neutralization; GMT: Geometric
772 mean titer; GMU: Geometric mean units.
779
780
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted February 7, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure 1
A Total enrolled individuals Total vaccinated individual who Total individual belonging to the
(N = 2,302) received two doses (N = 2,263) immunogenicity branch (N = 450)
3rd dose
1st dose 2nd dose
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted February 7, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure 2
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted February 7, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure 3
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted February 7, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure 4
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted February 7, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure 5
during which time 167 persons infected with the Delta var- <21 d
iant were identified in clinical settings, in quarantine, or Partially vaccinated
through community screenings. In addition to case identifi-
≥21 d
cation, contact tracing of the outbreak continued through
Intermediate 2nd-dose
23 June 2021, after which no more cases were reported.
Before the start of this outbreak, China had already started ≥21 d <14 d
to rapidly roll out mass immunization campaigns, and Fully vaccinated
Guangdong province was one of the forerunners of vaccine ≥21 d ≥14 d
deployment. Specifically, more than 90 million doses of Last contact
Dose 1
Dose 2
inactivated vaccine were administered in Guangdong
before mid-June 2021. As such, the outbreak was an
opportunity to gain insight into the effectiveness of
inactivated vaccines against the B.1.617.2 variant.
By analyzing vaccination, surveillance, screening, trac- individuals and their close contacts identified in the
ing, and quarantine data on China's COVID-19 prevention Guangdong outbreak.
and control, we could assess the real-world effectiveness In addition to the index case (the first local infection),
of inactivated vaccines against COVID-19 caused by the health authorities identified 12 500 individuals, including
B.1.617.2 variant. More than 2 billion doses of inactivated secondary case patients and close contacts. All positive
COVID-19 vaccine have been administered in more than specimens were subject to whole-genome sequencing.
80 countries and regions. Thus, evidence on the effective- Individuals were excluded if basic demographic information
ness of inactivated vaccines against the rampantly was missing or if they received noninactivated vaccines.
growing variant is critical for public health agencies and Because immunization campaigns in China requested a
communities globally. 21-day interval after the first dose and COVID-19 vaccines
were provided only to adults until July 2021, persons who
received 2 doses of vaccine but less than 21 days apart or
METHODS were younger than 18 years were also excluded.
Study Population and Design This study was approved by the institutional ethics
The local outbreak in Guangdong was started by an committee of the Guangdong Provincial Center for
imported infection from abroad; that patient transmitted Disease Control and Prevention. The data in the study
it to a local resident, who was the index case patient. All were collected per administrative requirements of
secondary local cases were well traced and linked to the disease control and surveillance and were anonymized
index case in a single long chain of transmission (23, 24). for analysis. Participants were informed about the require-
In accordance with national and provincial protocols for ments of disease surveillance and provided oral consent.
COVID-19 prevention and control, close contacts were
Vaccination Status
defined as all people who lived in the same household
To determine vaccination status, we used the num-
or stayed in the same public space without protection
ber of doses received and time elapsed since the most
within close proximity in the 4 days before illness onset
for symptomatic cases or sampling of the first positive recent dose. On the basis of vaccination electronic
specimen for asymptomatic cases (25). All close contacts records, participants were categorized into an unvacci-
were traced, mandatorily quarantined in centralized man- nated group, a partially vaccinated (1-dose) group, and a
aged facilities, and followed with multiple reverse tran- fully vaccinated (2-dose) group. The unvaccinated group
scriptase polymerase chain reaction tests; they became consisted of persons who did not receive any COVID-19
part of our study cohort as the outbreak was proceeding vaccines before their last known contact with a confirmed
and being managed. The Close Contacts Management case patient. The partially vaccinated group comprised
section of the Appendix (available at Annals.org) gives those who received their first dose 21 days or more
additional information on close contact definition and before the last known contact. Persons who received
management, and the Laboratory Confirmation section their second dose at least 14 days before the last known
gives information on specifications of test kits. Of note, all contact made up the fully vaccinated group. Our primary
case patients were themselves close contacts of their analysis was a 3-group comparison. Those who received
upstream cases before they became infected. Therefore, their first dose within 21 days (intermediate first dose) or
the case patients and their close contacts made up a their second dose within 14 days (intermediate second
cohort380together and should
| CORONAVAC | O QUEnot be considered
A CIÊNCIA independ-
COMPROVA dose) before the last known contact were excluded from
ent groups in an outbreak with a clear chain of transmis- the primary analysis to avoid ambiguity in definition.
sion. We did a retrospective cohort analysis of all infected Figure 1 illustrates categorization of the groups.
Artigo
Effectiveness of Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccines Against the Delta Variant ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Outcomes
The primary outcome was pneumonia caused by the Figure 2. Study flow diagram.
B.1.617.2 variant of SARS-CoV-2. Secondary outcomes
Case patients and close
were infections, symptomatic infections, and severe or contacts (n = 12 501)
critical illness associated with the B.1.617.2 variant.
However, results are reported following the hierarchy of Excluded participants with incomplete
outcome severity. Symptoms and severity were defined baseline information (n = 199)
according to China's Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol
Case patients and close
for COVID-19 Patients (26). Pneumonia was diagnosed contacts (n = 12 302)
using chest imaging characteristics. Severe cases were
Excluded (n = 30)
those in which the patient had a respiratory rate above Participants vaccinated with noninactivated,
30 breaths/min, resting blood oxygen saturation of 93% WIV04, or BICV vaccines: 15
or lower, or PaO2–FIO2 ratio of 300 mm Hg or lower (26). Participants who received 2 doses <21 d
apart: 15
In critical cases, patients had respiratory failure leading
to mechanical ventilation, experienced shock, or sus- Case patients and close
tained any other organ failure that required intensive contacts (n = 12 272)
care (26). Severity was based on a participant's most seri- Excluded participants aged <18 y (n = 1467)
ous manifestations during the follow-up period.
Case patients and close contacts
aged ≥18 y (n = 10 805)
Characteristics and Covariates
Epidemiologic investigators collected sociodemo-
graphic information, including age, sex, address, occu- outcome was calculated in reference to the unvaccinated
pation, and contact frequency. These variables could group and subtracted from 1. In addition, we used multi-
potentially confound the vaccine effectiveness (VE) esti-
variable logistic regressions to account for covariates that
mates by correlating with both vaccination and outcomes
could potentially confound effect estimates. To estimate
and were used as covariates in subsequent analyses. Age
adjusted VE (aVE) from multivariable logistic regressions,
was categorized as 18 to 34 years, 35 to 49 years, or 50
we first calculated the adjusted RR (aRR) that equaled
years or older. In adherence to the national prevention
the ratio of the predicted event probability in each vacci-
and control scheme, investigators adjudicated contact fre-
nation group to that in the unvaccinated group; the
quency as occasionally, sometimes, or frequently. Contact
frequency might correlate with vaccination status because Adjusted Risk Ratio section of the Appendix elaborates
vaccinated persons could be tempted to reduce adher- on this (29–31). The aVE was then calculated as 1 aRR.
ence to nonpharmaceutical measures, such as social dis- We used aRRs to calculate aVEs because RRs are intui-
tancing (27, 28). Occupation might have been associated tively understandable for cohort studies and because
with vaccination status, in that professionals in occupa- odds ratios consistently underestimated RRs for protec-
tions with high exposure risk were granted priority for tion effects, leading to potentially exaggerated VE esti-
vaccination during early 2021. To control potential con- mates (32). The SEs of aRRs were estimated using the
founding due to cross-occupation heterogeneity in the delta method, which is frequently used for nonlinear
chances of vaccination and exposure to the virus during transformations of regression coefficients (33). We used
social interaction, we created indicators of working in res- Stata, version 16 (StataCorp), with the logit routine and
taurant services, working as a health care provider, and its postestimation features for analyses.
being currently unemployed. In addition, geographic
area might lead to bias in estimation of VE if left unad- Sensitivity Analysis
justed for because areas with different intensity of trans- In a prespecified sensitivity analysis, vaccination status
mission might also have had different access to vaccines. was based on each person's number of doses before the
Specifically, 2 subdistricts in Guangzhou (subdistricts A outbreak. In this analysis, anyone who received their first
and B for simplicity) were epicenters of the outbreak. The dose but not their second dose before 7 May 2021 (14
cases in these 2 communities accounted for more than days before 21 May 2021) was assigned to the partially
60% of all outbreak cases. As such, residents of these 2 vaccinated group, whereas those who received both
subdistricts could have had higher risk for exposure, yet doses before 7 May 2021 made up the fully vaccinated
access to vaccines in these communities was not neces- group. Those who received the initial dose after 7 May
sarily the same as in other places. Therefore, an indicator 2021 were excluded from this analysis. In addition, a
was created for each of the 2 epicenter subdistricts and between-dose window was not considered when deter-
used as a covariate in addition to the sociodemographic mining vaccination status.
variables. We also did several post hoc sensitivity analyses, mak-
ing 1 change to the base case at a time (Post Hoc Sensitivity
Statistical Analysis Analyses section of the Appendix). Specifically, we included
Primary Analysis all vaccination statuses as distinct exposure groups, used
Characteristics of participants in each group were cluster-robust
O QUESEs, and COMPROVA
A CIÊNCIA replaced logistic regressions
| CORONAVAC | 381 with
described using mean values (with SDs) and percentages. Poisson regressions that allowed direct estimation of inci-
To estimate the unadjusted VE, the risk ratio (RR) of each dence rate ratios in the sensitivity analyses. To examine the
Artigo
W
Li,5,8 Yinan Jiang,6 Qianhui Zhu,1,7 Yongqiang Deng,3 Pan Liu,1 Nan Wang,1 Lin Wang,4 Min Liu,4
Yurong Li,4 Boling Zhu,1 Kaiyue Fan,1,7 Wangjun Fu,1,7 Peng Yang,1,7 Xinran Pei,1 Zhen Cui,1,7 Lili
IE
Qin,6 Pingju Ge,6 Jiajing Wu,5 Shuo Liu,5 Yiding Chen,6 Weijin Huang,5 Cheng-Feng Qin,3† Youchun
Wang,5† Chuan Qin,2† & Xiangxi Wang,1,7†
EV
1
CAS Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, National Laboratory of Macromolecules, Institute of
Biophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
PR
2
Key Laboratory of Human Disease Comparative Medicine, Chinese Ministry of Health, Beijing Key
Laboratory for Animal Models of Emerging and Remerging Infectious Diseases, Institute of
Laboratory Animal Science, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Comparative Medicine
LE
Center, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
3
State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology,
C
Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
TI
4
Sinovac Biotech Ltd, Beijing, China.
5
Division of HIV/AIDS and Sex-Transmitted Virus Vaccines, Institute for Biological Product Control,
AR
National Institutes for Food and Drug Control (NIFDC), Beijing 102629, China.
6
Acrobiosystems Inc, Beijing, China.
ED
7
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.
8
These authors contributed equally: Kang Wang, Zijing Jia, Linlin Bao, Lei Wang, Lei Cao, Hang Chi,
Yaling Hu, Qianqian Li.
AT
from individuals who received two or three doses of inactivated vaccine, could
C
Page 1 of 22
W
the hydrophobic microenvironment generally established by RBD and a group of
antibodies bound at the right shoulder, including XGv289 and XGv282, triggering a
IE
conformational shift on CDRs and disrupting antibody recognition (Extended Data
EV
Fig. 13). In addition, the mutation E484A breaks hydrogen bond-connection with R74
from XGv282 HCDR2 and losses of charge interactions between R346, K444 from
WT RBD and D56, D58 of XGv265 LCDR2 due to conformational alterations,
PR
further decreasing the binding of XGv282 and XGv265 to the Omicron variant,
respectively (Extended Data Fig. 13). Taken together, G446S, acting as a critical
LE
mutation site, can alter the local conformation at the binding interface, conferring
greater resistance to one class of antibodies bound at the right shoulder of RBD.
C
The therapeutic activities of mAbs
TI
Given the excellent neutralizing breadth and potency at cell-based levels for above
AR
XGv282, XGv265 and XGv052, produced in the HEK293F cell line were selected for
therapeutic evaluation in a well-established mouse model challenged with the Beta
AT
variant 28. Upon Beta intranasal challenge, adult BALB/c showed robust viral
replication in the lungs at 3-5 days post inoculation (dpi). To evaluate the protection
ER
efficacy of these mAb, BALB/c mice challenged with the Beta variant were
administered a single dose of as low as 5 mg/kg of XGv347, XGv289, XGv282,
XGv265 and XGv052 individually or combinations of XGv282 and XGv347 (2.5
EL
mg/kg for each), and XGv052 and XGv289 (2.5 mg/kg for each) in therapeutic
settings (Fig. 4a). Heavy viral loads with high levels of viral RNAs (> 109 copies/g)
C
were detected in the lungs at day 5 post-infection in the control group of mice treated
AC
with PBS. However, a single dose of XGv282 reduced the viral RNA loads by
~10,000-fold in the lungs compared to the control group (Fig. 4b). Remarkably, a
single dose of XGv289, XGv265, XGv347, XGv052 or antibody cocktails of XGv282
and XGv347, XGv052 and XGv289 resulted in a complete clearance of viral particles
Page 8 of 22
in the lungs (Fig. 4b, 4c). A potential synergistic effect was observed for combined
therapies of XGv282 + XGv347 at 2.5 mg/kg for each (Fig. 4b, 4c). In addition,
histopathological examination revealed severe interstitial pneumonia, characterized
by alveolar septal thickening, inflammatory cell infiltration and distinctive vascular
W
system injury developed in mice belonging to the control group at day 5 (Fig. 4d). In
contrast, no obvious lesions of alveolar epithelial cells or focal hemorrhage were
IE
observed in the lung sections from mice that received indicated antibody treatments
EV
(Fig. 4d, Extended Data Fig. 14). To further evaluate whether XGv347 could serve as
therapeutic interventions against Omicron in vivo, we tested the protective efficacy of
XGv347 on hACE2 transgenic mice challenged by Omicron. We recorded the body
PR
weight for each mouse daily after infection for 5 days and found that the therapeutic
treatment group maintained their body weight, whereas the control group substantially
LE
lost weight (Fig. 4e), indicating that XGv347 applied after the infection could greatly
improve the physiological condition of the Omicron-infected mice. Similar to the
C
studies with the Beta strain of mice, therapeutic administration of XGv347 conferred
TI
a clear benefit on the hACE2 transgenic mouse model (K18-hACE2) 29 as indicated
by a complete clearance in viral RNA loads in the lungs and trachea at day 5 post
AR
Omicron challenge (Fig. 4f). More importantly, K18-hACE2 mice infected with
Omicron developed moderate interstitial pneumonia characterized by focal to
multifocal widen alveolar interstitium accompanied by infiltration of inflammatory
ED
cells (Fig. 4g). While, no obvious pathological injury was observed in the lung from
mice that received XGv347 treatments (Fig. 4g). Collectively, these results suggest
AT
that some of the antibodies, at least best-in-class antibodies like XGv347, from the
repertoire elicited by a 3-dose vaccination regimen retain therapeutic potential against
ER
Discussion
EL
antibodies 4,30. More recently, there has been unprecedented concern that the Omicron
AC
variant has significantly increased antibody escape breadth due to newly occurred and
accumulated mutations in the key epitopes of most neutralizing antibodies.
Alarmingly, Omicron nearly ablates the neutralization activity of most FDA approved
antibody drugs, including LY-CoV555, LY-CoV016, REGN10933, REGN10987,
Page 9 of 22
akalergis@bio.puc.cl Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 5 Center for Infectious Disease and Vaccine Research, La Jolla Institute for
Susan M. Bueno Immunology (LJI), La Jolla, CA, United States, 6 Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public
sbueno@bio.puc.cl Health, University of California, San Diego (UCSD), La Jolla, CA, United States, 7 Sinovac Biotech, Beijing, China,
8 Departamento de Farmacia, Facultad de Quı´mica y de Farmacia, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile,
†
These authors have contributed
9 Departamento de Endocrinologı´a, Facultad de Medicina, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile,
equally to this work
Santiago, Chile
Specialty section:
This article was submitted to Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the
Vaccines and Molecular Therapeutics,
a section of the journal
virus responsible of the current pandemic ongoing all around the world. Since its
Frontiers in Immunology discovery in 2019, several circulating variants have emerged and some of them are
Received: 26 July 2021 associated with increased infections and death rate. Despite the genetic differences
Accepted: 21 October 2021
among these variants, vaccines approved for human use have shown a good
Published: 09 November 2021
immunogenic and protective response against them. In Chile, over 70% of the
Citation:
Melo-González F, Soto JA, vaccinated population is immunized with CoronaVac, an inactivated SARS-CoV-2
González LA, Fernández J, vaccine. The immune response elicited by this vaccine has been described against
Duarte LF, Schultz BM, Gálvez NMS,
Pacheco GA, Rı´os M, Vázquez Y,
the first SARS-CoV-2 strain isolated from Wuhan, China and the D614G strain (lineage
Rivera-Pérez D, Moreno-Tapia D, B). To date, four SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern described have circulated worldwide.
Iturriaga C, Vallejos OP,
Here, we describe the neutralizing capacities of antibodies secreted by volunteers in the
Berrı´os-Rojas RV, Hoppe-Elsholz G,
Urzúa M, Bruneau N, Fasce RA, Chilean population immunized with CoronaVac against variants of concern Alpha
Mora J, Grifoni A, Sette A, (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351) Gamma (P.1) and Delta (B.617.2).
Weiskopf D, Zeng G, Meng W,
González-Aramundiz JV, González PA, Methods: Volunteers enrolled in a phase 3 clinical trial were vaccinated with two doses
Abarca K, Ramı´rez E, Kalergis AM and
of CoronaVac in 0-14 or 0-28 immunization schedules. Sera samples were used to
Bueno SM (2021) Recognition of
Variants of Concern by Antibodies and evaluate the capacity of antibodies induced by the vaccine to block the binding between
T Cells Induced by a SARS-CoV-2 Receptor Binding Domain (RBD) from variants of concern and the human ACE2 receptor
Inactivated Vaccine.
Front. Immunol. 12:747830.
by an in-house ELISA. Further, conventional microneutralization assays were used to
doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.747830 test neutralization of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Moreover, interferon-g-secreting T cells
against Spike from variants of concern were evaluated in PBMCs from vaccinated
subjects using ELISPOT.
Results: CoronaVac promotes the secretion of antibodies able to block the RBD of all the
SARS-CoV-2 variants studied. Seropositivity rates of neutralizing antibodies in the
population evaluated were over 97% for the lineage B strain, over 80% for Alpha and
Gamma variants, over 75% for Delta variant and over 60% for the Beta variant. Geometric
means titers of blocking antibodies were reduced when tested against SARS-CoV-2
variants as compared to ancestral strain. We also observed that antibodies from
vaccinated subjects were able to neutralize the infection of variants D614G, Alpha,
Gamma and Delta in a conventional microneutralization assay. Importantly, after SARS-
CoV-2 infection, we observed that the blocking capacity of antibodies from vaccinated
volunteers increased up to ten times for all the variants tested. We compared the number
of interferon-g-secreting T cells specific for SARS-CoV-2 Spike WT and variants of
concern from vaccinated subjects and we did not detect significant differences.
Conclusion: Immunization with CoronaVac in either immunization schedule promotes the
secretion of antibodies able to block SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and partially
neutralizes SARS-CoV-2 infection. In addition, it stimulates cellular responses against all
variants of concern.
Keywords: CoronaVac, SARS-CoV-2, antibodies, vaccine, variants of concern, T cell immunity
INTRODUCTION K417T for Gamma), which may affect antibody binding (6). In
addition, the Delta variant (first identified in India) is currently a
SARS-CoV-2 represents a global threat to public health and has cause of concern due to its high transmissibility and may even
been responsible for over 4 million deaths worldwide to date (1). surpass other variants in this regard (11). Delta exhibits unique
After the spread of the original wild-type SARS-CoV-2 strain, mutations (L452R, T478K and P681R), which may increase viral
multiple mutants have arisen around the world. Most of these infectivity and viral fusion (12, 13). Considering the increased
circulating variants belong to the SARS-CoV-2 lineage B, in infectivity and death rates described for these variants, it is
particular lineage B.1 (2). One of the most prevalent strains is the crucial to understand whether vaccination can induce
D614G, which displays a mutation in the C-terminal region of protection against them (6).
the Spike 1 (S1) domain outside the Receptor Binding Domain Chile is among the countries with the highest percentage of
(RBD) (2). Although this mutant has been reported to be more vaccination worldwide (over 56% of the total population), and
infective, sera from convalescent patients and subjects vaccinated CoronaVac, an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, represents
with mRNA vaccines are able to neutralize the D614G mutant to 78.2% of the immunized population (14). A phase 3 clinical
an extent similar to that of the ancestral strain, i.e. lineage B or trial is being conducted in Chile, with two vaccination schedules:
wild type strain (2–5). two doses separated by 14 days (0-14) or by 28 days (0-28), and
Current vaccination programs around the world are facing the general population has received the latter schedule.
the threat of these circulating variants of concern of SARS-CoV- CoronaVac is safe and induces humoral and cellular responses
2, as they exhibit different mutations in the RBD and may evade in vaccinated subjects from different age groups, and has been
antibody neutralization (2). To facilitate their identification, proven effective in remarkably reducing hospitalizations and
variants of concern are currently termed Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta death rates (15, 16). Here, we evaluate the blocking and
(B1.351), Gamma (P.1), and Delta (B.617.2) (6). Alpha (first neutralizing capacities of circulating antibody induced by
identified in the UK), Beta (first identified in South Africa) and CoronaVac in vaccinated volunteers for both schedules against
Gamma (first identified in Brazil) mutants share the N501Y the most prevalent variants in Chile. Blocking capacities against
mutation that has been linked with increased affinity of the Spike the RBD of variants Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta were tested
protein for the endogenous receptor human Angiotensin- with an in-house surrogate neutralization test (sVNT) and
converting enzyme 2 (hACE2) (7). Beta and Gamma mutants compared to the wild strain, included in the vaccine
exhibit the E484K mutation, associated with an increased evasion formulation. The neutralizing capacities of antibody were
of neutralizing antibodies (8–10). Furthermore, Beta and evaluated using a conventional plaque-reduction neutralization
Gamma exhibit mutations in the residue K417 of the RBD but test (cVNT) for the D614G, Alpha, Gamma and Delta variants.
differ in the amino acid substitutions (K417N for Beta and Our data shows that vaccinated volunteers exhibit circulating
antibodies with neutralizing capacities against the different RBD) following the instructions of the manufacturer. ELISA 96-
variants of concern, with a better response against the Alpha well plates (SPL) were pre-coated with 100 ng per well of the
and Gamma variants, although inhibition of the binding between recombinant hACE2 protein (GenScript #Z03484) in 50 mL of
hACE2 and RBD from the Beta variant was also detected using 100 mM carbonate–bicarbonate coating buffer (pH 9.6) ON at
sVNT. We also observed that CoronaVac promotes Interferon-y 4°C. Plates were then washed three times with PBS - 0.05% Tween
(IFN-g)-producing CD4+ T cells against Spike peptides from 20 and blocked with PBS - 10% FBS for 2h at RT. The HRP-RBD
variants of concern. These results suggest that the antibodies and conjugates obtained previously were then incubated with the
cellular responses induced by the administration of two doses of serum sample in a final volume of 120 µL for 1 h at 37°C.
CoronaVac would have a protective role against the several Concentration of conjugates used were as follows: 3 ng of WT
circulating variants of concern of SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2, 0.75 ng of B.1.1.7, 3 ng of B.1.351, 3 ng of P.1 and 3
ng of B.1.617.2. Then, these mixtures were added into the 96-well
plates coated with hACE2 and were incubated for 1 h at RT.
Unbound HRP-RBD were removed washing five times with PBS -
METHODS 0.05% Tween 20. Then, 50 µL of 3,3’,5,5’-tetramethylbenzidine
Study Design and Volunteers (TMB – BD #555214) was added. An equal volume of 2 N H2SO4
The clinical trial (clinicaltrials.gov NCT04651790) was was added to stop the reaction, and optical densities (OD) values
conducted in Chile at eight different sites and evaluated two at 450 nm were read. The antibody titer was determined as the last
immunization schedules. This trial was approved by each fold-dilution with a cut-off value over 20% of inhibition. The
Institutional Ethical Committee and the Chilean Public Health percentage of inhibition was defined as: [OD450nm value of
Institute (#24204/20) and conducted according to the current negative control-OD450nm value of sample]/[OD450nm value of
Tripartite Guidelines for Good Clinical Practices, the Declaration negative control*100]. Negative controls (corresponding to sera
of Helsinki (17), and local regulations. Volunteers were sample obtained before immunization) were included. For the
inoculated with either two doses of 3 µg (600SU) of cVNT, sera samples were two-fold serially diluted starting at a
CoronaVac at 0- and 14-days or 0- and 28-days post the first 4-fold dilution until a 512-fold. Then, samples were incubated for
immunization (p.i.). Written informed consent was obtained 1 h at 37°C with an equal volume of a SARS-CoV-2 33782CL-
from each participant. Exclusion criteria included history of SARS-CoV-2 strain (lineage B, D614G), Alpha (B.1.1.7), Gamma
confirmed symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, pregnancy, (P.1) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variants. These variants were
allergy to vaccine components, and immunocompromised previously isolated by the Institute of Public Health of Chile
conditions. A complete list of inclusion and exclusion criteria from clinical samples. These mixtures were inoculated on
has been published previously (15). A total of 2,302 volunteers confluent Vero E6 cell monolayers (ATCC CRL-1586) and
were enrolled by March 19th, 2021, and a subgroup of 440 cytopathic effect (CPE) was evaluated seven days later. Sera
volunteers was chosen to evaluate their immune response. samples from uninfected patients (negative controls) and sera
Demographic information, co-morbidities, nutritional status, samples from confirmed COVID-19 patients (positive controls)
immunization schedule, and dates of vaccination, were were included. Plaque forming units were quantified by direct
obtained at enrolment for all volunteers. visualization and the titer of neutralizing antibodies was defined
as the highest serum dilution that neutralized 100% of virus
Procedures infection. Seropositivity rates were calculated as the percentage
Sera samples from the 0-14 and 0-28 immunization schedules of the population evaluated that showed end titers ≥1/4 in
were chosen among those that were previously confirmed as both techniques.
positive against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 through commercial kits To assess the cellular immune response, ELISPOT assays were
(GenScript #L00847-A and BioHermes #COV-S41). A total of 42 performed using PBMCs from 18 participants, as described
samples (22 samples from the 0-14 schedule and 20 from the 0- previously, using the human IFN-g/interleukin-4 (IL-4)double-
28 schedule) were evaluated by sVNT. A total of 52 samples (34 color ELISPOT (Immunospot) (15). Cells were stimulated for
samples from the 0-14 schedule and 18 samples from the 0-28 48h in the presence of Mega Pools (MPs) of peptides derived
schedule) were evaluated by cVNT. Both groups included from SARS-CoV-2 Spike WT, Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta at
volunteers aged 18 to 59 years and over 60 years. 37°C, 5% CO2. As positive controls, an independent stimulation
To assess the capacity of the antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 performed with 5 mg/mL of Concanavalin A (ConA) (Sigma Life
circulating variants of concern to inhibit RBD and hACE2 Science #C5275-5MG) and with an MP of peptides derived from
interaction in the samples from vaccinated volunteers, we cytomegalovirus proteins (MP-CMV) for the stimulation of both
performed in-house SARS-CoV-2 sVNT based on previous CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. As a vehicle control, DMSO 1% (Merck
reports (18). RBD unconjugated proteins from wild-type (WT) #317275) was included. Spot Forming Cells (SFCs) were counted
SARS-CoV-2 (GenScript #Z03483) and the variants B.1.1.7 on an ImmunoSpot® S6 Micro Analyzer.
(GenScript #Z03533), B.1.351 (GenScript #Z03537) P.1
(SinoBiological #40592-V08H86) and B.1.617.2 (GenScript Statistical Analysis
#Z03613) were conjugated to HRP using the HRP Conjugation Statistical differences were evaluated by Wilcoxon tests (for
Kit - Lightning Link (#ab102890) in a 2:1 mass ratio (HRP to comparisons between two groups). Differences were considered
significant if the p value was under 0.05. All data were analyzed against the WT strain (52.0, 95% CI 33.2-81-3) compared to the
with GraphPad Prism 9.0.1. GMTs for the WT strain observed in the 0-14 schedule, as
observed in Fig 1C. These GMT values decreased when
evaluating the circulating variants of concern (Alpha, 2.5-fold
RESULTS reduction, GMT 20.4, 95% CI 11.1-37.4; Beta, 9.8-fold reduction,
GMT 5.3 95% CI 3.4-8; Gamma, 6.9-fold reduction, GMT 7.5,
To assess whether volunteers from the Phase 3 clinical trial being 95% CI 4.7-11.9; and Delta, 5.5-fold reduction, GMT 9.5 95% CI
held in Chile exhibited antibodies able to inhibit the RBD of 5.9-15.4) (Figure 1C). Decreases in GMT values against the Beta,
SARS-CoV-2 circulating variants of concern, we performed an Gamma and Delta variants were seen for both age groups in this
in-house sVNT designed to evaluate the inhibition of the immunization schedule. However, volunteers aged 18-59 years
interaction between hACE2 and RBD, which has been exhibited a similar GMT between the WT strain and the Alpha
previously shown to correlate with neutralizing antibodies (15, variant (Supplementary Figures 2C, D). Seropositivity rates of
18). Samples from volunteers immunized with two doses of antibodies measured for this schedule are showed in Figure 1C
CoronaVac in a 0-14 or 0-28 immunization schedule were tested. and are similar to those reported for the 0-14 schedule. The
Levels of antibodies able to inhibit the interaction between results indicate that 100% of the evaluated volunteers exhibited
hACE2 and RBD from circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants of antibodies able to inhibit the WT strain, while percentages
concern combining both 0-14 and 0-28 immunization against the Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta variants were 90%,
schedules are shown in Figure 1A. We report a 1.8-fold 65%, 80% and 85%, respectively.
reduction of antibody titers that inhibit the variant Alpha, a In order to further corroborate whether these antibodies were
5.9-fold reduction of titers against the variant Beta, a 3-fold also able to neutralize viral infection in a cell culture, we
reduction of titers against the variant Gamma, and a 3.5-fold performed cVNT for lineage B SARS-CoV2 (D614G) and the
reduction of titers against the variant Delta, as compared to the Alpha, Gamma, and Delta variants. The results obtained showed
WT strain. These reductions were associated with a decrease in that, as compared to the D614G strain, there was a 2.33-fold
GMT values, i.e., 29.5 (95% CI 20.1-43) for the WT strain, 16.0 decrease in neutralizing antibodies against the Alpha variant, a
(95% CI 10.9-23.5) for Alpha, 5.0 (95% CI 3.8-6.7) for Beta, 9.8 4.73-fold reduction against the Gamma variant and a 9.46-fold
(95% CI 6.9-13.9) for Gamma, and 8.5 (95% CI 6.1-11.9) for reduction against the Delta variant (Figure 2A). This result
Delta. Reductions seen for variants Beta, Gamma, and Delta were suggests that CoronaVac induce the secretion of antibodies
detected in both age groups. Interestingly, participants aged 18- that can neutralize these variants, but at rates lower than those
59 years did not exhibit significant differences in the level of reported for the WT or the D614G strain. The GMT values
antibodies inhibiting the WT strain and the Alpha variant obtained by cVNT for D614G strain and the Alpha, Gamma, and
(Supplementary Figure 1). The seropositivity rate of the Delta variants were 74.8 (95% CI 59.8-93.6), 32.1(95% CI 20.1-
neutralizing antibodies in the population evaluated was 100% 51.1), 15.8 (95% CI 9.5-26.2) and 7.9 (95% CI 5.2-12),
for the WT strain and 88.1%, 64.2%, 88.1% and 78.6% for Alpha, respectively. As also seen for sVNT, volunteers aged 18 to 59
Beta, Gamma, and Delta, respectively. years exhibit a significant decrease in neutralizing antibodies
For the 0-14 immunization schedule, antibodies that inhibit against Gamma, and Delta, whereas volunteers over 60 years old
the variants Alpha, Beta, and Gamma were measured 28 days exhibited significantly decreased neutralizing antibodies against
after administration of the second dose. GMTs of antibodies able Alpha and Delta and a lower but insignificant decrease in
to inhibit the RBDs (Figure 1B) are lower compared to the wild- neutralizing antibodies against Gamma (Supplementary
type strain (17.6, 95% CI 10.2-30.1) and the lowest reported value Figure 3). The seropositivity rates of neutralizing antibodies
were against the Beta variant (GMT 4.8, 95% CI 3.1-7.4, a 3.6- for the Alpha, Gamma and Delta variants were 84.62%, 65.38%
fold reduction) and Delta variant (GMT 7.8, 95% CI 4.7-12.9, a and 55.76% respectively, while for the D614G strain was 97.6%
2.3-fold reduction). In contrast, similar GMT values were found (Figure 2B). Further details regarding the values reported on
for the Alpha and Gamma variants (12.8, 95% CI 7.7-21.5 and Figures 1 and 2 can be found in Tables 1 and 2.
12.4, 95% CI 7.3-21.2, respectively). Similar values were found We also evaluated whether nine volunteers infected with
when samples were analyzed according to their age group, SARS-CoV-2 after their respective vaccination schedules were
although volunteers aged 18 to 59 years old exhibited a completed (breakthrough cases) produced antibodies inhibiting
significant decrease in antibodies against the Beta RBD and the RBDs of the different variants evaluated. Figure 3 compares
Delta RBD whereas volunteers over 60 years only exhibit a antibodies levels 28 days after the second dose of CoronaVac
significant decrease against the Beta RBD (Supplementary (pre-infection) and 28 days after the infection were detected
Figures 2A, B). The seropositivity rate was 95.45% of the (post-infection). Most of the volunteers exhibited a 10-fold
evaluated volunteers exhibiting neutralizing antibodies against increase in the GMT of antibodies able to inhibit the RBDs of
the WT strain, while the percentages against the Alpha, Beta, the four variants evaluated (Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta), as
Gamma and Delta variants were 86.36%, 63.64%, 86.36%, and compared to GMT observed for samples previous infection.
72.72%, respectively. Therefore, natural infection with SARS-CoV-2 increases the
For volunteers of the 0-28 immunization schedule, increased secretion of antibodies that can block the interaction of RBDs
GMT values in antibodies able to block the RBDs were found from the Beta, Gamma, and Delta variants with the hACE2
FIGURE 1 | Immunization with CoronaVac induces antibodies able to inhibit the interaction between hACE2 and S1-RBD from SARS-CoV-2 variants after two
immunizations in a 0-14 and 0-28 schedule. Antibody titers were evaluated with a surrogate virus neutralization assay (sVNT), which quantifies the interaction
between S1-RBD from either WT SARS-CoV-2 or variants of concern (Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta) and hACE2 on ELISA plates. Total neutralizing antibodies
titer from volunteers vaccinated with CoronaVac, 28 days after the second dose and the seropositivity rate of neutralizing antibodies are shown for both vaccination
schedules (A), 0-14 schedule (B) and 0-28 schedule (C). Numbers above the bars show the Geometric Mean Titer (GMT), and the error bars indicate the 95% CI in
the graphs showing total antibody titers, and the number above bars show the percentage of seropositivity rate in the respective graphs. A Wilcoxon test analyzed
data to compare against the wild-type RBD; **p < 0.005, ***p < 0.001, ****p < 0.0001. The graph represents the results obtained for 22 volunteers for the 0-14
schedule and 20 volunteers for the 0-28 schedule.
receptor. However, further analyses are still required, as no In order to evaluate anti-Spike CD4+ T cell responses, we
characterization of the variants infecting these volunteers stimulated PBMCs of participants from both 0-14 and 0-28
was performed. schedules with Spike MPs from the WT strain and variants of
Moreover, we have recently shown that CoronaVac is able to concern and evaluated IFN-g expression by ELISPOT (Figure 4).
stimulate CD4+ T cell responses against MPs of both Spike and As previously reported, the subjects evaluated exhibited robust
Non-Spike peptides, displaying higher secretion of IFN-g and IFN-g production following stimulation and we did not observe
expression of activation markers following vaccination in a 0-14 significant differences between PBMCs stimulated with any of
schedule, which peaks 14 days after the second dose (15). the Spike MPs, suggesting that CoronaVac induces protective
A B
FIGURE 2 | CoronaVac immunization induces neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 variants after two vaccine doses using a conventional virus neutralization
test. Neutralizing antibody titers were evaluated by incubating the serum with a SARS-CoV-2 Chilean clinical strains and then added into Vero E6 cell for seven days.
The neutralizing titer was determinate for the last dilution where no viral cytopathic effect was found in cells against wild type (D614G), and Alpha, Gamma and Delta
variants. Consolidate neutralizing antibodies titer of both schedules is shown in (A), and the seropositivity rate of neutralizing antibodies is shown in (B). Numbers
above the bars show the Geometric Mean Titer (GMT), and the error bars indicate the 95% CI in (A), and the number above bars in (B) showed the seropositivity
rate. A Wilcoxon test analyzed data to compare against the wild-type RBD; **p < 0.005, ****p < 0.0001. The graph represents the results obtained for 52 volunteers
of both schedules.
cellular responses against all SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. In and cVNT (Figures 1–3). Although the intrinsic characteristics
addition, we observed low numbers of IL-4-secreting T cells in for each of the techniques used in this report to evaluate
response to all of the MPs (Supplementary Figure 4), which is circulating neutralizing antibodies in immunized volunteers
consistent with our previous data using the MP-S WT. were different, the results obtained were mostly equivalent for
the WT strain, as described in our previous studies (15, 21). We
found similar fold reductions in blocking and neutralizing
DISCUSSION antibodies against the variants Alpha and Gamma using both
techniques, but a higher fold reduction against the Delta variant
The current spread of multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants worldwide (3.5-fold reduction in the sVNT and 9.46-fold reduction in the
challenges the strategies of vaccination and represent a threat for cVNT) was observed. Moreover, when evaluating through
potential new waves of infection. The inactivated SARS-CoV-2 cVNT, lower seropositivity rates were observed against the
vaccine CoronaVac has been proven to induce total IgG and Gamma and Delta variants (65.4% and 55.8%, respectively) as
neutralizing antibodies against the Spike protein in subjects compared to the results obtained by sVNT (83.3% and 78.57%,
vaccinated with either a 0-14 or 0-28 vaccination schedule, respectively), but we report a similar percentage of seropositivity
although those levels are lower as compared to other vaccines for participants with circulating neutralizing antibodies against
such as BNT16b2 and Moderna mRNA-1273 (15, 19, 20). Here at least two of the variants with both techniques (88.1% by sVNT
we report that CoronaVac induces the secretion of neutralizing and 78.8 by cVNT) (Tables 1 and 2). These results are in line
antibodies that recognize most of the variants of concern with previous reports that have shown a high correlation
currently circulating in the population, as determined by sVNT between these two techniques (15, 18). A recent study that
TABLE 1 | Seropositivity rates and geometric mean titer of antibodies that inhibit the RBDs of SARS-CoV2 variants, by sVNT.
Schedule Indicators Wild type Alpha (B.1.1.7) Beta (B.1.351) Gamma (P.1) Delta (B.1.617.2) Seropositivity rate over 2 variants
RBD, Receptor-binding domain; S, Spike; GMT, Geometric mean titer; N/D, Not determined.
TABLE 2 | Seropositivity rates and geometric mean titer of neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV2 variants by cVNT.
Schedule Indicators D614G Alpha (B.1.1.7) Gamma (P.1) Delta (B.1.617.2) Seropositivity rate over 2 variants
used the sVNT and cVNT to evaluate neutralizing antibodies have reported a 7.51 and 2.33-fold reduction, respectively, in
against SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in heterologous and Gamma variant neutralization as compared to the WT strain in
homologous ChAdOx1 nCoV-19/BNT162b2 vaccination has subjects vaccinated with CoronaVac (26, 27). The reduced
shown high correlation between both assays (22). neutralizing capacities reported against the Gamma variant have
Our results are in line with the effectiveness of CoronaVac been related to the E484K mutation, which promotes the evasion
observed in a study of elderly subjects vaccinated in Brazil, where of neutralizing antibodies (28). Importantly, the Gamma variant
the Gamma variant is the most prevalent SARS-CoV-2 strain and became one of the dominant SARS-CoV-2 strains in Chile during
an effectiveness of 42% was reported (23). Furthermore, our data is 2021 in parallel to the vaccination of Chilean population with
consistent with a recent study in volunteers vaccinated with two CoronaVac (26). However, only 45 out of 2,263 participants of the
doses of CoronaVac in China, which exhibit a 4.3-fold reduction phase 3 clinical trial carried out in Chile developed breakthrough
of VNT in live neutralization assays against the Gamma variant cases following vaccination and among these individuals 96%
compared to the WT strain and another study with individuals developed mild disease, which suggests that CoronaVac is
vaccinated with two doses of CoronaVac in Brazil, which reported protective against SARS-CoV-2 and potentially against SARS-
reduced VNT against the isolates P.1/28 and P.1/30 as compared CoV-2 variants (21).
to the WT strain (a 3.1 and 2.6 fold reduction, respectively) (24, We also reported neutralizing responses against the Beta
25). Similarly, here we report a 4.73 fold reduction compared to variant in subjects vaccinated with two doses of CoronaVac. A
the D614G strain using cVNT (Figure 2). In addition, other reduced inhibition of the interaction between hACE2 and RBD
studies carried out in Chile using cVNT and pseudotyped viruses compared to the WT strain and a seropositivity of 64.2% was
FIGURE 3 | CoronaVac immunization induces antibodies able to inhibit the interaction between hACE2 and S1-RBD from SARS-CoV-2 variants in vaccine
breakthrough cases after two vaccine doses. Antibody titers were evaluated with a surrogate virus neutralization assay (sVNT), which quantifies the interaction
between S1-RBD from either Wild type SARS-CoV-2 or variants of concern (Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta) and hACE2 on ELISA plates. Comparative data from
vaccine breakthrough cases from both schedules are represented for each variant in two different point times, pre-infection (black circle) and post-infection (red
circles). A Wilcoxon test analyzed data to compare against the wild-type RBD; *p < 0.05. The graph represents the results obtained for nine volunteers considering
both schedules.
FIGURE 4 | Evaluation of cellular immune response through ELISPOT upon stimulation with Mega Pools of Spike peptides derived from SARS-CoV-2 WT and
variants of concern in volunteers immunized with CoronaVac. Numbers of IFN-g-secreting cells, determined through ELISPOT as spot forming cells (SFCs) were
determined. PBMCs were stimulated with MP-S WT, MP-S Alpha, MP-S Beta, MP-S Gamma and MP-S Delta for 48 h for samples obtained 2 weeks after the
second dose of volunteers of the 0-14 schedule (n = 11) and 0-28 schedule (n = 7). A total of 18 volunteers were evaluated. Data shown represents mean ±
95% CI and the mean is indicated above each bar. Statistical differences were evaluated by a one-way ANOVA followed by Dunnett’s test for multiple
comparisons against the MP-S WT.
reported using the sVNT, the lowest across all variants of volunteers vaccinated with CoronaVac exhibit reduced blocking
concern analyzed (Figure 1 and Table 1). These results are antibodies compared to the WT RBD but we report a
consistent with recent reports in cohorts from Thailand and seropositivity of 78.57% and 55.76% by sVNT and cVNT
China vaccinated with CoronaVac, in which reduced (Tables 1 and 2), respectively, which suggests that the vaccine
neutralization was reported using live virus neutralization (fold confers protection against this variant. Our data is in line with
reductions of 22.1 and 5.7 compared to the WT strain, the previously mentioned works from Thailand and China in
respectively) (24, 29) and also with the reduction in volunteers vaccinated with 2 doses of CoronaVac, in which
neutralizing responses observed in subjects vaccinated with the neutralization was evaluated by cVNT and reported fold
mRNA vaccine BNT162b2 for the Beta variant (4, 30). In line reductions of 31.7 and 3.7 fold reduction, respectively, as
with the reports for the Gamma variant, the E484K mutation compared to the WT strain, whereas we report a 9.46-fold
found in the Beta variant has been identified as the main reduction (24, 29). Similarly, mRNA vaccines induce
mutation responsible for this effect as antibodies bind to RBD neutralizing antibodies against the Delta variant but to a
with less affinity. reduced extent compared to the WT strain (31, 32).
Of note, we used the D614G variant in the cVNT, which Pseudoviruses carrying the L452R mutation display higher
exhibits a mutation outside of the RBD and we were able to infectivity in cell culture and when incubated with sera from
observe effective neutralization against viral infection in all the subjects vaccinated with Moderna mRNA-1273 or BNT16b2, as
subjects evaluated from both vaccination schedules and both age compared to the WT strain (13).
groups (Figure 2). These results support that CoronaVac is Our study also shows how subjects vaccinated with
protective against the D614G variant, which is one of the most CoronaVac increase their blocking antibody GMTs following
prevalent strains worldwide. natural infection against the wild type strain and to a similar
Our work also reported protection against the variant Delta. extent to the Alpha variant, but this increased GMT was lower
The Delta variant (first identified in India) exhibit the RBD for the variants Beta, Gamma and Delta (Figure 3). These
mutations T478K, L452R and P681R and is currently a cause of findings are consistent with studies comparing different
concern due to its high transmissibility and may even surpass vaccine platforms against natural infection, which indicate that
other variants in this regard (11). The Delta variant has been inactivated vaccines induce lower levels of neutralizing
recently detected in Chile and it is becoming one of the dominant antibodies compared to natural infection with SARS-CoV-2, in
SARS-CoV-2 strains. Here we show using a RBD containing the contrast to mRNA vaccines, which exhibit comparable levels of
mutations T478K and L452R present in the Delta variant that neutralization, using live virus neutralization (20). In line with
this, cohorts from Thailand and Brazil vaccinated with ETHICS STATEMENT
CoronaVac exhibits lower neutralizing antibody titers against
either the WT strain or variants of concern, compared to This trial was approved by each Institutional Ethical Committee
naturally infected individuals (25, 29). We have previously and the Chilean Public Health Institute (#24204/20) and
reported levels of neutralization in unvaccinated and naturally conducted according to the current Tripartite Guidelines for
infected hospitalized individuals, which exhibit a robust Good Clinical Practices, the Declaration of Helsinki. The
neutralizing antibody response against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 patients/participants provided their written informed consent
(33). Although we did not perform cVNT for either to participate in this study.
breakthrough cases or naturally infected individuals against
variants of concern, our results obtained by sVNT are in line
with data from non-variant infected subjects, who also exhibit a
similar reduction in neutralization against the variants Beta, AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Gamma and Delta (20).
Conceptualization and visualization, AK, ER, SB, KA, PG, and
Moreover, here we show that CoronaVac is able to stimulate
JG-A. Methodology, RF, JM, JF, GZ, WM, AG, AS, and DW.
T cell responses against Spike MPs from either WT strain or
Investigation, FM-G, JS, JF, NB, LG, BS, LD, NG, GAP, RB-R,
variants of concern and we did not see any significant differences
GH-E, CI, DM-T, MR, DR-P, OV, MU, and YV. Funding
(Figure 4). This is the first report to date to characterize T cell
acquisition, AK. Project administration, AK, KA, SB, PG, and
responses against SARS-CoV-2 Spike MPs in volunteers
JG-A. Supervision, AK, KA, SB, and PG. Writing – original draft,
vaccinated with CoronaVac. Concordantly, MPs from variants
FM-G and JS. Writing – review and editing, AK, KA, SB, ER, PG,
of concern have been previously used to show that volunteers
AG, AS, and DW. All authors contributed to the article and
vaccinated with two doses of either Moderna mRNA-1273 or
approved the submitted version.
BNT16b2 exhibit IFN-g-secreting T cells in response to these
MPs and no significant differences were found (34). These results
have been attributed to the high conservation of T cell epitopes in
variants of concern, suggesting that vaccines can induce effective FUNDING
cellular responses against them. In addition, it is important to
highlight that although the majority of the T cell responses are This work was supported by The Ministry of Health, Government
conserved and the variants do not mutate enough to disrupt the of Chile supported the funding of the CoronaVac03CL Study, The
overall T cell repertoire, mutations are observed in other SARS- Confederation of Production and Commerce (CPC), Chile,
CoV-2 proteins and across variants (34). Therefore, it is likely supported the funding of the CoronaVac03CL Study, the NIH
that the induction of cellular responses against other SARS-CoV- NIAID under Contract No. 75N93021C00016 supports AS and
2 proteins by CoronaVac may confer an advantage compared to Contract No. 75N9301900065 supports AS, DW. The Millennium
other vaccines, considering that the inclusion of multiple Institute on Immunology and Immunotherapy, ANID -
antigens might increase the likelihood that more epitopes are Millennium Science Initiative Program ICN09_016 (former
conserved than having only one protein in the vaccine. P09/016-F) supports SB, KA, PG, and AK. The Innovation
Importantly, a limitation of our study is that we were not able Fund for Competitiveness FIC-R 2017 (BIP Code: 30488811-0)
to characterize other non-neutralizing antibody functions that supports SB, PG, and AK. SINOVAC contributed to this study
could be important in either vaccinated or convalescent subjects with the investigational vaccine and experimental reagents.
against variants of concern. Furthermore, in vitro evaluation of
neutralizing antibodies does not necessarily correlate with
protection against SARS-CoV-2 in vaccinated individuals.
However, recent evidence supports that levels of neutralizing ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
antibodies are predictive of protection against symptomatic
SARS-CoV-2 infection (35). In addition, although cellular We would like to thank the support of the Ministry of Health,
responses do not necessarily prevent infection, induction of Government of Chile, Ministry of Science, Technology,
cellular responses against variants of concern in individuals Knowledge, and Innovation, Government of Chile, and The
vaccinated with CoronaVac suggests that vaccinated Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of Chile and the
individuals are protected from severe disease, which is Chilean Public Health Institute (ISP). We also would like to
supported from the results of the clinical trial performed in thank Rami Scharf, Jessica White, Jorge Flores and Miren
Chile with this vaccine (16, 21). Itu rriza-Gomara from PATH for their support on
experimental design and discussion. We also thank the Vice
Presidency of Research (VRI), the Direction of Technology
Transfer and Development (DTD), the Legal Affairs
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Department (DAJ) of the Pontificia Universidad Cató lica de
Chile. We are also grateful to the Administrative Directions of
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be the School of Biological Sciences and the School of Medicine of
made available by the authors, without undue reservation. the Pontificia Universidad Cató lica de Chile for their
administrative support. Special thanks to the members of the SARS-CoV-2 or variants of concern (Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta) and hACE2 on
ELISA plates. Results were obtained from participants vaccinated with CoronaVac
CoronaVac03CL Study Group [list in the Supplementary
28 days after the second dose. For 0-14 schedule, volunteers between 18-59 and ≥
Appendix (SA)] for their hard work and dedication to the 60 are shown in (A, B), respectively, and for 0-28, schedule volunteers between 18-
clinical study; the members of the independent data safety 59 and ≥ 60 are shown in (C, D), respectively. The bars above show the Geometric
monitoring committee (members in the SA) for their Mean Titer (GMT), and the error bars indicate the 95% CI. A Wilcoxon test analyzed
oversight, and the subjects enrolled in the study for their data to compare against the wild-type RBD; **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.005, ****p < 0.0001.
The graph represents the results obtained for 12 participants in the 18-59 years old
participation and commitment to this trial.
group and 10 participants in the ≥60 years old group in the 0-14 schedule and for
10 participants in the 18-59 years old group and 10 participants in the ≥60 years old
group in the 0- 28 schedule.
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Conflict of Interest: Authors GZ and WM are employed by company SINOVAC
Vaccination. Nat Med (2021) 27:1525–29. doi: 10.1101/2021.06.01.
Biotech. AS is a consultant for Gritstone Bio, Flow Pharma, Arcturus
21258172
Therapeutics, ImmunoScape, CellCarta, Avalia, Moderna, Fortress and Repertoire.
23. Ranzani OT, Hitchings M, Dorion Nieto M, D’Agostini TL, de Paula RC, de
Paula OFP, et al. Effectiveness of the CoronaVac Vaccine in the Elderly The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of
Population During a P.1 Variant-Associated Epidemic of COVID-19 in Brazil: any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential
A Test-Negative Case-Control Study. MedRxiv (2021) 374. doi: 10.1136/ conflict of interest.
bmj.n2015 La Jolla Institute for Immunology (LJI) has filed for patent protection for various
24. Wang K, Cao Y, Zhou Y, Wu J, Jia Z, Hu Y, et al. A Third Dose of Inactivated aspects of T cell epitope and vaccine design work.
Vaccine Augments the Potency, Breadth, and Duration of Anamnestic
Responses Against SARS-CoV-2. medRxiv (2021) 2021.09.02.21261735. doi: The authors declare this study received the investigational product (placebo and
10.1101/2021.09.02.21261735 vaccines) from the company SINOVAC Biotech. SINOVAC employees
25. Souza WM, Amorim MR, Sesti-Costa R, Coimbra LD, Brunetti NS, Toledo- contributed to the conceptualization of the study (clinical protocol and eCRF
Teixeira DA, et al. Neutralisation of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage P.1 by Antibodies design) but did not participate in either the analysis or interpretation of the data
Elicited Through Natural SARS-CoV-2 Infection or Vaccination With an shown in this manuscript.
Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine: An Immunological Study. Lancet Microbe
(2021) 2:e527–35. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00129-4 Publisher’s Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors
26. Acevedo ML, Alonso-Palomares L, Bustamante A, Gaggero A, Paredes F, and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of
Corté s CP, et al. Infectivity and Immune Escape of the New SARS-CoV-2 the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in
Variant of Interest Lambda. medRxiv (2021) 2021.06.28.21259673. doi: this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or
10.1101/2021.06.28.21259673 endorsed by the publisher.
27. Ferná ndez J, Bruneau N, Fasce R, Martı́n HS, Balanda M, Bustos P, et al.
Neutralization of Alpha, Gamma, and D614G SARS-CoV-2 Variants by Copyright © 2021 Melo-Gonzaĺ ez, Soto, Gonzaĺ ez, Fernań dez, Duarte, Schultz,
CoronaVac Vaccine-Induced Antibodies. J Med Virol (2021). doi: 10.1002/ Gaĺ vez, Pacheco, Rıos,
́ Vaź quez, Rivera-Peŕ ez, Moreno-Tapia, Iturriaga, Vallejos,
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Berrıos-Rojas, Hoppe-Elsholz, Urzuá , Bruneau, Fasce, Mora, Grifoni, Sette, Weiskopf,
28. Yuan M, Huang D, Lee CC, Wu NC, Jackson AM, Zhu X, et al. Structural and Zeng, Meng, Gonzaĺ ez-Aramundiz, Gonzaĺ ez, Abarca, Ramırez,́ Kalergis and Bueno.
Functional Ramifications of Antigenic Drift in Recent SARS-CoV-2 Variants. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons
Sci (80- ) (2021) 373:818–23. doi: 10.1126/science.abh1139 Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is
29. Vacharathit V, Aiewsakun P, Manopwisedjaroen S, Srisaowakarn C, permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and
Laopanupong T, Ludowyke N, et al. CoronaVac Induces Lower that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted
Neutralising Activity Against Variants of Concern Than Natural Infection. academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not
Lancet Infect Dis (2021) 21:1352–4. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00568-5 comply with these terms.
Reviewed by: Luisa F. Duarte 1,2†, Nicolás M. S. Gálvez 1,2†, Carolina Iturriaga 3†, Felipe Melo-González 1,2†,
Daniel Ramos Ram,
Jorge A. Soto 1,2†, Bárbara M. Schultz 1,2†, Marcela Urzúa 3†, Liliana A. González 1,2,
Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center
Yaneisi Vázquez 1,2, Mariana Rı́os 1,2, Roslye V. Berrı́os-Rojas 1,2, Daniela Rivera-Pérez 1,2,
and Harvard Medical School,
United States
Daniela Moreno-Tapia 1,2, Gaspar A. Pacheco 1,2, Omar P. Vallejos 1,2,
Duo Xu, Guillermo Hoppe-Elsholz 1,2, Marı́a S. Navarrete 4, Álvaro Rojas 4, Rodrigo A. Fasce 5,
University of California, Riverside, Jorge Fernández 5, Judith Mora 5, Eugenio Ramı́rez 5, Gang Zeng 6, Weining Meng 6,
United States José V. González-Aramundiz 7, Pablo A. González 1,2, Katia Abarca 1,3*, Susan M. Bueno 1,2*
*Correspondence:
and Alexis M. Kalergis 1,2,8*
Katia Abarca 1 Millennium Institute on Immunology and Immunotherapy, Santiago, Chile, 2 Departamento de Genética Molecular y
kabarca@uc.cl
Microbiologı´a, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 3 Departamento de
Susan M. Bueno
Enfermedades Infecciosas e Inmunologı´a Pediátricas, División de Pediatrı´a, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad
sbueno@bio.puc.cl
Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 4 Departamento de Enfermedades Infecciosas del Adulto, División de Medicina, Escuela
Alexis M. Kalergis
de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 5 Departamento de Laboratorio Biomédico, Instituto de
akalergis@bio.puc.cl
Salud Pública de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 6 Sinovac Biotech, Beijing, China, 7 Departamento de Farmacia, Facultad de Quı´mica
†
These authors have contributed y de Farmacia, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile, 8 Departamento de Endocrinologı´a, Facultad de
equally to this work Medicina, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
Specialty section:
This article was submitted to
Constant efforts to prevent infections by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Vaccines and Molecular Therapeutics, (SARS-CoV-2) are actively carried out around the world. Several vaccines are currently
a section of the journal
approved for emergency use in the population, while ongoing studies continue to provide
Frontiers in Immunology
information on their safety and effectiveness. CoronaVac is an inactivated SARS-CoV-2
Received: 16 July 2021
Accepted: 06 September 2021 vaccine with a good safety and immunogenicity profile as seen in phase 1, 2, and 3 clinical
Published: 29 September 2021 trials around the world, with an effectiveness of 65.9% for symptomatic cases. Although
Citation: vaccination reduces the risk of disease, infections can still occur during or after completion
Duarte LF, Gálvez NMS, Iturriaga C,
Melo-González F, Soto JA,
of the vaccination schedule (breakthrough cases). This report describes the clinical and
Schultz BM, Urzúa M, González LA, immunological profile of vaccine breakthrough cases reported in a clinical trial in progress
Vázquez Y, Rı´os M, Berrı´os-Rojas RV,
in Chile that is evaluating the safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of two vaccination
Rivera-Pérez D, Moreno-Tapia D,
Pacheco GA, Vallejos OP, schedules of CoronaVac (clinicaltrials.gov NCT04651790). Out of the 2,263 fully
Hoppe-Elsholz G, Navarrete MS, vaccinated subjects, at end of June 2021, 45 have reported symptomatic SARS-CoV-2
Rojas Á, Fasce RA, Fernández J,
Mora J, Ramı´rez E, Zeng G, Meng W,
infection 14 or more days after the second dose (1.99% of fully vaccinated subjects). Of
González-Aramundiz JV, González PA, the 45 breakthrough cases, 96% developed mild disease; one case developed a
Abarca K, Bueno SM and Kalergis AM
moderate disease; and one developed a severe disease and required mechanical
(2021) Immune Profile and
Clinical Outcome of Breakthrough ventilation. Both cases that developed moderate and severe disease were adults over
Cases After Vaccination With an 60 years old and presented comorbidities. The immune response before and after
Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine.
Front. Immunol. 12:742914.
SARS-CoV-2 infection was analyzed in nine vaccine breakthrough cases, revealing that
doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2021.742914 six of them exhibited circulating anti-S1-RBD IgG antibodies with neutralizing capacities
after immunization, which showed a significant increase 2 and 4 weeks after symptoms
onset. Two cases exhibited low circulating anti-S1-RBD IgG and almost non-existing
neutralizing capacity after either vaccination or infection, although they developed a mild
disease. An increase in the number of interferon-g-secreting T cells specific for SARS-CoV-2
was detected 2 weeks after the second dose in seven cases and after symptoms onset. In
conclusion, breakthrough cases were mostly mild and did not necessarily correlate with a
lack of vaccine-induced immunity, suggesting that other factors, to be defined in future
studies, could lead to symptomatic infection after vaccination with CoronaVac.
Keywords: CoronaVac, phase 3 clinical trial, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, vaccines, breakthrough cases
of confirmed symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, pregnancy, admission to ICU, or death}. All this information was recorded
allergy to vaccine components, and immunocompromised in both the clinical file of the participant and the eCRF.
conditions. A complete list of inclusion and exclusion criteria has
been published previously (15). Procedures
A total of 2,302 volunteers were enrolled by March 19, 2021, of To evaluate the immune response elicited upon immunization,
whom 2,263 received both doses. A subgroup of 450 volunteers was peripheral blood samples were obtained for the isolation of
selected to evaluate their immune response, receiving randomly serum and PBMCs. For volunteers from the immunogenicity
CoronaVac either in a 0–14 or a 0–28 immunization schedule (1:1 branch, samples were collected before the first and the second
ratio). Demographic information, comorbidities, nutritional status, dose and 2 and 4 weeks after the second dose. After COVID-19
immunization schedule, and dates of vaccination were obtained at confirmation by PCR, two additional peripheral blood samples
enrollment and registered in the electronic case-report form (eCRF) were obtained about 2 and 4 weeks after symptoms onset
for all volunteers. Nutritional status was determined using a gender (follow-up 1 and 2, respectively). Sera samples and PBMC
and body mass index (BMI) (19). were collected as previously reported (15) and stored at −80°C
or in liquid nitrogen, respectively.
Breakthrough Case Follow-Up Circulating IgG antibodies specific against the RBD of the S1
Confirmed COVID-19 cases reported 14 days after the protein of SARS-CoV-2 (S1-RBD) were measured using the COVID-
administration of the second dose of CoronaVac were identified 19 Human Antibody Detection Kit (RayBio #IEQ-CoVS1RBD-IgG),
following the protocol procedures for efficacy. Briefly, upon following the instructions of the manufacturer. Sera samples were
enrollment, participants were instructed to report through an two-fold serially diluted, starting at a 200-fold dilution until a 6,400-
electronic platform, e-mail, cell phone message, or telephone fold dilution. The antibody titer was determined as the last fold
call, each time the definition for suspected positive case was met. dilution with an absorbance over the cut-off value. The cut-off value
A positive case was suspected if at least one of the following for each dilution was determined as 2.1 times the absorbance at
symptoms were present for over 2 days: fever or chills, coughing, 450 nm for a panel of 29 seronegative samples.
shortness of breath or breathing difficulty, fatigue, muscle or body The neutralizing capacities of circulating antibodies were
pain, headache, loss of smell or taste, sore throat, nasal congestion determined by two different techniques, i.e., through a
or runny nose, nausea or vomiting, and diarrhea. Upon the report, surrogate virus neutralizing test (sVNT) and a conventional
an evaluation visit was scheduled with a study physician, for 3 days plaque-reduction neutralization test (cVNT). The sVNT were
after symptoms onset, to evaluate the presence of SARS-CoV-2 performed following the instructions of the manufacturer
RNA by reverse-transcriptase quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) in (BioHermes #COV-S41), and sera samples were 2-fold serially
nasopharyngeal (NP) sample. If the sample was negative, and at diluted starting at a 4-fold dilution until a 4,096-fold dilution.
least one symptom persisted, a second test was performed after 48 The percentage of inhibition was defined as follows: (OD450 nm
h. If a sample was positive, the clinical evolution of the case was value of negative control − OD450 nm value of sample)/(OD450 nm
closely monitored by the center personnel until its resolution. If value of negative control × 100), and titers were reported as the
hospitalization was required, information was obtained from reciprocal of the highest serum dilution required to achieve 30%
relatives of the volunteer and from clinical reports. of inhibition. Samples exhibiting <30% inhibitory activity at the
Upon confirmation of positive cases, history of possible close lowest dilution tested (1:4) were assigned a titer of 2. For the
contact with confirmed COVID-19 cases and the severity and cVNT, sera samples were 2-fold serially diluted starting at a 4-
duration of each signs and symptoms were registered. Severity fold dilution until a 512-fold dilution. Then, samples were
was classified from grades 1 to 4, as published previously by the incubated with a SARS-CoV-2 clinical isolate (33782CL-SARS-
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the National CoV-2 strain) for 1 h at 37°C. The mixtures were then added to
Institutes of Health (NIH) (20, 21). Intensity of the disease was Vero E6 cell monolayers (ATCC CRL-1586), and cytopathic
graded from score 1 to 9, as published previously by the WHO effect (CPE) was evaluated 7 days after infection. Positive and
(22). The grading for severity criteria indicated in the protocol negative controls were held for each assay. CPE was evaluated by
were either mild (symptomatic patients without viral pneumonia direct visualization, and the titer of neutralizing antibodies was
or hypoxia), moderate (clinical signs of pneumonia such as fever, defined as the latest fold dilution exhibiting 100% of infection
coughing, shortness of breath, difficulty breathing but no signs of inhibition and absence of CPE. A titer of 2 was assigned for
severe pneumonia, oxygen saturation ≥94% on room air), or samples showing CPE at the lowest dilution tested (1:4).
severe {resting clinical signs indicative of severe clinical illness The cellular immune response was evaluated through
[respiratory rate (RR) ≥30/min; heart rate (HR) ≥125/min; ELISPOT assays, as described previously, using the human
oxygen saturation <94% at room air at sea level; PaO2/FiO2 interferon (IFN)-g/IL-4 double-color ELISPOT (Immunospot)
<300 mm Hg], respiratory failure [requirement of high-flow (15). Cells were cultured for 48 h in the presence of four different
oxygen, noninvasive ventilation, mechanical ventilation, or SARS-CoV-2-specific MPs (17). Two of these MPs are composed
extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO)], evidence of of 15-mer peptides derived from the S protein (MP-S) and the
shock [systolic blood pressure (SBP) <90 mmHg, diastolic blood remaining proteins of the viral particle (MP-R). The other two
pressure (DBP) <60 mmHg, or requirement of vasopressors], MPs are composed of 9- to 11-mer peptides from the whole
significant acute renal, hepatic, or neurological dysfunction, proteome of SARS-CoV-2 (CD8-A and CD8-B). Positives and
negative controls were considered for each assay as reported were nasal congestion (seven cases), sore throat (six), loss of
previously (15, 17). smell (six), headache (five), coughing (four), loss of taste (four),
runny nose (four), fatigue or myalgia (three), dyspnea (one),
nausea (one), and diarrhea (one). None of the seven cases
exhibited fever or vomiting. Accordingly, the duration of each
RESULTS symptoms was nasal congestion (1–13 days), sore throat (1–12),
Clinical Features of Breakthrough Cases loss of smell (3–10), headache (5–13), cough (1–8), loss of taste
From January 1 to June 25, 2021, 50 breakthrough cases were (3–10), runny nose (2–13), fatigue (4–12), myalgia (1–21),
reported among the 2,263 vaccinated volunteers that had dyspnea (12), nausea (4), and diarrhea (4–5). Most of the
received two vaccine doses, of which 45 had over 14 days after symptoms recorded were grade 1 or 2. The clinical outcome of
the second dose (26 cases in the 0–14 schedule and 19 in the 0–28 the COVID-19 disease for each volunteer is indicated in Table 2.
schedule). Fifteen of these breakthrough cases were among the Two out of the nine breakthrough cases (Volunteers 4 and 7)
450 volunteers in the immunogenicity branch. Eight of these had reached a score over 2. The highest clinical score registered for
follow-up samples from days 14 and 30 after the start of Volunteers 4 was 5 (moderate), and for Volunteer 7 was 7
symptoms of COVID-19, and one of them had a single follow- (severe). Volunteer 4 is a 62-year-old man, with a BMI of 29.3
up sample taken 14 days after symptoms onset (Volunteer 1). All (overweight) and is currently being treated for hypothyroidism
nine were Hispanic–Latin and were negative for the presence of (Table 1). The onset date was 122 days after the administration
circulating S- and N-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies at recruitment. of the second dose (0–28 immunization schedule), and no close
Six of them received the 0–14 immunization schedule and three contact with a COVID-19-positive case was reported. The
the 0–28 immunization schedule (Figure 1). The demographic symptoms exhibited were fatigue, muscle pain, headache, nasal
characteristics and relevant clinical history of cases are shown congestion, cough, and fever. After 6 days of disease development,
in Table 1. Volunteer 4 was hospitalized due to persistent symptoms and the
Intensity and severity of the disease were mild, with a score of addition of shortness of breath to the list. A chest CT confirmed
2 in seven out of the nine cases (Volunteers 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, and 9), COVID-19 pneumonia. He was diagnosed with acute respiratory
and the symptoms exhibited by them in decreasing frequency insufficiency and then received 4 L/min of oxygen by nasal
cannula for 4 days. After this, he exhibited an overall
improvement and recovery, with a total time of hospitalization
of 8 days. Volunteer 7 is a 69-year-old man, with a BMI of 28.0
(overweight) and a history of arterial hypertension, bicuspid aorta,
and atrial fibrillation. The onset date was 32 days after the
administration of the second dose (0–28 immunization
schedule), and close contact with a COVID-19-positive case was
confirmed (his son). He presented respiratory symptoms and
fever. Later, onset and persistence of malaise and fever, the
onset of dyspnea, and the confirmation of COVID-19
pneumonia by a chest CT led to hospitalization. All the typical
COVID-19 symptoms except nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea were
reported after hospitalization. He received supplemental oxygen
by nasal cannula and was transferred to ICU due to heart failure.
He required mechanical ventilation for 6 days and eventually
recovered, with a total time of hospitalization of 20 days.
Remarkably, as described below, two out of the nine
breakthrough cases (Volunteers 2 and 6) exhibited a weak
immune response upon immunization and infection. Volunteer
2 is a 48-year-old man, with a BMI of 28.9 (overweight) and a
history of hypothyroidism, arterial hypertension, coronary heart
disease (acute myocardial infarction on September 2020), fatty
liver disease, and dyslipidemia under treatment. During his
childhood, he was diagnosed with influenza-associated
FIGURE 1 | Enrolled volunteers and breakthrough cohort included in this study. encephalitis (4 years old, hospitalized in ICU) and with
Nine of the 2,302 vaccinated individuals belonging to the clinical trial conducted
in Chile were included in this study after confirming COVID-19 disease by
uncomplicated diphtheria (6 years old). During his adulthood,
reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain-reaction (RT-qPCR) assay. They were he was diagnosed with a post-influenza pneumonia in 2000 and
selected from 45 individuals who displayed symptoms after ≥14 days from the with a clinically suspected Mycoplasma pneumonia infection in
administration of the second dose of the vaccine because they were enrolled in 2018, both were treated with oral antibiotics. The symptoms onset
the immunogenicity branch and further had at least one follow-up sample after
was 26 days after the administration of the second dose (0–14
symptoms onset at the end of June of 2021.
immunization schedule), and no contact with a COVID-19-
TABLE 2 | Clinical development of COVID-19 disease in the nine breakthrough cases described.
Volunteer* Immunization Day of symptoms Possible close contact Required Highest clinical
schedule onset^ with COVID-19 case Hospitalization score
1 0–14 37 Yes No 2
2 0–14 23 No No 2
3 0–14 43 No No 2
4 0–14 122 No Yes 5
5 0–14 122 No No 2
6 0–14 94 No No 2
7 0–28 32 Yes Yes 7
8 0–28 34 No No 2
9 0–28 16 Yes No 2
*Gray shading, female; no shading, male.
^
Days after the administration of the second dose.
positive case was reported. He presented fatigue, headache, nasal from the 0-14 immunization schedule (Volunteers 1, 3, and 5)
congestion, runny nose, coughing, and diarrhea. Volunteer 6 is a exhibited detectable levels of IgG antibodies specific against the
33-year-old woman, with a BMI of 20.5 (eutrophic), and medical S1-RBD at 4 weeks after the administration of the second dose
history of mononucleosis (2003), recurrent herpes simplex labialis (Figure 2A and Supplementary Figures S1A, C, E). This was also
(since 2003), hypothyroidism, and currently on oral contraceptive found for all three subjects in the 0–28 immunization schedule,
therapy. No contact with a COVID-19-positive case was reported, although Volunteer 7 showed a weak response (Figure 2B and
and the onset date was 94 days after the administration of the Supplementary Figures S1G–I). Circulating antibodies specific
second dose (0–14 immunization schedule). She presented fatigue, against S1-RBD also increased drastically 2 and 4 weeks after
muscular pain, loss of smell, loss of taste, sore throat, and disease onset for all volunteers, except for Volunteers 2 and 6, that
nasal congestion. exhibited no changes in their antibodies profile throughout the
Altogether, the immunization schedule, medical history, time points evaluated.
demographic characteristics, the symptoms onset day, reporting The neutralizing capacities of the circulating antibodies
of close contact with COVID-19 confirmed cases, and the measured in these nine breakthrough cases were also evaluated
symptoms exhibited by all breakthrough cases are diverse, and by two different techniques, as indicated in Materials and
an evident pattern of conditions leading to susceptibility towards Methods. As evaluated by sVNT, five out of six cases in the 0–
SARS-CoV-2 infection is not observed. 14 immunization schedule exhibited detectable levels of
neutralizing antibodies 4 weeks after the administration of the
Humoral Immunity in Breakthrough Cases second dose (Figure 3A and Supplementary Figures S2A–F).
To evaluate the humoral immune response elicited by the nine As expected, Volunteers 2 and 6 exhibited a very weak
breakthrough cases, circulating IgG antibodies specific against the neutralizing capacity at this time point evaluated. However,
S1-RBD of SARS-CoV-2 were evaluated as indicated in Materials upon evaluation by cVNT, only three volunteers in the 0–14
and Methods. As shown in Figure 2 (and individually for each immunization schedule (Volunteers 1, 3, and 5) showed
volunteer in Supplementary Figure S1), three out of the six cases detectable neutralizing response (Figure 3C), which is in line
A B
C D
FIGURE 3 | Circulating antibodies exhibit varying neutralizing capacities in the nine breakthrough cases. Neutralizing antibodies were evaluated before administration
of the first dose (pre-immune), 2 and 4 weeks after the second dose, and 2 and 4 weeks after the disease onset (follow-up 1 and 2, respectively). Two different
techniques were used, a surrogate virus neutralization test (sVNT) based on the perturbation of the hACE2-spike protein–protein interaction mediated by antibodies,
and a conventional virus neutralization test (cVNT) evaluating plaque and CPE reduction. (A) Neutralizing antibody titers detected by using the sVNT in six volunteers
enrolled in the 0–14 immunization schedule. (B) Neutralizing antibody titers detected by using the sVNT in three volunteers enrolled in the 0–28 immunization
schedule. (C) Neutralizing antibody titers detected by using the cVNT in six volunteers enrolled in the 0–14 immunization schedule. (D) Neutralizing antibody titers
detected by using the cVNT in three volunteers enrolled in the 0–28 immunization schedule.
Conversely, we observed a better cellular response after must be affecting this susceptibility because low titers were also
stimulation with 15-mer MPs in the breakthrough cases than observed in some individuals belonging to the control group and
the control group at 2 weeks after the second dose administration, high titers in the breakthrough group.
which decreased at 4 weeks after the second dose to lower levels
than the control group. Regarding the 9- to 11-mer MPs
stimulating (mainly CD8+ T cells), a greater response was
observed in the control group but only in approximately 50% of DISCUSSION
the individuals at 4 weeks after the second dose (Figure 5B).
In summary, these results show that detection of low levels of The use of different vaccines approved for emergency use due to
neutralizing antibodies after vaccination could be related to the rapid spread of SARS-CoV2 has been key in stopping the
symptomatic infection; however, unknown underlying conditions uncontrolled progression of deaths worldwide. However, it has
A B
C D
FIGURE 4 | The IFN-g production by T cells from breakthrough cases after stimulation with MegaPools of SARS-CoV-2 peptides is heterogeneous. PBMCs from
the nine breakthrough cases were obtained before administration of the first dose (pre-immune), 2 and 4 weeks after the second dose, and 2 and 4 weeks after the
disease onset (follow-up 1 and 2, respectively) and evaluated by ELISPOT assays. Cells were stimulated for 48 h with two MPs containing several peptides from
SARS-CoV-2 to induce the secretion IFN-g by T cells. The number of spots-forming cells (SFCs) was evaluated. Data are shown as the fold increase regarding to the
preimmune value for SFCs. (A) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 15-mer peptides from SARS-CoV-2 of six volunteers enrolled at the
0–14 immunization schedule. (B) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 15-mer peptides from SARS-CoV-2 of three volunteers enrolled
at the 0–28 immunization schedule. (C) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 9- to 11-mer peptides from SARS-CoV-2 of six volunteers
enrolled at the 0–14 immunization schedule. (D) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 9- to 11-mer peptides from SARS-CoV-2 of three
volunteers enrolled at the 0–28 immunization schedule.
been reported that people with comorbidities can develop a more Our results showed that the humoral and cellular immune
severe disease upon infection with SARS-CoV-2 (23). In this line, response elicited by breakthrough CoronaVac cases was
the efficacy of these vaccines can be impaired by the existence of heterogeneous, and at least in these nine individuals, a correlate
previously described diseases or pathologies (24). In addition, the of infection was not evident. Yet, older people have a greater
severity of the disease can be even more pronounced in the susceptibility to develop severe diseases as compared to
elderly, as they exhibit higher dysfunction in their immune younger people.
system as compared to young people (25). Of these nine volunteers, six exhibited some degree of
In this clinical trial, a total of 2,263 volunteers were vaccinated overweight, and only one volunteer did not have any
with two doses in two different immunization schedules. Out of all comorbidity. Two volunteers developed diseases that required
these volunteers, a total of 450 were part of the immunogenicity hospitalization. Volunteer 7, a 69-year-old man, reported four
profile evaluation group. Here, we report the clinical outcome and comorbidities and required mechanical ventilation. Volunteer 4,
immune response elicited by nine volunteers from the a 62-year-old man, reported two comorbidities and required
immunogenicity branch that were infected with SARS-CoV-2 supplemental oxygen. Remarkably, in line with the results shown
and developed mild, moderate, or severe cases of COVID-19. here, various publications have suggested that men are more
FIGURE 5 | Humoral and cellular immune responses of breakthrough cases as compared to a control cohort. A control cohort of 18 subjects who received two
doses of the CoronaVac was selected by matching with breakthrough cases (2:1 ratio) according to the biological sex, range of age, and schedule of vaccination.
(A) Titers of antibodies able to inhibit RBD-SARS-CoV-2 interaction with ACE2 receptor or surrogate virus neutralizing test (sVNT, left) and titers of neutralizing
antibodies against infective SARS-CoV-2 or conventional virus neutralizing test (cVNT, right) detected in the breakthrough and control cohort. Serum samples were
obtained before administration of the first dose (preimmune), 2 and 4 weeks after the second dose. The numbers above the spots indicate GMT, and error bars
show the 95% CI of the GMT. (B) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation of PBMCs with MPs containing 15-mer peptides (left) and 9- to 11-mer MPs (right)
from SARS-CoV-2 proteome in the breakthrough and control cohort. PBMCs were obtained before administration of the first dose (preimmune), 2 and 4 weeks after
the second dose. The numbers above the spots indicate geometric mean of the fold increase regarding to the preimmune sample, and error bars show the 95% CI.
GMT, geometric mean titer; PBMCs, peripheral blood mononuclear cells; MPs, megapools.
prone to severe cases of COVID-19 and deaths than women, and SARS-CoV2 infection, the severity of COVID-19, and the
this is even more pronounced in older populations (26, 27). susceptibility to death, as drugs used to control these illness may
Overweight and obesity are one of the most common result in the overexpression of ACE2 in the heart (31, 32).
comorbidities reported in critical patients suffering severe cases The hypothyroidism reported for Volunteer 4 has been related
of COVID-19 (28). Furthermore, it has been reported that to increased susceptibility to severe COVID-19, as it affects the
patients with elevated BMI exhibit more severe infection than expression of ACE2 (33). Hypothyroidism may also be a factor
patients with normal BMI (a high BMI is usually defined as ≥25) predisposing the development of cardiac diseases, which increase
(29). This point is critical, as Volunteers 4 and 7 had a BMI of the susceptibility of SARS-CoV-2 infection (33). As Volunteer 4
28·0 and 29·3, respectively. reported fewer comorbidities than Volunteer 7 (and therefore
The particular bad evolution presented by Volunteer 7 could be probably less risk factors to acquire SARS-CoV-2 and develop
partially explained by his underlying hypertension, and its more severe COVID-19), a better prognosis would have been
corresponding treatment, which could induce an overexpression expected, which is in line with the information reported here.
of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), the receptor used by Two volunteers out of the nine breakthrough cases did not
SARS-CoV-2 to infect target cells (30). Cardiac diseases have also exhibit a detectable immune response after immunization with
been strongly associated with an increase in the susceptibility of CoronaVac. Volunteers 2 and 6 were younger than 60 years old
and were of different sex. Volunteer 2 was a male with overweight could impair the ability of an individual to activate a robust
(BMI, 28.9) and several comorbidities such as hypothyroidism immune response after vaccination, and increase the risk of
arterial hypertension, coronary heart disease, fatty liver disease severe COVID-19 in elderly people. This information could be
and dyslipidemia. He also reported a medical history of several helpful and timely support the need of a booster dose in
infectious diseases in his childhood and adulthood. The susceptible individuals with underlying conditions after a
circulating antibodies of this volunteer showed a poor specific time to increase its protection.
neutralizing capacity, and there was a practically null induction Although the information presented here must be interpreted
of IFN-g-secreting T cells after both vaccination doses and even with caution because the sample size is small to generalize, some
after infection with SARS-CoV-2. Despite this, the degree of the strengths of our study are worth noting, such as the serial testing
disease reported in this subject was mild, and he did not require after vaccination and infection and the measurement of T-cell
hospitalization or oxygen assistance, but it is possible that innate responses in addition to humoral response. Previous reports have
immunity also played a key role in the protection of this been focused on viral sequence information or antibodies detection
individual or that antigen-specific adaptative immune on samples obtained after the onset of symptoms (11, 12, 39, 42, 43).
responses were not detected, since they could be restricted to This new information could be the interest to the scientific
mucosae or lungs (34, 35). Volunteer 6 was a female with normal community and health authorities due to the urgent need to
weight and comorbidities such as hypothyroidism. The understand the individual variables that predispose to
circulating antibodies of this volunteer showed a poor breakthrough infections and further find a correlate of protection
neutralizing capacity, but unlike Volunteer 2, she developed a that has not been established to date for SARS-CoV-2 infections;
robust cellular response after 4 weeks of vaccination which was yet, some studies suggest that the level of neutralizing antibody titers
also increased after disease onset. Although the number of is highly predictive of immune protection (40, 41). In this regard,
breakthrough cases between both immunization schedules are our serial sample data reveal some key features: first, older
not balanced, it is important to note that Volunteer 2 and 6 were volunteers 4 and 7 who presented moderate and severe illness,
vaccinated in the 0–14 schedule, which has been reported to respectively, displayed the weakest humoral response after
induce a lower seroconversion rate and GMTs than the 0–28 vaccination, but conversely, they showed the highest level of
schedule (36). Interestingly, both volunteers had hypothyroidism neutralizing antibodies titers after infection. Notably, susceptibility
as a common comorbidity, which could affect the induction of to infection was irrespective of the immunization schedule, as one of
the immune response and produce a dysregulation of the them belonged to the 0–14 immunization schedule and the other
immune system (37). In this line, more in-depth studies are one to the 0–28. Second, younger people could not be able to elicit a
required to understand which factors could be involved in these good humoral immune response after vaccination or subsequent
poor responses and how they could impact in the future with the infection, as shown by volunteers 2 and 6. These observations could
appearance of new circulating variants of SARS-CoV-2. be explained, at least in part, by the presence of some comorbidities
Limitations of this study include the sample size and the focus in these individuals and highlighted the importance of combining
on self-reporting to identify breakthrough vaccine infections. clinical information along with immunogenicity and efficacy
Asymptomatic infections were not discarded and could therefore studies. Finally, individuals with evidence of neutralizing
be missed in the cohort chosen as control, which in turn may antibodies elicited by vaccination can also become sick, but this is
cause a misinterpretation of the results regarding the comparison more likely to course with a mild infection (Volunteers 1, 3, 5, 8, and
with the immune response elicited by the breakthrough cases. 9). Importantly, we observed that the level of neutralizing antibodies
Therefore, our conclusions are directed toward the correlation of in this breakthrough cohort was lower than that in controls without
protection to suffer a symptomatic infection. On the other hand, a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, but it remains to be determined
only in Volunteer 4 the Gamma variant was identified by what titers of antibodies are needed to prevent infection.
molecular analysis, and these data remained unknown for the On the other hand, since the approval for the emergency use of
rest of the breakthrough cases analyzed (Volunteer 6, 7, and 9). CoronoVac, the WHO has encouraged addressing the current
Hence, we lack evidence to determine whether the frequency of knowledge gap about the vaccine efficacy through assessment and
breakthrough vaccine cases is related to community transmission reporting of breakthrough infections by using neutralization and
of a particular variant, which, in the case of Chile, has been T-cell immunity assays (44). To our knowledge, this is the first
dominated by the SARS-CoV-2 variants Gamma and Lambda in time that cellular-mediated response is reported for breakthrough
recent months (38). vaccine cases. Our results showed that breakthrough cases had a
Despite the low number of breakthrough cases included in good T-cell response elicited after vaccination but that was more
this report, our results provide a clear and extensive clinical and associated to CD4+ than CD8+ T cells. A similar response was
immune description of mild, moderate, or severe infections observed after infection, with only a volunteer not responding
exhibited after full vaccination with CoronaVac and support (Volunteer 2). It is important to note that not only cellular
previous evidence that a poor induction of neutralizing response to spike protein was evidenced but also to others viral
antibodies after vaccination could be correlated to a decrease antigens, as shown after stimulation with the megapool R
in the vaccine efficacy (39–41). Furthermore, data presented here (Supplementary Figure 3). However, it is not clear whether
provide valuable information over the potential role that play the both humoral and T-cells responses are needed for protection,
underlying comorbidities on the vaccine effectiveness, which and further studies are needed to address that issue.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL
Conceptualization: AK, KA, SB, PG, JG-A, GZ, and WM.
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online
Visualization: AK, KA, SB, PG, JG-A, GZ, and WM.
at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2021.
Methodology: RF and JM. Investigation: LD, NG, CI, FM-G,
742914/full#supplementary-material
JS, BS, MU, RB-R, LG, GH-E, DM-T, GAP, MR, DR-P, OV, YV,
MN, and Á R. Funding acquisition: AK. Project administration:
Supplementary Figure 1 | Evaluation of anti-S1-RBD SARS-CoV-2 Ig-G
AK, KA, SB, and PG. Supervision: AK, KA, SB, and PG.
antibodies through ELISA assays. Results are reported as the optical density value
Writing—original draft: LD, NG, JS, CI, and MU. Writing— (OD450nm) reached after two-fold serial dilutions, starting at 1:200. Samples were
review and editing: AK, KA, SB, and PG. All authors contributed obtained before administration of the first dose (pre-immune), two and four weeks
to the article and approved the submitted version. after the second dose, and two and four weeks after the disease onset (follow up 1
and 2, respectively). Dotted line indicates the cut-off for the serum dilution at 1:200.
(A–F) Volunteers 1 to 6 belonging to the 0-14 immunization schedule. (G–I)
Volunteers 7 to 9 belonging to the 0-28 immunization schedule.
SFCs of nine breakthrough cases. Data are shown as the fold increase regarding to Supplementary Figure 4 | Neutralizing antibody titers of 15 breakthrough cases
the pre-immune value for SFCs (A) Fold change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation as compared to 18 vaccinated subjects with no evidence of symptoms associated
with MPs containing 15-mer peptides from the S protein of SARS-CoV-2. (B) Fold with COVID-19. Serum samples of individuals were evaluated before vaccine
change of IFN-g+ SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 15-mer peptides from administration (pre-immune), two and four weeks after the second dose. Neutralizing
the proteome of SARS-CoV-2 excluding the S protein. (C, D) Fold change of IFN-g+ antibodies titers were determined by using (A) a surrogate virus neutralizing test and
SFCs after stimulation with MPs containing 9 to 11-mer peptides from the SARS- (B) a conventional virus neutralizing test. The numbers above the spots indicate the
CoV-2 proteome. geometric mean titer (GMT) and error bars show the 95% CI of the GMT.
36. Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, Li C, Hu Y, Chu K, et al. Safety, Tolerability, and iris/bitstream/handle/10665/341454/WHO-2019-nCoV-vaccines-SAGE-
Immunogenicity of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine in Healthy Adults Aged recommendation-Sinovac-CoronaVac-2021.1-eng.pdf.
18–59 Years: A Randomised, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 1/2 Clinical
Trial. Lancet Infect Dis (2021) 21:181–92. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30843-4
Conflict of Interest: ZG and MW are SINOVAC employees and contributed to
37. Hariyanto TI, Kurniawan A. Thyroid Disease Is Associated With Severe
the conceptualization of the study (clinical protocol and eCRF design) and did not
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Infection. Diabetes Metab Syndr Clin
participate in the analysis or interpretation of the data presented in the
Res Rev (2020) 14:1429–30. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2020.07.044
manuscript.
38. Acevedo ML, Alonso-Palomares L, Bustamante A, Gaggero A, Paredes F,
Cortés CP, et al. Infectivity and Immune Escape of the New SARS-CoV-2 The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of
Variant of Interest Lambda. medRxiv (2021) 2021.06.28.21259673. doi: 10.1101/ any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential
2021.06.28.21259673 conflict of interest.
39. Bergwerk M, Gonen T, Lustig Y, Amit S, Lipsitch M, Cohen C, et al. Covid-19
Breakthrough Infections in Vaccinated Health Care Workers. N Engl J Med
(2021), 1–11. doi: 10.1056/nejmoa2109072 Publisher’s Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors
40. Earle KA, Ambrosino DM, Fiore-Gartland A, Goldblatt D, Gilbert PB, Siber and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of
GR, et al. Evidence for Antibody as a Protective Correlate for COVID-19 the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in
Vaccines. Vaccine (2021) 39:4423–8. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.05.063 this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or
41. Khoury DS, Cromer D, Reynaldi A, Schlub TE, Wheatley AK, Juno JA, et al. endorsed by the publisher.
Neutralizing Antibody Levels Are Highly Predictive of Immune Protection
From Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Nat Med (2021) 27:1205–11. Copyright © 2021 Duarte, Gaĺ vez, Iturriaga, Melo-Gonzaĺ ez, Soto, Schultz, Urzuá ,
doi: 10.1038/s41591-021-01377-8 Gonzaĺ ez, Vaź quez, Rıos,
́ Berrıos-Rojas,
́ Rivera-Peŕ ez, Moreno-Tapia, Pacheco,
42. Estofolete CF, Banho CA, Campos GRF, Marques BC, Sacchetto L, Ullmann LS, Vallejos, Hoppe-Elsholz, Navarrete, Rojas, Fasce, Fernań dez, Mora, Ramırez,́ Zeng,
et al. Case Study of Two Post Vaccination SARS-CoV-2 Infections With P1 Variants Meng, Gonzaĺ ez-Aramundiz, Gonzaĺ ez, Abarca, Bueno and Kalergis. This is an open-
in Coronavac Vaccinees in Brazil. Viruses (2021) 13:1–10. doi: 10.3390/v13071237 access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution
43. Nixon DF, Ndhlovu LC. Vaccine Breakthrough Infections With SARS-CoV-2 License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted,
Variants. N Engl J Med (2021) 385:e7. doi: 10.1056/nejmc2107808 provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the
44. Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization - SAGE (WHO). original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic
Interim Recommendations for Use of the Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccine, practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with
CoronaVac, Developed by Sinovac (2021). Available at: https://apps.who.int/ these terms.
Abstract 1 Introduction
Countries from the South America Southern cone
All South American countries from the Southern cone experienced large COVID-19 epidemic waves dur-
(Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay) ing the first months of 2021 driven by the lack of
experienced severe COVID-19 epidemic waves dur- stringent mitigation measures along with the emer-
ing early 2021 driven by the expansion of variants gence and regional spread of the Variant of Concern
Gamma and Lambda, however, there was an improve- (VOC) Gamma and the Variant of Interest (VOI)
ment in different epidemic indicators since June 2021. Lambda [1]. The VOC Gamma was the predomi-
To investigate the impact of national vaccination pro- nant viral variant in Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay;
grams and natural infection on viral transmission in while both Gamma and Lambda circulated at sim-
those South American countries, we analyzed the cou- ilar prevalence in Argentina and Chile [2, 3, 4, 5].
pling between population mobility and the viral ef- Changes in different epidemic indicators from mid-
fective reproduction number Rt . Our analyses reveal June to end of August, including declining numbers
that population mobility was highly correlated with of new SARS-CoV-2 cases and deaths and viral ef-
viral Rt from January to May 2021 in all countries fective reproduction number Rt below one, support
analyzed; but a clear decoupling occurred since May- a relative control of the COVID-19 epidemic in all
June 2021, when the rate of viral spread started to be five countries [1]. The drivers of such epidemic con-
lower than expected from the levels of social interac- trol remained unclear as SARS-CoV-2 transmission
tions. These findings support that populations from could be influenced by several factors including extent
the South American Southern cone probably achieved of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), level of
the conditional herd immunity threshold to contain social distancing, adherence to self-care measures,
the spread of regional SARS-CoV-2 variants. transmissibility of circulating viral variants and the
proportion of susceptible host [6].
Several studies demonstrate that during the pre-
vaccination phase and in a context of large commu-
* Corresponding author: mfiori@fing.edu.uy nity transmission of the virus, when other factors as
Instituto de Matemática y Estadı́stica “Rafael Laguardia”, contact tracing strategies are not effective, changes in
Facultad de Ingenierı́a, Universidad de la República, Uruguay population mobility could be predictive of changes in
Instituto Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Rio de Janeiro ,
Brazil
epidemic trends and viral Rt [7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13].
§ Instituto de Fı́sica, Facultad de Ingenierı́a, Universidad de In those settings, decoupling between population mo-
la República, Uruguay bility and viral transmissions could be used as a
¶ Instituto de Ingenierı́a Eléctrica, Facultad de Ingenierı́a,
surrogate marker of herd immunity achieved either
Universidad de la República, Uruguay
Facultad de Ingenierı́a, Universidad ORT, Uruguay through high vaccination and/or natural infection
** Centro de Matemática, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad rates. Data from countries with advanced vaccina-
de la República, Uruguay tion like Israel and the United Kingdom support this
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
notion as in a certain time SARS-CoV-2 incidence ican countries analyzed and revealed that, under a
display sustained declines despite easing of lockdown context of high community transmission, researchers
restrictions, discontinuation of face mask use in open can use the observed population mobility at a given
spaces and increase in population mobility [14, 15] time to infer the viral transmission dynamics without
In the present article, we estimate the coupling the typical lag of the observed Rt .
between population mobility and the Rt of SARS- When we extended the estimation of the R̂t dur-
CoV-2 in the five South American countries from ing the vaccination roll-out period (with the same
the Southern cone. Our analyses support that mo- computed initial parameters), we observed a clear in-
bility data was highly correlated with the viral Rt crease of the ratio R̂t /Rt in all South American coun-
in all South American countries analyzed between tries analyzed since late May and early June 2021,
January and May, 2021; however, a clear decoupling indicating that at a certain time the rate of spread of
between population mobility and viral transmissions the virus started to be lower than expected from the
was evident since May-June 2021. The mean esti- levels of social interactions (Figure 1). We interpret
mated threshold of immune individuals (fully vacci- such decoupling between population mobility and vi-
nated pondered by vaccine effectiveness plus natural ral spread as a surrogate marker of conditional herd
infected) necessary to produce such decoupling varies immunity, i.e. the achieved herd immunity condi-
along the five countries from 29% to 45% and a dis- tioned to the social distancing policies and the circu-
cussion trying to understand these differences is pro- lating viral variants in each country. In order to test
vided. These findings also support the relevance of our method, we conducted a similar analysis in Israel,
vaccination-induced herd immunity in South Ameri- the first country to attain conditional vaccine-induced
can countries with widespread use of the inactivated herd immunity. Our findings confirm that after a pe-
vaccine Coronavac. riod of clear coupling between population mobility
and viral transmission, a decisive increase of the ra-
tio R̂t /Rt was also observed at a certain time during
2 Results vaccination roll-out in Israel (Figure A.1). The de-
coupling time, defined as the moment when the ratio
To analyze the potential correlation between social
R̂t /Rt finally overcomes (i.e. the last time it crosses)
mobility and the spread of the SARS-CoV-2, we es-
the value 1.10, preceded the last peak of weekly re-
timate the viral effective reproduction number Rt in
ported cases and roughly coincides with the last day
every country based on mobility information provided
when the Rt = 1 in each country (Figure 1), indicat-
by Google [16] during a time period of high viral
ing that the decoupling time was an early indicator
transmission (see subsection 4.2). The resulting esti-
of epidemic control.
mator, denoted as R̂t , was then correlated with the
observed Rt estimated from the incidence data avail- The proportion of immunized population at the de-
able in the Our World in Data (OWID) data base [1]. coupling time could give us an idea of the conditional
The correlation between R̂t and Rt provides a mea- herd immunity threshold (HIT). In order to estimate
sure of the value of social mobility as a predictor of the proportion of immune individuals around the de-
viral transmissions in each country, while the ratio coupling time, we summed the estimated number of
R̂t /Rt provides a measure of the coupling between vaccine-immunized and natural-immunized individu-
both indicators. In all five South American countries als. The proportion of vaccine-immunized individuals
analyzed (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay and was estimated from the number of fully vaccinated
Uruguay) we observed that during the first months individuals adjusted by the estimated vaccine effec-
of 2021, the estimated R̂t was highly correlated (ρ2 tiveness (VE) in South America [17, 18], see also [19].
between 0.83 y 0.94) with the observed Rt about 1- The number of infected people that acquired immu-
2 weeks later and the ratio R̂t /Rt was close to one nity through previous infection (cumulative infection)
(0.90-1.10) during the pre-vaccination and initial vac- was estimated from the cumulative number of deaths
cination phases (Figure 1). We observed a high cor- assuming a constant (age adjusted) infection fatal-
relation between both estimators not only during the ity rate (IFR) for each country (see subsection 4.1
estimation period, but also during the beginning of and Table 1). The mean estimated HIT at the de-
the vaccination roll-out. These findings confirm that coupling time varies along the countries from 29%
population mobility was a relevant driver of viral in Argentina to 33% in Uruguay, 36% in Paraguay,
transmissions during early 2021 in all South Amer- 43% in Chile and 45% in Brazil, although confidence
Figure 1: Viral effective reproduction number Rt and its estimation R̂t using mobility information. Back-
ground colors indicate the following time periods: in blue, the time period used to fit the linear model (see
Section 4.2), in yellow, the period after the fitting, but before the decoupling time, and in red after the
decoupling point. The black dot corresponds to the last time the reproductive number was above one. The
correlation corresponds to the period used to fit the model. The delay indicated is the time-shift between
the mobility time series and Rt in order to maximize the correlation in the linear regression.
Table 1: IFR: infection fatality rate; VIN: percentage of virus inactivated vaccines; ADV: percentage of
adenovirus vaccines; RNA: percentage of RNA vaccines [20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25]; Dec-T: decoupling time; %
Nat-Inf: percentage of population naturally infected at Dec-T; % Vac: percentage of the population fully
vaccinated at Dec-T; HIT (herd immunity threshold): percentage of immunized population due to vaccines
and natural infections at Dec-T. The vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infections was adjusted
to 66% for VIN, 73% for ADV and 93% for RNA [17, 18].
Figure 2: Coupling ratio R̂t /Rt plotted with respect to the percentage of immune population. During the
first months of 2021 the coupling ratio varies around 1, which corresponds to the periods where the Rt and
R̂t are in concordance in Figure 1. Immune population includes immunity achieved by vaccination (taking
into account its effectiveness), and natural infection (see subsection 4.3). The percentage of people fully
vaccinated is described as well. The coupling ratio crosses the threshold (decoupling point) at percentages
of immune population that varies along the five countries from 29% in Argentina to 33% in Uruguay, 37% in
Paraguay, 43% in Chile and 45% in Brazil. Confidence intervals are shown in horizontal black lines. They
inherit the large uncertainty in the IFR estimation (see Table 1).
mance of BNT162b2 and adenovirus-based vaccines South American countries. Differences in the mean
was superior. HIT were observed between countries where Gamma
The mean estimated HIT varied across South was the most prevalent variant like Brazil (45%),
American countries and several factors may explain Paraguay (36%) and Uruguay (33%), and also be-
such variability. HIT will move upwards when more tween countries where Gamma and Lambda co-
transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants circulates in a circulated at high prevalence like Chile (43%) and
population, but differences in the circulating SARS- Argentina (29%) [2, 3, 4, 5]. Differences in vaccine
CoV-2 variants do not explain variations among platforms deployed in each country might also mod-
ulate the HIT at the decoupling time. Although we all the population is treated homogeneously.
corrected the proportion of immune individuals ac- Our results support that proportion of immune
cording to the estimated VE and the proportion of population in South American populations attained a
each vaccine, we only considered immunity associ- threshold enough to decoupling people mobility and
ated with fully vaccinated individuals. Previous stud- viral dissemination and those countries could thus im-
ies, however, demonstrate some level of reduction of plement progressive relaxing of mitigation measures
SARS-CoV-2 transmission after one dose of mRNA- with relative safety. Such apparent herd immunity,
based (46-58%), adenovirus-based (35%) and inacti- however, was attained while maintaining moderate
vated virus (16%) vaccines [17, 18, 34, 35]. Thus, mitigation measures (social distancing, school closed,
we should expect that countries that used a higher mask-wearing and other self-care behaviors). None
proportion of mRNA-based and/or adenovirus-based of the countries analyzed have returned to the pre-
vaccines like Argentina (69%) reached herd immunity pandemic levels of activity and it is unclear if current
at apparent lower thresholds that those that mostly population immunity will halt the viral spread after
used inactivated virus vaccines. Moreover, it should removal of all mitigation measures. Long-term herd
be stressed that Argentina had a very large propor- immunity could be also challenged by waning im-
tion of individuals with a single dose at the decou- munity and dissemination of more infectious SARS-
pling point when compared to other countries in the CoV-2 variants [39]. Waning neutralizing antibodies
region where second doses were administrated in a might progressively reduce the population immunity
shorter period after first dose [1]. Notably, although level to below the critical HIT, while local evolution
Brazil also used an overall high proportion of mRNA- and/or introduction of SARS-CoV-2 variants that are
based and/or adenovirus-based vaccines (66%), most more transmissible than those previous circulating
vaccinations during first months were of inactivated will move the HIT upwards.
vaccines [18].
Both factors seems to have shaped the third epi-
Reduction of SARS-CoV-2 transmission will also demic wave in Israel [40, 41, 42, 43] Our study sup-
depend on the vaccination strategy (who is vacci- ports that after a transient period of decoupling in Is-
nated and when). Vaccinations programs usually rael, population mobility and viral transmissions were
begin by elderly people and go on by gradually coupled again as Delta variant spread in both unvac-
protecting the younger population [36]. Simulation cinated and fully-vaccinated individuals. It is unclear
studies indicate that prioritize vaccinating of high- if the same phenomena could be observed in South
risk groups will minimize the number of COVID- America after introduction of Delta variant. First,
19-related hospitalizations and deaths in the short herd immunity through natural infection seems to be
term, but vaccination of main transmission drivers less susceptible to waning immunity than by vaccina-
(i.e. highly mobile working age groups) would be tion [44, 45, 46] and South American countries with
more effective at reducing the spread of the SARS- a high natural immunity wall might be better pre-
CoV-2 [37, 38]. Given enough vaccine supplies, vac- pared to limit the expansion of Delta variant than
cinating the adult population uniformly at random those with a large vaccine immunity wall. Second,
would thus be ideal to both prevent death and severe hybrid immunity (natural infection plus vaccination)
illness in high risk groups and to curb SARS-CoV- might provide longer lasting and stronger protection
2 transmissions in the whole population. Uruguay against infection than vaccine-induced immunity [47]
developed an interesting vaccination strategy that and a high proportion of partial or fully vaccinated
prioritized vaccination of elderly populations (≥ 70 individuals in South America may be currently in
years of age) with the BNT162b2 vaccine while highly this condition. Third, some South American coun-
mobile working age groups were simultaneously vac- tries like Chile, Uruguay and Brazil already started
cinated with CoronaVac. This more homogeneous or approved the administration of a vaccine booster.
vaccination strategy across different age groups in Our study has some important limitations: (i) diffi-
Uruguay might partially explain the relative low HIT culty to estimate precisely the IFR and consequently
observed in this country. This may be related to the to have a precise estimate of the cumulative num-
fact that, the decoupling effect due to vaccinations ber of naturally infected people at decoupling point
programs that we observe between mobility and the in each country; (ii) sub-reporting of SARS-CoV-2
reproductive number is reached more abruptly than deaths might underestimate the cumulative number
what could be expected from SIR-like models where of infections and thus the HIT; (iii) the assumption
that partially vaccinated people did not greatly con- Our World in Data (OWID) [1]. Mobility index
tribute to reduce viral transmissions might have also was estimated from the six indicators categories (re-
underestimate the number of vaccine-immune indi- tail and recreation, grocery and pharmacy, parks,
viduals and the actual HIT; (iv) on the other hand, transit stations, workplaces, and residential) pro-
although we assumed some overlap between vaccinal vided by Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Re-
immunity and natural immunity, the precise fraction ports [48]. For the sake of reproducible research,
of fully vaccinated individuals that were previously the code used to obtain all the results and fig-
infected is unknown. Because of these limitations, ures is available at https://github.com/marfiori/
the precise HIT estimated here should be interpreted covid19-decoupling.
with caution and should not be considered as general
reference values for other countries.
In summary, our study supports that populations 4.2 Estimation of the viral effective
from the South American Southern cone probably reproduction number and decou-
achieved the conditional HIT to contain the fur- pling time
ther spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants Gamma and
Lambda at around mid-2021. Presumed herd im- As the correlations between the six different possi-
munity was probably mostly attained by natural in- ble regressors are large, we construct indices that are
fection in Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay, and by a more robust along time and different countries, to
mixture of natural infections and vaccination in Chile avoid overfitting. In order to do this, we choose for
and Uruguay. The widespread used of the Coronavac each country the three categories that give the best
inactive viral vaccine in South America was not only fit among all possible combinations. Although the
effective to prevent the severe forms of COVID-19 dis- categories may vary, the obtained fit quality is rel-
ease but also has the potential to contain the com- atively robust over different time intervals. The six
munity spread of highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 mobility time series were smoothed by averaging over
regional variants. Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, a 14 days sliding window.
combined with other vaccines and mitigation mea- For each country, we selected a time period con-
sures, may thus represent a relevant tool to control sisting of 75 days before the start of the vaccination
the COVID-19 pandemic especially under the severe campaign, and 55 days after, ending up with a 130-
limitation of vaccine supplies faced by many coun- days period to carry out the estimation. Given a set
tries around the world. Our findings stress that the of three mobility categories, we fitted a linear regres-
herd immunity status might be rapidly lost if vaccine- sion model to the viral effective reproduction number
induce neutralizing antibodies decrease over time and Rt , lagged a certain time period. This time shift was
more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants are either chosen as the lag that maximizes the correlation of
introduced from abroad or evolved locally. the regression. This procedure was repeated for each
combination of three categories among the six mo-
bility measures provided by Google, and the combi-
Acknowledgements nation achieving the best regression result was kept.
We are indebted to P. Bermolen, M. Cerminara, M. It should be noted that, since the six categories are
I. Fariello, F. Paganini, R. Radi, M. Reiris, A. Rojas highly correlated, other combinations of three cate-
de Arias and C. E. Schaerer, for useful discussion gories achieve similar fitting results, and therefore the
and support. Any errors are the responsibility of the chosen categories are not necessarily informative by
authors. themselves.
Using the coefficients obtained in this 130-days pe-
riod, and rest of the mobility time series, we com-
4 Methods puted the predicted viral reproduction number R̂t .
The procedure was tested using periods of different
lengths for the estimation, and the results in the HIT
4.1 Data and code availability
are robust along the different experiments.
The SARS-CoV-2 incidence data, viral effective re- When population mobility and viral transmission
production number Rt (also indicated as reproduc- are coupled, the coupling ratio Ct = R̂t /Rt oscillates
tion rate), confirmed deaths, vaccinated people, and around one (0.90-1.10). Departing from a certain mo-
other epidemiological indicators were retrieved from ment, the R̂t becomes much higher than the Rt , re-
vealing the decoupling between population mobility vaccines used in the country (see Table 1). We as-
and viral spread resulted. We defined the decou- sumed a perfect immunization due to natural infec-
pling time Dt as the moment when the coupling tion. That is, we neglected in the present analysis the
ratio Ct = R̂t /Rt definitely exceeds the value 1.10, number of re-infections. Furthermore, let us denote
i.e. the last crossing over 1.10. by IM the estimation of the proportion of immunized
population. Then, the computation described above
is as follows:
4.3 Estimation of the IFR and im-
IM = (F V − F V · N I) · V E + N I.
mune population
Here the product F V · N I accounts for the intersec-
As it is well known, the estimation of the infection tion of the populations, which is subtracted from the
fatality rate has been a hard task during all the pan- vaccinated population before the effectiveness factor
demic. The cryptic circulation of the virus (due to is applied. As described through the text, the pro-
asymptomatic infections) and different variants made portion of people with immunity by natural infection
that in fact this quantity varies along time and popu- is inferred from the confirmed deaths, using the esti-
lations. Here we took into account the most relevant mated IF R.
variable to compute it, that is the age structure of the Observe that due to the vaccine effectiveness, the
population. We then took IFR by age taken from [49] percentage of fully vaccinated people may by greater
and adjusted to the population pyramid of each of than the percentage of immunized population.
the considered countries [50]. Confidence intervals
were calculated by considering the (very large) con-
fidence intervals available from [49] and estimating References
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10
Figure A.1: Viral effective reproduction number Rt and its estimation R̂t using mobility information. Back-
ground colors indicate the following time periods: in blue, the time period used to fit the linear model (see
Section 4.2), in yellow, the period after the fitting, but before the decoupling point, and in red after the
decoupling point. The black dot corresponds to the last time the reproductive number was above one. The
correlation corresponds to the period used to fit the model. The delay indicated is the time-shift between
the mobility time series and Rt in order to maximize the correlation in the linear regression.
Figure A.2: Coupling ratio R̂t /Rt plotted with respect to the percentage of immune population. During
the first months of 2021 the coupling ratio varies around 1, which corresponds to the periods where the Rt
and R̂t are in concordance in Figure A.1. Immune population includes immunity achieved by vaccination
(taking into account its effectiveness), and natural infection (see subsection 4.3). The percentage of people
fully vaccinated is described as well.
11
5 Authors: Kang Wang1$, Yunlong Cao3$, Yunjiao Zhou2$, Jiajing Wu4,$, Zijing Jia1$, Yaling Hu5$,
6 Ayijiang Yisimayi3, Wangjun Fu1, Lei Wang1, Pan Liu1, Kaiyue Fan1, Ruihong Chen1,6, Lin
7 Wang5, Jing Li5, Yao Wang3, Xiaoqin Ge5, Qianqian Zhang2, Jianbo Wu2, Nan Wang1, Wei Wu2,
8 Yidan Gao2, Jingyun Miao7, Yinan Jiang7, Lili Qin7, Ling Zhu1, Weijin Huang5, Yanjun Zhang9,
9 Huan Zhang8, Baisheng Li8, Qiang Gao5, Xiaoliang Sunney Xie3*, Youchun Wang4*, Qiao
11
12 Affiliation:
1
13 CAS Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, National Laboratory of Macromolecules, Institute
16 Sciences; Shanghai Institute of Infectious Disease and Biosecurity; Shanghai Medical College,
19 Center (BIOPIC), School of life Science, Peking University, Beijing 100091, China
4
20 Division of HIV/AIDS and Sex-transmitted Virus Vaccines, Institute for Biological Product
21 Control, National Institutes for Food and Drug Control (NIFDC), Beijing 102629, China
5
22 Sinovac Biotech Ltd, Beijing, China
6
23 Guangzhou Laboratory, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, 510320
7
24 Acrobiosystems Inc, Beijing, China
8
25 Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
9
26 Department of Microbiology, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,
27 Hangzhou, China
28
29 *Correspondence to: X.W. (Email: xiangxi@ibp.ac.cn) or Q.W. (Email: wangqiao@fudan.edu.cn)
30 or Y.W. (Email: wangyc@nifdc.org.cn) or X.S.X. (Email: sunneyxie@biopic.pku.edu.cn)
$
31 These authors contributed equally to this work.
32 NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.09.02.21261735; this version posted September 5, 2021. The copyright holder for this
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in
perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license .
50
51
57
58
59
60 Main Text:
61 The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe
62 acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has lasted for one and a
63 half years, resulting in an unprecedented public health crisis with over 4 million
64 deaths globally. Progress in halting this pandemic seems slow due to the emergence
65 of variants of concern (VOC), such as the B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.351 (Beta), P.1
66 (Gamma, also known as B.1.1.28.1) and more recent B.1.617.2 (Delta), that appear
67 to be high transmissible and more resistant to neutralizing antibodies (1-4). While
68 several types of COVID-19 vaccines are being deployed at a large scale, new variants
69 are thought to be responsible for re-infections, either after natural infection or after
70 vaccination, as observed in Brazil and the United States, respectively (5, 6). Closely
71 correlated with these, a general decrease in immune protection against SARS-CoV-
72 2 variants within 6-12 months after the primary infection or vaccination is also
73 observed (6-8). The prospect of genetic recombination and antigenic drift in recent
74 SARS-CoV-2 variants together with non-uniform immune protections arising from
75 heterogeneously waning humoral immunity in COVID-19 convalescent or
76 vaccinated individuals, point to the potential risks of a long-term pandemic that could
77 endanger the global human health, diminishing social, economic and outdoor leisure
78 activities. A plausible approach to solving this problem is the administration of a
79 third dose of the vaccine somewhere between 6 and 12 months after the 2nd dose of
80 vaccination for enhancing and prolonging the protection. However, not much is
81 known about the immunogenic features of such a booster dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
82 In addition, there are large gaps in our understanding about correlating immunogenic
83 findings from surrogate endpoints to gauge vaccine efficacy.
84
91 either 2 or 3 doses of the Coronavac vaccine for blood donation. The volunteers
92 ranged from 16 to 69 years old (median 33); 30 (45.5%) were men and 36 (54.5%)
93 were women. None of the volunteers recruited for vaccination was infected by
94 SARS-CoV-2 prior to the study. Blood samples from convalescents and vaccinees
95 collected 1.3 months after infection and the indicated times after vaccination were
96 used in this study, respectively, to compare humoral immune responses elicited
97 against circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants.
98
99 Neutralizing antibodies (NAbs) are a major correlate of protection for many viruses,
100 including SARS-CoV-2, and have also provided the best correlate of vaccine
101 efficacy. Several types of SARS-CoV-2 neutralization assays have been described
102 using either live SARS-CoV-2 or a pseudo-typed reporter virus carrying SARS-CoV-
103 2 spike protein (S). Both types of assays could yield reproducible neutralizing titers,
104 with the pseudo-typed virus neutralization assay exhibiting higher sensitivity (11,
105 12). Neutralizing activity of plasma samples from 66 participants was measured
106 against WT, B.1.351, P.1 and B.1.617.2 using live SARS-CoV-2 and VSV-
107 pseudoviruses with the S from WT, B.1.1.7, P.1 variants and SARS-CoV (Fig. 1).
108 The geometric mean half-maximal neutralizing titers (GMT NT50) against live
109 SARS-CoV-2 in plasma obtained from convalescents and from vaccinees (4 weeks
110 after the final vaccination) suggest an approximately 60% higher neutralizing
111 activity against WT after 3-dose inoculation when compared with 2-dose
112 administration, and 20% higher than those from convalescents (Fig. 1A).
113 Interestingly, for the samples from the convalescents, 2-dose and 3-dose vaccinees,
114 neutralizing titers against B.1.351 were, on average, 7.7-fold, 5.7-fold and 3.0-fold
115 reduced, respectively, compared with WT (Fig. 1A). Similarly, fold decreases in
116 neutralization ID50 titers against P.1 and B.1.617.2 for the three cohorts were 5.3, 4.3
117 and 3.1, and 5.3, 3.7 and 2.3, respectively (Fig. 1A). Overall, plasma of the 3-dose
118 vaccinees displayed minimal reduction in neutralization titers against several
119 authentic VOCs compared to the convalescents and 2-dose vaccinees (Fig. 1A).
120 Remarkably, ~41% (9/22) and 50% (6/12) samples from the convalescents and 2-
121 dose vaccinees, respectively, failed to reach 50% neutralization at a plasma dilution
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122 of 1: 10, with ~14% (3/22) and 16% (2/12) showing a near ineffectiveness in
123 neutralizing B.1.351 in vitro (Fig. 1A). By contrast, only 1 out of 14 samples from
124 the 3-dose vaccinees exhibited a weak neutralizing titer below 10 (Fig. 1A).
125 Importantly, the 3-dose vaccinees showed over 2.5-fold higher neutralizing potency
126 against B.1.617.2 than the convalescents and 2-dose vaccinees (Fig. 1A). The GMT
127 NT50 values measured by a VSV-pseudovirus with the WT S were 840, 660 and 1,176
128 for convalescents, 2-dose and 3-dose vaccinees, respectively, which were 8-10-fold
129 greater than those determined by live WT SARS-CoV-2 (Fig. 1A, 1B), confirming
130 higher sensitivity of pseudovirus-based assays in determining neutralizing titers. In
131 line with the results of live SARS-CoV-2 neutralization assay, the mean fold decrease
132 in the neutralization of B.1.1.7 relative to the WT was 2.8-fold for convalescents,
133 2.2-fold for 2-dose vaccinees and 1.7-fold for 3-dose vaccinees (Fig. 1B). Similarly,
134 plasma from convalescents, 2-dose and 3-dose vaccinees exhibited a 4.5-fold, 2.9-
135 fold and 2.4-fold reduction, in NAb titers against P.1, respectively, when compared
136 to the WT (Fig. 1B). These results reveal that a third-dose boost of inactivated
137 vaccine leads to enhanced neutralizing breadth to SARS-CoV-2 variants, bolstering
138 the potential to ward off VOCs effectively when compared to convalescent plasma.
139 Of note, neither vaccination nor SARS-CoV-2 infection boosts distinct neutralizing
140 potency against SARS-CoV, presumably due to the relatively far phylogenic
141 relationship (Fig. 1B).
142
153 plasma neutralizing activity against the WT was substantially correlated with anti-S
154 and anti-RBD binding titers in ELISA. However, only marginal correlates between
155 binding and neutralization potency were established for VOCs (fig. S2). In spite of
156 this, a 3-dose administration elicits a broader range of antibody binding activities to
157 VOCs with minimal decreasing folds than those of 2-dose vaccination and
158 convalescents (Fig. 1D and fig. S2).
159
160 To evaluate the nature of humoral immune response elicited by a booster dose of
161 CoronaVac, the S-specific IgA, IgM and IgG titers and neutralizing activities against
162 SARS-CoV-2 variants were monitored before and 4 weeks after the third
163 immunization. S-specific IgM and IgA titers were generally lower and were not
164 significantly boosted in response to the third-dose vaccination (Fig. 1E). Similar to
165 most convalescents (2), approximately 80~90% of both anti-S IgG and NAb titers
166 against the WT waned 6 months after the second vaccination (13), while the third-
167 dose administration of CoronaVac boosted these titers by ~20-fold at 4 weeks post
168 vaccination (Fig. 1E and F). Significantly, vaccinees 6 months after the second
169 immunization did not have detectable in vitro neutralizing activities against B.1.351,
170 P.1 and B.1.617.2, while all vaccinees exhibited a robust recall humoral response to
171 efficiently neutralize circulating variants post the third-dose vaccination (Fig. 1E and
172 F). To further characterize the expeditiousness, longevity and immunological
173 kinetics of recall response stimulated by the third-dose immunization, neutralizing
174 potencies at days 0, 7, 14, 28, 90 and 180 post the third-dose vaccination were
175 determined (Fig. 1G and H). Remarkably, NAb titer surged by ~8-fold (from 7 to 53)
176 at week 1, peaked by ~25-fold increase (up to 177) at week 2 after the 3rd-booster
177 and slowly decreased over time (Fig. 1G). Notably, NAb titer was maintained at
178 around 60 on 180 days post the 3rd-booster, comparable to the high level of NAb titer
179 elicited by the 2-dose administration (Fig. 1H). Taken together, these serological
180 results reveal a third-dose booster can elicit an expeditious, robust and long-lasting
181 recall humoral response.
182
183 The molecular mechanism underlying these potent, broad and durative antibody
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184 responses elicited by a third-dose booster 6 months after the administration of the
185 second dose of the vaccine, might involve ongoing antibody somatic mutation and
186 evolution of antibody by affinity maturation through prolonged and repeated antigen
187 stimulation (14, 15). Although circulating antibodies derived from plasma cells wane
188 over time, long-lived immune memory can persist in expanded clones of memory B
189 cells (16). Thereby, we used flow cytometry to sort the SARS-CoV-2 S-trimer-
190 specific memory B cells from the blood of seven selected CoronaVac vaccinees,
191 including four samples from 3-dose vaccinees and three samples from 2-dose
192 vaccinees (Fig. 2A and fig. S3). The averaged percentage of S-binding memory B
193 cells in 3-dose vaccinees was substantially greater than those in 2-dose vaccinees
194 (Fig. 2A and fig. S3). Due to differences in labeling strategies employed for sorting
195 SARS-CoV-2-specific B cells, the above percentage of memory B cells was not
196 directly comparable with those reported in naturally infected individuals and in
197 mRNA vaccinated individuals. The gated double-positive cells were single cell
198 sorted and immunoglobulin heavy (IGH; IgG isotype) and light (IGL or IGK) chain
199 genes were amplified by nested PCR. Overall, we obtained 422 and 132 paired heavy
200 and light chain variable regions from S-binding IgG+ memory B cells from four 3-
201 dose and three 2-dose vaccinees, respectively (Fig. 2B and fig. S4). Surprisingly,
202 expanded clones of cells comprised 45-61% of the overall S-binding memory B
203 compartment in 3-dose vaccinees, which is approximately 2-fold higher than those
204 in COVID-19 convalescents and in mRNA or 2-dose vaccinated individuals (Fig. 2B
205 and C). When compared to 2-dose vaccinees, the increase in the number of persistent
206 clones and various clonal compositions in 3-dose vaccinated group suggested an
207 ongoing clonal evolution (Fig. 2B and C). Shared antibodies with the same
208 combination of IGHV and IGLV genes in 3-dose vaccinees comprised ~20% of all
209 the clonal sequences. Similar to natural infection and mRNA vaccination (2, 14, 16),
210 IGHV3-30, IGHV3-53 and IGHV1-69 remained significantly over-represented in 3-
211 dose vaccinees (fig. S5). Meanwhile, notable differences in the frequency of human
212 V genes between 3-dose vaccinated and the other two groups were observed as well
213 (fig. S5). In 3-dose vaccinees, IGHV3-21, IGHV4-39 and IGHV7-4-1 were largely
214 abundant, but IGHV5-51, IGHV3-66 and IGHV1-2 were significantly scarce when
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215 compared to the other two groups (fig. S5), indicative of memory B cell clonal
216 turnover. Notably, large-scale, single-cell sequencing datasets generated from two
217 cohorts of 2-dose, 3-dose vaccinees and a group of convalescents revealed no distinct
218 preference in the frequency of V genes at total B cell repertoire level (fig. S6),
219 suggesting that a large abundance of antibodies with low expression or affinities exist
220 in B cells. Additionally, the number of nucleotide mutations in the V gene in 3-dose
221 vaccinees is higher than those in both 2-dose vaccinees and naturally infected
222 individuals assayed after 1.3 and 6.2 months, but slightly lower than those in
223 convalescent individuals 1 year after infection (Fig. 2D), revealing ongoing somatic
224 hypermutation of antibody genes. There was no significant difference in the length
225 of the IgG CDR3 between vaccinated (either mRNA or inactivated) and convalescent
226 (after 1.3 or 6.2 or months) groups (fig. S7). These results reveal that a third-dose
227 booster 6 months after the second vaccination elicits an enhanced and anamnestic
228 immune response, which is led by clonal evolution of memory B cell and ongoing
229 antibody somatic mutations, resulting in enhanced neutralizing potency, breadth and
230 longevity of the immune response against SARS-CoV-2.
231
232 To further explore the immunogenic characteristics of the antibodies obtained from
233 memory B cells in 3-dose vaccinees, 48 clonal antibodies, designated as XGv01 to
234 XGv50 (no expression for XGv37 and XGv48) were expressed and their antigen
235 binding abilities verified by ELISA (fig. S8). Biolayer interferometry affinities (BLI)
236 measurements demonstrated that all antibodies bound to WT SARS-CoV-2 at sub-
237 nM levels (fig. S9 and table S1). The normalized geometric mean ELISA half-
238 maximal concentration (EC50) revealed that all antibodies (EC50=4.5 ng/ml) obtained
239 from 3-dose vaccinees, in particular RBD-specific mAbs (EC50=3.5 ng/ml),
240 possessed higher binding activities than RBD-mAbs from early convalescents (at 1.3
241 and 6.2 months after infection, EC50=5.0 and 6.8 ng/ml, respectively) and mRNA
242 (EC50=4.4 ng/ml) vaccinated individuals (2, 14-18), but were comparable to those
243 from late convalescent individuals (EC50=2.6 ng/ml) assessed at 12 months after
244 infection (Fig. 2E). These results indicate the possibility of the loss of antibodies
245 with low binding affinities over time or an ongoing increase in affinity under the
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246 repeated exposures of antigen. Among these antibodies tested, 26 bound to RBD, 16
247 targeted NTD, and 6 interacted with neither RBD nor NTD, but bound S1 (S1/non-
248 RBD-NTD) (fig. S9 and table S1). Pseudovirus neutralization assay revealed that all
249 RBD-specific antibodies, 10 (~60%) of the 16 NTD-directed antibodies and 3
250 (~50%) of the 6 S1/non-RBD-NTD antibodies were neutralizing, presenting a
251 relatively high ratio for NAbs (Fig. 2F, fig. S10 and table S2). Authentic SARS-CoV-
252 2 neutralization assay results largely verified their neutralizing activities, albeit with
253 that higher concentrations were required for some NAbs (fig. S11). Compared to
254 RBD antibodies, many NTD NAbs exhibited very limited neutralizing activities.
255 Notably, approximately 30% of RBD antibodies showed extra potent activities with
256 half-maximal inhibitory concentration values (IC50) < 0.1 nM. In line with binding
257 affinity, the normalized geometric mean IC50 of the RBD antibodies of 3-dose
258 vaccinees was 80 ng/ml, substantially lower than those from naturally infected
259 individuals (ranging from 1.3 to 6.2 months, IC50=130-160 ng/ml) and mRNA
260 vaccinated individuals (IC50=150 ng/ml), but similar to those from late convalescents
261 (IC50=78 ng/ml) (Fig. 2E) (2, 14-18). The overall increased neutralizing potency
262 might have resulted from the ongoing accumulation of clones expressing antibodies
263 with tight binding and potent neutralizing activities. Our experimental observations
264 are consistent with a more recent study where antibodies generated from clonal B
265 cells after 12 months showed enhanced neutralizing activities (14, 15).
266
267 To examine the cross-reactivity against VOCs and other human coronaviruses,
268 binding responses of these antibodies to WT, B.1.1.7, P.1, B.1.351, B.1.617.2, SARS-
269 CoV, HuCoV NL63, HuCoV 229E and HuCoV HKU1 were measured. All but 2 of
270 the 48 antibodies showed strong cross-binding to SARS-CoV-2 VOCs and about one-
271 third of antibodies exhibited clear cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV, but none of these
272 bound to HuCoV NL63, HuCoV 229E or HuCoV HKU1 (fig. S12). For ~ 20% and
273 25% of RBD- and NTD-targeting antibodies, respectively, binding affinities against
274 B.1.351/B.1.617.2 were over 10-fold reduced compared with WT (Fig. 2E). To
275 further determine the neutralization breadth, the neutralizing activity of these
276 antibodies was assayed against five VOCs and SARS-CoV. Out of 26 RBD NAbs,
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277 24 possessed cross-neutralization activity against all five SARS-CoV-2 VOCs (Fig.
278 2F and fig. S13). Among these, six RBD antibodies could cross-neutralize SARS-
279 CoV, of which 2 exhibited more potent neutralization activity against SARS-CoV
280 with IC50 values of 41 and 73 ng/ml. However, most of the NTD and S1/non-RBD-
281 NTD NAbs lost their abilities to inhibit viral infection (Fig. 2F and fig. S13),
282 indicative of higher variations for the NTD in VOCs. In comparison with NAbs from
283 early convalescents, antibodies isolated from 3-dose vaccinees showed overall
284 enhanced neutralizing potency and breadth to VOCs.
285
286 RBD is one of the main targets of neutralization in SARS-CoV-2 and other
287 coronaviruses. Due to its inherent conformational flexibility, RBD exists in either an
288 “open” (ACE2 receptor accessible) or “closed” (ACE2 receptor inaccessible)
289 configuration (19, 20), bearing antigenic sites with distinct “neutralizing sensitivity”.
290 To dissect the nature of the epitopes of RBD targeted by NAbs, 171 SARS-CoV-2
291 RBD-targeting NAbs with available structures (2, 15, 21-82), including 8 cryo-EM
292 structures determined in this manuscript (fig. S14-S15 and table S3), were examined.
293 By using cluster analysis on epitope structures, the antibodies were primarily
294 classified into six sites (Ⅰ, Ⅱ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ, Ⅴ and Ⅵ) (Fig. 3A and fig. S16), that are related
295 to the four or five classes assigned in recent studies (22, 31). Additionally, we
296 superimposed structures of RBDs from these complex structures and calculated the
297 clash areas between any 2 NAbs (Fig. 3B). Both strategies yielded identical results.
298 Combining the results of the characterization of binding and neutralization studies
299 reported previously with those determined here, the key structure-activity correlates
300 for the six classes of antibodies were analyzed (Fig. 3). Antibodies with sites Ⅰ, Ⅱ and
301 Ⅲ, most frequently elicited by SARS-CoV-2 early infection, target the receptor-
302 binding motif (RBM), and potently neutralize the virus by blocking the interactions
303 between SARS-CoV-2 and ACE2 (Fig. 3C and D). Class I antibodies, mostly derived
304 from IGHV3-53/IGHV3-66 with short HCDR3s (generally <15 residues), recognize
305 only the “open” RBD, and make contact with K417 and N501, but not
306 L452/T478/E484 (Fig. 3C and D, and fig. S16-S17). Notably, mutations such as
307 K417N, L452R, T478K, E484K and N501Y, or combinations of these mutations,
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308 identified in several VOCs like B.1.1.7, B.1.617.2, P.1 and B.1.351, have been
309 demonstrated to be key determinants for the viral escape of neutralization by many
310 NAbs (fig. S18) (1, 81). Approximately ~75% and 60% of class I NAbs were
311 significantly impaired in binding and neutralizing activities against B.1.351 as well
312 as P.1, respectively, due to the combined mutations of K417N/T and N501Y (Fig. 3D
313 and E, and fig. S18). Contrarily, Class III antibodies that are encoded by IGHV1-2
314 and other variable heavy (VH)-genes and bound to RBD either in “open” or “closed”
315 conformation, extensively associate with E484, and partially with L452, but not
316 K417/T478/N501 (Fig. 3D and fig. S17C). Interestingly, IGHV3-53/IGHV3-66 RBD
317 antibodies with long HCDR3s (>15 residues) switch their epitopes from the site I to
318 site III, indicating a clear antigenic drift during the process of somatic
319 hypermutations (fig. S17C). Disastrously, over 90% class III antibodies showed a
320 complete loss of activity against B.1.351 as well as P.1 largely owing to an E484K
321 mutation (Fig. 3E). Against B.1.617.2, the substantially decreased activity of ~half
322 of the class III antibodies is presumably mediated by L452R (Fig. 3E). Class II
323 antibodies use more diverse VH-genes and target the patch lying between sites I and
324 III (Fig. 3D and fig. S19). Surprisingly, antibodies binding to site II possess relatively
325 lower specificity in recognition of epitope clusters ranging from K417, L452, S477,
326 E484 to N501 (fig. S16). Like site I, site II can only be accessed when the RBD is in
327 “open” conformation (Fig. 3A). As expected, the effects of mutations on the activity
328 of class II antibodies were severe, two-thirds of these antibodies had >10-fold fall in
329 neutralization activities against VOCs (Fig. 3E). Overall, the above analysis reveals
330 that the RBD mutations identified in several VOCs can significantly reduce and, in
331 some cases, even abolish the binding and neutralization of classes I to III antibodies,
332 albeit being the most potent neutralizing antibodies against WT SARS-CoV-2.
333
334 By contrast, antibodies of the other three classes recognize evolutionarily conserved
335 regions distinct from the RBM and some of these are often cross-reactive with other
336 sarbecoviruses (65-67, 79). The binding of class IV antibodies, albeit attached to the
337 apical shoulder of the RBM, is focused on a condensed patch that comprises residues
338 345-346, 440-441, 444-446, 448-450, which are not related to mutations observed in
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339 VOCs (Fig. 3C and fig. S16). Related to the binding position, site IV epitopes,
340 accessible in both “open” and “closed” conformations, exist either as partially
341 overlapped with or outside ACE2 binding sites (Fig. 3A). Interestingly, class IV
342 antibodies can execute their neutralizations via multiple mechanisms, such as (i)
343 direct blockage of RBD-ACE2 associations, (ii) bridging adjacent “closed” RBDs to
344 lock the S-trimer into a completely closed prefusion conformation, (iii) blockage of
345 viral membrane fusion by locking conformational changes of the S-trimer, or (iv) Fc-
346 dependent effector mechanisms (31, 62, 67). Class IV antibodies, e.g. 1-57, 2-7, S309
347 and BD-812, hold the greatest potential for harboring ultra-potent neutralization
348 activity and markedly high tolerance to most VOCs (63, 67). Not surprisingly, all class
349 IV antibodies, but CV07-270, exhibited excellent neutralizing breadth and potency to
350 VOCs (Fig. 3E). The probable reason underlying the exception could be that CV07-
351 270 bears an unusually long HCDR3, directly contacting E484, distal to the site IV (46).
352 Site V locates beneath the RBM ridge, opposite to the site I, and adjacent to the site
353 III. None of the class V antibodies compete with ACE2 binding (Fig. 3D and fig.
354 S17). Due to ~40% targeting frequency to L452, B.1.617.2, but not other VOCs,
355 partially decreased the activities of some class V antibodies (Fig. 3E). Class VI
356 antibodies recognize a patch on one side of the RBD, distal from the RBM. Among
357 these, some compete with ACE2 binding, while some do not, and this largely depends
358 on the orientation/pose of the antibodies bound. Both sites V and VI contain cryptic
359 epitopes that are only accessible when at least one RBD is in the open state (Fig. 3A
360 and C). In some cases, e.g. FC08 and CR3022, belonging to class V and VI,
361 respectively, epitopes are only accessible in the prefusion S-trimer under the
362 condition that all RBDs are open, suggesting that binding of these antibodies would
363 facilitate the destruction of the prefusion S-trimer (83, 84). In spite of less potency,
364 antibodies targeting sites V to VI are mostly tolerant to the VOCs.
365
366 Low levels of NAbs elicited by either natural infection or vaccination during in vivo
367 viral propagation may impose strong selection pressure for viral escape, leading to
368 an increase in the number of SARS-CoV-2 variants. To further understand the drivers
369 of viral evolution, we constructed immunogenic and mutational heatmaps for RBD
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370 using the 171 NAb complex structures to estimate in vivo NAb-targeting frequencies
371 on the RBD and viral mutation frequencies (calculated from the datasets in the
372 GISAID), respectively (Fig. 3D and fig. S19). Briefly, for each antibody, we
373 identified epitope residues and calculated the frequency of each RBD residue being
374 recognized by antibody. Immunogenic heatmap revealed that the epitope residues of
375 sites I to III showed predominantly higher NAb recognition frequencies (about 53.8,
376 55.0 and 49.2 antibodies per residue on average for site I, II and III, respectively)
377 compared with those of sites IV to VI (about 19.4, 9.1 and 14.3 antibodies per
378 residues on average for site I V, V and VI, respectively), suggesting that class I to III
379 antibody epitopes are “hot” immunogenic sites (Fig. 3D and fig. S19). In line with
380 this, residues within sites I to III exhibited dramatically higher mutation frequencies,
381 as revealed in circulating variants that include mutations of K417, L452, S477, T478,
382 E484 and N501 residues (Fig. 3D and fig. S19). Surprisingly, none of the top 9 hottest
383 immunogenic residues had a high mutation frequency. In particular, residues, such
384 as F486, Y489, Q493, L455, F456, et.al (top 5, having 96, 96, 81, 73 and 70
385 antibodies per residue, respectively) with large side chains exhibited extremely low
386 mutation frequencies in circulating SARS-CoV-2 strains (Fig. 3D and fig. S20). It’s
387 worthy to note that all these residues are extensively involved in the recognition of
388 ACE2. The buried surface area (BSA) of these residues upon binding to ACE2
389 confirmed that extensive interactions would be significantly reduced by amino acid
390 substitutions, thereby affecting ACE2-mediated viral entry. Thus, genetic, structural
391 and immunogenic analysis explains why mutations at these positions would not be
392 selected.
393
394 A few studies have reported that a subset of NTD-targeting antibodies can be as
395 potent as best-in-class RBD specific antibodies. They work via inhibiting a step post-
396 attachment to cells like blocking fusion of the virus to the host cell membrane (85-
397 88). We performed cluster analysis on 26 structures of the NTD-NAb complexes
398 (including 2 structures solved in this manuscript) (fig. S21A) (54, 85-93). A
399 dominant site α, defined as the “supersite” in more recent studies (85-88), comprising
400 of three flexible loops (N1, N3 and N5), is the largest glycan-free surface of NTD
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401 facing away from the viral membrane (facing up). Antibodies targeting site α
402 generally exhibited the most potent neutralizing activity compared to other sites on
403 the NTD (85, 90) (fig. S21B and C). The NTD supersite antibodies are primarily
404 derived from a subset of VH-genes with an over-representation of IGHV1-24. Sites
405 β and γ, as the left and right flank clusters, construct a shallow groove beneath the
406 supersite and locate at the back of the groove, eliciting less potent antibodies. By
407 contrast, δ antibodies, bound to a patch beneath the groove have their Fab constant
408 domains directed downward toward the virus membrane (facing down) (fig. S21B
409 and C). In line with binding orientation, many of the δ antibodies were shown to
410 present infection enhancing activities in vitro (54, 90). Perhaps correlated with being
411 a “hot” immunogenic site that is amenable to potent neutralization, highly frequent
412 mutations, including a number of deletions within the NTD supersite were identified
413 in most VOCs under ongoing selective pressure, leading to significant reduction and
414 in some cases even complete loss of neutralization activity for these NTD supersite
415 NAbs (94).
416
417 More recent studies have reported that SARS-CoV-2 infection can produce a long-
418 lasting memory compartment that continues to evolve over 12 months after infection
419 with ongoing accumulation of somatic mutations, emergence of new clones and
420 increasing affinity of antibodies to antigens (14, 15). Consequently, an increase in
421 breadth and overall potency of antibodies produced by memory B cells over time has
422 been revealed (14), akin to the experimental observations elicited by a 3-dose
423 vaccination strategy using an inactivated vaccine described in this study. To
424 investigate whether changes in the frequency of distribution of the six types of RBD
425 antibodies is associated with evolution time, we collated and categorized human
426 SARS-CoV-2 NAbs from available literatures. For antibody clustering, we combined
427 structural and square competition matrix analysis for 273 RBD NAbs in total (Fig.
428 4A and fig. S22). In the earliest documented studies (before Dec 2020), NAbs
429 belonging to classes I to III were predominantly identified in early COVID-19
430 convalescent and 2-dose vaccinated individuals (defined as early time point),
431 accounting for up to ~80% of total antibodies. By contrast, a low ratio of NAbs from
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432 IV to VI was reported possibly due to their less potent activities at the early time
433 point (Fig. 4A). In recent literatures (after Dec 2020), NAbs with enhanced
434 neutralizing potency and breadth from IV to VI have substantially been enriched in
435 the late convalescents or 3-dose vaccinees, almost equal in frequency to antibodies
436 from I to III and further becoming ascendant in individuals immunized with 3 doses
437 of inactivated vaccine (Fig. 4A). Differential frequency of distribution of antibody
438 types may provide an additional possible explanation for the observed enhanced
439 neutralizing breadth of plasma in late convalescent individuals and 3-dose vaccinees.
440 These results suggest that memory B cells display clonal turnover after about 6
441 months, subsequently resulting in changes in the composition of antibodies in B cell
442 repertoire and thereby partially contributing to enhanced activities of antibodies
443 secreted in the plasma over time. To explore the underlying mechanism, we measured
444 the binding affinities of 167 type-classified antibodies that are also further
445 categorized into early and late time point groups (table S1 and fig. S9). For the late
446 time group, there was a 10-20 fold increase in binding affinity for individual classes,
447 compared to those in the early time point group (Fig. 4B). In early time point group,
448 antibodies from IV to VI exhibited higher binding affinities to the RBD than those
449 from I to III, in particular, antibodies from V and VI despite limited numbers (Fig.
450 4B). Possibly higher affinities for these antibodies are required to accomplish
451 neutralization successfully. Thus, most antibodies from V and VI with low affinities
452 and activities might be screened out in the early time point. In the late point group,
453 sub-nM binding affinities for individual class antibodies with no distinct variations
454 were observed, reflecting ongoing affinity maturation over time. This might also
455 explain the observation that some antibodies, from I to III isolated in the late time
456 point possess potent cross-neutralization activities (Fig. 3E). Our antibody clustering
457 and V gene usage analysis suggests that individual class antibodies can be derived
458 from multiple V genes and the shared V gene antibodies belong to different classes.
459 To decipher the intrinsic trends in the relationship between binding affinity and
460 somatic hypermutation (SHM) rate, we determined the relative affinity (KD) and
461 calculated the SHM rate of antibodies that are encoded by the same V gene and
462 belong to the same class. The measured KD–SHM plots and KD–SHM log-log plots of
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medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.09.02.21261735; this version posted September 5, 2021. The copyright holder for this
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in
perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license .
463 class I antibodies (n=61), including 32 NAbs derived from IGHV3-53, show least
464 squares fitting of data to a power law with a strong correlation of -0.81 for IGHV3-53
465 antibodies (-0.55 for all class I antibodies) (Fig. 4C). The absolute value of its slope
466 corresponding to a free energy change per logarithm (base e) SHM of cal nmol!" ,
467 where free energy change is 4.98,- + 1.48,- ln(123) (, = 2.0 cal K !" nmol!"
468 and T = 298 K). Antibodies with adequate numbers tested from II and III exhibited
469 similar trends by following a power law, among which IGHV3-66 antibodies in class
470 II yielded a compelling correlation of -0.94 despite 6 plots involved in the fitting
471 (Fig. 4C). These trends indicate that as the SHM increase, the binding energy
472 increases and KD value decreases.
473
474 More recently, the B.1.617.2 variant has contributed to another surge in COVID-19
475 cases worldwide, accounting for ~90% of new cases in the UK and >40% in the US,
476 despite the fact that increasing number of people have been vaccinated. Evaluation
477 of the effectiveness of several vaccines performed recently suggests that the efficacy
478 for VOCs correlates with full vaccination status and the time that has passed since
479 vaccination (95, 96). These may indicate that the effectiveness of the vaccines has
480 started to decline as months pass after vaccination due to fading immunity. Our
481 results demonstrate that a third-dose booster of inactivated vaccine can elicit an
482 expeditious, robust and long-lasting recall humoral response which continues to
483 evolve with ongoing accumulation of somatic mutations, emergence of new clones
484 and increasing affinities of antibodies to antigens, conferring enhanced neutralizing
485 potency and breadth. Collectively, our findings rationalize the use of 3-dose
486 vaccination regimens.
487
488
489 Acknowledgments: We thank Dr. Xiaojun Huang, Dr. Boling Zhu, Dr. Lihong Chen,
490 Dr. Xujing Li and Dr. Gang Ji for cryo-EM data collection, the Center for Biological
491 Imaging (CBI) in Institute of Biophysics for EM work and thank Dr. Yuanyuan Chen,
492 Zhenwei Yang for technical help with BLI experiments. We also thank Prof. David Ho
493 and Prof. Barton Ford Haynes for generous gift of the sequences of two reference
494 mAbs. Work was supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program
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perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license .
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
526
539 each cohort of plasma samples (calculated from the left datasets) is shown.
540 (C) IgG endpoint antibody responses specific to the N, RBD and S of WT SARS-
541 CoV-2 were measured in plasma samples collected from cohorts as described earlier.
542 (D) Fold decrease in specific binding to the RBD, NTD and S for each variant over
543 WT for each cohort of plasma samples as described above.
544 (E) IgA, IgM and IgG endpoint antibody titers specific to the S of WT SARS-CoV-
545 2 or its variants in plasma samples collected from vaccinees before and 4 weeks after
546 the 3rd-dose immunization.
547 (F) Neutralizing titers against live SARS-CoV-2 WT, P.1, B.1.351 and B.1.617.2 for
548 plasma from vaccinees before and 4 weeks after the 3rd-dose immunization. Black
549 bars and indicated values represent geometric mean NT50 values.
550 (G) Longitudinal neutralizing titers of plasma from 3-dose vaccinees at days 0, 7,
551 14, 28, 90 and 180 post the 3rd-dose vaccination. The geometric mean NT50 values
552 are labeled.
553 (H) Kinetics of the 3rd-dose booster elicited recall response as indicated during
554 monitoring of NAb titers at different time points. The green and blue curves show
555 the changes in kinetics of NAb titers for pre-3rd-dose and post-3rd-dose vaccination,
556 respectively.
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
582 horizontal bars indicate mean values. Statistical significance was determined using
583 two-tailed t-test.
584 (D) Number of somatic nucleotide mutations in the IGHV (left) and IGLV (right) in
585 antibodies from vaccinees, including 2-dose or 3-dose of inactivated vaccines and 2-
586 dose of mRNA vaccines and COVID-19 convalescents assayed at 1.3, 6.2 and 12
587 months after infection (2, 14, 18).
588 (E) Normalized ELISA binding (EC50) by antibodies isolated from the 3-dose
589 inactivated and 2-dose mRNA vaccinees (ref) as well as COVID-19 convalescents to
590 SARS-CoV-2 S trimer (left) and normalized pseudovirus neutralization activity
591 (IC50) (right) against SARS-CoV-2 assayed at 1.3, 6.2 and 12 months after infection
592 (ref). Among these, eight antibodies reported by Michel’s group were expressed and
593 assessed for both binding by ELISA and pseudovirus neutralization activity for
594 normalized comparison here. Black horizontal bars indicate mean values.
595 (F) BLI binding affinities (upper panel) and pseudo-typed virus neutralization
596 (bottom panel) by antibodies isolated from the 3-dose vaccinees to circulating SARS-
597 CoV-2 variants. Color gradient for upper panel indicates KD values ranging from 0
598 (green), through 2.5 (yellow) and 5 (red) to 25 nM (purple). Gray suggests no/very
599 limited binding activity (>1000 nM). Color gradient for bottom panel indicates IC50
600 values ranging from 0 (green), through 20 (yellow) and 200 (red) to 2000 ng/ml
601 (purple). Gray suggests no/very limited neutralizing activity (>2000 ng/ml).
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
649
670
671 References and Notes:
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986 108. R. E. Chen, E. S. Winkler et al., In vivo monoclonal antibody efficacy against SARS-CoV-2
987 variant strains. Nature, (2021); published online EpubJun 21 (10.1038/s41586-021-
988 03720-y).
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1 Dept. Biochemistry and Molecular Biomedicine. University of Barcelona, 08028 Barcelona. Spain.
2 School of Chemistry. University of Barcelona, 08028 Barcelona. Spain.
3 Network Center: Neurodegenerative diseases (CiberNed). Spanish National Health Institute Carlos III. 28034
Madrid. Spain.
* Correspondence: Rafael Franco, Dept. Biochemistry and Molecular Biomedicine. University of Barcelona.
Diagonal 643. Prevosti Building. 08028 Barcelona. Catalonia. Spain; rfranco@ub.edu; rfranco1234@gmail.com; Tel.: +34-
4021208 (R.F.)
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has led to the development of vaccines against the causative virus,
severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The need for urgent release of anti-SARS-
CoV-2 tools has motivated the approval of a new vaccines never used before for mass vaccination, some
based on RNA (mRNA vaccines) and some using an adenoviral vector (AV vaccines). Despite high nominal
efficacy, in some populations the actual numbers seem to be lower due to several factors that include new
viral variants that scape from the immunological response elicited by the vaccines, which have led to new
pandemic waves. In fact, the proportion of new cases has decreased in Countries using a classic-type vaccine
(inactivated), CoronaVac. In the current August 2021 scenario there is a need to prevent infection,
transmission and to diminish the symptoms of the disease by drug repurposing and/or development of ad
hoc medication. This manuscript has two aims. On the one hand, it highlights the need to develop classic-
type vaccines and to approve them in the US and in Europe. Without classic-type vaccines, herd immunity
is unlikely to be achieved. On the other hand, the paper comments on different therapeutic approaches to
reduce the severity of COVID-19 and the number of deaths.
Keywords: Vaccine booster, CoronaVac; Sputnik V; adenovirus; RNA vaccines; renin-angiotensin system;
viral proteases.
Introduction
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has been the worst pandemic since the so-called Spanish flu in 1918.
The number of deaths and affected people around the world, in only two years, is incredibly high
and the return to normal life is not expected anytime soon. As of today (August 10, 2021;
https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---10-
August-2021) the number of affected people is estimated to be >150 million and >3.5 million
deaths, often with >10,000 occurring in a single day.
There is no approved drug/intervention to specifically fight the virus once a person is infected.
Antibodies extracted from recovered or convalescent individuals may be useful (1–3), although
there are doubts about their general efficacy and/or the correct protocol for use (4). Therefore, the
first line of defense to stop pandemics is mass vaccination. The success in the fight against the
coronavirus is based, mainly, on the speed with which the different vaccines have been
developed, approved and produced. Vaccines aim to develop immunological mechanisms to stop
infection, disease transmission and/or the worst consequences of infection. This is accomplished
by challenging the immunological system with antigens made up of viral proteins. In the fight
against SARS-CoV-2, the most successful option has been to combine new-technology vaccines
including part of the nucleotide sequence coding for the spike protein. This makes sense, as the
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spike is the protein that interacts with the main SARS-CoV-2 receptor on the target cell, namely
angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2).
The production of the spike protein to be directly used in a vaccine is not an easy task. In fact, the
spike S proteins of coronaviruses contain from 1104 to 1273 amino acids (5). Rapidly producing
the huge amounts needed for the worldwide vaccination of hundreds, even thousands, of
millions of people is a challenge that was never undertaken. An alternative option is to make the
vaccine with a nucleic acid that encodes for the protein (in whole or in part). While it is difficult
to produce and purify the protein in vitro, thus keeping its natural conformation and antigenicity,
it is more feasible to produce the nucleic acids that encode for the protein. This approach has
therefore been adopted with success in terms of efficacy against infection and production speed.
Two types of nucleic acids have been used: RNA and DNA. In mRNA vaccines, the coding
sequence is in the form of messenger RNA (mRNA), which enters the cells of vaccinated
individuals and can be easily converted into the spike protein. To deliver the mRNA to the cells,
a lipid-based encapsulation/nanoparticle can be used. In DNA vaccines, the DNA coding
sequence for the spike protein can be delivered with viral vectors, like for instance those based
on adenovirus (AV), which is a non-enveloped DNA virus. AVs were being developed as
vaccines for diseases such as Ebola (6), but the COVID-19 pandemic has shifted the focus to the
production and approval for emergency use of AV vaccines against SARS-CoV-2.
In terms of current vaccines using sequences coding for the spike protein and being administered
worldwide, Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are based on RNA, whereas AstraZeneca, Johnson &
Johnson and Sputnik V vaccines are based on AV, i.e. on DNA. At present (August 10) the ones
approved in the European Union are those from Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, and Johnson &
Johnson. In the United States, all except the AstraZeneca vaccine have obtained emergency use
authorization. In other countries the vaccine developed in Russia, Sputnik V, is being tested with
supposedly high efficacy rates and there are still doubts on its approval in the European Union.
In China and some countries in South America, a classic type vaccine is the one that is mainly
used. Looking at the whole picture one does not understand why in the EU and in the US no
classic-type vaccine has been developed and approved by regulatory bodies. For decades classic-
type vaccines have been developed using methods that have been successful in fighting a variety
of diseases (7,8). Since the pioneering work of Louis Pasteur developing a vaccine against the
rabies virus (See (9)), they have proven effective in the prevention of serious diseases caused by
viruses (see WHO global vaccine Action plan: https://www.who.int/teams/immunization-
vaccines-and-biologicals/strategies/global-vaccine-action-plan; accessed on August 16, 2021).
First and foremost, the new mRNA and AV vaccines developed to fight COVID-19 are generally
safe, at least in the short-term. However, due to the urgency to stop spreading SARS-CoV-2, they
have been approved in less than one year after the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. For
one thing, possible long-term problems of vaccinated people due to a specific vaccine have not
been empirically addressed. Even though, considering the preexistent bibliography, these effects
are very unlikely to happen, this issue cannot be ignored considering the huge number of people
receiving these vaccines. On the other hand, urgency has prevented the appearance of classic
vaccines, which have shown in the past an impeccable efficacy and safety record (10,11).
Accordingly, although mRNA/AV vaccines may be instrumental to achieving large numbers of
short-term vaccinated people around the world, classic-type vaccines must also be considered.
By August 2021, there are two classic-type vaccines approved for human use; both have been
developed in China: Covilo or BBIBP-CorV (from Sinopharm) and CoronaVac (from Sinovac
Research and Development) (https://www.who.int/es/news-room/q-a-detail/coronavirus-
disease-(covid-19)-vaccines; accessed on August 16, 2021).
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Despite the obvious benefits of reducing infections and deaths in vaccinated people, the risks
must be brought to the table. The risks of thrombi for humans receiving the AstraZeneca or
Johnson & Johnson vaccines are serious, but can be weighed against the risk-benefit assessment.
Due to the high number of variables, it is difficult to reliably compare the percentage of cases
with thrombus versus the total number of vaccinations with the overall risk of death in
unvaccinated people. But it is reasonable to accept that the relatively low number of cases with
thrombosis should not stop vaccination with AstraZeneca or Johnson & Johnson vaccines.
However, caution should be exercised when these vaccines are administered to people taking
medications in which one of the potential side effects is thrombus formation; the most obvious
case is certain types of birth control pills. Another risk of the mRNA/AV vaccines is the possibility
of integration of exogenous material into the DNA of host cells (12). AVs have been tested for
decades as vectors in gene therapy and the problems of their use have led to the development of
safer vectors such as adeno-associated viruses (see (13) for review).
The risk is seemingly lower in the case of mRNA vaccines, but it has been demonstrated that
genetic material of SARS-CoV-2 can be converted into DNA that integrates into the human
genome (12,14). The human genome does not include the gene for any typical reverse
transcriptase, but it includes retrotransposons that can “move” using a copy and paste
mechanism that requires a RNA intermediate. Accordingly, retrotransposon may act as
instruments to convert RNA from viruses or mRNA vaccines into genomic DNA (12,14). One of
the deciphered mechanisms is mediated by the LINE-1 retrotransposable element ORF2 protein
(15,16). The human genome contains several full or truncated sequences of long interspersed
element-1 retrotransposons and it is assumed that >80 of those elements can be transcribed;
random integration of elements in the genome has been related to a variety of diseases (15,17,18).
Interestingly, SARS-CoV-2 infection alters the usual dynamics of some transposable elements,
such as LINEs, increasing their expression and, therefore, the probability of insertion of new
transposable elements (19). Additionally, SARS-CoV-2 is not the only RNA virus with positive
polarity (that is, that is directly transcribed by the host cell ribosomes) that has the capability of
directly interacting retrotransposons; among others, Hepatitis C (16) or Sindbis (20) viruses may
interact with transposons. In summary, the integration of exogenous genetic material into host
genome may lead to risks, such as premature cell death or tumor cell growth, that cannot be
addressed in the short term, i.e. before emergence use anti-COVID-19 vaccine approval.
The efficacy of a vaccine is not a direct measure of its capacity to avoid the symptoms of the
COVID-19. In the case of the vaccines, efficacy cannot be measured as in the case of a drug for a
disease, from diabetes to Alzheimer’s. Efficacy of antidiabetic medication is measured in patients
that take the drug and after some period of time the reduction in plasma glucose levels are
measured. Few clinical parameters are needed, just the glycemia and the percentage of reduction
that is considered as end point. If a 20% is selected, the efficacy is measured by the number of
patients whose levels are reduced by more than 20% versus the total number of patients. In
Alzheimer's disease the end point consists of increasing the score in a cognition test, for instance
the mini-mental test (MMSE: Mini-Mental State Examination). The main parameters needed to
test any anti-dementia medication are to select the range of scores of patients to recruit and to
select the minimum expected score increase in the MMSE scale.
More parameters plus some ad hoc assumptions are needed for efficacy assessment of vaccines.
First and foremost, vaccinated people does not have any disease. Then, it is not possible to assess
efficacy by directly looking at whether or not vaccinated people have been cured or have fewer
symptoms of the disease. The first assumption is that vaccinated individuals will have similar
exposure to SARS-CoV-2 than non-vaccinated individuals (or placebo inoculated individuals).
Fortunately, an ad hoc surrogate marker for vaccine efficacy is the level of IgGs in plasma, mainly
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of neutralizing antibodies, i.e. antibodies that prevent infection. Unfortunately, in SARS-CoV-2 it
is important to know the level of the IgGs but also the composition of IgGs. The serological quick
tests have demonstrated that different COVID-19-suffering individuals produce different
antibodies. In other words, quick tests, which nominally have >90% sensitivity, lead to false
negatives, i.e. sensitivity may be >90% in one given infected population and may be far lower in
another infected population. Plasma from convalescent patients show a mixture of anti-SARS-
CoV-2 antibodies (21). Microfluidic devices have shown that humoral responses to coronavirus
can elicit with a variety of antigen / antibody interaction affinities (22). To make thinks even more
complicated, many of the vaccination schedules include two shots and this adds complexity to
the estimation of the real preventive effect of anti-COVID vaccines. Taken together, it is almost
impossible to estimate the efficacy of any vaccine with reliability. In addition, the neutralizing
antibodies, i.e. those that impede infection, are unknown and/or may be neutralizing for a given
strain of the virus but not for a different one. In practical terms, only the big pharma has the
potential to enroll thousand individuals and to provide an efficacy estimates to apply for
approval by regulatory bodies. Also, the efficacy data may vary from trial to trial, and or by
adding more data if the trial is extended. It has been common for the companies developing the
mRNA/AV vaccines to present, upon time, increases in the percentage of efficacy for the same
vaccine. The poor efficacy values of classic-type is surely behind the decision to stop the
development of some vaccines such as the TMV-083 (previously known as MV-SARS-CoV-2),
which was developed by one of the most experienced institutes in the World, the Pasteur Institute
(23) (see https://www.pasteur.fr/en/all-sars-cov-2-covid-19-institut-pasteur/research-
projects/covid-19-vaccine-against-sars-cov-2-infection-using-measles-vector; accessed on April
19, 2021) and its partner company: Sanofi.
In summary, mRNA/AV vaccines have prevented deaths, but they have not been able to stop the
spread of the virus and have favored the appearance of new variants. It is essential to have
vaccines that not only prevent death, but also stop transmission and genetic shift/drift. In
addition a very recent paper reporting clinical research with individuals vaccinated with RNA
vaccines states: “we document significant declines in antibody levels three months post-vaccination, and
reduced neutralization of emerging variants” (24).
The use of vaccines that are not able to stop the transmission has contributed to selection of
viruses with mutated forms of the spike protein. This issue was, among others, raised by Nobel
Laureate Luc Montagnier. He doubted that vaccination to stop COVID-19 spread was convenient
due to the appearance of new variants. No doubt vaccination has been instrumental to decrease
the death toll, but novel SARS-CoV-2 variants have arisen that are able to lead to COVID-19
symptoms in vaccinated people. The current pandemic is due to a virus with a high transmission
capacity, which means that a given individual may be exposed to the virus more than once and
in relatively short periods of time. It is often forgotten that all people, vaccinated or not, may be
infected by any SARS-CoV-2 variant. But mRNA/AV vaccines that use the sequence (DNA or
RNA) of a given spike protein, may not be efficacious in attenuation infection/symptoms
produced by new variants. In fact, more and more vaccinated people are being re-infected and
able to infect close contacts. For instance, the AstraZeneca vaccine (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19) has
shown a highly reduced efficacy, among others, against the B.1.351 variant. In summary,
mRNA/AV vaccines have been useful but have led to new variants in a selection-escape fashion.
In the search for convincing data to obtain vaccine approval, clinical trials with two injections
were designed (with the exception of the Janssen vaccine). On the one hand, two shots surely
lead to a higher production of anti-spike antibodies in serum and this may be convincing for
regulatory bodies. On the other hand, two shots may be needed and/or convenient for viruses
that do not have high mutation rates. However, two shots to combat a virus RNA that mutates
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so rapidly is, quite likely, not the best option. Worse, here are chances of approval of a third shot
of the same vaccine. Taken together, all available information and basic knowledge of the human
immune system, indicates that a third dose with the same vaccine is not the best option.
Fortunately, there is an alternative that, importantly, has already proven with high success,
namely the use of a classic-type vaccine. By previous knowledge with this type of vaccines, the
selection of new variants would be minimal and, in addition, “classical” vaccines lead to more
efficient immunological tools, humoral and cellular, to fight SARS-CoV-2 via diverse components
and not only via the spike protein.
Vaccination that allows viral escape by mutation will compromise the control of pandemics and
the achievement of herd immunity. In reality, countries that are using mRNA/AV vaccines
anticipate that herd immunity will not be achieved in such a scenario, complementary
approaches should be sought (25). To combat the escape of the human immunodeficiency virus
(HIV) by mutation, the so-called Highly Active Antiretroviral (HAART) or “triple” therapy was
developed for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) patients. While one single drug was
not efficacious to control the disease, the combination of three different compounds prevented
mutations thus allowing disease control. The triple therapy consisted of inhibitors of two relevant
components of HIV-1, the reverse transcriptase and the main viral protease (26,27). AIDS is now
considered a chronic disease that produces few direct deaths. Currently, it is not possible to
prevent the escape of SARS-CoV-2 by mutation using drugs, but the availability of different types
of vaccines opens a window of opportunity. In the same way that a single drug is not effective
for AIDS patients, a single vaccine can reduce the number of deaths, but it can allow a viral escape
by mutation, a reduction in the effectiveness of the vaccine and an inability to achieve herd
immunity. Accordingly, more shots of the very same vaccine will have a limited benefit in
comparison with shots of a heterologous vaccine (28,29). More shots of the same vaccine may be
detrimental on putting pressure to the virus thus selecting more infective viral particles. Recent
developments in the anti-HIV-1 research field include the use of combining vaccines that, to
combat the HIV-1 pandemic “must induce responses capable of controlling vast HIV-1 variants
circulating in the population as well as those evolved in each individual following transmission” (30). In
summary, despite the lack of a drug cocktail, a combination of different vaccines is emerging as
a real alternative to effectively combat SARS-CoV-2. Obviously, the optimal treatment would not
be to use vaccines directed against the same protein, that is, the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. In
European countries and in the US, all vaccines are directed against the spike protein. Should these
countries approve vaccines of a different type (non-RNA-based, non AV-based) and/or directed
against other viral components?
New cases after 30% population vaccination using new- or classic-type vaccines
Available data suggests that reinfection and collapse of emergency units at hospitals may occur
in countries using the mRNA/AV vaccines even though the percentage of vaccinated
population is high (31,32). Perhaps the main example is Israel that was among the quickest in
vaccinating with mRNA/AV vaccines. The same trend, i.e. new waves after massive vaccination
with mRNA/AV vaccines, has occurred in various European Countries and in the US. This
trend is opposite in the only three countries that used the CoronaVac vaccine as the main
vaccine (Figure 1).
Figure 1 shows the trend of new cases in three Countries mainly using CoronaVac and in three Countries
using mRNA/AV vaccines. Despite alarms in Uruguay, it is clear that increasing the percentage of
population vaccination with CoronaVac has led to a dramatic decrease in the proportion of new cases.
Something similar has occurred in another Country mainly using CoronaVac, Chile. The data available for
China suggests an increase followed by a sharp decrease, but it should be noted that neither the rises nor
the falls are significant as total 2021 cases, measured per 1,000,000 inhabitants, are negligible in China
compared to the other selected countries (5 in China versus 65,543 in Israel or 53,200 in the US, date: August
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25). In sharp contrast, France, Israel and the US shows an increase of new cases upon increased vaccination
using mRNA/AV vaccines.
Figure 1. New COVID-19 cases versus percentage of vaccinated population. Data (retrieved until August
24, 2021) have been selected using 30% vaccinated population as threshold. Chile, Uruguay and China have
mainly used CoronaVac vaccine. France, Israel and the US have used only mRNA/AV vaccines. The
numbers below the name of the Country indicate total reported cases from the beginning of 2021. For
comparison purposes the same axis, X and Y, were used in all graphics. A file with the data used construct
the graphics, coming from repositories containing official data reported by the Countries (see “Data
availability statement” below).
For statistical analysis we have considered 10 countries (US, Israel, Greece, Portugal, Ireland,
Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Denmark and France) that have not used CoronaVac but
mRNA/AV vaccines, and the only three countries using CoronaVac as the main vaccine (>70%
administrated doses at date August 24, 2021), China, Chile and Uruguay. Data were retrieved
from a big data source, Github (https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data),
which is forged with COVID-19-related data in official webs such as in the Oxford COVID-19
Government Response Tracker or in independent global health research centers such as the
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington. The Excel file
containing all data was directly downloaded from Github
(https://covid.ourworldindata.org/data/owid-covid-data.xlsx; accessed (on August 24, 2021; see
“Data availability statement” below). The interaction graphic was obtained using Statgraphics v.
18.1.14 from a general linear model analysis with type of vaccine (mRNA/AV or CoronaVac) as a
qualitative factor, % vaccinated population as a quantitative factor and, as a dependent variable,
the relative % positives in 2021 (which is the relation of new positives after reaching 30% of the
vaccinated population and the total positives in 2021. The 30% threshold was set up because a
lower percentage of vaccination has little effect on pandemic indicators). Although vaccination
begun at the end of 2020 and the beginning of 2021, only data from 2021 were analyzed. To avoid
interference due to differential public health decisions and differences in the timing and rate of
vaccination in each country, no attempt was made to make comparisons between countries using
similar vaccines. We have found a very significant correlation between the percentage of
population receiving the mRNA/AV vaccination (full regime; two shots except for the Johnson &
Johnson vaccine, which is administered in only one shot) and number of new cases after reaching
30% vaccination of the population in a given Country, namely cases in 2021 after reaching 30%
vaccination versus total cases in 2021. The two lines (one for mRNA/AV viruses and another for
CoronaVac) are of opposite slope, i.e. correlations are opposite when considering CoronaVac or
the vaccines based in mRNA/AV. Whereas the ratio of cases after 30% vaccination increases with
further vaccination with mRNA/AV vaccines, the ratio decreases in countries where CoronaVac
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is used. In fact, statistical analysis shows significance for a differential trend using CoronaVac or
mRNA/AV vaccines. The correlation was done using proportion of cases as quantitative variable
and type of vaccine as qualitative variable. The significance holds if only three countries using
the mRNA/AV vaccines are considered, i.e. considering data from 3 countries in both sets of data.
The significance also holds taking out the data from China, whose management of the pandemic
has been quite different to that in many other countries.
In summary, vaccination with mRNA/AV vaccines does not stop transmission, while in countries
that use the CoronaVac vaccine, cases decrease with increasing population vaccination rate,
suggesting effective neutralization that may eventually lead to herd immunity.
A complete schedule of a mRNA/AV vaccine, two doses of Pfizer, Moderna or AstraZeneca, and
one dose of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, as many organizations define including The Pan
American Health Organization/ World Health Organization
(https://ais.paho.org/imm/IM_DosisAdmin-Vacunacion.asp), in 50% of the population has not
eradicated the virus and, worse, new waves of infections have appeared. In our Country (Spain)
we were, at the end of July 2021, in the mid of the fifth wave and there are officials stating (August
20) that the sixth wave is coming. In elderly houses in Catalonia (Spain) in which all residents are
vaccinated (>90% with mRNA vaccines) there is a surge of new cases (August 2021; official data
in: https://dadescovid.cat/?drop_es_residencia=1). This was not expected when vaccination
started. Some of the reasons of having such unexpected scenario may be now figured out.
On the one hand, and apart from the reduction upon time of the antibody levels (see above; The
efficacy issue section), it is known that significant amounts of mucosal IgA is associated with less
viral transmission. Likewise, in all the viral infections studied to date, a higher proportion of IgA
at the epithelial level reduces the risk of re-infection (33). Therefore, the production of IgAs is
important to reduce (upon vaccination) re-infection and associated transmissibility (34). Not all
vaccines have confirmed production of IgAs at the mucosal level; a recent publication reports
IgAs secretion to human milk after shots of Pfizer's vaccine (35). This finding is important for
preventing infection of the neonate, but the relevance in epidemiological terms is under question.
Efficacious prevention of the infection requires production of aggregated, secretory, forms of IgA
(SIgA), whose affinity for antigens is much higher than monomeric IgA (36). Therefore, one
indicator of the effectiveness of a vaccine is the number of mucosal SIgAs and whether they are
neutralizing or not (36). The few studies on this matter suggest that IgA production by mRNA/AV
vaccines is, at the very least, very modest (37), and this seems to be one of the reason of low
efficacy in reducing infection and transmission despite the high nominal values of efficacy in
producing antibodies (33).
On the other hand, although it is commonly thought that the only antibodies capable of
preventing infection are neutralizing antibodies, non-neutralizing antibodies are important
irrespective of their later involvement in the viral replication cycle (38). In this sense, classic-type
vaccines lead, by definition, to a more qualitative diverse repertoire of neutralizing and non-
neutralizing antibodies than vaccines only based in producing IgG against a single viral protein.
The CoronaVac vaccine, developed by a Chinese company, Sinovac Research and Development,
consists of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 and aluminum hydroxide as adjuvant. It has been among the
first vaccines to be developed and at present is being tested in different countries (39). Only in
China 1 million people was already vaccinated by the end of 2020 in a phase III clinical trial that
started in November 2020. Fewer data about CoronaVac are available in English if compared with
the huge amount of information available (in English) for the other vaccines. Although a direct
comparison between classic-type vaccine and mRNA/AV vaccines is difficult to perform, some
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reviews on this theme have recently appeared (see, for instance (39–41)). A recent paper compares
data from 13 clinical trials of 11 different vaccines, taken both reports in English and in Chinese.
The conclusion of the authors is that: “Most of the COVID-19 vaccines appear to be effective and safe.
Double-dose vaccination is recommended. However, more research is needed to investigate the long-term
efficacy and safety of the vaccines and the influence of dose, age, and production process on the protective
efficacy” (42).
It is remarkable and far from being generally known by the population and by Western Health
authorities that, CoronaVac lacks the serious side effects identified for RNA- and AV vaccines
(43), namely, clot formation, Guillain-Barré syndrome, myocarditis, etc. Additionally, vaccine
developers already have experience on controlling pandemics with inactivated vaccines, such as
that caused by the poliovirus at the beginning of the 20th century, whose mutation rate is similar
to that of SARS-CoV-2 (44,45) and whose basic reproduction number (R0) throughout the
pandemic was not different from that of the coronavirus (46,47). In summary, mRNA/AV
vaccines have instrumental for the quickness in being approved and for the high nominal efficacy
rate but classic-type vaccines are needed and the only one already developed shows that it should
enter into the vaccination program to combat COVID-19 in all over the World.
Safety, tolerability and immunogenicity was successfully addressed in a first phase I/II trial in
volunteers of the Suining County of Chinese Jiangsu province. One of the outputs of the study
was the selection of 3 µg CoronaVac dose for phase III trials, which have been performed in
different countries. Approval has been granted already in, among others, China (48), Brazil
(https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-brazil-coronavac-idUSKBN29R2GL;
accessed April 23, 2021), Uruguay and Chile (https://www.ispch.cl/noticia/isp-autorizo-la-
vacuna-coronavac-del-laboratorio-sinovac-life-sciences-co-ltd-para-uso-de-emergencia-en-el-
pais/; accessed April 23, 2021).
Chile, which is a country of reference in anti-COVID-19 vaccination, is using the CoronaVac and
the Pfizer vaccines in a 80:20 approximate proportion (80 CoronaVac, 20 Pfizer); the two vaccines
are scheduled to be given as two injections. CoronaVac was approved in Chile after the results of
a phase III clinical trials performed in the Country. It has been noticed that the efficacy in
preventing productive infection, especially after the first shot is modest and comparable to that
whose development was stopped by Pasteur/Sanofi, i.e. in the 50-60% range. Remarkably, this
low level of efficacy does not result in poor performance and this has been proved by data
obtained upon continuing vaccination schedules. The good COVID-19 data in Chile, which is due
to the Pfizer and CoronaVac vaccines, strongly suggest that efficacy estimates are not enough to
rule out a vaccine. There is strong evidence showing that despite low efficacy estimates,
CoronaVac is achieving the key objective, which is to save human lives. Another phase III trial
(PROFISCOV Study) was conducted between July 21 and December 16, 2020 in Brazil among
healthcare professionals (49,50). The conclusion as posted in Elsevier’s SSRN database is that the
vaccine was “efficacious against any symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections and highly protective against
moderate and severe COVID-19” (50).
Some of the advantages of vaccines that protect from infection despite having low nominal
efficacy values and lower antibody titers than those elicited by mRNA/AV vaccines, may come
for an appropriate engagement of T cell responses. The likelihood of requiring robust T helper
cell responses to prevent COVID-19 infection has been suggested from a mouse study using
recombinant spike proteins (51). In fact, based on previous experience with coronavirus, the risk
of antibody-dependent potentiation (ADE) for anti-SARS-CoV-2 is significant, pointing to the
need to develop vaccines that are less dependent on antibody production and more than T cell
responses (52). In summary, both humoral and cellular responses are needed for an effective fight
against this specific coronavirus. Surprisingly, there is evidence of negligible impact of SARS-
CoV-2 variants on T-cell responses, i.e. variants that escape the action of antibodies are likely
unable to cope with CD4+ and CD8+ T cell reactivity (53). In this sense, CoronaVac apart from
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being safe and producing neutralizing antibodies against the receptor binding domain of the S1
spike protein, immunization induced the activation of T cells (when exposed to SARS-CoV-2
antigens) and the secretion of IFN-γ (54). A recent publication shows that one dose of CoronaVac
is already effective against the spreading of the P-1 Brazilian variant of the virus (55).
Drugs used at the beginning of the pandemic, including antibiotics and human
immunodeficiency virus protease inhibitors, were not at all effective. When noting that the most
serious symptom derived from an imbalance in the immune response with exacerbation of the
production of pro-inflammatory cytokines that aggravated the pneumonia, the treatment of
choice consisted of glucocorticoids. Since vaccines have not been able to fully prevent infection
and disease transmission, there is an urgent need to develop specific anti-COVID-19 drugs.
One interesting possibility is to target the renin-angiotensin system (RAS). The rationale is mainly
based in the main SARS-CoV-2 receptor, angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). This RAS
member interacts with other RAS members such as angiotensin II receptors, which belong to the
family of G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs). GPCRs are very druggable and, in fact, are the
target of about 40% of approved drugs worldwide. In addition, antagonists of angiotensin
receptors are approved to combat hypertension. Accordingly, it would be informative to perform
clinical research correlating the RAS status in with disease severity in COVID-19 patients.
Parameters to consider are arterial blood pressure values, the use or not of anti-hypertensives
and the type of anti-hypertensives, i.e. whether antihypertensives targeting RAS leads to a
differential course of the disease compared with using other type of antihypertensives. In
addition, targeting RAS members may lead to decrease in infection because RNA viruses need
GPCRs to enter into cells and several RAS members are GPCRs and ACE2 interacts with some of
those RAS GPCRs (see (56) and references therein). Often, the serious effects of SARS-CoV-2
infection that can eventually lead to death are due to an imbalance of the immune system in
which macrophages play a key role (57). A hot topic in the immune system field is to find drugs
able to produce M2 macrophages that, opposite to the M1 or proinflammatory macrophages,
facilitate the resolution of inflammation. Accordingly, the discovery of targets to produce M2
macrophages is a promising approach to fight against COVID-19.
Soon after the beginning of the pandemics, a laboratory that has been for years involved in
coronavirus research solved the structure of the main protease of SARS-CoV-2 (Mpro also known
as 3CLpro) also designing specific inhibitors of the alpha-ketoamide type (58). These inhibitors are
at the forefront of being used as specific anti-COVID-19 tools (59).
All over the world there are screening of several compound libraries to try to find inhibitors of
viral infection. At present several target candidates have been proposed to manage SARS-CoV-2
infection but further research is needed to find the most promising ones in terms of druggability,
efficacy and safety (60–62).
Data Availability Statement: Data used to build Figure 1 will be available upon request when the paper
becomes published (data retrieved from repositories with official data on COVID-19 from all Countries).
9
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Author Contributions: R.F. participated in conceptualization and wrote the first draft. J.S.M. did the search
of the data and performed statistical analysis. Both authors have contributed to prepare the final version
and approve submission.
Funding: Not applicable.
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
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Uma pesquisa realizada por cientis- registro de teste PCR realizado entre
tas brasileiros e britânicos mostrou 15/3 e 3/10 de 2021, e registradas no
que a CoronaVac, vacina do Butan- Sistema de Notificação do Minis-
tan e da farmacêutica chinesa tério da Saúde (e-SUS Notifica). Ao
Sinovac, teve eficácia de 85% para final da triagem, foram seleciona-
evitar casos graves de Covid-19 dos os dados de 19.838 gestantes,
entre gestantes brasileiras. O estudo sendo que 7.424 (37,4%) haviam
foi publicado na plataforma de pre- testado positivo para Covid-19, e
prints SSRN, vinculada à revista The 588 (7,9%) desenvolveram a forma
Lancet, e seus autores são da Lon- grave da doença. No momento da
don School of Hygiene and Tropical extração dos dados, 83% das ges-
Medicine, da Universidade Federal tantes haviam recebido as duas
da Bahia, da Fundação Oswaldo doses da vacina, enquanto 17%
Cruz, da Universidade de Brasília haviam recebido apenas uma dose.
e da Universidade do Estado do
Rio de Janeiro. “Um regime completo de CoronaVac
em gestantes foi eficaz na prevenção
Segundo os pesquisadores, a efi- dos casos sintomáticos de Covid-19 e
cácia do esquema completo de altamente eficaz na prevenção da
imunização com duas doses da forma grave da doença”, salienta-
CoronaVac foi de 85% para evitar ram os pesquisadores.
casos graves de Covid-19, e de 75%
na prevenção da progressão dos Em 17/1 de 2021, o Ministério da Saúde
casos sintomáticos para a forma iniciou a vacinação contra a Covid-19
grave da doença. Nenhuma morte com CoronaVac. Em 15/3, mulheres
ocorreu entre as gestantes parcial- grávidas com comorbidades e em
mente ou totalmente imunizadas ocupações consideradas de alto risco
com a CoronaVac, enquanto qua- tornaram-se elegíveis para receber a
tro óbitos seriam esperados se a vacina. Em 26/4, a recomendação da
mortalidade fosse a mesma do imunização foi expandida para incluir
público não vacinado. todas as gestantes.
Enny S. Paixao,1,2*, Kerry LM Wong1, Flavia Jôse Oliveira Alves2, Vinicius de Araújo
Oliveira2,3,4 Thiago Cerqueira-Silva3,4, Juracy Bertoldo Júnior2,4 Tales Mota Machado5, Elzo
Pereira Pinto Junior2, Viviane S Boaventura4, Gerson O. Penna6, Guilherme
Loureiro Werneck7,8, Laura C. Rodrigues12, Neil Pearce1, Mauricio L. Barreto 2,4,
Manoel Barral-Netto2,3,4
Abstract
Background
The effectiveness of Covid-19 inactivated vaccines in pregnant women is unknown. We
estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) of CoronaVac against symptomatic and severe Covid-19
and in preventing progression from symptomatic to severe Covid-19 in pregnant women in
Brazil.
Methods
We conducted a test-negative design study in all pregnant women aged 18 to 49 years in Brazil,
linking records of negative and positive SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription-polymerase chain
reaction (RT-PCR) tests to national vaccination records. We also linked records of test positive
cases with notification of severe, hospitalized or fatal Covid-19. Using logistic regression, we
estimated adjusted odds and VE against symptomatic Covid-19 by comparing vaccine status
in test positive (confirmed cases) to that in subjects with a negative test result. We also
calculated the odds/VE against progression by comparing vaccine status in symptomatic cases
to that in severe Covid-19 cases.
Findings
Of 19838 tested pregnant women, 7424 (37.4%) tested positive for Covid-19 and 588 (7.9%)
had severe disease. Only 83% of pregnant women who received a first dose of CoronaVac
completed the vaccination scheme. A single dose of the CoronaVac vaccine was not effective
at preventing symptomatic Covid-19. Effectiveness of two doses of CoronaVac was 41% (95%
CI 27.1- 52.2) against symptomatic Covid-19, 85% (95% CI 59.5-94.8) against severe Covid-
19 and (75%; 95% CI 27.9- 91.2) in preventing progression to severe Covid-19 among those
infected.
Interpretation
A complete regimen of CoronaVac in pregnant women was effective in preventing
symptomatic Covid-19, and highly effective against severe illness in a setting that combines
high disease burden and elevated Covid-19 related maternal deaths.
Research in Context
We searched PubMed for articles published "pregnant women" AND "vaccine" AND "SARS-
CoV-2" AND “CoronaVac” AND “effectiveness” no results were found. Additionally, we
repeated the search using "pregnant women" AND "vaccine" AND "SARS-CoV-2" AND
“effectiveness”. Although pregnant women are at elevated risk of Covid-19 complications, they
were excluded from most Covid-19 vaccine trials. The observational studies of vaccine
effectiveness (VE) recently conducted were restricted to mRNA vaccines.
This study observed that a single dose of the CoronaVac vaccine offered no protection
against symptomatic Covid-19; a complete regimen of CoronaVac was 41% effective in
preventing symptomatic Covid-19, and 85% effective in preventing severe Covid-19 disease;
it was 75% effective in preventing severe outcomes in those who had been infected.
Methods
Results
During the study period, 95,738 symptomatic suspected cases of Covid-19 among
pregnant women were registered in the Brazilian surveillance system e-SUS Notify. Of those,
50,819 (53.1%) had an RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 test, and the results were available for 30,947
(60.9%) samples. After exclusions, 19838 subjects were included in the analysis; 7424 (37.4%)
were test-positive, and 12414 (62.6%) test-negative. Of the 7424 with a positive test, 588
(7.9%) were severe and 84 (1.1%) died (Figure1). Table 1 shows the characteristics of cases
and controls.
Figure 2 shows the number of cases and controls by time since the first and second
vaccination doses among vaccinated pregnant women. After the first doses of CoronaVac, the
proportion of positive tests does not seem to change. Notably, 165 (16.6%) out of all women
with a single dose of CoronaVac had not received a second dose after the recommended interval
between doses (4 weeks).
The odds of testing positive among vaccinated women during the 13 days after the first
dose, was 1.35 (95% CI 1.09 to 1.68) compared with those unvaccinated, indicating an
unexpected small increase in risk of Covid-19 among the vaccinated during this initial period.
VE among those receiving only the first dose with at least 14 days between the first dose and
the date of RT-PCR) was low and not statistically significant 5.02 (95% CI -18.22- 23.69). The
estimated adjusted VE in the fully vaccinated group against symptomatic Covid-19 was 41.0%
(95% CI 27.1 to 52.2) (Table 2). The corresponding estimate for severe Covid-19 was 67.7
(95% CI 20.0-87.0) for those partially vaccinated and 85.4 (95% CI 59.4- 94.8) for fully
vaccinated women (Table 3).
The estimated adjusted VE of CoronaVac against progression from symptomatic to
severe Covid-19 was 67.4% (95% CI 17.7 to 87.1) among partially vaccinated pregnant women
and 74.7% (95% CI 28.0 to 91.2) among fully vaccinated women (Table 3). No deaths occurred
Discussion
In this investigation of CoronaVac VE in pregnant women, we found that a single dose
of the CoronaVac vaccine offered no protection against symptomatic Covid-19; two doses were
41% effective against symptomatic Covid-19 and 85% effective against severe Covid-19.
Those who were fully vaccinated and went on to have symptoms had a 75% lower risk of
progressing to severe Covid-19 than those unvaccinated. No deaths occurred among partially
or fully vaccinated women, when 4 were expected. About 17% of vaccinated women did not
get a second dose as prescribed by the time they were tested.
Although the findings from this study suggest that the complete CoronaVac vaccine
regimen was effective against symptomatic Covid-19 among pregnant women, the magnitude
of estimated effectiveness was lower than reported previously in studies in the general
population conducted in Brazil,8 Chile,5 and Turkey.27 Pregnancy promotes resistance to
generating proinflammatory antibodies compared to non-pregnant women, suggesting that
pregnant women may not respond to some vaccines as effectively.28,29 We did not investigate
biological mechanisms; further investigation is required to establish whether the lower
effectiveness found is due to immunological changes during pregnancy. In contrast with other
Covid-19 vaccines such as the BNT162b2 which confers protection after the first dose,30
CoronaVac was effective against symptomatic Covid -19 only after a complete regimen. This
was also found is in older people in Brazil.31
This study has strengths and limitations. As a strength, it used rich, routinely collected
data from Brazil, recognised to be of high-quality.32 By using the TND, we have minimised
bias related to access to health care, the occurrence of symptoms and health-seeking behaviour.
In most populations strong pressures have influenced who got tested for Covid-19. These biases
can mean that those who get tested, and test positive for SARS-CoV-2 may not be a random
sample of all cases in the population. The assumption that underlies the TND is that people
who seek testing and manage to get tested would be influenced by similar pressures regardless
of vaccine status and the test outcome,26 thus biases will 'cancel out' and relatively unbiased
estimates of effect can be obtained.25,26
However, as observational designs are vulnerable to confounding and bias. The fact
that the risk of Covid-19 increased in vaccinated women in the 2 weeks after the first dose is
not biological plausible and may be an indication of residual bias/confounding, which in this
case could lead to an underestimation of VE. A potential explanation for this would be if
vaccinated subjects feel safer than unvaccinated subjects, such that unvaccinated subjects are
more likely to seek testing for a symptom (not caused by Covid-19) that would not lead a
vaccinated subject to test. This would result in a higher proportion of negative tests among the
unvaccinated, leading to an apparent estimated increase in risk in the vaccinated,
underestimating VE. Other potential explanations are that the process of vaccination itself
increases the risk of infection, such travelling to or from a vaccination site, and finally, that
after being vaccinated, believing themselves to be protected, women undergo a period of 2
weeks of contacts and reduced protective measures, leading to a peak of infection shortly after
vaccination.
A limitation intrinsic to the use and availability of secondary data is the limited choice
of covariates and the potential for misclassifying vaccine status due to linkage failure. Finally,
we did not assess vaccination safety as data necessary for this assessment was not available.
However, it is reassuring that CoronaVac contains an adjuvant that is commonly used in many
other vaccines, such as against Hepatitis B and Tetanus, with a well-documented safety profile
among pregnant women.34 Previous evidence of safety of inactivated vaccines for other
pathogens and using this adjuvant is reassuring.34
We note that an alarming 17% of the study sample with a single dose of CoronaVac did
not take the second dose after the recommended maximum interval (4 weeks). This has
important repercussions for public health authorities, highlighting the importance of actively
searching those delaying the second doses and promoting opportunities to vaccinate these
women during regular prenatal care appointments.
In conclusion, this study involved pregnant women in a setting that combines high
disease burden and elevated Covid-19 related maternal related deaths. In this setting, we found
that a complete regimen of CoronaVac was 41% effective in preventing symptomatic Covid-
19, and 85% effective in preventing severe Covid-19 disease; it was 75% effective in
preventing severe outcomes in those who had been infected.
Contributors
ESP, NP, MLB, MBN developed the study concept. VAO, TCS, JBJ, TMM, GP, MBN
acquired, treated and linked the data. KLMW, FJOA, EPPJ, VO, GLW, LCR contributed to the
data analyses and interpretation of results. VAO, KLMW vouched for the data analyses. ESP
wrote the first draft. All authors decided to publish and revised the manuscript and approved
the final version.
Declarations
We declare no competing interests. VO, VB, MB, and MB-N are employees from Fiocruz, a
federal public institution, which manufactures Vaxzevria in Brazil, through a full technology
transfer agreement with AstraZeneca. Fiocruz allocates all its manufactured products to the
Ministry of Health for the public health service (SUS) use.
Funding
This study is part of the VigiVac Fiocruz program, partially supported by a donation from the
"Fazer o bem faz bem" program. EPS is funded by the Wellcome Trust [Grant number
213589/Z/18/Z]. The funders had no role in study design, analysis, decision to publish or
preparation of the manuscript.
This research was funded in part by the Wellcome Trust. For the purpose of open access, the
author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript
version arising from this submission.
Acknowledgments
GLW, MLB, and MB-N are research fellows from CNPq, the Brazilian National Research
Council.
32. Jorge MH P M, Laurenti R, Gotlieb SLD. Análise da qualidade das estatísticas vitais
brasileiras: a experiência de implantação do SIM e do SINASC. Ciência & Saúde Coletiva 12.
2007
33. MHPM Jorge, R Laurenti, SLD Gotlieb. Análise da qualidade das estatísticas vitais
brasileiras: a experiência de implantação do SIM e do SINASC. Ciência & Saúde Coletiva, v.
12, p. 643-654, 2007.
34. WHO. The Sinovac-CoronaVac COVID-19 vaccine: What you need to know. September
2021 (https://www.who.int/news-room/feature-stories/detail/the-sinovac-covid-19-vaccine-
what-you-need-to-know)
Figure 1: Flowchart of the study population from surveillance system and final sample of cases and
controls
Figure 2: Number of cases and controls by interval since first and second vaccination
Characteristics
Test positive Test negative
Vaccination status
Not vaccinated 6886 (92.75) 10919 (87.96)
Single dose, within 0-13 days 169 (2.28) 284 (2.29)
Single dose, ≥14 days 156 (2.10) 386 (3.11)
Two doses, within 0-13 days 45 (0.61) 192 (1.55)
Two doses, ≥14 days 168 (2.26) 633 ( 5.10)
Age group
< 20 406 (5.47) 940 (7.57)
20-34 5606 (75.51) 9629 (77.57)
35+ 1412 (19.02) 1845 (14.86)
Missing - -
Self-reported race
White 2787 (43.75) 5226 (47.93)
Mixed Brown 3085 (48.43) 4830 (44.30)
Black 390 (6.12) 689 (6.32)
Others 108 (1.70) 158 (1.45)
Missing 1054 1511
Reported co-morbidities
Yes 554 (7.46) 767 (6.18)
No 6870 (92.54) 11647 (93.82)
Missing* - -
Previous events notified to
surveillance
Yes 2447 (32.96) 5145 (41.45)
No 4977 (67.04) 7269 (58.55)
Missing - -
Brazilian Deprivation Index
1 1940 (26.13) 3634 (29.29)
2 1638 (22.07) 2949 (23.77)
3 1502 (20.23) 2269 (18.29)
4 1293 (17.42) 2039 (16.43)
5 1050 (14.15) 1518 (12.23)
Missing 1 5
Region of residence
North 349 (4.70) 623 (5.02)
Northeast 1663 (22.40) 2244 (18.08)
South 734 (9.89) 2136 (17.21)
Southeast 3981 (53.62) 6444 (51.92)
Midwest 697 (9.39) 965 (7.77)
Missing - 2
* those who reported only pregnancy as condition were considered without co-morbidities
554 | CORONAVAC | O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA
Artigo
Table 2: Effectiveness of -CoronaVac against symptomatic and severe Covid-19, among pregnant women aged
18-49 years in Brazil (comparison of symptomatic and severe cases with test-negative controls)
Unadjusted Unadjusted#
Odds Ratio Odds Ratio Adjusted Odds Adjusted* VE% p-
(95% CI) (95% CI) Ratio (95% CI) (95% CI) value
Vaccination status
Symptomatic
Covid-19 Sinovac-CoronaVac
Unvaccinated Ref Ref Ref Ref
One dose <13 days 0.94 (0.77-1.14) 1.35 (1.10-1.66) 1.35 (1.09-1.68) - 0.006
Partially vaccinated
(One dose ≥14 days) 0.64 (0.53-0.77) 1.00 (0.82-1.22) 0.94 (0.76-1.18) 5.02 (-18.22- 23.69) 0.645
Two doses ≥14 days 0.42 (0.35-0.50) 0.69 (0.57-0.83) 0.59 (0.47-0.72) 40.97 (27.07- 52.22) <0.001
Severe Covid-19
Unvaccinated Ref Ref Ref Ref
One dose <13 days 1.38 (0.87-2.19) 1.64 (1.01-2.65) 1.42 (0.83-2.43) - 0.192
Partially vaccinated
(One dose ≥14 days) 0.30 (0.13-0.69) 0.38 (0.16-0.87) 0.32 (0.13-0.80) 67.74 (20.00-87.00) 0.015
Two doses ≥14 days 0.15 (0.06-0.37) 0.20 (0.08-0.50) 0.14 (0.05-0.40) 85.39 (59.44- 94.80) <0.001
Table 3: Effectiveness of Sinovac-CoronaVac against symptomatic Covid-19 and progressing to severe forms
(comparing severe, hospitalized or fatal Covid-19 with test negative), among pregnant women aged 18-49 years
in Brazil (comparison of severe cases with non-severe cases)
Unadjusted Unadjusted#
Odds Ratio Odds Ratio Adjusted Odds Adjusted* VE% p-
(95% CI) (95% CI) Ratio (95% CI) (95% CI) value
Vaccination status
Symptomatic
Covid-19 Sinovac-CoronaVac
Severe Covid-19
Unvaccinated Ref Ref Ref Ref
One dose <13 days 1.52 (0.95-2.45) 1.16 (0.70-1.93) 1.02 (0.58-1.78) - 0.932
Partially vaccinated
(One dose ≥14 days) 0.45 (0.20-1.04) 0.34 (0.15-0.80) 0.32 (0.12-0.82) 67.46 (17.66- 87.14) 0.018
Two doses ≥14 days 0.35 (0.14-0.86) 0.27 (0.10-0.69) 0.25 (0.08-0.72) 74.69 (27.95-91.20) 0.001
15/03/2021 NOTA TÉCNICA Nº 1/2021- - Vaccination for pregnant and lactating women with comorbidities
DAPES/SAPS/MS -
Vaccination for pregnant and - Vaccine can be offered to pregnant and postpartum women
postpartum women with without comorbidities after evaluating the risks and benefits,
comorbities especially considering the professional activity performed by the
woman.
26/04/2021 NOTA TÉCNICA Nº Phase I- Pregnant and postpartum women with comorbidities,
467/2021- regardless of age
CGPNI/DEIDT/SVS/MS -
Vaccination for pregnant and Phase II- Pregnant and postpartum women, regardless of
postpartum women without comorbidities
comorbidities
06/07/2021 NOTA TÉCNICA Nº 2/2021 - Vaccination of pregnant and postpartum women aged 18 years
- and over, regardless of risk factors
SECOVID/GAB/SECOVID/
MS - Continued vaccination in - Pregnant of any gestational age
pregnant and postpartum
women without comorbidities - Needs for Medical evaluation and Prescription
23/07/2021 NOTA TÉCNICA Nº 6/2021- - Vaccination of pregnant and postpartum women aged 18 years
SECOVID/GAB/SECOVID/ and over, regardless of risk factors
MS - Interchangeability
between vaccines for pregnant - Pregnant of any gestational age
and postpartum women who
took the oxford astrazeneca - Need for Medical evaluation and Prescription
vaccine in the first dose
- To pregnant and postpartum women who received the first dose of
the AstraZeneca/Fiocruz vaccine, at time of the second dose,
preferably, the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 /Wyeth vaccine should
be offered. If this immunising agent is not available locally,
Sinovac/Butantan vaccine may be used
EDITORIAL
To the Editor, 5-10 mL milk samples before the first dose and seven more
samples weekly for three weeks after the second dose. Milk
Human milk is the external secretion with the highest samples were collected four months after the first dose
immunoglobulin A (IgA) concentrations, mostly produced from 10 mothers to evaluate the persistence of SARS-CoV-2-
in the lamina propria of mammary glands by plasma cells specific IgA antibodies. Milk was collected by the donors
(1). The milk antibody repertoire is quite similar to the one themselves into sterile containers after careful local antisepsis
observed in the blood; however, the levels of antibodies with sterile water. Manual expression or milk pump were
against enteric and respiratory pathogens are usually higher used for sample collection after rigorous handwashing. The
in the colostrum and mature milk than in the serum. milk was stored at home by the donor at -20oC until delivery
Maternal immunization can elicit systemic immunoglobulin to the laboratory (LIM-36-ICr).
G (IgG) and mucosal IgA, IgM, and IgG responses that The study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Board
confer protection to the newborn infants (2,3,4). (CAAE: 45565121.2.0000.0068), and written informed consent
During the current pandemic, milk anti-SARS-CoV-2- was obtained from all the participants. The levels of IgA
specific IgA antibodies have been found in 23.1% of 2,312 antibodies that specifically bind the S1 domain of the spike
previously infected lactating women (5,6). In an Israeli protein (including RBD-Receptor Binding Domain) were
prospective cohort, milk samples of 84 breastfeeding women semiquantitatively analyzed using the Euroimmun anti-
were analyzed before immunization and then weekly for six SARS-CoV-2 S1 ELISA kit. The results were presented as
weeks after immunization. All the mothers received two the ratio of the optical density of the samples and the optical
doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine 21 days apart (7). The density of the calibrator (both read at 450 nm, using a
levels of IgA antibodies were significantly elevated two reference wavelength of 620 nm), and ratios above 0.8 were
weeks after the first dose, with 61.8% of the samples testing considered positive. One-way ANOVA followed by Tukey’s
positive (86.1% at week 4—one week after the second dose, multiple comparison tests were used in the statistical analysis
and 65.7% at week 6). (GraphPad v.7.0 Software Inc., San Diego, CA, USA), and
Here, we present data from an initial study on the presence statistical significance was set at po0.05.
of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgA antibodies in human milk samples No significant adverse reactions were reported in either
obtained from volunteers during the immunization process the mothers or their babies. The mean maternal age was
promoted by HC-FMUSP in January (17th-21st) and February 35.6 (±3.2) years at the time of the first dose, with a mean
(15th-18th), 2021. The preparation ‘‘CoronaVac’’ (an inacti- nursing period of 11.2 (±8.7) months, quite similar to the
vated vaccine), produced by Sinovac Biotech Ltd. (China) Israeli study, which was 10.3 months (7).
and Instituto Butantan (Brazil), was administered to all Of the 20 mothers, 16 were COVID-negative at week 0
healthy employees in two doses, four weeks apart. A total (Figure 1). Despite an increase in the mean levels of anti-
of 170 samples were collected. All the 20 milk donors were SARS-CoV-2-specific IgA in the first two weeks after the
HC-FMUSP employees and were breastfeeding at the time first dose, significantly higher mean values were obtained
of the first immunization phase and voluntarily donated only at weeks 5 and 6. Ten mothers presented specific
IgA antibody levels above the seroconversion value at
week 7 (21 days after the second dose). Among the ten
Copyright & 2021 CLINICS – This is an Open Access article distributed under the mothers who donated a sample four months after the
terms of the Creative Commons License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ first dose, five still had specific IgA levels above the
4.0/) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any
medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
seroconversion value at that time. In our series, four mothers
had COVID-19, of whom three presented high levels of anti-
No potential conflict of interest was reported.
SARS-CoV-2 IgA antibodies in W0 (data not shown). One of
Received for publication on May 26, 2021. Accepted for publication them donated her milk four months after the first vaccine dose
on June 10, 2021 and still had high specific IgA levels (anti-SARS-CoV-2-
DOI: 10.6061/clinics/2021/e3185 specific IgA ratio=4.0).
1
O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA | CORONAVAC | 559
Artigo
CoronaVac induces IgA in human milk CLINICS 2021;76:e3185
Calil VMLT et al.
Figure 1 - Anti-SARS-CoV-2-specific IgA ratios (mean±standard error) in milk samples collected over time (Weekly–W) from 16 healthy
mothers previously COVID-negative after a 2-dose schedule of the CoronaVac vaccine (Sinovac Biotech Ltd., China). The last withdrawal
was performed four months after the first dose in ten mothers. **po0.01; *po0.05.
This study strongly reinforces that mothers should con- and Carvalho WB were responsible for revising the manuscript. All of
tinue breastfeeding their children after vaccination against the authors critically revised the manuscript and approved its final
SARS-CoV-2 and even after infection (5-7). As for other version.
respiratory infections, maternal anti-SARS-CoV-2 immuniza-
tion should protect infants with systemic IgG and milk IgA ’ REFERENCES
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ving the collection of maternal and cord blood, colostrum, org/10.1093/humupd/dmu041
and milk during the first two post-delivery months (3,4). 4. Lima L, Molina MDGF, Pereira BS, Nadaf MLA, Nadaf MIV, Takano
OA, et al. Acquisition of specific antibodies and their influence on
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’ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS pertussis vaccination during pregnancy. Vaccine. 2019;37(19):2569-79.
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We are grateful to all the participating mothers, to the press officer 5. Calil VMLT, Krebs VLJ, Carvalho WB. Guidance on breastfeeding
Markione de Santana Assis for logistical assistance during the research, during the Covid-19 pandemic. Rev Assoc Med Bras (1992). 2020;
nutritionists Analisa Gabriela, Zucchi Leite, and Renata Hyppolito 66(4):541-6.
6. Juncker HG, Romijn M, Loth VN, Ruhé EJM, Bakker S, Kleinendorst S,
Barnabe for assistance in the collection and transport of milk samples,
et al. Antibodies Against SARS-CoV-2 in Human Milk: Milk Conversion
and to FAPESP (grant 2014/50489-9) for Euroimmun anti-SARS-CoV-2 Rates in the Netherlands. J Hum Lact. 2021;8903344211018185. https://
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7. Perl SH, Uzan-Yulzari A, Klainer H, Asiskovich L, Youngster M, Rinott E,
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Calil VMLT, Palmeira P, and Carneiro-Sampaio M contributed
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for sample collection, laboratory, and statistical analyses. Krebs VLJ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajog.2021.03.023
Paper
Lupus
2022, Vol. 0(0) 1–11
Immunogenicity, safety, and © The Author(s) 2022
Article reuse guidelines:
antiphospholipid antibodies after sagepub.com/journals-permissions
DOI: 10.1177/09612033221102073
Abstract
Objective: Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) has an increased risk of coagulopathy with high frequency of anti-
phospholipid antibodies (aPL). Recent reports of thrombosis associated with adenovirus-based vaccines raised concern
that SARS-CoV-2 immunization in primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) patients may trigger clotting complications.
Our objectives were to assess immunogenicity, safety, and aPL production in PAPS patients, after vaccinating with Sinovac-
CoronaVac, an inactivated virus vaccine against COVID-19.
Methods: This prospective controlled phase-4 study of PAPS patients and a control group (CG) consisted of a two-dose
Sinovac-CoronaVac (D0/D28) and blood collection before vaccination (D0), at D28 and 6 weeks after second dose (D69)
for immunogenicity/aPL levels. Outcomes were seroconversion (SC) rates of anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and/or neu-
tralizing antibodies (NAb) at D28/D69 in naı̈ve participants. Safety and aPL production were also assessed.
Results: We included 44 PAPS patients (31 naı̈ve) and 132 CG (108 naı̈ve) with comparable age (p=0.982) and sex
(p>0.999). At D69, both groups had high and comparable SC (83.9% vs. 93.5%, p=0.092), as well as NAb positivity (77.4%
vs. 78.7%, p=0.440), and NAb-activity (64.3% vs. 60.9%, p=0.689). Thrombotic events up to 6 months or other moderate/
severe side effects were not observed. PAPS patients remained with stable aPL levels throughout the study at D0 vs. D28 vs.
D69: anticardiolipin (aCL) IgG (p=0.058) and IgM (p=0.091); anti-beta-2 glycoprotein I (aβ2GPI) IgG (p=0.513) and IgM
(p=0.468).
Conclusion: We provided novel evidence that Sinovac-CoronaVac has high immunogenicity and safety profile in PAPS.
Furthermore, Sinovac-CoronaVac did not trigger thrombosis nor induced changes in aPL production.
Keywords
COVID-19, vaccine immunogenicity, SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, antiphospholipid syndrome, antiphospholipid antibodies
1
Rheumatology Division, Hospital das Clı́nicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil
2
Rheumatology Division, Hospital Universitário Pedro Ernesto, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3
Rheumatology Division, Hospital Universitário, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Brazil
4
Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, Instituto da Criança, Hospital das Clı́nicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil
5
Central Laboratory Division, Hospital das Clı́nicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil
†
DA and EB contributed equally to this manuscript.
Corresponding author:
Eloisa Bonfá, Sala 3190, Av. Dr Arnaldo, 455, 3° andar, São Paulo, SP 01246-903, Brazil.
Email: eloisa.bonfa@hc.fm.usp.br
syringes loaded with CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Vaccine adverse events and incident cases
Beijing, China, batch #20200412), that consists of 3 μg in of COVID-19
0.5 mL of β-propiolactone inactivated SARS-CoV-2 (derived
from the CN02 strain of SARS-CoV-2 grown in African Patients and CG were advised to report any side effects of
green monkey kidney cells—Vero 25 cells) with aluminum the vaccine. They received on D0 (first dose) and on D28
hydroxide as an adjuvant, were administered intramuscularly (second dose) a standardized diary for local and systemic
in the deltoid area. The sera of each blood sample (20 mL) manifestations. The standardized diary of adverse events
from all participants obtained at days D0, D28, and D69 were (AE) was carefully reviewed with each participant on the
stored in a 70°C freezer. day of the second dose (D28) and at the last visit (D69).
COVID-19 incident cases were followed for 40 days (from
D0 to 10 days after the second dose [D39]) and thereafter for
Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG antibodies the following 40 days (from D40 to D79).
A chemiluminescent immunoassay was used to measure Vaccine AE severity was defined according to WHO
human IgG antibodies against the S1 and S2 proteins in the definitions.25 A rigorous surveillance for any kind of
receptor binding domain (RBD) (Indirect ELISA, LIAI- thrombotic event was performed during a period of
SON® SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy). Sero- 6 months after full-vaccination.
conversion rate (SC) was defined as positive serology Additionally, all participants were instructed to com-
(>15.0 UA/mL) post vaccination, since only patients with municate any manifestation associated or not with COVID-
pre-vaccination negative serology were included. Geo- 19 through telephone, smartphone instant messaging, or
metric mean titers (GMT) of these antibodies and 95% email. Suspicious cases of COVID-19 were instructed to
confidence intervals were also calculated at all time points, seek medical care near the residence and, if recommended,
attributing the value of 1.9 UA/mL (half of the lower limit of to come to our tertiary hospital to have the RT-PCR exam or
quantification 3.8 UA/mL) to undetectable levels (<3.8 UA/ in-person visit. Patients were clinically followed for
mL). The factor increase in GMT (FI-GMT) is the ratio of 6 months (August 18, 2021).
the GMT after vaccination to the GMT before vaccination, Study data were collected and managed using REDCap
used to demonstrate growth in IgG titers. They are also electronic data capture tools hosted at our Institution.26-27
presented and compared as geometric means and 95%
confidence intervals (CI). RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2
Clinical samples for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR consisted of
SARS-CoV-2 cPass virus-neutralization antibodies nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs, using a labora-
The SARS-CoV-2 sVNT Kit (GenScript, Piscataway, NJ, tory developed test.28
USA) was performed according to manufacturer instruc-
tions. This analysis detects circulating neutralizing anti-
bodies against SARS-CoV-2 that block the interaction
Antiphospholipid antibodies
between the RBD of the viral spike glycoprotein with the We assessed the criteria antiphospholipid antibodies IgG/
ACE2 cell surface receptor. The tests were performed on the IgM aCL and IgG/IgM anti-β2GPI in PAPS patients. Pe-
ETI-MAX-3000 equipment (DiaSorin, Italy). The samples ripheral blood samples were collected in dry tubes (2 tubes),
were classified as either “positive” (inhibition ≥30%) or respecting the time between collection and centrifugation of
“negative” (inhibition <30%), as suggested by the manu- at most 1 hour. Samples were centrifuged at 3200 r/min for
facturer.24 The frequency of positive samples was calculated 15 min and aliquoted in a volume of 500 μL. The aCL
at all time points. Medians (interquartile range) of the antibodies were detected by commercial fluoro im-
percentage of neutralizing activity only for positive samples munoenzymatic assay (EliA) Thermo Scientific/Phadia
were calculated. 250 Immunoassay Analyzers and they were considered
positive if present in medium or high titers (≥40 GPL or
MPL). The aβ2GPI antibodies were measured through the
Outcomes
enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA)
Immunogenicity outcome was assessed by two criteria SC QUANTALite®, InovaDiagnostics and their positivity was
rates of total anti-SARS-Cov-2 S1/S2 IgG and presence of defined if titers were > 20UI/mL. Antiphospholipid anti-
NAb at D69. Other endpoints were the following: anti-S1/ bodies at D28 and D69 were compared to baseline (D0) to
S2 IgG SC and presence of NAb at D28 (after vaccine first verify if there was any increase in titers after vaccination.
dose); geometric mean titers of anti-S1/S2 IgG and their FI- The thrombosis score risk aGAPSS (adjusted Global An-
GMT at D28 and D69; and median (interquartile range) tiPhospholipid Syndrome Score) that includes the three
neutralizing activity of NAb at D28 and D69. criteria aPL,29-30 besides arterial hypertension and
dyslipidemia, was calculated at baseline and at D69 using 132 controls were included in the study. Forty-three patients
LA previously registered in our electronic database. LA had thrombotic criteria (97.7%) and 18 (40.9%) had ob-
detection was performed according to updated guidelines.31 stetric criteria. Only one patient was classified as exclu-
sively obstetric. Triple positivity was present in 45.4% of
cases (Table 1). The number of triple positives was even
Statistical analysis
higher (54.8%) considering only the 31 naı̈ve-PAPS.
A convenience sample of PAPS patients was selected with a PAPS patients and CG had comparable median ages (46
CG in a 1:3 ratio. Continuous variables are presented as [31–73] vs. 46 [31–78] years, p=0.982) and female sex
medians (interquartile ranges) with intergroup comparison (86.4% in both groups, p=1.0) at study entry. The mean
using Mann–Whitney test. Categorical variables are pre- duration of disease in PAPS patients was 16.7 ± 8.4 years.
sented as number (percentage) and compared using chi- Of note, the PAPS group had more stroke than CG (29.5%
square or Fisher’s exact tests, as appropriate. Continuous vs. 0%, p<0.001), besides dyslipidemia (59.1% vs. 8.3%,
data regarding anti-S1/S2 serology titers are presented as p<0.001) and smoking (38.6% vs. 8.3%, p<0.001). These
geometric means (95% CI) and compared with the same characteristics are shown in Table 1.
tests, but in Napierian logarithm (ln) transformed data.
Longitudinal comparisons of ln-transformed anti-S1/S2 IgG
titers between PAPS and CG were performed using gen-
Vaccine immunogenicity
eralized estimating equations (GEE) with normal marginal For this analysis, we excluded 37 (21.0%) participants (13
distribution and gamma distribution, respectively. Results PAPS patients and 24 CG) due to pre-vaccination positive
were followed by Bonferroni multiple comparisons to COVID-19 serology (6 PAPS and 18 CG) and/or NAb (1
identify differences between groups and time points. PAPS and 3 CG) and the incidents confirmed cases of
Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed COVID-19 during the study (1 PAPS and 3 CG). Further
using as dependent variables SC or presence of NAb, and as exclusions for the immunogenicity analyses were related to
independent variables those with p <0.2 in univariate continuous immunosuppression (not related to APS): two
analysis. The isotypes of each aPL were analyzed cate- patients were using azathioprine and prednisone (one due to
gorically (according to aPL cutoff positivity definitions) autoimmune hepatitis and the other due to idiopathic in-
using Chi-square test and continuously by Friedman Re- terstitial pulmonary disease); one patient with renal trans-
peated Measures Analysis of Variance on Ranks at D0, D28, plant was on mycophenolate mofetil, tacrolimus, and
and D69. aGAPSS score of APS patients was also compared prednisone; one patient with cardiac transplant was on
between the three time points using Friedman Repeated mycophenolate mofetil and cyclosporine; and one patient
Measures Analysis of Variance on Ranks. was using prednisone to treat livedoid vasculopathy.
Statistical significance was defined as p <0.05. All sta- The final immunogenicity analysis included 31 naı̈ve-
tistical analyses were performed using IBM-SPSS for PAPS patients and 108 controls. Flow chart of the study is
Windows software version 22.0. illustrated in Figure 1.
GMT comparisons in CG at D28 and D69 vs. baseline and Table 1. Baseline characteristics of primary antiphospholipid
between D69 vs. D28 also showed a significant increase syndrome patients and controls.
(p<0.001, for all comparisons) (Table 2). PAPS Controls p-
(n=44) (n=132) Value
SARS-CoV-2 cPass virus-neutralization Demographics
antibodies (NAb) Current age, years 46 (31–73) 46 (31–78) 0.982
The frequency of NAb at D28 was lower in naı̈ve-PAPS Age at diagnosis, years 29 (17–67) - -
Disease duration, years 16.7 ± 8.4 - -
patients than CG (16.1% vs. 35.2%, p=0.043), with a robust
Female sex 44 (86.4) 114 (86.4) >0.999
rise at D69 and comparable NAb positivity rates among
Caucasian race 27 (61.4) 64 (48.5) 0.139
both groups (77.4% vs. 78.7%, p=0.440). NAb-activity was
Comorbidities
comparable in naı̈ve-PAPS patients and CG at D28 (38.1%
Systemic arterial 18 (40.9) 39 (29.5) 0.163
[32.0–55.5] vs. 43.7% [34.2–66.4], p=0.275) and D69 (64.3 hypertension
[49.0–77.0%] vs. 60.9 [45.6–81.3%], p=0.689) (Table 3). Diabetes mellitus 3 (6.8) 16 (12.1) 0.411
Dyslipidemia 26 (59.1) 11 (8.3) <0.001
Antiphospholipid antibodies and vaccination Obesity 21 (47.7) 42 (32.3) 0.066
Current smoking 17 (38.6) 11 (8.3) <0.001
High titers of aCL at baseline were identified in 13/31 APS criteria manifestations
(41.9%) of the naı̈ve-APS patients (seven of IgG isotype, Thrombotic 43 (97.7) - -
four of IgM isotype, and 1 with both isotypes). Fourteen Arterial 21 (47.7) - -
(45.2%) patients had high titers of aβ2GPI at baseline (four Stroke 13 (29.5) 0 (0) <0.001
with IgG isotype, eight of IgM isotype, and two with both Venous 25 (56.8) - -
isotypes). All patients remained positive for aCL and/or Obstetric 18 (40.9) - -
aβ2GPI without significant changes in titers, but one patient aPL profile
with negative IgM aCL (5 MPL) and IgM aβ2GPI (5 UI/ Single positivity 11 (25.0) - -
mL) at baseline and at D28 (IgM aCL: four MPL and IgM Double positivity 13 (29.5) - -
aβ2GPI:4 UI/mL) had an increment to 48 MPL and 42 UI/ Triple positivity 20 (45.5)
mL, respectively, at day 69. APS treatment
No significant difference was found between samples VKA 39 (88.6) - -
collected before and after vaccination for all four autoan- LMWH 3 (6.8) - -
tibodies (Figure 2). In the quantitative analysis, titers re- LDA 8 (18.2) -
Hydroxychloroquine 17 (38.6) -
mained stable over time. In the qualitative assessment,
frequencies of positivity also did not change for all aPL: IgG Results are expressed in mean ± standard deviation, median (minimum and
aCL positivity rates were 25.8% (n=8/31) vs. 25.8% (n=8/ maximum values), and n (%).
31) vs. 22.6% (n=7/31), p=0.944, at D0, D28, and D69; IgM PAPS—primary antiphospholipid syndrome; aPL—antiphospholipid anti-
body; VKA—vitamin K antagonist; LMWH—low-molecular-weight hep-
aCL positivity rates were 16.1% (n=5/31) vs. 16.1% (n=5/ arin; LDA—low dose aspirin.
31) vs. 19.4% (n=6/31), p=0.927, at D0, D28, and D69; IgG
aβ2GPI positivity rates were 12.9% (n=4/31) vs. 12.9%
(n=4/31) vs. 16.1% (n=5/31), p=0.914, at D0, D28, and COVID-19 incident cases
D69; and IgM aβ2GPI positivity rates were 16.1% (n=5/31)
During the study, four participants (one PAPS patient and
vs. 16.1% (n=5/31) vs. 19.4% (n=6/31), p=0.927, at D0,
three CG) had incident symptomatic cases of COVID-19, all
D28, and D69.
confirmed by RT-PCR. All cases occurred from D0 to D32
The median (interquartile range) aGAPSS of the 31
and none of them was hospitalized.
naı̈ve-APS patients did not modify after completing vac-
cination (D0 vs D28 vs D69: 13 [4–17] vs. 13 [4–17] vs. 13
[4–17], p=0.717).
Discussion
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to
Vaccine safety and tolerance demonstrate that the Sinovac-CoronaVac vaccine is highly
We did not observe any moderate/severe AE in any group. immunogenic and safe in PAPS patients and did not trigger
Local and systemic reactions were more common in the short- and medium-term thrombosis or increase of aPL-
PAPS group after the first dose compared to controls, but not related antibodies production.
after the second dose. The overall description of AE in Recent studies focusing on an overall evaluation of
PAPS patients and controls is summarized in Table 4. mRNA COVID-19 immunized ARD patients have shown a
Table 2. Seroconversion rates and anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG titers before and after CoronaVac in näive-PAPS and controls.
PAPS, n=31 8 (25.8) 26 (83.9) 2.4 (2.0–2.7) 7.7 (5.1–11.6)a 50.2 (34.5–73.2)a,b 3.3 (2.2–4.9) 21.4 (14.5–31.6)
Controls, n=108 33 (30.6) 101 (93.5) 2.3 (2.1–2.6) 9.8 (7.6–12.6)c 61.7 (52.8–72.3)c,d 4.2 (3.4–5.1) 26.5 (22.3–31.4)
p-Value (PAPS vs CG) 0.609 0.092 0.936 0.359 0.249 0.600 0.586
PAPS—Primary antiphospholipid syndrome; CG—control group; SC—Seroconversion (defined as post-vaccination titer >15 AU/mL—Indirect ELISA,
LIAISON® SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy); GMT—Geometric mean titers (AU/mL).
Frequencies of SC are presented as number (%) and they were compared using chi-square between PAPS patients and CG at pre-specified time points
(D28 and D69). IgG antibody titers and FI-GMT are expressed as geometric means with 95% confidence interval (95%CI). Comparisons of ln-transformed
anti-S1/S2 IgG titers between PAPS and CG were performed using generalized estimating equations (GEE) with normal marginal distribution and gamma
distribution, respectively. Results were followed by Bonferroni multiple comparisons to identify differences between groups and time points.
a
p<0.001 for longitudinal comparisons of GMT in PAPS patients at D28 and D69 vs. baseline.
b
p<0.001 for longitudinal comparison of GMT in PAPS patients at D69 vs. D28.
c
p<0.001 for longitudinal comparison of GMT in control at D28 and D69 vs. baseline.
d
p<0.001 for longitudinal comparison of GMT in control at D69 vs. D28.
Table 3. Frequency of neutralizing antibodies and neutralizing activity (%) after CoronaVac in näive-PAPS compared to controls.
Subjects with positive Neutralizing activity (%) Subjects with Neutralizing activity (%)
NAb, n (%) median (interquartile range) positive NAb, n (%) median (interquartile range)
Figure 2. Antiphospholipid antibody titers evaluation in näive primary antiphospholipid patients before (baseline—D0) and after
Sinovac-CoronaVac vaccination (first dose—D28 and second dose—D69). (a) Anticardiolipin antibody IgM (aCL, titers in MPL), (b)
anticardiolipin antibody IgG (aCL, titers in GPL), (c) anti-beta-2 glycoprotein I IgM (aβ2GPI, titers in UI/mL), and (d) anti-beta-2
glycoprotein I IgG (aβ2GPI, titers in UI/mL).
good safety profile, with no severe AE or underlying disease study revealed a moderate, but reduced SC rate with
flare.30,31 However, lower antibody titers compared to Sinovac-CoronaVac in 910 adults with naı̈ve ARD (vs. 182
controls were observed, which may impact protection naı̈ve volunteers in CG). Immunosuppressive drugs and
against the virus.32-33 In line with these findings, our recent prednisone were identified as factors associated with
Table 4. Adverse events of CoronaVac vaccination in primary antiphospholipid syndrome patients and controls.
PAPS (n=44) Controls (n=132) p-Value PAPS (n=44) Controls (n=132) p-Value
diminished immunogenicity evaluating the entire group of not immunosuppressive therapy.36 The accuracy of this data
ARD patients.23 was improved by the fact that both groups were balanced by
However, PAPS patients may have some distinct clinical age and sex, one of the most important parameters to in-
and immunological features 34 compared to other ARDs. A fluence vaccine response.37 In addition, the impact of
previous study published by our group evaluating the re- previous exposure in vaccine response was excluded, since
sponse to the H1N1 vaccine in 1668 ARD patients dem- only naı̈ve-PAPS patients were evaluated for immunoge-
onstrated that PAPS patients presented higher rates of SC nicity. In fact, previous studies have demonstrated that
than several other ARDs.35 The present study with Sinovac- vaccine-induced antibody response is greatly enhanced in
CoronaVac vaccine showed that PAPS patients had a high pre-exposed individuals.38-39
SC and high NAb positivity, comparable to the CG. The The safety profile of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines has
most likely explanation is the fact that the cornerstone of been tested and confirmed by mass immunization programs;
treatment in this syndrome is lifelong anticoagulation and those vaccines are highly relevant for the population
evaluated in the present study.40 Our PAPS patients had Declaration of conflicting interests
more minor adverse effects compared to controls. Perhaps The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with re-
the awareness of having a thrombophilia might have alerted spect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
them to report any symptom after the first dose. The oc-
currence of more bruises was expected because of Funding
anticoagulation.
Even though the thrombotic risk assessed with aGAPSS The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support
in our PAPS patients was very high, no thrombotic event for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This
was recorded during our study.41 In addition, these pa- work was supported by Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado
tients have a high frequency of comorbidities associ- de São Paulo (FAPESP) (#2015/03756-4 to SGP, CAS, NEA and
ated with endothelial dysfunction, such as hypertension, EB, #2019/17272-0 to LVKK); Conselho Nacional de De-
obesity, and dyslipidemia, which may also favor clot senvolvimento Cientı́fico e Tecnológico (CNPq #304984/2020-5
events.42-44 Despite the very small sample size, it is re- to CAS, #305242/2019-9 to EB, #306879/2018-2 to EFB), B3 -
assuring that no cases of venous and arterial thromboses Bolsa de Valores do Brasil to EB, and Instituto Butantan supplied
were observed in this high-risk population, after 6 months of the study product and had no other role in the trial.
follow-up.
Supporting this notion, aPL titers were comparable Trial registration
before and after complete vaccination, an encouraging ClinicalTrials.gov- NCT04754698 first registered on February
finding since aPL has an important role in the PAPS 8th 2021. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04754698?term=
thrombogenesis.10 Consistent with this observation, we NCT04754698&draw=2&rank=1
have not detected a significant production of aPL-related
antibodies nor thrombotic events after the pandemic in- ORCID iDs
fluenza immunization in PAPS patients.45 Furthermore, a Flavio Signorelli https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5565-1017
larger Chinese study with 406 healthy-workers immunized Gustavo Guimarães Moreira Balbi https://orcid.org/0000-0003-
with inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (BBIBPCorV, Si- 0235-8834
nopharm, Beijing, China) also found no significant differ- Nadia E Aikawa https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7585-4348
ence in aPL measurement in serial blood samples before and Clovis A Silva https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9250-6508
4 weeks after the second dose.46 Sandra G Pasoto https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7343-6804
Our study has some limitations. The routine blood Eduardo F Borba https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6194-5129
collection used to perform immunogenicity assays of Danieli Castro Oliveira Andrade https://orcid.org/0000-0002-
SARS-CoV-2 could not be extrapolated to LA functional 0381-1808
assays, a known high-risk parameter for thrombosis in Eloisa Bonfá https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0520-4681
PAPS and perhaps also for COVID-19 infection.47 Another
flaw in our study was the small convenience sample size but
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Evento adverso de
Publicado em: 19/5/2022
interesse especial
Abstract
Background: The World Health Organization has defined a list of adverse events of special interest (AESI) for safety
surveillance of vaccines. AESI have not been adequately assessed following COVID-19 vaccination in patients with
cancer contributing to vaccine hesitancy in this population. We aimed to evaluate the association between BNT162b2
and CoronaVac vaccines and the risk of AESI in adults with active cancer or a history of cancer.
Patients and methods: We conducted a territory-wide cohort study using electronic health records managed by
the Hong Kong Hospital Authority and vaccination records provided by the Department of Health. Patients with a
cancer diagnosis between January 1, 2018, and September 30, 2021, were included and stratified into two cohorts:
active cancer and history of cancer. Within each cohort, patients who received two doses of BNT162b2 or CoronaVac
were 1:1 matched to unvaccinated patients using the propensity score. Cox proportional hazards regression was used
to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for AESI 28 days after the second vaccine dose.
Results: A total of 74,878 patients with cancer were included (vaccinated: 25,789 [34%]; unvaccinated: 49,089 [66%]).
Among patients with active cancer, the incidence of AESI was 0.31 and 1.02 per 10,000 person-days with BNT162b2
versus unvaccinated patients and 0.13 and 0.88 per 10,000 person-days with CoronaVac versus unvaccinated patients.
Among patients with history of cancer, the incidence was 0.55 and 0.89 per 10,000 person-days with BNT162b2
versus unvaccinated patients and 0.42 and 0.93 per 10,000 person-days with CoronaVac versus unvaccinated patients.
Neither vaccine was associated with a higher risk of AESI for patients with active cancer (BNT162b2: HR 0.30, 95% CI
0.08–1.09; CoronaVac: 0.14, 95% CI 0.02–1.18) or patients with history of cancer (BNT162b2: 0.62, 95% CI 0.30–1.28;
CoronaVac: 0.45, 95% CI 0.21–1.00).
Conclusions: In this territory-wide cohort study of patients with cancer, the incidence of AESI following vaccination
with two doses of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac vaccines was low. The findings of this study can reassure clinicians
†
Wei Kang and Jessica J. P. Shami are joint first authors
*Correspondence: wongick@hku.hk; ewchan@hku.hk
1
Centre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department
of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, General Office, L02-56 2/F, Laboratory Block,
LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, 21 Sassoon Road,
Pokfulam, Hong Kong SAR, China
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
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and patients with cancer about the overall safety of BNT162b2 and CoronaVac in patients with cancer, which could
increase the COVID-19 vaccination rate in this vulnerable group of patients.
Keywords: COVID-19, Vaccine, Safety, Adverse events of special interest (AESI), BNT162b2, CoronaVac, Cancer
Introduction vaccine dose for patients who were vaccinated with either
Public health agencies recommend that patients with BNT162b2 or CoronaVac. For unvaccinated patients,
cancer should be prioritized for COVID-19 vaccina- the pseudo index date was selected from a correspond-
tion [1–3]. Currently, the safety of COVID-19 vaccines ing vaccine recipient matched on age and sex. Patients
remains a concern, especially among the elderly and younger than 18 years, hospitalized within 30 days before
immunocompromised patients such as patients with vaccination, or diagnosed with cancer on or after the first
cancer [4]. This has led to lower rates of vaccine uptake dose of vaccination were excluded. Patients who received
in patients with cancer in some regions including Hong only the first dose of the vaccine were also excluded. The
Kong [5–7]. However, the available observational studies study population was stratified into two mutually exclu-
of BNT162b2 (mRNA, Pfizer-BioNTech) and CoronaVac sive cohorts: patients with active cancer and patients
(inactivated, Sinovac) vaccines in patients with cancer with a history of cancer (Fig. 1). Active cancer patients
have only assessed common adverse events, for exam- were defined as those who had undergone any active can-
ple headache and fever; have small sample sizes and are cer treatment or had a diagnosis of metastasis in the last
therefore unable to detect uncommon or rare adverse 6 months before their first vaccine dose [25]. The remain-
events of special interest (AESI); and do not have suit- ing patients were considered as the history of cancer
able between-individual comparisons, since they either cohort.
have no comparator group or use a comparator group of
healthy adults without cancer [8–15]. Furthermore, most Outcomes
patients with cancer were excluded from pivotal clini- The primary outcome of interest in this study was the
cal trials of BNT162b2 and CoronaVac as their cancer incidence of 28-day AESI, defined by the World Health
treatments may suppress or impair the immune system Organization as a list of important vaccine safety sur-
[16–18]. Our study aimed to describe and assess the risk veillance events. The list includes conditions such as
of AESI, as defined by the World Health Organization, acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney injury,
among patients with active cancer and a history of cancer myocarditis, and thrombocytopenia (Additional file 1:
who received vaccination with BNT162b2 or CoronaVac. Table S1) [26]. The secondary outcome was 28-day all-
cause mortality. Patients were followed from the index
Methods date until a diagnosis of the outcome, death, 28 days after
Data sources the index date, or the end of study period (September 30,
This study used electronic health records provided by 2021), whichever occurred first.
the Hospital Authority and linked vaccination records
provided by the Department of Health in Hong Kong. Statistical analysis
The linked records have been previously used to evalu- Baseline patient characteristics were presented as means
ate the safety of COVID-19 vaccines [19–23]. Diagnosis (standard deviation) for continuous variables and fre-
records were identified using the International Classifica- quencies (percentages) for categorical variables. To
tion of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification reduce confounding arising from differences in baseline
(ICD-9-CM) diagnosis codes (Additional file 1: Table S1), characteristics between vaccinated and unvaccinated
and prescription records were identified using Brit- patients, propensity score (PS) matching was performed
ish National Formulary (BNF) codes (Additional file 1: for each type of vaccine (both in active cancer and in
Table S2). history of cancer cohorts). Confounders included in
the PS estimation included age, sex, smoking, obesity,
Study population index date, history of COVID-19 (history of positive
Patients with a cancer diagnosis record between January PCR test), latest levels of white blood cells and neutro-
1, 2018, and September 30, 2021, were identified. Since phils before vaccination, hospitalization, accident and
patients with cancer have a weaker immune response emergency attendance, cancer type and site, comorbidi-
after COVID-19 vaccination, AESI outcomes were only ties, and concomitant medication use (Additional file 1:
evaluated following the second dose of the vaccine [24]. Tables S3, S4). Patients who received BNT162b2 vac-
The index date was defined as the date of the second cine and unvaccinated patients were matched on a 1:1
ratio using nearest neighbor algorithm with a caliper of active cancer cohort and 49,089 history of cancer cohort)
0.01. The same matching procedure was performed for were included (Fig. 1). After 1:1 PS matching, 15,054
patients who received the CoronaVac vaccine. A stand- patients with active cancer (4175 BNT162b2; 3352 Coro-
ardized mean difference (SMD) of < 0.1 was considered naVac; 7527 unvaccinated) and 35,870 patients with a his-
acceptable. tory of cancer (9006 BNT162b2; 8929 CoronaVac; 17,935
The association of AESI with either BNT162b2 or unvaccinated) were included (Additional file 1: Tables S3,
CoronaVac vaccine among patients with cancer was esti- S4). All SMDs of the variables were < 0.1.
mated using Cox proportional hazards regression. The In the active cancer cohort, the incidence of AESI was
results were reported as hazard ratios (HR) with 95% 0.31 and 1.02 per 10,000 person-days for patients receiv-
confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses were per- ing BNT162b2 and matched unvaccinated patients,
formed on different age-groups, sex, and cancer types. respectively; 0.13 and 0.88 per 10,000 person-days for
Individuals who experienced severe adverse effects after patients receiving CoronaVac vaccine and matched
the first dose would less likely accept the second dose, unvaccinated patients, respectively (Table 1, Additional
which could potentially introduce bias in the current file 1: Table S5). In patients with a history of cancer, the
two-dose analysis. Hence, a post hoc analysis was con- incidence of AESI was 0.55 and 0.89 per 10,000 person-
ducted to compare the cumulative incidence rate of AESI days for those who received BNT162b2 and matched
between patients who received one dose only and unvac- unvaccinated patients, respectively; 0.42 and 0.93 per
cinated patients; chi-square test with a significance level 10,000 person-days for patients who received CoronaVac
of 0.05 was reported. and matched unvaccinated patients, respectively.
R version 4.0.3 (R Foundation for Statistical Comput- Patients who received BNT162b2 or CoronaVac were
ing, Vienna, Austria) was used for all statistical analyses. not at a higher risk of AESI compared to unvaccinated
The analyses were conducted by WK and cross-checked patients in the active cancer cohort [BNT162b2 HR: 0.30
independently by JJPS and XY for quality assurance. (95% CI 0.08–1.09); CoronaVac HR: 0.14 (95% CI 0.02–
1.18)]. Similarly, patients who received BNT162b2 or
Results CoronaVac were not at a higher risk of AESI compared
We identified 90,822 patients with a cancer diagnosis to unvaccinated patients in the history of cancer cohort
between January 1, 2018, and September 30, 2021. After [BNT162b2 HR: 0.62 (95% CI 0.30–1.28), CoronaVac
applying the exclusion criteria, 74,878 patients (25,789 HR: 0.45 (95% CI 0.21–1.00)] (Table 1). Results were
Table 1 Risk of 28-day post-vaccination AESI in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients with cancer after propensity score matching
Cohorts BNT162b2 CoronaVac
a
Events/follow-up time Hazard ratio P value Events/follow-up time Hazard ratio P value
(person-days)/incidence (per (95% CI) (person-days)/incidence (per (95% CI)
10,000 person-days) 10,000 person-days)
Unvaccinated Vaccinated Unvaccinated Vaccinated
(N = 4175) (N = 4175) (N = 3352) (N = 3352)
Active cancer
All 10/97586/1.02 3/97588/0.31 0.30 (0.08–1.09) 0.07 7/79150/0.88 1/78204/0.13 0.14 (0.02–1.18) 0.07
Male 7/24853/2.82 1/23796/0.42 0.15 (0.02–1.22) 0.08 3/23137/1.30 1/22894/0.44 – –
Female 3/72733/0.41 2/73792/0.27 0.65 (0.11–3.92) 0.64 4/56013/0.71 0/55310/0 – –
Age < 60 years 1/50970/0.20 2/51891/0.39 – – 1/33853/0.30 1/33410/0.30 – –
Age ≥ 60 year 9/46616/1.93 1/45697/0.22 0.11 (0.01–0.90) < 0.05 6/45297/1.32 0/44794/0 – –
Solid tumor 8/90350/0.89 3/90634/0.33 0.37 (0.10–1.41) 0.15 7/75622/0.93 1/74229/0.13 0.15 (0.02–1.19) 0.07
Hematological malig- 2/7236/2.76 0/6954/0 – – 0/3528/0 0/3975/0 – –
nancy
Unvaccinated Vaccinated Unvaccinated Vaccinated
(N = 9006) (N = 9006) (N = 8929) (N = 8929)
History of cancer
All 19/213182/0.89 12/216640/0.55 0.62 (0.30–1.28) 0.20 20/214652/0.93 9/213033/0.42 0.45 (0.21–1.00) < 0.05
Male 13/94638/1.37 4/96765/0.41 0.30 (0.10–0.92) < 0.05 14/107447/1.30 8/106183/0.75 0.58 (0.24–1.38) 0.22
Female 6/118544/0.51 8/119875/0.67 1.32 (0.46–3.81) 0.61 6/107205/0.56 1/106850/0.09 0.17 (0.02–1.39) 0.10
Age < 60 years 7/99158/0.71 4/99283/0.40 0.57 (0.17–1.96) 0.37 5/77057/0.65 0/74134/0 – –
Age ≥ 60 years 12/114024/1.05 8/117357/0.68 0.65 (0.27–1.60) 0.35 15/137595/1.09 9/138899/0.65 0.59 (0.26–1.36) 0.22
Solid tumor 18/197988/0.91 10/202083/0.49 0.55 (0.25–1.18) 0.12 19/203168/0.94 8/201881/0.40 0.42 (0.19–0.97) < 0.05
Hematological malig- 1/15194/0.66 2/14557/1.37 – – 1/11484/0.87 1/11152/0.90 – –
nancy
AESI: adverse events of special interest
a
Hazard ratios are not shown if total events are less than 5 in each subgroup
consistent in all subgroup analyses; vaccinated patients showed that the overall vaccination rate in Hong Kong
had no increased risk of AESI compared to unvaccinated was 58.8%, while among patients with cancer it was only
patients. 30.2%. Our study provides reassurance that patients with
Among patients with active cancer, there were two cancer are not at an increased risk of AESI or death fol-
deaths in the BNT162b2 group versus 22 among matched lowing two doses of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac.
unvaccinated patients; and no deaths in the CoronaVac Several small observational studies have evaluated the
group versus 12 among matched unvaccinated patients. safety of BNT162b2 or CoronaVac vaccines in patients
Among patients with a history of cancer, there was one with cancer [8–15]. All of those studies evaluated
death in the BNT162b2 group versus 13 among matched short-term common adverse events, including pain and
unvaccinated patients, and 2 deaths in the CoronaVac swelling at the injection site, headache, fever, and diar-
group versus 17 among matched unvaccinated patients rhea. However, no previous study examined AESI as an
(Additional file 1: Table S5). In the post hoc analysis, the outcome and none included both patients with active
cumulative incidence rate of AESI was not significantly cancer and patients with a history of cancer. To date,
different between patients who received one dose only, the largest study included 816 patients with active can-
compared to unvaccinated patients (0.5% one-dose only cer and 274 healthcare workers from a single institution
and 0.4% unvaccinated, χ2 = 0.63, p = 0.43; Additional in Italy [9]. However, the comparator group comprised
file 1: Table S6). healthy individuals with no cancer diagnosis.
To our knowledge, this is the first study to report
Discussion on all AESI and to evaluate the association between
The low rate of COVID-19 vaccine uptake in our study BNT162b2 and CoronaVac and the risk of AESI among
appears to reflect safety concerns among patients with patients with active cancer or history of cancer. Our
cancer in Hong Kong. On September 30, 2021, our data study is also the first and largest territory-wide cohort
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
CLINICAL SCIENCE
Protected by copyright.
Handling editor Josef S ABSTRACT
Smolen Key messages
Objective To determine the immunogenicity of the
For numbered affiliations see third dose of CoronaVac vaccine in a large population of
What is already known about this subject?
end of article. patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases (ARD) and
► The waning of immunity elicited by vaccines
the factors associated with impaired response.
was reported to be associated with
Correspondence to Methods Adult patients with ARD and age-balanced/
Eloisa Bonfa, Rheumatology
breakthrough cases in different countries, driven
sex-balanced controls (control group, CG) previously
Division, Hospital das Clinicas, predominantly by the Delta variant and now the
Faculdade de Medicina,
vaccinated with two doses of CoronaVac received the threat of Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2.
Universidade de Sao Paulo - Av. third dose at D210 (6 months after the second dose). The ► Patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases
Dr. Arnaldo, 455, sala 3190 - presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and neutralising (ARD) are at high risk of severe COVID-19 and
Cerqueira César, São Paulo – SP antibodies (NAb) was evaluated previously to vaccination
– Brazil, ZIP-code 01246-903 are known to have reduced primary vaccination
(D210) and 30 days later (D240). Patients with controlled response.
E-mail – eloisa.bonfa@hc.fm.
usp.br, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil; disease suspended mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) for ► There is evidence on the efficacy of a third dose
eloisa.bonfa@hc.fm.usp.br 7 days or methotrexate (MTX) for 2 weekly doses after in increasing humoral response and protective
vaccination. effect in the general population.
CAS and EB contributed equally. Results ARD (n=597) and CG (n=199) had comparable
Received 30 December 2021 age (p=0.943). Anti-S1/S2 IgG seropositivity rates What does this study add?
Accepted 28 February 2022 significantly increased from D210 (60%) to D240 (93%) ► The third dose of COVID-19 vaccine results
(p<0.0001) in patients with ARD. NAb positivity also in a robust immunogenicity response for
increased: 38% (D210) vs 81.4% (D240) (p<0.0001). patients with ARD overall and for those who
The same pattern was observed for CG, with significantly were COVID-19 seronegative at 6 months post
higher frequencies for both parameters at D240 primary full vaccination.
© Author(s) (or their (p<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analyses in the
employer(s)) 2022. No ARD group revealed that older age (OR=0.98, 95% CI How might this impact on clinical practice or
commercial re-use. See rights 0.96 to 1.0, p=0.024), vasculitis diagnosis (OR=0.24, future developments?
and permissions. Published
by BMJ.
95% CI 0.11 to 0.53, p<0.001), prednisone ≥5 mg/ ► The third dose of anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccine
day (OR=0.46, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.77, p=0.003), MMF should be strongly recommended for patients
To cite: Aikawa NE, (OR=0.30, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.61, p<0.001) and biologics with ARD 6 months after primary vaccination
Kupa LdVK, Medeiros- (OR=0.27, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.46, p<0.001) were
Ribeiro AC, et al.
as an excellent strategy to improve waning of
Ann Rheum Dis Epub ahead associated with reduced anti-S1/S2 IgG positivity. Similar vaccine-induced COVID-19 immunogenicity over
of print: [please include Day analyses demonstrated that prednisone ≥5 mg/day time.
Month Year]. doi:10.1136/ (OR=0.63, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.90, p=0.011), abatacept
annrheumdis-2021-222096 (OR=0.39, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.74, p=0.004), belimumab
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
(OR=0.29, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.67, p=0.004) and rituximab (OR=0.11, Regarding ARD population, there is one case series reporting
95% CI 0.04 to 0.30, p<0.001) were negatively associated with NAb that a third dose of mRNA vaccine induced seroconversion in
positivity. Further evaluation of COVID-19 seronegative ARD at D210 almost 90% of 17 patients with rheumatoid arthritis with minimal
demonstrated prominent increases in positivity rates at D240 for response to primary vaccination. Most of them discontinued
anti-S1/S2 IgG (80.5%) and NAb (59.1%) (p<0.0001). disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARD) temporarily
Conclusions We provide novel data on a robust response to the to receive the third dose17 and more data are necessary.
third dose of CoronaVac in patients with ARD, even in those with We therefore performed a prospective analysis of the immu-
prevaccination COVID-19 seronegative status. Drugs implicated in nogenicity and safety of a third CoronaVac dose, administered
reducing immunogenicity after the regular two-dose regimen were 6 months after the standard two-dose homologous schedule, in a
associated with non-responsiveness after the third dose, except for large ARD population compared with an age-balanced and sex-
MTX. balanced control group (CG). Possible factors associated with
Trial registration number NCT04754698. lack of humoral immune response after the third dose were
secondarily assessed.
METHODS
INTRODUCTION Study design and population
The COVID-19 pandemic is still a global problem and mass We conducted a phase 4 prospective longitudinal study (Coro-
vaccination has been crucial for the waning of the epidemic navRheum) at a large academic hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil. All
worldwide. Until now, almost one-third of the Brazilian popu- participants signed the written informed consent. Patients with
lation has been vaccinated with CoronaVac. There is real-world ARD were diagnosed according to the international classifica-
evidence on the high effectiveness of CoronaVac in reducing tion criteria for each disease31–40 and were regularly followed
hospitalisations and deaths related to SARS-CoV-2 infection in at the outpatient rheumatology clinics. Subsequently, we invited
10.2 million people in Chile.1 subjects without ARD or immunosuppressive therapy as the CG.
However, even in countries with high vaccination rates, break- All subjects were ≥18 years old. CG was sex-balanced and age-
through cases in both vaccinated and unvaccinated persons are balanced with patients with ARD (±5 years) at entry (1 control to
increasingly being reported,2–4 driven predominantly by the 3 patients). All participants had previously received two doses of
SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant5–7 and more recently by the Omicron the inactivated vaccine CoronaVac (batch #20200412; Sinovac
variant. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices of Life Sciences, Beijing, China) 28 days apart (first dose (D0):
Protected by copyright.
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recom- 9–17 February 2021; second dose (D28): 9–17 March 2021) and
mended a third dose of COVID-19 vaccine to high-risk groups, were recruited to receive the third dose from 13 September to 18
including immunocompromised individuals, to address potential September 2021 (D210: 6 months later). The electronic charts
waning immunity against the SARS-CoV-2 variants, with accept- of all patients under mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) or metho-
able safety profile.8–10 trexate (MTX) were reviewed for disease activity, 10 days before
Immunosuppressed patients with autoimmune rheumatic vaccination. Those with low disease activity/inactive disease at
diseases (ARD) are generally under increased risk of severe last visit (up to 2 months) were interviewed at D210 by a physi-
COVID-19.11 12 We have previously demonstrated that two cian to confirm clinical status and to guide medication with-
doses of CoronaVac elicited moderate humoral response in drawal after vaccination (1 week for MMF and 2 weekly doses
patients with naïve ARD, with a parallel major decrease in for MTX). The exclusion criteria were third dose vaccination
incident COVID-19 cases post immunisation.10 A more robust with any other SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, prior anaphylactic events
response was observed in individuals with ARD pre-exposed to to vaccines, immunisation with live virus in the last 4 weeks or
COVID-19, with a high plateau of response after a single Coro- inactivated vaccine in the last 2 weeks, Guillain-Barré syndrome,
naVac dose.13 Neutralising antibodies’ (NAb) response dynamics decompensated heart failure, demyelinating disease, COVID-
in patients who have recovered from COVID-19 may vary 19-related symptoms, acute febrile illness, or hospitalisation at
greatly.14 We further demonstrated a substantial decline of anti- vaccination day (figure 1). All participants had their first blood
SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in patients with ARD 6 months after a sample collected at D210 and the second sample collected at
two-dose schedule of CoronaVac.15 D240 (1 month after the third dose; from 14 October to 4
There is increasing evidence on the efficacy of a third dose November 2021). Patients or the public were not involved in
of vaccine in enhancing protective effect.16–19 However, data on the design, or conduct, or reporting or dissemination plans of
CoronaVac are limited. A study in healthy adults demonstrated the study.
a strong humoral booster following an additional dose admin-
istered 8 months after the primary schedule, indicating an effi-
cient recalling of SARS-CoV-2-specific immune memory.20 The Primary and secondary outcomes
efficacy of a third dose of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine The primary outcome was humoral immunogenicity assessed
was also recently reported in the general population in Israel, by the presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG at D240 in all
with more than 90% reduction in COVID-19-related hospi- participants. The secondary outcomes were factor increase (FI)
talisations and deaths.21 In subjects ≥60 years, a third dose of in anti-S1/S2 geometric mean titre (GMT) from D210 to D240,
BNT162b2 reduced severe infection rate by a factor of almost presence of NAb, NAb activity, and the influence of demographic
20.19 Furthermore, a third dose of the viral vector ChAdOx1 data, ARD diagnosis and current therapy on anti-SARS-CoV-2
nCoV-19 vaccine could boost antibody and T cell responses in seropositivity at D240.
healthy volunteers.22 Among immunocompromised populations,
a significant proportion of patients (30%–50%) with inadequate Serological assays
response to two mRNA vaccine doses seroconverted after an Serological assay consisted of total anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2
additional dose,23–30 and insufficient response was mainly associ- IgG (chemiluminescent immunoassay by indirect ELISA; ETI-
ated with higher degree of immunosuppression.23 24 MAX 3000 equipment, LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG
2 Aikawa NE, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2022;0:1–8. doi:10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
Protected by copyright.
Figure 1 Flow chart diagram. The diagram shows the flow of eligible individuals, exclusions and analysed participants. Reasons for exclusions are
given in the figure. D210, 6 months after second dose.
Kit, DiaSorin, Italy) and circulating NAb against SARS-CoV-2 rates of anti-S1/S2 IgG and NAb were presented as number
using the SARS-CoV-2 sVNT Kit (GenScript, Piscataway, New (percentage) and were compared between groups (ARD and CG)
Jersey, USA), following the manufacturer’s instructions. Samples and between timepoints (D210 vs D240) using repeated measures
with 15.0 AU/mL or more for total IgG and with 30% or more analysis of variance with two factors followed by Bonferroni’s
inhibition in the neutralising assay were considered seropos- multiple comparisons in Napierian logarithm-transformed data
itive according to the manufacturer.41 Quantitative results for IgG. IgG titres were expressed as geometric mean with 95%
were reported, attributing the value of 1.9 AU/mL (half of the CI. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed
lower limit of quantification 3.8 AU/mL) to undetectable levels using as dependent variables seroconversion (SC)/NAb posi-
(<3.8 AU/mL) of IgG. NAb activity was calculated as median tivity at D240 and as independent variables those with p<0.2
(IQR) only considering positive samples at D210 and D240. in each univariate analysis. Statistical significance was defined as
p<0.05. Most of the statistical analyses were performed using
Data and statistical analysis Statistical Package for the Social Sciences V.20.0.
Data were presented as number (percentage) for categorical vari-
ables and as mean±SD or median (IQR) for continuous vari- RESULTS
ables. Comparisons were performed by χ2 or Fisher’s exact tests, A total of 956 patients with ARD and 451 controls were recruited
as appropriate, for categorical variables, and by Student’s t-test in this protocol. After applying the exclusion criteria and random
or Mann-Whitney test for continuous variables. Seropositivity sampling (3 ARD to 1 CG), the final study groups consisted of
Aikawa NE, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2022;0:1–8. doi:10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 3
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
597 patients with ARD and 199 controls who collected blood
Table 1 Demographic data, clinical characteristics and treatment of
sample and received the third dose of CoronaVac (D210) and
patients with ARD and CG at D210, before the third dose of Sinovac-
returned after 30 days for blood collection (D240) (figure 1).
CoronaVac vaccine
Patients with ARD and CG were comparable with regard to
ARD (n=597) CG (n=199) P value median age and female sex (p>0.05) (table 1).
Demographic data As part of standard of care, based on American College of
Current age, years 50 (39–58) 49 (39–58) 0.9434 Rheumatology guidance for COVID-19 vaccination,42 269
Age ≥60 years 117 (19.6) 40 (20.1) 0.918 patients under MTX and 87 patients under MMF on low disease
Age at diagnosis, years 32 (23–43) – – activity/inactivity were instructed to withhold these drugs for
Disease duration, years 14 (8–21) – – 2 weeks and 1 week, respectively.
Female sex 411 (68.8) 137 (68.8) >0.999 Anti-S1/S2 IgG and NAb seropositivity rates in patients with
Caucasian race 293 (49.1) 84 (42.2) 0.213 ARD and in CG before (D210) and after (D240) the third dose
ARD
of vaccine are presented in table 2. From D210 to D240, signif-
icant increase in anti-S1/S2 IgG and NAb positivity rates was
Rheumatoid arthritis 152 (25.5) – –
observed for both ARD and CG (p<0.0001).
Axial spondyloarthritis 89 (14.9) – –
Anti-S1/S2 IgG GMT increased significantly from D210 to
Psoriatic arthritis 66 (11.1) – –
D240 in ARD (25.3 AU/mL vs 140.5 AU/mL, p<0.001) and in
Systemic lupus erythematosus 153 (25.6) – –
CG (47.9 AU/mL vs 253.8 AU/mL, p<0.001) (table 3). Expres-
Systemic vasculitis 35 (5.8) – – sive increments in NAb activity were also observed after the
Idiopathic inflammatory myopathy 32 (5.4) – – third dose of vaccine for both groups (p<0.0010).
Systemic sclerosis 21 (3.5) – – The factors associated with IgG and NAb positivity after the
Primary Sjögren’s syndrome 25 (4.2) – – third dose of vaccine (D240) in the ARD group are presented
Primary antiphospholipid syndrome 23 (3.9) – – in table 4. The number of patients included in table 4 (n=875)
Current therapies – – comprised the total number of patients with ARD who were
Hydroxychloroquine 177 (29.6) – – initially recruited and attended all study visits (received the third
Sulfasalazine 52 (8.7) – – dose of CoronaVac at D210 and returned for blood collection at
Prednisone 199 (33.3) – – D240), before the random sampling (3 ARD to 1 CG) for immu-
Prednisone dose, mg/day 5 (5–10) – – nogenicity analysis. The frequencies of patients with systemic
Protected by copyright.
Immunosuppressive drugs 370 (62.0) – – vasculitis, prednisone, immunosuppressive drugs, MMF and
Methotrexate 172 (28.8) – – biologic drug use, particularly abatacept, belimumab and ritux-
Leflunomide 71 (11.9) – –
imab, were significantly lower in IgG seropositive patients
(p<0.05). NAb-positive patients at D240 presented lower
Mycophenolate mofetil 73 (12.2) – –
frequencies of female sex, rheumatoid arthritis diagnosis, pred-
Azathioprine 62 (10.4) – –
nisone, immunosuppressive drugs and biologic drugs use, espe-
Others* 33 (5.6) – –
cially abatacept, belimumab and rituximab (p<0.05). On the
Biologic agent 197 (33.0) – –
other hand, spondyloarthritis, systemic sclerosis diagnosis and
TNFi 87 (14.7) – –
secukinumab use were associated with NAb positivity (p<0.05).
Secukinumab 28 (4.7) – – Multiple logistic regression analysis using IgG positivity at D240
Tocilizumab 24 (4.0) – – as the dependent variable revealed that older age (OR=0.98,
Abatacept 22 (3.7) – – 95% CI 0.96 to 1.0, p=0.024), vasculitis (OR=0.24, 95% CI
Belimumab 21 (3.5) – – 0.11 to 0.53, p<0.001), prednisone ≥5 mg/day (OR=0.46,
Rituximab 12 (2.0) – – 95% CI 0.27 to 0.77, p=0.003), MMF use (OR=0.30, 95% CI
Ustekinumab 3 (1.0) – – 0.15 to 0.61, p<0.001) and biologic drug use (OR=0.27,
Results are expressed as median (IQR) and n (%). 95% CI 0.16 to 0.46, p<0.001) were independently associated
Statistics: Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables and Mann-Whitney test for with anti-S1/S2 IgG response after the third dose (D240) in
continuous variables. patients with ARD. For NAb analysis, multiple logistic regres-
*Cyclophosphamide, ciclosporin, tacrolimus or tofacitinib.
sion revealed that prednisone ≥5 mg/day (OR=0.63, 95% CI
ARD, autoimmune rheumatic diseases; CG, control group; D210, 6 months after
second dose; TNFi, tumour necrosis factor inhibitor.
0.44 to 0.90, p=0.011), abatacept (OR=0.39, 95% CI 0.20 to
0.74, p=0.004), belimumab (OR=0.29, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.67,
Table 2 Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and NAb seropositivity rates at baseline (D210) and 30 days after the third dose of Sinovac-CoronaVac
vaccine (D240) in patients with ARD and in CG
Anti-S1/S2 IgG positivity NAb positivity
Groups D210 D240 P value D210 D240 P value
ARD (n=597) 358 (60.0) 555 (93.0) <0.0001 227 (38.0) 486 (81.4) <0.0001
CG (n=199) 153 (76.9) 199 (100) <0.0001 104 (52.3) 196 (98.5) <0.0001
P value (ARD vs CG) <0.0001 <0.0001 0.0004 <0.0001
Frequencies of subjects with positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and NAb are expressed as number (%).
Positivity for anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG was defined as postvaccination titre ≥15 AU/mL by Indirect ELISA (LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy). Positivity for NAb
was defined as a neutralising activity ≥30% (cPass sVNT Kit, GenScript, Piscataway, USA).
Frequencies of seropositivity were compared using McNemar’s test for before and after comparisons and χ2 or Fisher’s exact tests for ARD vs CG comparisons.
p values <0.05 are highlighted in bold.
ARD, autoimmune rheumatic diseases; CG, control group; D210, 6 months after second dose; D240, 30 days after third dose; NAb, neutralising antibodies.
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
Table 3 GMT of anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and median percentage of neutralising activity at baseline (D210) and 30 days after the third dose of
Sinovac-CoronaVac vaccine (D240) in patients with ARD and in CG
Anti-S1/S2 IgG GMT (95% CI), AU/mL Neutralising activity, median % (IQR)
Groups D210 D240 P value D210 D240 P value
ARD (n=597) 25.3 (22.2–28.8) 140.5 (127.1–155.3) <0.001 69.7 (45.9–92.5) 90.1 (70.2–96.6) <0.001
CG (n=199) 47.9 (40.0–57.2) 253.8 (236.5–272.4) <0.001 78.5 (61.1–94.6) 93.4 (83.6–97.0) <0.001
P value (ARD vs CG) <0.001 <0.001 0.036 0.011
Percentage of neutralising activity of NAb is expressed as median (IQR) and anti-S1/S2 IgG antibody titres are expressed as geometric mean with 95% CI.
The mean behaviours of the Napierian ln-transformed IgG titres and NAb activity were compared between groups (ARD and CG) and timepoints (D210 and D240) using repeated
measures analysis of variance with two factors followed by Bonferroni’s multiple comparisons in ln-transformed data.
p values <0.05 are highlighted in bold.
ARD, autoimmune rheumatic diseases; CG, control group; D210, 6 months after second dose; D240, 30 days after third dose; GMT, geometric mean titres; ln, logarithm; NAb,
neutralising antibodies.
p=0.004) and rituximab use (OR=0.11, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.30, increment of IgG GMT. For the COVID-19 seropositive ARD,
p<0.001) were independently associated with NAb negativity the magnitude of IgG booster response reached almost a four-
after the third vaccine dose. fold rise.
Further analysis of immune response to the third vaccine Immunocompromised individuals should receive a third dose
dose was performed considering COVID-19 seronegative (nega- of COVID-19 vaccine as proposed by the CDC43 and WHO. This
tive IgG and NAb at D210; n=215) and seropositive (positive recommendation is in line with the 6-month immunogenicity
IgG and/or NAb at D210; n=316) patients with ARD and the waning observed for mRNA vaccines in healthcare workers,
age-balanced and sex-balanced controls for each ARD group including a small proportion of individuals under immuno-
(figure 1). COVID-19 seronegative ARD and controls at D210 suppression,44 and in a large ARD population immunised with
demonstrated prominent increase in IgG and NAb positivity rates CoronaVac.14 Of note, no parallel increase in incident cases in
as well as in GMT at D240 (p<0.0001). At D210, 120 patients the 6 months post vaccination was observed in this latter popu-
with ARD were positive only for anti-S1/S2 IgG, 8 patients only lation, in contrast to the reported upsurge of cases in vaccinees
Protected by copyright.
for NAb and 187 patients for both. In COVID-19 seroposi- with mRNA vaccine in Israel.21
tive ARD, significant GMT increase was observed from D210 The overall analysis of patients with ARD revealed that the
to D240 (p<0.001), with 30.4% of the patients reaching the additional dose resulted in global 93% IgG positivity and 33%
ceiling of the assay (>400 AU/mL). NAb activity also increased rise. This finding is superior to the 47%–68% rate of posi-
significantly at D240 (p<0.001) (table 5). Comparison of the tive antibodies reported for transplant recipients after mRNA
FI-GMT from D210 to D240 between COVID-19 seronegative additional dose25 28 29 45 and may be explained in part by the
and seropositive ARD demonstrated a higher increment in the distinct intensity of immunosuppression, with a high frequency
former group (11.3 (95% CI 9.5 to 13.4) vs 3.9 (95% CI 3.4 to of multiple drug therapy in transplanted population. In addition,
4.4), p<0.001). the temporary discontinuation of MTX and MMF in more than
Regarding safety, there were no differences between ARD half of patients under these therapies might also have contrib-
and CG for any of the reported adverse events. The most uted to improved immune response, as reported recently by our
frequently reported adverse events were local pain (23.8% vs group in rheumatoid arthritis population.46 The higher rates of
19.4%, p=0.238) and headache (13.1% vs 11.7%, p=0.712). anti-SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity in patients who withheld MMF
No serious adverse event was reported. herein were statistically not significant, probably due to a limited
Among patients with ARD on MTX treatment, those who power for this analysis.
withdrew the drug for 2 weeks (n=269) after third vaccine dose The specific analysis of immunogenicity to the third dose in
presented higher frequency of positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 non-responsive ARD 6 months after the second dose revealed a
IgG as well as higher GMT (183.5 (95% CI 142.7 to 236.0) vs remarkable increase in IgG levels, suggesting that the three-dose
101.7 (95% CI 76.5 to 135.2), p=0.002) compared with those strategy seems to be effective in recalling SARS-CoV-2 immune
who maintained medication (55.8% vs 44.2%, p=0.029), with memory. The seroconversion rate of non-responsive transplant
no statistically significant differences in NAb positivity (54.8% vs recipients was inferior, ranging from 25% to 49%, after a third
45.7%, p=0.682) and NAb activity (83.9% (58.8%–95.9%) vs dose,24 29 47 reinforcing response differences among immuno-
79.0% (56.1%–91.3%), p=0.186). Comparison of patients who compromised subgroups.48 Alternatively, this observation may be
withheld MMF (n=109) and those who maintained the drug related to other factors known to influence vaccine response.44 In
after the third dose showed no statistically significant differences this regard, we have identified that prednisone, immunosuppres-
in IgG (64.9% vs 35.1%, p=0.894) and NAb positivity (65.5% sive drugs and biological therapy, mainly abatacept, belimumab
vs 34.5%, p=0.869). and rituximab, were associated with decreased antibody produc-
tion after the additional dose. Of note, we demonstrated herein
DISCUSSION that prednisone doses from 5 mg/day considerably reduced
This study provides novel evidence of a substantial increase in vaccine immune response. These same factors negatively influ-
immune response with an additional dose administered 6 months enced response to the primary immunisation with CoronaVac in
after two doses of SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine, in a large anti-SARS-CoV-2-negative patients with ARD.10
prospective controlled cohort of patients with ARD. We identi- COVID-19 seropositive patients with ARD had a distinct
fied a distinct pattern of response to the third dose characterised pattern of response to the third dose, with a lower but still signif-
by an expressive seroconversion of the COVID-19 seronegative icant increase in IgG levels, with a fourfold increase, and one-
ARD of 81% for IgG and 59% for NAb, with a parallel 11-fold third reached the assay ceiling value (>400 AU/mL). The same
Aikawa NE, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2022;0:1–8. doi:10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 5
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
Table 4 Baseline characteristics of patients with ARD seropositive and seronegative for anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and NAb, 30 days after the
third Sinovac-CoronaVac dose (D240)
Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG NAb
Seropositive Seronegative Seropositive Seronegative
(n=800) (n=75) P value (n=683) (n=192) P value
Demographic data
Current age, years 52 (41–61) 54 (46–63) 0.047 52 (41–61) 54 (43.5–63) 0.039
Current age ≥60 years 240 (30) 28 (37.3) 0.188 202 (29.6) 66 (34.4) 0.202
Female sex 604 (75.5) 62 (82.7) 0.164 505 (73.9) 161 (83.9) 0.004
Caucasian race 405 (50.6) 47 (62.7) 0.046 351 (51.4) 101 (52.6) 0.766
ARD
RA 253 (31.6) 29 (38.7) 0.212 191 (28.0) 91 (47.4) <0.0001
SpA 100 (12.5) 4 (5.3) 0.090 93 (13.6) 11 (5.7) 0.003
PsA 78 (9.8) 6 (8.0) 0.623 72 (10.5) 12 (6.2) 0.075
SLE 184 (23.0) 16 (21.3) 0.742 160 (23.4) 40 (20.8) 0.450
Systemic vasculitis 44 (5.5) 11 (14.7) 0.0018 42 (6.1) 13 (6.9) 0.754
IIM 36 (4.5) 5 (6.7) 0.396 32 (4.7) 9 (4.7) 0.999
SSc 36 (4.5) 2 (2.7) 0.765 35 (5.1) 3 (1.6) 0.028
SS 36 (4.5) 1 (1.3) 0.360 30 (4.4) 7 (3.6) 0.650
PAPS 32 (4.0) 1 (1.3) 0.351 27 (4.0) 6 (3.1) 0.595
Current therapies
Hydroxychloroquine 228 (28.5) 14 (18.7) 0.069 193 (28.3) 49 (25.5) 0.454
Sulfasalazine 74 (9.2) 3 (4.0) 0.140 64 (9.4) 13 (6.8) 0.261
Prednisone 273 (34.2) 45 (60.0) <0.0001 212 (31.1) 106 (55.2) <0.0001
Prednisone dose 5 (5–10) 7.5 (5–10) 0.129 5 (5–10) 5 (5–10) 0.223
Prednisone ≥5 mg/day 237 (29.6) 38 (50.7) 0.0002 186 (27.2) 89 (46.4) <0.0001
Protected by copyright.
Immunosuppressive drugs 500 (62.5) 63 (84.0) <0.0001 421 (61.6) 142 (74.0) 0.002
Methotrexate 240 (30.0) 29 (38.7) 0.120 199 (29.1) 70 (36.5) 0.052
Leflunomide 115 (14.4) 8 (10.7) 0.377 93 (13.6) 30 (15.6) 0.479
Mycophenolate mofetil 94 (11.8) 15 (20.0) 0.039 87 (12.7) 22 (11.5) 0.635
Azathioprine 72 (9.0) 11 (14.7) 0.109 58 (8.5) 25 (13.0) 0.058
Tofacitinib 21 (2.6) 0 (0) 0.246 16 (2.3) 5 (2.6) 0.834
Biologic drug 257 (32.1) 45 (60.0) <0.0001 202 (29.6) 100 (52.1) <0.0001
Anti-TNF 119 (14.9) 13 (17.3) 0.570 99 (14.5) 33 (17.2) 0.357
Abatacept 39 (4.9) 10 (13.3) 0.002 23 (3.4) 26 (13.5) <0.0001
Tocilizumab 37 (4.6) 5 (6.7) 0.429 30 (4.4) 12 (6.2) 0.287
Secukinumab 30 (3.8) 0 (0) 0.101 29 (4.2) 1 (0.5) 0.011
Belimumab 22 (2.8) 6 (8.0) 0.014 15 (2.2) 13 (6.8) 0.001
Rituximab 9 (1.1) 11 (14.7) <0.0001 6 (0.9) 14 (7.3) <0.0001
Results are expressed in mean±SD, median (IQR) and n (%).
Seropositivity (IgG titre ≥15 AU/mL) for anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG antibodies after vaccination (Indirect ELISA, LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy). Positivity for NAb
was defined as a neutralising activity ≥30% (cPass sVNT Kit, GenScript, Piscataway, USA).
p values <0.05 are highlighted in bold.
ARD, autoimmune rheumatic diseases; IIM, idiopathic inflammatory myopathy; NAb, neutralising antibodies; PAPS, primary antiphospholipid syndrome; PsA, psoriatic arthritis;
RA, rheumatoid arthritis; SLE, systemic lupus erythematosus; SpA, spondyloarthritis; SS, Sjögren’s syndrome; SSc, systemic sclerosis; TNF, tumour necrosis factor.
was reported for solid organ transplant recipients and dialysis immunity waning observed for all SARS-CoV-2 vaccines at 6
patients.23 25 27 29 There are scarce data on NAb after third shot months for the general population and patients with ARD,15 44
in immunocompromised individuals.28 45 49 50 The overall NAb our findings strengthen the relevance of the third dose in ARD.
positivity in ARD reached 81% after the third dose with high The large number of patients with ARD and the inclusion of
median activity. These figures are similar to those reported for an age-balanced and sex-balanced CG are relevant strengths of
transplant recipients with mRNA vaccine.28 45 We further demon- the present study and provided a sizeable sample to evaluate
strated different immunogenicity in primary non-responsive and humoral response to additional vaccine dose and the impact of
responsive patients with ARD. The former group achieved 59% the drugs. In fact, the few studies focusing on the third dose
positivity and a moderate activity, whereas COVID-19 seroposi- for immunocompromised individuals were small-sized17 50 or did
tive patients with ARD had a robust response for both NAb posi- not have a control group.24 25 28–30 44 46
tivity and activity. Robert et al49 observed 66% response to the This study has some limitations, such as the non-assessment
third dose in nine haemodialysis patients. This finding suggests of cellular immunity, which may play an important role of
that the additional dose is efficient in boosting the immune protection during SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, this limita-
response in both ARD groups. In the context of the reported tion was partially mitigated by NAb assessed herein, which is
6 Aikawa NE, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2022;0:1–8. doi:10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096
Ann Rheum Dis: first published as 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-222096 on 11 March 2022. Downloaded from http://ard.bmj.com/ on March 21, 2022 at USP - Universidade de Sao Paulo.
Table 5 Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and NAb seropositivity rates at baseline (D210) and after the third dose of Sinovac-CoronaVac (D240) in
SARS-CoV-2 seronegative patients with ARD (ARD−), SARS-CoV-2 seropositive ARD (ARD+), SARS-CoV-2 seronegative controls (CG−) and SARS-
CoV-2 seropositive controls (CG+)
Frequency of anti-S1/S2 seropositivity,
n (%) Anti-S1/S2 IgG GMT (95% CI), AU/mL Frequency of NAb positivity, n (%) Percentage of NAb activity, median (IQR)
Groups D210 D240 P value D210 D240 P value D210 D240 P value D210 D240 P value
ARD− (n=215) 0 (0) 173 (80.5) <0.0001 5.0 56.9 <0.001 0 (0) 127 (59.1) <0.0001 – –
(4.6 to 5.6) (46.1 to 70.3)
CG− (n=43) 0 (0) 43 (100) <0.0001 8.4 200.0 <0.001 0 (0) 42 (97.7) <0.0001 – –
(7.1 to 9.9) (166.3 to 240.5)
P value (ARD− vs CG−) >0.999 0.0004 <0.001 <0.001 >0.999 <0.0001
ARD+ (n=316) 307 (97.2) 316 (100) 0.0077 65.7 255.2 <0.001 196 (62.0) 291 (92.1) <0.0001 64.4 88.7 <0.001
(58.3 to 73.9) (231.1 to 281.8) (44.8–91.5) (70.2–96.7)
CG+ (n=158) 157 (99.4) 158 (100) >0.999 76.3 264.7 <0.001 106 (67.1) 156 (98.7) <0.0001 77.1 93.2 <0.001
(65.6 to 88.8) (246.0 to 284.9) (59.9–93.9) (82–96.7)
P value (ARD+ vs CG+) 0.176 >0.999 0.128 0.567 0.280 0.0025 0.022 0.025
Frequencies of subjects with positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG and NAb are expressed as number (%).
Positivity for anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG was defined as postvaccination titre ≥15 AU/mL by Indirect ELISA (LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy). Positivity for NAb was defined as a neutralising activity ≥30% (cPass sVNT Kit, GenScript,
Piscataway, USA).
Frequencies of seropositivity were compared using McNemar’s test for before and after comparisons and χ2 or Fisher’s exact tests for ARD vs CG comparisons.
Percentages of neutralising activity of NAb are expressed as median (IQR) and anti-S1/S2 IgG antibody titres are expressed as geometric mean with 95% CI. The ln-transformed IgG titres and NAb activity were compared between groups (ARD and
CG) and timepoints (D210 and D240) using repeated measures analysis of variance with two factors followed by Bonferroni's multiple comparisons in Napierian ln-transformed data.
p values <0.05 are highlighted in bold.
ARD, autoimmune rheumatic diseases; CG, control group; D210, 6 months after second dose; D240, 30 days after third dose; GMT, geometric mean titres; ln, logarithm; NAb, neutralising antibodies.
highly predictive of immune protection.51 The assessment of the GGMB, LA, AMCS, CAS and EB collected epidemiological and clinical data and
effectiveness of the third dose was hampered by the short-term assisted with the identification of SARS-CoV-2 infection and follow-up of patients.
PR organised and supervised the vaccination protocol. All authors helped to edit the
follow-up and the very low incidence of COVID-19 cases during
manuscript.
the study period. The global analysis of the influence of some
Funding This study was sponsored by grants from Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa
drugs that are used only for specific ARD in the immunogenicity
do Estado de São Paulo (#2015/03756-4 to CAS, SGP, NEA and EB; #2019/17272-
evaluation performed herein probably underestimated the effect 0 to LdVKK; #2020/09367-8; #2018/09937-9 to VAOM), Conselho Nacional de
Protected by copyright.
of these medications. However, these therapies remained as rele- Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (#304984/2020-5 to CAS; #305556/2017-
vant independent factors that negatively impacted immunoge- 7 to RMRP; #303379/2018-9 to SKS; #305242/2019-9 to EB), B3-Bolsa de Valores
nicity in the multivariate evaluation. The lack of disease activity do Brasil and Chamada Instituto Todos pela Saúde (ITPS 01/2021, proposta C1313
to EB, CAS, NEA and SGP).
assessment, especially for those who withdrew MTX or MMF, is
also an important limitation. Competing interests None declared.
In summary, to our knowledge this is the first demonstration Patient and public involvement Patients and/or the public were not involved in
of a robust response to the third dose of an inactivated vaccine the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of this research.
in patients with ARD, with greater benefit for those who are Patient consent for publication Not required.
COVID-19 seronegative before the third dose. We further Ethics approval This study involves human participants. The protocol
identified drugs as unfavourable for response to additional was approved by the national and institutional ethical committee (Conep,
vaccine doses. These findings may be generalised to other plat- Comissão Nacional De Ética Em Pesquisa; reference number: CAAE:
form vaccines, and heterologous fourth-dose boosting could 42566621.0.0000.0068). Participants gave informed consent to participate in the
study before taking part.
be an alternative strategy for the minority of persistently non-
responsive patients with ARD. Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data availability statement All data relevant to the study are included in the
Author affiliations article.
1
Rheumatology Division, Hospital das Clinicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade This article is made freely available for personal use in accordance with BMJ’s
de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil website terms and conditions for the duration of the covid-19 pandemic or until
2
Infectious Disease Department, Hospital das Clinicas, Faculdade de Medicina, otherwise determined by BMJ. You may download and print the article for any lawful,
Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil non-commercial purpose (including text and data mining) provided that all copyright
3
Central Laboratory Division, Hospital das Clinicas, Faculdade de Medicina, notices and trade marks are retained.
Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
4
Pediatric Rheumatology Unit, Instituto da Criança e do Adolescente, Hospital das ORCID iDs
Clinicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil Nádia Emi Aikawa http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7585-4348
Acknowledgements We thank the volunteers for participating in all inperson Danieli Castro Oliveira Andrade http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0381-1808
visits and for handling the biological material, as well as those responsible for the Eloisa Bonfa http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0520-4681
follow-up of all participants. We also thank the contribution of the undergraduate
and postgraduate students for collecting epidemiological and clinical data, as well REFERENCES
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CoronaVac é segura
para pacientes com
doenças no fígado
Uma série de estudos já atestou a
segurança e eficácia da vacina do
Butantan para pessoas com pro-
blemas no fígado. Uma pesquisa
chinesa mostrou que a vacina
induziu altas taxas de soroconver-
são em pacientes com hepatite B,
sendo 87,25% para anticorpos IgG
e 74,5% para os anticorpos neutra-
Taiyu He#, Yingzhi Zhou#, Pan Xu#, Ning Ling#, Min Chen#, Tianquan Huang, Biqiong
Zhang, Ziqiao Yang, Ling Ao, Hu Li, Zhiwei Chen, Dazhi Zhang, Xiaofeng Shi, Yu Lei,
Zhiyi Wang, Weiqun Zeng, Peng Hu, Yinghua Lan, Zhi Zhou, Juan Kang, Ying Huang,
Tongdong Shi, Qingbo Pan, Qian Zhu, Xiping Ran, Yingzhi Zhang, Rui Song, Dejuan
Xiang, Shuang Xiao, Gaoli Zhang, Wei Shen, Mingli Peng*, Dachuan Cai*, Hong Ren*
Institute for Viral Hepatitis, Department of Infectious Diseases, the Second Affiliated
#
Co-first authors: Taiyu He#, Yingzhi Zhou#, Pan Xu#, Ning Ling#, Min Chen#
Abbreviations:
This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has
not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process
which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please
cite this article as doi: 10.1111/liv.15173
This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
chronic hepatitis B; CLD, chronic liver disease; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019;
FBS, fetal bovine serum; GMTs, Geometric mean titers; HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen;
HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; IHCs, inactive HBsAg carriers; NAFLD, non-
alcoholic fatty liver disease; PBMCs, peripheral blood mononuclear cells; PC, plasma
cell; PLT, platelet; RBD, receptor binding domain; SAEs, serious adverse events;
Funding: This work is supported by the National Science and Technology Major
003) and a pilot project of clinical cooperation between traditional Chinese and
laboratory of the Second Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University for their
support.
Author contributions:
Funding acquisition: Hong Ren, Peng Hu, Mingli Peng, Min Chen
Participant recruitment and characterisation: Ning Ling, Dachuan Cai, Tianquan Huang,
Biqiong Zhang, Ziqiao Yang, Dazhi Zhang, Xiaofeng Shi, Yu Lei, Zhiyi Wang, Weiqun
Zeng, Peng Hu, Yinghua Lan, Zhi Zhou, Juan Kang, Ying Huang, Tongdong Shi,
Qingbo Pan, Qian Zhu, Xiping Ran, Rui Song, Taiyu He, Pan Xu
Experiment execution: Yingzhi Zhou, Taiyu He, Ling Ao, Yingzhi Zhang, Dejuan
Acquisition, analysis or interpretation of data: Taiyu He, Yingzhi Zhou, Pan Xu, Ning
Ling, Min Chen, Tianquan Huang, Biqiong Zhang, Ziqiao Yang, Hu Li, Zhiwei Chen,
Drafting and critical revision of manuscript: Taiyu He, Zhiwei Chen, Hu Li, Ning Ling,
All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.
Data availability statement: The authors declare that all data included in this article
Abstract:
Background & Aims: The safety and antibody responses of coronavirus disease 2019
Methods: 362 adult CHB patients and 87 healthy controls at an interval of at least 21
days after full-course vaccination (21-105 days) were enrolled. Adverse events (AEs)
Results: All AEs were mild and self-limiting, and the incidence was similar between
CHB patients and controls. Seropositivity rates of three antibodies were similar
between CHB patients and healthy controls at 1, 2 and 3 months, but CHB patients had
positive CHB patients had higher titers of three antibodies at 3 month (all p<0.05) and
correlated with titers of anti-RBD IgG (OR=1.067, p=0.004), while liver cirrhosis,
antiviral treatment, levels of HBV DNA, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate
aminotransferase (AST) and total bilirubin (TB) were not correlated with titers of anti-
RBD IgG.
Lay Summary: COVID-19 vaccines are safe for CHB patients. After full-course of
antibody was similar to that of healthy people who produced antibody. The antibody
Introduction
has emerged as a major burden worldwide, resulting in serious public health challenges.
Patients with liver diseases may have a greater risk of worse outcome from COVID-19
than the general population1-3. Currently, there are about 292 million people worldwide
severe symptom and death5-7. Recently, there are several studies on safety and
et al.9 showed that 24% of those with chronic liver disease (CLD) had poor antibody
response 4 weeks after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. Darius et al.10 found normal humoral
response and poor T-cell response in 53 cirrhotic patients. CHB patients have
dysregulated innate and adaptive immunity11-13. But until now, whether immunity-
dysregulated CHB patients can be safely inoculated with COVID-19 vaccine and
produce antibody response similar to that of healthy people are still unclear. Moreover,
in clinical practice, CHB patients, especially those with cirrhosis, often have concerns
about safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccination in them, and clinicians lack
and other countries around the world. This study aimed to investigate the safety and
specific B cell response was detected to explore the mechanism of antibody response.
Methods
Participants
362 adult CHB patients (including 48 cirrhotic patients) and 87 adult healthy
2021 and 27 August 2021 at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical
University. The inclusion criteria for patients were hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)
positive more than six months, and diagnosis of liver cirrhosis was made based on
guideline14. The inclusion criteria for healthy controls were HBsAg negative, with no
self-reported and documented disease status. For all participants, the following
of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid test (all participants had taken the test at least once since
COVID-19 symptoms such as fever, cough, fatigue, etc. during the pandemic (adverse
tumor (including liver cancer), renal failure, and other major diseases; h) pregnancy; i)
Medical University and conformed with the ethical guidelines of the Declaration of
and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05007665), and the follow-up is still going on. Written
informed consent was obtained from all participants prior to their inclusion in the study.
Data collection
Demographic and clinical data were obtained by questionnaire and electronic medical
record, and their peripheral blood was sampled at an interval of at least 21 days (21-
105 days) after the full-course vaccination for the detection of SASR-CoV-2 spike-
cells. Considering the interval after full-course vaccination, we defined the gap of 21-
45 days as “1 month”, 46-75 days as “2 month”, and 76-105 days as “3 month”. There
was only one sample per patient that matched one of the study times. In total, 210
participants were in the “1 month” group, 141 participants were in the “2 month” group,
The overall incidence of adverse events within 7 days and 30 days was compared
between CHB patients and healthy controls to assess safety. Titers of three antibodies,
including anti-spike IgG, anti-RBD IgG and spike RBD-ACE2 blocking antibody, at 1,
All AEs were graded according to the scale issued by National Medical Products
According to the manufacturer's protocol, the indirect ELISA method was used to detect
IgG binding antibodies against spike and RBD protein (KIT004 and KIT002, Sino
Biological, Beijing, China). Briefly, 0.5 ug/mL recombinant Spike (S1+S2) or RBD
protein was pre-coated on the plate wells (100 μL per well) by incubation at 4 �
solution was added to each well and incubated for 1 hour at room temperature. After
washing wells thoroughly, serially diluted samples or controls (100 μL) were added,
mixed well, and incubated for 2 hours at room temperature. Following three times of
washing plates, diluted horseradish peroxidase (HRP) conjugated goat anti-human IgG
secondary antibody was added (100 μL per well), mixed well, and incubated for 1 hour
at room temperature. After washing and adding substrate solution (TMB) and then stop
solution, absorbance (OD value) was read at 450 nm. Serum samples were diluted with
two-folded serial dilution starting from 1:50. In each plate, serially diluted positive
antibody controls (anti-spike or anti-RBD antibody) and negative controls (serum from
antibodies when OD value ≥ 2.1 times the mean absorbance value of negative controls
at 1:50 dilution. The antibody level was presented as the highest serum dilution showing
a positive result.
The SARS-CoV-2 spike RBD-ACE2 blocking antibody can compete with ACE2 to
combine with RBD, and it can represent the functional (neutralizing) antibody. The
were coated with 1 μg/mL human ACE2 recombinant protein (100 μL per well) by
μL of 6% BSA solution was added to each well and incubated for 1 hour at room
temperature. After washing wells thoroughly, serially diluted samples (50 μL) and RBD
protein linked to HRP (RBD-HRP) (50 μL) were added at the same time, mixed well,
and incubated for 30 min at room temperature. After washing and adding substrate
solution (TMB) and then stop solution, absorbance (OD value) was read at 450 nm.
Serum samples were diluted with two-folded serial dilution starting from 1:5. In each
Inhibitors) and negative controls (serum from individuals without a history of SARS-
CoV-2 infection and vaccination) were detected at the same time. ELISA measurements
were performed in duplicate. Inhibition rate was calculated as 100 - [(OD value of
was determined when the inhibition rate was ≥ 20%. The blocking antibody level
Streptavidin-BV421 (405225, Biolegend, California, USA) at 4:1 molar ratio for one
peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were isolated from heparinized whole
centrifugation. After washed by FACS buffer (PBS+2% FBS (FSD500, Excell Bio,
Shanghai, China)), around 0.5×10^6 PBMCs were then stained for 30 minutes at 4℃
using antigen probe (1:33.3) and the following conjugated antibodies: anti-human CD3
(1:50, 410722, Biolegend), and anti-human IgM (1:50, 314524, Biolegend). After
staining, cells were washed and resuspended in a 200ul FACS buffer. Roughly 1×10^5
events (cells) were then acquired within a lymphocyte gate on flow cytometer
population and its subpopulations was conducted by using FlowJo (10.0.7r2, Treestar,
Oregon, USA). And the cell populations were as follows: RBD-specific B cell (CD3-
Statistical analysis
Appropriate methods were used for statistical analysis based on the type of data. For
categorical variables, Chi-Square test and Fisher's exact test were used. For continuous
variables, Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare two groups, and Kruskal-Wallis
test was used to compare three or more groups. All results of multiple comparisons were
values represented in figures were all adjusted p-values. Spearman's rank correlation
was applied for correlation between antibodies titers. Univariate and multivariate
ordinal logistic regression analyses were used to obtain factors that significantly
affected antibody titers. Categorical variables were presented as numbers (%), and
continuous variables were presented as median (Range). When the antibody titer of
participant was lower than the detection limit, half value of the detection limit was
(24.0.0, IBM, New York, USA) and Graphpad Prism (9.2.0, GraphPad Software Inc,
California, USA) were used for statistical analysis. Graphpad Prism was used for
plotting.
Results
1. Characteristics of participants
As shown in Table 1, the median age (45 vs. 44, p=0.143) and median body mass index
(BMI) (23.6 vs. 23.4, p=0.752) were similar between CHB patients and healthy controls.
More than half of patients (61.6%, 223/362) and controls (50.6%, 44/87) were male
(p=0.060). Compared to controls, CHB patients had lower levels of white blood cell
(WBC) (5.37 vs. 5.70, p=0.039) and platelet (PLT) count (183 vs. 225, p<0.001), and
higher levels of ALT (23.0 vs. 16.0, p<0.001), AST (23.0 vs. 20.5, p<0.001) and total
bilirubin (TB) (11.8 vs. 10.4, p=0.027). 24.9% (90/362) CHB patients were HBeAg-
positive. Median level of HBV DNA was 50 IU/ml (10-4.93×10^7 IU/ml). 68.8%
(249/362) CHB patients were under antiviral treatment. 13.3% (48/362) CHB patients
For analyzing, CHB patients were divided into four groups: inactive HBsAg carriers
(IHCs) (n = 99, patients with normal ALT, negative HBeAg and HBV DNA<2000
IU/ml), HBeAg-positive (+) CHB patients (n = 73, patients under antiviral treatment,
with elevated or normal ALT, positive HBeAg), HBeAg-negative (-) CHB patients (n =
142, patients under antiviral treatment, with elevated or normal ALT, negative HBeAg),
The overall incidence of AEs within 7 days was similar between CHB patients and
healthy controls (14.1% vs. 11.5%, p=0.526) (Table 2). The most common local and
systemic AEs of CHB patients were pain (5.8%, 21/362) and fatigue (4.7%, 17/362),
respectively, which was similar with controls. All the AEs were mild (grade 1 and 2)
and self-limiting, and no serious adverse events (SAEs) (grade 3 and 4) such as severe
to 30 days, only three new cases with mild AEs were reported in CHB patients,
including injection site pain (1 patient), fatigue (1 patient) and fever (1 patient). In
Three antibodies, including anti-spike IgG, anti-RBD IgG, and RBD-ACE2 blocking
antibody, were determined in 362 CHB patients (99 inactive HBsAg carriers (IHCs),
73 HBeAg+ CHB patients, 142 HBeAg- CHB patients and 48 CHB patients with
1, 2 and 3 months, seropositivity rates of three antibodies were similar between CHB
patients and healthy controls (Table 3). Also, at 1, 2 and 3 months, seropositivity rates
of three antibodies were similar between IHCs, HBeAg+ CHB patients, HBeAg- CHB
But for antibody titers, at 1 month, all three antibody titers were lower in CHB
patients than in healthy controls (Figure 1, data are shown in Supplementary Table 3).
For anti-spike IgG, titers were significantly lower in all CHB patients (130.1 vs. 200.0,
p=0.008), IHCs (121.0 vs. 200.0, p=0.031) and HBeAg- CHB patients (122.5 vs. 200.0,
p=0.027) than in controls. For anti-RBD IgG, titers were significantly lower in all CHB
patients (243.7 vs. 357.7, p=0.015) and IHCs (211.2 vs. 357.7, p=0.014) than in controls.
For RBD-ACE2 blocking antibody, titers were also lower in all CHB patients (6.6 vs.
At 2 month, no difference was found in titers of all three antibodies between CHB
patients and healthy controls (Figure 1, data are shown in Supplementary Table 3).
blocking antibody were all higher in CHB patients (especially in HBeAg+ CHB patients
(161.6 vs. 85.9, p=0.024, 275.4 vs. 132.5, p=0.032, 4.7 vs. 3.2, p=0.089, respectively))
patients, especially HBeAg+ CHB patients, had a slower decline in all three antibody
titers. Also, statistical results showed that titers of anti-spike IgG (200.0 vs. 133.5 vs.
85.9 at 1, 2 and 3 months, respectively, p<0.001), anti-RBD IgG (357.7 vs. 252.0 vs.
132.5, p<0.001), and RBD-ACE2 blocking antibody (8.0 vs. 4.2 vs. 3.2, p<0.001)
declined significantly over time in controls, but not in HBeAg+ CHB patients (all p≥
0.05).
Moreover, at 1, 2 and 3 months, no difference was found in all three antibody titers
between IHCs, HBeAg+ CHB patients, HBeAg- CHB patients and cirrhotic patients
(Supplementary Figure 3, data are shown in Supplementary Table 4). Besides, titers of
three antibodies were positively correlated with each other (Supplementary Figure 4).
phenotype of RBD-specific B cells were also detected at 1, 2 and 3 months after full-
RBD+ resting MBCs and RBD+ intermediate MBCs between all CHB patients and
healthy controls (Figure 2A, data are shown in Supplementary Table 5). At 1 and 2
months, compared to controls, all CHB patients (including HBeAg+ CHB patients) had
lower frequency of RBD+ atypical memory B cells (21.6% vs. 17.0%, p=0.088, 21.1%
cells was higher in HBeAg+ CHB patients than in controls (23.6% vs. 16.7%, p=0.035)
significantly over time in controls (21.6% vs. 21.1% vs. 16.7% at 1, 2 and 3 months,
respectively, p=0.007), whereas the frequency of RBD+ atypical memory B cells tended
to increase in HBeAg+ CHB patients (16.4% vs. 17.8% vs. 23.6% at 1, 2 and 3 months,
p=0.004), while liver cirrhosis, antiviral treatment, levels of HBV DNA, ALT and AST
and TB were not significantly correlated with titers of anti-RBD IgG (p ≥ 0.05)
(Supplementary Table 6). Factors that associated with titers of anti-spike IgG and
Discussion
This study demonstrated that COVID-19 vaccines were well tolerated in IHCs,
HBeAg+ CHB patients, HBeAg- CHB patients and CHB patients with compensated
blocking antibody were similar between CHB patients and healthy controls at 1, 2 and
3 months after full-course vaccination. Titers of three antibodies were lower in CHB
patients than in healthy controls at 1 month, but were higher in CHB patients (especially
controls, HBeAg+ CHB patients appeared to have a slower decline in antibody titers.
No difference was found in the titers of all three antibodies between IHCs, HBeAg+
As for AE, the study showed that CHB patients and healthy controls had similar
overall incidence within 7 days and 30 days after vaccination. Importantly, all AEs in
both groups were mild and self-limiting. The results in CHB patients were similar with
humoral immune response to COVID-19 vaccine, which involved anti-spike IgG, anti-
RBD IgG, and RBD-ACE2 blocking antibody. At 1 month after full-course vaccination,
titers of all three antibodies were lower in CHB patients than in controls. It was partly
in accord with a recent study of CLD patients, which reported 24% of CLD patients
indicated that compared with healthy controls, humoral immune response to COVID-
19 vaccination in CHB patients might be weakened at 1 month. But to what extent will
the reduction in CHB patients’ antibody titers influence the protective efficacy of
specific B cells was lower in IHCs than in controls, so were the titers of anti-RBD IgG.
And frequency of RBD-specific B cells was positively correlated with titers of anti-
RBD IgG. It indicated that reduction in frequency of RBD-specific B cells might partly
be correlated with lower titers of anti-RBD IgG at 1 month. At 3 month, titers of all
three antibodies were higher in HBeAg+ CHB patients than in healthy controls.
Meanwhile, frequency of RBD+ atypical MBCs was also higher in HBeAg+ CHB
frequency of RBD+ atypical MBCs was positively correlated with titers of anti-RBD
IgG. Atypical MBCs, a subset of MBCs, are usually at high frequencies in chronic
diseases15-17. A previous study has shown that atypical memory B cell is a short-lived
activated cell that may represent a precursor plasma cell (PC) population18. Therefore,
higher frequency of RBD+ atypical MBCs in HBeAg+ CHB patients might result in
higher frequency of PCs, which might in turn partly led to higher antibody titers.
slower decline in antibody titers, and follow-up is still going on to explore this
interesting phenomenon.
Levels of HBV DNA19,20 and ALT19 may influence the immune state of patients
infected with HBV. In this study, levels of HBV DNA and ALT were not correlated with
antibody titers of anti-RBD titers. Thuluvath et al.9 found cirrhosis was not associated
with a poor antibody response after COVID-19 vaccination using multivariate analysis.
Similarly, in this study, cirrhotic CHB patients and non-cirrhotic CHB patients had
Memory B cells is the pivot element for a quick antibody response in case of re-
can be retained in an infected individual for at least 5-6 months22-24, or even as long as
1 year25. In this study, about three months after full-course vaccination, SARS-CoV-2-
specific memory B cells can still be detected in CHB patients and healthy individuals,
and the frequency of RBD-specific memory B cells was similar between CHB patients
The strengths of this study are as follows: Firstly, this is the first study, with healthy
vaccination in CHB patients, which provides evidence for clinical practice. Secondly,
response to vaccine. Thirdly, B cell responses were also determined to explore the
atypical MBCs were found to be probably correlated with antibody titers. However, this
study does have limitations. First, data in this study were only up to 105 days. Second,
is a need to explore T cell response. And we are exploring T cell response in our on-
going study. Third, though several criteria were used to exclude participants with the
asymptomatic/mild cases might be enrolled because we did not have the baseline of
antibodies to SARS-CoV-2.
rates of three antibodies were similar between CHB patients and healthy controls at 1,
2 and 3 months after full-course vaccination, but CHB patients had lower antibody titers
at 1 month. Compared to healthy controls, HBeAg+ CHB patients had higher antibody
titers at 3 month and a slower decline in antibody titers. So, inactivated COVID-19
vaccines were well tolerated, and induced effective antibody response against SARS-
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14. Xu XY, Ding HG, Li WG, et al. Chinese guidelines on the management of liver
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#Presented
as median (Range). Notes: When HBV DNA level is lower than detection limit (20 IU/ml), 10
IU/ml is assigned. Patients with liver cirrhosis were in compensatory stage. Chi-Square statistic test was
used for categorical variables, and Mann-Whitney U test was used for continuous variables. p < 0.05 was
ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; PLT, platelet; TB,
Data are presented as n (%). Chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test were used to compare statistical difference
Chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test were used to compare statistical difference of seropositivity
rates of antibodies at 1, 2 and 3 months after full-course vaccination between healthy controls and
CHB patients. RBD, receptor binding domain. p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Figure legends
Figure 1 Antibody response after full-course vaccination in CHB patients and healthy
healthy controls (n = 87) and all CHB patients (n = 362) at 1, 2 and 3 months after full-
antibody in healthy controls (n = 87), inactive HBsAg carriers (n = 99), HBeAg+ CHB
patients (n = 73), HBeAg- CHB patients (n = 142) and cirrhotic patients (n = 48) at 1,
2 and 3 months after full-course vaccination. Mann-Whitney U test was used for two-
group comparison (healthy controls and all CHB patients). Dunn's multiple
comparisons test was used for comparisons between healthy controls and CHB
subgroups, and the results were corrected. Top of all bars represents GMTs and error
bars represent geometric SD. Horizontal dotted lines represent limit of detection. When
the antibody titer of participant was lower than the detection limit, half value of the
detection limit was assigned. The p-values represented in this figure are all adjusted p-
values. *p<0.05, **p<0.01. GMTs, geometric mean titers; RBD, receptor binding
vaccination in CHB patients and healthy controls. (A) Frequency of RBD-specific cell
and its subsets in healthy controls (n = 84) and all CHB patients (n = 168). According
RBD-specific MBC subsets: RBD+ atypical MBCs, RBD+ activated MBCs, RBD+
resting MBCs and RBD+ intermediate MBCs. (B) Frequency of RBD-specific cell and
its subsets in healthy controls (n = 84), inactive HBsAg carriers (n = 43), HBeAg+ CHB
patients (n = 39), HBeAg- CHB patients (n = 69) and cirrhotic patients (n = 17). Mann-
Whitney U test was used for two-group comparison (healthy controls and all CHB
patients). Dunn's multiple comparisons test was used for comparisons between healthy
controls and CHB subgroups, and the results were corrected. Top of all bars represents
median and error bars represent IQR. The p-values represented in this figure are all
adjusted p-values. *p<0.05. IQR, interquartile range; MBC, memory B cell; RBD,
LIV_15173_Figure 1.tif
LIV_15173_Figure 2.tif
Research Article
Aim: To compare the seropositivity rate of cancer patients with non-cancer controls after inactive SARS-
CoV-2 vaccination (CoronaVac) and evaluate the factors affecting seropositivity. Method: Spike IgG
antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 were measured in blood samples of 776 cancer patients and 715 non-
cancer volunteers. An IgG level ≥50 AU/ml is accepted as seropositive. Results: The seropositivity rate was
85.2% in the patient group and 97.5% in the control group. The seropositivity rate and antibody levels
were significantly lower in the patient group (p < 0.001). Age and chemotherapy were associated with
lower seropositivity in cancer patients (p < 0.001). Conclusion: This study highlighted the efficacy and
safety of the inactivated vaccine in cancer patients.
Clinical Trials Registration: NCT04771559 (ClinicalTrials.gov)
Plain language summary: Cancer patients are at high risk for infection with SARS-CoV-2 and of developing
the associated disease, COVID-19, which therefore puts them in the priority group for vaccination. This
study evaluated the efficacy and safety of CoronaVac, an inactivated virus vaccine, in cancer patients. The
immune response rate, defined as seropositivity, was 85.2% in the cancer patient group and 97.5% in
the control group. The levels of antibodies, which are blood markers of immune response to the vaccine,
were also significantly lower in the patient group, especially in those older than 60 years and receiving
chemotherapy. These results highlight the importance of determining the effective vaccine type and dose
in cancer patients to protect them from COVID-19 without disrupting their cancer treatment.
First draft submitted: 1 October 2021; Accepted for publication: 9 December 2021; Published online:
27 January 2022
COVID-19, which emerged in China in 2019 and spread all over the world in a short time, caused many deaths
around the world [1]. In many countries, including Turkey, measures are continuing to prevent the spread of the
virus, which has many negative effects on social and economic life. Since the beginning of the pandemic, many
countries have carried out studies to develop a vaccine against COVID-19. Today there are more than ten different
vaccines currently in use worldwide [2]. Turkey’s national immunization program continues by prioritizing high-risk
groups such as elderly adults and cancer patients. Approximately 70% of the population has been vaccinated with
at least two doses [3].
Studies have shown that the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 in cancer patients are higher than in non-
cancer individuals [4–6]. COVID-19 progresses more severely in cancer patients due to the natural course of the
cancer and the oncological treatments [7,8].
Cancer patients were also negatively affected by disruptions in cancer diagnosis and treatment during the
pandemic. A European survey showed an average reduction of 29.3% in all types of oncological surgeries [9]. Riera
et al. reviewed delays and disruptions in cancer management due to the pandemic; they reported up to 77.5%
interruption in any stage of cancer treatment [10]. As a result of interruptions in oncological diagnosis and treatment
processes, the increase in cancer-related deaths in England over the past year was estimated to be 20% [11].
The COVID-19 seroprevalence in cancer patients was evaluated in recent studies. Fillmore et al. screened the
results of 22,914 cancer patients tested for COVID-19 and reported 7.8% positivity [12]. In another study, 928
cancer patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis were evaluated, and 4% were reported as asymptomatic [13]. The
leading oncological societies, such as the American Society of Clinical Oncology, European Society of Medical
Oncology and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN), have developed guidelines to minimize the
negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer patients. However, there is no consensus for SARS-CoV-2
testing of asymptomatic patients before initiation of immunosuppressive therapies [14]. An individual risk–benefit
assessment for each patient appears to be the most reliable method yet [14].
Because there is no standard treatment for COVID-19, vaccination is considered to be the cornerstone for
mitigation of the pandemic. The severe course of COVID-19 in cancer patients puts them among the priority
groups for vaccination. The NCCN recommends that people with active cancer undergoing treatment, those about
to be treated for cancer and those who have been treated for cancer in the past 6 months should be prioritized to
receive vaccinations as soon as possible [15]. Different types of COVID-19 vaccines are currently available around
the world. CoronaVac, an inactivated vaccine, is one of the most applied vaccines. Solodky et al. reported that the
antibody level in cancer patients after COVID-19 was lower than that in healthy individuals [16]. A similar situation
is expected to be seen in the post-vaccine antibody response. Although the seroconversion rate in healthy adults
after two doses of inactivated vaccine was reported as 100% in the CoronaVac study, seroconversion in cancer
patients was not assessed [17]. In another study evaluating the efficacy of CoronaVac, the seropositivity rate was
89.7% [18]. Furthermore, the seroconversion rate of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine was found to be 95% in healthy
adults [19]. Currently, limited data are available showing the efficacy and safety of COVID-19 vaccines in cancer
patients. Ariamanesh et al. recently demonstrated 86.9% seropositivity after administration of inactivated vaccine
in patients with malignancy [20]. Massarweh et al. reported 90% seropositivity in 102 cancer patients vaccinated
with the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine [21]. However, the role of COVID-19 vaccination remains a challenging issue
in cancer patients.
In this study we aimed to compare cancer patients with non-cancer controls in terms of the efficacy and safety of
inactive SARS-CoV-2 (CoronaVac) vaccination. In addition, factors affecting seropositivity in cancer patients were
evaluated.
This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04771559) and is closed to accrual.
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Efficacy & safety profile of COVID-19 vaccine in cancer patients Research Article
oncology clinics between 1 March and 1 July 2021 were informed about the study; the control group consisted of
healthcare workers and volunteers accompanying the patients. From this initial group, 776 cancer patients and 715
non-cancer volunteers who received a second dose of inactivated vaccine in 4–6 weeks were included in the study.
Vaccination information and the COVID-19 history of the participants were checked from the national health
record database. Patients and controls who had a documented COVID-19 infection (positive PCR test result) at
any time before enrollment and patients who received an mRNA vaccine were excluded. In addition, controls who
were pregnant or had an immunosuppressive disease or were receiving immunosuppressive therapy for any reason
were excluded from the study. The study was carried out with permission of the Turkish Ministry of Health and
approved by the local ethics committee (02/28). All participants signed a written informed consent form.
Assessments
Blood samples were taken from the patients and centrifuged at 2500 rpm for 10 min. The separated serum samples
were backed up in two Eppendorf tubes and stored at -80 or -20◦ C. All serum samples were delivered by cold chain
and collected in a single center. A US FDA-approved chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay, the Abbott
Architect i1000sr SARS-CoV-2 IgG II Quant assay (Abbott Laboratories, IL, USA), was used to quantify IgG
antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike receptor-binding domain following the manufacturer’s instructions [22].
This assay has 98.1% sensitivity and 99.6% specificity at least 15 days after first symptom onset or documented
COVID-19 infection [23]. An IgG level ≥50 AU/ml is accepted as seropositive.
Patient characteristics were collected and included age, sex, BMI, smoking status, comorbidities and receipt
of any other vaccination (influenza or pneumococci) within 2 years. All participants were asked about local and
systemic side effects of vaccination. Additionally, all clinical information about the cancer diagnosis (tumor type,
disease stage and treatment status) were recorded. Treatment groups were: chemotherapy group (including taxane,
platin, fluorouracil, gemcitabine, anthracycline, cyclophosphamide, pemetrexed); immunotherapy group (including
nivolumab, pembrolizumab and atezolizumab); targeted therapies group (tyrosine kinase inhibitors, anti-VEGF
agents, trastuzumab, pertuzumab, CDK4/6 inhibitors); and hormonal therapies group (tamoxifen, aromatase
inhibitors, LHRH analogs). We evaluated each treatment group for seropositivity. Additionally, we created another
group for those receiving active targeted or immunotherapies and compared the seropositivity rates of this group
with those of the active chemotherapy group.
Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics are shown as mean ± standard deviation for variables with normal distribution, median
(minimum to maximum) for non-normal distributions, and the number of cases and percentage (%) for nominal
variables. The Mann–Whitney U-test was used for comparison of the groups. Pearson’s χ-square or Fisher’s exact
tests were performed for nominal variables. Multivariate analysis was applied with a logistic regression test. A
p-value < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. SPSS for Windows (v. 22; IBM Corp., NY, USA) was
used to analyze the data.
Results
Our study group consisted of 776 cancer patients and 715 non-cancer controls. The median age in the patient
group was 64 years (range: 20–88), and the median age in the control group was 50 years (range: 21–94). The
characteristics of the study participants are shown in Table 1.
The seropositivity rate was 85.2% and the median antibody titer was 363.9 AU/ml in the patient group. The
seropositivity rate was 97.5% and the median antibody titer was 656.5 AU/ml in the control group. When the
two groups were compared, the seropositivity rate and antibody levels were significantly lower in the patient group
than in the non-cancer controls (p < 0.001). Additionally, administration of influenza and pneumococcal vaccine
prevalence was higher in the patient group (p < 0.001). Vaccine features and antibody levels are shown in Table 2.
While the incidence of side effects after the first dose of vaccine was 15.9% in the patient group, this rate was
22.5% in the control group. The rate of side effects reported after the first dose was significantly higher in the
controls than the patients (p = 0.001). While the most common side effect in the control group was local pain
(9.7%), the most common side effect in the patient group was fatigue (6.4%). When the prevalence of side effects
after the second dose was compared, there was no significant difference between the two groups (Table 3).
The most common tumor types were breast cancer (32.3%), lung cancer (23.6%), gastrointestinal cancer (22.4%)
and genitourinary cancer (13.8 %). Of the patients, 51.3% (n = 398) had metastatic disease; 39.8% (n = 309) were
Table 3. Side effects after the first and the second doses of the vaccine.
Characteristics Patient group (n = 776) Control group (n = 715) p-value
Total (%) Gr 1 (%) Gr 2 (%) Gr 3–4 (%) Total (%) Gr 1 (%) Gr 2 (%) Gr 3–4 (%)
First dose 15.9 22.5 0.001†
Local pain 5.7 5.3 0.4 – 9.7 8.3 1.1 0.3 0.005†
Erythema 0.5 0.4 0.1 – 2.1 1.8 0.3 – 0.009†
Fever 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.8 1.7 – 0.1 0.852
Fatigue 6.4 5.0 1.3 0.1 8.4 6.7 1.4 0.3 0.165
Headache 4.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 7.8 6.2 1.1 0.6 0.013†
Myalgia 4.5 3.2 0.9 0.4 6.7 4.4 2.2 0.1 0.071
Nausea 1.8 1.7 – 0.1 1.4 1.4 – – 0.681
Diarrhea 0.8 0.4 0.4 – 1.0 0.8 0.2 – 0.783
Other 0.9 0.9 – – 2.6 2.6 – – 0.269
Second dose 15.2 16.8 0.436
Local pain 5.0 4.6 0.4 – 7.7 6.2 1.3 0.3 0.042†
Fever 1.3 1.0 0.3 – 2.1 2.0 0.1 – 0.234
Fatigue 6.7 4.9 1.5 0.3 6.4 5.1 1.0 0.3 0.917
Headache 4.5 3.7 0.8 – 4.8 3.5 0.7 0.6 0.902
Myalgia 4.9 3.4 1.0 0.5 5.9 4.3 1.0 0.6 0.422
Nausea 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 – – 0.427
Diarrhea 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 – – 0.182
Other 1.1 1.1 – – 1.3 1.3 – – 0.647
† Statistically significant results.
Gr: Grade.
Seropositivity
91.1% 90.7%
84.6%
79.9%
78.6%
Figure 1. Seropositivity rates of cancer patients after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination according to the treatment status and
stage of the disease.
on active chemotherapy; 15.1% (n = 117) were on immunotherapy or targeted therapies; and 45.1% (n = 350)
had not received any of these treatment modalities within the previous 3 months. The seropositivity rates were
78.6% in the active chemotherapy group, 85.7% in the immunotherapy group, 86.0% in the targeted therapies
group and 87.1% in the hormone therapy group. For the patients not receiving any active treatment including
chemotherapy, immunotherapy or targeted therapies, the seropositivity rate was 91.1% (Table 4). Additionally,
90.7% of the nonmetastatic patients and 79.9% of the metastatic patients were seropositive (Figure 1).
In univariate analysis of the patient group, chemotherapy, metastatic disease, age and male gender were negatively
correlated with seropositivity (p < 0.001). The seropositivity rate in the active chemotherapy group was significantly
lower than in the group of patients not receiving active chemotherapy (p < 0.001). Tumor type, BMI, smoking
and comorbidities were not associated with seropositivity (Table 4). In univariate analysis of the control group,
age was found to be the only factor negatively correlated with seropositivity (p < 0.001; Table 4). When the
multivariate analysis was performed, age and chemotherapy were defined as the factors significantly associated with
lower seropositivity in cancer patients (p < 0.001 and p = 0.038, respectively ; Tables 5 & 6).
IO: Immunotherapy.
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Table 5. The factors affecting seropositivity in the study population (multivariate analysis).
Characteristics SE RR 95% CI p-value
Noncancer vs cancer 0.286 3.519 2.009–6.162 0.001†
Age (60 vs ≥60) 0.246 3.545 2.190–5.737 0.001†
Gender (female vs male) 0.194 1.271 0.868–1.859 0.218
Comorbidities (yes vs no) 0.195 1.129 0.771–1.655 0.533
† Statistically
significant results.
RR: Relative risk; SE: Standard error.
Table 6. The factors affecting seropositivity in the patient group (multivariate analysis).
Characteristics SE RR 95% CI p-value
Age (60 vs ≥60) 0.276 3.016 1.758–5.176 0.001†
Gender (female vs male) 0.221 1.154 0.701–1.667 0.724
Chemotherapy (yes vs no) 0.358 1.396 0.692–2.818 0.038†
Targeted therapy or IO (yes vs no) 0.300 0.709 0.393–1.277 0.351
Comorbidities (yes vs no) 0.213 1.116 0.736–1.692 0.606
Stage (metastatic vs nonmetastatic) 0.304 1.458 0.804–2.645 0.214
† Statistically
significant results.
IO: Immunotherapy; RR: Relative risk; SE: Standard error.
Discussion
This study showed 85.2% seropositivity in cancer patients, whereas this rate was 97.5% in non-cancer con-
trols. Additionally, IgG antibody titers in cancer patients were significantly lower than in the controls. The factors
significantly associated with low seropositivity rates in the patient group were age and active chemotherapy. When
the side effects in both groups were compared, the control group reported significantly more side effects after the
first dose. Nevertheless, there was no significant difference between the groups in side effects after the second dose.
Our findings confirmed the efficacy and safety of CoronaVac in cancer patients.
The COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected cancer patients. In addition to the severe course of COVID-19
in cancer patients, covidophobia, delays in cancer diagnosis and disruptions to oncological treatments increased
the mortality of cancer patients during the pandemic [4–11]. NCCN and other oncological societies recommended
that all cancer patients, especially those receiving active treatment, should be vaccinated as a priority [15]. The
high seropositivity rate of cancer patients in our study also supports these recommendations, even though the
seropositivity rate was relatively lower than in non-cancer adults.
The low seropositivity rate in cancer patients compared with the non-cancer controls found in this study was
expected, as immunosuppression negatively affects the immune response. Similar to our results, Ariamanesh et al.
found that older age, chemotherapy and hematological malignancies were related to lower seropositivity rates
after administration of inactivated vaccine [20]. Massarweh et al. reported that chemotherapy plus immunotherapy
treatment was associated with lower IgG titers in cancer patients vaccinated with the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine [21].
Furthermore, studies evaluating the response to pneumococcal and influenza vaccines in patients with malignancy
showed a decreased response in patients with hematological malignancies [24]. In another study, influenza vaccine
response was low in breast cancer patients receiving active chemotherapy [25]. Our findings also highlight the
negative effect of active treatment on immune response.
Although a clear relationship has not yet been established between antibody levels and prevention of the disease,
the main target of the vaccines is to trigger the formation of neutralizing antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2
spike protein [26]. Harvey et al. reported an approximately tenfold increase in positive nucleic acid amplification
test results among patients with positive antibody tests compared with those who had negative antibody tests,
suggesting a protective effect of antibodies [27]. Another study demonstrated that the antibody titers were correlated
with protection against COVID-19 [28]. Considering that the cellular immune response is suppressed in cancer
patients, even adequate antibody levels may not effectively protect from the infection. Based on this, the application
of additional doses, especially in cancer patients, may come to the fore in light of future studies. Patients receiving
active chemotherapy and those in older age groups might be among the priority groups.
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Research Article Yasin, Göktas Aydin, Sümbül et al.
Another finding of our study was that the control group reported side effects more frequently, especially after the
first dose. The reason might be that cancer patients experience such side effects due to the disease itself and their
treatment processes, even before vaccination. The frequency of side effects reported after the second dose was found
to be similar in both groups; this can be explained by the decrease in the perception of the side effects following
the second dose.
Finally, when we created two groups by matching the patient and control groups by age and gender, the significant
difference in seropositivity rates between the groups persisted.
This study had some limitations. First, we measured only spike IgG antibody levels of the participants but did not
assess neutralizing antibody levels. However, studies have shown that neutralizing antibody levels are correlated with
spike IgG antibody levels [29]. Second, we did not evaluate the pre-vaccination antibody levels of the participants.
Nevertheless, we excluded patients who had a documented COVID-19 infection at any time before enrollment.
The median follow-up period after vaccination was 3 months, and eight patients were infected with COVID-19
during this period. The patient group will be followed up for long-term results to evaluate the effect of vaccination
and antibody levels on disease prevention.
Conclusion
This study highlighted the efficacy and safety of CoronaVac in cancer patients. The seropositivity rate was lower
in cancer patients than in non-cancer controls, especially in patients aged over 60 years and those receiving active
chemotherapy. Further studies with larger sample sizes are needed to determine the effective vaccine type and
vaccine dose for cancer patients so that cancer patients might be protected from COVID-19-related morbidity and
mortality without disrupting their oncological treatments.
Summary points
• COVID-19 is associated with high morbidity and mortality in cancer patients, but there are limited data on the
efficacy and safety of currently used COVID-19 vaccines in cancer patients.
• We compared the seropositivity rate of cancer patients with non-cancer controls after CoronaVac administration
and evaluated the factors affecting seropositivity in cancer patients.
• 776 cancer patients and 715 non-cancer volunteers who received a second dose of inactivated vaccine in
4–6 weeks were included in the study.
• The seropositivity rate and antibody levels were significantly lower in the patient group than in the non-cancer
controls (p < 0.001). Age and chemotherapy were associated with lower seropositivity in cancer patients
(p < 0.001).
• Side effects reported after the first dose were significantly higher in the control group (p = 0.001). There was no
significant difference between the two groups after the second dose.
• The high seropositivity rate of cancer patients indicates that these patients benefit from the vaccine as protection
from COVID-19 infection.
• It should be kept in mind that patients over the age of 60 and receiving chemotherapy have lower seropositivity
rates and are in a higher risk group for COVID-19.
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20. Ariamanesh M, Porouhan P, Peyroshabany B et al. Immunogenicity and safety of the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (BBIBP-CorV) in
patients with malignancy. Cancer Invest. doi:10.1080/07357907.2021.1992420 1–9 (2021) (Epub ahead of print).
• Study which evaluated the efficacy and safety profile of CoronaVac in cancer patients.
21. Massarweh A, Eliakim-Raz N, Stemmer A et al. Evaluation of seropositivity following BNT162b2 messenger RNA vaccination for
SARS-CoV-2 in patients undergoing treatment for cancer. JAMA Oncol. 7(8), 1133–1140 (2021).
• Study which evaluated the mRNA vaccine BNT162b2 in cancer patients.
22. Abbott. SARS-CoV-2-Immnuoassays. www.corelaboratory.abbott/int/en/off erings/segments/infectious-disease/sars-cov-2-
23. Abbott Laboratories. AdviseDx SARS-CoV-2 IgG II package insert (2021). www.fda.gov/media/146371/download
24. Siber GR, Weitzman SA, Aisenberg AC, Weinstein HJ, Schiffman G. Impaired antibody response to pneumococcal vaccine after
treatment for Hodgkin’s disease. N. Engl. J. Med. 299(9), 442–448 (1978).
25. Vilar-Compte D, Cornejo P, Valle-Salinas A et al. Influenza vaccination in patients with breast cancer: a case–series analysis. Med. Sci.
Monit. 12(8), CR332–CR336 (2006).
26. Krammer F. SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in development. Nature 586(7830), 516–527 (2020).
27. Harvey RA, Rassen JA, Kabelac CA et al. Association of SARS-CoV-2 seropositive antibody test with risk of future infection. JAMA
Intern. Med. 181(5), 672–679 (2021).
28. Jin P, Li J, Pan H, Wu Y, Zhu F. Immunological surrogate endpoints of COVID-2019 vaccines: the evidence we have versus the
evidence we need. Signal Transduct. Target. Ther. 6(1), 48 (2021).
29. Sahin U, Muik A, Derhovanessian E et al. COVID-19 vaccine BNT162b1 elicits human antibody and TH1 T cell responses. Nature
586(7830), 594–599 (2020).
www.nature.com/cmi
CORRESPONDENCE OPEN
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2 20 CHB patients with abnormal alanine aminotransferase levels
infection, has become a major global public health threat. [61.5 (43–129) U/L] or 10 patients with compensated liver cirrhosis.
Although significant advances have been made in developing The results demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccines
and applying different vaccines in clinical trials [1, 2], data are had a favorable safety profile in CHB patients. Given that previous
limited on the safety and efficacy of the inactivated vaccine in studies have shown an increased risk of progression to severe
patients with chronic liver disease [3]. Recent studies have disease in COVID-19 patients with cirrhosis [7], the benefit of
1234567890();,:
preliminarily described the safety and immunogenicity of SARS- vaccination in compensated cirrhotic patients still outweighs the
CoV-2 vaccines in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease vaccine-related risk.
and in liver transplant recipients [4, 5]. However, to date, there is Next, we determined the immunogenicity of CHB patients who
no detailed information on the SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine in completed the two doses of the vaccination regimen. The
patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. It has been seropositivity for anti-S-RBD-IgG and NAbs was 87.25% and
reported that CHB patients have impaired immune systems [6]. 74.5%, respectively (Fig. 1A). The anti-S-RBD-IgG seropositivity of
Hence, whether immunocompromised CHB patients within the CHB vaccine recipients was similar to that in a clinical trial of
different clinical stages can be safely vaccinated with the various CoronaVac in Turkey (89.7%) but much higher than the reported
types of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and produce an effective immune recently seropositivity of IgG antibodies to the spike protein (76%)
response remains unclear. Our study aims to provide a in patients with chronic liver disease [5]. Both anti-S-RBD-IgG and
comprehensive analysis from different clinical dimensions to NAb levels increased significantly to a higher level after
characterize the safety and immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 completing the vaccination regimen (Fig. 1B, C, P < 0.0001). This
inactivated vaccines (BBIBP-CorV, CoronaVac, or WIBP-CorV) within finding indicates that SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccines can elicit
this specific patient population. an optimal antibody response even though some CHB patients
A total of 284 CHB patients who were unvaccinated (n = 81) or may have pre-existing compromised immune function.
had completed the first (n = 54) or second dose (n = 149) of the The seropositivity and antibody titers in CHB patients were
vaccines were enrolled from March 23, 2021, to September 10, further compared according to sex, age, antiviral therapy,
2021 (Table S1). The median time post-vaccination was 33 (IQR, and body mass index stratification (Fig. 1D, E). We found that
24–48) days among the 149 completely vaccinated patients. younger patients (<40 y) had higher seropositivity for anti-S-RBD-
Safety was evaluated by determined the overall incidence of IgG (P < 0.05), and female patients exhibited increased seroposi-
adverse reactions via a standardized questionnaire. Moreover, tivity for NAbs (P < 0.05). Recent clinical trials have also reported a
plasma samples were examined for IgG antibodies against the similar trend: younger individuals and female vaccine recipients
receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein exhibited stronger humoral immune responses to vaccination [2].
(anti-S-RBD-IgG) and for neutralizing antibodies (NAbs). The Interestingly, the patients undergoing nucleos(t)ide analog
complete methods regarding the study design and the statistical therapy had a significantly higher NAb titer than those who were
analysis are available in the Supplementary methods section. not (P < 0.05) (Fig. 1D, E). Long-term antiviral therapy can inhibit
The adverse reaction data were first analyzed in 149 completely viral replication and facilitate the restoration of the impaired
vaccinated CHB patients. The overall incidence of adverse immune system by recovering the function of circulating dendritic
reactions within 7 days was 30.2% (Table S2), which was similar cells, natural killer cells, or T cells, particularly nucleotide analogs
to that found in the phase 3 trials of CoronaVac in Turkey [2]. The that can induce the production of IFN-λ3 [6, 8]. These factors may
most common side effect was injection-site pain (25.5%, 38/149), account for the higher antibody titer in patients with antiviral
followed by drowsiness (3%, 3/149); only one patient reported therapy. Given that nucleos(t)ide analog therapy does not affect
fever on the first day after vaccination. Almost all of the adverse vaccine-induced immune responses, it should be continuously
reactions were mild and self-resolved within a few days after administered during vaccination to avoid negatively impacting
vaccination. Serious side effects were not observed even in CHB treatment.
1
Department of Infectious Diseases, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. 2Joint International Laboratory of
Infection and Immunity, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. 3These authors contributed equally: Tiandan Xiang, Boyun Liang, Hua Wang.
✉email: bjwang73@163.com; xin11@hotmail.com
T. Xiang et al.
2
A B **** C ****
Anti−S−RBD IgG 87.25
Neutralizing antibody 74.5
**** ****
75
* 1.5 ns
7.5
Neutralizing antibody
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
Anti−S−RBD IgG
Seropositivity(%)
50
5.0 1.0
25
24.07 2.5 0.5
9.26
1.23
0 0 0.0 0.0
Pre−vaccination 1st Dose 2nd Dose Pre−vaccination 1st Dose 2nd Dose Pre−vaccination 1st Dose 2nd Dose
D
6 6 6 6
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
Anti−S−RBD IgG
Anti−S−RBD IgG
Anti−S−RBD IgG
Anti−S−RBD IgG
4 4 4 4
2 2 2 2
0 0 0 0
Female Male <40y >=40y with NUC without NUC normal overweight
Positive rate(%) 95.1 84.3 Positive rate(%) 93.8 82.1 Positive rate(%) 88.4 85.2 Positive rate(%) 88.5 80.6
E 1.5 *
Neutralizing antibody
Neutralizing antibody
Neutralizing antibody
1.0
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
Positive rate(%) 87.8 69.4 Positive rate(%) 80 70.2 Positive rate(%) 77.9 68.5 Positive rate(%) 75 67.7
F G
6
Neutralizing antibody
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
Anti−S−RBD IgG
1.0
[ Log2 (AU/ml+1)]
0.5
2
0 0.0
HBeAg(+) infection HBeAg(+) hepatitis HBeAg(−) infection HBeAg(−) hepatitis HBeAg(+) infection HBeAg(+) hepatitis HBeAg(−) infection HBeAg(−) hepatitis
Sample[No.] 11 38 43 57 Sample[No.] 11 38 43 57
Positive rate(%) 100 94.7 81.4 84.2 Positive rate(%) 81.8 84.2 65.1 73.7
Fig. 1 Antibody responses following immunization with the inactivated vaccine in CHB patients. A The seropositivity of anti-S-RBD-IgG and
NAbs in CHB patients. B, C Kinetics of the anti-S-RBD-IgG and NAb titers in vaccine-induced sera at different time points in CHB patients.
Prevaccination, n = 81; first dose, n = 54; second dose, n = 149. D, E The comparison of anti-S-RBD-IgG and NAb titers stratified according to
sex, age, nucleos(t)ide analog (NUC) therapy, and BMI (overweight: BMI ≥ 25; 14 patients had unavailable BMI values). F, G Comparison of anti-
S-RBD-IgG (F) and NAb titers (G) in HBeAg+ chronic infection, HBeAg+ chronic hepatitis, HBeAg− chronic infection, and HBeAg− chronic
hepatitis individuals [9]. Sample numbers and positive rates are shown underneath. P values were determined using a Mann–Whitney U test
or a Kruskal–Wallis test followed by Dunn’s multiple comparisons test for antibody titers and Fisher’s exact test for seropositivity. The
horizontal dotted line represents the cutoff value. ns: no significance, *p < 0.05, ****p < 0.0001
T. Xiang et al.
3
Finally, we compared the antibody responses among the CHB ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
patients in the various clinical stages of infection. The CHB This study was supported by the Applied Basic and Frontier Technology Research
participants were divided into four groups according to the “EASL Project of Wuhan (2020020601012233); the Science and Technology Key Project on
2017 Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Hepatitis Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia, Hubei Province (2020FCA002); the Fundamental
Research Funds for the Central Universities (2020kfyXGYJ016 and 2020kfyXGYJ028);
B Virus Infection” [9]: (I) HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection, (II)
the National Science and Technology Major Project of China (2018ZX10302206,
HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B, (III) HBeAg-negative chronic 2018ZX10723203, and 2017ZX10304402-002-005); the National Key R&D Program of
HBV infection, and (IV) HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B. There China (2017YFC0908104); and the Innovation Team Project of the Health Commission
was no significant difference in seropositivity or antibody titers of Hubei Province (WJ2019C003). The authors thank AiMi Academic Services and
among the four groups constituting the 149 CHB patients (Fig. 1F, Diana Liu for English language editing. We wish to thank the assistance given by Jia
G), suggesting the general applicability of the inactivated vaccines Liu, Cheng Peng, Jun Wu, Juan Xu, Xuemei Feng, and Rong Zhang in patients
within this patient population. enrollment and sample collection.
Altogether, our study reveals that SARS-CoV-2 inactivated
vaccines achieve a favorable safety profile and efficient immuno-
genicity in patients with CHB in real-world vaccination scenarios. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
The results are encouraging despite some patients not being XZ, BJW, TDX, and BYL designed and conceived the study; TDX, BYL, and HW
vaccinated following the standard dose interval time in clinical performed the experiments; TDX, BYL, HW, XFQ, HLZ, YWH, DLY, BJW, and XZ enrolled
patients and acquired the data; BYL and HW analyzed the data and contributed to
trials or the two dosages of the inactivated vaccine not being from
producing the charts; TDX drafted the manuscript; XZ and BJW revised the manuscript.
the same manufacturer.
COMPETING INTERESTS
REFERENCES The authors declare no competing interests.
1. Polack FP, Thomas SJ, Kitchin N, Absalon J, Gurtman A, Lockhart S, et al. Safety and
efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med.
2020;383:2603–15. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
2. Tanriover MD, Doganay HL, Akova M, Guner HR, Azap A, Akhan S, et al. Efficacy and Supplementary information The online version contains supplementary material
safety of an inactivated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac): interim available at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41423-021-00795-5.
results of a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial in Turkey.
Lancet. 2021;398:213–22. Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to Baoju Wang or
3. Cornberg M, Buti M, Eberhardt CS, Grossi PA, Shouval D. EASL position paper on Xin Zheng.
the use of COVID-19 vaccines in patients with chronic liver diseases, hepatobiliary
cancer and liver transplant recipients. J Hepatol. 2021;74:944–51. Reprints and permission information is available at http://www.nature.com/
4. Wang J, Hou Z, Liu J, Gu Y, Wu Y, Chen Z, et al. Safety and immunogenicity reprints
of COVID-19 vaccination in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease
(CHESS2101): a multicenter study. J Hepatol. 2021;75: 439-41.
5. Thuluvath PJ, Robarts P, Chauhan M. Analysis of antibody responses after COVID-
19 vaccination in liver transplant recipients and those with chronic liver diseases.
J Hepatol. 2021; Online ahead of print. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons
6. Liu N, Liu B, Zhang L, Li H, Chen Z, Luo A, et al. Recovery of circulating CD56(dim) Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing,
NK cells and the balance of Th17/Treg after nucleoside analog therapy in patients adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give
with chronic hepatitis B and low levels of HBsAg. Int Immunopharmacol. appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative
2018;62:59–66. Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party
7. Moon AM, Webb GJ, Aloman C, Armstrong MJ, Cargill T, Dhanasekaran R, et al. material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless
High mortality rates for SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with pre-existing chronic indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the
liver disease and cirrhosis: Preliminary results from an international registry. J article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory
Hepatol. 2020;73:705–8. regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly
8. Murata K, Asano M, Matsumoto A, Sugiyama M, Nishida N, Tanaka E, et al. from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.
Induction of IFN-lambda3 as an additional effect of nucleotide, not nucleoside, org/licenses/by/4.0/.
analogues: a new potential target for HBV infection. Gut. 2018;67:362–71.
9. EASL. 2017 Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus
infection. J Hepatol. 2017;67:370–98. © The Author(s) 2021
Lucas Chaves Netto1, Karim Yaqub Ibrahim1, Camila de Melo Picone1, Ana Paula
Pereira da Silva Alves1, Eliane Vieira Aniceto, Mariana Rodrigues Santiago1, Patrícia da
Silva Spindola Parmejani1, Nadia E Aikawa2, Ana C Medeiros-Ribeiro2, Sandra G
Pasoto2, Emily F N Yuki2, Carla G S Saad2, Tatiana Pedrosa2, Amanda Nazareth Lara1,
Carina Ceneviva3, Eloisa Bonfa2, Esper Georges Kallas1*, Vivian I. Avelino-Silva1*
*Equal contribution
Abstract:
Background: People living with HIV (PLWH) may have a poor or delayed
response to vaccines, mainly when CD4+ T cell counts are low. There are
limited data concerning the safety and immunogenicity of COVID-19 vaccines in
PLWH.
Methods: This prospective controlled study evaluated the safety and
immunogenicity of the SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine CoronaVac in PLWH
compared with controls with no known immunosuppression. Immunogenicity
was assessed with SARS-CoV-2 IgG seroconversion (SC), neutralizing
antibodies (NAb) activity, and factor increase in IgG geometric mean titers (FI-
GMT). We also investigated if levels of CD4+ T cell counts (< or ≥500 cells/mm3)
were associated with CoronaVac immunogenicity.
Findings: 511 participants (215 PLWH and 296 controls) were eligible for the
immunogenicity analysis. At vaccine completion (D69), although the percentage
of participants with SC and NAb positivity was high for both PLWH and controls,
it was somewhat lower in PLWH. CD4+ T cell was identified as a relevant factor
for immunogenicity, with lower SC and NAb positivity in PLWH with CD4+
counts <500 cells/mm3 compared to those with ≥500 cells/mm3. In a
Research in context:
Evidence before this study: Several studies have shown that people living with
HIV (PLWH) may have a poor or delayed response to vaccines or even a
reduced duration of immunogenicity following vaccination. So far, scarce data
concerning safety and immunogenicity of COVID-19 vaccines in PLWH is
available.
Added value of this study: This is the first controlled study addressing safety
and immunogenicity of the SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine CoronaVac in
PLWH compared with controls with no known immunosuppression. At four
weeks after the second vaccine dose, the percentage of participants with
seroconversion and neutralizing antibodies positivity was high for both PLWH
and controls. However, the study found significantly lower immunogenicity
among PLWH compared to non-immunosuppressed participants. Moreover,
PLWH with CD4+ T cell counts <500 cells/mm3 had lower SARS-CoV-2
immunogenicity compared to PLWH with CD4+ T cell counts ≥500 cells/mm3
and
Implications of all the available evidence: Strategies to improve vaccine-
induced immunogenicity may be needed for PLWH. Data on clinical efficacy and
real-life effectiveness studies are still lacking for this population.
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Introduction:
Several risk factors have been associated with poor outcomes among COVID-19
cases, including pulmonary, cardiac, and chronic renal conditions; older age;
obesity; and immunosuppression such as solid organ transplants, recent
chemotherapy, hematopoietic diseases, and HIV infection. Although large
cohorts from United States, United Kingdom, and South Africa showed an
increased risk of COVID-19-associated death among PLWH compared to HIV-
uninfected individuals after adjustment for covariates4, some observational and
epidemiological data suggested no more significant risk, especially among
PLWH with well-controlled HIV infection.5 However, several studies demonstrate
that PLWH may have a poor or delayed response to vaccines or even a reduced
duration of immunogenicity following vaccination against Pneumococcus sp,
Influenza, Hepatitis A and B6, and Yellow Fever.7
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This cohort study evaluated the safety and immunogenicity of the SARS-CoV-2
inactivated vaccine CoronaVac in PLWH compared with controls with no known
immunosuppression.
Methods
Study procedures
We collected demographic and clinical characteristics of study participants at
baseline, and laboratory variables including last CD4+ T cell count and HIV viral
load were extracted from medical charts. CoronaVac was administered in a
twice-dose regimen 28 days apart, according to the manufacturer's
recommendations.11 CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China, batch
#20200412) contains a β-propiolactone inactivated SARS-CoV-2 derived from
the CN02 strain of SARS-CoV-2 grown in African green monkey kidney cells -
Vero 25 cells with aluminum hydroxide as an adjuvant. Single-use CoronaVac
syringes containing 0·5 mL were administered intramuscularly in the deltoid
area. Participants underwent blood collections immediately before each vaccine
administration and four weeks after the second dose (D69). Serum samples
were stored at -70˚C. In case of incident COVID-19 during the study period, the
second vaccination was delayed by four weeks.
Immunogenicity evaluation
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The immunogenicity evaluation comprised two serologic tests: a
chemiluminescent immunoassay that measured IgG antibodies targeting S1 and
S2 proteins in receptor binding domain (Indirect ELISA, LIAISON® SARS-CoV-2
S1/S2 IgG, DiaSorin, Italy), measured in AU/mL (Arbitrary Units) and a virus
NAb detection assay SARS-CoV-2 sVNT Kit (GenScript, Piscataway, NJ, USA).
Seroconversion (SC) was defined as a positive (≥15·0 AU/mL) serology for the
IgG test. We also calculated IgG geometric mean titers (GMT) and 95%
confidence intervals at all time points and the factor increase in GMT (FI-GMT)
as the ratio of the GMT after vaccination to the GMT before vaccination. NAb
activity was reported as percentages and categorized as positive when ≥30% as
suggested by the manufacturer.12 Immunogenicity tests were performed in
samples collected at baseline (D0), immediately before the second vaccine shot
(D28, intermediary assessment), and six weeks after the second vaccine dose
(D69, final assessment).
Safety evaluation
The vaccine's local and systemic side effects were monitored using a
standardized form and clinical evaluations at each study visit. Participants
completed the standardized forms with solicited adverse reactions after each
vaccine dose. Solicited local adverse reactions included pain, erythema,
swelling, bruise, pruritus, and induration at the vaccine injection site. Systemic
reactions included fever, malaise, somnolence, lack of appetite, sweating,
nausea, vomit, diarrhea, abdominal pain, vertigo, tremor, headache, fatigue,
myalgia, muscle weakness, arthralgia, back pain, cough, sneezing, coryza,
runny nose, sore throat, shortness of breath, conjunctivitis, pruritus and skin
rash.
Moderate and severe adverse events have been recorded from D0-D69 and
classified as vaccine-related and unrelated. Participants with COVID-19
symptoms during the study period underwent a SARS-CoV-2 reverse
transcriptase–polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) test in a nasal swab sample.
Statistical analysis:
We present the characteristics of study participants using descriptive statistics.
Comparisons between PLWH and non-immunosuppressed controls were made
using Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon rank-sum tests for numeric variables and chi-
squared or Fisher's exact tests for categorical variables. We generated
categorical variables for age (<40; 40-49; 50-49; ≥60 years old), and CD4+ T cell
counts (<500; ≥500). A multivariable logistic regression model was used to
assess the impact of HIV infection, and CD4+ T cell counts on the positivity of
SARS-CoV-2 anti-S1/S2 IgG and NAb test following vaccination, adjusted for
age and sex. We used the statistical software Stata 15·1 (StataCorp College
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Station, TX: StataCorp LP) in all analyzes, with a two-tailed significance level of
0·05.
Ethical aspects
The national and local ethics committees approved the study. Each participant
provided written informed consent before enrolment. Participant identifiable data
remained confidential throughout the study.
The study sponsors had no role in study design, data collection, analysis,
interpretation of data, writing of the report, or in the decision to submit the paper
for publication
Results
Between February and March 2021, 776 consecutive participants were
recruited, of whom 282 were PLWH and 494 non-immunosuppressed controls.
Two participants from the control group were excluded after drop-out following
the first vaccine dose. Additional 244 (31%) individuals were excluded from this
analysis due to a positive IgG or NAb test at baseline (53 PLWH [19%] and 191
controls [39%]), and 19 individuals were excluded due to missing baseline
results of IgG or NAb tests. The remaining 511 individuals comprised the study
sample for the immunogenicity analysis (215 PLWH and 296 non-
immunosuppressed controls). For the safety analysis, 465 participants
completed the forms. A flowchart describing study participants is presented in
Supplement Figure 1.
Demographic and clinical characteristics of study participants are presented in
Table 1. Female participants comprised 85 (40%) of the PLWH and 187 (63%)
of the non-immunosuppressed participants (p<0·001). PLWH were older than
controls, with a median 54 years old (interquartile range [IQR] 45-60) and 48
years old (IQR 37-58), respectively (p<0·001).
The frequency of comorbidities was similar between PLWH and controls, except
for a higher frequency of dyslipidemia (17% vs. 5%; p<0·001) and chronic
kidney disease (2% vs. 0%; p 0·013) among PLWH.
We obtained CD4+ T cell counts of all 215 PLWH, with a median of 22 months
from the last CD4+ T cell count measurement and study enrolment (IQR 11-33).
CD4+ T cell counts were <500 cells/mm3 for 64 (30%) participants and ≥500
cells/mm3 for the remaining 151 (70%). Overall, 191 (89%) PLWH had
undetectable (<50 copies/mL) viral load in at least three measurements before
inclusion and were considered with viral suppression. The median time between
the last HIV viral load assessment and study enrolment was two months (IQR 1-
3).
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SARS-CoV-2 vaccine immunogenicity: effect of HIV infection
Table 2 describes results of the immunogenicity assessment. In unadjusted
analysis at vaccine completion (D69), the frequency of positive SARS-CoV-2
IgG SC and NAb positivity was high for both PLWH and non-immunosuppressed
controls; it was significantly lower in PLWH (SC 91 vs. 97%, p<0·005; NAb
positivity 70·7 vs. 84%, p<0·001). The FI-GMT and NAb activity were moderate
and lower in PLWH compared to non-immunosuppressed controls [median FI-
GMT 22·5 (IQR 10·9 – 41·1) vs. 31·8 (IQR 15 – 53·1), p<0·001; median NAb
activity 46·1 (26·9 – 69·7) vs. 60·7 (39·8 – 79·9), p<0·001]. Of note, at the day of
the second dose (D28), PLWH had lower percentages of SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC
(19 vs. 39%, p<0·001), NAb positivity (19 vs. 39%, p<0·001), and lower levels of
FI-GMT (2·3 vs. 4·6, p<0·001) and NAb activity (0 vs. 23.7%, p<0·001)
compared to non-immunosuppressed controls.
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outcome (95% CI 1·72-6·00; p<0·001). Female sex and age categories were not
significantly associated with the odds of having a positive NAb (Table 3).
Vaccine safety
Information regarding adverse vaccine reactions was available for 189 PLWH
and 296 non-immunosuppressed participants. Adverse events are detailed in
Supplement Table 1, and the most frequently reported symptoms are presented
in Figure 2. Most participants were asymptomatic after vaccination with the first
(61%) and the second (68%) vaccine dose. Only mild adverse events were
reported during the study. PLWH and non-immunosuppressed participants had
no statistically significant differences in the occurrence of vaccine adverse
events after the first dose, except for any local reactions (12% vs. 21%
respectively; p=0·026) and sweating (5% vs. 1% respectively; p=0·005).
After the second shot, we found a higher frequency of adverse reactions among
non-immunosuppressed participants, including nausea (2% vs. 6%; p=0·013),
myalgia (4% vs. 8%; p=0·048), arthralgia (3% vs. 8%; p=0·048), shortness of
breath (0 vs. 3%; p=0·016), and pruritus (0% vs. 3%; p=0·016) compared to
PLWH.
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Table 1: Demographic and clinical characteristics of participants eligible
for immunogenicity analysis
Non-immunosuppressed
PLWH
controls p-value
N=215
N=296
Age category (%)
Comorbidities, n (%)
Smoking
28 (13) 33 (11) 0·305
Hypertension
52 (24) 71 (24) 0·520
Diabetes
27 (13) 37 (13) 0·544
Cardiopathy
5 (2) 4 (1) 0·310
Dyslipidemia
37 (17) 15 (5) <0·001
COPD
0 3 (1) 0·194
Asthma
5 (2) 10 (3) 0·338
Chronic kidney disease
5 (2) 0 0·013
Chronic liver disease
4 (2) 1 (<1) 0·103
Neoplasia
2 (1) 0 0·177
Previous stroke
5 (2) 0 0·013
Active tuberculosis
2 (1) 0 0·177
COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases
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Table 2: Immunogenicity after one dose (D28) and two doses (D69) for PLWH,
according to CD4+ counts category, and non-immunosuppressed controls
D69
IgG levels (AU/mL) 75·2 (50·3 – 112) 48·7 (26·5 – 88·2) <0·001 42·0 (22·9 – 68·9) 53·3 (30·2 – 92·4) 0·053
Seroconversion 265 / 274 (97%) 185 / 204 (91%) 0·005 51 / 62 (82%) 134/ 142 (94%) 0·008
FI-GMT 31·8 (16 – 53·1) 22·5 (10·9 – 41·1) <0·001 19·3 (7·6 – 33·5) 23·0 (11 – 45) 0·120
NAb positivity 229 / 274 (84%) 143 / 202 (71%) 0·001 36 / 61 (59%) 107 / 141 (76%) 0·013
Percent NAb activity 60·7 (39·8 – 79·9) 46·1 (26·9 – 69·7) <0·001 41·6 (20·8 – 64·6) 49·9 (30·6 – 73·1) 0·030
D28
IgG levels (AU/mL) 10·4 (4·7 – 30·5) 5·1 (0 – 11·3) <0·001 5·1 (0 – 7·9) 5·1 (0 – 12·3) 0·448
Seroconversion 114 / 295 (39%) 41 / 214 (19%) <0·001 10 / 64 (15%) 31 / 150 (20%) 0·255
FI-GMT 4·6 (2·3 – 10·3) 2·3 (1·0 – 5·2) <0·001 2·2 (1 – 3·8) 2·4 (1 – 6) 0·337
NAb positivity 112 / 289 (39%) 40 / 211 (19%) <0·001 7 / 64 (11%) 33/147 (22%) 0·035
Percent NAb activity (%) 23·7 (0 – 39·6) 0 (0 – 27·3) <0·001 0 (0 – 0) 23·7 (0 – 39·6) 0·002
Numeric variables are presented as medians and interquartile ranges; categorical variables are presented as
frequencies and percentages; AU: arbitrary units; SC: seroconversion (positive IgG, ≥15AU/mL); NAb: Neutralizing
antibody test (positive when ≥ 30%); FI-GMT: factor of increase – geometric mean titter
10
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Table 3: Multivariable logistic regression model for neutralizing antibody
positivity after vaccination with a two-dose regimen of inactivated SARS-
CoV-2 vaccine, according to HIV status and CD4+ T cell counts
OR 95% CI p-value
Age category
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Figure 2: Local (panel A) and systemic (panel B) adverse events after
vaccination, according to vaccine dose and HIV infection status
Discussion
Here we present the findings of the first controlled study addressing the safety
and immunogenicity of an inactivated vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 among
PLWH compared with non-immunosuppressed controls. No serious adverse
reactions were reported during the study, either among PLWH or non-
immunosuppressed participants. We found a few statistically significant
differences with a higher occurrence of adverse reactions in the control group
compared to PLWH. At four weeks after the second vaccine dose, the
percentage of participants with SC and NAb positivity was high for both PLWH
and controls. However, we found statistically significant differences in the
immunogenicity parameters comparing PLWH and non-immunosuppressed
participants in unadjusted analysis both after the first dose and after the second
vaccine. In addition, at D69, PLWH with CD4+ T cell counts <500 cells/mm3 had
lower SARS-CoV-2 immunogenicity compared to PLWH with CD4+ T cell counts
≥500 cells/mm3.
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outcomes including a decreased immunogenicity to several vaccines. Studies
have shown that vaccines such as the live attenuated Yellow Fever vaccine,
inactivated tetravalent influenza and hepatitis A/B vaccines, pneumococcal (both
polysaccharide [PPSV 23] and conjugated formulations [PCV10, PCV13]) and
conjugated Haemophilus influenzae type B elicit a less robust immune response
in PLWH compared with HIV-uninfected individuals regardless of antiretroviral
treatment and CD4+ T cell counts. 7,15,16 Moreover, the vaccine-induced immune
response seems to be particularly impaired in situations of advanced or
uncontrolled HIV infection, with low CD4+ T cells (<200/mm3) and detectable HIV
viral load.6 Studies also suggest that the vaccine-induced immunogenicity may
wane more rapidly for this group of patients.17
Our study had a few limitations. As seen in any observational study, groups were
subject to imbalances in demographic and clinical characteristics. The older age
and lower frequency of female sex among PLWH could partially explain the lower
immune response to the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, as older age has
been associated with lower vaccine immunogenicity23 and female sex was
associated with higher vaccine immunogenicity and reactogenicity.24 This
imbalance could also partially explain the higher frequency of adverse reactions
in the non-immunosuppressed group. We fit a multivariable logistic regression
model including sex and age categories to adjust for these imbalances.
Interestingly, in this model, sex and age categories had no statistically significant
impact on final NAb positivity, whereas HIV status and CD4+ T cell count
categories remained associated with final NAb positivity. Another limitation was
the use of broad CD4+ T cell count categories due to the low number of
participants with CD4+ T cell count<350/mm3. As such, we were unable to
explore the effect of lower levels of CD4+ T cells on vaccine immunogenicity.
Other potential problems include the lack of recent CD4+ T cell count
measurements for some PLWH, with a median of 22 months between the last
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assessment and study enrolment. The current Brazilian HIV treatment guidelines
recommend avoiding CD4+ T cell count measurements after HIV viral load
becomes undetectable and CD4+ T cell counts are >350/mm3. We believe this
limitation is unlikely to impact our results significantly, as once antiretroviral
therapy (ART) is initiated, the CD4+ T cell count tends to remain stable or
increase progressively, and even after virologic failure, CD4+ counts take months
or years to drop to pre-ART levels.25
Our results showed that CoronaVac has robust immunogenicity in PLWH after a
two-dose regimen, but antibody responses in this population are somewhat lower
than in non-immunosuppressed individuals. Strategies should be developed to
improve vaccine-induced immunogenicity in PLWH, especially in the subgroup
with low CD4+ T cell counts. One possible approach is using a booster vaccine
dose or even administering higher antigen titers per vaccine dose. Such
strategies are already utilized among PLWH, e.g., in Hepatitis B vaccination.30
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and E.B.; no. 2017/14352-7 to T.P.) and from Conselho Nacional de
Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (no. 305242/2019-9 to E.B.). Instituto
Butantan supplied the study product and had no other role in the trial.
Author contributions:
EB, ACMR and EGK conceptualized the study. KYI, CMP, APPSA, EVA, MRS,
PSSP, and ANL contributed with data collection and follow-up visits for PLWH.
NEA, ACMR, SGP, EFNY, CGSS, TP, and CC contributed with data collection
and follow-up visits for controls. VIAS performed statistical analysis. LCN, VIAS,
EGK and EB wrote the manuscript. VIAS and LCN verified the underlying data.
All author revised and approved the final version of the manuscript. All authors
had full access to all the data in the study and accept responsibility to submit for
publication.
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8 Affiliations:
9 1 Clinical and Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Beijing Youan Hospital, Capital Medical University,
10 Beijing, 100069, China.
11 2 National Center for Clinical Laboratories, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical
12 Sciences, Beijing Hospital/National Center of Gerontology, 100044, China.
13 3 Rainbow clinic of Beijing Jingcheng Skin Hospital, Beijing, 100101, China.
14 4 Department of AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
15 Tianjin, 300011, China.
16 5 AIDS Healthcare Foundation (AHF), Beijing, 100088, China.
17 6 Department of Public Health, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, 37996, USA.
18 7 Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, Tennessee,
19 70300, USA.
20 8 Department of Early Childhood Education, The Education University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 200092,
21 China.
22 9 University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510095, China.
23 10 JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong,
35 Lunan Wang, National Center for Clinical Laboratories, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy
36 of Medical Sciences, Beijing Hospital/National Center of Gerontology, 100044, China. Email:
37 lnwang@nccl.org.cn;
1
40 Zixin Wang, JC School of Public Health and Primary Care Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of
41 Hong Kong, Room 508, School of Public Health, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, NT, Hong Kong,
42 666888, China. Email: wangzx@cuhk.edu.hk;
43 Junjie Xu, Clinical Research Academy, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Peking University, Shenzhen,
44 518036 China. Email:xjjbeijing@gmail.com;
45
46 Running head: Comparing immune responses to inactivated vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 between people
49 Funding/Support: This work was supported by the Beijing Excellent Talent Plan (2018000021223ZK04) ,
50 Beijing Talent Project in the New Millennium (2020A35), and the National Institute of Mental Health of the
85 Introduction
86 Globally, about 38 million people are living with HIV 1. Antiretroviral therapy (ART) could
87 suppress viral replication, restore CD4+ T-cell counts, rebuild immune function, and decrease
88 morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV (PLWH) 2,3. However, CD4+ T-cell
89 recovery is incomplete despite viral suppression in some PLWH 4. The World Health
90 Organization (WHO) confirmed that HIV infection is a significant independent risk factor for
91 both severe SARS-CoV-2 cases at hospital admission and in-hospital mortality 5. Both
92 international health authorities and Chinese national guidelines recommend SARS-CoV-2
93 vaccination to PLWH regardless of their immune status 6-8.
94 PLWH is considered a priority group for vaccination in many countries 8. However, there are
95 concerns that PLWH might have a suboptimal response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. More
96 imporntantly, less than 3% of the participants in the reported SARS-CoV-2 vaccine efficacy
97 trials are PLWH, and the data for vaccine safety and immune response is insufficient 9-13. The
98 Novarax study showed the overall vaccine efficacy was higher when excluding PLWH from
99 the analysis (increased from 49·4% to 60%) 13. Most studies did not report vaccine efficacy
100 specific for PLWH. Some studies have compared the safety and immunogenicity of mRNA
101 (Pfizer BNT162b2 and Moderna mRNA-1273) or adenovirus vector (Oxford/AstraZeneca
102 AZD1222) SARS-CoV-2 vaccines between HIV-negative individuals and PLWH with viral
103 suppression and high CD4+ T-cell levels (median around 700) 14-18. These studies showed that
104 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines were safe for PLWH, and there was no between-group difference in
105 adverse events 14-18.
106 There are two inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines manufactured by Chinese companies are
107 approved for emergency use by the WHO (Sinopharm and Sinovac CoronaVac) 19,20. More
108 than three billion doses of these vaccines has been supplied to more than 40 countries 21. No
109 study compared PLWH and HIV-negative individuals regarding immunogenicity and safety
110 of the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. Such evidence is important to address COVID-19
111 vaccine hesitancy among PLWH or to implement boost dose for this group 22. Previous
112 findings on mRNA/adenovirus vector vaccines might not be applicable to PLWH receiving
113 inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines 14-18. Moreover, it is unclear whether PLWH with lower
114 CD4+ T cell counts and detectable HIV viral load would have similar immunogenicity as
115 HIV-negative individuals, as these PLWH were excluded by the aforementioned studies 14-18.
116 Furthermore, given the relatively short follow-up period in previous studies, there is no
117 consensus about the long-term immunogenicity to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines among PLWH 14-
118 18.
119 This study aims to address these knowledge gaps by comparing the immunogenicity and
120 adverse events between PLWH and HIV-negative individuals after vaccination. This study
121 also investigated factors correlated with levels of neutralizing antibody responses against
122 authentic SARS-CoV-2, the total antibody specific to SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV-2 IgG
123 antibody against the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the spike protein (S-IgG), and
124 antigen-specific T-cell immune response among PLWH.
125
126 Methods
127 Study design
128 This cross-sectional study was conducted in two Chinese metropolitan cities (Beijing and
129 Tianjin) conducted between April and June 2021. Participants included PLWH and HIV-
130 negative individuals who have received at least one dose of inactivated SARS-Cov-2 vaccine.
131 Participants
132 The inclusion criteria for PLWH included: 1) aged 18-59 years, 2) willing to participate in the
133 study activities, including survey and blood sample collection, and relevant laboratory
134 testing, 3) having received at least one dose of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (Sinovac
135 CoronaVac or Sinopharm), and 4) having received HIV diagnosis confirmed by HIV-1/2
136 western blot assay. Exclusion criteria included: 1) presence of severe hearing loss, impaired
137 vision, or intellectual disability observed by the interviewers, and 2) history of SARS-CoV-2
138 infection, major psychiatric illness (schizophrenia and bipolar disorder) or neurocognitive
139 impairment based on clinician’s assessment of their medical records. HIV-negative
140 individuals shared the first three inclusion criteria and both exclusion criteria with PLWH.
141 HIV serostatus was confirmed by Abbott ARCHITECT HIV Ag/Ab Combo assay.
142 Recruitment and data collection
143 Recruitment for PLWH was facilitated by two community-based organizations (CBOs), one
144 in each city. These two CBOs have provided services to PLWH and HIV high-risk
145 populations and worked closely with HIV clinical service providers. WeChat is the most
146 commonly used social media application for the CBOs to communicate with PLWH clients.
147 CBO staff posted the study recruitment information in the WeChat public accounts of their
148 organizations. Interested PLWH contacted CBO staff through private WeChat messages,
149 phone calls, and messages via other instant messaging applications. CBO staff screened
183 The tubes were inverted and mixed 5 times, incubated in 37℃ for 20-24 hours. Then the
184 plasma was collected after centrifuging at 3000 RCF for 10 minutes and detected for IFN-γ
185 level. Level of T tube minus N tube, a value greater than 30 pg/ml was considered positive.
186 HIV viral load detection Viral load of PLWH was tested using HIV quantitative assay
187 (Zhuhai Livzon Diagnostics Inc.). The limit of quantitation (LOQ) of this assay was 60
188 copies/ml.
189 CD4+ cell count measurement. The assay was performed using flow cytometry testing
190 methods (BD Biosciences, San Jose, CA, USA) in accordance with the China National
191 Guideline for Detection of HIV/AIDS (version 2020) 24.
192 Background characteristics of the participants. All participants reported age, gender, and
193 presence of chronic conditions. Characteristics related to HIV infection and SARS-CoV-2
194 vaccination were extracted from medical records.
195 Adverse events related to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. A checklist was used to assess local
196 adverse events (pain, redness, itch, swelling, induration, and skin rash in the arm where the
197 shot was given) and systematic adverse events (fatigue, malaise, headache, dizziness,
198 lethargy, joint pain or muscle ache, feverish, nausea, vomit, diarrhea, and others) within one
199 month after receiving SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. Participants rated the severity the
200 aforementioned adverse events (1=very mild, 2=mild, 3=moderate, 4=severe, and 5=very
201 severe).
202 Sample size planning
203 Previous studies showed that the positive rate for SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody was
204 about 90% among HIV-negative individuals who received inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines
205 23. There was no data on seropositivity for SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody among PLWH
206 who received inactivated vaccines. Previous studies showed that the seroconversion rate of
207 PLWH after inoculation of the hepatitis B vaccine ranged from 34% to 88% 25. Therefore, we
208 assumed 70% of vaccinated PLWH would be positive for SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing
209 antibody. Using an allocation ratio of 2:1, a total of 102 PLWH and 51 HIV-negative
210 individuals was required to detect a minimum between-group difference of 20% (90% versus
211 70%) in SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody positive rate (α= 0·05, β= 0·10).
212 Statistical analysis
213 Chi-square tests were used to inspect the difference in background characteristics and adverse
214 events related to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination between PLWH and HIV-negative individuals.
215 Between-group differences in immunogenicity indicator levels (total antibody, neutralizing
242 Results
243 Profiles of the participants
244 A total of 519 and 316 PLWH in Beijing and Tianjin were approached, 130 and 24 were
245 screened to be eligible, and 110 (84·6%) and 19 (79%) completed the study. At the same
246 period, 61 vaccinated HIV-negative individuals were approached, 8 (13·1%) refused to
247 participate mainly due to logistic reasons, and 53 (86·9%) completed the study procedures.
300 Discussion
301 Understanding the differences of immunoresponse between HIV negative and positive
302 individuals is essential in planning the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination for PLWH. We found the
303 levels of adverse events are comparable between PLWH and HIV-negative individuals. The
304 prevalence of seropositivity of neutralizing antibody, the total antibody, and S-IgG were
305 similarly high among fully vaccinated PLWH and HIV-negative individuals. However,
306 PLWH had lower immunogenicity indicator levels than HIV-negative individuals after
307 controlling for types of vaccine, time since receiving the prime dose, time interval between
308 prime and second dose, and socio-demographics. Our findings filled the knowledge gap on
309 the immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines among PLWH. It contributed critical
310 evidence to policymaking and vaccination program planning for countries that mainly using
311 inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
312 Similar to studies on mRNA/adenovirus vector SARS-CoV-2 vaccines 14-18, there was no
313 between-group difference in prevalence (P=0·19) or severity (P=0·13-0·77) of self-reported
10
397 Contributors
398 All authors contributed to the conception of this study. XJH, WMT, and JJX developed the
399 methodology. DX, YY, XJ, JYD, MHY, LNW, and JJX were responsible for site survey and
400 coordination. XJH, BS, TZ, YY, LNW, and JJX were responsible for the laboratory testing
401 and test result interpletation. WMT, ZXW, XJZ, SMZ, YF, and JJX wrote the original draft.
402 All authors contributing to the reviewing and editing process. All authors agreed to submit
403 the manuscript for publication.
404 Declaration of interests
405 We declare no competing interests.
406 Data sharing
407 The individual participant data used in this analysis are available upon request. Requests
408 should ne directed to the corresponding author, and need to sign a data access and
409 confidentiality agreement.
410 Acknowledgments
411 The authors gratefully acknowledge the participation from HIV-negative individuals and
412 PLWH who contribute to this research in the mainland of China. We are also grateful to local
413 communities for the onsite recruitment and coordination.
13
Socio-demographics
Age (years), n (%)
18-29 39 (30·2) 14 (26·4)
30-39 65 (50·4) 19 (35·8)
40-49 20 (15·5) 11 (20·8)
50-59 5 (3·9) 9 (17·0) 0·01
Median (IQR), range 34 (28, 38) 34 (29, 47) 0·15
(20-58) (22-56)
Gender, n (%)
Male 128 (99·2) 40 (75·5)
Female 1 (0·8) 13 (24·5) <0·001
Presence of chronic conditions other than HIV/AIDS
No 102 (79·1) 53 (100·0)
Yes 27 (20·9) 0 (0·0) <0·001
Characteristics related to HIV infection
Time since HIV diagnosis (years)
≤1 18 (14·0) N.A N.A.
2-5 55 (42·6) N.A N.A.
6-10 35 (27·1) N.A N.A.
>10 21 (16·3) N.A N.A.
Viral load (cp/ml), n (%)
Undetectable (≤60) 75 (58·1) N.A. N.A.
61-200 33 (25·6) N.A. N.A.
>200 21 (16·3) N.A. N.A.
CD4+ T cell count (cells/μL)
<500 32 (24·8) N.A. N.A.
500-1,000 81 (62·8) N.A. N.A.
>1,000 16 (12·4) N.A. N.A.
Median (IQR), range 630·5 (499·5, 848·8) N.A. N.A.
(78, 2650·35)
ART regimens
TDF+3TC+EFV 60 (52·7) N.A. N.A.
TDF+3TC+LPV/r 5 (3·9) N.A. N.A.
AZT+3TC+LPV/r 3 (2·3) N.A. N.A.
AZT+3TC+NVP 2 (1·6) N.A. N.A.
AZT+3TC+EFV 8 (6·2) N.A. N.A.
Others 40 (31·0) N.A. N.A.
Not on ART 3 (2·3) N.A. N.A.
Information related to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination
14
417
15
n (%) n (%)
16
420
17
Table 3 Levels of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody, total antibody, S-IgG, and T cell specific immune response among HIV-negative individuals and people living with HIV (PLWH) who had received at
least one dose of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine
Neutralizing antibody Total antibody S-IgG T cell specific immune response
PLWH HIV- P PLWH HIV- P PLWH HIV-negative P PLWH HIV- P
negative negative negative
GMT GMT Median (IQR) Median Median (IQR) Median (IQR) Median Median (IQR)
(95%CI) (95%CI) (IQR) (IQR)
Partially vaccinated 4·6 5·6 0·43 0·2 2·1 0·20 0·6 3·99 0·03 6·4 36·2 0·16
(4·0, 9·8) (N.A.) (0·02, 1·1) (N.A.) (0·3, 1·5) (N.A.) (0·2, 26·7) (N.A.)
0-14 days after fully 8·5 31·6 0·03 0·8 104·8 0·01 3·1 11·9 0·04 5·3 413·6 0·001
vaccinated (4·0, 64·6) (4·0, 257·0) (0·03, 16·8) (7·4, 279·5) (1·1, 16·2) (5·1, 55·5) (0·1, 88·8) (91·8, 575·5)
15-28 days after fully 24·0 23·4 0·97 28·9 40·3 0·24 9·0 13·9 0·13 56·08 91·54 0·29
vaccinated (4·0, 380·2) (4·0, 64·0) (7·4, 83·2) (28·5, 71·6) (4·6, 16·0) (10·1, 32·0) (19·6, 118·7) (31·1, 227·4)
29-56 days after fully 14·1 20·9 0·24 11·8 42·7 0·04 7·2 9·6 0·03 37·2 63·6 0·13
vaccinated (4·0, 64·6) (4·0, 190·5) (5·7, 27·3) (8·4, 74·9) (4·5, 12·2) (7·2, 21·9) (6·4, 121·1) (35·4, 182·1)
57-84 days after fully 11·0 26·3 0·18 6·2 33·4 0·04 3·4 10·5 0·03 3·6 205·5 0·08
vaccinated (4·0, 95·5) (12·0, 64·0) (0·5, 11·7) (N.A.) (1·4, 5·7) (N.A.) (0·1, 17·1) (N.A.)
>84 days after fully 6·3 11·1 0·50 3·0 9·3 0·15 3·8 4·3 0·31 18·3 35·6 0·41
vaccinated (4·0, 8·0) (4·0, 48·0) (1·3, N.A.) (4·0, 62·8) (1·2, N.A.) (2·9, 5·4) (0·8, N.A.) (13·5, 56·2)
Among all participants 11·0 20·0 0·001 5·6 32·6 <0·001 4·3 9·6 <0·001 18·7 63·6 <0·001
(4·0, 95·5) (4·0, 190·5) (0·4, 25·2) (8·4, 72·3) (1·2, 10·0) (5·4, 18·9) (2·4, 77·9) (36·0, 226·4)
Among participants who 15·1 20·9 0·09 10·3 33·4 <0·001 6·8 10·1 0·007 30·6 68·4 0·001
were fully vaccinated (4·0, 128·8) (4·0, 190·5) (2·3, 38·8) (10·1, 73·0) (3·3, 12·1) (6·5, 19·4) (5·2, 103·2) (36·1, 227·4)
P values were obtained by using Mann-Whitney tests.
N.A.: not applicable.
18
Table 4 Comparing immunogenicity indicator levels between different subgroups of people living with HIV (PLWH) and HIV-negative individuals
Neutralizing antibody Total antibody S IgG T cell specific immune response
Adjusted B (95%CI) P values Adjusted B P values Adjusted B P values Adjusted B P
(95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) values
Reference 1: HIV-negative Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
individuals (n=53)
PLWH (n=129) -0·18 (-0·36, -0·001) 0·049 -0·80 (-1·15, -0·46) <0·001 -0·31 (-0·51, -0·12) 0·002 -0·64 (-1·05, -0·23) 0·002
PLWH with CD4+ T cell -0·29 (-0·58, -0·003) 0·047 -1·31 (-1·78, -0·84) <0·001 -0·49 (-0·75, -0·22) <0·001 -0·82 (-1·32, -0·32) 0·002
counts<500 (n=32)
PLWH with CD4+ T cell -0·12 (-0·31, 0·07) 0·21 -0·65 (-1·01, -0·30) <0·001 -0·26 (-0·47, -0·06) 0·01 -0·58 (-1·00, -0·17) 0·01
counts≥500 (n=97)
PLWH with detectable viral load -0·29 (-0·53, -0·05) 0·02 -1·15 (-1·62, -0·68) <0·001 -0·50 (-0·77, -0·23) <0·001 -0·75 (-1·26, -0·25) 0·004
(n=54)
PLWH with undetectable viral load -0·18 (-0·39, 0·03) 0·09 -0·71 (-1·06, -0·37) <0·001 -0·26 (-0·45, -0·07) 0·008 -0·65 (-1·09, -0·22) 0·004
(n=75)
Reference 2: Fully vaccinated Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
HIV-negative individuals (n=51)
Fully vaccinated PLWH (n=94) -0·15 (-0·35, 0·04) 0·13 -0·68 (-1·03, -0·33) <0·001 -0·27 (-0·48, -0·07) 0·01 -0·61 (-1·00, -0·22) 0·002
Adjusted B: adjusted correlation coefficients, adjusted for background characteristics with significant between-group difference in Table 1 (age group, gender, presence of chronic conditions other than HIV, types of
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, time interval between prime and second dose, and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination status) .
19
Table 5 Factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 total antibody, neutralizing antibody, S-IgG, and T cell specific immune response levels among people living with HIV (PLWH) (n=129)
Total antibody Neutralizing antibody S-IgG T cell specific immune response
Unadjusted B Adjusted B Unadjusted B Adjusted B Unadjusted B Adjusted B Unadjusted B Adjusted B
(95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI) (95%CI)
Socio-demographics
Age (years)
18-29 Ref Ref Ref Ref
30-39 -0·06 0·06 0·03 -0·07
(-0·57, 0·45) (-0·14, 0·25) (-0·26, 0·32) (-0·51, 0·38)
40-49 0·17 0·08 -0·09 -0·08
(-0·52, 0·86) (-0·18, 0·35) (-0·48, 0·31) (-0·69, 0·53)
50-59 -0·32 -0·03 0·03 -0·56
(-1·51, 0·87) --- (-0·49, 0·43) --- (-0·66, 0·71) --- (-1·62, 0·49) ---
Gender
Male Ref Ref Ref Ref
Female 1·47 0·77 0·63 1·14
(-1·02, 3·97) --- (-0·18, 1·73) --- (-0·81, 2·06) --- (-1·07, 3·34) ---
Presence of chronic conditions other than
HIV/ADIS
No Ref Ref Ref Ref
Yes 0·12 -0·07 -0·01 -0·20
(-0·42, 0·66) --- (-0·28, 0·14) --- (-0·30, 0·32) --- (-0·68, 0·28) ---
Characteristics related to HIV infection
Years since HIV diagnosis (years)
≤1 Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
2-5 0·55 0·71 0·21 0·27 0·21 0·46
(-0·12, 1·22) (0·23, 1·19)** (-0·05, 0·46) (0·05, 0·48)* (-0·18, 0·60) (-0·14, 1·06)
6-10 0·82 0·49 0·33 0·23 0·33 0·56
(0·10, 1·53)* (-0·03, 1·00)† (0·05, 0·60)* (-0·01,0·46)† (-0·09, 0·74) (-0·08, 1·19)†
>10 0·59 0·44 0·22 0·15 0·23 0·55
(-0·20, 1·38) (-0·13, 1·05) (-0·08, 0·53) (-0·11, 0·20) (-0·23, 0·69) --- (-0·15, 1·26) ---
Viral load (cp/ml)
Undetectable Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
61-200 -0·39 -0·24 -0·17 -0·33 -0·19 -0·15 -0·01
(-0·89, 0·10) (-0·61, 0·14) (-0·36, 0·03)† (-0·61, -0·05)* (-0·40, 0·03)† (-0·61, 0·30) (-0·44, 0·42)
>200 -1·10) -0·24 -0·23 -0·68 -0·24 -0·60 -0·27
(-1·69, -0·51)*** (-0·69, 0·22) (-0·47, 0·001)† --- (-1·01, -0·34)*** (-0·50, 0·03)† (-1·14, -0·06)* (-0·78, 0·25)
CD4+ T cell count (cells/μL)
<500 Ref Ref Ref Ref Ref
500-1,000 0·41 0·13 0·16 0·59 0·47
(-0·10, 0·93) (-0·07, 0·33) (-0·14, 0·45) (0·14, 1·04)* (0·05, 0·89)*
>1,000 0·61 0·14 0·24 0·48 0·40
(-0·15, 1·36) --- (-0·15, 0·44) --- (-0·20, 0·68) --- (-0·18, 1·14) (-0·22, 1·01)
On ART
No Ref Ref Ref Ref
Yes 0·47 0·12 0·13 0·34
(-0·99, 1·93) --- (-0·44, 0·68) --- (-0·71, 0·97) --- (-0·95, 1·62) ---
SARS-CoV-2 vaccination
20
21
22
23
24
Figure 1. Levels of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibody (A), total antibody (B), S-IgG (C) and T cell specific immune response (D) among HIV-negative individuals and People living with HIV (PLWH) who
had received at least one dose of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine
ed
105 Background The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has led to the focused application of resources toward
106 developing vaccines to prevent COVID-19. However, the efficacy and safety profiles of vaccines
iew
107 against SARS-CoV-2 in patients with metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) are still
108 unknown. We aimed to evaluate the safety, tolerability, seroreactivity, and disease flares after SARS-
ev
109 CoV-2 vaccination in MAFLD patients.
110 Methods For this prospective observational study, we recruited patients receiving two doses SARS-
111
112
rr
CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac). Neutralizing antibody to the SARS-CoV-2 spike receptor-binding
domain and IgG to SARS-COV-2 spike-specific were evaluated on Day 0, Day 28, Day 57, and Day
ee
113 180. All participants with available data were included in the safety and immunogenicity, and disease
115 Findings 50 MAFLD patients and 50 healthy controls receiving a 0-28 interval vaccination procedure
116 were enrolled. The seroconversion rates of neutralizing antibodies were 16% in MAFLD group (Log10
no
117 Geometric Mean Titers (GMT): median 0·783, IQR: 0·719-0·971) and 32% in non-MAFLD group
118 (0·884, IQR: 0·716-1·027) on day 28, and 82% in MAFLD group (1·206, IQR: 1·053-1·467), 90% of
t
119 non-MAFLD group (1·360, IQR: 1·130-1·464) on day 57, respectively. However, the neutralizing
rin
120 antibody titer in two groups fell below the seropositivity cut-off value on day 180 (MAFLD group
121 0.928, IQR: 0·773-1·057 vs. non-MAFLD group 0·907, IQR: 0·810-1·009). There was no significant
ep
122 difference in the overall incidence of adverse reactions after two-dose vaccinations between two
123 groups. Furthermore. disease flares were not found in MAFLD group after two-dose vaccinations. On
Pr
Research Article
Aim: To evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of the CoronaVac vaccine in patients with cancer receiving
active systemic therapy. Methods: This multicenter, prospective, observational study was conducted with
47 patients receiving active systemic therapy for cancer. CoronaVac was administered as two doses
(3 μg/day) on days 0 and 28. Antibody level higher than 1 IU/ml was defined as ’immunogenicity.’
Results: The immunogenicity rate was 63.8% (30/47) in the entire patient group, 59.5% (25/42) in those
receiving at least one cytotoxic drug and 100% (five of five) in those receiving monoclonal antibody or
immunotherapy alone. Age was an independent predictive factor for immunogenicity (odds ratio: 0.830;
p = 0.043). Conclusion: More than half of cancer patients receiving active systemic therapy developed
immunogenicity.
Tweetable abstract: Immunogenicity developed with CoronaVac in 25 (59.5%) of 42 patients who received
at least one cytotoxic drug and in all patients (n = 5) who received monoclonal antibody or immunotherapy
alone.
First draft submitted: 12 May 2021; Accepted for publication: 22 July 2021; Published online:
3 August 2021
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has affected millions of people worldwide and caused
more than 3 million deaths [1]. Advanced age and chronic disease are major risk factors for increased COVID-19
morbidity and mortality [2]. Cancer patients constitute a particular subgroup that needs more care because of
delays in diagnostic and therapeutic processes during the pandemic leading to higher mortality rates [3,4]. Vaccines
developed against COVID-19 have been promising for cancer patients as well as healthy individuals [5].
CoronaVac is an inactivated COVID-19 vaccine that has been shown to have immunogenicity, with vaccine-
induced neutralizing antibodies to SARS coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) that can neutralize ten representative strains
10.2217/fon-2021-0597 �
C 2021 Future Medicine Ltd Future Oncol. (2021) 17(33), 4447–4456 ISSN 1479-6694 4447
of SARS-CoV-2 [6,7]. In a phase II study, a highly automated bioreactor (ReadyToProcess WAVE 25 rocker; Cytiva,
Umeå, Sweden) was used to produce the vaccine. Immunogenicity is provided by the high content of intact spike
proteins in the vaccine. It has been used in many countries, including China and Turkey. The CoronaVac vaccine
was approved by World Health Organization (WHO) after results of the phase III trial’s interim analysis [8].
Experiences from influenza vaccine trials have given rise to thinking about possible lower immunogenicity rates in
patients who are on active immunosuppressive therapy [9,10]. However, seasonal influenza vaccines have a protective
effect even in cancer patients who receive active systemic treatment, although they develop less immunogenicity
than healthy people [9]. In COVID-19 vaccine trials, receiving immunosuppressive therapy was an exclusion
criterion, so patients on immunosuppressants (including cancer patients) were not included in the trials [6,7]. This
therefore obscures the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine in patients with a cancer diagnosis. Although there
are no randomized controlled clinical trial data evaluating the immunogenicity of the COVID-19 vaccine in cancer
patients who are on active systemic therapy, the COVID-19 vaccine is recommended for these patients by leading
and local guidelines [11,12]. This multicenter, prospective, observational study aimed to evaluate the immunogenicity
and safety of the CoronaVac vaccine in patients with solid organ tumors receiving active systemic therapy (cytotoxic
chemotherapy, monoclonal antibody, immunotherapy).
Methods
This multicenter, prospective, observational study was conducted with patients diagnosed with solid organ tumors
receiving active systemic therapy. Ethics committee approval (2021-01/963) and Ministry of Health permission for
the study were obtained on January 13, 2021. An informed consent form was obtained from all patients included in
the study. Patients who had a solid organ tumor diagnosis, active systemic therapy (cytotoxic chemotherapy, mon-
oclonal antibody, immunotherapy), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0–2, life expectancy
>12 weeks, age >18 years and negative SARS-CoV-2 antibody serology before the first vaccine dose were included
in the study. Those who had previous COVID-19 infection, contact with COVID-19-infected people in the last
14 days or any other immunosuppressive disease (i.e., HIV infection, solid organ transplant) were excluded from
the study.
Evaluation of vaccine immunogenicity was the primary outcome of the study. Secondary outcomes were deter-
mining side effects, safety and factors affecting vaccine immunogenicity (e.g., age, sex, systemic treatment regimen).
Baseline blood samples to measure SARS-CoV2 antibody level were taken 0–3 days before administration of the
first dose of the vaccine. There was no intervention in planned systemic treatment schedules. A second dose of the
vaccine was administered 4 weeks after the first dose. Side effects were recorded after the first and second doses. A
second blood sample was taken to measure antibody level 4 weeks after the last dose of the vaccine. All patients
were vaccinated within the Ministry of Health’s vaccination program.
Vaccine procedure
CoronaVac is an inactivated vaccine against COVID-19. The vaccine (3 μg in 0.5 ml of aluminum hydroxide
diluent per dose in ready-to-use syringes) was administered intramuscularly according to a dosing schedule of day
0 and day 28. Since the study was noninterventional, a specific day was not determined between the patients’
systemic treatment and administration of the vaccine by investigators. The median interval between the first dose
of the vaccine and start of the previous chemotherapy cycle was 7 days (interquartile range: 5–10 days). The
median interval between the second dose of the vaccine and start of the previous chemotherapy cycle was 7 days
(interquartile range: 5–8 days).
Statistical analysis
In the descriptive statistics of the study, numerical data were given as median (range or interquartile range) and
categorical data as frequency (percentage). The Mann–Whitney U test was used to compare the continuous
variables of the two independent groups. Pearson’s chi-square or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare categorical
data. Variables with a p < 0.20 as a result of univariate analysis were included in the logistic regression analysis
to determine the factors affecting immunogenicity. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS Statistics 25.0
(IBM Corporation, NY, USA) for Windows (Microsoft Corporation, WA, USA), and a two-tailed p < 0.05 was
considered statistically significant.
Results
Patient characteristics
A total of 47 patients with solid tumors were enrolled consecutively between 25 January 2021, and 26 April 2021.
The median patient age was 73 years (range: 64–80), and 61.7% were male. Primary cancer sites, in order of
frequency, were colorectal, breast, lung, genitourinary, gastric, pancreas, gynecological, biliary tract, and CNS. The
majority of patients were diagnosed with stage IV disease and received palliative systemic treatment. There were 42
(89.4%) patients receiving at least one cytotoxic drug, three (6.4%) receiving monoclonal antibody alone and two
(4.2%) receiving immunotherapy alone. Granulocyte colony-stimulating factor was administered to 36.2% of the
patients (Tables 1 & 2).
Immunogenicity
Of the 47 patients, 30 (63.8%) had seroconversion (immunogenicity). Immunogenicity developed in all five patients
who received monoclonal antibody (n = 3) or immunotherapy (n = 2) alone. Immunogenicity also developed in
25 (59.5%) of 42 patients who received at least one cytotoxic drug. Antibody levels in all patients who received
monoclonal antibodies were found to be higher (>10 IU) and were slightly elevated (1–5 IU) in two patients
who received immunotherapy alone. Of the 25 patients who received at least one systemic cytotoxic treatment and
developed immunogenicity, high (>10 IU) antibody levels were measured in four, moderate (6–10 IU) levels were
measured in six and low (1–5 IU) levels were measured in 15. Detailed patient demographics, clinical characteristics
and antibody levels are shown in Table 3.
In univariate analysis, patients who had immunogenicity were younger, with a median age of 72 years (p = 0.031),
whereas the median age of those who had no seroconversion was 75 years. The immunogenicity rate was lower in
those who used granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (47.1% vs. 73.3%; p = 0.072). There was no relationship
between immunogenicity and other demographic and clinical characteristics (Table 3).
Age was defined as a significant independent predictive factor for CoronaVac immunogenicity in multivariate
analysis (odds ratio: 0.830; 95% CI: 0.693–0.994; p = 0.043) (Table 4). None of the patients had COVID-19
infection at a median follow-up of 85 days (range: 62–98 days).
Safety analysis
Local and systemic reactions after the first and second doses of the vaccine are shown in Table 5. After the first and
second doses, side effect rates of any grade were 18.9 and 23.1%, respectively. With regard to local reactions, pain
at the injection site was the most common side effect; among systemic side effects, fatigue was the most common.
There were no serious (grade 3 or 4) side effects or toxic deaths.
Discussion
In this study, the authors prospectively evaluated the immunogenicity and safety of the CoronaVac vaccine in
patients with solid organ tumors receiving active systemic therapy. The immunogenicity rate was 63.8% for the
whole patient population and 59.5% for the patients who received at least one cytotoxic chemotherapy. The
phase I and II CoronaVac trial, which evaluated the immunogenicity of the CoronaVac vaccine in healthy 18- to
59-year-old individuals, had four cohorts, and 3 and 6 μg of the vaccine was administered on a schedule of 0–14
and 0–28 days [6]. However, in the authors’ study, the vaccine was administered on days 0 and 28 at a dose of
3 μg. In the phase I and II CoronaVac trial, the immunogenicity rates were 95.0 and 96.5% for doses of 3 and
6 μg (days 0 and 28), respectively. Another phase I and II trial evaluated the immunogenicity and safety of the
CoronaVac vaccine in a healthy elderly population (≥60 years) [7], and the immunogenicity rates were 98.0 and
99.0% in the 3 and 6-μg dose subgroups, respectively. In the present study, the immunogenicity rates with 3 μg
(days 0 and 28) were lower than those seen in these phase I and II CoronaVac trials. However, this study included
cancer patients who were undergoing active systemic cancer treatment with chemotherapy, monoclonal antibody or
immunotherapy. Although the immunogenicity rate was relatively lower in cancer patients, none had COVID-19
over a median follow-up period of 85 days.
To the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the immunogenicity of the CoronaVac vaccine in
cancer patients receiving active systemic therapy. The low immunogenicity demonstrated in the authors’ study was
consistent with other studies [14–17]. In a study conducted in Turkey, it was shown that patients using immunomod-
ulators for rheumatological disease developed less immunogenicity compared with healthy individuals receiving the
CoronaVac vaccine [14]. Similar results have been found in cancer patients who received the mRNA-1273 (Mod-
erna, MA, USA) or BNT162b2 mRNA (Pfizer, NY, USA) COVID-19 vaccines [15–17]. The immunogenicity rate
was found to be 53.7% in patients with hematological malignancies, of which approximately 45% received active
Table 2. Details of patient demographics, clinical features, treatment schedules and immunogenicity results.
Group Age Sex ECOG PS Comorbidity Primary Stage Regimen G-CSF Antibody Seroconversion
(years) IU/ml
3W 64 F 1 DM, HT Breast III Trastuzumab N 10 Y
3W 72 F 1 HT Breast IV Trastuzumab N 10 Y
3W 74 F 0 DM, HT Breast III Doxorubicin + cyclophosphamide N 6.82 Y
3W 65 F 1 DM, HT Breast IV Pertuzumab + trastuzumab N 10 Y
3W 65 F 1 HT, COPD Lung II Etoposide + cisplatin N 2.87 Y
3W 70 M 2 CHF Lung IV Paclitaxel + carboplatin N 10 Y
3W 75 M 2 – Lung III Paclitaxel + carboplatin Y 0.27 N
3W 74 M 0 – Prostate IV Docataxel Y 0.87 N
3W 74 M 1 HT, CAD Prostate IV Docetaxel Y 0.64 N
3W 74 M 1 – Gastric IV Docetaxel + cisplatin + 5-FU Y 0.59 N
2W 80 M 1 – Gastric IV FOLFIRI Y 1.12 Y
2W 71 M 0 HT, CAD Colon IV FOLFIRI + cetuximab N 6.82 Y
2W 75 F 1 HT, DM GBM IV Irinotecan + bevacizumab N 10 Y
2W 80 F 1 HT Bladder IV Paclitaxel + carboplatin Y 0.90 N
2W 73 M 1 DM Colon IV FUFA + bevacizumab N 1.58 Y
2W 69 M 0 – Pancreas IV Gemcitabine 1–8 N 0.98 N
2W 80 F 1 HT Colon IV FUFA + bevacizumab N 5.29 Y
2W 71 M 1 DM, HT, COPD Pancreas IV mFOLFIRINOX Y 1.20 Y
2W 73 F 1 HT Colon IV FOLFIRI N 2.78 Y
2W 71 M 1 HT, DM Colon III FUFA N 6.31 Y
2W 72 M 1 Arrhythmia Colon IV FOLFIRI + cetuximab Y 9.15 Y
2W 78 M 1 Asthma Pancreas III Gemcitabine Y 1.66 Y
2W 74 M 1 HT, COPD Gastric III FUFA N 4.86 Y
2W 75 M 1 CAD Colon IV FOLFIRI Y 0.76 N
2W 72 F 1 – Breast IV Gemcitabine Y 0.98 Y
2W 72 M 0 HT Bladder IV Gemcitabine + carboplatin N 2.66 Y
2W 78 F 2 HT, DM Endometrium IV Paclitaxel + carboplatin N 0.86 N
2W 77 F 1 HT, COPD Ovarian IV Gemcitabine Y 0.05 N
2W 68 M 1 HT Gastric III FLOT4 Y 1.05 Y
2W 65 M 1 HT, CAH Rectum IV FOLFOX N 4.42 Y
2W 77 F 2 HT, DM Pancreas IV FOLFIRI Y 10 Y
2W 76 M 1 HT, DM, CAD Biliary tract IV Gemcitabine + cisplatin N 0.83 N
1W 73 M 1 – Lung IV Paclitaxel Y 1.05 Y
1W 77 M 1 CAH Lung IV Irinotecan N 0.19 N
1W 80 F 1 HT, DM, arrhythmia Breast III Paclitaxel Y 0.45 N
1W 66 F 0 – Breast II Paclitaxel N 0.97 N
1W 67 M 0 – Rectum IV 5-FU N 10 Y
1W 77 F 1 HT Ovarian IV Paclitaxel + carboplatin Y 7.20 Y
1W 70 M 0 – Lung III Carboplatin N 1.07 Y
C 73 F 1 – Biliary tract IV Capecitabine N 1.03 Y
C 73 M 1 Asthma Colon II Capecitabine N 1.59 Y
C 72 M 1 DM Colon II XELOX N 4.42 Y
C 73 M 2 – Gastric III XELOX N 0.80 Y
C 71 F 2 HT, DM Rectum IV Capecitabine + cetuximab N 0.05 N
C 76 M 1 – Colon IV Capecitabine N 0.95 N
IO 71 M 0 – RCC IV Nivolumab N 2.06 Y
IO 76 M 1 – RCC IV Nivolumab N 1.93 Y
1W: Cytotoxic drug or monoclonal antibody given each week; 2W: Cytotoxic drug or monoclonal antibody given every 2 weeks; 3W: Cytotoxic drug or monoclonal antibody given
every 3 weeks; 5-FU: Fluorouracil; C: Cytotoxic drug given continuously orally; CAD: Coronary artery disease; CAH: Congenital adrenal hyperplasia; CHF: Congestive heart failure;
COPD: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DM: Diabetes mellitus; ECOG PS: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; F: Female; FOLFIRI: Folinic acid, fluorouracil
and irinotecan; FOLFOX: Folinic acid, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin; FUFA: Fluorouracil and folinic acid; FLOT4: fluorouracil plus leucovorin, oxaliplatin, and docetaxel; GBM: Glioblastoma
multiforme; G-CSF: Granulocyte colony-stimulating factor; HT: Hypertension; IO: Immunotherapy given every 2 weeks; M: Male; mFOLFIRINOX: Modified folinic acid, fluorouracil,
irinotecan and oxaliplatin; N: No; RCC: Renal cell carcinoma; TNM: Tumor, node, metastasis; XELOX: Capecitabine and oxaliplatin; Y: Yes.
systemic therapy [15]. In the same study, it was stated that immunogenicity decreased independently of treatment
in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia. In another study evaluating 167 patients with chronic lymphocytic
leukemia, the immunogenicity rate was found to be 39.5% with the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine [16]. In
a study by Massarweh et al. that included patients with solid organ tumors or hematological malignancies receiving
active systemic therapy, it was shown that the mean antibody level detected after vaccination (BNT162b2 mRNA)
was lower than that seen in healthy individuals [17].
In previous influenza vaccine studies, it has been shown that the immunogenicity rate may be lower in im-
munosuppressive patients compared with healthy individuals [9]. Adjuvant and high-dose vaccines are beneficial
for increasing immunogenicity in seasonal influenza vaccines in immunosuppressive patients. It was also shown in
a meta-analysis that the immunogenicity of the influenza vaccine was lower in cancer patients, who constituted
Table 5. Local and systemic reactions after first and second vaccine doses.
First dose Second dose
Any grade Grade 1 Grade 2 Any grade Grade 1 Grade 2
Total, n (%) 9 (18.9) 7 (14.7) 2 (4.2) 11 (23.1) 8 (16.8) 3 (6.3)
Local reaction, n (%)
Pain at injection site 2 (4.2) 2 (4.2) 0 (0) 3 (6.3) 3 (6.3) 0 (0)
Swelling 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Itchiness 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Erythema 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 2 (4.2) 0 (0) 2 (4.2)
Systemic reaction, n (%)
Fever 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0) 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0)
Myalgia 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Fatigue 2 (4.2) 0 2 (4.2) 5 (10.5) 4 (8.4) 1 (2.1)
Headache 1 (2.1) 1 (2.1) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)
the immunosuppressive group, compared with healthy individuals [9,18]. In the VACANSE study in which the
immunogenicity of the H1N1v vaccine was evaluated in patients with solid organ tumors receiving active systemic
treatment, it was reported that a single dose of the vaccine did not provide sufficient immunogenicity [10]. However,
the immunogenicity might have increased had the vaccine been administered in two doses. Similarly, the fact
that immunogenicity was lower in the authors’ study compared with studies using healthy individuals raised the
question of whether administration of a booster CoronaVac vaccine dose may increase the immunogenicity rates;
this needs further clinical trials.
With aging, many molecular changes – called immunosenescence – occur in the immune system [19]. This
dysregulation in the elderly immune system causes a decrease in the immune response obtained with vaccines.
Considering that advanced age is a significant risk factor for COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, elderly patients
have been given priority for vaccination against COVID-19 in many countries, including the authors’ [20]. One of
the concerns in the vaccination of elderly patients is immunogenicity sufficiency. The CoronaVac phase I and II
trial, which was conducted with elderly volunteers, showed that the vaccine developed an immunogenicity profile
comparable to that seen with young adults, without any serious adverse events [7]. The authors’ study showed that
the only independent factor affecting immunogenicity in multivariate analysis was age (p = 0.043). As mentioned,
immunogenicity decreases with increasing age. This point might have also contributed to the lower immunogenicity
rate seen with the CoronaVac vaccine in the authors’ elderly cancer patients on active cancer treatment.
In the authors’ study, the cumulative rate of possible vaccine-related side effects observed after two doses of the
CoronaVac vaccine was 32%. Toxicity rates were reported to be 33 and 20% in the 3-μg cohorts of the Phase I
and II CoronaVac trials, which were conducted with younger and elderly healthy volunteers, respectively [6,7]. The
fatigue rate in the authors’ study was higher than that seen in other CoronaVac trials (14.7 vs <10 and 3%). The
higher fatigue rate in the authors’ patients might have been related to cancer diagnosis and its active treatment
during vaccination. Similar to the CoronaVac Phase I and II trials, no serious vaccine-related adverse events were
observed in the authors’ study.
Some researchers have hypothesized that the vaccine could hypothetically lead to an exaggerated immune response
in immunotherapy recipients [21]. However, in a study evaluating short-term safety in 134 patients who received
immunotherapy and the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, it was reported that there was no increase in
immunotherapy-related immune side effects [22]. In the authors’ study, only two patients received imunotherapy,
and they did not experience any side effects. The median interval between the vaccine and the start of the previous
immunotherapy cycle was 7 days in both patients.
This study did not have a validation cohort, which was a strong limitation. The study population also consisted of
elderly patients, which was another limitation. Lower immunogenicity rate in the geriatric population irrespective of
vaccination is a well-known finding, so it should be kept in mind that the study results do not reflect immunogenicity
with vaccination in young cancer patients receiving active systemic therapy. It is a fact that the development of
immunogenicity alone does not mean absolute protection from COVID-19 infection. Despite a median follow-up
period of 85 days, the authors note that this is not long enough to comment on whether the vaccine has a long-
term protective effect against COVID-19 infection. Another limitation was that cellular immunity, which has a
preventive effect against COVID-19 infection, was not evaluated in this study. Comorbidities and active cancer
treatment modalities might be confounding factors in the evaluation of ‘real’ vaccine-related side effects. Therefore,
it has been stated that the side effects were ‘probably’ related to the vaccine. The low number of patients and
absence of a control group are another limitation of the study. Despite these limitations, to the best of the authors’
knowledge, this study was the first to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the CoronaVac vaccine in cancer patients
undergoing active systemic cancer treatment with chemotherapy, monoclonal antibody or immunotherapy.
Conclusion
Immunogenicity developed with two doses of the CoronaVac vaccine (3 μg/day days 0 and 28) in more than half
of the patients with solid organ tumors undergoing active systemic cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Future Perspective
The fact that vaccination rates do not reach the targeted levels worldwide and virus mutations show that our fight
against COVID-19 will continue in the coming years. There is a need for studies investigating more effective
vaccination programs in cancer patients receiving active systemic therapy.
Summary points
• This prospective observational multicenter study was conducted with 47 patients with solid organ tumors
receiving active systemic therapy to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of the CoronaVac vaccine in patients
with solid organ tumors receiving active systemic therapy (cytotoxic chemotherapy, monoclonal antibody,
immunotherapy).
• Evaluation of vaccine immunogenicity was the primary outcome of the study; the secondary outcome was
determining the vaccine’s safety.
• The median patient age was 73 (range: 64–80), and 61.7% were male. Immunogenicity developed in 25 (59.5%)
of 42 patients who received at least one cytotoxic drug and in all patients (n = 5) who received monoclonal
antibody or immunotherapy alone.
• In univariate analysis, patients who had immunogenicity were younger, with a median age of 72 years (p = 0.031),
whereas the median age of those who had no seroconversion was 75 years.
• Immunogenicity developed in 47.1% of those who were administered granulocyte colony-stimulating factor and
73.3% of those who were not administered granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (p = 0.072).
• In multivariate analysis, the only independent predictive factor affecting immunogenicity was patient age (odds
ratio: 0.830; 95% CI: 0.693–0.994; p = 0.043).
• After the first and second doses of the vaccine, side effect rates of any grade were 18.9 and 23.1%, respectively,
and there were no serious (grade 3 or 4) side effects or toxic deaths.
• Immunogenicity developed with two doses of the CoronaVac vaccine (3 μg/day days 0 and 28) in more than half
of the patients with solid organ tumors undergoing active systemic cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Author contributions
C Karacin contributed to study concept, study design, data analysis and interpretation and manuscript writing. T Eren, E Zeynelgil,
G I Imamoglu, M Altinbas, I Karadag, F B Basal, I Bilgetekin, O Sutcuoglu, O Yazici, N Ozdemir, A Ozet, Y Yildiz, S A Esen, G Ucar,
D Uncu, B Dinc, M B Aykan, I Erturk, N Karadurmus, B Civelek and I Celik contributed to enrolling patients and interpreting data.
M Dogan contributed to enrolling patients and revising the manuscript. Y Ergun contributed to study concept, study design and
manuscript writing. O B Oksuzoglu contributed to study concept and revising the manuscript.
Acknowledgments
The authors thank all patients who participated in the study. Special thanks to Aydanur Sargın, Pinar Karacin, Arif Hakan Önder,
Hatice Yiğit, Zeynep Sipahi Karslı, Ayşe Ocak Duran.
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Articles
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01469-5
CoronaVac, an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, has been approved for emergency use in several countries. However, its
immunogenicity in immunocompromised individuals has not been well established. We initiated a prospective phase 4 con-
trolled trial (no. NCT04754698, CoronavRheum) in 910 adults with autoimmune rheumatic diseases (ARD) and 182 age- and
sex-frequency-matched healthy adults (control group, CG), who received two doses of CoronaVac. The primary outcomes were
reduction of ≥15% in both anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG seroconversion (SC) and neutralizing antibody (NAb) positivity 6 weeks (day
69 (D69)) after the second dose in the ARD group compared with that in the CG. Secondary outcomes were IgG SC and NAb
positivity at D28, IgG titers and neutralizing activity at D28 and D69 and vaccine safety. Prespecified endpoints were met, with
lower anti-SARS-Cov-2 IgG SC (70.4 versus 95.5%, P < 0.001) and NAb positivity (56.3 versus 79.3%, P < 0.001) at D69 in the
ARD group than in the CG. Moreover, IgG titers (12.1 versus 29.7, P < 0.001) and median neutralization activity (58.7 versus
64.5%, P = 0.013) were also lower at D69 in patients with ARD. At D28, patients with ARD presented with lower IgG frequency
(18.7 versus 34.6%, P < 0.001) and NAb positivity (20.6 versus 36.3%, P < 0.001) than that of the CG. There were no moder-
ate/severe adverse events. These data support the use of CoronaVac in patients with ARD, suggesting reduced but acceptable
short-term immunogenicity. The trial is still ongoing to evaluate the long-term effectiveness/immunogenicity.
S
evere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) 75% of the vaccines administered in Brazil. It can be kept refrig-
has infected millions of people around the world1. Brazil is erated8, a great advantage for deployment in developing countries.
among those countries with the highest numbers of con- In addition, the more traditional technology using the whole virus
firmed cases of, and deaths from, SARS-CoV-2 (refs. 1,2), with may have the benefit of a broader immune response compared to
>430,000 deaths registered and approximately 15 million cases as of the other vaccine platforms using only the Spike protein. This may
May 2021 (ref. 1). A second infection wave was driven by the Gamma be relevant for control of SARS-CoV-2 variants containing muta-
coronavirus variant3, which is considered to be 2.5-fold more conta- tions in the Spike protein, which have been documented in Brazil3,9.
gious than the original strain4 and possibly associated with a higher Cross-reactive humoral immune responses against the Gamma and
risk for hospitalization and intensive care unit admission in patients Zeta variants were achieved in healthy volunteers vaccinated with
younger than 60 years of age5. This second peak in March and April CoronaVac in a phase 3 clinical trial conducted in Brazil10,11.
2021 resulted in more than double the reported coronavirus disease However, the reported 50.7% efficacy in prevention of mild
2019 (COVID-19) cases of the first peak in 2020 (ref. 6). Vaccines COVID-19 in the phase 3 clinical trial10 raises concerns about the
are therefore essential in regard to reducing COVID-19 mortality immunogenicity of CoronaVac in immunosuppressed patients,
and morbidity. who number millions, including those with autoimmune diseases,
Although phase 3 clinical trials results are still being consoli- neoplasia, transplant recipients and those living with human immu-
dated in China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Brazil, Chile, Philippines nodeficiency virus (HIV) among other groups, with an estimated
and Turkey7, CoronaVac, an inactivated virus vaccine against prevalence in the United States of 2.7% of the population12. A recent
SARS-CoV-2, has received emergency use approval by the World letter reported a greatly reduced anti-Spike antibody response
Health Organization (WHO) in several countries, including three after two doses of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA 1273 or BNT162b2 vac-
of the six most populated in the world—Brazil, China and Turkey— cination in solid organ transplant recipients13,14. Previous studies
which are important for the global control of this disease. At the time on COVID-19 vaccine immunogenicity in patients with ARD
of this submission, CoronaVac has accounted for approximately have suggested slightly reduced humoral responses, but have been
1
Rheumatology Division, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. 2Pediatric Rheumatology Unit,
Instituto da Criança, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. 3Infectious Disease Department,
Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. 4Central Laboratory Division, Hospital das Clinicas
HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. 5Instituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. 6These authors contributed equally: Ana C. Medeiros-Ribeiro, Nadia E. Aikawa. ✉e-mail: eloisa.bonfa@hc.fm.usp.br
Table 2 | Seroconversion rates at D28 and D69; anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG titers before (D0) and after the first (D28) and second
dose (D69) of CoronaVac vaccination in patients with ARD and CG
SC GMT (Au ml–1) FI-GMT
D28 D69 D0 D28 D69 D0 to D28 D0 to D69
ARD, n = 859 161 (18.7) 605 (70.4) 2.2 (2.2–2.3) 5.1 (4.7–5.5) 27.0 (24.7–29.5) 2.3 (2.1–2.5) 12.1 (11.0–13.2)
CG, n = 179 62 (34.6) 171 (95.5) 2.3 (2.1–2.4) 10.3 (8.5–12.5) 67.0 (59.8–74.9) 4.6 (3.9–5.4) 29.7 (26.3–33.5)
P (ARD versus CG) <0.0001 <0.0001 >0.9990 <0.0010 <0.0010 <0.0010 <0.0010
SC is defined as post-vaccination titer ≥15 AU ml–1 by indirect ELISA, LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG. Frequencies of SC are presented as number (%), and were compared using a two-sided chi-square
test between ARD and CG at prespecified time points (D28 and D69). IgG antibody titers and FI-GMT are expressed as geometric means with 95% CI. Data regarding IgG titers were analyzed using
ANOVA with repeated measures and two factors (two groups (ARD versus CG) at three time points (D0, D28 and D69)), followed by Bonferroni’s multiple comparisons at ln-transformed data
(Supplementary Table 1). The behavior of IgG titers was different for ARD and CG groups between D28 and D69: mean titers increased at each time point for ARD and CG (P < 0.001). FI-GMT values
were compared using the Mann–Whitney U-test for intergroup comparisons in ln-transformed data at prespecified time points (D28 and D69). All analyses were two-sided.
Table 3 | Frequency of NAb and median percentage of neutralizing activity in positive cases, after the first (D28) and second dose
(D69) of CoronaVac vaccination in patients with ARD in comparison to CG
D28 D69
Subjects with positive Neutralizing activity (%) Subjects with positive Neutralizing activity (%)
NAb, n (%) median (IQR) NAb, n (%) median (IQR)
ARD, n = 859 177 (20.6) 42.6 (35.8–60.4) 484 (56.3) 58.7 (43.1–77.2)
CG, n =179 65 (36.3) 45 (34 .5–71.1) 142 (79.3) 64.5 (48.4–81.4)
P (ARD versus CG) <0.0001 0.4900 <0.0001 0.0130
Frequencies of subjects with positive NAb are expressed as number (%). Positivity for NAb was defined as neutralizing activity ≥30% (cPass sVNT Kit). Data were compared using a two-sided chi-square
test between ARD and CG at prespecified time points (D28 and D69). Percentage of neutralizing activity among subjects with positive NAb is expressed as median (IQR). Data were compared using a
two-sided Mann–Whitney U-test for comparison between ARD and CG, at prespecified time points (D28 and D69).
(Extended Data Fig. 1). Enrollment and vaccination occurred on leflunomide, 13.1% mycophenolate mofetil, 12% azathioprine and
the same day for each participant. The first subject was enrolled and <3% others. Of those 321 (35.3%) patients were being treated using
vaccinated on 9 February 2021 and the last participant was enrolled biologic therapies, 15.2% were using tumor necrosis factor inhibitor
and vaccinated on 24 February 2021. The majority (n = 1,017, (TNFi), 5.6% abatacept, 5.5% tocilizumab, 3.3% belimumab, 3.2%
93.1%) of patients and controls were recruited and vaccinated on 9 secukinumab and <3% others (Table 1).
or 10 February 2021, with no differences between the ARD and CG For the primary outcome analysis of immunogenicity, we
groups (92.7 versus 95.1%, P = 0.261). Patients and controls were excluded 38 (4.2%) participants (35 patients with ARD and three
followed until D79 after the first vaccine dose (D0) for analysis of CG participants) with real-time RT–PCR-confirmed COVID-19
immunogenicity and incident cases in this study. The trial is no lon- after either the first or second dose of vaccine until D69, and 16/910
ger recruiting, but it is still ongoing for long-term effectiveness and (1.5%) patients who did not attend the final visit (D69), including
immunogenicity. two deaths not related to COVID-19.
Patients with ARD had the following disease diagnoses: chronic
inflammatory arthritis (CIA) (n = 451, 49.6%), rheumatoid arthri- Primary immunogenicity outcomes. Humoral response param-
tis (RA) (n = 256, 28.1%), axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) (n = 106, eters in the remaining 859 patients with ARD and 179 controls, all
11.6%) or psoriatic arthritis (PsA) (n = 89, 9.8%) and other systemic with negative anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG antibodies and NAb pre-
ARD (n = 459, 50.4%), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) (n = 232, vaccination, are shown in Tables 2 and 3.
25.5%), primary vasculitis (n = 66, 7.3%), primary Sjögren’s syn- The study met the primary outcomes, defined as a minimum of
drome (pSSj) (n = 42, 4.6%), systemic sclerosis (SSc) (n = 41, 4.5%), 15% reduction in anti-S1/S2 SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC and in the presence
idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM) (n = 41, 4.5%) and pri- of NAb in patients with ARD compared to CG at 6 weeks (D69) after
mary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) (n = 37, 4.1%) (Table 1). the second dose. Analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG response
The control group (n = 182, CG) included hospital cleaning and at D69 revealed a lower SC rate in patients with ARD (70.4 versus
general maintenance services workers (n = 109, 59.9%), health 95.5%, P < 0.001). Similarly, NAb positivity was lower in patients
professionals (n = 45, 24.7%) and hospital administrative services with ARD compared to controls (56.3 versus 79.3%, P < 0.001).
employees or their relatives (n = 28, 15.4%).
The ARD and CG groups had comparable median ages (51 Secondary outcomes. Secondary immunogenicity outcomes
versus 50 years, P = 0.985) and enrollment of females (76.9 versus defined by anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC at D28, as well as IgG GMT
76.9%, P > 0.999) (Table 1). Frequencies of comorbidity were higher and FI-GMT at D28 and D69, are presented in Table 2 and Fig. 1.
in ARD, particularly systemic arterial hypertension (44.0 versus SARS-CoV-2 cPass virus NAb positivity at D28 and median activity
30.2%, P = 0.001), dyslipidemia (27.0 versus 7.7%, P < 0.001), inter- of NAb at D28 and D69 were also secondary outcomes (Table 3).
stitial lung disease (8.6 versus 0%, P < 0.001), cardiomyopathy (5.7 A minority of participants in both groups developed anti-SARS-
versus 1.6%, P = 0.024) and chronic renal disease (4.8 versus 0%, CoV-2 IgG antibodies after the first dose (D28), with a lower fre-
P = 0.001) (Table 1). A total of 348 (38.2%) patients with ARD were quency and level in patients with ARD compared to CG (161
receiving ongoing treatment with prednisone and 573 (63.0%) were (18.7%) versus 62 (34.6%), P < 0.001) and FI-GMT (2.3 (95% confi-
using immunosuppressive drugs. Of those patients treated with dence interval (CI) 2.1–2.5) versus 4.6 (95% CI 3.9–5.4), P < 0.001).
immunosuppressive drugs, 25.2% were using methotrexate, 14.3% The SC rates doubled after the second vaccine dose, with an
7
and somnolence (13.6 versus 10.4%, P = 0.243). Overall reac-
tions were more frequently reported in patients with ARD than
6
CG (50.5 versus 40.1%, P = 0.011), including arthralgia (13.5
# #
5
versus 6.0%, P = 0.005), back pain (9.8 versus 4.9%, P = 0.037),
malaise (9.5 versus 4.4%, P = 0.026), nausea (6.1 versus 2.2%,
4 P = 0.032) and sweating (5.6 versus 1.1%, P = 0.007). After the
second dose, patients with ARD reported less local itching (2.7
3 versus 5.5%, P = 0.047) and more sweating (5.3 versus 1.1%,
P = 0.010) (Table 4).
2
Factors associated with lower anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC and NAb
1 positivity in patients with ARD. We also analyzed factors associ-
ated with anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC and NAb positivity as explor-
0 atory outcomes (Table 5). Patients with negative anti-SARS-CoV-2
ARD ARD ARD CG CG CG
D0 D28 D69 D0 D28 D69
IgG after two doses of CoronaVac (D69) were of older age
(P < 0.001), with a higher frequency of females (81.9 versus 74.7%,
P = 0.023) compared to those with positive anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG.
Fig. 1 | Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG titers of patients with ARD and
Non-seroconverters used the following therapies more often: pred-
subjects in CG at D0, D28 and D69. Box plots show the distribution of
nisone (55.9 versus 31.1%, P < 0.001) and prednisone ≥20 mg day–1
ln-transformed IgG titers over time. Data for each group (ARD, n = 859 and
(5.5 versus 2.6%, P = 0.037); immunosuppressants (81.9 versus
CG, n = 179) are presented at each time point as box plots: central values
54.5%, P < 0.001), particularly methotrexate (34.6 versus 21.7%,
within boxes correspond to median (50th percentile, or Q2); the range
P < 0.001) and mycophenolate mofetil (24.4 versus 7.9%, P < 0.001);
between the lower (25th percentile, or Q1) and upper (75th percentile, or
and biologic therapy (44.1 versus 32.2%, P = 0.001), especially
Q3) bounds of the boxes is the IQR. Whiskers represent scores outside
abatacept (11.4 versus 3.3%, P < 0.001) and rituximab (4.3 versus
IQR and ends in maximum (higher “calculated value” = Q3 + 1.5 x IQR)
1.3%, P = 0.006) (Table 5). Multivariate logistic regression analy-
and minimum (lower “calculated value” = Q1 – 1.5 x IQR). Spots are outliers
sis (Supplementary Table 2) was performed using as dependent
above the maximum or under the minimum values. The minimum possible
variables SC or the presence of NAb at D69 (primary endpoint),
value is 0.64 (ln 1.9, the value attributed to IgG titers ≤3.8 AU ml–1). Data
and as independent variables those with P < 0.2 in the univari-
regarding IgG titers were analyzed using ANOVA with repeated measures
ate analysis presented in Table 5. This analysis revealed that age
and two factors (two groups (ARD versus CG), at three time points
≥60 years (odds ratio (OR) = 0.51; 95% CI 0.36–0.74, P < 0.001),
(D0, D28 and D69)), followed by Bonferroni’s multiple comparison of
prednisone (OR = 0.40; 95% CI 0.28–0.56, P < 0.001), methotrexate
ln-transformed data (Supplementary Table 1). Tests were always two-sided.
(OR = 0.42; 95% CI 0.29–0.61, P < 0.001), mycophenolate mofetil
The mean behavior of the ln-transformed IgG titers was different in ARD
(OR = 0.15; 95% CI 0.09–0.24, P < 0.001), TNFi (OR = 0.41; 95% CI
and CG groups at D28 (P < 0.001) and D69 (P < 0.001). Mean titers
0.26–0.64, P < 0.001), abatacept (OR = 0.24; 95% CI 0.13–0.46,
increased at each time point for ARD and CG (*P < 0.001). At D28 and
P < 0.001) and rituximab (OR = 0.34; 95% CI 0.13–0.93, P = 0.036)
D69 evaluations, patients with ARD presented lower mean titers than CG
were associated with the absence of SC in patients with ARD
(#P < 0.001). ARD and CG were comparable only at D0 (P > 0.999). Dotted
(Supplementary Table 2).
line denotes the cut-off level for positivity (ln 15 AU ml–1 = 2.71 by Indirect
Similarly, patients with negative NAb after complete vaccination
ELISA, LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG).
(D69) were older (52 (43–62) versus 49 (39–59) years, P < 0.001)
than those with positive NAb. Patients with negative NAb at D69
were more frequently ≥60 years of age (32.5 versus 22.5%, P = 0.001)
increase of more than fivefold in GMT (FI-GMT) for both groups and using prednisone (49.3 versus 30%, P < 0.001), immunosup-
(Table 2 and Fig. 1). pressants (72.5 versus 55%, P < 0.001), including methotrexate
According to Bonferroni’s multiple comparison, the mean (30.4 versus 21.7%, P = 0.004) and mycophenolate mofetil (17.9
behavior of the neperian logarithm (ln)-transformed IgG titers versus 8.9%, P < 0.001) or biologic therapy (41.3 versus 31.4%,
was different in the ARD and CG groups between D28 and P = 0.003), including abatacept (8.0 versus 3.9%, P = 0.011) and
D69 (P < 0.001). Mean IgG titers were similar at D0 in both groups rituximab (4.0 versus 0.8%, P = 0.002) (Table 5). Multivariate analy-
(P > 0.999) and increased at each time point for ARD and CG sis identified age ≥60 years (OR = 0.65; 95% CI 0.46–0.91, P = 0.011),
(P < 0.001). At the D28 and D69 evaluations, patients with ARD prednisone (OR = 0.48; 95% CI 0.35–0.65, P < 0.001), methotrexate
presented lower mean titers than CG (P < 0.001) (Table 2, Fig. 1 and (OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.47–0.95, P = 0.024), mycophenolate mofetil
Supplementary Table 1). (OR = 0.33; 95% CI 0.21–0.53, P < 0.001) and rituximab (OR = 0.28;
Analysis of the dynamics of NAb detection showed that after the 95% CI 0.09–0.87, P = 0.028) as associated with the absence of neu-
first dose (D28), a minority of participants had positive antibod- tralizing activity in patients with ARD (Supplementary Table 2).
ies and patients with ARD had lower frequencies (177 (20.6%) ver-
sus 65 (36.3%), P < 0.001), but with similar median (IQR) activity COVID-19 incident cases. For the analysis of incident cases,
(42.6% (35.8–60.4) versus 45% (34.5–71.1), P = 0.490) compared another exploratory outcome was used—participants were fol-
with CG (Table 3). At D69, lower median (IQR) neutralization lowed during strictly equivalent time periods of 40 days before
activity (58.7% (43.1–77.2) versus 64.5% (48.4–81.4), P = 0.013) and after full vaccination: from D0 to D39 and from D40 to D79.
was observed. Therefore, the evaluation period for incident cases was extended
to 10 days (D79) after the final immunogenicity analysis (D69). A
Vaccine tolerance and safety. Vaccine safety analysis, another total of 39 incident symptomatic, RT–PCR-confirmed COVID-19
secondary outcome, is illustrated in Table 4. No moderate/severe cases among patients with ARD and CG were observed during the
adverse events (AEs) related to the vaccine were reported. After evaluation periods, with no significant difference between groups
the first dose, the most frequently reported vaccine reactions in (4.0 versus 1.6%, P = 0.186). The frequency of cases occurring
Table 4 | Adverse events following CoronaVac vaccination in patients with ARD and CG
After vaccine first dose After vaccine second dose
ARD (n = 909) CG (n = 182) P value ARD (n = 893) CG (n = 181) P value
No symptoms 450 (49.5) 109 (59.9) 0.011 545 (61.0) 118 (65.2) 0.293
Local reactions (at the injection site) 213 (23.4) 36 (19.8) 0.284 154 (17.2) 32 (17.7) 0.888
Pain 180 (19.8) 31 (17.0) 0.388 125 (14.0) 30 (16.6) 0.368
Erythema 25 (2.8) 5 (2.7) 0.998 23 (2.6) 3 (1.7) 0.602
Swelling 43 (4.7) 12 (6.6) 0.294 45 (5.0) 10 (5.5) 0.787
Bruising 28 (3.1) 6 (3.3) 0.878 23 (2.6) 2 (1.1) 0.232
Pruritus 28 (3.1) 4 (2.2) 0.637 24 (2.7) 10 (5.5) 0.047
Induration 56 (6.2) 4 (2.2) 0.032 41 (4.6) 12 (6.6) 0.248
Systemic reactions 392 (43.3) 61 (33.5) 0.014 298 (33.4) 56 (30.9) 0.526
Fever 25 (2.8) 5 (2.7) 0.998 23 (2.6) 7 (3.9) 0.336
Malaise 86 (9.5) 8 (4.4) 0.026 80 (9.0) 15 (8.3) 0.772
Somnolence 124 (13.6) 19 (10.4) 0.243 83 (9.3) 15 (8.3) 0.668
Lack of appetite 37 (4.1) 7 (3.8) 0.888 37 (4.1) 7 (3.9) 0.864
Nausea 55 (6.1) 4 (2.2) 0.032 58 (6.5) 13 (7.2) 0.734
Vomiting 14 (1.5) 1 (0.5) 0.488 11 (1.2) 2 (1.1) >0.999
Diarrhea 56 (6.2) 9 (4.9) 0.527 56 (6.3) 12 (6.6) 0.857
Abdominal pain 44 (4.8) 7 (3.8) 0.562 43 (4.8) 10 (5.5) 0.688
Vertigo 64 (7.0) 9 (4.9) 0.302 46 (5.2) 9 (5.0) 0.921
Tremor 22 (2.4) 1 (0.5) 0.155 20 (2.2) 2 (1.1) 0.562
Headache 184 (20.2) 20 (11.0) 0.003 130 (14.6) 33 (18.2) 0.209
Fatigue 99 (10.9) 14 (7.7) 0.196 95 (10.6) 22 (12.2) 0.550
Sweating 51 (5.6) 2 (1.1) 0.007 47 (5.3) 2 (1.1) 0.010
Myalgia 81 (8.9) 10 (5.5) 0.128 78 (8.7) 17 (9.4) 0.776
Muscle weakness 68 (7.5) 7 (3.8) 0.077 68 (7.6) 11 (6.1) 0.470
Arthralgia 123 (13.5) 11 (6.0) 0.005 93 (10.4) 13 (7.2) 0.184
Back pain 89 (9.8) 9 (4.9) 0.037 77 (8.6) 19 (10.5) 0.420
Cough 63 (6.9) 8 (4.4) 0.206 57 (6.4) 12 (6.6) 0.902
Sneezing 75 (8.3) 9 (4.9) 0.127 87 (9.7) 18 (9.9) 0.933
Coryza 75 (8.3) 13 (7.1) 0.616 76 (8.5) 17 (9.4) 0.701
Stuffy nose 52 (5.7) 8 (4.4) 0.474 55 (6.2) 11 (6.1) 0.967
Sore throat 67 (7.4) 7 (3.8) 0.084 60 (6.7) 11 (6.1) 0.751
Shortness of breath 29 (3.2) 6 (3.3) 0.941 23 (2.6) 6 (3.3) 0.576
Conjunctivitis 12 (1.3) 0 0.235 9 (1.0) 2 (1.1) >0.999
Pruritus 33 (3.6) 3 (1.6) 0.253 39 (4.4) 6 (3.3) 0.519
Skin rash 9 (1.0) 3 (1.6) 0.433 14 (1.6) 0 0.090
Results are presented as n (%) and compared with the chi-square or Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate, always as two-sided analyses.
between D0 and D39 (until 10 days after the second dose) was higher Finally, we considered environmental factors that could influ-
compared to D40–D79 (33/1,092 (3.0%) versus 6/1,057 (0.6%), ence SARS-CoV-2 infection risk in those participants who answered
P < 0.0001). Four patients with ARD were hospitalized (<10 days the targeted questions about their exposure. Patients with ARD
after the second dose) and none died from COVID-19. There was reported higher adherence to social isolation 69.5 versus 21.7%,
no hospitalizations or deaths associated with COVID-19 in the P < 0.001) with lower household contact with infected people (4.6
CG. Eighteen symptomatic participants with RT–PCR-confirmed versus 15.5%, P = 0.0001) and lower use of public transportation
COVID-19 were genotyped in our service; 83.3% of infections were (47.7 versus 81.7%, P < 0.001) compared to CG. The numbers of
due to Gamma variants, 5.6% to Alpha and 11.1% to other variants. people living in the same home were comparable in both groups
SARS-CoV-2 genotyping could not be performed in the remaining (median of two).
21 symptomatic participants because they were unable to attend
our center due to the long traveling distance involved, and therefore Discussion
their samples were collected for RT–PCR at an independent labora- Vaccination of immunosuppressed patients, who were excluded
tory near to their home. from phase 3 vaccine trials, is of the utmost importance since
patients with ARD have an increased risk of hospitalization for sic risk for thrombosis28, a rare complication reported for some of
severe COVID-19 (refs. 21,24). In this large prospective study of an the new COVID-19 vaccines29, and autoimmune/autoinflamma-
inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in patients with ARD, CoronaVac tory manifestations, a problem with adjuvanted vaccines in this
demonstrated a good safety profile with no serious/moderate AEs already predisposed population30. Similar to previous results from
related to the vaccine. The vaccine was immunogenic in patients CoronaVac trials in healthy populations31, most vaccine-related AEs
with ARD, but at lower levels when compared to the CG. Controlling were mild with pain at the injection site being the most frequently
the groups for age was essential, since SC may be lower in the reported. Interestingly, vaccine-related AEs, particularly systemic
older population10, and this differentiates the current trial from symptoms, were much less frequent in both ARD and CG than those
earlier studies15–18. reported with mRNA vaccines32,33. These data confirm the previ-
We prospectively included a large population of patients with ously reported safety profile of CoronaVac11, and extend this finding
ARD representing eight systemic diseases fulfilling their respective to a large group of immunocompromised patients. Data on disease
classification criteria, and followed all participants with scheduled activity were not available due to the study design, with approxi-
face-to-face appointments, telephone, smartphone instant messag- mately 93% of participants vaccinated in a single center over 2 days,
ing and email contacts, which allowed a more precise monitoring of and therefore the influence of this factor on CoronaVac immunoge-
vaccine-induced AEs in this population. Tolerance and safety are a nicity remains to be determined. The lack of assessment of vaccine
relevant concern for patients with ARD, since they have an intrin- T cell responses was another limitation of the present study34,35.
The exclusion of seropositive participants and those with In this 40-day interval in which vaccine immunity is already
COVID-19 during the study period allowed a more accurate evalu- expected, the frequency of COVID-19 cases was notably lower
ation of the immunogenicity of CoronaVac. In addition, there was than in the previous 40 days after the first vaccination (D0–D39).
no difference in blood sample collection timing between the two The unanticipated overall similar frequency of SARS-CoV-2
groups because most participants received vaccine in the same time- infection in patients with ARD, a known vulnerable immunosup-
frame, precluding the possible confounding nonlinear relationship pressed population, compared to CG during the study period may
between the elapsed time and the vaccine. We observed lower be explained by the higher adherence to social isolation and lower
CoronaVac immunogenicity in patients with ARD, although within household contact with infected people, as well as by reduced use of
the immunologic response standards (SC rates and GMT) estab- public transportation among patients. It may also be related to high
lished by the European Medicine Agency and the Food and Drugs exposure due to the professions of the majority of CG. The small
Administration recommendations for Emergency Use Authorization number of new RT–PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases during the
of pandemic vaccines36,37. The 70% SC rate was comparable to that observation period hampers, however, a definitive conclusion on
obtained against the pandemic influenza A /H1N1 inactivated vac- the role of vaccine efficacy. The Gamma variant was the dominant
cine (approximately 63%)27, but lower than those reported for the strain amongst incident cases, in line with the virologic surveillance
SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine in a very small ARD population17 and in the region, where Gamma represented 90% of all sequenced sam-
in a study with patients predominantly using cytokine inhibitors ples in the state in late April 2021 followed by Alpha and Beta as
and with limited representation of systemic diseases16. There was the other VOC41.
a substantial increase in immune response parameters, including In conclusion, this study provides evidence of safety and
anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG titers and SC and NAb positivity rates, only reduced, but acceptable, short-term immunogenicity of an inacti-
after the second dose, reinforcing the importance of the full vac- vated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in the ARD population. The impact of
cination schedule for optimal vaccine immunogenicity, particularly this diminished humoral response on long-term vaccine effective-
in the ARD group. Similar to the anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody ness is already ongoing, and it will also shed light on the persistence
response, the frequency of mean inhibitory neutralizing activity of CoronaVac-elicited immune responses and the need for a vaccine
against SARS-CoV-2 (56.4%) was reduced compared to controls booster.
and that reported after SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination15,16. Again,
the second dose was essential to achieving the maximum response Online content
for both groups, with a lower neutralization activity in ARD than in Any methods, additional references, Nature Research report-
CG after the two vaccine doses. A recent report including 53 patients ing summaries, source data, extended data, supplementary infor-
with RA who had received mRNA vaccines also emphasized the mation, acknowledgements, peer review information; details of
importance of a second dose to improve immunogenicity38. author contributions and competing interests; and statements of
The profile of tertiary hospital patients evaluated in this trial, data and code availability are available at https://doi.org/10.1038/
with a high frequency being treated with immunosuppressive/ s41591-021-01469-5.
glucocorticoid/biological therapies, probably contributed to the
reduced humoral response observed in the ARD group. In fact, Received: 22 May 2021; Accepted: 15 July 2021;
63% were on immunosuppressive therapy and more than one-third Published online: 30 July 2021
on prednisone and biologics. Of note, these three groups of drugs
were identified as independent variables that negatively impact References
both anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG and neutralizing antibodies following 1. WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard with vaccination data. WHO
https://covid19.who.int (2021).
vaccination. Among the immunosuppressive drugs, methotrexate 2. de Souza, W. M. et al. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics
and mycophenolate mofetil had the greatest negative impact on of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. Nat. Hum. Behav. 4,
immunogenicity whereas abatacept and rituximab were the most 856–865 (2020).
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with other studies in patients with ARD and on other COVID vac- in Manaus, Brazil. Science 372, 815–821 (2021).
4. Coutinho, R. M. et al. Model-based estimation of transmissibility and
cines15,17,18,39 although these earlier reports did not control for age, reinfection of SARS-CoV-2 P. 1 variant. Preprint at https://www.medrxiv.
which may limit the strength of the conclusions that can be drawn org/content/10.1101/2021.03.03.21252706v (2021).
regarding the impact of these drugs18. Specifically for CoronaVac, 5. Funk, T. et al. Characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern B.1.1.7,
these data added new information since another small trial found B.1.351 or P.1: data from seven EU/EEA countries, weeks 38/2020 to 10/2021.
rituximab to be the only drug associated with low seropositiv- Eurosurveillance 26, 2100348 (2021).
6. Coronavírus Brasil. Painel coronavírus. Ministério da Saúde https://covid.
ity after complete vaccination in immunocompromised patients19. saude.gov.br/ (2021).
We also found a detrimental effect of TNFi therapy solely on 7. Bueno, S. M. et al. Interim report: safety and immunogenicity of an
anti-S1/S2 IgG response, contrasting with a recent study of patients inactivated vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 in healthy Chilean adults in a
with ARD16. However, our findings require further investigation phase 3 clinical trial. Preprint at https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/
since most patients with CIA under TNFi were also being treated 2021.03.31.21254494v1 (2021).
8. Dizeres de texto de bula – Professional da Saude. Instituto Batantan https://
with methotrexate, which itself was associated with reduced vacinacovid.butantan.gov.br/assets/arquivos/Bulas_Anvisa/2021.04.23 -
humoral responses in the present trial. Bula profissional da saúde.pdf (2021).
Although not the main objective of this study, these data 9. Dejnirattisai, W. et al. Antibody evasion by the P.1 strain of SARS-CoV-2. Cell
also provide preliminary evidence of the short-term efficacy of 184, 2939–2954 (2021).
CoronaVac in prevention of symptomatic COVID-19 cases. An 10. Palacios, R. et al. Efficacy and safety of a COVID-19 inactivated vaccine in
healthcare professionals in Brazil: the PROFISCOV Study. Preprint at
extension period of observation (up to 12 months) for incident cases https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3822780 (2021).
is already in progress. Importantly, the majority of patients with 11. Zhang, M.-X. et al. Safety of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine among
ARD and CG were all vaccinated at the same epidemiological week healthcare workers in China. Expert Rev. Vaccines https://www.tandfonline.
over a 2-day period, providing a unique setting of comparable influ- com/doi/full/10.1080/14760584.2021 (2021).
12. Harpaz, R., Dahl, R. M. & Dooling, K. L. Prevalence of immunosuppression
ence of the ongoing local SARS-CoV-2 infection rates. Remarkably,
among US adults, 2013. JAMA 316, 2547–2548 (2016).
the 45% increase in COVID-19 cases in Sao Paulo occurred from 13. Boyarsky, B. J. et al. Immunogenicity of a single dose of SARS-CoV-2
mid-March through to the end of April, coinciding with the study messenger RNA vaccine in solid organ transplant recipients. J. Am. Med.
period between D40 and D79 (>10 days after the second dose)40. Assoc. 325, 1784–1786 (2021).
Methods SARS-CoV-2 cPass virus NAb. The SARS-CoV-2 sVNT Kit (GenScript) was
Ethics statement. The protocol was conducted according to the Declaration of utilized according to the manufacturer’s instructions. This analysis detects
Helsinki and local regulations, and approved by the National and Institutional circulating NAb against SARS-CoV-2 that block the interaction between the RBD
Ethical Committee of Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, of the viral Spike glycoprotein with the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 cell
Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil (no. CAAE: 42566621.0.0000.0068). surface receptor. Tests were performed on ETI-MAX-3000 equipment (DiaSorin).
Written informed consent was obtained from all participants before enrollment, Samples were classified as either “positive” (inhibition ≥30%) or “negative”
including an agreement for sharing of source data following publication of this (inhibition <30%), as suggested by the manufacturer52. The frequency of positive
manuscript, with indirect identifiers. There was no participant compensation. samples was calculated at all time points. Medians (IQR) of the percentage of
neutralizing activity, for positive samples only, were calculated at all time points.
Study design. This phase 4 prospective controlled clinical trial (CoronavRheum
clinicaltrials.gov, no. NCT04754698) was conducted at a single tertiary center Vaccine AEs and incident cases of COVID-19. Safety was rigorously followed
in Brazil. by the National Research Ethics Council, and all serious AEs were classified as
either vaccine related or not related. In addition an independent Data Safety
Patients and controls. Patients with ARD and ≥18 years of age from the Monitoring Board, comprising vaccine-prominent experts, periodically reviewed
Outpatient Rheumatology Clinics at our center were included, with the following and evaluated the study protocol. Patients and control groups were advised to
diagnoses: RA42, SLE43, axSpA44, PsA45, primary vasculitis46,47, pSSj48, SSc49, IIM50 report any side effects of the vaccine; to this end, they received on D0 (first dose)
and PAPS51. and D28 (second dose) a standardized diary for recording of local and systemic
After confirmation of participation by patients with ARD, CG were invited, manifestations. Local manifestations included local pain, erythema, swelling,
with frequency matching by age (up to ±5 years difference) and sex, using an bruising, pruritus and induration at the vaccine site. Systemic reactions included
Excel program for random selection of participants (one control/five patients). fever, malaise, somnolence, lack of appetite, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, abdominal
None of these were previously vaccinated in the hospital’s regular campaign. ARD pain, vertigo, tremor, headache, fatigue, myalgia, muscle weakness, arthralgia,
diagnosis, use of immunosuppressive drugs and HIV infection were exclusion back pain, cough, sneezing, coryza, stuffy nose, sore throat, shortness of breath,
criteria for CG, whereas other well-controlled medical conditions were allowed conjunctivitis, pruritus and skin rash. Vaccine AE severity was defined according
in the CG group (Extended Data Fig. 1). None of the patients included in this to the WHO definition53.
analysis held medications to improve vaccine response. Environmental factors associated with high risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2
Overall exclusion criteria were: history of anaphylactic response to vaccine were recorded from all participants, including adherence to social isolation,
components; acute febrile illness or symptoms compatible with COVID-19 at number of people living in the same house, household contact with infected people
vaccination; Guillain–Barré syndrome; decompensated heart failure (class III or and use of public transportation.
IV); demyelinating disease; previous vaccination with any SARS-CoV-2 vaccine; Additionally, to evaluate incident COVID-19 cases (exploratory outcome), all
history of live virus vaccine up to 4 weeks previously; inactivated viral vaccine up patients with ARD and controls were instructed to communicate any manifestation
to 2 weeks previously; history of having received blood products up to 6 months associated or not with COVID-19 by telephone, smartphone instant messaging
before the study; individuals who did not agree to participate in the study; or email. Our medical team was divided to provide a proper follow-up for
hospitalized patients; and prevaccination positive COVID-19 serology and/or the assigned group of patients/controls including the need for medical care,
NAb (for immunogenicity analysis) (Extended Data Fig. 1). hospitalizations, severity of infections, sick days and treatment. Participants with
After receiving the first vaccine dose, participants with RT–PCR-confirmed suspicion of COVID-19 were instructed to seek medical care near their residence
COVID-19 were excluded from the immunogenicity analysis but included in the and, if recommended, to come to our tertiary hospital to undergo a RT–PCR test
evaluation of incident cases. for SARS-CoV-2 or make an in-person visit. If tertiary care was required, the
participant was transferred to a referenced hospital. The standardized diary of AEs
Vaccination protocol. The vaccination protocol for patients with ARD and GC was carefully reviewed with each participant on the day of the second dose (D28)
consisted of a two-dose schedule of the COVID-19 vaccine. The first dose (with and at the last visit (D69). COVID-19 incident cases were followed for 40 days
blood collection) was given for most participants on 9–10 February 2021 (D0), the (from D0 to 10 days after the second dose (D39)) and thereafter for the following
second dose (with blood collection) on 9–10 March 2021 (D28) and a final blood 40 days (from D40 to D79).
collection on 19 April 2021 (D69) at the Hospital Convention Center. Incident Study data were collected and managed using REDCap electronic data capture
COVID-19 cases were assessed for a further 10 days until D79. This protocol was tools (10.5.0, 2021 Vanderbilt University) hosted at our Institution54,55.
delayed by 4 weeks for participants with incident COVID-19 during the study.
Ready-to-use syringes loaded with CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, batch no. RT–PCR for SARS-CoV-2 and analysis of VOC. Clinical samples for
20200412), consisting of 3 µg in 0.5 ml of β-propiolactone-inactivated SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 RT–PCR consisted of naso- and oropharyngeal swabs, using a
(derived from the CN02 strain of SARS-CoV-2 grown in African green monkey laboratory-developed test56. All participants with positive test results were invited
kidney cells—Vero 25 cells) with aluminum hydroxide as an adjuvant, were to collect samples at our hospital, and these materials were further analyzed
administered intramuscularly in the deltoid area. for VOC. RNA was extracted using the QIAamp Viral RNA Mini Kit (Qiagen)
according to the manufacturer’s instructions. For rapid access of VOC, we
Primary and secondary outcomes. The primary outcome was humoral performed two real-time PCR protocols in parallel. Romano et al.57 used two sets
immunogenicity assessed by two coprimary endpoints: the presence of anti-S1/S2 of probes to detect NSP6 Δ 106–108, which encodes a protein that participates
SARS-CoV-2 IgG and the presence of NAb 6 weeks after the second vaccine in the viral replication process and allows the differentiation of ancestral variants
dose (D69). from Alpha, Beta and Gamma VOC. The protocol of Vogels et al. uses a multiplex
Secondary immunogenicity outcomes were: anti-S1/S2 IgG seroconversion and quantitative RT–PCR (RT–qPCR) assay that targets three regions (N1, ORF1a
the presence of NAb at D28 (after vaccine first dose); geometric mean titers Δ3675–3677 and Spike Δ69–70 primer) and facilitates differentiation of Alpha
of anti-S1/S2 IgG and their factor increase in GMT (FI-GMT) at D28 and D69; VOC from Beta and Gama VOC, and from ancestral variants58. To confirm the
and median (IQR) neutralizing activity of NAb at D28 and D69. results, we sequenced the virus using a combination of targeted multiplex PCR
A further secondary outcome was safety related to the vaccine doses. amplification and a portable nanopore sequencing MinION platform (Oxford
Additionally, factors associated with anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG SC and NAb positivity Nanopore Technologies)3,58. In brief, complementary DNA was synthesized
and incident COVID-19 case evaluation were exploratory outcomes. with random hexamers and the Protoscript II First Strand cDNA synthesis Kit
(New England Biolabs). Whole-genome multiplex PCR amplification was then
Samples for immunogenicity evaluation. To assess these outcomes, blood samples conducted using the ARTIC network SARS-CoV-2 V3 primer scheme. Multiplex
(20 ml) from all participants were obtained at D0 (baseline, immediately before PCR products were purified using AmpureXP beads (Beckman Coulter), and
first vaccine dose), D28 (immediately before the second dose) and D69 (6 weeks quantification was carried out using the Qubit dsDNA High Sensitivity assay
after the second dose). Sera were stored in a freezer at −70 °C. on the Qubit 3.0 (Life Technologies). Samples were then normalized (10 ng per
sample), DNA fragments were barcoded using the EXP-NBD104 (refs. 59,60) and
Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S1/S2 IgG antibodies. A chemiluminescent immunoassay EXP-NBD114 (ref. 61) Native Barcoding Kits (Oxford Nanopore Technologies)
was used to measure human IgG antibodies against proteins S1 and S2 in the and pooled. Sequencing adapter ligation was performed using the SQK-LSK 109
receptor-binding domain (RBD) (Indirect ELISA, LIAISON SARS-CoV-2 S1/ Kit (Oxford Nanopore Technologies). Sequencing libraries were loaded onto an
S2 IgG, DiaSorin). SC rate was defined as positive serology (≥15.0 UA ml–1) after R9.4.1 flow-cell (Oxford NanoporeTechnologies) and sequenced using MinKNOW
vaccination, taking into consideration that only patients with prevaccination v.20.10.3 (Oxford Nanopore Technologies).
negative serology were included. GMT and 95% CIs of these antibodies were Symptomatic participants who were unable to come to our center to collect the
also calculated at all time points, attributing the value of 1.9 UA ml–1 (half of the RT–PCR kit were instructed to go to an independent laboratory near their home.
lower limit of quantification, 3.8 UA ml–1) to undetectable levels (<3.8 UA ml–1).
FI-GMT is the ratio of GMT after vaccination to that before, with growth Statistical analysis. Sample size calculation was based on the previous 15%
measured in titers. These values are also presented and compared as geometric reduction in SC rate after first vaccination with the 2009 non-adjuvanted influenza
means and 95% CIs. A/H1N1 vaccine in a large cohort of patients with ARD36. In expectation of
Extended Data Fig. 1 | Trial Design. The diagram depicts the enrollment and analysis of participants in the ARD and CG groups. Reasons for exclusions are
provided.
Articles
Summary
Background Because evidence on the safety of COVID-19 vaccines in older adults is scarce, we aimed to evaluate the Lancet Healthy Longev 2022;
incidence and risk of adverse events after CoronaVac (Sinovac Biotech) vaccination in adults aged 60 years or older. 3: e491–500
See Comment page e455
Methods In this modified self-controlled case series, we enrolled adults aged 60 years or older who had received at *Co-first authors and
least one dose of CoronaVac in Hong Kong between Feb 23, 2021, and Jan 31, 2022. We extracted population-based, contributed equally
electronic health record data from the clinical management system of the Hospital Authority on adverse events of For the Chinese translation of the
abstract see Online for
special interest (from Jan 1, 2005, to Feb 23, 2022) and patients’ demographic information (from Jan 1, 2018, to appendix 1
Jan 31, 2022), previous diagnoses (from Jan 1, 2018, to Jan 31, 2022), medication history (from Jan 1, 2018, to Centre for Safe Medication
Jan 31, 2022), and laboratory tests, including those for SARS-CoV-2 infection (from Jan 1, 2018, to Jan 31, 2022). Practice and Research,
Details of vaccination status were provided by the Department of Health of the Hong Kong Government and were Department of Pharmacology
linked to data from the Hospital Authority with identity card numbers or passport numbers. Our outcomes were the and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing
Faculty of Medicine
overall incidence of any adverse event of special interest and the incidence rates of 30 adverse events of special (E Y F Wan PhD,
interest, as suggested by the WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety, in the inpatient setting within V K C Yan BPharm, F T T Lai PhD,
21 days (2 days for anaphylaxis) of either the first, second, or third CoronaVac dose compared with a baseline period. X Li PhD, C K H Wong PhD,
Individuals who had a history of a particular event between Jan 1, 2005, and Feb 23, 2021, were excluded from the E W Y Chan PhD,
Prof I C K Wong PhD),
corresponding analysis. We evaluated the risk of an adverse event of special interest using conditional Poisson Department of Family
regression, adjusting for seasonal effects. Medicine and Primary Care,
School of Clinical Medicine,
Findings Of 1 253 497 individuals who received at least one dose of CoronaVac during the study period, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine
(E Y F Wan, Y Wang MStat,
622 317 (49·6%) were aged at least 60 years and were included in the analysis. Our analysis sample received A H Y Mok MClinPharm,
1 229 423 doses of CoronaVac and had a mean age of 70·40 years (SD 8·10). 293 086 (47·1%) of 622 317 participants W Xu MSc, C K H Wong), School
were men and 329 231 (52·9%) were women. The incidence of individual adverse events of interest ranged from of Nursing, Li Ka Shing Faculty
0·00 per 100 000 people to 57·49 per 100 000 people (thromboembolism). The first and third doses of CoronaVac were of Medicine (C S L Chui PhD),
School of Public Health,
not associated with a significant excess risk of an adverse event of special interest within 21 days (or 2 days for Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine
anaphylaxis) of vaccination. After the second dose, the only significantly increased risk was for anaphylaxis (adjusted (C S L Chui,
incidence rate ratio 2·61, 95% CI 1·08–6·31; risk difference per 100 000 people 0·61, 95% CI 0·03–1·81). Prof B J Cowling PhD),
Department of Medicine,
School of Clinical Medicine,
Interpretation Because older age is associated with poor outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection, the benefits of Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine
CoronaVac vaccination in older adults outweigh the risks in regions where COVID-19 is prevalent. Ongoing (X Li, K K Lau DPhil,
monitoring of vaccine safety is warranted. Prof I F N Hung MD), and State
Key Laboratory of Brain and
Cognitive Sciences (K K Lau),
Funding The Food and Health Bureau of the Government, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China and The University of Hong Kong,
AIR@InnoHK, administered by the Innovation and Technology Commission. Hong Kong Special
Administrative Region, China;
Laboratory of Data Discovery
Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
for Health, Hong Kong Science
4.0 license. and Technology Park,
Hong Kong Special
Introduction to Sinovac Life Sciences) has been available for emergency Administrative Region, China
(E Y F Wan, C S L Chui, F T T Lai,
Older age is a well recognised risk factor for complications use in Hong Kong during the COVID-19 pandemic.
X Li, C K H Wong, E W Y Chan,
after SARS-CoV-2 infection—individuals aged 60 years or Two inactivated COVID-19 vaccines, namely CoronaVac Prof B J Cowling,
older have a five-times increased risk of mortality after and BBIBP-CorV (Sinopharm), have contributed to Prof I C K Wong); Expert
symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with almost half of the COVID-19 vaccine doses administered Committee on Clinical Events
Assessment Following
adults aged 30–59 years.1 In view of this increased risk, around the globe.3 Although accounting for around Covid-19 Immunization,
older adults have been prioritised for COVID-19 75% of the COVID-19 vaccines administered in Brazil,4 Department of Health,
vaccination in many countries and territories, including, there have been few post-marketing clinical studies The Government of the
but not limited to, the USA, the UK, and Hong Kong.2 evaluating the safety of CoronaVac, especially in the older Hong Kong Special
Administrative Region,
CoronaVac from Sinovac Biotech (Hong Kong; equivalent population. There have been infrequent reports of
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myocarditis in people aged 70 years after Ad.26.COV2.S older population. Whether the multiple comorbidities
(Janssen) and mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccination.5,6 that are commonly seen in older people put them at
Some case reports also describe ischaemic stroke and higher risk of developing adverse reactions to COVID-19
thrombotic events after CoronaVac vaccination.7,8 vaccines is unknown. Older adults (aged ≥65 years) have
Nonetheless, evidence of post-vaccination adverse events reported reduced reactogenicity (local and systemic
in older adults beyond case reports is still scarce. reactions) following mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines
Although randomised controlled trials of CoronaVac compared with younger adults (aged <65 years),16 hence
have not shown major adverse events after vaccination,9,10 raising the question of whether post-vaccination event
they only included a small proportion of older participants rates might be different in older, compared with younger,
and were not able to evaluate rare events due to small adults. We aimed to examine the incidence and risk of
numbers of events. People aged 60 years or older were adverse events of special interest after vaccination with
excluded from the phase 3 trial of CoronaVac in Turkey9 CoronaVac in older adults.
and represented the minority (37 [9%] of 434) of
participants enrolled in the phase 3 trial of CoronaVac in Methods
Chile.10 Despite the large number of CoronaVac doses Study design and participants
being administered worldwide, vaccine-related adverse In this modified self-controlled case series, adults aged
events might be under-reported in resource-limited 60 years or older at the time of vaccination who had
areas,11 rendering pharmacovigilance studies necessary. received CoronaVac (one dose or more) in Hong Kong
Unlike myocarditis, which has been more frequently between Feb 23, 2021, and Jan 31, 2022, were included.
observed in young males who have received BNT162b2 Adverse events of special interest were based on primary
(Pfizer–BioNTech) than in unvaccinated controls,12 no diagnoses upon hospitalisation. The self-controlled case
significantly increased risk of adverse events has been series design relies on within-individual comparisons
found in the older vaccinated population versus the older and is now an established study design for the evaluation
unvaccinated population so far. One study13 found that of vaccine safety. This design has been applied in several
older adults (≥65 years) were more likely to be hospitalised studies of vaccine safety, including studies of COVID-19
after COVID-19 vaccination than were younger adults vaccines.17–21 The benefit of a self-controlled case series is
(18–64 years), but relatedness to vaccination is unknown that it treats individuals as their own control, thereby
because older adults generally have a higher risk of minimising measured or unmeasured time-invariant
hospitalisation than do younger adults. Other studies confounding.
have described a lower prevalence of local and systemic Ethical approval for this study was granted by the
side-effects after BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 nCov-19 Institutional Review Board of the University of
(AstraZeneca) vaccination in participants older than Hong Kong and Hospital Authority Hong Kong
55 years (vs those aged ≤55 years)14 or in participants aged West Cluster (UW21–149 and UW21–138) and the
50 years or older (vs those aged 20–29 years).15 Department of Health Ethics Committee (LM21/2021).
Discrepancies and inconsistencies among previous As anonymous data were extracted from an electronic
studies reveal a need to evaluate vaccine safety in the health database, under Hong Kong regulations and
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approval from the Hospital Authority and the Department and myocarditis); diseases of the circulatory system
of Health, consent from participants was not required. (thromboembolism, haemorrhagic disease, and single
The study protocol is available online on the website of organ cutaneous vasculitis); diseases of the hepatorenal For the study protocol see
the COVID-19 Vaccines Adverse Events Response and system (acute liver injury, acute kidney injury, and acute https://www.hkcare.hku.hk/
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Baseline period 21-day (or 2-day*) exposure period Adverse events of special interest (can occur anytime
were consistent among different age and comorbidity
during the observation period) groups. Three prespecified sensitivity analyses were done
First dose of vaccine Second dose of vaccine Third dose of vaccine to ensure robustness. In the first sensitivity analysis,
individuals who were infected with SARS-CoV-2 before
or during the study period were excluded, owing to the
possible increased risk of post-vaccination adverse events
of special interest after SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the
Start of observation End of observation
period (Feb 23, 2021) period (Jan 31, 2022) second and final sensitivity analyses, the duration of
exposure periods for all adverse events of special interest,
Figure 1: Observation timeline of a hypothetical patient in the self-controlled case series except for anaphylaxis, was changed from 21 days to
*The exposure period was 2 days for anaphylaxis. 14 days or 28 days, respectively, to investigate whether
similar results could be reproduced.
vaccination.26 The incidences of adverse events of special All statistical tests were two-sided. R (version 4.0.3) was
interest are presented in three ways: incidence per used to conduct all statistical analyses. At least
100 000 doses, incidence per 100 000 people, and incidence two investigators (YW, WX, or VKCY) independently
rate (cases per 100 000 person-days). 95% CIs for these conducted each analysis for quality assurance.
measurements were calculated as the exact binomial
CIs.27 Futhermore, as the modified self-controlled case Role of the funding source
series design is not applicable for evaluating the risk of The funders of the study had no role in study design,
mortality after vaccination, we report all-cause mortality data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or
as a descriptive statistic. writing of the report.
Three exposure periods were considered in the self-
controlled case series analysis: 0–20 days (0–1 day for Results
anaphylaxis) after the first dose, 0–20 days (0–1 day for Of 1 253 497 individuals who received CoronaVac in
anaphylaxis) after the second dose, and 0–20 days Hong Kong between Feb 23, 2021, and Jan 31, 2022,
(0–1 day for anaphylaxis) after the third dose of vaccine 622 317 (49·6%) were aged at least 60 years and were
(figure 1). Other risk periods during the study period included in the analysis. Overall, 1 229 423 doses of
apart from the exposure periods were considered a CoronaVac were administered to these 622 317 people
baseline period (figure 1). The self-controlled case series within the study period, among whom 126 736 (20·4%) had
analysis was done for a particular adverse event of one dose, 384 056 (61·7%) had two doses, and
special interest only when the overall number of events 111 525 (17·9%) had three doses of the vaccine. The mean
recorded for that event was at least five. To examine age of CoronaVac recipients was 70·40 years (SD 8·10),
event-dependent exposure, the modified self-controlled of whom 47·1% were men and 52·9% were women
case series model was applied by use of the R function (table 1). Pre-existing comorbidities and medication use
eventdepenexp in the R package, SCCS. By comparing within the past 90 days among included individuals are
the incidence rates of adverse events of special interest shown in appendix 2 (p 5).
in different risk periods with those in the baseline By and large, the incidences of adverse events of special
period, we calculated incidence rate ratios and interest and all-cause mortality within 21 days (or 2 days
corresponding 95% CIs using conditional Poisson for anaphylaxis) of vaccination with CoronaVac were
regression, adjusting for seasonal effects in monthly small (table 2). The incidence of individual adverse events
categories. The model was not adjusted for any of special interest ranged from 0·00 per 100 000 doses to
additional confounders because the self-controlled case 31·81 per 100 000 doses (thromboembolism), from
series design does not require adjustment for any time- 0·00 per 100 000 people to 57·49 per 100 000 people
invariant confounders given that individuals serve as (thromboembolism), and from 0·00 per 100 000 person-
their own control. We checked the overdispersion days to 1·43 per 100 000 person-days (thromboembolism;
assumption. Additionally, we calculated risk differences table 2). Adverse events of special interest that were not
per 100 000 people using the difference in incidences observed within 21 days of vaccination were: type 1
between risk periods and the baseline period. Incidence diabetes; subacute thyroiditis; microangiopathy; stress
in the risk periods was calculated by use of the cardiomyopathy; single organ cutaneous vasculitis;
observational data collected in this study, whereas chilblain-like lesions; and Kawasaki disease. Only
incidence in the baseline period was calculated by three adverse events of special interest—coronary artery
dividing the incidence in the risk period by the adjusted disease, arrhythmia, and thromboembolism—had an
incidence rate ratio. incidence of more than 20 cases per 100 000 people
Moreover, we did prespecified subgroup analyses of (table 2).
adjusted incidence rate ratios and risk differences, The first and third doses of CoronaVac were not
stratifying by age (<80 years vs ≥80 years) and Charlson associated with a significant excess risk of an adverse
Comorbidity Index (<3 vs ≥3), to confirm whether results event of special interest within 21 days (or 2 days for
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anaphylaxis) of vaccination (figure 2). However, we found For our subgroup analyses, post-hoc, we grouped
a significantly increased risk of anaphylaxis (adjusted adverse events of special interest into disease categories
incidence rate ratio 2·61, 95% CI 1·08–6·31; risk (ie, autoimmune diseases, cardiovascular diseases,
difference per 100 000 people 0·61, 95% CI 0·03–1·81) diseases of the circulatory system, diseases of the
within 2 days of the second vaccine dose compared with hepatorenal system, disease of the peripheral nerves and
the baseline period (figure 2). No other significant CNS, and disease of the respiratory system) due to rare
increased risk of an adverse event of special interest was incidences of individual events. Significant excess risk of
noted after the second dose (figure 2). There was no any adverse event of special interest category was not
overdispersion for all adverse events of special interest as observed after vaccination in those younger than 80 years
none of the outcome variables had larger variance values or in those aged 80 years or older (appendix 2 p 8) or in
than mean values (appendix 2 p 7). those with a Charlson Comorbidity Index of less than 3
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Table 2: Incidence of adverse events of special interest and all-cause mortality among patients receiving CoronaVac vaccines
or a Charlson Comorbidity Index of 3 or more significantly higher risk of adverse events of special
(appendix 2 p 9). The results of our three sensitivity interest after CoronaVac vaccination compared with a
analyses were similar to our main findings (appendix 2 baseline period, except for anaphylaxis within 2 days of
pp 10–12). the second dose. The absolute risk increment for
anaphylaxis after the second vaccine dose was only
Discussion six cases per 1 million people. In comparison with the
Until now, safety data for CoronaVac have been excess risk of mortality and complications from
insufficient. In this large-scale, self- controlled case COVID-19 in people aged 60 years or older observed in
series, adults aged 60 years or older did not have a previous studies,1 the benefits of vaccination still exceed
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n Adjusted IRR Risk difference per n Adjusted IRR Risk difference per n Adjusted IRR Risk difference per
(95% CI) 100 000 people (95% CI) 100 000 people (95% CI) 100 000 people
(95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI)
Any adverse event of 324 0·85 –25·53 290 0·96 –5·64 54 1·18 22·54
special interest (0·75 to 0·96) (–51·80 to –5·23) (0·85 to 1·09) (–27·93 to 13·17) (0·83 to 1·69) (–32·83 to 64·25)
Autoimmune disease 46 0·85 –3·07 53 1·09 1·56 9 1·44 5·51
(0·62 to 1·17) (–13·19 to 3·21) (0·82 to 1·47) (–4·91 to 6·95) (0·53 to 3·88) (–19·00 to 16·18)
Narcolepsy 30 0·78 –3·71 42 1·18 2·01 8 1·82 5·97
(0·53 to 1·14) (–14·42 to 2·07) (0·84 to 1·65) (–3·05 to 6·48) (0·57 to 5·86) (–12·51 to 13·63)
Acute aseptic arthritis 16 1·42 1·25 10 1·12 0·44 0 NA NA
(0·78 to 2·58) (–1·71 to 3·78) (0·58 to 2·16) (–4·52 to 3·32)
Cardiovascular diseases 163 0·83 –12·93 145 0·95 –3·07 27 1·05 2·78
(0·69 to 0·99) (–30·59 to –0·67) (0·80 to 1·14) (–17·43 to 8·32) (0·64 to 1·71) (–38·09 to 28·37)
Heart failure 39 0·74 –3·90 26 0·74 –3·76 2 0·59 –7·69
(0·50 to 1·09) (–14·11 to 1·20) (0·49 to 1·13) (–14·56 to 1·64) (0·13 to 2·61) (–91·48 to 8·59)
Coronary artery disease 74 0·73 –10·39 69 0·83 –5·92 18 1·11 2·85
(0·56 to 0·95) (–25·37 to –1·39) (0·64 to 1·07) (–18·46 to 2·04) (0·59 to 2·10) (–22·63 to 17·12)
Arrhythmia 88 0·91 –2·64 66 0·96 –1·26 12 1·37 7·57
(0·71 to 1·18) (–13·48 to 4·99) (0·73 to 1·25) (–11·86 to 6·49) (0·67 to 2·80) (–16·18 to 21·02)
Myocarditis 4 1·96 0·55 3 1·78 0·49 0 NA NA
(0·70 to 5·53) (–1·02 to 1·91) (0·50 to 6·28) (–2·31 to 1·96)
Circulatory system 174 0·77 –18·56 152 0·89 –8·04 26 1·17 9·47
(0·65 to 0·92) (–37·74 to –4·99) (0·75 to 1·05) (–23·86 to 3·65) (0·69 to 1·99) (–31·36 to 35·24)
Thromboembolism 156 0·76 –17·79 140 0·91 –5·71 24 1·15 7·32
(0·64 to 0·92) (–36·55 to –4·74) (0·76 to 1·09) (–20·21 to 5·20) (0·67 to 1·97) (–32·24 to 31·63)
Haemorrhagic disease 21 0·70 –2·86 16 0·59 –4·50 2 1·77 2·85
(0·42 to 1·15) (–12·40 to 1·20) (0·34 to 1·05) (–17·79 to 0·42) (0·21 to 14·98) (–34·06 to 8·38)
Hepatorenal system 23 0·94 –0·43 17 0·85 –1·24 0 NA NA
(0·60 to 1·48) (–6·23 to 3·01) (0·51 to 1·41) (–9·03 to 2·70)
Acute liver injury 4 0·68 –0·39 1 0·28 –2·13 0 NA NA
(0·22 to 2·06) (–6·69 to 0·99) (0·04 to 2·10) (–50·02 to 1·01)
Acute kidney injury 13 1·10 0·28 6 0·63 –1·85 0 NA NA
(0·58 to 2·07) (–3·51 to 2·54) (0·26 to 1·55) (–14·26 to 1·74)
Acute pancreatitis 6 0·68 –1·36 12 1·36 0·77 0 NA NA
(0·29 to 1·61) (–11·33 to 1·74) (0·72 to 2·57) (–1·82 to 2·81)
Peripheral nerves 33 1·18 1·62 28 1·16 1·45 4 0·96 –0·46
and CNS (0·79 to 1·76) (–3·55 to 5·83) (0·76 to 1·76) (–4·21 to 5·84) (0·27 to 3·34) (–35·63 to 9·47)
Generalised convulsion 11 1·20 0·45 5 0·68 –1·28 1 0·60 –1·85
(0·63 to 2·27) (–2·59 to 2·46) (0·26 to 1·76) (–12·22 to 1·90) (0·12 to 3·07) (–33·40 to 2·97)
Bell's palsy 22 1·34 1·89 21 1·41 2·17 3 1·24 1·44
(0·81 to 2·23) (–2·39 to 5·47) (0·85 to 2·33) (–1·69 to 5·67) (0·25 to 6·03) (–29·07 to 8·29)
Respiratory system 18 0·31 –19·96 29 0·59 –6·35 9 1·25 1·81
(0·19 to 0·51) (–50·02 to –6·52) (0·40 to 0·87) (–17·81 to –1·03) (0·51 to 3·07) (–11·52 to 7·98)
Others 4 2·62 0·80 4 3·37 0·91 0 NA NA
(0·66 to 10·38) (–1·29 to 2·30) (0·79 to 14·45) (–0·69 to 2·37)
Rhabdomyolysis 3 2·44 0·66 4 4·16 0·86 0 NA NA
(0·48 to 12·36) (–2·51 to 2·13) (0·96 to 18·09) (–0·11 to 2·19)
Anaphylaxis 1 0·42 –1·38 5 2·61 0·61 0 NA NA
(0·06 to 2·86) (–33·00 to 1·40) (1·08 to 6·31) (0·03 to 1·81)
0·1 1·0 10·0 –50 –10 10 0·1 1·0 10·0 –50 –10 10 0·1 1·0 10·0 –50 –10 30
Adjusted IRR Risk difference Adjusted IRR Risk difference Adjusted IRR Risk difference
Figure 2: Adjusted IRRs and risk differences of adverse events of special interest within 21 days of CoronaVac vaccination
Adjusted IRRs were obtained from conditional Poisson regression adjusted for seasonal effects in our self-controlled case series analysis. The dashed line represents a risk difference of 0. IRR=incidence
rate ratio. NA=not applicable.
its risks in places where COVID-19 is prevalent. Our study,31 the estimated rate of anaphylaxis was 2·2 cases
results are consistent with the findings of previous per 1 million doses of CoronaVac, which is slightly lower
studies of COVID-19 inactivated vaccines among a group than our estimation (5·5 cases per 1 million doses
of immunocompromised patients4 and people with [95% CI 2·0–12·0]). Allergic reactions can be directed
chronic hepatitis B virus infection.28 Previous studies towards the inactive excipients that stabilise the vaccine,
have revealed that multimorbidity does not translate to such as polyethylene glycol and polysorbate, and, rarely,
an additional risk of adverse events after COVID-19 to the active component of the vaccine.32 CoronaVac does
vaccination29 and that the composition of the gut not contain the aforementioned excipients,33 yet
microbiota might contribute to differences in post- theoretically carries a risk of anaphylaxis. Although it
vaccination adverse event rates.30 remains possible that we did not have sufficient statistical
Anaphylaxis is an inherent risk associated with all power to detect an increased risk of anaphylaxis after the
vaccines and medicinal products. According to a previous first dose, the higher risk of anaphylaxis after the second
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dose compared with the baseline period can potentially events are most common with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19,39 with
be attributed to a genuine anaphylactic reaction to the an estimated incidence of vaccine-induced immune
vaccine components, which only happens on re-exposure thrombocytopenia and thrombosis of at least one case per
to the same allergen when it cross- links IgE on sensitised 100 000 people aged 50 years or older.49 As the approximate
mast cells and triggers their degranulation.34 Allergic incidence of acute cerebrovascular disease in people with
reactions developing after the second dose, but not the COVID-19 is 1·4% (95% CI 1·0–1·9),50 the potential risk
first dose, of BNT162b2 have also been reported in the associated with vaccination is still substantially lower.
literature.35 Because only 111 525 people in our study By contrast to a study41 in Hong Kong that suggested
received a third dose of CoronaVac, it is very probable that the risk of Bell’s palsy in adults (aged ≥18 years) was
that our study did not have sufficient power to detect increased after CoronaVac vaccination, we did not find an
anaphylaxis after the third dose because the event rate association between Bell’s palsy and CoronaVac in
was low. Despite anaphylaxis being potentially life- recipients aged 60 years or older. This discrepancy could
threatening, no deaths from allergic reactions after be ascribed to these events being rare in this older age
COVID-19 vaccination have been reported so far.36 group, resulting in inadequate power to detect such risk;
The main result of our study—that there were no previous studies report that the background incidence of
major adverse events after vaccination—is in accordance Bell’s palsy typically peaks at around 40–50 years of age.51,52
with findings from randomised controlled trials of More importantly, the risk of Bell’s palsy is actually higher
CoronaVac done in populations mainly consisting of in those who are infected with SARS-CoV-2 than in
younger people (8·5% of participants were aged COVID-19 vaccine recipients.53 Indeed, current evidence
≥60 years).9,10 Some post-marketing observational regarding post-vaccination Bell’s palsy remains largely
studies12,24,37–41 have raised specific concerns regarding the inconsistent and limited in scope. Further studies with
safety of CoronaVac and other COVID-19 vaccines using large sample sizes are needed to confirm our findings.
different platforms, such as mRNA and viral vectors. Our study has several strengths. First, in an area of
They have found associations with myocarditis following sparse data, our study provides reassuring evidence
mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines,12,24,37,38 vascular events regarding the safety of CoronaVac for adults aged 60 years
and thromboembolism following mRNA-based and viral or older. Second, we extracted data from the vaccine
vector-based COVID-19 vaccines,39,40 and Bell’s palsy registry provided by the Department of Health of the
following the CoronaVac COVID-19 vaccine.41 Hong Kong Government, which covers the entire
After vaccination with BNT162b2 or Ad.26.COV2.S population of Hong Kong, and so our sample size was
vaccines, myocarditis in boys and men aged 12–24 years large and population-based. Third, the prevalence of
has been an issue of concern.42,43 We did not find such an COVID-19 in Hong Kong was low during the study
association in adults aged 60 years or older who received period (ie, 14 197 COVID-19 cases confirmed as of
CoronaVac. As it is probably an immune-mediated Jan 31, 2022, among a population size of around
reaction, post-vaccination myocarditis might be attributed 7·5 million),54 and, therefore, the likelihood of
to heightened immune responses in some clinically SARS-CoV-2 infection interfering with post-vaccination
susceptible adolescents,44 although the exact mechanism reactions was minimal. Finally, our findings were robust
is not well understood. Our findings are in line with to several sensitivity analyses.
previous studies reporting a low incidence of myocarditis Our study also has limitations. First, considering the
in older people after receiving mRNA vaccines.45,46 relatively small number of events recorded, it is possible
Although an increased risk of thromboembolism has that this study did not have adequate statistical power to
been reported with BNT162b2 and the adenoviral vector detect infrequent events. Second, we only enrolled patients
vaccine ChAdOx1 nCoV-19,39,40 we did not find an increased who had ever attended clinics or hospitals under the
risk of thromboembolism with CoronaVac in our study; it Hospital Authority. Theoretically, people who had been
is possible that we did not have sufficient statistical power vaccinated but had never used any public health-care
to detect such rare events. With regards to the proposed service would not have been captured by our study.
mechanism of vaccine-associated thromboembolism, free However, this number would have been reasonably small
DNA in the vaccine might trigger the production of because more than 90% of inpatient care in Hong Kong is
antibodies against platelet factor 4, which in turn could provided by the Hospital Authority.55 Third, events might
activate platelets and promote immune thrombotic have been underdiagnosed or misclassified as they were
thrombocytopenia, resulting in bleeding or thrombosis.47 defined by diagnostic codes in the database. Nevertheless,
As a whole-virion vaccine,9 whether CoronaVac is this limitation is probably minimal; the coding accuracy of
associated with a lower risk of thromboembolism than the electronic health database of the Hospital Authority
other COVID-19 vaccines has been inadequately explored. has been shown in previous studies in Hong Kong,
A Thai study48 revealed that CoronaVac recipients had a showing that the positive predictive values for the
low prevalence of antibodies against platelet factor 4, but diagnoses were high.56–58 Fourth, no causal relationship
the relevance of this finding to vaccine-induced thrombotic can be established due to the observational nature of our
thrombocytopenia is unknown. Presently, thromboembolic study. Fifth, we cannot rule out the possibility that some
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potentially vaccine-related events occurred outside the from AstraZeneca, Fosun Pharma, GSK, Moderna, Pfizer, Roche, and
21-day exposure period, and the list of adverse events of Sanofi Pasteur. IFNH received speaker fees from MSD. ICKW reports
research funding from Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Janssen,
special interest that we adopted in this study is not Bayer, GSK, Novartis, the Hong Kong Research Grants Council, the
exhaustive. Finally, we did not evaluate characteristics or Hong Kong Health and Medical Research Fund, the National Institute
predictors associated with an increased risk of adverse for Health Research in England, the European Commission, and the
events of special interest after vaccination. Further studies National Health and Medical Research Council in Australia, outside the
submitted work; has received speaker fees from Janssen and Medice in
are warranted to evaluate the long-term risks of COVID-19 the previous 3 years; and is an independent non-executive director of
vaccines and predictors for the risk of post-vaccination Jacobson Medical in Hong Kong. All other authors declare no
adverse events of special interest in the older population. competing interests.
In summary, no increased risk of adverse events of Data sharing
special interest, except for anaphylaxis after the second Data will not be made available to others because the data custodians
dose, was detected in CoronaVac recipients aged 60 years have not given permission.
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14 Menni C, Klaser K, May A, et al. Vaccine side-effects and 37 Chua GT, Kwan MYW, Chui CSL, et al. Epidemiology of acute
SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination in users of the COVID myocarditis/pericarditis in Hong Kong adolescents following
Symptom Study app in the UK: a prospective observational study. Comirnaty vaccination. Clin Infect Dis 2021; published online
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Articles
Fernando De La Hoz-Restrepo i
a
Universidad del Sin�
u, Cartagena, Colombia
b
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
c
Universidad de Cartagena, Cartagena, Colombia
d
Universidad de la Costa − CUC, Barranquilla, Colombia
e
Mutual Ser, Cartagena, Colombia
f
Corporaci�
on Universitaria Rafael N�
un~ez, Cartagena, Colombia
g
Universidade de S~ao Paulo, S~ao Paulo, Brazil
h
University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
i
Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogot�a, Colombia
Summary
Background In February 2021, Colombia began mass vaccination against COVID-19 using mainly BNT162b2 and The Lancet Regional
CoronaVac vaccines. We aimed to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) to prevent COVID-19 symptomatic cases, hos- Health - Americas
2022;12: 100296
pitalization, critical care admission, and deaths in a cohort of 796,072 insured subjects older than 40 years in north-
Published online 1 July
ern Colombia, a setting with a high SARS-CoV-2 transmission. 2022
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.
Methods We identified individuals vaccinated between March 1st of 2021 and August 15th of 2021. We included lana.2022.100296
symptomatic cases, hospitalizations, critical care admissions, and deaths in patients with confirmed COVID-19 as
main outcomes. We calculated VE for each outcome from the hazard ratio in Cox proportionally hazards regressions
(adjusted by age, sex, place of residence, diabetes, human immunodeficiency virus, cancer, hypertension, tuberculo-
sis, neurological diseases, and chronic renal disease), with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
Findings A total of 719,735 insured participants of 40 and more years were followed. We found 21,545 laboratory-
confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 among unvaccinated population, along with 2874 hospitalizations, 1061 critical
care admissions, and 1329 deaths, for a rate of 207.2 per million person-days, 27.1 per million person-days, 10.0 per
million person-days, and 12.5 per million person-days, respectively. We found CoronaVac was not effective for any
outcome in subjects above 80 years old; but for people 40-79 years of age, we found two doses of CoronaVac
reduced hospitalization (33.1%; 95% CI, 14.5−47.7), critical care admission (47.2%; 95% CI, 18.5−65.8), and death
(55.7%; 95% CI, 32.5−70.0). We found BNT162b2 was effective for all outcomes in the entire population of subjects
above 40 years of age, significantly declining for subjects ≥80 years.
Interpretation Two doses of either CoronaVac in population between 40 and 79 years of age, or BNT162b2 among
vaccinated above 40 years old significantly reduced deaths of confirmed COVID-19 in a cohort of individuals from
Colombia. Vaccine effectiveness for CoronaVac and BNT162b2 declined with increasing age.
Funding UK National Institute for Health Research, the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation
programme, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Copyright 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Keywords: Vaccine effectiveness; Covid-19; Mortality; Vaccines
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Table 1: Baseline characteristics of people vaccinated with two doses of CoronaVac and BNT162b2, and unvaccinated matched controls.
(contributive regime), for military, teachers, and other covering the period March 1st to August 15th of 202.9,10
populations (special regime), and for those who are will- Vaccination records are collected by healthcare person-
ing to pay for private attention (out-of-pocket or private nel administering the vaccine in health centers across
expenditure). Mutual Ser provides comprehensive the country, which enter them into a national official
health-related services under the subsidize regime for dataset of vaccinations. The records of the national data-
25% in population of the Colombian departments of set of vaccinations may be delayed therefore we col-
Atlantico, Bolıvar, Cordoba, Magdalena, and Sucre. In lected the records of vaccinations two months after the
779 samples analyzed by the Colombian National Insti- end of the follow up period.
tute of Health, the Mu variant was predominant during
this time-period (Figure 1). The data on variant fre-
100%
quency are publicly available.8
We identified comorbidities in insured patients (dia-
betes, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), cancer,
hypertension, tuberculosis, neurological diseases, and 75% B.1.625
chronic renal diseases). To classify the diseases, we
Other
searched for diagnostic codes using the 10th version of
the International Classification of Diseases (Supple- Alpha
mentary Table S1), in the diagnosis of healthcare atten- 50% Gamma
tions in the insurer. We also used special health
Lambda
programs within the insurer to detect people with HIV,
diabetes, hypertension, or cancer. Delta
25%
All persons with respiratory symptoms presenting to Mu
care were tested for COVID-19, as well as their contacts.
The contact tracing algorithm searched for home family
members and tested them, with or without symptoms. 0%
March April May June July August
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We defined four outcomes among persons with labo- depending on their start and end dates. The vaccine
ratory confirmed COVID-19: symptomatic illness, hos- effectiveness in the split cohort was estimated similarly
pitalization, critical care admission and death, and to the main analysis.
extracted the dates of symptoms start from epidemiolog- We stratified analyses by age (40−79, 80 years old or
ical records collected by Mutual Ser. Confirmatory labo- more), sex, and by presence or absence of comorbidities
ratory testing comprised polymerase chain reaction (diabetes, human immunodeficiency virus, cancer,
(PCR), antigen, or IgM positive test. Incident cases were hypertension, tuberculosis, neurological diseases, or
identified from both active and passive surveillance for chronic renal diseases), adding an interaction between
COVID-19 symptoms (i.e., patients with cough, fever, vaccine doses and the strata (older age, sex, and comor-
difficult breathing, sore throat, or fatigue during the last bidity) to estimate the p-value of the difference between
past five days). Active surveillance was used by the vaccine effectiveness in each stratum.
insurer to trace and follow up contacts of laboratory-con- A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically signifi-
firmed, symptomatic COVID-19 cases until free of cant for all analyses. All analyses were made in R (ver-
symptoms. Hospitalizations and critical care admis- sion 4.1.1), using the package ‘survival’ (version 3.-211).
sions were collected from a dataset of all COVID-19
related healthcare attendances through a database col-
lected by the insurer. Role of the funding source
The funders of the study had no role in study design,
data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or
Person-times of follow-up writing of the report.
The follow-up started on March 1st of 2021 for all
patients. All patients were unvaccinated at this date, and
vaccinated patients before this date were excluded. Once Results
a subject was vaccinated (14 days after the first dose), Population
this person changed status to vaccinated with the first A total of 719,735 insured participants of 40 and more
dose of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac. Then, if the years were part of the cohort followed up from 1st of
person was vaccinated with two doses (14 days after the March of 2021 to August 15th of 2021, with a median
second dose), the person changed status to fully vacci- age of 56 years old (IQR, 48−−68), and 48¢6% males
nated. We only assessed the effectiveness of the second (Table 1). The vaccine coverage for the first dose of all vac-
dose. This means a person can contribute to person- cines in the cohort was 25¢1% at the end of follow-up.
times as unvaccinated or fully vaccinated, depending on The frequency of comorbidities is listed in Table 1,
the dates of the second dose of each vaccine. where hypertension was the most frequent comorbid
Person-times ended on the start of symptoms, when disease (n = 95,893; 13¢3%), followed by diabetes
the patient had a positive symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 (n = 42,556; 5¢9%).
test, and when the patient was hospitalized, admitted to We found 21,545 laboratory-confirmed symptomatic
critical care, or died. These subjects were censured if COVID-19 among unvaccinated population, along with
these outcomes did not present at the end of follow-up 2874 hospitalizations, 1061 critical care admissions,
on August 15th, 2021. and 1329 deaths, for a rate of 207¢2 per million person-
days, 27¢1 per million person-days, 10¢0 per million per-
son-days, and 12¢5 per million person-days, respectively.
Statistical analysis
We described the time to event for each outcome for
cohorts using Kaplan−Meier curves. We fitted a Cox Effectiveness of CoronaVac
regression model with a vaccination status modeled as The rate of disease among the two-dose cohort of Corona-
time-varying, to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) with Vac was 205¢1 per million person-days for symptomatic
95% confidence intervals (CI). We tested the propor- cases, 28¢4 per million person-days for hospitalizations,
tional hazards assumption using log-log plots. Vaccine 9¢3 per million person-days for critical care admissions,
effectiveness was calculated as one minus the HR. The and 13¢6 per million person-days for deaths.
analyses were reported crude and adjusted (by age, The effectiveness of CoronaVac was significantly dif-
comorbidity, sex, and municipality). We also performed ferent according to age and the presence of comorbidities.
analyses to assess the potential differences of effective- We found CoronaVac was not effective for any outcome
ness depending on calendar time. For this assessment, in the totality of subjects above 40 years old; but for peo-
we split the cohort into two analyses, one from March ple younger than 80 years of age, we found two doses of
1st until May 9th of 2021, and another cohort from May CoronaVac reduced hospitalization (33¢1%; 95% CI, 14¢5
10th to August 15th of 2021. These dates were chosen −47¢7), critical care admission (47¢2%; 95% CI, 18¢5
by diving the total study time of the main analysis into −65¢8), and death (55¢7%; 95% CI, 32¢5−70¢0). See
two halves. Both these cohorts had person-times Tables 2 and 3. In our analyses, subjects with
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Outcome and period Laboratory-confirmed symptomatic Covid-19 Non-confirmed symptomatic Covid-19 illness
Effectiveness (95% CI)* Effectiveness (95% CI)*
CoronaVac vaccination
Symptomatic case -44.0 (-54.1 to -34.6) -45.1 (-53.6 to -37.1)
Hospitalization 3.3 (-15.1 to 18.7) -3.0 (-18.0 to 10.1)
Critical care admission 18.0 (-10.6 to 39.2) 13.6 (-13.2 to 34.0)
Death 21.4 (-0.7 to 38.6) 20.6 (-0.5 to 37.3)
BNT162b2 vaccination
Symptomatic case 29.6 (21.1 to 37.2) 13.0 (5.3 to 20.0)
Hospitalization 54.2 (34.6 to 67.9) 45.5 (29.4 to 58.0)
Critical care admission 82.1 (56.5 to 92.6) 82.2 (60.1 to 92.1)
Death 93.5 (73.9 to 98.4) 94.1 (76.4 to 98.5)
Table 2: Effectiveness of two-dose vaccination with CoronaVac and BNT162b2 against Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, critical care
admissions, and deaths in Colombia.
Note: * Vaccine effectiveness (95% confidence intervals).
comorbidities had significantly more CoronaVac effective- COVID-19 deaths in the first half of study-time by
ness than subjects without these comorbid diseases 17¢2% (95% CI, -90¢2 to 63¢9) and 20¢1% (95% CI, -8¢8
(COVID-19 deaths were reduced among vaccinated with to 41¢30) in the second half. All the remaining outcomes
comorbidities by 44¢6%; 95% CI, 20¢6 to 61¢3). Males were also non-significant in both cohorts split by half
had less CoronaVac effectiveness for COVID-19 symp- the calendar time of total study time.
tomatic case and hospitalization (Table 3), without signifi-
cant changes in the reduction of critical care admission
or death. Effectiveness of BNT162b2
In the analysis splitting the cohort to assess the The rate of disease among the two-dose cohort of Coro-
effects of calendar time, CoronaVac reduced confirmed naVac was 108¢4 per million person-days for
CoronaVac
Age (yrs)
40−79 -22.1 (-32.8 to -12.3) 33.1 (14.5 to 47.7) 47.2 (18.5 to 65.8) 55.7 (32.5 to 71.0)
80+ -149.2 (-185.2 to -117.8) (<0.001) -76.5 (-133.3 to -33.5) (<0.001) -50.8 (-141.5 to 5.9) (<0.001) -19.3 (-66.2 to 14.3) (<0.001)
Sex
Female -36.6 (-49.7 to -24.7) 20.8 (-3.8 to 39.5) 32.9 (-9.3 to 58.8) 35.2 (4.2 to 56.2)
Male -51.4 (-67.3 to -37.0) (<0.001) -12.5 (-41.4 to 10.5) (<0.001) 6.4 (-37.0 to 36.1) (0.080) 9.0 (-25.5 to 34.1) (0.072)
Comorbidities
Without comorbidities -74.6 (-92.2 to -58.7) -23.6 (-59.7 to 4.3) -13.4 (-69.4 to 24.1) -17.1 (-64.4 to 16.6)
With comorbidities -21.3 (-33.4 to -10.2) (<0.001) 19.3 (-2.2 to 36.3) (0.005) 36.7 (1.0 to 59.5) (0.002) 44.6 (20.6 to 61.3) (<0.001)
BNT162b2
Age (yrs)
40−79 32.2 (23.9 to 39.7) 59.7 (41.4 to 72.3) 85.9 (62.0 to 94.7) 96.7 (76.6 to 99.5)
80+ -48.5 (-178.7 to 20.8) (0.032) -69.0 (-434.3 to 46.5) (0.019) -30.0 (-850.6 to 82.2) (0.031) 34.0 (-374.8 to 90.8) (0.024)
Sex
Female 31.2 (20.2 to 40.7) 66.0 (40.8 to 80.5) 87.1 (47.7 to 96.8) 93.9 (56.2 to 99.1)
Male 28.2 (14.0 to 40.0) (0.189) 40.6 (5.5 to 62.7) (0.183) 76.5 (26.0 to 92.5) (0.667) 93.2 (51.1 to 99.0) (0.991)
Comorbidities
Without comorbidities 30.3 (17.5 to 41.2) 72.5 (44.6 to 86.4) 71.6 (22.6 to 89.6) N.E.
With comorbidities 28.4 (16.1 to 38.8) (0.909) 40.7 (9.8 to 61.0) (0.128) 78.3 (47.2 to 91.1) (0.368) 87.2 (48.4 to 96.8) (0.980)
Table 3: Effectiveness of CoronaVac and BNT162b2 to prevent laboratory-confirmed symptomatic cases, hospitalizations, critical care,
and deaths in Colombia, 14 days after the second dose, according to several scenarios.
Note: * Vaccine effectiveness (95% confidence intervals) (p-value of the difference between the strata).
N.E.: Not estimable.
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symptomatic cases, 10¢8 per million person-days for CoronaVac is effective to prevent severe adverse out-
hospitalizations, 1¢7 per million person-days for critical comes of Covid-19. A previous study from Arregoces-
care admissions, and 0¢7 per million person-days Castillo et al.14 in Colombia assessed the effectiveness
for deaths. of COVID-19 vaccines against hospitalization, death
We found BNT162b2 was effective for all outcomes after hospitalization, and death without hospitalization
in the entire population of subjects above 40 years of in the entire population older than 60 years in the coun-
age (Table 2). We found that BNT162b2 effectiveness try. They found BNT162b2 reduced death after hospital-
was different according to age, with older population ization by 94¢8% (95% CI, 93¢3 to 96¢0) in people older
having less reduction of all outcomes, while all other than 60 years and 92¢7% (95% IC, 85¢4 to 96¢4); while
data stratification (comorbidities or not, and sex) did the CoronaVac effectiveness for this outcome was
show significant differences and vaccination effective- 72¢1% (95% CI, 70¢1 to 73¢9) in those older than
ness when using two doses of BNT162b2 (Table 3). 60 years and 66¢3% (95% CI, 63¢4 to 69¢0) in people
The outcome with the highest BNT162b2 vaccine over 80 years old. Our study uses data from poor popu-
effectiveness with two doses in the entire population lation in northern Colombia, which is different from
was death (93.5%; 95% CI, 73¢9−98¢4) (Table 2). the Arregoces-Castillo et al. study that used the entire
In the analysis stratifying the cohort by calendar Colombian population. Our results for CoronaVac
time, the effectiveness of BNT162b2 was inestimable in reported, descriptively, a lower effectiveness than the
the Cox proportionally hazards regression for COVID- previous study in the entire Colombian population,
19 deaths and critical care admissions. For COVID-19 while for BNT162b2 we found a higher effectiveness.
confirmed symptomatic case, the effectiveness was The causes of these differences are unknown, but sev-
11¢1% (95% CI, -532¢2 to 87¢5) in the first half and 43¢3% eral hypotheses are worth exploring. The sample of our
(95% CI, 27¢3 to 55¢8) in the second half. study was composed of people with low socioeconomi-
cal status, which is a driver of infection and adverse out-
comes. Studies from United States,15,16 Germany,17
Discussion UK,18 Chile,19 and Colombia20 have shown population
We found a COVID-19 mortality risk reduction of 93¢5% with lower socioeconomic status have higher infection
(95% CI, 73¢9 to 98¢4) for those with two doses of rate,16−18,20,21 suggesting our population may have
BNT162b and 55¢7% (95% CI, 32¢5 to 71¢0) among those increased infection dynamics and more seroprevalence
between 40 and 79 years of age vaccinated with two at the time of the study. A Colombian study20 showed
doses of CoronaVac. The effectiveness of CoronaVac that during the pandemic, lower socioeconomic status
and BNT162b2 estimated in the present study must be was associated to longer time at work when symptom-
put into the context of the population studied. Our atic, longer time at work with a known positive contact,
cohort of CoronaVac vaccinees is older than previous longer time working outside home, and longer time
evaluations, with a median age of 68 years. This may between symptoms and test date and test result. A study
bias towards lower effectiveness, especially for Corona- in the UK also showed how different infection waves
Vac, which is reported to have lower effectiveness in were associated to different risks of infection according
older ages.11 Our evaluation of the effectiveness of to socioeconomic status. This increased infection sus-
BNT162b2 is in line with previous studies showing a ceptibility could have potentially increase previous
strong effectiveness for this vaccine. immunity among poor population, potentially decreas-
Our results would also need to be put into the con- ing the effectiveness of vaccination of CoronaVac in our
text of high pre-existing SARS-CoV-2 immunity sample. Another potential cause for these differences is
through previous natural infection in the region of the lower statistical power in our sample, with Arregoces-
study. In serosurveys prior to the start of the present Castillo et al. studying 1.4 million subjects in the unvac-
analysis (in late-November of 2020), a high prevalence cinated cohort. Another difference between our analysis
of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 was found in two of and the previous study is that the Arregoces-Castillo
the capital cities in this region, with a 59% seropreva- et al. assessment stratified death into two outcomes
lence in Monteria (capital of Cordoba) and 53% in Bar- (with and without hospitalization), with lower effective-
ranquilla (capital of Atlantico).12 The extent of COVID- ness of death without hospitalization compared to
19 community transmission and pre-existing immunity deaths with hospitalizations. Our analyses do not strat-
acquired prior to the initiation of the vaccine program is ify death into these categories, making the differences
likely to have reduced the power of this study, and may between studies less marked.
have decreased the incremental estimates of effective- A study from Brazil reported a 50% reduction in
ness of the vaccines evaluated. symptomatic cases using a matched test-negative case-
Seventy-two countries worldwide currently approve control study.4 Another large cohort in Brazil reported
CoronaVac for emergency use (on May 19th of 2022),13 CoronaVac had a 73¢7% effectiveness against COVID-19
representing most of the world population. Our study deaths, 73¢8% for critical care admission, and 52¢7% for
contributes to the increasing literature showing infection.11 In the present study, we did not find a
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significant reduction from receiving two doses of Coro- health seeking behavior, such as death or critical care
naVac in symptomatic cases of confirmed COVID-19. admission. Other bias affecting this outcome may be
However, we did find a significant reduction in deaths related to testing differences, although by selecting
in younger population and more effectiveness for more patients with less than ten days between testing and
severe outcomes, suggesting that CoronaVac may have symptoms start did not change the direction of the
greater efficacy against more severe disease. A report in results in this outcome.
Chile showed an effectiveness of 67% for symptomatic The evaluation of interventions outside the con-
cases and 77¢7% (95% CI, 25−100) for deaths with con- trolled environment of a clinical trial setting is impor-
firmed COVID-19.5 Chile vaccinated 90% of its popula- tant, especially for mass interventions such as COVID-
tion with CoronaVac,5 with a strong reduction of daily 19 vaccination. Our study compiles and reports data
cases during April and May of 2021.1 Despite this, Chile from of a large insurer in Colombia and shows the
reported the largest number of daily cases on June 10th effect of CoronaVac and BNT162b2 in the field. As with
of 2021 since the start of the pandemic.1 Chilean data any observational study, ours has limitations and
might suggest that the effectiveness of CoronaVac is strengths. Our main limitation is related to potential
lower for symptomatic cases4 and waning overtime.22 health seeking biases, especially the non-hard out-
The trends and peak of cases after 50% coverage with comes, where the effectiveness was null or significa-
CoronaVac in Chile also might be explained by the tively negative (i.e., vaccination increased the disease
reduced or no protection against infections or symptom- rate for CoronaVac). Another limitation is the potential
atic cases in older population, as the present study misclassification of COVID-19 outcomes due to delayed
shows. These hypotheses need further study. testing, although in our sensitivity analysis, the exclu-
Post-licensure studies of BNT162b2 have been pub- sion of those tested after ten days of symptoms start did
lished for Israel,23,24 United States,25,26 and the UK.27 not significantly alter the results. The data in the pres-
The present study shows BNT162b2 has strong protec- ent study only had a mean follow-up of 107 days for
tion against symptomatic cases, hospitalization, critical CoronaVac, therefore we could not assess waning
care, and deaths. COVID-19 vaccination coverage of immunity. The frequency of some comorbidities is rela-
fully vaccinated people by June 10th of 2021 was 57% tively low for the older population in present cohort. In
with BNT162b2 in Israel; and 43% in the UK, vaccinat- the United States, the prevalence of controlled hyperten-
ing with BNT162b2, Vaxzevria, mRNA-1273, and JNJ- sion was 49% in 2015 in the population over 60 years
78436735. The 7-day average number of deaths was two old,32 and another study in Colombia reported a preva-
for Israel and eight for the UK on June 10th of 2021 lence of treated hypertension of 40%.33 One potential
(from a previous peak of 65 and 1248, respectively). The cause for these differences is underreporting. Another
reduction of cases was also substantial in these two possible explanation is that our sample comes from
countries. low-income backgrounds, therefore potentially increas-
Colombia carries out genomic surveillance of SARS- ing the number of subjects with undetected comorbid-
CoV-2 and its variants, albeit with much less intensity ities. Our results have to be interpreted in the light of
than many high-income settings. According to the lim- these limitations.
ited surveillance data available, the Mu variant predomi- Taking the entire evidence into context, the data sug-
nated in the region in between March and August of gest the effectiveness of two doses of CoronaVac and
2021,12 with an estimated 60% prevalence of average BNT162b2 to prevent COVID-19 deaths could be sub-
monthly samples12 (Figure 1). The Mu variant has stantial in a scenario where Mu predominates. More
shown more resistance to SARS-CoV-2 antibodies than studies are needed to assess its protection against
the Beta variant in a recent study.28 Previous studies milder and asymptomatic disease, against other pre-
show BNT162b2 has effectiveness against Alpha, Beta, dominant variants, against older population for Corona-
and Gamma variants of SARS-CoV-2.11,29−31 Our study Vac, and the potential vaccine waning of its
suggests that both BNT162b2 and CoronaVac offer pro- effectiveness.
tection against Covid-19 severe outcomes related to the
Mu variant as well.
In contrast to BNT162b2, we found a significant Contributors
increase in symptomatic COVID-19 cases occurring Dr. Paternina-Caicedo conceptualized the analysis,
14 days or more after of the second CoronaVac dose wrote the original draft, reviewed, and edited the manu-
compared to unvaccinated subjected. For this outcome, script, visualized, and made the formal analysis. Dr. Jit
we cannot eliminate the possibility of a health seeking aided the methodology, reviewed, and edited the manu-
bias that would increase the frequency of disease among script. Dr. Alvis-Guzman conceptualized the study, con-
vaccinated. This bias would only have an effect in milder tributed to methodology, supervised the research, and
outcomes, such as symptomatic and hospitalized reviewed the manuscript. Dr. Fernandez, Mr. Hernan-
COVID-19, and would be less likely to occur in more dez, and Dr. Paz aided conceptualizing, data curation,
severe outcomes that are likely to universally result in project administration, and contributed reviewing the
Articles
drafts of the manuscript. Dr. Rojas-Suarez, Dr. Due~ nas, 6 Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization of the World
and Mr. Alvis-Zakzuk contributed to validation of health Organization. Interim Recommendations for Use of the Inacti-
vated COVID-19 Vaccine. CoronaVac, developed by Sinovac; 2021:1.
results, methodology, and reviewing the drafts of the 7 Pan American Health Organization. Colombia Receives the First
manuscript. Dr. Smith contributed to the design, aided Vaccines Arriving in the Americas through COVAX - PAHO/WHO |
Pan American Health Organization. 2012. published online March 1;
the methodology, and reviewed the drafts of the manu- https://www.paho.org/en/news/1-3-2021-colombia-receives-first-vac-
script. Dr. De la Hoz-Restrepo conceptualized, contrib- cines-arriving-americas-through-covax. Accessed 29 June 2021.
uted to the methodology, supervised, and review and 8 Instituto Nacional de Salud. Noticias coronavirus-genoma. 2022.
https://www.ins.gov.co/Noticias/Paginas/coronavirus-genoma.
edited the draft of the manuscript. All authors reviewed aspx. Accessed 16 May 2022.
and approved the final manuscript for submission. Dr. 9 Ministerio de Salud y Proteccion Social. Vacunaci�on Contra
Paternina-Caicedo, Dr. Fernandez, and Mr. Hernandez COVID-19. https://www.minsalud.gov.co/salud/publica/Vacuna
cion/Paginas/Vacunacion-covid-19.aspx. Accessed 29 June 2021.
accessed and verified the original data for analysis. 10 Ministerio de Salud y Proteccion Social. PAIWEB. 2021. https://
paiweb2.paiweb.gov.co/login. Accessed 29 June 2021.
11 Cerqueira-Silva T, Oliveira V de A, Pescarini J, et al. Influence of
age on the effectiveness and duration of protection in Vaxzevria
Data sharing statement and CoronaVac vaccines. medRxiv 2021; 2021.08.21.21261501.
Data for this paper will be shared on a reasonable 12 Instituto Nacional de Salud. Instituto Nacional de Salud | Colombia
Bienvenido a. 2022; published online Aug 13. http://www.ins.gov.
request without identifiers after receiving a signed data- co/Paginas/Inicio.aspx. Accessed 4 Feb 2022.
sharing agreement where the researching requesting 13 List of COVID-19 vaccine authorizations - Wikipedia. https://en.
wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_COVID-19_vaccine_authorization
the data commits, among other things, to the use of the s#CoronaVac. Accessed 12 July 2021.
data for research proposes, not to identify any individ- 14 Arregoc�es-Castillo L, Fern�andez-Ni~ no J, Rojas-Botero M, et al.
ual, and destroy the data after all analysis are com- Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in older adults in Colombia: a
retrospective, population-based study of the ESPERANZA cohort.
pleted. Lancet Healthy Longev. 2022;3:e242–e252.
15 Dalton JE, Gunzler DD, Jain V, et al. Mechanisms of socioeco-
nomic differences in COVID-19 screening and hospitalizations.
PLoS One. 2021;16: e0255343.
Declaration of interests 16 Levy BL, Vachuska K, Subramanian SV, Sampson RJ. Neighbor-
No author declares any conflicts of interest. hood socioeconomic inequality based on everyday mobility predicts
COVID-19 infection in San Francisco, Seattle, and Wisconsin. Sci
Adv. 2022;8:(7):eabl3825.
17 Hoebel J, Michalski N, Diercke M, et al. Emerging socio-economic
Acknowledgements disparities in COVID-19-related deaths during the second pan-
demic wave in Germany. Int J Infect Dis. 2021;113:344–346.
MJ has received funding from the UK National Institute 18 Office for National Statistics. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Case Rates
for Health Research (HPRU-2019-NIHR200908, by Socio-Demographic Characteristics. England - Office for
HPRU-2019-NIHR200929), the European Union’s National Statistics; 2022. published online Feb 14. https://www.
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/
Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19caseratesbyso-
SC1-PHE-CORONAVIRUS-2020 - project EpiPose (No ciodemographiccharacteristicsengland/1september2020to10de-
101003688) and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation cember2021#socio-economic-factors. Accessed 17 May 2022.
19 Mena GE, Martinez PP, Mahmud AS, Marquet PA, Buckee CO,
(INV-016832). No other sources of funding are Santillana M. Socioeconomic status determines COVID-19 inci-
reported. dence and related mortality in Santiago, Chile. Science. 2021;372:
(6545) eabg5298.
20 Laajaj R, Webb D, Aristizabal D, et al. Understanding how socio-
economic inequalities drive inequalities in COVID-19 infections.
Supplementary materials Sci Rep. 2022;12:1–10.
21 Foster HME, Ho FK, Mair FS, et al. The association between a life-
Supplementary material associated with this article can style score, socioeconomic status, and COVID-19 outcomes within
be found in the online version at doi:10.1016/j. the UK Biobank cohort. BMC Infect Dis. 2022;22:1–13.
lana.2022.100296. 22 Saur�e D, O’Ryan M, Torres JP, Zuniga M, Santelices E, Basso LJ.
Dynamic IgG seropositivity after rollout of CoronaVac and
BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines in Chile: a sentinel surveillance
study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2021;22(1):56–63.
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ARTICLE
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30864-w OPEN
Determining the duration of immunity induced by booster doses of CoronaVac is crucial for
informing recommendations for booster regimens and adjusting immunization strategies. In
two single-centre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 clinical trials,
immunogenicity and safety of four immunization regimens are assessed in adults aged 18 to
59 years and one immunization regimen in adults aged 60 years and older, respectively.
Serious adverse events occurring within 6 months after booster doses are recorded as pre-
specified secondary endpoints, geometric mean titres (GMTs) of neutralising antibodies one
year after the 3-dose schedule immunization and 6 months after the booster doses are
assessed as pre-specified exploratory endpoints, GMT fold-decreases in neutralization titres
are assessed as post-hoc analyses. Neutralising antibody titres decline approximately 4-fold
and 2.5-fold from day 28 to day 180 after third doses in adults aged 18–59 years of age and in
adults aged 60 years and older, respectively. No safety concerns are identified during
the follow-up period. There are increases in the magnitude and duration of humoral response
with homologous booster doses of CoronaVac given 8 months after a primary two-dose
immunization series, which could prolong protection and contribute to building our wall of
population immunity. Trial number: NCT04352608 and NCT04383574.
1 Sinovac Biotech, Beijing, China. 2 School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China.
3 Hebei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. 4 Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,
Nanjing, China. 5 Suining County Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu, China. 6 Renqiu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hebei, China.
7 Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China. 8These authors contributed equally: Qianqian Xin, Qianhui Wu, Xinhua Chen, Bihua Han, Kai Chu. 9These authors
jointly supervised this work: Minjie Li, Yuliang Zhao, Hongxing Pan, Hongjie Yu, Lin Wang. ✉email: liminjie507@163.com; yuliang_zh1@163.com;
panhongxing@126.com; yhj@fudan.edu.cn; wanglin@sinovac.com
D
ue in part to waning immunity and diminished protection Results
over time following primary immunisation1–3, particu- In phase-2 clinical trial among 600 healthy adults aged 18–59
larly against the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-CoV-2, years, 129 (92.8%) of 139 participants from cohort 1a-14d-2m
many countries and regions are experiencing surges in COVID- and 126 (96.9%) of 130 participants from cohort 2a-28d-2m
19 cases. Booster doses given at 6–8 months after a primary completed blood sampling to assess immune persistence for 1
schedule have been shown to increase neutralisation antibody year after dose 3 among those assigned a primary third dose.
levels against wild-type virus and reduce the immunity gap Separately, 135 participants in cohort 1b-14d-8m (95.7% of the
between wild-type virus and variants of concern4,5. Extended 141 participants assigned a booster dose) and 124 participants in
primary immunisation series were recommended by the World cohort 2b-28d-8m (95.4% of the 130 participants assigned a
Health Organisation6, especially for those at high risk of severe booster dose) completed blood sampling to assess immune per-
COVID-19 disease, and booster-dose programmes have been sistence for 6 months after dose 3. In phase-2 clinical trial among
initiated in dozens of countries. With gradual understanding of a total of 350 healthy adults aged 60 years and older, 283 (93.4%)
the epidemiological parameters and immune escape potential of of 303 participants who received a booster dose from cohort 3-
the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529), it is of critical importance to 28d-8m completed a 6-month follow-up after dose 3. Supple-
assess the protection and persistence of protection that current mentary Fig. 1 shows the trial profile. Baseline characteristics of
COVID-19 vaccines can provide. participants are shown in the reports of main findings for these
Interim study results suggest that rates of confirmed infection two trials11–13. Baseline demographic characteristics of partici-
and severe illness caused by the Delta variant could be sig- pants who received third doses between the study groups were
nificantly reduced in the short term following booster doses7,8. similar (Supplementary Table 1).
However, no experimental data on the long-term kinetics of There were 141 minor protocol deviations in cohort 1b-14d-8m
neutralisation titres have been reported, even though in-vitro and 1 minor protocol deviation in cohort 3-28d-8m that did not
neutralisation titres are important predictors of protection from result in the exclusion of participants from the analysis, including
SARS-CoV-2 variants9,10. As CoronaVac is a commonly used 141 participants in cohort 1b-14d-8m who were given third doses
vaccine and is contributing to the fight against the pandemic, 9–11 days outside of the pre-specified time window, and 1 par-
assessing the duration of immunity following booster-dose ticipant in cohort 3-28d-8m who was given a second dose 5 days
administration will be important for improving and updating outside of the pre-specified time window (Supplementary Fig. 1).
immunisation strategies. The 3 μg dose is the licensed formula- Compared to antibody concentrations on day 28 after the booster
tion, and an additional (third) dose is recommended to be offered dose, neutralization titer declined 3–4-fold by 6 months after the
6 months after the two-dose primary schedule. We conducted a booster dose, which was given 8 months after a two-dose primary
study to assess immune persistence after a homologous booster vaccination regimen in adults aged 18–59 years. In the 3 μg group
dose of CoronaVac given 8 months after the 2nd dose of a two- in cohort 2b-28d-8m, GMTs decreased from 143.3 (95% CI
dose primary immunisation series in two population groups: 112.3–182.8) on day 28 to 36.4 (95% CI 28.7–46.1) on day 180 after
adults aged 18–59 years and adults aged 60 years or older. a booster dose (Fig. 1 and Supplementary Fig. 2, Supplementary
8192
Placebo
3 µg
6 µg
2048
p=0.0054 p=0.8027 p=0.0147 p=0.0041
512
Neutralization titer
230.9
143.3
32
6.7 7.0
8
No.participants 30 58 58 29 58 58 28 54 55 28 52 49 28 51 45
Baseline Day 28 after Day 180 after Day 28 after Day 180 after
dose 2 dose 2 dose 3 dose 3
Fig. 1 Neutralising antibody levels to ancestral SARS-CoV-2 in cohort 2b-28d-8m (adults aged 18–59 years old). The number of participants for each
group (placebo group, pink; 3 μg group, green; 6 μg group, blue) at each visit included in the analysis is provided below the bars. Dots are reciprocal
neutralising antibody titres for individuals in the per-protocol population. Numbers above the bars are geometric mean titres (GMTs), and error bars
indicate 95% CIs. GMTs and corresponding 95% CIs were calculated on the basis of standard normal distributions of log-transformed antibody titres.
Numbers above the short horizontal lines are p values for comparisons between 3 μg group and 6 μg group using group t tests with log-transformation
(two-sided). Titres lower than the limit of detection (1:4) are presented as half the limit of detection. The dotted horizontal line represents the protective
threshold (1:33).
Table 2). With the exception of baseline and day 180 after dose 2, GMT on day 180 after the specific dose. Taking the 3 μg group in
GMTs at other timepoints in cohort 2b-28d-8m were significantly cohort 2b-28d-8m as an example, the GMT fold decrease between
higher in the 6 μg group than in the 3 μg group (Supplementary day 28 and day 180 after a booster dose (4.1-fold) was significantly
Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 2). GMTs decreased from 137.9 lower than that observed between day 28 and day 180 after the
(95% CI 99.9–190.4) on day 14 to 33.4 (95% CI 25.0–44.6) on day second dose (6.8-fold; P = 0.0007; Fig. 3), which was numerically
180 after booster doses in cohort 1b-14d-8m (Fig. 1, Supplementary lower than that of day 28 and day 180 after primary three doses in
Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 2). GMTs in cohort 1b-14d-8m on cohort 2a-28d-2m (4.9-fold; P = 0.35; Supplementary Fig. 3). GMT
day 180 after the booster dose were significantly higher (P = 0.02) in fold decreases between day 28 and day 180 after the second dose
the 6 μg group than in the 3 μg group; there were no significant were similar in cohort 1b-14d-8m (7.3-fold) and cohort 2b-28d-8m
differences between the two-dose amounts at other timepoints (6.8-fold; P = 0.75; Supplementary Fig. 3), regardless of the interval
(Supplementary Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 2). Regardless of the of first two doses. Likewise, the GMT fold decrease between day 28
interval between the first two doses and antigen amount, by 1 year and day 180 after the booster dose (2.5-fold) was significantly lower
after a primary third dose, GMTs in vaccination groups were all at than that between day 28 and day 180 after the second dose (10.7-
least twofold above the detection limit in cohort 1a-14d-2m and fold; P < 0.0001; Fig. 3). Compared with adults aged 18–59 years old
cohort 2a-28d-2m. There were no significant differences in GMTs (cohort 2b-28d-8m), the GMT fold decrease was greater in adults
between the 3 μg groups and the 6 μg groups at 1 year after dose 3 in aged 60 years and older (cohort 3-28d-8m) after primary two doses
the two cohorts (Supplementary Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 2). (6.8-fold vs 10.7-fold, P = 0.03), but was lower after booster doses
A similar pattern was observed in cohort 3-28d-8m, in which (4.1-fold vs 2.5-fold, P < 0.0001; Fig. 3). There were no significant
neutralisation titres declined from 158.5 [95% CI 96.9–259.1] on differences in GMT fold decreases between the 3 μg groups and 6 μg
day 28 to 53.2 [95% CI 39.7–71.1] on day 180. GMTs on day 180 groups after booster doses among all the vaccination groups, irre-
after the booster dose were highest in the 6 μg group (GMT 91.2 spective of vaccination schedules and age grouping (Fig. 3, Supple-
[95% CI 71.5–116.3], P < 0.0001), followed by the 3 μg group mentary Fig. 3 and Supplementary Fig. 4).
(Fig. 2 and Supplementary Table 3). In the 3 μg group and the Serious adverse events that occurred from the beginning of
6 μg group, GMTs 6 months after booster doses among older immunisation to 6 months after second doses in cohort 1b-14d-
adults (60 years and older) were numerically higher than among 8m, cohort 2b-28d-8m, and cohort 3-28d-8m, and that occurred
younger adults (18–59 years old), but without a statistical dif- from the beginning of immunisation to 6 months after third
ference (P = 0.05). Results of sensitivity analyses showed that the doses in cohort 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-28d-2m have been
use of average dilutions has no significant impact on the values of reported previously13. During the 6-month follow-up after
neutralisation antibody titre (Supplementary Tables 4–7). booster doses in cohort 1b-14d-8m, cohort 2b-28d-8m, and
GMT fold decreases during the 6 months after primary two doses, cohort 3-28d-8m, serious adverse events were reported in one
primary three doses, and booster doses were compared among (2%) of 52 participants in the 3 μg group in cohort 2b-28d-8m
vaccination groups, calculated as the ratio of GMT on day 28 to (Supplementary Table 8), in four (5%) of 85 participants in the
8192
512
Neutralization titer
158.5178.9
99.6
128 91.2
53.2
49.9
41.2
32 23.4 20.6
8
4.1
3.4
3.1
No.participants 47 98 99 98 47 97 99 98 46 95 97 93 13 28 29 28 41 82 84 76
Baseline Day 28 after Day 180 after Day 28 after Day 180 after
dose 2 dose 2 dose 3 dose 3
Fig. 2 Neutralising antibody levels to ancestral SARS-CoV-2 in cohort 3-28d-8m (adults aged 60 years and older). The number of participants for each
group (placebo group, pink; 1.5 μg group, yellow; 3 μg group, green; 6 μg group, blue) at each visit included in the analysis is provided below the bars. Dots
are reciprocal neutralising antibody titres for individuals in the per-protocol population. Numbers above the bars are geometric mean titres (GMTs), and
error bars indicate 95% CIs. GMTs and corresponding 95% CIs were calculated on the basis of standard normal distributions of log-transformed antibody
titres. Numbers above the short horizontal lines are p values for comparisons between the 1.5 μg group, the 3 μg group and the 6 μg group using ANOVA
models with log-transformation. Bonferroni correction done as a post hoc test if the variance was significant. Only P values indicating significant differences
are marked. Titres lower than the limit of detection (1:4) are presented as half the limit of detection. The dotted horizontal line represents the protective
threshold (1:33).
Fig. 3 Decline in neutralising antibodies to ancestral SARS-CoV-2 in 3 μg groups in cohort 2b-28d-8m and cohort 3-28d-8m. The number of
participants with paired samples for adults aged 18–59 (green) and adults aged 60 and over (blue) was 49 and 29, respectively. Numbers above the bars
are geometric mean titres (GMTs), and error bars indicate the 95% CIs. The dotted horizontal line represents the protective threshold (1:33). Numbers
above the short horizontal lines are pairwise fold-change values. GMTs and corresponding 95% CIs were calculated on the basis of standard normal
distributions of log-transformed antibody titres. GMT fold decreases in neutralisation titre were calculated as ratios of paired sera at two visits.
Comparisons between groups were conducted by group t tests with log-transformation (two-sided). P values of pairwise comparisons were P < 0.0001,
P < 0.0001, P < 0.0001, P = 0.0187, from left to right, respectively.
1.5 μg group, in five (6%) of 90 in the 3 μg group, in three (4%) of contrast with common sense that immune responses to vac-
81 in the 6 μg group, and in two (4%) of 47 in the placebo group cination are generally weaker in older adults14. Notably, dif-
in cohort 3-28d-8m (Supplementary Table 9). No participant in ferences were small and there was overlap between younger
cohort 1b-14d-8m reported a serious adverse event. No serious adults and older adults in neutralising activity against SARS-
adverse event in either trial was considered by the investigators to CoV-2 viruses in the mRNA-1273 vaccine recipients15. Age did
be related to vaccination, and no pre-specified trial-halting rules not appear to compromise antibody response, even after
were met. accounting for severity among COVID-19 patients16. More
experimental data are required to address the age heterogeneity
Discussion of long-term neutralisation dynamics following vaccination.
Following a primary three-dose regimen for immunisation, A meta-analysis that summarised immune escape potential of
neutralisation antibody levels declined 6 months later and different SARS-CoV-2 variants against immunity induced by
remained stable during the next 6 months. Neutralisation anti- both natural infection and vaccination showed that the average
body levels were substantially increased by booster doses given fold reduction of neutralising antibody level against the Delta
8 months after primary two-dose regimens and were maintained variant was 2.4 (95% CI: 1.1–5.2) for inactivated vaccines in live
over the following 6 months—comparable with levels after pri- virus neutralisation assays when compared to that of prototype
mary two-dose immunisation regimens. When booster doses strains17. However, for individuals vaccinated with CoronaVac,
were given 8-month after primary immunisation, the decay rates the average reduction against Delta was 9.2-fold compared with
of neutralisation titres over the 6 months after booster-dose the prototype strain using authentic virus neutralisation assay18.
administration were much slower than that after primary two- Currently, there are no available data for immune evasion of the
dose regimens regardless of age group and antigen amount. humoral immunity elicited by inactivated vaccines for the
Memory B cells are known to proliferate and produce antibodies recently emerged Omicron variant. One report showed that sera
that maintain immunity after repeated exposure to antigens—a from individuals who received two doses of BNT162b2 exhibited
phenomenon that likely maintains protection and contributes to an average 25-fold reduction in neutralisation titres against the
building our wall of population immunity. Omicron variant compared to wild-type virus when using a
Observed GMT fold decreases during the 6 months follow- pseudovirus neutralisation test19. Another study showed a higher
ing primary two doses in the two age groups in our CoronaVac fold reduction of 41.4 for the Omicron variant among individuals
study were in line with results of a BNT162b24 vaccine study, with previous infection or vaccination20.
which were 6.0-fold in 18–55 years of age and 13.1-fold in Even though neutralisation titres induced by COVID-19 vac-
65–85 years of age from 7 days after dose 2 to before dose 3 cines decline over time and against variants, vaccine effectiveness
(7.9–8.8 months after dose 2). We found that GMT fold against severe COVID-19 illness is sustained, including against
decreases after booster doses were lower and neutralisation severe outcomes caused by Delta21. Although the limited available
titres 6 months after booster doses were numerically higher evidence shows that the immune escape of Omicron is significant,
in adults aged 60 years and older (cohort 3-28d-8m) than in vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation may be well main-
adults aged 18–59 years old (cohort 2b-28d-8m), which is in tained. Booster vaccination with current vaccines increases the
affinity of antibody and neutralisation potency better than that In conclusion, a homologous booster dose of CoronaVac given
achieved with primary vaccination only, and this effect can likely 8 months after 2nd dose of the primary two-dose immunisation
be predicted to provide robust protection from severe infection recalls robust neutralisation antibody levels and significantly
outcomes from the current SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern9. delays antibody attenuation in adults aged 18 years and older.
One recent study reported that a moderate to high vaccine More experimental and long-term monitoring data are needed to
effectiveness against mild infection of 70–75% was seen in the optimise the selection of booster doses and booster-dose intervals
early period after a booster dose of BNT162b2 following either to most effectively combat the pandemic.
ChAdOx1-S or BNT162b2 as a primary series, despite the longer
intervals after primary vaccination22, underscoring the necessity Methods
of timely administration of a booster dose. Study design and participants. The study designs and methods for these two
Higher antigen content appeared to induce higher neutralisation phase II trials have been previously reported11. Key exclusion criteria for trial
titres and maintain higher levels in the 6 months of follow-up after enrolment included suspected or laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections
and known allergy to any vaccine component. A complete list of exclusion criteria
booster doses in the medium term. This implies that vaccines is in the protocol in Supplementary Material. All participants gave written
containing higher antigen content (i.e. 6 μg) could be considered for informed consent to participate in the study before administration of first doses
booster immunisation programmes. Heterologous booster vacci- and booster doses. The two trials were registered with ClinicalTrials.gov,
nation has been shown to induce strong humoral responses and NCT04352608 and NCT04383574.
Briefly, the initial trial involving 600 healthy adults aged 18–59 years old in a
augment neutralisation potency23,24. At 4–8 months after primary single-centre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase-2 clinical trial
immunisation with CoronaVac, a significantly higher degree of conducted from May 3, 2020 in Suining county, Jiangsu province, China. Following
humoral immunogenicity against the prototype strain and the enrollment, participants were randomised to receive three doses of either 3 μg of
Gamma, Beta, and Delta variants was observed following a third CoronaVac, 6 μg of CoronaVac, or placebo with an interval of 14 days or 28 days
between the first two doses and 2 months or 8 months between the second and
dose of ZF2001 (a protein subunit vaccine manufactured by Anhui third doses; the respective study groups were cohort 1a-14d-2m, cohort 1b-14d-
Zhifei Longcom Biopharmaceutical)18. A heterologous prime-boost 8m, cohort 2a-28d-2m, and cohort 2b-28d-8m. One hundred fifty participants were
regimen with Convidecia (a type-5-adenovirus-vectored COVID-19 assigned to each cohort, and 3 μg or 6 μg of CoronaVac or placebo were randomly
vaccine manufactured by CanSino) after priming with CoronaVac assigned in a 2:1:1 allocation ratio.
The other trial, involving 350 healthy adults aged 60 years and older, was a
3–6 months earlier induced approximately 5.9-fold higher live virus single-centre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase-2 clinical trial
neutralising antibodies than homologous boosting induced25. By conducted from June 12, 2020 in Renqiu county, Hebei province, China. Following
identifying various forms of antigens from vaccines made on dif- enrollment, participants were randomised to receive three doses of 1.5, 3 or 6 μg of
ferent platforms, the immune system apparently can be trained to CoronaVac or placebo with an interval of 28 days between the first two doses and
produce a more balanced and comprehensive immune response 8 months between second and third doses; this study group is cohort 3-28d-8m.
Randomisation was performed with a 2:2:2:1 allocation ratio.
that enhances the effect of current vaccines through heterologous Electronic Data Capture (EDC) RIEHEN (Version: 2.1.1608) was used to
immunisation strategies. Heterologous boosting has clear policy establish the electronic Case Report Form (eCRF) in both trials to record clinical
implications, as it can provide solutions to curb the pandemic of trial data. Information was inputted with standard language according to the EDC
emerging variants before developing new vaccines. It should be instructions and eCRF filling instructions. Randomisation codes for each
vaccination schedule cohort were generated individually and randomly assigned
noted there are no large-scale heterologous immunisation practices using block randomisation developed with SAS version 9.4. Adults aged 18–59
until recently, and more high-quality safety and effectiveness years were assigned with a block size of five and adults aged 60 years and older
research evidence is required to improve immunisation strategies. were assigned with a block size of fourteen. Concealed random group allocations
In addition, several research studies have shown that extended and blinding codes were kept in signed and sealed envelopes. Investigators,
participants, and laboratory staff were masked to group assignment. The
dosing intervals generate more favourable immune responses5,26. randomisation code was assigned to each participant in sequence in the order of
“Mix-and-match” regimens and longer dosing interval strategies enrolment by investigators, who were involved in the rest of the trial.
may also be helpful in lower-income countries, where some vac-
cines may be in short supply some of the time. With much of the Follow-up. Essential steps and timing for each visit specified in the protocol are shown
world yet to be vaccinated, re-doubling our efforts for equitable and in Supplementary Visit Plan. Conditions leading to participant withdrawal and sus-
speedy vaccine delivery on a global scale and improving initial pension criteria were reported previously11, including unacceptable adverse events,
vaccination coverage should be our primary focus. abnormal clinical manifestations, participants’ request. Participants who received
primary third doses 2 months after the second dose (cohort 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-
Immune memory is what leads to long-term immunity, but it is 28d-2m) had blood samples drawn 1 year after the third dose to evaluate immune
difficult to predict how long immunity will last because the exact persistence of this three-dose primary immunisation regimen. Participants who
mechanisms of protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 or received booster doses 8 months after the second dose (cohort 1b-14d-8m, cohort 2b-
COVID-19 are still not clear. The 6-month marker in our study is 28d-8m and cohort 3-28d-8m), had blood samples drawn 6 months after the booster
dose to evaluate immune persistence of this booster regimen.
an important milestone, but long-term immune response and Immunological assessment methods and related procedures are described in the
effectiveness need to be continuously monitored into the fore- Supplementary Neutralisation Assay. Neutralising antibodies against infectious
seeable future. SARS-CoV-2 (virus strain SARS-CoV-2/human/CHN/CN1/2020, GenBank
Our study has several limitations. First, T-cell responses and accession number MT407649.1, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MT407649.
1) were quantified using a microcytopathogenic effect assay. We treated the
neutralisation tests in vitro against emerging variants were not neutralising antibody titer of the serum specimen as the reciprocal of the average
assessed in our study; these should be further explored. Second, dilutions of two wells when one of two adjacent wells was pathological while the
multicentre studies will be needed to assess primary outcomes other not. To avoid the use of the average would not deflate or inflate the values of
among subpopulations for whom our study had relatively small neutralisation antibody titre, we conducted sensitivity analyses only to adopt higher
proportions, for example, people with multiple underlying condi- dilutions or lower dilutions respectively. Serious adverse events were recorded for
6 months after the third dose for participants in every cohort. Serious adverse
tions or immunosuppressive conditions. Third, the follow-up events were coded by the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities (MedDRA)
time of our study is relatively short. However, timely reporting of System Organ Class. The existence of causal associations between adverse events
follow-up data is very important for ongoing adjustment of and vaccination was determined by the investigators.
immunisation strategies in the context of a pandemic with frequent
emergence of variants. Fourth, although neutralising antibodies are Outcomes. A complete list of study endpoints is provided in the Supplementary
related to protection, actual protection from infection with current Study Endpoints. Results as of 28 days after booster doses (for cohort 1b-14d-8m,
cohort 2b-28d-8m and cohort 3-28d-8m) and 6 months after primary three doses
and future variants will need to be monitored with real-world (for cohort 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-28d-2m) have been reported previously11.
observational studies. Further research to identify correlates of Here, we report the follow-up immunogenic results including geometric mean
protection is essential. titres (GMTs) of neutralising antibodies to infectious SARS-CoV-2 one year after
the full schedule immunisation (for cohort 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-28d-2m), 2. Chemaitelly, H. et al. Waning of BNT162b2 vaccine protection against SARS-
6 months after the booster dose (for cohort 1b-14d-8m, cohort 2b-28d-8m, and CoV-2 infection in Qatar. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, e83 (2021).
cohort 3-28d-8m), all of which are pre-specified exploratory endpoints. As did 3. Cohn, B. A., Cirillo, P. M., Murphy, C. C., Krigbaum, N. Y. & Wallace, A. W.
Khoury and colleagues10, we used a protective threshold of 33 for CoronaVac SARS-CoV-2 vaccine protection and deaths among US veterans during 2021.
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have a 50% protective efficacy for CoronaVac. Titres lower than the limit of 4. Falsey, A. R. et al. SARS-CoV-2 neutralization with BNT162b2 vaccine dose 3.
detection (1:4) were treated as half the limit of detection. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, 1627–1629 (2021).
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cohort 1b-14d-8m, cohort 2b-28d-8m and cohort 3-28d-8m) were recorded; or a third dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in the UK: a substudy of two
serious adverse events were pre-specified secondary endpoints. Comparisons of randomised controlled trials (COV001 and COV002). Lancet 398 981–990
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7. Barda, N. et al. Effectiveness of a third dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-
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protocol for adults aged 18–59 years old was approved by the ethics committees of 9. Cromer, D. et al. Neutralising antibody titres as predictors of protection
Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (JSJK2020-A021-02), against SARS-CoV-2 variants and the impact of boosting: a meta-analysis.
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References Acknowledgements
1. Levin, E. G. et al. Waning immune humoral response to BNT162b2 Covid-19 We thank Dr. Lance Rodewald from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
for his comments and English language editing. The study was supported by grants from
vaccine over 6 months. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, e84 (2021).
National Key Research and Development Program (2020YFC0849600), Beijing Science and Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to Minjie Li, Yuliang
Technology Program (Z201100005420023), and Key Program of the National Natural Sci- Zhao, Hongxing Pan, Hongjie Yu or Lin Wang.
ence Foundation of China (82130093). The funders had no role in study design, data
collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript. Peer review information Nature Communications thanks the anonymous reviewers for
their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available.
Correspondence to: Xiang Wang, Xin-Pei Sun, Jia-Kui Sun; email: njdrwx2016@163.com, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0228-
0152; sjk0935119@163.com, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0896-1511; njdrsjk2020@njmu.edu.cn
Keywords: inactivated vaccines, organ dysfunction, older patients, Delta variant, COVID-19
Received: November 25, 2021 Accepted: May 7, 2022 Published: May 18. 2022
Copyright: © 2022 Song et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution
License (CC BY 3.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original
author and source are credited.
ABSTRACT
Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is spreading around the world. The COVID-19 vaccines
may improve concerns about the pandemic. However, the roles of inactivated vaccines in older patients (aged
≥60 years) with infection of Delta variant were less studied.
Methods: We classified the older patients with infection of Delta variant into three groups based on the
vaccination status: no vaccination (group A, n = 113), one dose of vaccination (group B, n = 46), and two doses
of vaccination (group C, n = 22). Two inactivated COVID-19 vaccines (BBIBP-CorV or CoronaVac) were evaluated
in this study. The demographic data, laboratory parameters, and clinical severity were recorded.
Results: A total of 181 older patients with infection of Delta variant were enrolled. 111 (61.3%) patients had
one or more co-morbidities. The days of "turn negative" and hospital stay in Group C were lower than those in
the other groups (P < 0.05). The incidences of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), septic shock, acute
respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), acute kidney injury, and cardiac injury in Group A were higher than those
in the other groups (P < 0.05). The MV-free days and ICU-free days during 28 days in Group A were also lower
than those in the other groups (P < 0.05). In patients with co-morbidities, vaccinated cases had lower incidences
of MODS (P = 0.015), septic shock (P = 0.015), and ARDS (P = 0.008).
Conclusions: The inactivated COVID-19 vaccines were effective in improving the clinical severity of older
patients with infection of Delta variant.
Abbreviations: BMI: body mass index; CRP: C-reactive protein; WBC: white blood cells; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; TNI:
troponin I; BNP: brain natriuretic peptide; PCT: procalcitonin; IL-6: interleukin-6; IgM: immunoglobulin M; IgG:
immunoglobulin G; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; AKI: acute kidney injury;
MODS: multiple organ dysfunction syndrome; NIV: noninvasive ventilation; HFNC: high-flow nasal cannula; MV:
mechanical ventilation; CRRT: continuous renal replacement therapy; ECMO: extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; ICU:
intensive care unit.
Abbreviations: Group A: No vaccination; Group B: One dose of vaccination; Group C: Two doses of vaccination; CRP: C-
reactive protein; WBC: white blood cells; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; TNI: troponin I; BNP: brain natriuretic peptide; PCT:
procalcitonin; IL-6: interleukin-6; IgM: immunoglobulin M; IgG: immunoglobulin G; CT: cycle threshold.
Abbreviations: Group A: No vaccination; Group B: One dose of vaccination; Group C: Two doses of vaccination; MODS:
multiple organ dysfunction syndrome; ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; AKI: acute kidney injury; NIV: noninvasive
ventilation; HFNC: high-flow nasal cannula; MV: mechanical ventilation; CRRT: continuous renal replacement therapy; ECMO:
extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; ICU: intensive care unit.
Abbreviations: MODS: multiple organ dysfunction syndrome; ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; AKI: acute kidney
injury.
isolation and symptomatic treatments, increasing patients (between the ages of 18–59 years). However,
SARS-CoV-2 vaccines were developed to prevent the effectiveness of these vaccines in older patients was
COVID-19. Thompson et al. [19] reported high efficacy less investigated.
of the two-dose messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines
BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and mRNA-1273 Wu Z and colleagues confirmed that the CoronaVac
(Moderna) for the SARS-CoV-2 infection prevention was safe and well-tolerated in older adults [10]. Another
among adults within the working age. Zhang Y and study also confirmed that the CoronaVac vaccination
colleagues [20] investigated the safety, tolerance, and was successful in the prevention of COVID-19 as well
ability to induce an immune response of an inactivated as the associated severe illness and death in older adults
CoronaVac vaccine (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, [7]. On July 21, 2021, an imported COVID-19 epidemic
China) in a phase 1/2 clinical trial in China, and they attributed to the Delta strain was reported in Nanjing
discovered that two dosages of CoronaVac at varied city of China [3]. When undertaking our clinical efforts
concentrations and dosage regimens were well tolerable to control the COVID-19 pandemic (Delta variant) in
and mildly immunogenic among healthy individuals Nanjing, we discovered that there were a number of
within the age range of 18–59 years old. Jara’s study [7] older and vaccinated patients among confirmed cases.
also suggests that the CoronaVac vaccination was In addition, 61.3% of the older patients had one or more
successful in preventing COVID-19, which resulted in co-morbidities. Therefore, we investigated the roles of
severe sickness and death in Chile. Unfortunately, the Chinese inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (BBIBP-
efficacy of the vaccines was still questioned by the CorV or CoronaVac) in older patients with confirmed
emerging mutant variants of SARS-CoV-2. infection of Delta variant, especially in those with co-
morbidities in this study. Our results suggested that two
More and more variants have been reported across the doses of the vaccines were effective in improving the
globe: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Omicron, and so on disease severity of older patients (aged ≥60 years) with
[6, 21]. In particular, the Delta variant is considered to Delta variant, including those with co-morbidities. No
be a crucial reason for the recurrence or deterioration of difference in 28-day mortality was observed, which
the COVID-19 epidemic [5, 6, 22]. After perfectly might be attributed to the limited sample size employed
controlling the epidemic in 2020, China is also suffering in this retrospective study.
from the sporadic outbreak of the COVID-19 (Delta) in
2021. Consequently, it is necessary to investigate the The immune status and viral load (CT value) of older
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine efficacy in Delta variants. Lopez patients were also investigated in this study. T cell
and colleagues [4] found that the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 receptor diversity may decline with age in both CD8
and BNT162b2 vaccines targeting the Delta variant and CD4 cells, reducing T cell survival [11]. A study by
were effective after the receipt of two vaccine doses. Thompson MG found that vaccination reduced the load
During the Delta strain epidemic in May 2021 in of viral RNA present, the likelihood of febrile
Guangzhou city, China, Li XN and colleagues [23] manifestations, and the disease duration for those who
confirmed the efficacy of two doses of inactivated experienced breakthrough infections despite having
vaccines in preventing the Delta variant infection in received vaccination [19]. The findings of our research
Age and Ageing 2022; 51: 1–9 © The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics
https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afac088 Society. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
RESEARCH PAPER
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vaccine (CoronaVac) in Turkish geriatric
population
Arzu Okyar Baş1 , Merve Hafizoğlu1 , Filiz Akbiyik2 , Merve Güner Oytun1 , Zeynep Şahiner1 ,
Serdar Ceylan1 , Pelin Ünsal1 , Burcu Balam Doğu1 , Mustafa Cankurtaran1 , Banu Çakir3 ,
Serhat Ünal4 , Meltem Gülhan Halil1
1
Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Geriatrics, Hacettepe University Faculty of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
2
Ankara City Hospital Laboratory, Siemens Healthineers, Ankara, Turkey
3
Department of Public Health, Hacettepe University Faculty of Medicine, Ankara 06230, Turkey
4
Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey
Address correspondence to: Arzu Okyar Baş. Tel: +905065630765; Fax: +903123052302. Email: arzu0506@hotmail.com
Abstract
Background: Sars-CoV-2 infection influences older individuals at the forefront, and there is still limited data on the COVID-
19 vaccine response in the geriatric population. This study aimed to assess antibody response after vaccination with SARS-
CoV-2 inactivated vaccine and examine possible factors affecting this response in a geriatric population.
Methods: individuals who have been on at least the 28th day after the second dose of the COVID-19 vaccine were included.
Comprehensive geriatric assessment tools and the Clinical Frailty Scale were performed. SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific IgG
antibodies were detected and, levels ≥1 U/ml were defined as seropositive, <1 U/ml were defined as seronegative.
Results: a total of 497 patients were included and divided into three groups according to the days past after the second dose
of the vaccine (Group 1: 28–59 days, Group 2: 60–89 days and Group 3: 90 days and more). Groups included 188, 148
and 171 patients, respectively. Seropositivity rate in each group was 80.9,73.2 and 57.3%, respectively. In Groups 1 and 2,
Charlson Comorbidity Index score was higher in the seronegative group (P = 0.023 and P = 0.011, respectively). In Group
3, the prevalence of frailty was significantly higher in the seronegative group (P = 0.002).
Conclusion: to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study assessing the antibody response after vaccination with Sars-
CoV 2 inactivated vaccine in the Turkish geriatric population. Moreover, this is the first study revealing the relationship
between antibody response and frailty. Larger studies are needed to confirm the antibody response duration and the association
between frailty and COVID-19 vaccine response.
Keywords: SARS-CoV-2, sinovac, coronavac, neutralising antibody, anti-Spike IgG, older people
Key Points
• Seroconversion rate in older adults significantly decreased 90 days after the second dose of vaccine.
• Frailty might play an important role in vaccine response.
• The seropositivity rate was significantly lower in frail geriatric patients after two-dose scheduled inactive SARS-CoV-2
vaccination.
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dialysis treatment.
in adults ≥ 18 years. [1] Despite the disadvantages (i.e. Demographic data of the participants (age, gender, edu-
the integrity of antigens or epitopes that should be verified, cation, occupation, where and whom they live with), chronic
limited immunogenicity requiring adjuvants to enhance the diseases, medications, polypharmacy, smoking and falls were
immune response), inactivated vaccines are still popular due recorded.
to their advantages (i.e. non-replicability in the host, non-
transmissibility, relatively easy production systems) [2]. Most Comprehensive geriatric assessment
vaccine studies (prepared by either new or conventional CGA was performed using standardised tools, i.e. Mini-
methods; mRNA, adenovirus vector, adjuvant protein or Mental State Examination (MMSE), Mini Nutritional
inactivated virus), have not included older patients, espe- Assessment short-form (MNA-SF), Yesavage’s Geriatric
cially the frail groups. Therefore, the immune response to Depression Scale (YGDS), The Katz Activities of Daily
vaccines in this special group is not well known [2, 3]. Living (ADL) scale and Lawton-Brody Instrumental
Vaccine response in older adults is not a truly well- Activities of Daily Living (IADL). The patient’s functional
understood area [4]. Immunosenescence (qualitative and status was evaluated using the Katz ADL test, evaluating
quantitative deterioration in immune response due to age- over 6 points by questioning how independently the patient
ing), frailty and multiple chronic diseases make it difficult performed basic care and activities related to daily life and the
to predict the vaccine response in the geriatric population. score increased as independence increased [7]. The Lawton
Furthermore, there is insufficient data on the duration of Brody scale was performed to evaluate patients’ IADLs
the antibody response. A study conducted on inactivated [8]. The cognitive status of the participants was screened
influenza vaccine reported that seroprotection rates against by MMSE. The patients’ orientation, memory, attention,
all three strains in the vaccine had decreased six months after calculation, recall, language, motor function and perception
vaccination in older individuals [5]. Therefore, it is essential skills were assessed with the MMSE. The maximum score
to highlight the duration of seroprotection after vaccination of the test is 30 points, and the scores 24 and below were
with inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in this population. assessed as cognitive impairment [9]. Nutritional screening
The aim of this study was to assess antibody response after via MNA-SF was performed and, scores > 11 points were
vaccination with SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine (Coron- defined as normal, 8–11 points were defined as the risk of
aVac) and to examine possible factors that may affect this malnutrition and ≤7 points were defined as malnutrition
response in a geriatric population aged 60 years and older, [10]. The YGDS was used for depression screening, and
who were evaluated in terms of frailty with comprehensive patients scoring over five points were assessed clinically for
geriatric assessment (CGA). depression [11].
Assessment of frailty
Materials and methods
The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) was performed to assess
Sample size determination frailty. CFS defines clinical frailty by giving a score between
In a study with a dichotomous (yes/no) endpoint (Sars- 1 and 9 (1: very fit; 2: well; 3: well with the treated comorbid
CoV2 infection) and a study group (older adults) from the disease; 4: apparently vulnerable; 5: mildly frail; 6: mod-
community, it was predicted that the risk of COVID-19 erately frail; 7: severely frail; 8: very severely frail; and 9:
infection in the known (older adults) population was 2% and terminally ill) based on the clinical opinion of the physician,
the risk of infection in this population could be reduced by and according to accepted definitions, patients were divided
85% with inactivated vaccine. Thus, 411 people aged 60 or into two groups as non-frail (CFS ≤ 4) and frail (CFS > 4)
over should be included in the study group with a margin of [12]. Turkish validation study of CFS was available, and
error of 0.05 (alpha) and power of 90% [6]. Assuming there CFS was found to be a reliable and valid frailty screening
may be a 20% loss until the end of the study, it was calculated tool for community-dwelling older adults in the Turkish
that the sample size should be 493 with 20% excess. population [13].
Table 1. Demographical characteristics and Comprehensive Geriatric Assessments according to groups defined as the days
past after the second dose of the vaccine
Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 P value
(28–59 days past after (60–89 days past after (90 and more days past
the second dose of the second dose of after the second dose of
vaccination group) vaccination group) vaccination group)
(n = 188 (37.8%) n = 148 (27.8%) n = 171 (34.4%)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Age, median (IQR) 71 (67–75) 71 (67–73) 75(67–79) <0.0001a , c ,d
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Female gender, n (%) 111 (56.%) 91 (65.9%) 103 (60.2%) 0.419
Comorbidities Depression, n (%) 18 (9.6%) 19 (13.8%) 24 (14%) 0.406
CVD, n (%) 49 (26.1%) 30 (21.7%) 48 (28.1%) 0.438
HT, n (%) 135 (71.8%) 101 (73.2%) 122 (71.3%) 0.934
DM, n (%) 84 (44.7%) 53 (38.4%) 67 (39.2%) 0.434
Atrial fibrillation, n (%) 16 (8.5%) 11 (8.0%) 25 (14.6%) 0.089
Hypothyroidism, n (%) 34 (18.1%) 28 (20.3%) 28 (16.4%) 0.674
Congestive heart failure, n (%) 19 (10.1%) 10 (7.2%) 14 (8.2%) 0.643
Rheumatological diseases, n (%) 20 (10.6%) 9 (6.5%) 15 (8.8%) 0.433
Malignancy history, n (%) 25 (13.3%) 14 (10.1%) 17 (9.9%) 0.535
Chronic renal disease, n (%) 8 (4.3%) 9 (6.5%) 8 (4.7%) 0.630
Pulmonary diseases, n (%) 15 (8.0%) 13 (9.4%) 6 (3.4%) 0.091
Basic ADLs, median (IQR) 6 (6–6) 6 (5–6) 6 (5–6) 0.051
Instrumental ADLs, median (IQR) 8 (8–8) 8 (8–8) 8 (7–8) 0.143
MMSE, median (IQR) 28 (26–30) 28 (25–29) 28 (26–30) 0.177
Geriatric Depression Scale score, median (IQR) 1(0–5) 2 (0–4.5) 2 (0–4) 0.506
Clock drawing test, median (IQR) 5 (3–6) 6 (3–6) 6 (3–6) 0.669
CCI Score, median (IQR) 1 (0–2) 1 (0–2) 1 (0–2) 0.060
CFS score, median (IQR) 3 (3–4) 3 (3–4) 3 (3–4) 0.071
CFS-frailty, n (%) 37 (20.2%) 28 (21.2%) 36 (22%) 0.924
MNA-SF score, median (IQR) 14 (12–14) 14 (12–14) 14 (12–14) 0.138
Malnutrition (MNA < 12) 43 (23.9%) 20 (15.9%) 41 (27.5) 0.066
Number of drugs, median (IQR) 5 (3–7) 5 (3–7) 5 (2–7) 0.744
Polypharmacy, n (%) 110 (59.5%) 75 (54.7%) 100 (58.5%) 0.520
Falls, n (%) 26 (14.6%) 22 (17.7%) 23 (16%) 0.764
HGS, median (IQR) 20 (16–29.3) 20 (17–26.6) 21.2 (17.2–29.7) 0.755
Low HGS, n (%) 60 (38.7%) 32 (28.8%) 47 (36.7%) 0.228
Low gait speed, n (%) 49 (33.8%) 27 (26.5%) 37 (30.1%) 0.465
Gait speed, median (IQR) 0.9 (0.7–1.2) 0.9 (0.7–1.0) 0.9 (0.8–1.1) 0.881
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level U/ml, median (IQR) 4 (1.6–10) 1.78 (0.9–5.3) 1.35 (0.5–3.7) <0.0001 a , b , c ,d
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level BAU/ml, median (IQR) 79.1 (31.6–166.0) 41.2 (19.8–103.5) 27.0 (10.9–62.3) <0.0001a , b , c ,d
Seropositivity, n (%) 152 (80.9%) 101 (73.2%) 98 (57.3%) <0.0001a , c ,d
CVD, Cardiovascular diseases; HT, Hypertension; DM, Diabetes Mellitus; ADL, Activities of daily living; MMSE, Mini-mental State Examination; CFS, Clinical
Frailty Scale; MNA-SF, Mini Nutritional Assessment short-form. a P-value < 0.05 for the comparison between Group 1, 2 and 3. b P value < 0.05 for the comparison
between Group 1 and 2. c P value < 0.05 for the comparison between Group 1 and 3. d P value < 0.05 for the comparison between Group 2 and 3.
measurements were made three times with the dominant calculated in m/s. Values below 0.8 m/s were evaluated in
hand in the sitting position, with the elbow bent at 90◦ favour of low physical performance [14].
and the hand in the neutral position. The highest of the
three repeated measurements was used in the analysis. Assessment of comorbidities
Cut-off values were taken according to the EWSGOP
revised sarcopenia criteria, the low handgrip strength (HGS) We used the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) to assess the
for women and men, was described as HGS < 16 kg patients’ comorbidities. CCI is a commonly used comorbid-
and <27 kg, respectively [14]. ity index including 17 comorbidities, and it indicates disease
burden with robust estimation of mortality [15, 16].
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≥1.00 U/ml. The analytical sensitivity at the cut-off values
for the Atellica IM sCOVG assay was determined using the
World Health Organization First International Standard for
anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin (human) NIBSC code:
20/136. The concentration of the reference standard that
corresponds to the cut-off value of 1.00 Index (U/ml) for
the assay is 21.80 BAU/ml [17].
Statistical analyses
Statistical analyses were executed by SPSS version 22.0
(IBM). Variables were investigated using visual (histogram,
probability plots) and analytic methods to determine
Figure 1. Distribution of antibody titres according to frailty
whether or not they are normally distributed. Descriptive
status.
statistics were presented as mean ± standard deviation
for variables with normal distribution, median (IQR) for
disproportionate variables and the number of cases and (%)
antibody unit (BAU/ml) for each group was 79.1 (31.6–
for nominal variables. In terms of median values, when the
166.0), 41.2 (19.8–103.5) and 27.0 (10.9–62.3), respec-
group number was two, the differences between the groups
tively (P < 0.0001). In any of the three groups, no significant
were investigated by Mann–Whitney U test. When the
difference was found between antibody positive and
group number was more than two, the differences between
negative groups in terms of age, gender, most comorbidities
the groups were investigated by the Kruskal–Wallis test. Chi-
(exceptions showed in Tables 2 and 3), nutritional status,
square test or Fisher exact test were performed for categorical
number of drugs, falls, low HGS, low gait speed, presence
variables to compare the data and Bonferroni correction was
of adverse reactions and the scores of Basic ADLs, MMSE,
performed when necessary. A P value < 0.05 was considered
YGDS and clock drowning test (Tables 2–4). Distribution
statistically significant.
of seropositivity according to the days past after the second
dose of the vaccine is given in Supplementary Appendices
1. In Groups 1 and 2, the CCI scores were higher in the
Results seronegative group (P = 0.023 and P = 0.011, respectively)
(Tables 2 and 3). In Group 3, the median (IQR) of IADL,
A total of 497 patients with a median (IQR) age of 72 for seropositive and negative groups were 8 (8–8) and 8
(67–78) years were enrolled in the study, and 305 (61.4%) (6–8), respectively (P = 0.025), and prevalence of frailty
patients were female. The median (IQR) number of days was significantly higher in the seronegative group (13.4 vs.
after the 2nd dose of vaccine was 72 (45–97) days. The 34.3% for seropositive and negative groups, respectively
seropositivity rate in the whole sample was 70.6% (n = 351). (P = 0.002), Table 4). In Figure 1, solely for using in the box
In order to evaluate the course of the antibody response blot plot, the logarithmic spike IgG levels were calculated to
over time, patients were divided into three groups according exclude outliers. These logarithmic spike IgG levels were only
to the days past after the second dose of the vaccine (Group used in Figure 1 to show the distribution of seropositivity
1: 28–59 days, Group 2: 60–89 days and Group 3: 90 days rate according to the frailty status more comprehensible.
and more), and groups included 188, 148 and 171 patients,
respectively.
Patients in Group 3 were significantly older than other Discussion
groups (P < 0.0001). There were no differences between
groups in terms of gender, comorbidities, CGAs, frailty and Sars-CoV2 infection is a universal challenge and although
functional status (Table 1). Sars-CoV2 infection undoubtedly influenced older
Seropositivity rate decreased over time, and the rate individuals at the forefront, there is still limited data on
in each group was 80.9, 73.2 and 57.3%, respectively the COVID-19 vaccine response in the geriatric population.
(Appendix 1). sCOVG serum level median (IQR) binding However, great strides have been made in vaccination since
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HT, n (%) 107 (71.3%) 28 (77.8%) 0.436
DM, n (%) 65 (43.3%) 19 (52.8%) 0.307
Atrial fibrillation, n (%) 13 (8.7%) 3 (8.3%) 0.949
Hypothyroidism, n (%) 27 (18.0%) 7 (19.4%) 0.840
Congestive heart failure, n 13 (8.7%) 6 (16.7%) 0.215
(%)
Rheumatological diseases, n 13 (8.7%) 7(19.4%) 0.074
(%)
Malignancy history, n (%) 18 (12.0%) 7 (19.4%) 0.276
Chronic renal disease, n (%) 6 (4.0%) 2 (5.6%) 0.653
Pulmonary diseases, n (%) 12 (8.0%) 9 (25.0%) 0.008∗ , ∗∗
Basic ADLs, median (IQR) 6 (5.75–6.0) 6 (5.0–6.0) 0.991
Instrumental ADLs, median (IQR) 8 (8–8) 8 (8–8) 0.991
MMSE, median (IQR) 28 (26–30) 27(26–29) 0.377
Geriatric depression scale score, median (IQR) 2(0–5) 1(0–3) 0.204
Clock drawing test, median (IQR) 5 (5–6) 6 (5–6) 0.864
CCI score, median (IQR) 1 (0–2) 2 (1–3) 0.023∗
CFS score, median (IQR) 3 (3–4) 3 (3–4) 0.406
CFS-frailty, n (%) 29 (19.7%) 8 (22.2%) 0.738
MNA-SF score, median (IQR) 14 (12.7–14) 14 (11–14) 0.968
Malnutrition (MNA < 12) 32 (22.2%) 11 (30.6%) 0.294
Number of drugs, median (IQR) 5 (3–7) 6 (3–8) 0.200
Polypharmacy, n (%) 88 (59.9%) 22 (61.1%) 0.891
Falls, n (%) 19 (13.2%) 7 (20.6%) 0.285
HGS, median (IQR) 20.0 (16–29.3) 19.9 (16.2–29.4) 0.392
Low HGS, n (%) 45 (35.7%) 15 (51.7%) 0.111
Low gait speed, n (%) 40 (33.6%) 9 (34.6%) 0.922
Gait speed, median (IQR) 0.90 (0.6–1.2) 0.961 (0.7–1.2) 0.826
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level U/ml, median (IQR) 4.6 (2.5–10) 0.56 (0–0.6) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level BAU/ml, median (IQR) 100.3 (55.1–217.3) 12.3 (0.0–14.2) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
CVD, Cardiovascular diseases; HT, Hypertension; DM, Diabetes Mellitus; ADL, Activities of daily living; MMSE, Mini-mental State Examination; CFS, Clinical
Frailty Scale; MNA-SF, Mini Nutritional Assessment short-form. ∗ Significance at P < 0.05. ∗∗ Significance at P < 0.01. ∗∗∗ Significance at P < 0.001.
the beginning of the pandemic; older adults, who are likely showed a significant decline in neutralising antibody titres
to be among the first to be vaccinated, are often excluded in three months after the second dose of BNT162b2 [18].
vaccine studies. Therefore, evaluating the vaccine response In addition, Sinopharm’s inactivated COVID-19 vaccine,
in older adults, who are mostly affected by the pandemic which has similar technology with Sinovac’s Coronavac, also
and may have many confounding factors like frailty and showed decreased antibody production, vaccine effectiveness
multiple chronic comorbidities, is essential. In the light of and mortality reduction, in older adults [19, 20]. Similar
the CGA, including frailty assessment, this study aimed to the previous studies, we observed a significant decline
to evaluate the antibody response and factors that may in the seroconversion rate over time, particularly if it has
affect it in this particular group. Our findings suggest been longer than three months after the second dose. These
that antibody response after two doses of the inactivated findings may support the concerns about the possible short-
vaccine decreases, especially after 90 days. Furthermore, lasting humoral immunity response after the two-dose
to the best of our knowledge, this study is the first vaccination schedule, and starting with the older population,
revealing comorbidity burden and frailty as important factors booster doses may be needed to help to pursue seropositivity.
for COVID-19 vaccine seroconversion in the geriatric The BAU/ml is the conversion factor determined using
population. the World Health Organization international standard code
There is still insufficient data for long-term follow-up to standardise interlaboratory variability due to different
of antibody response after COVID-19 vaccination not reagents. However, few studies evaluating the antibody
only in older adults but also in all age groups. A recent response of the Sinovac vaccine have used BAU/ml. There-
study on non-immunocompromised healthcare workers fore, our study aimed to make qualitative and quantitative
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HT, n (%) 76 (77.6%) 25 (69.4%) 0.334
DM, n (%) 38 (38.8%) 15 (41.7%) 0.742
Atrial fibrillation, n (%) 6 (6.1%) 5 (13.9%) 0.165
Hypothyroidism, n (%) 24 (24.5%) 4 (11.1%) 0.091
Congestive heart failure, n 7 (7.1%) 3 (8.3%) 0.728
(%)
Rheumatological diseases, n 2 (2.0%) 7 (19.4%) 0.001∗ , ∗∗
(%)
Malignancy history, n (%) 7 (7.1%) 7 (19.4%) 0.055
Chronic renal disease, n (%) 6 (6.1%) 8 (3.8%) 0.701
Pulmonary diseases, n (%) 7 (7.1%) 2 (5.6%) 0.745
Basic ADLs, median (IQR) 6 (5–6) 6 (5–6) 0.331
Instrumental ADLs, median (IQR) 8 (8–8) 8 (8–8) 0.261
MMSE, median (IQR) 28 (25–29) 27.5 (25.7–30) 0.914
Geriatric depression scale score, median (IQR) 2 (0–5) 2.5 (0.7–7) 0.697
Clock drawing test, median (IQR) 6 (2.2–6) 6 (3–6) 0.388
CCI score, median (IQR) 1 (0–1) 1.5 (0–3) 0.011∗
CFS score, median (IQR) 3 (3–4) 3 (3–4) 0.729
CFS-frailty, n (%) 21 (21.9%) 7 (19.4%) 0.761
MNA-SF score, median (IQR) 14 (13–14) 13.5 (12–14) 0.128
Malnutrition (MNA < 8) 13 (14.1%) 7 (20.6%) 0.379
Number of drugs, median (IQR) 5 (3–7) 5 (3–9) 0.719
Polypharmacy, n (%) 20 (55.6%) 55 (56.7%) 0.816
Falls, n (%) 15 (16.5%) 7 (21.2%) 0.542
HGS, median (IQR) 19.4 (16.9–26.6) 23.5 (17.7–27) 0.035∗
Low HGS, n (%) 25 (30.9%) 7 (23.3%) 0.437
Low gait speed, n (%) 17 (23.3%) 10 (34.5%) 0.248
Gait Speed, median (IQR) 0.9 (0.8–1.1) 0.85 (0.6–0.9) 0.382
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level U/ml, median (IQR) 2.9 (1.6–6.5) 0.57 (0–0.7) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level BAU/ml, median (IQR) 61.9 (37.0–131.8) 12.4 (0.0–15.2) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
CVD, Cardiovascular diseases; HT, Hypertension; DM; Diabetes Mellitus; ADL, Activities of daily living; MMSE, Mini-mental State Examination; CFS, Clinical
Frailty Scale; MNA-SF, Mini Nutritional Assessment short-form. ∗ Significance at P < 0.05. ∗∗ Significance at P < 0.01. ∗∗∗ Significance at P < 0.001.
evaluations by giving both U/ml and BAU/ml values. comparing older and younger adults are needed to prove this
Based on a hospital serological study, young healthcare hypothesis.
professionals (mean age: 34.4) who received two doses of Vaccine response in the older population is not an
CoronaVac, tested after 60 days, had significantly lower entirely well-understood area due to confounders such as
sCOVG serum levels compared to those who were tested immunosenescence (qualitative and quantitative deteriora-
within 60 days of receiving CoronaVac (111.1 ± 62.63 tion in immune response due to ageing), frailty and multiple
vs. 237.4 ± 160.4 BAU/ml; P < 0.001) [21]. In another comorbidities [4, 23]. The change of immune organs in older
study conducted on participants who received two doses of adults is most obvious in thymus; the activity of thymocytes
CoronaVac with a mean age of 42.3, the median sCOVG and thymic epithelial cells are reduced, the immune
serum level collected after 21–49 days after the second dose response substances are reduced and therefore immune
of vaccine was found to be 128 BAU/ml [22]. In our study, function is decreased [24]. In addition, the generation of
sCOVG serum level median (IQR) BAU/ml for each group activated B cells and immunoglobulin functionality are
was 79.1 (31.6–166.0), 41.2 (19.8–103.5) and 27.0 (10.9– important issues [4]. Therefore, immunosenescence may
62.3), respectively. Compared to the few studies conducted cause alterations in vaccine response in older adults. Frailty
in young patients, the lower mean BAU values obtained is a relatively new concept, providing us an integrative
in a geriatric population may be explained via the factors, understanding than comorbidities alone of susceptibility
particularly immunosenescence, that reduce ageing related to adverse outcomes [25]. Furthermore, recent studies
antibody response. Since this study’s primary aim was not to show that immunosenescence is not only a consequence of
compare the age groups, more randomised controlled studies biological ageing but also a contributor to the variability in
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HT, n (%) 70 (71.4%) 52 (71.2%) 0.978
DM, n (%) 34 (34.7%) 33 (45.2%) 0.164
Atrial fibrillation, n (%) 15 (15.3%) 10 (13.7%) 0.7691
Hypothyroidism, n (%) 8 (18.4%) 10 (13.7%) 0.414
Congestive heart failure, n 11 (11.3%) 3 (4.1%) 0.090
(%)
Rheumatological diseases, n 7 (7.1%) 8 (11%) 0.383
(%)
Malignancy history, n (%) 14 (14.3%) 3 (4.1%) 0.052
Chronic renal disease, n (%) 2 (2%) 6 (8.2%) 0.074
Pulmonary diseases, n (%) 12 (12.2%) 6 (8.2%) 0.396
Basic ADLs, median (IQR) 6 (5–6) 6 (5–6) 0.232
Instrumental ADLs, median (IQR) 8 (8–8) 8 (6–8) 0.025∗
MMSE, median (IQR) 28 (26–29) 28 (24–30) 0.544
Geriatric depression scale score, median (IQR) 2 (1–4) 2 (0–5) 0.769
Clock drawing test, median (IQR) 6 (4–6) 6 (2–6) 0.689
CCI score, median (IQR) 1 (0–2) 1 (0–2) 0.903
CFS score, median (IQR) 3 (3–4) 4 (3–4) 0.028∗
CFS-frailty, n (%) 13 (13.4%) 23 (34.3%) 0.002∗ , ∗∗
MNA-SF score, median (IQR) 14 (11.5–14) 14 (12–14) 0.926
Malnutrition (MNA < 12) 25 (28.1%) 16 (26.7%) 0.849
Number of drugs, median (IQR) 4 (2–6.5) 5 (2–7) 0.662
Polypharmacy, n (%) 54 (55.1%) 46 (63%) 0.299
Falls, n (%) 13 (14.3%) 10 (18.9%) 0.469
HGS, median (IQR) 21 (15.0–28.7) 23 (16.1–27.4) 0.419
Low HGS, n (%) 26 (33.3%) 21 (42%) 0.321
Low gait speed, n (%) 23 (30.7%) 14 (29.2%) 0.860
Gait speed, median (IQR) 0.9 (0.8–1.1) 1 (0.8–1.2) 0.864
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level U/ml, median (IQR) 2.4 (1.37–5.39) 0.5 (0.5–0.59) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
Sars-CoV2 spike IgG serum level BAU/ml, median (IQR) 52.6 (29.8–117.0) 10.9 (10.9–12.6) <0.0001∗ , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗
CVD, Cardiovascular diseases; HT, Hypertension; DM, Diabetes Mellitus; ADL, Activities of daily living; MMSE, Mini-mental State Examination; CFS, Clinical
Frailty Scale; MNA-SF, Mini Nutritional Assessment short-form. ∗ Significance at P < 0.05. ∗∗ Significance at P < 0.01. ∗∗∗ Significance at P < 0.001.
vulnerability seen with frailty [24, 25]. Current studies have assessments, including frailty. In another Phase 2 vaccine
revealed the impact of frailty on other vaccine responses. study conducted on chimpanzee adenovirus vector vaccine
In a study evaluating pneumococcal vaccine response in developed by AstraZeneca/Oxford University, people aged
older adults, frailty has appeared to be a better predictor 60 and older were included, and similar seropositivity on the
of immune response than age alone [26]. Moreover, many 28th day was reported in all age groups. Since, this study is
studies assessing the impact of frailty on influenza vaccine not providing a follow up after 28 days and excludes older
responses disclosed that frailty was strongly associated with participants with severe comorbidities and a CFS score of
antibody response as a measure of vaccine efficacy [24]. 4 and above, the antibody response in frail older adults has
Although there is a growing body of evidence showing the been unknown [28].
relationship between frailty and vaccine response [15, 26], In our study, all patients were evaluated in terms of
most of the vaccination studies have not included frail older frailty via CFS, a frailty scale most often used for cumulative
adults as a major limitation. In the first report of inactivated deficit frailty. Although we observed no relationship between
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, CoronaVac, tested in older adults seroconversion and frailty in Groups 1 and 2 after the second
(aged ≥ 60 years), used a phase 1/2 study design to assess dose of vaccine, in Group 3, frailty prevalence with CFS was
the safety of two different doses (3 μg and 6 μg) and significantly higher in the seronegative group (P = 0.002).
found similar neutralising antibody responses among adults Even though most studies in the field of vaccination empha-
aged 18–59 years received same doses [27]. However, the sise that there might be an age-related decrease in anti-
most important limitation of this study was evaluating the body response, our study showed no difference between
seroconversion rate solely at days 28 and 56 and having seropositive and negative groups in terms of age, how-
no data on patients’ comorbidities or compressive geriatric ever, frailty seems to be associated with antibody response.
Therefore, frailty might be playing a key role in possible sampled randomised controlled trials are needed to
short-lasting humoral immunity response after the two-dose confirm the association between frailty and COVID-19
vaccination, clarified after 90 days. vaccine response.
Despite the studies focused on the effect of comor-
bidities on non-Sars-CoV2 vaccine response [29], there
Supplementary Data: Supplementary data mentioned in
is insufficient data about the impact of comorbidity
the text are available to subscribers in Age and Ageing online.
burden. Although we observed higher scores of CCI in the
seronegative subjects of Groups 1 and 2, no relationship Acknowledgement: Authors especially thank ‘Siemens
Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ageing/article/51/5/afac088/6564409 by Universidade de Sao Paulo - EESC user on 31 May 2022
was found between seroconversion and CCI in Group 3. In Healthineers’ for their unconditional support. The study’s
accordance with our findings, in a study with a small group ethics approval has been taken from the Ankara Hacettepe
of haemodialysis patients conducted by Torreggiani et al., University Department of Medicine clinical research ethics
at the time of the second dose mRNA vaccine (i.e. 3 weeks committee, and the decision number is 2021/17-05(KA-
after the first dose), low neutralising antibody titers were 21084). All procedures performed in studies involving
observed in the high CCI scored group [30]. In conclusion, human participants were in accordance with the ethical
it can be hypothesised that the seroconversion rate, especially standards of the institutional and/or national research
in the early period, may be affected by the burden of committee and with the 1964 Declaration of Helsinki and its
comorbidity. later amendments or comparable ethical standards. Informed
The main limitation of our study is the cross-sectional consent was obtained from all individual participants
design, which hinders the causal direction of the rela- included in the study.
tionships seen. Another issue that can be considered as a
Declaration of Conflicts of Interest: None.
limitation is that the prevaccine antibody status of the
patients is not known. Although N-protein IgG measure- Declaration of Sources of Funding: None.
ment is one of the methods that can objectively evaluate
whether patients have had COVID-19 before, it was
not available to make this measurement for this cross- References
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Articles
Summary
Background Although clinical trials showed that vaccines have high efficacy and safety, differences in study designs Lancet Healthy Longev 2022;
and populations do not allow for comparison between vaccines and age groups. The objective of this study was to 3: e242–52
evaluate the effectiveness of vaccines against COVID-19 in real-world conditions in adults aged 60 years and older Published Online
March 21, 2022
in Colombia.
https://doi.org/10.1016/
S2666-7568(22)00035-6
Methods In this retrospective, population-based, matched cohort study, we evaluated the effectiveness of vaccines See Comment page e219
against COVID-19-related hospitalisation and death in people aged 60 years and older. The full cohort consisted of Ministerio de Salud y
every person who was eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine in Colombia (the ESPERANZA cohort). The exposed Protección Social, Bogotá,
cohort consisted of older adults who were fully vaccinated with Ad26.COV2-S, BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, or Colombia
CoronaVac, and who did not have a history of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. The unexposed cohort were people (L Arregocés-Castillo DrPH,
J Fernández-Niño PhD,
aged 60 years and older who had not received any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine during the study period. Participant M Rojas-Botero PhD,
follow-up was done between March 11, 2021, and Oct 26, 2021. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated as 1– hazard ratio A Palacios-Clavijo MSc,
from cause-specific proportional hazards models in the presence of competing risks. We estimated the overall M Galvis-Pedraza MSc,
effectiveness of being fully vaccinated, as well as effectiveness for each vaccine, adjusting by main potential confounders. L Rincón-Medrano MSc,
M Pinto-Álvarez MSc,
The effectiveness of each vaccine was also assessed by age groups (ages 60–69 years, 70–79 years, and ≥80 years). F Ruiz-Gómez DrPH,
B Trejo-Valdivia PhD);
Findings 2 828 294 participants were assessed between March 11 and Oct 26, 2021. For all ages, the overall effectiveness Departamento de Salud
Pública, Universidad del Norte,
across all assessed COVID-19 vaccines at preventing hospitalisation without subsequent death was 61·6% (95% CI
Barranquilla, Colombia
58·0–65·0, p<0·0001), 79·8% (78·5–81·1, p<0·0001) for preventing death after hospitalisation with COVID-19, and (J Fernández-Niño); Facultad de
72·8% (70·1–75·3, p<0·0001) for preventing death without previous COVID-19 hospitalisation. The effectiveness of Salud Pública, Universidad de
all vaccines analysed at preventing death after hospitalisation for COVID-19 was 22·6% lower in adults who were Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia
(M Rojas-Botero); Centro de
aged 80 and older (68·4% [65·7–70·9], p<0·0001) compared with adults aged between 60 and 69 years
Investigación en Nutrición y
(91·0% [89·0–92·6], p<0·0001). Salud, Instituto Nacional de
Salud Pública de México,
Interpretation All vaccines analysed in this study were effective at preventing hospitalisation and death from Cuernavaca, México
(B Trejo-Valdivia)
COVID-19 in fully vaccinated older adults, which is a promising result for the national vaccination programme
Correspondence to:
against COVID-19 in Colombia and in countries where these biologics have been applied. Efforts should be improved
Dr Leonardo Arregocés-Castillo,
to increase coverage among older adults. In addition, given that we observed that the effectiveness of vaccines declined Ministerio de Salud y Protección
with increasing age, a booster dose is also justified, which should be prioritised for older adults. Social, Bogotá 110311, Colombia
larregoces@minsalud.gov.co
Funding Colombian Ministry of Health and Social Protection.
Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
4.0 license.
Articles
Research in context
Evidence before this study effectiveness in fully vaccinated older adults or did not have a
We searched OVID MEDLINE and MedRxiv on Dec 15, 2021, to sufficient follow-up time to assess the effectiveness in
identify studies on vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 in preventing death. The studies found present methodological
people aged ≥60 years using the search terms “Effectiveness”, differences (including the study population and predominant
“COVID-19”, “cohort studies”, and “Older adults”, without date, variant during the period of analysis). Furthermore, published
language, or article type restrictions. In Spain, a large cohort articles focused on the effectiveness of mRNA COVID-19
study found that the effectiveness of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines vaccines. Only few studies were available that compared the
at preventing hospitalisations in institutionalised people aged effectiveness of various vaccines in older populations,
≥60 years when fully vaccinated was 88·4% (95% CI 74·9–94·7) including various vaccine platforms.
and 97·0% (91·7–98·9) for preventing deaths. Similar results
Added value of this study
were found in Catalonia in a retrospective cohort study that
This study presents real-world evidence for the effectiveness of
analysed 28 456 nursing home residents who were vaccinated
Ad26.COV2-S, BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and CoronaVac
with BNT162b2, which showed an adjusted effectiveness in
vaccines, disaggregated by vaccine and age group, in people
people who were fully vaccinated of 95·0% (93·0–96·0) for
aged 60 years and older who were fully vaccinated and had no
preventing hospital admission and 97·0% (96·0–98·0) for
previous confirmed history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our results
preventing death by COVID-19. Also, a cohort study was
suggest that increasing age reduces the effectiveness of
conducted in Portugal in 1·8 million people who were aged
immunisation against COVID-19 and that the vaccine or
65 years and older to evaluate the effectiveness of mRNA
vaccine platform used might also be associated with reduced
vaccines against COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths. This
effectiveness.
study found a reduction in the risk of hospitalisation in fully
vaccinated older adults of 59·0% (95% CI 32·0–76·0) and a Implications of all the available evidence
reduction in the risk of death in the same population of In this study we provide evidence of reduced effectiveness of
81·0% (73·0–87·0). In a national cohort of people aged COVID-19 vaccines in people aged 70 years and older in
16 years or older in Chile who were immunised with Colombia, after adjusting for many confounders. Other
CoronaVac, the subgroup of older adults (aged ≥60 years) who studies have shown that additional doses rapidly increase
were fully immunised had an adjusted effectiveness of antibody titters, hence offering an additional dose to those at
89·2% (87·6–90·6) for preventing the admission to the higher risk of breakthrough infection might increase
intensive care unit, and 86·5% (84·6–88·1) for preventing protection. These results support the use of a booster dose in
COVID-19-related death. Other studies that evaluated the people aged 60 years and older, regardless of the vaccine used.
effectiveness of vaccines in older adults did not analyse
BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, CoronaVac, and diverse portfolio of vaccines makes it a good setting for
mRNA-1273. Vaccine roll-out was done according to evaluating the effectiveness of various vaccines across age
availability in Colombia. Although BNT162b2 was the groups.
first vaccine to arrive (in February, 2021), CoronaVac was In our study, we aimed to compare the effectiveness
the first to be available in considerable amounts to of Ad26.COV2-S, BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and
immunise people aged 60 years and older, therefore it CoronaVac at preventing hospitalisation and death in
became the most frequently used biologic in this age people aged 60 years and older who were fully vaccinated
group. On the contrary, the mRNA-1273 vaccine was the and who had no previously confirmed history of
last to be available (in July, 2021), and although some SARS-CoV-2 infection (according to the health information
older adults were immunised with this biologic, we did systems of Colombia), when the mu variant (B.1.621)
not include these adults in this study because of the short was the most prevalent variant in the country. We aimed
time window available to observe the outcomes of for evidence generated in this study to inform the
interest. comprehensive evaluation of the national vaccination plan
These vaccines have shown their efficacy and safety in against COVID-19 in Colombia and to support decisions
several clinical trials, hence being approved for emergency made by the Ministry of Health.
use in Colombia.4–8 All of these vaccines showed a wide
range in efficacy in preventing a range of COVID-19 Methods
severities, but estimates for preventing severe COVID-19 Study design and participants
and death were highly uncertain because of the low We conducted a population-based, match-paired cohort
sample size and low frequency of these outcomes in these study to assess the effectiveness of a complete scheme (ie,
trials. Therefore, it is necessary to study the effectiveness all required doses recommended in the manufacturer’s
of vaccines in uncontrolled real-life conditions, especially guidelines) of COVID-19 vaccination in people aged
in a highly clinically vulnerable population. Colombia’s 60 years and older in Colombia without a confirmed
Articles
history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The data used in this vaccination (for those vaccinated; in one-year categories);
study was collected by the Ministry of Health and Social being diagnosed with cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney
Protection of Colombia and the National Institute of disease, hypertension, or HIV, which have been shown
Health. to be risk factors for severe COVID-19 and mortality
The full cohort consisted of every person who was from COVID-19;9,10 health system regime affiliation
eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine in Colombia (the (contributory or subsidised); and municipality of resi-
ESPERANZA cohort). In this study, we included people dence (or department of residence when municipality
aged 60 years and older, which, in 2021, was projected was missing). For identifying the covariates that should
to be 7 107 914 individuals, according to the National be considered in the matching and adjusting process, we
Administrative Department of Statistics. Data for each created a directed acyclic graph. These groups were then For the directed acyclic graph
cohort member was identified by searching each separated into the exposed and the unexposed groups. see http://dagitty.net/dags.
html?id=W1Li3g
individual’s personal identification number (using an Individuals in each group (exposed and unexposed) were
anonymised code) across several databases: (1) MiVacuna, assigned a random number from a uniform distribution
which collected sociodemographic data of all people who (from zero to the last number, indicating the last
were eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine; (2) PAIWEB, individual in each subgroup that shares the same
an individual-level vaccine registry; (3) SEGCOVID, characteristics given by the matching variables). For each
which provides follow-up data of confirmed COVID-19 group, random numbers were generated, and a couple
cases; (4) RUAF-ND, which provides a registry of all was generated by matching each individual of the
deaths, including the cause of death; and (5) the high- exposed cohort, as the individual was vaccinated, with an
cost disease registry (Cuenta de Alto Costo), which individual randomly selected from the unvaccinated
provides data for patients by disease diagnosis (eg, cohort group that had the same characteristics given by
chronic kidney disease, hypertension, diabetes, cancer, the variables used for matching (ie, sex, age at the time of
and HIV). These information sources are part of the vaccine for those vaccinated [in 1-year categories]; being
integrated information system for social protection and diagnosed with cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney disease,
satisfy the information quality standards defined in this hypertension, or HIV diagnosis; health system affiliation
framework. A flowchart of the database preparation is regime [contributory or subsidised]; and municipality
included in the appendix (p 1). of residence [or department of residence when munici- See Online for appendix
In this study, we included all people aged 60 years and pality was missing]). The unvaccinated individual
older who had a complete scheme of COVID-19 was therefore assigned the same start of follow-up as
vaccination or who had not received any dose of a their vaccinated counterpart. When the unvaccinated
COVID-19 vaccine. Therefore, the exposed (vaccinated) individual had an event (hospitalisation or death) before
individuals in the cohort included people who had been 14 days after the vaccination of their vaccinated
immunised with two doses of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 counterpart, that unvaccinated individual was replaced
nCoV-19, or CoronaVac, or with one dose of Ad26.COV2-S; by the next unvaccinated individual in the defined order.
the unexposed (non-vaccinated) individuals in the cohort This process was done iteratively until all the possible
consisted of people who had not received any dose of a pairs were formed within each group. Individuals who
COVID-19 vaccine during the entire study period. We were not matched were excluded from the analysis and
excluded individuals with a confirmed diagnosis of no one was matched more than once.
COVID-19 before enrolment in the cohort (we used
SEGCOVID to identify those individuals who had a Outcomes
previous confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection), as well as The primary outcomes of interest in this study were
individuals with heterologous vaccination, and those who hospitalisations and deaths from COVID-19. We used the
were diagnosed, hospitalised, or who had died from definitions recommended by WHO for surveillance of
COVID-19 within the 14 days following any dose of a COVID-19.11 Death from COVID-19 was defined as death
vaccine. We also excluded individuals who had incomplete that resulted from clinically compatible illness in a
records. probable or confirmed COVID-19 case, unless there was
This study complies with the scientific, technical, and a clear alternative cause of death that could not be related
administrative regulation for human health research in to COVID-19, without a defined period of complete
Colombia, which classifies this study as research without recovery between illness and death.12
risk as it only used secondary data sources of anonymised During the observation period, each individual
information. This study does not therefore require the provided a specific follow-up duration. The follow-up
review or approval of a research ethics committee. duration for each vaccinated–unvaccinated pair began
15 days after the vaccinated individual in the pair
Procedures received their last dose (the time period for the vaccine to
Individuals who met the inclusion criteria were induce the immune response), the day of the event
first allocated to groups according to their characteristics (hospitalisation or death from COVID-19), or individual
(ie, potential confounders): sex; age at the time of censoring. We had three types of right-censoring: people
Articles
who died from causes other than COVID-19, those who the presence of competing risks. First, we estimated
received a booster dose of the vaccine, and those who overall effectiveness (across all vaccines) by including a
finished the follow-up and observation period without single exposure variable in the model (ie, being
having presented the outcome of interest. Furthermore, vaccinated or unvaccinated) and the matched pairs as a
to control for immortal time bias, outcomes that occurred stratum, which allowed us to include the correlation
within 14 days of completion of the vaccination scheme structure among pairs. Thereafter, given that the specific
were not considered in the analysis. vaccine was not included in the matching process, we
estimated the effectiveness for each vaccine and age
Statistical analysis group in separate models that were adjusted for sex, age,
We conducted a descriptive analysis of participants diagnosis of hypertension, diabetes, cancer, kidney
according to the exposure (ie, whether a vaccine was disease, or HIV, and health system affiliation regime.
received, and type of vaccine received). Quantitative Municipality of residence was included as a random
variables were summarised as median and IQR, and intercept (in these models, we did not include the
qualitative variables as percentages. We also used Kaplan- matched pairs as a stratum). For identifying the covariates
Meier estimates and risk tables to describe time to that should be considered in the matching and adjusting
hospitalisation and time to death from COVID-19 across process, we created a directed acyclic graph.
the entire cohort, by age groups (ie, ages 60–69 years, We verified the proportional hazards assumptions by
70–79 years, and ≥80 years), and by vaccine received. checking the logarithms of the accumulated risks for
Because events compete over time (ie, hospitalisation vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts, confirming that
with death as a competing risk), we used a competing differences between the curves were constant over time.
risk survival analysis by creating a cause-specific Cox We also evaluated if the log (survival) and log (t) curves
regression model with time of the event or the censored were parallel, and we did two sensitivity analyses for
time-to-event. From these data we identified three misclassification bias. For the first analysis, we randomly
possible outcomes: (1) hospitalisation without changed a proportion of non-vaccinated individuals
subsequent death; (2) death after hospitalisation for to being fully vaccinated with any vaccine, which was
COVID-19; and (3) death without a previous record of done to explore how much vaccine effectiveness would
hospitalisation for COVID-19. change if we had 25%, 50%, and 75% of registered
Vaccine effectiveness was estimated as 1 – hazard ratio non-vaccinated individuals as fully vaccinated, which
(HR) from cause-specific proportional hazards models in addresses problems such as a lag in reporting vaccination.
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Table 2: Occurrence of main studied outcomes through the study period by vaccine
The second sensitivity analysis tested the assumption were differences in these characteristics according to the
that the 206 607 individuals with missing information on vaccine administered (table 1).
the first vaccination dose (who were excluded from the The cohort consisted of mostly women (1 535 764 [54·3%]
main analysis), were, in fact, fully vaccinated individuals of 2 828 294 participants), with a median age of 68 years
(appendix pp 2–5). (IQR 12 years [63–75]). 1 677 178 (59·3%) of 2 828 294 par-
We used R (version 4.1.0), survival packages 3.2 to 11 (to ticipants were affiliated to the subsidised health system
estimate Kaplan-Meier functions) and risk regression regime. 769 296 (27·2%) had at least one underlying
(version 2020.12.08, for the competing risk Cox model) disease identified as a risk factor for becoming seriously
for the analyses. ill and dying from COVID-19. As CoronaVac was the first
vaccine to be available in the country for mass use, people
Role of the funding source vaccinated with CoronaVac were older than people who
The funder of the study had no role in study design, data received the other vaccines (table 1).
collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of Table 2 shows the occurrence of each main outcome by
the report. vaccine manufacturer. The median follow-up time was
118 days (IRQ 89–156) for all individuals who were fully
Results vaccinated with any vaccine and 117 days (87–156) for all
The 230-day observation period ran from March 11 to unvaccinated individuals. As Coronovac was the first
Oct 26, 2021, during which each individual provided a vaccine available to older adults in Colombia, the longest
specific follow-up time between the 15th day after follow-up time was for this vaccine (median 146 days;
completion of the vaccination schedule of the exposed IQR 112–171). The shortest follow-up time was for
individual in the couple and the day of the individual ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (70 days; 60–78 days), owing to the
event or date of censoring. The median time of follow-up longer interval needed between doses to finish the
was 118 days (IQR 88–156), with longer follow-up time schedule.
for individuals vaccinated with CoronaVac and shorter The risk of hospitalisation and death due to COVID-19
time for individuals who received ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and was higher in the unvaccinated cohort, as shown in the
Ad26.COV2-S. Of the individuals aged 60 years and Kaplan-Meier survival curves (long rank test p<0·0001;
older who were prioritised to receive a COVID-19 figure 1).
vaccine, we excluded 1 564 092 records because these For people aged 60 years and older, the effectiveness of
individuals died before the study observation period, had the COVID-19 vaccines in preventing hospitalisations
data quality issues, or met at least one exclusion criterion and deaths ranged between 61·6% and 79·8% (table 3).
(appendix p 1). The last consultation of any of these For any vaccine, the effectiveness for preventing
databases was made on Nov 3, 2021. hospitalisation without death was 61·6% (95% CI
We analysed a total of 2 828 294 individuals, who were 58·0–65·0, p<0·0001) across all age groups, with the
assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the exposed group or to the highest effectiveness in adults aged 60–69 years
unexposed group matched by sex, age, health system (76·1% ([71·2–80·2], p<0·0001) and the lowest in adults
affiliation status, presence of comorbidities (ie, aged 80 years and older (46·9% [38·5–54·1], p<0·0001).
hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, HIV, or The effectiveness across all vaccines analysed for
cancer), municipality of residence, and an approximation preventing death after hospitalisation was 79·8% (95% CI
of follow-up time. 78·5–81·1, p<0·0001) across all ages, with the highest
Hence, because of the matching process, vaccinated effectiveness in adults aged 60–69 years (91·0%
and unvaccinated individuals had comparable socio- [89·0–92·6], p<0·0001) and the lowest effectiveness in
demographic and clinical characteristics. However, there adults aged 80 years and older (68·4% [65·7–70·9],
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99·8
Survival probability (%)
99·6
99·4
log-rank p<0·0001, HR 0·28 (95% CI 0·27–0·30); p<0·0001
0
15 30 450 60 75 90 105 120 135 150 165 180 195 210 225 240
Number at risk
Unvaccinated 1413039 1392046 1366540 1340735 1295919 1154014 1044037 896065 673525 543705 446689 214218 91198 9274 410 0 0
Vaccinated 1414007 1396006 1373222 1349759 1306973 1166387 1057240 909231 685871 555668 458355 221983 96848 9573 414 0 0
99·8
Survival probability (%)
99·6
99·4
Figure 1: Kaplan-Meier survival curves for adults aged 60 years and older in Colombia
(A) Time to hospitalisation due to COVID-19. (B) Time to death due to COVID-19. HR=hazard ratio.
p<0·0001). Finally, the effectiveness across all vaccines vaccine analysed, particularly for preventing death.
for preventing death without hospitalisation was BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 were most effective at
72·8% (70·1–75·3, p<0·0001), being higher in adults preventing all outcomes of interest, with overlapping CIs
aged 60–69 years (87·6% [83·4–90·7], p<0·0001), in people aged 60–79 years. Across all age groups, the
reducing to 78·9% (74·6%–82·4%, p<0·0001) in adults effectiveness of BNT162b2 in preventing hospitalisation
aged 70–79 years, and 61·2% (56·3–65·6, p<0·0001) in without death was 83·0% (95% CI 78·4–86·6, p<0·0001),
those aged 80 years and older. 94·8% (93·3–96·0, p<0·0001) in preventing death after
Table 3 also shows the effectiveness of each vaccine by hospitalisation, and 88·3% (84·1–91·4, p<0·0001) in
age group. We observed high effectiveness for every preventing death without hospitalisation. Regarding
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hospitalisation without death, 66·3% (63·4–69·0, 60–69 years 88·4% (79·4–93·5) 98·3% (95·4–99·4) 93·7% (84·9–97·4)
p<0·0001) effective at preventing death after hospitali- 70–79 years 92·4% (84·0–96·4) 96·6% (93·7–98·2) 95·7% (88·4–98·4)
sation, and 59·1% (53·8–63·7, p<0·0001) effective at ≥80 years ·· 98·0% (85·7–99·7) 86·5% (57·9–95·7)
preventing death without hospitalisation. CoronaVac
Finally, regarding Ad26.COV2-S, this vaccine prevented Total 47·3% (41·9–52·3) 72·1% (70·1–73·9) 64·9% (61·2–68·2)
hospitalisation without death in 60·9% (95% CI 60–69 years 63·4% (52·8–71·6) 83·3% (78·5–87·1) 82·5% (73·7–88·3)
36·8–75·8, p<0·0001) of participants, prevented death 70–79 years 44·0% (34·5–52·2) 78·1% (75·1–80·7) 70·7% (64·4–76·0)
after hospitalisation in 85·8% (77·1–91·2, p<0·0001) of ≥80 years 43·4% (34·5–51·2) 66·3% (63·4–69·0) 59·1% (53·8–63·7)
participants, and prevented death without hospitalisation All estimators were statistically significant (p<0·0001). The results for any vaccine were obtained from a cause-specific
in 95·5% (82·0–98·9, p<0·0001) of participants. It is Cox regression model, in which each pair of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals represented a stratum within the
possible that the estimates by interval of the effectiveness model, according to the study design. The results for each vaccine were obtained from multivariate cause-specific Cox
by age group of this vaccine were imprecise given the regression models, which were adjusted by age, sex, affiliation regime to the Colombian health system, cancer,
diabetes, hypertension, kidney disease, and HIV, with a random effect for municipality of residence. The reference
small sample size and low numbers of participants group corresponds to people who have not received any dose of the COVID-19 vaccine.
vaccinated by this vaccine, so it was not possible to
establish if there were significant differences. Table 3: Effectiveness of vaccines in preventing hospitalisation and death due to COVID-19 in adults aged
60 years and older in Colombia
In brief, the effectiveness of the vaccines evaluated
decreased with age. We found better outcomes among
people aged 60–69 years, followed by those aged individuals who received the complete vaccination
70–79 years, with the lowest effectiveness in people aged schedule between March 11 and Oct 26, 2021, when the
80 years and older (figure 2). Although all the vaccines mu variant was the most prevalent in the country. The
analysed showed a reduction in effectiveness as age results of this study confirm the high effectiveness of the
increased, this reduction was greater for the CoronaVac available vaccines in Colombia for preventing
vaccine. hospitalisations and deaths due to COVID-19. These
For some of the vaccines evaluated, a point estimate of results are congruous with those reported by vaccine
vaccine effectiveness could not be estimated because no manufacturers, obtained from controlled clinical trials.4–7
outcomes occurred in that age group. In other instances, For all vaccines studied, we found an overall
the CIs were wide because of the low number of people effectiveness of 61·6% for preventing hospitalisation
who received that specific vaccine, or the short duration of without subsequent death, 79·8% for preventing death
follow-up. Results of both sensitivity analyses were after hospitalisation, and 72·8% for preventing death
consistent with results of our primary analyses, suggesting without previous hospitalisation. These results are
that results are robust and consistent (appendix pp 4–5). similar to those found in similar populations in other
countries. A study13 done in fully vaccinated older long-
Discussion term care residents in Spain found that the effectiveness
We conducted a retrospective, national-cohort study to of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in preventing
evaluate the effectiveness of vaccines against COVID-19 in hospitalisations was 88·4% (95% CI 74·9–94·7) and
people aged 60 years and older in Colombia. We included 97·0% (91·7–98·9) for preventing death. Similarly, a
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CoronaVac
ChAdOx1 nCov-19
Age and vaccine
60–69 years
BNT162b2
Ad26.COV2-S
Any vaccine
CoronaVac
ChAdOx1 nCov-19
Age and vaccine
70–79 years
BNT162b2
Ad26.COV2-S
Any vaccine
CoronaVac
ChAdOx1 nCov-19
Age and vaccine
≥80 years
BNT162b2
Ad26.COV2-S
Any vaccine
Figure 2: Forest plot of vaccine effectiveness at preventing hospitalisation and death due to COVID-19 in adults aged 60 years and older in Colombia
retrospective cohort study14 in Catalonia, which analysed CoronaVac, waiting several months for them to become
28 456 nursing home residents who were vaccinated with available in Colombia would have been an unnecessary
BNT162b2, had an adjusted effectiveness in those who risk. This rationale had already been suggested by other
were fully vaccinated of 95·0% (93·0–96·0) for authors, in which early vaccination with less effective
preventing hospital admission and 97·0% (96·0–98·0) biologics outweighed the advantages of waiting for other,
for preventing death. Also, a cohort study15 done in more effective vaccines to become available.16
Portugal evaluated the effectiveness of mRNA vaccines In Chile, one study17 analysed a national cohort of
against COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in people aged 16 years or older who were immunised
1·8 million people who were aged 65 years and older and with CoronaVac. In the subgroup of older adults (aged
found a reduction in the risk of hospitalisation (59·0% 60 years and older) who were fully immunised,
[32·0–76·0]) and death (81·0% [73·0–87·0]) in fully CoronaVac was 89·2% (95% CI 87·6–90·6) effective at
vaccinated older adults. preventing older adults from admission to the intensive
In our study, vaccine effectiveness was negatively care unit, and 86·5% (84·6–88·1) effective at preventing
correlated with older age, regardless of the vaccine used, COVID-19-related death. Other studies that evaluated
but not all vaccine platforms were affected the same. the effectiveness of vaccines in older people did not
Among the vaccines included in this study, viral vector analyse vaccine effectiveness in older adults who were
and mRNA vaccines were associated with higher fully vaccinated or did not have a sufficient follow-up
effectiveness with increasing age than inactivated virus time to assess the effectiveness of preventing death.18
vaccines. Colombia used CoronaVac for the prioritised These studies present methodological differences,
older population because it was the first vaccine to be including the study population and predominant variant
available in sufficient quantities. Although mRNA during the period of analysis, thus the above studies
vaccines have a higher vaccine effectiveness than should be compared against our results carefully.
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Furthermore, these other studies focused on mRNA affiliation regime to the health system, which is a strong
COVID-19 vaccines.5,8,13,15 Only a small number of studies proxy indicator of social class in Colombia.
are available for comparing the effectiveness of various However, as any cohort study, this different propensity
vaccines in older populations, including various vaccine to be exposed (vaccinated in this instance) could be
platforms.18,19 related to unobserved (or unobservable) variables that
We observed that the effectiveness across vaccines in could affect the estimates. It should be considered that
preventing death after hospitalisation decreased by this might mean that unvaccinated people did not get
22·6% and decreased by 26·4% in preventing death vaccinated because of individual characteristics that are
without previous hospitalisation for those aged 80 years also associated with a higher risk of infection, such as
and older compared with adults aged 60–69 years. lower self-care, which could lead to overestimating the
Possible explanations for this lower effectiveness include effect.
the greater probability of pre-existing conditions in older Thus, because there are many factors that influence
people, in conjunction with age-related frailty20 and whether people are vaccinated, and the bias could either
immunosenescence, which can cause poor responses to lead to overestimation or underestimation of the
vaccination.21 These results are congruent with those observed effectiveness estimates, this is a limitation of
presented in other studies.22,23 the study. However, this limitation is minimised because
Older adults have already been identified as the of the high willingness and rate of vaccination in
population with the highest risk of severe illness and Colombia, as well as the study indirectly controlling for
death from COVID-19. Our findings show the need for social class in this age group and by the matching process
additional prevention strategies for this age group. A in the design.
booster dose has been found to increase the immune We identified delays in reporting to the individual-level
response, and therefore represents a potential solution to vaccination registry system (PAIWEB), which introduced
the decreased effectiveness of vaccines in older people.24 a high probability of misclassification bias. The
On the basis of our findings, Colombia started offering vaccinated population who had not been registered as
booster doses to people aged 50 years and older from such is likely to have reduced the differences in risk for
early October, 2021. outcomes of interest between the exposed cohort and the
The mu variant was predominant in Colombia unexposed cohort. This bias tended to underestimate the
throughout the observation period. Although there is no observed effectiveness, so we believe that the presented
information on genomic sequencing in instances of estimators are lower than the actual effectiveness values.
breakthrough infections, the high observed effectiveness We conducted a sensitivity analysis in which we randomly
of vaccines indirectly suggests that all vaccines used in changed a proportion of non-vaccinated individuals as
Colombia confer adequate protection against this variant being fully vaccinated with any vaccine, equal to the
and other variants circulating during the study period. estimated proportion of people fully vaccinated but not
However, our study was not able to assess the registered as such (appendix p 4). By the cutoff date
effectiveness of vaccines for any specific variant of (Oct 26), approximately 24% of those vaccinated had not
SARS-CoV-2, given that the evaluated outcomes did not been registered, although people aged 60 years and older
distinguish the variant involved in the clinical course of were more likely to be reported because they were the
the patients. Therefore, our results could not be totally first to be vaccinated. Results of this analysis suggest a
extrapolated to other contexts in which other variants are higher vaccine effectiveness when individuals in the
predominant. unexposed cohort were randomly assigned as being
The differences in self-selection to access the exposed, suggesting that our observed effectiveness was
application of the vaccines could be a source of underestimated.
confounding in this study (eg, an unvaccinated adult Another limitation of our study was that 2 06 607 people
might also be less likely to wear a mask or take had a record labelled as a second dose, but without the
precautions, thereby exposing themselves to greater risk first dose being registered. These records were excluded
of infection, which could contribute to the observed from our analysis. A sensitivity analysis that included all
differences). However, we consider that this bias, if records, assuming that all individuals were fully
present, would have only a small effect on the estimations. vaccinated, showed similar results to our primary
This is because, first, according to previous surveys of analysis and did not show a significant increase in overall
vaccination intention in Colombia, older adults had a vaccination effectiveness, suggesting that these records
high willingness to get vaccinated. Second, vaccination might correspond to mislabelling and that our estimates
coverage in older adults at the end of December, 2021, are robust.
was above 90%, which confirms that vaccine hesitancy Another limitation of this study is the short follow-up
was not an issue in this age group. Finally, according to period for people vaccinated with Ad26.COV2-S and
international evidence, one of the factors associated with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, which led to a small number of
refusal to be vaccinated is social class. This factor was observed events, especially for Ad26.COV2-S, and therefore
partly controlled for in this study by adjusting for lower precision of the estimators. For future studies, we
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recommend repeating this analysis with a longer follow-up from the Ministry has not been obtained. However, according to
period. Moreover, it was not possible to control for other regulations, these data can be requested by researchers who ask for the
information, who must also send the objective of the investigation, a
possible confounding variables, such as frailty or residing plan of analysis, and a publication plan to the Ministry of Health
in nursing homes, among others. So, it is possible that our (https://www.minsalud.gov.co/atencion/Paginas/Solicitudes-
results have some residual confounding. sugerencias-quejas-o-reclamos.aspx). Each request will be evaluated in
Our study had several strengths. To the best of our accordance with the regulations and legal requirements defined in the
country.
knowledge, this study is the first investigation to analyse
and report the effectiveness of four different vaccines References
1 Johns Hopkins University & Medicine. Coronavirus resource center.
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with COVID-19 mortality in the absence of other risk factors?
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populations. This makes our study relevant for countries 2020; 15: e0241824.
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addition, the competing risk analysis we used had the dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine against Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2021;
384: 2187–201.
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5 Polack FP, Thomas SJ, Kitchin N, et al. Safety and efficacy of the
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interim results of a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled,
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the robustness of our findings (appendix pp 4–5). 8 Baden LR, El Sahly HM, Essink B, et al. Efficacy and safety of the
Our study generates solid evidence on vaccination mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. N Engl J Med 2021; 384: 403–16.
9 Cifuentes MP, Rodriguez-Villamizar LA, Rojas-Botero ML, et al.
effectiveness in older people in Colombia and might Socioeconomic inequalities associated with mortality for COVID-19
inform the administration of these vaccines in older in Colombia: a cohort nationwide study.
populations across the world and decision-making that J Epidemiol Community Health 2021; 75: 610–15.
considers risk stratification approaches to target the most 10 Nasiri MJ, Haddadi S, Tahvildari A, et al. COVID-19 clinical
characteristics, and sex-specific risk of mortality: systematic review
vulnerable people according to their demographic and and meta-analysis. Front Med 2020; 7: 459.
epidemiological characteristics. 11 WHO. Public health surveillance for COVID-19. Interim guidance.
2020. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/who-2019-nCoV-
Contributors surveillanceguidance-2020.8 (accessed Feb 3, 2022).
LA-C and JF-N conceptualised the effectiveness evaluation of COVID-19
12 Pan American Health Organization. Case definitions for COVID-19
vaccines strategy. LA-C, MR-B, and JF-N conceptualised the design and surveillance. 2020. https://www.paho.org/en/case-definitions-covid-
statistical analysis plan for the present study. LR-M built the dataset. 19-surveillance-16-december-2020 (accessed Feb 3, 2022).
BT-V advised the study design and the statistical analysis. AP-C and 13 Mazagatos C, Monge S, Olmedo C, et al. Effectiveness of mRNA
LR-M cleaned the data. AP-C and MR-B did the statistical analysis. COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infections and
LA-C, JF-N, LR-M, MR-B, and MG-P verified the data underlying the COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in elderly long-term care
study. LA-C, MR-B, and MP-Á wrote the first draft. All authors reviewed facility residents, Spain, weeks 53 2020 to 13 2021. Euro Surveill
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manuscript. JF-N, AP-C, and LA-C accessed and verified the data. All 14 Cabezas C, Coma E, Mora-Fernandez N, et al. Associations of
authors agree with the viewpoints expressed in the article and BNT162b2 vaccination with SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospital
contributed to the review and editing of the manuscript. admission and death with covid-19 in nursing homes and
healthcare workers in Catalonia: prospective cohort study. BMJ
Declaration of interests 2021; 374: n1868.
FR-G, LA-C, and JF-N are members of the Colombian COVID-19 vaccine 15 Nunes B, Rodrigues AP, Kislaya I, et al. mRNA vaccine effectiveness
advisory committee. All other authors declare no competing interests. against COVID-19-related hospitalisations and deaths in older adults:
Acknowledgments a cohort study based on data linkage of national health registries in
Portugal, February to August 2021. Euro Surveill 2021; 26: 2100833.
This study was conducted by the Ministry of Health and Social
Protection of Colombia. Workers were from the Directorate of 16 Ahuja A, Athey S, Baker A, et al. Preparing for a pandemic:
accelerating vaccine availability. National Bureau of Economic
Medicines and Health Technologies, and Directorate of Epidemiology
Research. 2021. https://www.nber.org/papers/w28492 (accessed
and Demography. Funding from the Ministry was given indirectly
Feb 3, 2022).
through the wage of and payments to the statistician of the project.
17 Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an
In Colombia, public data from health information systems at the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in Chile. N Engl J Med 2021;
individual level are managed and safeguarded by the Ministry of 385: 875–84.
Health and Social Protection. In the case of information on 18 Lopez Bernal J, Andrews N, Gower C, et al. Effectiveness of the
vaccination and covariates at the individual level, these will be publicly Pfizer-BioNTech and Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines on covid-19
available once the technical and regulatory requirements of the related symptoms, hospital admissions, and mortality in older
Ministry have been adjusted, which is currently in process. adults in England: test negative case-control study. BMJ 2021;
The databases are not yet available to the public because authorisation 373: n1088.
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on the effectiveness and duration of protection of Vaxzevria and be needed for older adults who have completed two doses
CoronaVac vaccines: a population-based study. Lancet Reg Health Am vaccination with CoronaVac: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-
2022; 6: 100154. controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. medRxiv 2021; published online
20 Hoogendijk EO, Afilalo J, Ensrud KE, Kowal P, Onder G, Fried LP. July 21. doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472 (preprint).
Frailty: implications for clinical practice and public health. Lancet 24 Flaxman A, Marchevsky N, Jenkin D, et al. Tolerability and
2019; 394: 1365–75. immunogenicity after a late second dose or a third dose of ChAdOx1
21 Crooke SN, Ovsyannikova IG, Poland GA, Kennedy RB. nCoV-19 (AZD1222). SSRN 2021; published online June 28.
Immunosenescence and human vaccine immune responses. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3873839 (preprint).
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variant-associated epidemic of COVID-19 in Brazil: a test-negative
case-control study. BMJ 2021; 374: n2015.
Correspondence to: Prof Julio Croda, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul and
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, julio.croda@fiocruz.br
Keywords
COVID-19; CoronaVac; inactivated whole-virus vaccine, Gamma variant; test-negative study;
case-control study; Brazil
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
ABSTRACT
Objective To estimate the effectiveness of the inactivated whole-virus vaccine, CoronaVac,
against symptomatic COVID-19 in the elderly population of São Paulo State, Brazil during
widespread circulation of the Gamma variant.
Design Test negative case-control study.
Setting Health-care facilities in São Paulo State, Brazil.
Participants 43,774 adults aged 70 years or older who were residents of São Paulo State and
underwent SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing from January 17 to April 29, 2021. 26,433 cases with
symptomatic COVID-19 and 17,622 symptomatic, test negative controls were selected into
7,950 matched pairs, according to age, sex, self-reported race, municipality of residence, prior
COVID-19 status and date of RT-PCR testing.
Intervention Vaccination with a two-dose regimen of CoronaVac.
Main outcome measures RT-PCR confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 and COVID-19 associated
hospitalizations and deaths.
Results Adjusted vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 was 18.2% (95% CI, 0.0
to 33.2) in the period 0-13 days after the second dose and 41.6% (95% CI, 26.9 to 53.3) in the
period ≥14 days after the second dose. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisations
was 59.0% (95% CI, 44.2 to 69.8) and against deaths was 71.4% (95% CI, 53.7 to 82.3) in the
period ≥14 days after the second dose. Vaccine effectiveness ≥14 days after the second dose
declined with increasing age for the three outcomes, and among individuals aged 70-74 years it
was 61.8% (95% CI, 34.8 to 77.7) against symptomatic disease, 80.1% (95% CI, 55.7 to 91.0)
against hospitalisations and 86.0% (95% CI, 50.4 to 96.1) against deaths.
Conclusions Vaccination with CoronaVac was associated with a reduction in symptomatic
COVID-19, hospitalisations and deaths in adults aged 70 years or older in a setting with
extensive Gamma variant transmission. However, significant protection was not observed until
completion of the two-dose regimen, and vaccine effectiveness declined with increasing age
amongst this elderly population.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Summary boxes
• Randomised controlled trials (RCT) have yielded varying estimates (51 to 84%) for the
COVID-19.
• More evidence is needed for the real-world effectiveness of CoronaVac and other
COVID-19, hospitalisations and deaths among adults ≥70 years of age in the setting of
• Significant protection did not occur until ≥14 days after administration of the second
dose of CoronaVac.
• The effectiveness of CoronaVac declines with increasing age in the elderly population.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Introduction
The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has caused 3.9 million deaths worldwide as of
early July 2021,1 and has imparted disproportionately high mortality and morbidity on the
elderly.2 A key question is whether the authorised COVID-19 vaccines are effective in the
elderly, who may have impaired immune responses3,4 and are underrepresented in randomised
controlled trials (RCTs).5–7 mRNA and adenovirus vector-based vaccines have been shown to be
effective against COVID-19 in elderly individuals,8,9 but evidence is limited for the effectiveness
jurisdictions,10 and has been implemented as part of mass vaccination campaigns in low-income
and middle-income countries, many of which are experiencing COVID-19 epidemics due to the
healthcare workers and the general population have yielded varying estimates (51 to 84%) of
vaccine efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19.5,7,10 The World Health Organisation (WHO)
Emergency Use Listing (EUL) procedure approved CoronaVac in early June 2021, but identified
an evidence gap for the effectiveness of this vaccine in adults aged 60 and above.11 The WHO
EUL cited an observational study in Chile,10,12 which found that the adjusted effectiveness of
CoronaVac, starting 14 days after the second dose, was 66.6% among adults aged 60 years and
older. During the study period, the variant of concern (VOC) Gamma was detected in 28.6% of
SARS-CoV-2 genomes.12 Furthermore, evidence from RCTs or observational studies have not
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
addressed whether CoronaVac provides significant protection after administration of the first
Brazil has experienced one of the world’s highest COVID-19 burdens during the pandemic with
more than 18 million cases and 526,000 deaths as of early July 2021.1,13 VOCs, and in particular
the Gamma variant, have played an important role in the recent epidemic wave in Brazil which
began in early 2021.14–16 The Gamma variant, which was first detected in Manaus, has
genotyped in Brazil from 1 January 2021.14,20 In the setting of a large Gamma variant-associated
epidemic in São Paulo, the most populous state in Brazil, we conducted a matched, test-
Methods
Study setting
The State of São Paulo (23°3ʹS, 46°4’W) has 645 municipalities and 46 million inhabitants,
among which 3.23 million are ≥70 years of age.22 The state experienced three successive
COVID-19 epidemic waves during which 2,997,282 cases (cumulative incidence rate: 6,475 per
100,000 population) and 100,649 deaths (cumulative mortality: 217 per 100,000 population)
have been reported as of 9 May 2021 (Figure 1A, Supplementary Figure 1).23 The State
Secretary of Health of Sao Paulo (SES-SP) initiated a COVID-19 vaccination campaign for the
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
1, B-D) and is administering a two-dose regimen of CoronaVac, separated by a two to four week
2021, 8.63 million doses (5.16 first and 3.47 second million doses) have been administered of
CoronaVac and 2.06 million doses (1.987 first and 0.07 second million doses) of ChAdOx1.
Study design
years of age from São Paulo State during the period from 17 January 2021, the start of COVID-
vaccine effectiveness in concordance with those obtained from RCTs25,26 and have been used
chose the test-negative design because of the feasibility of accessing information on individuals
who received SARS-CoV-2 testing from São Paulo State surveillance systems and the
opportunity to control for potential biases, such as healthcare-seeking behaviour and access to
testing.21 The study population was adults ≥70 years of age who had a residential address in São
Paulo State, underwent SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing during the study period, and had complete
and consistent information between data sources on age, sex, residence, and vaccination and
testing status and dates. We matched symptomatic test-negative controls to COVID-19 cases by
date of testing to address potential sources of bias that may vary during the course of an
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
The study design and statistical analysis plan were specified in advance of extracting
information from data sources and are described in a publicly available protocol
specified power thresholds for conducting analyses on the effectiveness of CoronaVac and
ChAdOx1. These thresholds were achieved for CoronaVac but not for ChAdOx1 because of
evaluation of vaccine effectiveness to CoronaVac. The study was approved by the Ethical
43289221.5.0000.0021).
Data Sources
CoV-2 testing, and COVID-19 vaccination during the study period by extracting information on 6
May 2021 from the SES-SP laboratory testing registry (GAL), the national surveillance databases
for COVID-19-like illnesses (e-SUS) and severe acute respiratory illness (SIVEP-Gripe), and the
SES-SP vaccination registry (Vacina Já). Notification of suspected COVID-19 cases and SARS-CoV-
2 testing results is compulsory in Brazil. The information technology bureau of the São Paulo
State Government (PRODESP) linked individual-level records from the four databases using CPF
numbers (Brazilian citizens’ unique identifier code) and provided anonymised datasets. We
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
retrieved information on SARS-CoV-2 variants from genotyped isolates deposited in the GISAID
database.20
Cases were selected from the study population who had symptomatic COVID-19, defined as an
individual who had a COVID-19-like illness; had a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test result from a
respiratory sample which was collected within 10 days after the onset of symptoms; and did
not have a positive RT-PCR test in the preceding 90-day period. Controls were selected from the
study population who had a COVID-19-like illness; had a negative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test result
from a respiratory sample that was collected within 10 days after the onset of symptoms;21 and
did not have a positive RT-PCR test in the prior 90 days during the study period or in the
subsequent 14 days. Cases and controls were excluded if they received the ChAdOx1 vaccine
before sample collection for RT-PCR testing. COVID-19-like illness was defined as the presence
We matched one test-negative control to each case according to RT-PCR sample collection date
(±3 days); age category (5-year age bands, e.g, 70-74, 75-79 years); municipality of residence;
self-reported race (defined as brown, black, yellow, white, or indigenous);29 and previous
symptomatic events that were reported to the surveillance systems28 between February 1,
2020 and January 16, 2021, as a proxy for previous COVID-19 infection. Matching factors were
chosen from variables that were associated with vaccination coverage or timing, and with SARS-
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
CoV-2 infection risk or healthcare access (see protocol in Supplement).21 Upon identification of
each case, a single control was randomly chosen from the set of all eligible matching controls.
Statistical analysis
periods 0-13 and ≥14 days after the second vaccine dose and ≥14 days after a single vaccine
dose. Furthermore, we estimated the effectiveness of a single dose during the period 0-13 days
after the first dose, when the vaccine has no or limited effectiveness.5,30,31 An association during
estimate.32 The reference group for vaccination status was individuals who had not received a
We used conditional logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of vaccination among
cases and controls. 1-OR provided an estimate of vaccine effectiveness under the assumptions
nonlinearity for age using restricted cubic splines and chose the parsimonious model comparing
nested models with a likelihood ratio test. Furthermore, we conducted a post hoc sensitivity
analysis that incorporated the calendar date of RT-PCR sample collection in the model to
evaluate potential residual confounding that may not be addressed by the matching criteria
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
10
We estimated the vaccine effectiveness against acute respiratory illness (ARI) associated
hospitalizations and deaths in a post hoc analysis. In separate analyses, we selected matched
pairs in which the case had the secondary outcome of interest.34,35 We fit the same conditional
We conducted a pre-specified analysis of vaccine effectiveness among age sub-groups for the
primary and secondary outcomes, but could not perform analyses stratified by previous COVID-
19 documented infection because of small numbers. Additional post hoc analyses were
performed of vaccine effectiveness for the primary outcome for subgroups stratified by sex,
number of chronic comorbidities (none vs. at least one), the two most frequent chronic
comorbidities (cardiovascular disease and diabetes), and region of residence (“Grande São
Paulo” health region vs. others). Interaction terms were incorporated into the model to
evaluate the association of each subgroup of interest with vaccine effectiveness ≥14 days after
Power calculation
Our protocol specified that we would conduct proposed analyses after achieving ≥80% power
to identify a vaccine effectiveness of 40% against symptomatic COVID-19 for the comparison of
≥14 days after the second dose of CoronaVac and not receiving a vaccine dose. The power was
simulated fitting conditional logistic regressions on 1,000 simulated datasets. After extracting
the surveillance databases on May 6, 2021 and generating matched case-control pairs, we
determined that the power of the study was 99.9% and proceeded to conduct the pre-specified
11
analyses. We did not perform an analysis for ChAdOx1 since the simulated power was 31% to
identify a vaccine effectiveness of 40% for the comparison of ≥28 days after the first dose of
ChAdOx1 and not receiving a vaccine dose. All analyses were done in R, version 4.0.2.
Results
São Paulo State experienced three COVID-19 epidemic waves during which peak incidence
occurred in July 2020 for the first wave (Supplementary Figure 1), January 2021 for the second
wave and March 2021 for the third wave (Figure 1A). The second wave was preceded in
November 2020 by an increase in the prevalence of the Zeta variant among genotyped isolates
from São Paulo State deposited into the GISAID database (Figure 1E). The third wave was
preceded in January 2021 by an increase in the prevalence of the Gamma variant among
genotyped isolates. The Gamma variant replaced other SARS-CoV-2 variants20 and accounted
for 79% (3,834/4,887) of the genotyped isolates that were reported in GISAID during the study
period and 86% (3,584/4,192) of genotyped isolates that were reported between 1 March to 29
April 2021 when the majority of discordant case-control pairs were identified (Supplementary
Figure 2). The vaccination campaign, initiated on January 17, 2021, achieved an estimated
coverage of roughly 85% for the first (2.82 million) and 65% for second (2.10 million) CoronaVac
doses among adults ≥70 years of age by April 29, 2021 (Figure 1B-D). After initiation of the
vaccination campaign and during the third epidemic wave, COVID-19 incidence increased and
peaked in late March in all age groups except for adults ≥90 years of age (Figure 1A).
12
Study population
Among 43,774 individuals eligible for study inclusion (Figure 2), 15,852 (36.2%) who provided
15,900 RT-PCR test results were selected into 7,950 matched case and control pairs. There were
38 individuals that contributed two times as controls and 10 individuals one time as control and
one time as case. Table 1 shows the characteristics of eligible individuals with positive and
negative RT-PCR tests and selected cases and matched controls. A higher proportion of cases
had reported comorbidities than controls. Supplementary Table 1 shows the distribution of
matched pairs according to the vaccination status of cases and controls at the time of RT-PCR
testing. The majority of discordant pairs, based on vaccination status, were selected after 14
March 2021 (Supplementary Figure 3). Cases and controls who completed the two dose vaccine
regimen had similar inter-dose intervals (mean 29 vs. 25 days). Likewise, cases and controls
who were vaccinated had similar distributions for the intervals between administration of
vaccine doses and RT-PCR testing (Table 1 and Supplementary Figure 3). The characteristics of
the matched case and control pairs which were selected for the analysis of secondary outcomes
of hospitalisation (n=8,078) and death (n=4,104) are shown in Supplementary Tables 2 and 3.
Vaccine effectiveness
The adjusted effectiveness of the two-dose CoronaVac schedule against symptomatic COVID-19
was 18.2% (95% CI 0.0 to 33.2) in the period 0-13 days and 41.6% (95% CI 26.9 to 53.3) in the
period ≥14 days after administration of the second dose (Table 2). We did not identify a
significant reduction or increase in the odds of COVID-19 in the time periods following a single
vaccine dose, including the period 0-13 days which serves as a potential bias-indicator.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
13
Increasing number of comorbidities was significantly associated with increased odds of COVID-
effectiveness was 19.3% (95% CI 1.3 to 34) in the period 0-13 day and 42.3% (95% CI 27.7 to
53.9) in the period ≥14 days after administration of the second dose.
In the period starting 14 days after the second dose, the adjusted effectiveness of the two-dose
schedule was 59.0% (95% CI 44.2 to 69.8) against hospitalisation and 71.4% (95% CI 53.7 to
82.3) against deaths (Table 2). In general, statistically significant protection was not observed
until after the second dose, and the vaccine effectiveness in the "bias-indicator" period 0-13
Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 in the period ≥14 days after the second
dose declined with increasing age and was 61.8% (95% CI 34.8 to 77.7) among individuals 70-74
years old, 48.9% (95% CI 23.3 to 66.0) among 75-79 years old, and 28.0% (95% CI 0.6 to 47.9)
among individuals ≥80 years of age (pinteraction = 0.05)(Figure 3). The same pattern was observed
for hospitalisations (pinteraction = 0.04) and deaths (pinteraction = 0.19), yielding effectiveness of
80.1% (95% CI 55.7 to 91.0) for hospitalisations and 86.0% (95% CI 34.8 to 77.7) for deaths
among the 70-74 years age group (Figure 3 and Supplementary Table 4).
Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 disease did not differ among sub-groups
residence. However, individuals with reported diabetes had lower protection than those
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
14
without reported diabetes (VE 26.9% vs. 45.6% , pinteraction = 0.12) during the period starting 14
days after the 2nd dose (Supplementary Table 5 and Supplementary Figure 4).
Discussion
This test-negative case-control study found that a two-dose schedule of CoronaVac had a real-
world effectiveness of 41.6% (95% CI 26.9 to 53.3) against symptomatic COVID-19, 59.0% (95%
CI 44.2 to 69.8) against COVID associated hospitalisations, and 71.4% (95% CI 53.7 to 82.3%)
against COVID-19 associated deaths among those ≥70 years during a Gamma variant-associated
epidemic in Brazil. Furthermore, we have addressed several evidence gaps for the use of this
including associated severe outcomes, in the setting of widespread Gamma transmission which
was similar to that found in the Brazilian RCT conducted prior to the emergence of Gamma,5 2)
the vaccine did not confer significant protection until 14 days after completion of the two dose
regimen; and 3) vaccine effectiveness declined with increasing age among adults ≥70 years of
age.
Research in context
A key evidence gap, as raised in the WHO EUL for Coronavac,11 has been the effectiveness of
this vaccine in the elderly population, since this age group was not represented in the Brazilian
and Turkish RCTs.5,7,10,11 We found that CoronaVac had an effectiveness in the elderly
population that was similar to that observed in RCTs of younger populations and similar to
estimates of vaccine effectiveness in adults ≥60 years of age from a retrospective cohort study
15
symptomatic COVID-19 with increasing age from 61.8% (95% CI 34.8 to 77.7) in adults 70-74
year olds to 28.0% (95% CI 0.6 to 47.9) in adults ≥80 years of age. These findings parallel real-
world evidence for the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, which found reduced effectiveness in
residents of long-term care facilities in Denmark,36 skilled nursing facilities in the USA,37 and the
general population with ≥70 years in Finland38 and ≥80 years of age in Israel.39 As well as a
slower immune response and lower peak of neutralising antibodies than younger populations,
elderly individuals seem to have faster decay of antibodies titers.4 Together, these findings
suggest that effective COVID-19 vaccination of the very elderly (≥80 years) population may
Vaccine effectiveness was greater against severe outcomes than against symptomatic COVID-19
in all age subgroups among the elderly. This finding, consistent with RCTs and observational
studies for multiple COVID-19 vaccines and across settings,5,6,9,10,12 suggests that vaccination
will reduce morbidity and mortality even if effectiveness at preventing infections is reduced
among the elderly. The direct comparison of the effectiveness against hospitalisation with other
admission triage policies that change according to age and hospital bed availability. Therefore, a
patient above 80 years with symptomatic COVID-19 has higher likelihood of being admitted
compared to younger patients even if not severe, and this likelihood varies between public and
private facilities and whether the health system is overwhelmed.13 Thus, we cannot generalise
our findings for protection against hospitalisations without considering this context. We
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
16
evaluated vaccine effectiveness at the individual level, not accounting for the indirect effect
and the total effect from the vaccination campaign. A preliminary aggregated analysis using
weekly times series of COVID-19 deaths in Brazil found a relative decrease in mortality among
those ≥70 years compared with all ages after the vaccination with CoronaVac and ChAdOx1,40
The absence of demonstrable effectiveness of CoronaVac until completion of the two dose
regimen has profound implications for its use in an epidemic response. In contrast to COVID-19
vaccines that confer protection after the first dose,9,41 we did not detect significant
effectiveness for CoronaVac until ≥14 days after the second dose (more than six weeks after the
first dose).19 Our findings suggest that in countries where CoronaVac supplies are constrained
and are experiencing high SARS-CoV-2 transmission, vaccination should prioritise completion of
the two-dose regimen among the highest risk populations and avoid expanding to broader
segments for which provisions for a second dose have not been secured.
Our study did not directly address the question whether vaccination with CoronaVac was
analysed cases were due to Gamma variant. However, 90% (1,790/1,999) of the discordant
pairs in this matched case-control study were selected during the period 1 March to 29 April
2021, when Gamma accounted for 85% of the genotyped isolates during surveillance in São
Paulo state. A test-negative study in Canada evaluated ≥70 years individuals and estimated an
17
adjusted vaccine effectiveness of single-dose mRNA vaccines of 61% (95% CI 45-72) against the
VOC Gamma compared to 72% (95% CI 58-81) for non-VOC.42 Although further studies are
required to determine the effectiveness of CoronaVac against Gamma and additional VOCs, our
findings provide supportive evidence for the use of CoronaVac in countries in South America
which are experiencing epidemics due to extensive spread of Gamma20 and are administering
This study has several strengths which include the large sample size and geospatial coverage,
comprising the state of São Paulo with 46 million inhabitants distributed across 645
accordance with the recent WHO guideline for COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness evaluation.21
Using a test-negative design, we have addressed biases that affect observational vaccine
effectiveness studies, such as health-seeking behaviour and access. Additionally, after matching
and adjustment, the "bias-indicator" association between recent vaccination with a single dose
0-13 days before sample collection was close to null, suggesting that vaccinated and
unvaccinated individuals did not differ in their underlying risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-
2.8,32,43
Our study had limitations. We could not assess the influence of a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection
on vaccine effectiveness since passive surveillance identified few individuals with a positive RT-
PCR or rapid antigen test before the study period. Prior to the start of the vaccination
campaign, the estimated seroprevalence of COVID-19 in inhabitants who were ≥60 years of age
18
in the capital of São Paulo State was 19.9% (95% CI, 14.9-29.9) in January 2021.44 Our estimates
excluding as controls patients with a subsequent positive test within 14 days after the initial
testing and including only tests performed 10 days of symptom onset.21 In addition, we
restricted our study population to elderly individuals because they were a priority group for
vaccination and received the large majority of CoronaVac doses during the initial stages of the
older and younger populations was not possible. Our analyses were also limited by the lack of
more refined covariates, such as frailty and chronic illness status, which could influence vaccine
effectiveness in the very elderly and would not be addressed by age and reported comorbidities
per se. Finally, although we matched for calendar time of SARS-CoV-2 testing (±3 days),21 we
cannot exclude the possibility of time-varying changes in behaviour or testing practices among
participants that were not addressed by our matching criteria and may introduce bias.
However, estimates of vaccine effectiveness remained similar in the sensitivity analysis that
symptomatic COVID-19 and more severe clinical outcomes among elderly individuals and in a
setting with extensive Gamma variant transmission. However, the delayed onset of vaccine-
mediated protection underscores the need to prioritise vaccine supplies and maximise the
number of individuals who complete the two-dose schedule, when CoronaVac is used as part of
19
Author contributions
All authors conceived the study. OTR, MDTH and MD completed analyses with guidance from
JRA, DATC, AIK, and JC. MSST, OFPP, OTR and MDTH curated and validated the data. OTR and
MDTH wrote the first draft of the manuscript. TLD, RCP, OFPP, EFMV, MA, RS, JCG, WNA
provided supervision. All authors contributed to, and approved, the final manuscript. JC is the
guarantor. The corresponding author attests that all listed authors meet authorship criteria and
that no others meeting the criteria have been omitted.
Declaration of interests
All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at
www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: no support from any organisation for the
submitted work; no financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in
the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could
appear to have influenced the submitted work.
Ethics approval
The study was approved by the Ethical Committee for Research of Federal University of Mato
Grosso do Sul (CAAE: 43289221.5.0000.0021).
Data sharing
Deidentified databases as well as the R codes will be deposited in the repository
https://github.com/juliocroda/VebraCOVID-19
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
20
Transparency statement
The lead author affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of
the study being reported; that no important aspects of the study have been omitted; and that
any discrepancies from the study as originally planned have been explained.
Dissemination declaration
Results will be disseminated to the public in Manaus and across Brazil. It is not possible to
disseminate results to individuals who were selected into the study due to anonymisation of
the data.
Acknowledgements
We are grateful for the Pan American Health Organization's support and the São Paulo State in
making the databases available for analysis. JC is supported by the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation
(Edital Covid-19 – resposta rápida: 48111668950485). OTR is funded by a Sara Borrell fellowship
(CD19/00110) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III. OTR acknowledges support from the
Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa
2019-2023 Program and from the Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program.
21
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phase 1/2 clinical trial. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2021; : S1473309920309877.
32 Hitchings MDT, Lewnard JA, Dean NE, et al. Use of recently vaccinated individuals to detect bias in test-
negative case-control studies of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness. Epidemiology, 2021
DOI:10.1101/2021.06.23.21259415.
33 Sullivan SG, Tchetgen Tchetgen EJ, Cowling BJ. Theoretical Basis of the Test-Negative Study Design for
Assessment of Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness. Am J Epidemiol 2016; 184: 345–53.
34 Andrejko KL, Pry J, Myers JF, et al. Prevention of COVID-19 by mRNA-based vaccines within the general
population of California. Epidemiology, 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.04.08.21255135.
35 Crowe E, Pandeya N, Brotherton JML, et al. Effectiveness of quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine
for the prevention of cervical abnormalities: case-control study nested within a population based
screening programme in Australia. BMJ 2014; 348: g1458–g1458.
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
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36 Moustsen-Helms IR, Emborg H-D, Nielsen J, et al. Vaccine effectiveness after 1st and 2nd dose of the
BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in long-term care facility residents and healthcare workers – a
Danish cohort study. Epidemiology, 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.03.08.21252200.
37 Britton A, Jacobs Slifka KM, Edens C, et al. Effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine Among
Residents of Two Skilled Nursing Facilities Experiencing COVID-19 Outbreaks — Connecticut, December
2020–February 2021. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021; 70: 396–401.
38 Baum U, Poukka E, Palmu AA, Salo H, Lehtonen TO, Leino T. Effectiveness of vaccination against SARS-
CoV-2 infection and Covid-19 hospitalization among Finnish elderly and chronically ill – An interim
analysis of a nationwide cohort study. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 2021
DOI:10.1101/2021.06.21.21258686.
39 Yelin I, Katz R, Herzel E, et al. Associations of the BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness with patient
age and comorbidities. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.03.16.21253686.
40 Victora C, Castro MC, Gurzenda S, Barros AJD. Estimating the early impact of immunization against
COVID-19 on deaths among elderly people in Brazil: analyses of secondary data on vaccine coverage and
mortality. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.04.27.21256187.
41 Voysey M, Costa Clemens SA, Madhi SA, et al. Single-dose administration and the influence of the timing
of the booster dose on immunogenicity and efficacy of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine: a pooled
analysis of four randomised trials. Lancet 2021; 397: 881–91.
42 Skowronski DM, Setayeshgar S, Zou M, et al. Single-dose mRNA vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-
2, including P.1 and B.1.1.7 variants: a test-negative design in adults 70 years and older in British
Columbia, Canada. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.06.07.21258332.
43 Hitchings MDT, Ranzani OT, Scaramuzzini Torres MS, et al. Effectiveness of CoronaVac in the setting of
high SARS-CoV-2 P.1 variant transmission in Brazil: A test-negative case-control study. Infectious
Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 2021 DOI:10.1101/2021.04.07.21255081.
44 SoroEpi Group. SoroEpi MSP study in São Paulo Capital - Phase 5 results.
https://www.monitoramentocovid19.org (accessed May 17, 2021).
24
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
25
Figure 2. Flowchart of the identification of the study population from surveillance databases and
selection of matched cases and controls.
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It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
26
Figure 3. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness during the period ≥14 days after the second CoronaVac dose
for subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age. Estimates of vaccine effectiveness were obtained from a
conditional logistic regression model that included covariates of age and the number of comorbidities
and incorporated an interaction term between the category of interest and the period ≥14 days after
the second CoronaVac dose.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
27
Table 1. Characteristics of adults ≥70 years of age who were eligible for matching and selected into case-
test negative pairs.
Eligible cases and controls Matched pairs
Controls Cases
Test-negative Test-positive
Characteristics* (n=7,950)^ (n=7,950)^
(n=17,622)^ (n=26,433)^
Demographics
Age, mean (SD), years 77.53 (6.8) 76.71 (6.2) 76.15 (5.8) 76.15 (5.8)
70-79 years 12,123 (68.8) 19,673 (74.4) 6,150 (77.4) 6,150 (77.4)
80-89 years 4,301 (24.4) 5,437 (20.6) 1,510 (19.0) 1,510 (19.0)
≥90 years 1,198 (6.8) 1,323 (5.0) 290 (3.6) 290 (3.6)
Male sex, n (%) 7,689 (43.6) 12,431 (47.0) 3,276 (41.2) 3,276 (41.2)
Comorbidities
One or two 6,984 (39.6) 12,548 (47.5) 3,151 (39.6) 3,994 (50.2)
Three or more 611 (3.5) 1,217 (4.6) 289 (3.6) 392 (4.9)
Cardiovascular disease , n (%) 5,293 (30.0) 10,079 (38.1) 2,375 (29.9) 3,252 (40.9)
Diabetes, n (%) 3,233 (18.3) 6,533 (24.7) 1,314 (19.0) 2,092 (26.3)
28
Positive SARS-CoV-2 test result ††, n (%) 66 (0.4) 13 (0.0) 1 (0.0) 4 (0.1)
Vaccination status
Not vaccinated, n (%) 11,986 (68.0) 17,233 (65.2) 5,485 (69.0) 5,561 (69.9)
Single dose, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,446 (8.2) 2,976 (11.3) 747 (9.4) 762 (9.6)
Single dose, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,797 (10.2) 3,312 (12.5) 843 (10.6) 851 (10.7)
Two doses, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,041 (5.9) 1,533 (5.8) 437 (5.5) 421 (5.3)
Two doses, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,352 (7.7) 1,379 (5.2) 438 (5.5) 355 (4.5)
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
29
Table 2: Effectiveness of CoronaVac against symptomatic COVID-19, hospitalisations and deaths in adults ≥70 years of age.
Unadjusted Analysis Adjusted Analysis^
Symptomatic COVID-19 (n=15,900) OR (95% CI) VE (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) VE (95% CI) p-value
Single dose, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.97 (0.85-1.12) 2.7% (-11.7-15.3) 0.70 0.98 (0.85-1.12) 2.5% (-12.2-15.3) 0.72
Single dose, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.91 (0.78-1.05) 9.5% (-5.3-22.3) 0.20 0.90 (0.77-1.04) 10.5% (-4.4-23.3) 0.16
Two doses, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.81 (0.66-0.98) 19.5% (1.9-34.0) 0.03 0.82 (0.67-1.00) 18.2% (0.0-33.2) 0.05
Two doses, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.60 (0.48-0.74) 40.5% (25.8-52.3) <0.001 0.58 (0.47-0.73) 41.6% (26.9-53.3) <0.001
Single dose, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.89 (0.74-1.07) 11.3% (-7.0-26.4) 0.21 0.84 (0.68-1.02) 16.4% (-2.2-31.6) 0.08
Single dose, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.85 (0.70-1.04) 14.6% (-4.2-30.0) 0.12 0.83 (0.66-1.01) 18.5% (-1.0-34.2) 0.06
Two doses, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.62 (0.47-0.81) 38.1% (18.8-52.8) 0.001 0.59 (0.44-0.79) 40.9% (20.7-55.9) <0.001
Two doses, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.47 (0.36-0.63) 52.7% (37.2-64.4) <0.001 0.41 (0.30-0.56) 59% (44.2-69.8) <0.001
Single dose, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.92 (0.72-1.18) 8.2% (-17.7-28.4) 0.50 0.93 (0.71-1.21) 7.4% (-21.3-29.2) 0.58
Single dose, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.76 (0.57-1.00) 24.5% (0.0-43.0) 0.05 0.68 (0.50-0.93) 31.6% (7.1-49.7) 0.02
Two doses, within 0-13 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.40 (0.27-0.59) 60.4% (40.6-73.5) <0.001 0.36 (0.23-0.55) 64.4% (44.6-77.1) <0.001
Two doses, ≥14 days vs. unvaccinated* 0.34 (0.22-0.52) 66.2% (47.8-78.1) <0.001 0.29 (0.18-0.46) 71.4% (53.7-82.3) <0.001
ARI - acute respiratory illness
*At date of index sample collection for cases and controls.
^ Models adjusted by age (linear term for symptomatic and hospitalisation, restricted cubic spline for deaths) and number of comorbidities (None, One or Two,
Three or more)
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It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Supplementary appendix
Supplement to: Effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in the elderly population during a
Gamma variant-associated epidemic of COVID-19 in Brazil: A test-negative case-control study
Table of Contents
Supplementary Figure 1. Daily cases and vaccine coverage by age. ................................... 2
Supplementary Figure 2. Timing of enrolment of discordant case-control pairs by
vaccination category ........................................................................................................................... 3
Supplementary Figure 3. Timing of RT-PCR sample collection date relative to first
(left column) and second (right column) vaccine dose date, among cases (top row)
and controls (bottom row) who were vaccinated during the study period. .................... 4
Supplementary Table 1. Distribution of concordant and discordant matched case-
control pairs. .......................................................................................................................................... 5
Supplementary Table 2. Characteristics of adults ≥70 years of age who were eligible
for matching and selected into case-test negative pairs for the hospitalisation
analysis. ................................................................................................................................................... 6
Supplementary Table 3. Characteristics of adults ≥70 years of age who were eligible
for matching and selected into case-test negative pairs for the death analysis.............. 8
Supplementary Table 4. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness during the period ≥14 days
after the second CoronaVac dose for subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age. ................ 10
Supplementary Table 5. Estimated effectiveness of CoronaVac ≥14 days after the
second dose, in subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age. ......................................................... 11
Supplementary Figure 4. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness during the period ≥14 days
after the second CoronaVac dose for subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age. ................ 12
Protocol for the Teste-Negative Case-Control Study in São Paulo State ................................ 13
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Panel A shows the daily cases of reported COVID-19 from Mar 15, 2020 to Apr 29, 2021 in São Paulo State, Brazil,
with the green line representing the 14-day rolling average of counts. Panels B, C and D show the cumulative
vaccination coverage for age groups >90y, 80y-89y, and 70y-79y, respectively. Population estimates for age groups
20
were obtained from national projections for 2020. Vertical bars, from left to right in each panel, show the dates
that adults ≥90, 80-89 and 70-79 years of age in the general population became eligible for vaccination.
Supplementary Figure 3. Timing of RT-PCR sample collection date relative to first (left column) and second (right
column) vaccine dose date, among cases (top row) and controls (bottom row) who were vaccinated during the
study period.
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Cases
Unvaccinated
4,920 290 168 55 52
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Supplementary Table 2. Characteristics of adults ≥70 years of age who were eligible for matching and selected into
case-test negative pairs for the hospitalisation analysis.
Controls Cases
Test-negative Test-positive
Characteristics* (n=4,039)^ (n=4,039)^
(n=17,622)^ (n=26,433)^
Demographics
Age, mean (SD), years 77.53 (6.78) 76.71 (6.19) 77.22 (6.41) 77.25 (6.38)
70-79 years 12,123 (68.8) 19,673 (74.4) 2847 (70.5) 2847 (70.5)
80-89 years 4,301 (24.4) 5,437 (20.6) 965 (23.9) 965 (23.9)
≥90 years 1,198 (6.8) 1,323 (5.0) 227 (5.6) 227 (5.6)
Male sex, n (%) 7,689 (43.6) 12,431 (47.0) 1771 (43.8) 1771 (43.8)
Comorbidities
One or two 6,984 (39.6) 12,548 (47.5) 1661 (41.1) 2566 (63.5)
Three or more 611 (3.5) 1,217 (4.6) 165 (4.1) 346 (8.6)
Cardiovascular disease , n (%) 5,293 (30.0) 10,079 (38.1) 1241 (30.7) 2201 (54.5)
Diabetes, n (%) 3,233 (18.3) 6,533 (24.7) 793 (19.6) 1439 (35.6)
Vaccination status
Not vaccinated, n (%) 11,986 (68.0) 17,233 (65.2) 2656 (65.8) 2746 (68.0)
Single dose, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,446 (8.2) 2,976 (11.3) 413 (10.2) 408 (10.1)
Single dose, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,797 (10.2) 3,312 (12.5) 445 (11.0) 463 (11.5)
Two doses, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,041 (5.9) 1,533 (5.8) 230 (5.7) 196 (4.9)
Two doses, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,352 (7.7) 1,379 (5.2) 295 (7.3) 226 (5.6)
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Supplementary Table 3. Characteristics of adults ≥70 years of age who were eligible for matching and selected into
case-test negative pairs for the death analysis.
Controls Cases
Test-negative Test-positive
Characteristics* (n=2,052)^ (n=2,052)^
(n=17,622)^ (n=26,433)^
Demographics
Age, mean (SD), years 77.53 (6.78) 76.71 (6.19) 77.69 (6.57) 77.76 (6.53)
70-79 years 12,123 (68.8) 19,673 (74.4) 1396 (68.0) 1396 (68.0)
80-89 years 4,301 (24.4) 5,437 (20.6) 523 (25.5) 523 (25.5)
≥90 years 1,198 (6.8) 1,323 (5.0) 133 (6.5) 133 (6.5)
Male sex, n (%) 7,689 (43.6) 12,431 (47.0) 962 (46.9) 962 (46.9)
Comorbidities
One or two 6,984 (39.6) 12,548 (47.5) 868 (42.3) 1304 (63.5)
Cardiovascular disease , n (%) 5,293 (30.0) 10,079 (38.1) 633 (30.8) 1142 (55.7)
Diabetes, n (%) 3,233 (18.3) 6,533 (24.7) 396 (19.3) 754 (36.7)
Vaccination status
Not vaccinated, n (%) 11,986 (68.0) 17,233 (65.2) 1362 (66.4) 1425 (69.4)
Single dose, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,446 (8.2) 2,976 (11.3) 218 (10.6) 225 (11.0)
Single dose, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,797 (10.2) 3,312 (12.5) 226 (11.0) 236 (11.5)
Two doses, within 0-13 days, n (%) 1,041 (5.9) 1,533 (5.8) 117 (5.7) 79 (3.8)
Two doses, ≥14 days, n (%) 1,352 (7.7) 1,379 (5.2) 129 (6.3) 87 (4.2)
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10
Supplementary Table 4. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness during the period ≥14 days after the second CoronaVac
dose for subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age.
Estimates of vaccine effectiveness were obtained from a conditional logistic regression model that included
covariates of age and the number of comorbidities and incorporated an interaction term between the category of
interest and the period ≥14 days after the second CoronaVac dose.
Hospitalisations (n=8,078)
Deaths (n=4,104)
11
Supplementary Table 5. Estimated effectiveness of CoronaVac ≥14 days after the second dose, in subgroups of
adults ≥70 years of age.
All models are adjusted by age (continuous) and number of comorbidities, and include an interaction term
between the subgroup of interest and vaccinations with 2 doses, ≥14 days after second vaccine dose.
Age
Sex
Comorbidities
Cardiovascular disease
Diabetes
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12
Supplementary Figure 4. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness during the period ≥14 days after the second CoronaVac
dose for subgroups of adults ≥70 years of age.
Estimates of vaccine effectiveness were obtained from a conditional logistic regression model that included
covariates of age (continuous) and the number of comorbidities and incorporated an interaction term between the
category of interest and the period ≥14 days after the second CoronaVac dose.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
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It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
13
Released in https://github.com/juliocroda/VebraCOVID-19/
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PROTOCOL
I. Background
Since the emergence of severe acute respiratory virus coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), Brazil has experienced one of
the world’s highest incidence and mortality rates in the world, with over 13 million reported infections as of the
middle of April 2021.1–3 São Paulo, the most populous state in Brazil (~ 46 million inhabitants), is the state with
highest number of cases and deaths: 2,827,833 cases and 92,548 deaths as by April 24th 2021.4 Variants of Concern
(VOC) also had a key role on the recent several surges in Brazil and São Paulo State. The P.1 VOC, which was first
detected in Manaus on Jan 12, 2021, 5–7 and now consists the majority of new infections, being dominant in several
states in Brazil. P1. has accrued mutations associated with decreased neutralization,8,9 and has since spread
throughout Brazil, synchronizing the epidemic in country in a scenario of relaxed non-pharmacological
interventions.
The rapid development of novel vaccines against COVID-19 allowed countries to start vaccine distribution
programs within a year of the identification of the novel virus. Among the first vaccines to be developed was
Sinovac’s CoronaVac vaccine.10–12 Phase III trials were conducted in Turkey, Chile, Singapore and Brazil. The
Brazilian trial was conducted among a study population of healthcare professionals, and reported that the
effectiveness of CoronaVac after 14 days following completion of a two dose schedule was 50.7% (95% CI 36.0-
62.0) for all symptomatic cases of COVID-19, 83.7% (95% CI 58.0-93.7) for cases requiring medical attention, and
100% (95% CI 56.4-100) for hospitalized, severe, and fatal cases.12 CoronaVac was approved for emergency use on
17 January in Brazil, and used to vaccinate healthcare workers and the general population. AstraZeneca-Oxford’s
ChAdOx1 vaccine13,14 was approved on the same day and was administered beginning on 23 January 2021. In
Brazil, ChAdOx1 schedule is for 12 weeks between first and second dose.
As vaccine programs continue, there has been much interest in estimation of vaccine effectiveness through
observational studies, and specifically in settings where VOC are circulating. Such studies have advantages over
clinical trials, including increased size and follow-up time, and reduced cost. However, as vaccinated and
unvaccinated individuals are likely different in their SARS-CoV-2 risk and healthcare access, these studies must
address bias through design and analysis. Several studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of COVID-19
vaccines against infection caused by the B.1.1.7 variant.15 However, large-scale real-world investigations on vaccine
effectiveness have not been conducted in regions where the P.1 variant is prevalent.
We propose a test-negative case-control study16,17 of the general population from the São Paulo State to evaluate the
effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing symptomatic disease in a setting of widespread P.1 VOC
transmission.6 The study will initially evaluate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines, CoronaVac and ChAdOx1
amongst the population with age ≥70 years, since the vaccination campaign prioritized this age group in its first
months. We will expand the study population as additional age groups become eligible for vaccination. Furthermore,
we expect that additional vaccines will be approved and will evaluate their effectiveness. We will therefore continue
to amend the protocol and its objectives accordingly to address these new questions.
II. Objectives
To estimate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst the general
population from the São Paulo State. Our initial analyses will focus on estimating vaccine effectiveness in the age
group of ≥70 years.
III. Methods
1. Study Design: We will conduct a retrospective matched case-control study, enrolling cases who test positive for
SARS-CoV-2 and controls who test negative for SARS-CoV-2 amongst the general population (Section 3) as of the
day that the COVID-19 vaccination campaign was initiated at the study sites. The study will evaluate vaccine
effectiveness on the primary outcome of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. We will identify cases and matched
controls by extracting information from health surveillance records and ascertain the type and data of vaccination by
reviewing the state COVID-19 vaccination registry. In this design, one minus the odds ratio (1-OR) of vaccination
comparing cases and controls estimates the direct effect of vaccination on the disease outcome. In a separate
analysis, we will assess the association between vaccination and hospitalization and/or death among individuals who
have tested positive for SARS-CoV-2.
2. IRB and Ethics Statement: The protocol has been submitted to the Ethical Committee for Research of Federal
University of Mato Grosso do Sul (CAAE: 43289221.5.0000.0021). The work of investigators at the University of
Florida, Yale University, Stanford University, and Barcelona Institute for Global Health was conducted to inform
the public health response and was therefore covered under Public Health Response Authorization under the US
Common Rule.
Study Details
Study Site: The State of São Paulo (23°3′S, 46°4’W) is the most populous state in Brazil: an estimated population of
46,289,333 in 2020. São Paulo State has 645 municipalities and its capital, São Paulo city, has 12 million
inhabitants. São Paulo State reported 2,827,833 COVID-19 cases (cumulative incidence rate: 6,109 per 100,000
population) and 92,548 deaths (cumulative mortality: 200 per 100,000 population), by 24/04/2021. The State
Secretary of Health of Sao Paulo (SES-SP) initiated its COVID-19 vaccination campaign on 17 January 2021 and is
administering two vaccines, CoronaVac and ChAdOx1. As of 24 April 2021, 10.7 million doses (6.9 million first
doses and 3.8 million second doses) have been administered in the State.
Data Sources and Integration: We will identify eligible cases and controls from the State of São Paulo who test
positive and negative, respectively, from the state laboratory testing registry of public health laboratory network; 2)
Determine vaccination status from state vaccination registries; and 3) Extract information from national healthcare
and surveillance databases that will be used to define outcomes, match controls to cases, determine vaccination
status, serve as covariates for post-stratification and provide a source for cross-validation of information from
databases. Registries are not available which enables constructing a cohort of people eligible for vaccination in the
general population. Data sources for this study will include:
• State laboratory testing registry (GAL) of the network of public health laboratories
• State COVID-19 vaccination registry (Vacina Já)
• National surveillance database of severe acute respiratory illnesses (SIVEP-Gripe) created by Ministry of
Health Brazil in 2009
• National surveillance system of suspected cases of COVID-19 (e-SUS) from mild to moderate "influenza
like illness", created by the Ministry of Health Brazil in 2020
The databases will be integrated by the São Paulo State Government – PRODESP - using CPF numbers (Brazilian
citizens’ unique identifier code) and send to the VEBRA-COVID group anonymized. The database will be updated
on a bi-weekly basis.
Study Population
Inclusion criteria:
● Has a residential address in the State of São Paulo,
● Eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine based on age,
● With complete information, which is consistent between databases, on age, sex, and residential address
● With consistent vaccination status and dates for those who were vaccinated.
Exclusion criteria:
● Does not have a residential address in the State of São Paulo,
● Not eligible to receive a COVID-19 vaccine based on age,
● With missing or inconsistent information on age, sex, or city of residence
● With existing but inconsistent vaccination status or dates.
Case definition and eligibility: We will use information from integrated GAL/SIVEP-Gripe/e-SUS databases to
identify cases that are defined as eligible members of the study population (as defined above, Study Population)
who:
• Had a sample with a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR, which was collected between January 17, 2021 and 7
days prior to database extraction of information
• Did not have a positive RT-PCR test in the 90 day period preceding the index positive RT-PCR result
• Have complete and consistent data on SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test results
Control definition and eligibility: We will use integrated GAL/SIVEP-Gripe/e-SUS databases to identify eligible
controls. Controls are defined as eligible members of the study population who:
• Had a sample with a negative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR result, which was collected after January 17, 2021,
• Did not have a positive RT-PCR test in the 90 day period preceding the index positive RT-PCR result
• Did not have a subsequent positive RT-PCR test in the 7-day period following the index positive RT-PCR
result
• Have complete and consistent data on SARS-CoV-2 PCR test result
When studying each vaccine, individuals that received another vaccine are eligible for selection as a case and/or
control until the day they receive their vaccine, i.e. we will consider test positive and test negative cases for RT-PCR
collected before the day of receipt of the other vaccine.
Matching: Test-negative controls will be matched 1:1 to the cases. We chose the matching factors to balance the
ability to reduce bias and to enroll sufficient case-control pairs. Matching factors will include variables that are
anticipated to be causes of the likelihood of receiving the vaccine, risk of infection and likelihood of receiving PCR
testing for SARS-CoV-2 (see Figures 1-5):
• Age, categorized as 5-years age bands (e.g., 70-74, 75-79 years),
• Sex,
• Municipality,
• Self-reported race,
• Window of ±3 days between collection of RT-PCR positive respiratory sample for cases and collection of
RT-PCR negative respiratory sample for controls. If the date of respiratory sample collection is missing, the
date of notification of testing result will be used.
We will use the standard algorithms to conduct matching which include: 1) setting a seed, 2) locking the database, 4)
creating a unique identifier for matching after random ordering, 5) implementing exact matching based on matching
variables, sampling controls at random if more than one available per case within strata.
An individual who fulfils the control definition and eligibility and later has a sample tested that fulfils the case
definition and eligibility can be included in the study as both a case and a control. An individual who fulfils the
control definition for multiple different sample collection dates can be included in the study as a control for each
collection date, up to a maximum of three times.
Exposure definition:
CoronaVac vaccination:
• Received the first vaccine dose, and not having received a second dose, in the following time periods
relative to sample collection for their PCR test:
o 0-13 days
o ≥14 days
• Received the second dose in the following time periods relative to sample collection for their PCR test:
o 0-13 days
o ≥14 days
ChAdOx1vaccination:
• Received the first vaccine dose, and not having received a second dose, in the following time periods
relative to sample collection for their PCR test:
o 0-13 days
o 14-27 days
o ≥28 days
• Received the second dose in the following time periods relative to sample collection for their PCR test:
o 0-13 days
o ≥14 days
Statistical Analyses: We will evaluate the effectiveness of CoronaVac and ChAdOx1for the following SARS-CoV-2
infection outcomes:
• Primary: Symptomatic COVID-19, defined as one or more reported COVID-19 related symptom with onset
within 0-10 days before the date of their positive RT-PCR test
• Secondary:
o COVID-19 associated hospitalization within 21 days of the symptom onset
o COVID-19 associated ICU admission within 21 days of the symptom onset
o COVID-19 associated respiratory support
o COVID-19 associated death within 28 days of symptom onset
We will evaluate vaccine effectiveness for the primary outcome according to the test-negative design. Table 1 shows
a list of all planned analyses in the test-negative design. The test-negative design may introduce bias when
evaluating outcomes of hospitalizations and deaths during an epidemic. We will therefore perform time to
event/logistic regression analysis of test positive cases to evaluate the association of vaccination status and the risk
for hospitalization, ICU admission, COVID-19 respiratory support, and death after infection.
Our initial analyses will focus on estimating vaccine effectiveness in the population with age ≥70 years of age who
were the initial priority group of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign.
Case-control analysis: Analyses of the primary outcome will be restricted to case and control pairs who are matched
based on the presence of a COVID-19 related symptom before or at the time of testing.
We will use conditional logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of vaccination among cases and controls,
accounting for the matched design, where 1-OR provides an estimate of vaccine effectiveness under the standard
assumptions of a test-negative design. For the CoronaVac analysis, the reference group will be individuals who have
not received a first dose of CoronaVac by the date of respiratory sample collection. For the ChAdOx1 analysis, the
reference group will be individuals who have not received a first dose of ChAdOx1by the date of respiratory sample
collection. Date of notification of the testing result will be used if the date of respiratory sample collection is
missing. To evaluate potential biases and the timing of vaccine effectiveness after administration, we will evaluate
the windows of vaccination status corresponding: A) 0-13 days and ≥14 days after the 1st dose and 0-13 days and
≥14 days after the 2nd dose of CoronaVac; and B) 0-13 days, 14-27 days and ≥28 after the 1st dose and0-13 days and
≥14 days after the 2nd dose of ChAdOx1.
We will include the following covariates in the adjusted model, which we hypothesize are predictive of vaccination,
the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 severity and healthcare access and utilization:
• Age as continuous variable
• Comorbidities (None, 1-2, ≥3 comorbidities)
• Evidence of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection (defined as positive PCR test, antigen test or rapid antibody test)
Although data on comorbidities is available through e-SUS and SIVEP-Gripe, this data may have different degrees
of missingness between databases and between cases and control groups. Adjusting for comorbidities using
complete case data will likely introduce bias. We will explore the feasibility of multiple imputation of comorbidity
in a sensitivity analysis. Additional sensitivity analyses will evaluate potential effect modification of the vaccine
effectiveness by history of a positive RT-PCR, antigen or serological test result prior to the vaccination campaign
and age subgroups.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Survival/logistic regression analysis of hospitalization, ICU, respiratory support and death: We will perform
additional analyses for hospitalization and death amongst individuals who test positive and estimate the hazards
according to vaccination status at the date of positive test, adjusting for covariates described in the case-control
analyses. Sensitivity analyses will be conducted to evaluate the association of influence of a positive RT-PCR,
antigen or serological test result prior to the vaccination campaign.
Sample size calculations and timing of analyses: The power of a matched case-control study depends on the
assumed odds ratio and the number of discordant pairs (i.e. pairs in which the case is exposed and the control is
unexposed, or vice versa), which is a function of the assumed odds ratio and the expected prevalence of exposure
among controls. Moreover, the estimate of the odds ratio for one level of a categorical variable compared to baseline
is determined by the distribution of all discordant pairs. As vaccine coverage and incidence are changing over time,
the latter in ways we cannot predict, and there is no power formula for this analysis, we will simulate power and
enroll individuals until we have reached a target power, which we can assess without analyzing the data. In
particular, after determining the number of discordant case-control pairs for each combination of exposure
categories, we will randomly assign one of each pair to each relevant exposure type according to a Bernoulli
distribution, with the probability determined by the assumed odds ratio comparing the two categories. We will run
an unadjusted conditional logistic regression on the simulated dataset to determine the p-value, and estimate the
power as the proportion of N=1,000 simulations that return p<0.05. Code to perform the power calculation can be
found at https://github.com/mhitchings/VEBRA_COVID-19.
Timing of final analyses: We will perform an analysis of the primary outcome upon reaching simulated 80% power
to detect vaccine effectiveness of 40% ≥14 days after the second dose for the CoronaVac. For the ChAdOx1, we will
perform an analysis of effectiveness of at least one dose upon reaching simulated 80% power to detect vaccine
effectiveness of 40% ≥28 days after the first dose. In addition, we will perform an analysis of effectiveness of two
doses upon reaching simulated 80% power to detect vaccine effectiveness of 40% ≥14 days after the second dose.
We chose a vaccine effectiveness of 40% to address the question of whether vaccination with CoronaVac and
ChAdOx achieved a threshold of real-world effectiveness, below which the public health value of vaccination may
need to be reconsidered.
Privacy: Only SES-SP, São Paulo State data management had access to the identified dataset to linkage the datasets
by name, date of birth, mother's name and CPF. After the linkage, the CPF was encrypted and the de-identified
dataset was sent to the team for analysis.
Working group: Matt Hitchings, Otavio T. Ranzani, Julio Croda, Albert I. Ko, Derek Adam Cummings, Wildo
Navegantes de Araujo, Jason R. Andrews, Roberto Dias de Oliveira, Patricia Vieira da Silva, Mario Sergio
Sacaramuzzini Torres, Wade Schulz, Tatiana Lang D Agostini, Edlaine Faria de Moura Villela, Regiane A. Cardoso
de Paulo, Olivia Ferreira Pereira de Paula, Jean Carlo Gorinchteyn
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a retrospective analysis of nationwide data. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine 2021; 9: 407–18.
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medRxiv 2021; published online March 3. DOI:10.1101/2021.02.26.21252554.
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11 Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in healthy
adults aged 18-59 years: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21:
181–92.
12 Palacios R, Batista AP, Albuquerque CSN, et al. Efficacy and Safety of a COVID-19 Inactivated Vaccine in Healthcare
Professionals in Brazil: The PROFISCOV Study. SSRN Journal 2021. DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3822780.
13 Folegatti PM, Ewer KJ, Aley PK, et al. Safety and immunogenicity of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2:
a preliminary report of a phase 1/2, single-blind, randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2020; 396: 467–78.
14 Voysey M, Clemens SAC, Madhi SA, et al. Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against
SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK. Lancet 2021; 397:
99–111.
15 Dagan N, Barda N, Kepten E, et al. BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination Setting. N Engl
J Med 2021; : NEJMoa2101765.
16 Verani JR, Baqui AH, Broome CV, et al. Case-control vaccine effectiveness studies: Preparation, design, and enrollment of
cases and controls. Vaccine 2017; 35: 3295–302.
17 Verani JR, Baqui AH, Broome CV, et al. Case-control vaccine effectiveness studies: Data collection, analysis and reporting
results. Vaccine 2017; 35: 3303–8.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Figure 1: PCR testing rate by age, sex and self-reported race (from data extracted on April 07, 2021)
Figure 2: PCR positive testing rate by age, sex and self-reported race (from data extracted on April 07, 2021)
Figure 3: PCR positive proportion by age, sex and self-reported race (from data extracted on April 07, 2021)
Figure 4: Vaccine coverage by age, sex and self-reported race (from data extracted on April 07, 2021)
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Figure 5: PCR testing rate (pcr_done), PCR positive testing rate (pcr_pos), positivity proportion (tpp) and vaccine
coverage (vac) by each municipality (A) and municipality and race (B). RM SP denotes metropolitan area of São
Paulo city (from data extracted on April 07, 2021)
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
Supplementary Figure 1. Reported RT-PCR or Antigen confirmed COVID-19 in the general population of the São Paulo State, Brazil from October
2020 to April 7, 2021. Lines depict moving 14-day averages for case. Vertical lines represent vaccine eligibility by age.
Supplementary Figure 2. Reported RT-PCR or Antigen confirmed COVID-19 rates in the general population of the São Paulo State, Brazil from
October 2020 to April 7, 2021. Lines depict rolling averages. Vertical lines represent vaccine eligibility by age.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.21257472; this version posted July 21, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license .
EClinicalMedicine
journal homepage: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/eclinicalmedicine
Research paper
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Article History: Background: Vaccination against COVID-19 in Brazil started in January 2021, with health workers and the
Received 12 May 2021 elderly as the priority groups. We assessed whether there was an impact of vaccinations on the mortality of
Revised 29 June 2021 elderly individuals in a context of wide transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 gamma (P.1) variant.
Accepted 1 July 2021
Methods: By May 15, 2021, 238,414 COVID-19 deaths had been reported to the Brazilian Mortality Informa-
Available online 16 July 2021
tion System. Denominators for mortality rates were calculated by correcting population estimates for all-
cause deaths reported in 2020. Proportionate mortality at ages 7079 and 80+ years relative to deaths at all
Keywords:
ages were calculated for deaths due to COVID-19 and to other causes, as were COVID-19 mortality rate ratios
COVID-19
Brazil
relative to individuals aged 069 years. Vaccine coverage data were obtained from the Ministry of Health.
Immunization All results were tabulated by epidemiological weeks 119, 2021.
Mortality Findings: The proportion of all COVID-19 deaths at ages 80+ years was over 25% in weeks 16 and declined
rapidly to 12.4% in week 19, whereas proportionate COVID-19 mortality for individuals aged 7079 years
started to decline by week 15. Trends in proportionate mortality due to other causes remained stable. Mortal-
ity rates were over 13 times higher in the 80+ years age group compared to that of 069 year olds up to week
6, and declined to 5.0 times in week 19. Vaccination coverage (first dose) of 90% was reached by week 9 for
individuals aged 80+ years and by week 13 for those aged 7079 years. Coronavac accounted for 65.4% and
AstraZeneca for 29.8% of all doses administered in weeks 14, compared to 36.5% and 53.3% in weeks
1519, respectively.
Interpretation: Rapid scaling up of vaccination coverage among elderly Brazilians was associated with impor-
tant declines in relative mortality compared to younger individuals, in a setting where the gamma variant
predominates. Had mortality rates among the elderly remained proportionate to what was observed up to
week 6, an estimated additional 43,802 COVID-related deaths would have been expected up to week 19.
Funding: CGV and AJDB are funded by the Todos pela Sau � de (Sa
~o Paulo, Brazil) initiative.
© 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Introduction new variant accounted for three out of every four samples subjected
to viral sequencing [5].
In early 2021, Brazil became the global epicenter of the COVID-19 Vaccination against COVID-19 was started in late January 2021,
pandemic [1] with an average of over 2000 daily deaths in recent with two types of vaccines being offered: Coronavac (Sinovac, China)
months [2]. The gamma or P.1 variant, initially identified in Manaus and AZD1222 (Oxford-AstraZeneca, UK). Vaccination has been ini-
in late 2020 [3] has rapidly spread throughout the country [4]. tially targeted at four priority groups: health workers, the elderly
Although genomic analyses are infrequent, in April and May 2021 the (starting with those aged 85 years or more, and gradually vaccinating
younger age groups), indigenous populations, and institutionalized
individuals. By May 28, 41,478,005 Brazilians had received the first
dose, and 19,604,603 the second dose [6].
* Corresponding author at: International Center for Equity in Health, Federal Univer-
sity of Pelotas, Rua Marechal Deodoro 1160, Pelotas, RS, 96020-220, Brazil
Vaccination campaigns have been associated with reductions in
E-mail address: cvictora@equidade.org (C.G. Victora). hospital admissions and mortality among targeted population
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101036
2589-5370/© 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
until May 27, 2021. Coverage of the death registration system has
Research in context
been estimated at over 95% by 2010 [14]. As of 2016, the Global Bur-
den of Disease project assigned four out of five stars for the system’s
Evidence before this study
coverage and quality of cause of death ascertainment [15], and by
Brazil has been one of the world’s hotspots for COVID-19 in 2019 5.6% of all deaths were coded as due to ill-defined causes
2021, largely due to the rapid spread of the SARS-CoV-2 gamma (França GA, unpublished data). We analyzed deaths for which the
variant. Vaccination of the elderly population started in mid- underlying cause was coded as B34.2, which included codes U07.1
January with the Coronavac (Sinovac, China) and Oxford/Astra- (COVID-19, virus identified) and U07.2 (COVID-19, virus not identi-
Zeneca (UK) vaccines. Although the efficacy of both vaccines fied) [16]. For 84% of 2021 deaths, presence of the virus was con-
has been established in phase-3 trials against the original vari- firmed in a laboratory (preliminary results based on investigation of
ant of SARS-CoV-2, little is known about their protection 163,637 deaths).
against the gamma variant. Data on COVID-19 vaccination coverage were obtained from a
dataset made available by the Brazilian Ministry of Health [6]. The
Added value of this study data are updated daily and consist of an individual level dataset
including personal information and information on the vaccination
By May 27, 2021, approximately 95% of Brazilians aged 80+
(type and dose) along with whether it is the first or second dose
years had received the first vaccine dose. We analyzed data
received and the priority group for the person vaccinated. Data
from the Ministry of Health database of over 450,000 COVID-19
through May 15, 2021 were included in this analysis.
deaths since the beginning of the pandemic, including 238,414
deaths in 2021.
Population estimates
Up to mid-February 2021, the deaths of individuals aged 80+
years due to COVID-19 remained almost constant at 2530% of
Population estimates for July 1, 2020 by age and sex were
all reported COVID-19 deaths at any age. Starting in mid-Febru-
obtained from the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics
ary, proportionate mortality in the elderly started to fall
(IBGE) [17]. Due to the excess mortality observed in 2020 and the
steadily to under 13% in the first half of May. Similar trends
higher COVID-19 mortality among the elderly [18], the population
were observed for individuals aged 7079 years, after a time
numbers from IBGE for 2020 are overestimated, particularly at older
lag that was consistent with the later increase in vaccination
ages. Since vaccination started in Brazil in early January 2021, it is
coverage in this age group.
imperative to obtain an adjusted estimated population that more
Trends in mortality due to other causes were stable, indicat-
closely reflects the Brazilian population by the end of 2020. We con-
ing a specific impact on COVID-19 deaths.
sidered the total deaths that were reported in 2020 (for all causes, as
reported in the Mortality Information System), and the expected
Implications of all the available evidence
deaths as implied in the IBGE estimates. We excluded the additional
Confirming early reports from cohorts of vaccinated health number of deaths from the published 2020 estimates and used that
workers, our nationwide findings suggest that vaccination adjusted population as the denominator in our analyses. All adjust-
against SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil, which largely relied on the Coro- ments were made by age and sex. All calculations were done in R (R
navac vaccine in the first trimester of 2021, was associated Core Team, 2020).
with an important decline in relative mortality among the
elderly compared to younger individuals, in a setting where the Data analyses
gamma variant accounted for three quarters of samples with
information on sequencing cases in April-May 2021. Mortality results were analyzed in two ways. First, we calculated
proportionate mortality by dividing the number of COVID-19 deaths
at ages 7079 and 80+ years by the total number of COVID-19 deaths
groups, in several of the early starting countries [7-9]. Yet, there is at all ages. Our main analyses described mortality by epidemiological
limited evidence on the efficacy of the two vaccines being delivered week in 2021, which are supported by analyses by month of death
in Brazil against the gamma variant that currently accounts for the during 2020. To investigate whether age-specific trends in propor-
majority of cases in the country. Two observational studies among tionate mortality were specific to COVID-19 deaths, we also investi-
health care workers in Manaus [10] and Sa ~o Paulo [11] suggested gated trends due to other causes of death. Second, we calculated
that the Coronavac provided partial protection against symptomatic COVID-19 age-specific mortality rates by dividing the numbers of
illness in settings where gamma accounted for 75% and 47% of all weekly deaths from the Mortality Information System by the esti-
infections, respectively, at the time of the study. Yet, there is growing mated population by age group, as described above. Mortality rates
concern that high SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates such as those observed at ages 7079 and 80+ years were then divided by rates for the age
in Brazil in early 2021 will lead to the appearance of new variants of range 09 years in the same week, resulting in mortality rate ratios.
concern as well as increase in the risk of vaccine escape [12]. Formal statistical tests were not performed as all results are based
To evaluate the real-life effectiveness of the vaccination campaign on the full country population, rather than samples. Analyses were
in Brazil, we analyzed time trends in mortality due to COVID-19 using carried out using Stata version 16 (StataCorp, College Station, TX,
a database of over 450,000 registered COVID-19 deaths since the USA).
beginning of the pandemic. We hypothesized that mortality would
fall more rapidly among the elderly, who were the initial target group Ethics approval
of the vaccination campaign, than among younger Brazilians.
All analyses were based on anonymized databases that are avail-
Methods able at the Brazilian Ministry of Health website [6].
Data on COVID-19 deaths were obtained from the Ministry of The funders did not play any role in the preparation of the manu-
Health Mortality Information System [13] including deaths reported script, nor on the decision to publish.
35%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Epidemiological weeks (star�ng January 3, 2021)
Fig. 1. Proportionate mortality of individuals aged 7079 and 80 or more years due to COVID-19 and all other causes, relative to deaths due to the same causes at all ages by epide-
miological weeks, Brazil, 2021.
Results among individuals aged 80+, a finding that is consistent with the lev-
els achieved by week 15. Fig. 1 also shows that proportionate mortal-
From the beginning of the first epidemiological week in 2021 (Jan- ity for individuals aged 7079 years remained at around 25% up to
uary 3) to May 15, 238,414 deaths in the Mortality Information Sys- week 15, when it started to decline sharply. For the same age group,
tem were assigned to COVID-19 and 447,817 to other causes. proportionate mortality due to other causes remained stable at just
Supplementary Table 1 shows the absolute number of COVID-19 over 20% of deaths at any age.
deaths for epidemiological weeks 119 of 2021 (January 3 to May Supplementary Fig. 1 shows that proportionate mortality at ages
15). There was rapid acceleration in deaths from week 9 (early 80+ years fell in all regions of the country. The trend was less marked
March) when the gamma variant became the dominant strain. in the North region (where the Amazon is located) than in the rest of
Results for weeks 1719 (April 25 to May 15) are likely affected by the country. Supplementary Fig. 2 expands the time series by show-
registration delay but remain useful for comparing age-specific pro- ing proportionate mortality based on 453,244 COVID-19 deaths that
portionate mortality and mortality rate ratios. Table 1 does not occurred since the beginning of the pandemic in the country. From
include deaths occurring after epidemiological week 19 (May 16 or May 2020 (when the monthly number of deaths exceeded 15,000) to
later) as these are more markedly affected by delay than earlier January 2021, proportionate mortality at ages 80+ remained between
deaths. 25% and 30%, with a sharp reduction starting in mid-February 2021.
Fig. 1 shows that proportionate COVID-19 mortality of individuals Proportionate mortality at ages 7079 years remained above 20%
aged 80+ years fell rapidly from week 6 onwards, whereas propor- until March 2021, with a substantial decline in AprilMay. Also
tionate mortality due to non-COVID causes remained relatively stable showing data for 2020 and 2021, Supplementary Fig. 3 demonstrates
at just under 30%. Up to May 27, an additional 7,733 deaths had been that the decline in proportionate mortality was observed for men
reported for epidemiological weeks 20 and 21, of which 13.1% were and women, although proportionate mortality for women aged 80+
35
Rate ra�o compared to 0-69 y
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Epidemiological weeks (star�ng January 3, 2021)
Fig. 2. Mortality rate ratios: mortality rates at ages 7079 and 80+ years divided by mortality rate at ages 069 years by epidemiological weeks, Brazil 2021.
100%
90%
Fig. 3. Covid-19 vaccination coverage (first dose) by age group by epidemiological week, Brazil, 2021.
years tended to be higher than for men, likely due to higher life around 2530% since the beginning of the epidemic in early 2020
expectancy of women resulting in fewer deaths in those aged under but is now below 13% in May 2021.
80 years. Estimates of proportionate mortality must be interpreted with
Fig. 2 shows time trends in mortality rate ratios using the age caution. We now describe how we handled potential caveats in these
group 069 years as the reference. The mortality rate ratio for per- analyses.
sons aged 80+ years fell from over 27 in January and early February First, the absolute number of deaths in the elderly may be reduced
to 8 in week 19. The decline in the rate ratio for ages 7079 was due to smaller number of persons at risk, resulting from high mortal-
more gradual, from 13.8 in week 1 to 5.0 in week 19. Mortality rate ity in 2020 due to COVID-19 and other causes. In an estimated popu-
ratios for non-COVID causes remained stable over time. lation of approximately 815 thousand Brazilians aged 90+ years in
Fig. 3 shows vaccine coverage for individuals aged 7079 and 2020, there were approximately 144 thousand deaths in the calendar
80+ years over time. The increase in coverage was consistent with year, of which about 10% were reported as being caused by COVID-
prioritization of older population groups, with 50% coverage 19. To address this potential caveat, our calculations of mortality
reached for individuals aged 80+ years in the first half of February rates for 2021 were based on population estimates at the beginning
and over 80% by the second half, stabilizing at around 95% in of the year from which all-cause deaths had already been deducted.
March. For 7079-year-olds, 50% coverage was reached by week Second, proportionate mortality may be spuriously reduced
11 and 90% coverage by week 19. Coverage among younger age among the elderly if the gamma variant of concern disproportionally
groups was largely restricted to priority groups including health affected younger individuals, either in terms of infection rates or of
workers, indigenous peoples and people living in institutions. In infection-fatality rates. The EPICOVID-19 study has been monitoring
weeks 14, Coronavac accounted for 65.4% of all doses given and prevalence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 through household sur-
AstraZeneca for 29.8% whereas the corresponding percentages for veys in nine large cities in the state of Rio Grande do Sul since April
weeks 1519 were 36.5% and 53.3%. Pfizer/BioNTech (Germany) 2020. In early February 2021, antibody prevalence levels were 9.6%,
and Serum Institute (India) accounted for the remaining doses in 11.3%, 10.0% and 8.3% for unvaccinated individuals aged 1019,
the recent period. 2039, 4059, and 60+ years, respectively (AJD Barros, personal
The downturn in proportionate mortality due to COVID-19 started communication). The state has been strongly affected by the recent
at about the sixth week of 2021. Had the number of deaths among pandemic wave, yet there is no evidence of important age patterns in
individuals aged 80+ years continued to increase at the same rate as antibody prevalence.
deaths among people aged 069 years, one would expect 70,015 Thirdly, our results based on ratios of mortality rates closely mir-
such deaths during the 13-week period from mid-Feb to mid-May. ror the findings from the proportionate mortality analyses, showing
Yet, 32,624 deaths were reported, or 37,401 fewer than expected that the rate ratio for individuals aged 80+ relative to those aged
under the scenario of similar trends as for the 069 years age group. 069 years fell from 13.3 in January to 8.0 in April.
A similar calculation was performed for deaths among 7079-year- Lastly, our analyses of deaths due to causes other than COVID-19
olds, among whom proportionate mortality started to decline around showed that proportionate mortality and mortality rate ratios for the
week 15. Compared to 13,838 deaths in weeks 1519, 20,238 would elderly remained stable over time, thus supporting the specificity of
be expected if mortality behaved similarly to that observed for 069- an impact on COVID-19 deaths.
year-olds. Adding the two estimates, 43,802 deaths may have been Another potential limitation of our analyses is the underreporting
avoided by the decline in mortality among the elderly. of deaths and delays in reporting. Delays are particularly relevant for
estimating mortality rates for recent periods, as only deaths that
Discussion reached the system by May 27 were included. However, proportion-
ate mortality by age groups would only be affected if delays varied
We found evidence that, although dissemination of the gamma systematically with age, which is unlikely. As discussed in the Intro-
variant led to increases in reported COVID-19 death at all ages, the duction, the overall coverage of mortality statistics has been very
proportion of deaths among the elderly started to fall rapidly from high in Brazil for many years, and ill-defined causes represent 5.6% of
the second half of February 2021. This proportion had been stable at all deaths. The mortality database for the present analyses includes
approximately 30% more deaths than the SIVEP-Gripe database on among those aged 70+ years, we are not accounting for lives saved by
hospital admissions and mortality that has been employed in previ- the vaccine among younger age groups e.g., 6069-year-olds - for
ous analyses of COVID-19 deaths in Brazil [18-20]. whom coverage also increased, albeit at a slower rate.
However, there is evidence that the excess mortality during 2020 Although it is not possible to make strong causal arguments on
relative to earlier years was not fully explained by deaths due to the basis of the data available for our analyses, our findings are con-
COVID-19. It is likely that some of such deaths were reported as hav- sistent with the results of efficacy trials for both vaccines, with two
ing been due to other causes or to ill-defined conditions, but it is also observational studies in high-risk groups of health workers, [10,11]
possible that increases in non-COVID-19 deaths were because health and with a population-based test-negative study of individuals aged
services were under stress due to the large COVID-19 case load. 70+ years in Sa~o Paulo State, all of which suggested that vaccination
Unless reporting patterns varied by age or calendar time, this limita- was effective under real-life conditions [26]. Although it is not possi-
tion is unlikely to affect the present results particularly in light of the ble to rule out publication bias, our literature search did not identify
present finding that age patterns in deaths assigned to non-COVID any studies showing lack of effectiveness of the Brazilian vaccination
causes remained stable. campaign, and one would expect that studies showing lack of effec-
The decline in mortality was observed for both sexes. Proportion- tiveness of widely used vaccines would be as likely to be published as
ate mortality at older ages was higher among women than for men, those reporting a positive impact. Regarding generalizability, our
which is compatible with higher case-fatality of younger male adults, findings are consistent with the growing evidence of vaccination
possibly related to comorbidities, given that existing serological sur- impact on cases, hospital admissions and deaths in other countries as
veys do not suggest differences in infection prevalence by sex reported in the lay press [27].
[21,22]. The reductions in proportionate mortality were very similar The main contribution brought by the present analyses is to pro-
across four of the five regions of the country. A decline was also vide large-scale supporting evidence for effectiveness of vaccination
observed in the fifth region (Northern Brazil including the Amazon), in a setting with wide circulation of the gamma variant. Because com-
but proportionate mortality was lower at the beginning of the year pliance with non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social dis-
than in the rest of the country, and the decline started later than in tancing and mask use is limited in most of the country, rapid scaling
the rest of the country. The North region has been badly hit by the up of vaccination remains as the most promising approach for con-
first and second waves of the pandemic, and high prevalence, high trolling the pandemic in a country where over 500,000 lives have
case-fatality, and the limited availability of health services in this already been lost to COVID-19 by July 2021.
region [23] may have led to a larger number of deaths among young
adults. Even before the pandemic, life expectancy at birth in the Funding
North region was the shortest in the country at 72.9 years, compared
to 73.9, 78.3, 78.6 and 75.8 in the Northeast, Southeast, South and CGV and AJDB are funded by the Todos pela Sau
� de (Sa
~o Paulo, Bra-
Center-West, respectively [17]. zil) initiative.
The most likely explanation for the observed reductions in pro-
portionate mortality and in rate ratios for the elderly is the rapid
Declaration of Interest
increase in vaccination coverage in these age groups, as has been
described for other parts of the world [7-9]. The increase in vaccine
The authors declare no competing interest.
coverage preceded the decline in mortality, and the decline at ages
80+ years preceded the decline at ages 7079 years, which is in
Contributors
accordance with the vaccination calendar.
Our results are original in the sense that none of existing popula-
CGV and MCC conceptualized the manuscript, and CGV wrote the
tion-based mortality studies were carried out in a setting where the
first draft. GVAF and AM extracted the database. AJDB and SG ana-
gamma variant is predominant. Recent observational studies in vacci-
lyzed the data. All authors revised the manuscript and collaborated
nated health workers in Manaus and Sa ~o Paulo [10,11] had already
to produce a revised draft. AJDB and GVAF verified the underlying
suggested that Coronavac provided some degree of protection against
data. All authors approved the final version.
symptomatic illness in settings where gamma was prevalent. Corona-
vac accounted for most vaccinations in the 80+ years age group, who
were immunized in January and February, with AstraZeneca vaccine Data sharing
accounting for the majority of recent doses. Individuals who received
the latter are so far protected by a single dose given that the second All data are publicly available on the Brazilian Ministry of Health
dose is provided 12 weeks after the first, whereas the second dose of website [6].
Coronavac has already been administered to a very high proportion
of individuals aged 80+ years [24] as doses are given four weeks Declaration of Competing Interest
apart. The health worker study in Sa ~o Paulo suggested that the num-
ber of cases started to drop after the first Coronavac dose, which is None.
compatible with our findings [11]. This is supported by the results of
a recent mass vaccination trial with Coronavac in the town of Serrana Supplementary materials
(population 27,000) carried out by Instituto Butantan. Following high
coverage with Coronavac in early 2021, reductions of 86% in admis- Supplementary material associated with this article can be found,
sions and 95% in deaths were observed in the town by the end of in the online version, at doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101036.
May [25].
We attempted to provide an approximate estimate of lives saved References
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nature communications
Article https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32524-5
Randomized clinical trials have demonstrated high mRNA vaccine need to collect more data on the effectiveness of vaccines, especially in
efficacy and immunogenicity in children and adolescents1, 2. However, the Omicron period, to guide decision-makers in adopting policies,
data related to the inactivated-virus vaccine (CoronaVac) of efficacy such as mandating mask use in school settings.
and effectiveness (VE) against the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 (Omicron) In Brazil, the children’s vaccination campaign started on January
variant are lacking for children aged 6–11 years. 21, 20225, and CoronaVac has been used for children aged 6–11 years.
Although severe COVID-19 is a rare condition in children3, the On April 15, 2022, vaccine uptake for all vaccines used in children was
widespread distribution of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the increasing 62.9% for the 1st dose and 26.6% for the second dose. For CoronaVac,
number of cases in this population has caused a significant public vaccine uptake was 35.1% for 1st dose and 19.8% for the second dose.
health impact. Besides, children are also susceptible to the multi- To our knowledge, no report estimates vaccine effectiveness for Cor-
system inflammatory syndrome in Children (MIS-C), long-COVID onaVac among children aged 6–11 years during the Omicron period.
syndrome3, 4 and downstream effects of COVID-19, including social Therefore, in this observational study using a nationwide database
isolation and interruption in education4. Therefore, there is an urgent from Brazil, we estimated the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of the
1
Centre of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Instituto Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz), Salvador, Brazil.
2
Biomedical Science Institute, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil. 3Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz), Salvador, Brazil.
4
Faculty of Medicine, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil. 5Public Health Institute, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil. 6Tropical Medicine
Centre, University of Brasília, Fiocruz School of Government, Brasília, Brazil. 7Department of Epidemiology, Social Medicine Institute, State University of Rio de
Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 8Institute of Collective Health Studies, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 9London School of Hygiene and
Tropical Medicine, London, UK. 10These authors jointly supervised this work: Mauricio L. Barreto, Enny S. Paixão. e-mail: pilar.veras@gmail.com
CoronaVac against medically attended symptomatic and severe adolescent populations that have shown a significant reduction in VE
COVID-19 in children aged 6–11 years. against Omicron compared with early pandemic variants8, 9. Although
we have analysed VE at the optimal period of the second dose among
Results children vaccinated with CoronaVac, it is likely to wane quickly,
During the study period, 197,958 tests were performed on Brazilian especially during the Omicron period as it was seen for the adolescent
children aged 6–11 years, with 89,595 (45.3%) cases and 108,363 (54.7%) and children population vaccinated with BNT162b28, 10–13.
controls, with 508 hospital admissions (Fig. S1). The age, sex, geo- This study has strengths and limitations. A strength of this study is
graphic region, socioeconomic position, comorbidities, and hospital the high-quality nationwide database from Brazil. Furthermore, we
admission were similar among the children who tested positive and used Test Negative Design (TND) to minimise bias related to access to
negative (Table S1). For children between 6 and 11 years, VE against health care and health-seeking behaviour. TND’s primary assumption
symptomatic COVID-19 during Omicron circulation was 21.2% (95% CI is that people seeking and getting tested would be influenced by
18.6–23.8) after 13 days post first dose of CoronaVac. After the second similar pressures regardless of vaccination status14. Another strength is
dose, VE reached 30.8% (95% CI 24.2–36.8) at 0–13 days and 39.8% (95% the improbable under ascertainment of vaccination status since the all-
CI 33.7–45.4) at ≥14 days (Table 1; Fig. 1) with most of the individuals vaccines doses administered against COVID-19 in Brazil are recorded in
being tested within 43 days after the second dose (Figure S2). For the national immunisation system (SI-PNI). An important limitation is
hospital admission among children vaccinated with one dose of Cor- the high rates of asymptomatic infection allied to limited testing in
onaVac at ≥14 days, the adjusted VE was 47.1% (95% CI 26.6–62.7). After Brazil among children since the database from the study only accounts
two doses of CoronaVac, the adjusted VE was 82.4% (95% CI 44.2–97.1) for tests from the healthcare system and not community testing. Also,
at 0–13 days and 59.2% (95% CI 11.3–84.5) at ≥14 days (Table 1; Fig. 1). the under ascertainment of previous infection may bias the VE esti-
For ICU admission there were two cases among children vaccinated mates if this condition occurs differentially or non-differentially in the
with two-dose at ≥14 days and the estimated VE for rare events was vaccinated and unvaccinated group15–17.
20.9% (95% CI [−177.2]−85.0) (Table S2). No death events were detec- In summary, our findings indicate low levels of protection against
ted among children vaccinated with two doses. The sensitivity analyses symptomatic infection with the Omicron variant after two doses of
using multiple imputations for missing data in ethinicity (19.4%) pro- vaccination with CoronaVac among children. Hence, in line with pre-
duced similar results to the primary analyses (Table S3). Furthermore, vious studies involving other vaccines and age groups, the vaccination
the analyses excluding the previously infected group generated similar program alone is unlikely to suppress viral circulation. However, this
VE estimates (Table S4). vaccine was 59.2% effective against COVID-19-hospital admissions,
albeit with wide uncertainty intervals. Further studies will be necessary
Discussion to assess the duration of protection, specially against complications of
In this investigation of CoronaVac VE in children 6–11 years of age COVID-19 that occur in the pediatric population, such as MIS-C and
during Omicron variant predominance, we found that two doses of the long-COVID. Effectiveness also must continue to be monitored as new
CoronaVac vaccine were 39.8% effective against medically attended variants arise.
symptomatic COVID-19 and 59.2% effective in preventing hospital
admission COVID-19 cases at ≥14 days after the second dose. The VE Methods
estimated in children 6–11 years in Brazil during the Omicron period Data sources
was much lower than the effectiveness of 75.8% reported for the same Data were obtained from three routinely collected sources: the
demographic in Chile when B.1.617.2 (Delta) was the predominant national surveillance system for RT-PCR and antigen tests for
circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant6. However, our data were comparable COVID-19 infection (e-SUS Notifica); the information system for
with results observed in children aged 3–5 during the Omicron out- severe acute respiratory illness (SIVEP-Gripe). These two datasets
break in the same country, 38.2%; (95% CI, 36.5–39.9) against symp- present notifications from public and private healthcare systems of
tomatic disease and, 64.6% (95% CI, 49.6–75.2) against hospitalisation7. SARS-CoV-2 suspected cases, and hospitalisation cases of SARS,
These findings are also in line with previous studies of VE in adult and respectively. Also, the national immunisation system (SI-PNI).
Table 1 | Odds Ratio and Vaccine Effectiveness for Symptomatic Infection and Hospital admission among children aged 6–11
vaccinated with Coronavac
Symptomatic infection
Vaccination status Positive tests n = 89,595 Negative tests n = 108,363 OR Crude (95% CI) OR adjusted (95% CI) VE (%) (95% CI)
Unvaccinated 72,737 (50.99%) 69,923 (49.01%)
1st dose
0–13 days 7499 (52.22%) 6862 (47.78%) 1.05 (1.02, 1.09) 1.09 (1.05, 1.13) [−9.0 (−13.1, −4.9)]
≥14-2nd dose 8205 (28.89%) 20,193 (71.11%) 0.39 (0.38, 0.40) 0.79 (0.76, 0.81) 21.2 (18.6, 23.8)
2nd dose
0–13 days 630 (12.16%) 4552 (87.84%) 0.13 (0.12, 0.14) 0.69 (0.63, 0.76) 30.8 (24.2, 36.8)
≥14 days 524 (7.12%) 6833 (92.88%) 0.07 (0.07, 0.08) 0.60 (0.55, 0.66) 39.8 (33.7, 45.4)
Hospital admission
Vaccination status Positive tests n = 508 Negative tests n = 108,363 OR Crude (95% CI) OR adjusted (95% CI) VE (%) (95% CI)
Unvaccinated 428 (0.61%) 69,923 (99.39%)
1st dose
0–13 days 30 (0.44%) 6862 (99.56%) 0.71 (0.49, 1.04) 0.73 (0.49, 1.05) 27.0 (−5.2, 51.1)
≥14-2nd dose 42 (0.21%) 20193 (99.79%) 0.34 (0.25, 0.47) 0.53 (0.37, 0.73) 47.1 (26.6, 62.7)
2nd dose
0–13 days 2 (0.04%) 4552 (99.96%) 0.07 (0.02, 0.29) 0.18 (0.03, 0.56) 82.4 (44.2, 97.1)
≥14 days 6 (0.09%) 6833 (99.91%) 0.14 (0.06, 0.32) 0.41 (0.16, 0.89) 59.2 (11.3, 84.5)
100
90 Symptomatic Infection
80 Hospital admission
VE (CI 95) % 70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
14+ 0:13 14+
Fig. 1 | Vaccine Effectiveness for symptomatic infection and hospital admission symptomatic infection and Profile’s likelihood C.I. for hospital admission. Red
among children aged 6–11 vaccinated with CoronaVac. The dots represent the represents adjusted VE against symptomatic infection, and blue against hospital
adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE;1- adjusted odds ratio) estimates (sample admission considering vaccination status (in days post first and second dose). The
n = 197,958), with error bars indicating the corresponding 95% Wald’s C.I. for comparison group was the unvaccinated.
A more detailed description from our database can be found in the comorbidities commonly associated with COVID-19 illness. The odds
Supplementary Materials. In addition, we deterministically linked ratio (OR) comparing the odds of vaccination between cases and
the data using the information provided by DATASUS from the controls and its associated 95% Confidence Interval (CI) were derived
Brazilian Ministry of Health. Dataset quality assessment and linkage using logistic regression. VE was estimated as (1-OR)*100, obtained
details have been described before18–21. from an adjusted model including the described covariates, expressed
as a percentage. All data processing and analyses were performed in R
Study design (version 4.1.1)25, using the Tidyverse package26. Missing values relating
We used a test-negative design, which is a type of case-control study to ethnicity were imputed using multiple imputations, as sensitivity
among the population tested, with controls selected from those who analyses. For these analyses, we used the MICE package (version 1.16)
presented a negative test22. The study population comprised childrens with five imputations27. We conducted a logistic regression for rare
aged 6–11 years with COVID-19-related symptoms in Brazil from Jan- events (ICU admission) using Firth’s bias reduction method (Logistf
uary 21, 2022, to April 15, 2022, with a predominant circulation of the package v. 1.24.1)28.
Omicron variant (>98% of sequenced viruses)23. We linked records of We followed the RECORD reporting guidelines (Table S5)29. The
SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) statistical analysis plan (SAP) was published in https://vigivac.fiocruz.
and antigen tests to national vaccination and clinical records. Partici- br/. The Brazilian National Commission in Research Ethics approved
pants were symptomatic children with a sample collected within ten the research protocol (CONEP approval number 4.921.308) and (CAAE
days of symptom onset. Cases of confirmed infection were those with a registration no. 50199321.9.0000.0040). CONEP waived the require-
positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR or antigen test, and control had a nega- ment for informed consent because we did not have access to identi-
tive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR or antigen test. Additionally, we evaluated fied data. The Brazilian Ministry of Health authorized the use of these
severe COVID-19 (hospital admission), defined as a positive test that data by the Vaccination Digital Vigilance (VigiVac) program under the
occurred within 14 days before the hospitalisation date and up to four data protection law which allows such a consent for public health
days after hospital admission, and death occurring within 28 days after research.
a positive test.
We excluded: (1) individuals older than 11 years and younger than Data availability
6 years; (2) individuals who received vaccines other than CoronaVac; Our statistical analysis plan is available at https://vigivac.fiocruz.br.
and (3) tests among asymptomatic people and tests referring to a Regarding Brazilian data availability, one of the study coordinators
symptom onset date after the notification date; (4) individuals whose (M.B.-N.) signed a term of responsibility on using each database made
time interval between the first and second doses was less than 14 days available by the Ministry of Health (MoH). Each member of the
and received first dose before January 21, 2022; (5) negative test within research team signed a term of confidentiality before accessing the
14 days of a previous negative test; (6) negative test followed by a data. Data was manipulated in a secure computing environment,
positive test up to 7 days; (7) any test after a positive test up to 90 days, ensuring protection against data leakage. The Brazilian National
and (8) tests with missing information on age, sex, city of residence, Commission in Research Ethics approved the research protocol
sample collection, or first symptoms date; (9) any individual which (CONEP approval no. 4.921.308). Our agreement with the MoH for
received the third dose. Our exposure was vaccination status stratified accessing the databases patently denies authorization of access to a
by the time since the last dose on the date of sample collection, third party. Any information for assessing the databases must be
categorised as: unvaccinated and, for the vaccinated, grouped in per- addressed to the Brazilian MoH at https://datasus.saude.gov.br/, and
iods (days) after each dose: first dose (0–13 days, and ≥14 days), second requests can be addressed to datasus@saude.gov.br. In this study, we
dose (0–13, ≥14 days). In addition, the following confounders were used anonymized secondary data following the Brazilian Personal Data
included in the model: age, gender, ethnicity, time (month), region of Protection General Law, but it is vulnerable to re-identification by third
residence, socioeconomic position measured by quintile of depriva- parties as they contain dates of relevant health events regarding the
tion (the Índice Brasileiro de Privação in Brazil)24, previous SARS-CoV-2 same person. To protect the research participants’ privacy, the
infection (between 3–6 months or more six months ago), number of approved Research Protocol (CONEP approval no. 4.921.308)
authorises the dissemination only of aggregated data, such as the data 18. Katikireddi, S. V. et al. Two-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine pro-
presented here. tection against COVID-19 hospital admissions and deaths over time:
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Code availability Brazil. Lancet 399, 25–35 (2022).
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cidacslab/vigivac/tree/main/tnd_02. CoronaVac plus BNT162b2 in Brazil. Nat. Med. 28, 838–843 (2022).
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9. Andrews, N. et al. Covid-19 vaccine effectiveness against the Acknowledgements
Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. N. Engl. J. Med. 386, 1532–1546 (2022). This study is part of the Fiocruz VigiVac programme and the authors
10. Buchan, S. A., Nguyen, L., Wilson, S. E., Kitchen, S. A. & Kwong, J. acknowledge DATASUS for its diligent work in providing the unidentified
Vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against Omicron and Delta Brazilian databases. This study was partially supported by a donation
outcomes in adolescents. medRxiv 2022.04.07.22273319 (2022). from the “Fazer o bem faz bem” program, from JBS, S.A, GLW, MLB, VB
11. Veneti, L. et al. Vaccine effectiveness with BNT162b2 (Comirnaty, and M.B-N. are research fellows from the Brazilian National Research
Pfizer-BioNTtech) vaccine against reported SARS-CoV-2 delta and Council. M.B-N. acknowledges Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do
omicron infection among adolescents, Norway, August 2021 to Estado da Bahia (FAPESB)–Grant PNX0008/2014/ Fapesb, Edital 08/
January 2022. SSRN Electron. J. 2, 1–11 (2022). 2014–Programa de Apoio a Núcleos de Excelência. G.L.W. acknowl-
12. Dorabawila, V. et al. Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine among edges Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado
children 5–11 and 12–17 years in New York after the emergence of do Rio de Janeiro (E-26/210.180/2020). ESP is funded by the Wellcome
the Omicron Variant. medRxiv 2022.02.25.22271454 (2022). Trust [Grant number 213589/Z/18/Z]. E.P.S. is funded by the Wellcome
13. Sacco, C. et al. Articles Effectiveness of BNT162b2 vaccine against Trust [Grant number 213589/Z/18/Z]. The funders had no role in study
SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in children aged 5–11 design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, the report’s
years in Italy: a retrospective analysis of January-April, 2022. Lancet writing, or decision to publish. For the purpose of Open Access, the
2, 1–7 (2022). author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author
14. Vandenbroucke, J. & Pearce, N. Test-negative designs differences Accepted Manuscript (AAM) version arising from this submission.
and commonalities with other case–control studies with “other
patient” controls. Epidemiology 30, 838–844 (2019). Author contributions
15. Dawood, F. S., Porucznik, C. A., Veguilla, V. & Al, E. Incidence rates, E.S.P., M.L.B. and M.B.-N. conceived the idea for the study. All authors
household infection risk, and clinical characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 contributed to the study design, with P.T.V.F., E.S.P., A.G.J. and T.C.-S.
infection among children and adults in Utah and New York City, drafting the statistical analysis plan. P.T.V.F. conducted the statistical
New York. Jama Pediatrics 176, 59–67 (2022). analysis, E.S.P. checked the analysis code. P.T.V.F., J.B.S.J., T.C.-S. and
16. Mensah, A. A. et al. Risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in children: a V.dAO. had access to individual-level data for Brazil and performed data
prospective national surveillance study between January, 2020, linkage. M.B.-N., V.dAO. and M.L.B. organised the data linkage and
and July, 2021, in England. Lancet Child Adolesc. Health 6, secured funding. E.S.P., P.T.V.F. and F.J.O.A. wrote the initial draft of the
384–392 (2022). manuscript. E.S.P., L.R., G.L.W., G.O.P., M.L.B., V.B., N.P., and M.B.-N.
17. Lipsitch, M., Goldstein, E., Ray, G. T. & Fireman, B. Depletion-of- critically revised the manuscript. PTVF and VdAO accessed and verified
susceptibles bias in influenza vaccine waning studies: how to the data and analyses. All authors critically revised the manuscript and
ensure robust results. Epidemiol. Infect. 147, e306 (2019). approved the final version for submission.
Short Communication
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 27 February 2022
Revised 14 April 2022
Accepted 19 April 2022
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.04.039
1201-9712/© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Table 1
Covid-19 IgG positivity according to population characteristics and vaccine receiveda .
n/N IgG positivity (95% CI) n/N IgG positivity (95% CI) n/N IgG positivity (95% CI) n/N IgG positivity (95% CI)
Age range
6–11 years 837/1033 81.0% (78.6%, 83.4%) 25/90 27.8% (18.5%, 37.0%) 792/920 86.1% (83.9%, 88.3%) 20/23 87.0% (73.2%, 100%)
12–18 years 1136/1269 89.5% (87.8%, 91.2%) 7/31 22.6% (7.9%, 37.3%) 505/591 85.4% (82.6%, 88.3%) 624/647 96.4% (95.0%, 97.9%)
Gender
Male 866/1001 86.5% (84.4%, 88.6%) 15/62 24.2% (13.5%, 34.9%) 598/678 88.2% (85.8%, 90.6%) 253/261 96.9% (94.8%, 99.0%)
Female 1107/1301 85.1% (83.2%, 87.0%) 17/59 28.8% (17.3%, 40.4%) 699/833 83.9% (81.4%, 86.4%) 391/409 95.6% (93.6%, 97.6%)
Region
Metropolitan 1301/1459 89.2% (87.6%, 90.8%) 19/72 26.4% (16.2%, 36.6%) 920/1021 90.1% (88.3%, 91.9%) 362/366 98.9% (97.8%, 100%)
Valparaíso 374/461 81.1% (77.6%, 84.7%) 12/36 33.3% (17.9%, 48.7%) 238/292 81.5% (77.1%, 86.0%) 124/133 93.2% (89.0%, 97.5%)
Biobío 298/381 78.2% (74.1%, 82.4%) 1/13 7.7% (0%, 22.2%) 139/197 70.6% (64.2%, 76.9%) 158/171 92.4% (88.4%, 96.4%)
Prev. pos. PCRb 35/45 77.8% (65.6%, 89.9%) 3/6 50.0% (10.0%, 90.0%) 20/27 74.1% (57.5%, 90.6%) 12/12 100% (100%, 100%)
Comorbidities
Obesity 50/56 89.3% (81.2%, 97.4%) 1/6 16.7% (0%, 46.5%) 38/39 97.4% (92.5%, 100%) 11/11 100% (100%, 100%)
Chronic pulmonary 82/94 87.2% (80.5%, 94.0%) 1/4 25.0% (0%, 67.4%) 33/40 82.5% (70.7%, 94.3%) 48/50 96.0% (90.6%, 100%)
disease
Cardiovascular 13/14 92.9% (79.4%, 100%) 0/0 - 6/7 85.7% (59.8%, 100%) 7/7 100% (100%, 100%)
Otherc 8/9 88.9% (68.4%,100%) 0/0 - 0/0 - 8/9 88.9% (68.4%, 100%)
None identified 1820/2129 85.5% (84.0%, 87.0%) 30/111 27.0% (18.8%, 35.3%) 1220/1425 85.6% (83.8%, 87.4%) 570/593 96.1% (94.6%, 97.7%)
Total 1973/2302 85.7% (84.3%, 87.1%) 32/121 26.4% (18.6%, 34.3%) 1297/1511 85.8% (84.1%, 87.6%) 644/670 96.1% (94.7%, 97.6%)
Fig. 1. Seropositivity one to four weeks after first dose (light blue-shaded region) or after second dose for recipients of Sinovac or Pfizer vaccines with no prior positive PCR
result.
Results weeks after the second dose, with figures above 90% by 20 weeks
after full vaccination (Fig. 1). In 1506 children receiving Sinovac,
As of December 24, 2021, a total of 2302 children have been seropositivity was 91.8 % three to four weeks after the second dose,
included, as described in Table 1. Whereas most Sinovac recipi- with a declining trend thereafter (Fig. 1).
ents were aged 6–11 years (920), Pfizer/BioNTech recipients were
almost exclusively aged 12–18 years (647). IgG positivity was sig- Discussion
nificantly higher in Pfizer than in Sinovac recipients for all study
variables except comorbidities (Table 1). In 670 children receiving In school-aged Chilean children, SARS-CoV-2 IgG seropositiv-
the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, seropositivity was 91.7% three to four ity surpassed 90% two weeks after the administration of a sec-
90
J.P. Torres, D. Sauré, L.J. Basso et al. International Journal of Infectious Diseases 121 (2022) 89–91
ond dose in the case of the inactivated vaccine (Sinovac), and up Funding source
to 10 weeks after administering a second dose in the case of the
mRNA vaccine (Pfizer/BioNTech). Compared with the adult pop- This study was supported by funds provided by the Ministerio
ulation (Sauré et al., 2022), children showed a slightly weaker de Salud, Gobierno de Chile. The Ministerio de Salud had no role
response to the mRNA vaccine and a slightly stronger response in designing the study, provided the lateral flow tests used in the
to the inactivated vaccine in terms of the overall proportion of study, and funded filed work.
seropositive individuals in the short-term period after vaccina-
tion. Nevertheless, in the case of adults, seropositivity in the in- Acknowledgments
activated vaccine recipients declines over time, suggesting that a
booster dose will most likely be required for children; however, All authors declare no conflict of interest. This work was par-
by 22–24 weeks after immunization, we reported a small sam- tially supported by a grant from the Instituto Sistemas Comple-
ple size for the inactivated vaccine. LFTs do not differentiate IgG jos de Ingeniería (ANID PIA AFB 180 0 03). Field work and lateral
responses due to vaccination vs infection, which may have in- flow tests were funded by the Subsecretaría de Redes Asistenciales,
fluenced some of the responses observed; positivity in a small Ministerio de Salud, Chile. We appreciate the important support
number of non-vaccinated children reached 27%. Self-reporting of all the personnel of the Ministry of Education of Chile in each
of child characteristics reduces robustness for the comparison of school of the study.
comorbidities.
Chile was one of the first Western countries to begin vacci- References
nating children (Ministerio de Salud 2021), a decision that may
Committee on Infectious Diseases. COVID-19 vaccines in children and adolescents.
be relevant given the scenario of circulation of more transmissi- Pediatrics 2022;149 [E-pub ahead of print].
ble variants. With the Omicron variant, SARS-CoV-2 infections and CTK Biotech.com. Instructions for users, 2021, https://drive.google.com/file/d/
hospitalizations reached high levels in children, but severe clini- 1ATIHN4yKm_X9GPgJZER46e9YSJZfuO6R/view?usp=sharing; (accessed Decem-
ber 10th, 2021).
cal outcomes were less frequent than with the Delta variant in Fore HH. A wake-up call: COVID-19 and its impact on children’s health and wellbe-
this population (Wang et al., 2022). The impact of the COVID-19 ing. Lancet Glob Health 2020;8:e861–2.
vaccines on protection against infection and especially severe dis- Frenck Jr RW, Klein NP, Kitchin N, Gurtman A, Absalon J, Lockhart S, et al. Safety,
immunogenicity, and efficacy of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine in adolescents.
ease has yet to be elucidated in children. However, immunization
N Engl J Med 2021;385:239–50.
of children could have an impact on both direct and indirect ef- Han B, Song Y, Li C, Yang W, Ma Q, Jiang Z, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immuno-
fects of SARS-CoV-2 infection, favoring school attendance, men- genicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in healthy children
and adolescents: a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial.
tal health and cognitive learning, especially in vulnerable children
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(Fore, 2020). Ministerio de Salud. Chile 2021, https://www.minsal.cl/autoridades-dan-
inicio- a- la- vacunacion- contra- el- covid- 19- en- ninos- desde- los- 6- anos/; (ac-
cessed January 3rd, 2022)- in spanish.
Ministerio de Salud. Chile 2022. Departamento de Estadísticas e Información de
Declaration of Competing Interest Salud, https://informesdeis.minsal.cl/SASVisualAnalytics/?reportUri=%2Freports%
2Freports%2F9037e283- 1278- 422c- 84c4- 16e42a7026c8§ionIndex=
The authors have no conflicts of interest relevant to this article 1&sso_guest=true&sas-welcome=false; (accessed February 19, 2022).
Sauré D, O’Ryan M, Torres JP, Zuñiga M, Santelices E, Basso LJ. Dynamic IgG seropos-
to disclose. itivity after rollout of CoronaVac and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines in Chile: a
sentinel surveillance study. Lancet Infect Dis 2022;22:56–63.
Walter EB, Talaat KR, Sabharwal C, Gurtman A, Lockhart S, Paulsen GC, et al. Evalu-
Ethical approval ation of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine in children 5 to 11 years of age. N Engl
J Med 2022;386:35–46.
Wang L, Berger NA, Kaelber DC, Davis PB, Volkow ND, Xu R. Incidence rates and
This study was approved by the Ethics Committee for Clinical clinical outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection with the omicron and Delta variants
Investigation in Humans from the Faculty of Medicine, Universidad in children younger than 5 years in the US. JAMA Pediatr 2022 [E-pub ahead of
de Chile. print].
91
Mayo 2022
Santiago, Chile
Distribución de ESAVI totales, por laboratorio fabricante y número de dosis administradas ...... 8
Distribución de ESAVI reportados para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech, según sexo ......11
Manifestaciones más frecuentes de los ESAVI No serios reportados para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2
Pfizer-BioNTech ............................................................................................................12
Manifestaciones más frecuentes de los ESAVI Serios reportados para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2
Pfizer-BioNTech ............................................................................................................13
Manifestaciones más frecuentes de los ESAVI No serios, reportados para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2
Sinovac ........................................................................................................................21
Manifestaciones más frecuentes de los ESAVI Serios, reportados para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2
Sinovac ........................................................................................................................22
Conclusiones ....................................................................................................................28
Referencias......................................................................................................................29
Tabla 1. Vacunas SARS-CoV-2 autorizadas y en uso a la fecha en Chile en población menor de 18 años.
Tabla 2. Número de dosis administradas de vacunas SARS-CoV-2 distribuidas por laboratorio fabricante, periodo 01 marzo
de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022 en menores de 18 años.
Laboratorio fabricante
Vacuna SARS-CoV-2, 1° dosis 2° dosis 1°Refuerzo 2°Refuerzo Total
Plataforma
Pfizer-BioNTech,
779.619 739.701 552.523 151 2.071.994
ARN mensajero
Sinovac,
2.585.174 2.289.215 207 3 4.874.599
Inactivada
Total 3.364.793 3.028.916 552.730 154 6.946.593
El presente informe abarca los datos recogidos de las notificaciones de ESAVI de las vacunas SARS-
CoV-2 recibidas en el SDFV en el periodo definido anteriormente. Es importante señalar que estas
notificaciones fueron recopiladas mediante el método de vigilancia pasiva e informadas por
profesionales de la salud. Los ESAVI no se pueden considerar relacionados a las vacunas, hasta que
no se confirme una relación causal con su administración. Esta evaluación se lleva a cabo de manera
rutinaria por la sección Farmacovigilancia de Vacunas del SDFV, así como por el equipo de
Farmacovigilancia de Vacunas del SDFV. Este equipo está compuesto por un Comité de Expertos
Externos al ISP, integrantes del Programa Nacional de Inmunizaciones del MINSAL, y profesionales
del SDFV.
2Las notificaciones que se clasifican como serias son aquellas que amenazan la vida, causan hospitalización o
la prolongan, resultan en incapacidad persistente o permanente, o resultan en la muerte del paciente.
1 , 92
20,00
Tasa por cada 100.0000 dosis administradas
2 , 08
18,00
1 , 59
16,00
2 , 30
14,00
1 , 31
12,00
1 , 09
10,00
1 6 ,67
0 , 79
8,00
1 3 ,27
1 2 ,92
6,00 1 0 ,41
9 , 35
6 , 70
4,00
4 , 24
2,00
0,00
Total 1° dosis 2° dosis 1° Total 1° dosis 2° dosis
refuerzo
Pfizer-BioNTech Sinovac
Nombre vacuna
Figura 1.Tasa de notificaciones por 100.000 dosis administradas, según laboratorio fabricante y número de dosis
administrada, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años.
Nota: Se excluyen las notificaciones que no indicaron el número de dosis administrada ni el laboratorio fabricante de la vacuna.
9 , 45
12-17 años
1 0 ,58
Sinovac
Nombre vacuna
1 0 ,76
03-11 años
1 1 ,06
BioNTech
Pfizer-
1 4 ,57
12-17 años
1 5 ,46
0,00 2,00 4,00 6,00 8,00 10,00 12,00 14,00 16,00 18,00
Tasa por cada 100.000 dosis administradas
Figura 2. Distribución de notificaciones vacunas SARS CoV-2 según sexo y grupo etario, por laboratorio fabricante, periodo
01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
10
En la figura 3, se observan las tasas de notificación según sexo para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2 Pfizer-
BioNTech, en el grupo etario de 12 a 17 años. Para el sexo femenino se recibieron un total de 161
notificaciones, lo que corresponde al 51,27% de los reportes para esta vacuna, es decir, una tasa de
15,46 por cada 100.000 dosis administradas. Para el sexo masculino se recibieron un total de 150
notificaciones, lo que corresponde al 47,77% de los reportes, es decir, una tasa de 14,57 por cada
100.000 dosis administradas. Las notificaciones que no señalaron el sexo del individuo
corresponden al 0,96% del total de reportes para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech.
11
18,00
15,46
16,00 14,57
a d ministradas
14,00
12,00
10,00
8,00
6,00
4,00
2,00
0,00
12-17 años
G r upo e tario
Tasa de notificación de ESAVI cada 100.000 dosis administradas
sexo femenino
Tasa de notificación de ESAVI cada 100.000 dosis administradas
sexo masculino
Figura 3. Tasa de notificación de ESAVI según sexo y grupo etario para la vacuna SARS -CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech, periodo 01
marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
12
Fiebre 2,17
Prurito 2,03
Náuseas 1,69
Vómitos 1,35
Malestar general 1,30
Urticaria 1,06
Mialgia 0,97
Sincope 0,92
Figura 4. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas No serias, más frecuentemente reportadas para la vacuna SARS-
CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*zona de inyección, reacción considera: zona de inyección, dolor; zona de inyección, eritema; zona de inyección, hinchazón; zona de
inyección, inflamación; zona de inyección, calentamiento; zona de inyección, sangrado; zona de inyección, endurecimiento; zon a de
inyección, prurito; zona de inyección, absceso
Manifestaciones más frecuentes de los ESAVI Serios reportados para la vacuna SARS-
CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech
En la figura 5, se observa que la manifestación seria más frecuente corresponde a miocarditis, con
una tasa de 0,77 por cada 100.000 dosis administradas. Se han presentado 16 casos en el periodo
evaluado, en adolescentes entre 13 a 17 años. En segundo lugar, se encuentran las manifestaciones
pericarditis y reacción anafiláctica, con 0,24 notificaciones por cada 100.000 dosis administradas.
Con una tasa de 0,14 por cada 100.000 dosis administradas, en tercer lugar, se encuentra la
manifestación convulsiones.
13
También es importante mencionar que se presentaron, con una tasa de 0,05 por cada 100.000 dosis
administradas, casos de cianosis, hipertonía, nefritis e insuficiencia cardiaca. Estos no se informaron
en el gráfico debido a que no se ubican dentro de las 10 primeras manifestaciones más frecuentes.
14
Pericarditis 0,24
**Convulsiones 0,14
Taquicardia 0,10
Síndrome de respuesta inflamatoria… 0,10
Radiculitis lumbosacra 0,05
Taquicardia paroxística 0,05
Hepatitis atoinmune 0,05
Shock 0,05
0,000,100,200,300,400,500,600,700,800,90
Tasa por cada 100.000 dosis administradas
Figura 5. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas serias más frecuentemente reportadas, para la vacuna SARS -
CoV-2 Pfizer-BioNTech periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*miocarditis considera: miocarditis y miopericarditis. ** convulsiones considera: convulsiones, convulsiones focales y convulsiones
tónico/clónicas
15
Figura 6. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas de especial interés reportadas para la vacuna SARS -CoV-2 Pfizer-
BioNTech, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*miocarditis considera: miocarditis y miopericarditis. **convulsiones considera: convulsiones, convulsiones focales y convulsiones
tónico/clónicas. ***tromboembolismo considera: trombosis, tromboembolismo y embolismo.
16
A nivel general, los datos muestran que todas las manifestaciones presentadas más frecuentemente
con la primera dosis, disminuyeron con la segunda dosis y con la dosis de 1° refuerzo.
17
Nota aclaratoria tabla 6: se han recibido en el SDFV, 3 notificaciones no serias para esta vacuna
administrada como 2° refuerzo, administrándose, a la fecha de corte de este informe, 151 dosis de
2° refuerzo, por lo que las tasas calculadas no resultan representativas y por ende no pueden ser
comparadas con las del esquema primario de vacunación, por ello no se incluyen en la tabla anterior.
18
Para todos los eventos serios descritos, el ISP ha realizado seguimiento de su evolución clínica y
recopilación de antecedentes, con el objetivo de contar con toda la información necesaria que
permita evaluar los casos y detectar si existieron antecedentes previos, así como factores de riesgo
y/o causas alternativas que pudieran influir en la aparición del evento observado.
Tabla 7. Comparación de las tasas de notificación de los ESAVI Serios más frecuentes, de acuerdo al número de dosis para
la vacuna SARS-Cov-2 Pfizer-BioNTech, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
19
20
8,00
6,00
4,00
2,00
0,00
03-11 años 12-17 años
G r upo e tario
Tasa de notificación de ESAVI cada 100.000 dosis administradas
sexo femenino
Tasa de notificación de ESAVI cada 100.000 dosis administradas
sexo masculino
Figura 7. Tasa de notificación de ESAVI según sexo y grupo etario para la vacuna SARS-CoV-2 Sinovac, periodo 01 marzo
de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
21
Vómitos 1,54
Urticaria 1,42
Fiebre 1,07
Naúseas 1,05
Sincope 0,86
Malestar general 0,74
Erupción cutanea 0,66
Figura 8. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas no serias más frecuentemente reportadas para la vacuna SARS -
CoV-2 Sinovac, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*zona de inyección reacción considera: zona de inyección, dolor; zona de inyección, eritema; zona de inyección, hinchazón.
22
Para todos los eventos serios descritos, el ISP ha realizado seguimiento de su evolución clínica y
recopilación de antecedentes, con el objetivo de contar con toda la información necesaria que
permita evaluar los casos y detectar si existieron antecedentes previos, factores de riesgo y/o causas
alternativas que pudieran influir en la aparición del evento observado.
**Tromboembolismo 0,06
Sindrome de Guillain-Barré 0,06
Epilepsia 0,04
Trombocitopenia 0,04
Parálisis flácida 0,04
Nefritis intersticial 0,04
Púrpura trombocitopenica 0,04
Accidente cerebrovascular 0,02
Figura 9. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas serias más frecuentemente reportadas, para la vacuna SARS -
CoV-2 Sinovac periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*convulsiones considera: convulsiones, convulsiones focales y convulsiones tónico/clónicas, **tromboembolismo considera: trombosis,
tromboembolismo y embolismo
23
Vasculitis 0,02
Accidente cerebrovascular 0,02
Parálisis de Bell 0,02
Pericarditis 0,02
***Miocarditis 0,02
Vasculitis leucocitoclástica 0,00
Paro cardiaco 0,00
Infarto de miocardio 0,00
Coagulación, trastorno 0,00
Ageusia 0,00
Anosmia 0,00
Figura 10. Tasa de notificación de manifestaciones clínicas de especial interés, reportadas para la vacuna SARS -CoV-2
Sinovac periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
*convulsiones considera: convulsiones, convulsiones focales y convulsiones tónico/clónicas. **tromboembolismo considera: trombosis,
Tromboembolismo y embolismo. ***miocarditis considera: miocarditis y miopericarditis
24
Tabla 9. Comparación de las tasas de notificación de los ESAVI No serios más frecuentes, de acuerdo al número de dosis
para la vacuna SARS-Cov-2 Sinovac, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18 años
25
Tabla 10. Comparación de las tasas de notificación de los ESAVI Serios más frecuentes, de acuerdo al número de dosis del
esquema primario para la vacuna SARS-Cov-2 Sinovac, periodo 01 marzo de 2021 a 26 febrero de 2022, menores de 18
años
26
La información presentada en este informe se basa en las notificaciones que fueron reportadas
al SDFV de manera espontánea, y no sobre el número total de personas que experimentan un
evento adverso en el país, ya que se asume que no se informan todos los eventos ocurridos en
la población, dado los sesgos propios del sistema de vigilancia pasiva.
27
28
29
1034 | CORONAVAC | O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA
O que a ciência comprova
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濆澳 Xiangshi Wang 1,†, Hailing Chang 1,†, He Tian 1,†, Jingjing Li 1, Zhongqiu Wei 1, Yixue Wang
濇澳 2
, Aimei Xia1, Yanling Ge1, Jiali Wang 1, Gongbao Liu 3, Jiehao Cai 1, Jianshe Wang 1, Qirong
濉澳
濊澳 1
Department of infectious diseases, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National
濌澳 2
Department of intensive care medicine, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National
濄濄澳 3
Department of medical affairs, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's
濄濆澳 4
Department of Hematology, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National Children's
濄濈澳 † Xiangshi Wang, Hailing Chang and He Tian equally contributed to this paper.
濄濊澳 Yanfeng Zhu, MD, PhD, Department of Infectious Diseases, Children’s Hospital of Fudan
濄濋澳 University, 399 Wanyuan Road, Shanghai 201102, China. E-mail: smilingyf@sina.com, Tel:
濅濃澳 Xiaowen Zhai, MD, PhD, Department of Hematology, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University,
濅濄澳 399 Wanyuan Road, Shanghai 201102, China. E-mail: zhaixiaowendy@163.com, Tel: 86-021-
濅濆澳 Mei Zeng, MD, PhD, Department of Infectious Diseases, Children’s Hospital of Fudan
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
濄澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濅濇澳 University, 399 Wanyuan Road, Shanghai 201102, China. E-mail: zengmeigao@163.com, Tel:
濅濉澳
濅濊澳 Abstract
濅濋澳 Objectives: To understand the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of pediatric SARS-CoV-2
濅濌澳 infection during the early stage of Omicron variant outbreak in Shanghai.
濆濃澳 Methods: This study included local COVID-19 cases <18 years in Shanghai referred to the exclusively
濆濄澳 designated hospital by the end of March 2022 since emergence of Omicron epidemic. Clinical data,
濆濅澳 epidemiological exposure and COVID-19 vaccination status were collected. Relative risks (RR) were
濆濆澳 calculated to assess the effect of vaccination on symptomatic infection and febrile disease.
濆濇澳 Results: A total of 376 pediatric cases of COVID-19 (median age:6.0±4.2 years) were referred to the
濆濈澳 designated hospital during the period of March 7-31, including 257 (68.4%) symptomatic cases and 119
濆濉澳 (31.6%) asymptomatic cases. Of the 307 (81.6%) children;3 years eligible for COVID-19 vaccination,
濆濊澳 110 (40.4%) received 2-dose vaccines and 16 (4.0%) received 1-dose vaccine. The median interval
濆濋澳 between 2-dose vaccination and infection was 3.5 (IQR: 3, 4.5) months (16 days-7 months). Two-dose
濆濌澳 COVID-19 vaccination reduced the risks of symptomatic infection and febrile disease by 35% (RR 0.65,
濇濃澳 95% CI:0.53-0.79) and 33% (RR 0.64, 95% CI: 0.51-0.81). Two hundred and sixteen (83.4%)
濇濄澳 symptomatic cases had fever (mean duration: 1.7±1.0.8 days), 104 (40.2%) had cough, 16.4% had
濇濅澳 transient leukopenia; 307 (81.6%) had an epidemiological exposure in household (69.1%), school (21.8%)
濇濇澳 Conclusion: The surge of pediatric COVID-19 cases and multiple transmission model reflect wide
濇濈澳 dissemination of Omicron variant in the community. Asymptomatic infection is common among
濅澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濇濉澳 Omicron-infected children. COVID-19 vaccination can offer protection against symptomatic infection
濆澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濇濋澳 Introduction
濇濌澳 The COVID-19 pandemic has caused devastation to the world’s population, resulting in more than
濈濃澳 6 million deaths as of April 20, 2022. SARS-CoV-2 infection in most pediatric cases is mild as compared
濈濄澳 to adults and the direct effect on child health is limited [1]. However, the indirect impacts on child medical
濈濅澳 care, education and mental health are considerable owing to lockdown, disruption of essential health
濈濆澳 service delivery, prolonged school closure and isolation [2,3]. The continuous genetic evolution of
濈濇澳 SARS-CoV-2 virus results in the emergence of multiple new variants of concern (VOC), which are
濈濈澳 associated with enhanced transmissibility or increased virulence and immune escape [4]. The Omicron
濈濉澳 variant, which was detected in November 2021 and almost replaced Delta variant by the end of January
濈濊澳 2022, has led to the fifth global wave of COVID-19 epidemic [5]. The significant rise of pediatric
濈濋澳 infection was reported in the United States with children aged <18 years, representing 17.0%-19.0% of
濈濌澳 all cases during the Omicron period since late December 2021 [6,7].
濉濃澳 Pediatric COVID-19 cases only accounted for a small proportion of infection in the early stages of
濉濄澳 the COVID-19 pandemic when many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions and strict
濉濅澳 containment measures [8-12]. However, the incidence rate of COVID-19 in children showed a rising
濉濆澳 trend in the epidemic countries following suspension of lockdown and school reopening [12,13]. After
濉濇澳 the large-scale epidemic in early 2020, China entered a normalization stage of prevention and control,
濉濈澳 and massive COVID-19 vaccination campaign was launched nationwide in 2021. Inactivated SARS-
濉濉澳 CoV-2 vaccine BBIBP-CorV (by Sinopharm) and CoronaVac (by Sinovac) were approved for emergency
濉濊澳 use in children 3-17 years on June 2021 and COVID-19 vaccination program was initiated in pediatric
濉濋澳 population since late July 2021 across China. From May 2020, local pediatric COVID-19 infection linked
濉濌澳 to sporadic and cluster transmission were occasionally reported in China until the community outbreak
濇澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濊濃澳 of Omicron variant appeared in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region since January 6, 2022 and
濊濄澳 subsequently in Shanghai since early March 2020 [14]. Omicron variant spread rapidly in Shanghai by
濊濅澳 the end of March and led to a surge of pediatric COVID-19 cases citywide. Here, we describe
濊濆澳 epidemiological and clinical characteristic of Omicron variant infections in Shanghainese children during
濊濈澳
濊濊澳 Subject
濊濋澳 In this study, we included local COVID-19 cases <18 years of age who were notified in Shanghai
濊濌澳 and admitted to the exclusively designated hospital in Shanghai by the end of March 2022. Prior to 28
濋濃澳 March, all pediatric COVID-19 cases notified in Shanghai were referred to the designated hospital for
濋濄澳 concentrating management and isolation. Since 28 March when a large number of cases were confirmed
濋濅澳 by massive screening test, most of asymptomatic and mild pediatric cases aged 5-17 years were almost
濋濆澳 sent to Fangcang shelter hospitals. All confirmed cases irrespective of symptoms are required for in-
濋濇澳 hospital isolation and are discharged if the cycle threshold (Ct) value for the viral nucleic acid is great
濋濈澳 than 35 on PCR test for the two consecutive respiratory samples taken 24-hour apart [15].
濋濊澳 All COVID19 cases were laboratory-confirmed by the Shanghai CDC reference laboratory using
濋濋澳 real-time RT-PCR commercial kit. The Ct value <40 was defined as a positive nucleic acid amplification
濋濌澳 test. COVID-19 cases were classified as asymptomatic and symptomatic cases. Symptomatic cases were
濌濃澳 classified as mild, moderate and severe cases. An asymptomatic case is defined as a person with a positive
濌濄澳 nucleic acid test but without any clinical symptom of COVID-19. A confirmed symptomatic case is
濈澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濌濅澳 defined as a person presenting clinical signs and symptoms of COVID-19. COVID-19 disease severity
濌濆澳 classification is based on the WHO guidance [16]. Pneumonia was diagnosed based on clinical signs
濌濇澳 (fever and/or cough accompanying with one of the following signs: moist rales on auscultation, difficulty
濌濈澳 breathing/dyspnoea, fast breathing, chest indrawing), radiological findings compatible with pneumonia.
濌濊澳 Data were collected via a face-to-face interview with parents or teenagers and electronic medical
濌濋澳 chart, including: demographic information, epidemiological exposure setting, COVID-19 vaccination
濌濌澳 status on dose and date, clinical symptoms, laboratory findings and chest imaging if examined, treatment
濄濃濃澳 and outcome. Informed consent from parents was not required by the ethics committee because all data
濄濃濆澳 Data was entered into Excel version 2016 (Microsoft, Redmond, Washington) for analysis and the
濄濃濇澳 statistical analysis was preformed using SPSS (IBM Statistic 23.0). Categorical variables are described
濄濃濈澳 as absolute numbers and percentage. Continuous variables with normal distribution are expressed as
濄濃濉澳 mean ± standard deviation. Median (25% to 75% interquartile range (IQR) are used when the frequency
濄濃濊澳 distributions were skewed. Differences between groups are compared using Mann-Whitney U-test and
濄濃濋澳 Student’s t-test as appropriate. A difference with P <0.05 is considered to be statistically significant.
濄濃濌澳 Relative risks (RR) were calculated using proportion of symptomatic infection and febrile cases by
濄濄濃澳 vaccination status, with the referent group being ≥2-dose vaccinees.
濄濄濄澳 Results
濄濄濆澳 The first local pediatric case was notified on March 2022 and increased remarkably from 14 March
濄濄濇澳 onwards (as shown in Figure 1). As of 31 March, a total of 376 pediatric cases of COVID-19 were
濉澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濄濄濈澳 referred to the exclusively designated hospital. The ratio of male-to-female was 1.1 (206/170). The 376
濄濄濉澳 cases were aged 11 days-17 years with the median age of 5.0 years (IQR: 2, 9) and the mean age of
濄濄濊澳 6.0±4.2 years: 28 (7.4%) cases in age group <1 year, 76 (20.2%) cases in age group 1-2 years, 94 (25.0%)
濄濄濋澳 cases in age group 3-5 years, 134 (35.6%) cases in age group 6-11 years, and 44 (11.7%) cases in age
濄濅濄澳 Three hundred and seven (81.6%) cases had a clear history of exposure, of whom, 213 (69.1%)
濄濅濅澳 had a close contact with confirmed adult cases in household, 67 (21.8%) had a clear contact with
濄濅濆澳 confirmed child cases in school, and 27 (8.8%) had an epidemiological linkage to residential area
濄濅濇澳 where cluster cases of COVID-19 were reported. As shown in Figure 2, the first child case acquired
濄濅濈澳 infection in family, soon after, child cases linked to possible community transmission were found, who
濄濅濋澳 A total of 126 had received at least one dose of an inactivated COVID-19 vaccine, accounting for
濄濅濌澳 33.5% of the total 376 pediatric cases and 46.3% of the 272 pediatric cases aged ≥3 years eligible for
濄濆濃澳 COVID-19 vaccination in China. Of the 272 vaccine-eligible children, 146 (53.6%) were unvaccinated,
濄濆濄澳 110 (40.4%) had received 2 doses and 16 (4.0%) had received 1 dose. Among the 94 preschool children
濄濆濅澳 aged 3-5 years, the proportions of 1 dose and 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccination were 3.2% (3/94) and
濄濆濆澳 5.3% (5/94), respectively. Among the 178 school children aged 6-17 years, the proportions of 1 dose and
濄濆濇澳 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccination were 7.3% (13/174) and 59.0% (105/174), respectively. Overall, the
濄濆濈澳 interval between vaccination and breakthrough infection ranged from 16 days to 7 months (median: 3.5
濊澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濄濆濊澳 As shown in table 1, 2-dose COVID-19 vaccination reduced the risk of symptomatic infection and
濄濆濋澳 febrile disease by 35% (0.65, 95% CI: 0.53-0.79) and by 36% (RR 0.64, 95% CI: 0.51-0.81) in children
濄濆濌澳 0-17 years, by 29% (RR 0.71, 95% CI: 0.57-0.88) and 29% (RR 0.71, 95% CI: 0.55-0.92) in children 3-
濄濇濃澳 17 years eligible for COVID-19 vaccine. However, one-dose vaccination could not significantly decrease
濄濇濆澳 Of the 376 cases, 257 (68.4%) presented symptoms and 119 (31.6%) had no symptoms before and
濄濇濇澳 duration hospitalization. Of the 257 symptomatic cases, 216 (83.4%) experienced fever (axillary
濄濇濈澳 temperature >37.5°C) with a mean fever spike of 38.9± 0.6°C (range: 37.6-41°C) and a mean fever
濄濇濉澳 duration of 1.7±1.0.8 days (range: 0.5-4 days), 104 (40.2%) presented cough, 28 (10.8%) self-reported
濄濇濊澳 sore throat, 13 (5.0%) self-reported stuffy nose, 6 (2.3%) had runny nose, 11 (4.2%) had nausea or
濄濇濋澳 vomiting or diarrhea, 2 (0.8%) self-reported transient loss of taste and smell. No severe case was
濄濇濌澳 diagnosed. Twenty five cases had chest CT performed due to fever >38.5°C lasting for 3 days or cough
濄濈濃澳 worsening after admission or routine examination prior to the referral. The chest images showed patchy
濄濈濄澳 infiltrates or ground-glass opacity in 4 cases and one of them was right lung lobar pneumonia caused by
濄濈濅澳 Mycoplasma pneumoniae. Six (1.6%) cases had comorbidity including brain tumor, febrile seizure,
濄濈濆澳 psychomotor retardation, hemophilia, Henoch-Schonlein purpura, and cardiac arrhythmia in each.
濄濈濇澳 As shown in table 2, 22.8% (57/250) of unvaccinated cases were asymptomatic while 50.0%
濄濈濈澳 (55/110) of 2-dose vaccinated cases were asymptomatic (P=0.000); 65.2% (163/250) of unvaccinated
濄濈濉澳 cases were febrile while 41.8%% (46/110) of 2-dose vaccinated cases were febrile (P=0.000).
濄濈濊澳 Symptomatic infection was significantly frequently seen in the age group <3 years than in the age group
濄濈濋澳 3-5 years (P=0.003) and 6-17 years (P=0.000). Fever was significantly frequently seen in the age group
濋澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濄濈濌澳 3-5 years than in the age group <3 years (P=0.000) and 6-17 years (P=0.005).
濄濉濃澳 Of the 225 case who had complete peripheral blood cell count tested, 37 (16.4%) had white blood
濄濉濄澳 cell (WBC) count <4×109/L, 173 (76.9%) had WBC count 4-9×109/L, 13 (5.8%) had WBC count 10-
濄濉濅澳 14×109/L and 2 (7.1%) had WBC count ≥15×10 9/L. The WBC count ranged from 1.9×10 9/L to
濄濉濆澳 15.5×109/L. No thrombopenia was observed. Of the 187 cases who had peripheral blood C-reactive
濄濉濇澳 protein (CRP) tested, 178 (95.2%) had CRP <8 mg/L, 8 (4.3%) had CRP >8 mg/L (range: 8.8-35.8 mg/L)
濄濉濈澳 and 1 (0.5%) had CRP 56 mg/L who had co-infection with mycoplasma pneumoniae and developed
濄濉濉澳 typical lobar pneumonia in right lung. Of the 196 cases who had serum biochemical markers and 8 (4.1%)
濄濉濋澳 For symptomatic cases, Ibuprofen and or Chinese traditional medicines were prescribed depending
濄濉濌澳 on the personalized condition and medication compliance. Only one case who had a clear diagnosis of
濄濊濃澳 mycoplasma pneumonia was prescribed antibiotics. All cases were discharged when the Ct value of the
濄濊濄澳 nucleic acid of SARS-CoV-2 virus reached >35. The average duration of Ct value of the nucleic acid of
濄濊濅澳 SARS-CoV-2 virus >35 since admission was 11.7±3.7days (range: 3-25 days; symptomatic verse
濄濊濇澳
濄濊濈澳 Discussion
濄濊濉澳 This study first presents the epidemiological and clinical profiles of Omicron variant infection in
濄濊濊澳 localized children during the early phase of outbreak in Shanghai. As of 31 March 2022, all pediatric
濄濊濋澳 COVID-19 cases were mild (68.4%) or asymptomatic (31.6%). However, a few of severe pediatric cases
濄濊濌澳 were reported during the period of COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan in early 2020 [17]. Moreover, the
濄濋濃澳 proportion of asymptomatic cases was 2-time more than that seen in the Wuhan outbreak. We reason that
濌澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濄濋濄澳 high coverage of COVID-19 vaccination among Shanghainese children is very likely to lower the risk of
濄濋濅澳 severe Omicron infection-associated disease. The mass COVID-19 vaccination roll-out among children
濄濋濆澳 3-17 years started between Mid-Aug 2021 and December 2021 in Shanghai and the estimated coverage
濄濋濇澳 rate of 2-dose COVID-19 vaccination among children 3-17 years has exceeded 70% by of the end of
濄濋濈澳 March in 2022. In this case cohort 46.3% of children eligible for COVID-19 vaccination prior to 16 days
濄濋濉澳 to 7 months (median: 3.5months). Observational studies from some countries with the high levels of
濄濋濊澳 population immunity generated by natural infection or vaccine have shown receipt of two doses of
濄濋濋澳 COVID-19 vaccines and a booster dose can offer protection against symptomatic and severe Omicron
濄濌濃澳 Current evidences consistently show a reduction in neutralizing antibody against Omicron in serum
濄濌濄澳 of convalescent or vaccinated individuals, resulting in Omicron’s immune escape potential against
濄濌濅澳 vaccine- and infection-induced immunity [4,23]. However, two recent study based on real-world
濄濌濆澳 observation among children showed the modest effectiveness for COVID-19 vaccine against Omicron
濄濌濇澳 infection [25,26]. Based on our findings, receipt of 2-dose inactivated COVID-19 vaccine within 17 days
濄濌濈澳 to 7 months after fully primary vaccination potentially reduced the risk of symptomatic Omicron
濄濌濉澳 infection by 31% and febrile disease by 59% in children. We did not estimate vaccine protection against
濄濌濊澳 severe infection because no severe COVID-19 cases were diagnosed. There is also evidence of waning
濄濌濋澳 of vaccine effectiveness over time of the primary series against infection and symptomatic disease for
濄濌濌澳 the studied vaccines. However, the vaccine effectiveness against Omicron infection and disease can be
濅濃濃澳 restored and increase to > 40% to 80% within a short follow-up time after a third booster dose in studies
濅濃濄澳 from five countries (United Kingdom, Denmark, Canada, South Africa, USA) [4]. Ten cases of
濅濃濅澳 reinfection with Omicron variant were identified within 23 to 87 days of a previous Delta infection was
濄濃澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濅濃濆澳 reported in the USA and most were pediatric cases [26]. Thus, eligible children and adolescents should
濅濃濇澳 remain up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccination in response to Omicron outbreak. So far, a
濅濃濈澳 third booster dose of COVID-19 vaccine has been recommended for use in adults but not in children in
濅濃濉澳 China. In light of the field findings, a booster dose should also be recommended for eligible children 3-
濅濃濊澳 17 years.
濅濃濋澳 We observed that school children aged 6-11 years comprised the most cases, followed by home-care
濅濃濌澳 children <2 years and preschool children 3-5 year. The distribution of age groups in the early stage of
濅濄濃澳 outbreak reflects the cluster transmission of COVID-19 centered in elementary school, kindergarten, and
濅濄濄澳 household. Of note, age group 12-17 years accounted for the smallest proportion of pediatric cases,
濅濄濅澳 among which, the high coverage rate of COVID-19 vaccination was as high as 95%. Based on the
濅濄濆澳 epidemiological investigation, more than 80% children had a clear history of exposure, mostly occurring
濅濄濇澳 in family (69.1%) and school (21.8%), occasionally in residential area (8.8%). The remaining 18.4% of
濅濄濈澳 children had no clear contact with confirmed cases, reflecting small-scale community transmission had
濅濄濉澳 already appeared prior to the large-scale outbreak since April. During the 2020 outbreak of COVID-19,
濅濄濊澳 80%-90% of confirmed child cases were family cluster cases and community transmission was unusual
濅濄濋澳 in China [17,27]. Rapid increases in pediatric COVID-19 cases and epidemiological unrelated cases also
濅濄濌澳 suggest the occurrence of high community transmission of Omicron variant in Shanghai since the early
濅濅濄澳 We observed most of localized pediatric cases (83.4%) of symptomatic Omicron infection
濅濅濅澳 presenting fever. However, fever is less commonly seen in pediatric COVID-19 cases reported in China
濅濅濆澳 (58%) and the USA (56%) during the first wave of pandemic in 2020 [10, 17]. Fever could be helpful for
濅濅濇澳 early recognition and diagnosis of COVID-19 because parents always worry about the febrile child and
濄濄澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濅濅濈澳 visit hospital for seeking medical care. The febrile course of Omicron infection is brief with a mean fever
濅濅濉澳 duration of 1.7±1.0.8 days, significantly shorter than fever duration seen influenza (4 days) [28]. The
濅濅濊澳 febrile duration is helpful to differentiate COVID-19 from influenza in children when the epidemics of
濅濅濌澳 The potential role in transmission for most asymptomatic and mild child cases should not be
濅濆濃澳 neglected. A study showed that symptomatic and asymptomatic children can carry high quantities of live
濅濆濄澳 SARS-CoV-2, creating a potential reservoir for transmission [29]. Vaccinees with mild or asymptomatic
濅濆濅澳 Omicron infection shed infectious virus 6-9 days after onset or diagnosis, even after symptom resolution
濅濆濆澳 [30]. In fact, asymptomatic infection in children was underestimated in the early stage of outbreak
濅濆濇澳 because massive screening of COVID-19 cases had not been carried out before 28 March. After citywide
濅濆濈澳 large-scale screening, notifiable asymptomatic cases accounted for 90% more or less in April.
濅濆濉澳 Asymptomatic infection was much more common in vaccinated children than in unvaccinated children
濅濆濊澳 (50% vs 22.8%). Vaccination can offer protection against symptomatic infection and febrile disease, on
濅濆濋澳 the other hand, the role of asymptomatic children play in viral transmission is of attention during outbreak.
濅濆濌澳 High prevalence of asymptomatic infection is likely a major factor in the widespread of the Omicron
濅濇濄澳 In summary, COVID-19 is mild and subtle in Shanghainese children with the high level of vaccine-
濅濇濅澳 induced immunity during the early stage of Omicron outbreak. COVID-19 vaccination can offer partial
濅濇濆澳 protection against symptomatic COVID-19. Ongoing Omicron epidemic will increase the risk of
濅濇濇澳 exposure among children with underlying medical conditions, who are usually unvaccinated, therefore,
濅濇濉澳 interventions in combination with vaccination strategies are critical to prevent infection and severe
濄濅澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
濅濇濌澳 The authors have declared that there are no conflicts of interest in relation to this work. Disclosure forms
濅濈濄澳 Funding
濅濈濅澳 This work was supported by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (NO.
濅濈濆澳 20JC141020002), the Key Development Program of Children's Hospital of Fudan University
濅濈濇澳 (EK2022ZX05), the Three-Year Action Plan for Strengthening the Construction of Public Health System
濅濈濈澳 in Shanghai (2020-2022) (GWV-3.2), and the Key Discipline Construction Plan from Shanghai
濅濈濉澳 Municipal Health Commission (GWV-10.1-XK01). None of the funding organizations played any role
濅濈濊澳 in the trial design, data collection, analysis of results, or writing of the manuscript.
濅濈濌澳 Conceptualization: YZ, XZ, MZ; Methodology: XW, HC, HT, MZ; Software: XW, HC, HT; Validation:
濅濉濃澳 JC; Formal Analysis: XW, HC, HT, YZ, MZ; Investigation: JL, ZW, YW, AX, YG, JW, GL, JC; Writing-
濅濉濄澳 Original Draft: XW, HC, YZ, MZ; Writing-Review & Editing: XW, MZ; Visualization: JC, HC;
濅濉濅澳 Supervision: YZ, GL, JW, QZ, XZ, MZ; Project Administration: XZ; Funding acquisition: XZ, MZ. All
濅濉濇澳
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It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
Vaccination status by age Symptomatic Relative risk Febrile cases Relative risk
group (years) case, n (%) (95% CI) n (%) (95% CI)
0-17 (n=376)
unvaccinated (n=250) 193 (77.2%) ref 163 (65.2%) ref
1 dose (n=16) 9 (56.3%) 0.73 (0.47-1.13) 7 (43.8%) 0.67 (0.38-1.18)
2 doses (n=110) 55 (50.0%) 0.65 (0.53-0.79) 46 (41.8%) 0.64 (0.51-0.81)
3-17 (n=272)
unvaccinated (n=146) 103 (70.5%) ref 86 (58.9%) ref
1 dose (n=16) 9 (56.3%) 0.80 (0.51-1.24) 7 (43.8%) 0.74 (0.42-1.32)
2 doses (n=110) 55 (50.0%) 0.71(0.57-0.88) 46 (41.8%) 0.71 (0.55-0.92)
濆濊濃澳 Abbreviation: ref = referent group.
濄濌澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
Asymptomatic 119 14 29 76
0 57 (22.8%) 55 (50.0%) 0
cases, n (%) (31.6%) (13.5%) (30.9%) (42.7%)
濅濃澳
澳
澳
澳
澳 50
Age group, years
澳 45
Nuber of COVID-19 cases
澳 40
0-2 3-5
澳 35 6-11 12-17
澳 30
澳 25
澳 20
澳 15
10
澳
5
澳
0
澳
澳
澳
澳
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.28.22274421 ; this version posted May 2, 2022. The copyright holder for this preprint
Hospitalization date medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted
澳 It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license .
澳
Figure 1. Daily COVID-19 cases referred to the designated hospital for children aged <18 years
from March 1 to March 31, 2022
澳
澳
澳
Hospitalization date
Figure 2. Model of epidemiological exposure over time among pediatric COVID-19 cases
Uma pesquisa realizada com 500 mil As crianças tomaram duas doses
crianças que tomaram a CoronaVac da CoronaVac, com 28 dias de
durante o surto de ômicron no Chile intervalo entre elas, entre 6/12/21
demonstrou que a vacina do Butan- e 26/2/22, durante a campanha
tan e da Sinovac tem eficácia de de imunização contra Covid-19 do
69% contra internação em Unidade país. Segundo a pesquisa, “as esti-
de Terapia Intensiva (UTI), 64,6% mativas fornecem evidências da
contra hospitalização pela Covid-19 eficácia da vacinação em crianças
e 38,2% contra a infecção. de três a cinco anos durante o surto
de ômicron no Chile”.
O estudo foi publicado na plata-
forma de pré-prints Reserch Square Os pesquisadores lembram esti-
e ainda precisa de revisão de pares. mativas preliminares recentes da
eficácia da vacinação de duas
Evidências contra ômicron doses de CoronaVac em crianças
de seis a 16 anos, em um período em
O grupo de estudo incluiu 516.250 que delta era a variante circulante
crianças de três a cinco anos filia- predominante de SARS-CoV-2.
das ao Fundo Nacional de Saúde
(FONASA), o sistema público de No estudo anterior, a eficácia esti-
saúde do Chile. Destas, 490.694 mada da CoronaVac foi de 74,5%
receberam a CoronaVac e as para a prevenção de Covid-19, 91%
demais do grupo controle não para a prevenção de hospitalização
receberam vacina. Foram excluídas e 93,8% para a prevenção de interna-
do estudo crianças com teste posi- ção em UTI relacionada à Covid-19.
tivo para Covid-19. As estimativas para o subgrupo de
Brief Communication
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1440357/v1
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Abstract
The outbreak of the B.1.1.529 lineage of SARS-CoV-2 (omicron) has caused an unprecedented number of
Covid-19 cases, including pediatric hospital admissions. Policymakers urgently need evidence of vaccine
effectiveness in children to balance the costs and bene�ts of vaccination campaigns, but the evidence is
sparse or non-existing. Leveraging a population-based cohort of 490,694 children aged 3–5 years, we
estimated the effectiveness of administering a two-dose schedule, 28 days apart, of CoronaVac using
inverse probability-weighted survival regression models to estimate hazard ratios of complete
immunization over non-vaccination, accounting for time-varying vaccination exposure and relevant
confounders. The study was conducted between December 6, 2021, and February 26, 2022, during the
omicron outbreak in Chile. The estimated vaccine effectiveness was 38.2% (95%CI, 36.5–39.9) against
Covid-19, 64.6% (95%CI, 49.6–75.2) against hospitalization, and 69.0% (95%CI, 18.6–88.2) to prevent
intensive care unit admission. The effectiveness was modest; however, protection against severe disease
remained high.
Main Text
The emergence and spread of the B.1.1.529 lineage of SARS-CoV-2, the cause of coronavirus disease
2019 (Covid-19), has caused an unprecedented number of infections worldwide in a short period.1,2
Emerging evidence suggests that omicron causes less severe disease than previous variants of concern
(VOC), probably due to lower virulence, infection-acquired immunity, and higher vaccination coverage.3–6
However, its high transmissibility and ability to partially evade the immune response induced has been
associated with a substantial increase in severe Covid-19 cases globally.2 The absolute number of
pediatric hospital admissions has also surpassed previous waves,4,7,8 straining healthcare systems even
further. The increase may be related to higher transmissibility of omicron, less use of facemasks in
children, and, especially concerning, lower vaccination rates among children.
Policymakers urgently need evidence of the effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines in preventing severe
clinical presentations of Covid-19 in children to balance the costs and bene�ts of mass vaccination
campaigns. While the risk of severe Covid-19 in healthy children is substantially lower than among adults,
vaccinating children may reduce community transmission, avoid potentially life-threatening presentations
such as multisystemic in�ammatory syndrome (MIS-C), and prevent long-term consequences of SARS-
CoV-2 infection.9 Although numerous countries are vaccinating children, few have authorized Covid-19
vaccines for children under �ve, and some have restricted vaccines for children older than 12 years.10
Evidence of the e�cacy or effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines in children is limited, primarily related to
mRNA vaccines, and only one study was conducted during the omicron outbreak.11–14 To the best of our
knowledge, there is no evidence of vaccine effectiveness against Covid-19 in children under �ve years.
Furthermore, recent research suggests that several Covid-19 vaccine platforms provide limited protection
against infection and symptomatic disease caused by the omicron variant but were more effective
against severe disease.15–17 These studies have examined vaccine protection against omicron in adult
Page 3/11
populations but are consistent with preliminary, unpublished results from a study in children 5 to 12
years.13
Leveraging a population-based cohort of children aged 3 to 5 years, we estimated the effectiveness of the
complete primary immunization schedule (two doses, 28 days apart) of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2
vaccine, CoronaVac, to prevent laboratory-con�rmed Covid-19, hospitalization, and admission to an
intensive care unit (ICU). We estimated vaccine effectiveness using inverse probability-weighted survival
regression models to estimate hazard ratios of complete immunization (starting 14 days after the second
dose) over the unvaccinated status, accounting for time-varying vaccination exposure and available
clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic confounders at baseline.
Our study cohort included 516,250 children aged 3 to 5 years a�liated to the Fondo Nacional de Salud
(FONASA), the public national healthcare system. 490,694 children had received two doses of CoronaVac,
28 days apart between December 6, 2021, and February 26, 2022, or did not receive any Covid-19
vaccination. We excluded children who had probable or con�rmed Covid-19 according to reverse-
transcription polymerase-chain-reaction assay for SARS-CoV-2 or antigen test before December 6, 2021
(Supplementary Figure S1). The cohort characteristics are described in Supplementary Tables S1 and S2.
Vaccination rollout was organized through a public schedule; children needed to show up at their nearest
vaccination site with their national ID card (Supplementary Figure S2). The study period enclosed the
omicron outbreak in Chile (Supplementary Tables S3 and S4, Fig.S3)
The estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness for CoronaVac in children aged 3 to 5 years during the
omicron outbreak was 38.2% (95% CI, 36.5–39.9) for the prevention of Covid-19, 64.6% (95% CI, 49.6–
75.2) for the prevention of hospitalization, and 69.0% (95% CI, 18.6–88.2) for the prevention of Covid-19-
related ICU admission (Table 1). We did not estimate vaccine effectiveness against fatal outcomes
because only two deaths were observed in the unvaccinated group on February 26, 2022.
Page 4/11
Table 1
Effectiveness of the CoronaVac Covid-19 vaccine in preventing Covid-19 outcomes among children 3–5
years of age in the study cohort according to immunization status, December 6, 2021, through February
26, 2022*
Immunization Cases Vaccine effectiveness (95% CI)
status
Covid-19
Hospitalization
Admission to ICU
* Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019, CI denotes con�dence intervals, yr. denotes years. We
classi�ed participants' status into two categories during the study period: unvaccinated and fully
immunized (≥ 14 days after receiving the second dose with CoronaVac). T he days between the �rst
dose vaccine administration and the full immunization were excluded from the at-risk person-time.
We provide the results for the standard and strati�ed versions of the Cox hazards model using inverse
probability of treatment weighting.
† The analyses were adjusted for age, sex, region of residence, health insurance category (a proxy of
household income), nationality, and whether the patient had underlying conditions that have been
associated with severe Covid-19 in children, coded as described in Table S1. The standard and
strati�ed versions of the extended Cox proportional-hazards model were �t to test the robustness of
the estimates to model assumptions.
Page 5/11
Our estimates provide evidence of vaccination effectiveness in children aged 3 to 5 years during the
omicron outbreak in Chile. These results are substantially lower than recent preliminary estimates of the
effectiveness of two-dose vaccination of CoronaVac in children 6 to 16 years, in a period when B.1.617.2
(Delta) was the predominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant.14 In that study, the estimated effectiveness
in children 6 to 16 years was 74.5% (95% CI, 73.8–75.2) for the prevention of Covid-19, 91.0% (95% CI,
87.8–93.4) for the prevention of hospitalization, and 93.8% (95% CI, 87.8–93.4) for the prevention of
Covid-19-related ICU admission. The estimates for the subgroup of children aged 6–11 were 75.8% (95%
CI, 74.7–76.8) for the prevention of Covid-19 and 77.9% (95% CI, 61.5–87.3) for the prevention of
hospitalization.14 While the estimates are not directly comparable, the lower estimated vaccine
effectiveness could be due to omicron or because the cohort included younger children.
Recent research suggests that vaccines may be less effective against omicron. Consistent with our
results, an unpublished study in New York,13 found that the vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 for the
prevention of Covid-19 and hospitalization decreased from 66–51% and from 85–73% for children aged
12–17 years, respectively. The drop was more considerable among children 5 to 11 years; protection
against Covid-19 fell from 68–12%, and protection against hospitalization fell from 100–48%.13 Results
among adults tell the same story. Early data from South Africa reported that BNT162b2 protection
against Covid-19 related hospitalization decreased from 93–70% among adults.15 Among adults in the
United Kingdom, two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 provided no detectable protection against the omicron
variant after 20 weeks, and two doses of BNT162b2 were only 8.8% effective against omicron after 25
weeks.16 The study suggests a BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 booster substantially increased protection
against omicron.16 Similarly, a study that evaluated serum neutralization against omicron or D614G
variant among adult participants with the mRNA-1273 vaccine primary series observed neutralization
titers 35 times lower for omicron.17
Children’s age could also potentially affect vaccine effectiveness estimates for severe disease, as
suggested by older children in recent unpublished studies in New York13 and Chile.14 Furthermore, clinical
trials for Moderna’s mRNA-1273 and P�zer-BioNTech’s BNT162b2 in children six months to under �ve
years old are being conducted. Preliminary results for two 3 µg dose schedule, 21 days apart, of the
BNT162b2 in children 2 to < 5 years old found disappointing results, although the immune response of
children between six months and two years was comparable to that of young adults.18 Data from the
mRNA-1273 vaccine in children have not yet been released.
Observational studies have limitations. Selection bias could affect vaccine effectiveness estimates if the
vaccinated and unvaccinated groups are systematically different. We partially addressed this issue by
adjusting our estimates with observable confounders that may affect vaccination and the risk of Covid-
19. However, we do not have data to assess whether vaccinated and unvaccinated children or their
caregivers differ in some unobservable characteristics, such as compliance with Covid-19 protocols.
Another limitation in our study relates to genomic surveillance capabilities. The Ministry of Health’s
Page 6/11
strategy has focused on detecting variants of concern through traveler and community surveillance but
uses non-probabilistic sampling (Supplementary Fig.S3, Tables S3 and S4).
To our advantage, data were collected during the omicron outbreak, with the highest transmission rates
since the beginning of the pandemic. Vaccination rollout was quick and had high uptake (Supplementary
Figure S2). Our estimated vaccine effectiveness re�ects a “real-life” situation by including the challenges
public health o�cials face in the �eld, such as a more diverse set of participants (e.g., with underlying
conditions), schedule compliance, logistics, and cold chains. These estimates may be essential for
decision making as a complement to controlled clinical trials.
Our results show that the effectiveness of CoronaVac in children 3 to 5 years against Covid-19 during the
omicron was modest, although protection against severe disease remained high.
Online Methods
Outcomes
The Ministry of Health in Chile requires that all suspected Covid-19 cases are noti�ed to health authorities
through an online platform. Suspected Covid-19 cases require laboratory testing with reverse-
transcription polymerase-chain-reaction assay or antigen tests. We estimated the vaccine effectiveness
of CoronaVac for children aged 3 to 5 years using three primary outcomes: laboratory-con�rmed Covid-
19, hospitalization, and admission to the ICU associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. We considered the
time to the onset of symptoms from the beginning of the follow-up, December 6, 2021, as the endpoint of
each outcome. We used the onset of symptoms as a proxy for the time of infection. We classi�ed
participants status into two categories along the study period: unvaccinated and fully immunized (≥ 14
days after receipt of the second dose with CoronaVac). The period between the �rst dose administration
and 13 days after the second dose was excluded from the at-risk person-time in our analyses.
Model description
To estimate hazard ratios, we used extensions of the Cox hazards model that allowed us to account for
the time-varying vaccination status of participants.19,20 We adjusted for differences in observed
individual characteristics by inverse probability of treatment weighting as in marginal structural
models,21 estimating the weights non-parametrically.22 Vaccine effectiveness was estimated as hazard
ratio between the treated and non-treated status. We reported hazard ratios estimates adjusted for age,
sex, region of residence, nationality, health insurance category (a proxy of household income), and
underlying conditions (Supplementary Tables S1 and S2) under the standard and strati�ed versions of
the Cox hazards model.
Let T i be the time-to-event of interest, from December 6, 2021, for the i-th individual in the cohort,
Page 7/11
with γ ∈ R p being a vector of regression coe�cients, β k ∈ R being the regression coe�cient measuring
the effectiveness of the k th vaccine, and λ 0 being the baseline hazard function
were P 0 is the baseline probability distribution. A Cox model with time-dependent covariates compares
the risk of the event of interest between immunized and non-immunized participants at each event time
but re-evaluates which risk group each person belonged to, based on whether they had been immunized
by that time.
We also �tted a strati�ed version of the model,23 where the time-to-event distribution is given by
with β k ∈ R being the regression coe�cient measuring the effectiveness of the kth vaccine, and λ x , 0 is
the predictor-speci�c baseline hazard function. We �tted a strati�ed version of the extended Cox
proportional hazards model to test the robustness of our estimates to model assumptions. Under the
strati�ed Cox model, each combination of predictors has a speci�c hazard function that can evolve
independently.
Page 8/11
We estimated the vaccine effectiveness as 100% ∙ (1 − exp{βk }). We show the adjusted vaccine
effectiveness results, including covariates as controls (age, gender, region, nationality, health insurance
category, and comorbidities). We show the results for the standard and strati�ed versions of the Cox
hazards model using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Inference was based on a partial
likelihood approach.24 Please recall that the effectiveness estimate for the Covid-19 vaccines in the Cox
model with time-dependent vaccination status compares the risk of an event for children who received
the vaccine and those who were unvaccinated at each event time. The risk group is determined by
whether the child had received or not the vaccine shot in a speci�c calendar time, and the comparison of
the risk of an event is made at the same calendar time. Each term in the partial likelihood of the
effectiveness regression coe�cient corresponds to the conditional probability of an individual to express
the outcome of interest from the risk set at a given calendar time.
Under the standard Cox model, all individuals at risk are included in the risk set, and their contribution is
weighted based on their covariates (as shown in Supplementary Table S1). Under the strati�ed version of
the Cox model, each stratum has a different risk set determined by the covariates.
Declarations
The research protocol was approved by the Comité Ético Cientí�co Clínica Alemana Universidad del
Desarrollo. The study was considered exempt from informed consent, no human health risks were
identi�ed. Research analysts belong to the Chilean Ministry of Health; our use of data follows Chilean law
19.628 on personal data protection
References
1. Tracking SARS-CoV-2 variants. WHO, 2022. (Accessed March 2, 2022, at
https://www.who.int/en/activities/tracking-SARS-CoV-2-variants/)
2. Dong E, Du H, Gardner L. An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time. Lancet
Infect Dis 2020;20:P533-P4.
3. Madhi SA, Kwatra G, Myers JE, et al. Population Immunity and Covid-19 Severity with Omicron
Variant in South Africa. N Engl J Med 2022.
4. Cloete J, Kruger A, Masha M, et al. Paediatric hospitalisations due to COVID-19 during the �rst SARS-
CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) variant wave in South Africa: a multicentre observational study. Lancet
Child Adolesc Health 2022.
5. Altarawneh HN, Chemaitelly H, Hasan MR, et al. Protection against the Omicron Variant from
Previous SARS-CoV-2 Infection. N Engl J Med 2022.
�. Hoffmann M, Krüger N, Schulz S, et al. The Omicron variant is highly resistant against antibody-
mediated neutralization: Implications for control of the COVID-19 pandemic. Cell 2022;185:447 –
Page 9/11
56.e11.
7. Wang L, Berger NA, Kaelber DC, Davis PB, Volkow ND, Xu R. COVID infection severity in children under
5 years old before and after Omicron emergence in the US. medRxiv 2022.
�. Iuliano AD, Brunkard JM, Boehmer TK, et al. Trends in disease severity and health care utilization
during the early omicron variant period compared with previous SARS-CoV-2 high transmission
periods — United States, December 2020–January 2022. Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022;71:146–52.
9. Zimmermann P, Pittet LF, Finn A, Pollard AJ, Curtis N. Should children be vaccinated against COVID-
19? Arch Dis Child 2021;107:e1.
10. Coronavirus Vaccine Tracker. The New York Times, 2022. (Accessed March 1, 2022, at
https://nyti.ms/3nvAEc4)
11. Walter EB, Talaat KR, Sabharwal C, et al. Evaluation of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine in children 5
to 11 years of age. N Engl J Med 2022;386:35–46.
12. Olson SM, Newhams MM, Halasa NB, et al. Effectiveness of BNT162b2 Vaccine against Critical
Covid-19 in Adolescents. N Engl J Med 2022;386:713–23.
13. Dorabawila V, Hoefer D, Bauer UE, Bassett MT, Lutterloh E, Rosenberg ES. Effectiveness of the
BNT162b2 vaccine among children 5–11 and 12–17 years in New York after the Emergence of the
Omicron Variant. medRxiv 2022.
14. Jara A, Undurraga EA, Flores JC, et al. Effectiveness of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine in
Children and Adolescents: A Large-Scale Observational Study. SSRN
Preprint:http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4035405.
15. Collie S, Champion J, Moultrie H, Bekker L-G, Gray G. Effectiveness of BNT162b2 vaccine against
omicron variant in South Africa. N Engl J Med 2022;386.
1�. Andrews N, Stowe J, Kirsebom F, et al. Covid-19 Vaccine Effectiveness against the Omicron
(B.1.1.529) Variant. N Engl J Med 2022.
17. Pajon R, Doria-Rose NA, Shen X, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant Neutralization after mRNA-1273
Booster Vaccination. N Engl J Med 2022.
1�. P�zer and BioNTech Provide Update on Ongoing Studies of COVID-19 Vaccine. 2022. (Accessed
March 1, 2022, at https://bit.ly/3J3GZHc)
19. Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine in Chile.
N Engl J Med 2021;385:875–84.
20. Cox DR. Regression models and life-tables. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol 1972;34:187–202.
21. Robins JM, Hernan MA, Brumback B. Marginal structural models and causal inference in
epidemiology. Epidemiology 2000;11:550–60.
22. Cole SR, Hernán MA. Constructing inverse probability weights for marginal structural models. Am J
Epidemiol 2008;168:656–64.
23. Therneau TM, Grambsch PM. Modeling Survival Data: Extending the Cox Model: Springer; 2000.
Page 10/11
24. Thompson MG, Burgess JL, Naleway AL, et al. Prevention and Attenuation of Covid-19 with the
BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 Vaccines. N Engl J Med 2021;385:320–9.
25. Therneau TM. A Package for Survival Analysis in R. R package version 3.1–12. Computer software]
Rochester, MN: Mayo Clinic Retrieved from https://CRAN R-project org/package = survival 2020.
2�. R Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna: R Foundation for
Statistical Computing; 2019.
Supplementary Files
This is a list of supplementary �les associated with this preprint. Click to download.
MSCovid35SuppMatNMedv10.docx
�atAraosepc.pdf
�atAraosrs.pdf
Page 11/11
Vacinação salva
a vida de crianças
e freia a transmissão
do coronavírus
Os pesquisadores chilenos chamam
a atenção para os diversos bene-
fícios da imunização de crianças,
como prevenir casos graves e mor-
tes nessa população e evitar outras
complicações da Covid-19, como
a Síndrome Inflamatória Multis-
ed
Effectiveness of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in children and adolescents: A large-
iew
Alejandro Jara Ph.D.1,2,3, Eduardo A. Undurraga Ph.D.4,5,6,7, Juan Carlos Flores M.D.8, José R. Zubizarreta
Ph.D.9,10,11, Cecilia González M.D.1, Alejandra Pizarro M.D.1,8, Duniel Ortuño-Borroto D.D.S.1, Johanna
ev
Acevedo M.S.1, Katherinne Leo B.S.E.1, Fabio Paredes M.Sc.1, Tomás Bralic M.S.1, Verónica Vergara
M.S.1, Francisco Leon M.B.A.1, Ignacio Parot M.B.A.1, Paulina Leighton B.S.E.1, Pamela Suárez B.S.E1,
Juan Carlos Rios Ph.D.1,8, Heriberto García-Escorza M.S.1, and Rafael Araos, M.D.1,5,12,13*
rr
1 Ministry of Health, Santiago, Chile
ee
2 Facultad de Matemáticas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
3 Center for the Discovery of Structures in Complex Data (MiDaS), Santiago, Chile
4 Escuela de Gobierno, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, RM, Chile
p
9 Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
10 Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
rin
11 Department of Statistics, Harvard T.H. School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
12 Instituto de Ciencias e Innovación en Medicina, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad del Desarrollo, Santiago,
Chile
ep
*Correspondence to Dr. Rafael Araos at Instituto de Ciencias e Innovación en Medicina, Facultad de Medicina
Pr
Clínica Alemana Universidad del Desarrollo, Av. Las Condes 12461, Las Condes, Región Metropolitana, Chile.
rafaelaraos@udd.cl
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Abstract
ed
Background. Policymakers urgently need evidence to adequately balance the costs and benefits of mass
vaccination against Covid-19 across all age groups, including children and adolescents.
iew
Methods. We used a large prospective national cohort of about two million children and adolescents 6 to
Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, and admission to intensive care unit (ICU). We compared the risk of
ev
individuals treated with a complete primary immunization schedule (two doses, 28 days apart) with the
risk of unvaccinated individuals during the follow-up period. The study was conducted in Chile from June
rr
27, 2021, to January 12, 2022. We used inverse probability-weighted survival regression models to
estimate hazard ratios of complete immunization over the unvaccinated status, accounting for time-
ee
varying vaccination exposure and adjusting for relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical
confounders.
Findings. The estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness for the inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in
p
children aged 6 to 16 years was 74·5% (95% CI, 73·8–75·2), 91·0% (95% CI, 87·8–93·4), 93·8% (95%
ot
CI, 87·8–93·4) for the prevention of Covid-19, hospitalization, and ICU admission, respectively. For the
subgroup of children 6-11 years, the vaccine effectiveness was 75·8% (95% CI, 74·7–76·8) for the
tn
prevention of Covid-19 and 77·9% (95% CI, 61·5–87·3) for the prevention of hospitalization.
Interpretation. Our results suggest that a complete primary immunization schedule with the inactivated
SARS-CoV-2 vaccine provides an effective protection against severe Covid-19 disease for children 6-16
rin
years.
Word count. Text: 3302, Abstract: 243, Tables and Figures: 4, References: 37
2
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Research in context
ed
Evidence before this study
We identified research articles through searches in PubMed and medRxiv, without language restrictions,
iew
using the terms (“SARS-CoV-2” OR “Covid-19” OR “2019-nCoV” OR “coronavirus”) AND (“vaccine”
published between December 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021. We also identified relevant research
ev
through the United States National Library of Medicine’s website ClinicalTrials.gov. We identified at
least seven ongoing phase three clinical trials for children 5-11 years; however, evidence about the
rr
efficacy and safety of Covid-19 in pediatric populations is limited, and most studies relate to mRNA
vaccines. One study reported preliminary safety and efficacy results from Pfizer-BioNTech’s mRNA
ee
vaccine BNT162b2’s phase 1 and phase 2-3 randomized trial in children 5-11 years, estimating a vaccine
efficacy against Covid-19 of 90·7% (95% CI 67·7 to 98·3%) in the United States and Europe. Two
articles by the same authors estimated the vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against severe Covid-19 in
p
adolescents 12-18 years in pediatric hospitals in the United States. The first article reported interim
findings from 19 hospitals and estimated a vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization of 93% (95% CI
ot
83% to 97%). The second article, including 445 case patients and 777 controls in 31 hospitals, estimated a
tn
vaccine effectiveness of 94% (95%CI 90 to 96) against hospitalization and 98% (95%CI 93 to 99) against
ICU admission. These studies did not adjust for comorbidities or socioeconomic status. Another study
reported preliminary safety findings on vaccine safety collected through passive surveillance during the
rin
administration of eight million doses of BNT162b2 in children 5-11 in the United States. Last, two
studies assessed the safety and immunogenicity of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, Sinovac’s
ep
CoronaVac and Sinopharm’s BBIBP-CorV, in phase 1-2 clinical trials in children and adolescents aged 3-
17 years in China. We found no studies examining the efficacy or effectiveness of an inactivated SARS-
CoV-2 vaccine in pediatric populations, even though these vaccines account for about half the Covid-19
Pr
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
ed
Our study estimates the effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in preventing Covid-19 cases,
hospitalizations, and admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), for children and adolescents aged 6-16.
iew
Our estimates are based on a large administrative prospective national cohort of about 2 million children
and adolescents to assess the effectiveness of administering a two-dose schedule, adjusting for known
demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical confounders of the association between Covid-19 vaccines and
ev
outcomes. Vaccine effectiveness estimates are essential, as they reflect real-world challenges of
vaccination rollout, such as logistics, cold chains, vaccination schedules, and include more diverse
schedule (two doses, 28 days apart) effectively protects against severe Covid-19 disease for children and
adolescents 6-16 years, a finding consistent with the results from phase 2 clinical trials of the vaccine.
p
ot
tn
rin
ep
Pr
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Background
ed
The global pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), caused by severe acute respiratory
iew
January 12, 2022, more than 315 million cases and about 5·5 million deaths have been reported
worldwide.1 Several effective Covid-19 vaccines have been developed and approved since the beginning
of the pandemic, and mass vaccination campaigns are now occurring in most countries.2
ev
Children and adolescents can develop Covid-19, including severe illness and death. Nevertheless, the risk
of severe Covid-19 in healthy children and adolescents under 18 is substantially lower than in adults and
rr
typically does not result in medical intervention.3-6 The most common Covid-19 clinical features in this
group include fever, upper respiratory symptoms, and gastrointestinal symptoms, such as diarrhea and
ee
vomiting.7,8 A potentially life-threatening clinical presentation of Covid-19 is the multisystemic
diseases of children, such as Kawasaki disease, presenting most often with fever and elevated
inflammatory markers.9,10 MIS-C can affect multiple organ systems, including gastrointestinal,
ot
mortality is relatively low (~2%), most patients are admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU); about 40%
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require inotropic support, and about 15% require mechanical ventilation.14 Another clinical presentation
of concern is long Covid, i.e., persisting symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection,15,16 although data
rin
on children and adolescents are still limited. A systematic review suggests that, compared to high-income
countries, low and middle-income countries may have a higher burden of pediatric Covid-19 mortality.17
As seen in adults, comorbidities are associated with a more severe clinical presentation of Covid-19.18,19
ep
There are at least seven ongoing clinical trials for Covid-19 vaccines in children 5 to 11 years of age in
phase 3.20 Nevertheless, evidence is scarce on the efficacy and safety of Covid-19 vaccines in pediatric
Pr
populations,21-24 and most available evidence relates to mRNA vaccines. Two studies assessed the safety
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
ed
BBIBP-CorV, in phase 1-2 clinical trials in children and adolescents aged 3-17 years in China.23,24 Only
one study of real-life vaccine effectiveness in adolescents 12-18 years for Pfizer–BioNTech’s BNT162b2
iew
mRNA Covid-19 vaccine is available.25,26 We found no articles examining the efficacy or effectiveness of
an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in pediatric populations, although these vaccines account for about
half the Covid-19 vaccines doses delivered globally.27 Vaccine effectiveness estimates are essential, as
they reflect real-world challenges of vaccination rollout, such as logistics, cold chains, vaccination
ev
schedules, and include more diverse populations than participants in a controlled trial. Policymakers
urgently need evidence to adequately balance the costs and benefits of mass vaccination across all age
rr
groups.28
ee
Several regulatory agencies have granted emergency authorization to vaccinate children, including the US
Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency, and numerous countries have begun
vaccinating children.2 On June 27, 2021, Chile began vaccinating children and adolescents, following an
p
age-based publicly available schedule. Based on emergency use approvals by the Public Health Institute
of Chile, children aged 6-11 received a two-dose schedule of CoronaVac, and children 12-16 years
ot
received two doses of CoronaVac or BNT162b2. Doses were administered 28 days apart for both
tn
vaccines. As described elsewhere, a national immunization registry keeps track of the vaccination
schedules.29
rin
Using a large administrative observational dataset of about two million children and adolescents, we
estimated the effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in preventing Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, and
admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), for individuals aged 6-16. We also provide vaccine
ep
effectiveness estimates among children 6-11 years. We estimated the effectiveness of administering a
two-dose schedule, adjusting for relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and pediatric clinical confounders
Pr
of the association between Covid-19 vaccines and the outcomes. We expect these results to inform
policymakers, public health officials, and funders considering Covid-19 vaccination for children.
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Methods
ed
Study population and design
iew
Our study is based on a prospective pediatric observational cohort at the national level in Chile. The
cohort includes children and adolescents 6 to 16 years of age, followed between June 27, 2021, and
January 12, 2022. The anonymity of all participants was preserved during all stages of the study. We
included all children and adolescents 6 to 16 years of age affiliated with the national public health
ev
insurance program (FONASA, Fondo Nacional de Salud). About 80% of the Chilean population are
affiliated with FONASA. Children or adolescents with probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection by
rr
reverse-transcription polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) or antigen test before June 27, 2021, were
excluded from the study. We also excluded children who received any Covid-19 vaccine before June 27,
ee
2021. For children that received a vaccine booster (third dose) during the study period, the follow-up was
The Public Health Institute of Chile, the regulatory authority responsible for pharmacovigilance in Chile,
approved the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine for adolescents 12-16 years of age on May 31, 2021. The use
ot
of CoronaVac for children aged six years and older was authorized on September 6, 2021. By program
indication, children aged 6-11 received CoronaVac, and children 12-16 received CoronaVac or
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BNT162b2. Both vaccines were administered in two doses, 28 days apart. We did not focus on the
effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine, because those results have been provided elsewhere.25,26
rin
Nevertheless, we provide estimates of the effectiveness of the BNT162b2 in the Supplementary material
as a robustness check to our methods. We focused on the effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in
children as those results are not available and CoronaVac is among the most used vaccine globally.27
ep
We classified participants into two groups: fully immunized, defined as those with a complete vaccination
schedule starting 14 days after receiving the second dose, and unvaccinated individuals. The national
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
vaccination campaign in Chile is described in more detail in the Supplementary material and previous
ed
publications.29,30
The study team was entirely responsible for the study design, data collection, and analysis. The authors
iew
vouch for the accuracy and completeness of the data. The first, second, third, and last authors wrote the
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We estimated the vaccine effectiveness of CoronaVac for children aged 6-16 using three primary
outcomes: laboratory-confirmed Covid-19, hospitalization, and admission to the ICU associated with
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SARS-CoV-2 infection. We also provide estimates of the vaccine effectiveness of CoronaVac for the
prevention of Covid-19 and hospitalization in the subgroup of children aged 6-11. We did not estimate
ee
vaccine effectiveness against fatal outcomes because no deaths have been observed in the cohort as of
January 12, 2022. The time to the onset of symptoms from the beginning of the follow-up, June 27, 2021,
p
was considered as the endpoint of each outcome. In Chile, all suspected Covid-19 cases are notified to
health authorities using an online platform and confirmed by laboratory testing, by reverse polymerase
ot
between Covid-19 vaccines and the outcomes of interest. The covariates included age, sex, region of
residence, health insurance category (a proxy of household income), nationality, and whether the
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individual had underlying conditions that has been associated with severe Covid-19 illness in children.
These conditions included end-stage chronic kidney disease, diabetes mellitus types 1 and 2, cancer,
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congenital heart disease, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, epilepsy, hemophilia, asthma,
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Statistical analysis
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We determined vaccine effectiveness by estimating the hazard ratio between the treated (complete
vaccination schedule) and non-treated unvaccinated status, using the observed time-to-onset of symptoms,
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from June 27, 2021, through January 12, 2022. We estimated hazard ratios based on an extended version
of the Cox hazards model to allow for the time-varying vaccination status of children in the cohort.29,31
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weighting as in marginal structural models,32 estimating the weights non-parametrically based on
observed characteristics.33 We present the hazard ratio estimates using the standard and stratified versions
of the Cox hazards model (please see the supplementary material for more details), adjusting by
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individual’s age, sex, region of residence, nationality, health insurance category, and underlying health
conditions, to show that our results do not hinge on model specification. Vaccine effectiveness was
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defined as one minus the corresponding hazard ratio. The comparison of the risk of an event for fully
vaccinated and unvaccinated children is made at the same calendar time. Each term in the partial
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individual to express the outcome of interest from the risk set at a given calendar time. The inference was
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based on a partial likelihood approach. Statistical analyses were conducted using the survival package of
R version 4.0.5.
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The funders of this study had no role in the study design, in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of
data, in the writing of this manuscript or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.
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Findings
Study population
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Figure 1 shows the flow diagram of the study cohort. The cohort included 2,086,108 children and
adolescents between six and 16 years of age affiliated to FONASA. Of these, 1,976,344 were included in
9
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
the study as they did not have a Covid-19 history or had been vaccinated against Covid-19 before June
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27, 2021. The descriptive statistics for the study cohort are presented in Table 1. Additional descriptive
statistics, including the region of residence and underlying conditions, are provided in tables S1 and S2
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(Supplementary material). All variables showed statistically significant differences in the incidence of
Vaccine effectiveness
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The total follow-up period included approximately 120 million person-days in the CoronaVac group
(children 6-16 years) and 230 million person-days in the unvaccinated group (Table 2). The overall cohort
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had 12,735 events of Covid-19 disease, 207 hospitalizations, and 30 ICU admissions associated with
complete primary immunization was 74·5% (95% CI, 73·8–75·2) for the prevention of Covid-19, 91·0%
p
(95% CI, 87·8–93·4) for the prevention of hospitalization, and 93·8% (95% CI, 87·8–93·4) for the
prevention of Covid-19-related ICU admission (Table 2). For the subgroup of children 6-11 years, the
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estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness for CoronaVac with a complete primary immunization was
75·8% (95% CI, 74·7–76·8) for the prevention of Covid-19 and 77·9% (95% CI, 61·5–87·3) for the
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prevention of hospitalization. There were only six children 6-11 years admitted to the ICU in the
unvaccinated group and none among those who received CoronaVac (Table 3). This results in an
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estimated 100% vaccine effectiveness for the prevention of Covid-19-related ICU admission, but more
Last, the estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness for BNT162b2 in adolescents aged 12 to 16 years, with
a complete primary immunization, was 84·4% (95% CI, 83·7–85·0) for the prevention of Covid-19,
93·5% (95% CI, 90·4–95·6) for the prevention of hospitalization, and 98·0% (95% CI, 89·9–99·6) for the
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Discussion
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This study provides estimates of the effectiveness of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in
children and adolescents 6-16 years of age in a countrywide mass vaccination campaign to prevent
iew
laboratory-confirmed Covid-19, hospitalization and Covid-19-related ICU admission. For children and
adolescents with a complete primary immunization with CoronaVac, the adjusted vaccine effectiveness
was 74·5%, 91·0%, and 93·8% for Covid-19, hospitalization, and ICU admission. The subgroup of
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children 6-11 years had an adjusted vaccine effectiveness of 75·8% for the prevention of Covid-19 and
our results are consistent with estimates of the effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in preventing
ee
Covid-19 in an adult cohort 16 years and older in Chile in early 2021.29 The study found and adjusted
vaccine effectiveness of 65·9% (95% CI, 65·2-66·6) for the prevention of Covid-19, 87·5% (95% CI,
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86·7 to 88·2) for the prevention of hospitalization, and 90·3% (95% CI, 89·1 to 91·4) for the prevention
of ICU admission in adults. For children 6-11 years with a complete primary immunization with
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CoronaVac, the adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 75·8% for preventing Covid-19 and 77·9% for
hospitalization. The low baseline risk for presenting severe disease among unvaccinated children and few
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hospitalization events during the study period may explain the lower effectiveness estimated for this
group. Similar to previous vaccine effectiveness estimates for adults,29 our estimates for children and
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adolescents 6-16 years also show higher protection against severe disease than against Covid-19. Last,
Han et al. reported the safety and immunogenicity of CoronaVac in healthy children and adolescents aged
three to 17 years in June 2021. Seroconversion was 100% (98-100) for the 3 gr dose. Those authors
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reported no serious events related to the vaccine,23 consistent with adverse events associated with
11
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
As a robustness check to support our approach and analysis, we estimated an adjusted vaccine
ed
effectiveness for adolescents with a complete primary immunization using BNT162b2 of 84·4%, 93·5%,
and 98·0% for Covid-19, hospitalization, and Covid-19 related ICU admission associated with SARS-
iew
CoV-2 infection. Our BNT162b2 vaccine effectiveness estimates for adolescents are consistent to the
results of a multicenter case-control study of fully immunized adolescents 12 to 18 years old in June
through October 2021 in the United States.25,26 The study reported vaccine effectiveness of 94% (95%CI
90 to 96) to prevent Covid-19 related hospitalizations and 98% (95%CI 93 to 99) against ICU admission.
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The study estimated vaccine effectiveness in a period when B.1.617.2 (Delta) was the dominant
circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant. Delta was also the predominant variant during the study period in Chile
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(Supplementary material). Furthermore, a recent study reported a vaccine efficacy against Covid-19 of
90·7% (95% CI 67·7-98·3) for BNT162BT in 5-to-11-year-old children.22 Our vaccine effectiveness
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estimate for protection against Covid-19 in 12-to-16-year-old children was a slightly lower, 84·4% (95%
There is an ongoing scientific debate about the convenience of vaccinating children against Covid-19.28,34
The cost-benefit analysis is not straightforward, particularly when considering global Covid-19
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vaccination targets and inequities in vaccine access.34 Vaccinating children and adolescents against
SARS-CoV-2 has several potential benefits.28 First, it prevents Covid-19 cases, particularly severe illness
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and potential deaths among children with underlying health conditions. Second, it may prevent long-term
consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection, including MIS-C and long Covid. Third, vaccination may
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reduce transmission to other children and adults and, by mitigating community transmission, may help
reduce the need for non-pharmaceutical interventions such as lockdowns, school exclusions and closures,
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and quarantines. These interventions have already affected children’s educational attainment, mental
health, school services, and have increased inequalities.34-36 There is increasing evidence that vaccinating
children and adolescents may significantly reduce the disease burden of Covid-19. Longer follow-up will
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allow responding whether vaccines can help prevent long-term complications, such as MIS-C and
12
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
persistent symptoms following severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, such as headaches, fatigue, and sleep
ed
disturbances.16 We hope our estimates will help inform this ongoing debate and support urgent decision-
iew
The main strengths of this study include the use of a large cohort of about two million children, aged six
to 16 years, combining administrative and healthcare data that represents about 80% of the Chilean
population. This large sample size allowed us to non-parametrically estimate the inverse probability of
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treatment weights and fit a stratified extended Cox proportional hazards model for the different outcomes
of interest (each combination of predictors has a specific hazard function), adding robustness to our
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statistical approach. Our real-world estimates examine one of the most widely used Covid-19 vaccines
globally and are an essential complement to efficacy estimates from randomized controlled trials.37
ee
The main limitations in our study include potential selection and misclassification biases, as in all
observational studies. We adjusted for known and observable demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical
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confounders that could affect vaccine effectiveness estimates. We cannot completely rule out the
existence of a potentially systematic unobservable difference between the treated and unvaccinated
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children. Misclassification bias is unlikely, as Chile has a centralized electronic immunization and
laboratory registry and testing for SARS-CoV-2 infection is free and widely available. A second
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limitation is that Chile lacks representative genomic surveillance data to estimate the true prevalence of
variants of concern (Alfa, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron) that may affect vaccine effectiveness
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estimates. Genomic surveillance reports by the Ministry of Health (Supplementary material) suggest that
the predominant variant during the study period was Delta, although Omicron became important during
the final weeks of the study. We lack data to estimate vaccine effectiveness against specific variants of
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concern.
Overall, our vaccine effectiveness estimates suggest that a complete primary immunization schedule (two
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doses, 28 days apart) provides an effective protection against severe Covid-19 disease for children 6-16
years.
13
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Acknowledgments
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We thank members of the Chilean Covid-19 Advisory Group Drs. Catterina Ferreccio (Pontificia
Universidad Católica de Chile), Ximena Aguilera (Universidad del Desarrollo), Maria T. Valenzuela
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(Universidad de Los Andes), Pablo Vial (Universidad del Desarrollo), Gonzalo Valdivia (Pontificia
Universidad Católica de Chile), Fernando Otaiza (Ministerio de Salud), and Alvaro Erazo (Pontificia
Universidad Católica de Chile) for advice on study design and interpretation of results.
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Funding
This research was supported by the Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID) Millennium
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Science Initiative Program MIDAS [NCN17_059] to AJ; Advanced Center for Chronic Diseases
(ACCDiS) ANID FONDAP [15130011] to RA; and Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk
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Management (CIGIDEN) ANID FONDAP [15110017] to EU.
Declaration of interests
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Owing to data privacy regulations, this study's individual-level data used in this study cannot be shared
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(Law N19.628). Aggregate data on vaccination and Covid-19 incidence are publicly available at
https://github.com/MinCiencia/Datos-COVID19/.
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Ethics statement
The research protocol was approved by the Comité Ético Científico Clínica Alemana Universidad del
Desarrollo. The study was considered exempt from informed consent, no human health risks were
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identified. Research analysts belong to the Chilean Ministry of Health; our use of data follows Chilean
14
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3. Smith C, Odd D, Harwood R, et al. Deaths in children and young people in England after SARS-CoV-
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2 infection during the first pandemic year. Nat Med 2021: 1-8.
5. Castagnoli R, Votto M, Licari A, et al. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-
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6. Lu X, Zhang L, Du H, et al. SARS-CoV-2 infection in children. N Engl J Med 2020; 382(17): 1663-5.
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10. Feldstein LR, Rose EB, Horwitz SM, et al. Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in US children and
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12. Dufort EM, Koumans EH, Chow EJ, et al. Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children in New
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14. Kaushik A, Gupta S, Sood M, Sharma S, Verma S. A systematic review of multisystem inflammatory
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15. Nalbandian A, Sehgal K, Gupta A, et al. Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome. Nat Med 2021; 27(4): 601-
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16. Zimmermann P, Pittet LF, Curtis N. How common is long COVID in children and adolescents?
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18. Tsankov BK, Allaire JM, Irvine MA, et al. Severe COVID-19 Infection and Pediatric Comorbidities:
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19. Fernandes DM, Oliveira CR, Guerguis S, et al. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
clinical syndromes and predictors of disease severity in hospitalized children and youth. J Pediatr 2021;
21. Hause AM, Baggs J, Marquez P, et al. COVID-19 Vaccine Safety in Children Aged 5-11 Years -
United States, November 3-December 19, 2021. Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021; 70(5152): 1755-60.
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22. Walter EB, Talaat KR, Sabharwal C, et al. Evaluation of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine in children
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23. Han B, Song Y, Li C, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2
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vaccine (CoronaVac) in healthy children and adolescents: a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase
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24. Xia S, Zhang Y, Wang Y, et al. Safety and immunogenicity of an inactivated COVID-19 vaccine,
BBIBP-CorV, in people younger than 18 years: a randomised, double-blind, controlled, phase 1/2 trial.
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25. Olson SM, Newhams MM, Halasa NB, et al. Effectiveness of Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA Vaccination
Against COVID-19 Hospitalization Among Persons Aged 12-18 Years-United States, June-September
27. Mallapaty S. China’s COVID vaccines have been crucial — now immunity is waning. Nature 2021:
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28. Zimmermann P, Pittet LF, Finn A, Pollard AJ, Curtis N. Should children be vaccinated against
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29. Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine in
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30. Jara A, Undurraga EA, Zubizarreta JR, et al. Effectiveness of Homologous and Heterologous Booster
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Shots for an Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine: A Large-Scale Observational Study. SSRN Preprint
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31. Cox DR. Regression models and life‐tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B
32. Robins JM, Hernan MA, Brumback B. Marginal structural models and causal inference in
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33. Cole SR, Hernán MA. Constructing inverse probability weights for marginal structural models.
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American journal of epidemiology 2008; 168(6): 656-64.
34. World Health Organization. Interim statement on COVID-19 vaccination for children and
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adolescents. 2021. https://bit.ly/3fZUqLu (accessed January 20 2022).
35. Christakis DA, Van Cleve W, Zimmerman FJ. Estimation of US Children’s Educational Attainment
and Years of Life Lost Associated With Primary School Closures During the Coronavirus Disease 2019
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Pandemic. JAMA Netw Open 2020; 3(11): e2028786-e.
36. Van Lancker W, Parolin Z. COVID-19, school closures, and child poverty: a social crisis in the
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making. Lancet Public Health 2020; 5(5): e243-e4.
37. Lopalco PL, DeStefano F. The complementary roles of Phase 3 trials and post-licensure surveillance
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in the evaluation of new vaccines. Vaccine 2015; 33(13): 1541-8.
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Table 1. Characteristics of the study cohort of children and adolescents affiliated to FONASA, overall, with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19, and the
proportion receiving one or more doses of Covid-19 vaccines, June 27, 2021 through January 12, 2022*
i e
Vaccinated
COVID-19 Unvaccinated One dose Two doses Three doses
v
Characteristic No. Col.% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row%
e
Total 1,976,344 100 14,282 0·7 274,042 13·9 138,041 7·0 1,430,124 72·4 134,137 6·8
r
Sex
r
Female 967,074 49·0 7,291 0·75 128,067 13·0 64,903 6·7 703,542 72·7 70,562 7·3
Male 1,009,270 51·0 6,991 0·69 145,975 14·0 73,138 7·2 726,582 72·0 63,575 6·3
e
Age group
e
6 185,179 9·4 992 0·5 43,852 24·0 20,757 11·0 120,569 65·1 1 0·0
tp
7 183,622 9·3 1,025 0·6 36,650 20·0 17,694 9·6 129,277 70·4 1 0·0
8 181,165 9·2 1,138 0·6 32,877 18·0 16,139 8·9 132,148 72·9 1 0·0
9 185,022 9·4 1,256 0·7 30,802 17·0 16,143 8·7 138,077 74·6 0 0·0
10 188,996 9·6 1,428 0·7 28,676 15·0 15,856 8·4 144,464 76·4 0 0·0
o
11 187,941 9·5 1,514 0·8 23,912 13·0 13,488 7·2 150,260 79·9 281 0·1
n
12 185,790 9·4 1,489 0·8 19,591 11·0 10,229 5·5 150,447 81·0 5,523 3·0
13 179,140 9·1 1,519 0·8 16,299 9·1 8,752 4·9 147,117 82·0 6,972 3·9
t
14 173,105 8·8 1,385 0·8 15,146 8·7 7,288 4·2 125,450 72·5 25,221 14·6
in
15 168,202 8·5 1,266 0·7 13,752 8·2 6,226 3·7 104,537 62·1 43,687 26·0
16 158,182 8·0 1,270 0·8 12,485 7·9 5,469 3·5 87,778 55·5 52,450 33·2
r
Comorbidities†
p
None 1,726,075 87·0 12,146 0·7 244,342 14·0 121,003 7·0 1,244,602 72·1 116,128 6·7
≥1 250,269 13·0 2,136 0·8 29,700 12·0 17,038 6·8 185,522 74·1 18,009 7·2
r e
Nationality
Chilean 1,917,024 97·0 14,044 0·7 260,369 14·0 134,454 7·0 1,391,052 72·6 131,149 6·8
P
Non-Chilean 59,320 3·0 238 0·4 13,673 23·0 3,587 6·0 39,072 65·9 2,988 5·0
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Notes. *Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019. The study cohort included children and adolescents 6-16 years of age affiliated with the Fondo Nacional de Salud
w
(FONASA), the national public health insurance program which collects, manages, and distributes funds for the public healthcare system in Chile. We excluded children or
e
adolescents with probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection before June 27, 2021, or if they had received any Covid-19 vaccine before June 27, 2021. The model also
i
included health insurance category (a proxy of family income), and location (16 regions). We found statistically significant differences (p<0·001) between Covid-19 patients
and the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups by sex, age group, comorbidities, nationality, region of residence, and category of health insurance. Additional details are shown in
v
Table S1. Covid-19 vaccines include CoronaVac and BNT162b2 (Table 2 and Table S3, respectively).
e
†Coexisting conditions included chronic kidney disease, diabetes mellitus types 1 and 2, cancer, congenital heart disease, HIV, epilepsy, hemophilia, asthma, cystic
r
fibrosis, juvenile idiopathic arthritis, and systemic lupus erythematosus.
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t n
r in
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Table 2. Effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine in preventing Covid-19 outcomes among children 6-16 years of age
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in the study cohort according to immunization status, June 27, 2021, through January 12, 2022*
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Person-days No. Incidence rate Weighted, standard Weighted, stratified
Covid-19
ev
CoronaVac (6-16 yr.) 118,833,107 2,998 0·0252 74·8 74·5
Hospitalization
Admission to ICU
p
*Participants were classified into two groups: those who were unvaccinated and those who were fully immunized (≥14 days after
tn
receipt of the second dose) with CoronaVac. The 13 days between vaccine administration and full immunization were excluded
from the at-risk person-time. We show the results for the standard and stratified versions of the Cox hazards model using inverse
probability of treatment weighting. Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019, CI denotes confidence intervals.
† The analysis was adjusted for age, sex, 16 regions of residence, health insurance category, nationality, and whether the patient
had underlying conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-19 in children.
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‡ A stratified version of the extended Cox proportional-hazards model was fit to test the robustness of the estimates to model
assumptions, stratifying by age, sex, region of residence, health insurance category (a proxy of household income), nationality,
and whether the patient had underlying conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-19, and coded as described in
Table 1.
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21
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4035405
Table 3. Effectiveness of the CoronaVac Covid-19 vaccine in preventing Covid-19 outcomes among children 6-11
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years of age in the study cohort according to immunization status, June 27, 2021, through January 12, 2022*
iew
Person-days No. Incidence rate Weighted, standard Weighted, stratified
Covid-19
ev
CoronaVac (6-11 yr.) 78,449,194 1,502 0·0191 75·8 75·8
Hospitalization
rr
Unvaccinated 155,434,360 61 0·0004 – –
ee
CoronaVac (6-11 yr.) 78,940,292 8 0·0001 78·5 77·9
*Participants were classified into two groups: those who were unvaccinated and those who were fully immunized (≥14 days after
p
receipt of the second dose) with CoronaVac. The 13 days between vaccine administration and full immunization were excluded
from the at-risk person-time. We show the results for the standard and stratified versions of the Cox hazards model using inverse
probability of treatment weighting. Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019, CI denotes confidence intervals. There were
ot
only six children 6-11 years admitted to the ICU in the unvaccinated group and none among those who received CoronaVac.
This results in an estimated 100.0% vaccine effectiveness for the prevention of Covid-19-related ICU admission, but more data
would most likely result in a lower estimate.
† The analysis was adjusted for age, sex, 16 regions of residence, health insurance category, nationality, and whether the patient
tn
had underlying conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-19 in children.
‡ A stratified version of the extended Cox proportional-hazards model was fit to test the robustness of the estimates to model
assumptions, stratifying by age, sex, region of residence, health insurance category (a proxy of household income), nationality,
and whether the patient had underlying conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-19, and coded as described in
Table 1.
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22
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ed
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p ee
Figure 1. Study participants and cohort eligibility, June 27, 2021, to January 12, 2022. Participants
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were between 6 to16 years of age, affiliated to the Fondo Nacional de Salud (FONASA), the public
national healthcare system, and vaccinated with a complete primary immunization (2 doses 28 days apart)
tn
with CoronaVac (6-16 years) or BNT162b2 (12-16 years) Covid-19 vaccines between June 27, 2021, and
January 12, 2022, or not receiving any Covid-19 vaccination. We excluded individuals who had probable
or confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) according to reverse-transcription polymerase-chain-
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reaction assay for SARS-Cov-2 or antigen test before June 27, 2021.
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
Abstract
OPEN ACCESS
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Author summary
On 11 May 2021, the WHO reclassified the B.1.617.2 variant as a “variant of concern”
(VOC) from being a “variant of interest”, considering its global public health significance.
On 21 May 2021, the first local case infected with the Delta variant (i.e. lineage B.1.617.2)
in Guangzhou, China, was reported. In response to the resurgence of COVID-19, the local
government implemented a series of containment measures. This provides a valuable
opportunity to understand the characteristics of the Delta variant and to evaluate the per-
formance of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines (BBIBP-CorV and CoronaVac) and other
interventions. We estimated that the median incubation period was 6.02 days and the
means of serial intervals decreased from 5.19 to 3.78 days. The incubation period
increased with age. The vaccination coverage in the COVID-19 cases was 15.3%. Clinical
symptoms were milder in cases with partial or full vaccination than in those who were
unvaccinated (odds ratio [OR] = 0.26). We found that the effective reproductive number
decreased from 6.83 for the 7-day time window ending on 27 May 2021 to below 1 for the
time window ending on 8 June and thereafter. Our findings have important implications
for the containment of COVID-19.
Introduction
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a serious threat to public health. Globally, there have
been over 186 million confirmed cases and 4.0 million deaths as of 11 July 2021 [1], and many
efforts, such as non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccination, have been imple-
mented to prevent and contain COVID-19. The emergence of severe acute respiratory syn-
drome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants has accelerated the spread of COVID-19 [2]. In
2021, explosive surges of SARS-CoV-2 occurred in India. Circulation of the Delta variant (i.e.
lineage B.1.617.2), which was first identified in India, may have contributed to the devastating
second wave of COVID-19 in India [3]. On 11 May 2021, the WHO reclassified the B.1.617.2
variant as a “variant of concern” (VOC) from being a “variant of interest”, considering its
global public health significance [4]. The variant has invaded more than 110 countries, territo-
ries, and areas [1]. Meanwhile, this variant accounts for a large proportion of the newly
sequenced and genotyped SARS-CoV-2 cases in some locations, such as England (>90%) [5].
Understanding the epidemiological characteristics and clinical severity of the SARS-CoV-2
Delta variant would help inform targeted interventions for containing the spread of COVID-
19.
Population movement is a critical influential factor of COVID-19 transmission [6]. Guang-
zhou is an important transportation hub in southern China, with over 15 million permanent
residents and mass population mobility. In the first five months of 2021, around 2,000 passen-
gers were arriving in Guangzhou from abroad each day. The city is at high risk for COVID-19
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
transmission from imported cases from abroad [7]. There were, on average, eight COVID-19
cases imported from abroad every day and no local case was reported between 1 January and
20 May 2021. On 21 May, a local case infected with the Delta variant was reported in Guang-
zhou [8]. In response to the resurgence of COVID-19, the local government implemented a
series of containment measures, including vaccination programs, case finding through mass
tests for COVID-19, case isolation, as well as other social distancing interventions. Timely
assessment of the epidemiological features of the cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the pre-
vention and control measures would provide better preparedness for the COVID-19 outbreak
caused by highly infectious variants [9].
Several studies have reported promising vaccine efficacy results based on data collected
from clinical trials. More real-world data are needed to elucidate vaccine effectiveness [10]. As
of 31 May, over 10 million residents (vaccination coverage: around 67%) in Guangzhou had
received COVID-19 vaccines (BBIBP-CorV or CoronaVac), among whom, more than three
million residents had been fully vaccinated [11]. This provides a valuable opportunity to evalu-
ate the performance of the authorised inactivated COVID-19 vaccines. Herein, we describe the
epidemiological characteristics of the cases infected with SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guang-
zhou and evaluate the implemented containment measures.
Methods
Ethics statement
This study was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of Guangzhou CDC (No:
GZCDC-ECHR-2020P0019). Consent to participate was waived since anonymous information
was used.
Data collection
The Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) provided the individual
data of all SARS-CoV-2 infections reported between 21 May and 24 June 2021 in Guangzhou.
Nasal and throat swabs were collected for COVID-19 tests. Cases were confirmed to be SARS--
CoV-2 infections using real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR,
S1 File). The individual information included sex, age, occupation class (people who have
retired and the unemployed, preschool children, students, healthcare workers, others), possible
infection date, type of exposure (family, having been at the same restaurant with a confirmed
case, others), type of detection (tracing of close contacts, mass screening, hospital screening),
date of illness onset (the date of symptom onset for the symptomatic cases and the date of sam-
ple collection for the first positive test of asymptomatic cases), clinical severity (asymptomatic,
mild, moderate, severe, and critical according to the criteria proposed by the National Health
Commission of the People’s Republic of China [12], S1 Table).
Seventy-five cases who did not have information on the exact infection date and who did
not have symptoms were excluded when estimating the incubation period (i.e. the time delay
from infection to symptom onset) distribution in the main analysis. A transmission pair was
defined as two confirmed COVID-19 cases that had clear epidemiological links with each
other, i.e. one case (infectee) was infected by the other (infector). Asymptomatic infectees and
the infectees whose infectors were asymptomatic were excluded when estimating the serial
interval (i.e. the delay between symptom onset dates of successive cases in transmission pairs)
distribution. Symptom onset dates of 67 transmission pairs were used to estimate the serial
interval distribution (S1 Fig).
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Statistical analysis
The median and range were calculated for the continuous variable of age, and proportions
were provided for categorical variables. We estimated the incubation period distribution by fit-
ting a lognormal, gamma, and Weibull distribution to the data using the maximum likelihood
method and selected the distribution with the smallest value of Akaike Information Criteria
(AIC). The serial interval distributions were estimated by fitting normal distributions [13,14].
We estimated the distributions of serial intervals for the entire study period and for nine differ-
ent time windows (i.e. eight running time windows with a fixed length of 14 days and the last
one was from 26 May through 24 June, making sure that all of the time windows contained at
least 30 data points of serial intervals). We assessed the association between age and incubation
period using a gamma regression model with a log link (according to the selected distribution
for incubation period), while the associations between age (of infector and infectee) and serial
interval were examined in linear regression models, after controlling for the effects of calendar
time.
Previous studies have suggested that the instantaneous reproductive number is a better
choice to examine the effectiveness of control measures compared with the case reproductive
number [15]. In this study, we estimated the instantaneous effective reproductive number Rt
(the average number of secondary cases arising from a typical primary infection [16]) to reflect
the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 and to evaluate the performance of interventions imple-
mented during this outbreak. The Rt was estimated as:
It
Rt ¼ P t
s¼1 It�s ws
where It was the number of incident cases at time t and ws was estimated with the time-varying
distributions of serial intervals [17]. When the time step of data is small, the estimates of Rt can
be highly variable and it would be difficult to interpret the results. To deal with this problem,
we estimated the Rt over a 7-day time window assuming that the Rt remains constant within
the same time window. Such estimate reflects the average transmissibility for the time window
of one week. We present the Rt for the time window ending on 27 May and thereafter, since
the estimates may be unstable at the very beginning of the outbreak with few cases [15].
We categorized the COVID-19 cases into two groups based on their vaccination status
(Group 1: unvaccinated; Group 2: partially or fully vaccinated [infection occurred �21 days
after dose 1]; 16 cases with indeterminate vaccination status [infection occurred <21 days
after dose 1 or the time interval between the infection date and the vaccination date was
unclear] were excluded). The differences in the clinical severity of the local cases by vaccina-
tion status were evaluated using an ordinal logistic regression model after controlling for the
potentially confounding effect of age.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted to check the robustness of (1) the estimate of incubation
period distribution (1a) assuming that the incubation period followed the distributions which
were not corresponding to the smallest AIC; (1b) including seven additional cases with the
information of possible exposure dates or exposure windows; (2) the association between age
and incubation period using the models with three independent variables of age, calendar
time, and one potentially influential factor (i.e. occupation, type of exposure or clinical sever-
ity) which was statistically significant in bivariate regression models (with calendar time and
one potentially influential factor as the independent variables). All analyses were conducted
using R software (version 4.1.0; R Foundation for Statistical Computing).
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Results
On 18 May 2021, a 75-year-old woman (Case #1) showed symptoms and sought professional
help in a hospital. Later, on 21 May, the woman was confirmed to be infected with the Delta
VOC. She was the first local case infected with this variant in Guangzhou (Fig 1). SARS-CoV-2
was transmitted from the woman to her friend Case #3 and a waitress (reported outside
Guangzhou) when they were having a meal in a restaurant. Her husband was also infected.
Case #3 brought SARS-CoV-2 to seven family members and eight friends when having a meal
in a restaurant and dancing with friends. Case #19, who infected as many as 16 residents, was
Fig 1. Number of COVID-19 cases by date of illness onset and effective reproductive number in Guangzhou, China. (A) Number of COVID-19 cases by date of
illness onset. (B) Estimated effective reproductive number by ending date of 7-day time window and cumulative number of cases by date of illness onset. The blue
line shows the point estimates of the effective reproductive number and the light blue region represent the 95% credible intervals. Points represent the daily
cumulative number of cases. # Social distancing interventions included school closure, banning of public gatherings, traffic control, prohibition of dining in
restaurants. � Mass tests for COVID-19 was done from 4 to 6 June 2021.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.g001
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Fig 2. Transmission network of the infections of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant. A total of 101 and 13 cases reported in Guangzhou and other cities with
information for determining the generation are presented. Cases without a clear epidemiological link with the confirmed cases and the ones whose infector did not
have a clear exposure history were not included.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.g002
one of Case #3’s friends (Fig 2). In this outbreak, a total of seven generations were found to be
associated with the transmission chain initiated by the first infection of the Delta variant (Fig
2). The number of cases increased gradually from the start of this outbreak and peaked on 1
June with 16 residents showing symptoms or testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 on that day.
Thereafter, the number of cases fluctuated and showed a decreasing trend (Fig 1). From 19
June through 24 June 2021, no local case has been reported in Guangzhou.
From 21 May to 24 June 2021, there were 153 local cases reported in Guangzhou (symp-
tomatic cases: 146 [95.4%]; asymptomatic infections: 7 [4.6%]). The median age of the local
cases was 48 (range: 1–94) years, and males accounted for 41.2% of these cases (Table 1). More
than half of the cases were people who had retired and the unemployed. Preschool children,
students, healthcare workers, and others represented 3.3%, 16.3%, 2.6%, and 26.8% of the local
cases, respectively. During the study period, 24 (15.7%), 113 (73.9%), 0 (0.0%), and 9 (5.9%) of
the patients had mild, moderate, severe, and critical disease severity, respectively (Table 1).
We identified 103 cases with a clear exposure history: 53 (51.5%) were observed within fam-
ily households, 36 (35.0%) took place in restaurants, and 14 (13.6%) were linked via other
exposures (Table 1). Results suggested that the gamma distribution fitted best to the incubation
period in terms of AIC (S2 Table). The mean and median incubation periods and were 6.50
(95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.86–7.20) and 6.02 (95% CI: 5.42–6.71) days, respectively. The
95th percentile of the incubation periods was 12.27 (95% CI: 10.68–13.84) days. As for the serial
interval, the mean and standard deviation were 4.24 (95% CI: 3.35–5.14) and 3.95 (95% CI:
3.23–4.61) days, respectively (Fig 3) for the entire study period. In addition, we found that the
means of serial intervals of different time windows decreased gradually from 5.19 (95% CI:
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Table 1. The characteristics of the COVID-19 cases in Guangzhou, China, reported from 21 May through 24 June
2021.
Characteristics Cases (n = 153)
Male sex—no. (%) 63/153 (41.2)
Median age (range)—years 48 (1, 94)
Age group (years)—no. (%)
�18 28/153 (18.3)
19–59 72/153 (47.1)
60–70 19/153 (12.4)
�70 34/153 (22.2)
Occupation—no. (%)
People who have retired at home and the unemployed 78/153 (51.0)
Preschool children 5/153 (3.3)
Students 25/153 (16.3)
Healthcare workers 4/153 (2.6)
Others 41/153 (26.8)
Type of exposure—no. (%)
Family 53/103 (51.5)
Exposure to the same restaurant with a confirmed case 36/103 (35.0)
Others 14/103 (13.6)
Type of detection—no. (%)
Tracing of close contacts 99/153 (64.7)
Mass screening 46/153 (30.1)
Hospital screening 8/153 (5.2)
Clinical severity—no. (%)
Asymptomatic 7/153 (4.6)
Mild 24/153 (15.7)
Moderate 113/153 (73.9)
Severe 0/153 (0.0)
Critical 9/153 (5.9)
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.t001
4.29–6.11) to 3.78 (95% CI: 2.74–4.81) days (S3 Table). The incubation period was positively
associated with age (P<0.001, S4 Table), while the associations between age (of infector and
infectee) and serial interval were statistically non-significant (S5 and S6 Tables).
In response to the COVID-19 outbreak, the local government formulated a hierarchical
prevention and control strategy to suppress community transmission. Generally speaking,
Guangzhou was divided into three areas according to the risk level of SARS-CoV-2 transmis-
sion. The core areas were the cluster areas in which many COVID-19 cases were reported. The
warning zones were the places in which sporadic cases have been found. Other areas were low-
risk areas. The level of response to COVID-19 increased with the risk level, with the most rig-
orous interventions taking place in the areas with the highest level of transmission risk. A
series of NPIs and vaccinations were implemented during this outbreak (Fig 1 and S7 Table).
Notably, one of the most important measures was case finding through mass tests for COVID-
19 among residents in the core areas, warning zones and then the low-risk areas. By 6 June
2021, the entire population of the city had been tested for COVID-19. As of 12 June, over 36
million samples had been collected for SARS-CoV-2 tests. In the core areas and warning
zones, multiple rRT-PCR tests have been performed. Vaccination is another important mea-
sure for the containment of COVID-19. On 31 May, mass vaccination was stopped and the
focus was shifted to case finding through mass tests for COVID-19. However, vaccination was
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Fig 3. Incubation period and serial interval distributions of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou, China.
The blue lines represent the estimated distribution densities. Data of 78 cases and 67 transmission pairs were used to
estimate the incubation period and serial interval distributions, respectively.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.g003
restarted on 6 June for individuals who did not live in the core areas and had received one shot
21 days before 6 June. By 24 June, 10.77 million residents had been vaccinated, among whom,
8.72 million had been fully vaccinated. Other interventions included quarantine for high-risk
groups, rigorous inspection (e.g. requiring residents to show health codes, measuring body
temperature), requiring wearing masks, limiting public gatherings, etc (S7 Table). In this out-
break, 99 cases (64.7%) were in close contact with confirmed cases, while 46 (30.1%) were
detected through mass screening (Table 1). With these efforts, Rt decreased rapidly from 6.83
(95% credible interval [CrI]: 3.98–10.44) for the 7-day time window ending on 27 May 2021 to
below 1 for the time window ending on 8 June and thereafter (Fig 1).
We found that 21 cases were partially or fully vaccinated before infection (15.3%) among
the 137 cases (excluding the 16 cases with indeterminate vaccination status, Table 2). Clinical
symptoms were milder in the partially or fully vaccinated cases than the unvaccinated group
(odds ratio [OR] = 0.26 [95% CI: 0.07–0.94], Table 3). Notably, no critical cases were observed
in those who had been partially or fully vaccinated, while 9/116 of the unvaccinated cases were
critical cases (Table 2).
Results of sensitivity analysis suggested that the estimates of mean, median and 95th percen-
tile of incubation periods were similar to the ones in the main analysis (S8 Table). The associa-
tions of incubation period with occupation and type of exposure were statistically significant
in bivariate regression models (S9 Table). Age was positively associated with incubation period
in the model with an additional inclusion of occupation and the one with type of exposure
(S10 and S11 Tables).
Discussion
In this study, we provided a detailed description of the first community transmission of the
SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China, providing important epidemiological parame-
ters of this outbreak. We found that 4.6% of the cases during the study period were asymptom-
atic, a figure lower than the 15.6% reported in a previous systematic review [18]. The
difference in age structure and definitions of asymptomatic and symptomatic cases may
explain the variation in the proportion of asymptomatic infections. We estimated that the
mean and median incubation periods were 6.50 and 6.02 days, respectively, which were slightly
longer than the pooled estimates of the mean (6.3 days) and median incubation periods (5.4
days) of preexisting strains reported in a systematic review and meta-analysis [19]. The
Note. Numbers in brackets were proportions. 16 cases with indeterminate vaccination status (infection occurred <21
days after dose 1 or the time interval between infection date and vaccination date was unclear) were excluded.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.t002
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
Table 3. Results of an ordinal logistic regression model assessing the association between vaccination status and
clinical severity.
Variables Odds ratio (95% confidence interval) t P
Age 1.11 (1.08–1.15) 5.940 <0.001
Vaccination status
Unvaccinated Reference
Partially or fully vaccinated 0.26 (0.07–0.94) -2.025 0.043
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010048.t003
difference may be due to not only the biological discrepancy in the circulating strains, but also
the definitions of symptom onset date and possible infection date, and the approach of estima-
tion [19,20,21,22]. Consistent with a prior study in Singapore [21], we found that the incuba-
tion period was positively associated with age. The longer incubation period observed in the
old cases probably resulted from a slower immune response in the elderly [21,23]. The higher
proportion of old cases (22.2% of the local cases were aged 70 years and older) in this outbreak
may in part contribute to a longer incubation period than that for the transmission in 2020 in
30 provinces of China [24]. Older age of the subjects in the present study may also explain why
our estimate of the mean of incubation period was larger than 5.8 days which was reported in
a study of the Delta variant [25]. We found that the maximum incubation period was 15 days,
which indicated that longer quarantine periods (>14 days) would be required for extreme
cases [26].
Seven generations were found to be associated with the transmission chain initiated by the
first infection of the Delta variant in approximately 20 days, which indicated that this variant
may be transmitted rapidly. A previous study in the United Kingdom reported that the house-
hold transmission rate associated with the Delta variant was higher than that of the Alpha vari-
ant, which was found to have a 43–90% higher reproductive number than the preexisting
strains [27,28]. In England, the first confirmed case of the Delta variant was detected in late
March 2021, and this variant accounted for more than 90% of all new cases at the end of May
2021 [28,29], which also suggested its potential for high transmissibility. Our study estimated
that the mean and standard deviation of serial intervals were 4.24 and 3.95 days, respectively
for the entire study period. A substantial fraction of secondary transmission was likely to
occur prior to illness onset given the shorter serial interval compared with the incubation
period [30]. Our estimate of the mean serial interval was larger than that for the strains circu-
lating in early 2020 in China (3.66 days for the locally infected) [14] and the Delta variant cir-
culating in Daejeon, South Korea (3.26 days) [31]. In addition, we estimated that the means of
serial intervals of different time windows decreased from 5.19 to 3.78 days. Shorten estimates
of means of serial intervals over time were also reported in previous studies [17,25]. The esti-
mate of Rt is influenced by the mean and standard deviation of serial interval. A larger mean of
serial interval may lead to a higher Rt, while a larger standard deviation may result in a Rt
which is closer to 1 [17]. Therefore, estimating Rt for the Delta VOC using the estimate of pre-
existing strains may introduce bias.
In this study, we estimated the Rt based on the time-varying distributions of serial intervals
and found that Rt declined from 6.83 for the time window ending on 27 May 2021 to below 1
for the time window ending on 8 June and thereafter, which suggested that the interventions
in Guangzhou were timely and effective. It is worth noting that the estimated Rt should be
interpreted in the context of reduced transmission with great efforts, including social distanc-
ing interventions and mass vaccination programs in Guangzhou.
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
In this outbreak, 94.8% of COVID-19 cases were detected among close contacts of con-
firmed cases and through mass screening of residents. This finding suggests that case finding
through mass tests for COVID-19 and case isolation are of great importance for the control of
COVID-19 when the implementation is feasible. It is recommended to implement mass
screening to detect the COVID-19 cases when some cases of unknown origin occur and it
seems that the pathogen spreads.
Vaccination is an important intervention for the prevention and control of infectious dis-
eases. Randomized-controlled trials and observational studies have revealed vaccine efficacy/
effectiveness ranging from 50–95% against symptomatic COVID-19 caused by preexisting
strains, including the Alpha variant [10,32,33]. A recent study in the United States indicated
that the adjusted effectiveness of the authorised mRNA vaccines in preventing SARS-CoV-2
infection was 91% and 81% with full vaccination and partial vaccination, respectively, when
administered in real-world conditions [34]. In Chile, the effectiveness of CoronaVac was
65.9%, 87.5%, and 90.3% for the prevention of infection, hospitalization, and ICU admission
for the individuals with fully immunized [35]. In Guangzhou, the vaccination coverage of the
whole population (67%) was approximately 2.4 times higher than the coverage of COVID-19
cases (15.3%). In this study, we found that the partially or fully vaccinated cases generally had
milder symptoms than those in the unvaccinated group after controlling for age. In addition,
Li et al. conducted a test-negative case-control study to assess the effectiveness of inactivated
vaccines among residents aged 18–59 in Guangzhou using the close contacts of confirmed
cases as controls [36]. Results suggested that the overall vaccine effectiveness for two-dose vac-
cination was 59.0% against COVID-19 and 70.2% against moderate COVID-19. These data
further implied that the authorised inactivated vaccines are probably capable of protecting
people from the Delta VOC, and vaccination can reduce the probability of the occurrence of
severe disease. In Guangzhou, the target population of vaccination was mainly residents aged
18–59 years without contraindications during the study period. Currently, the vaccination is
free for residents aged 12 years of age and older in China, as more evidence has proved that the
authorised inactivated COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective [37–40]. Mass screening and
vaccination are labour-intensive, especially when the two measures are implemented at the
same time. In China, community health centers and hospitals organize the mass screening and
vaccination, with great support from volunteers.
We found that 37 vaccinated individuals were infected in this outbreak. Vaccine break-
through infections were also reported in other locations [41,42,43]. Nevertheless, the vaccine
breakthrough infections only occurred in a small percentage of vaccinated individuals, mean-
while, these cases merely represented a small fraction of COVID-19 cases [41]. COVID-19 vac-
cination is still an effective measure to prevent infection, severe illness, and death [42]. Given
that the infections can occur in vaccinated individuals, personal protection measures, such as
wearing masks in indoor public settings where the transmission risk of COVID-19 is high, are
still needed [42].
We found that 51.5% of the transmission pairs had a family bound. Consistently, transmis-
sion within family households was the most frequent in the first wave of COVID-19 in Guang-
zhou and Hong Kong [44,45]. SARS-CoV-2 transmission in restaurants has been reported
previously [46]. Improving ventilation and increasing the distance between tables may reduce
the infection risk [46]. Eating at restaurants was restricted in this outbreak, which has in part
mitigated the transmission of COVID-19.
Our study had some limitations. First, our analysis mainly focused on the characteristics of
the cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection reported in Guangzhou, since some important information
(e.g. symptom onset date, clinical severity, and vaccination status) of the cases reported in
other cities was not available. Second, the infection and symptom onset dates were reported by
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
the patients and the infection dates were not clear for some COVID-19 cases. Also, some trans-
mission pairs were not determined. Potential bias may influence the estimates of the incuba-
tion period, serial interval, and Rt. Third, we did not account for pre-symptomatic
transmission when estimating Rt. This will be addressed in future studies. Next, we did not
evaluate a specific intervention in this study but the combination of various control measures,
since these interventions were implemented simultaneously, and it was difficult to distinguish
their effects. In addition, it would be more informative if averted number of COVID-19 cases
attributable to the interventions can be provided. Further studies will quantify the effects using
mathematical and statistical models. Last, possibly insufficient sample size can affect the statis-
tical power and the conclusion. For instance, the sample size for the inference of the effect of
vaccination status on clinical severity may be not sufficient. More solid evidence will be avail-
able with real-world data from a large sample size.
In conclusion, the hierarchical prevention and control strategy against COVID-19 in
Guangzhou was timely and effective. Case finding through mass tests for COVID-19 and case
isolation are important for the containment of SARS-CoV-2 transmission if the implementa-
tion is feasible. Receiving the authorised inactivated vaccines may reduce the probability of
developing severe disease after infection. It is recommended that eligible individuals be vacci-
nated to better protect themselves against COVID-19. Our findings have important implica-
tions for the containment of COVID-19.
Supporting information
S1 File. Real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction.
(DOCX)
S1 Fig. Data on incubation period and serial interval used in the main analysis.
(TIF)
S1 Table. Definitions of cases with different clinical severity.
(XLSX)
S2 Table. Values of Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) for three distributions fitted to
incubation periods.
(XLSX)
S3 Table. Estimates of means and standard deviations of serial intervals for different time
windows.
(XLSX)
S4 Table. Results of the model which assessed the association between age and incubation
period in the main analysis.
(XLSX)
S5 Table. Results of the model which examined the association between age of infector and
serial interval.
(XLSX)
S6 Table. Results of the model which evaluated the association between age of infectee and
serial interval.
(XLSX)
S7 Table. Interventions for the areas of different transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2.
(XLSX)
PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES Transmission and containment of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou
S8 Table. Estimates of the means, medians and 95th percentiles of incubation periods in
the sensitivity analysis.
(XLSX)
S9 Table. Results of bivariate regression models for incubation period.
(XLSX)
S10 Table. Results of the model which assessed the association between age and incubation
period with an adjustment of occupation.
(XLSX)
S11 Table. Results of the model which examined the association between age and incuba-
tion period with an adjustment of type of exposure.
(XLSX)
Acknowledgments
We thank staff members of Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention for admin-
istrative work and data collection.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization: Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
Data curation: Zhi-Gang Han, Peng-Zhe Qin, Wen-Hui Liu, Zong-Qiu Chen, Ke Li, Chao-
Jun Xie, Yu Ma, Hui Wang, Yong Huang, Shu-Jun Fan.
Formal analysis: Li Li, Zhou Yang, Ze-Lin Yan.
Funding acquisition: Li Li, Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
Investigation: Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
Methodology: Li Li, Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
Project administration: Wen-Hui Liu.
Supervision: Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
Writing – original draft: Li Li, Zhi-Gang Han, Peng-Zhe Qin, Wen-Hui Liu.
Writing – review & editing: Li Li, Zhi-Gang Han, Peng-Zhe Qin, Wen-Hui Liu, Zhou Yang,
Zong-Qiu Chen, Ke Li, Chao-Jun Xie, Yu Ma, Hui Wang, Yong Huang, Shu-Jun Fan, Ze-
Lin Yan, Chun-Quan Ou, Lei Luo.
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DOI: 10.1111/1756-185X.14279
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
KEYWORDS
COVID-19, pediatrics, rheumatology, SARS-CoV-2, vaccines
© 2022 Asia Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd
2 | HASLAK et AL.
In our country, in January 2021, healthcare professionals, and in 2.2 | Statistical analysis
February 2021, patients with chronic health conditions, those older
than 18, were started to be vaccinated by 2 doses of CoronaVac The statistical analysis was performed using SPSS for Windows,
inactive SARS-CoV-2 with a 1-month interval. Afterward, the third version 21.0 (SPSS Inc). Categorical variables were expressed as
dose |was
1118 allowed for both
CORONAVAC groups
| O QUE in July 2021.
A CIÊNCIA Citizens were able
COMPROVA numbers (percentages). Ages of the patients were given as median
Artigo
HASLAK et AL. | 3
(minimum-maximum), based on their distribution which was meas- penicillin prophylaxis. Twenty-two patients with IRD excluding the
ured by using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Categorical variables ARF were in remission, and they were not receiving any treatment
were compared by using Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test, when except non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs.
available. Ages of the patients were compared using the Mann- Before their vaccinations, 44 subjects recovered from COVID-19
Whitney U or Kruskal-Wallis test, when appropriate. Statistical sig- (FMF, 18; JIA, 9; HC, 7; SLE, 5; ARF, 3; DM, 1; GPA, 1) (Table 1). While
nificance was defined as P <.05. Prism software (Prism 8, GraphPad 4 of the recovered ones (HC, 2; JIA, 1; SLE, 1) had asymptomatic
Software) was used to analyze and graph data. infection, the rest had mild COVID-19 symptoms. None of them had
a severe clinical course.
While 214 subjects received BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine (FMF,
3 | R E S U LT S 106; JIA, 49; HC, 19; SLE, 14; DM, 10; ARF, 4; CAPS, 2; scleroderma,
2; KD, 1; HSP, 1; BD, 1; DADA2, 1; Sjögren, 1; TA, 1; GPA, 1; BS, 1),
3.1 | Study population 28 received inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (FMF, 16; JIA, 5; HC, 3;
SLE, 2; DADA2, 1; scleroderma, 1), and 4 received both (FMF, 1; BD,
Following the link of our web-based survey that was shared on our 1; TA, 1; HC, 1) (Table 1).
clinic's online social media platforms, 466 participants fulfilled the Out of 246 subjects, 145 received a single dose of BNT162b2
questions. Those who stated that they were not vaccinated (n = 181) mRNA vaccine, 19 received a single dose of inactivated SARS-CoV-2
were not included in the study. Among those who stated they were vaccine, 69 received double doses of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, 8
vaccinated, those who could not be reached by phone (n = 19), received double doses of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, 3 re-
whose follow-up period was <1 year (n = 8) and whose data could ceived double doses of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine plus a single
not be verified via the national registries, medical records of our de- dose of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine, 1 received double doses of inac-
partment or phone calls (n = 12) were excluded. tivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine plus double doses of BNT162b2 mRNA
Finally, 246 subjects (141 females) were eligible for the study. The vaccine, and 1 received 3 doses of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine.
median age was 15.34 (12.02-20.92) years. Twenty-three participants
whose parents stated in the survey that they did not have any chronic
diseases, and whose medical records were checked and confirmed by 3.2 | Adverse events
phone calls that they did not have any underlying disease or long-term
medication were considered the healthy control (HC) group. COVID-19 vaccine-related adverse events reported by the partic-
In the study group there were 126 patients with autoinflam- ipants and their families were as follows: fatigue (n = 68, 27.6%),
matory diseases (AID) (familial Mediterranean fever [FMF], 123; headache (n = 44, 17.9%), myalgia (n = 38, 15.4%), arthralgia (n = 38,
cryopyrin-associated periodic syndrome [CAPS], 2; Blau syndrome 15.4%), fever (n = 35, 14.2%), nausea-vomiting (n = 19, 7.7%), diar-
[BS]), 54 patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) (oligoarticu- rhea (n = 16, 6.5%), anorexia (n = 16, 6.5%), chest pain (n = 14, 5.7%),
lar JIA [oJIA], 43; juvenile spondylarthritis [jSPA], 8; polyarticular JIA abdominal pain (n = 11, 4.5%), rhinorrhea (n = 8, 3.3%), arthritis
[pJIA]), 30 patients with connective tissue disease (CTD) (systemic (n = 8, 3.3%), cough (n = 8, 3.3%), dyspnea (n = 6, 2.4%), throat ache
lupus erythematosus [SLE], 16; dermatomyositis [DM], 10; sclero- (n = 5, 2%), rash (n = 3, 1.2%), anosmia (n = 2, 0.8%), hypertension
derma, 3; Sjögren’s syndrome, 1), 9 patients with vasculitis (Behçet’s (n = 1, 0.4%), and hypotension (n = 1, 0.4%) (Figure 1).
disease [BD], 2; deficiency of adenosine deaminase 2 [DADA2], Three subjects were considered to have severe adverse events,
2; Takayasu arteritis [TA], 2; granulomatous polyangiitis [GPA], 1; since they required hospitalization and additional treatment:
Henoch-Schönlein purpura [HSP], 2; Kawasaki disease [KD]) and 4 20.2 years-aged female patient with FMF who developed hyperten-
patients with acute rheumatic fever (ARF) (Table 1). sion (2 weeks remained) after the second dose of BNT162b2 mRNA
During their vaccination periods, 128 patients were receiving vaccine; 12.1 years-aged female with no underlying disease who
colchicine (FMF, 123; CAPS, 2; BD, 2; DADA2, 1); 49 conventional experienced severe rash after the first dose of BNT162b2 mRNA
disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (cDMARDs) (methotrexate vaccine; and 13.7 years-aged male patient with FMF who developed
[MTX], 22 [JIA, 12; DM, 7; scleroderma, 2; SLE, 1]; hydroxychloro- pre-syncope due to hypotension after the first dose of BNT162b2
quine [HCQ], 21 [SLE, 16; DM, 3; Sjögren, 1; scleroderma, 1]; leflun- mRNA vaccine.
omide, 10 [JIA; 9; SLE, 1]; mycophenolate mofetil [MMF]; 6 [SLE, 3; All the adverse events but hypertension recovered in THE first
scleroderma, 2; DM, 1]; cyclosporine; 3 [DM; 3]; cyclophosphamide, 4 days. There was no adverse event after the administration of the
1 [SLE; 1]), 43 biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bD- second dose of CoronaVac inactive SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. Adverse
MARDs) (etanercept, 16 [JIA, 12; DM, 2; DADA2, 2]; adalimumab, event frequencies according to days and vaccine doses are given in
10 [JIA, 10]; canakinumab, 8 [FMF, 7; CAPS, 1]; tocilizumab, 6 [JIA; Figure 2. Local reactions after the vaccines were seen in 20 subjects
2; TA, 2; scleroderma, 2]; anakinra, 2 [FMF, 1; CAPS, 1]; rituximab, (JIA, 8; FMF, 7; HC, 3; DM, 1; BS, 1). Local reaction frequencies ac-
1 [SLE, 1]); 21 systemic steroids (JIA, 10; SLE, 6; DM, 2; DADA2, 1; cording to vaccine doses are also given in Figure 2.
BD, 1; scleroderma, 1); and 6 patients were receiving acetyl-salicylic Twenty-seven patients experienced disease flare within 1 month
acid (SLE, 5; DADA2, 1) (Table 1). Four patients with ARF were under after the vaccination (after the first dose of BNT162b2 mRNA
|
Healthy controls Patients with AID Patients with JIA Patients with CTD Patients with vasculitis Patients with ARF
(n = 23) (n = 126) (n = 54) (n = 30) (n = 9) (n = 4)
Age, y (median, min-max) 15.67 (12.04-19.94) 15.09 (12.06-20.72) 15.41 (12.06-20.64) 16.89 (12.49-20.64) 15.58 (12.02-20.92) 15.42 (13.71-18.1)
Gender
Artigo
HASLAK et AL. | 5
Abbreviations: AID, autoinflammatory diseases; ARF, acute rheumatic fever; ASA, acetylsalicylic acid; BD, Behçet disease; bDMARDs, biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs; BS, Blau syndrome;
spondylarthritis; KD, Kawasaki disease; MMF, mycophenolate mofetil; MTX, methotrexate; oJIA, oligoarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis; pJIA, polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis; SLE, systemic
after the first dose of CoronaVac inactive SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, 3)
Patients with ARF
CAPS, cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes; cDMARDs, conventional disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs; CTD, connective tissue disease; DADA2, deficiency of adenosine deaminase 2; DM,
(FMF, 15; JIA, 10; SLE, 2). Among those who experienced disease
dermatomyositis; FMF, familial Mediterranean fever; GPA, granulomatous polyangiitis; HCQ, hydroxychloroquine; HSP, Henoch-Schönlein purpura; JIA, juvenile idiopathic arthritis; jSPA, juvenile
flare, all patients with FMF presented with typical attacks (fever, ab-
4 (100%)
dominal pain, chest pain, and/or arthralgia), and all JIA patients de-
2 (50%)
2 (50%)
(n = 4)
3 (33.3%)
6 (66.7%)
1 (11.1%)
9 (100%)
(n = 9)
given in Table 2.
28 (93.3%)
21 (70%)
1 (3.3%)
2 (6.7%)
(n = 30)
9 (30%)
3 (10%)
10 (18.5%)
33 (61.1%)
8 (14.8%)
4 | DISCUSSION
111 (88.1%)
56 (44.4%)
16 (12.7%)
15 (11.9%)
(n = 126)
68 (54%)
1 (0.8%)
8 (6.3%)
2 (1.6%)
tients with FMF under colchicine treatment and a healthy child were
12 (52.2%)
3 (13%)
3 (13%)
MARDs treatment.
Disease flare within 1 month
Adverse events
Severe, n (%)
Yes, n (%)
No, n (%)
6 | HASLAK et AL.
While adverse events were significantly more common among Vaccine Registry.19,22 For accurate data regarding the disease
the subjects who received the mRNA vaccine than those who re- flares, studies involving disease activity scores in all age groups are
ceived the inactive vaccine, there was no significant impact of age, required.
gender, the existing diseases, ongoing treatments including DMARDs, Frequencies of local and systemic reactions caused by BNT162b2
and pre-vaccination COVID-19 histories on the adverse event fre- COVID-19 mRNA vaccines were noted as 74% and 19%, respec-
quency. The most common adverse events were fatigue, headache, tively, in a recent study that involved 21 adolescents with JIA aged
myalgia, arthralgia, and fever, respectively. Local reactions were 16-21 years under anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) treatment.
seen in 20 (8.13%) participants. Consistent with our findings, fatigue, Disease flares or serious adverse events were seen in none of the
headache, and muscle or joint pain were the most common vaccine- subjects. Although this study had a limited count of patients, it pro-
related systemic symptoms in the studies that enrolled adult patients vided the first data on the vaccination of adolescent with IRD. 23 In
with IRD.19,20 Similarly, to the original phase 3 trial of the BNT162b2 our cohort, adverse events were seen in 10 of 26 patients under anti-
COVID-19 mRNA vaccine, local pain in the injection site, fatigue and TNF treatment and 21 of 54 patients with JIA, and similarly, none of
headache were the most common adverse events in a study that in- them were serious.
volved healthy adults and adult patients with SLE and rheumatoid ar- In a phase 4 trial that evaluated immunogenicity and safety of
thritis. While reactogenicity was more frequent in the patient group, the CoronaVac inactivated vaccine in adult patients with IRD, the
adverse events were not more severe than in the control group.21 most common systemic reactions were somnolence, headache, fa-
Out of 27 (11%) patients who had disease flare within a 1-month tigue, and arthralgia, and none of them were moderate or severe.
period after the vaccines, those with JIA and MCTD required treat- Systemic reaction frequencies after the first and second dose of
ment modification, unlike 15 patients with FMF. Moreover, disease the vaccine were 43.3%, and 33.4%, respectively. 24 Apart from
flare frequency was not different between biologic and non-biologic local reactions, adverse events such as diarrhea, myalgia, arthritis,
groups. Among the studies conducted in adult patients with IRD, anosmia, anorexia, abdominal pain, rash, chest pain, and headache
while disease flare rate was 13.4% in the COVID-19 Global Alliance were seen in 7 of 32 CoronaVac inactivated vaccine administrations
of Rheumatology Vaccine Study, it was reported as 5% in a study in our study. None of them remained for more than 2 days, and
supported by the European League Against Rheumatism COVID-19 none of them were seen after the second dose. Consistent with the
1122 | CORONAVAC | O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA
Artigo
HASLAK et AL. | 7
TA B L E 2 Comparison between the characteristics of healthy children, biologic group, and non-biologic group
Age, y (median, min-max) 15.67 (12.04-19.94) 15.14 (12.02-20.72) 16.09 (12.19-20.92) .124
Gender
Female, n (%) 10 (43.5%) 106 (58.9%) 25 (58.1%) .369
Male, n (%) 13 (56.5%) 74 (41.1%) 18 (41.9%)
Pre-vaccination COVID-19 history
Yes, n (%) 7 (30.4%) 28 (15.6%) 9 (20.9%) .182
No, n (%) 16 (69.6%) 152 (84.4%) 34 (79.1%)
Vaccination type
mRNA, n (%) 19 (82.6%) 160 (88.9%) 35 (81.4%) .301
Inactive, n (%) 3 (13.0%) 18 (10.0%) 7 (16.3%)
Mix, n (%) 1 (4.3%) 2 (1.1%) 1 (2.3%)
Local reaction
Yes, n (%) 3 (13.0%) 14 (7.8%) 3 (7.0%) .581
No, n (%) 20 (87.0%) 166 (92.2%) 40 (93.0%)
Disease flare within 1 montha
Yes, n (%) - 21 (11.7%) 6 (14.0%) .680
No, n (%) - 159 (88.3%) 37 (86.0%)
Adverse events
None, n (%) 12 (52.2%) 101 (56.1%) 26 (60.5%) .579
Non-severe, n (%) 10 (43.5%) 77 (42.8%) 17 (39.5%)
Severe, n (%) 1 (4.3%) 2 (1.1%) 0 (0.0%)
a
Healthy control group was not included into this analysis.
8 | HASLAK et AL.
TA B L E 3 Comparison of the patients with and without COVID-19 vaccine-related adverse events according to the baseline
characteristics
Adverse events
Yes No
(n = 107) (n = 139) P
HASLAK et AL. | 9
TA B L E 3 (Continued)
Adverse events
Yes No
(n = 107) (n = 139) P
Cyclosporine, n 3 -
Cyclophosphamide, n 1 -
HCQ, n 5 16
MMF, n 3 3
COVID-19 history before vaccination, n (%)
Yes, n (%) 19 (17.8%) 25 (%18) 1
No, n (%) 88 (82.2%) 114 (%82)
Vaccination typeb
mRNA, n 100 118 <.001
Inactive, n 7 25
Abbreviations: AIDs, autoinflammatory diseases; ARF, acute rheumatic fever; ASA, acetylsalicylic acid; BD, Behçet disease; bDMARDs, biologic
disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs; BS, Blau syndrome; CAPS, cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes; cDMARDs, conventional disease-
modifying antirheumatic drugs; CTD, connective tissue disease; DADA2, Deficiency of Adenosine Deaminase 2; DM, dermatomyositis; FMF, familial
Mediterranean fever; GPA, granulomatous polyangiitis; HCQ, hydroxychloroquine; HSP, Henoch-Schönlein purpura; JIA, juvenile idiopathic arthritis;
jSPA, juvenile spondylarthritis; KD, Kawasaki disease; MMF, mycophenolate mofetil; MTX, methotrexate; oJIA, oligoarticular juvenile idiopathic
arthritis; pJIA, polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis; SLE, systemic lupus erythematosus; TA, Takayasu arteritis.
a
Total of cDMARDs rows are not equal to cDMARDs columns due to several patients being under poly-cDMARDs treatment.
b
Four patients received both vaccination types; 3 experienced adverse events after mRNA vaccination, and 1 did not experience any adverse events.
previously mentioned phase 4 trial, none of them were considered role in the fight against SARS-CoV-2, it remains unclear whether vac-
serious. Although inactive vaccines are generally safe, there are con- cines may protect patients with an impaired humoral response. 27,28
cerns regarding the sufficient immunogenicity in patients with IRD, Moreover, rituximab was shown to be significantly associated with
based on current findings. 25 severe COVID-19 disease course. 29
In order to achieve sufficient immunogenicity, although not In our cohort, there was only one patient under rituximab treat-
contraindicated, the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) cur- ment during the vaccination period. He was a 16-year-old partially
rently recommended withholding MTX, MMF and cyclophospha- controlled SLE patient. In addition to rituximab, he was receiving
mide for 1-2 weeks following each COVID-19 dose in patients with MMF and HCQ. He had a COVID-19 infection history with mild
well-controlled disease. This approach is mainly based on data from to moderate symptoms before the vaccination. Therefore, he and
previous studies conducted with other vaccines, such as influenza his family had enormous concerns regarding re-infection with se-
and pneumococci.14 However, findings of a recent study do not sup- vere symptoms. He was vaccinated by double dose of CoronaVac
port temporarily cessation of MTX during vaccination in terms of inactivated vaccine based on his choice, and neither disease flares
seropositivity. 26 Due to the lack of data in the first days of the mass nor any adverse events were seen. Although he received his regular
vaccination schedules and the concerns of the families regarding the rituximab schedule with 1-month delay in line with current recom-
disease activities, none of our patients discontinued their medica- mendations, we planned to examine him in terms of immunogenicity.
tion during the vaccination process. Adverse events per vaccine ad- Vaccine hesitancy rapidly raised due to growing number of
ministration rates of the patients under treatment with MTX, MMF cases who developed vaccine-related severe or permanent adverse
and cyclophosphamide were 11/22, 3/6, and 1/1, respectively. events such as myocarditis, hypertension, acute respiratory failure,
Although there was no safety issue in these patients because none septic shock, sudden hearing loss, and thromboembolic events.30-33
of the adverse events were severe, further studies evaluating ac- Therefore, studies like ours that present a well-documented safety
ceptable immunogenicity by measuring antibody levels are required. profile even in patients with IRD as a vulnerable group may amelio-
Due to its B cell depletion effect, rituximab is another medical rate the concerns.
option that was recommended to be stopped during vaccination There are notable limitations in our study. First, dosages of immu-
in the current ACR guidelines. It was proposed that, if the disease nosuppressive treatments of our patients are not available. Second,
activities allow, the next rituximab cycle for patients must be de- we did not assess the exact duration of the patients' medications and
layed to 2-4 weeks after the final vaccine dose, to achieve accept- their disease activities. Third, given that the survey method was used
able antibody levels.14 A recent study verified these suggestions by as the first step for gathering data, selection bias may have occurred
showing significantly impaired immunogenicity in patients receiving due to the possible willingness of the individuals who experienced
rituximab. 26 However, since both T cells and B cells have a pivotal adverse events for filling the questionnaire. Fourth, considering the
O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA | CORONAVAC | 1125
Artigo
10 | HASLAK et AL.
difficulty of sub-analyses due to a low number of patients, although 8. Haslak F, Yildiz M, Adrovic A, et al. Management of childhood-
CYC and MMF are known to potentially alter vaccine response, they onset autoinflammatory diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Rheumatol Int. 2020;40(9):1423-1431.
were included in the non-biologic group. Although we did not as-
9. Yildiz M, Haslak F, Adrovic A, Sahin S, Barut K, Kasapcopur O.
sess the intervals between vaccination times and COVID-19 infec- The frequency and clinical course of COVID-19 infection in
tion histories of the subjects, we know that our Ministry of Health children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Clin Exp Rheumatol.
regulations do not allow infected individuals to be vaccinated within 2020;38(6):1271-1272.
10. Monti S, Balduzzi S, Delvino P, Bellis E, Quadrelli VS, Montecucco
the first 6 months. The main strength of the study is that this is the
C. Clinical course of COVID-19 in a series of patients with chronic
first one which evaluates adolescents and young adults with a broad arthritis treated with immunosuppressive targeted therapies. Ann
spectrum of IRD in terms of vaccine-related adverse events. Rheum Dis. 2020;79(5):667-668.
In conclusion, our study indicates an acceptable safety profile of 11. Ouédraogo DD, Tiendrébéogo WJS, Kaboré F, Ntsiba H. COVID-19,
chronic inflammatory rheumatic disease and anti-rheumatic treat-
COVID-19 vaccines available in our country and encourages children
ments. Clin Rheumatol. 2020;39(7):2069-2075.
with IRD to be vaccinated. Thus, prospective immunogenicity stud- 12. Hazlewood GS, Pardo JP, Barnabe C, et al. Canadian rheumatology
ies evaluating the efficacy of the vaccines and long-term follow-up association recommendation for the use of COVID-19 vaccination
studies for adverse events monitoring are required. for patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases. J Rheumatol.
2021;48(8):1330-1339.
13. Friedman MA, Curtis JR, Winthrop KL. Impact of disease-modifying
AC K N OW L E D G E M E N T S antirheumatic drugs on vaccine immunogenicity in patients with in-
None flammatory rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases. Ann Rheum
Dis. 2021;80(10):1255-1265.
14. Curtis JR, Johnson SR, Anthony DD, et al. American college of rheu-
CONFLIC T OF INTEREST
matology guidance for COVID-19 vaccination in patients with rheu-
None declared.
matic and musculoskeletal diseases: version 3. Arthritis Rheumatol.
2021;73(10):e60-e75.
DATA AVA I L A B I L I T Y S TAT E M E N T 15. Karayeva E, Kim HW, Bandy U, Clyne A, Marak TP. Monitoring
All data relevant to the study are included in the article. vaccine adverse event reporting system (VAERS) reports related
to COVID-19 vaccination efforts in Rhode Island. R I Med J (2013).
2021;104(7):64-66.
ORCID 16. Geisen UM, Berner DK, Tran F, et al. Immunogenicity and safety of
Fatih Haslak https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6963-9668 anti-SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines in patients with chronic inflam-
Aybuke Gunalp https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0137-0460 matory conditions and immunosuppressive therapy in a monocen-
tric cohort. Ann Rheum Dis. 2021;80(10):1306-1311.
Memnune Nur Cebi https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1327-0638
17. Izmirly PM, Kim MY, Samanovic M, et al. Evaluation of immune re-
Mehmet Yildiz https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7834-4909 sponse and disease status in SLE patients following SARS-CoV-2
Amra Adrovic https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2400-6955 vaccination. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2021. doi:10.1002/art.41937
Sezgin Sahin https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5365-3457 18. Zhu LP, Cupps TR, Whalen G, Fauci AS. Selective effects of cyclo-
phosphamide therapy on activation, proliferation, and differentia-
Kenan Barut https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8459-2872
tion of human B cells. J Clin Invest. 1987;79(4):1082-1090.
Ozgur Kasapcopur https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1125-7720 19. Sattui SE, Liew JW, Kennedy K, et al. Early experience of COVID-19
vaccination in adults with systemic rheumatic diseases: results
from the COVID-19 global rheumatology alliance vaccine survey.
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ABSTRACT
Rev Inst Med Trop São Paulo. 2021;63:e83 This is an open-access article distributed under the Page 1 of 5
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License.
The vaccination error was promptly reported to the blood samples were collected to perform the serological
health department of each municipality and, in relation to assays. Those that agreed to participate in the serological
adverse events, to the vaccination surveillance system. The evaluation were oriented to return after 30 days after
Epidemiological Surveillance Center of Sao Paulo State vaccination for retesting. The present investigation was
(CVE) and the Adolfo Lutz Institute assisted the health the official response to a public health crisis, thus it did not
departments of Itirapina and Diadema. The objectives were require the approval of an ethical council.
to describe the public heath response to a programmatic
error and to monitor the vaccine safety, tolerability and RESULTS
seroconversion by detecting the total amount of IgG
antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 S1 spike protein after the Table 1 shows the characteristics of CoronaVac
vaccination of children with CoronaVac. vaccinated children. From the total of 27 children, 52%
were male, with ages ranging from 7 months to 5 years.
MATERIALS AND METHODS Only one 2-years-old child presented a symptom (running
nose) during the first visit, nine days after vaccination. No
The children who had been inadvertently vaccinated other symptoms were reported among the infants in the 30
with CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China) days following the vaccination.
were monitored by pediatricians in primary health care All children (n=27) were tested at the first visit for
units for 30 days, to receive medical assistance if any sign or S1 antibodies and 5 (18.5%) had total S1 spike protein
symptom appeared. Reports of their health conditions were IgG titer higher than 1.0 (reagent tests) 3-9 days after
sent to the health department of each municipality. Three vaccination. Nineteen had blood collected 30 days after
visits were scheduled for medical evaluation, right after the vaccination and all of them had total S1 spike protein
event recognition (error in the vaccine used), at 15th and 30th IgG titers higher than 1.0 (reagent tests). Four of the five
day after vaccination. To inform the families and local health children who presented reagent tests at the first visit were
workers caring for these children of their serological status, retested on the 30th day after vaccination, all showing an
two registered assays, available at State public laboratories increased total IgG anti S1 spike protein, going from a
were used. Blood samples were taken on the first medical mean of 10.4 to a mean value of 20.5. About half (47%,
evaluation (3-9 days after the event) and on the 30th day 9/19) tested for the receptor binding domain inhibition
after the vaccination event. The presence of antibodies for (RBI) showed results above 20%, but most had a low
SARS-CoV-2 were detected using (i) a chemiluminescent binding inhibition ( 5-20%), with only three cases, all S1
microparticle assay (VITROS® Anti-SARS-CoV2, Ortho seropositive, with high titers (over 90% inhibition). On
Clinical Diagnostics, United Kingdom) which detects the the 30th day, 12/13 tested children had titers above 30%,
domain of the S1 (spike) antigen, considering sororeactive with a median titer of 45% (IQR 36-65). Titers of S1 have
for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies samples with titers >1.0 and; also increased from the initial collection up to the 30th day,
(ii) the evaluation of antibodies able to interfere with the from 0.1 (IQR 0-0.3) to 7.9 (5.5-11.2).
RBD-ACE2 interaction (RBI), measured by cPass (SARS-
CoV-2 Neutralization Antibody Detection kit, GenScript, DISCUSSION
USA), both test performed following the manufacturer’s
instructions. The test was considered positive for the No COVID-19 vaccines are authorized in Brazil, so far,
presence of neutralizing antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 when for use in children under the age of 12 years. However, a
an inhibition titer ≥ 20% is obtained, and samples are phase 2 study has already assessed the safety, tolerability
assigned as presenting with low inhibition when percentages and immunogenicity of CoronaVac in the population aged
from 5% to 20% inhibition are detected. 3 to 17 years3.
All clinical information and laboratory tests results were We presented a response to a programmatic error
registered in each case, reporting the clinical manifestations situation. Despite the vaccination error, all monitored
of adverse events to the health departments and to the children did not show adverse events following the
programmatic error surveillance system. immunization. The analyses from phase 1–3 trials have
The approach to these children occurred only after the shown that CoronaVac was safe in adults aged 18 years and
detection of the error in the type of vaccine used, when their older4. A Phase 1-2 study evaluated children and adolescents
parents were contacted and informed about the vaccination aged 3 to 17 years vaccinated with CoronaVac and showed
reported at1131
O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA | CORONAVAC |
error. All children were evaluated by local health workers that 27% of the vaccinated participants least one
and upon demand of parents and local health authorities, adverse event within 28 days of vaccination3. All adverse
Artigo
Safety and immunogenicity of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in inadvertently vaccinated healthy children
Table 1 - Demographic and serological results from children inadvertently vaccinated with CoronaVAc (one dose), Sao Paulo State,
Brazil, 2021.
events were non-severe, and the most common reactions inhibition, a functional assay to evaluate the ability of serum
were pain at the injection site and fever3. samples to interfere with the binding of the viral receptor
All tested children showed an increase in total S1 spike binding domain of the S1 protein with the cellular receptor
protein IgG antibodies 30 days following the vaccination. ACE-2, showed some inhibition (from 5 to 20%) in 11
Although some children already had antibodies at the time children that did not had total anti S1 IgG antibodies5. The
of the initial blood collection, presumably due to previous titers were however low and may represent either unspecific
asymptomatic, unrecognized infection by SARS-CoV-2. reactivity or a previous exposure to other coronaviruses.
When these previously positive children were tested 30 days The limited information of the test in particular in this age
after the vaccination, they showed an increment in IgG group, does not allow us to come to any conclusion, but all
binding antibody units at the second blood sampling. As no retested children on the 30th day after vaccination showed
infection during the observation period was documented, important increments in RBI titers, with only one case below
and if they had occurred, they would unlikely affect all 30% inhibition as can be seen in Table 1. These two assays
1132 | CORONAVAC | O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA
children, one can assume that the immunological response have been evaluated in comparison with other diagnostic
was generated by the vaccine. The receptor binding tests and have shown an adequate performance6. Although
Fernandes et al. Artigo
8. Braga PC, Silva AE, Mochizuki LB, Lima JC, Sousa MR, Bezerra SARS-CoV-2 infection: epidemiology, clinical course and viral
AL. Incidence of post-vaccination adverse events in children. loads. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2020;39:e388-92.
J Nurs UFPE Online. 2017;11 Suppl 10:4126-35. 11. Ebina-Shibuya R, Namkoong H, Shibuya Y, Horita N. Multisystem
9. Zimmermann P, Curtis N. Coronavirus infections in children inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) with COVID-19:
including COVID-19: an overview of the epidemiology, insights from simultaneous familial Kawasaki disease cases.
clinical features, diagnosis, treatment and prevention options Int J Infect Dis. 2020;97:371-3.
in children. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2020;39:355-68. 12. Kao CM, Orenstein WA, Anderson EJ. The importance of
10. Maltezou HC, Magaziotou I, Dedoukou X, Eleftheriou E, advancing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Raftopoulos V, Michos A, et al. Children and adolescents with vaccines in children. Clin Infect Dis. 2021;72:515-8.
Systematic Review
Safety, Immunogenicity, and Efficacy of COVID-19 Vaccines in
Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review
Meng Lv 1,2,3,† , Xufei Luo 4,† , Quan Shen 2,3,5 , Ruobing Lei 2,3,5 , Xiao Liu 4 , Enmei Liu 2,3,6 , Qiu Li 1,2,3, *
and Yaolong Chen 7,8,9,10,11,12, *
1 Department of Nephrology, Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400014, China;
lvm2016@163.com
2 National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of
Child Development and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child
Development and Critical Disorders, Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,
Chongqing 400014, China; shenquan@whu.edu.cn (Q.S.); leiruobing1009@163.com (R.L.);
emliu186@126.com (E.L.)
3 Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing 400014, China
4 School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; luoxf2016@163.com (X.L.);
liuxiao20@lzu.edu.cn (X.L.)
5 Chevidence Lab Child & Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatric Research Institute, Children’s Hospital
of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400014, China
6 Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,
Chongqing 400014, China
7 Institute of Health Data Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
8 Evidence-Based Medicine Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Lanzhou University,
Lanzhou 730000, China
9 WHO Collaborating Centre for Guideline Implementation and Knowledge Translation,
Lanzhou 730000, China
Citation: Lv, M.; Luo, X.; Shen, Q.; 10 Guideline International Network Asia, Lanzhou 730000, China
Lei, R.; Liu, X.; Liu, E.; Li, Q.; Chen, Y. 11 Key Laboratory of Evidence Based Medicine and Knowledge Translation of Gansu Province, Lanzhou
Safety, Immunogenicity, and Efficacy University, Lanzhou 730000, China
of COVID-19 Vaccines in Children 12 Lanzhou University GRADE Center, Lanzhou 730000, China
and Adolescents: A Systematic * Correspondence: liqiu21@126.com (Q.L.); chenyaolong@vip.163.com (Y.C.)
Review. Vaccines 2021, 9, 1102. † These authors contributed equally to this work.
https://doi.org/10.3390/
vaccines9101102 Abstract: Aim: To identify the safety, immunogenicity, and protective efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines
in children and adolescents. Methods: We conducted a systematic review of published studies
Academic Editor: François Meurens and ongoing clinical studies related to the safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of COVID-19 vac-
cine in children or adolescents (aged < 18 years). Databases including PubMed, Web of Science,
Received: 1 August 2021
WHO COVID-19 database, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were searched on
Accepted: 24 September 2021
23 July 2021. International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) was also searched to identify
Published: 29 September 2021
ongoing studies. Results: Eight published studies with a total of 2852 children and adolescents
and 28 ongoing clinical studies were included. Of the eight published studies, two were RCTs, two
Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral
case series, and four case reports. The investigated COVID-19 vaccines had good safety profiles
with regard to jurisdictional claims in
published maps and institutional affil-
in children and adolescents. Injection site pain, fatigue, headache, and chest pain were the most
iations. common adverse events. A limited number of cases of myocarditis and pericarditis were reported.
The RCTs showed that the immune response to BNT162b2 in adolescents aged 12–15 years was
non-inferior to that in young people aged 16–25 years, while with 3 µg CoronaVac injection the
immune response was stronger than with 1.5 µg. The efficacy of BNT162b2 was 100% (95% CI: 75.3 to
Copyright: © 2021 by the authors.
100), based on one RCT. Of the 28 ongoing clinical studies, twenty-three were interventional studies.
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. The interventional studies were being conducted in fifteen countries, among them, China (10, 43.5%)
This article is an open access article and United States(9, 39.1%) had the highest number of ongoing trials. BNT162b2 was the most
distributed under the terms and commonly studied vaccine in the ongoing trials. Conclusion: Two COVID-19 vaccines have potential
conditions of the Creative Commons protective effects in children and adolescents, but awareness is needed to monitor possible adverse
Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// effects after injection. Clinical studies of the COVID-19 vaccination in children and adolescents with
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ longer follow-up time, larger sample size, and a greater variety of vaccines are still urgently needed.
4.0/).
1. Background
One and a half year have passed since the beginning of the coronavirus disease 2019
(COVID-19) pandemic. Yet the epidemic is still not under control. With over 200 mil-
lion confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections
and over 4 million COVID-19 related deaths, COVID-19 has brought great suffering and
devastation to people worldwide.
Vaccines, as an effective way to prevent and control disease infections, stimulate the
human immune system to produce antibodies, thus increasing immunity to the disease
and generating protection for the immunized individual [1]. Vaccination aims to curb the
spread of the disease and helps to potentially achieve herd immunity. As of 18 September
2021, twenty-two COVID-19 vaccines worldwide have been approved [1]. However, we
have little knowledge of the efficacy and safety of COVID-19 vaccines in children and
adolescents. Given that children and adolescents account for approximately one quarter
of the world’s population [2], promoting vaccination of children and adolescents is also
crucial to end the spread of COVID-19.
The development of COVID-19 vaccine has been in full swing since the COVID-19
outbreak. Studies have shown that the current COVID-19 vaccines are effective and safe
in adults [3–6]. Several international organizations and countries have also developed
guidelines for different aspects of COVID-19 vaccination, including vaccination of special
populations, management of adverse reactions, and cautions for vaccination [7–9]. How-
ever, the efficacy of protection and adverse effects of COVID-19 vaccines in children and
adolescents remains unclear despite a large number of clinical trials being conducted. Fur-
thermore, children and adolescents have less severe COVID-19 symptoms than adults [10],
and they likely play a limited role in spreading the infection to others. Therefore, more
high-quality clinical studies are still needed to determine whether COVID-19 vaccination
should be recommended for children at the moment [11]. In addition, children are a pop-
ulation group with special needs and features, and the attitude of parents or guardians
toward the COVID-19 vaccine is also an essential factor affecting children’s vaccination.
To explore and promote COVID-19 vaccination in children and adolescents, The National
Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders (Chongqing, China) initiated an
international guideline for the management of COVID-19 in children and adolescents [12]
that also contains the question of whether and how children and adolescents should be
vaccinated against COVID-19. To answer this question, we conducted a systematic review
to estimate the safety, immunogenicity, and protective efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine in
children and adolescents, covering both completed and ongoing studies and trials.
2. Methods
We conducted this systematic review in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for
Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) (see Supplementary Table S1 for PRISMA
checklist) [13] and the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions [14]. We have
registered this systematic review at OSF REGISTRIES (DOI:10.17605/OSF.IO/JC32H, accessed
on 3 August 2021).
We excluded articles from which we could not extract data specifically on children
or adolescents or if we could not access the full text, conference proceedings, and study
protocols. For ongoing studies, we only included registration records if the aim of the
study was to determine the safety, immunogenicity, or efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine in
children and adolescents.
Artigo
terms of outcomes, population characteristics, and type of vaccine was low (I2 ≤ 50%). For
ongoing clinical studies, we also presented the numbers of trials by country and type of
Vaccines 2021, 9, 1102 vaccine. Adobe Illustrator was used to visually present the number of ongoing clinical
4 of 13
trials of COVID-19 vaccine in children or adolescents worldwide.
3. Results
3. Results
3.1. Literature Search
3.1. Literature Search
Our
Our initial
initial search
search revealed
revealed 3092
3092 records,
records, ofof which
which 931
931 were
were excluded
excluded asas duplicates.
duplicates.
After
After screening the titles and, if necessary, full texts, eight published studies [19–26]
screening the titles and, if necessary, full texts, eight published studies [19–26] with
with
2852
2852 children
childrenor oradolescents
adolescentsandand2828ongoing
ongoingclinical studies
clinical targeting
studies targetingto to
recruit a total
recruit of
a total
122,442 participants were included. The study selection process is shown in
of 122,442 participants were included. The study selection process is shown in detail in detail in Fig-
ure 1. 1.
Figure
Figure 1. Study selection process (WHO: World Health Organization; COVID-19: coronavirus disease 2019; CNKI: China
National Knowledge Infrastructure; ICTRP: International Clinical Trials Registry Platform).
included case series and case reports. Only two case reports or case series reported the
item “were other alternative causes that may explain the observation ruled out?”, and in
three studies the follow-up time was not long enough for outcomes to occur.
Risk of Bias in the Included Rcts Assessed by the Risk of Bias Tool
Performance
Selection bias Detection bias Attrition bias Reporting bias Other bias
bias
Anything Study
Random Allocation Blinding of Blinding of Incomplete
sequence conceal- participants outcome outcome Selective reporting else,
ideally pre-
generation ment and personnel assessment data
specified
low low low low low low low Han et al., 2021
[19]
Frenck et al.,
low low low low unclear low low
2021 [20]
Methdological quality in the case series and case reports assessed by Murad et al. checklist
Selection Ascertainment Causality Reporting
Does the Is the
patient(s) case(s)
represent(s) described
the whole with
experience of sufficient
the details to
investigator Were other allow
Was other in-
(centre) or is Was the alternative Was there a follow-up
exposure Was the causes that chal- Was there a vestigators
the selection outcome
method adequately adequately
may explain lenge/rechallenge dose- long to replicate Study
response enough for
unclear to ascer- ascertained?
the phe- the
tained? observation effect? outcomes
the extent nomenon? research or
ruled out? to occur? to allow
that other
patients with practition-
similar ers make
presentation inferences
may not related to
have been their own
reported? practice?
0 1 1 0 0 0 Revon-Riviere
N/A N/A et al., 2021 [21]
Snapiri et al.,
0 1 1 0 N/A N/A 0 1
2021 [22]
0 1 1 0 1 1 Minocha et al.,
N/A N/A
2021 [23]
0 1 1 0 1 1 McLean et al.,
N/A N/A
2021 [24]
Figure 2. Ongoing interventional COVID-19 vaccine trials in children and adolescents worldwide. Color in the figure
Figure 2.the
indicates Ongoing
numberinterventional COVID-19
of ongoing vaccine trials vaccine trials in children and adolescents worldwide. Color in the figure
in each country.
indicates the number of ongoing vaccine trials in each country.
4. Discussion
4.1. Principal Findings
Our review identified eight completed studies and 28 ongoing clinical studies of
COVID-19 vaccines in children and adolescents. The investigated COVID-19 vaccines had
good safety profiles, most adverse effects were mild or moderate, such as injection site
of myocarditis1143
O QUEstudies
A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA | CORONAVAC |
pain, fatigue, headache, and chest pain. Some reported a few cases
and pericarditis. The immune response to the BNT162b2 vaccine in adolescents aged 12–
15 years was non-inferior to that in young people aged 16–25 years, and CoronaVac injec-
Artigo
Vaccines 2021, 9, 1102 9 of 13
4. Discussion
4.1. Principal Findings
Our review identified eight completed studies and 28 ongoing clinical studies of
COVID-19 vaccines in children and adolescents. The investigated COVID-19 vaccines had
good safety profiles, most adverse effects were mild or moderate, such as injection site
pain, fatigue, headache, and chest pain. Some studies reported a few cases of myocarditis
and pericarditis. The immune response to the BNT162b2 vaccine in adolescents aged
12–15 years was non-inferior to that in young people aged 16–25 years, and CoronaVac
injection had a stronger immune response with a 3.0 µg than 1.5 µg dose. According to
the one RCT on BNT162b2, no cases of COVID-19 in adolescents aged 12–15 years were
detected. Clinical trials on children and adolescents are being conducted all over the world
with a large number of different vaccines.
Children and adolescents, as a special population, present many influencing factors
to consider when administering vaccines. Vaccine efficacy and safety are the most im-
portant considerations for children and their parents [27]. It is therefore important to
demonstrate that vaccines are safe and protective before they are administered to children
and adolescents. During an average influenza season, approximately 9.8% of children
aged 0–14 year present with influenza [28]. After vaccination against influenza A (H1N1),
90.3% of children and adolescents aged 10–17 years developed protective antibodies, and
no serious adverse reactions were seen [29,30]. Similarly, when the COVID-19 outbreak
emerged, researchers actively promoted the development of vaccines with the expectation
that vaccination could protect healthy population. Our study showed that two vaccines
have shown to be effective and safe in pediatric populations. However, the evidence for
both vaccines was based on single RCTs, and these two studies both had limitations such
as the small sample size and lack of long-term data on safety and immunogenicity data.
In particular, the risk of myocarditis and pericarditis should be closely monitored. Most
cases of myocarditis and pericarditis associated with the COVID-19 vaccine were mild,
and mostly affected children were male. Schauer et al. [26] estimated an incidence of
myopericarditis of 0.008% in adolescents 16–17 years of age and 0.01% in those aged 12
through 15 years following the second dose.
Another important factor to consider for vaccination of children and adolescents is the
risk of multisystemic inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C). In April 2020, children
infected with SARS-CoV-2 presenting symptoms similar to incomplete Kawasaki disease
(KD) or toxic shock syndrome were documented in the UK [31]. Since then, children
with similar symptoms have been reported in other parts of the world as well [32–34].
This condition was subsequently named as MIS-C. The overall mortality of MIS-C is
approximately 1–2% [35]. The decision to vaccinate should be made by weighing the risk
of exposure, reinfection, and severe disease following infection against the uncertain safety
of vaccination in such individuals. Whereas no directly relevant studies have confirmed
the association of MIS-C with COVID-19 vaccination, a systematic review published in
2017 [36] identified 27 observational studies and case reports of KD. These showed that
diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP)-containing vaccines, Haemophilus influenzae type b
(Hib) conjugate vaccine, influenza vaccine, hepatitis B vaccine, 4-component meningococcal
serogroup B (4CMenB) vaccine, measles-mumps-rubella (MMR)/MMR-varicella vaccines,
pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), rotavirus vaccine (RV), yellow fever vaccine,
and Japanese encephalitis vaccine did not increase the risk of KD. Thus, children and
adolescents at high risk of severe COVID-19 or those with specific comorbidities should
be considered to be prioritized in vaccination. More research is needed to clarify to what
extent COVID-19 vaccines can mitigate the risks and bring benefits.
To date, 22 COVID-19 vaccines have been approved throughout the world, more than
1/3 of which are inactivated, and 138 vaccines are under development and exploitation.
More than 300 clinical trials of COVID-19 vaccines have been registered or published [37,38].
Studies have shown that most COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective in adults aged
≥ 18 years. Overall, in phase 2 and 3 RCTs, mRNA- and adenoviral vector-based COVID-19
vaccines had 94.6% (95% CI 0.936–0.954) and 80.2% (95% CI 0.56–0.93) efficacy, respec-
tively [3–5], with good acceptability [6] and safety [39]. Only two RCTs on children and
adolescents have been published in peer-reviewed journals so far, both of which found
that the respective vaccines, BNT162b2 and CoronaVac, are safe and effective. Institutions
including WHO, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the Food and Drug
Administration (FDA), the Canadian Pediatric Society have already authorized emergency
use of BNT162b2 in children and adolescents aged 12 years and above [40–43]. European
Medicines Agency (EMA) has also approved the Spikevax (previously COVID-19 Vaccine
Moderna) vaccine for adolescents aged 12 to 17 years, based on the evidence from an
ongoing study [44]. Although these guidelines gave recommendations on vaccinating
children or adolescents from the perspective of Western countries, we still need to wait
for more evidence from more countries and regions to better understand how COVID-19
vaccines work in different populations. With the more than twenty ongoing clinical trials,
their findings may continue to offer clues of better protecting younger generations from
COVID-19.
Public health authorities in countries that have approved COVID-19 vaccine in chil-
dren and adolescents should also consider multiple aspects in their decision-making.
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control issued a set of eight interim consider-
ations from the view of the overall potential public health impact of COVID-19 vaccination
of adolescents [45]. Opel et al. suggested nine criteria to consider when evaluating anti-
gens for inclusion in mandatory school immunization programs, which were categorized
into vaccine-related, disease-related, and implementation-related [11]. We currently know
however too little about the performance of COVID-19 vaccines or the epidemiology of
SARS-CoV-2 in children to make any definitive judgment about whether COVID-19 vaccine
should be mandatory in children, especially those under 12. Authorities should closely
monitor and continually assess the benefits and potential risks of vaccination in children
and adolescents. In addition, the acceptability of the COVID-19 vaccine among both the
children themselves as well as their parents and guardians is a major influencing factor
on the likelihood of children getting vaccinated. Studies have shown that approximately
80% of parents were reluctant to enroll their children in clinical studies of the COVID-19
vaccine [46] and approximately half of Chinese parents showed hesitancy on taking the
COVID-19 vaccine for their children [47]. Therefore, it is necessary to educate parents and
children about the vaccine to increase vaccination rates while ensuring the efficacy and
safety of vaccines [48]. Furthermore, factors such as national policy, religion, culture, and
other routine immunization procedures need to be taken into account in the administration
of COVID-19 vaccine to children.
5. Conclusions
Our review found high rates of immunogenicity and vaccine efficacy in children and
adolescents. This is a clear indicators that the vaccines are effective, and the RCTs also
did not find any major issues with safety. Nevertheless, awareness is needed to monitor
the possible adverse effects. Although most adverse events observed in the trials were
mild, we identified a limited number of cases of myocarditis and pericarditis among the
vaccinated children and adolescents, from several different studies. This shows also that
particularly in the current situation where RCTs are still limited, it is important to include
all existing evidence, also from individual case reports, in systematic reviews. Real-world
data can also reveal findings that may not be observed in the well-controlled RCT settings.
It is crucial that more clinical studies with sufficiently long follow-up time, large sample
size, and using different types of vaccine are conducted in the future. Evidence-based
guidelines are urgently needed to inform policymakers, children and adolescents, and their
parents and guardians about the benefits and risks of vaccination against COVID-19.
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Comment
the Pfizer–BioNTech mRNA vaccine5 and safety data disease compared to adults, so unless they are part
are available from phase 1 and 2 trials of Sinovac’s of a group at higher risk of severe COVID-19, it is less
inactivated CoronaVac vaccine in 438 children aged urgent to vaccinate them than older people, those with
3–17 years.6 Safety data have been reassuring, with chronic health conditions and health workers…WHO’s
published data confirming excellent immunogenicity.5 Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) has
There is no reason to believe the vaccines should not concluded that the Pfizer–BioNTech vaccine is suitable
be equally protective against COVID-19 in CYP as they for use by people aged 12 years and above. Children
are in adults. More than 30 international trials are now aged between 12 and 15 who are at high risk may be
recruiting CYP as young as 6 months to assess safety, offered this vaccine alongside other priority groups
immunogenicity, dosing, and scheduling questions.7 for vaccination. Vaccine trials for children are ongoing
Safety data from the Pfizer–BioNTech mRNA vaccine and WHO will update its recommendations when
trial proved sufficient for regulatory authorities in the the evidence or epidemiological situation warrants a
EU, Israel, and North America to issue approval for use change in policy.”13
of this vaccine in CYP aged 12–15 years. Safety data Further data from LMICs will aid risk assessments
from the real-life roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines are of SARS-CoV-2 in CYP, both for personal health and
continuously collected through surveillance systems transmission roles. A recent meta-analysis indicated
in high-income countries (HICs)8,9 and are generally that the outcome of children admitted to hospital with
reassuring, although a rare vaccine-associated signal acute COVID-19 is worse in LMICs than in HICs (case
of transient inflammation of the heart muscle in fatality rates 0·29% [95% CI 0·28–0·31%] vs 0·03%
some young adults has raised concerns.10 On balance, [0·03–0·03%]).14 Vaccinating CYP in LMICs may ultimately
the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have more benefit to their health status compared with
concluded that benefits outweigh the risks.11 CYP in HICs.
Countries are also still calculating what indirect All vaccines should be given to those who need
benefits for reduced SARS-CoV-2 transmission in them most, particularly in the context of a pandemic
schools and the wider community could be achieved with limited vaccine supply. Of the more than 4 billion
by vaccinating CYP. With children now recognised as doses of COVID-19 vaccines administered globally
part of the chains of community transmission,4 the in the past 8 months, less than 2% have been given
discussion about a CYP vaccine programme was perhaps in Africa;15 on a continent that cannot vaccinate its
inescapable. Yet the impacts of COVID-19 vaccination most vulnerable populations (eg, older people and
in CYP on transmission dynamics will vary nationally, those with chronic conditions) and highly exposed
since epidemiological circumstances, novel SARS-CoV-2 health-care workers, introducing vaccines for CYP
variants, and contact mitigation strategies will have remains a luxury. This gross inequity prevents LMICs
different roles in different places. from not only preventing death and serious illness,
Comment
but also from deploying vaccines as tools to interrupt The Vaccine Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine,
London WC1E 7HT, UK (BK); Vaccines and Immunity Theme, MRC Unit
SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The inclusion of CYP will The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Banjul, Fajara,
not be a priority in LMICs for a long time because of The Gambia (BK, UO)
the serious shortfalls of vaccines. 1 Haas EJ, Angulo FJ, McLaughlin JM, et al. Impact and effectiveness of mRNA
BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 cases,
What of the WHO motto that “No one is safe till hospitalisations, and deaths following a nationwide vaccination campaign
in Israel: an observational study using national surveillance data. Lancet
everyone is safe”? HICs have unlimited stocks of 2021; 397: 1819–29.
COVID-19 vaccines.16 If a key reason for the use of 2 Harris RJ, Hall JA, Zaidi A, et al. Effect of vaccination on household
transmission of SARS-CoV2 in England. N Engl J Med 2021; published online
the COVID-19 vaccines in CYP in HICs is reducing June 23. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMc2107717.
SARS-CoV-2 transmission, surely CYP in LMICs should 3 Irfan O, Muttalib F, Tang K, et al. Clinical characteristics, treatment and
outcomes of paediatric COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
also be vaccinated? We are far from the vision of the Arch Dis Child 2021; 106: 440–48.
African Union (AU) to vaccinate two-thirds of its 4 Ismail SA, Saliba V, Bernal JL, et al. SARS-CoV-2 infection and
transmission in educational settings: a prospective, cross-sectional
members’ population. In addition to COVAX, the AU has analysis of infection clusters and outbreaks in England. Lancet Infect Dis
2021; 21: 344–53.
now partnered with additional vaccine suppliers through
5 Frenck Jr RW, Klein NP, Kitchin N, et al. Safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy
the AU’s African Vaccine Acquisition Trust, including of the BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine in adolescents. N Engl J Med 2021;
385: 239–50.
UNICEF.17 However, even vaccinating 66% of individuals 6 Han B, Song Y, Li C, et al. Safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of an
is unlikely to be sufficient to interrupt transmission inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac) in healthy children and
adolescents: a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial.
chains. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; published online June 28. https://doi.org/10.1016/
S1473-3099(21)00319-4.
In addition to supply issues and logistics that prevent
7 London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. LSHTM Vaccine Tracker.
the use of COVID-19 vaccines in CYP in LMICs, the 2021. https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_vaccine_landscape/ (accessed
July 28, 2021).
success of any plans to roll out the vaccines must 8 Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency. MHRA Coronavirus
also ride on the back of acceptance and confidence. Yellow Card reporting. 2021. https://coronavirus-yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk
(accessed July 28, 2021).
Parents in LMICs need reassurance they are doing the 9 US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Vaccine Adverse Event
right thing for their children, just as has been found in Reporting System (VAERS). 2021. https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/
ensuringsafety/monitoring/vaers/index.html (accessed July 28, 2021).
HICs.18 10 Montgomery J, Ryan M, Engler R, et al. Myocarditis following
During deliberations on the potential benefits of immunization with mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in members of the
US military. JAMA Cardiol 2021; published online June 29. https://doi.org/
COVID-19 vaccines for CYP, it is important to recognise 10.1001/jamacardio.2021.2833.
11 Gargano JW, Wallace M, Hadler SC, et al. Use of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine after
that this pandemic has already deprived more than reports of myocarditis among vaccine recipients: update from the Advisory
8 million children, primarily in LMICs, from life-saving, Committee on Immunization Practices—United States, June 2021.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021; 70: 977–82.
routine childhood vaccines.19 Immunisation services 12 Public Health England. JCVI issues advice on COVID-19 vaccination of
are preoccupied with the implementation of COVID-19 children and young people. July 19, 2021. https://www.gov.uk/
government/news/jcvi-issues-advice-on-covid-19-vaccination-of-
vaccine programmes for adults. At present, greater children-and-young-people (accessed July 28, 2021).
benefit for children’s health globally will be derived by 13 WHO. COVID-19 advice for the public: getting vaccinated. July 14, 2021.
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/
delivering the health interventions we already know will covid-19-vaccines/advice (accessed July 28, 2021).
14 Kitano T, Kitano M, Krueger C, et al. The differential impact of pediatric
save their lives, such as vaccines against measles and COVID-19 between high-income countries and low- and middle-income
other vaccine-preventable diseases, than by focusing countries: a systematic review of fatality and ICU admission in children
worldwide. PLoS One 2021; 16: e0246326.
on delivering COVID-19 vaccines to part of a population 15 African Union. COVID-19 vaccination—latest updates from Africa CDC on
that does not currently represent a strategic priority in progress made in COVID-19 vaccinations on the continent. 2021.
https://africacdc.org/covid-19-vaccination/ (accessed July 28, 2021).
the response to this pandemic. Although maybe not 16 Wouters O J, Shadlen K C, Salcher-Konrad M, et al. Challenges in ensuring
global access to COVID-19 vaccines: production, affordability, allocation,
equitable, we believe this approach is more important and deployment. Lancet 2021; 397: 1023–34.
for the health of CYP at this point in time. 17 UNICEF. The African Union’s African Vaccine Acquisition Trust (AVAT)
initiative. 2021. https://www.unicef.org/supply/african-unions-african-
BK has received institutional grants from Pfizer for a maternal immunisation vaccine-acquisition-trust-avat-initiative (accessed July 28, 2021).
study unrelated to COVID-19; and received personal fees for services to a Data
18 Bell S, Clarke R, Mounier-Jack S, et al. Parents’ and guardians’ views on the
and Safety Monitoring Board from Johnson & Johnson for a COVID-19 vaccine acceptability of a future COVID-19 vaccine: a multi-methods study in
study and for scientific advisory boards from Pfizer, Sanofi, and GlaxoSmithKline England. Vaccine 2020; 38: 7789–98.
for non-COVID-19-related vaccines for use in pregnancy. UO declares no 19 Causey K, Fullman N, Sorensen RJD, et al. Estimating global and regional
competing interests. disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19
pandemic in 2020: a modelling study. Lancet 2021; published online July 14.
*Beate Kampmann, Uduak Okomo https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01337-4.
beate.kampmann@lshtm.ac.uk
Articles
Summary
Background A vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 for children and adolescents will play an important role in curbing the Lancet Infect Dis 2021;
COVID-19 pandemic. Here we aimed to assess the safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of a candidate COVID-19 21: 1645–53
vaccine, CoronaVac, containing inactivated SARS-CoV-2, in children and adolescents aged 3–17 years. Published Online
June 28, 2021
https://doi.org/10.1016/
Methods We did a double-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial of CoronaVac in healthy children and S1473-3099(21)00319-4
adolescents aged 3–17 years old at Hebei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Zanhuang (Hebei, See Comment page 1614
China). Individuals with SARS-CoV-2 exposure or infection history were excluded. Vaccine (in 0·5 mL aluminum *Contributed equally to the
hydroxide adjuvant) or aluminum hydroxide only (alum only, control) was given by intramuscular injection in two doses manuscript
(day 0 and day 28). We did a phase 1 trial in 72 participants with an age de-escalation in three groups and dose-escalation Hebei Provincial Center for
in two blocks (1·5 μg or 3·0 μg per injection). Within each block, participants were randomly assigned (3:1) by means of Disease Control and
block randomisation to receive CoronaVac or alum only. In phase 2, participants were randomly assigned (2:2:1) by Prevention, Shijiazhuang,
Hebei Province, China
means of block randomisation to receive either CoronaVac at 1·5 μg or 3·0 μg per dose, or alum only. All participants, (B Han MSc; M Li MSc, Z Wu MSc,
investigators, and laboratory staff were masked to group allocation. The primary safety endpoint was adverse reactions Y Zhao MSc, Qi Li PhD); Sinovac
within 28 days after each injection in all participants who received at least one dose. The primary immunogenicity Biotech, Beijing, China
endpoint assessed in the per-protocol population was seroconversion rate of neutralising antibody to live SARS-CoV-2 at (Y Song BSc, W Yang MSc,
L Wang MSc); National
28 days after the second injection. This study is ongoing and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04551547. Institutes for Food and Drug
Control, Beijing, China
Findings Between Oct 31, 2020, and Dec 2, 2020, 72 participants were enrolled in phase 1, and between Dec 12, 2020, and (C Li PhD); Zanhuang County
Dec 30, 2020, 480 participants were enrolled in phase 2. 550 participants received at least one dose of vaccine or alum Center for Disease Control and
Prevention, Zanhuang, Hebei
only (n=71 for phase 1 and n=479 for phase 2; safety population). In the combined safety profile of phase 1 and phase 2, Province, China (Q Ma BSc,
any adverse reactions within 28 days after injection occurred in 56 (26%) of 219 participants in the 1·5 μg group, W Jiao BSc); Beijing Key Tech
63 (29%) of 217 in the 3·0 μg group, and 27 (24%) of 114 in the alum-only group, without significant difference (p=0·55). Statistics Technology, Beijing,
China (Z Jiang PhD, Q Shu MSc);
Most adverse reactions were mild and moderate in severity. Injection site pain was the most frequently reported event
Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing,
(73 [13%] of 550 participants), occurring in 36 (16%) of 219 participants in the 1·5 μg group, 35 (16%) of 217 in the 3·0 μg China (X Lian MBA, Q Gao MSc)
group, and two (2%) in the alum-only group. As of June 12, 2021, only one serious adverse event of pneumonia has been Correspondence to:
reported in the alum-only group, which was considered unrelated to vaccination. In phase 1, seroconversion of Dr Qiang Gao, Sinovac Life
neutralising antibody after the second dose was observed in 27 of 27 participants (100·0% [95% CI 87·2–100·0]) in the Sciences, Beijing, China
1·5 μg group and 26 of 26 participants (100·0% [86·8-100·0]) in the 3·0 μg group, with the geometric mean titres gaoq@sinovac.com
of 55·0 (95% CI 38·9–77·9) and 117·4 (87·8–157·0). In phase 2, seroconversion was seen in 180 of 186 participants or
(96·8% [93·1–98·8]) in the 1·5 μg group and 180 of 180 participants (100·0% [98·0–100·0]) in the 3·0 μg group, with the Dr Qi Li, Hebei Provincial Center
for Disease Control and
geometric mean titres of 86·4 (73·9–101·0) and 142·2 (124·7–162·1). There were no detectable antibody responses in
Prevention, Shijiazhuang, Hebei
the alum-only groups. Province, China
liqicdc226@163.com
Interpretation CoronaVac was well tolerated and safe and induced humoral responses in children and adolescents aged
3–17 years. Neutralising antibody titres induced by the 3·0 μg dose were higher than those of the 1·5 μg dose. The
results support the use of 3·0 μg dose with a two-immunisation schedule for further studies in children and adolescents.
Funding The Chinese National Key Research and Development Program and the Beijing Science and Technology
Program.
Articles
Research in context
Evidence before this study Added value of this study
We searched PubMed on Apr 29, 2021, for published research This is, we believe, the first report of an inactivated SARS-CoV-2
articles, with no language or date restrictions, using the search vaccine, CoronaVac, tested in children and adolescents aged
terms of “SARS-CoV-2”, “COVID-19”, “vaccine”, and “clinical trial”. 3–17 years. CoronaVac was found to be well tolerated and safe
We identified several clinical trials of COVID-19 vaccines across in this population. The seroconversion rates of neutralising
different platforms, including mRNA, viral vector, protein subunit, antibody with both doses (1·5 μg and 3·0 μg) were over 96%
and inactivated virus. The results from phase 1–3 studies have after two-dose vaccination and the neutralising antibody titres
confirmed that different vaccines were safe, effective, and induced induced by the 3·0 μg dose were higher than those induced by
humoral antibody responses in adults. As of April 19, 2020, more the 1.5 μg dose. Taken together, the 3·0 μg dose of CoronaVac
than ten COVID-19 candidate vaccines have been rolled out in induced higher immune responses compared with 1·5 μg dose.
many countries for general population use. Although vaccine
Implications of all the available evidence
companies have started to assess the safety and efficacy of
While a small number of children and adolescents with
COVID-19 vaccines in populations of 6 months to 17 years of age,
SARS-CoV-2 infection might be at risk for severe COVID-19 and
there are currently no authorised vaccines for use among children
complicated illnesses, they usually have mild or asymptomatic
and adolescents under the age of 16. We previously assessed
symptoms compared with adults. Nevertheless, children and
CoronaVac, an inactivated vaccine developed by Sinovac Life
adolescents can be important transmitters of SARS-CoV-2 in
Sciences, in adults aged 18–59 years and those aged 60 years and
communities. Therefore, testing the effectiveness of COVID-19
older, and showed that it was safe and well tolerated.
vaccines in this population is important. CoronaVac was well
Seroconversion rates ranged from 92% to 100% after two doses of
tolerated and immunogenic in healthy children and adolescents
CoronaVac (3·0 μg and 6·0 μg) with two immunisation schedules
aged 3–17 years in this trial, which supports the use of
(on days 0 and 14, or on days 0 and 28) in adults aged
CoronaVac for further studies in this population.
18–59 years. Seroconversion rates were higher than 98% after
two doses of CoronaVac (3 μg and 6 μg) with the 0–28 days
schedule in patients aged 60 years and older.
relatively small number of children and adolescents might complete protection in macaques following SARS-CoV-2
be at risk for severe COVID-19, especially those with challenge, without observable antibody-dependent
underlying health comorbidities.2–5 Studies have also enhancement of infection.16 The analyses from phase 1–3
found that the SARS-CoV-2 infection can lead to a serious trials have shown that CoronaVac was effective, immuno-
complication called multisystem inflammatory syndrome genic, and safe in adults aged 18 years and older.12,17–19
in children, which includes myocardial dysfunction, Furthermore, another 11 inactivated COVID-19 candidate
shock, and respiratory failure requiring intensive care.3,6,7 vaccines are in clinical evaluation, and several studies
Furthermore, children and adolescents can be important have also shown that the inactivated vaccines can induce
transmitters of SARS-CoV-2 in communities.8,9 Therefore, neutralising antibody responses and have good safety
testing the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in this profiles.20–24
population is important. As of June 11, 2021, a total of The phase 1/2 trial of CoronaVac in children and
287 candidate vaccines are in clinical or preclinical adolescents was launched in October, 2020 to assess the
development.10 The results from phase 3 trials of multiple safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity. Here we report
vaccines across three platforms, including mRNA, viral the results of CoronaVac among healthy participants
vector, and inactivated virus, have confirmed that the aged 3–17 years old.
vaccines are effective in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection
in adults,11,12 and more than ten vaccines have been rolled Method
out in many countries for general population use. No Study design and participants
COVID-19 vaccines are authorised for use among children We have done two phase 1/2 clinical trials of CoronaVac in
under the age of 12 years, but vaccine companies have participants aged 18–59 years and aged 60 years and
been started to assess the safety and efficacy of various older.17,18 The preliminary immunogenicity and safety
vaccine platforms among the population aged 6 months to results supported the expansion of the trial to children
17 years.13,14 The mRNA vaccine developed by Pfizer has and adolescents. We subsequently did a single-centre,
shown 100% efficacy and robust antibody responses in randomised, double-blind, controlled, phase 1/2 trial to
adolescents aged 12–15 years.15 evaluate the safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of
Purified inactivated viruses have traditionally been CoronaVac in children and adolescents aged 3–17 years.
used for vaccine development. CoronaVac is an On the basis of the results of previous trials and
inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine developed by Sinovac considering the low weight of this population, two different
Life Sciences (Beijing, China), which provided partial or doses—1·5 μg and 3·0 μg—were adopted in this study.
Articles
This trial was run at Hebei Provincial Center for Disease participants, investigators, and laboratory staff were
Control and Prevention in Zanhuang (Hebei, China). masked to group allocation.
The phase 1 trial was an age de-escalation and
dose-escalation study of 72 participants. Participants in Procedures
each age group (3–5 years, 6–11 years, and 12–17 years) CoronaVac is an inactivated vaccine candidate against
were recruited in order from the low-dose stage (block 1) SARS-CoV-2 infection. To prepare the vaccine,
to the high-dose stage (block 2). In block 1, participants SARS-CoV-2 (CN02 strain) was propagated in African
were randomly assigned to receive either 1·5 μg vaccine green monkey kidney cells (WHO Vero 10-87 Cells). At
or aluminum hydroxide adjuvant only (alum only, the end of the incubation period, the virus was harvested,
control) and participants in block 2 were randomly inactivated with β-propiolactone, concentrated, purified,
assigned to receive either 3·0 μg vaccine or alum only. In and finally adsorbed onto aluminum hydroxide. The
phase 1, 7 days of follow-up for safety were required aluminium hydroxide complex was then diluted in
before entering the next stage. The phase 2 trial was sodium chloride, phosphate-buffered saline, and water,
initiated only after all the participants in phase 1 had before being sterilised and filtered for injection. The
finished and passed a 7-days safety observation period control was aluminum hydroxide adjuvant (alum only)
after the first dose, as confirmed by the data monitoring with no virus. Both the vaccine and alum only were
committee. The required safety criteria were: no-life prepared in the Good Manufacturing Practice-accredited
threatening vaccine-related adverse events (adverse facility of Sinovac Life Science that was periodically
reactions), no more than 15% of vaccinated participants inspected by the National Medical Products Adminis-
reporting severe adverse reactions, and no other safety tration committee for compliance. The production
concerns in the opinion of the data monitoring process of the vaccine in this trial was a highly auto-
committee. A total of 480 participants were recruited mated bioreactor (ReadyToProcess WAVE 25, GE, Umea,
in phase 2, including 120 aged 3–5 years, 180 aged Sweden), which was consistent with the production
6–11 years, and 180 aged 12–17 years. process of vaccine used in the phase 2 trial of adults aged
Eligible participants were healthy children and 18–59 years and in the phase 1/2 trial of older adults
adolescents aged 3–17 years. The key exclusion criteria aged at least 60 years.17,18 Vaccine doses of 1·5 μg, or
included high-risk epidemiology history within 14 days 3·0 μg in 0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide diluent per
before enrolment (eg, travel or residence history in dose and alum only in ready-to-use syringes were
communities with case reports, or contact history with administered intramuscularly to participants on day 0
someone infected with SARS-CoV-2), history of severe and day 28.
acute respiratory syndrome or SARS-CoV-2 infection (as Participants were observed in the study site for at
reported by participants), axillary temperature of more least 30 min after vaccination. For the first 7 days after
than 37·0°, and history of allergy to any vaccine each dose, parents or guardians of participants were
component. A complete list of exclusion criteria is listed required to record any injection-site adverse events
in the protocol, which is available online. (eg, pain, swelling, erythema), or systemic adverse For more on exclusion criteria
Parents provided written informed consents, and events (eg, allergic reaction, cough, fever) on the diary see http://www.hebeicdc.cn/
kygz/25011.jhtml
participants 8–17 years of age also provided written cards. From day 8 to day 28 after each dose, safety
assents before enrolment. The clinical trial protocol data were collected by spontaneous report from the
and informed consent form were approved by the Ethics participants combined with the regular visit (which
Committee of Hebei CDC (IRB2020-005). The study occurred on day 3, day 8 and day 28 after each dose in
was done in accordance with the requirements of phase 1, and on day 8 and day 28 in phase 2). Solicited
Good Clinical Practice of China and the International adverse events were recorded for 7 days after each
Conference on Harmonisation. dose and unsolicited adverse events for 28 days. The
serious adverse events are recorded throughout the
Randomisation and masking study and follow-up will continue until 12 months after
In phase 1, participants of block 1 and block 2 were the second dose. The reported adverse events were
randomly assigned (3:1) to either vaccine or alum graded according to the China National Medical
only, and in phase 2, participants were randomly Products Administration guidelines.25 The causal
assigned (2:2:1) to either 1·5 μg, 3·0 μg of vaccine, or relationship between adverse events and vaccination
alum only. The randomisation codes for the phase 1 and was established by the investigators.
phase 2 were generated by the randomisation statistician In the phase 1 trial, blood and urine samples were
by means of block randomisation using SAS software taken on day 3 after each dose and tested to investigate
(version 9.4). The randomisation code was assigned to any abnormal changes of the haematology, biochemistry,
each participant in sequence in the order of enrolment, and urine routine indexes. Blood samples were collected
and then the participants received the study vaccine on day 0, 28, and 56 from participants in phase 1, and on
labelled with the same code. The vaccine and alum day 0 and 56 in phase 2 to evaluate the neutralising
only were completely identical in appearance, and all antibody titres. The neutralising antibody titres to
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Phase 1 Phase 2
38 excluded 35 excluded
37 did not meet eligibility criteria 33 did not meet eligibility criteria
1 withdrew consent 2 withdrew consent
36 allocated to block 1 36 allocated to block 2 192 randomly 192 randomly 96 randomly assigned
assigned to 1·5 μg assigned to 3 μg to alum-only
group group group
1 withdrew
27 randomly assigned 9 randomly assigned 27 randomly assigned 9 randomly assigned 192 received first dose 191 received first dose 96 received first dose
to 1·5 μg group to alum-only group to 3 μg group to alum-only group
1 withdrew
27 received first and 9 received first and 26 received first and 9 received first dose 187 received second 185 received second 95 received second
second dose second dose second dose 7 received second dose dose dose dose
27 included in per- 9 included in per- 26 included in per- 7 included in per- 186 included in per- 180 included in per- 94 included in per-
protocol analysis protocol analysis protocol analysis protocol analysis protocol analysis protocol analysis protocol analysis
27 included in overall 9 included in overall 26 included in overall 9 included in overall 192 included in overall 191 included in overall 96 included in overall
safety analysis safety analysis safety analysis safety analysis safety analysis safety analysis safety analysis
live SARS-CoV-2 (virus strain: SARS-CoV-2/human/ for Food and Drug Control. Further information on the
See Online for appendix CHN/CN1/2020, genebank number MT407649.1) was method has been provided in the appendix (p 1).
quantified by means of the microcytopathogenic effect
assay.26 Serum samples were inactivated at 56° for 30 min Outcomes
and serially diluted with cell culture medium in two-fold The primary safety endpoint was any vaccine-related
steps. The diluted serum samples were incubated with adverse events (adverse reactions) within 28 days after the
equal volume (50 μL) of the live SARS-CoV-2 virus administration of each dose of the study vaccine or alum
suspension, with a 50% cell culture infective dose only. Secondary safety endpoints were serious adverse
of 100 for 2 h at 37·0°. Vero cells (1·0–2·0 × 10⁵ cells events and any abnormal changes in laboratory measure-
per mL) were then added to the serum–virus suspensions ments at day 3 after each dose. Laboratory index tests were
in microplates in duplicate and incubated at 36·5° for prespecified only in the phase 1 trial. The primary
5 days. Cytopathic effects were recorded under immunogenic endpoint was the seroconversion rate of
microscopes and the neutralising antibody titre was neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 at day 28 after
calculated by the dilution number of 50% protective the second dose. Secondary immunogenic endpoints were
condition. Detection was done by the National Institute geometric mean titre (GMT) of neutralising antibodies to
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randomly received two doses of vaccine or alum only, Height, m 1·3 (0·2) 1·3 (0·3) 1·3 (0·3) 1·4 (0·2) 1·4 (0·2) 1·4 (0·2)
had antibody results available, and did not violate the Weight, kg 34·3 (15·7) 35·0 (14·9) 34·9 (17·7) 40·4 (19·0) 37·9 (16·9) 39·2 (18·9)
trial protocol. Data are mean (SD) or n (%).
We did not determine the sample sizes on the basis
Table 1: Baseline characteristics
of a statistical power calculation, but followed the
requirements of the China National Medical Products
Administration and Chinese Technical Guidelines for
1·5 μg group 3·0 μg group Aluminium Total p value*
Clinical Trials of Vaccines—ie, recruitment of at least (n=219) (n=217) hydroxide only (n=550)
20–30 participants in phase 1 and 300 participants in group (n=114)
phase 2 trial. Solicited adverse reactions within 0–7 days
We used the Pearson χ² test or Fisher’s exact test for Any 51 (23%) 59 (27%) 22 (19%) 132 (24%) 0·28
the analysis of categorical outcomes. We calculated Grade 1 39 (18%) 51 (24%) 15 (13%) 105 (19%) 0·065
the 95% CIs for all categorical outcomes using the Grade 2 16 (7%) 19 (9%) 9 (8%) 44 (8%) 0·82
Clopper-Pearson method. We calculated GMTs and
Grade 3 2 (1%) 0 0 2 (<1%) 0·36
corresponding 95% CIs on the basis of the standard
Injection site adverse reactions
normal distribution of the log-transformation antibody
Pain 36 (16%) 35 (16%) 2 (2%) 73 (13%) <0·0001
titre. We used the ANOVA method to compare the
Grade 1 34 (16%) 35 (16%) 2 (2%) 71 (13%) <0·0001
log-transformed antibody titres. When the comparison
Grade 2 2 (1%) 0 0 2 (<1%) 0·36
among all groups showed significant difference, we
Swelling 3 (1%) 6 (3%) 1 (1%) 10 (2%) 0·50
then did pairwise comparisons. Hypothesis testing
Grade 1 0 4 (2%) 0 4 (1%) 0·053
was two-sided and we considered a p value of less
Grade 2 3 (1%) 3 (1%) 1 (1%) 7 (1%) 1·0
than 0·05 to be significant.
Induration 0 2 (1%) 0 2 (<1%) 0·20
An independent data monitoring committee con-
Grade 1 0 2 (1%) 0 2 (<1%) 0·20
sisting of one independent statistician, one clinician,
and one epidemiologist was established before com- Erythema 0 1 (<1%) 0 1 (<1%) 0·60
mencement of the study. Safety data were assessed and Grade 1 0 1 (<1%) 0 1 (<1%) 0·60
reviewed by the committee to ensure further proceeding Pruritus 3 (1%) 2 (1%) 0 5 (1 %) 0·64
of the study. We used SAS (version 9.4) for all analyses. Grade 1 3 (1%) 2 (1%) 0 5 (1%) 0·64
This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, Systematic adverse reactions
NCT04551547. Fever 9 (4%) 11 (5%) 5 (4%) 25 (5%) 0·93
Grade 1 3 (1%) 2 (1%) 2 (2%) 7 (1%) 0·89
Role of the funding source Grade 2 4 (2%) 10 (5%) 3 (3%) 17 (3%) 0·22
The funders of the study had no role in study design, Grade 3 2 (1%) 0 0 2 (<1%) 0·36
data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or Cough 5 (2%) 8 (4%) 5 (4%) 18 (3%) 0·47
writing of the report. Employees of Sinovac Life Sciences Grade 1 1 (<1%) 4 (2%) 3 (3%) 8 (1%) 0·19
and Sinovac Biotech, listed as the authors, contributed Grade 2 4 (2%) 4 (2%) 2 (2%) 10 (2%) 1·0
to the study design, data interpretation, clinical trial Headache 6 (3%) 4 (2%) 3 (3%) 13 (2%) 0·82
monitoring, writing or revising the manuscript. Grade 1 3 (1%) 3 (1%) 1 (1%) 7 (1%) 1·0
Grade 2 4 (2%) 1 (<1%) 2 (2%) 7 (1%) 0·39
Results Anorexia 3 (1%) 4 (2%) 2 (2%) 9 (2%) 0·92
Between Oct 31, 2020, and Dec 2, 2020, 110 individuals Grade 1 1 (<1%) 3 (1%) 2 (2%) 6 (1%) 0·52
were screened and 72 were enrolled in phase 1. Between Grade 2 3 (1%) 1 (<1%) 0 4 (1%) 0·54
Dec 12 and Dec 30, 2020, 515 individuals were screened (Table 2 continues on next page)
and 480 were enrolled in phase 2. 550 (>99%) of
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Table 3: Seroconversion rates of neutralising antibody responses to live SARS-CoV-2 28 days after the second dose
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June 12, 2021, only one participant in the alum- 1024 1·5 μg group
3 μg group 55·0 117·4 86·4 142·2
only group has reported one serious adverse event Reciprocal neutralising antibody titres 512
Aluminium hydroxide
(pneumonia; appendix p 15), which was considered to be 256 only group
unrelated to vaccination. Additionally, only two (3%) of 128
Articles
doses of the CoronaVac were safe and well tolerated at Another inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, BBV152, has
doses of 1·5 μg and 3·0 μg among children and also been reported to induced a Th1-biased response.21,24
adolescents aged 3–17 years old. The prevalence of Future studies are needed to assess the responses of
adverse reactions in different dose groups was similar, type 1 and type 2 T-helper cells by inactivated vaccines.
indicating that there was no dose-related concern on This study has some further limitations. First, the
safety. Most reactions were mild to moderate in severity sample size of this study is relatively small per age group
and transient. Injection-site pain was the most reported and all study populations were of Han ethnicity. Further
symptom. The results were similar to our study of adults studies will be done in different regions and multiethnic
and elderly.17,18 Furthermore, the higher grade 1 injection populations to collect more data to provide scientific
site pain reported by adolescents aged 12–17 years was evidence for immune strategy. Second, at the time of the
the main reason for the higher prevalence of adverse report, long-term immunogenicity and safety could not
reactions in this population compared with children aged be available, although the participants will be followed
3–5 years and 6–11 years. None of the serious adverse up for at least 1 year. Finally, the calculated p values
events reported during the trial was related to vaccination. cannot support any powerful statistical conclusions in
CoronaVac was immunogenic in children and ado- this study, which are only for reference and should be
lescents aged 3–17 years. The seroconversion rates of interpreted with caution.
neutralising antibody in children and adolescents with In conclusion, CoronaVac was well tolerated and
both doses were over 96% after the two-dose vaccination. safe, and induced humoral responses in children and
The GMTs of 142·2 in the 3·0 μg groups were higher adolescents aged 3–17 years. Among the two doses
than that of 86·4 in the 1·5 μg group in phase 2; however, evaluated, the neutralising antibody titres induced by a
even the GMT of 86·4 induced better immunogenicity 3·0 μg dose were higher than those of the 1·5 μg dose.
compared with adults aged 18–59 years (44·1) and those The results support the use of 3·0 μg dose with a
aged 60 years and older (42·2) who received a 3·0 μg two-immunisation schedule for further studies in
dose of vaccine with the same immunisation schedule.17,18 children and adolescents.
Age plays an important role in antibody response to Contributors
vaccine.27 Decreasing responses to vaccination with QL, QG, YZ, BH, and YS designed the trial and study protocol. BH, WY,
increasing age have been shown in other vaccines, such and ML contributed to the literature search. All authors had access to
data, and YS and QL verified the data. BH and WY wrote the first draft
as hepatitis B vaccine, seasonal influenza, pneumococcal manuscript. QG, QL, YS, ML, XL, and YZ contributed to the data
disease, tetanus, pertussis, and diphtheria.27,28 The interpretation and revision of the manuscript. ZJ and QS contributed to
results implied that a lower dose of vaccine could induce data analysis. LW monitored the trial. QM and WJ were responsible for
higher immune response in children and adolescents. the site work including the recruitment, follow-up, and data collection,
and ZW was the site coordinator. CL were responsible for the laboratory
In an exploratory analysis stratified by age, we did not analysis. All the authors had full access to all the data in the study and
observe significant differences in neutralising antibody had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
responses between age groups (3–5 years, 6–11 years, Declaration of interests
and 12–17 years) after the second vaccination QG and XL are employees of Sinovac Life Sciences. YS, WY, and LW are
(appendix p 14). GMTs in phase 1 decreased with age in employees of Sinovac Biotech. All other authors declare no competing
recipients of the same vaccine, whereas they were interests.
similar in phase 2. Small sample size might account for Data sharing
the change trends of GMT in phase 1. In each age group, The individual participant-level data that underlie the results reported
in this Article will be shared after de-identification (text, tables, figures,
there were significant differences in GMTs between the and appendices). This clinical trial is ongoing, and all the individual
1·5 μg and 3·0 μg groups after the second dose, except in participant data will not be available until the immune persistence
the group aged 12–17 years old in phase 1. Taken together, evaluation is completed. The data will be available immediately after
publication and finalisation of the completed clinical study report for
the 3·0 μg dose of CoronaVac induced higher immune
at least 6 months. Supporting clinical documents including the study
responses in all age groups compared with the 1·5 μg protocol and statistical analysis plan and the informed consent form
dose. will be available immediately following publication of this Article for at
Evidence from various studies supports the important least 1 year. Information on how to access the supporting clinical
documents is available online. Researchers who provide a scientifically
role of T-cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection,29 and
sound proposal will be allowed to access to the de-identified individual
such responses have been found with use of different participant data. Proposals should be sent to the corresponding author.
vaccine platforms, including mRNA, viral vectors, and These proposals will be reviewed and approved by the sponsor,
recombinant proteins.30 In this study, T cell responses investigators, and collaborators on the basis of scientific merit.
To gain access, data requestors will need to sign a data access
were not assessed, which was a limitation of the study
agreement.
design. However, a study in Chile found a significant
Acknowledgments
induction of a T-cell response characterised by the This study was funded by the National Key Research and Development
secretion of interferon-gamma following vaccination of Program and Beijing Science and Technology Program.
CoronaVac in a population aged 18 years and older,19, References
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Articles
Summary
Background Hong Kong maintained low circulation of SARS-CoV-2 until a major community epidemic of the omicron Lancet Infect Dis 2022;
(B.1.1.529) sublineage BA.2 began in January, 2022. Both mRNA (BNT162b2 [Fosun Pharma-BioNTech]) and inactivated 22: 1435–43
CoronaVac (Sinovac, Beijing, China) vaccines are widely available; however, vaccination coverage has been low, Published Online
July 15, 2022
particularly in older adults aged 70 years or older. We aimed to assess vaccine effectiveness in this predominantly
https://doi.org/10.1016/
infection-naive population. S1473-3099(22)00345-0
This online publication has
Methods In this observational study, we used individual-level case data on mild or moderate, severe or fatal, and fatal been corrected. The corrected
disease in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 along with census information and coverage data of BNT162b2 and version first appeared at
thelancet.com/infection on
CoronaVac. We used a negative binomial model, adjusting for age, sex, and calendar day to estimate vaccine
July 28, 2022
effectiveness of one, two, and three doses of both BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines, and relative effectiveness by
WHO Collaborating Centre for
number of doses and vaccine type. Infectious Disease
Epidemiology and Control,
Findings Between Dec 31, 2020, and March 16, 2022, 13·2 million vaccine doses were administered in Hong Kong’s School of Public Health, Li Ka
7·4-million population. We analysed data from confirmed cases with mild or moderate (n=5566), severe or fatal Shing Faculty of Medicine,
The University of Hong Kong,
(n=8875), and fatal (n=6866) COVID-19. Two doses of either vaccine protected against severe disease and death within Hong Kong Special
28 days of a positive test, with higher effectiveness among adults aged 60 years or older with BNT162b2 (vaccine Administrative Region, China
effectiveness 89·3% [95% CI 86·6–91·6]) compared with CoronaVac (69·9% [64·4–74·6]). Three doses of either (M E McMenamin PhD,
J Nealon PhD, Y Lin MPH,
vaccine offered very high levels of protection against severe or fatal outcomes (97·9% [97·3–98·4]).
J Y Wong PhD, J K Cheung BSc,
E H Y Lau PhD, P Wu PhD,
Interpretation Third doses of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac provide substantial additional protection against severe Prof G M Leung MD,
COVID-19 and should be prioritised, particularly in older adults older than 60 years and others in high-risk Prof B J Cowling PhD);
Laboratory of Data Discovery
populations who received CoronaVac primary schedules. Longer follow-up is needed to assess duration of protection
for Health, Hong Kong Science
across different vaccine platforms and schedules. and Technology Park, Hong
Kong Special Administrative
Funding COVID-19 Vaccines Evaluation Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Region, China (E H Y Lau, P Wu,
Prof G M Leung, Prof B J Cowling)
Correspondence to:
Copyright © 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Dr Joshua Nealon,
WHO Collaborating Centre for
Introduction confirmed cases, 441 945 cases positive by rapid antigen Infectious Disease Epidemiology
Hong Kong (population 7·4 million) has pursued a tests, and 8856 deaths until April 15, 2022.2 Vaccination and Control, School of Public
Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of
COVID-19 elimination strategy since January, 2020, coverage has since increased but remains low in older
Medicine, The University of Hong
involving stringent physical distancing measures, border people, with two-dose coverage at 62% in those aged Kong, Hong Kong Special
entry restrictions, isolation of cases, quarantine of close 80 years and older by June 27, 2022. Third vaccine doses Administrative Region, China
contacts, and the use of personal protective measures.1 were recommended first for priority groups and then for jnealon@hku.hk
Consequently, the disease had been largely controlled members of the general public older than 18 years on or
until December, 2021, with four previous epidemic waves Jan 1, 2022, to be given 6 months after the second dose.3 Prof Benjamin J Cowling,
resulting in 12 631 cases (<2 per 1000) and 213 deaths As of April 18, 2022, third dose uptake has been highest WHO Collaborating Centre for
Infectious Disease Epidemiology
(<3 per 100 000). Since February, 2021, both inactivated in those aged 40–59 years (61%) and lower in older adults and Control, School of Public
(CoronaVac [Sinovac, Beijing, China]) and mRNA (39% in those aged 70–79 years and 15% in those aged Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of
(BNT162b2 [Fosun Pharma-BioNTech]) vaccines have ≥80 years). Efforts to increase uptake are underway, Medicine, The University of Hong
been widely available with residents older than 5 years including reducing the duration between first and second Kong, Hong Kong Special
Administrative Region, China
offered the choice of either. However, by January, 2022, doses for care-home residents; extending vaccination bcowling@hku.hk
two-dose vaccine coverage had only reached 46% in clinic operating hours; and deploying vaccine outreach
adults aged 70–79 years of age and 18% in those aged teams to care homes, housing estates, and residents with
80 years and older. reduced mobility.4
A major community epidemic of the SARS-CoV-2 International data have shown that vaccination with
omicron (B.1.1.529) variant sublineage BA.2 began in BNT162b2 reduces the frequency of severe outcomes
early January, 2022, resulting in 741 708 laboratory and, to a lesser extent, infection for variants circulating
Articles
Research in context
Evidence before this study and relative effectiveness of three versus two doses, against the
A systematic review by Higdon and colleagues identified omicron BA.2 sublineage, in an immunologically-naive
22 efficacy studies for 15 COVID-19 vaccine candidates and population. Recipients of at least two doses of BNT162b2
107 observational studies describing performance of vaccine had at least 85% vaccine effectiveness and three doses
eight COVID-19 vaccines. Their review included 86 studies of the of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac had greater than 95% vaccine
vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 (Fosun Pharma-BioNTech) effectiveness against severe or fatal outcomes, irrespective of
and six studies of CoronaVac (Sinovac, Beijing, China) age. Greater protection was observed among those who
effectiveness. Four BNT162b2 studies and none of the received two doses of BNT162b2 compared with two doses of
CoronaVac studies were done in areas with circulation of the CoronaVac across all age groups. Third vaccine doses were
omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. We searched medRxiv, PubMed, associated with a relative effectiveness versus two doses of
and SSRN using the following search terms: “((vaccine 68–97% against severe and fatal outcomes, with the caveat
effectiveness) AND (omicron) AND (BA.2)) AND ((BNT162b2) that third doses were recently administered (within a median of
OR (Comirnaty) OR (Coronavac))”, restricting the search from 44–61 days), and the vaccine effectiveness might wane. These
Nov 24, 2021, to March 16, 2022, to coincide with when the findings are the first estimates of vaccine effectiveness from
omicron variant was reported to WHO and the cutoff for Hong Kong and will therefore provide important contributions
inclusion in our study. We found no published articles and to vaccination policy in areas where two-dose and three-dose
32 preprints, five of which estimated vaccine effectiveness using vaccine coverage in older adults remains low.
clinical outcome data. Of these, only two studies estimated
Implications of all the available evidence
mRNA vaccine effectiveness against the BA.2 sublineage (both
Our results show the importance and urgency of achieving high
in Qatar). The authors reported vaccine effectiveness estimates
vaccination coverage in a population that has acquired minimal
of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 hospitalisation and death in the
protection from natural infection, particularly in those most at
range of 70–80% any time after the second dose, and greater
risk, with a preference for BNT162b2 in a two-dose schedule.
than 90% after the third dose. No estimates of the CoronaVac
Older adults (>60 years) and those in high-risk groups who
vaccine against BA.2 have been reported to date. Because of
have received two doses of an inactivated vaccine are strongly
previously low SARS-CoV-2 circulation, no previous estimates of
recommended to receive a third dose to obtain high levels of
COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in Hong Kong have been
protection. A third dose of either an inactivated or mRNA
published. Given that both CoronaVac and BNT162b2 are widely
vaccine provides high protection from severe and fatal
in use, the BA.2 sublineage is in circulation, and population
COVID-19, and innovative public health policies to improve
immunity is almost entirely vaccine-derived, Hong Kong
coverage in older adults should be urgently followed to
represents a unique environment for monitoring vaccine
minimise avoidable COVID-19 morbidity and mortality.
effectiveness, and vaccine performance might be expected to
Additional, longer-term research is needed to understand the
vary from that of other settings.
duration of protection associated with different vaccines,
Added value of this study including heterologous schedules.
To our knowledge, we present the first assessment of the
vaccine effectiveness of mRNA and inactivated vaccines,
before omicron.5–8 Waning protection has been observed third doses against mild and moderate infections, severe
in multiple contexts, in particular against infection,9–11 disease, and death.
and studies have provided early indications of reduced
effectiveness of BNT162b2 against omicron.12,13 Evidence Methods
on vaccine performance against the more transmissible Study design and population
omicron sublineage BA.2 remains scarce, as are data on In this observational study, we assessed vaccine
the performance of the inactivated CoronaVac vaccine effectiveness of the BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines
against previously circulating variants. Some obser- using an ecological study design, previously used in
vational evidence suggests strong and durable protection Israel.18 The study population was Hong Kong residents
against severe disease and death from both vaccines, aged 20 years and older. The population vaccinated with
with transient protection against milder symptomatic zero, one, two or three doses of either vaccine at risk at
disease.14–17 With a largely infection-naive population and a given time was derived using vaccination programme
two COVID-19 vaccines in widespread use, Hong Kong and census data. Information on all laboratory-
represents a unique environment for monitoring vaccine confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections was obtained from
effectiveness against omicron lineage BA.2. We aimed to individual-level surveillance data provided by the Hong
estimate vaccine effectiveness of one, two, and Kong Centre for Health Protection and linked to clinical
three doses of BNT162b2 and CoronaVac, their relative outcome data provided by the Hospital Authority of
effectiveness, and the additional protection offered by Hong Kong.
Articles
This project received approval from the Institutional misclassification bias arising from coding anomalies
Review Board of the University of Hong Kong whereby oxygen supplementation or other clinical
(UW 20-341). Informed consent was not required. information requiring manual data entry might have
been omitted from patient records, and to include
Procedures individuals who died from COVID-19-related causes
Extensive PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2 is done in public before meeting the criteria for serious or critical episodes
hospitals, community test centres, and private due to health-care capacity becoming overwhelmed.
laboratories in Hong Kong. Testing is free-of-charge or Data on the estimated population size at the end of 2021
low cost and required for those with COVID-19-like by age (years) were obtained from the Census and
symptoms or following contact tracing based on exposure Statistics Department of the Hong Kong Government.
history or residential location. Regular screening is also Data on the number of people vaccinated with BNT162b2
required for those in certain professions, in particular or CoronaVac vaccines each day since Feb 22, 2021, are
those working with older adults or vulnerable people. available in a vaccination database provided by the
Positive rapid test results have been recognised as Department for Health. We extracted data on all For the Department of Health
confirmed infections since Feb 25, 2022. Data on all vaccinations that had occurred up to March 16, 2022, by Dashboard see https://www.
covidvaccine.gov.hk/en/
confirmed cases between Dec 31, 2021, and age, sex, and the type and date of receipt of each vaccine dashboard
March 16, 2022, were extracted and cases that were dose on April 12, 2022 (appendix pp 2–3). Individuals with
classified as imported—ie, detected in on-arrival laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who received
quarantine—were excluded because of their non- vaccines other than BNT162b2 or CoronaVac, a mixed
representative histories of SARS-CoV-2 exposure and primary series (one dose of BNT162b2 and one dose of
vaccination. Individuals with missing age or sex CoronaVac), or a third dose that was different from the
information were excluded, as well as vaccinated primary series were excluded from the analysis.
individuals with missing information on vaccine type or Individuals with known previous SARS-CoV-2 infection
date of any vaccine dose. Sequencing of a subset of cases were also excluded.
each day indicated that less than 1% of cases and deaths
during the fifth wave occurred with the variant B.1.617.2 Statistical analysis
(delta), with the remaining infections attributed to We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) according to
omicron sublineage BA.2 (Poon L, University of Hong the number of vaccine doses received (none, one, two, or
Kong, personal communication).19 three) for each of the mild or moderate, severe or fatal,
Until mid-February, 2022, all patients with SARS-CoV-2 and fatal COVID-19 outcomes. Data were stratified by age
infections were admitted to hospitals regardless of group (20–29 years, 30–39 years, 40–49 years, 50–59 years,
symptoms. After this point hospitalisation was reserved 60–69 years, 70–79 years, ≥80 years), sex, vaccine type,
for patients with more severe disease, and patients with and calendar day throughout the study period. Vaccination
milder disease were required to isolate at Government status was categorised according to the date of vaccination
quarantine facilities or at home. Electronic medical plus a 14-day lag for all doses, to allow for the delay in
records from patients attending hospitals managed by the immune response to vaccination. Daily numbers of people
Hospital Authority of Hong Kong are stored in the in each vaccination category were inferred from the uptake
centralised clinical data analysis and reporting system, data assuming that individuals received the same vaccine
including information on demographics, laboratory for first and second dose (aligned with Hong Kong
results, and clinical data.20 We extracted records of all guidelines), and using aggregate data by age on vaccine
hospitalisations with confirmed COVID-19 between switching for the third dose. The population at risk in each
Dec 31, 2021, and March 16, 2022, from data provided on stratum was matched to the report date of cases, and
April 14, 2022, to capture all deaths within 28 days of individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection within
laboratory confirmation, including those with mild or each group were removed from the population at risk at
moderate disease before Feb 16, 2022, and severe disease each timepoint. This process was repeated for each
or death at any time. Records were regularly updated and outcome of interest. IRRs were estimated in adults
the worst condition during hospitalisation was younger than 60 years and in those aged 60–69 years,
documented as either mild (non-fatal, non-serious, and 70–79 years, and 80 years or older for all outcomes, using
non-critical), serious (oxygen supplement of 33 litres per negative binomial regression models for the daily counts
min), or critical (admitted to an intensive care unit [ICU], of cases, adjusting for age group, sex, and calendar day
intubated, requiring extracorporeal membrane oxy- and including the logarithm of person-time as an offset
genation [ECMO], or in shock). Deaths within 28 days of a term in the model to account for differing numbers at
positive SARS-CoV-2 test were considered COVID-19 risk within each strata. Each stratified daily case count
fatalities. We defined severe disease as any serious or was considered as a single observation, resulting in a total
critical condition and combined this definition with of 7448 observations across all age groups. Vaccine effec-
COVID-19 fatality to form the severe or fatal outcome tiveness was defined as (1–IRR) × 100%. We performed
(appendix p 1). This categorisation aimed to minimise sensitivity analyses calculating incidence per calendar See Online for appendix
Articles
Articles
Number of doses
3 3
Male 2383 (42·8%) 5322 (60·0%) 4152 (60·5%) 0 0
50–59 1 1
Female 3183 (57·2%) 3553 (40·0%) 2714 (39·5%) 2 2
3 3
Vaccination status† 0 0
60–69 1 1
No doses 1402 (25·2%) 6413 (72·3%) 5204 (75·8%) 2 2
3 3
One dose 0 0
70–79 1 1
BNT162b2 157 (2·8%) 126 (1·4%) 81 (1·2%) 2 2
3 3
CoronaVac 227 (4·1%) 1143 (12·9%) 794 (11·6%) 0 0
≥80 1 1
Two doses 2 2
3 3
BNT162b2 2169 (39·0%) 242 (2·7%) 149 (2·2%)
CoronaVac 1274 (22·9%) 870 (9·8%) 596 (8·7%) Severe or fatal cases Fatal cases
Three doses 0 0
BNT162b2 125 (2·2%) 28 (0·3%) 16 (0·2%) 20–29 1 1
2 2
3 3
CoronaVac 212 (3·8%) 53 (0·6%) 26 (0·4%) 0 0
Median number of days between last vaccine dose and positive SARS- 30–39 1 1
2 2
CoV-2 test result‡ 3 3
0 0
One dose 40–49 1 1
2 2
Age group (years)
Number of doses
BNT162b2 27 (21–35) 21 (18–31) 21 (17–29) 3 3
0 0
CoronaVac 29 (21–35) 22 (17–31) 22 (17–32) 50–59 1 1
2 2
Two doses 3 3
0 0
BNT162b2 181 (150–216) 167 (76–209) 172 (92–217) 60–69 1 1
2 2
CoronaVac 179 (146–209) 125 (47–166) 122 (47–164) 3 3
0 0
Three doses 70–79 1 1
2 2
BNT162b2 31 (20–48) 44 (28–56) 50 (43–70) 3 3
0 0
CoronaVac 39 (25–66) 61 (33–101) 65 (32–106) ≥80 1 1
2 2
3 3
Data are n (%) or median (IQR). Includes confirmed COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong
classified as having mild or moderate disease between Dec 31, 2021, and 0 25 50 75 100 0 25 50 75 100
Feb 15, 2022; and severe or fatal disease or fatal disease between Dec 31, 2021 and Percentage of population within age group Percentage of population within age group
16 March 2022. *Number of mild or moderate cases occurring before
Feb 16, 2022, due to changes in admission criteria. †Number of doses plus 14-day Figure 2: Vaccine status, age group, and vaccine type
lag. ‡Median time since vaccination among those for whom 14 days had passed
since latest dose.
effectiveness to be 51·0% (39·6–60·4) against the same
Table 1: Participant characteristics outcome (table 2). Vaccine effectiveness estimates that
were calculated and adjusted for each week of the study
period, rather than calendar day; or which considered a
(relative vaccine effectiveness 49·8% [15·5–70·5]) and in 7 day rather than 14 day duration between vaccination
those aged 60 years or older (62·5% [52·9–70·3]). and immune response, yielded qualitatively similar
We estimated that three recent doses of any vaccine vaccine effectiveness results but often with less precision,
(median time between third dose and onset 44 days for particularly for one-dose schedules (appendix pp 6–7).
BNT162b2 and 61 days for CoronaVac; table 1) offered We estimated the relative effect of three doses versus
very high protection against severe disease (97·9% two doses of each vaccine type (table 3). For mild or
[95% CI 97·3–98·4]) and death (98·6% [98·0–99·0]), moderate disease we found an additional benefit of a
which was sustained within all age groups (appendix third dose of BNT162b2 in adults aged 20–59 years
p 5). Vaccine effectiveness estimates were similar for (relative vaccine effectiveness 59·8% [95% CI
both vaccines against severe and fatal outcomes (table 2). 49·7–68·1]) and in adults aged 60 years or older (71·6%
We estimated three doses of BNT162b2 to have a vaccine [55·6–82·8%]) who had previously received two doses
effectiveness of 73·5% (66·6–79·2) against mild or of BNT162b2 (table 3). A third dose of CoronaVac also
moderate disease in adults aged 20–59 years, whereas for increased protection in adults aged 20–59 years (35·7%
three doses of CoronaVac we estimated the vaccine [22·1–47·3]) and in adults aged 60 years or older (46·9%
Articles
Data are effectiveness (95% CI). *No evidence of protection based on a negative or very small positive point estimate and wide CIs.
Table 2: Vaccine effectiveness by dose and vaccine type in all ages and within age categories against COVID-19
Articles
admitted to ICU or EMCO facilities, but considering the particular for mild and moderate outcomes. Furthermore,
magnitude of health-system disruption we cannot two-dose immunogenicity data from Hong Kong indicate
exclude information bias. We therefore applied a broad lower humoral and cellular responses following
definition of severe case to account for these variations. CoronaVac than with BNT162b2 vaccination but whether
Almost all sequenced SARS-CoV-2 isolates during inactivated vaccines given in three-dose schedules will
Hong Kong’s fifth wave were of the omicron sublineage provide similar protection to the mRNA vaccines in the
BA.2.19,23,24 Our overall findings are largely consistent long term is unclear. However, evidence from our
with existing vaccine effectiveness evidence against this analyses that three doses of inactivated vaccine provide a
sublineage. A study25 in Qatar estimated that third-dose high level of protection against severe COVID-19 disease,
vaccine effectiveness for BNT162b2 against BA.2 was at least in the short term, is reassuring.30
43·7% (95% CI 36·5–50·0) in the first month and begins Our study has several limitations. First, we used census
to decline again in the following weeks, with substantially data to construct the source population, but any
improved protection against severe outcomes (6-week differential population movement by vaccine status could
vaccine effectiveness 90·9% [78·6–96·1]). Similarly, a affect the validity of our estimates. Furthermore, we
study of vaccine effectiveness in the USA26 estimated estimated vaccine effectiveness in real-time and there
vaccine effectiveness of two doses of any mRNA vaccine might have been some delay in recording events, or
against severe omicron disease, defined as COVID-19 missed unreported infections, which could underestimate
requiring invasive mechanical ventilation or in-hospital case numbers and overestimate the denominator
death, to be 79% (66–87), a median of 256 days after the population-at-risk. Second, there are some differences in
second dose, and three-dose vaccine effectiveness to be testing requirements by vaccine status, particularly for
94% (88–97), a median of 60 days after the third dose. those required to regularly test because of occupation.
Despite the overall consistency between our results and However, we expect that estimates of vaccine effectiveness
those presented in other studies, vaccine effectiveness against severe outcomes will be only marginally
could have been overestimated in our study. Reasons for susceptible to biases related to testing requirements.
vaccine hesitancy in Hong Kong have varied throughout Third, we assumed that the second vaccine type matched
the pandemic; however, hesitancy has typically been the first, as per local guidelines, however a small number
most prominent among adults older than 60 years, and of people may have received mixed schedules. Fourth,
associated with underlying health conditions.27 Healthy our severe COVID-19 outcome included oxygen
vaccinee bias, by which vaccine recipients are healthier supplementation or therapy, which are coded using the
than their unvaccinated peers, might inflate the estimates 9th edition of the International Classification of Diseases,
in this setting. We could not formally assess this requiring medical staff to manually enter these
hypothesis with available data but our estimates are procedures into electronic medical records with the
similar to those of other studies using alternative designs potential for imperfect data entry and capture and under-
and we anticipate the magnitude of overestimation is ascertainment of these procedures. Finally, in Hong
unlikely to be substantial.12,25 To address potential Kong there was a clear preference for the BNT162b2
differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated vaccine in younger age groups and for CoronaVac in
cohorts, we also estimated a relative vaccine effectiveness older adults. We have addressed this confounding in
of three versus two doses of each vaccine type; because estimates presented by stratifying by age and adjusting
individuals within these cohorts all chose to be estimates by 10-year age categories, sex, and calendar day.
vaccinated, they are more likely similar to each other in However, some residual confounding by age is possible
terms of baseline characteristics than their unvaccinated in the vaccine platform-specific estimates and other
peers.28 We found that a third dose of either vaccine factors might confound the relationship between vaccine
provided additional protection, reiterating the public status, type, and risk of infection that cannot be accounted
health value of a third dose for minimising the risk of for in this design.
severe disease and death but also for reducing health- Our findings indicate that two-dose schedules of both
system congestion and public concern. BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines offer strong
Our finding that three doses of CoronaVac are needed protection against severe disease and death; however, we
for older adults to achieve high levels of protection is found higher levels of protection among those who
consistent with WHO recommendations for this group.29 received two doses of BNT162b2 compared with those
However, the estimates presented are likely to be affected who received two doses of CoronaVac, particularly in
by time since vaccination, in that typically more time has older age groups. Three doses of either vaccine offered
passed since administration of second than third doses, very high levels of protection for older adults against
which have only been widely available in Hong Kong severe outcomes, with no differences observed across
since the beginning of Jan, 2022. Data from Malaysia15 vaccine types. Our results show the importance of
comparing the duration of protection of the BNT162b2 vaccination in an adult population that has acquired
and CoronaVac vaccines show more rapid waning of minimal protection from natural infection. Increasing
protection following CoronaVac after two doses, in uptake of third vaccine doses will be important,
Articles
particularly in older adults who have received two doses 8 Higdon MM, Wahl B, Jones CB, et al. A systematic review of
of CoronaVac. Further investigation of the durability of COVID-19 vaccine efficacy and effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2
infection and disease. medRxiv 2022; published online March 6.
protection provided by both vaccines is warranted and https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.09.17.21263549 (preprint).
planned. 9 Goldberg Y, Mandel M, Bar-On YM, et al. Waning Immunity after
the BNT162b2 Vaccine in Israel. N Engl J Med 2021; 385: e85.
Contributors
10 Israel A, Merzon E, Schäffer AA, et al. Elapsed time since
The study was designed by MEMM, JN, GML. and BJC. The underlying
BNT162b2 vaccine and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection: test negative
data were verified by YL, EHYL and MEMM, and data analyses were design study. BMJ 2021; 375: e067873.
done by MEMM and YL. MEMM wrote the first draft of the manuscript,
11 Andrews N, Tessier E, Stowe J, et al. Duration of protection against
which was revised by JN and BJC. All authors interpreted data, provided mild and severe disease by COVID-19 vaccines. N Engl J Med 2022;
critical review and revision of the text, and approved the final version of 386: 340–50.
the manuscript. 12 Andrews N, Stowe J, Kirsebom F, et al. COVID-19 vaccine
Declaration of interests effectiveness against the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. N Engl J Med
BJC reports honoraria from AstraZeneca, Fosun Pharma, 2022; published online March 2. https://doi.org/10.1056/
NEJMoa2119451.
GlaxoSmithKline, Moderna, Pfizer, Roche, and Sanofi Pasteur. JN was
previously employed by and owns shares in Sanofi. All other authors 13 Collie S, Champion J, Moultrie H, Bekker L-G, Gray G.
Effectiveness of BNT162b2 Vaccine against Omicron Variant in
declare no competing interests.
South Africa. N Engl J Med 2022; 386: 494–96.
Data sharing 14 Cerqueira-Silva T, Katikireddi SV, de Araujo Oliveira V, et al. Vaccine
Data on all vaccinations in Hong Kong by day and age are publicly effectiveness of heterologous CoronaVac plus BNT162b2 in Brazil.
available online (https://www.covidvaccine.gov.hk/en/dashboard). Nat Med 2022; published online Feb 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/
The clinical outcome data were extracted from the Hospital Authority s41591-022-01701-w.
database in Hong Kong and vaccine dose sequence for vaccinated cases 15 Suah JL, Husin M, Keng Tok PS, et al. Waning COVID-19 vaccine
were extracted from the eSARS COVID-19 surveillance database effectiveness for BNT162b2 and CoronaVac in Malaysia:
provided by the Centre for Health Protection. Restrictions apply to the an observational study. medRxiv 2022; published online Jan 16.
availability of these data, used under license for this study. https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.01.15.22269326 (preprint).
The hospitalisation and surveillance data were derived from records in 16 Suryatma A, Anasi R, Hananto M, et al. Effectiveness of the
the e-record system managed by the Hospital Authority and other inactivated COVID-19 vaccine (CoronaVac) in adult population in
Bali, Indonesia. medRxiv 2022; published online Feb 4. https://doi.
databases by the Centre for Health Protection in Hong Kong and are
org/10.1101/2022.02.02.22270351 (preprint).
restricted for reasons of patient consent. Data access can be discussed
17 Jara A, Undurraga EA, González C, et al. Effectiveness of an
with the corresponding author or by approaching the Hospital Authority
inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in Chile. N Engl J Med 2021;
or Centre for Health Protection directly. 385: 875–84.
Acknowledgments 18 Haas EJ, Angulo FJ, McLaughlin JM, et al. Impact and effectiveness
This project was supported by the Chinese Center for Disease Control of mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infections and
and Prevention-sponsored COVID-19 Vaccines Evaluation Program COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, and deaths following a
(COVEP). BJC is supported by the Theme-based Research Scheme nationwide vaccination campaign in Israel: an observational study
(T11-712/19-N) from the Research Grants Council from the University using national surveillance data. Lancet 2021; 397: 1819–29.
Grants Committee of Hong Kong, and an Research Grants Council 19 Mesfin Y, Chen D, Bond H, et al. Epidemiology of infections with
Senior Research Fellowship (HKU SRFS2021-7S03). The authors thank SARS-CoV-2 omicron BA.2 variant in Hong Kong,
January–March 2022. medRxiv 2022; published online April 14.
the Hong Kong Government and Hospital Authority for the timely
https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.07.22273595 (preprint).
sharing of COVID-19 vaccination and case data. The authors thank
20 Sing C-W, Woo Y-C, Lee ACH, et al. Validity of major osteoporotic
Julie Au for administrative support.
fracture diagnosis codes in the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting
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DOI: 10.1111/imm.13531
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Weixin Chen1 | Lichi Zhang1 | Juan Li1 | Shuang Bai1 | Yali Wang1 |
1 2 1 1 1
Bing Zhang | Qun Zheng | Meng Chen | Wei Zhao | Jiang Wu
1
Beijing Center for Disease Prevention
Abstract
and Control, Beijing, China
2 Neutralizing antibody is an important indicator of vaccine efficacy, of which IgG
Experimental Center for Basic Medical
Teaching, School of Basic Medical is the main component. IgG can be divided into four subclasses. Up to now, stud-
Sciences, Capital Medical University, ies analysing the humoral response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination have mostly
Beijing, China
focused on measuring total IgG, and the contribution of specific IgG subclasses
Correspondence remains elusive. The aim of this study is to investigate the kinetics of neutralizing
Jiang Wu and Wei Zhao, Beijing Center antibodies and IgG subclasses, and to explore their relationships in people vacci-
for Disease Prevention and Control,
No. 16 Hepingli Middle Street, nated with inactivated COVID-19 vaccine. We conducted a prospective cohort
Dongcheng District, Beijing 100013, study in 174 healthy adults aged 18–59 years old who were administrated 2 doses
China.
of CoronaVac 14 days apart and a booster dose 1 year after the primary immuni-
Email: wj81732@hotmail.com (J. W.) and
zw830424@163.com (W. Z.) zation, and followed up for 15 months. Blood samples were collected at various
time points after primary and booster immunization. We used live SARS-CoV-2
Funding information
virus neutralizing assay to determine neutralizing ability against the wild-type
Beijing Municipal Science and Technology
Commission, Grant/Award Number: strain and 4 variants (Beta, Gamma, Delta and Omicron) and ELISA to quantify
Z211100002521014 SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific IgG subclasses. The results showed that the 2-dose pri-
mary immunization only achieved low neutralizing ability, while a booster shot
can significantly enhance neutralizing ability against the wild-type strain, Beta,
Gamma, Delta and Omicron variants. IgG1 and IgG3 were the most abundant
serum antibodies, and IgG2 and IgG4 were hardly detected at any time. The ratio
of IgG1/IgG3 was positively associated with the neutralization ability. The under-
lying mechanism requires further exploration.
KEYWORDS
IgG subclasses, neutralization ability, SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine, variants
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any
medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
© 2022 The Authors. Immunology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Recruited
N=174
Blood Samples 1 month Blood Samples 3 months Blood Samples 6 months Blood Samples 12 months
after vaccination (S2) after vaccination (S3) after vaccination (S4) after vaccination (S5)
N=174 N=172 N=166 N=166
Blood Sampling 3 days Blood Sampling 7 days Blood Sampling 10 days Blood Sampling 14 days Blood Sampling 21 days
after booster shot after booster shot after booster shot after booster shot after booster shot
N=35 N=30 N=32 N=29 N=32
microplate was pre-coated with the RBD of the spike pro- Immunogenicity and antibody persistence
tein. The sensitivity (lower detection limit) of SARS- after 2-dose primary immunization
CoV-2 RBD specific IgG1, IgG2, IgG3 and IgG4 monoclo-
nal antibody was 10 ng/mL, 20 ng/mL, 0.2 ng/mL and Regarding the wild-type strain, the GMT (geometric
0.8 ng/mL, respectively. We used SARS-CoV-2 negative mean titre) of the neutralizing antibodies reached the
serum to validate its specificity. The specificity of IgG1, peak of 7.1 at 1 month after the primary immunization,
IgG2, IgG3 and IgG4 was 94.8%, 97.7%, 93.1% and 100%, with a seroconversion rate of 50.6% (Figure 2a and
respectively. The initial dilution of the sample was set to Table S1). At 3 months, the GMT decreased to 4.5, and
1:20, since the dilution ratio of 1:20 can eliminate the the seropositivity rate decreased to 21.5%. Interestingly,
background signal to the greatest extent while maintain- at 6 months, the GMT increased to 5.5, and the seroposi-
ing relatively high sensitivity. The cut-off value was 0.1, tivity rate increased to 37.3%. At 12 months, the GMT
as calculated by 2.1 times the standard deviation of the decreased again to 4.6, and the seropositivity rate
OD values of a large number of SARS-CoV-2 negative decreased to 25.9%.
serum. If the OD value/cut-off value (S/CO) was ≥1, then The neutralization capacity against the variants was
the test result was considered positive, whereas S/CO < 1 lower than that of the wild-type. At 1 month, the GMT
was negative. The corresponding level of IgG subclasses was 2.2, 2.7, 2.4 and 2.0 for Beta, Gamma, Delta and
was calculated as S/CO dilution folds. If saturated OD Omicron variants, respectively. The seroconversion
signals were observed, the samples were serially diluted rate was 2.9%, 2.9%, 4.6% and 0.0% for Beta, Gamma,
until a negative test result was reached. The maximum Delta and Omicron variants, respectively (Figure 2b–e
dilution multiple of the positive test results was selected, and Table S1). The GMT and seropositivity rate against
and the corresponding OD value of the maximum dilu- all the analysed variants did not change significantly
tion/cut-off dilution multiple was the antibody level until 12 months. After the 2-dose primary immuniza-
corresponding to the sample. tion, the GMT against the wild-type and all the variants
strain did not reach the positive threshold of 1:8 at
any time.
Statistical analysis
IgG subclass levels were presented as S/CO dilution Immunogenicity and antibody persistence
folds with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The neutraliz- after the booster shot
ing antibody titres were presented as dilution folds. The
geometric mean titres (GMTs) and 95% CIs were calcu- A booster shot was administered to 158 healthy partici-
lated with log values of the titres followed by subse- pants who completed the 2-dose primary immunization.
quent antilog-transformation. Bonferroni’s multiple Regarding the wild-type strain, on the 3rd day after the
comparison test was used to compare the titres of neu- booster shot, the GMT (3.7) and seroconversion rate
tralizing antibodies against different strains. Mann– (22.9%) of the neutralizing antibodies were comparable to
Whitney U test was used to compare the neutralizing that of 12 months after the primary immunization. The
antibody titres at different time points. Two-sided GMT increased significantly thereafter. On the 7th day,
p-values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. the GMT increased to 37.3, and the seroconversion rate
Statistical analyses were conducted with GraphPad was 90% (27/30). The GMT continued to increase on the
Prism 8.0.1. 10th day (158.2), 14th day (228.2), and reached a peak of
290.6 on the 21st day, thereafter decreased to 143.6 at
3 months (Figure 3a and Table S1). The seroconversion
RESULTS rate reached 100% at the 10th day and remained 100%
thereafter.
Demographic characteristics The four variants showed similar trends with much
lower GMTs (p < 0.0001). The peak GMTs of the four
A total of 174 participants were enrolled in this study. variants were reached on the 21st day, 52.5, 78.4, 46.0
None of the participants was tested positive for SARS- and 24.0, respectively. At 3 months after the booster shot,
CoV-2 nucleic acid until the end of the follow-up. The the GMTs decreased significantly to 20.4, 37.5, 22.9 and
oldest participant was 59 years old, and the youngest was 6.6; the seropositivity rates decreased to 80.6%, 92.9%,
22 years old. The mean age of the cohort was 39.7 years 83.9% and 42.6% for Beta, Gamma, Delta and Omicron
old. 43.7% of the participants were male and 56.3% were variants, respectively (Figure 3b–e and Table S1). We
female. used Bonferroni’s multiple comparison test to compare
32 32
Neutralization titer
Neutralization titer
2·1 2·2
16 16
2·2 2·0
8 8
4 4
2 2
1 1
No. person 174 174 172 166 166 No. person 174 174 172 166 166
Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m
128 128
64 64
2·2 2·3 32
32
Neutralization titer
Neutralization titer
2·4 2·2
2·7 2·2 2·1
16 16
2·1
8 8
4 4
2·0 2·0
2 2
1 1
No. person 174 174 172 166 166 No. person 174 174 172 166 166
Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m
Time after immunization Time after immunization
(e) Omicron
128
64
32
Neutralization titer
16
2·0
8
4
2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0
2
1
No. person 174 174 172 166 166
Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m
Time after immunization
F I G U R E 2 Neutralizing antibodies against the wild-type strain and variants of SARS-CoV-2 after 2-dose primary immunization. The
results of neutralization assays against SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strain (a), Beta variant (b), Gamma variant (c), Delta variant (d), and Omicron
variant (e). Each dot represents the neutralizing antibody titre of an individual. The numbers indicated above the bars are the geometric
mean titres (GMT), and the error bars indicate the 95% confidence intervals (CI) of GMT. The dotted horizontal line represents the
seropositivity threshold of 1:8. The titres lower than the limit of detection (1:4) are presented as half the limit of detection (1:2)
228·2
8192 8192
Neutralization titer
43·3 42·6
Neutralization titer
7·0
128 128
3·7
32 32
8 8
2·0
2 2
8192 8192
Neutralization titer
10·5
6·5 33·7
128 128
32 32
2·2 2·0
8 8
2 2
**** ****
**** **** **** ****
8192 143·6
8192
2048 37·5 22·9
2048 20·4
13·3 512
Neutralization titer
24·0 6·6
512
Neutralization titer
12·3 128
128
32
32 2·7
8
8
2·0 2
2
No. person 155 155 155 155 155
No. person 35 30 32 29 32 Prototype Beta Gamma Delta Omicron
3d 7d 10d 14d 21d
Virus Strain
Time after immunization
the neutralizing titres of the variants. Among the four the lowest (p < 0.0001). There were no significant differ-
variants, the GMT of the Gamma variant was the highest ences observed in GMTs between Beta and Delta variants
(p < 0.0001), and the GMT of the Omicron variant was (p > 0.9999) (Figure 3f).
(a) IgG1 Primary immunization Booster immunization (b) IgG2 Primary immunization Booster immunization
361·3
2000 2000
600 600
24·2
400 400
9·0
8·8 8·6
200 200 13·6 16·7 26·5
7·8 8·5
10·0 11·9 10·0 6·2
20 20
No. person 173 174 172 166 166 35 30 32 29 32 155 No. person 173 174 172 166 166 35 30 32 29 32 155
Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m 3d 7d 10d 14d 21d 3m Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m 3d 7d 10d 14d 21d 3m
(c) IgG3 Primary immunization Booster immunization (d) IgG4 Primary immunization Booster immunization
162·2
2000 2000
29·5
600 600
62·1
11·4
20·2
200 200
12·5
6·5
3·8 6·5 3·0 4·5 4·5 6·2 8·6 5·8
20 20
No. person 173 174 172 166 166 35 30 32 29 32 155 No. person 173 174 172 166 166 35 30 32 29 32 155
Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m 3d 7d 10d 14d 21d 3m Baseline 1m 3m 6m 12m 3d 7d 10d 14d 21d 3m
F I G U R E 4 IgG subclasses at the different time points after 2-dose primary immunization and the booster shot. The levels of IgG1 (a),
IgG2 (b), IgG3 (c) and IgG4 (d) after 2-dose primary immunization and the booster shot. Each dot represents the IgG subclass level of an
individual. The numbers above the bars are the mean levels, and the error bars indicate the 95% CIs. The dotted horizontal line represents
the seropositive threshold of 20
F I G U R E 3 Neutralizing antibodies against the wild-type strain and variants of SARS-CoV-2 after the booster shot. (a–e) show the
results of the different neutralization assays against SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strains (a), Beta variant (b), Gamma variant (c), Delta variant (d),
and Omicron variant (e), while (f) shows the results at 3 months for the 5 strains. Each dot represents the neutralizing antibody titre of an
individual. The numbers above the bars are GMTs, and the error bars indicate the 95% CIs of GMT. The dotted horizontal line represents the
seropositivity threshold of 1:8. The titres lower than the limit of detection (1:4) are presented as half the limit of detection (1:2). Bonferroni’s
multiple comparison test was used to compare the titres of neutralizing antibodies against different strains in (f). ***p < 0.001,
****p < 0.0001, ns: not statistically significant. No multiple comparison adjustment has been done
(a) 1 month after primary immunization (b) 3 month after primary immunization
600 600
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
20 20
P-value=0·1784 P-value=0·206
400 400
10 10
200 200
20 0 20 0
≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 ≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32
Neutralization titer Neutralization titer
(c) 6 months after primary immunization (d) 12 months after primary immunization
800 30 800 30
IgG1 IgG1
IgG3 IgG3
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
IgG Subclass Level
600 600
IgG Subclass Level
r=0·824
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
r=0·7293
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
20 20
P-value=0·176 P-value=0·2707
400 400
10 10
200 200
20 0 20 0
≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 ≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32
Neutralization titer Neutralization titer
F I G U R E 5 IgG1 and IgG3 distribution after 2-dose primary immunization. IgG1, IgG3 and IgG1/IgG3 ratio was grouped by titres of the
neutralizing antibodies at 1 month (a), 3 months (b), 6 months (c) and 12 months (d) after 2-dose primary immunization. The dotted line
represents the linear trend between the IgG1/IgG3 ratio and titres of the neutralizing antibodies. Based on each individual’s neutralizing
antibody titre, the seropositive threshold of 1:8, and the serial dilution multiplier of 2 in the neutralizing assay, the participants were divided
into several mutually exclusive groups
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
shot within 1 month. The dotted line 6
20
0
≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128 >1:256 >1:512
Neutralization titer
(p = 0.0911), 0.3069 (p = 0.5031) and 0.0110 observation was consistent with Fraley et al.’s finding for
(p = 0.9842) at 3 months after the booster shot, respec- mRNA vaccines [21] and Suthar et al.’s finding in
tively (Figure 7b–d). patients naturally infected with SARS-CoV-2 [22]. More
specifically, in this study IgG1 and IgG3 levels were simi-
lar after primary immunization, whereas IgG1 level was
DISC USS I ON much higher than IgG3 level after the booster shot. It has
been reported that the humoral immune response in
In the present study, we showed the kinetics of neutraliz- individuals recovered from the natural infections of
ing antibodies against the wild-type strain and variants COVID-19 was primarily dominated by IgG1-producing
after 2-dose primary immunization and a booster shot of memory B cells whereas the amount of IgG3-producing
inactivated vaccine. After the primary immunization, the memory B cells was relatively low [23, 24]. Whether the
GMT of neutralizing antibodies exhibited a moderate humoral immune response after the booster immuniza-
increase and reached the peak at 1 month. However, the tion with SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccines might be
GMT against the wild-type strain did not reach the directly related to the presence of memory B cells
threshold of 8 since most of the individuals had low titres requires further verification.
of antibodies. The peak seroconversion rate was only Interestingly, the GMT and seropositivity rate of the
50.6% at 1 month. GMTs of the neutralizing antibodies neutralizing antibodies at 6 months after the primary
against the variants were even lower. Therefore, regard- immunization were higher than that at 3 months. Several
ing immunogenicity, the 2-dose primary immunization previous studies have indicated that IgG subclass switch-
only achieved low neutralizing ability. After the booster ing may substantially impact the titre of the neutralizing
shot, the GMT rapidly increased, and the seroconversion antibodies [25, 26]. It has been found that in infections
rate reached 100% within 10 days, for the wild-type with rubella and measles viruses, the affinity of IgG1 was
strain, Beta, Gamma and Delta variants. At 3 months higher than that of IgG3, and the affinity maturation
after the booster shot, the GMT against the wild-type time of IgG1 was later than that of IgG3 [27, 28]. We
strain was about 20.2 times the GMT at 1 month after the examined whether the relative amounts of IgG1 and
primary immunization (Table S3). This pattern of rapid IgG3 was correlated with the GMT of the neutralizing
immune response and persistence of antibodies was con- antibodies at different time points, and we noticed that a
sistent with the characteristics of immune memory. This higher percentage of individuals with IgG1 > IgG3 is
finding can largely dispel the concerns that inactivated correlated with a higher GMT of the neutralizing
vaccines cannot induce significant cell-mediated immune antibody (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.7718,
response, and that they can only result in weak immuno- p-value = 0.0089, Figure S3). More specifically, at
genicity with deficiency of long-time immune memory. 1 month after primary immunization, the percentage of
Furthermore, efficacy of inactivated vaccine against the individuals with IgG1/IgG3 > 2 is 39.7%, and the GMT of
variants has been demonstrated indirectly due to the neutralizing antibodies was relatively high. At
increased immunogenicity after the booster shot. 3 months, the percentage of individuals with IgG1/
This study showed that IgG1 and IgG3 were the most IgG3 > 2 decreased to 8.7%, and the GMT of the neutral-
abundant IgG subclasses at all time points. This izing antibodies decreased as well. At 6 months, the
1000 12 1000 12
IgG1 IgG1
IgG3 IgG3
800 800
IgG Subclass Level
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
600 P-value=0·0001 P-value=0·4703
600
400 400
4 4
200 200
20 0 20 0
>1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128 >1:256 >1:512 ≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128 >1:256
Neutralization titer Neutralization titer
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
600 P-value=0·0911 600 P-value=0·5031
400 400
4 4
200 200
20 0 20 0
≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128 >1:256 ≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128 >1:256
Neutralization titer Neutralization titer
(e) Omicron
1000 12
IgG1
IgG3
800
IgG Subclass Level
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
8 r=0.0110
IgG1/IgG3 Ratio
600 P-value=0·9842
400
4
200
20 0
≤1:8 >1:8 >1:16 >1:32 >1:64 >1:128
Neutralization titer
F I G U R E 7 The association between IgG subclasses and neutralizing antibodies against the wild-type strain and variants at 3 months
after the booster shot. IgG1, IgG3 and IgG1/IgG3 ratio grouped by the titres of neutralizing antibodies against the wild-type strain (a), Beta
(b), Gamma (c), Delta (d) and Omicron(e) variants. The dotted line represents the linear trend between the IgG1/IgG3 ratio and the titres of
different neutralizing antibodies. The grouping rationale similar to Figure 5 applies here
percentage of individuals with IgG1/IgG3 > 2 increased concomitantly with the IgG1/IgG3 ratio. When the IgG1/
to 12.0%, and the GMTs of the neutralizing antibodies IgG3 ratio was 5 or higher, the GMT reached a plateau
also increased (Table S3, Table S4, and Figure S1). There- phase (Figure S2).
fore, we speculate that IgG1 affinity maturation might The neutralization assay was conducted in vitro to
have occurred between 3 to 6 months after the primary evaluate the potential inhibitory effect of antibodies
immunization with SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccines. against the virus. The inhibitory effect primarily depends
A positive correlation was observed between the ratio on the selective binding of the Fab segment to the viral
of IgG1/IgG3 and GMT of the neutralizing antibodies epitope, while the function of the Fc segment remains
after we grouped the participants by their neutralizing elusive. Three different types of Fc receptors (FcγRI,
titre. Individually, when the IgG1/IgG3 ratio was less FcγRII and FcγRIII) can interact with IgG. In humans,
than 5, the GMT of the neutralizing antibodies increased the FcγRI is expressed on the surface of monocytes,
macrophages and dendritic cells, and can effectively bind DA TA AVAI LA BI LI TY S T ATE ME NT
to the monomeric IgG1 and IgG3 with high affinity [29]. Data available on request due to privacy/ethical
Yates et al. have shown that the spike-specific IgG sub- restrictions.
classes may contribute to COVID-19 disease severity
through regulating potent Fc-mediated effector functions ORCID
[30]. In addition, the different subclasses of vaccine- Weixin Chen https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4519-2790
elicited antibodies may differentially recruit and activate
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Zhang and Meng Chen coordinated and performed the Freedman L, Kalkstein N, et al. Protection of BNT162b2 vac-
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ACK NO WLE DGE MEN TS 14. Zeng G, Wu Q, Pan H, Li M, Yang J, Wang L, et al. Immunogenic-
We would like to thank all the participants who attended ity and safety of a third dose of CoronaVac, and immune persis-
this study. In addition, we would like to thank Dr. Ying tence of a two-dose schedule, in healthy adults: interim results
Sun (School of Basic Medical Science, Capital Medical from two single-centre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-
controlled phase 2 clinical trials. Lancet Infect Dis. 2021;22:483–95.
University, Beijing, China) for discussion. This study was
15. Robbiani DF, Gaebler C, Muecksch F, Lorenzi JCC,
supported by the Beijing Municipal Science and Technol-
Wang Z, Cho A, et al. Convergent antibody responses to
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437–42.
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ory B-cell responses. Clin Transl Immunol. 2021;10:e1339. Bai S, Wang Y, Zhang B, et al. The kinetics of IgG
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COVID-19 patients. Front Immunol. 2021;12:632814.
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Journal of Infection xxx (xxxx) xxx
Journal of Infection
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jinf
Is the fourth COVID-19 vaccine dose urgently needed? mated by an exponential decay model, which increased 2–4 fold
Revelation from a prospective cohort study compared with those after the second dose5 and were longer than
those within 3 months after the third dose in our previous study.4
Dear editor, The power law model estimated half-lives for the neutralizing an-
tibody of 293.88 days, anti-RBD total antibody of 468.98 days, and
Vaccines have proven to be safe, effective, and able to reduce anti-Spike IgG of 467.28 days, which were longer than those esti-
the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 mated by the exponential decay model (Fig. 2A-C), indicating that
(SARS-CoV-2) infection and its variants, as well as abrogate the the concentration of these antibodies may be starting to stabilize.
serious clinical consequences of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID- Different antibodies were classified into two subgroups (younger
19).1 , 2 In this Journal, the report by Liu and co-workers evalu- participants (≤33 years) and older participants (>33 years)) based
ated the persistence of immunogenicity of seven COVID-19 vaccine, on age. The results of two mixed effects models showed that
not including CoronaVac vaccine, at three months after third dose younger participants had a higher likelihood of antibody persis-
boosters, showing that the decay rates of humoral response vary tence than older participants (Fig. 2D-F).
among vaccines.3 We undertook a study to evaluated the dynamic The findings of this study showed that 41 participants who re-
response and duration of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies after a third ceived the third dose of the CoronaVac inactivated vaccine exhib-
dose of inactivated CoronaVac vaccine within 180 days and specif- ited relatively good responses and durations of neutralizing anti-
ically assessed the decay of antibodies. body, anti-RBD total antibody and anti-Spike IgG and prolonged
A prospective cohort study design was employed as we pre- decay time, which were higher than expected.
viously reported.4 41 participants received the three-dose Coron- Neutralizing antibody levels are highly predictive of immune
aVac vaccine (Fig. 1A) and provided blood donation at 8 serial time protection.6 , 7 Our results showed that the seropositive rate for
points within 180 days after the third dose. This study was ap- neutralizing antibody was 80.49% at 180 days after the third dose
proved by the Institutional Ethics Committee of Zhongshan Hos- vaccination, which was higher than that after the second dose that
pital of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University. we had previously studied at this point in time.5 The neutralizing
All participants provided written informed consent. The neutral- antibody level declined over time which increased approximately
izing antibody, anti-RBD total antibody, anti-Spike IgG titers were 2-fold compared with that after the second dose5 and was also
serially determined to evaluate the immune response and duration. longer than that within 3 months of the third dose in our previ-
Mixed effects exponential and power law models were used to an- ous study.4 Our real-world data supported that the recall responses
alyze antibody waning. to boost doses in individuals with preexisting immunity primar-
The seropositive rate of neutralizing antibody was 2.44% after ily increased antibody levels and substantially altered antibody de-
the second dose (248 days). After the third dose, the seropositive cay rates. More specifically, the importance of these observations
rate reached 100% at two weeks, maintained for approximately 2 is that neutralizing antibodies in vaccinees may persist, albeit with
months and began to slowly decrease, dropping to 80.49% at 180 a relatively low rate of decay, and may act as the first line of de-
days (Fig. 1B). On the other hand, the level of antibody concentra- fense against future encounters with the omicron variant or future
tion rapidly increased from a base value of 5.03 IU/mL and peaked variants evolved from omicron.
at 707.20 IU/mL at two weeks and then also began to slowly de- Although vaccination is key to preventing infections, vaccine
cline, remaining at 175.29 IU/mL at 180 days (Fig. 1C). responses are often found to be lower in elderly adults. Our re-
For the anti-RBD total antibody, the seropositive rate was sults suggest that younger participants had a higher likelihood
39.02% after the second dose, peaked at 10 0.0 0% one week after of neutralizing antibody persistence than older participants. The
the third dose and was maintained within 180 days (Fig. 1B). The markedly reduced vaccine success in older adults has been at-
level of anti-RBD total antibody rapidly increased from a base value tributed to adaptive immunosenescence.8
of 5.13 AU/mL to 177.27 AU/mL at one week after the third dose, Limitations of this study include short follow-up time, small
peaked at 534.35 AU/mL within the three weeks, and then began sample of persons, no detection of cellular responses and evalu-
to decline, dropping to 198.54 AU/mL at 180 days (Fig. 1D). The re- ated only homologous inactivated vaccinations and so on.
sponse for anti-Spike IgG after vaccination was similar to that for In conclusion, our results showed that the third vaccine dose
the anti-RBD total antibody (Fig. 1E). dramatically increased antibody levels and prolonged the decay
To measure anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody waning after vaccination, time, which were higher than we expected. Therefore, antibod-
two mixed effects models were fitted. First, the neutralizing anti- ies decay slowly in terms of immunity persistence such that there
body, anti-RBD total antibody, and anti-Spike IgG levels declined is no need to rush to deploy a fourth vaccination strategy, or a
over time, with half-lives of 81.14 days, 105.66 days, and 104.76 booster dose could be given to vulnerable groups first.
days within 180 days after the third dose, respectively, as esti-
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2022.06.003
0163-4453/© 2022 The British Infection Association. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
JID: YJINF
ARTICLE IN PRESS [m5G;June 12, 2022;8:23]
Q.-Y. Xu, Q.-L. Li, Z.-J. Jia et al. Journal of Infection xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 1. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody response after the third dose vaccination. A. Schedule of vaccination procedures. B. The seropositive rate changes of antibodies. C-E. The
levels of neutralizing antibody (C), anti-RBD total antibody (D) and anti-Spike IgG (E) were measured at 8 serial time points. The antibody-positive judgement threshold is
marked with a dotted line.
Fig. 2. The exponential and power law model of decay half-lives. A–C: A. Neutralizing antibody; B. Anti-RBD total antibody; C. Anti-Spike IgG. Antibody decay curves and
half-lives estimated by an exponential decay model are shown in blue, and the decay curves and half-lives at day 120 estimated by a power law model are shown in red.
D-F: D. Neutralizing antibody; E. Anti-RBD total antibody; F. Anti-Spike IgG. Antibody decay curves and half-lives estimated for younger participants (≤33 years) are shown
in red, and older participants (>33 years) are shown in blue. Dotted lines represent exponential models, and solid lines represent power law model.
e2
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Q.-Y. Xu, Q.-L. Li, Z.-J. Jia et al. Journal of Infection xxx (xxxx) xxx
Acknowledgments
Qiu-Yan Xu1 , Qiu-Ling Li1
The authors thank all the contributors to this work. We thank Centre of Clinical Laboratory, Zhongshan Hospital of Xiamen
Xiamen Boson Biotech Co, Ltd, Fujian, China for participant recruit- University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
ment and sample collection. Institute of Infectious Disease, School of Medicine, Xiamen University,
Xiamen, China
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Yuxin Chen, Lin Chen, Shengxia Yin, Yue Tao, Liguo Zhu, Xin Tong, Minxin
Mao, Ming Li, Yawen Wan, Jun Ni, Xiaoyun Ji, Xianchi Dong, Jie Li, Rui Huang,
Ya Shen, Han Shen, Changjun Bao & Chao Wu
To cite this article: Yuxin Chen, Lin Chen, Shengxia Yin, Yue Tao, Liguo Zhu, Xin Tong, Minxin
Mao, Ming Li, Yawen Wan, Jun Ni, Xiaoyun Ji, Xianchi Dong, Jie Li, Rui Huang, Ya Shen, Han
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and potent adaptive immune responses that recognize SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants,
Emerging Microbes & Infections, DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2081614
Accepted author version posted online: 24 Submit your article to this journal
May 2022.
Publisher: Taylor & Francis & The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as
Taylor & Francis Group, on behalf of Shanghai Shangyixun Cultural Communication Co., Ltd
Journal: Emerging Microbes & Infections
DOI: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2081614
The third dose of CoronVac vaccination induces broad and potent adaptive immune
Yuxin Chen1,2*, Lin Chen3*, Shengxia Yin4,2*, Yue Tao3, Liguo Zhu5, Xin Tong4,2, Minxin Mao4,
Ming Li4, Yawen Wan4, Jun Ni1, Xiaoyun Ji6,2, Xianchi Dong7, Jie Li4,2, Rui Huang4,2, Ya Shen5,
1
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University Medical
7
Engineering Research Center of Protein and Peptide Medicine, Ministry of Education,Nanjing,
Jiangsu, China
†
Correspondence to:
Chao Wu, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University
Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210008, China, Email: dr.wu@nju.edu.cn; Changjun Bao,
Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210008, China,
Tower Hospital, Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China, Email:
shenhan10366@sina.com.
Abstract
The waning humoral immunity and emerging contagious severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The inactivated vaccine, CoronaVac, is the most widely
supplied COVID-19 vaccine globally. Whether the CoronaVac booster elicited adaptive responses
receiving the third dose of CoronaVac was explored. After the boost, remarkable elevated spike-
specific IgG and IgA responses, as well as boosted neutralization activities were observed, despite
3.0-fold and 5.9-fold reduced neutralization activities against Delta and Omicron strains compared
to that of the ancestral strain. Furthermore, the booster dose induced potent B cells and memory B
cells that cross-bound receptor binding domain (RBD) proteins derived from VoCs, while Delta
and Omicron RBD-specific memory B cell recognitions were reduced by 2.7-fold and 4.2-fold
helper T cells (cTfh) significantly increased and remained stable after the boost, with a
and CD8+ T cells peaked and sustained after the booster. Notably, CD4+ and CD8+ T cell
recognition of VoC spike was largely preserved compared to the ancestral strain. Individuals
without generating Delta or Omicron neutralization activities had comparable levels of CD4+ and
CD8+ T cells responses as those with detectable neutralizing activities. Our study demonstrated
that the CoronaVac booster induced broad and potent adaptive immune responses that could be
Introduction
The high degree of waning humoral immunity and emerging contagious SARS-CoV-2 variants
resulted in the occurrence of breakthrough infection [1] and the necessity of the booster vaccination
of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). A recent real-world study in Israel suggested that the
immunity against SARS-CoV-2 across all age groups was decreased a few months later after the
second dose of immunization [2]. Meanwhile, SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants have
rapidly achieved widespread community transmission, accounting for most infections globally
[3,4]. Particularly, Omicron harbors 30-40 mutations in spike protein including some substitutions
which were previously confirmed to increase viral transmission and resist to neutralizing
antibodies [5]. Due to the reduced efficacy of initial rollout of mass vaccination campaigns, the
There is still an ongoing debate that whether there is a need for booster vaccines owning to a lack
of experiment evidence [7]. There is no consensus on the necessity of a third dose booster of
COVID-19 vaccines in the whole population [8]. Nevertheless, WHO has recommended a third
dose of inactive virus vaccine or a heterologous booster for people aged over 60 years who already
have received the two-dose scheme [9], because of the pronounced decrease of neutralizing
antibody (NAb) titers [10,11] and reduced effectiveness in older population [12]. A booster dose
of the BNT162b2 vaccine could significantly lower the rates of confirmed COVID-19 and severe
illness across age groups [13]. The third-dose vaccine developed by Pfizer-BioNTech [14],
by Sinovac, is the most widely offered COVID-19 vaccine globally [16]. Currently, a third booster
dose of CoronaVac has been implemented among high-risk populations in China and other
countries. However, there is little research on the protective immune responses elicited by the
CoronaVac boosters against variants of concern since the vaccine is being applied in countries
deficient in research capacity and resources [10]. Meanwhile, the impact of the variant-associated
mutations has been established for most variants regarding antibody reactivity [17-19], while much
is less available for vaccine-induced T cell and B cell responses. Additionally, whether a third dose
could effectively boost the waned humoral and cellular immunity remains unclear. Therefore, it is
urgent to evaluate the cross-reactivity of SARS-CoV-2 humoral and cellular responses against the
emerging variants elicited by CoronaVac booster, so as to provide essential data for the public
We have reported the dynamic antibody, B cell and T cell responses following immunization of
CoronaVac in a prospective cohort of 100 SARS-CoV-2 naïve healthcare professionals [20, 21].
It was revealed that 2-dose immunization effectively elicited spike-specific B cells, as well as
SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+T cell and CD8+ T cell responses. After 9 months, the third dose of
CoronaVac booster was administered to 77 out of 100 healthcare professionals. In this study, their
circulating antibody response, serum neutralization capacity, cellular responses including B cells,
circulating T follicular helper cells (cTfh), as well as CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses were closely
monitored. The results demonstrated a necessity of a booster dose of CoronaVac, which can induce
broad and potent adaptive immune responses effective in controlling SARS-CoV-2 Delta and
Omicron variants.
Tower Hospital, Jiangsu, China. All participants were tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 infection
at screening and provided written informed consent. The clinical trial protocol was approved by
hospital ethics committee (2021-034-01). After 9 months after two-dose, the third dose of
CoronaVac was administered to 77 healthcare professionals during the period from Nov 8th to Nov
14th, 2021. Serum samples for detailed immunological assessments were taken at three different
time points, including before the third dose (T0), day 14 post the third dose (T1), and day 56 post
the third dose (T2) (Figure 1). The antibody titer and serum neutralization activity from this cohort
were also compared to that of a breakthrough infection cohort, consisting of 10 subjects with Delta
breakthrough infection after the two-dose vaccine from CoronaVac. Sera from the breakthrough
Blood samples were collected via phlebotomy in acid citrate dextrose serum separator tubes, or
(PBMCs) were isolated from blood collected in EDTA tubes by lymphocyte separation medium
density gradients (Stemcell Technologies, Vancouver, Canada) and resuspended in PRMI 1640
medium supplemented with 10% fetal calf serum (FCS), 1% penicillin/streptomycin and 1.5%
HEPES buffer (Thermo Fisher Scientific, MA, USA) for stimulation assays or stored at - 135°C
until used.
Pools of 15-mer peptides overlapping by 11 amino acid and together spanning the entire sequence
of SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein (S) from ancestral, Alpha (B.1.1.7) and Delta (B.1.617.2)
variants, wild-type virus open reading frame 3a, ORF7 and ORF8 (ORF3a/7/8), membrane protein
(M), and envelope small membrane (E) were synthesized (Genscript, Jiangsu, China) and used for
previously described [23]. The prefusion Omicron (B.1.1.529/21K) spike ectodomain (GenBank:
OL672836.1, residues 1-1205) was cloned into vector pcDNA3.1 (Thermo Fisher Scientific,
MA,USA) with proline substitutions at residues 983 and 984, a “GSAS” instead of “RRAR” at the
furin cleavage site (residues 679-682), with a C-terminal T4 fibritin trimerization motif, an HRV-
research [24]. The protein was purified from FreeStyle 293-F cells (Thermo Fisher Scientific, MA,
immunosorbent assay (ELISA) [20, 21]. Briefly, 96-well plates were coated with 500 ng/mL of
each recombinant viral antigen overnight. The plates were incubated with serum samples in a
dilution of 1:200, followed by incubation with either anti-human IgG conjugated with HRP
(ab6759, Abcam, Cambridge, England) or anti-human IgA conjugated with HRP (ab97215,
Abcam, Cambridge, England). Subsequently, the plates were incubated with TMB substrate for 1
hour and the reaction stopped with 1M H2SO4. Optical density (OD) value at 450 nm was measured.
The cut-off value was determined as the average of OD values plus 2 standard deviations (SD)
from 45 archived healthy individuals from the year of 2019 as the unexposed donors. Antibody
endpoint titer was determined by the highest dilution of serum which gives an OD value higher
than cut off value of the healthy control group at the same dilution.
Pseudovirus neutralization assay was performed as previously described to evaluate the serum
neutralization capability that highly correlated with authentic neutralization assay [20, 22]. Briefly,
(Nanjing, China), which bear the spike protein derived from the D614G variant, the Delta variant
(B.1.617.2), and the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529). SARS-CoV-2 pseudovirus was produced by co-
transfection of a HIV-1 NL4-3 luciferase reporter vector that contains defective Nef, Env and Vpr
(pNL4-3.luc.RE) and a pcDNA 3.1 expression plasmid (Invitrogen, Thermo Fisher Scientific,
MA,USA) encoding respective spike protein in 293T cells. After 48 hours, cell supernatants
containing pseudoviruses were collected, filtered, and stored at -70˚C until use. The 50% tissue
culture infectious dose (TCID50) of SARS-CoV-2 pseudovirus was measured by luciferase assay
in relative light units (RLUs). To determine the neutralization activity of vaccinee serum, three-
fold serial dilution starting from 1:30 were performed for heat-inactivated serum samples in
duplicated before adding 1x103 TCID50 pseudoviruses per well for 1 hour, together with the virus
control and cell control wells. The mixture was added to 2 x 104 HEK293T-ACE2 cells (Cat#
DD1401-01, Vazyme, Nanjing, China) per well and incubated for 48 hours in 5% CO2
environment at 37˚C. The luminescence was measured using Bio-lite Luciferase assay system
(Cat# DD1201-01, Vazyme, Nanjing, China) and detected for RLUs using Spark multimode
microplate reader (Tecan, Männedorf, Switzerland). The titer of neutralization antibody (ID50) was
defined as the reciprocal serum dilution at which the relative light units (RLUs) were reduced by
50% compared to the virus control wells after background RLUs in the control groups with cells
only was subtracted. Data for pseudovirus neutralization titers for the D614G variant after 2-dose
For RBD-specific B cell analysis, PBMC samples were incubated with 100 ng fluorescence APC
or PE labeled RBD protein at 4°C for one hour to ensure maximal staining quality followed by
surface staining with antibodies at 4°C for 30 min. The following antibodies for phenotypic B cell
surface markers were used, including anti-CD19-BV421 (Clone HIB19, 1:50), anti-CD27-BV655
Fixable viability Dye eFluor 780 staining was used to exclude dead cells. The above antibodies
were purchased from BD Biosciences (San Diego, USA). The frequency of circulating RBD-
Supplementary figure 1.
To measure antigen specific circulating CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells and cTfh cells, activation-
induced marker (AIM) assay was performed. Activation-induced marker (AIM) assay is a recently
specific CD4+T cells, CD8+ T cells, and cTfh cells [25-27]. 1 x 106 fresh PBMCs were suspended
in Roswell Park Memorial Institute (RPMI) medium and stimulated with peptides pools at a final
(DMSO) was performed as negative control, and PMA/Ionomycin as positive control. Following
stimulation, cells were stained in flow buffer (DPBS, Gibco, NY, USA) supplemented with 2%
FCS for 20 minutes at 4°C for viability. For CD4+T cell and CD8+ T cell analysis, the following
(Clone OKT3, 1:25), anti-CD4-Qdot655 (Clone RPA-T4, 1:50), anti-CD8-BV421 (Clone SK1,
1:25), anti-OX40-FITC (Clone L106, 1:50), anti-4-1BB-PE (Clone C65-485, 1:50), anti-CD45-
PE-cy7 (Clone HI30, 1:50), anti-CD69-APC (Clone FN50, 1:25). Fixable viability Dye eFluor 780
staining was used to exclude dead cells. Gating strategy for T cells is shown in Supplementary
figure S2. AIM+CD4+ T cells were defined based on dual expression of 4-1BB and OX40, and
AIM+CD8+ T cells were identified based on dual expression of 4-1BB and CD69. The fraction of
CD4+ or CD8+ T cells responsive to 5 overlapping peptide pools covering the ancesral spike
glycoprotein, nucleoprotein (N), membrane protein (M), envelope small membrane protein (E),
ORF3a/7/8 were then added as a combined sum of SARS-CoV-2 specific CD4+ or CD8+ T cells.
For Tfh cell analysis, the following antibodies were used for phenotypic lymphocyte surface
10
(Clone HI30, 1:50), anti-CXCR5-CF594 (Clone RF8B2, 1:50), anti-CCR6-APC (Clone 11A9,
1:50), anti-CXCR3-PE-cy7 (Clone 1C6, 1:50). Fixable viability Dye eFluor 780 staining was used
to exclude dead cells. Spike-specific cTfh cells were gated as OX40+4-1BB+CXCR5+CD4+T cells
Supplementary figure S3. Antigen-specific CD4+ T cell, CD8+ T cell and cTfh cell responses
determined by AIM assays were calculated as background (DMSO) subtracted data. The above
antibodies were purchased from BD Biosciences (San Diego, USA). The lower limit of detection
(LOD) for cellular analysis was calculated using the median two-fold standard deviation of all
negative control samples from the unexposed donors. Staining samples were analyzed by a
fluorescence-activated cell sorter (FACS) Aria™ III Cell Sorter instrument (BD Biosciences)
Statistical analysis
Binding antibody titers or neutralization titers were expressed as geometric mean titers (GMTs).
The mean (standard deviation (SD)) or median (interquartile range (IQR)) was used to present the
continuous variables. Categorical variables were described as the counts and percentages.
Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed rank was used for comparison between timepoints and between
SARS-CoV-2 variants. Unpaired wilcoxon test for comparison between groups. Correlation
between 2 continuous variables was analyzed using the spearman correlation analysis. p<0.05 was
considered as statistically significant. * indicates p<0.05, ** indicates p<0.01, *** indicates p<
0.001, **** indicates p< 0.0001, and ns indicates no significant difference. SPSS software
program version 22.0 (Chicago, IL, USA) was used for data analysis.
11
Results
Cohort design
characterized the longitudinal magnitude of antibody response, as well as CD4+ and CD8+ T cells
healthy individuals from this original cohort received the third dose of CoronaVac 9 months after
the priming two-dose vaccination (Figure 1 and Table 1). Specifically, sampling at pre-boost (T0),
2 weeks (T1) and 8 weeks (T2) after the third immunization of CoronaVac enabled the dynamic
immune analysis of SARS-CoV-2 specific humoral responses, B cells, CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells
and cTfh cells. Paired serum and peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) samples were
collected from all individuals, allowing detailed analyses of both serological and cellular immune
responses to SARS-CoV-2 antigens derived from different variants. Furthermore, a control donor
group was set for humoral responses, in which 10 subjects with Delta breakthrough infection were
prior fully vaccinated with CoronaVac. In this way, the dynamics of re-activating pre-existing
Boosted Antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 Ancestral, Delta and Omicron spike antigens
First, the pre- and post-boost IgG serum titers against the ancestral (Wuhan-1), Delta (B.1.617.2)
and Omicron (B.1.1.529) RBD and spike proteins were measured in our vaccine cohort (Figure
2). A booster dose of CoronaVac elicited a strong recall response in all individuals, with increased
anti-RBD and anti-spike IgG and IgA titers compared with pre-boost titers. Baseline sera exhibited
12
of 3,278 (95% CI, 1,953-5,504), while GMT specific to Delta RBD was 197 (84-460) and omicron
RBD was 44 (16-120), respectively. After the booster dose, anti-ancestral RBD-specific binding
IgG was increased to a GMT of 56,760 (38,284-84,151); the GMTs for anti-Delta RBD IgG and
anti-Omicron RBD IgG were 113,773 (94925,136363) and 14,336 (11025,18641), respectively.
The IgG titers stayed stable for 2 months after the booster and the IgG GMTs specific to ancestral
RBD, Delta RBD and Omicron RBD were 82,666 (57308, 119244), 56861 (45630, 70856) and
9277 (5903, 14581), respectively (Figure 2A). Notably, anti-Delta RBD specific IgG titers at T1
and T2 timepoint were 1.1-fold and 4.0-fold lower compared to that specific to ancestral RBD,
respectively (Figure 2E). The booster recipients presented 9.2-fold and 13.8-fold decreased anti-
Omicron RBD specific IgG titer compared to those of anti-ancestral RBD protein after 2 weeks
and 8 weeks, respectively. Meanwhile, a low level of anti-RBD IgA responses was detected. The
anti-ancestral RBD IgA at baseline possessed a GMT of 6.7 (3.0-15.0), elevated to 1009 (562.8-
1808) after the booster, and then dropped to 376 (173.3-814.1) 2 month after the booster (Figure
2B and 2F). Consistently, spike-specific IgG and IgA also followed a similar trend as RBD-
specific IgG and IgA responses (Figure 2C-2D and 2G-2F). The breakthrough cohort, as a crucial
control, demonstrated a comparable level of IgG responses specific to ancestral RBD (p=0.18) and
omicron RBD (p=0.07), but significantly higher level of IgG responses specific to Delta RBD
anti-Omicron RBD IgG titer was 7.8-fold lower than that of anti-ancestral RBD in the
breakthrough cohort (Figure 2E). Besides, the breakthrough cohort exhibited a significantly
higher level of IgA titer specific to ancestral RBD protein and Delta RBD protein but a comparable
level of Omicron RBD-specific IgA responses, compared to the booster vaccine cohort at the T1
timepoint. Our data suggested that the booster dose can not only increase the magnitude of IgG
13
and IgA responses but also broaden the antibody responses specific to spike protein derived from
Our previous study reported that serum from 2-dose CoronaVac recipients in our cohort can
effectively neutralize D614G and Alpha variants [20]. In this study, the neutralization titers against
D614G, Delta, and Omicron variants were analyzed for serum collected at 2 weeks post 2-dose
and 3-dose CoronaVac immunization to determine whether a third CoronaVac dose could increase
the potency and breadth of serum neutralization activities (Figure 3A). Most (98.7%, 76/77) 3-
dose recipients can neutralize against D614G with a GMT of 172.9 (141.8-210.9) compared to a
GMT of 42.3 (34.1-52.5) after 2 doses. Meanwhile, the breakthrough infection cohort presented a
surging neutralizing GMT of 3581.0 (1601.0-8012.0). Additionally, 89.6% (69/77) of booster sera
neutralized against Delta strain (GMT 64.8, 53.4-78.5) with a 5.0-fold increase compared to serum
samples from 2-dose vaccinees. However, the breakthrough infection resulted in a GMT of 664
(373.7-1181.0) against Delta strain. Booster recipients and breakthrough cohort demonstrated 3.0-
fold and 6.7-fold less neutralization susceptible than D614G, respectively (Figure 3B). Meanwhile,
43 (55.8%) of subjects revealed neutralizing activities against Omicron strain after the boosting
dose, with a 3.6-fold increased GMT from 16.1 (15.3-16.9) to 33.8 (27.7-41.5). All subjects with
for Omicron. Booster recipients and breakthrough cohort had 5.9-fold and 15.6-fold lower
neutralization potency against the Omicron strain, respectively, compared to the ancestral strain.
Our data suggested that a booster vaccine not only strongly enhance overall neutralizing potency
14
against SARS-CoV-2 but also strengthen the broad recognition for D614G strain, Delta and
Omicron strains.
Strong correlations were observed between the magnitudes of IgG or IgA responses specific to
ancestral RBD and that of antibody responses specific to VoC RBD (Figure 3C). Consistently,
serum neutralization titers for D614G, Delta, and Omicron strains were highly correlated with each
other, respectively (Figure 3D). Delta neutralization titer was strongly correlated with anti-Delta
spike IgG responses (r=0.57, p<0.0001). Omicron neutralization titer was moderately related to
anti-Omicron spike IgG (r=0.44, p<0.001) and anti-Delta spike IgG (r=0.35, p<0.0001). Besides,
the possible factors that might affect the neutralization activities were explored due to
heterogeneous neutralization potency observed in our cohort. Our work [21] and other studies [28]
emerging VoCs among CoronaVac or mRNA recipients. Nevertheless, 3-dose recipients under the
age of 40 and over the age of 40 generated comparable magnitudes of neutralization activities
(Figure 3E). Furthermore, whether pre-existing neutralization activities might affect the boosted
humoral immunity was assessed. The serum neutralization activities on week 2 after 2 doses of
CoronaVac in this cohort were previously reported [20]. Our cohort was further divided into two
groups: individuals with prior low neutralization activities (serum ID50 < 50) and individuals with
prior high neutralization activities (serum ID50 ≥ 50). Our data implied that previous low
neutralizers still had reduced serum neutralization activities compared to that of high neutralizers,
even after the CoronaVac booster. Nonetheless, there was no correlation between neutralization
titer after 2 doses and neutralization titer after 3 doses (Figure 3F).
15
Two-dose CoronaVac induced potent RBD-specific B cells and memory B cells [21]. Here, the
percentages of circulating RBD-specific B cells and its memory B cell subsets in booster recipients
were measured. At baseline, RBD-specific B cells were still detectable in 86% of individuals.
RBD-specific B cells were significantly expanded by 2.65-fold after the booster of CoronaVac,
from 0.025% [0.007-0.042] to 0.049% [0.025, 0.067] (p<0.005), and slightly declined by 2.26-
fold to an average frequency of 0.039% [0.010, 0.055] at T2 timepoint (Figure 4A). RBD-specific
memory B cells (MBCs) represented a large fraction of the neutralizing MBC pool against SARS-
CoV-2, expanding substantially by 2.46-fold after the additional dose of CoronaVac (0.007%
[0.005-0.009] versus 0.018% [0.015-0.021], p<0.005), and slightly decreased by 1.7-fold (0.012
[0.009-0.015]) 2-month after the booster dose (Figure 4B). Additionally, the recognition breadths
of RBD-specific B cells and their memory subsets at T2 timepoint were also analyzed. The 3-dose
CoronaVac recipients had 0.022% (0.017, 0.026%) and 0.020% (0.0015, 0.025%) of circulating B
cells recognizing Delta and Omicron RBD, respectively, corresponding to 2.3-fold and 2.8-fold
reduction in the percentage of VoC RBD-specific B cells compared to that of ancestral RBD-
specific B cells (Figure 4C). A third dose also resulted in detectable RBD-specific memory B cells
recognizing Delta (0.008% [0.006, 0.010%], by a factor of 2.7) and Omicron variant (0.007%
(Figure 4D). Therefore, RBD-specific B cell recognition was also partially affected by emerging
VoC strains.
16
Tfh cell responses are necessary to form and sustain germinal center (GC) reactions, critical to
develop long-lasting, high-affinity antibody responses [29, 30]. Besides, circulating Tfh (cTfh)
cells in the peripheral blood resemble GC Tfh cells and serve as a counterpart to GC Tfh cells to
support antibody secretion due to a similar phenotype [31]. Here we sought to track and depict
spike-specific cTfh responses over time. Compared to minimal level of detectable spike-specific
cTfh cells at baseline (0.001%), they peaked in peripheral blood 14 days at 1.165% of frequency
after CoronaVac boost and remained at a median frequency of 0.81% after 2 months of the third
dose immunization (Figure 5A). Additionally, they were compared with cTfh responses specific
to VoC spike by testing spike peptides corresponding to the viral sequences of the Alpha and Delta
strains. Interestingly, a small fraction of responders exhibited a loss of cTfh cell recognition of
Delta (7/90; 7.8%) or Omicron (12/90; 13.3%) at T1 timepoint. Slight reductions of cTfh responses
to Alpha spike (16%) and Delta spike (9%) were observed. At T2 timepoint, cTfh cell responses
specific to Alpha, Delta and Omicron spike remained stable at the frequencies of 0.47%, 0.70%
and 0.53%, respectively. The frequencies of Alpha or Delta spike-specific cTfh cells were
significantly lower than those of ancestral spike at T1 timepoint (2.5-fold and 3.3-fold, respectively)
(Figure 5A and 5B), but not T2 timepoint (Figure 5A). The frequency of Omicron spike-specific
cTfh cells was highly correlated with the frequency of ancestral spike-specific cTfh cells (r=0.53,
p<0.0001), Alpha spike-specific cTfh cells (r=0.50, p<0.0001) and Delta spike-specific cTfh cells
With the purpose of extending these findings, the phenotypic characteristics of SARS-CoV-2
spike-specific cTfh cells were investigated using CXCR3 and CCR6 chemokine receptor markers
(Figure 5D). CXCR3 and CCR6 were adopted to identify the distinct B cell helper functions,
17
cTfh17 (CXCR3-CCR6+) subsets [31-32]. cTfh2 and cTfh17 cells can induce B cell differentiation
and antibody secretion and regulate immunoglobulin (Ig) isotype switching; cTfh1 cells are
commonly considered not to be an effective helper for B cells. At T0 baseline, the phenotypic
analysis of total cTfh cells from booster recipients revealed that cTfh1, cTfh2, cTfh17, and cTfh1-
17 subsets occupied 19.1% (12.81% to 25.1%), 44.8% (37.2%-53.0%), 13.8% (8.0% -17.1%), and
cTfh cells toward the cTfh17 phenotype after 2 weeks (32.7%, 28.1%-37.5%) and after 8 weeks
timepoint, while cTfh1-17 subsets decreased to 11.7% (8.5-14.1%) at T1 and 9.9% (7.7-11.9%) at
T2. Thus, the CoronaVac booster can efficiently expand cTfh17 subsets, contributing to efficient
SARS-CoV-2 specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses to different SARS-CoV-2 variants in
booster recipients
Beyond antibodies and memory B cells, T cells can contribute to protection upon re-exposure to
the virus. Activation-induced marker (AIM) assay was used to measure SARS-CoV-2 CD4+ and
CD8+ T cell responses with the overlapping peptide pools from the ancestral strain. Firstly, SARS-
CoV-2 specific CD4+ T cells were detected in 66.7% of individuals with an average frequency of
0.198% 9 months after two vaccine doses (Figure 6A). A significant elevation to 1.54% for SARS-
CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cell responses was observed, and such positive responses were detected in
98.8% of individuals after the booster dose. SARS-CoV-2 specific CD4+ T cell responses slightly
18
Similarly, spike-specific CD4+ T cell responses followed a similar trend except that they remained
at a high level 2 months after the booster dose. Since T cell responses were less affected by VoCs
than humoral immune responses [33,34], the cross-reactivity of CD4+ T cell responses to spike
proteins derived different SARS-CoV-2 variants in our cohort was tested. CD4+ T cell responses
to Alpha and Delta spike were reduced compared to that in ancestral spike at T1 timepoint, as
demonstrated by 3.9-fold and 3.2-fold reduction (Figure 6C). Meanwhile, a smaller effect of
Alpha, Delta and Omicron mutations on CD4+ T cell responses was observed at T2 timepoint,
observed for CD8+ T cell responses at similar frequencies. At baseline, SARS-CoV-2 specific to
CD8+ T cells was detected in 61.9% of individuals with a frequency of 0.196% (Figure 6B). It
significantly elevated to 1.45% in 98.8% of individuals 2 weeks after booster at T1 timepoint, and
gradually declined to 0.97% while remaining positive in 95.2% of subjects at T2 timepoint. The
magnitude of the SARS-CoV-2 specific CD8+ T cell responses against ancestral strain, Alpha
variant and Delta variant were significantly boosted from the baseline of 0.001% to 0.49%, 0.30%
and 0.31% after the third dose, respectively, and maintained at a similar magnitude at T2 timepoint.
The recognition of CD8+ T cells to Alpha and Delta spike was decreased by 1.7-fold and 2.1-fold,
respectively, at T1 timepoint, and the recognition of CD8+ T cells to Alpha, Delta and Omicron
spike was slightly decreased by 1.5-fold, 2.0-fold and 2.1-fold, respectively, at T2 timepoint
(Figure 6D). Additionally, both Delta spike-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses were
compared between neutralizing antibody (NAb) responders and NAb non-responders in the
booster cohort. Regardless of NAb responses against Delta or Omicron strain, there are comparable
levels of CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses specific to Delta spike or Omicron spike (Figure 6E).
19
These results revealed that CD4+ and CD8+ T cell recognition of VoC spike is largely preserved
Discussions
Substantial efforts have been made to speed up booster vaccination campaigns given the rapid
associated with the main VoCs is the key to informing health policies including boosting
pan-coronavirus vaccines.
The dynamic humoral and cellular responses in a cohort of CoronaVac booster to emerging SARS-
CoV-2 variants including ancestral, Delta and Omicron strains were analyzed in this study.
Consistent with previous reports [34, 35], a substantial improved humoral immunity after
CoronaVac boost or breakthrough infection was observed in our study. The third dose of
CoronaVac significantly increased not only IgG responses but also IgA responses specific to spike
protein. Notably, secretory IgA might play an essential role in protecting the mucosal surface
against SARS-CoV-2 [36]. The booster of CoronaVac enhanced both the seroconversion rate of
Delta and Omicron neutralization and the neutralizing potency, highlighting the necessity of a third
dose of CoronaVac. In line with a previous report [37], breakthrough infection after two-dose
neutralization titer against SARS-CoV-2 variants compared to the boosting of CoronaVac, though
20
there are comparable levels of binding antibody titer specific to these VoC antigens. This might
be caused by distinct routes of antigen exposure between vaccination and nature infection.
There are still knowledge gaps in our understanding of VoCs regarding to the vaccine-elicited
cellular immune activity. The role of cellular immune responses and activated T-B cells stimulated
by the antigen might be more imperative than circulating antibodies. Circulating spike-specific B
cells may have crucial contributions to protective immunity by making anamnestic neutralizing
antibody responses after infection. The continued maturation of B cell responses over time would
assist in adapting SARS-CoV-2 immunity to VoCs [38]. Reduced B cell binding of RBD protein
from variants was observed in all cases, while the reduction was less than 5-fold for Delta spike
and Omicron RBD protein. This demonstrated a partial retained B cell recognition of variants,
consistent with the observations that Omicron neutralizing antibody titers rapidly increased after
the third immunization or breakthrough infection but were generally low among individuals with
two-dose of CoronaVac.
The direct evaluation of key Tfh immunological events in lymphoid tissues after immunization is
challenging in humans, making surrogate biomarkers such as cTfh cells in the blood especially
were associated with potent neutralizing responses [40]. Robust Tfh cells were detected in paired
blood and lymph node specimens from SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccinated individuals [41], which
persisted at a nearly constant frequency for at least six months. Similarly, our study revealed that
the third dose of CoronaVac induced robust and persistent spike-specific cTfh cell responses,
which were correlated with the vaccine-induced RBD-specific B cells and serum neutralization
21
potency. We firstly verified that the expanded cTfh cell responses induced by CoronaVac booster
exhibited a clear phonotypic bias toward a pro-inflammatory Tfh17 subset, previously reported for
other viral glycoproteins [42]. Additionally, the magnitude of spike-specific cTfh cells remained
unchanged and was less sensitive to mutations within VoC spikes, ranging from a 1.8-fold to 3.3-
fold decrease. Therefore, the booster dose-induced cTfh cells can rapidly expand and further
facilitate memory B cells to evolve, providing effective humoral responses upon virus re-exposure.
Distinct from B cell and cTfh cell recognition, our data suggested that the third dose of CoronaVac
elicited broadly cross-reactive cellular immunity against SARS-CoV-2 variants including Delta
and Omicron. The magnitude of Omicron cross-reactive T cells was comparable to that of Alpha
and Delta variants, though the Omicron spike has greater number of mutations. Our observation
was also in good agreement with previous studies that the effect of variant mutations on global
CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses was negligible [43-45] due to highly conserved CD4+ and CD8+
T cells epitopes within the viral variants [46]. The mutations derived from Delta and Omicron
extended a limited impact on T cell responses, suggesting that vaccination or prior infection could
provide substantial protection from severe disease. Indeed, these well-preserved T cell immunity
to Delta or Omicron acquired through vaccination or infection might contribute to protection from
severe COVID-19, consistent to lower risk of hospitalization and reduced disease severity
Currently, the correlate of protection for vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 remains elusive, though
the humoral and cellular responses induced by vaccines are well characterized. Neutralizing
antibodies could serve as a correlate of protection for vaccines against SARS-CoV-2, while
22
among the general population. Our study revealed that those NAb non-responders also had a
similar magnitude of T cell responses, compared to NAb responders, suggesting that those without
neutralizing antibody responses also benefited from the vaccine owing to robust and persistent T
This study has several limitations. First, this study was deficient in the data on the long-term
follow-up of humoral and cellular responses after the third boost of CoronaVac. Follow-up studies
should be conducted to monitor the duration and persistence of adaptive immune response.
Additionally, we did not characterize the phenotypic memory differentiation for SARS-CoV-2
specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses, nor test SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells responses in
breakthrough infection cohort. Thus, longitudinal T cells responses elicited by either booster
To summarize, our study highlighted that a booster dose of CoronaVac can provide give a
significantly larger boost for the neutralizing antibody responses and cellular responses that cross-
recognize Delta and Omicron variants, compared to the two doses of vaccine. Moreover, the
potency, breadth, and duration of adaptive responses improved concomitantly. Nevertheless, the
data also underlined the need for continued surveillance and the potential danger posed by
continued variants evolution that resulted in further reduction of adaptive immune responses. The
incorporation of additional elements eliciting broader adaptive immune responses directed towards
more conserved targets into vaccine strategies may be considered a means to increase vaccine
23
CW and HS designed the study. YC, LC, YT recruited the patients. ML, YW and JN processed
the blood samples, MM, LM and YS performed cellular analysis. YL performed the antibody assay.
YS and CL analyzed and interpreted the data. YC and LC wrote the manuscript. All the authors
Acknowledgements
We thank all vaccine recipients for providing serum samples. This study was supported by Clinical
Trials from the Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University (2021-
LCYJ-PY-09), Nanjing Important Science & Technology Specific Projects (2021-11005), Nanjing
Medical Science and Technique Development Foundation (QRX17141 and YKK19056), Social
24
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Figure legends
Figure 2. Dynamic anti-RBD or anti-spike antibody responses before and after the third
CoronaVac booster. (A-D) Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay measurement for anti-RBD IgG
titer (A), anti-RBD IgA titer (B), anti-spike IgG titer (C) and anti-spike IgA titer (D) at three
different time points, including before the booster (T0), 2 weeks after the booster (T1), and 8 weeks
after the booster (T2) for vaccine booster group. Serum from a breakthrough cohort was also
included for analysis as control, which were obtained between day 13-18 post disease onset. Dotted
lines indicated the lower limit of detection (LOD) for the assay. Data points on the bar graph
represent individual titer and the line indicates geometric mean titer (GMT). GMTs and the
seropositive ratios were noted on the top of each bar. (E-H) Fold change in anti-RBD IgG titer (E),
anti-RBD IgA titer(F), anti-spike IgG titer (G), anti-spike IgA titer (H) specific to Delta or
Omicron compared to that of ancestral strain for booster at T1 and T2 timepoint as well as for
variants and at timepoints, two-tailed p values were determined using matched-pairs signed rank
test with the Holm-Šídák multiple comparison correction. Unpaired wilcoxon test for comparison
infection cases. (A) Serum titers that achieved 50% peudovirus neutralization (ID50) in 77
CoronaVac booster recipients and 10 Delta breakthrough infection cases with prior 2-dose of
CoronaVac. The vaccine sera were collected on day 14 post 2-dose and 3-dose of CoronaVac,
31
respectively, while the breakthrough sera were obtained between day 13-18 post disease onset.
The horizontal dotted lines indicate half the value of the lower limit of detection. Data points
showed on the bar graph represent individual titer and the line indicates geometric mean titer
(GMT). For pairwise comparison of serum samples collected after 2 doses and 3 doses, two-tailed
p values were determined using matched-pairs signed rank test with the Holm-Šídák multiple
comparison correction. Unpaired Wilcoxon test was used for comparison between groups. (B) Fold
change in neutralization titer (ID50) for Delta and Omicron strain relative to that for D614G strain
at different timepoint. The mean change fold was on the top of bar. (C) Correlation analysis of
anti-RBD IgA or IgG responses specific to ancestral, Delta, and Omicron. (D) Correlation analysis
of neutralization titer (ID50) against D614, Delta, and Omicron strain, correlation analysis of ID50
against Delta strain and anti-Delta spike IgG, and correlation analysis of ID50 against Omicron
strain and anti-Omicron spike IgG or anti-Delta spike IgG responses. (E) Neutralization titers
against D614G, Delta and Omicron strain among booster recipients under the age of 40 versus
over the age of 40. (F) Neutralization titers against D614G, Delta and Omicron strains among low
neutralizers after 2-dose CoronaVac versus high neutralizers after 2-dose CoronaVac. Correlation
analysis for neutralization titers after 2 doses versus neutralization titers after 3 doses for D614G,
Delta and Omicron strain. Correlation analysis was performed using nonparametric Spearman rank
correlation. * p <0.05, ** p <0.01, *** p <0.001, **** p <0.0001; ns, no significant difference.
Figure 4. RBD-specific B cell responses and memory B cell subsets in vaccine cohort. (A)The
frequency of RBD-specific B cells of total B cells over time in booster recipients at T0, T1 and T2
timepoint, and the frequency of B cells specific to ancestral RBD, Delta RBD, and Omicron RBD
at T2 timepoint. Dotted lines indicated the limit of detection (LOD) for the assay. (B) The
frequency of RBD-specific memory B cells of total memory B cells over time in booster recipients
32
at T0, T1 and T2 timepoint. The frequency of memory B cells specific to ancestral RBD, Delta
RBD, and Omicron RBD at T2 timepoint. (C-D) Fold change for the frequency of RBD-specific
B cells (C) and RBD-specific memory B cells (D) recognizing Delta and Omicron strain relative
to that of counterpart recognizing ancestral strain. Bars represent the average frequency of B cells,
and positive rate was on the top of each bar. Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed rank with two-tailed
p value was used for comparison between groups. * p <0.05, ** p <0.01, *** p <0.001, **** p
Figure 5. Spike-specific circulating follicular helper cell (cTfh) responses in vaccine cohort.
(A) The frequency of cTfh responding to ancestral spike, Alpha spike, Delta spike and Omicron
spike (T2 only) of total cTfh cells over time in booster recipients. Dotted lines indicate the lower
limit of detection (LOD) for the assay. (B) Fold change for the frequency of cTfh cells recognizing
Alpha, Delta and Omicron strain relative to that of counterpart recognizing ancestral strain. (C)
Correlation analyses of Omicron spike-specific cTfh cells and ancestral spike-specific cTfh cells,
Alpha Spike-specific cTfh cells, and Omicron spike-specific cTfh cells, respectively. (D) Dynamic
change of spike-specific cTfh subpopulations at T0, T1 and T2 timepoint, including cTfh1, cTfh2,
cTfh17 and cTfh1-17. Bars represent the average frequency of cTfh cells, and positive rate was on
the top of each bar. Two-tailed p values were determined using matched-pairs signed rank test
with the Holm-Šídák multiple comparison correction between groups. * p <0.05, ** p <0.01, ***
Figure 6. SARS-CoV-2 specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses in vaccine cohort. (A-B) The
frequency of SARS-CoV-2 specific CD4+ T cell (A) and CD8+(B) T cell responses over time in
booster recipients. The frequency of CD4+(A) and CD8+(B) T cell responses responding to
33
ancestral spike (T0-T2), Alpha spike (T0-T2), Delta spike(T0-T2), and Omicron spike (T2 only)
over time in booster recipients. Dotted lines indicated the limit of detection (LOD) for the assay.
(C-D) Fold change for the frequency of CD4+ T cells (C) or CD8+ T cells (D) recognizing Alpha,
Delta and Omicron strain relative to that of counterpart recognizing ancestral strain. (E)
Comparative analysis for the frequency of CD4+ T cells or CD8+ T cells specific to Delta strain
among those booster recipients who do not generate neutralization antibody responses against
Delta strain (Delta NAb non-responders) versus Delta NAb responders (left panel). Comparative
analysis for the frequency of CD4+T cells or CD8+ T cells specific to Omicron strain among those
booster recipients who do not generate neutralization activities against Omicron strain (Omicron
NAb non-responders) versus Omicron NAb responders (right panel). Bars represented median
value, whereas median value and positive rate was on the top of each bar. When comparing T cell
responses specific to different SARS-CoV-2 variants and at timepoints, two-tailed p values were
determined using matched-pairs signed rank test with the Holm-Šídák multiple comparison
correction. Unpaired wilcoxon test were used for comparison between vaccine booster at T1
timepoint and breakthrough infection subjects. * p <0.05, ** p <0.01, *** p <0.001, **** p
34
Table 1. Baseline clinical characteristics of the CoronaVac booster cohort and the breakthrough
infection cohort.
CoronaVac breakthrough
booster group infection group
(n=77) (n=10)
Sex
Male 32(41.6) 2(20%)
Female 45(58.4) 8(80%)
Age (years)
Median age (IQR) 35.0(28.3, 40.0) 45.0(44.3, 47.8)
Age group, years
18-29 26(33.8) 0(0%)
30-39 30(39.0) 0(0%)
40-49 14(18.1) 9(90%)
50-59 7(9.1) 1(10%)
Sample types serum and PBMC serum
st nd
Interval between 1 and 2 dose of CoronaVac(days)
Median (IQR) 21(17.25,22.75) 22(17.0,38.5)
nd
Booster or infection since the 2 dose of CoronaVac (months)
Median (IQR) 8.43(8.03,8.52) 2.37(1.33,3.73)
35
36
Supplemental Figure 2. Gating strategies to define SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells. (A) Live
cells were identified as Live/Dead- and lymphocytes were gated based on forward- and side-
scatter. Doublets were then excluded by FSC-W vs. FSC-H and SSC-W vs. SSC-H. Total T cells
were identified as CD45+CD3+, which were further divided into CD8+ and CD4+ subsets. (B)
Representative examples of flow cytometry plots of SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T
cells by activation-induced marker (AIM) assay. AIM+CD4+ T cells were identified based on
dual expression of 4-1BB and OX40, while AIM+CD8+ T cells were identified based on dual
expression of 4-1BB and CD69, after overnight stimulation with indicated peptide pools
including ancestral spike, Alpha Spike, Delta Spike, Omicron Spike, Membrane (M),
Nucleocapsid (N), membrane protein (M), ORF3/7/8a peptide pools or PMA/Ionomycin as
positive control (PC), compared to negative control stimulation (DMSO).
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
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Effectiveness of homologous and heterologous booster shots for an inactivated SARS-
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CoV-2 vaccine: A large-scale observational study
Alejandro Jara Ph.D.1,2,3, Eduardo A. Undurraga Ph.D.4,5,6,7, José R. Zubizarreta Ph.D.8,9,10, Cecilia González M.D.1,
Alejandra Pizarro M.D.1, Johanna Acevedo M.S.1, Katherine Leo B.S.E.1, Fabio Paredes M.Sc.1, Tomás Bralic
vie
M.S.1, Verónica Vergara, M.S.1, Marcelo Mosso B.S.E.1, Francisco Leon M.B.A.1, Ignacio Parot, M.B.A.1, Paulina
Leighton B.S.E.1, Pamela Suárez B.S.E1, Juan Carlos Rios Ph.D.1,11, Heriberto García-Escorza M.S.1, and Rafael
Araos, M.D.1,5,12,13*
re
1 Ministry of Health, Enrique Mac Iver 541, Santiago, Región Metropolitana, Chile
2 Facultad de Matemáticas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago,
Región Metropolitana, Chile
3 Millennium
er
Nucleus Center for the Discovery of Structures in Complex Data (MiDaS), Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860,
Macul, Santiago, Región Metropolitana, Chile
4 Escuela de Gobierno, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago,
pe
Región Metropolitana, Chile
5 Millennium Initiative for Collaborative Research in Bacterial Resistance (MICROB-R), Av. las Condes 12496, Lo
Barnechea, Santiago, Región Metropolitana, Chile
6 Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN), Av. Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul,
ot
9 Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. School of Public Health, 25 Shattuck St, Boston, MA 02115, United
States
10 Department of Statistics, Harvard T.H. School of Public Health, 25 Shattuck St, Boston, MA 02115, United States
11 Facultad de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Lira 40, Santiago, Región Metropolitana
rin
12 Instituto de Ciencias e Innovación en Medicina, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad del Desarrollo, Av. las
Condes 12496, Lo Barnechea, Santiago, Región Metropolitana, Chile
13 Advanced Center for Chronic Diseases (ACCDiS), Sergio Livingstone 1007, Independencia, Santiago, Región
ep
Metropolitana, Chile
*Correspondence to Dr. Rafael Araos at Instituto de Ciencias e Innovación en Medicina, Facultad de Medicina
Pr
Clínica Alemana Universidad del Desarrollo, Av. Las Condes 12461, Las Condes, Región Metropolitana, Chile.
rafaelaraos@udd.cl
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Abstract
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Background. Vaccine protection against Covid-19 may be waning. Several countries have authorized or begun
we
using a booster vaccine dose. Policymakers urgently need evidence of the effectiveness of additional vaccine doses
against Covid-19 and its clinical spectrum for individuals with complete primary immunization schedules.
Methods. We used a prospective national cohort of 11·2 million persons 16 years or older to assess the effectiveness
vie
of CoronaVac, AZD1222, or BNT162b2 vaccine boosters in individuals who completed their primary immunization
schedule with CoronaVac compared to unvaccinated individuals. The study was conducted in Chile from February 2
through November 10, 2021. We used inverse probability-weighted survival regression models to estimate hazard
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ratios, accounting for time-varying vaccination status and adjusting for relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and
clinical confounders. We estimated the change in the hazard associated with complete immunization (≥14 days after
the booster).
er
Findings. We found an adjusted vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic Covid-19 of 78·8% (95% confidence
interval, CI, 76·8–80·6) for a three-dose schedule with CoronaVac, 96·5% (95% CI, 96·2–96·7) for BNT162b2
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booster, and 93·2% (95% CI, 92·9–93·6) for the AZD1222 booster. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness against
hospitalization, ICU admission, and Covid-19 related deaths was 86·3%, 92·2%, and 86·7% for a three-dose
schedule with CoronaVac, 96·1%, 96·2%, and 96·8% for the BNT162b2 booster, and 97·7%, 98·9%, and 98·1% for
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Interpretation. Our results suggest that a homologous or heterologous booster shot for individuals with a complete
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primary vaccination schedule with CoronaVac provides a high level of protection against Covid-19, including severe
disease and death. However, heterologous boosters showed higher vaccine effectiveness for all outcomes, providing
Funding. Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID) Millennium Science Initiative Program and
program, boosters.
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Word count
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Research in context
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Evidence before this study
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We searched PubMed and medRxiv for research articles, with no language restrictions, using the search terms
(“third dose” OR “booster”). We searched for studies published between December 1, 2020, and December 10,
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2021. We identified five original clinical studies on the effectiveness of booster shots for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
Four studies from Israel have examined the effectiveness of a third dose Pfizer-BioNTech’s mRNA vaccine
BNT162b2 compared to the primary vaccination series. One study estimated a 70-84% reduction in the probability
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of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection among individuals with a third dose but did not examine other clinical
outcomes. Another study found that the rate of infection in the booster group was lower by a factor of 11.3 for
confirmed infection and 19.5 for severe illness but did not adjust for comorbidities. The third study found a 90%
er
lower Covid-19 related mortality among participants with a third vaccine dose. The fourth study estimated that the
vaccine effectiveness of the third dose of BNT162b2 was 93%, 92%, and 81% against admission to the hospital,
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severe disease, and death. Last, a preprint study found that, compared with demographically and clinically matched
individuals with two doses, the effectiveness of a third dose in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and
hospitalization was 46% and 47% for BNT162b2 and 47% and 50% for Moderna’s mRNA-1273. All available
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evidence relates to mRNA vaccines. We found no studies examining the effectiveness of a homologous or
heterologous booster shot for individuals with a complete primary vaccination schedule with an inactivated SARS-
tn
Our study estimates the effectiveness of a homologous or heterologous booster shot for individuals with a complete
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primary vaccination schedule with an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, which accounts for about half the Covid-19
vaccine doses delivered globally. Specifically, we used a prospective national cohort of 11·2 million persons 16
years or older to assess the effectiveness of CoronaVac, AZD1222, or BNT162b2 vaccine boosters in individuals
ep
who completed their primary immunization schedule with CoronaVac against symptomatic Covid-19,
hospitalization, admission to ICU, and death, adjusting for known demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical
Pr
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
d
Covid-19 vaccines are an essential component of the pandemic response to reduce disease burden. However,
we
growing evidence suggests that vaccine protection against Covid-19 may be waning over time or have lower
effectiveness against the Delta variant (B-1-617.2). The decrease in vaccine protection is particularly worrying for
inactivated vaccines, which offer lower protection than other vaccine technologies. In light of this emerging
vie
evidence, several countries have authorized or begun using a third dose. Our results suggest that a homologous or
heterologous booster shot for individuals with a complete primary vaccination schedule with CoronaVac provides a
high level of protection against Covid-19, including severe disease and death.
re
er
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tn
rin
ep
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Background
d
we
The coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic has had a major global impact, with more than 250 million
cases and 5 million deaths reported globally as of November 10, 2021.1 Covid-19 vaccines are now an essential
component of the pandemic response to reduce disease burden and allow a safer reopening of society and economic
recovery. Twenty-three effective coronavirus vaccines have been approved for use since the first vaccine tested in a
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large randomized clinical trial was approved in the United Kingdom on December 2, 2020,2 and several new
vaccines are in the final testing stage.3 The efficacy, effectiveness, and safety profiles of numerous vaccine
platforms are well-supported by large-scale efficacy trials or observational studies.3 Many countries are currently
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running mass vaccination campaigns.4
Growing evidence suggests that vaccine protection against Covid-19 may be waning over time, and newly emerging
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variants, such as Delta and Omicron, may evade vaccine-induced immune protection for some vaccines.5,6 While the
correlates of protection for Covid-19 vaccines are not fully understood,7,8 research has shown a time-dependent
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decline in humoral immune responses,9,10 which may parallel decreasing protection against infection and disease.
Research suggests that this decline also occurs for Sinovac’s CoronaVac inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine.11,12
There have also been increased reports of breakthrough infections among vaccinated individuals.13-15 Recent
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research has shown that vaccine effectiveness may fade over time, particularly for symptomatic illness.6,16,17 These
studies have examined data for Pfizer-BioNTech’s mRNA vaccine BNT162b2 and Oxford-AstraZeneca’s ChAdOx1
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nCov-19 AZD1222 vaccine recipients, and it is still unclear whether protection against more severe disease has
decreased as well. A potential decrease in vaccine protection is particularly worrying for inactivated vaccines, which
offer lower protection than other vaccine technologies, and account for about half the Covid-19 vaccine doses
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In light of this emerging evidence, several high-income countries, including France, Germany, Israel, the United
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States, and the United Kingdom, have authorized or begun using a third vaccine dose.19 Most have limited vaccine
boosters to persons at higher risk, including older adults, healthcare workers, and individuals with underlying health
conditions. Other countries that have relied on inactivated vaccines, including Cambodia, Chile, Uruguay, Thailand,
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and Turkey offer homologous or heterologous booster vaccine shots to individuals immunized with inactivated
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
vaccines SARS-CoV-2 vaccine schedules.19 Policymakers urgently need evidence of the effectiveness of vaccine
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boosters against severe disease for individuals that have completed their primary immunization schedules. Existing
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evidence for the effectiveness of boosters is limited to mRNA vaccines.20-24
On February 2, 2021, Chile began a mass vaccination campaign based on four Covid-19 vaccines. The Ministry of
Health organized vaccination rollout through a publicly available schedule at the national level, assigning specific
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dates to eligible groups.25 On August 11, 2021, the Ministry of Health began administering a booster dose for
individuals fully vaccinated with the CoronaVac Covid-19 vaccine. CoronaVac has been the campaign’s backbone,
with 59·0% (20·5 million) of all doses administered as of November 16, 2021. Pfizer-BioNTech’s BNT162b2
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represents 30·5% (10·6 million) of doses, and Oxford-AstraZeneca’s AZD1222 vaccine and CanSino Biologics’
Ad5-nCoV vaccine represent 8·8% (3·1M) and 1·7% of doses (0·57), respectively.25
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We use a rich administrative dataset of 11·2 million individuals to assess the effectiveness of CoronaVac,
AZD1222, or BNT162b2 vaccine boosters (third doses) in preventing Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, admission to
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the intensive care unit (ICU), and deaths in individuals who completed their primary immunization schedule with
CoronaVac. We estimate vaccine effectiveness for homologous (three-dose schedule) and heterologous (mix and
match) booster shots adjusting for relevant demographic and clinical confounders of the association between
vaccination and Covid-19 outcomes. Our results are relevant to policymakers considering a third dose for
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populations vaccinated with CoronaVac, the most widely used Covid-19 vaccine globally,18 and provide essential
Methods
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We used data from a prospective observational national-level cohort including 11·2 million participants aged 16 or
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older affiliated with the Fondo Nacional de Salud (FONASA). FONASA is the national health insurance program
that collects, manages, and distributes funds for the healthcare system. Eligibility criteria included being 16 years of
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age or older, affiliated with FONASA (about 80% of the Chilean population), and vaccinated with CoronaVac,
BNT162b2, AZD1222, or Ad5-nCoV Covid-19 vaccines between February 2 and November 10, 2021, or not
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
receiving any Covid-19 vaccination. We excluded participants with a probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection
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by reverse-transcription polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) or antigen test before the beginning of the follow-up
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on February 2 (inclusive), 2021, and individuals who had received at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine before
that date.
All persons aged 16 years or older are eligible to receive a Covid-19 vaccine. Estimates of the effectiveness of
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CoronaVac for February 2 through May 1, 2021, including a description of vaccination rollout, the Chilean
healthcare system, and vaccine security profile, are available elsewhere.26 Here, we focus on the effectiveness of
third dose homologous and heterologous booster shots for individuals who completed their primary immunization
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schedule with CoronaVac. On August 11, 2021, the Ministry of Health began administering a booster dose based on
a publicly available national vaccination schedule (Supplementary Material). By program indication, individuals
aged 55 years or more received one standard dose of AZD1222, and those below 55 years old received one dose of
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BNT162b2. An alternative booster of CoronaVac was available for all age groups. In our analysis, we classified the
cohort participants into three groups: unvaccinated individuals, vaccinated with two CoronaVac doses (≥14 days
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after receipt of the second vaccine dose and before the third dose), and vaccinated with three doses (≥14 days after
receipt of the third vaccine dose using a homologous regimen with CoronaVac, or a heterologous booster with either
AZD1222 or BNT162b2).
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The study team was entirely responsible for the study design, data collection, and analysis. The authors vouch for
the accuracy and completeness of the data. The first, second, and last authors wrote the first draft of the manuscript.
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We estimated the vaccine effectiveness of booster shots using four primary outcomes of interest: laboratory-
confirmed Covid-19 cases, hospitalization, admission to the ICU, and death. We considered the time from the
beginning of the follow-up, on February 2, 2021, to the onset of symptoms as the endpoint for the four outcomes.
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Vaccine effectiveness estimates to Covid-19 cases include the more severe outcomes that follow it. The Ministry of
Health requires that all suspected Covid-19 cases are notified to health authorities through an online platform and
undergo confirmatory laboratory testing. We defined Covid-19 cases and deaths as laboratory-confirmed infections
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
(92% RT-PCR and 8% antigen test) and corresponding code U07·1 in the International Classification of Diseases
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10th revision.
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Our analysis included several individual characteristics associated with the probability of vaccination, including
booster shots and infection or severity of Covid-19 outcomes. These variables included age, sex, region of residence,
income, nationality, and whether the patient had underlying conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-
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19 illness. These underlying conditions include chronic kidney disease, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, stroke,
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, hematological disease, autoimmune disease, HIV, and Alzheimer's and other
dementias.26
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Analysis strategy
We determined vaccine effectiveness by estimating the hazard ratio between the treated (three doses) and non-
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treated (unvaccinated) individuals, based on the observed time-to-onset of symptoms, from February 2, 2021, until
November 10, 2021. To estimate hazard ratios, we used an extension of the Cox hazards model that allowed
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accounting for the time-varying vaccination status of participants.26,27 We adjusted for differences in observed
estimating the weights non-parametrically based on observed characteristics.29 To account for the time-varying
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vaccination status and show that our results do not hinge on model specification, we report estimates of the hazard
ratios adjusted for age, sex, region of residence, nationality, income, and underlying conditions under both standard
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and stratified versions of the Cox hazards model, stratifying by all variables in Table S1, Supplementary
Material.26,27
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We estimated the vaccine effectiveness as one minus the corresponding hazard ratio (expressed as a percentage). We
show the results for the standard and stratified versions of the Cox hazards model using inverse probability of
treatment weighting and without weighting as a robustness check. Inference was based on a partial likelihood
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approach. It is important to clarify that the comparison of the risk of an event for individuals who received a booster
shot and those who were unvaccinated is made at the same calendar time. Each term in the partial likelihood of the
effectiveness regression coefficient corresponds to the conditional probability of an individual to express the
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This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
outcome of interest from the risk set at a given calendar time. We used the survival package for R version 4.0.5
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(Supplementary Material).
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Role of the funding source
The funders of this study had no role in the study design, in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data, in the
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writing of this manuscript or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.
Results
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Study population
Our study cohort included 11,806,589 individuals 16 years or older and affiliated to FONASA, of whom 11,174,257
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were eligible. As of November 10, 2021, 1,071,998 participants remained unvaccinated, 678,341 were vaccinated
with one Covid-19 vaccine dose, and 9,423,928 completed their primary immunization against Covid-19. Among
this group, 7,016,865 (74·5%) participants received two doses of CoronaVac separated by 28 days. Of these,
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186,946 received a third dose of CoronaVac, 2,019,260 received a BNT162b2 booster dose, and 1,921,340 received
the AZD1222 booster dose, as of November 10, 2021. Table 1 shows descriptive statistics for the study cohort. We
found statistically significant differences (p<0·001) between Covid-19 patients and the vaccinated and unvaccinated
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groups by sex, age group, comorbidities, nationality, region of residence, and income. Figure 1 shows the flow
The Ministry of Health has administered 4,127,546 booster shots during the study period to subjects with a complete
primary immunization schedule using CoronaVac. The large majority (95·4%) have been heterologous booster
shots, with 46·5% (n=1,921,340) and 48·9% (n=2,019,260) of participants receiving an AZD1222 and BNT162b2
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booster, respectively. Only 4·6% (n=186,946) of participants received a homologous booster with CoronaVac.
Based on the weighted stratified version of the Cox model (Table 2, last column), the adjusted vaccine effectiveness
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against Covid-19 was 78·8% (95% confidence interval, CI, 76·8 to 80·6) for a homologous booster with CoronaVac,
96·5% (95% CI, 96·2 to 96·7) for BNT162b2 booster, and 93·2% (95% CI, 92·9 to 93·6) for the AZD1222 booster.
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Additionally, the adjusted vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization was 86·3% (95% CI, 83·7 to 88·5) for a
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three-dose schedule with CoronaVac, 96·1% (95% CI, 95·3 to 96·9) for BNT162b2 booster, and 97·7 (95% CI, 97·3
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to 98·0) for the AZD1222 booster. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness against ICU admissions was 92·2% (95% CI,
88·7 to 94·6) for a three-dose schedule with CoronaVac, 96·2% (95% CI, 94·6 to 97·3) for BNT162b2 booster, and
98·9 (95% CI, 98·5 to 99·2) for the AZD1222 booster. Last, the adjusted vaccine effectiveness against Covid-19
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related death was 86·7% (95% CI, 80·5 to 91·0) for a three-dose schedule with CoronaVac, 96·8% (95% CI, 93·9 to
98·3) for BNT162b2 booster, and 98·1% (95% CI, 97·3 to 98·6) for the AZD1222 booster.
Discussion
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Our findings show high effectiveness for a homologous booster schedule with CoronaVac and heterologous boosters
using AZD1222 or BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccines. Specifically, the adjusted vaccine effectiveness for a homologous
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booster with CoronaVac was 78·8% for Covid-19, 86·3% for hospitalization, 92·2% for admission to ICU, and
86·7% for death. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness for individuals with a heterologous BNT162b2 booster shot
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was 96·5%, 96·1%, 96·2%, and 96·8% for Covid-19, hospitalization, admission to ICU, and death. Last,
effectiveness with an AZD1222 booster shot was 93·2%, 97·7%, 98·9%, and 98·1% for Covid-19, hospitalization,
admission to ICU, and death. These results exceed the effectiveness of the two-dose primary immunization regimen
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of CoronaVac previously reported by our group,26 suggesting that primary immunization with inactivated vaccines
Four studies in Israel have examined the effectiveness of a third dose of BNT162b2 compared to the primary
vaccination series. One study estimated a 70-84% reduction in the probability of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2
infection among individuals with a third BNT162b2 dose but did not examine other clinical outcomes.20 Another
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study found that the rate of infection in the booster group was lower by a factor of 11.3 for confirmed infection and
19.5 for severe illness but did not adjust for clinical confounders.21 A third study found a 90% lower Covid-19
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related mortality among participants with a third vaccine dose.22 The fourth study found that the effectiveness of the
third dose of BNT162b2 is 93% for admission to the hospital, 92% for severe disease, and 81% against Covid-19
related death.23 A preprint study in the United States found lower vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2
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infection and hospitalization with a third dose of BNT162b2 (46% and 47% respectively) or mRNA-1273 (47% and
10
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
50%). Although not directly comparable, our vaccine effectiveness estimates against hospitalization, ICU admission,
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and Covid-19 related deaths for the third dose of BNT162b2 are higher, probably because our comparison group is
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unvaccinated individuals instead of individuals with a complete primary vaccination series.
CoronaVac and Sinopharm’s BBIBP-CorV vaccines account for about half the Covid-19 vaccine doses delivered
globally and have been administered in 110 primarily low- and middle-income countries.18 Our results suggest that a
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three-dose vaccination schedule for CoronaVac, the most commonly used Covid-19 vaccine globally,18 substantially
increases protection against severe illness. However, protection is significantly higher for individuals who received a
heterologous vaccine booster compared to a homologous booster with CoronaVac. Our findings may be critical for
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policymakers, particularly in low-resource settings. Our results for heterologous vaccine booster schedules using
BNT162b2 and AZD1222 booster shots also show encouraging results for individuals with a complete primary
immunization schedule with CoronaVac, providing additional support for using a mix and match approach.
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There is an ongoing global debate about the use of booster shots. Preliminary evidence suggests that the
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effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccines wanes over time,6,16,17 although there is no closure on how quick and whether
protection against severe Covid-19 also decreases. While the priority should be to ensure that vulnerable individuals
across the globe are vaccinated, particularly considering that some Covid-19 vaccines probably provide enough
protection against severe disease for the most prevalent SARS-CoV-2 lineages,30 our results suggest that booster
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shots substantially increase vaccine effectiveness for CoronaVac. These results are consistent with evidence for
BNT162b2 in Israel.20-23 Rolling out booster Covid-19 vaccine shots parallel to primary immunization campaigns
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may become a powerful strategy to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infections and mitigate its consequences. These results are
aligned with WHO’s Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) recommendation of providing a third dose to
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The main strengths of our study include the use of a rich cohort of 11·2 million individuals, combining vaccination
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and administrative healthcare data representing about 80% of the Chilean population. Our data includes
demographic variables, residence, income, nationality, and comorbidities, in addition to data on testing, healthcare
use, vital statistics, and vaccination. The large sample size allowed us to non-parametrically estimate inverse
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probability of treatment weights and fit a stratified extended Cox proportional hazards model for the different
outcomes of interest (each combination of predictors has a specific hazard function), adding robustness to our
11
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
statistical approach. In addition, we assessed the performance of homologous and heterologous booster shots, which
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provides valuable evidence to policymakers globally, particularly for countries that have used CoronaVac and are
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considering booster shots. The availability of a diverse matrix of highly effective booster alternatives bypasses
potential vaccine supply shortages, helping countries implement and sustain Covid-19 vaccination efforts over time.
The study also has limitations. First, as an observational study, our results may be subject to selection and
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misclassification biases. There may be selection bias if, for example, vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals have
systematic differences. We adjusted our estimates for known confounders that could affect vaccine effectiveness
estimates, such as age, sex, region of residence, income, nationality, and whether the subject had underlying
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conditions associated with severe Covid-19. While our model adjusted for known confounders that could affect the
probability of getting vaccinated, infected, or developing severe Covid-19, we cannot account for potentially
systematic, unobservable behavioral or health differences between the study groups. For example, publicly reported
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effectiveness results for the CoronaVac vaccine in Chile during May 2021 may have resulted in fully-vaccinated
people taking more risks for acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection than unvaccinated individuals.26 As described in the
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Supplementary Material, the Ministry of Health organized a vaccination rollout through a publicly available
vaccination schedule. Individuals need to show up at the nearest vaccination site with an ID; no appointments are
required. The risk for misclassification bias on the exposure or the outcomes is low. Chile has a single, electronic,
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and centralized immunization registry, and SARS-CoV-2 testing is free and widely available.
Second, the Ministry of Health incorporated SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and reported the circulation of four
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variants of concern (Alfa, Beta, Gamma, and Delta) which may impact vaccine effectiveness (Supplementary
Material, section S1·4). Research suggests that Covid-19 vaccines have lower effectiveness against Delta,5,6 the
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predominant circulating variant in Chile at the time the study was conducted. We lack representative data to estimate
the true prevalence of these variants and their impact on vaccine effectiveness, which could be very relevant to
control the pandemic. Third, individuals younger than 55 years were not eligible for AZD1222 booster doses, so
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Overall, our results suggest that a homologous or heterologous booster vaccine shot for individuals with a complete
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primary vaccination schedule with CoronaVac results in a high level of protection against Covid-19, including
12
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
severe disease and death. However, heterologous boosters showed higher vaccine effectiveness for all outcomes,
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providing additional support for using a mix and match approach.
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Acknowledgments
We thank members of the World Health Organization’s Extraordinary Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE)
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for suggestions and comments, particularly to Drs. Alejandro Craviotto (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de
México), Annelies Wilder-Smith (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine), Daniel Feikin (Johns Hopkins
University), and Minal Patel (World Health Organization), and from the Chilean Covid-19 Advisory Group Drs.
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Catterina Ferreccio (P. Universidad Católica de Chile), Ximena Aguilera (Universidad del Desarrollo), Maria T.
Valenzuela (Universidad de Los Andes), Pablo Vial (Universidad del Desarrollo), Gonzalo Valdivia (Pontificia
Universidad Católica de Chile), Fernando Otaiza (Ministerio de Salud), and Alvaro Erazo (Pontificia Universidad
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Católica de Chile) for advice on study design and interpretation of results.
Funding
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This research was supported by the Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID) Millennium Science
Initiative Program MIDAS [NCN17_059] to AJ; Advanced Center for Chronic Diseases (ACCDiS) ANID
FONDAP [15130011] to RA; and Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (CIGIDEN) ANID
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Declaration of interests
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Owing to data privacy laws and regulations in Chile, this study's individual-level data used in this study cannot be
shared (Law N19·628). Aggregate data on vaccination and Covid-19 incidence are publicly available at
https://github.com/MinCiencia/Datos-COVID19/.
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Ethics statement
The research protocol was approved by the Comité Ético Científico Clínica Alemana Universidad del Desarrollo.
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The study was considered exempt from informed consent, no human health risks were identified. Research analysts
belong to the Chilean Ministry of Health; our use of data follows Chilean law 19·628 on personal data protection.
13
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
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18. Mallapaty S. China’s COVID vaccines have been crucial — now immunity is waning. Nature 2021: 14
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Table 1. Characteristics of the study cohort of FONASA affiliates, overall, with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19, and proportion receiving one or more doses of
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Covid-19 vaccines, February 2 – November 10, 2021*
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Vaccinated
v
Characteristic No. Col.% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row% No. Row%
e
Total 11,174,257 100·0 534,314 4·8 1,071,988 9·6 678,341 6·1 4,754,198 42·6 4,669,390 41·8
r
Sex
Female 5,993,736 54·0 292,040 4·9 505,607 8·4 298,962 5·0 2,432,234 40·6 2,756,933 46·0
r
Male 5,180,521 46·0 242,274 4·7 566,381 10·9 379,379 7·3 2,322,304 44·8 1,912,457 36·9
e
Age group
16-19 736,905 6·6 32,034 4·3 62,457 8·5 127,731 17·3 514,370 69·8 32,347 4·4
e
20-29 2,121,616 19·0 127,418 6·0 241,502 11·4 238,566 11·2 1,318,987 62·2 322,561 15·2
30-39 2,001,611 18·0 116,321 5·8 243,211 12·2 144,776 7·2 1,059,332 52·9 554,292 27·7
p
40-49 1,735,067 16·0 88,973 5·1 165,463 9·5 84,411 4·9 769,601 44·4 715,592 41·2
t
50-59 1,795,580 16·0 79,308 4·4 136,770 7·6 51,346 2·9 548,956 30·6 1,058,508 59·0
60-69 1,421,931 13·0 49,711 3·5 97·548 6·9 15,666 1·1 289,219 20·3 1,019,498 71·7
o
70-79 881,220 7·9 26,116 3·0 65,071 7·4 8,657 1·0 148,063 16·8 659,429 74·8
n
80-more 480,327 4·3 14,433 3·0 59,966 7·2 7,188 1·5 106,010 22·1 307,163 64·0
Comorbidities†
t
None 7,586,853 68·0 361,575 4·8 839,456 11·0 558,203 7·4 3,611,727 47·6 2,584,467 34·1
≥1 3,587,404 32·0 172,739 4·8 239,532 6·7 120,138 3·4 1,142,811 31·9 2,084,923 58·1
in
Nationality
r
Chilean 10,427,613 93·3 501,394 4·8 895,370 8·6 616,986 5·9 4,417,917 42·4 4,497,340 43·1
Non-Chilean 746,644 6·7 32,920 4·4 176,618 23·7 61,355 8·2 336,621 45·1 172,050 23·0
p
*Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019. The study cohort included eligible persons affiliated with the Fondo Nacional de Salud (FONASA), the national public health
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insurance program which collects, manages, and distributes funds for the public healthcare system in Chile. The model also included individual-level income, and location (16
regions). We found statistically significant differences (p<0·001) between Covid-19 patients and the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups by sex, age group, comorbidities,
r
nationality, region of residence, and income. Additional details in Table S1. Covid-19 vaccines include AZD1222, Ad5-nCov, BNT162b2, and CoronaVac (Table 2).
P
†Coexisting conditions included chronic kidney disease, diabetes, cardiovascular disease (hypertension, myocardial infarction), stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease, hematological disease (lymphoma, leukemia, myeloma), autoimmune disease (rheumatoid arthritis, juvenile idiopathic arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus),
HIV, and Alzheimer's and other dementias.
17
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Table 2. Effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccine CoronaVac, BNT162b2, and AZD1222 boosters in preventing Covid-19
d
outcomes among cohort participants according to immunization status, February 2–November 10, 2021*
we
Immunization status Cases Vaccine effectiveness (95% CI)
Covid-19
vie
Unvaccinated 1,079,861,007 314,862 0·2916 – – – –
CoronaVac booster 8,795,237 323 0·0367 75·6 78·1 77·3 78·8
(≥14 days after 3 dose) (72·7–78·1) (76·1–79·9) (74·6–79·8) (76·8–80·6)
re
AZD1222 booster 96,601,030 969 0·0100 92·8 93·2 93·1 93·2
(≥14 days after 3 dose) (92·4–93·3) (92·8–93·5) (92·6–93·5) (92·9–93·6)
Hospitalization
Unvaccinated 1,101,483,596 34,494 0·0313 – – –
CoronaVac booster 8,999,341 89
er
0·0099 83·4 84·7 87·2 86·3
(≥14 days after 3 dose) (79·5–86·6) (81·8–87·1) (84·1–89·7) (83·7–88·5)
Admission to ICU
Unvaccinated 1,103,499,541 12,343 0·0112 – – – –
ot
Confirmed death
rin
*Participants were classified into three groups: those who were unvaccinated, those who were fully immunized (≥14 days after
Pr
receipt of the second dose), and those who were vaccinated with CoronaVac and received a booster shot. The 13 days between
vaccine administration and partial or full immunization were excluded from the at-risk person-time. We show the results for the
18
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
standard and stratified versions of the Cox hazards model using inverse probability of treatment weighting and also without
d
weighting as a robustness check. Covid-19 denotes coronavirus disease 2019, CI denotes confidence intervals.
† The analysis was adjusted for age, sex, 16 regions of residence, income, nationality, and whether the patient had underlying
we
conditions that have been associated with severe Covid-19.
‡ A stratified version of the extended Cox proportional-hazards model was fit to test the robustness of the estimates to model
assumptions, stratifying by age, sex, region of residence, income, nationality, and whether the patient had underlying conditions
that have been associated with severe Covid-19, and coded as described in Table 1.
vie
re
er
pe
ot
tn
rin
ep
Pr
19
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
d
we
vie
re
er
pe
Figure 1. Study participants and cohort eligibility, February 2 to November 10, 2021. Participants were ≥16
ot
years of age, affiliated to the Fondo Nacional de Salud (FONASA), the public national healthcare system, and
vaccinated with CoronaVac, BNT162b2, AZD1222, or Ad5-nCoV Covid-19 vaccines between February 2 and
November 10, 2021, or not receiving any Covid-19 vaccination. We excluded individuals who had probable or
tn
20
This preprint research paper has not been peer reviewed. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4005130
Articles
Summary
Background Large-scale vaccination against COVID-19 is being implemented in many countries with CoronaVac, an Lancet Infect Dis 2021
inactivated vaccine. We aimed to assess the immune persistence of a two-dose schedule of CoronaVac, and the Published Online
immunogenicity and safety of a third dose of CoronaVac, in healthy adults aged 18 years and older. December 7, 2021
https://doi.org/10.1016/
S1473-3099(21)00681-2
Methods In the first of two single-centre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 clinical trials, adults
See Online/Comment
aged 18–59 years in Jiangsu, China, were initially allocated (1:1) into two vaccination schedule cohorts: a day 0 and https://doi.org/10.1016/
day 14 vaccination cohort (cohort 1) and a day 0 and day 28 vaccination cohort (cohort 2); each cohort was randomly S1473-3099(21)00696-4
assigned (2:2:1) to either a 3 μg dose or 6 μg dose of CoronaVac or a placebo group. Following a protocol amendment For the Mandarin translation of
on Dec 25, 2020, half of the participants in each cohort were allocated to receive an additional dose 28 days (window the abstract see Online for
period 30 days) after the second dose, and the other half were allocated to receive a third dose 6 months (window appendix 1
period 60 days) after the second dose. In the other phase 2 trial, in Hebei, China, participants aged 60 years and *Contributed equally
older were assigned sequentially to receive three injections of either 1·5 μg, 3 μg, or 6 μg of vaccine or placebo, †Joint supervisors
administered 28 days apart for the first two doses and 6 months (window period 90 days) apart for doses two and three. Sinovac Biotech, Beijing, China
(G Zeng PhD, Le Wang MSc,
The main outcomes of the study were geometric mean titres (GMTs), geometric mean increases (GMIs), and
W Yin MBA); School of Public
seropositivity of neutralising antibody to SARS-CoV-2 (virus strain SARS-CoV-2/human/CHN/CN1/2020, GenBank Health, Fudan University,
accession number MT407649.1), as analysed in the per-protocol population (all participants who completed their Key Laboratory of Public Health
assigned third dose). Our reporting is focused on the 3 μg groups, since 3 μg is the licensed formulation. The trials Safety, Ministry of Education,
Shanghai, China (Q Wu MPH,
are registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04352608 and NCT04383574.
J Yang PhD, X Deng MSc,
W Zheng BSc, W Lu BSc,
Findings 540 (90%) of 600 participants aged 18–59 years were eligible to receive a third dose, of whom 269 (50%) received Prof H Yu PhD); Jiangsu
the primary third dose 2 months after the second dose (cohorts 1a-14d-2m and 2a-28d-2m) and 271 (50%) received a Provincial Center for Disease
Control and Prevention,
booster dose 8 months after the second dose (cohorts 1b-14d-8m and 2b-28d-8m). In the 3 μg group, neutralising
Nanjing, China (H Pan MSc,
antibody titres induced by the first two doses declined after 6 months to near or below the seropositive cutoff K Chu MSc, Prof F Zhu MD);
(GMT of 8) for cohort 1b-14d-8m (n=53; GMT 3·9 [95% CI 3·1–5·0]) and for cohort 2b-28d-8m (n=49; 6·8 [5·2–8·8]). Hebei Provincial Center for
When a booster dose was given 8 months after a second dose, GMTs assessed 14 days later increased to 137·9 (95% CI Disease Control and
Prevention, Shijiazhuang,
99·9–190·4) for cohort 1b-14d-8m and 143·1 (110·8–184·7) 28 days later for cohort 2b-28d-8m. GMTs moderately
Hebei, China (M Li MSc,
increased following a primary third dose, from 21·8 (95% CI 17·3–27·6) on day 28 after the second dose to 45·8 Z Wu MSc, B Han MSc,
(35·7–58·9) on day 28 after the third dose in cohort 1a-14d-2m (n=54), and from 38·1 (28·4–51·1) to 49·7 (39·9–61·9) Prof Y Zhao MSc); Sinovac Life
in cohort 2a-28d-2m (n=53). GMTs had decayed to near the positive threshold by 6 months after the third dose: Sciences, Beijing, China
(Li Wang MSc, D Jiang MSc);
GMT 9·2 (95% CI 7·1–12·0) in cohort 1a-14d-2m and 10·0 (7·3–13·7) in cohort 2a-28d-2m. Similarly, in adults aged Shanghai Institute of
60 years and older who received booster doses (303 [87%] of 350 participants were eligible to receive a third dose), Infectious Disease and
neutralising antibody titres had declined to near or below the seropositive threshold by 6 months after the primary Biosecurity, Fudan University,
two-dose series. A third dose given 8 months after the second dose significantly increased neutralising antibody Shanghai, China (J Yang,
Prof H Yu); Department of
concentrations: GMTs increased from 42·9 (95% CI 31·0–59·4) on day 28 after the second dose to 158·5 (96·6–259·2) Infectious Diseases, Huashan
on day 28 following the third dose (n=29). All adverse reactions reported within 28 days after a third dose were of Hospital, Fudan University,
grade 1 or 2 severity in all vaccination cohorts. There were three serious adverse events (2%) reported by the Shanghai, China (Prof H Yu)
150 participants in cohort 1a-14d-2m, four (3%) by 150 participants from cohort 1b-14d-8m, one (1%) by 150 participants Correspondence to:
in each of cohorts 2a-28d-2m and 2b-28d-8m, and 24 (7%) by 349 participants from cohort 3-28d-8m. Yuliang Zhao, Hebei Center for
Disease Control and Prevention,
Shijiazhuang 050021, China
Interpretation A third dose of CoronaVac in adults administered 8 months after a second dose effectively recalled yuliang_zh1@163.com
specific immune responses to SARS-CoV-2, which had declined substantially 6 months after two doses of CoronaVac, or
resulting in a remarkable increase in the concentration of antibodies and indicating that a two-dose schedule generates
good immune memory, and a primary third dose given 2 months after the second dose induced slightly higher
antibody titres than the primary two doses.
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Fengcai Zhu, Jiangsu Provincial Funding National Key Research and Development Program, Beijing Science and Technology Program, and Key
Center for Disease Control and Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
Prevention, Nanjing 210000,
China
jszfc@vip.sina.com Copyright © 2021 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
or
Hongjie Yu, School of Public
Introduction A booster dose given 6–8 months after the second
Health, Fudan University, Key More than 20 vaccines have been approved for use dose of BNT162b2,10 mRNA-1273,11 and NVX-CoV237312
Laboratory of Public Health in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,1 with over (Novavax’s protein subunit vaccine) greatly increased
Safety, Ministry of Education,
6·33 billion doses administered globally as of Oct 3, 2021.2 neutralising antibody concentrations, and thus increased
Shanghai 200032, China
yhj@fudan.edu.cn Following primary vaccination with vaccines including neutralisation capacity against the delta variant. Booster
or
BNT162b23–5 (Pfizer–BioNTech’s mRNA vaccine), vaccination with BNT162b2 was initiated in Israel in
Weidong Yin, Sinovac Biotech,
mRNA-12734,6 (Moderna’s mRNA vaccine), and ChAdOx1 response to a surge of COVID-19 cases caused by the
Beijing 100085, China nCoV-197,8 (AstraZeneca’s non-replicating adenoviral vec- delta variant;13 interim results show that the booster dose
yinwd@sinovac.comv tored vaccine), neutralising antibody titres and vaccine significantly reduces rates of confirmed infection and
effectiveness against symptomatic illness have been severe illness.14
observed to decrease over time, particularly against the CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China),
delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-CoV-2, which has an inactivated vaccine against COVID-19, has been
become the predominant strain across the globe.9 authorised for conditional use in China,15 and is included
Research in context
Evidence before this study Added value of this study
We used the terms “SARS-CoV-2”, “COVID-19”, “vaccine”, and Our phase 2 trial among adults aged 18–59 years provides
“clinical trial” to search PubMed and Europe PMC on preliminary evidence of 6-month immune persistence
Sept 29, 2021, without language or date restrictions, to after two two-dose schedules (14-day and 28-day intervals)
identify seven research articles on the immune persistence of of CoronaVac and immunogenicity and safety of a third dose of
currently approved vaccines or the immunogenicity of CoronaVac given 2 months or 8 months after the second dose.
additional doses in the general population. Previous research Neutralising antibody titres induced by two doses of CoronaVac
reported that neutralising antibody responses elicited by (3 μg formulation) declined to near or below the lower limit of
mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2, developed by Pfizer and seropositivity after 6 months. A third dose given 8 months after
BioNTech, and mRNA-1273, developed by Moderna), the second dose led to a strong boost in immune response
adenovirus-vectored vaccines (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, developed (a three-fold to five-fold increase in neutralising antibody titres
by Oxford and AstraZeneca, and Ad26.COV2-S, developed by 28 days after the second dose). Our phase 2 trial in healthy adults
Janssen), an inactivated vaccine (CoronaVac, developed by aged 60 years and older found that neutralising antibody titres
SinoVac), and a protein subunit vaccine (NVX-CoV2373, declined to low concentrations 6 months after the second dose
developed by Novavax) persisted for 6–8 months after but rapidly rebounded after a third dose given at 8 months after
full-schedule vaccination and declined to varying degrees. the second dose (an approximate three-fold increase in
Neutralising antibodies against variants of concern started at neutralising antibody titre). Seropositivity after an 8-month
lower concentrations than they did against the original third dose was 98–100% regardless of age group. No safety
alpha variant and waned substantially, especially against the concerns were seen with a third dose; reactogenicity of the
beta (B.1.351) variant, whereas neutralising antibody vaccine was indistinguishable from reactogenicity of aluminium
concentrations against other variants of concern were less hydroxide placebo. This study provided data on immune
affected. Neutralisation capacity against the delta (B.1.617.2) persistence after primary immunisation with CoronaVac, and
variant, mediated by a homologous third dose given immunogenicity and safety of a third homologous dose in adults
6–8 months after the second dose of mRNA-1273, BNT162b2, aged 18 years or older.
or ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, increased multifold and was similar to or
Implications of all the available evidence
higher than the level against the ancestral SARS-CoV-2 after
The rapid and robust rebound in immunity induced by a third
the second dose. Several clinical trials have explored
dose of CoronaVac showed that primary vaccination with
heterologous vaccination schedules with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19
two doses induced immune memory in adults aged 18 years and
and BNT162b2, BNT162b2 and Ad26.COV2-S, CoronaVac and
older. A third dose was immunogenic and markedly increased
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and CoronaVac and Convidecia (adenovirus
neutralising antibody titres when given 8 months after the second
type-5-vectored vaccine, developed by CanSino), showing that
dose. Therefore, a third dose might provide additional benefit,
heterologous vaccination can induce robust immune
including longer-lasting immunity and higher level of protection,
responses in adults aged 18 years and older. These results
over a two-dose schedule, but such determinations need longer-
indicate flexibility in deploying COVID-19 vaccines in mix-and-
term study and real-world studies of vaccine effectiveness.
match schedules.
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in WHO’s emergency use listing.16 This vaccine has been of enrolment by investigators, who were involved in the
administered in 26 countries, including China,1 and is rest of the trial.
increasing the global supply through COVAX.17 In China, 1·5 μg, 3 μg, or 6 μg doses of CoronaVac (Vero cell,
2·21 billion doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been inactivated CN02 strain of SARS-CoV-2 with 1·5, 3, or
administered as of Oct 3, 2021,18 the vast majority of 6 μg per 0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide adjuvant) or
which are inactivated vaccines. Evidence from real-world placebo (0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide adjuvant) in
studies of CoronaVac in two-dose schedules in Chile,19 prefilled syringes were administered by intramuscular
Brazil,20 and China21,22 shows that the vaccine effectively injection into the deltoid muscle. To evaluate the
prevents laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, with greater immunogenicity of primary vaccination, blood samples
effectiveness against more severe outcomes, including in were taken before vaccination and at day 28 after the
settings with circulation of variants of concern. However, second dose. Interim results of these data have been
persistence of CoronaVac vaccine-induced immunity is published.23,24 For the trial in adults aged 18–59 years, the
unknown, and the immunogenicity and safety of a protocol was amended on Dec 25, 2020, to evaluate the
booster dose has not been determined. immunogenicity of an additional dose (appendix 2 p 3).
To fill this knowledge gap, we aimed to assess immune The amended protocol was updated on ClinicalTrials.gov. For more on the amendment to
persistence after primary immunisation with CoronaVac, According to the order of the blocks, half of the the NCT04352608 trial see
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/
and immunogenicity and safety of a third homologous participants were sequentially allocated to receive an
show/NCT04352608
dose, in two population groups: adults aged 18–59 years additional dose of the vaccine or placebo at 28 days after
and adults aged 60 years or older. the second dose (with a 30-day window period; hereafter
cohort 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-28d-2m, with 14d and
Methods 28d representing the interval in days between the first
Study design and participants two doses, and 2m denoting the actual median interval in
Our study is built upon two single-centre, double-blind, months between the second and third doses), and the
randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 2 clinical trials other half were allocated to receive a booster dose
of CoronaVac. One trial was initiated in Suining 6 months after the second dose (with a 60-day window
County, Jiangsu province, China, by Jiangsu Provincial period; hereafter cohort 1b-14d-8m and cohort 2b-28d-
Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on 8m, with 8m denoting the actual median interval in
May 3, 2020, among healthy adults aged 18–59 years, months between the second and third doses). For the
and the other was initiated in Renqiu, Hebei province, trial in adults aged 60 years and older, a booster dose was
China, by Hebei Provincial CDC, on June 12, 2020, given 6 months after the second dose (with a 90-day
among healthy adults aged 60 years and older. The window period; cohort 3-28d-8m) per the original
designs of the phase 2 trials have been published protocol (appendix 3 p 41–42). Key exclusion criteria for
previously.23,24 Briefly, key exclusion criteria for trial third doses are shown in appendix 4 (p 3). Written See Online for appendix 4
enrolment included suspected or laboratory-confirmed informed consent was obtained from participants both
SARS-CoV-2 infections and known allergy to any vaccine before enrolment and before administration of a third
component. A complete list of exclusion criteria is in the dose of a vaccine in eligible participants. The clinical trial
protocol (appendix 2 pp 74–76; appendix 3 pp 38–39). protocol and informed consent forms for the study in See Online for appendix 2
For the trial in adults aged 18–59 years, eligible parti- adults aged 18–59 years were approved by the Jiangsu See Online for appendix 3
cipants were initially recruited and randomly allocated (1:1) Ethics Committee (JSJK2020-A021–02), and those for the
to vaccination cohorts with two-dose schedules, either study in adults aged 60 years and older were approved by
14 days apart (cohort 1) or 28 days apart (cohort 2). Within Hebei CDC Ethics Committee (IRB2020–006).
each cohort, participants were randomly allocated (2:2:1) to Essential steps and timing for each visit specified in the
either a 3 μg group, a 6 μg group, or a placebo group. For protocol are shown in appendix 4 (p 4). Participants in each
the trial in adults aged 60 years and older, eligible cohort received homologous third doses, vaccine or
participants were assigned (2:2:2:1) sequentially to receive placebo. Participants were to be withdrawn from the trial if
two doses 28 days apart of either 1·5 μg, 3 μg, or 6 μg they had an unacceptable adverse event as judged by the
vaccine or placebo (cohort 3). Randomisation codes investigators and defined by the Guidelines of the National
for each vaccination schedule cohort were generated Medical Products Administration for Adverse Event
individually and randomly assigned using block rando- Classification Standards for Clinical Trials of Preventive
misation developed with SAS version 9.4. Adults aged Vaccines (2019), an unacceptable health status as judged by
18–59 years were assigned with a block size of five and the investigators, or abnormal clinical manifestations as
adults aged 60 years and older were assigned with a block judged by the investigators, or at the participant’s request
size of 14. Concealed random group allocations and or for any other reason judged necessary by the investigator.
blinding codes were kept in signed and sealed envelopes. The trial would be suspended under the following
Investigators, participants, and laboratory staff were conditions as judged by the investigators: occurrence of
masked to group assignment. The randomisation code one or more grade 4 local or systemic adverse reactions
was assigned to each participant in sequence in the order related to vaccination or more than 15% of the participants
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Cohort 1
2 months 2 months + 28 days 8 months
Cohort 1a-14d-2m
Dose 3 Blood Blood
Cohort 1b-14d-8m
Blood Dose 3 Blood
Cohort 2
2 months 2 months + 28 days 8 months
Cohort 2a-28d-2m
Cohort 3-28d-8m
having grade 3 or above adverse reactions, including local were collected at month 6 after the second dose to
reactions, systemic reactions, and vital sign changes. evaluate the immune persistence of the second dose, and
During the trial periods, no active surveillance for natural on day 28 after the third dose to assess immunogenicity
infection with SARS-CoV-2 was done by this study. of the third dose (with the exception of cohort 1b-14d-8m,
SARS-CoV-2 occurring in study participants was required in which samples were collected on day 14 after the
to be reported to the investigator. Under the China third dose; figure 1; appendix 4 p 4).
Government’s COVID-19 prevention and control policy of Safety information after the third dose was obtained
zero tolerance for local transmission, all infections are by the same methods as for the first two doses, as described
identified in a timely manner and reported by local previously.23 Participants were required to record injection-
health departments for contact tracing, isolated treatment, site adverse events (eg, pain, redness, and swelling), or
and quarantine of close contacts and testing for systemic adverse events (eg, allergic reactions, cough, and
SARS-CoV-2 RNA. fever) on diary cards for 7 days after their third dose. For
For participants who received their third dose days 8–28, unsolicited adverse reactions were collected by
28 days after the second dose (cohort 1a-14d-2m and spontaneous reporting from participants in all cohorts. We
cohort 2a-28d-2m), blood samples were collected on planned to collect serious adverse events until 6 months
day 28 and month 6 after the third dose to evaluate after the third dose for participants in cohorts 1 and 2, and
immunogenicity and immune persistence of the until 1 year after third dose for participants in cohort 3. The
third dose. For participants who received their third dose cut-off day of this report was 6 months after the second dose
6 months after the second dose (cohort 1b-14d-8m, for participants in cohort 1b-14d-8m, cohort 2b-28d-8m,
cohort 2b-28d-8m, and cohort 3-28d-8m), blood samples and cohort 3-28d-8m, and 6 months after the third dose for
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30·4
45·8 74·2
512
Neutralisation titre
9·2 13·6
21·8 29·2 27·4 3·9 4·7
128
32
8
2·1
2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0
2
Number of 26 54 58 25 54 58 26 54 58 24 54 57 30 53 55 30 53 55 30 53 55 30 53 55
participants
Baseline Day 28 after Day 28 after Month 6 after Baseline Day 28 after Month 6 after Day 14 after
dose 2 dose 3 dose 3 dose 2 dose 2 dose 3
51·9
6·8 7·1
128
32
8
2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·1 2·0 2·0
2
Number of 25 53 48 25 53 48 25 53 48 26 51 46 27 49 48 27 49 48 27 49 48 27 49 48
participants Baseline Day 28 after Day 28 after Baseline Day 28 after Month 6 after Day 14 after
Month 6 after
dose 2 dose 3 dose 3 dose 2 dose 2 dose 3
Figure 2: Level of neutralising antibodies to infectious SARS-CoV-2 in adults aged 18–59 years
Dots are reciprocal neutralising antibody titres for individuals in the per-protocol population. Numbers above the bars are GMTs, and the error bars indicate the
95% CI. The dotted horizontal line represents the seropositivity threshold. Titres lower than the limit of detection (1/4) are presented as half the limit of detection.
Numbers above the short horizontal lines are p values of comparisons between 3 μg group and 6 μg group. GMT=geometric mean titre.
(appendix 4 pp 9–11). All participants in the older age day 28 after dose 2 was 38·1 (95% CI 28·4–51·1) and on
group were included in the safety analyses. day 28 after dose 3 was 49·7 (39·9–61·9; figure 2; table 2).
No natural infections were reported in any cohort. GMIs of neutralising antibodies from baseline to 28 days
There were 141 minor protocol deviations in cohort after the third dose were 22·9 (95% CI 17·8–29·4)
1b-14d-8m, including 141 participants given third doses for cohort 1a-14d-2m and 24·8 (19·9–31·0) for
9–11 days outside of the prespecified time window, which cohort 2a-28d-2m (table 2). Seropositivity rates in all
did not result in exclusion of participants from the vaccination groups in cohorts 1a-14d-2m and 2a-28d-2m
analysis (appendix 3 p 12). Mean ages of participants were above 95% at 28 days after three doses (table 2).
were between 40·4 years (SD 10·3) and 45·7 years (9·7) in Results of immune persistence analysis from cohort
cohorts 1 and 2 (adults aged 18–59 years old), and 1a-14d-2m and cohort 2a-28d-2m show that, by 6 months
between 66·3 years (SD 4·4) and 67·1 years (4·7) in after the third dose, the GMT was approximately 10 and
cohort 3 (adults aged 60 years and older; table 1). At seropositivity remained above 50% (appendix 4 pp 16–17).
baseline, none of the participants in any cohort had GMTs in cohort 1a-14d-2m on day 28 (p=0·0053) and at
detectable neutralising antibodies (figures 2, 3). month 6 (p=0·039) after the third dose were significantly
A third dose of CoronaVac given at month 2 after the higher in the 6 μg group than in the 3 μg group, whereas
second dose moderately increased neutralising antibody there was no significant difference between the
levels induced by the first two doses. In the 3 μg group, two doses at either timepoint in cohort 2a-28d-2m
the GMT in cohort 1a-14d-2m on day 28 after dose 2 was (appendix 4 pp 16–17).
21·8 (95% CI 17·3–27·6) and on day 28 after dose 3 Regardless of the interval between the first two doses,
was 45·8 (35·7–58·9), and in cohort 2a-28d-2m GMT on neutralising antibody titres declined to below the
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seropositive cutoff by 6 months after the second dose 30·4 to 175·1 in the 6 μg group), and in cohort 2b-28d-8m,
(GMT 3·9 [95% CI 3·1–5·0] in cohort 1b-14d-8m and 6·8 neutralising antibody titres 28 days after the third dose
[5·2–8·8] in cohort 2b-28d-8m; figure 2). In the immune were approximately three-fold higher than neutralising
persistence analysis set, at month 6 after the second dose, antibody titres 28 days after the second dose (from a GMT
ten (17%) of 59 participants in cohort 1b-14d-8m and of 45·9 to 143·1 in the 3 μg group; table 2, figure 2).
19 (35%) of 54 participants in cohort 2b-28d-8m were Seropositivity on day 14 after the third dose in cohort
seropositive (appendix 4 pp 18–19). 1b-14d-8m and on day 28 after the third dose in cohort
In post-hoc analyses, after administering a booster dose 2b-28d-8m was 100% for both doses (table 2). GMIs from
at 8 months after the second dose, GMTs increased to before to after the booster dose were 35·1 (95% CI
137·9 (95% CI 99·9–190·4) in cohort 1b-14d-8m 14 days 24·3–50·7) in cohort 1b-14d-8m and 21·2 (15·3–29·2) in
later, and to 143·1 (110·8–184·7) in cohort 2b-28d-8m cohort 2b-28d-8m (table 2).
28 days later (figure 2). Neutralising antibody concen- In GLMM models, neutralisation titres decreased with
trations 14 days after dose 3 were approximately five-fold increasing age (appendix 4 p 21). Immune responses
higher than neutralising antibody concentrations on day induced by 6 μg doses were better than those induced by
28 after the second dose in cohort 1b-14d-8m (from a GMT 3 μg doses, and a third dose significantly raised antibody
of 27·4 to 137·9 in the 3 μg group and from a GMT of levels compare with 28 days after dose 2. The vaccination
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Neutralisation titre
day 28 after dose 2 to 3·4 [2·9–4·1]), and 17 (18%) of 27·4
4·0
4·0
98 participants were seropositive (appendix 4 p 20). 128
3·5
A booster dose given 8 months after the second dose
increased the GMT to 158·5 (95% CI 96·9–259·2) 32
2·3
28 days after the booster dose (figure 3, table 2). The GMI
8
from before to after the booster dose was 39·7 2·2
(95% CI 23·6–66·6; table 2). GMTs on day 28 after the 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0 2·0
2
third dose were highest in the 6 μg group (p<0·0001) and
similar between the 3 μg group and the 1·5 μg group Number of participants 13 28 29 28 13 28 29 28 13 28 28 27 13 28 29 28
(p=0·18; table 2). Baseline 28 days after 6 months after 28 days after
dose 2 dose 2 dose 3
Severities of solicited local and systemic adverse
reactions reported within 28 days after the third dose Figure 3: Level of neutralising antibodies to infectious SARS-CoV-2 in adults aged 60 years and older
were grade 1–2 in all vaccination cohorts in both trials. Dots are reciprocal neutralising antibody titres for individuals in the per-protocol population. Numbers above the
The most common reported reaction was injection-site bars are GMTs, and the error bars indicate the 95% CI. The dotted horizontal line represents the seropositivity
pain (table 3; appendix 4 pp 22–28). Taking the 3 μg threshold. Titres lower than the limit of detection (1/4) are presented as half the limit of detection. Numbers above
the short horizontal lines are p values of comparisons between 1.5 μg group, 3 μg group, and 6 μg group. Only the
group as an example, the incidences of adverse reactions p values indicating significant difference are marked. GMT=geometric mean titre.
within 28 days after the third dose in primary
three-dose regimens were five (9%) of 55 participants in
cohort 1a-14d-2m and three (6%) of 54 participants in the second dose led to a strong boost in immunity, with
cohort 2a-28d-2m; not higher than the incidence of neutralising GMTs increasing to approximately 140 among
adverse reactions within 28 days after each previous dose adults aged 18–59 years and 159 among adults aged
(table 3; appendix 4 pp 22–23, 25–26). The overall 60 years and older 14–28 days after the booster dose.
incidence of any adverse reaction within 28 days after the These increases correspond to roughly three-fold to five-
booster dose (3 μg) was ten (18%) of 55 participants in fold increases in neutralising antibody titres compared
cohort 1b-14d-8m, eight (15%) of 52 in cohort 2b-28d-8m, with titres 28 days after a second dose. Seropositivity
and five (6%) of 90 in cohort 3-28d-8m (table 3; 28 days after a third dose at 8 months was 98–100%
appendix 4 p 24, 27–28). regardless of age group. By contrast, a third dose given
Serious adverse events were reported in one (2%) of 2 months after the second dose induced much lower
60 participants in the 3 μg group and two (3%) of neutralising antibody titres. Reactogenicity of the
60 participants in the 6 μg group in cohort 1a-14d-2m, in third dose was indistinguishable from reactogenicity of
two (3%) of 60 participants in the 3 μg group and the previous two doses, regardless of age group.
two (3%) of 60 in the 6 μg group in cohort 1b-14d-8m, Decreases over time of vaccine-induced neutralising
and in no participant in the 30 μg group and antibodies against ancestral SARS-CoV-2 have been
one (2%) of 60 in the 6 μg group in each of cohorts observed with other COVID-19 vaccines, but at a much
2a-28d-2m and 2b-28d-8m (appendix 4 pp 29–30). No lower magnitude. For example, following vaccination with
participant in the placebo group reported a serious Moderna’s mRNA-1273 vaccine, neutralising antibodies
adverse event. From the beginning of immunisation to declined but remained detectable among all participants
28 days after dose 3 in cohort 3-28d-8m, ten (10%) of on days 90 and 180 after a second dose.6,26 SARS-CoV-2
100 participants in the 1·5 μg group, five (5%) of 101 in spike protein-specific memory B cells are detectable in
the 3 μg group, seven (7%) of 99 in the 6 μg group, and most patients with COVID-19 and in people who are naive
two (4%) of 49 in the placebo group had non-fatal serious to SARS-CoV-2 after receiving two doses of COVID-19
adverse events (appendix 4 pp 30–31). No serious adverse vaccines.27,28 This study is the first to show that the antibody
event in either trial was considered by the investigators to response mediated by a third dose of CoronaVac given
be related to vaccination, and no prespecified trial-halting 2 months after the second dose rebounded only moderately
rules were met. and degraded to near the seropositive threshold after
6 months. This observation is probably because the interval
Discussion between the two doses was short and the memory B cells
Our study showed that the initial neutralising antibody were immature. However, a third dose of CoronaVac given
response from two doses of CoronaVac declined to near 8 months after the second dose appears to effectively
or below the lower limit of seropositivity after 6 months. augment the potency, breadth, and likely duration of
A third dose of CoronaVac (3 μg) given 8 months after anamnestic responses against SARS-CoV-2.29 Compared
1280 |
Articles
Artigo
Cohort 1a-14d-2m Cohort 1b-14d-8m Cohort 2a-28d-2m Cohort 2b-28d-8m Cohort 3–28d-8m
3 μg 6 μg Placebo 3 μg 6 μg Placebo 3 μg 6 μg Placebo 3 μg 6 μg Placebo 1·5 μg 3 μg 6 μg Placebo
(N=55) (n=58) (N=26) (N=55) (N=56) (N=30) (N=54) (N=50) (N=26) (N=52) (N=50) (N=28) (N=85) (N=90) (N=81) (N=47)
Any adverse reaction
Grade 1 5 (9%) 5 (9%) 0 10 (18%) 13 (23%) 3 (10%) 3 (6%) 1 (2%) 0 7 (13%) 10 (20%) 1 (4%) 3 (4%) 3 (3%) 3 (4%) 2 (4%)
Grade 2 1 (2%) 1 (2%) 0 1 (2%) 0 1 (3%) 0 0 0 1 (2%) 1 (2%) 1 (4%) 1 (1%) 2 (2%) 2 (2%) 1 (2%)
Systemic diseases and injection site adverse reactions
Data are n (%), representing the total number of participants who had adverse reactions (ie, adverse events related to vaccination).
Articles
with the 3 μg formulation of CoronaVac, which is approved emerging variants and evaluating the protection level in
for use, the 1·5 μg formulation produced similar neutra- risk groups such as immunosuppressed individuals or
lising antibody titres by day 28 after the third dose for elderly people are important research endeavours.
adults aged 60 years and older. Whether the 1·5 μg Decreased effectiveness of mRNA vaccines against
formulation could serve as a booster dose needs further SARS-CoV-2 infection with circulating variants has been
study due to the small sample size in the analysis of this seen in real-world studies in the USA, but effectiveness
dose (28 participants). against hospitalisation was sustained.39,40 Two doses of
Significant rebound in antibody concentration induced CoronaVac showed good effectiveness in a setting with
by homologous booster doses has been reported for co-circulating alpha and gamma variants in Chile: the
other vaccines. Neutralisation titres against ancestral vaccine was 66% effective against COVID-19 and nearly
SARS-CoV-2 increased approximately four-fold after a 90% effective against severe outcomes.19 A test-negative
homologous booster dose compared with titres case-control study done in Brazil showed that the adjusted
following primary series with BNT162b2,10 mRNA-1273,11 vaccine effectiveness against hospital admission was
and NVX-CoV2373,12 with similarly long intervals above 55% in older adults during a time of extensive
(6–8 months) between the booster dose and primary transmission of the gamma variant.20 During local
vaccination. A nine-fold increase in spike protein-binding outbreaks caused by the delta variant in China, two studies
antibody was observed after a 6-month homologous with small sample sizes showed that inactivated vaccines
booster dose of Ad26.COV2-S.30 were 70·2% effective against illness of moderate or worse
Heterologous prime–boost regimens appear to induce severity41 and could lower the risk of progressing to severe
higher levels of immune response than homologous disease by 88%.22 Protection against variants and
booster doses. Vaccination with mRNA vaccines and persistence in protection with CoronaVac need to be
adenovirus-vectored vaccines31,32 or inactivated vaccines continually evaluated in real-world studies.
and adenovirus-vectored vaccines33 have shown strong Interim protection results from booster programmes
short-term immune responses and tolerable reactogenicity. in Israel showed that booster doses effectively reduced
Wanlapakorn and colleagues34 found that CoronaVac and breakthrough infections, including breakthroughs of the
AZD1222 vaccine recipients had higher neutralising delta variant.14 Considering sustained protection of
antibody activity against the original wild-type virus and primary immunisation with COVID-19 vaccines against
the beta (B.1.351) variant of concern than did recipients of severe outcomes42 and equity in vaccine deployment,
two doses of CoronaVac or AZD1222, suggesting that WHO currently prioritises completion of primary
heterologous immunisation might be considered an immunisation over booster dose strategies to protect
alternative to homologous boosting for immunisation more people from COVID-19 due to global shortage of
programmes. Long-term effectiveness of boosting remains supply of COVID-19 vaccines,43 although the US Centers
unevaluated because of the newness of COVID-19 vaccine for Disease Control and Prevention has issued booster
booster dosing. recommendations for specific populations.44
SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve and produce variants, During the trials, participants were masked to study
among which the delta variant has become predominant.9 group assignment and participants in placebo groups
Although we did not perform neutralisation testing in could be vaccinated immediately after completion of the
vitro against emerging variants of concern, high phase 2 trial for adults aged 18–59 years and completion
neutralising antibody titres against the ancestral strain of follow-up for 28 days after the booster dose for adults
are believed to be important for protection against novel aged 60 years and older. Since strict non-pharmaceutical
circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants that potentially can interventions have been maintained to date across
lead to immune escape.35 Several studies have reported mainland China, the risk of infection was very low for
in-vitro neutralisation titres against variants for participants in the placebo group. Maintenance of the
CoronaVac, but results varied greatly. Vacharathit and placebo groups until the end of the trial was approved by
colleagues, using a live-virus microneutralisation assay, Jiangsu Ethics Committee (JSJK2020-A021–02) and
identified 22-fold and 32-fold reductions in neutralising Hebei CDC Ethics Committee (IRB2020–006).
antibodies against the beta and delta variants, respectively, Our study has several limitations. First, establishment
compared with ancestral SARS-CoV-2.36 Wang and of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein-specific immune memory,
colleagues reported a three-fold reduction in neutra- in addition to inducing durable antibodies, might be
lising antibody titres against the beta variant, using a important for a successful COVID-19 vaccine. For
pseudovirus neutralisation assay.37 Another study example, T-cell immunity elicited by inactivated
reported 5·7-fold, 4·3-fold, and 3·7-fold reductions of vaccines might contribute to protection.45,46 However,
neutralising antibody titres against beta, gamma (P.1), T-cell responses and neutralisation tests in vitro against
and delta variants, respectively.29 Of note, it is difficult emerging variants were not assessed in our study, and
to directly compare these estimates because of the these need to be further explored. Second, we report the
differences in study design and laboratory methods.38 results of interim analyses, and long-term follow-up is
Determining the neutralisation ability of CoronaVac to ongoing to identify a satisfactory duration of immunity
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Articles
20 Ranzani OT, Hitchings MDT, Dorion M, et al. Effectiveness of the 33 Li J, Hou L, Guo X, et al. Heterologous prime–boost immunization
CoronaVac vaccine in older adults during a gamma variant with CoronaVac and Convidecia. medRxiv 2021; published online
associated epidemic of COVID-19 in Brazil: test negative case- Sept 6. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.09.03.21263062 (preprint).
control study. BMJ 2021; 374: n2015. 34 Wanlapakorn N, Suntronwong N, Phowatthanasathian H, et al.
21 Kang M, Yi Y, Li Y, et al. Effectiveness of inactivated COVID-19 Immunogenicity of heterologous prime/booster-inactivated and
vaccines against COVID-19 pneumonia and severe illness caused by adenoviral-vectored COVID-19 vaccine: real-world data.
the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant: evidence from an outbreak in Research Square 2021; published online Sept 10. https://www.
Guangdong, China. SSRN 2021; published online Aug 5. researchsquare.com/article/rs-785693/v1 (preprint).
https://ssrn.com/abstract=3895639 (preprint). 35 Choi A, Koch M, Wu K, et al. Safety and immunogenicity of
22 Hu Z, Tao B, Li Z, et al. Effectiveness of inactive COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 variant mRNA vaccine boosters in healthy adults:
vaccines against severe illness in B.1.617.2 (delta) variant-infected an interim analysis. Nat Med 2021; published online Sept 15.
patients in Jiangsu, China. medRxiv 2021; published online Sept 5. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01527-y.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.09.02.21263010v1. 36 Vacharathit V, Aiewsakun P, Manopwisedjaroen S, et al. CoronaVac
full (preprint). induces lower neutralising activity against variants of concern than
23 Zhang Y, Zeng G, Pan H, et al. Safety, tolerability, and natural infection. Lancet Infect Dis 2021; 21: 1352–54.
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Affiliations:
1
Millennium Institute on Immunology and Immunotherapy, Santiago, Chile.
2
Departamento de Genética Molecular y Microbiología, Facultad de Ciencias
Santiago, Chile. 5Center for Infectious Disease and Vaccine Research, La Jolla
San Diego (UCSD), La Jolla, CA 92037, USA. 7Sinovac Biotech, Beijing, China.
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
8
Departamento de Farmacia, Facultad de Química y de Farmacia, Pontificia
#
These authors contributed equally to this work.
*Corresponding authors.
Keywords:
Third dose.
Abstract
approved by the World Health Organization (WHO) to prevent COVID-19 that has
Chilean population that are participating in a phase 3 clinical trial. Here we report
the levels of antibodies directed against the Receptor Binding Domain of the
SARS-CoV-2 spike protein comparing their neutralizing capacities and the cellular
response at five months after the second dose and four weeks after a booster
increased up to 12 times at four weeks after the booster dose (GMU 499.4, 95%
CI=370.6-673.0). Equivalent results were observed in adults aged 18-59 years old
and individuals ≥60 years old. In the case of cellular response, we observed that
activation of specific CD4+ T cell increases in time and reaches its maximum at
four weeks after the booster dose in both groups. Our results support the notion
that a booster dose of the SARS-CoV-2 inactivated vaccine increases the levels of
neutralizing antibodies and the specific cellular response in adults of both groups,
which is likely to boost the protective capacity of these vaccines against COVID-19.
Introduction
Sinovac Life Sciences Co., Ltd. (Beijing, China) and is among the current vaccines
approved by the WHO to combat COVID-19 [1,2]. Phase 1 and 2 clinical trials in
China demonstrated that this vaccine induces cellular and humoral response upon
described that two- and four-weeks after the second dose of CoronaVac® there is
an increase in the levels of IgG and neutralizing antibodies in adults aged 18-59
years old and ≥ 60 years old [5][6]. In addition, the vaccination promotes the
In Chile, 91.5% of the target population has received the first vaccine dose, and
88.7% were fully vaccinated in October 2021 in a 0-28 vaccination schedule [9].
Although neutralizing antibody titers present in the serum of vaccinated people are
as new variants emerge [13,14]. For these reasons, the use of booster doses was
with more than five months after the second dose applied in a 0-28-day vaccination
schedule [15]. Notably, a previous study performed in adults between 18-59 years
old demonstrates that a booster dose of CoronaVac®, applied after six months to
individuals previously receiving two doses of this vaccine, increases the levels of
antibodies 3-5-fold as compared to those levels observed four weeks after the
second dose [12]. Here, we further extend these results by reporting the levels of
years old who participated in phase 3 clinical trial carried out in Chile, who were
Blood samples were obtained from volunteers recruited in the clinical trial
reviewed and approved the study protocol at the Pontificia Universidad Católica de
Chile (#200708006). Trial execution was approved by the Chilean Public Health
Guidelines for Good Clinical Practices, the Declaration of Helsinki [16], and local
regulations. Informed consent was obtained from all volunteers upon enrollment.
immunization schedule) and then a booster dose five months after the second
dose. A complete inclusion and exclusion criteria list has been reported. On
November 11st 2021, one hundred and eighty-six volunteers in the immunogenicity
branch received the booster dose, and the antibodies against RBD with
neutralizing capacities were quantified in 77 volunteers who had completed all their
previous visits in one of the centers of the study (Figure 1A). Blood samples were
obtained from all the volunteers before administration of the first dose (pre-
immune), two weeks after the second dose, four weeks after the second dose,
twenty weeks (or five months) after the 2nd dose, and four weeks after the booster
Procedures
capacities, blood samples from 77 volunteers that had completed all their study
visits, including one month after the booster dose of CoronaVac®, were measured.
two-fold diluted starting at a 4-fold until reaching a 512-fold dilution. Assays were
previously [5]. Neutralizing antibody titers were determined as the last fold dilution
with a cut-off over 30% of inhibition. Samples with a percentage of inhibition ≤30 at
lowest dilution (1:4) were assigned as seronegative with a titer of 2. A sample was
considered seropositive when its titer is higher than the pre-immune titer. The
curve was used to plot the neutralization response in the samples as international
units (IU) by using the WHO International Standard for SARS-CoV-2 antibody
instructions [17]. Data were analyzed using a sigmoidal curve model with log
concentration transformed, and the final concentration for each sample was the
average of the product of the interpolated IU from the standard curve and the
sample dilution factor required to achieve the OD450 value that falls within the
linear range. Samples with undetermined concentration at the lowest dilution tested
(1:4) were assigned the lower limit of quantification (16.4 IU). The Geometric Mean
Units (GMU) or titers (GMT) were represented in the Figure 2 and Supplementary
ELISPOT and flow cytometry assays were performed to evaluate the cellular
immune response, stimulating PBMCs with four Mega Pools (MPs) of peptides
derived from the proteome of SARS-CoV-2 [18]: peptides from the S protein of
protein peptides) (MP-R), and of peptides from the whole proteome of SARS-CoV-
2 (MP-CD8-A and MP-CD8-B) [18]. Positives and negative controls were held for
each assay. The number of Spot Forming cells (SFC) for IFN-γ and IL-4 were
the instructions of the manufacturer and as reported previously [5]. Further details
booster dose, the neutralizing capacity of the antibodies increased even more than
the one reported two weeks after the second dose. When we expressed the
weeks after the booster dose the neutralizing capacity increased more than 12-fold
after the second dose (GMU 39.0 ± 32.4-47.0) and more than 2-fold as compared
to the two weeks after the second dose (GMU 168.0 ± 126.8-222.5) (Figure 2A).
antibodies reach its maximum four weeks after the booster dose (GMU 918.8 ±
623.4-1354) increasing more than 18-fold as compared to five months after the
second dose (48.9 ± 37.6-63.5) and more than 4-fold as compared with two weeks
after the second dose (GMU 220.2 ± 150.7-321.7) (Figure 2B). Seropositivity in
this group reach 100% four weeks after the second dose (Table 1). 53.2% of the
total volunteer analyzed here were adults ≥60 years. As seen in Figure 2C, the
peak at two weeks after the second dose (GMU 134.1 ± 89.2-201.6), decreasing at
four weeks after the second dose (GMU 104.1 ± 71.8-151.0), and reaching its
minimum at five months after the second dose (GMU 32.4 ± 25.1-41.8). In this
group, we also observed an increase of more than 9-fold (GMU 300.5 ± 203.5-
months after the second dose (GMU 32.4). The seropositivity rate reached 49.4%
in the total vaccine group and 35.7% in adults ≥60 years at five months after the
second dose, which increased to 97.4% and 95.2%, respectively, four weeks after
the booster dose (Table 1). The seropositivity rate achieved at four weeks after the
booster dose was the highest when compared with the other visits in the study in
further increase in CD4+ T cell activation in both age groups following the third
booster dose by flow cytometry (Figure 3) but we did not see a further increase in
IFN-γ production upon stimulation with S and R MPs by ELISPOT at that time point
(Supp. Figure 2). In addition, CD4+ T cell activation was still significantly increased
5 months after the 2nd dose in both age groups, suggesting that the 0-28 schedule
can stimulate CD4+ cell responses over time. Moreover, we observed a significant
increase in CD8+ AIM+ T cells following the third dose as compared to the time
point 2 weeks following the second booster but not as compared to the pre-
stimulation with CD8 MPs at any time point, suggesting that CoronaVac promotes
a reduced CD8+ T cell responses, even after a third dose. Thus, although humoral
responses decrease over time following vaccination with CoronaVac®, CD4+ T cell
Discussion
antibodies after two doses of CoronaVac® in the 0-28 schedule, with a 65.9% of
effectiveness of preventing COVID-19 [8], the GMT waned in time, which was
observed five months after the second dose. Due to this decrease in neutralizing
the neutralization capacities reported here shows that after the booster dose, the
neutralizing titers and seroconversion rates increase in the whole group even
higher than two weeks after the second dose where was observed the peak in
SARS-CoV-2 infection [10], these results likely imply a better outcome and
twelve or more days after booster inoculation [21]. Another study, performed with a
neutralization against SARS-CoV-2 WT strain and against variants four weeks after
the booster dose, generating a long-lasting humoral response that was due to an
Adults ≥60 years old produced lower levels of antibodies with neutralizing
capacities than the whole group during this study, which was also described in
Bueno et al. [5]. This result is in line with previous data reported for a population
vaccinated in Chile [6], a study among hospital workers who received two doses of
CoronaVac® [23], and with the mRNA-1273 vaccine [24]. In this sense, our results
are equivalent to those described in a phase 1/2 of the clinical trial with
CoronaVac®, showing that the neutralizing antibody titers in this group decrease at
five months after the second dose and that a booster dose is required 6-8 months
after the first vaccination to rapidly increased and steadily the neutralizing antibody
titers [25].
In the case of cellular response, other studies have shown that Pfizer
BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 induce durable CD4+ T cell activation and cytokine
whether CD4+ AIM+ T cells and cytokine production further increase following a
delivers not only the Spike protein but other viral antigens, which may explain why
vaccinated individuals still display CD4+ AIM+ T cells five months after the second
Our report shows that the booster dose with CoronaVac® in a 0-28 schedule
higher than the levels observed with 2- and 4-weeks after the first doses,
generating an increased humoral response even in adults ≥60 years old. Besides
this, our results suggest that a third dose of CoronaVac® supports CD4+ T cell
against the virus and prevent severe disease following SARS-CoV-2 exposure.
Limitations
This study presents some limitations, such as the reduced sample size for the
assays. The assessment of total antibody response against Spike proteins and
other SARS-CoV-2 proteins would also add additional information about the
humoral immune response against SARS-CoV-2 after the booster dose. Due to the
the lowest dilution tested (1:4) were assigned the lower limit of quantification (16.4
IU) and other neutralization assays, such as conventional neutralization test, would
confirm our results with the surrogate neutralization test used in this study.
Funding
This work was supported by: The Ministry of Health, Government of Chile
supports AS and Contract No. 75N9301900065 supports AS, DW. The Millennium
Program ICN09_016 (former P09/016-F) supports SMB, KA, PAG and AMK; The
supports SMB, PAG and AMK; SINOVAC contributed to this study with the
Competing interests
the study (clinical protocol and eCRF design) and did not participate in the analysis
or interpretation of the data presented in the manuscript. All other authors declare
Immunology (LJI) has filed for patent protection for various aspects of T cell
epitope and vaccine design work. All other authors declare no conflict of interest.
The authors declare this study received the investigational product (placebo and
to the conceptualization of the study (clinical protocol and eCRF design) but did not
manuscript.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the support of the Ministry of Health, Government of Chile;
and The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of Chile, and the Chilean Public
Health Institute (ISP). We also would like to thank Rami Scharf, Jessica White,
Jorge Flores and Miren Iturriza-Gomara from PATH for their support on
Research (VRI), the Direction of Technology Transfer and Development (DTD), the
Group are listed in the Supplementary Appendix (SA). We would also like to thank
the SA) for their oversight, and the subjects enrolled in the study for their
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted November 17, 2021. The copyright holder for this
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
participation and commitment to this trial. This project has been funded in whole or
in part with Federal funds from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious
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Figures
Figure 1: Study profile, enrolled volunteers and cohort included in this study
immunogenicity branch of the clinical trial conducted in Chile were selected of one
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted November 17, 2021. The copyright holder for this
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All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted November 17, 2021. The copyright holder for this
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.16.21266350; this version posted November 17, 2021. The copyright holder for this
preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
October 2021
BACKGROUND
RESULTS
140.132
RESULTS
RESULTS
CONCLUSION
10
11
Vaccine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vaccine
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Background: Rapid deployment of COVID-19 vaccines is challenging for safety surveillance, especially on
Received 14 March 2022 adverse events of special interest (AESIs) that were not identified during the pre-licensure studies. This
Received in revised form 10 May 2022 study evaluated the risk of hospitalisations for predefined diagnoses among the vaccinated population
Accepted 12 May 2022
in Malaysia.
Available online xxxx
Methods: Hospital admissions for selected diagnoses between 1 February 2021 and 30 September 2021
were linked to the national COVID-19 immunisation register. We conducted self-controlled case-series
Keywords:
study by identifying individuals who received COVID-19 vaccine and diagnosis of thrombocytopenia,
COVID-19 vaccines
Adverse events of special interest
venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, myocarditis/pericarditis, arrhythmia, stroke, Bell’s
Safety Palsy, and convulsion/seizure. The incidence of events was assessed in risk period of 21 days postvacci-
Self-controlled case series nation relative to the control period. We used conditional Poisson regression to calculate the incidence
rate ratio (IRR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) with adjustment for calendar period.
Results: There was no increase in the risk for myocarditis/pericarditis, Bell’s Palsy, stroke, and myocardial
infarction in the 21 days following either dose of BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1 vaccines. A small
increased risk of venous thromboembolism (IRR 1.24; 95% CI 1.02, 1.49), arrhythmia (IRR 1.16, 95% CI
1.07, 1.26), and convulsion/seizure (IRR 1.26; 95% CI 1.07, 1.48) was observed among BNT162b2 recipi-
ents. No association between CoronaVac vaccine was found with all events except arrhythmia (IRR 1.15;
95% CI 1.01, 1.30). ChAdOx1 vaccine was associated with an increased risk of thrombocytopenia (IRR
2.67; 95% CI 1.21, 5.89) and venous thromboembolism (IRR 2.22; 95% CI 1.17, 4.21).
Conclusion: This study shows acceptable safety profiles of COVID-19 vaccines among recipients of
BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1 vaccines. This information can be used together with effectiveness
data for risk-benefit analysis of the vaccination program. Further surveillance with more data is required
to assess AESIs following COVID-19 vaccination in short- and long-term.
2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
1. Introduction
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.075
0264-410X/ 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Please cite this article as: N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al., Risk of serious adverse events after the BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1
vaccines in Malaysia: A self-controlled case series study, Vaccine, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.075
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
drugs, information on long-term safety and effectiveness is still hospitals were available for analysis. Outcome data were also
being gathered during the post-marketing phase [2]. Rapid deploy- obtained from two other sources: sentinel surveillance sites and
ment of COVID-19 vaccines on a mass scale poses challenges for the national pharmacovigilance database. This allowed for a more
monitoring vaccine safety, including those not identified during immediate identification of eligible cases to account for the lag in
the pre-licensure studies. Adverse effects following immunisation data accrual due to delays in submission to the central repository
(AEFI) signal detection have primarily relied on passive surveil- by the data providers. Eight public tertiary hospitals across Malay-
lance reporting; however, it is often limited by incomplete infor- sia were selected as sentinel surveillance sites for this study. Eligi-
mation or under-reporting [3,4]. As such, enhancement of the ble cases were sourced directly from locally held records at these
type and scope of vaccine monitoring activities, including the con- hospitals i.e., hospital discharge database and cases were identified
duct of active surveillance activities and well-designed observa- from ICD to 10 coded diagnoses. The pharmacovigilance database
tional study could refine the collecting and processing of was used to identify outcome events from spontaneous AEFI
information on COVID-19 vaccine safety [5]. reports submitted by healthcare professionals, pharmaceutical
Variations in the safety profile between different vaccine plat- companies, or consumers. Only cases that require hospitalisation
form are to be expected as the different mechanism was used to were included for analysis. Outcome data from all sources were
trigger an immune response. mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 and cross-linked to check for overlapping records.
mRNA-1273) and adenoviral vector vaccines (ChAdOx1, Ad26. Data on COVID-19 confirmed cases were retrieved from the
COV2.S) have been most extensively studied due to their high national COVID-19 surveillance system. This dataset was used to
prevalence in western countries. Little information is currently determine COVID-19 diagnosis status within the study population
available on the inactivated vaccine (CoronaVac, BBIBP-CorV) that based on the infection date.
has significant uptake globally [6]. Since the initiation of the All datasets were linked using unique resident identification
COVID-19 immunisation program in Malaysia in late February numbers to establish the cohort for this study. Record linkage
2021, 65% of the adult population has been vaccinated by 31 was conducted using deterministic matching of identifiers and
August 2021 [7]. Diverse vaccine portfolios were administered to de-identified data was used for analysis.
the population where the majority were inoculated with
BNT162b2, CoronaVac, or ChAdOx1 vaccines while a smaller pro-
2.2. Study design
portion received other vaccines including CanSino, Sinopharm
BBIBP-CorV, Ad26.COV.S. With the different types of vaccines
We used self-controlled case-series (SCCS) study design to
administered, questions are arising on the comparability of these
examine the associations between COVID-19 vaccination and out-
vaccines, adverse events, and the required period of monitoring.
come events by comparing the incidence of events across risk peri-
We established a case-based surveillance approach for adverse
ods relative to the control period. SCCS design employs within-
events of special interest (AESI) following COVID-19 vaccination
person comparison and time-invariant confounders (e.g., sex, eth-
using routinely collected administrative databases and health
nicity, lifestyle, chronic diseases) are self-adjusted [10].
records. This project was initiated to improve the capacity of
COVID-19 vaccine safety monitoring in the country and comple-
ment the current adverse events monitoring through the national 2.3. Study population
passive surveillance system [8]. We evaluated the risk of serious
adverse events potentially associated with COVID-19 vaccines by The study population comprised individuals who received at
focusing on cases that require hospitalisation among the vacci- least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine and were admitted to hos-
nated population in Malaysia. In this paper, we present the interim pitals with the outcome of interest between 1 February to 30
analysis of the ongoing study that covers the first half period of the September 2021. Only the first event within this period was
COVID-19 immunisation roll-out in Malaysia that evaluates the included in the analysis. Those who had records of hospital admis-
occurrence of AESIs among the vaccinated population. We com- sions for the same diagnosis in the two years before the study per-
pared the rate of pre-specified AESI between different vaccine plat- iod were excluded. We also excluded individuals who were COVID-
forms and evaluated whether there was an increased risk of events 19 positive (i) during admission and (ii) in the 30-day interval
after COVID-19 vaccination. before. To allow for sufficient follow-up time to capture the out-
come, the cohort was restricted to vaccine doses administered up
to 31 August 2021.
2. Materials and methods
2.4. Outcome
2.1. Data sources
Outcomes were hospital admission associated with the pre-
Data on vaccination was retrieved from the Malaysia Vaccine
selected diagnoses of interest: thrombocytopenia, venous throm-
Administration System (MyVAS) database that was launched to
boembolism, stroke, myocardial infarction, myocarditis/pericardi-
manage vaccination records for the National COVID-19 Immunisa-
tis, cardiac arrhythmia, Bell’s Palsy, and convulsion/seizures.
tion programme in Malaysia (Supplement 1). The database
Cases were identified using the ICD-10 diagnosis code in the diag-
includes information on vaccine brand, dates, and doses as well
noses fields or cause of death recorded. The list of ICD-10 codes for
as demographic details and self-reported comorbidity for the vac-
each outcome is available in Supplement 2. The event date was the
cinated population in Malaysia.
earliest date of hospital admission.
Hospital admission data were obtained from the Malaysian
Data Warehouse (MyHDW), a national health data repository that
collects data from public and private hospitals in Malaysia. This 2.5. Exposure
data included diagnoses coded according to the International Clas-
sification of Disease (ICD-10), admission and discharge dates, and Exposure was defined as receipt of one or more doses of COVID-
discharge status which was monitored and validated by the Health 19 vaccine. The date of vaccination was used as the date of expo-
Informatics Centre, Ministry of Health Malaysia [9]. Between sure and individuals were classified according to the type of vac-
February and September 2021, data from 216 public and private cine administered.
2
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Characteristics of the study population (vaccinated individuals By 31 August 2021, up to 35,201,509 doses of COVID-19 vacci-
who developed the outcomes of interest) and the outcome events nes were administered to over 20 million individuals in Malaysia.
were described descriptively. The number of cases was tabulated BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines accounted for 44% and 48%,
by weeks since vaccination to describe event distribution. The respectively, 8% were ChAdOx1 while other vaccines accounted
absolute rate of events was calculated by dividing the total number for less than 1%. Of individuals who had received at least one dose
of events by total doses administered and total persons vaccinated. of the vaccine, 51% were aged 18–39 years and 16% were 60 years
The SCCS method was used to investigate the association and older. Only 38% of individuals vaccinated with ChAdOx1 had
between outcome events and vaccination. Each patient follow-up completed two doses during this period, compared to over 70%
time is divided into several periods: an exposed period (risk per- for both BNT162b2 and CoronaVac recipients. The total number
iod) and an unexposed period (control period) (Supplement 3). of doses administered and vaccinated persons by sex and age are
The risk period comprised of 1 to 21 days after vaccination. The shown in Supplement 4.
21-day duration was defined based on literature and vaccine dose
interval [11]. Given repeat exposures in which individuals may 3.1. Event characteristics
receive more than one dose of vaccine during the observation per-
iod, the risk period was defined as 21-day duration after any vac- Fig. 1 shows an overview of patients included in the primary
cine dose. The day of vaccination was defined as day 0 and analysis by the individual outcome events for hospital admissions
included as a separate period. The 14 days before administration between 1 February 2021 and 30 September 2021 among the vac-
of the first vaccine dose was considered a pre-risk period since cinated population. The number of events ranged from 87 (my-
an event during this period is likely to affect the likelihood of ocarditis/pericarditis) to 10,487 (ischaemic stroke). We presented
receiving vaccination. All other observation times outside of these results for BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1 vaccines as the
periods between 1 February 2021 and 30 September 2021 were events with other vaccine types were too small. Events that
defined as the control period. occurred in the first three weeks after vaccination was approxi-
The incidence rate ratio (IRR) of events in the risk period (ex- mately 45% of all events observed in the postvaccination period
posed) and control period (unexposed) were calculated with the (Supplement 5); the event distribution pattern was similarly
corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). Each outcome was observed with all three vaccines.
modelled separately using conditional Poisson regression with an Table 1 shows the characteristics of events and demographics of
offset of the length of risk periods. The models were adjusted for patients who had hospital admissions for the outcome events in
the month in the observation period to account for potential fac- the 21 days following vaccination. More events were recorded after
tors associated with calendar time. A 95% CI that did not include the first dose of vaccine than the second dose. Patients aged
one indicates statistical significance. Using a risk period of 21 days, 60 years and older accounted for more than half of the cases, but
an observation period from 1 February to 30 September 2021, and the mean age was younger for those who had myocarditis/peri-
IRR of 2.0 and 1.5, the sample size needed was 151 and 500, respec- carditis (43.6 years), Bell’s Palsy (50.1 years), and convulsion/-
tively, to estimate results with 80% power at 5% significant level. seizures (50.6 years). There was a preponderance of males among
Reducing the IRR or risk period increases sample size those with myocardial infarction (75%), stroke (60%), and
requirements. myocarditis/pericarditis (60%). Nearly 50% of the patients who
The rate ratio was also estimated for dose-effect where each had myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, and stroke were reported
dose of COVID-19 vaccine was regarded as a separate exposure to have hypertension.
and the risk periods were segmented by dose. Subgroup analysis
was performed by age (<60 versus 60 years old) and sex of the
patients to offset the risk of complications resulting from age and 3.2. Absolute rate of events
sex differences. Several measures were undertaken to assess
assumptions of the SCCS method. To account for event dependent Table 2 shows the absolute rate for each event by vaccine type.
observation periods where the event may increase the risk of mor- Ischaemic stroke was the most frequent and the absolute event
tality and patient died before the end of observation, sensitivity rate within 21 days of any vaccination was between 33 and 115
analysis was carried out by excluding fatal events. Event depen- cases per million doses administered. This was followed by
dent exposures were circumvented by including a pre-exposure myocardial infarction (28 to 90 cases per million doses) and
risk period of 14 days. Another assumption of the SCCS method arrhythmia (27 to 95 cases per million doses). The event rate for
is that events must be independent of one another; therefore, anal- others was much lower at less than 30 cases per million doses
ysis was restricted to only the first event. for each diagnosis. The absolute event rates appeared to be slightly
Data were processed and analysed using STATA SE 15.0. higher among BNT162b2 vaccine recipients compared to Corona-
Vac and ChAdOx1 vaccine recipients for most events.
This study was part of the project ‘‘Case-based monitoring of Fig. 2 shows the incidence rate ratio of events in the 21-day risk
adverse events following COVID-19 vaccination – SAFECOVAC” period following either dose of BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChA-
that received approval from the Medical Research and Ethics Com- dOx1 vaccines compared to the control period. IRR estimates
mittee, Ministry of Health Malaysia (NMRR-21-322-59745) which accounting for the vaccine dose effect are summarised in Table 3
include a waiver of informed consent due to the use of secondary and the IRR in all subintervals within the risk and control periods
data for this research. are shown in Supplement 6.
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 1. Flow diagram of study population. The study period is from 1 February 2021 to 30 September 2021. Unknown refers to those whose vaccine type was not available.
4
1328 | CORONAVAC | O QUE A CIÊNCIA COMPROVA
Artigo
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Table 1
Characteristics of events that occurred in 21 days after either dose of COVID-19 vaccine among vaccinated population in Malaysia from 1 February 2021 to 30 September 2021.
Data are presented as n (%) except otherwise stated. Abbreviation: SD, standard deviation. Numbers may not add up to the total due to the missing value.
after COVID-19 vaccination which was more common with ChA- from Hong Kong reported risk of Bell’s Palsy linked to CoronaVac
dOx1 than with other COVID-19 vaccines [18,19]. A recent study vaccine [28]. Li et al. conducted a population-based study in the
from England based on clinically validated cases from hospitals United Kingdom and Spain [29] and did not find safety signal for
estimated the risk of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syn- the risk of neurological events among those vaccinated with
drome after ChAdOx1 vaccination was higher in 18 to 39 years BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccine. Our findings are in line with
old than in the older population, highlighting the difference in risk the latter study, with no elevated risk of Bell’s Palsy or Guillain-
between different age groups [20]. In our study, the absolute event Barre syndrome seen for either BNT162b2, ChAdOx1, or Corona-
rate for thrombosis and thrombocytopenia cases was lower than Vac. Compared to other vaccines, there was less information avail-
those observed in other countries [16,21,22]. Increased risk of able on real-world data of AESIs among CoronaVac recipients. Our
myocarditis following receipt of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines has study further showed that the risk for most AESIs was found to be
been described in several studies [23–25]. We did not observe not significantly increased in those receiving CoronaVac. There was
the elevated risk of myocarditis/pericarditis for the population in a slight elevation in the risk of myocardial infarction and ischaemic
Malaysia vaccinated with BNT162b2 during the study period and stroke after CoronaVac vaccination when the analysis was con-
the number of events was too small for meaningful comparison ducted by dose and sex-specific, which was not observed with
by subgroup. Information to date indicates that these events occur other vaccines. Yet, this result must be interpreted cautiously since
more commonly in male, adolescent/young adults following mRNA subgroup analyses lack power, and evidence on serious events with
vaccination [26]. The present analysis covers the period when vac- CoronaVac vaccination are still accruing for comparison on the
cination for adolescents in Malaysia was just initiated (September magnitude of risk.
2021) and during this early period, there was no record of hospital- Although many cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events were
isation for the outcome events among the adolescent group. In reported following vaccination, a causality assessment needs to be
terms of neurological complications, there were mixed findings conducted to confirm the associations because these events are
on the association with COVID-19 vaccines. Previous study from prevalent among the population in Malaysia. Myocardial infarction
the UK observed an increased risk of Bell’s Palsy and Guillain- and ischaemic stroke are the top leading cause of death in Malaysia
Barre syndrome following ChAdOx1 vaccination [27] while a study for over a decade where on average, 90 to 100 hospital admissions
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Table 2 ered to be ‘‘healthier” than those who received other vaccines since
Absolute rate of outcome events within 21 days of COVID-19 vaccination by vaccine individuals without health concerns are more likely to sign up for
type.
this cohort. Moreover, there were substantially fewer second doses
BNT162b2 CoronaVac ChAdOx1 of ChAdOx1 vaccines given during the study period due to the
Thrombocytopenia longer dose interval of 9–12 weeks for the administration of the
No. of events 130 64 12 second dose according to the policy and recommendation adopted
Event rate per 1 million doses 8.45 3.76 4.37 in Malaysia [33].
administered
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 14.88 6.83 6.10
Based on the distribution of event occurrence over time, our
persons finding suggests that the 3-week time period following vaccination
Venous thromboembolism is a crucial period for monitoring AESI and any event that occurs
No. of events 166 122 18 during this period warrants further investigation on the potential
Event rate per 1 million doses 10.79 7.16 6.56
association to vaccines. Nevertheless, events presented later
administered
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 19.00 13.02 9.14 should not be disregarded since both short- and long-term risks
persons need to be assessed. In studies evaluating the association between
Myocardial infarction AESI and COVID-19 vaccines, the period considered at risk ranged
No. of events 796 644 55 between 21 and 28 days after vaccination with at least 3 months
Event rate per 1 million doses 51.73 37.82 20.04
duration for the overall surveillance period [16,17,22,34]. The
administered
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 91.12 68.73 27.94 length of time for monitoring AESI after vaccination should have
persons a sufficient duration of follow-up to include events that occur at
Myocarditis/pericarditis different time points relative to vaccine exposure to detect any
No. of events 14 9 2
important risk [5,35].
Event rate per 1 million doses 0.91 0.53 0.73
administered
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 1.60 0.96 1.02 4.1. Strength and limitations
persons
Arrhythmia To the best of our knowledge, this is one of the few large
No. of events 834 485 53
population-based studies that provide evidence of risk estimate
Event rate per 1 million doses 54.20 28.48 19.31
administered for serious adverse events after vaccination in the population
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 95.47 51.76 26.92 between the three different vaccine platforms. Our study addresses
persons the limitation of data capture via a passive surveillance system by
Stroke, ischaemic
including a longer follow-up period to monitor outcome occur-
No. of events 1006 768 64
Event rate per 1 million doses 65.38 45.10 23.32
rence among vaccinated populations and identify the potential
administered association with the vaccine. Furthermore, ascertainment of hospi-
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 115.16 81.96 32.51 talisations and vaccination status was conducted independently
persons which allow us to capture more events and we utilised the SCCS
Stroke, haemorrhagic
design to provide estimates of risk on both relative scale (incidence
No. of events 199 186 14
Event rate per 1 million doses 12.93 10.92 5.10 rate ratios) and absolute scale (rate per million vaccinated per-
administered sons). The SCCS design is an established method in vaccine safety
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 22.78 19.85 7.11 study that uses within-person comparison to control all constant
persons
confounding factors during the study period. We also adjusted
Bell’s Palsy
No. of events 27 21 5
for the calendar period to account for potential temporal con-
Event rate per 1 million doses 1.75 1.23 1.82 founding. In this study, we provide additional context on a range
administered of outcomes among CoronaVac vaccinees, which has not been fre-
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 3.09 2.24 2.54 quently reported in large observational studies so far.
persons
There are several limitations in this study that we acknowledge.
Convulsion/seizure
No. of events 227 153 21 We used secondary databases of the vaccinated and hospitalised;
Event rate per 1 million doses 14.75 8.98 7.65 hence we cannot completely rule out misclassification bias and
administered unmeasured confounding. We used hospitalisations as the study
Event rate per 1 million vaccinated 25.99 16.33 10.67
outcomes which captures events of a more serious nature that
persons
are admitted to hospitals for diagnosis or treatment. It is possible
Denominator is total vaccine doses administered and total individuals vaccinated that some people who have had vaccination and developed the
up to 31 August 2021. event were not hospitalised or died before being admitted. Ascer-
tainment of outcomes was based on diagnosis codes, which might
overestimate the risk without including other parameters to define
occurred each day due to these events [30,31]. Despite including
the case; for instance, diagnosis of VITT and myocarditis are usu-
incidence cases in the analysis, the study cohort still comprised
ally accompanied by laboratory parameters. Lastly, some of the
patients with other risk factors and comorbidities which could lead
predefined outcome events are rare, resulting in limited statistical
to the development of events regardless of vaccination status. The
power and wide confidence interval. Larger study cohorts and
risk of events can also be attributed to the population selected for
additional data over extended period of time will be useful for
vaccination. The elderly and high-risk populations were prioritised
more detailed analysis.
for vaccination and some events such as cardiovascular complica-
tions are more commonly seen in these populations. Due to the
4.2. Policy implications
opt-in policy for ChAdOx1 vaccination in Malaysia, this group
include those of younger age categories. This is unlike other coun-
Compared with the total number of vaccine doses given, our
tries that limit the use of ChAdOx1 in the older age group amid
findings show that the incidence of all serious events are relatively
safety concerns that are more prevalent in the younger population
low. There was an overall increased risk of certain events within
[32]. Therefore, the population vaccinated with ChAdOx1 is consid-
the 21 days after vaccination compared to the control period, but
6
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 2. Incidence rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals of outcome events in the 21-day risk period after either dose of BNT162b2, CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1 vaccines
compared with outcome events in the control period, adjusted for calendar month between 1 February 2021 to 30 September 2021. Abbreviation: NA, not available.
the weak association requires further consideration of the clinical topenia, venous thromboembolism, convulsion/seizure, and
importance of the results. Given that COVID-19 remain prevalent arrhythmia, although the numbers were relatively small and fur-
and the vaccines provide nearly 90% protection against infection, ther exploration of the causal link with vaccination is warranted.
the benefits of vaccination still far outweigh the risks [36]. Further- More importantly, the overall benefits of COVID-19 vaccines out-
more, studies have demonstrated that the risk of serious events weigh the potential risks and this information needs to be inter-
associated with the COVID-19 infection itself was higher than the preted in conjunction with vaccine effectiveness data for risk-
risk from vaccination [16,23,27]. Although the estimated risks of benefit analysis of the vaccination program. Ongoing monitoring
these serious adverse events in our population might be higher of COVID-19 vaccine safety is required and the information will
or lower than those reported in other countries, these initial find- be regularly updated as more data accumulate to assess short-
ings provide valuable information that could help to inform clinical and long-term complications with vaccination.
decision making and policymakers, especially in the risk-benefit
assessments and subsequent immunisation plan.
5. Conclusion Funding
Overall, the study demonstrates the safety of COVID-19 vacci- This research was supported by a grant from the Ministry of
nes concerning the study outcomes among recipients of BNT162b2, Health Malaysia – Sukuk Prihatin (NMRR-21-822-59745). The
CoronaVac, and ChAdOx1 vaccines. Our findings suggest that seri- funding body had no role in the study design, data analysis, or
ous events of concern within our population include thrombocy- the presentation of data and writing of the manuscript.
7
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Table 3
Incidence rate ratios of outcome events in the 21-day risk period after COVID-19 vaccination by vaccine type and dose number, adjusted for calendar month between 1 February
2021 to 30 September 2021.
Dose 1 Dose 2
No. of events Incidence No. of events Incidence
rate ratio rate ratio
(95% CI) (95% CI)
Thrombocytopenia
BNT162b2 66 1.09 (0.83, 1.43) 64 1.29 (0.98, 1.70)
CoronaVac 28 0.68 (0.44, 1.05) 36 1.09 (0.73, 1.62)
ChAdOx1 10 2.58 (1.13, 5.90) 2 3.44 (0.64, 18.6)
Venous thromboembolism
BNT162b2 103 1.34 (1.07, 1.67) 63 1.09 (0.83, 1.44)
CoronaVac 68 0.94 (0.71, 1.26) 54 0.89 (0.65, 1.22)
ChAdOx1 15 2.52 (1.30, 4.92) 3 1.24 (0.33, 4.66)
Myocardial infarction
BNT162b2 409 0.97 (0.87, 1.08) 387 1.08 (0.97, 1.21)
CoronaVac 356 1.16 (1.02, 1.32) 288 1.06 (0.92, 1.23)
ChAdOx1 34 1.02 (0.69, 1.51) 21 1.58 (0.93, 2.67)
Myocarditis/pericarditis
BNT162b2 9 1.52 (0.67, 3.46) 5 1.13 (0.41, 3.09)
CoronaVac 7 1.97 (0.57, 6.74) 2 0.67 (0.12, 3.83)
ChAdOx1 2 ** – –
Arrhythmia
BNT162b2 437 1.12 (1.01, 1.25) 397 1.19 (1.07, 1.33)
CoronaVac 276 1.18 (1.02, 1.37) 209 1.10 (0.93, 1.29)
ChAdOx1 42 1.51 (1.03, 2.23) 11 0.96 (0.49, 1.90)
Stroke, ischaemic
BNT162b2 535 1.05 (0.95, 1.15) 471 1.11 (1.00, 1.23)
CoronaVac 421 1.05 (0.93, 1.18) 347 1.07 (0.94, 1.22)
ChAdOx1 47 1.14 (0.80, 1.63) 17 1.01 (0.58, 1.76)
Stroke, haemorrhagic
BNT162b2 119 1.29 (1.05, 1.59) 80 1.05 (0.82, 1.34)
CoronaVac 105 1.31 (1.02, 1.68) 81 1.16 (0.89, 1.52)
ChAdOx1 11 1.32 (0.63, 2.79) 3 1.80 (0.47, 6.94)
Bell’s Palsy
BNT162b2 17 1.32 (0.77, 2.24) 10 0.88 (0.45, 1.73)
CoronaVac 12 1.06 (0.52, 2.18) 9 0.87 (0.40, 1.92)
ChAdOx1 4 2.88 (0.74, 11.2) 1 1.09 (0.10, 12.4)
Convulsion/seizure
BNT162b2 116 1.15 (0.94, 1.42) 111 1.39 (1.12, 1.72)
CoronaVac 83 1.12 (0.86, 1.47) 70 1.17 (0.87, 1.57)
ChAdOx1 19 1.55 (0.88, 2.75) 2 0.85 (0.18, 3.94)
** Values are suppressed for total event <5. Rate ratio estimates for comparison with control period of day 22 after the last vaccine dose until 30 September 2021 (post
vaccination control) and from 1 February 2021 until 15 days before vaccination (pre-vaccination control). Day of vaccination (day 0) and 14 days before vaccination (pre-risk
period) were included as separate risk periods. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; n, number of events in the risk period.
Members of the SAFECOVAC study group are listed in Supple- The authors declare that they have no known competing finan-
ment 8. cial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared
to influence the work reported in this paper.
N. Ab Rahman, Ming Tsuey Lim, Fei Yee Lee et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Appendix A. Supplementary material [19] Al-Ali D, Elshafeey A, Mushannen M, Kawas H, Shafiq A, Mhaimeed N, et al.
Cardiovascular and haematological events post COVID-19 vaccination: A
systematic review. J Cell Mol Med 2022;26(3):636–53.
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at [20] Higgins H, Andrews N, Stowe J, Amirthalingam G, Ramsay M, Bahra G, et al.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.075. Risk of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome after COVID-19
vaccination prior to the recognition of vaccine-induced thrombocytopenia
and thrombosis: A self-controlled case series study in England. Res Pract
Thrombosis Haemostasis 2022;6(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/rth2.
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Vaccine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vaccine
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Objective: CoronaVac (Sinovac) Covid-19 vaccine has recently been approved for emergency use by the
Received 11 November 2021 World Health Organization. However, data on its reactogenicity in real-world settings is scant. This study
Received in revised form 19 January 2022 aimed to compare self-reported post-vaccination adverse reactions between CoronaVac and Comirnaty
Accepted 31 January 2022
(Pfizer-BioNTech).
Available online xxxx
Methods: We adopted a prospective cohort study design using online surveys from the day of first-dose
vaccination with intensive follow-up through two weeks after the second dose (11 time points). The pri-
Keywords:
mary outcome was adverse reactions (any versus none) and secondary outcomes were the sub-categories
Community vaccination center
Covid-19
of adverse reactions (local, systemic, and severe allergic reactions). Potential effect modification across
Multimorbidity multimorbidity status, older age, and sex was examined.
Pain Results: In total, 2,098 participants who were scheduled to complete the 14th-day survey were included,
SARS-CoV-2 with 46.2% receiving Comirnaty. Retention rate two weeks after the second dose was 81.0% for the
Severe allergic reactions CoronaVac group and 83.6% for the Comirnaty group. Throughout the follow-up period, 801 (82.7%) of
Systemic reactions those receiving Comirnaty and 543 (48.1%) of those receiving CoronaVac reported adverse reactions.
Adjusted analysis suggested that compared with Comirnaty, CoronaVac was associated with 83%-
reduced odds of any adverse reactions [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.17, 95% confidence interval (CI)
0.15–0.20], 92%-reduced odds of local adverse reactions (AOR = 0.08, 95% CI 0.06–0.09), and 76%-
reduced odds of systemic adverse reactions (AOR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.16–0.28). No significant effect modifi-
cation was identified.
Conclusion: This post-marketing study comparing the reactogenicity of Covid-19 vaccines suggests a
lower risk of self-reported adverse reactions following vaccination with CoronaVac compared with
Comirnaty.
2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
1. Introduction
⇑ Corresponding author at: 1/F, Jockey Club Building for Interdisciplinary
Research, 5 Sassoon Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
CoronaVac (Sinovac) Covid-19 vaccine, an inactivated virus vac-
E-mail address: ewchan@hku.hk (E.W.Y. Chan). cine, has been approved for emergency use by the World Health
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.01.062
0264-410X/ 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Please cite this article as: Francisco Tsz Tsun Lai, Miriam Tim Yin Leung, Edward Wai Wa Chan et al., Self-reported reactogenicity of CoronaVac (Sinovac) com-
pared with Comirnaty (Pfizer-BioNTech): A prospective cohort study with intensive monitoring, Vaccine, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.01.062
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Organization (WHO) [1]. Phase I/II [2] and phase III clinical trials 2.2. Participants
[3] as well as preliminary post-marketing research [4] have pre-
sented reassuring data on the safety profile, indicated by the We recruited participants aged 16 or above receiving the first
absence or rare incidence of adverse events of interest, and a satis- dose of either CoronaVac and Comirnaty at community vaccination
factory level of efficacy in the protection against Covid-19. Never- centers run by the Government or at private clinics (only for Cor-
theless, little research has examined its reactogenicity, i.e. a onaVac) starting from 27th February 2021. We supplemented the
vaccine property with regard to the production of expected active in-person recruitment with flyers including a quick-
adverse reactions, particularly through active self-report data col- response (QR) link to the online survey distributed at healthcare
lection about typically mild to moderate and self-limiting reactions facilities. The link to follow-up surveys was sent to participants
requiring minimal to no medical interventions [5]. The occurrence via instant text messages and surveys were conducted online using
of adverse reactions is not directly correlated to efficacy level. No Qualtrics, an online data collection platform. Only those partici-
research has compared CoronaVac’s reactogenicity with messenger pants who were scheduled to complete the 14th-day follow-up
RNA (mRNA) vaccines [6], which are developed on a different tech- survey for the second dose according to the recommended dosing
nological platform and typically more widely used in Western interval, i.e. number of days, between the two doses were included
countries [7]. A prolonged absence of this important information in the analysis. Participants could withdraw from the study
may worsen the problem of vaccine hesitancy [8] and hamper anytime.
our efforts in the fight against the pandemic. This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of
Comirnaty (Pfizer-BioNTech) Covid-19 vaccine utilises mRNA the University of Hong Kong/Hospital Authority Hong Kong West
for immunization against Covid-19 [9,10] As of July 2021, >100 Cluster (UW-21–090) and the Department of Health Ethics Com-
countries have approved it for emergency use and rolled out mas- mittee (LM 21/2021). Upon recruitment, written informed consent
sive vaccination programs. From published clinical data [11,12], it from the participants were obtained. The consent form, patient
is observed that a relatively high proportion of vaccinated individ- information leaflet, paper questionnaires can be downloaded from
uals reported discomfort or adverse reactions following vaccina- our website (https://www.hkcare.hku.hk/).
tion [10,13]. In a large randomized controlled trial [10],
approximately 80% of vaccinated adults aged 16–55 reported at 2.3. Outcomes
post-vaccination adverse reactions following both doses (first
dose: 83%; second dose: 78%) such as pain at the injection site, fati- The primary outcome of this study was self-reported adverse
gue, dizziness, etc. This proportion is seemingly lower among those reactions (any versus none). Secondary outcomes were dichoto-
who received CoronaVac in clinical trials conducted in Turkey [14] mous indicators of the three sub-categories of self-reported
and China [2], in which only 18.9 to 35.0% of vaccinated individuals adverse reactions, including local (numbness, soreness, pain, swel-
reported adverse reactions within 28 days post-vaccination (sec- ling, redness, and itch), systemic (sore throat, tiredness, fever,
ond dose). The phase III clinical trial of BBIBP-CorV, another inacti- chills, sweating, cough, headache, muscle pain, joint pain, pain in
vated virus vaccine, also showed that only less than half of the limbs, abdominal pain, diarrhea, nausea, vomiting, poor appetite,
vaccinated individuals had any adverse reactions (both doses com- insomnia, feeling unwell, enlarged lymph nodes, rash, and tempo-
bined) [15]. To our knowledge, the comparative reactogenicity of rary one-sided facial drooping), and severe allergic reactions (hy-
CoronaVac and Comirnaty is yet to be explored in the same potension, dizziness, itchy skin rash, swelling of face or tongue,
population. and wheezing/shortness of breath).
Hong Kong is among jurisdictions that has approved the emer-
gency use of both vaccines and implemented publicly funded mass 2.4. Exposure
vaccination programs for residents’ immunization against Covid-
19 since February 2021 [16]. This study aims to describe and com- Vaccine type (CoronaVac versus Comirnaty) was the primary
pare post-marketing, self-reported reactogenicity of CoronaVac exposure of the analysis because they were the only available vac-
and Comirnaty after both the first and second doses in this pre- cine options in Hong Kong. As a secondary exposure, we also com-
dominantly Chinese population, which represents highly impor- pared the second dose of vaccination against the first dose.
tant information especially in countries where the infection rate
is low and the side effects of vaccines are of public concern. We 2.5. Effect modifier
hypothesized a milder reactogenicity of CoronaVac compared with
Comirnaty. Potential effect modification of age, sex, and multimor- Multimorbidity, defined as the presence of two or more listed
bidity status on this difference was also examined. chronic conditions [17] (ankylosing spondylitis, asthma, psoriasis,
rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, cancer remis-
sion, cancer under treatment, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia,
2. Methods heart disease, diabetes, stroke, neurological disorders, mental
health disorders, liver problems, and kidney problems), was exam-
2.1. Study design ined as an effect modifier in the association of vaccine type and
adverse reactions. This list considered the prevalence and rele-
Under the Covid-19 vaccines adverse events response and eval- vance of the conditions as well as the comparability of the findings
uation programme commissioned by the Hong Kong Government, with the existing literature [18]. We also examined sex (men ver-
we adopted a prospective cohort design with self-reported data sus women) and older age (60 or more versus 59 or less) as poten-
collected on the first-dose vaccination day, as well as the first, sec- tial effect modifiers.
ond, third, seventh, and the fourteenth day following both doses of
vaccination (11 time points). A 14-day follow-up period is consis- 2.6. Multivariable adjustment
tent with the common existing literature and enhances the compa-
rability of this research [12]. Baseline demographic and health At the person-level, covariates including age, sex (men versus
status information were collected on the day of the first-dose women), educational attainment (primary or below, secondary,
and self-reports of adverse reactions of various types were col- post-secondary, and university or above), history of allergy to med-
lected throughout the observation period, i.e. all time points. ications and to food (any versus none), smoking status (non-
2
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
smoker, former smoker, and current smoker), alcohol use (non- medications and 6.2% (CoronaVac) and 6.7% (Comirnaty) to food
drinker, former drinker, occasional drinker, and regular drinker), and other substances. For both groups, hypertension was the most
number of chronic medications (none, 1–2, 3–4, 5–9, and 10 or prevalent chronic condition among participants (9.0 % for Corona-
more), and a range of chronic conditions (binary indicators, as Vac; 10.3% for Comirnaty), followed by hypercholesterolemia (7.2%
listed above) were included for multivariable adjustment. for CoronaVac; 7.6% for Comirnaty) and diabetes (2.8% for Corona-
At the measurement level (each follow-up survey), specific Vac; 3.6% for Comirnaty).
follow-up days (vaccination day, first-, second-, third-, seventh-,
and fourteenth-day post-vaccination) and second-dose (versus 3.2. Adverse reactions
the first) were also adjusted for.
Throughout the follow-up period, 801 (82.7%) of those receiving
2.7. Statistical analysis Comirnaty and 543 (48.1%) of those receiving CoronaVac reported
adverse reactions of any type. Among those reporting any adverse
A random-intercept logistic regression model was implemented reactions at any time point following the first dose (n = 1,082),
to examine the association between vaccine type (CoronaVac ver- 65.6% reported adverse reactions at some point following the sec-
sus Comirnaty) and adverse reactions with multivariable adjust- ond, but among those who did not have adverse reactions at any
ment where only the intercept was specified as random and the time point following the first dose (n = 1,016), only 25.8% reported
other factors as fixed. Individual participants were treated as a ran- adverse reactions at some point following the second dose.
dom factor. Listwise deletion was applied for missing data. We Fig. 1 shows the proportion [with 95% confidence interval (CI)]
conducted sensitivity analyses with one-to-one propensity score of participants reporting any type of adverse reactions at each time
matching (nearest-neighbor approach, caliper = 0.01) and inverse point throughout the observation period. For both vaccines, this
probability of treatment weighting based on the same person- proportion peaked on the first day post-vaccination and gradually
level covariates respectively, was used as alternative approaches declined. In general, more participants reported adverse reactions
to multivariable adjustment to test the robustness of the results. following the second rather than the first dose. eFigure 1, eFigure 2
We investigated the potential effect modification on this associa- and eFigure 3 show the proportion of participants reporting local,
tion by testing for the interaction between potential modifiers systemic, and severe allergic reactions throughout the follow-up
and vaccine type in extended models. period respectively, with largely similar patterns observed.
Stratified by vaccine type, a secondary analysis was conducted Fig. 2 are bar charts showing the five most commonly reported
to compare the first and second dose of vaccination in terms of adverse reactions by vaccine type and dose (first versus second)
the association with adverse reactions. In the analyses, it was two weeks post-vaccination. For both doses, pain at injection site,
assumed that the assumption for the model, normal distribution tiredness, muscle pain, headache, and swelling at the injection site
of the random intercept, was true. were the five most frequently reported adverse reactions.
According to the widely adopted events-per-variable rule of As shown in Table 2, our random-intercept logistic regression
thumb of 50 [19], we estimated we required 1,500 participants model suggested that compared with Comirnaty, receiving Corona-
for a list of 30 covariates. We took a prudent approach and Vac was associated with 83%-reduced odds of any adverse reac-
recruited over one-third more than this number to maximize the tions [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.17, 95% CI 0.15–0.20], 92%-
power of this study. reduced odds of local adverse reactions (AOR = 0.08, 95% CI 0.06–
0.09), and 76%-reduced odds of systemic adverse reactions
3. Results (AOR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.16–0.28). Sensitivity analysis using propen-
sity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting
As of 5th July 2021, 1,129 participants receiving CoronaVac and suggested highly consistent results (see eTable 2 and eTable 3).
969 receiving Comirnaty were recruited and were scheduled to Extended models testing for the interaction between potential
complete the 14th-day follow-up survey for the second dose. For effect modifiers yielded no statistically significant results
the 14th-day follow-up survey following the second dose, the (P > 0.05).
retention rate was 81.0% for the CoronaVac group and 83.6% for Table 3 shows the adjusted odds ratios of adverse reactions fol-
the Comirnaty group. Response rates by follow-up day and vaccine lowing the second dose compared with the first. For adverse reac-
type are tabulated as eTable 1. Chi-square tests showed that for tions of any type, there were 18%-increased odds (AOR = 1.18, 95%
Day 2, 3, and 7 for both doses, the Comirnaty group had a higher CI 1.01–1.37) for the second dose compared with the first among
response rate (P < 0.05) although both groups had response rates those receiving CoronaVac. Among those receiving Comirnaty,
exceeding 80% throughout the follow-up period. there were 106% increased odds (AOR = 2.06, 95% CI 1.81–2.35).
For all three sub-types of adverse reactions, significantly increased
odds were observed in the Comirnaty group. Among those receiv-
3.1. Cohort characteristics
ing CoronaVac, significantly increased odds were only observed for
local adverse reactions.
As shown in Table 1, the 46.7% of the CoronaVac group and
51.7% of the Comirnaty group were men. Mean age was 46.5 years
for CoronaVac compared with 43.1 for Comirnaty. In total, 49.6% 4. Discussion
(CoronaVac) and 63.0% of the participants attained university edu-
cation level. Current smokers constituted 10.1% (CoronaVac) and The results confirmed our hypothesis that CoronaVac had
5.9% (Comirnaty) of the groups, and 8.3% (CoronaVac) and 11.5% milder reactogenicity compared with Comirnaty. We found that
(Comirnaty) were regular drinkers. Around one-fifth of the partic- the risk of adverse reactions (overall, local, and systemic) two
ipants were on at least one chronic medication at the time of vac- weeks post-vaccination is significantly lower among those receiv-
cination for both vaccine groups. There were 7.3% (CoronaVac) and ing CoronaVac compared with Comirnaty. This risk difference does
5.8% (Comirnaty) of the participants who had a history of allergy to not vary significantly between those living with multimorbidity
3
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Table 1
Cohort characteristics.
CoronaVac Comirnaty
n 1129 969 Standardized mean
difference
Age (mean (SD)) 46.49 (14.42) 43.13 (16.54) 0.217 ***
Sex = Male (%) 527 (46.7) 498 (51.7) 0.101 *
Educational attainment (%) 0.301 ***
Primary and below 20 (1.8) 27 (2.8)
Secondary 373 (33) 215 (22.2)
Post-secondary 176 (15.6) 116 (12)
University or above 560 (49.6) 610 (63)
Smoking status (%) 0.172 **
Non-smoker 974 (86.3) 888 (91.6)
Former smoker 40 (3.5) 24 (2.5)
Current smoker 114 (10.1) 57 (5.9)
Alcohol use (%) 0.144 *
Non-drinker 807 (71.5) 632 (65.4)
Occasional drinker 223 (19.8) 221 (22.9)
Former drinker 5 (0.4) 3 (0.3)
Regular drinker 94 (8.3) 111 (11.5)
Number of chronic medications (%) 0.147 *
None 917 (81.2) 761 (78.5)
1–2 155 (13.7) 155 (16)
3–4 40 (3.5) 39 (4)
5–9 13 (1.2) 14 (1.4)
10 or more 4 (0.4) 0 (0)
History of allergy to medications (%) 82 (7.3) 56 (5.8) 0.059
History of allergy to food and other substances (%) 70 (6.2) 65 (6.7) 0.022
Chronic conditions (%)
Asthma 10 (0.9) 18 (1.9) 0.084
Psoriasis 0 (0) 1 (0.1) 0.045
Rheumatoid arthritis 0 (0) 3 (0.3) 0.079
Systemic lupus erythematosus 1 (0.1) 0 (0) 0.042
Cancer remission 8 (0.7) 4 (0.4) 0.040
Cancer under treatment 1 (0.1) 4 (0.4) 0.065
Hypertension 102 (9) 100 (10.3) 0.043
Hypercholesterolemia 81 (7.2) 74 (7.6) 0.018
Heart disease 18 (1.6) 16 (1.7) 0.004
Diabetes 32 (2.8) 35 (3.6) 0.044
Stroke 2 (0.2) 3 (0.3) 0.027
Neurological disorder 1 (0.1) 2 (0.2) 0.031
Mental health disorder 10 (0.9) 8 (0.8) 0.007
Liver problems 6 (0.5) 10 (1) 0.057
Kidney problems 3 (0.3) 5 (0.5) 0.040
Morbidity status (%) 0.076
No chronic conditions 935 (82.8) 778 (80.3)
One 132 (11.7) 124 (12.8)
Two 46 (4.1) 47 (4.9)
Three 12 (1.1) 16 (1.7)
Four or more 4 (0.4) 4 (0.4)
and those without, between men and women, and between older reactions [14] and approximately 80% of individuals receiving
and non-older adults in our cohort. We also observed a higher risk Comirnaty reported adverse reactions after both doses, such as
of adverse reactions following the second dose compared with the pain at the injection site, in the first seven days [10].
first, with larger differences among those receiving Comirnaty. Our Recently published data obtained from vaccinated healthcare
findings may further inform individual and public choices of workers in Hong Kong suggested that, compared with Comirnaty,
vaccines. the quantity of antibodies induced in adults receiving CoronaVac
Post-marketing research on Covid-19 vaccines in real-world is substantially lower [22]. Also, it has been suggested in a meta-
settings is still accruing, with most studies focusing on serious analysis that, across different vaccine platforms, there are obvious
adverse events which typically require medical interventions or trade-offs between various qualities of the vaccines including mild
even tertiary care.[20] While this line of research is highly impor- reactogenicity and the strength of the triggered immune response
tant to establish the safety profile, the reactogenicity of vaccines, [11]. It is possible that the general immune response induced by
represented by adverse reactions that are mild and oftentimes fully vaccination was weaker among those receiving CoronaVac, com-
self-resolves, also has a considerable impact on individual and pared with those receiving Comirnaty, and thus potentially a lower
public decisions with regard to vaccine uptake [21]. To the best risk of adverse reactions followed the vaccination of the partici-
of our knowledge, this current post-marketing study is the first pants; further immunoepidemiologic studies are needed to test
to compare the reactogenicity of CoronaVac with Comirnaty in this hypothesis because there is no direct relationship between
the same population. Our findings are in line with previous clinical side effects and protection.
trial data [10,14]. For instance, the recently published phase III Given the real-world observational design, randomization was
clinical trial results suggested that approximately one-fifth of the not feasible to further eliminate any residual confounding effects
volunteers receiving CoronaVac experienced any type of adverse beyond the multivariable adjustment made in the models. Specif-
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 1. Proportions (with 95% confidence intervals) of self-reported adverse reactions by vaccine type and dose (first versus second). Sample size varies across timepoints with
different retention rate on different follow-up days.
Fig. 2. Proportions of participants reporting specific adverse reactions two weeks post-vaccination.
ically, there could be unobserved characteristics of individuals that talized. However, both vaccine groups had a response rate
were associated with the choice of vaccine type and, simultane- of > 80% throughout the follow-up period and any bias should
ously, with self-reports of adverse reactions, such that the results not affect the results and conclusions substantially. Also, more
were biased towards the rejection of the null hypothesis. Nonethe- serious adverse reactions, if any, would most likely be captured
less, based on our literature search and clinical reasoning we did in the routine medical databases which are closely monitored
not identify any further potential confounders to consider and and reported. In addition, this study lacked the clinical confirma-
include in the analysis. Besides residual confounding, other limita- tion of the adverse reactions and the causality assessment which
tions that need to be taken into consideration while interpreting would have strengthened the causal inferences from the observed
the results include the design of serial self-report online survey, associations.
which entails a risk of omitting the follow-up survey of individuals Previous research on vaccine hesitancy suggested that reacto-
(from the missing follow-up data) who had more serious adverse genicity is among the multitude of factors considered while mak-
reactions and required medical interventions or were even hospi- ing the decision to receive a vaccine or not [23]. A clearer outline
5
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
F.T.T. Lai, M.T.Y. Leung, E.W.W. Chan et al. Vaccine xxx (xxxx) xxx
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systematic review and meta-analysis of reactogenicity. immunogenicity and
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efficacy of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 npj Vaccines 2021;6(1). https://doi.
Research Grant Council that includes: funding grants. Celine Sze org/10.1038/s41541-021-00336-1.
Ling Chui reports a relationship with Hong Kong Innovation and [7] Chodick G, Tene L, Rotem RS, Patalon T, Gazit S, Ben-Tov A, et al. The
Technology Commission that includes: funding grants. Celine Sze Effectiveness of the Two-Dose BNT162b2 Vaccine: Analysis of Real-World
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Articles
Summary
Background With the unprecedented morbidity and mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, a vaccine Lancet Infect Dis 2021;
against COVID-19 is urgently needed. We investigated CoronaVac (Sinovac Life Sciences, Beijing, China), an 21: 181–92
inactivated vaccine candidate against COVID-19, containing inactivated severe acute respiratory syndrome Published Online
November 17, 2020
coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), for its safety, tolerability and immunogenicity. https://doi.org/10.1016/
S1473-3099(20)30843-4
Methods In this randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 clinical trial, healthy adults aged See Comment page 150
18–59 years were recruited from the community in Suining County of Jiangsu province, China. Adults with SARS- For the Chinese translation
CoV-2 exposure or infection history, with axillary temperature above 37·0°C, or an allergic reaction to any vaccine of the abstract see Online
component were excluded. The experimental vaccine for the phase 1 trial was manufactured using a cell factory for appendix 1
process (CellSTACK Cell Culture Chamber 10, Corning, Wujiang, China), whereas those for the phase 2 trial were *Joint first authors
produced through a bioreactor process (ReadyToProcess WAVE 25, GE, Umea, Sweden) . The phase 1 trial was †Contributed equally
done in a dose-escalating manner. At screening, participants were initially separated (1:1), with no specific Department of Microbiology,
randomisation, into two vaccination schedule cohorts, the days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort and the days 0 and 28 Zhejiang Provincial Center
for Disease Control and
vaccination cohort, and within each cohort the first 36 participants were assigned to block 1 (low dose CoronaVac Prevention, Hangzhou, China
[3 μg per 0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide diluent per dose) then another 36 were assigned to block 2 (high-dose (Prof Y Zhang PhD);
Coronavc [6 μg per 0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide diluent per dse]). Within each block, participants were randomly Sinovac Biotech, Beijing,
assigned (2:1), using block randomisation with a block size of six, to either two doses of CoronaVac or two doses of China (G Zeng PhD, Ya Hu MSc,
W Han MSc, W Yin, MBA,
placebo. In the phase 2 trial, at screening, participants were initially separated (1:1), with no specific randomisation, Yu Hu MPH); Jiangsu Provincial
into the days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort and the days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort, and participants were randomly Center for Disease Control and
assigned (2:2:1), using block randomisation with a block size of five, to receive two doses of either low-dose Prevention, Nanjing, China
CoronaVac, high-dose CoronaVac, or placebo. Participants, investigators, and laboratory staff were masked to (H Pan MSc, K Chu MSc,
R Tang BA, Prof J Li PhD,
treatment allocation. The primary safety endpoint was adverse reactions within 28 days after injection in all Prof F Zhu MD); National
participants who were given at least one dose of study drug (safety population). The primary immunogenic outcome Institutes for Food and Drug
was seroconversion rates of neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 at day 14 after the last dose in the days 0 and Control, Beijing, China
14 cohort, and at day 28 after the last dose in the days 0 and 28 cohort in participants who completed their (Prof C Li PhD, Z Chen MSc);
Suining County Center for
allocated two-dose vaccination schedule (per-protocol population). This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, Disease Control and Prevention,
NCT04352608, and is closed to accrual. Suining, Jiangsu Province, China
(X Chen BA, X Liu BA, C Jiang BA,
Findings Between April 16 and April 25, 2020, 144 participants were enrolled in the phase 1 trial, and between May 3 and Y Song BA); CAS Key Laboratory
of Infection and Immunity,
May 5, 2020, 600 participants were enrolled in the phase 2 trial. 743 participants received at least one dose of National Laboratory of
investigational product (n=143 for phase 1 and n=600 for phase 2; safety population). In the phase 1 trial, the Macromolecules, Institute of
incidence of adverse reactions for the days 0 and 14 cohort was seven (29%) of 24 participants in the 3 ug group, Biophysics, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, Beijing, China
nine (38%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and two (8%) of 24 in the placebo group, and for the days 0 and 28 cohort was
(M Yang PhD, Prof X Wang PhD)
three (13%) of 24 in the 3 μg group, four (17%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and three (13%) of 23 in the placebo group. and Sinovac Life Sciences,
The seroconversion of neutralising antibodies on day 14 after the days 0 and 14 vaccination schedule was seen in Beijing, China (Q Gao MSc)
11 (46%) of 24 participants in the 3 μg group, 12 (50%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and none (0%) of 24 in the placebo Correspondence to:
group; whereas at day 28 after the days 0 and 28 vaccination schedule, seroconversion was seen in 20 (83%) of 24 in Dr Qiang Gao, Sinovac Life
the 3 μg group, 19 (79%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and one (4%) of 24 in the placebo group. In the phase 2 trial, the Sciences, Beijing 100085, China
gaoq@sinovac.com
incidence of adverse reactions for the days 0 and 14 cohort was 40 (33%) of 120 participants in the 3 μg group,
or
42 (35%) of 120 in the 6 μg group, and 13 (22%) of 60 in the placebo group, and for the days 0 and 28 cohort was
Dr Fengcai Zhu, Jiangsu
23 (19%) of 120 in the 3 μg group, 23 (19%) of 120 in the 6 μg group, and 11 (18%) of 60 for the placebo group.
Provincial Center for Disease
Seroconversion of neutralising antibodies was seen for 109 (92%) of 118 participants in the 3 μg group, 117 (98%) Control and Prevention, Nanjing
of 119 in the 6 μg group, and two (3%) of 60 in the placebo group at day 14 after the days 0 and 14 schedule; whereas 210009, China
at day 28 after the days 0 and 28 schedule, seroconversion was seen in 114 (97%) of 117 in the 3 μg group, 118 (100%) jszfc@vip.sina.com
Articles
Interpretation Taking safety, immunogenicity, and production capacity into account, the 3 μg dose of CoronaVac is the
suggested dose for efficacy assessment in future phase 3 trials.
Funding Chinese National Key Research and Development Program and Beijing Science and Technology Program.
Research in context
Evidence before this study 97·6% at 14 days after a day 0 and 21 vaccination schedule.
We searched PubMed and the American Medical Association The clinical study of CoronaVac can further provide safety and
website on Aug 13, 2020, for published research articles, with immunogenic evidence for the inactivated vaccine.
no language or date restrictions, using the search terms of
Added value of this study
“SARS-CoV-2”, “COVID-19”, “vaccine”, and “clinical trial”.
In this first in-human study of CoronaVac, we used a phase 1/2
The search results showed that the COVID-19 pandemic
study design to screen the safety of two doses and
resulted in an unprecedented race to develop an effective
two vaccination schedules in a dose-escalation study in a small
vaccine. We identified preclinical data on three immunisations
cohort before expanding the study to a larger cohort to explore
using two different doses of CoronaVac (3 μg and 6 μg per
the immunogenicity of the vaccine in healthy adults.
dose), an inactivated whole virus vaccine against COVID-19
The immune response in the phase 2 study was substantially
developed by Sinovac Life Sciences (Beijing, China),
higher than in the phase 1 study, which might be due to the
providing partial or complete protection in macaques against
difference in preparation process of vaccine batches used in
SARS-CoV-2 challenge, without observable antibody-
phase 1 and 2 resulting in a higher proportion of intact
dependent enhancement of infection. We also identified a
spike protein on the purified inactivated SARS-CoV-2 virions in
phase 2 clinical trial of another inactivated vaccine developed
the vaccine used in phase 2 than that used in phase 1.
by Sinopharm (Beijing, China), which showed the incidence of
adverse reactions was 19·0% within 28 days after two doses of Implications of all the available evidence
vaccine (5 μg in 0·5 mL of diluent) in a day 0 and 21 vaccination Data from this study support the approval of emergency use of
schedule, and the seroconversion rates of the neutralising CoronaVac in China, and three phase 3 clinical trials that are
antibody detected by plaque reduction neutralisation test was ongoing in Brazil, Indonesia, and Turkey.
Articles
(1:1), with no specific randomisation, to one of two dose of vaccine, and only after a successful safety
vaccination schedules, with either a 14-day interval (the observation 7 days after the first dose was the trial able to
day 0 and 14 vaccination cohort) or a 28-day interval (the proceed and participants in block 2 be given the high
day 0 and 28 vaccination cohort) between doses. Within dose of vaccine. The criteria that had to be met from the
each cohort, the first 36 participants (block 1) were 7-day safety observation were that no life-threatening
randomly assigned to either the low dose vaccine or adverse events occur, no more than 15% of vaccinated
placebo, and then after 7 days of follow-up for safety after participants report severe adverse events, and no other
the first dose, another 36 (block 2) were randomly assigned safety concerns in the opinion of the data monitoring
to either high-dose vaccine or placebo. Phase 2 was committee (DMC) occur. The same conditions needed to
initiated after all participants in phase 1 has finished a be met 7 days after the first dose in block 2 of the phase 1
7-day safety observation period after the first dose. As in trial before the study could proceed to the phase 2 trial.
phase 1, participants were recruited and allocated (1:1) CoronaVac is an inactivated vaccine candidate against
with no specific randomisation to one of the two COVID-19, created from African green monkey kidney
vaccination-schedule cohorts, and then randomly assigned cells (Vero cells) that have been inoculated with SARS-
within each cohort to either low-dose vaccine, high-dose CoV-2 (CN02 strain). At the end of the incubation period,
vaccine, or placebo. the virus was harvested, inactivated with β-propiolactone,
Participants were eligible if they were healthy and aged concentrated, purified, and finally absorbed onto alu-
18–59 years. The key exclusion criteria were high-risk minium hydroxide. The aluminium hydroxide complex
epidemiology history within 14 days before enrolment was then diluted in a sodium chloride, phosphate-
(eg, travel or residence history in Wuhan city and buffered saline, and water solution before being sterilised
surrounding areas or other communities with case reports; and filtered ready for injection. The placebo is just the
contact history with someone infected with SARS-CoV-2); aluminium hydroxide diluent solution with no virus.
SARS-CoV-2 specific IgG or IgM positive in serum; Both the vaccine and placebo were prepared in a Good
positive PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 from a pharyngeal or Manufacturing Practice-accredited facility of Sinovac Life
anal swab sample; axillary temperature of more than Sciences (Beijing, China) that is periodically inspected by
37·0°C; and known allergy to any vaccine component. A the Chinese National Medical Products Administration
complete list of exclusion criteria is in the protocol. committee for compliance. Vaccine of 3 μg and 6 μg in For the protocol see http://www.
Written informed consent was obtained from each 0·5 mL of aluminium hydroxide diluent per dose jscdc.cn/jkfw/kygz/202009/
t20200930_69600.html
participant before enrolment. The clinical trial protocol and placebo in ready-to-use syringes were administered
and informed consent form were approved by the intramuscularly according to the dosing schedule of
Jiangsu Ethics Committee (JSJK2020-A021–02). This either day 0 and day 14, or day 0 and day 28, depending
study was conducted in accordance with the requirements on the cohort. These vaccine doses had been found to be
of Good Clinical Practice of China and the International sufficient for protection against SARS-CoV-2 challenge in
Conference on Harmonisation. macaques.15 Cultivation technology by cell factory system
(CellSTACK Cell Culture Chamber 10, Corning, Wujiang,
Randomisation and masking China) was used in the preparation of the vaccine used in
In both phase 1 and 2, no specific randomisation was the phase 1 trial. However, for the phase 2 trial, we used a
used when allocating participants to the vaccinations highly automated bioreactor (ReadyToProcess WAVE 25,
schedule cohorts. In phase 1, participants in blocks 1 and GE, Umea, Sweden) to produce the vaccine to increase
2 in each schedule cohort were randomly assigned (2:1) to vaccine production capacity. After the immunogenicity
either CoronaVac or placebo, and in phase 2, participants results of the trial were obtained, we discovered that the
in each schedule cohort were randomly assigned (2:2:1) to change in manufacture of the vaccine optimised the cell
either low-dose CoronaVac, high-dose CoronaVac, or culture and resulted in higher intact spike protein
placebo. The randomisation codes for each vaccination content of the vaccine batch for the phase 2 trial, which
schedule cohort were generated individually, using block was unexpected. However, we were not aware of this
randomisation with a block size of six in phase 1 and a antigen-level difference between the vaccine batches for
block size of five in phase 2, using SAS software (version the phase 1 and 2 trials when we obtained the ethical
9.4). The randomisation code was assigned to each approval for the trials.
participant in sequence in the order of enrolment, and For the first 7 days after each dose, participants were
then the participants received the investigational products required to record the injection-site adverse events
labelled with the same code. The vaccine and the placebo (eg, pain, redness, swelling), or systemic adverse events
are identical in appearance. All participants, investigators, (eg, allergic reaction, cough, fever) on paper diary cards.
and laboratory staff were masked to treatment allocation. From day 8 to day 28 after each dose (and day 8 to day 14
for the first dose of the days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort),
Procedures safety data were collected by spontaneous report from
The phase 1 clinical trial was run in a dose-escalation the participants combined with the regular visit (which
manner. First, participants in block 1 were given the low occurred on day 8 and day 28 after each dose, and on
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day 8 and day 14 for the first dose in the days 0 and 14 Outcomes
vaccination schedule cohort). Serious adverse events The primary safety endpoint was any adverse reactions
were collected through the trial and will be collected until within 28 days after each dose of study drug. Secondary
6 months after the last dose. The reported adverse events safety endpoints were any abnormal changes in labora-
were graded according to the China National Medical tory measurements at day 3 and in serum inflammatory
Products Administration guidelines.16 The causal factors 7 days after each dose of study drug. The secondary
association between adverse events and vaccination was safety endpoints were prespecified only in the phase 1 trial.
determined by the investigators. The primary immunogenic endpoint was the sero-
In the phase 1 trial, blood and urine samples were conversion of neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2
taken on day 3 after each dose and tested to investigate at day 14 after the last dose in the days 0 and 14 vaccination
any abnormal changes of the haematology and bio- cohort, or day 28 after the last dose in the days 0 and 28
chemistry indexes. 7 days after each dose, blood vaccination cohort. Secondary immunogenic endpoints
and urine samples were taken to measure serum infla- were geometric mean titres (GMTs) of neutralising
mmatory factors including IL-2, IL-6, and TNF-α using antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2, RBD-specific IgG,
the solid phase sandwich ELISA method to explore the S-specific IgG, and IgM. Exploratory endpoints were
underlying pathological immune responses. Blood T-cell responses and, post hoc, GMTs of neutralising
samples were collected at days 0 (baseline), 7, 14, 21, 28, antibodies to psuedovirus. Seroconversion of antibodies
and 42 from participants in the day 0 and 14 vaccination was defined as a change from seronegative at baseline to
cohort, and days 0, 28, 35, 42, and 56 from participants in seropositive or a four-fold titre increase if the participant
the days 0 and 28 vaccination schedule cohort, to was seropositive at baseline. The positive cutoff of
determine the levels of neutralising antibodies, receptor- the neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 was 1/8,
binding domain (RBD)-specific IgG, S-specific IgG, and neutralising antibodies to pseudovirus was 1/30, and
IgM. Additionally, T-cell responses were determined via RBD-specific IgG was 1/160. Regarding the ELISpot
IFN-γ detection on day 14 after each dose. measured T-cell response, the results were expressed as
In the phase 2 trial, blood samples were collected on the number of spot-forming cells (SFCs) per 100 000 cells.
day 0, 28, and 56 from participants in the days 0 Other secondary endpoints are listed in the appendix 2
and 14 cohort, and on day 56 from participants in the (p 4), including 6 month outcomes that are not available
days 0 and 28 cohort, to determine the levels of yet, which will be reported elsewhere.
neutralising antibodies and RBD-specific IgG.
The neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 (virus Statistical analysis
strain SARS-CoV-2/human/CHN/CN1/2020, GenBank We assessed the safety endpoints in the safety
number MT407649.1) were quantified using a micro population, which included all participants who received
cytopathogenic effect assay17 with a minimum four-fold at least one dose of study drug. We assessed immuno-
dilution, and neutralising antibodies to pseudovirus18 genic endpoints in the per-protocol population, which
were quantified with a minimum ten-fold dilution. included all participants who completed their assigned
The S-specific IgG and IgM were detected using the two-dose vaccination schedule and with available
chemiluminescence qualitative kit (Auto Biotechnology, antibody results.
Zhengzhou, China). These antibody detection tests We did not determine the sample size on the basis of a
were done by the National Institute for Food and Drug statistical power calculation, but followed the requirement
Control (Beijing, China). of the National Medical Products Administration in
Additionally, antibody titres for RBD-specific IgG China—ie, recruitment of at least of 20–30 participants in
were quantified using the in-house ELISA kit from phase 1 and 500 participants in phase 2.
Sinovac, with a minimum 160-fold dilution. T-cell We used the Pearson χ² test or Fisher’s exact test for the
response was determined with the ELISpot method analysis of categorical outcomes. We calculated 95% CIs
using a commercial kit (Human IFN γ ELISpotPRO for all categorical outcomes using the Clopper-Pearson
[3420-2AST-10, AID]; Mabtech, Stockholm, Sweden). method. We calculated GMTs and corresponding
Further information on all methods is in the 95% CIs on the basis of standard normal distribution of
See Online for appendix 2 appendix 2 (pp 1–3). Additionally, in a post-hoc analysis, the log-transformed antibody titre. We used the ANOVA
we tested serum samples from 117 convalescent patients method to compare the log-transformed antibody titre.
who had previously had COVID-19 collected in the When the comparison among all three groups showed
hospitals for neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 significant difference, we then did pairwise comparisons.
using the same method as for the detection of serum Hypothesis testing was two-sided and we considered
neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 in the p values of less than 0·05 to be significant.
phase 1 and 2 trials, to give a comparison of the vaccine- An independent data monitoring committee con-
induced and infection-induced humoral immunity. sisted of one independent statistician, one clinician,
Written informed consent was obtained from all these and one epidemiologist was established before com-
convalescent patients. mencement of the study. Safety data were assessed and
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reviewed by the committee to ensure the suspension 662 individuals were screened and 600 participants were
criteria of the dose-escalation part of phase 1 were not enrolled in the phase 2 trial. 743 participants received at
met and allow the further proceeding of the clinical trial. least one dose of the investigational product (143 for
We used SAS (version 9.3) for all analyses. This trial is phase 1 and 600 for phase 2) and were included in the
registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04352608. safety population (figure 1). 143 participants in phase 1
and 591 participants in phase 2 were eligible for the
Role of the funding source immunogenic evaluation (per-protocol population;
The funder of the study had no role in study design, figure 1). Baseline demographic characteristics of the
data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or participants in the safety population at enrolment were
writing of the report. All the authors have full access to similar among the treatment groups in terms of sex,
all the data in the study and the corresponding authors nationality, and mean age (table 1).
had final responsibility for the decision to submit for In the phase 1 trial, the overall incidence of adverse
publication. reactions was seven (29%) of 24 participants in the 3 μg
group, nine (38%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and two (8%)
Results of 24 in the placebo group in the days 0 and 14 vaccination
Between April 16 and April 25, 2020, 185 individuals cohort; and three (13%) of 24 in the 3 μg group,
were screened and 144 participants were enrolled in the four (17%) of 24 in the 6 μg group, and three (13%) of 23
phase 1 trial, and between May 3 and May 5, 2020, in the placebo group in the days 0 and 28 vaccination
A Phase 1: days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort B Phase 1: days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
21 excluded 20 excluded
20 not eligible 19 not eligible
1 withdrew 1 withdrew
72 enrolled 72 enrolled
1 with-
drew
24 given first dose* 12 given first dose* 24 given first dose† 12 given first dose† 24 given first dose* 12 given first dose* 24 given first dose† 11 given first dose†
24 given second 12 given second 24 given second 12 given second 24 given second 12 given second 24 given second 11 given second
dose dose dose dose dose dose dose dose
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C Phase 2: days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort D Phase 2: days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
33 excluded 29 excluded
11 not eligible 9 not eligible
22 withdrew 20 withdrew
120 randomly 120 randomly 60 randomly 120 randomly 120 randomly 60 randomly
assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to
6 μg group 3 μg group placebo group 6 μg group 3 μg group placebo group
120 given first dose 120 given first dose 60 given first dose 120 given first dose 120 given first dose 60 given first dose
119 given second 120 given second 60 given second 118 given second 117 given second 60 given second
dose dose dose dose dose dose
1 given placebo‡
120 included in 120 included in 60 included in 120 included in 120 included in 60 included in
safety safety safety safety safety safety
population population population population population population
119 included in 118 included in 60 included in 118 included in 117 included in 59 included in
per-protocol per-protocol per-protocol per-protocol per-protocol per-protocol
population population§ population population population population¶
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A Phase 1, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort B Phase 1, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
50 3 μg group (n=24) 3 μg group (n=24)
45 6 μg group (n=24) 6 μg group (n=24)
40 Placebo group (n=24) Placebo group (n=23)
35
Incidence (%)
30
25
20
15
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C Phase 2, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort D Phase 2, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
50 3 μg group (n=120) 3 μg group (n=120)
45 6 μg group n=120) 6 μg group (n=120)
40 Placebo group (n=60) Placebo group (n=60)
35 * *
Incidence (%)
30
25
20
15
10
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0
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Figure 2: Incidence of adverse reactions reported within 28 days after second dose of study drug, in the days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort in phase 1 (A) and phase 2 (C) and in the days 0
and 28 vaccination cohort in phase 1 (B) and phase 2 (D)
Adverse reactions refer to the adverse events related to the vaccination. Rare injection-site symptoms reported only in the days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort are not shown in the figure and are listed in
appendix 2 along with all adverse reactions after the first and second dose (pp 4–13). *The p value of comparison among three groups is significant for the incidence of any injection-site symptoms
(p=0·02) and injection-site pain (p=0·04).
Additionally, ten (7%) of 143 participants in phase 1 had a 6 μg group (25·9 [14·6–46·1) versus none of 23 in the
clinically significant increase of laboratory indicators at placebo group (2·0 [2·0–2·0]) at 14 days after the second
day 3 after vaccination (appendix 2 pp 15–16), but none dose, and 20 (83%) in the 3 μg group (19·0 [13·2–27·4]
was considered to be related to the vaccination. No versus 19 (79%) in the 6 μg group (29·6 [17·9–48·9])
significant increases in inflammatory factors in serum versus one (4%) in the placebo group (2·2 [1·8–2·8]) at
were detected at day 7 after each dose (appendix 2 pp 17–18). 28 days after the second dose in the days 0 and 28
At baseline, none of the participants in the phase vaccination cohort (table 2, figure 3; appendix 2 p 19).
1 trial had any detectable neutralising antibodies to live The seroconversion rates of RBD-specific IgG were 20
SARS-CoV-2. The seroconversion rates of neutralising (83%) of 24 participants in the 3 μg group (GMT 465·8
antibodies were 11 (46%) of 24 participants in the 3 μg [95% CI 277·6–781·7] versus 24 (100%) of 24 participants
group (GMT 5·6 [95% CI 3·6–8·7]) versus 12 (50%) of in the 6 μg group (987·0 [647·8–1504·0]) versus two (8%)
24 participants in the 6 μg group (7·7 [5·2–11·5]) of 24 participants in the placebo group (84·8 [78·0–92·1])
versus none of 24 participants in the placebo group at 14 days after the second dose, and 21 (88%) in the 3 μg
(2·0 [2·0–2·0]) at 14 days after the second dose, and group (465·8 [288·1–753·1]) versus 24 (100%) in the
six (25%) participants in the 3 μg group (5·4 [3·6–8·1] 6 μg group (1395·9 [955·2–2039·7]) versus two (8%) in
versus 20 (83%) in the 6 μg group (15·2 [11·2–20·7]) the placebo group (89·8 [76·1–105·9]) at 28 days after
versus none in the placebo group (2·0 [2·0–2·0]) the second dose in the days 0 and 14 vaccination
at 28 days after the second dose in the days 0 and 14 cohort; and 24 (100%) of 24 participants in the 3 μg
vaccination cohort; and 19 (79%) of 24 participants in the group (1365·1 [881·4–2086·4]) versus 24 (100%) of 24
3 μg group (16·0 [10·4–24·7]) versus 20 (83%) of 24 in the participants in the 6 μg group (2152·7 [1446·1–3204·6])
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A Phase 1, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort B Phase 1, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort C Phase 2, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort D Phase 2, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
2048 3 μg group p=0·027 p=0·0006
Reciprocal antibody titre of neutralising
1024 6 μg group
Placebo group 34·5 30·1
antibody to live SARS-CoV-2
E Phase 1, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort F Phase 1, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort G Phase 2, days 0 and 14 vaccination cohort H Phase 2, days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort
p=0·024
p=0·024 p=0·0006 p=0·018 p=0·013
1365·4 1318·2
Reciprocal antibody titre of RBD-specific IgG
Days after second dose Days after second dose Days after second dose Days after second dose
Figure 3: Antibody titres of neutralising antibodies to live SARS-CoV-2 (A–D) and RBD-specific IgG (E–H) induced after two doses of CoronaVac or placebo given in the days 0 and 14 and
days 0 and 28 vaccination cohorts, in the phase 1 and phase 2 trials
The error bars indicate the 95% CI of the GMT and the spots indicated the individual antibody titres, with the numbers above the spots showing the GMT estimate. Only p values for significant
differences are shown on the figure, all p values for all data are in appendix 2 (p 19). GMT=geometric mean titre. RBD=receptor binding domain. SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome
coronavirus 2.
(GMT 163·7 [95% CI 128·5–208·6]; table 2, figure 3; pseudovirus was 0·82 (0·76–0·88) using the antibody
appendix 2 p 24). The seroconversion rates of RBD-specific titre at 14 days after the second dose (no data taken at
IgG were 111 (97%) of 115 participants in the 3 μg group day 28). The correlation coefficient between the
(GMT 1094·3 [95% CI 936·7–1278·4]) versus 118 (100%) of neutralising antibody to pseudovirus and RBD-specific
118 participants in the 6 μg group (1365·4 [1160·4–1606·7]) IgG was 0·73 (0·66–0·80) using the antibody titre at 14
versus none of 56 participants in the placebo group days after the second dose (no data taken at day 28;
(81·0 [79·0–83·0]) at 14 days after the second dose and appendix 2 p 24).
111 (97%) of 114 in the 3 μg group (1053·7 [911·7–1217·7])
versus 118 (100%) of 118 in the 6 μg group Discussion
(1318·2 [1156·9–1501·9]) versus none of 57 in the placebo We found that two doses of CoronaVac at different concen-
group (80·0 [80·0–80·0]) at 28 days after the second dose trations and using different dosing schedules were well
in the day 0 and 14 vaccination cohort; and 116 (99%) of tolerated and moderately immunogenic in healthy adults
117 in the 3 μg group (1783·6 [1519·3–2093·8]) versus aged 18–59 years. The incidence of adverse reactions in the
117 (100%) of 117 in the 6 μg group (2287·5 [2038·2–2567·3]) 3 μg and 6 μg group were similar, indicating no dose-
versus four (7%) of 59 in the placebo group related safety concerns but more long-term follow-up is
(87·9 [79·7–96·9]) at 28 days after the second dose in the needed. Furthermore, most adverse reactions were mild,
days 0 and 28 vaccination cohort (table 2, figure 3). with the most common symptom being injection-site pain,
Based on the pooled data of the phase 1 and 2 trials which is in accordance with previous findings for another
(two vaccination cohorts pooled), the correlation co- inactivated COVID-19 vaccine from Sinopharm (Beijing
efficient between the neutralising antibody to live SARS- China).14 Compared with other COVID-19 vaccine candi-
CoV-2 and RBD-specific IgG was 0·85 (95% CI dates, such as viral-vectored vaccines or DNA or RNA
0·82–0·92) using the antibody titre at 28 days after the vaccines, the occurrence of fever after vaccination with
second dose of vaccine, and was 0·80 (0·75–0·86) using CoronaVac was relatively low.10,11,13
the titre 14 days after the second. The correlation Over the course of the phase 1/2 trial, we changed the
coefficient between the neutralising antibody to production process of the vaccine from the use of a cell
live SARS-CoV-2 and the neutralising antibody to factory process (which was used in our preclinical and
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phase 1 study to generate a 50 L culture of Vero cells) to that CoronaVac could provide satisfying protection
use of a bioreactor for phase 2. The bioreactor process against COVID-19 on the basis of the following three
enabled use to optimise the process for growing cells, reasons. First, from the experiences of other vaccines,
with precise control over cell culture parameters like such as the enterovirus 71 and varicella vaccines, most of
dissolved oxygen, pH, and carbon dioxide and oxygen the surrogate endpoints based on neutralising antibody
gas levels. We made this change to increase vaccine titres have ranged from 8 to 24.20,21 Second, our preclinical
production capacity and meet biosafety requirements. study15 indicated that the neutralising antibody titres of
Pre-clinical data for each phase trial (data not shown) 1/24 elicited in macaque models conferred complete
indicated that the safety profiles of vaccines prepared via protection against SARS-CoV-2. Third, although several
the new bioreactor process and old process are similar. studies have found that antibody responses generated
Notably, immune responses in phase 2 were much better from natural infection with coronaviruses (eg, SARS-
than those recorded in phase 1, with seroconversion rates CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus,
over 90% in both the 3 μg and 6 μg groups. To investigate and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus)
the reason for this change, we did a protein composition might decrease substantially over time,22–24 reinfection in
analysis of the purified inactivated SARS-CoV-2 virions these patients has rarely been reported,25–27 which indicates
and found that the bioreactor-produced vaccine had a that immunological memory might have an important
higher redundancy of intact spike protein (molecular role of prevention of re-infections. Therefore, the antibody
mass approximately 180 kDa) than did the vaccine level itself might not be the key for a successful COVID-19
produced via the cell factory process (appendix 2 p 27). vaccine, but rather the establishment of a recallable
Quantitative analysis showed that the intact spike protein specific immune response to SARS-CoV-2. Furthermore,
accounted for approximately 3·7% of total protein mass the efficacy of the investigational vaccine and its surrogate
of the vaccine used in phase 1 and approximately 7·0% of endpoint need to be determined in a future phase 3 trial.
total protein mass of the vaccine used in phase 2 trials. Additionally, comparability of our serum antibody results
Electron microscopic examination of the samples further with those of other COVID-19 vaccine studies is restricted.
verified that the average number of spikes per virion of Two participants in the placebo group in the phase 1
the viral sample used in the phase 2 trial was almost trial and four in the placebo group in the phase 2 trial
double the number of spikes per virion of the sample had seroconversion of anti-RBD IgG after vaccination,
used in phase 1 trial (appendix 2 p 27). These observations and one participant given placebo in the phase 1 trial and
highlight the importance of developing an optimum two in the phase 2 trial had seroconversion of neutralising
manufacturing process and the integration of multi- antibodies after vaccination.
disciplinary techniques, such as genomics and structural CoronaVac was well tolerated and induced humoral
biology to support a new era of precision vaccinology. responses against SARS-CoV-2, which supported the
The immune response induced by 3 μg and 6 μg of approval of emergency use of CoronaVac in China, and
vaccine in 0·5 mL of diluent per dose was similar in this three phase 3 clinical trials that are ongoing in Brazil
study. As anticipated, after two doses of vaccine, immune (NCT04456595), Indonesia (NCT04508075), and Turkey
responses induced by the days 0 and 28 vaccination (NCT04582344). Taking safety, immunogenicity, and
schedule were larger than those induced by the days 0 production capacity into account, the low dose of 3 μg of
and 14 vaccination schedule, regardless of the dose. CoronaVac in 0·5 mL of diluent, with a day 0 and 14
However, quick antibody responses could be induced vaccination schedule, is being investigated in these
within a relatively short time by using a day 0 and 14 ongoing trials. And the days 0 and 28 vaccination
vaccination schedule, which might be suitable for schedule with 3 μg of Coronavac in 0·5 mL of diluent
emergency use and is of vital importance during will also be investigated in future phase 3 clinical trials.
the COVID-19 pandemic. Regarding the days 0 The protective efficacy of CoronaVac remains to be
and 28 vaccination schedule, a more robust antibody determined.
response was generated and longer persistence could be Our study had several limitations. First, we did not
expected than with the days 0 and 14 schedule, which assess the T cell responses in the phase 2 trial; however,
supports potential routine use of the vaccine according to the response of type 1 T-helper cells and type 2 T-helper
this schedule when the epidemic risk of COVID-19 is cells induced by CoronaVac will be studied in the ongoing
low. However, the actual immune persistence of the phase 3 study in Brazil (NCT04456595). Second, we only
two schedules needs to be verified in future studies. reported immune response data for healthy adults, and
In the phase 2 trial, the level of neutralising antibodies did not include individuals from more susceptible
included by the vaccine at day 28 after the last dose of groups in our study population (eg, older individuals
vaccine ranged from a GMT of 23·8 to 65·4, depending [aged ≥60 years] or with comorbidities); and data on
on the vaccination schedule, which was lower than those immune persistence is not yet available, which need to
of convalescent patients who previously had COVID-19 be further studied. Third, the calculated p values
with an average GMT level of 163·7, tested by the same presented in this study cannot support any powerful
method in the same laboratory.19 However, we still think statistical conclusions, and are only for reference and so
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23 Prévost J, Gasser R, Beaudoin-Bussières G, et al. Cross-sectional 26 Chan PKS, Lui G, Hachim A, et al. Serologic responses in healthy
evaluation of humoral responses against SARS-CoV-2 spike. adult with SARS-CoV-2 reinfection, Hong Kong, August 2020.
Cell Rep Med 2020; 1: 100126. Emerg Infect Dis 2020; published online Oct 22.
24 Payne DC, Iblan I, Rha B, et al. Persistence of antibodies against https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2612.203833.
Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus. Emerg Infect Dis 2016; 27 Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, et al. A systematic
22: 1824–26. review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics,
25 Zhang K, Lau JY-N, Yang L, Ma Z-G. SARS-CoV-2 reinfection in two correlates of protection, and association with severity. Nat Commun
patients who have recovered from COVID-19. Precis Clin Med 2020; 2020; 11: 4704.
published online Sept 4. https://doi.org/10.1093/pcmedi/pbaa031.
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Summary
Background Older adults (aged ≥70 years) are at increased risk of severe disease and death if they develop COVID-19 Lancet 2020; 396: 1979–93
and are therefore a priority for immunisation should an efficacious vaccine be developed. Immunogenicity of vaccines Published Online
is often worse in older adults as a result of immunosenescence. We have reported the immunogenicity of a novel November 19, 2020
https://doi.org/10.1016/
chimpanzee adenovirus-vectored vaccine, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222), in young adults, and now describe the S0140-6736(20)32466-1
safety and immunogenicity of this vaccine in a wider range of participants, including adults aged 70 years and older.
This online publication has been
corrected. The corrected version
Methods In this report of the phase 2 component of a single-blind, randomised, controlled, phase 2/3 trial (COV002), first appeared at thelancet.com
healthy adults aged 18 years and older were enrolled at two UK clinical research facilities, in an age-escalation manner, on December 17, 2020, and
further corrections have been
into 18–55 years, 56–69 years, and 70 years and older immunogenicity subgroups. Participants were eligible if they
made on April 8, 2021
did not have severe or uncontrolled medical comorbidities or a high frailty score (if aged ≥65 years). First, participants
See Comment page 1942
were recruited to a low-dose cohort, and within each age group, participants were randomly assigned to receive
*Contributed equally
either intramuscular ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (2·2 × 10¹⁰ virus particles) or a control vaccine, MenACWY, using block
Oxford Vaccine Group,
randomisation and stratified by age and dose group and study site, using the following ratios: in the 18–55 years Department of Paediatrics
group, 1:1 to either two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 or two doses of MenACWY; in the 56–69 years group, 3:1:3:1 to (M N Ramasamy DPhil,
one dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, one dose of MenACWY, two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, or two doses of MenACWY; M Voysey DPhil, P K Aley PhD,
and in the 70 years and older, 5:1:5:1 to one dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, one dose of MenACWY, two doses of ChAdOx1 S Bibi PhD, E A Clutterbuck PhD,
R Colin-Jones MSc, C Dold PhD,
nCoV-19, or two doses of MenACWY. Prime-booster regimens were given 28 days apart. Participants were then K R W Emary BM BCh,
recruited to the standard-dose cohort (3·5–6·5 × 10¹⁰ virus particles of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19) and the same randomisation S Kerridge MSc, A Lelliott BMBS,
procedures were followed, except the 18–55 years group was assigned in a 5:1 ratio to two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 N G Marchevsky MSc,
or two doses of MenACWY. Participants and investigators, but not staff administering the vaccine, were masked to Y Mujadidi MSc, E Plested,
S Rhead MBChB, N Singh DPhil,
vaccine allocation. The specific objectives of this report were to assess the safety and humoral and cellular C C Smith PhD, M D Snape MD,
immunogenicity of a single-dose and two-dose schedule in adults older than 55 years. Humoral responses at baseline R Song MD,
and after each vaccination until 1 year after the booster were assessed using an in-house standardised ELISA, a Prof A J Pollard FMedSci),
multiplex immunoassay, and a live severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) microneutralisation The Jenner Institute
(A M Minassian DPhil,
assay (MNA80). Cellular responses were assessed using an ex-vivo IFN-γ enzyme-linked immunospot assay. The K J Ewer PhD, A L Flaxman DPhil,
coprimary outcomes of the trial were efficacy, as measured by the number of cases of symptomatic, virologically P M Folegatti MD, B Angus MD,
confirmed COVID-19, and safety, as measured by the occurrence of serious adverse events. Analyses were by group G Babbage MPhil,
allocation in participants who received the vaccine. Here, we report the preliminary findings on safety, reactogenicity, S Belij-Rammerstorfer PhD,
M Bittaye PhD, P Cicconi PhD,
and cellular and humoral immune responses. This study is ongoing and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, S Fedosyuk PhD, M Fuskova MSc,
NCT04400838, and ISRCTN, 15281137. M M Hou MRCPCH,
D Jenkin MRCP, C C D Joe PhD,
A M Lawrie PhD,
Findings Between May 30 and Aug 8, 2020, 560 participants were enrolled: 160 aged 18–55 years (100 assigned to
R Makinson MBiol,
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, 60 assigned to MenACWY), 160 aged 56–69 years (120 assigned to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19: 40 assigned T Rawlinson DPhil, A J Ritchie PhD,
to MenACWY), and 240 aged 70 years and older (200 assigned to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19: 40 assigned to MenACWY). Y Themistocleous MBChB,
Seven participants did not receive the boost dose of their assigned two-dose regimen, one participant received the M E E Watson PhD,
A D Douglas DPhil,
incorrect vaccine, and three were excluded from immunogenicity analyses due to incorrectly labelled samples.
Prof A V S Hill FMedSci,
280 (50%) of 552 analysable participants were female. Local and systemic reactions were more common in participants T Lambe PhD,
given ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 than in those given the control vaccine, and similar in nature to those previously reported Prof S C Gilbert PhD), and Clinical
Articles
Biomanufacturing Facility (injection-site pain, feeling feverish, muscle ache, headache), but were less common in older adults (aged ≥56 years)
(C Green PhD, R Tarrant PhD), than younger adults. In those receiving two standard doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, after the prime vaccination local
Nuffield Department of
Medicine, and Oxford Centre
reactions were reported in 43 (88%) of 49 participants in the 18–55 years group, 22 (73%) of 30 in the 56–69 years
for Clinical Tropical Medicine group, and 30 (61%) of 49 in the 70 years and older group, and systemic reactions in 42 (86%) participants in the
and Global Health 18–55 years group, 23 (77%) in the 56–69 years group, and 32 (65%) in the 70 years and older group. As of Oct 26, 2020,
(H Robinson DipHE), University 13 serious adverse events occurred during the study period, none of which were considered to be related to either
of Oxford, Oxford, UK; NIHR
Clinical Research Facility,
study vaccine. In participants who received two doses of vaccine, median anti-spike SARS-CoV-2 IgG responses
University Hospital 28 days after the boost dose were similar across the three age cohorts (standard-dose groups: 18–55 years,
Southampton NHS Trust, 20 713 arbitrary units [AU]/mL [IQR 13 898–33 550], n=39; 56–69 years, 16 170 AU/mL [10 233–40 353], n=26; and
Southampton, UK ≥70 years 17 561 AU/mL [9705–37 796], n=47; p=0·68). Neutralising antibody titres after a boost dose were similar
(D R Owens MRCPCH,
L Berry BSc, H Chappell MBBS,
across all age groups (median MNA80 at day 42 in the standard-dose groups: 18–55 years, 193 [IQR 113–238], n=39;
D Gbesemete MRCPCH, 56–69 years, 144 [119–347], n=20; and ≥70 years, 161 [73–323], n=47; p=0·40). By 14 days after the boost dose,
M N Lwin MSc, 208 (>99%) of 209 boosted participants had neutralising antibody responses. T-cell responses peaked at day 14 after a
A P S Munro MRCPCH, single standard dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (18–55 years: median 1187 spot-forming cells [SFCs] per million peripheral
M Pacurar MD, J Rand BA,
A L Ross-Russell MA, S Saich BA,
blood mononuclear cells [IQR 841–2428], n=24; 56–69 years: 797 SFCs [383–1817], n=29; and ≥70 years: 977 SFCs
S C Warren MBBC); Paediatric [458–1914], n=48).
Medicine, University of
Southampton, Southampton, Interpretation ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 appears to be better tolerated in older adults than in younger adults and has similar
UK (K Cathie MD); National
Infection Service, Public Health
immunogenicity across all age groups after a boost dose. Further assessment of the efficacy of this vaccine is warranted
England, Porton Down, in all age groups and individuals with comorbidities.
Salisbury, UK (S Charlton PhD,
B Hallis PhD, K M Thomas PhD);
Funding UK Research and Innovation, National Institutes for Health Research (NIHR), Coalition for Epidemic
NIHR Oxford Biomedical
Research Centre, Oxford, UK Preparedness Innovations, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Thames Valley and South Midlands NIHR
(E A Clutterbuck, C Dold, S Rhead, Clinical Research Network, and AstraZeneca.
H Robinson, A D Douglas,
Prof A V S Hill, T Lambe,
Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Prof S C Gilbert, Prof A J Pollard);
AstraZeneca license.
BioPharmaceuticals Research
and Development, Introduction first, older adults living in residential care homes and
Washington, DC, USA
As of Nov 13, 2020, over 52 million people have been residential care home workers; second, all adults aged
(E J Kelly PhD); AstraZeneca
BioPharmaceuticals Research diagnosed with COVID-19 worldwide, with over 1·2 mil- 80 years or older and health-care and social-care workers;
and Development , Bethesda, lion confirmed deaths.1 Severe COVID-19 is more com- and third, all adults aged 75 years and older. However,
MA, USA (T L Villafana PhD); mon in adults aged 70 years and older and in individuals the JCVI acknowledged that this priority ranking could
Division of Infectious Diseases,
with comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, cardio- change substantially if the first available vaccines were not
Boston Children’s Hospital,
Boston, MA, USA (R Song); and vascular disease, and chronic respiratory disease.2 A considered safe or effective in older adults. Similar recom-
NIHR Southampton Clinical safe and effective vaccine against severe acute respiratory mendations have also been made by the US Advisory
Research Facility and syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) will be an impor- Committee on Immunization Practices.6
Biomedical Research Centre,
University Hospital
tant tool in controlling the global COVID-19 pandemic. Immunosenescence refers to the gradual deterioration
Southampton NHS Trust and Although there are no licensed vaccines against COVID-19, and decline of the immune system brought on by ageing.
Faculty of Medicine and 48 potential vaccine candidates based on a variety of Age-dependent differences in the functionality and
Institute for Life Sciences, platforms including lipid nanoparticle mRNA, DNA, availability of T-cell and B-cell populations are thought to
University of Southampton,
Southampton, UK
adjuvanted protein, inactivated virus particles, and non- have a key role in the decrease of immune response.7
(Prof S N Faust FRCPCH) replicating viral vectors are in clinical trials (of which There has been a drive to develop vaccines and adjuvant
Correspondence to: 11 candidates are in phase 3 trials) and a further formulations tailored for older adults to overcome this
Dr Maheshi N Ramasamy, 164 candidates are in preclinical testing.3 diminished immune response after vaccination. Assess-
Department of Paediatrics, The WHO global target product profile of critical char- ment of immune responses in older adults is therefore
University of Oxford,
Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
acteristics for prequalification of a COVID-19 vaccine essential in the development of COVID-19 vaccines that
maheshi.ramasamy@ requires candidates to be targeted at the most at-risk could protect this susceptible population.
paediatrics.ox.ac.uk groups, including older adults; have a favourable safety The spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 binds to ACE2
profile; provide efficacy as measured by prevention of receptors on target cells during viral entry. Analysis of
virologically confirmed disease or transmission, or both; convalescent patients suggests that the spike protein is
and to provide at least 6 months of protection for an immunodominant antigen, eliciting both antibody
individuals at ongoing risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2.4 and T-cell responses.8 Most COVID-19 candidate vac-
On Sept 25, 2020, the UK Joint Committee on Vaccination cines have been developed to induce anti-spike protein
and Immunisation (JCVI) gave interim recommendations immune responses. Clinical trials using several different
for the national prioritisation of COVID-19 vaccines.5 vaccine platforms including mRNA,9,10 adenoviral vec-
The following groups were provisionally prioritised: tored vaccines,11,12 inactivated virus,13,14 and adjuvanted
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Research in context
Evidence before this study acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike
We searched PubMed for research articles published from glycoproteins (Novavax, USA) reported results of a two-dose
database inception until Nov 13, 2020, with no language schedule given 3 weeks apart in healthy adults younger than
restrictions, using the terms “SARS-CoV-2”, “vaccine”, 60 years. This vaccine was well tolerated and induced
AND “clinical trial”. We identified published clinical trial data on neutralisation responses that exceeded those measured in
eight other vaccine candidates. Two recombinant viral vectored serum samples from convalescent symptomatic patients.
vaccines have been tested in clinical trials. A single dose
Added value of this study
adenovirus (Ad) 5 vector-based vaccine (CanSino Biological/
This study is the fifth published clinical trial of a vaccine against
Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, China) elicited neutralising
SARS-CoV-2 tested in an older adult population (aged
antibodies and T-cell responses in a dose-dependent manner,
18–55 years, 56–69 years, and ≥70 years). The vaccine was safe
but was less immunogenic in individuals older than 55 years.
and well tolerated, with reduced reactogenicity in older adults.
A heterologous prime-boost Ad5/Ad26-vectored vaccine
Antibody responses against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein were
schedule (Gamaleya Research Institute, Russia) generated
induced in all age groups and were boosted and maintained at
neutralising antibody and cellular responses in adults younger
28 days after booster vaccination, including in the 70 years and
than 60 years. Two nucleoside-modified mRNA vaccine
older group. Cellular immune responses were also induced in all
candidates using a two-dose regimen were tested in adults
age and dose groups, peaking at day 14 after vaccination.
aged 18–55 years and 65–85 years, and generated neutralising
antibodies in both age groups in a dose-dependent manner, Implications of all the available evidence
although immunogenicity decreased with age (Pfizer/BioNTech, The populations at greatest risk of serious COVID-19 include
USA). Another mRNA vaccine (Moderna, USA) was given to people with coexisting health conditions and older adults.
adults older than 56 years. The vaccine was tolerated, with The immune correlates of protection against SARS-CoV-2 have
neutralising antibodies induced in a dose-dependent manner, not yet been determined, but neutralising antibodies are
which increased after a second dose. Neutralising antibody thought to be associated with protection, and in a COVID-19
responses with this mRNA vaccine appeared to be similar in non-human primate challenge model, neutralising antibody
adults older than 56 years to those aged 18–55 years who also responses correlated with protection. These findings have led
received the vaccine. Two inactivated viral vaccines have also to the use of neutralisation assays to assess immune responses
shown neutralising antibody responses in a dose-dependent in recent human COVID-19 vaccine trials. Immunisation with
manner in adults aged 18–59 years (Wuhan Institute Biological ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 results in development of neutralising
Products/SinoPharm, China) or adults aged 18–59 and 60 years antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in almost 100% of participants
and older (Beijing Institute Biological products/SinoPharm, including older adults without severe comorbidities, with
China), with the second showing lower neutralising antibody higher levels in boosted compared with non-boosted groups.
titres in older adults after two doses. Finally, a clinical trial of a Further assessment of the efficacy of this vaccine is warranted
nanoparticle vaccine composed of adjuvanted trimeric severe in all age groups and individuals with comorbidities.
spike glycoprotein15 have shown neutralising antibody glycoprotein.18 Here we present the safety and immuno-
responses after immunisation. genicity results of a phase 2 component of a phase 2/3
Replication-deficient adenovirus vectors containing multicentre study using ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 at two dif-
a pathogen-specific transgene have been used as novel ferent doses, in adults including those aged 56–69 years
vaccines because of their ability to induce strong humoral and 70 years and older, and in a one-dose or two-dose
and cellular responses.16 However, pre-existing immunity regimen.
might reduce the immunogenicity of vectors derived from
human viruses; hence, use of simian adenoviruses might Methods
be preferable. ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) is a replica- Study design and participants
tion-defective chimpanzee adenovirus-vectored vaccine In this continuing single-blind, multicentre, randomised,
expressing the full-length SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoprotein controlled, phase 2/3 trial, the safety and efficacy of
gene (GenBank accession number MN908947). Vacci- the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine is being assessed, with
nation of rhesus macaques with a single dose of ChAdOx1 sequential age-escalation immunogenicity substudies
nCoV-19 generates humoral and cellular immune being done in older age groups. The study is being run at
responses and protects from lower respiratory infection 20 centres in the UK (listed in the appendix [pp 84–87]). See Online for appendix
after subsequent challenge with SARS-CoV-2.17 Prelimi- Here we report selected results from the phase 2
nary results of a phase 1/2 clinical trial of ChAdOx1 component of the trial and for which participants were
nCoV-19 in adults aged 18–55 years show that the vaccine enrolled at two sites in the UK: the Oxford Vaccine
is well tolerated and generates robust neutralising anti- Centre, Centre for Clinical Vaccinology and Tropical
body and cellular immune responses against the spike Medicine, University of Oxford (Oxford) and the NIHR
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Southampton Clinical Research Facility, University Hos- Genetically Modified Organisms Safety Committees at
pital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (Southampton). each participating site. An independent DSMB reviewed
Data on the participants from the phase 3 component will all interim safety reports. A copy of the protocol is
be published elsewhere. included in the appendix (pp 83–212).
We recruited participants in an age-escalation manner.
We recruited adults aged 18–55 years, then adults aged Randomisation and masking
56–69 years, and then adults aged 70 years and older, Participants were randomly assigned to receive either the
without severe or uncontrolled medical comorbidities, as ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine or the quadrivalent MenACWY
defined in the clinical study plan (appendix pp 48–54), protein-polysaccharide conjugate vaccine. MenACWY was
through local advertisements. Participants aged 65 years used as a comparator vaccine rather than a saline placebo
and older with a Dalhousie Clinical Frailty Score of 4 or to maintain masking of participants who had local or
higher were excluded.19 systemic reactions. Participants aged 18–55 years were
Participants were enrolled into one of ten different randomly assigned (1:1) in the low-dose cohort and (5:1)
groups. Recruitment was sequential with low-dose groups in the standard-dose cohort to receive either ChAdOx1
recruited first and standard-dose cohorts recruited after nCoV-19 or MenACWY. For both 18–55 years cohorts,
a protocol amendment was approved on June 5, 2020, participants were given two doses of study vaccine.
that incorporated the new higher dose level. For the Participants aged 56–69 years were randomly assigned
first stage of recruitment, participants aged 18–55 years (3:1:3:1) to one dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, one dose of
were recruited to the low-dose group. Subsequently we MenACWY, two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, or two doses
recruited participants aged 56–69 years, and further of MenACWY. Participants aged 70 years or older were
extension to recruit those aged 70 years and older only randomly assigned (5:1:5:1) to one dose of ChAdOx1
occurred after safety review by the independent Data nCoV-19, one dose of MenACWY, two doses of ChAdOx1
Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB). A minimum of 2 weeks nCoV-19, or two doses of MenACWY.
of safety and immunogenicity data were reviewed by the Randomisation lists, using block randomisation strati-
DSMB before recruitment to each successive age cohort. fied by age and dose group and study site, were generated
The 18–55 years groups received two doses of vaccine and by the study statistician (MV). Block sizes were chosen
were randomly assigned to receive either the experimental to align with the age group and dose group sizes.
vaccine or the control vaccine. The 56–69 years and Computer randomisation was done with full allocation
70 years and older groups were randomly assigned to concealment within the secure web platform used
receive either one dose or two doses of vaccine and were for the study electronic case report form (REDCap
then randomly assigned to receive the experimental version 9.5.22). The trial staff administering the vaccine
vaccine or the control vaccine. The same process was prepared vaccines out of sight of the participants and
repeated with recruitment and randomisation for the syringes were covered with an opaque material until
standard-dose cohorts after review by the DSMB. All ready for administration to ensure masking of
participants underwent a screening visit in which a full participants. Participants, clinical investigators, and the
medical history, targeted examination, blood test for laboratory team remained masked to group allocation
SARS-CoV-2 exposure, and a urinary pregnancy test in for the duration of the study. However, trial staff
women of childbearing potential were done. Volunteers administering the vaccine were unmasked.
who were seropositive to SARS-CoV-2 before enrolment
were excluded from participating in all groups, apart Procedures
from those in the 18–55 years standard-dose cohort. In the previous phase 1/2 study,18 a single standard
Additionally, all participants included in this phase 2 dose of 5 × 10¹⁰ virus particles of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was
component of the study, apart from those in the used, based on previous experience with a ChAdOx1
18–55 years low-dose group, had additional safety tests Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) construct. In
(blood tests for HIV, hepatitis B and C serology, full this study, we assessed a lower dose of 2·2 × 10¹⁰ virus
blood count, and kidney and liver function tests). Full particles and a standard dose of 3·5–6·5 × 10¹⁰ virus
details of eligibility criteria are in the trial protocol particles in adults of different age cohorts. Due to the
(appendix pp 135–38). need to rapidly produce large numbers of doses of
Written informed consent was obtained from all vaccine manufactured using Good Manufacturing
participants, and the trial is being done in accordance Practice to allow timely enrolment into the phase 2/3
with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki clinical trial, two different batches of vaccine were used
and Good Clinical Practice. The study was sponsored by in this study: one manufactured and vialed by Advent
the University of Oxford (Oxford, UK) and approved (Pomezia, Italy), and one manufactured by COBRA
in the UK by the Medicines and Healthcare products Biologics (Keele, UK) and vialed by Symbiosis (Stirling,
Regulatory Agency (reference 21584/0428/001-0001) and UK). Both were manufactured according to Good
the South-Central Berkshire Research Ethics Committee Manufacturing Practice and approved by the regulatory
(reference 20/SC/0179). Vaccine use was authorised by agency in the UK, the Medicines and Healthcare
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products Regulatory Agency. The 18–55 years standard- vaccinations. Participants in the 18–55 years low-dose
dose cohort received vaccine manufactured by COBRA group had clinical and immunogenicity assessments
Biologics for both first (ie, prime) and second (ie, boost) at baseline, immediately before the boost dose, and
doses and all other cohorts received prime and boost at 14 and 28 days after their booster vaccination.
doses, as randomised, manufactured by Advent. Humoral responses at baseline and after vaccination
Analytical assessment of the batches indicates that the were assessed using Meso Scale Discovery multiplexed
batches are comparable. Formal batch-to-batch com- immunoassay against spike and receptor binding domain
parison studies are ongoing and results will be reported [RBD], a standardised total IgG ELISA against trimeric
when available. SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, and a live SARS-CoV-2
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was administered as a single-dose microneutralisation assay MNA80, which was done at
or two-dose regimen (28 days apart) at either the low Public Health England (Porton Down, UK), as described
dose (2·2 × 10¹⁰ virus particles) or the standard dose previously.18 Cellular responses were assessed using an
(3·5–6·5 × 10¹⁰ virus particles). It was administered as a ex-vivo IFN-γ enzyme-linked immunospot (ELISpot)
single intramuscular injection into the deltoid, according assay to enumerate antigen-specific T cells.18 Neutralising
to specific study standard operating procedures. The antibodies to the ChAdOx1 vector were measured using a
MenACWY vaccine was provided by the UK Department secreted embryonic alkaline phosphatase (SEAP)-reporter
of Health and Social Care and administered as per assay, which measures the reciprocal of the serum
summary of product characteristics at the standard dilution required to reduce in-vitro expression of vector-
dose.20 Depending on the batch used for vaccination, the expressed SEAP by 50%, 24 h after transduction.21 Due
injection volume for the low dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 to the labour-intensive nature of neutralisation assays,
was either 0·22 mL or 0·5 mL. The injection volume we prioritised analysis of samples from the ChAdOx1
used for the standard dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and nCoV-19 groups, randomly selecting more samples from
MenACWY was 0·5 mL. ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 participants than control samples to
Safety data from animal studies and our previous be sent for blinded analysis.
phase 1/2 clinical trial18 of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 were
reviewed before recruitment of participants. Volunteers Outcomes
were considered enrolled into the trial at the point of The coprimary outcomes of the trial are to assess efficacy
vaccination. Participants were observed in the clinic for a as measured by the number of cases of symptomatic,
minimum of 15 min after the vaccination procedure in virologically confirmed COVID-19 and safety of the
case of any immediate adverse events. vaccine as measured by the occurrence of serious adverse
Participants from each group were instructed to events. Secondary outcomes include safety, reactogenicity,
complete a diary card to record solicited local and and immunogenicity profiles of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in
systemic adverse reactions for 7 days after each dose. older adults (aged 56–69 years and ≥70 years), efficacy
Protocol-defined solicited local adverse events included against severe and non-severe COVID-19, death, and
injection-site pain, tenderness, warmth, redness, swell- seroconversion against non-spike proteins. A full list of
ing, induration, and itch, and solicited systemic adverse secondary and tertiary outcomes is in the protocol
events included malaise, muscle ache, joint pain, fatigue, (pp 118–24).
nausea, headache, chills, feverishness (ie, a self-reported Here we report preliminary results for selected
feeling of having a fever), and objective fever (defined as secondary endpoints, comparing local and systemic
an oral temperature of 38°C or higher). All participants reactogenicity and cellular and humoral immunogenicity
were given an emergency 24-h telephone number to of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 between different age groups, after
contact the on-call study physician as required. Serious one or two doses and at low or standard dose. Efficacy
adverse events will be recorded throughout the follow-up analyses are not included in this report.
period of 1 year after the last dose of vaccine.
Severity of adverse events was graded with the following Statistical analysis
criteria: mild (transient or mild discomfort for <48 h, no We present safety endpoints as frequencies (%) with
interference with activity, and no medical intervention or 95% binomial exact CIs. We present immunological
therapy required), moderate (mild-to-moderate limitation endpoints as medians and IQR. Analyses were by group
in activity, and no or minimal medical intervention allocation in participants who received the vaccine.
or therapy required), severe (substantial limitation in We did comparisons across the three age groups
activity and medical intervention or therapy required), (aged 18–55 years, aged 56–69 years, and aged ≥70 years)
or potentially life-threatening (requires assessment in using Kruskal-Wallis tests within each dose level of
emergency department or admission to hospital). All the vaccine (low dose or standard dose) for antibody
participants in the 56–69 years and 70 years and older responses or unadjusted analysis of variance applied
groups and participants in the 18–55 years standard-dose to log-transformed values for neutralisation titres.
group had clinical and immunogenicity assessments We did comparisons between low-dose and standard-
at 0, 7, 14, and 28 days after their prime and booster dose groups using Wilcoxon rank sum tests (antibody
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response) or independent samples Student’s t test The median age in the 18–55 years group was 43·0 years
applied to log-transformed values for neutralisation (IQR 33·6–48·0), in the 56–69 years group was 60·0 years
titres. We present unadjusted p values for a small (57·5–63·0) and in the 70 years and older group was
number of statistical comparisons to avoid issues of 73·0 years (71·0–76·0). The median age in the 70 years and
multiplicity. To assess the association between responses older groups ranged from 73 years to 74 years across
on different assays, we used unadjusted linear regres- dosing groups, with the oldest participants aged 83 years.
sion to analyse log-transformed values after baseline. The following results for local and systemic adverse
Sample sizes were nominal for these immunogenicity reactions are all for participants who were randomly
subgroups and no power calculations were done. assigned to receive two doses of vaccine. Injection-site
We did all statistical analyses using SAS version 9.4 pain and tenderness were the most common solicited
and R version 3.6.1 or later. This study is registered local adverse reactions and occurred most frequently
with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04400838, and with ISRCTN, in the first 48 h after vaccination (data for standard-
15281137. dose regimen shown in figure 2; data for the low-dose
groups and control groups are shown in the appendix
Role of the funding source [pp 7, 9, 19–21]). In those aged 56 years or older, a
AstraZeneca reviewed the data from the study and the standard dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, whether the prime
final manuscript before submission, but the authors or boost vaccination, elicited a greater number of local or
retained editorial control. All other funders of the study systemic reactions than did MenACWY. The difference
had no role in the study design, data collection, data was less clear with the low-dose vaccine in the 56–69 years
analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report. All and 70 years and older groups, and the number of
authors had full access to all the data in the study and participants in the control groups was small (appendix
had final responsibility for the decision to submit for p 30). At least one local symptom was reported after the
publication. prime vaccination with standard-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19
by 43 (88%) of 49 participants in the 18–55 years group,
Results 22 (73%) of 30 in the 56–69 years group, and 30 (61%) of
Between May 30 and Aug 8, 2020, 560 participants were 49 in the 70 years and older group (appendix p 29).
enrolled in the study and randomly assigned to the Similar proportions of local symptoms were reported
experimental vaccine or control vaccine group: 160 par- after the boost vaccination with the standard dose of
ticipants aged 18–55 years (100 assigned to ChAdOx1 ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, with 37 (76%) of 49 participants in the
nCoV-19, 60 assigned to MenACWY), 160 aged 56–69 years 18–55 years group, 21 (72%) of 29 in the 56–69 years
(120 assigned to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, 40 assigned to group, and 27 (55%) of 49 in the 70 years and older group
MenACWY), and 240 aged 70 years and older (200 assigned reporting at least one local symptom. A similar pattern
to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, 40 assigned to MenACWY). Full was seen across the age groups in participants after their
details on randomisation are in figure 1. All participants prime vaccination with low-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and
randomly assigned to treatment were vaccinated. One after the boost vaccination with the low-dose vaccine, but
participant (in the 18–55 years low-dose group) received with fewer total adverse reactions than in the standard-
the incorrect vaccine after randomisation and was dose groups (appendix pp 7, 9, 19–21). No severe local
excluded from analysis. Seven participants randomly symptoms were reported by recipients of ChAdOx1
assigned to receive two doses of vaccine chose not to nCoV-19. In the two-dose control groups, across both the
continue with the boost dose and were excluded from low-dose and standard-dose cohorts, local symptoms
further analyses. Three participants were excluded from were reported by 33 (57%) of 58 participants in the
immunology analyses due to incorrectly labelled samples 18–55 years group, five (25%) of 20 in the 56–69 years
(either incorrect participant identification numbers or group, and seven (35%) of 20 in the 70 years and older
incorrect timepoints noted on the label, or both; figure 1). group after the prime vaccination with MenACWY, and
The baseline characteristics of the participants eligible for by 50 (86%) of 58 in the 18–55 years group, seven (37%)
inclusion in the analysis in each group are shown in of 19 in the 56–69 years group, and four (20%) of 20 in
the table. Participants 70 years and older were recruited the 70 years and older group after the boost vaccination
from the NIHR Southampton Clinical Research Facility, with MenACWY (appendix p 29). Data for participants
University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation randomly assigned to receive only one dose of vaccine
Trust. All other participants were recruited at the Oxford were similar to the data after a prime dose of vaccine in
Vaccine Centre, Centre for Clinical Vaccinology and the two-dose groups (data not shown).
Tropical Medicine, University of Oxford. Among the Fatigue, headache, feverishness, and myalgia were the
analysed population, 280 (50%) of 552 participants were most commonly solicited systemic adverse reactions
female. 524 (95%) of 552 participants identified as white, (data for the standard-dose groups are shown in figure 3;
and 540 (98%) were non-smokers. A large proportion of data for the low-dose groups and control groups are
health-care workers who were predominantly female were shown in the appendix [pp 8, 10, 19–21]). At least
enrolled in the 18–55 years and 56–69 years age groups. one systemic symptom was reported after the prime
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vaccination with the standard dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 groups was reduced after the boost vaccination, with only
by 42 (86%) of 49 participants in the 18–55 years group, one (1%) of 127 participants reporting a severe reaction
23 (77%) of 30 in the 56–69 years group, and 32 (65%) of compared with seven (5%) of 128 participants after the
49 in the 70 years and older group (appendix p 29). The prime vaccination. At least one systemic adverse reaction
severity of symptoms reported in the standard-dose after the boost vaccination of standard dose of ChAdOx1
A Low-dose cohort
300 participants enrolled
100 enrolled in 18–55 years 80 enrolled in 56–69 years 120 enrolled in ≥70 years
group group group
50 randomly 50 randomly 30 randomly 10 randomly 30 randomly 10 randomly 50 randomly 10 randomly 50 randomly 10 randomly
assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to
two-dose two-dose one-dose one-dose two-dose two-dose one-dose one-dose two-dose two-dose
experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control
tal group group tal group group tal group group tal group group tal group group
50 received 49 received 30 received 10 received 30 received 10 received 50 received 10 received 50 received 10 received
prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose* prime dose prime dose prime dose
1 received
incorrect
vaccine
4 excluded,
did not
receive
boost
dose†
B Standard-dose cohort
260 participants enrolled
60 enrolled in 18–55 years 80 enrolled in 56–69 years 120 enrolled in ≥70 years
group group group
50 randomly 10 randomly 30 randomly 10 randomly 30 randomly 10 randomly 50 randomly 10 randomly 50 randomly 10 randomly
assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to assigned to
two-dose two-dose one-dose one-dose two-dose two-dose one-dose one-dose two-dose two-dose
experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control experimen- control
tal group group tal group group tal group group tal group group tal group group
50 received 10 received 30 received 10 received 30 received 10 received 50 received 10 received 50 received 10 received
prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose prime dose* prime dose prime dose prime dose
Figure 1: Study profile for the low-dose (A) and standard-dose (B) cohorts
*One participant excluded from immunogenicity analyses, due to mislabelling of laboratory sample. †Reasons for not receiving boost dose included that the participant moved away or was unavailable
for visits, delay in receiving boost dose, or withdrawal of consent.
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Data are n (%) unless otherwise specified. BMI=body-mass index. *Included Hispanic-Columbian, Indian, Japanese, and White Irish/English.
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Severity
Aged 18–55 years: after first vaccination (n=49) Mild Moderate Severe Requiring admission to hospital
Induration Itch Pain Redness Swelling Tenderness Warmth
75
Proportion (%)
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
0
01 234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 0 1 2 34567 01 234567 01 234567
Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since
vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination
Figure 2: Solicited local adverse reactions in the 7 days after prime and boost doses of standard-dose vaccine, by age
Day 0 is the day of vaccination. Participants shown are those randomly assigned to receive two doses, and data are only shown for participants who received both
doses of vaccine.
nCoV-19 was reported by 32 (65%) of 49 participants in (appendix p 29). Within 7 days after the prime vaccination
the 18–55 years group, 21 (72%) of 29 in the 56–69 years with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, the incidence of objectively
group, and 21 (43%) of 49 in the 70 years and older group measured fever was low in the 18–55 years standard-dose
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group (12 [24%] of 49), and no fevers were recorded in age who received the standard dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19
either the 56–69 years or 70 years and older standard- had objective fever after the boost vaccination. A similar
dose groups (appendix pp 16–18). No participants of any pattern of decreasing reactogenicity with increasing age
Severity
Aged 18–55 years: after first vaccination (n=49) Mild Moderate Severe Requiring admission to hospital
Chills Fatigue Fever (≥38°C) Feverish Headache Joint pain Malaise Muscle ache Nausea
75
Proportion (%)
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
50
25
0
01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567 01234567
Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since Days since
vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination vaccination
Figure 3: Solicited systemic adverse reactions in the 7 days after prime and boost doses of standard-dose vaccine, by age
Day 0 is the day of vaccination. Feverish is self-reported feeling of feverishness, whereas fever is an objective fever measurement (mild: 38·0 to <38·5°C, moderate: 38·5 to <39·0°C, severe: ≥39·0°C).
Participants shown are those randomly assigned to receive two doses, and data are only shown for participants who received both doses of vaccine.
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was seen in the low-dose groups (appendix pp 7, 8, 19–21). 18–55 years group (two doses) ≥70 years group (one dose)
Similar results after the first dose were seen in those 56–69 years group (one dose) ≥70 years group (two doses)
who were randomly assigned to receive only one dose 56–69 years group (two doses)
Concentration (AU/mL)
which are considered related to either study vaccine as
assessed by the investigators (appendix p 31). 1000
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18–55 years group (two doses) 18–55 years group (standard dose)
56–69 years group (one dose) 56–69 years group (low dose)
56–69 years group (two doses) ≥70 years group (low dose)
≥70 years group (one dose) 56–69 years group (standard dose)
≥70 years group (two doses) ≥70 years group (standard dose)
A
300 1000
100
300
30
100
10
0 14 28 42
Time since vaccination (days)
B
Figure 6: IFN-γ ELISpot response to peptides spanning the SARS-CoV-2 spike
insert after prime and boost doses of vaccine for all participants who were
300 given two doses of vaccine, by age group and vaccine dose
ELISpot data were unavailable for the 18–55 years low-dose group because
Normalised MNA80
100 PBMCs were not collected in this group. Datapoints are medians, with whiskers
showing the IQR. The lower limit of detection is 48 SFCs per million PBMCs
(horizontal dotted line). Day 42 samples are from participants who received the
30 boost dose at day 28 (vertical dotted line). Data for both one-dose and two-dose
groups, with numbers analysed at each timepoint, are in the appendix (p 15).
ELISpot=enzyme-linked immunospot. PBMC=peripheral blood mononuclear
10 cells. SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. SFC=spot-
forming cells.
0 28 42 56
correlation was seen between anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising
Time since vaccination (days)
titres immediately before the boost vaccination and
Figure 5: Neutralising antibody titres measured using a live SARS-CoV-2 ELISpot responses 14 days after the boost vaccination
microneutralisation assay (MNA80) after prime and boost doses of vaccine (p=0·22; figure 7).
in standard-dose groups (A) and low-dose groups (B), by age
Datapoints are medians, with whiskers showing the IQR. Solid lines show
participants who were randomly assigned to and received two doses of vaccine
Discussion
and dashed lines indicate participants who were randomly assigned to receive Our findings show that the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine was
one dose. Horizontal dotted lines show upper and lower limits of assay (values safe and well tolerated with a lower reactogenicity profile
outside this range set to 640 beyond the upper limit and 5 beyond the lower in older adults than in younger adults. Immunogenicity
limit). Data for the control groups are shown in the appendix (p 14).
was similar across age groups after a boost vaccination.
To normalise data across assay runs, a reference sample was included in all assay
runs and test samples normalised to this value by generating log10 ratios. If these responses correlate with protection in humans,
SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. these findings are encouraging because older individuals
are at disproportionate risk of severe COVID-19 and so
same vaccine regimen (18–55 years, median 413 SFCs any vaccine adopted for use against SARS-CoV-2 must be
per million PBMCs [IQR 245–675], n=23; 56–69 years, effective in older adults.
798 SFCs [462–1186], n=28; and ≥70 years, 307 SFCs Most of the reported local and systemic adverse events
[161–516], n=47; p<0·0001; appendix p 15). were mild to moderate in severity, in line with our
Anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising antibody titres across previous phase 1 study of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine18
different age and dose groups are shown in figure 7. and previously reported studies of ChAdOx1-vectored
Titres increased with the prime vaccination with vaccines.22–24 Fewer adverse events were reported after the
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in all groups to similar levels, but boost vaccination than after the prime vaccination and
were not increased further after a boost dose of vaccine reactogenicity reduced with increasing age. The lower
at day 28. This observation was in contrast with the anti- dose of vaccine was less reactogenic than the standard
SARS-CoV-2 spike protein antibody levels, which were dose of vaccine across all age groups.
increased 28 days after the boost vaccination (figure 4). The serious adverse events observed during the trial in
Anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising titres immediately before these study groups were judged to be unrelated to the
the boost vaccination were negatively correlated with study vaccines and occurred at frequencies expected for
standardised ELISA values 28 days after the boost these conditions in the general population. None of the
vaccination (p=0·037; figure 7), but no significant participants included in this report had any suspected
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vaccine.
10
Other clinical trials have also assessed safety, tolerability, 300
and immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in older
adults. An adenovirus 5 vector-based vaccine also had 1 100
reduced reactogenicity in adults aged 55 years and older
compared with adults aged 18–54 years after a single dose
of vaccine, although immunogenicity was concurrently 1 10 100 1000 1 10 100 1000
ChAdOx neutralising antibodies ChAdOx neutralising antibodies
reduced in this older age group.11 A two-dose mRNA (before second dose) (before second dose)
vaccine has also been shown to be immunogenic in
adults older than 56 years with dose-dependent immune Figure 7: Anti-ChAdOx1 vector neutralising titres after prime and boost doses of vaccine, by age and vaccine
responses and similar neutralising antibody titres and dose, and the correlation between pre-boost dose anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising antibodies and 28 days after
boost dose antibody and T-cell responses
cellular immune responses to younger adults.9 Another (A) Anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising antibody titres in participants who received ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine by age and
two-dose mRNA vaccine has shown immunogenicity in dose: datapoints are medians, with whiskers showing the IQR. Values below the limit of detection were assigned a
older adults, but absolute neutralising antibody responses value of 1. (B) Anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising antibody titre immediately before boost dose of vaccine versus
in adults aged 65–85 years were lower than in those aged standardised IgG ELISA against SARS-CoV-2 spike 28 days after the boost dose of vaccine with linear regression of
logged values (p=0·037). (C) Anti-ChAdOx1 neutralising antibody titres immediately before boost dose of vaccine
18–55 years.10 By contrast with our observations, in both versus SARS-CoV-2 spike specific T cells measured by IFN-γ ELISpot on day 14 after the boost dose of vaccine with
these studies, reactogenicity was more common after the linear regression of logged values (p=0·22). In B and C, each datapoint is one participant and the solid line shows
second dose of an mRNA vaccine. A two-dose inactivated the linear regression, with the shaded area showing the 95% CI from an unadjusted linear regression of anti-vector
neutralisation titres against logged ELISA (in B) or ELISpot (in C) response. Data were unavailable at day 56 for the
virus vaccine has also shown lower absolute neutralising
56–69 years standard-dose group. ELISpot=enzyme-linked immunospot. PBMC=peripheral blood mononuclear
antibody titres in adults aged 60 years and older than cells. SARS-CoV-2=severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. SFC=spot-forming cells.
in adults aged 18–59 years, but reactogenicity was not
formally compared between the first and second doses in view that a type 1 T-helper (Th1)-biased CD4 response
this study.13 is a preferred coronavirus vaccine characteristic.26 An
T-cell responses are important in controlling disease in adjuvanted nanoparticle vaccine has been shown to
natural infection8 and therefore generation of a robust induce spike-specific CD4 T-cell cytokine responses with
cellular immune response is a desirable attribute for a a predominantly Th1 profile,15 as has an mRNA vaccine in
vaccine against SARS-CoV-2. Here, we found that spike- small numbers of adults aged 56–70 years and 71 years
specific T-cell responses measured with ELISpot peaked and older.9 More detailed investigations of antigen-
at 14 days after the prime vaccination, consistent with specific T-cell responses in our study participants are
previous studies of simian adenovirus-vectored vaccines,25 ongoing.
and were similar in all groups regardless of age and The robust humoral and cellular immune responses
vaccine dose. Spike protein T-cell responses measured obtained in our older adult population were encouraging
with ELISpot have also been reported in studies with given that a number of studies have shown that
other adenovirus-vectored vaccines against SARS-CoV-2,12 decreasing immune function with age leads to decreased
including in adults older than 55 years.11 Theoretical immune responses to vaccines. This fact holds true for
concerns about vaccine-enhanced disease have led to a vaccines such as for influenza, for which pre-existing
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immune memory exists,27 and vaccines that induce and recruitment to the study occurred during a period of
primary immune responses, such as hepatitis B.28 national lockdown when more susceptible individuals
Other adenovirus-vector platforms against SARS-CoV-2 were advised by Public Health England to self-isolate.
have either shown reduced immunogenicity in an older Therefore, we excluded volunteers with substantial
age group11 (although this study was of a single-dose comorbidities or clinical frailty. Larger studies are now
regimen and so not directly comparable with our prime- underway to assess immunogenicity, safety, and efficacy
boost regimen) or have not yet been tested in an older in older adults with a wider range of comorbidities.
population.12 Ultimately, licensure of a vaccine relies on the
However, our results are consistent with previous demonstration of efficacy in preventing COVID-19 and
studies of adenovirus-vector-based vaccines against safety. Phase 3 studies with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 are
respiratory pathogens that evoke humoral and T-cell ongoing in the UK, Brazil, and the USA to assess vaccine
responses in older adults, including a human adenovirus- efficacy and safety. Here we found similar safety and
vectored respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine29 and a immunogenicity of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in older adults
simian adenovirus-vectored RSV vaccine.30 Our results compared with younger adults, which could support the
with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 are also consistent with those of a use of this vaccine in this older age group, if it is shown
ChAdOx1-vectored vaccine against influenza that showed to be protective in phase 3 trials.
good immunogenicity in adults older than 50 years.22 Contributors
Notably, the anti-spike antibody responses in our study AJP and SCG conceived and designed the trial and AJP is the chief
increased after a boost vaccination at an interval of investigator. AJP, AMM, HR, MNR, MV, and PMF contributed to the
protocol and design of the study. AVSH and SNF were the study site
1 month but the neutralising anti-vector antibody principal investigators. ALF, CD, EAC, KJE, RM, and TL were responsible
responses did not. There was also no difference in anti- for laboratory testing and assay development. MV and NGM did the
vector immunity by age. We observed a small negative statistical analysis. SCG and TL were responsible for vaccine development.
correlation between anti-vector antibody titres and ADD, CG, and RT were responsible for vaccine manufacture. AJP, AMM,
MNR, MV, NGM, and TL contributed to the preparation of the report.
anti-spike total IgG, but not T-cell ELISpot responses. AMM, DRO, HR, KJE, MNR, PKA, and PMF contributed to the
Further work is needed to investigate if homologous implementation of the study. All other authors contributed to the
boosting with adenovirus-vectored vaccines can be done implementation of the study and data collection. All authors critically
without loss of immunogenicity to the pathogen-specific reviewed and approved the final version.
transgene. Declaration of interests
In the absence of a clear serological correlate of Oxford University has entered into a partnership with AstraZeneca for
further development of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222). AstraZeneca
protection against SARS-CoV-2, clinical studies have reviewed the data from the study and the final manuscript before
focused on measuring neutralising antibodies because submission, but the authors retained editorial control. SCG is cofounder
these have been shown to confer protection from of Vaccitech (a collaborator in the early development of this vaccine
challenge in animal models.9–15 Live virus neutralisation candidate) and named as an inventor on a patent covering use of
ChAdOx1-vectored vaccines (PCT/GB2012/000467) and a patent
assays are labour intensive and can only be done in application covering this SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. TL is named as an
specialist laboratories under category 3 biological safety inventor on a patent application covering this SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and
conditions. We found here that anti-spike IgG levels was consultant to Vaccitech. PMF is a consultant to Vaccitech. AJP is
Chair of the UK Department of Health and Social Care’s JCVI, but does
correlate with neutralising antibody titres for all age
not participate in policy advice on coronavirus vaccines, and is a member
groups. This finding suggests that, should neutralising of the WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE). AVSH is a
antibodies be shown to be protective in humans, routine cofounder of and consultant to Vaccitech and is named as an inventor on
serological assays could be used for the standardised a patent covering design and use of ChAdOx1-vectored vaccines
(PCT/GB2012/000467). MDS reports grants from Janssen,
evaluation of functional antibody by vaccine candidates
GlaxoSmithKline, MedImmune, Novavax, and MCM Vaccine and grants
in clinical trials. and non-financial support from Pfizer outside of the submitted work.
A limitation of this study is its single-blind design. CG reports personal fees from the Duke Human Vaccine Institute
However, all laboratory analyses and clinical assessments outside of the submitted work. ADD reports grants and personal fees
from AstraZeneca outside of the submitted work. All other authors
reported in this manuscript were done in a blinded
declare no competing interests.
fashion. A further limitation is possible variation of
Data sharing
severity of local reactions due to the difference in The study protocol and clinical study plan are provided in the appendix
injection volumes between different batches of vaccine (pp 45–212). Anonymised participant data will be made available when
in the low-dose group. Ongoing studies in larger groups the trial is complete, upon requests directed to the corresponding author.
will investigate the reactogenicity of a booster dose in Proposals will be reviewed and approved by the sponsor, investigator,
and collaborators on the basis of scientific merit. After approval of a
more detail. Finally, the selection of participants aged proposal, data can be shared through a secure online platform after
70 years and older, with a median age of 73–74 years signing a data access agreement. All data will be made available for a
between dose groups and with few comorbidities, might minimum of 5 years from the end of the trial.
not be representative of the general older population, Acknowledgments
including those living in residential care settings or older This Article reports independent research funded by UK Research and
than 80 years. Early phase studies in older adults require Innovation (MC_PC_19055), Engineering and Physical Sciences
Research Council (EP/R013756/1), Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness
healthy volunteers to be enrolled for safety assessments,
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Innovations, and the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR). 13 Xia S, Zhang Y, Wang Y, et al. Safety and immunogenicity of an
We acknowledge support from Thames Valley and South Midland’s inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, BBIBP-CorV: a randomised,
NIHR Clinical Research Network and the staff and resources of NIHR double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 1/2 trial. Lancet Infect Dis
Southampton Clinical Research Facility, and the NIHR Oxford Health 2020; published online Oct 15. https://doi.org/10.1016/
Biomedical Research Centre. PMF received funding from the S1473-3099(20)30831-8.
Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior, Brazil 14 Xia S, Duan K, Zhang Y, et al. Effect of an inactivated vaccine
(finance code 001). ALF was supported by the Chinese Academy of against SARS-CoV-2 on safety and immunogenicity outcomes:
interim analysis of 2 randomized clinical trials. JAMA 2020;
Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, China (grant
324: 951–60.
number: 2018-I2M-2-002). KJE is an NIHR Biomedical Research Centre
15 Keech C, Albert G, Cho I, et al. Phase 1-2 Trial of a SARS-CoV-2
Senior Research Fellow. AJP and SNF are NIHR senior investigators.
recombinant spike protein nanoparticle vaccine. N Engl J Med 2020;
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not published online Sept 2. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2026920.
necessarily those of the NIHR or the UK Department of Health and
16 Milligan ID, Gibani MM, Sewell R, et al. Safety and
Social Care. We thank the senior management at AstraZeneca for immunogenicity of novel adenovirus type 26- and modified vaccinia
facilitating and funding the Mesoscale antibody assay included in this Ankara-vectored Ebola vaccines: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA
manuscript. We also thank the volunteers who participated in this study. 2016; 315: 1610–23.
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Local Reactions
Local reactions were reported at higher rates by vaccine recipients than placebo recipients. The frequency of any local
reaction was higher in participants aged 18 to 59 years than participants aged ≥60 years (59.8% vs 35.4%). Pain at the
injection site was the most frequently reported solicited local reaction among vaccine recipients (58.6% of 18-59-year-olds and
33.3% ≥60-year-olds). Erythema and swelling were reported less frequently. No grade 4 local reactions were reported. Overall,
the median onset of local reactions in the vaccine group was within two days of vaccination, with a median duration 2 days for
erythema and pain and 3 days for swelling. (Table 1)
Table 1. Local reactions in persons aged 18-59 years and persons aged
≥60 years, Janssen COVID-19 vaccine and placeboa
18-59 years ≥60 years
Painb, n (%)
Erythemac, n (%)
Swellingc, n (%)
a Solicited local and systemic adverse reactions collected for participants in a safety subset (N=6,736)
b Pain – Grade 3: any use of prescription pain reliever or prevented daily activity
Systemic Reactions
Systemic reactions were reported at higher rates by vaccine recipients than placebo recipients. The frequency of systemic
reactions was higher in participants aged 18-59 years than participants ≥60 years (61.5% vs 45.3%). For both age groups,
fatigue and headache were the most commonly reported systemic reactions. Fever was more common in participants 18-59
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/info-by-product/janssen/reactogenicity.html 1/3
years (12.8%) compared to those ≥60 years (3.1%). The majority of systemic reactions were mild or moderate in severity. The
most common grade 3 reactions were fatigue and myalgia. No grade 4 reactions were reported. Among vaccine recipients,
the median onset of systemic reactions within 2 days of vaccination, with a median duration of 1-2 days. (Table 2)
Fatigueb, n (%)
Headacheb, n (%)
Myalgiab, n (%)
Nauseac, n (%)
Feverd, n (%)
a Solicited local and systemic adverse reactions collected for participants in a safety subset (N=6,736)
b Fatigue, Headache, Myalgia – Grade 3: use of prescription pain reliever or prevented daily activity
Analgesic/Antipyretics Use
Among vaccine recipients aged 18-59 years, 26.4% reported using antipyretic or analgesic medications, compared to 6.0% of
placebo recipients. Among vaccine recipients aged ≥60 years, 9.8% reported using antipyretic or analgesic medications,
compared to 5.1% of placebo recipients. The reason for medication use (e.g. fever, pain) was not ascertained.
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vaccine and tinnitus. Angioedema demonstrated a numerical imbalance with events reported among 0.2% of vaccine
recipients and 0.1% of placebo recipients. Of these, urticaria was reported in 8 vaccine recipients and 3 placebo recipients.
Based on temporal and biologic plausibility, reports of urticaria are possibly related to vaccine.
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Versão: 10/2022